Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-16 | Lakers +4.5 v. Wolves | 99-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves are two young promising teams . At this point in the season, the Lakers look to be more polished under head coach Luke Walton, and needlessly to say have been impressive of late, winning 5 of their L/6 SU, including last nights shallacking of the Pelicans. Meanwhile, the Wolves under new HC Thibeadeau were expected to better defensively, under his tutledge, but that is not the case at the moment as the men from the city of lakes, have now allowed 119 points in two of its last three games while their opposition have scored more than 102 in all but one tilt and were uncerimoniously dumped on last night by the LA Clippers in a DD loss. Note from a league wide trends perspective - Home teams like the Wolves - a lower tier side (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record, in November games are just 10-31 ATS L/41 overall. MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games first half of the season dating back to las season. The Lakers have won their L/3 visits to Minnesota. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Nebraska-Omaha +12.5 v. USC | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
11-13-16 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 208.5 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The fast improving Hornets (6-2) are who rank 4th in defensive rating in the league and 6th in PPG allowed visit the defending champion Cavaliers (7-1) that rank near the middle of the league in pace, this Sunday afternoon in a interesting match-up. This is a Charlotte team on a upward trajectory . The Cavs knowing how fast the Hornets are I am betting will be methodical in their approach today and will try to slow this game down to crawl, and on the flips side, Charlotte's stingy D, will slow the Cavs ability to score in bunches, which will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse the number. |
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11-13-16 | Niagara +6 v. Brown | 79-88 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Niagara to cover 1 unit regarding selection |
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11-13-16 | Central Connecticut State v. Seton Hall -29.5 | 58-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
One season after Seton Hall won the Big East Tournament for the first time since 1993 and made its first NCAA Tournament in a decade, the Pirates look to continue their success with four of five starters returning from last year's squad. Their top scorer for last season, Whitehead is gone to the NBA, but this team is still deep and will be explosive offensively and very stout on defense. The team they are playing today, C ConnState is just a battering ram for them today, and I very much expect a big DD beatdown. HC Willard is 10-1 ATS L/10 in home games when playing with one or less days rest.
Seton Hall to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Pistons +5.5 v. Nuggets | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Detroit manhandled the Nuggets from the start in a 103-86 win Nov. 5, and matchup man to man very well against them. I know the Nuggets have revenge on board, but thye have some injury concerns, while Motown is fairly healthy. Stan Van Gundys Pistons base their successes and failures on D, and Im betting that what gets them the cover tonight. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Detroit -a top tier defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team like the Nuggets -47.5%45.5 are 42-14 ATS L/56 opportunities for a massive 75% conversion rate on the line. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -2 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
Milwuakee after three straight wins, has lost two in a row and will be hungry to get back in the winners column when they face a very inconsistent Grizzlies side, that is having difficulties transforming to a new faster pace system.HC Kidd of the Bucks is 33-14 ATS L/47 after 2 or more consecutive losses. According to my own power rankings the Bucks matchup very well vs the Grizzlies. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS L/11 after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last few seasons.MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS L/28 as a road underdog . Lay the points with the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Clippers v. Wolves +5.5 | 119-105 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Clippers played in Oklahoma City last night in a hard fought back forth battle that saw them win by a 110-108 count. Im sure their now in in an emotional letdown spot and on tired legs vs a Wolves side that will be primed to upset them. LA CLIPPERS are 8-19 ATS L/27 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season.From aleague wide perspective it must be noted that Any NBA team like the Clippers - a top tier offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a lower tier defensive team allowing (102 or more PPG), after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are in favorable play against angle of 42-15 ATS for a big time 74% conversion rate. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | 76ers +14.5 v. Hawks | 96-117 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Sixers got a proverbial monkey off their back on Friday, when they beat the Indiana Pacers 109-105 in overtime. With some confidence now on their sides, they come into Atlanta looking for two in a row. Previous to that win the 76ers lost a one-point decision to Cleveland on Nov. 5 and a ot loss to the Pacers. As far as matching up well vs Atlanta it must be noted, that Philadelhia is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game. Meanwhile, ATLANTA is 27-47 ATS L/74 in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less). Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Lakers +1 v. Pelicans | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
The 5-4 Lakers go against the 1-8 Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center Saturday.After defeating the Milwaukee Bucks 112-106 on the road Thursday night for their first win of the season after eight consecutive losses, I expect the Pelcians to fall flat on their faces here again tonight. Meanwhile, the Lakers after winning 4 of their L/5 look to be in a top tier flow situation. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 33-9 ATS. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Toledo v. St. Joe's -4 | 76-77 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
St.Joes to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Kent State -1 v. Cleveland State | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Illinois-Chicago v. San Francisco -3 | 80-82 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 32 m | Show | |
SF to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Kings +7 v. Blazers | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The up and down Sacarmento Kings enter this game off a loss last night to the Lakers as favs, after two straight wins and are finally starting to pay attention to playing better D, which will aid them against a run and gun Portland opponent tonight, that was smashed by DDs vs the Clippers last time out. I know that the Kings have head a heavy schedule of late, but it must be noted that NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Sacramento - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, on Friday nights are a bankroll expanding 30-8 ATS L/39.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 ATS L/50 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite.PORTLAND is 71-102 ATS L/179 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | South Alabama v. UNLV -7 | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
UNLV to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Hawaii -9.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Hawaii to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | North Carolina v. Tulane +21 | 95-75 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
Tulane to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Ohio State v. Navy +17 | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 203 | 110-108 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
It was just over a week ago that the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder went head to head for the first time this season. The aforementioned game was played in Los Angeles with the visitors snatching a hard fought 85-83 win. Defense was the name of the game in that first battle, and I am betting the formula for both sides does not change tonight. All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Clippers are 70-40 under l/110- revenging a home loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive home wins.Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Thunder - a upper tier team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights are 121-64 on the under for a 65% conversion rate on the Total. OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or less with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 194.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-1 UNDER L/17 after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games dating back to last season with a combined average of 193.9 ppg going on the board. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-2 UNDER L/17 as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points with both sides combining for an average of 191.1 ppg.HC Donovan is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots which did happen in their last game. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Jacksonville State v. Tulsa -12.5 | 84-73 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Tulsa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Eastern Kentucky -3 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Eastern Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Tennessee State v. UC-Davis +4 | 78-64 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
UC Davis to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Cavs v. Wizards +7 | 105-94 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers were in the nation's capital Thursday for a White House meeting with President Barack Obama. Hanging around the capital since then in a tense environment may not serve them well in this spot vs a Washington side hungry for an upset of the league champs. The Celtics looked off their game, on election night, and lost a 110-106 decsion to the Hawks. Washington incidently beat Atlanta last week by a 95-92 count. Washington has covered 3 of the L/4 meetings between these two teams as hosts and Im betting on the points being golden again in this spot. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Georgia Southern v. NC State -13 | 79-81 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
NC State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | La Salle v. Temple -4 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
MY early season Power rankings suggest a DD, Temple win. Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Drexel +16.5 v. Monmouth | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
Drexel to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Pittsburgh -11.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Vanderbilt -1 v. Marquette | 71-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Last season Marquettes Ellenson led the Golden Eagles and the Big East in rebounding (9.7rpg) and finished third in the league in scoring (17ppg), but he left for the NBA in the off season and is now with Detroits D league team. This Marquette squad will still be tough on the interior, but major flaws remain from a 8-10 Big East team from a year ago. Meanwhile, despite of Vandy also losing some players they have added quality talent, and now have a top tier coach in Drew, who will guide this team to a upward projectory. This team is being played on a neutral court, but with Ellenson gone Vandy has the definite edge. |
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11-10-16 | Warriors v. Nuggets +6 | 125-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets did not make the play offs last season , but they played well against teams that were considered contenders and did make the post season. Denver isn't intimidated by the Warriors' imposing roster and beat the Golden State Warriors at home and lost a hard fought battle as visitors on the Dubs own court in OT, covering both times. The Nuggets actually matchup well vs the Warriors, especially in the Mile High City where the young legs of Nuggets can keep pace with a run and gun visitor that will feel the effects of the thin air. Denver has won 2 of the L/3 meetings here. NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the Nuggets - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% plus of their shots are 44-8 SU. Take the points with Denver 1 unit reg selection |
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11-10-16 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Bucks | 112-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans after starting their season with a ugly 0-8 record have public bettors turning against them. But in my usual contrarian fashion, Im recommending we take the lowly Pelicans here against the spread. I know the Pelicans are playing without Tyreke Evans and Quincy Poindexter and J'Rue Holiday but their replacements are more than adequate. Meanwhile, the Bucks who are 4-3 SU on the season, are a over rated team, that is getting far to much respect from the lines-makers.The two teams met earlier this month in New Orleans with Milwaukee holding on late for a 117-113 victory to snap a 14-year losing streak in the Bayou, and both look evenly matched , with one side, the Pelcians being extremely desperate. The Bucks are from a solid group, as they are allowing 18.1 points per game on 16.1 turnovers. Their struggles was evident again Sunday as Milwaukee gave up 21 points on 27 turnovers. Truth is this Bucks side cannot be trusted as favorites. NBA Home teams like the Bucks - a low level foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games are 119-185 for a go against conversion rate of 61% on the line.NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 ATS L/21 after 8 or more consecutive losses.MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games . Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-10-16 | Bulls +2.5 v. Heat | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
When the Chicago Bulls (4-4) visit the Miami Heat (2-4) on Thursday, alot of focus will be on Dwyane Wade, the shooting guard, and 12-time NBA All-Star and three-time NBA champion. His teammates will primed to support him in his quest to take down his former team. "I'm looking forward to it," Wade told ESPN after the Bulls beat the Orlando Magic on Monday night. "I'm looking forward to playing in the environment I played in for 13 years and competing against guys I've played with and have relationships with." So when Dwayne Wade is keyed up, there are few players in the game that can control a court like him. Considering the Heat have lost 2 of 3 home games already, their weak favorites here considering the circumstances. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Chicago - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 50-18 ATS. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-09-16 | Rockets +8.5 v. Spurs | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
San Antonio , was almost perfect at home last season when it won 40 of its 41 regular-season games at the AT&T Center. but early this season they have already dropped two in a row at home - including an ugly 116-92 setback to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday.Meanwhile Houston has looked decent this season, winning 2 of their L/3 while covering 4 of their L/6 including a 4-1 ATS mark in their L/5 away games. With that said, lets take the points with the motivated and much improved visitor. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-08-16 | Suns +8 v. Blazers | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
I really like Portland and believe their under rated, but todays line in this Phoenix game is off according to my own power rankings. One of Phoenix's two wins this season came against the Trail Blazers, when guard Eric Bledsoe's 3-pointer at the buzzer in overtime plunged through the net for a dagger like 118-115 victory. With that said, the Suns matchup well against Portland, especially with their star guard Lillard battling a thumb and ankle injuries. Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Suns won three of the past four meetings.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.Suns are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Underdog is 10-4 ATS. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | 110-106 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Cleveland swept Atlanta in the Eastern Conference semifinals last spring and despite of the addition of Dwight Howard to the Hawks lineup, Im betting the defending champs are still the superior side and will control play in the interior. NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Hawks - a decent shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), dominant rebounding side (5.5 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) The Cavaliers is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games against Southeast division opponents by an average margin of victory coming by 16 ppg. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and have failed to cover and lost6 straight as a road dog by an average of 11.7 ppg. .Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.Hawks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-07-16 | Magic +6 v. Bulls | 80-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls averaged 113.7 points and outscored its opposition by 17.7 points in the first three contests but is now slumping in a big way as is evident by scoring 99.3 points and being outscored by 12.3 points in the last three tilts, which was culminated with a ugly 111-94 loss at Indiana on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, having won 3 straight games, after starting out with three straight losses. With these teams trending in the opposite direction, Im betting on taking the points ending up being golden here. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 22-51 ATS L/73. CHICAGO is 2-16 ATS L/18 against Southeast division opponents and s 8-20 ATS L/28 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Bulls are 6-25 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Southeast.Magic are 7-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Magic are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Underdog is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
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11-07-16 | Rockets v. Wizards UNDER 216.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rockets enter this game playing better D, this season overall, which was a focal point of the coaching staff in the off season. In their first 6 games , 3 opponents have been held under triple digits. In their last game against Atlanta the rocketmen lost 112-97, and now I expect they bounce back with a more concerted defensive effort tonight vs Washington. This will be their 4th straight road game, so they will be on tired legs and also in shape to run and gun. ( Note: Under is 10-4 in Rockets last 14 road games) Meanwhile, the Wizards after three sloppy Defensive efforts to begin their season, have held their L/2 opponents to 92, and 88 points respectively, and a stingy repeat performance won't be surprising.Under is 14-5 in Wizards last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER L/8 as a road underdog of 3 points or less dating back to last season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Washington. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-06-16 | Blazers -2 v. Grizzlies | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies and Portland Trail Blazers both enter Sunday's matchup at the FedEx Forum with 3-3 records , but my own power rankings suggest the Blazers are the superior team. I have matained since last season that the Blazers were extremely under rated and nothing has changed my opinion since. I also believe Damian Lillard is one of a kind star in the NBA , and his numbers make this evident. Portland's star guard ranks third in the NBA in scoring at 34.2 points a game and became the first player since O'Neal in 1994 to score at least 27 points in each of his first six games. After analyzing the Grizzlies early this season, I feel their development under a new uptempo system , will hinder them, and today, against this type of a opponent they are at a disadvantage. Note: Portland is 31-14 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots. Injury update: Mike Conely questionable vs Blazers ( Achilles) if he does play he will be less than 100%. Play on the Portland Trailblazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Wizards +5 v. Magic | 86-88 | Win | 102 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are just what Wizards need to cash a second straight ticket and right their proverbial early season ship. The Wizards are off an impressive win vs a tough Atlanta squad last time out and now have momentum. Washington has beaten Orlando 8 straight times, in every imaginable way. I know the Magic have said in the media that enough is enough, and their going to end this now, but hey while words are powerful and thoughts can manifest, Im betting on a rip from a Rolling Stones song being key here. You Don't Always get what you want. I also don't put much faith in the fact that the two wins the Magic have garnered have come against Philadelphia, and Sacramento. Even if John Wall misses tonights game, I very much like the Wizards chances at covering an exageratted line. Play on the Washington wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-04-16 | Blazers -1 v. Mavs | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost their first 4 games, and lack off offense has been the culprit in their L/3 as they faild to eclipse the 100 point plateau. The Mavs are ranked 25 th in offensive output in the league and 23rd in offensive effeciency and 23rd in defensive rating. The once mighty Mavs are now in rebuild and Dirk Notwitzki is getting older and more injury prone and can no longer be counted on to lead the way all by himself, despite of what the media would have you believe. Meanwhile, Portland is 2-3 on the season, and own the leagues 4th most potent offense. The D, has let them down, but they are more than capable of correcting this, as they rank amongst the most under rated teams in the NBA. PORTLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games DALLAS is 17-32 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts .NBA Favorites like the Portland Blazers - off an upset loss as a road favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games are 30-8 ATS for a powerful 79% conversion rate .
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11-04-16 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 212.5 | 112-111 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Phoinex ranks 23 of 30 teams in offensive effeciency. Meanwhile The pelicans rank 29 in offensive rating. New Orleans versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts spanning a 20 game sample size dating back to last season, have seen an average of 206.2 ppg go on the scoreboard, giving us some value vs this posted total. PHOENIX is 29-13 UNDER L/42 after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games. Also from a league wide NBA trends data base : All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Pelcians- after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a lower tier side winning 25% or less of their games on the season have gone under 23 of the L/27 times. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-04-16 | Clippers -5 v. Grizzlies | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers enter this contest with the leagues top defense allowing an average of just 91 ppg and the best defensive rating in the league. That bad news for a Memphis Grizzlies side that ranks 26th in offense, despite of a new style that wants to show case a little bit more run and gun action. The Clippers are a tremednous two way team, and destined for bigger and better things. After alot of post season debacles, you can see they are now a ruthless/grizzled type of side, that does not easily get flustered, not even on the road . It must be noted that LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last few seasons, with the average margin of victory coming by 10.5 ppg.
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11-04-16 | Suns +3.5 v. Pelicans | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Phoenix comes in here as a live underdog acording to my own numbers and stats and power ranking evalulations. NBA ,Home favorites like the Pelicans are 15-45 ATS - after 2 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season. Also NBA home teams with a lower tier Defense, allowing 103 or more points per game after allowing 100 or more point in two straight tilts like the Pelicans are 5-23 ATS. Phoenix gets the nod here according to current trends and my early season power rankings. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-03-16 | Kings +1.5 v. Magic | 94-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Patrick Cousins is a walking talking freak show and time bomb. But , hey the guy can play basketball, so I guess he can be given a break, since we are talking basketball. The talented star is averaging 26.8 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game. The Kings are 4.6 points per 100 possessions better with Cousins on the floor than their opponents, according to NBA.com's stats database. They score a team-best 109.9 points per 100 possessions with Cousins on the floor. Their season average is 100.9. Witht hat said, the NBA top big man Cousins should do very well today, vs a revamped Orlando team that I have downgraded. The Magic Magic are giving up 106.6 points per game and dont matchup well vs the Kings. It must be noted Orlando is off a ugly close win vs the Sixers and the Kings are off loss. However, the Kings play into a league wide trend, that suggests they have an edge here as All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Sacramento - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 23-4 ATS in their follow up game for a powerful 85% conversion rate. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 209 | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers relied on defense to roll past the Utah Jazz 88-75 in their home opener Sunday, and will once again center on controlling tempo in this event vs a Oklahoma City side that likes to run and gun. Look for another concerted defensive effort from the Cliipers and for their efforts to result in a Total combined score that remains on the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-5 UNDER L/24 versus poor passing teams, averaging 20 or less assists/game.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game with an average 203 ppg going on the scoreboard.LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season. LA CLIPPERS are 12-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points with a combined average of 190.9 ppg going on the board.LA CLIPPERS are 17-4 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average og 195.2 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 UNDER L/21 in home games against Northwest division opponents with na average of 195.8 ppg getting scored. LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games after scoring 110 points or more which happened in a 116-98 win last time out, with an average of 193.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Bulls +4 v. Celtics | 100-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Dwyane Wade and the new-look Chicago Bulls with 7 new players put their perfect start on the line when they visit the Boston Celtics in an early season rematch Wednesday night. Last week in Chicago, the Bulls (3-0) scored a 105-99 victory over the Celtics (2-1) and look like they matchup very well vs the Celtics. The Bulls have looked very cohesive, for not having played with each other, and if things remain intact, their chemistry looks like the key to more of their current success on the court. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Pelicans +6 v. Grizzlies | 83-89 | Push | 0 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game in desperation mode, after starting their current campaign at 0-4 SU. The biright spot is star Anthony Davis who is averaging 37 points and 13 rebounds a game. the key problem for Pelicans is that they have allowed 111 points a game. HC Gentry was livid after the last game, which is rare for guy with a calm cool character. Now with a fire lit under their behinds, I expect the Pelicans come out here, with all guns blazing. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors this Tuesday night. Last season, the Blazers matched up well vs the Dubs , in the play offs despite of losing. I continue to rank Portland higher than the linesmakers and very much like their chances to cover in this spot. Note: GS Durant was injured in his last game, but will play, but is less than 100% and has been known to be injury prone, and may have his minutes limited. Golden State is 15-30 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams .PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.( LR: Port 115- Denver 113) Golden State is 0-3 ATS so far this season. From a league wide perspective nba teams like Golden State- off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games have failed to cover 24 of the L/29 times for go against 83% ATS conversion rate.
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10-30-16 | Warriors v. Suns +12 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have some questions marks surrounding them, from my own perspective. After closely watching sports since I was maybe 6 years old, (48 years) it was evident that some teams with star laden lineups never materialized into great teams, and some remained very average. Now Im not saying this is the case with the Warriors, but with the addition of Durant in the off season, could the possibility of over crowded ego situation hamper the Warriors. Their loaded , but so far this season, their flow seems a little off especially defensively in transistion. They were beaten up on by San Antonio 129-100 in their home opener and despite of beating New Orleans last time out, 122-114 they still don't have the feel of a championship team at the moment. I know its early, and Im not suggesting anything apocalyptic, but they have given me food for thought. With that said, today here on the road, the Dubs are being asked to cover a DD spread, and in the past this may have looked like a positive ATS situation for them. But Im betting not today, vs a young talented Suns team that clobbered the Sacramento Kings in their first game and than lost to Oklahoma City in a hard fought OT battle. Last season, the Warriors crushed Phoenix by 19 and 25 points in their first two meetings, but then had to battle hard for very tough eight- and seven-point victories later in the season. You might be saying, but now the Warriors have Durnat in their lineup. But it must be noted , he's recorded double-figure rebounds just once in three matchups last season vs the Suns. Look for the Suns Booker and Bledsoe to be instrumental in a cover for the home side today.
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10-29-16 | Blazers +2 v. Nuggets | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are loaded with young talent, but they're developing almost all of it simultaneously and their will be growing pains. Denver, did pull off a win as a road underdog in their first game of the season, but are 2-11 ATS L/13 off a road win and 8-20 ATS L/28 after playing as a road underdog. From a league wide trends perspective: NBA teams of-3 to +3 line of a upset win like the Nuggets are 95-153 ATS in the followup game for a lowly 38% ATS conversion rate. Meanwhile visiting Portland is a very under rated team, and I expect they build on their 44 win season last year and a play off series. They lost as underdogs to the Clippers in a hotly contested home opener, but are now 31-18 ATS after playing a game as underdog. Bottom line: Portland is the superior side, and have proven that in 7 of their L/8 meetings. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -1.5 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Three highly-regarded newcomers for the New York Knicks will be play tonight for the first time in NY as Knicks host the Memphis Grizzlies Saturday at Madison Square Garden.Center Joakim Noah and shooting guard Courtney Lee and former MVP Derrick Rose bring their show to the big apple. There is alot of hope , among the pundits , in NY for a resurgence of the franchises fortunes and this is a big opportunity to slowly but surely move in that direction. Im even expecting the lackadaisical star Carmello Anthony to put on a rare game face , and help lead his team past the visiting Grizzlies. Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Hawks v. 76ers +7.5 | 104-72 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
I really like the way Philadelphia handled themselves vs the Oklahoma City Thunder in their opening game despite of losing. I was very impressed by Joel Embiid who had 20 points and a core of young players that look ready to take the next step forward in their development. Meanwhile, Atlanta;s once dominating starting five no longer boasts Tegaue or Hoford , and must be considered much less intimidating with Shroder and Dwight Howard as their replacements. There is finally some light at the end of the tunnel and Philly and with that I recommend we take the points here with the home side. Philadephia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | Suns +9.5 v. Thunder | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns lost their first game of the season to Sacramento, but as the game went on it became apparent that their young players are aggressive and fast , and must not be underestimated coming into this contest. With Suns guard Bledsoe healthy again the Suns remain dangerous underdogs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City had their hands full with Philadelphia last time out, pulling out a late win, but a non cover. Dealing with the loss of Ibaka and Durant in the front court, Im betting will mess with their offensive flow, and against a speedy Suns line up that will become apparent tonight. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-24 ATS L/37 when playing against a team with a losing record and they are 8-21 ATS L/29 after a non conference game. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | Magic +4.5 v. Pistons | 82-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Stan Van Gundy the respected coach of th Detroit Pistons anticipated his offense would have some problems in the early part of this season. Motowns head coach has even more concerns about his defense and rebounding after an less than respectable performance on opening night vs Toronto in a loss.The Pistons also clearly missed floor leader Reggie Jackson, who is expected to sit out approximately 20 games with knee tendinitis and are in trouble again vs a hungry Orlando team also off a loss. I know Orlando looked bad in their opener, but I have more hope for them right now than I do the Pistons, at least from a head on matchup perspective. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS L/17 off a home loss . Detroit has had the upper hand in recent meetings, but this is a revamped Magic side, and they now get to go against a depleted and banged up Pistons team that is no where near where they were last season, at the moment. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | Cavs -2 v. Raptors | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
I have alot of respect for the Raptors, but the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers are the superior side, according to my numbers. Thus covering a 2 or 3 point spread makes for a viable wager. Toronto (1-0) had its season cut short last spring by the Cavaliers, who defeated the Raptors in six games of the Eastern Conference finals to advance to the NBA Finals and the Raps are still not ready in my humble opinion to change those recent outcomes. Cleveland (1-0) opened the season with a 117-88 thumping of the New York Knicks on Tuesday night and look more explosive than ever. From a long term NBA trends comes this beauty: Underdogs like Toronto - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points like the Cavs are 64-111 ATS for ugly 36% conversion rate on the betting line. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-16 | Clippers v. Blazers +2 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
Last season, the Blazers exceeded expectations with a 44 win season. They continue to be under estimated and their young group led by Lillard are only getting better with age. Meanwhile, the Clippers remain airly intact, and have stayed that way for a few years now, which makes them pretty easy to figure out from a systems perspective. I know LAC is explosive and talented, but a good technical team can play spoliers against them more often than not. |
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10-27-16 | Spurs v. Kings UNDER 205.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Kings took a 113-94 win as underdogs, opening-night at Phoenix on Tuesday and played some exrtremely good D, allowing the Suns just 38 first half points. After allowing a league high 109.1 ppg on defense last season, playing better in transistion has become a focal point for improvement for the Kings. Tonight, knowing how explosive their opponent is defense will once again come to the forefront. Meanwhile, we all know that playing strong D, is a key for the Spurs, as was evident when they held the Golden State Warriors potent offense to just 100 points in their wild 129-100 victory opener. From a league wide trends perspective it must be noted that All NBA teams like the Kings and Spurs where the total is 200 to 209.5 - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more have gone under 31 of the L/40 times. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more with ana verage combined score of 181.8 ppg. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-16 | Thunder v. 76ers +9 | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Embiid and Saric, two Euro hoops stars that it took years to get over to Philly, will now lead a young team that might finally have the pieces to move forward.These new pegs including bringing over Jayred Bayless from Milwaukee to run the point bring genuine hope to a Sixers fan base that needs some positive news. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State now has to deal with finding chemistry without Durant and Ibaka in the front court, which Im betting will be more troubling than many pundits might expect. OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-15 ATS L/20 against Atlantic division opponents . PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS L/19 against Northwest division opponents and 21-8 ATS L/29 in non-conference games. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-16 | Spurs +9 v. Warriors | 129-100 | Win | 100 | 33 h 7 m | Show | |
The Warriors, enter this season loaded with stars including newly acquired FA Durant, reigning back-to-back MVP Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green. Meanwhile, the Spurs remain as potent as ever. even though they are now without retired Tim Duncan. Spurs Starting Lineup: Tony Parker, Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard, LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol. Bottom line here: Just because the Warriors are loaded, it still a situation where chemistry has not been factored in and whether this group will work well together . Tonight Im betting this line is being over estimated and that getting points here is a strong opportunity to cash a ticket. SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS L/34 ATS first half of the season. Road underdogs like the Spurs a horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted 21 or less free throws/game are 58-27 ATS L/85 opportunities. Also nba teams like San Antonio vs the money line - excellent offensive team from last season that scored 102 or more points are 51-17 SU. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-16 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 204.5 | 88-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
NY K new HC Jeff Hornacek continues to look forward to implementing his uptempo style of basketball into a triangle system that Phil Jackson insists on continuing to be used. I personally believe the HC may have problems getting the most out of the system with the personnel he has. Also with the linesmakers more than aware of how the public will perceive this , they will raise this total past where it should be, thus giving some room for sharp money to step in. Overall I expect despite of emotions involved in raising a championship banner, that the home side , are well aware of their run and gun opponents intentions and will be ready to slow the flow down to suit their intentions. NEW YORK is 30-15 L/45 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 200 . CLEVELAND is 32-14 UNDER L/46 against Atlantic division opponents. The L/7 meetings in this series have stayed under the Total. Under is 20-6 in Knicks last 26 overall.Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 23-9 in Cavaliers last 32 vs. NBA Atlantic. From a NBA wide perspective , All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 - good ball handling team like Cleveland from last season that committed 14 or less turnovers/game are 101-61 on the under in a huge sample size for a hefty 63% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | 93-89 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting this will be a hard fought game, but Im also betting on Golden State doing what they do best and that is score with their down town 3 point connections ( Curry and Thompson) and for the Cleveland Cavaliers to have no choice but to keep pace with some explosive offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. This will lead to a Total combined score that will see this Total eclipsed. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -5 | 93-89 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
NBA home teams in best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 7 have a 101-24 (.808) record in all rounds, and a 15-3 SU(.833) record in the Finals. The last NBA team to lose Game 7 of the Finals at home was the old Supersonics in Seattle, to the old Washington Bullets in 1978. Golden State are true NBA Champs and Im betting they find a way to win this game and bring home a second consecutive championship ring. Play on the Golden State Warriros to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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06-13-16 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 206 | 112-97 | Loss | -107 | 60 h 13 m | Show | |
Cleveland has proven that they cannot run and gun with the defending champs consistently, and if they hope to somehow make a comeback in this series, against the Dubs , their DEFENSE will have to be the key to their game plan. Tonight I expect LeBron and company will be out to make life physically painful for the Warriors and for the final score of this tilt to end up on the low side of the number. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -1.5 | 108-97 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland looked rusty in game 1 and 2 of this NBA finals series after a long lay off, after desposing of the Toronto Raptors in 6 games. Also it takes time to acclimate yourself to playing against the talent level that the Warriors put out nightly. They proved this synopsis in game 3 on their own home florr and now I am betting on LeBron James and company to be much more prepared to steal a game away from the Dubs and even this series at 2 games a piece . Teams are 4-21-1 ATS failing to cover by more than 6 points on the road after playing as a road dog off a loss. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 206.5 | 108-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
06-08-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -1 | 90-120 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Well LeBron James and company really have their work cut for them, after they were unceremoniously manhandled in back to back games by the defending champion Warriors to open up this NBA Finals series. I am a big believer in James, and the ability for the Cavaliers to at least save some face here tonight in front of their home town fans, after being humiliated. Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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06-08-16 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 206 | 90-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Warriors defensive effecicney in back to back lopsided home victories to start this series , will continue here on the road, and probably even more physical intensity will be planned on being used tonight as the Cavaliers are expected to throw everything including the kitchen sink at them tonight. The Warriors under rated DEFENSE, DEFENSE , DEFENSE and more defense will help keep this game on the low side of the Totals number. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-05-16 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 207 | 77-110 | Win | 100 | 63 h 15 m | Show | |
06-05-16 | Cavs +6.5 v. Warriors | 77-110 | Loss | -108 | 63 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland looked rusty in game 1 of this NBA finals series after a long lay off, after desposing of the Toronto Raptors in 6 games. Also it takes time to acclimate yourself to playing against the talent level that the Warriors put out nightly. Now I am betting on LeBron James and company to be much more prepared to steal a game away from the Dubs , who have proven vulnerable on more than one occasion during these play offs and in the 2nd half of this season. |
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06-02-16 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 210.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
06-02-16 | Cavs +6 v. Warriors | 89-104 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers enter this game 1 tilt against the Golden State Warriors well rested and ready to compete for a NBA championship. Meanwhile, the Warriors are exhausted from a grueling 7 game series against the Oklahoma City Thunder. With that said, I am betting on LeBron and company to come out breathing fire tonight, as they try to steal at least one game in Oakland. Considering how beat up the Warriors are , I feel the Cavaliers have the edge in at least in game 1 via a the blue print that the Thunder presented to all who watched their game plan progress in the previous series vs the Dubs. With that said, take the points with the visitors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-30-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7 | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors after falling behind 3 games to 1 in this series vs what was a red hot Oklahoma City Thunder, have bounced back to tie this series at 3 games a piece entering tonight Game 7 forray. During these play offs I felt that the Thunder got hot at just the right time, thanks to their bench coming out and playing big. Now I feel strongly they have cooled off and could get really shallacked by a championship side, that knows how to finish off opponents. For me there is only one way to go, and that is to back the Dubs to show us what being one of the greatest teams of time is all about. Lay the lumber with the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-28-16 | Warriors +2.5 v. Thunder | 108-101 | Win | 104 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder have not really had any pressure on them this season, but I really feel they are under as much pressure as the Golden state Warriors are here in game 6. Yes, the Dubs are facing elimination in a hostile environment, but the Thunder also know that if they can't finish off the Warriors here, that a pivotal game 7 will take place back in Oakland. With that said, after watching game 5 it became apparent to me that Curry finally looked close to 100% and that Andrew Bogut was finally fully healthy. When both these guys are in top form few teams can compete with the Warriors. It also became apparent, that the Dubs defense, were dealing better with the Warriors secondary group, behind Westbrook and Durant which is key to stopping the Thunder . With that said, I am betting the defending champion Golden State Warriors come to play tonight and get us the all important cover. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-27-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Hats off to the Toronto Raptors for standing tall in game 3 and 4 of this series, but after watching the Cavaliers finally wake up in game 5 winning a conclusive 111-72 victory its obvious which team the superior side is. That humiliating loss for the Raptors was the worst margin loss by a team in a semi play off game since 2001. Tonight with LeBron James smelling blood in the water, and a appearance in the NBA Finals, I expect we will see the best of the Cavaliers, which will not be a good omen for the Raps or their fans. |
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05-26-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7.5 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 36 h 59 m | Show | |
All I can say is WOW! Who could have seen this coming. First the Thunder disposed of the Spurs, and now their up 3 games to 1 against the Warriors. I have felt from the beginning that the Thunder, were not the front runners for a NBA Championship during this years play offs, and despite of my retractors, I still feel the same. I prefer to think this team got hot at the right time, and now whether Im delusional or not , I am waiting for them to cool off. Since last year the Dubs have proven over and over again they are the best team in basketball, and now they have to prove themselves again. I will give them the benefit of the doubt via a minimal investment in this spot with their backs up against the wall in a do or die situation. Lay the lumber with the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-25-16 | Raptors v. Cavs -10.5 | 78-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers did not fear the Raptors when this series began, and maybe didn't respect them' either. But now after Canada's only team showed some amazing tenaciousness and gritt to even this series at 2 games a piece, Im betting that now the Cavaliers will get back to business and show their true superiority. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-24-16 | Warriors -110 v. Thunder | 94-118 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 38 m | Show | |
The Warriors looked like the superior team in the first half of game 1 , taking a DD lead into the 2nd half before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel, and game two got stronger as the game progressed, and once again looked like the superior side notching a DD win in game 2 . I than expected that the Warriors would come out and be wide awake in game 3, after seeing for themselves how hot the Thunder were. But they looked inadequately prepared in the last game, and now must, and I repeat..... must win this game. Its funny how quickly the minds of the public and pundits change and how the Thunder now have many backers and believers coming out of the wood work to support them. However, it must be noted that during the reg season, the Thunder got very hot at times , but than suddenly tanked for extended periods of time. Whether they stay hot enough to go to the finals is still to be seen, but for tonight at least , I expect the defending champions come out and show their superiority. Its under these kinds of circumstances great teams shine. The Dubs are one of the great teams of this generation and I will give them the benefit of the doubt when all the chips are down Ill back Golden State Warriors. Play on the Golden State Warriors 1 unit reg selection |
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05-23-16 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 197 | 99-105 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
05-23-16 | Cavs v. Raptors +6.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
05-22-16 | Warriors -2.5 v. Thunder | 105-133 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
The Warriors looked like the superior team in the first half of game 1 , taking a DD lead into the 2nd half before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel, and game two got stronger as the game progressed, and once again looked like the superior side notching a DD win . Now well aware of what Oklahoma City is capable of Im betting they come out here and really show us some championship calibre basketball as visitors again with what I am betting will show the basketball world that the Dubs are true defending champs. Play on the Golden State Warriors 1 unit reg selection |
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05-21-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 198.5 | 84-99 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are now in full attack mode after throttling the Raptors 115-84 in game 1 of this series and than smashing them again by DDs in game 2- 108-89. Now despite of the change in venues Im betting the Raptors as hosts still wont be able to stop the explosive Cavaliers , as they are still tired from their two exhausting opening round series vs Indiana and Miami. With that said, look for the well rested Cavs to continue to rock the house offensively again in game 3 and for the Raptors to chase again, which will eventually see this combined score easily eclipse the beatable Total. Over is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 Conference Finals games. Over is 24-6 in Raptors last 30 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-19-16 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 198.5 | 89-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are now in full attack mode after throttling the Raptors 115-84 in game 1 of this series and Im betting the Raptors wont be able to stop them again, as they are still tired from their two opening round series vs Indiana and Miami. With that said, look for the well rested Cavs to rock the house offensively again in game 2 and for the Raptors to chase again, which will eventually see this combined score easily eclipse the beatable Total. Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 24-5 in Raptors last 29 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-3 in Cavaliers last 14 Conference Finals games.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -8.5 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Warriors looked like the superior team in the first half of game 1 , taking a DD lead into the 2nd half before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel . Now well aware of what Oklahoma City is capable of Im betting they come out here and really show us some championship calibre basketball with what I am betting will be an easy win in game 2. The Dubs are 6-1 ATS L/7 after a ATS loss. The home team has only failed to cover 1 of the L/9 games in this series. Lay the points with the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7.5 | 108-102 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Everybody and his dog is now a Oklahoma City fan after they upset and outplayed a very good San Antonio side in the 2nd round. That is why I really like the Golden State Warriors tonight. Yes, you heard me right. thanks to the Thunders extroidanary performance vs the Spurs, we now get a value line to bet into by backing a well rested the Golden State Warriors at home vs a side in an emotional letdown situation, after playing at high level of energy .I am also betting the Warriors will be extremely confident that, with Curry is now closer to 100 percent, and will have his full shooting capabilities back for the series. The last series showed is all that Thompson will be even more confident, and with this duo rocking even Durant and Westbrook will take back seat to the headlines. Note:Durant has struggled from 3-point range in the playoffs, shooting 27.9 percent from that distance. Westbrook is also timid from long distance, and when he does take these shots from the land of the trey, owns a 29.6 percent shot coversion rate from there during the regular season. Outside of a 14-point performance in his previous game, starting shooting guard Andre Roberson hasn't shot much. So if these trends continue, the Warriors could easily run and gun their way to a big win in game 1 tonight. Bet on it! Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-15-16 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 188.5 | 89-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Heat have morphed as this season has progressed and have gone , from a big, bruising team to an undersized, speedy one, with Dwayne Wade looking like a 19 yr old again. Actually both teams are looking different , but today I feel we will see the Raptors Rozen and Lowry at their best in a game that I am betting will be much speedier than many pundits expect. Both Raptors players have picked up their offense in the last couple of games and that in part is why I can see this total being eclipsed. Im also expecting a fairly close game, which adds to my thoughts on a combined score that eclipses this number. Over is 13-6 in Heat last 19 Conference Semifinals games,Over is 23-5 in Raptors last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-12-16 | Spurs -117 v. Thunder | 99-113 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs proved for much of this season, to be a team that played with intensity via some very deep talent. The men from San Antone were indeed a seasoned group of veterans and young guns that combined to represent a tough adversary for all comers. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City despite of flashes of brilliance looked like a team that depended to much on on the duo of Westbrook and Durant and lacked the depth needed to win a championship. The Thunder have now made a huge impact on how many of us see them, but one thing holds true and that is the superior more experienced side, is in a do or die situation, which makes the Spurs extremely dangerous. I like the Thunder and the tremendous heart they have exhibited in this series, but in this kind of situation, San Antonio I am betting comes to play and leaves everything on the court, and leaves with a victory which will force a game 7. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-11-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 188.5 | 91-99 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
Recent games in this series have become very methodical and physical and obviously low scoring. I know Hassan Whiteside, is not expected to play tonight for the Heat, but in the recent past the Heat have shown a propensity to actually be better defensively without him, despite of media proliferation of the opposite. If your a close watcher of the Heat, this exact concept , despite of being hard to grasp has been tackled on various radio shows, and some of the numbers during the current season suggest support for this. Also from the Raptors side, it seems key cogs, Lowry and DeRozan are struggling offensively, and the team as a whole is relying on D to be their catalysts. With that said, I expect both teams to take part in another conservative affair and a combined score that fails to eclipse the Total. Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Raptors last 12 overall.Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 road games. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-10-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199.5 | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to play the San Antonio Spurs in game 5 of their NBA 2nd round series this Tuesday night. The Thunder in game 4, won a 111-97 decision at home to even the series at 2 games a piece. In that game the Thunder exerted alot of emotional energy. Needless to say, it won't be easy playing at that level again , vs a Spurs side that is dead set on getting back to solid physical defensive performances and shutting down the Thunders momentum and offensive cohesiveness. Oklahoma City's 111-97 victory ranked among the most points that an opposing team has scored against the Spurs in any of Popovich's 254 playoff games.Spurs HC Popovich and company have traded offensive rebounds for their usually staunch transition defense, and this I'm betting stops here. The above situations will translate into a much slower and physical defensive game than many might now think possible. The linesmakers agree with my assessments, with a 199.5 Total, but there is still room for a value under play in this spot in a game Im predicting combines to not eclipse the low 190s. Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and they are 5-1 under in their L/6 home games, and 20-8 in their L/28 Western Conference affairs. Under is 5-2 L/7 meetings.
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05-09-16 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 214 | 132-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
The Portland Trailblazers host the Golden State Warriors in a game that I am betting will be fast paced and full throttle . The linesmakers agree with my assessment, as they have raised the opening number on the total from game 3, a full three points. It's no mystery that the young Blazers play their best hoops at home behind a no fear take no prisoners attitude, as was evident in their game 3 victory here by a 120-108 count, eclispig the set total by 17 points. Portland also played more effeciently than defending champs for almost 42 of the 48 minutes in Game 2, and will once again be a force to be dealt with as was the case in a , 137-105 thrashing of the Warriors in regular-season victory Feb. 19 . With that said it must be noted that five of Portland's starters can capably advance the ball, and will consistently key spot-up looks for Lillard and McCollum. Meanwhile, we all know what the Dubs can do offensively, especially if forced into a small ball lineup, which is what I'm betting happens again today. Note: Portland's owns the 2nd worst Defensive rating with 105.6 points allowed per 100 possessions, from teams left in this years play offs. Over is 9-0 in . Blazers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-09-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 191 | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
05-08-16 | Cavs -5 v. Hawks | 100-99 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers have owned the Atlanta Hawks for a while now and are 7-0 SU/ATS in the L/7 in this series, and have beaten the Atlanta Hawks 11 straight times in the play offs, and once again look like solid sides to back in todays predicted 4-0 sweep of this series. In game two of this series, the Hawks were dismantled 123-98, and that kind of beat down has a humbling effect on a team that may make it hard for the Hawks bounce back, as was evident when after throwing everything but the kitchen sink at Cleveland game 3 still fell short and lost 121-108 . In my humble opinion laying 5 points with the Cavaliers, is a value option considering the past matchup situations in this series, and obvious current matchup discrepancies. |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 211.5 | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
The Portland Trailblazers host the Golden State Warriors in a game that I am betting will be fast paced and full throttle . It's no mystery that the young Blazers play their best hoops at home behind a no fear take no prisoners attitude. Portland played more effeciently that defending champs for almost 42 of the 48 minutes in Game 2, and will once again be a force to be dealt with as was the case in a , 137-105 thrashing of the Warriors in regular-season victory Feb. 19 . With that said it must be noted that five of Portland's starters can capably advance the ball, and will consistently key spot-up looks for Lillard and McCollum. Meanwhile, we all know what the Dubs can do offensively, especially if forced into a small ball lineup, which is what I'm betting happens today. Note: Portland's owns the 2nd worst Defensive rating with 105.6 points allowed per 100 possessions, from teams left in this years play offs. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-06-16 | Cavs -3 v. Hawks | 121-108 | Win | 102 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers have owned the Atlanta Hawks for a while now and are 6-0 SU/ATS in the L/6 in this series, and have beaten the Atlanta Hawks 10 straight times in the play offs, and once again look like solid sides to back. In game two of this series, the Hawks were dismantled 123-98, and that kind of beat down has a humbling effect on a team that may make it hard for the Hawks to bounce back. In my humble opinion laying points with the Cavaliers, is a value option considering the past matchup situations in this series. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-05-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 188 | 92-96 | Push | 0 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
. Game 1 of this series featuring the Raptors and the Miami Heat featured some hardcore physical defensive basketball and some bad shooting from some key players on both sides that resulted in a lower scoring affair that saw the scoreboard flash a 90-87 score favoring Miami with nearly no time on the clock when Toronto's Lowry hit a Hail Mary to send the game to OT. The game eventually eclipsed the Total, and despite a repeat extra time game, there is value here with taking the under. I know the Raptors started a small lineup in game 1, and want o push the pace, but the Heat, will want to do the opposite and I feel they can slow this game down with Whiteside being a key defensive cog for the Heat. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |