Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-27-18 | Virginia +5 v. Duke | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Cavs.
The Cavs are undefeated (8-0) in the ACC, which isn't really that big of a deal. At this point in the season, there is usually one or two teams that are undefeated. The manner in which they have been winning, is what is of particular significance. They have allowed just 50.5 points per game in conference play, and they are coming off a record breaking 61-36 win over #18 ranked Clemson. Many people will say that Virginia is due to suffer a let down, and I don't disagree that this is a possibility. To me, losing by 3-4 points at Duke would be a let down, and that still has them covering the spread. History suggests that getting the Cavs plus the points is a great bet. The Cavs are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 visits to Cameron Indoor Stadium. They have lost five straight, but covered in all five of those games. Their last game at Duke was a 63-62 loss in 2016. The road team is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. I'll take those points thank you very much. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-18 | SMU -5.5 v. Connecticut | 52-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SMU Mustangs. |
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01-20-18 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington +8 | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC Wilmington. Jesse Schule |
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01-20-18 | George Mason v. Duquesne -5 | Top | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. Needless to say, I was a little surprised that the Dukes didn't play better on the road at Saint Louis in their last game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Dukes are 4-1 in the Atlantic 10 so far. The Dukes rank 25th nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 64.2 points per game. The Dukes have won five of the last seven meetings between the two schools, and the most recent meeting was a 72-71 win for the Bilikens in last year's conference tournament. Reggie Agbeko, Mike Crawford and Elliot Welmer combined to score 48 of the Bilikens 72 points in that game. Agbeko and Crawford have played out their eligibility, while Welmer is sidelined with a foot injury. Mike Lewis led the Dukes with 22 points, and he comes into tonight's game off back to back 20+ point performances. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the Atlantic 10, and I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here as they are getting points against the cellar dwellers of the conference." They are back at home tonight, hosting George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a double digit loss to George Washington, and they are 2-4 on the road. They have scored just 68.7 points per game on the road, and they may struggle to hit that number tonight against a Dukes team that allows opponents to average just 63.2 points per game at home. The Dukes won their last home game against George Mason by a score of 62-53, and a similar result is expected here tonight. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Duquesne. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-18 | Notre Dame +7 v. Clemson | 58-67 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. |
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01-18-18 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -7.5 | 74-71 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
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01-17-18 | Duquesne +4.5 v. St. Louis | 63-76 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Duquesne Dukes. |
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01-17-18 | SMU v. Wichita State -9.5 | 83-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers.
The Shockers were one of the biggest surprises of the 2013 NCAA Tournament, going all the way to the Final Four. In an article I wrote prior to the tournament, I had picked Wichita State as my dark horse. I also picked the Gonzaga Bulldogs as the team most vulnerable to an upset, and they were eliminated in the second round by Wichita State. The Shockers have come a long way since then, and they entered this season ranked in the Top 10. Here is what I had to say prior to their home win over win over Charleston earlier in the season: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits." They host SMU tonight, and the Mustangs are coming off three straight losses. SMU has lost four straight road games against Top 25 teams, and they lost 94-83 at Texas Tech in their only road game against a ranked team this season. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Minnesota v. Penn State -7.5 | 95-84 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions.
I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season." Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Ohio State and Purdue, the Gophers haven't shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster. They have failed to cover in four of the last five meetings between the two teams, and they are 0-3 straight up and 0-3 ATS in their last three at University Park. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Maryland v. Michigan -7 | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. I bet against Maryland in their last game, a blowout loss to Ohio State. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "While some might expect the Buckeyes to suffer a let down here again the Terps, I think they will only build on the positive momentum. Maryland is 3-2 in the BIG10, but all three of their wins came against conference bottom feeders. They beat Iowa and Penn State at home, and won by a single point at Illinois. The Buckeyes on the other hand have defeated Michigan and Michigan State at home by a combined 25 points, and they are undefeated (4-0) in the BIG10. Maryland is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the BIG10, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams." This game is strikingly similar, as Michigan is also coming off an upset win over the Spartans. Once again, a potential let down spot, but once again I am taking the home favorite to take care of business. Maryland has already lost it's leading rebounder Justin Jackson for the season with a shoulder injury, and second leading rebounder Bruno Fenando may be sidelined by an illness tonight. The Wolverines are 9-1 at home, and perhaps the most impressive stat you can pull away from those games is that they have held the opposition to an average of just 58.1 points. Michigan is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight home games, and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 versus the BIG10.Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-18 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +6.5 | 68-46 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Northeastern v. NC-Wilmington +5.5 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC Wilmington.
The Seahawks finished first in the CAA last year, with a 29-5 overall record, and a 13-1 home record. There is no doubt that after losing several key players from last year's team, they aren't as good as they were a year ago. That being said, they are coming off a road win over a good Elon team, and I don't think they should be an underdog at home. The Seahawks are 4-2 at home, and they have averaged 83.2 points per game on 48.2 percent shooting in those games. They scored 107 points in a win over Drexel in their last home game. They host the Northeastern Huskies, who are coming off a double digit road loss at Charleston. The Huskies are 3-4 on the road, averaging just 67.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting in those games. The Seahawks have won four straight and seven of the last nine in this series. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois +1.5 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
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01-13-18 | South Carolina v. Georgia -5 | 64-57 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. |
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01-13-18 | La Salle v. Duquesne +1 | 94-101 | Win | 102 | 1 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are 3-1 in conference play, with impressive wins over Fordam, George Washington and Dayton. They are a home dog in today's game against the La Salle Explorers, who have lost three of four games in conference play. The home team has won four of the last five in this series, and La Salle has failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 overall. The Dukes are 10-2 overall at home, holding opponents to an average of just 60 points per game. The Dukes are one of the top defensive teams in the country, and I like their chances of taking down La Salle at home today. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-18 | NC-Wilmington v. Elon -9 | 80-78 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against the Seahawks as winners of four of their last five. UNC Wilmington lost most of it's talent on last year's roster, and currently sits near the bottom of the standings in the CAA. The Seahawks are just 4-12 overall, and they rank 344th in the country allowing over 85 points per game. They are coming off back to back blowout losses on the road, losing to Towson and Delaware by a combined 38 points. The Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, while Elon is 9-4 ATS in it's last 13 home games. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-11-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary -8 | 82-89 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." The Tribe sit in first place in the CAA after winning four straight in conference play. Three of those wins came on the road, and they return home where they are averaging over 91 points per game on better than 55 percent shooting. The Dukes don't have the offensive prowess to keep up with that kind of scoring, especially if second leading scorer Joey Maclean remains out with an ankle injury. Take CWM. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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01-10-18 | Temple v. SMU -9 | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SMU Mustangs. The Temple Owls and the SMU Mustangs have been among the class of the American Conference in recent seasons, but both teams come into tonight's game struggling of late. The Owls have lost five straight, and they are 0-5 on the road. They have lost five of the last six meetings in this series, and SMU covered the spread in all five wins during that span. SMU swept last season's series, winning both games by double digits. The Mustangs are coming off a pair of tough road losses, but they return home where they are 11-0 straight up this season, and 21-6-1 in their last 28 overall at home. Opponents are averaging just 55.1 points per game on 36.8 percent shooting at SMU, while the Mustangs are scoring over 78 points on better than 50 percent shooting at home. A strange coincidence, the Owls scored just 39 points in their last road game, while SMU held USF to just 39 points in their last home win. Take SMU. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame as winners of eight of 11 home games this season. They beat Miami by double digits at home last week. The Yellow Jackets have won four of their last five home meetings with Notre Dame, and they are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the two schools. The Irish are without two of their top players. Bonzie Colson is out with a foot injury, and Matt Farrell has a sprained ankle. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-18 | Mississippi State +8.5 v. Florida | 54-71 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
The Gators are coming off a thrilling 77-75 win over Missouri, and it was guard Chris Chiozza with a steal and a buzzer beater for the win. A case of strep throat might keep Chiozza from playing tonight's home game against the Bulldogs. Historically these teams have played close games, and both of the last two games were close. The Gators won by five points at Mississippi State in the last meeting, but won by just three points in their last home game against the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is coming off a loss at Ole Miss, and that game was close, with the Rebels winning by a score of 64-58. The Bulldogs failed to cover the spread in that game, but they are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 when coming off an ATS loss. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine when coming off a straight up loss. The Gators have failed to cover in six straight home games. Take MISST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-18 | Georgetown +7.5 v. St. John's | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. |
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01-07-18 | Michigan State v. Ohio State +8.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. It was exactly a year ago today that the Buckeyes beat the Spartans by a score of 74-66 in Columbus. A lot has changed since then, most notably the Spartans are the top ranked team in the country with a 15-1 overall record. Michigan State was the better team last season as well, and they were a seven point favorite in last year's contest. The Spartans aren't the only team that has improved. This year's Ohio State team is 12-4 overall, and 2-0 in the BIG10. When these teams met last year the Buckeyes had lost four of five conference games, and had an overall record of 11-7. Michigan State doesn't inspire a lot of confidence as a big road favorite considering they have covered the spread in just four of their last 14 road games. The Buckeyes have signature wins against Gonzaga, Michigan and Wisconsin. They have held opponents to just 64.9 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting while winning 9-of-10 at home. They should be able to keep this one competitive, and I'll take the points. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-06-18 | Kansas v. TCU +1.5 | 88-84 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the TCU Horned Frogs. The Kansas Jayhawks have been the top team in the BIG12 for decades, but they don't look like they have the experience to compete for another conference title this season. Kansas has already lost three games, and now they have to play on the road at Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs are 13-1, coming off an upset win over Baylor in Waco. The last time these two teams met, TCU shocked the Jayhawks, winning outright as an 8-point underdog. Kansas has covered the spread just twice in it's last eight games against TCU, and the Jayhawks have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. TCU has won nine of it's last 10 home games, and the Frogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. Take TCU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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01-06-18 | Creighton v. Georgetown +5.5 | 90-66 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. The Hoyas are 9-2 at home this season, and both of their home losses have come in overtime to Butler and Syracuse. Creighton has lost two of three road game, and the Jays are just 2-6 ATS in their last six on the road. The visitors are expected to cover a bunch of points here, and I think the bookmakers aren't giving the Hoyas enough respect. In recent seasons Creighton has been the better team, but that hasn't translated into wins versus Georgetown. The Blue Jays have lost five straight at Georgetown, and six of the last eight overall in this series. Georgetown has covered the spread in five straight overall, while the Blue Jays have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Big East. I'll take the points with the home dog here. Take GTWN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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01-05-18 | Manhattan +5.5 v. Monmouth | 66-77 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Manhattan Jaspers.
Manhattan is one of three schools in the MAAC to win both their first two games in conference play. They will be an underdog on the road at Monmouth tonight, and the Hawks are 0-2 in the MAAC. Monmouth only has four wins in 14 games, and a lot of those losses came to teams you would expect the Hawks to beat. They were favored in losses to Hofstra, St. Peters and Quinnipiac. They are just 2-2 at home, and they have not covered the spread in any of their four home games so far. The Jaspers come in as winners of two of their last three road games, winning at Hofstra and Marist. Hawks leading scorer Micah Seaborn left the last game with an ankle injury, and he's officially listed as questionable for tonight's game. History favors Manhattan here, as the Jaspers are 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings, 4-0 ATS in their last four at Monmouth, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. I'll take the points! Take MAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-18 | Northern Iowa v. Missouri State -5.5 | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
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01-02-18 | Towson v. Elon +2 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. |
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12-31-17 | Missouri State v. Valparaiso -1 | 67-50 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Valparaiso Crusaders.
The last time I bet on VALPO, they let me down in a blowout loss to Purdue. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it’s last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6″8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here." While they did lose by 30 points, they were a 15 point underdog. They played their next four games without leading scorer Tevonn Walker, and they would lose three of those four games. Walker returned to play 25 minutes in the Crusaders loss to Indiana State, scoring 19 points on 6-of-17 shooting. The senior guard scored 21 points in an 84-81 win at Missouri State last year. The Crusaders have won and covered in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and they won their last home game against Missouri State by a score of 74-45. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -1 | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM.
The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." They went on to win by double digits, and they come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record. The Pride have not played well within the CAA conference, going 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20. They have also struggled against teams with a winning record, failing to cover in five of their last six. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Florida State +11.5 v. Duke | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The Duke Blue Devils will be a double digit favorite at home versus Florida State Saturday, and the Seminoles gave them plenty of trouble last year. Duke failed to cover as an 8-point favorite at home, and they lost by a score of 88-72 at Tallahassee. Florida State comes in with an 11-1 record, losing only to Oklahoma State by a single point (71-70). Florida State is 8-2 ATS in it's last 10 overall, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. Florida State has been locked in on defense, holding opponents to just 59.6 points per game on 36.3 percent shooting. The Blue Devils are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win, and I believe Duke is simply overrated here in this spot. I'll take the points. Take FSU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Drexel v. Elon -5 | 75-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against Drexel with a 4-0 home record and an 8-5 overall record. They swept the season series against Drexel last year, and won by a whopping 20 points at home. Junior forward Tyler Seibring led all scorers with 25 points in that win, and he comes into today's game averaging 14.2 points and 7.6 rebounds per game over his last five starts. Take ELON. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-29-17 | Kansas -2 v. Texas | 92-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-22-17 | Xavier v. Northern Iowa +6.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNI Panthers. The Xavier Musketeers are coming into Friday's game at Cedar Falls as winners of six straight. They are ranked in the Top 10, and have an overall record of 11-1. This will be just their second road game of the season though, and they look like a team primed to suffer an upset. They have four players listed as questionable for tonight's game, and three of those players are in the starting five. Gates, Jones and Macura are 2nd,3rd and 4th in scoring on the team. Xavier's only previous road game was at Wisconsin, and they won that game by double digits (80-70). The final score is terribly misleading though, as they were losing with 2:44 remaining, but went on a 16-4 run in the final few minutes. The Panthers are undefeated (6-0) at home, and they have held opponents to an average of just 53.8 points on 35.6 percent shooting in those games. Northern Iowa has an impressive resume so far going 8-3 overall with quality wins over SMU, NC State, UTA and UNLV. History seems to suggest that Northern Iowa stands a good chance of pulling off an outright win. The Panthers are 12-6 all time at home against ranked teams. Take UNI. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-22-17 | Elon v. Indiana State -4 | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Indiana State Sycamores. Indiana State started off the season with a blowout win over the Indiana Hoosiers, but they went on to lose four of their next five games. They have had a challenging schedule, but they remain a force on their home floor. They will put their 4-1 home record to the test tonight against the Elon Phoenix. Elon has won 25 games since the start of last season, and only seven of those wins came on the road. They have lost five of six road games so far this season, averaging just 63 points per game. Indiana State has scored an average of 81.3 points on better than 48 percent shooting at home. Elon has failed to cover the spread in eight of it's last 10 overall, and the Phoenix are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a winning home record. They are also 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference games. Elon scored just 51 points on 37 percent shooting in a blowout loss at Canisius in it's last game, and I think the Sycamores are a far tougher opponent than the Griffins. Take INST. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-22-17 | Temple v. Georgia -3 | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. The Georgia Bulldogs are off to a solid start at 8-2 overall, and 5-0 at home. They are coming off an impressive 80-59 win over rivals Georgia Tech, and they host a Temple team that is 0-2 on the road. The Owls lost at LaSalle and George Washington, and they have failed to cover in five straight overall. The Bulldogs should have a huge advantage on the boards, coming in averaging over 37 rebounds per game. The Owls are averaging less than 30 rebounds per game, and they have only scored an average of 67.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting over their last five games. The Bulldogs have scored an average of 77 points on better than 48 percent shooting over their last five games. Georgia was 12-5 at home last season, while Temple lost eight of it's 12 road games. I feel pretty comfortable backing the home team as just a slight favorite here. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-21-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Illinois -3.5 | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. |
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12-21-17 | Iona +12 v. Rhode Island | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
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12-20-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Mississippi State -22.5 | 48-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Bulldogs are 9-1 overall, and their only loss came to #21 ranked Cincinnati. They are coming off a 30+ point win at home over UT Martin, and they are asked to cover 22 points here at home against Arkansas Little Rock. The Trojans are just 3-9 overall, and 0-6 on the road. They have averaged just 58.4 points per game over their last five, and one of those was a 40 point loss at Bradley. They lost their last game against Mississippi State by 30 points (83-53). The Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have averaged just under 80 points on just shy of 50 percent shooting at home so far this season. The Trojans have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Take MISST. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-20-17 | Manhattan v. Hofstra -5.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hofstra Pride. These two teams have played four times since 2011, and Mannhattan won all four meetings. The Jaspers aren't as strong this season as they were in past seasons, and Hofstra comes in playing quite well. The Pride are undefeated on their home court, and they have been particularly impressive in their last four games. Hofstra has averaged over 84 points on better than 54 percent shooting during a five game stretch than includes road wins at Monmouth, Rider and Stonybrook. The Jaspers have played just two road games this season, and both of those were double-digit losses. The fact that Manhattan shot below 50 percent from the free throw line in those losses doesn't inspire much confidence that they can compete here at Hofstra. The Jaspers have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 road games, and they have scored just 65.6 points per game while losing three of their last five. Take HOF. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-20-17 | Georgia State v. Massachusetts -4.5 | 71-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UMASS Minutemen. The Minutemen are 6-0 at home this season, and they are coming off three straight wins over Providence, Holy Cross and Georgia. They host Georgia State tonight, and I like their chances of extending this winning streak. The Panthers are coming off a loss at Dayton, and this looks like a tough spot for the visitors. Massachusetts defeated the Panthers by a score of 75-65 at Atlanta last season. Sophomore guard Luwane Pipkins was one of five players to score in double-figures in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging 18.7 points per game this season. He comes in feeling the hot hand, averaging over 21 points in his last four starts, and hitting seven of his last 11 three-point attempts. Last year's game was decided at the free throw line, with the Minutemen hitting 17-of-23 from the charity stripe, while Georgia State was just 11-of-21. The Panthers come in hitting just 68.4 percent from the free throw line this season, so we could see history repeat itself in this year's game. Take UMASS. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-19-17 | Georgia Tech +4.5 v. Georgia | 59-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. Both Georgia and Georgia Tech have been pretty average so far. The Bulldogs 7-2 overall record isn't that impressive when you consider their strength of schedule. The Yellow Jackets are just 5-4 overall, but they played their first eight games without their leading scorer. Sophomore guard Josh Okogie returned to action Sunday, scoring 19 points on 6-of-13 shooting in a 79-54 win over Florida A&M. He was 2-of-3 from beyond the arc and made 5-of-6 free throws in the victory. Georgia has won the last two meetings between the two teams, but the Yellow Jackets had won and covered in four straight prior to that. Two of those wins came at Georgia, where the Bulldogs have failed to cover in eight of their last 11. They haven't been a good bet regardless of the venue, failing to cover in nine of their last 12 overall. The Yellow Jackets are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. I like Georgia Tech as a strong underdog getting points against a lackluster opponent. Take GT. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-19-17 | Drake v. South Dakota State -11 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SDST Jackrabbits. South Dakota State is coming off an overtime loss at Colorado, putting them at 9-5 overall so far. They are 6-0 at home, and have averaged a whopping 86 points per game on better than 47 percent shooting in those games. They host Drake tonight, and last year they beat the Bulldogs 83-75 at Des Moines. Drake is 0-4 on the road, and the Dogs are coming off a 90-64 loss at Iowa. Drake has been a bad bet on the road, failing to cover in eight of it's last 10 away games. The Jackrabbits are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. They appear to be an underrated team overall, covering in 16 of their last 22 overall. It's worth noting that the same Iowa team that crushed Drake a few days ago, lost to South Dakota State on a neutral court earlier this season. Take SDST. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-19-17 | Belmont v. Western Kentucky -5.5 | 75-72 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. The Hilltoppers finished in the bottom half of the C-USA standings last year, despite going 11-3 at home. They appear to be greatly improved, coming into tonight's home game against Belmont with a 7-4 overall record. Their record is even more impressive when you look at their schedule. They lost to Wisconsin by just one-point, and lost a close game to Villanova. They have wins over the likes of SMU and Purdue. They have scored an average of over 84 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting while going 5-1 at home. Belmont is just 1-4 on the road, losing by double digits at Lipscomb and TCU in each of their last two road games. It appears that the bookmakers have yet to make adjustments based on the Hilltoppers success. Western Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in it's last eight overall, and they have covered the spread in four straight at home. The Bruins really struggled shooting just 34 percent from the field in a loss at Lipscomb in their most recent road game. They attempted a whopping 31 three-pointers, but made just six. Take WKU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | UNLV -6.5 v. Pacific | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels. The Pacific Tigers are coming off back to back losses to UC Davis and Wyoming, and they will be in for a stiff challenge at home tonight against the 8-2 Rebels. UNLV's only two losses came to Arizona and UNI, and both of those games went to overtime. I bet on the Rebels last weekend in their 89-82 win over Illinois, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory." The Tigers have been a bad bet in Stockton, failing to cover in 13 of their last 16 home games. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus teams with a losing record, and Pacific has failed to cover in four of it's last five versus the Mountain West. Take UNLV. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Oklahoma v. Wichita State -7 | 91-83 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. I bet on the Shockers in their second game of the season, a blowout win at home over Charleston (81-63). Here is what I said prior to that game: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site." They have since won six of seven, including a win over #16 ranked Baylor. Oklahoma will be playing its first true road game of the season, after going 1-9 on the road last year. Their first road game of last season was a 20 point loss at Wisconsin. The Shockers are 4-0 at home, and have averaged over 99 points on 54.6 percent shooting in those games. The Sooners have failed to cover in five of their last six non-conference games, and Wichita State is 8-3 ATS in it's last 11 home games. Take WSU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Notre Dame -5.5 v. Indiana | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-16-17 | Davidson v. Virginia -12 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Cavaliers. There are some new faces on the Cavs rosters, but it's the same old story here in 2017. The Cavs are 5-0 at home, 8-1 overall, and they are still the best defensive team in the country. Virginia has allowed opponents to average just 52.5 points per game on 36.7 percent shooting. All five of their home wins have come by a double digit margin. The Davidson Wildcats have lost two of three road games and both losses have come by double digits. These two teams have played twice since 2013, and both of those games were double digit wins for the Cavs. The Wildcats have struggled against ACC teams in recent seasons, going just 4-9 ATS in their last 13. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and they've covered the spread in six of their last eight home games. Virginia has allowed opponents to average fewer than 50 points per game at home so far. This should be another blowout home victory for the Cavs. Take UVA. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Syracuse v. Georgetown +3 | 86-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. Undefeated Georgetown will host the Syracuse Orange in an early tip off Saturday, and the home team is actually a dog in this contest. Georgetown has had the better of this rivalry in recent seasons, winning three of the last four meetings. Last year they went to the Carrier Dome and won outright as a seven point underdog. The Hoyas 7-0 home record is even more impressive when you consider that they've averaged 82 points on 49.5 percent shooting in those games. Now the Orange have perhaps had a tougher schedule, but this will be their first true road game. They lost eight of 10 road games last year, and they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Georgetown has been a good bet in recent games against teams from the ACC, covering in eight of their last 10. The Orange have failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the Big East. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored. Take GTWN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-15-17 | UC-Davis +6.5 v. San Francisco | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UC Davis Aggies. The Aggies come into San Francisco as winners of four straight, and that includes an upset over Washington State at Pullman. The San Francisco Dons are coming off a double digit home win over Eastern Washington, but they allowed the Eagles to battle back from a 21 point deficit at halftime to make it interesting late. San Francisco's lead was cut to just six points in the final minute, and a few late free throws made the game appear to be an easier win that it actually was. The Dons are shooting just 35.7 percent from the field over their last five games, while the Aggies have shot 45.7 percent during that span. San Francisco has been terribly overrated of late, and that is evidenced by the fact that they have failed to cover the spread in eight straight against teams with a winning record. They have failed to cover in six of their last seven non-conference games, and five of their last six home games. The Aggies on the other hand have covered the spread in five straight road games, and seven straight non-conference games. Take UCD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-17 | Wichita State v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
Last weekend the Shockers played at Baylor, and I had Wichita State -2.5 in that game. They went on to win by a score of 69-62, scoring the game's final seven points. The game was tied at 62-62 with 2:50 seconds remaining, but Baylor was held scoreless the rest of the way. Now they are asked to cover twice as many points here in Stillwater, against a Cowboys team that is 6-0 at home, and has averaged 85.6 points per game in those wins. The Shockers were a 7.5 point favorite when they played Oklahoma State last season, but the Cowboys won that game 93-76. The Cowboys are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games. Oklahoma State is tough to beat in Stillwater, where their last loss came by a score of 90-85 to then #1 ranked Kansas. Senior guard Jeffrey Carroll scored a team high 22 points on 8-of-10 shooting in the win over the Shockers last year. He leads the team averaging 14.6 points per game so far in 2017. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5 | 62-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
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12-07-17 | Eastern Washington v. San Francisco -7 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. |
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12-07-17 | Valparaiso +16 v. Purdue | 50-80 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Valparaiso vs Purdue Free Pick December 7, 2017.
The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it's last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6"8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-17 | Texas Tech v. Seton Hall | 79-89 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
The Red Raiders are one of several teams in the country that remain undefeated. Most of these teams will come crashing down to earth once the competition gets a little more challenging, but I like what I see from this Texas Tech team. They have covered the spread in all of their games so far, and they crushed a ranked Northwestern team in an 85-49 win at the Hall of Fame Tip-Off. Seton Hall has had a disappointing start, failing to cover in four of six games so far. They lost to an unranked Rhode Island team on a neutral court, and they have been absolutely brutal from the free throw line. They are hitting just 63 percent from the line this season, and just 57 percent in neutral site games. The Red Raiders are shooting for a higher percentage from the field, and significantly higher from beyond the arc. Texas Tech has held opponents to an average of just 55.3 points on 33.5 percent shooting. After losing to Texas Tech, Wildcats coach Chris Collins said: "They have great point, they are very well coached and they are a terrific defensive team. They have depth, so they can keep coming in with athletes in waves and have fresh bodies out there. I think they have the makings of having a great year." Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-17 | Marshall v. William & Mary -4 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on #CWM. |
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11-24-17 | Florida v. Gonzaga +3 | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-23-17 | Ohio State v. Gonzaga -6 | 59-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-21-17 | Niagara v. BYU -12 | 88-95 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars.
I bet on the Cougars in their last game, and they came up short in a home loss to the Texas Arlington Mavericks. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season" The Mavericks shot out the lights in that game, hitting 60 percent of their three points attempts. That proved to be the difference in the game, but I expect a much better result here for BYU tonight. Niagara is coming off back to back road losses by 20+ points at Massachusetts and Minnesota. The Purple Eagles have failed to cover in six straight against teams with a winning record, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. They have been out-rebounded by an average of more than 10 rebounds per game so far, and opponents have averaged 94.3 points on 51.2 percent shooting this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-17 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -6 | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies.
Texas A&M has won all three games so far by double digits, and during that span they played #11 ranked West Virginia, and an Oklahoma State team that was 20-13 overall last season. They will play Penn State tonight, and the Nittany Lions are off to a 5-0 start after finishing with a losing record last season. Despite the fact that the Aggies have played a far tougher schedule, they are shooting for a significantly higher percentage from the field, three point range and the free throw line. Their biggest edge seems to be in three-point shooting, hitting 46.2 percent of their attempts from behind the arc this season. Sophomore guard Tony Carr leads Penn State in scoring averaging 19 points per game, and he's battling an ankle injury that has already caused him to miss one game. The Aggies return all five starters from last season's team. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and this looks like a tough ask for an inferior Penn State team. Take AGGIES. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-17 | Utah +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes.
The Ole Miss Rebels remained undefeated after beating Georgia State by a score of 77-72 at home on Friday. They had to rally from behind, trailing by eight points at the half in that game. The Utes are 3-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, a blowout win at home over Missouri. Here is what I said before that game: "The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." With so much experienced talent, I can't see why Utah would be an underdog in a late game in Las Vegas. The Utes have dominated on the boards, and they are shooting for a higher percentage both from the field and the free throw line than the Rebels. Utah is 4-0 ATS in it's last four games against SEC teams. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-17 | Boise State +1 v. Iowa State | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos.
I bet against Iowa State as a double-digit favorite in their win over Appalachian State, and the Cyclones won that game 104-98. Here is what I said before tip off: "Iowa State has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc." Jackson is second on the team in scoring, despite shooting just 34 percent from the field in four games. The Cyclones have allowed opponents to average 81 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting during a 2-2 start. Boise State comes in with a 4-0 record, and they have held opponents to 63 points per game on 37.7 percent shooting. Chandler Hutchison led the team in scoring last year, and the 6"7 guard is back for his senior year. Boise State has an experienced team that can play at a high level on both offense and defense. I like the Broncos to win big. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Texas-Arlington v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars.
The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. They return home to face the University of Texas Arlington, and this game comes with a huge revenge angle. The Mavericks defeated BYU by a score of 105-89 in last year's NIT Tournament. That was one of two games last season where the Mavs scored over 100 points, and they shot over 55 percent from the field in the victory. They were nowhere near as impressive in an 85-80 home win over Loyola Marymount in their season opener. They were out-rebounded 39-29 in that game, and rallied late to come from behind and win. They lost their first three road games last season, two of those losses came by a double-digit margin. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-17 | Tulane v. Colorado State -4 | 80-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The Tulane Green Wave have won back to back games to start the season, which is a huge accomplishment for a team that won just six games all of last season. They lost seven of their first eight games last season, and five of those seven losses came by double digits. The Colorado State Rams won eight of their first 10 games last year, and finished second in the Mountain West. The Rams should have a huge advantage on the boards in this game, as they have averaged 47.5 rebounds per game so far. Their 6"11 sophomore forward Nico Carvacho pulled in a whopping 20 rebounds in 36 minutes in Tuesday's win over Winthrop. The Green Wave are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and I just can't see a team that lost 20 of it's first 24 games last season turning things around overnight. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-17 | Xavier v. Wisconsin -1 | 80-70 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-17 | Appalachian State +10.5 v. Iowa State | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Appalachian State Mountaineers.
The Mountaineers 2-0 start has come against inferior opponents, but they are bringing back plenty of talent from last year. They lost their first two games of last season to Tennessee and Davidson, but by just a combined 21 points. They will be a double-digit underdog here against Iowa State, a team that has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Junior guard Ronshad Shabazz has scored 49 points and has shot 6-of-11 from beyond the arc in two games this season. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc. The Cyclones haven't given any indication that they should be a favorite in this game, let alone a double-digit favorite. Take APP. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | 65-61 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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11-14-17 | Denver v. Colorado -10 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
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11-14-17 | Michigan State +3 v. Duke | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans.
For the second consecutive year, the Blue Devils will play the nation's #2 ranked team in their third game of the season. Last year #5 ranked Duke lost by a score of 74-63 to #2 ranked Kentucky in Chicago. This year the Blue Devils are ranked #1, despite a starting lineup that features four freshman. The new faces have impressed against lesser opponents, much like last season when Duke scored over 200 points in wins over Sienna and Bryant in it's first two games. The Blue Devils lost four of seven games against ranked teams last season, and crashed out of the NCAA Tournament in an 82-66 loss to Oregon. The #2 ranked Spartans are a more experienced squad, four of their five starters played in last year's 78-69 loss to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miles Bridges led the team in scoring last year, and he returns for his sophomore season. The 6"7 guard scored scored 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting, pulling in 10 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Spartans season opener. While Duke tops the pre-season polls, there are plenty of reasons for skepticism. This is exactly why the ESPN BPI (Basketball Power Index) has them ranked 14th. It's not the talented freshman in the starting lineup that are the real concern, it's the lack of returning talent that is coming off the bench. I tend to agree with the BPI, and I think this lack of experience really has the potential to be a problem here early in the season in such a high profile game. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-17 | Coll Of Charleston v. Wichita State -16.5 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers.
Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. They play tonight at home against the College of Charleston, a team who's first three losses last year came by an average margin of 21 points. They didn't look very impressive beating Sienna in their season opener. They shot just 32.9 percent from the field, and 20 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charleston's leading rebounder, and second leading scorer from last season missed the game against Sienna with a knee injury. The status of All-CAA forward Jarrell Brantley for tonight's game is still unknown. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-17 | Yale v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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11-10-17 | Elon +20 v. Duke | 68-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. So #1 ranked Duke opens the season against Elon, and the Blue Devils are asked to win by 20 points. The bookmakers are well aware that bettors will be eager to back the favorite here, and for that reason this line appears to be grossly inflated. If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup). Duke is loaded will talented freshmen, and only Grayson Allen remains from last year's starting five. The Blue Devils will no doubt be a contender, but it will likely take a few weeks for the freshmen to get settled in. Duke has won 17 straight season openers, but they weren't all blowouts. I'll take the points. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
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04-01-17 | South Carolina +7 v. Gonzaga | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks.
I certainly never expected South Carolina to make it to the Final Four, especially after finishing the regular season with six losses in their final nine games. They did go 12-6 in the SEC this year though, and this team has come together at the right time. They have already taken down 2, 3 and 4 seeds (Duke, Baylor, FLA). The Bulldogs are now in uncharted territory, playing in the Final Four for the first time. The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite here, coming in as a #1 seed with a record of 36-1. It's important to consider that all their impressive stats are skewed due to the fact that they play in one of the country's weakest conferences, beating up on bottom feeders for most of the regular season. While they blew out Xavier in their Elite Eight matchup, they narrowly escaped with close wins in tight games against Northwestern and West Virginia before that. The Gamecocks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. They are also 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 non-conference games. Take SOCAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-17 | Georgia Tech +3.5 v. TCU | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Georgia Tech was one of the top defensive teams in the ACC this year, but during the regular season the offense often failed to click. That hasn't been the case here in the NIT Tournament, as the Yellow Jackets have averaged over 71 points per game on 44.8 percent shooting over their last five. Defense is still their strength though, holding opponents to just 61.6 points per game on 37 percent shooting during that span. They will play TCU in the NIT Final at Madison Square Garden, and they looked pretty comfortable in New York in their 76-61 win over Cal State Bakersfield in the Semi Final. For whatever reason, bettors aren't that fond of Georgia Tech. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall, but they are actually getting points here against a mediocre BIG12 team. Georgia Tech has covered the spread in six straight versus teams from the BIG12. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-17 | Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 | 74-60 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. |
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03-23-17 | Michigan v. Oregon +1.5 | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. |
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03-21-17 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels.
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back impressive wins in the NIT Tournament. Both of those were home games though, and they have really struggled on the road. Their most recent road game was a blowout loss (90-61) at Syracuse, where the Rebels just beat the Orange by a score of 85-80. The Yellow Jackets come into Mississippi as losers of seven straight road games. While they do play strong defense, they simply can't seem to score enough points on the road. Georgia Tech has averaged just 63.3 points per game on 42.1 percent shooting in road games, which is roughly 17 points fewer than the Rebels average at home. The Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Rebels have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and six of their last seven home games. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-17 | Iowa State +1 v. Purdue | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. |
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03-17-17 | Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -1 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-17 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 70 percent of bettors are backing the Wolverines here in their first round matchup versus Oklahoma State. Michigan won the BIG10 Tournament, and has won seven of it's last eight overall. They might have lost whatever momentum they might of had though, as they played five games in seven days, then had the entire week off. The Cowboys won 20 games in the regular season (the same as Michigan) in a much tougher BIG12 Conference. Most of Michigan's wins came at home, winning just three of 11 on the road. The Cowboys were 7-5 on the road, and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Michigan didn't fare well outside the BIG10, failing to cover in five of it's last seven non-conference games. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-17 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the St. Mary's Gaels.
St. Mary's only lost four games this season, and three of those losses came against the #4 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs. Admittedly the West Coast Conference is one of the weaker leagues in the country, but the Gaels had an impressive non-conference schedule. They beat Nevada by 18 points, won at Dayton, and won by 15 points at Stanford. They rank among the nations best defensively, allowing just 56.5 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting. They will face VCU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and the Rams didn't look sharp in their most recent games. They needed overtime to beat a pretty mediocre Richmond team, and then got blown out by Rhode Island in the A-10 Final. St. Mary's lost badly to Gonzaga in the WCC Final, but they beat BYU by a whopping 30 points in their previous game. The Gaels won 28 games this year, 26 of those were decided by double digits. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-17 | Princeton v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 58-60 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish.
Notre Dame finished the season strong, and pushed Duke to the limit in the ACC Championship Game Saturday. They came into that contest as winners of seven of their previous eight, beating #21 ranked Virginia and winning twice against #16 Florida State during that span. Princeton won plenty of games in the Ivy League, but they don't have any wins against ranked opponents. In fact, they haven't even played a Top 25 team this season. The Tigers non-conference schedule includes double digits losses to BYU, VCU and CAL. They even lost by eight points against A-10 bottom feeders St. Joseph's. Despite playing a far tougher schedule, the Irish scored more points, shot for a higher percentage, and were far better at the free throw line. This looks like quite a mismatch, and I don't think the Irish will have any trouble getting past the Ivy League champs. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-17 | USC v. Providence +1 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars. |
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03-14-17 | Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GT. |
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03-12-17 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -1 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
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03-11-17 | Duke -3 v. Notre Dame | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is 10* play on Duke. |
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03-11-17 | Colorado State v. Nevada -4 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
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03-09-17 | Texas +11.5 v. West Virginia | 53-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. |
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03-09-17 | Davidson -4 v. La Salle | Top | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats.
The Wildcats come into this A-10 Tournament matchup versus La Salle as winners of three of their last six. Two of those three losses came on the road, and all three of those games were against teams ranked near the top in the A-10 standings. The Explorers have lost five of their last seven overall, and their wins during that span came against bottom feeders Fordham and St. Joe's. All five of those losses came by a double digit margin, and La Salle has failed to cover in four straight as an underdog. Davidson has improved since losing at La Salle in January, while the Explorers have really dropped off after a solid start to the season. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take Davidson as the small favorite. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-17 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | 56-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels.
Gonzaga has won both regular season meetings versus the Gaels, but since then it's been St. Mary's that's been playing better basketball. The Gaels mopped the floor with BYU last night (81-50). This comes just over a week after the Cougars upset the Bulldogs on their home court. Gonzaga struggled to put away Santa Clara last night, but ended up pulling away late to win by nine (77-68). The Bulldogs have now allowed 60 points or more in seven of their last eight games, while the Gaels have held the opposition under 60 in six straight. While Gonzaga won and covered in both previous meetings, the Bulldogs are asked to cover an even greater number here at this neutral site. The Gaels have better numbers in neutral site games, averaging 73.9 points on 54.9 percent shooting. St. Mary's has been hot from beyond the arc, hitting 47.4 percent from three-point ranger over the last five games. I'll take the points in this marquee matchup. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-17 | Penn State v. Iowa -5.5 | Top | 79-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. |
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03-04-17 | San Diego State v. New Mexico | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos.
It's Senior's Night for New Mexico, and one senior in particular could have a major impact on this game. Forward Tim Williams hasn't played since the end of January, but he's expected to start in the Lobos final home game. Williams is the team's leading rebounder, and he led them in scoring prior to his injury. In his absence Elijah Brown has stepped up, and the junior guard has totaled 47 points in his last two home games. The Lobos host rivals San Diego State, and the Aztecs have really dropped off this year. They are just 3-8 on he road, and two of those wins came against bottom feeders UNLV and Utah State. They are coming off a 51-38 win over Air Force in their final home game, bu they were brutal offensively in that win. They shot just 28.8 percent from the field, and went 4-for-27 from three-point range. The Aztecs have averaged just 60.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting over their last five games. San Diego State has only covered the spread twice in 11 road games this season. The Lobos won 68-62 at San Diego State earlier this year, and they dominated the boards in that game, out-rebounding SDSU 38-27. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-17 | Stanford v. Utah -8.5 | 59-67 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
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03-03-17 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan -4 | 60-56 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Eastern Michigan. |
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03-02-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton -10 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cal State Fullerton.
The UCSB Gauchos are 0-11 on the road this season, and they've lost their last two road games by a combined 39 points. They lost at home to the Titans by a whopping 26 points earlier this season, so it would come as no surprise if they got their butts served to them here at Fullerton on CSF's Senior's Night. Gabe Vincent leads the Gauchos in scoring, and he hasn't played due to a knee injury suffered the last time these two teams met. Fullerton's last two home games were wins over the top two teams in the conference (UCD and UCI). They average 14 points more at home than the Gauchos do on the road, and they give up a couple points less. The Gauchos are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games, and the home team is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these teams. Take CSF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-17 | Indiana v. Purdue -10.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers.
The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-17 | San Diego State v. Colorado State | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
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02-23-17 | Georgia v. Alabama -4.5 | 60-55 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. Jesse Schule |
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02-23-17 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -7 | Top | 96-82 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe. |
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02-22-17 | Utah State v. San Jose State | Top | 81-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
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02-22-17 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas -4.5 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks 1st Half. |