Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-21 | Ohio v. Buffalo -2.5 | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. Buffalo is coming off a comfortable home win over last place Eastern Michigan, but they may have a real fight on their hands Friday when they host Ohio. The Bobcats are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall, but they aren't that strong away from home. The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Bulls have won six of the last seven head to head meetings outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-21 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +6.5 | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on La Salle. |
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01-19-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2 | 64-46 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs. I had the Bulldogs in their last home game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Florida: "Mississippi State is coming off a heart-breaking 1-point loss at home to Texas A&M, and it won't get any easier Saturday as they host the Florida Gators. They did beat the Gators in each of the last two meetings, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Gators are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games, while the Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and I'll take the home dog here." GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-21 | Memphis v. Tulsa +2 | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tulsa. Tulsa is sitting in third in the AAC, and the Golden Hurricanes are 7-4 overall. They have won four of five at home, and they have won three of the last four head to head meetings versus Memphis. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. I think this might be a case of Memphis being overrated based on past performance, when they are not quite as strong this season as they have been in the past. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-21 | Florida v. Mississippi State +1 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs. |
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01-16-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -2 | 59-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide are coming off a massive double digit win at Kentucky, and you might think that sets them up for a let down here on Saturday. I expect them to be all fired up for a home game against Arkansas, a team that they have lost to in six straight head to head meetings. The Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost 15 of 20 road games since the start of last season. Alabama is undefeated (5-0) in conference play, despite playing some of the best teams in the SEC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-21 | Toledo -3.5 v. Akron | 94-95 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toledo. The Rockets are the cream of the crop in the MAC so far, with a 6-0 conference record. They will play on the road at Akron, and asked to cover a few points. Akron isn't the powerhouse it was a year ago, coming off back to back losses to Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan. The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Zips are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-21 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +3 | 60-54 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 8* play on Rutgers. I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog, and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-21 | NC State v. Florida State -3.5 | 73-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU. The Seminoles might not be the powerhouse they were last year, but they are still a formidable home team. They host NC State tonight, and the Wolfpack haven't covered in any of their last five road games. They have only covered in one of their last six games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. FSU is 21-1 at home since the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-21 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +1.5 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia Tech. The Hokies are 3-1 in the ACC, with their only loss coming at first place Louisville. They host Duke tonight, and the Blue Devils come in as a road favorite. Duke hasn't looked worthy of laying points on the road, just barely beating Boston College at home last week. The Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings, and the Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-21 | Ole Miss v. Florida -3 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Florida. |
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01-11-21 | Connecticut -5 v. DePaul | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN. The Huskies come into DePaul with a 6-1 record, and their lone loss came against #7 ranked Creighton. They have a history of beating up on their conference rivals, winning 10 straight versus DePaul. Eight of those 10 wins came by a double digit margin. The Blue Demons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. UCONN is coming off back to back double digit road wins over Butler and Marquette. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-21 | Indiana v. Nebraska +7 | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nebraska. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are not a good team, let's be honest. They finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, and they are well on their way to another last place finish this season. As bad as they are, they have nine wins in 24 home games since the beginning of last season. They are getting a bunch of points here against Indiana on Sunday, and the Hoosiers have just two road wins in 13 games during that span. Indiana covered in both meetings last year, but had failed to cover in their previous four versus Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are coming off losses to Michigan. Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin, so it's not a surprise they have struggled against the better teams. This game should be a better matchup for them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Washington v. California -2.5 | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on California. The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year, and they are the favorite to finish last this year. The come into Berkeley with an 0-4 record in the conference, and a 1-8 overall record. The Bears aren't a whole lot better, also winless in the conference, but 5-7 overall. While California has lost three straight, for the most part they were competitive in those games. The same can not be said for the Huskies, who have lost by 16, 27 and 23 in their last three overall. The Huskies are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Texas v. West Virginia +1 | 72-70 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on West Virginia. Texas will come into West Virginia as a favorite, with a record of 9-1. The Mountaineers are 9-3, but two those three losses came to teams ranked in the Top 5 (Gonzaga and Kansas). They are 5-1 at home, after going 14-2 at home last season. The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings, and the Longhorns lost by 38 points in their last game at Morgantown. The Mountaineers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games, and the home team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -3 | 79-68 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Buckeyes have failed to cover in five straight road games, while the home team has covered in each of the last five meetings between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-21 | Purdue v. Michigan State -4 | 55-54 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Michigan State. I had the Spartans in their win at Nebraska, and here is what I said before tipoff: "Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points." The Boilermakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and the home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-21 | Boston College +12.5 v. Duke | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. The Blue Devils haven't played a game since mid December, and after losing to Illinois Coach K suggested that playing during a pandemic didn't seem like the right thing to do. He's since been forced to quarantine, and he won't be at tonight's game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. I can't see laying double digits with a team that isn't mentally ready, and hasn't played in almost a month. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in four straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | Michigan State -8.5 v. Nebraska | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. The Cornhuskers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall, they are also 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games. This should be a get right game for Michigan State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-20 | Purdue v. Rutgers -2.5 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equiped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Colorado v. Arizona | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. In the past 10 head to head meetings between the Buffaloes and the Wildcats, the home team has won ALL 10 GAMES! The Wildcats have won 19 of their last 23 home games, while the Buffaloes have lost eight of their last 13 on the road. The Buffaloes are 13-39 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Home court should be huge here, as the home team has also covered in four straight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Virginia v. Gonzaga -7 | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are the undisputed #1 team in the country, and they haven't had any trouble so far when playing quality opponents. They have wins over Iowa, West Virginia and Kansas by an average margin of nine points. Virginia has yet to play a ranked team, and they have failed to impress against lesser opponents. The lost to San Francisco, and came close to losing to Kent State in a game that was decided in overtime. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Maryland v. Purdue -5 | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boilermakers. Purdue is coming off a 70-55 loss at Iowa, but I like their chances of bouncing back at home against Maryland. The Boilermakers have won 16 of their last 22 home games, while the Terps are 5-7 in their last 12 road games. The Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they haven't covered in four straight road games. Maryland is 5-2 with losses to Rutgers and Clemson, and all five of their wins came against inferior opposition. This looks like a tough ask for the visitors on Christmas Day. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-20 | Illinois v. Rutgers +2 | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights will be a home dog Sunday against Illinois, and Rutgers has won 22 of their last 23 home games. Illinois on the other had is 7-7 on the road dating back to the beginning of last year. Rutgers won the last meeting by 15 points last February, and the home team has won seven of the last nine head to head meetings. The Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games versus a team with a winning record. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Purdue v. Notre Dame +6 | 88-78 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Notre Dame. Purdue comes into Saturday's game with a 5-2 record, and both of their losses came against ACC teams. The Irish are 2-3, but all three of their losses came against Top 25 teams. Notre Dame has won three of their last four against Purdue, with the lone loss coming at Purdue by a five point margin. The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games, while the Boilermakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. I'll take the points here in a game that I expect to be pretty close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-20 | St. Joe's +2.5 v. Drexel | 77-81 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on St. Joes. The Hawks are 0-2, with losses to Kansas and Auburn. They will be looking for their first win of the season here against a Drexel team that they have won six straight against dating back to 2011. Drexel is coming off a double digit home loss to La Salle. Ryan Daly was the Hawks leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game last year. Taylor Funk only played seven games, but he was third on the team in scoring. Both players are back in 2021, and the Hawks should be stronger than they were last year. Each of the last three meetings have been close games decided by three points or less, with the last two meetings decided by a single point. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-20 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -5 | 77-76 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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12-12-20 | Alabama v. Clemson +1 | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Clemson. I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and come into today's game against Alabama with a 4-0 record. The Crimson Tide are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, while the Tigers have covered in five straight at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Oregon -7 v. Washington | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oregon. The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year and they come into tonight's hoime game against the Ducks with just one win in four games. The Ducks lost their opener to Missouri, but have since won three straight. Oregon has won nine of their last 10 against the Huskies straight up, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a losing record (below .400). There have been a lot of people asking questions about why they should even play college basketball at a time like this, and it's likely the Huskies will be a lot less enthusiastic about playing than a Ducks team with a lot more to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-20 | North Dakota State +9 v. South Dakota State | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on North Dakota State. |
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12-08-20 | Syracuse +4 v. Rutgers | 69-79 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Syracuse. The Orange are 3-0, but they will be an underdog at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise, but they haven't had any success in recent meetings versus the Orange. Syracuse is 8-0 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings dating back to 2007. The Orange are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered in six of their last seven as a road underdog. I think the Orange are too good of a team to be getting this many points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +5.5 | 90-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. Notre Dame lost it's season opener by a 10-point margin on the road at #13 ranked Michigan State, but I am not sure I would ask #22 ranked Ohio State to come into South Bend and cover a big spread. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Irish were 15-4 at South Bend last year, despite playing the likes of Louisville, Florida State and North Carolina. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Boston College +7.5 v. Minnesota | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston College. The Eagles have lost three of their first four games, but two of those losses came in close games against tough teams. They lost their opener by single digits versus #3 ranked Villanova, and then lost by just four points in a shootout versus St. Johns. I don't expect an unranked Minnesota team to win here by double digits. The Golden Gophers are 1-5-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC +1 | 61-58 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on USC. |
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12-01-20 | Michigan State +4 v. Duke | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MSU. Duke is loaded with freshman talent, but lacks experience early in the season. This was quite evident in their opening game against Coppin State. They turned the ball over a whopping 22 times, failing to cover as a 30-point favorite in an 81-71 win. The Spartans lost a lot of star power from last year's squad (Cassius Winston and Xavier Tillman), but Rocket Watson and Aaron Henry are back, and the addition of Joey Hauser gives them plenty of experience in their starting five. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog, and the underdog is 4-0 in the last four head to head meetings between these teams. I think it's to early in the year to back Duke's freshman as favorites. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga -2.5 v. Kansas | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. |
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11-25-20 | Clemson -4 v. Mississippi State | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms. The Bulldogs aren't as fortunate. They had four starters score in double figures last season, and they lost all four of them. The Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games as an underdog. This Clemson team was good enough last season to get wins against the likes of Duke, North Carolina, Louisville and Florida State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Vanderbilt +9.5 v. Arkansas | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Vanderbilt was dead last in the SEC this season, with a record of 3-15. They picked up two of those three wins in their last two games however, and they were quite competitive in March. They come into the conference tournament averaging 72 points per game in their last five overall. Only one of their last six games was a loss by double digits. The Razorbacks are an awfully big favorite for a team that has covered in just three of it's last 10 overall and is just 1-5 ATS in it's last six neutral site games. I'll take the hot team getting a bunch of points. Take Vanderbilt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU -4 | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are winners of nine straight, and they have score over 81 points per game in their last five overall. During their winning streak they have wins over Saint Mary's and Gonzaga. The Gaels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Gaels are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall, abd they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | San Francisco +13 v. Gonzaga | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Bulldogs are a double digit favorite here against San Francisco, after beating the Dons in both regular season meetings. The game at San Francisco was close, decided by just four points. Now the Bulldogs have little to gain here, and the Dons have everything to play for. We should expect this game to be somewhat close. The Dons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. The Dons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Elon v. William & Mary -4.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 8* play on the Virginia Cavs. The defending champs are playing like contenders down the stretch, coming into Saturday's home game versus Louisville as winners of seven straight. Louisville on the other hand has lost three in a row on the road. They lost by double digits to Clemson and Florida State, and lost 64-58 at Georgia Tech. They beat the Cavs at home in February, but they had lost nine straight to Virginia prior to that. They are 0-5 straight up in their last five at Virginia, and they covered the spread in just one of those games. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Moutaineers. A few weeks ago the Baylor Bears were ranked #1 in the country, and they looked unbeatable. They might have peaked too early though, as they have been pretty average since. Baylor comes into Morgantown as losers of two of their last four, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. This isn't an easy place to play, and the Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Baylor did win it's last game in West Virginia, but the Bears had lost four straight at Morgantown prior to that. This just looks like a tough spot for a Baylor team that hasn't been that sharp lately. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-20 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -1 | 75-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois is 11-3 at home this season, and they have won their last six home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Ball State tonight, and the Cardinals are just 4-7 on the road, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-20 | Washington v. Arizona State -6 | 90-83 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. |
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02-29-20 | Utah v. California +1 | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on California. The Cal Bears have been playing a lot better of late. They are coming off a home win over the #21 ranked Colorado Buffaloes, and they have won two of their last three. Utah doesn't have a lot to be positive about, the Utes have lost four of their last five overall and they are just 1-9 on the road. It sure seems odd that a team that has lost nine of 10 road games is actually a favorite this afternoon against a Bears team that is 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Bears are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Eastern Michigan. Central Michigan has lost seven in a row, and last week I bet against them when they played on the road at Northern Illinois. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game." They face Eastern Michigan this Saturday, and the Eagles have been rock solid at home. Opponents have averaged fewer than 60 points per game at Eastern Michigan. Take EMU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Penn State v. Iowa -4 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa lost 89-86 to Penn State in Philadelphia earlier this season, but they have a chance to get revenge here at home this Saturday. The Hawkeyes are undefeated at home in conference play, and they are 13-1 overall at home this season. They come into today's game averaging over 82 points per game at home. Penn State has lost two of their last three, with the lone win coming at home by a single point against Rutgers. It's going to be difficult for the Nittany Lions to keep up with Iowa here in Iowa City. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -1 | 60-52 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 1* free play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Michigan is the bigger basketball brand, and that can be the only explanation for why this line is so close to a pickem. Rutgers has a better overall record, and they are 17-0 at home. Michigan has been brutal on the road, losing five of seven games and averaging under 70 points per game in that span. Rutgers has the better conference record, and their last home game was a double digit win over a ranked team (Illinois). Rutgers has been lights on defensively at home, allowing just 57.5 points per game. This line probably should be 3-4 points higher than it is. Take Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | Top | 65-54 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The #1 ranked Baylor Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of 22 straight. They are 12-0 in the BIG12, and they are 11-0 on the road. You've got to have BIG BRASS TACKS to bet against a team that hasn't lost since November ... but sign me up! The Bears keep winning, but rarely are they blowing teams out. Four of their last five road games were single digit wins, and all five of those games came against teams that trail Oklahoma in the standings. They won by a score of 61-57 at home versus Oklahoma just a few weeks ago. The Sooners are 11-1 at home, and they won their last two home games by a combined 39 points against #13 ranked West Viriginia and Iowa State. The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings between these two teams. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-20 | Michigan v. Northwestern +7 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
5* |
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02-09-20 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. Clemson | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. At first glance we can see that the Clemson Tigers are 9-4 at home, while the Irish have lost four of six road games. Look a little closer and you can see that Clemson has lost four of six, and their two wins during that span came by a combined four points. The Irish on the other hand have won four of six, and their two losses during that span came by a combined three points. Notre Dame lost by just a single point on the road at #5 ranked Florida State in it's last road game. The Irish are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and they have won two of the last three at Clemson. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-20 | Boise State +9.5 v. Utah State | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos. Boise State will be a big underdog on the road at Utah State tonight, and the Broncos come in as winners of five straight overall. One of those wins was an 88-83 home win over the Aggies. That game went to overtime, and close games between these teams have been the norm. These two teams have played eight straight games decided by six points or less, and each of the last two meetings went to overtime. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-20 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -3.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes.
St. Bonnaventure has had plenty of success against the Dukes, in fact they have seven straight and nine of the last 10 versus Duquesne. There are plenty of reasons to expect them to struggle on the road here in this game. The Dukes are 9-1 at home, and they are coming off a double digit road win at Saint Louis. The Bonnies are just 5-5 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog. The Dukes have allowed opponents to score fewer than 60 points per game at home. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois +2 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies lost both games against Kent State in 2019, and they look to return the favor here in 2020. They already beat the Golden Flashes by a score of 76-69 on the road earlier this year, and they will be an underdog here at home in the second meeting. Kent State may have a better overall record, but the Huskies have a better record in the MAC, and they have won five straight overall. The Golden Flashes appear to be currently overvalued, failing to cover in six straight as a road favorite, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-20 | LSU v. Vanderbilt +12 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. I cashed in a winner with Vanderbilt on Saturday, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Florida. "The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn." The Tigers appear to be overvalued, coming in with an 8-0 record in the SEC. It's important to understand that LSU hasn't played any Top 25 teams, and the majority of their wins came in close games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +12 | 61-55 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn. The Gators are coming off three straight losses, and they may be hard pressed to cover such a big number. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -3 | 62-64 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Cincinnati is likely better than their record indicates, and they look to prove just that with a home win over rivals Houston on Saturday. Cincinnati has a home record of 9-1 this season, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The improved play of Jarron Cumberland has played a role in the Bearcats recent success. "I didn't coach him last year. I just know what I see now," coach Brannen said of Cumberland. "He's definitely healthy. A big part of him being on the ball more is he's in great shape. He's able to do what he's capable of doing. Great players make the game easier for others. That's where Jarron is right now." This Cincinnati team appears primed to make a move in the American Conference. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Michigan State -5 v. Wisconsin | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Wolverines come into Madison looking to take advantage of an undermanned Wisconsin team. The Badgers are in a bad place right now, with leading scorer Kobe King leaving the team, and starting guard Brad Davison serving a suspension. Wisconsin is coming off back to back road losses at Iowa and Purdue, and they have lost three of their last four overall. They scored just 55 points in a double digit loss at East Lansing in January, and it's going to be tough to do any better here on Saturday. The Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-20 | Northeastern v. William & Mary -2.5 | 58-59 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. The Tribe are coming off a rare home loss to Towson, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last three home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington, Charleston and James Madison. They have now covered the spread in six straight home games." They are back on their home court Wednesday night against Northeastern. The Huskies last road game was a loss to last place UNC Wilmington, and they are coming into tonight's game off a home loss to Delaware. The Tribe won a close game at Northeastern earlier this season. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-20 | Towson v. William & Mary -6 | Top | 70-58 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on William and Mary. The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last three home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington, Charleston and James Madison. They have now covered the spread in six straight home games. The Tribe won a close game at Towson last year, and in 2018 they won both meetings by double digits. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and I think the Tribe deserve to be closer to a double digit favorite here. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-20 | James Madison v. William & Mary -9 | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the College of William and Mary. The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last two home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington and Charleston. The James Madison Dukes have lost six of seven games in conference play, and they are 1-6 straight up in their last seven versus the Tribe. The Dukes are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. The Tribe are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-20 | St. Louis +2.5 v. Davidson | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Davidson Wildcats are still one of the more recognizable brands in the Atlantic-10 Conference. They have been far more successful than Saint Louis over the last decade, but so far this season there is no doubt that the Bilikens have been the better team. Saint Louis is 14-4 overall, and three of their four losses came against ranked teams. The one loss against an unranked opponent came against a Duquesne team that is on the cusp of being ranked. They are 3-2 in conference play, and both losses came against the top two teams in the conference. Most recently they lost in overtime on a buzzer beater by a score of 78-76 at home versus Dayton. These two teams split the season series in 2019, and Saint Louis won by 20+ points at Davidson. They had previous lost to the Wildcats by a single point at home earlier in 2019. I think the Bilikens should be the favorite here. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-20 | Florida +2.5 v. LSU | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. While LSU sits at the top of the SEC with a perfect 5-0 record in conference play, they have yet to play any of the top teams. The majority of their wins came in close games against the weaker teams in the SEC. Wins over Arkansas, Mississippi State and Mississippi came by a combined seven points. History doesn't bode well for the Tigers as a home favorite versus Florida, with the home team losing outrihgt in four of the last five head to head meetings. Florida is coming off back to back wins by a combined 38 points. They held #4 ranked Auburn to just 47 points in their last game. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-20 | Oregon State +4.5 v. Washington | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oregon State. The Beavers are getting a bunch of points on the road at Washington, and history tells us that the underdog has been the play in recent meetings. These teams have gone to overtime three times in the last five head to head meetings. The underdog has covered the spread in four of those games. The Huskies are shorthanded, with their starting PG missing the last two games since being ruled academically inelligeble. Quade Green leads the team in assists, and he's the Huskies best free throw shooter and he's also their biggest threat from beyond the arc. Green isn't available until late March. The Huskies are 0-2 without him, failing to score 60 points in each of those losses. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. I'll take the points. Take ORST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | South Carolina v. Clemson -5.5 | 67-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. |
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12-14-19 | Memphis +6.5 v. Tennessee | 51-47 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-14-19 | Duquesne +0.5 v. Radford | 71-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are 8-0 to start the season, and they come into their first true road game as a favorite over Radford. What looks like a tough matchup for the Dukes might not be as tough as it would have been a year ago. The Highlanders finished first in the Big South last year, and were a Cinderella team in the NCAA Tournament. They have started this season off by losing five of their first eight games. Free throw shooting could be a huge advantage for the Dukes, who are hitting just shy of 80 percent from the charity stripe. Radford is shooting just over 60 percent from the free throw line. The Highlanders are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Charlotte v. NC-Wilmington +4 | 76-57 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They have won four of five at home so far this year, and the one loss came against the mighty UNC Tar Heels. They host the Charlotte 49ers this afternoon, and Charlotte is 0-3 on the road so far. A look a little further back reveals that the 49ers are 15-36 ATS in their last 51 road games. They haven't been a strong play in the role of favorite, they 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when asked to cover points on the road. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-19 | Ohio State v. North Carolina -4 | 74-49 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the UNC Tar Heels. |
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11-17-19 | Seton Hall v. St. Louis +7 | 83-66 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. I bet on the Bilikens early this week, and here is what I said prior to their win over Eastern Washington: "The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders." They are getting points here at home versus Seton Hall, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win this game outright. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Marquette +1 v. Wisconsin | 61-77 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-16-19 | USC v. Nevada +2.5 | 76-66 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada lost it's home opener to Utah, but has since won back to back games. They are hosting another PAC12 team tonight, and this time they will be an underdog versus USC. The Wolpack have four seniors in their starting lineup, and they should have an edge here at home against a USC team that is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Wolf Pack are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams, and they are 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games following an ATS win. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | NC-Wilmington +17.5 v. Davidson | 49-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are 2-1, and they lost by 16-points to #9 ranked North Carolina. They will be a huge underdog here at Davidson, and I don't see any reason why the Wildcats should lay a bigger beating on them than the Tar Heels did. The Wildcats beat the Seahawks 91-85 last year, and they have won all five meetings since 2011. They are a bigger favorite in this game than they were in any of those previous five games. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Tennessee v. Washington +1.5 | 75-62 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies. The Huskies opened the season with an impressive win over #16 ranked Baylor in Alaska. They will be in Toronto on Saturday, taking on unranked Tennessee. Both teams are a little younger this year, but Vols coach Rick Barnes seems to think his team has a long way to go: "We felt going into this year, knowing we had these younger guys, that we had to challenge them as much as we could with this schedule," said Barnes. "Even if you get burnt somewhere along the way, you have to know that it will help us in the long run." The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and they have failed to cover in four straight non-conference games. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders. They host the Eastern Washington Eagles tonight, and the Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Eagles are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. This Saint Louis team is excellent defensively, and a home game against a team from an inferior conference should be an easy double digit win. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-19 | Auburn +6 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 87 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Auburn. In recent memory, this Virginia team has been a juggernaut in the regular season, but they always disappoint in the NCAA Tournament. Things got really bad when they were bounced in the first round last year losing to UMBC. Then in their first game of this Tournament, they got blown out in the first half by Gardner Webb. They have avoided disaster with wins by the closest of margins against Oregon and Purdue, and really needed a miracle to get past the Boilermakers. Auburn's journey to the Final Four has been far more impressive, beating Kansas, Kentucky and North Carolina in their last three games. I'll take the Tigers plus the points against a fragile looking favorite. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-19 | Texas Southern v. Green Bay -5 | 86-87 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wisconsin-GB. The Phoenix come into Tuesday night's home game against Texas Southern as winners of three straight, and they were up big at the half in each and every one of those games. They are an excellent home team (14-3 home record), and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Texas Southern relies on a high scoring offense to win games, as they have allowed over 86 points per game in their last five overall. That style tends to play better at home, and while the Tigers have had some success on the road, for the most part it was versus inferior opponents. I expect the Phoenix to open up a big lead early, winning big at home. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | 63-80 | Loss | -107 | 76 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LSU Tigers. LSU comes into this Sweet Sixteen matchup versus Michigan State as an underdog. The SEC champs have been giant killers this season, beating Kentucky, Tennessee and Auburn. They jumped all over Yale in their first game at the tournament, leading 45-29 at the half. They faced a BIG10 team in their next game, and they had a 38-29 lead over Maryland at halftime in their last game at the tourney. The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games, and they appear to be on upset alert here against LSU. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State v. Houston -5.5 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Houston Cougars. I bet against the Buckeyes in their first round matchup versus Iowa State, and here is what I said before that game: "They will play a Buckeyes team that lost four of their last five games. Ohio State has a history of struggling against teams from the BIG12, failing to cover in seven straight against BIG12 teams. They have only covered the spread in one of their last eight NCAA Tournament games. The Cyclones are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. An OSU team that averaged less than 64 points per game in it's last five, and lost seven of it's last 10 overall, isn't likely to advance past the first round." OSU got the upset, but they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. The Cougars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non conference games. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-19 | Iowa v. Tennessee -7.5 | 77-83 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols got off to a good start in their first round win over Colgate, leading by a dozen at halftime. Tennessee came into the NCAA Tournament as winners of five of seven. Two of those five wins came against #4 ranked Kentucky. Iowa trailed by five points at halftime in their first round game against Cincinnati, but rallied to win by a score of 79-77. The Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six against teams with a winning record. They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to cover in five straight when coming off a win. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-19 | Baylor +14 v. Gonzaga | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. Baylor will be a double digit underdog in their second round matchup versus Gonzaga, despite the fact that 11 of their 13 losses this season have come by fewer than 10 points. Gonzaga has won three straight head to head meetings versus Baylor since 2006, but they failed to cover in two of those games. All three of those contests were decided by fewer than 10 points. The Bulldogs have a history of coming into the tournament as an overvalued favorite, and that is evidenced by the fact that they are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last six versus the WCC. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-19 | Ohio State v. Iowa State -5 | 62-59 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. The Cyclones are playing their best basketball at the right time, coming into the tournament off a double digit win over Kansas in the BIG12 Tournament Final. They will play a Buckeyes team that lost four of their last five games. Ohio State has a history of struggling against teams from the BIG12, failing to cover in seven straight against BIG12 teams. They have only covered the spread in one of their last eight NCAA Tournament games. The Cyclones are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. An OSU team that averaged less than 64 points per game in it's last five, and lost seven of it's last 10 overall, isn't likely to advance past the first round. Take ISU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-19 | Yale v. LSU -6.5 | 74-79 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LSU Tigers. I'm not too high on Yale coming out of the Ivy League. They did win the league and they won the conference tournament, but they cruised through a pretty soft schedule. They only faced one ranked team during the season, and they lost by 33 points to Duke. LSU was able to navigate a difficult schedule in the SEC, and weather the storm of a scandal involving former coach Will Wade. They managed to hold on and finish at the top of one of the toughest conference in the country. While they did lose a coach, there is no doubt that they come into this game with superior talent on the floor. LSU lost a close game to Florida in the SEC tourney, but the Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida -2 | 77-71 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USF. The South Florida Bulls will play their final home game against a struggling SMU Mustangs team. History favors the Mustangs, who have been one of the top teams in the conference over the years. That hasn't been the case this year though, and I think the bookmakers have given SMU too much love here. The Mustangs come in as losers of nine of their last 10 overall, including a home loss to South Florida. They are 2-7 on the road, and they have lost five straight away games. They have averaged just 61.6 points in their last five games, and South Florida plays strong defense at home. The Mustangs have failed to cover in four of their last five at USF, and six of the last eight meetings between the two teams have gone under the total. Take USF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-19 | Duke v. North Carolina -3.5 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. It was just a few weeks ago that North Carolina went into Cameron Indoor Stadium and laid a whupping on Duke. Now the Blue Devils look to return the favor, and some might think this looks like a natural revenge spot. I might like Duke's chances of an upset here, if they had Zion Williamson back, or if Trey Jones wasn't hurt, or if they didn't just come oh so close to losing to one of the worst teams in the conference a few days ago. Duke is a mess, and expecting them to pull it all together to beat the Tar Heels at Chapel Hill just doesn't seem at all realistic. North Carolina lead by double digits at the half in the last meeting. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-19 | Kentucky -5 v. Ole Miss | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. This is a big game for Kentucky, coming off a 19-point loss at Tennessee over the weekend. They are still in the mix at the top of the SEC, but a loss tonight at Mississippi and they can kiss their title hopes good bye. If history is any indication, they should be in good shape. They are 9-0 straight up in the last nine meetings, and they covered the spread in six of those games. They have been great on the road this season, winning seven of nine games. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-19 | Boise State v. UNLV -2 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on UNLV. The Boise State Broncos have been a powerhouse in the Mountain West for years, but they have really fallen off this year. They come into UNLV with a losing record in the conference, and a road record of 3-8. They already lost by a score of 83-72 at home versus the Rebels earlier this year, and I don't like their chances of avenging that loss here in Las Vegas. The Broncos have lost six of their last seven games, and the lone win during that span came against the bottom feeders San Jose State. The Rebels lost their last home game by a single point against one of the top teams in the conference (San Diego State), and prior to that they beat Air Force by a score of 77-72. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-19 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -2.5 | 52-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Vols lost big at Kentucky last month, but they have a chance to execute revenge here at home today. Reid Travis scored 11 points and pulled in eight rebounds in 33 minutes in that game, and the senior forward has been a key player for Kentucky this season. Travis will not play today as he nurses a knee injury. Tennessee is 16-0 at home this season, scoring an average of 82.2 points on 50.9 percent shooting in those games. The Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Tennessee, and the under is 13-5-2 in the last 20 meetings. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-19 | Ohio State v. Purdue -12 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. Ohio State is coming off a huge home win over Iowa, but they could be in big trouble here at Purdue Saturday. Not only have they lost their last two road games by a combined 28 points, they lose their center and leading scorer Kaleb Wessen to suspension. The 6"9 sophomore has been suspended for unspecified violations of school policy. He had 18 points and 11 rebounds in the win over Iowa. Purdue is 14-0 at home, and has scored almost 80 points per game in those contests. Their last three home wins came by at least a dozen points. The Boilermakers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, while Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-19 | San Diego State +9 v. Utah State | 54-70 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Diego State Aztecs. San Diego State got off to a slow start, but the Aztecs come into tonight's game at Utah State as winners of five straight and eight of nine. During that span they beat 1st place Nevada and 2nd place Utah State at home. Now the bookamkers are asking Utah State to win by double digits at home? The Aggies have lost 10 straight to the Aztecs dating back to 2014. San Diego State is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 road games versus teams with a winning record. I'll take the points. Take SDSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan -4 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. Michigan is 16-0 at home this year, and the Wolverines have won three straight meetings versus Michigan State. The Spartans last game at Ann Arbor was an 86-57 loss in 2017. The Wolverines are really shutting down opposing teams on their home court, allowing just 55.6 points per game at home. The Spartans are banged up, with two of their top three scorers sidelined by injury. The Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think the Wolverines coud be a far bigger favorite here in this game. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-19 | Oregon v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCLA. The Ducks are coming off another double digit loss at USC, and I bet against them in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "It's been a lost season for the Ducks, who were expecting to challenge for another PAC12 Title. They lost their leading scorer Bol Bol after just nine games, and Louis King and Kenny Wooten have been banged up. The Ducks lost 72-57 at Oregon State in their last game, and they shot just 53.3 percent from the free throw line in that game. They have averaged just 59.9 points per game on the road, losing five of eight games. The Ducks are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games." The Bruins have won three of the last four head to head meetings, including an overtime win at Oregon earlier this season. UCLA averages a staggering 81.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting at home. I can't see Oregon finding enough offense to hang with the Bruins. Take UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-19 | Oregon v. USC -2.5 | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-20-19 | Villanova -5.5 v. Georgetown | 73-85 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats. After blowing out St. John's in the first half (37-26), Villanova let the game slip away in the second half, losing 71-65 at MSG on Sunday. They will play at Georgetown tonight, and this looks like a good spot to bounce back with a convincing victory. The Wildcats have won nine straight meetings in this series dating back to 2015. They are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, including a pair of double digit wins at Georgetown. The are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games, while the Hoyas are 15-39-1 ATS in their last 55 home games. Georgetown is just 5-11-1 ATS in it's last 17 versus the BIG EAST. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-19 | Dayton v. Davidson -3 | 74-73 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats are tied with VCU for first place in the Atlantic-10, and they host fourth place Dayton tonight. The Flyers are coming off a home loss to VCU, and they are 4-3 on the road this season. Davidson is undefeated (12-0) at home, and has covered the spread in seven of their last 10 at home. The Flyers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games, and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a winning straight up record. The Flyers have failed to cover in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State -7 v. West Virginia | 65-51 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-17-19 | Villanova -3.5 v. St. John's | 65-71 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats. Villanova is still the cream of the crop in the Big East. They come into Sunday's game versus St. Johns as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. The one loss came by a single point on the road at Marquette. St. John's on the other hand has lost two of it's last three home games, beating Butler in overtime but losing to Providence and Georgetown. Today's game will be played at MSG in New York, and the Wildcats are 39-17 ATS in their last 56 neutral site games, while the Red Storm are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. St. John's has just one win in their last 10 versus Villanova, I see no reason to expect them to avoid losing 10 of their last 11 in this series. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-19 | Wichita State +12 v. Cincinnati | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wichita State. The Shockers lost at home by double digits versus Cincinnati earlier this season, so it seems reasonable asking the Bearcats to cover a 12 point spread at home here on Sunday. The Shockers though come in as winners of four straight, while Cincinnati is coming off a loss at Houston. Only once in their last five games have the Bearcats won by double digits, and that was a home game against Tulsa. Wichita State is actually averaging more points than Cincinnati over each team's last five games, and allowing less than three points more than the Bearcats during that span. I'll take the points here. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-19 | Monmouth +8 v. Rider | 72-81 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Monmouth Hawks. The Hawks come into tonight's game at Rider as winners of four straight, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 overall. Monmouth has won seven of it's last 10 against Rider, including a 75-71 win earlier this season. All three of Rider's wins against Monmouth came by a fewer than eight points. Home court might help, but the Broncs have failed to cover in each of their last seven home games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. I'll take the points. Take MONM. GL, Jesse Schule |