Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-13-19 | Clemson v. Miami-FL +2 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. Miami is coming off an 88-85 overtime loss at North Carolina, easily covering a 16 point spread. Prior to that they beat Notre Dame by double digits at home. They will be an underdog tonight at home versus Clemson, and the Tigers have lost four of their last five road games. Their one road win during that span came at Georgia Tech. Miami looks good getting points here when you consider the home team has won six straight in this series, and the home team has covered the spread in five straight. Clemson looks great coming in as winners of four straight, but that run came largely against bottom feeders of the ACC. Prior to a win at Georgia Tech, they had lost four straight on the road at NC State, FSU, Syracuse and Duke. Take MIAMI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-19 | Air Force v. UNLV -8.5 | 72-77 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNLV. The Rebels have lost four of their last five overall, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight versus conference rivals Air Force. So the obvious play is Air Force plus the points ... right? As my man Lee Corso would say: "Not So Fast My Friend". Look at who the Rebels have played, and you can see they have faced Nevada, Utah State, Boise State, Fresno State and San Diego State. It's no suprise that they would struggle against the upper echelon of the Mountain West. Air Force is still one of the weaker teams in the conference, and the Falcons have just one win in eight road games this season. The Falcons have averaged less than 60 points per game on the road, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four overall. While Air Force has had success covering the spread in previous meetings, I believe this line has come down enough to back the home favorite. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -4.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars. The Cincinnati Bearcats come into Houston as winners of eight straight, but I think they might be biting off more than they can chew against the 1st place Cougars. Houston is 16-0 at home, and the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Houston has been the better team all season long, and superior talent should be the difference here on their home court. Free throw shooting could be key, as the Cougars have hit better than 75 percent of their free throws over their last five games, while Cincinnati has hit just over 62 percent during that span. The Cougars are the better team offensively, and their defense at home has been impressive allowing just 59.9 points per game. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-19 | Texas v. West Virginia +4 | 75-53 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. It's been tough sledding in the BIG12 for West Virginia, but they come into tonight's home game against Texas as winners of two of their last three home games. One of those wins came against BIG12 powerhouse Kansas. Home court has been a big deal in previous meetings between these teams, as the home team has won five straight. The home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings, and the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. West Virginia has scored 79.5 points per game at home, and they look good getting a handful of points against a Texas team that doesn't score a lot on the road. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-19 | Duke +2.5 v. Virginia | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. A lot of people will be backing Virginia here at home, especially given that they lost by just two points at Duke a few weeks ago. The thing is, you have to remember that the Cavs were catching Duke in a particularly vulnerable spot, without their starting PG. Tre Jones is back playing at full strength, and Duke is coming off four straight double digit wins. The last meeting between these two teams wasn't as close as the final score would indicate, as the Cavs made it close with a few late buckets. Duke has won four of the last five head to head meetings, two of those wins coming at Virginia. The road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and the underdog is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. I'll take the points. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-19 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -2 | 51-49 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-02-19 | TCU v. Baylor -3.5 | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. I had Baylor as an underdog in their last game, and they won outright by a whopping 30 points at Oklahoma. Here is what I said before the game: "The Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of four straight, and two of those wins came on the road at Oklahoma State and West Virginia. They are a significant underdog here against the Sooners, despite the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings outright, and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Oklahoma has won just three of it's last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home meetings versus Baylor. The Sooners beat Baylor 98-96 at home last year, and prior to that they were just 2-2 straight up in their previous four home games against the Bears." They are hosting a TCU team tonight that has lost four of five road games so far. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover in seven of their last nine versus Baylor, and the Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 versus teams with a losing road record. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-19 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne +2 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-28-19 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma | 77-47 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. The Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of four straight, and two of those wins came on the road at Oklahoma State and West Virginia. They are a significant underdog here against the Sooners, despite the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings outright, and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Oklahoma has won just three of it's last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home meetings versus Baylor. The Sooners beat Baylor 98-96 at home last year, and prior to that they were just 2-2 straight up in their previous four home games against the Bears. Take BAYLOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-19 | Michigan State v. Purdue +1.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Purdue. The Michigan State Spartans bring a 9-0 record into Sunday's game at Purdue, where the Boilermakers own a 9-0 home record. Something has to give here, and I like the home dog to avenge a 77-59 loss at East Lansing earlier this season. The home team is 6-1 straight up over the last seven head to head meetings, and the Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Carsen Edwards really struggled in the loss at Michigan State, scoring 11 points on 3-of-16 shooting. He followed up that poor performance by score 36 points on 10-of-26 shooting in a win over Wisconsin. He's scored 20 ore more points in three of Purdue's last four games, and the Boilermakers have won four straight since the loss to the Spartans. I'll take the points with the home team here. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-19 | VCU v. Duquesne +3.5 | Top | 80-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The VCU Rams have won six straight meetings versus the Dukes dating back to 2013, but they come into today's game trailing Duquesne in the A-10 standings. The Dukes are 5-1 on conference play, and their last win came at home against first place Saint Louis. The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I like Duquesne to get off to a good start as a home dog here today. The Dukes have averaged 78.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting in their last five games, more than 11 points more than the Rams have averaged during that span. Of course the Rams are better defensively, but they were able to overcome stifling defense in their last game against the Bilikens. I'll take the points here. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-24-19 | William & Mary v. NC-Wilmington | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC Wilmington. There was a time when these were two of the top teams in the CAA, but William and Mary and UNC Wilmington are both struggling so far this season. The Tribe are coming off three straight home losses, including a 76-71 loss to bottom feeders Elon in their last game. The Seahawks are coming off back to back road losses, but they won their last home game by a score of 97-83 over Drexel. The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. There is no doubt that UNC Wilmington has the better shooters, and given home court advantage I think they should be the favorite to get a "W" tonight. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-19 | Ohio v. Toledo -8.5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toledo Rockets. The Ohio Bobcats have struggled since the start of conference play, losing three of four games. They are on the road at Toledo tonight, and they have been nothing short of brutal on the road. The Bobcats are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. They have really been hurt by poor free throw shooting, hitting just 52.3 percent from the line in their last five overall. The Rockets are hitting 71.9 percent over their last five games, and they are hitting over 80 percent from the line at home this season. The Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 versus Toledo. I like the Rockets to win by double digits. Take TOL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +1.5 | 72-43 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCG. Remember when Wofford upset the Tar Heels last season? Bettors certainly remember, and they love backing a memorable underdog. I think Wofford is a little overrated here, coming into this game at UNCG as a road favorite. The Spartans are 14-2 overall and 7-0 at home. They have held opponents to under 60 points on less than 40 percent shooting in their home games so far. The home team has covered in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Terriers might be fan favorites, but they have lost five straight meetings versus UNCG. I'll take the home dog. Take UNCG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. I bet against Oklahoma in their loss to Kansas, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "Oklahoma is 11-0 versus unranked teams, but in their one game versus a Top 25 team, they were crushed by a score of 78-58 in a loss to Wisconsin. Kansas isn't just a Top 25 team, the Jayhawks are ranked in the Top 5. They are still unbeaten at home, and they beat Oklahoma by 30 points at home last year. The Sooners have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 versus the BIG12, and they are likely coming into this game a little overrated after covering in nine of their last 10 versus non-conference opposition. While the Sooners have been impresssive, they haven't proven a lot based on a lack of quality wins." They ended up getting a back door cover in that game, after trailing by 15 at halftime. I don't like their chances against a Texas Tech team that has allowed just 48.1 points per game while winning all nine of their home games. I like Texas Tech to shut down Oklahoma's offense. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Texas -3 v. Oklahoma State | 58-61 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas has won back to back games to start conference play, including a 20 point win on the road at Kansas State. They face an Oklahoma State team tonight that really struggles to do anything on offense, and I like Texas to remain undefeated in the BIG12. The Cowboys have lost both their games against BIG12 teams, and that includes a home loss to Iowa State. If there is one thing the Cowboys do well, it's strong play on defense. They have held opponents to 63.7 points per game in Stillwater. That might not be good enough against a Texas team that has allowed just 57 points per game in their last five overall. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Maryland -3.5 v. Rutgers | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Maryland Terrapins. Rutgers has come crashing back to reality after an encouraging start. The Scarlet Knights won five of their first six games, and then they faced tough opponents from the BIG10. What followed was consecutive losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin. They host Maryland today, a team that they have lost six straight to, only covering the spread twice in those games. The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, while the Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. I'll take the road favorite here to win outright. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio -3 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio Bobcats. Ohio is 7-0 at home so far, and the Bobcats have won four straight head to head meetings versus Northern Illinois. They have won all three home games during that span by a double-digit margin. The Huskies have lost four of their five road games so far, and they have allowed opponents to average over 81 points in those games. The Bobcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus MAC teams. This Northern Illinois team finished dead last in the MAC last year, and they were 1-13 on the road. They should be a far bigger underdog here in Ohio. Take OHIO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-19 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco -2.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Dons are off to a great start, coming into tonight's home game with a 12-2 overall record. They are 8-0 at home, and they won their last home game versus St. Mary's by a score of 70-63. The Gaels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games versus teams with a winning home record. They have covered only once in their last seven games against teams from the WCC. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true here tonight. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | St. John's v. Seton Hall -3.5 | 74-76 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates. The 12-0 St. John's Red Storm haven't yet faced any tough opponents, but playing on the road at the Prudential Center will allow us to find out just how good this team really is. The Pirates are 9-3 overall and just 4-2 at home, but they have had a far tougher schedule than St. John's. High profile wins have come against the likes of Kentucky and Miami, while high profile losses came against the likes of Louisville and Nebraska. Home court has been key in this series, and the home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Pirates have won four of the last five head to head meetings, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +1.5 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Louisville. Kentucky is coming off an 80-72 win over North Carolina at the United Center, but I think this sets them up for a let down in their first true road game at Louisville. The Cardinals are 8-0 at home, and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Louisville has been impressive on defense holding opponents to just 61.2 points on 37.8 percent shooting in their last five games. The Cardinal beat Michigan State 82-78 at home earlier this season, and they won that game at the free throw line. They hit 30-of-41 attempts and hit six of eight attempts in the final 30 seconds of overtime. Home court has been key in this series, and I'll take Louisville as a home dog here today. Take LOU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNC Tar Heels.
Two of the top teams in the country will face off in Chicago on Saturday, and I like the ACC team here against the big dog from the SEC. Kentucky got crushed by Duke in their season opener, and has since lost to unranked Seton Hall. The Tar Heels last loss came on the road at #7 ranked Michigan, but two of their last three wins have come against ranked teams (UCLA and Gonzaga). Kentucky is 3-9-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. North Carolina has had little trouble with SEC teams, going 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 versus the SEC. The Tar Heels scored 103 points in a double digit win over #4 ranked Gonzaga last Saturday, and they beat #17 ranked UCLA by 16 points at the end of November. Senior guard Cameron Johnson has scored 45 points on 15-of-26 shooting in his last two starts, and I expect him to have a big game here against the Wildcats. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-18 | Texas Tech +10 v. Duke | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The #2 ranked Blue Devils have only lost once this season (89-87 vs Gonzaga), and they played a close game in a 78-72 win over Auburn. They opened as a 7.5 point favorite for tonight's neutral site game versus Texas Tech and MSG, but they have since been bet up to a double digit favorite. The Red Raiders come undefeated at 10-0, and while they haven't played any ranked teams, they do have an experienced squad with two seniors in the starting five. Texas Tech made it to the Elite Eight in last year's NCAA Tournament, beating the likes of Purdue and Florida before losing to Villanova. The Red Raiders rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average as well as opponent's field goal percentage. They could make life tough for Duke's talented freshman. I'll take the points. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Gonzaga v. North Carolina -2 | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The public loves Gonzaga in this spot, they have a better record than the Tar Heels and the are ranked in the Top 5. If you look at their last two games (a loss to Tennessee and a 2-point win over the unranked Washington Huskies) they haven't looked like a team that should be expected to win at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are undefeated at home, and they have won 16 of their last 19 home games dating back to last year. That's pretty impressive when you consider they play the likes of Duke and Virginia. The Bulldogs haven't had a lot of success against ACC teams, failing to cover in six of their last seven. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Penn State v. NC State -3.5 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NC State Wolfpack. The Wolfpack come into Atlantic City with an 8-1 record, and their only loss came in a close game on the road at #22 ranked Wisconsin. Penn State has lost four of it's last seven overall, and they appear to be overmatched here against a competitive ACC team. These two teams have played three times since 2000, and the Wolfpack won and covered in all three meetings. Both these teams have been solid defensively, but while the Nittany Lions average just 69.6 points per game, the Wolfpack come in averaging over 88 points per game. They shoot the ball better from the field, from beyond the arc as well as the free throw line. They Wolfpack also appear to have the edge in rebounds per game. This looks like a mismatch. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Purdue -4.5 v. Notre Dame | 80-88 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
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12-12-18 | Jacksonville State v. Wichita State -8 | 65-69 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. The Shockers have failed to impress so far this season, and they are coming off a devestating loss at Oklahoma. After losing 80-48 to the Sooners in Oklahoma City, they should be looking forward to a home game against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The Gamecocks lost their first three games of the season on the road, and two of those three losses came in games decided by 15 or more points. The Shockers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, while the Gamecocks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-18 | Denver v. Wyoming -7.5 | 90-87 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wyoming Cowboys. The Cowboys are coming off an inspiring home win over the South Carolina Gamecocks, and they will be a sizeable favorite at home versus Denver tonight. The history between these two teams is pretty clear, as the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings. All but one of those games was decided by a double a digit margin. Only once in the last eight head to head meetings did the home team fail to cover. Denver is 0-4 on the road, and hasn't covered the spread in any of it's last eight overall. Denver has also failed to cover in four straight trips to Laramie. Take WYO. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-07-18 | Nevada -7.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada is off to a hot start, coming into Friday's game versus Arizona State ranked sixth in the AP Poll. It's not just that the Wolfpack are 8-0, it's that all eight wins came by double-digits. Their closest game so far was a 96-86 win over Tulsa, in a game that they led by 11 at the half. The Sun Devils are also undefeated, and ranked in the Top 25. Their 7-0 start hasn't been quite as impressive, winning close games over teams like Utah State and Cal State Fullerton. They have only faced one ranked team, beating Mississippi State by a score of 72-67 in Las Vegas. Their last game was far from impressive, turning the ball over 19 times and shooting just 13-of-25 (52%) from the free throw line in a home win over Texas Southern. If they play like that here at the Staples Center, another double-digit win for Nevada will likely be the result. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-18 | Michigan -4.5 v. Northwestern | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-15-18 | Oregon -4 v. Iowa | 69-77 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are coming into New York averaging over 80 points per game, but perhaps more impressive than their offense has been the fact that they have held opponents to just 52 points per game. They will face an experienced Iowa team at MSG tonight, and Iowa brings back it's top three scorers from last year. The Hawkeyes were one of the worst teams in the BIG10 last season though, only Rutgers had fewer wins. Iowa comes in with a pair of wins in close games against inferior opponents. They gave up 82 points in a win over Green Bay in their last game. The Hawkeyes have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 versus teams with a winning record. I like Oregon to win big here in New York. Take ORE. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-12-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Duquesne -5.5 | 88-89 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Duquesne Dukes.
The Dukes were 16-16 overall last season, and finished near the bottom of the Atlantic 10. They are off to a good start here in 2018, crushing William and Mary in their season opener by a score of 84-70. They will look to keep the ball rolling here in the Gotham Classic, hosting Illinois-Chicago. The Dukes shot 52.5 percent from the field and 46.2 percent from beyond the arc against the Tribe, while the Flames have shot just 43 percent from the field in back to back losses so far. The Dukes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they were 13-6 at home last season. They have done well in recent games against teams from the Horizon league, covering the spread in six of their last seven such contests. I'll take the home favorite here. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan Wolverines.
By now you have probably already heard that Michigan is the only team to make the Final without playing at least a #5 seed. Don't kid yourself, this Wolverines team didn't get here because of a soft schedule. Their 14 game winning streak includes wins over #2 ranked Michigan State (they beat the Spartans twice this year) and #8 ranked Purdue. They lost two of three versus the Boilermakers, but the two losses came by a combined margin of five points. Villanova comes in as the highest scoring team in the country, and they deserve to be the favorite. The line looks a little inflated though, asking them to cover a whopping seven points in a game of this magnitude. The Wildcats offense struggled against Texas Tech, but they were fortunate that the Red Raiders couldn't make a shot to save their lives in that game. Michigan has far better shooters, and the Wolverines rank 8th nationally allowing just 62.9 points per game. The last five National Championship Games were all decided by less than seven points, and I expect another close game here in 2018. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5 | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 86 h 7 m | Show | |
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03-23-18 | Texas Tech +2 v. Purdue | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia v. Villanova -5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Villanova. Jesse Schule |
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03-22-18 | Kansas State v. Kentucky -5.5 | 61-58 | Loss | -102 | 38 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Kentucky Wildcats.
It took Kentucky the majority of the season to finally reach it's potential, but here in the Sweet 16 the Wildcats are one of the nation's hottest teams. They have become the elite contender they were projected to be. The Kansas State Wildcats are a tough, competitive team, and we shouldn't be surprised that they advanced this far. Kansas State is not among the truly elite teams in the country however, and that is evidenced by their record against the top teams in the BIG12. They lost three times to Kansas by a combined 31 points, and their two losses to West Virginia came by an even greater margin. Kansas State has covered just twice in it's last eight neutral site games, and the Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. Kentucky is 3-0-2 ATS in it's last five NCAA Tournament games, and the Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 83 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers. |
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03-20-18 | Mississippi State v. Louisville -5 | Top | 79-56 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals. Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Florida State v. Xavier -5.5 | 75-70 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
If you ask people what strategy they employ when betting on the NCAA Tournament, you will probably hear the majoroty of them talking about taking the underdogs. Shocking upsets are the most common theme at this time of year, and we saw some of that Thursday. Buffalo eliminated Arizona, and Virginia Tech and Miami both were ousted as first round favorites. Chances are, the talk in the office around the water cooler will focus mostly on these games. The reality is that seven teams were favored by double digits Thursday, and all seven of them won. Five of those seven favorites covered. In Friday's games, #1 overall Virginia went down, and so did #4 seed Wichita State. Once again though, the story you won't read about is that six of the eight teams favored by double digits won, and four of those covered. So double digit favorites went 13-2 straight up, and 9-6 ATS in the first round of the tournament. In my pre tournament research, I had learned that 1-4 seeds have covered roughly 60 percent of the time in the early rounds in recent seasons. So I can't say that I am surprised by the fact that double digit favorites are hitting at a 60 percent clip so far. Such anomalies are rare in sports betting, as the bookmakers are quick to make adjustments in order to correct such trends. It seems clear that the shock factor of upsets such as UMBC over Virginia have a serious psychological effect on sports bettors. The betting public is convinced that backing underdogs in the NCAA Tournament is a winning strategy. This consensus opinion among fans likely prevents the bookmakers from making what are normally routine adjustments. Now I bet on a few dogs myself in the first round, including UNC Greensboro and Charleston, who both came very close to winning outright. That being said, I think the real value at this time of the year is on undervalued favorites, and that's exactly what I think we have here with FSU vs Xavier. Take XAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Clemson +1.5 v. Auburn | Top | 84-53 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
This is Game of the Year play on the Clemson Tigers.
I bet on the Charleston Cougars in their first round matchup versus Auburn, and here is what I had to say about the Tigers prior to that game: "Auburn was eliminated from the SEC Tournament when they lost by a whopping 18 points to Alabama. They have really struggled since losing senior forward Anfernee McLemore, who went down in an 84-75 loss to South Carolina. Including that game, they've lost four of their last six. Charleston comes in as winner of nine of their last 10 overall, with the only loss during that span coming in overtime. Auburn has failed to cover in four straight, and I don't think they should be asked to cover double digits here against a Charleston team that won 26 games this season." Clemson finished with an 11-7 record in the ACC.. you know who else had an 11-7 record? How about defending national champions North Carolina. They were eliminated from the ACC Tournament by #1 overall Virginia, losing that game by just six points. They had won three of their previous four overall, and Clemson is 6-0 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they have covered in five straight versus the SEC. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall v. Kansas -4.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Seton Hall vs Kansas Free Pick March 17, 2018 |
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03-17-18 | Buffalo v. Kentucky -5.5 | 75-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kentucky. If you ask people what strategy they employ when betting on the NCAA Tournament, you will probably hear the majority of them talking about taking the underdogs. Shocking upsets are the most common theme at this time of year, and we saw some of that Thursday. Buffalo eliminated Arizona, and Virginia Tech and Miami both were ousted as first round favorites. Chances are, the talk in the office around the water cooler will focus mostly on these games. The reality is that seven teams were favored by double digits Thursday, and all seven of them won. Five of those seven favorites covered. In Friday's games, #1 overall Virginia went down, and so did #4 seed Wichita State. Once again though, the story you won't read about is that six of the eight teams favored by double digits won, and four of those covered. So double digit favorites went 13-2 straight up, and 9-6 ATS in the first round of the tournament. In my pre tournament research, I had learned that 1-4 seeds have covered roughly 60 percent of the time in the early rounds in recent seasons. So I can't say that I am surprised by the fact that double digit favorites are hitting at a 60 percent clip so far. Such anomalies are rare in sports betting, as the bookmakers are quick to make adjustments in order to correct such trends. It seems clear that the shock factor of upsets such as UMBC over Virginia have a serious psychological effect on sports bettors. The betting public is convinced that backing underdogs in the NCAA Tournament is a winning strategy. This consensus opinion among fans likely prevents the bookmakers from making what are normally routine adjustments. Now I bet on a few dogs myself in the first round, including UNC Greensboro and Charleston, who both came very close to winning outright. That being said, I think the real value at this time of the year is on undervalued favorites, and that's exactly what I think we have here with Buffalo vs Kentucky. |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island v. Duke -9 | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Duke. If you ask people what strategy they employ when betting on the NCAA Tournament, you will probably hear the majority of them talking about taking the underdogs. Shocking upsets are the most common theme at this time of year, and we saw some of that Thursday. Buffalo eliminated Arizona, and Virginia Tech and Miami both were ousted as first round favorites. Chances are, the talk in the office around the water cooler will focus mostly on these games. The reality is that seven teams were favored by double digits Thursday, and all seven of them won. Five of those seven favorites covered. In Friday's games, #1 overall Virginia went down, and so did #4 seed Wichita State. Once again though, the story you won't read about is that six of the eight teams favored by double digits won, and four of those covered. So double digit favorites went 13-2 straight up, and 9-6 ATS in the first round of the tournament. In my pre tournament research, I had learned that 1-4 seeds have covered roughly 60 percent of the time in the early rounds in recent seasons. So I can't say that I am surprised by the fact that double digit favorites are hitting at a 60 percent clip so far. Such anomalies are rare in sports betting, as the bookmakers are quick to make adjustments in order to correct such trends. It seems clear that the shock factor of upsets such as UMBC over Virginia have a serious psychological effect on sports bettors. The betting public is convinced that backing underdogs in the NCAA Tournament is a winning strategy. This consensus opinion among fans likely prevents the bookmakers from making what are normally routine adjustments. Now I bet on a few dogs myself in the first round, including UNC Greensboro and Charleston, who both came very close to winning outright. That being said, I think the real value at this time of the year is on undervalued favorites, and that's exactly what I think we have here with Rhode Island versus Duke. |
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03-16-18 | Florida State +1 v. Missouri | Top | 67-54 | Win | 100 | 115 h 23 m | Show |
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03-16-18 | Texas Southern v. Xavier -18.5 | 83-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on XAV. |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +11 v. Auburn | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 112 h 15 m | Show |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada | 83-87 | Loss | -101 | 109 h 12 m | Show | |
The Texas Longhorns will be an underdog here against Nevada in the first round of the tournament, and the Wolfpack come in looking a bit sluggish. They lost twice to San Diego State at the end of the year, including a loss in the Mountain West Tournament. The Longhorns are one of the better defensive teams in the BIG12, and they are 10-3 straight up in non conference games this season. Their defensive expertise should serve them well here in a matchup versus a Nevada team that racked up 27 wins by beating up on inferior teams in the Mountain West Conference. Texas allowed just 66 points in a total of six neutral site games this season, roughly 10 points less than the Wolfpack allowed at neutral sites. Mohamed Bamba missed three games due to injury, but returned to score 10 points on 4-of-5 shooting in just 14 minutes in a loss to Texas Tech in the BIG12 Tournament. The Wolfpack have failed to cover in four of their last five non-conference games, and they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. The under is is 24-11 in the Longhorns last 35 neutral site games. The Wolfpack have failed to cover in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games, and I like Texas to win a low scoring game here in Nashville. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-18 | Lipscomb v. North Carolina -20.5 | 66-84 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
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03-16-18 | Marshall v. Wichita State -11.5 | 81-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
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03-15-18 | Montana v. Michigan -11 | 47-61 | Win | 100 | 79 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines.
There might not be a hotter team coming into the tournament than Michigan. The Wolverines closed the season by winning nine straight games, and beating both #2 Michigan State, and #8 Purdue in the BIG10 Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to their big upset win over the Spartans: " I bet against Michigan State in yesterday's conference tournament game, and the Spartans narrowly avoided an upset in a 63-60 win over Wisconsin. The Spartans are ranked #2 overall, and they have already wrapped up a BIG10 Championship. There isn't a lot to prove here for Michigan State in the conference tourney. The Wolverines already upset Michigan State once this year, winning 82-72 at East Lansing. Michigan has won nine of it's last 10 overall, and is 5-1 in neutral site games this year. The Spartans have only covered the spread twice in their last 11 games overall, while Michigan is 19-7-1 ATS in it's last 27 versus the Big Ten. I'll take the points here in a game where I think the underdog has more to prove." I don't think a team from the Big Sky can hang with the Wolverines. Teams from this conference have lost 12 straight in the NCAA Tournament. This should be a blowout, look for Michigan to win by 15-20. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-18 | Buffalo v. Arizona -8.5 | 89-68 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 41 m | Show | |
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03-15-18 | Davidson v. Kentucky -5.5 | 73-78 | Loss | -104 | 76 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. |
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03-15-18 | Iona v. Duke -19.5 | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
The Iona Gaels weren't even the best team in the Metro Atlantic this year. They finished fourth behind Niagara, Canisius and Rider. The lost three of their final four regular season games, giving up 110 points to Rider, 85 points to Niagara and 82 points at Siena. The Gaels didn't play a single ranked opponent during their non conference schedule, and they finished the season ranked as one of the worst defensive teams in the country. Duke was eliminated by defending champions North Carolina in the ACC Tournament, but the Blue Devils held their last five opponents to an average of 63.2 points. Duke averaged 84.7 points per game this season, and matched up against a minnow like Iona, it's reasonable to suggest they have a good chance to score 100 here tonight. I don't like Iona's chances of scoring 70 on Duke. This game should be a blowout from start to finish. Take Duke. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-18 | Pennsylvania v. Kansas -13.5 | 60-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. |
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03-15-18 | NC-Greensboro +12.5 v. Gonzaga | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC Greensboro. Jesse Schule |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma +2 v. Rhode Island | 78-83 | Loss | -104 | 69 h 54 m | Show | |
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03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
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03-10-18 | West Virginia v. Kansas +1.5 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-09-18 | Butler v. Villanova -8 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats 1st Half.
For the first time in a long time the Wildcats won't be going into the NCAA Tournament as BIG EAST champions. That should provide a little added motivation for them to have a good showing here in the conference tournament. They sure looked motivated in their first tournament game against Maquette, blowing out the Eagles by 20+ points. They led by seven at halftime in that game, and they led by double digits at the half in their previous two games. They face Butler tonight, and the Bulldogs are lucky to be here. Butler trailed Seton Hall by a point in the dying seconds last night, and Kamar Baldwin missed a layup. Tyler Wideman was there for the put back, and Seton Hall's defenders were caught sleeping. It was a wild finish, but I think it sets up Butler for a let down here against the juggernaut of the BIG EAST. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five games at a neutral site, while Butler has failed to cover in six of it's last eight overall. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-18 | Clemson v. Virginia -7 | 58-64 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Cavs. |
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03-09-18 | Richmond +7.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
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03-07-18 | Iowa State v. Texas -5.5 | 64-68 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.
The Texas Longhorns finished the season strong with a home win over #20 ranked West Virginia. Iowa State comes into the BIG12 Tournament off six straight losses, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five. The Longhorns have won both meetings between the two teams in 2018, covering the spread in both games. The Cyclones are brutal on defense, and they have allowed opponents to average 82.6 points per game in their last five overall. Texas has held the opposition under 70 points per game during that span. Iowa State has only averaged 64 points per game in the last three head to head meetings in this series. I'll take Texas to win and cover. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-18 | Penn State +8 v. Purdue | 70-78 | Push | 0 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions.
Purdue didn't look all that interested in their opening game of the BIG10 Tournament. They trailed Rutgers 38-35 at halftime, and rallied to win by a score of 82-75. They face a tougher test tonight against "Giant Killers" Penn State. The last two games between these two teams were each decided by four points or less, yet the Boilermakers are asked to win by twice that margin here at a neutral site Saturday. Penn State has covered the spread in six of it's last eight neutral site games, and nine of it's last 12 overall. Purdue is just 1-9-1 ATS in it's last 11 games overall. I'll take the points here in a game that should mean a lot more to the underdog. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-18 | Michigan +5 v. Michigan State | 75-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines.
I bet against Michigan State in yesterday's conference tournament game, and the Spartans narrowly avoided an upset in a 63-60 win over Wisconsin. The Spartans are ranked #2 overall, and they have already wrapped up a BIG10 Championship. There isn't a lot to prove here for Michigan State in the conference tourney. The Wolverines already upset Michigan State once this year, winning 82-72 at East Lansing. Michigan has won nine of it's last 10 overall, and is 5-1 in neutral site games this year. The Spartans have only covered the spread twice in their last 11 games overall, while Michigan is 19-7-1 ATS in it's last 27 versus the Big Ten. I'll take the points here in a game where I think the underdog has more to prove. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-18 | Alabama v. Texas A&M -5.5 | 66-68 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. |
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03-03-18 | Xavier -7.5 v. DePaul | 65-62 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
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02-28-18 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -3.5 | Top | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders.
Richmond has lost five straight, but had won four of it's previous five. They have played some of the top teams in the A-10 during their current losing streak, but they face one of the conference bottom feeders here in their final home game. The Massachusetts Minutemen are 1-10 on the road, and they have averaged just 69.3 points per game on the road. Making matters worse for the Minutemen, they are going to be severely shorthanded for tonight's game. Leading scorer Luwane Pipkins is questionable with a concussion, and key players Rashaan Holloway and Chris Baldwin are done for the season. The Spiders have won four straight meetings between the two teams dating back to 2013, and they won their last home game against UMASS by a score of 69-53. Richmond lost by a score of 72-70 to St. Joe's on Saturday, but if they play as well tonight as they did in that game, they should win by double digits. Take RICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-18 | Missouri v. Vanderbilt +1 | 74-66 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. |
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02-25-18 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin +8 | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-24-18 | San Diego v. San Francisco -3.5 | 64-61 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. |
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02-24-18 | San Diego State v. San Jose State +13 | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose State Spartans. |
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02-24-18 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -1 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders. |
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02-24-18 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +19.5 | 66-37 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers 1st Half.
I bet on Pittsburgh in a recent home game against Syracuse, and the Panthers covered easily. In fact, they came very close to winning that game outright. Here is what I said prior to the game: "Pittsburgh is still winless in the ACC, but they came very close to earning their first win on Wednesday. They led 43-33 at halftime, but scored just two points in the final five minutes in a 72-68 loss to NC State. They easily covered the spread as an underdog in that game, and they are getting an even bigger cushion in today's home game against Syracuse. The Orange have lost three of their four road games, and they have only averaged 68 points per game in their last five overall. Syracuse doesn't have the scoring prowess you would want from a double digit road favorite, especially considering they have only covered the spread in seven of the last 29 meetings between the two teams. They have also failed to cover in 11 of their last 16 road games. The underdog has covered in four of the last five in this series, and we get a generous number here." Back home today against a Virginia team that has failed to cover in three straight as a double digit favorite. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-18 | Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt +1.5 | 89-81 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores.
I bet on Vanderbilt in a recent home win over Mississippi State, and here is what I said before that game: "Vanderbilt is the last place team in the SEC, but they look good at home in a pickem game against Mississippi State tonight. Their last three home games are wins over TCU, LSU and Georgia. The Bulldogs are just 1-6 on the road, and they are coming off an 89-85 loss at Missouri. The home team has won five straight in this series, and Mississippi State has failed to cover in six of it's last eight on the road. Mississippi State is scoring just 65 points per game on the road, while the Commodores have averaged over 78 points per game at home. Getting the home team here at this price seems like a steal."Take VANDY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-18 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -7.5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toledo Rockets. Toledo sits at the top of the MAC West with an 11-4 record, and the Rockets play a home game tonight against the Central Michigan Chippewas. The visitors are coming off a tough overtime loss at Western Michigan, and they appear to be due to suffer a let down here. It's worth noting that Central Michigan trailed by six at halftime in their loss at Western Michigan. The Chippewas are just 4-7 on the road, and they have lost their last two games against Toledo by double digits. The Rockets are coming off back to back road losses, and a bounce back here at home is going to be key if they want to win the MAC. This is a high stakes game for the home team, and the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two teams. Take TOL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-18 | Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh +10 | 63-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers. Pittsburgh is by far the weakest team in the ACC, with an 0-15 conference record. They host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons tonight, and Wake is just 3-12 within the conference. This is likely the last chance for Pittsburgh to pick up a win in conference play, and the home team has won all five meetings in this series dating back to 2014. Wake is just 2-7 on the road, and those two road victories came against minnows Coastal Carolina and Charlotte. As bad as Pittsburgh is, it looks like an awful big number for Wake to lay on the road. Pittsburgh has covered in five of it's last eight when getting double digits. I'll take the points. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-18 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -8.5 | 74-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
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02-19-18 | Miami-FL v. Notre Dame -4.5 | 77-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish 1st Half. |
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02-18-18 | Houston v. Temple +3.5 | 80-59 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Temple. The Houston Cougars are coming off a huge home win over conference leaders Cincinnati, which sets them up for a massive let down here on the road at Temple. I wouldn't be surprised to see Houston start slow in this game, and Temple has been playing it's best basketball of late. The Owls have won five of their last six, scoring over 80 points in all but one of those games. The one loss came on the road at Wichita State, and they easily covered as a double digit dog losing 93-86. Temple has scored an average of 82.6 points per game over it's last five, while Houston is averaging under 70 points per game during that span. Houston isn't a great road team, the Cougars are 4-4 overall on the road, and have failed to cover in three of their last four road games. Temple scored a whopping 56 first half points in a loss at Wichita State in their last game. I like the Owls getting points here at home. Take TEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-18 | Ohio State +1 v. Penn State | 56-79 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio State. Jesse Schule |
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02-14-18 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +13 | 77-57 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-13-18 | Virginia v. Miami-FL +6.5 | 59-50 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Hurricanes. |
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02-11-18 | Duke v. Georgia Tech +10.5 | 80-69 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GT. Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Duke Blue Devils tonight, and Duke comes in off back to back losses on the road versus St. Johns and North Carolina. Duke is asked to cover double digits, and I will take the home team plus the points. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-18 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +12 | 94-60 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers.
I bet on Pittsburgh in it's last home game against Syracuse, and the Panthers covered easily. In fact, they came very close to winning that game outright. Here is what I said prior to the game: "Pittsburgh is still winless in the ACC, but they came very close to earning their first win on Wednesday. They led 43-33 at halftime, but scored just two points in the final five minutes in a 72-68 loss to NC State. They easily covered the spread as an underdog in that game, and they are getting an even bigger cushion in today's home game against Syracuse. The Orange have lost three of their four road games, and they have only averaged 68 points per game in their last five overall. Syracuse doesn't have the scoring prowess you would want from a double digit road favorite, especially considering they have only covered the spread in seven of the last 29 meetings between the two teams. They have also failed to cover in 11 of their last 16 road games. The underdog has covered in four of the last five in this series, and we get a generous number here." Back home today against Louisville, and getting a boat load of points. I like the home dog once again. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-18 | Northeastern v. Towson -3.5 | 77-62 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Towson Tigers. |
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02-08-18 | Towson v. Drexel +3.5 | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Drexel Dragons. |
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02-07-18 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -6.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates.
The Pirates rarely lose at home, in fact they are 12-1 on their home floor this season. The one loss came to #11 ranked Xavier by a score of 73-64. Marquette comes into tonight's game unranked, and coming off four straight losses. The Eagles won their first road game in the Big East by a score of 95-90 at Providence, but have since lost three straight by double digits at Villanova, Xavier and Butler. Seton Hall is coming off a blowout loss on the road at Villanova, but the Pirates are a good bet to bounce back. They have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 when coming off a loss. Marquette tends to struggle against the better teams in the Big East, and the Eagles have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. The Pirates lost at Marquette earlier this season by a score of 84-64. They have a chance to execute a little revenge here tonight, so I expect another blowout win for the home team. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-18 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +8.5 | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose State Spartans. |
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02-03-18 | Michigan State v. Indiana +8.5 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
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02-03-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois -2 | 81-65 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.
I bet on Northern Illinois a few weeks ago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Huskies will host the Chicago Illinois Fire tonight, and the Fire are still winless (0-4) on the road. They have been terrible on defense in those losses, surrendering 87.5 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting. The Huskies are 4-1 at home, and they have been solid defensively in those games. They have allowed just 65 points per game, holding opponents below 40 percent shooting. The Huskies beat the Fire by double digits at home last year, and won 70-65 at Chicago the previous season. UIC is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. They've also covered just once in their last five versus a team from the MAC. Eugene German scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting in last year's game, and he comes in as the team's leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game. The Huskies lost at Marquette in their last game, but covered the spread as a double digit dog. They have been better than the bookmakers have expected, covering the spread in all but one of their last six games. I like NIU to win comfortably at home here." The Huskies are coming off back to back road losses, but return home to host Miami-Oh. With an 8-1 home record, they look good as a short favorite against a team that they beat 62-58 at home last year. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-18 | Fairfield v. Monmouth -3 | 79-78 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Monmouth Hawks.
I bet on Monmouth in their last game, but they came up just short as a five point underdog at Rider. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Rider Broncs sit in first place in the MAAC, but they haven't really played like a first place team lately. While they have won four straight, all four of those games came against last place teams (St. Peters, Fairfield and Marist are all tied with a 2-7 conference record). All four of those wins came by four points or fewer, and only two of their eight conference wins come against teams with a winning record, and none of those were teams in the top four. Monmouth has had a far more challenging schedule, and four of their five losses in conference play have come against teams with a winning record. Three of those losses came in games decided by three points or less. The Hawks have also been without their leading scorer in four of their last nine games" Fairfield has really struggled on the road, with a record of 1-8. The Stags have failed to cover in five straight road games, and they have lost seven straight in this series versus Monmouth. Take MONM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-18 | Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | Top | 51-55 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Syracuse Orange tonight, and once again they are underdog. The unranked Orange have lost three of four road games in conference play. They are 2-3 overall on the road, with both wins coming against bottom feeders. They won 60-55 at Pittsburgh, and they rallied late to force overtime at Georgetown, winning by a score of 86-79. The Orange lost by a score of 71-65 at Georgia Tech last year, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. |
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01-28-18 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Clemson Tigers tonight, and Clemson is reeling after suffering a historic defeat at Virginia (61-36). Not only did they lose that game, they lost senior forward Donte Grantham, second on the team in scoring and their leading rebounder. Clemson is 1-3 on the road in conference play, with their only win coming by just four points against perennial bottom feeders Boston College. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-18 | Oakland v. Wright State +1 | 51-64 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wright State Raiders.
I bet on Oakland as a big underdog on the road at Northern Kentucky on Friday, and they won outright by a score of 83-70. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Oakland Grizzlies finished in first place in the Horizon League last year, and they won more than their fair share of road games in the process. They were 10-2 on the road last year, and they have won three of four road games in the Horizon League so far this season. The Grizzlies are on the road at North Kentucky tonight, looking to avenge a home loss to the Norse earlier this season. Oakland led 47-41 at halftime in that game, but the Norse pulled away in the second half, winning by a score of 87-83. The Grizzlies had won and covered in each of the previous three meetings, including a 79-70 win at Northern Kentucky last January. Oakland comes in averaging over 85 points per game over their last five, which is 10 points more than the Norse have averaged during the same span. Northern Kentucky may be 7-1 in the Horizon League, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and that was their win at Oakland." Now just days later, they are a favorite (or pickem) on the road at Wright State, the Horizon Conference leader. Wright State already won at Oakland earlier this year by a score of 86-81 in OT (142 points in regulation). Wright State is 10-1 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average 57.3 points in those games. The under is 10-1 in the Raiders last 11 home games. Take WRST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Arkansas | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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01-27-18 | Wyoming v. San Jose State +10.5 | 90-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
The Spartans have lost eight straight, but they have been competitive at home. Three of their last four home losses came by a single digit margin, and they are getting double digits at home to Wyoming tonight. The Cowboys have won seven of the last eight in this series, but they only covered the spread in two of those games. Wyoming has been a bad bet as a favorite, going 6-25-2 ATS in their last 33 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. They are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a losing home record. Wyoming is coming off a double overtime win over conference powerhouse Nevada, winning by a score of 104-103. This sets them up for a potential let down on the road against an inferior opponent. Take SJS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Texas A&M v. Kansas -6.5 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. |
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01-27-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +10 | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
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