Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-07-20 | Raptors -1 v. Pacers | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors recorded an impressive victory for their franchise-best 12-game winning streak by come from behind and erasing a 19-point deficit to upend the Indiana Pacers. This Raptors team is confident and is never out of a game because of their consistency at both ends of the court. Im betting they will be pushed tonight, but in the end will find a way to notch a 2nd straight victory in this series. Note:The Raptors are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a win in which they trailed by 15. Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS /SU L/10 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after a loss in which they led by 15. NBA Teams like the Raptors are 11-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 11-30 SU L/5 seasons and 0-5 this season! NBA team (INDIANA) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-105 ATS L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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02-07-20 | Mavs -3 v. Wizards | 118-119 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas does its best work against teams like Washington. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better of their attempts this season and have excelled as road chalk going 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an away favorite. Also when Dallas comes off a home game and then playing on the road they are 19-0 ATS L/19 overall. I know the Mavericks are with super star Donic and possibly Kristaps Porzingis but from a depth standpoint still have the guns needed to take down a defensively deficient opponent.DALLAS is 15-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season. The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS and have won 13 straight SU/ATS on the road with rest off a home game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. NBA teams like the Mavericks are 25-2-1 ATS /26-2 SU as a road favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent. NBA Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-07-20 | Harvard +5.5 v. Yale | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Harvard and Yale are the two best teams in the Ivy league . Yale has won 11 of their last 12 while the Crimson have won 8 in a row. Now the rematch of last seasons conference Championship game that Yale won is at hand and should be very competitive . Look for a Tommy Amakers Crimson tide team to be very hungry here in revenge and add the old ball coaches 6-0 ATS run in his last six Ivy games when seeking revenge, and his programs 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS conversion rate in the last eight meetings in this series . Play on Harvard to cover |
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02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 | 117-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run . Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. |
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02-06-20 | Oral Roberts -1.5 v. North Dakota | 68-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
The Golden Eagles own The Summit League's highest scoring offense at 79.0 points per game, which improved to 24th in the NCAA and have to much fire power for N.Dakota to contend with as was the case earlier this season when ORU took a 88-73 decision at home. N DAKOTA is 1-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this seaso CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORAL ROBERTS) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (73% or better ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on on Oral Roberts to cover |
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02-06-20 | Murray State +6.5 v. Belmont | 64-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Murray State has won 11 straight games, and Im betting they dont go down without a fight here if they lose. Belmont lost to Murray State 85-75 as 1 point dogs earlier in conference play this season, and in my opinion this is to big of point spread adjustment on that result and now shouts value for advantage players. The Racers last lost on Dec. 21, a 78-76 overtime thriller at Evansville. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BELMONT) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 13-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. CBB home team vs. the money line (BELMONT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 38-100 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Murray State to cover |
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02-06-20 | Oakland +10.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
In each of the past five road games, the Golden Grizzlies have jumped out to a double digit lead in the first half: +15 at Detroit, +10 at Milwaukee, +15 at Green Bay, +12 at Cleveland State, +13 at Youngstown State. The Golden Grizzlies took a lead into half in four of the five outings: +9 at Detroit, +3 at Green Bay, +3 at Cleveland State, +4 at Youngstown State, -4 at Milwaukee. Oaklands fast starts seem predicated towards us getting a cover here tonight at Northern Kentucky. Play on Oakland to cover |
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02-05-20 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota -3.5 | 52-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
After an upset win over now-No. 16 Michigan State this past weekend, the Wisconsin Badgers make their way across state borders to face Minnesota on Wednesday evening in what Im betting is a huge letdown spot. I know there could be some recncy bias applied here by bettors and pundits because of the Gophers last game that saw them lose at Illinois last time out 59-51 despite of looking every bit efficient as their opponents. Note: MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 81-10 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.9 ppg. Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-1 ATS.
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02-05-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz -9 | 98-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Utah has dominated this series at home winning 9 straight here and are 7-2-1 ATS and Im betting they have a distinct edge tonight vs a Utah side that played hard last night from start to finish vs Portland which was their 3rd game in 4days. Now in a letdown spot on tired legs the host has the edge.The Denver Nuggets could also find themselves with a short bench for their Wednesday road game against the Utah Jazz after reportedly pulling off a four-team trade Tuesday night. This will effect their flow. DENVER is 1-9 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. The Jazz are 19-2-1 ATS /21-1 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-05-20 | Wake Forest +15.5 v. Louisville | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The No. 5 Cardinals eye a ninth straight victory on Wednesday night when they host a Wake Forest squad that's looking to win back-to-back league games for the first time in three years. While I do believe that the Cardinals will get the win Im betting it just wont come by more than 15 points. LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS in home games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (LOUISVILLE) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 9-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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02-05-20 | LSU v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
The Tigers playing winning ball ,but this line looks a little bloated as .Six of their nine consecutive wins have come by four points or fewer. LSU has yet to play a team ranked in this week's AP Top 25 and maybe getting just to much respect. I know Vanderbilt may not inspire bettors but the Commodores took both Kentucky and Florida to the final minutes of their past two games before losing by nine and six points, respectively. and are more than capable of staying competitive here in this spot play as DD home dogs. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 228.5 | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-05-20 | Hawks +5 v. Wolves | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Halting a season-long 12-game losing streak when they return home to host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday Im betting will not be as easy as the line indicates, even though the Hawks are short handed. Nothing comes easy to the Wolves, especially winning. MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 2-17 ATS at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves are 0-14 ATS /1-13 SU at home when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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02-05-20 | Iowa v. Purdue -4 | 68-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Purdue has been dominant at home in wins over Minnesota, Maryland, Michigan, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and Illinois and Im betting they continue their top tier work as hosts tonight against Iowa. |
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02-05-20 | Creighton v. Providence -2 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Creighton can really run and gun and shoot the lights out but Providence has a’ size advantage and Im betting they control the glass and slow this game down to a speed that suits them. Look for the Friars physicality to be the difference maker down low . Note : Friars have revenge on board for a heart breaking 78-74 loss earlier this season to the Jays, and will be motivated here. CREIGHTON is 1-10 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Cooley is 17-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick as the coach of PROVIDENCE. Play on Providence to cover |
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02-04-20 | Spurs +12 v. Lakers | 102-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Spurs fell 108-105 to the Clippers last night in have looked competitive for a while now and up-trending in my power rankings. Its not an easy task playing on consecutive nights in the NBA and especially not here in LA where two top tier teams are located, but San Antonio is one of the leagues better conditioned teams, and are going to be motivated to get revenge for a 114-104 loss at home in this series back in late November. SAN ANTONIO is 31-7 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Also teams playing the 2nd of back to back in LA are actually a long term good bets, going 82-65-1 ATS for a 56% conversion rate. ( just the opposite of what you might expect) SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons The Lakers are 1-18 ATS as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter. The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /9-3 SU as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with all 3 losses ins trends subset coming by exactly 2 points. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 23-6 L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-04-20 | Blazers +4.5 v. Nuggets | 99-127 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
The Blazers enter this game on a red hot 4 game win streak behind the blazing efforts of super star Damian Lillard. The Trail Blazers guard is on a historic run—one that could shape the West’s 8-seed race and Portland’s plans at the trade deadline. Tonight behind Lillard Im betting on the Blazers making life tough on the Nuggets and getting us the cover in revenge mode, for the two losses they have suffered to the Nuggets this season home and away. Note: Denver is off an OT win vs the Pistons last time out on Sunday, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 2-17 ATS 6-13 SU L/19 as a favorite after they had overtime. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 18-0 ATS as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Trailblazers are 21-3-1 ATS on the road after playing as a home dog.The Trailblazers are also 14-1 ATS off a win as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 1-16 ATS L/17 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on Portland to cover |
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02-04-20 | Bucks -6 v. Pelicans | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Milwaukee bounced back from a 127-115 home loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday to close their three-game homestand with a 129-108 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and roll into the Bayou to play the up trending Pelicans. You can bet because of the hype of Zion Williamson that the powerful Bucks will be in the mood to to make a statement here and give the kid and his team something to think about. Meanwhile, the Pelicans were humbled last time out vs Houston after imploding late, and giving up a boat load full of points thanks to a massive amount of turnovers. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 26-66 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. he Bucks are 23-3 ATS /24-2 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with the L/19 wins coming by 7 ppg or more and the overall ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. The Pelicans are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU at home off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff registering in at 11 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.2 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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02-04-20 | Duke v. Boston College +15 | 63-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Duke is off a huge win at Syracuse last time out where they shot the lights out in a 97-88 win, and now in an emotional letdown state, and in an obvious regression situation , Im betting a emotional charged Boston College will be completive enough to cover. DUKE is 0-7 ATS after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower over the last 3 seasons. CBB underdog (BOSTON COLLEGE) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 50 points, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 30-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. (Duke smashed Boston College back on Dec 31 at home by DDs-Duke 88-49) Play on Boston College to cover |
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02-04-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan -2 | 61-58 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Ohio State is one of the nation's top shooting teams, ranking No. 16 overall with a 38.1% 3-point shooting percentage 42.4% of their field-goal attempts come from behind the arc. key here will be Michigans D, which is very viable when preventing 3-pointers. Just 26.9% of opponents' field-goal attempts have been from beyond the arc — third-lowest in the nation. And only 22.9% of the total points scored against Michigan have been from 3s; so this edge Im betting will be the difference maker. MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-0 ATS. Play on Michigan to cover |
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02-04-20 | Bowling Green v. Central Michigan -2 | 82-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
A matchup of the top two teams in the Mid-American Conference men's basketball race favors the home team according to my power rankings. Home Court Advantage CMU is 10-1 at home, tied for the best in the conference. CMU's turnover margin of plus 4.4 is the best in the MAC and is No. 14 in the country. C MICHIGAN is 21-6 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons. Play on CMU to cover |
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02-03-20 | Spurs +10 v. Clippers | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won two of three against the Spurs, including a 134-109 victory the last time they met on Dec. 21 in San Antonio. However, it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 4-24-1 ATS L/29 as a home favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-16 ATS as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. The Spurs are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog off a home game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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02-03-20 | Wolves v. Kings -1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves are mired in an 11-game losing streak for the second time this season and are fade material in their current form. The Timberwolves are 0-18 ATS/SU as a dog after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer by double digits last game. The Kings are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. NBA Teams like the Kings are 18-0 SU/ 17-1 ATS as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 118-33 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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02-03-20 | Baylor v. Kansas State +8 | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Kansas State may not inspire bettors when going against a ranked opponent like Baylor, but Im betting we have value here with the home dog. KState has won 3 of their L/4 home games with the one loss to TCU coming by 2 points. They must never be underestimated when on their own floor, and tonight Im betting home court advantage will be golden and upset not out of the question. Note: Kansas State has won the last 4 meetings in this series.Weber is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) as the coach of KANSAS St. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies enter this game having won 11 of their L/14 and despite of loss are capable home favorites vs a team that continues to play with out their top player Griffin and will now be without point guard Derrick Rose who is unlikely to play Monday due to a groin injury suffered during the first half of Sunday's game. The Pistons are 1-18 ATS /SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Pistons are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU L/10 as a road dog off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 13.3 ppg. The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS/12-0 SU as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS /19-1 SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with the average ppg diff registering at +13.9 ppg. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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02-03-20 | Eastern Washington +2 v. Northern Arizona | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The E.Washington Eagles are on a five-game winning streak that includes three road wins in a row, and matchup well vs a N.Arizona team that owns a porous defense, ranking 290th in effective field goal percentage allowed and 285th in 2P field goal percentage conversion rate. Look for Eastern Washingtons uptempo attack to wreak havoc and for this conference top teams to come away with a victory for the 5th straight time in this series. Eastern Washington to cover |
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02-03-20 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. The Hawks are 1-19 ATS/SU as a home dog off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on Celtics to cover |
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02-03-20 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored. HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg. The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-03-20 | Coppin State v. Howard +4.5 | 64-56 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Howard is not as bad as their record would indicate, as they have covered 9 of 21 games despite of a ugly 11 game losing streak. Howards L/3 losses have been by single digits, and they offer value here because of their ugly record. Meanwhile, their opposition Coppin State has lost 8 straight road games , and despite of beating this Howard side when they met earlier in conference play, my matchup stats says this is more evenly matched than the line would indicate. Last time out Senior guard Charles Williams (18.2 ppg, 4.7 rpg) struggled vs Coppin State , but a rebound must be expected as this kids to talented to tank again. Sometimes an ugly situation like this offers value. Howard to cover |
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02-03-20 | Magic -4 v. Hornets | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Hornets have lost 10 of their last 11 games, including two on the road since pulling off Tuesday night's home victory against in the New York Knicks.The Magic are in a five-game losing streak, coming off Saturday night's 102-89 home loss to the Miami Heat. both have conistently been in the loss column However, I see more promise from the Magic and give them by support here tonight.Prior to last week, the Hornets lost six consecutive home games. In the last seven home outings, they've failed to score more than 107 points in regulation in any of those. Advantage : Orlando. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. When Orlando visited here on Jan 20th they won by a 106-83 count and a rinse and repeat effort is my projection. NBA Teams like the Magic are 14-0 ATS/SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average ppg diff registering at + 11 ppg. Play on Orlando to cover
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02-02-20 | Bulls +10.5 v. Raptors | 102-129 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Thanks to Torontos current 10 game win streak there is a slightly bloated line attached to this tilt involving the Chicago Bulls. When these teams played earlier this season, the Raptors pulled out a 93-92 squeaker, and Im betting on another close tilt here with the Bulls getting my support. Note: From a SRS perspective: Chicago owns a -2.97 marker, while Toronto a 5.72 , which roughly evens out into a -9 true line according to those projections. So we have a one possession edge which qualifies for me to back the Bulls here getting points. SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. TORONTO is 14-29 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins. The Bulls are 14-0-1 ATS on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at 1.2 ppg. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (TORONTO) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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02-02-20 | Utah +4 v. UCLA | 57-73 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Bruins Alford has a talented roster but is inconsistent at 11-10 through 21 games. The Bruins have home losses to Hofstra and Cal State Fullerton, and a neutral-court loss to a Cole Anthony-less North Carolina team and could miss the postseason entirely. Utah has also struggled but from a matchup perspective should be competitive. UCLA is 1-8 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons. (Utah lost at USC 56-52 last time out) CBB road team (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 34-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 29-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-02-20 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Rockets | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have an adrenalin rush and momentum entering this game as Zion Williamson makes his presence felt. New Orleans has won 3 straight, and will not be easily defeated by the Rockets here today. The Pelicans are 11-0 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two tilts. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 26-3 L/23 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 36-13 L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-02-20 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231 | 108-129 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort. Teams like the Bucks are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. The Suns are 1-13 UNDER as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Suns v. Bucks -11 | 108-129 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127-115 . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort in what should be a start to finish effort. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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02-02-20 | South Dakota v. Nebraska-Omaha | 81-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on Jan 19 S.Dakota took at 91-81 win, and now with revenge on board and playing at home where they are 10-0 this season, I look for Omaha Nebraska to get the win and cover and get the redemption they so badly want. NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 6-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasonsNEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog (S DAKOTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 30-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Nebraska Omaha to cover |
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02-02-20 | Illinois v. Iowa OVER 146 | 65-72 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 151 points . Play OVER |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -5 v. Blazers | 107-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Blazers are off a huge emotional upset vs the Lakers last night in LA, for Kobe Bryants memorial celebration last night where Lilliard went off for 48 points. The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS /SU with no rest after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.9. The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff registering at +18.9 ppg. |
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02-01-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Kings | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The Lakers payed tribute to former superstar Kobe Bryant before their Friday home game against the Portland Trail Blazers, but then they couldn't get a win and were punished by Damian Lillard's 48-point Kobe like explosion in a 127-119 defeat. Now a little embarrassed Im betting they come out here and take their frustration out on the Kings in a start to finish effort. Note: The Lakers are 6-0 SU on second nights, including 4-0 on the road. The Kings are 0-17 ATS/0-17 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. NBA Teams like the Kings are 0-18 ATS /SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes (Which was the case for the Kings in a upset win vs the Clippers last time out) Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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02-01-20 | Purdue v. Northwestern +5.5 | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 21-0 ATS.PURDUE is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 1-13 ATS in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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02-01-20 | 76ers v. Celtics -3 | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Kemba Walker is a 50 /50 bet to play tonight for the Celtics which would slightly adjust my projections but not enough not to lay three with a deep home team in an important eastern conference matchup. The Celtics are 19-0-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with none of the L/20 games in this subset coming by less than 5 points a game. NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Sixers are 1-14 SU/2-13 ATS as a dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. Play on Boston to cover |
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02-01-20 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 242.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under. Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-01-20 | Heat -2.5 v. Magic | 102-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic, losers of four straight games, have been off since their 113-92 loss at the Miami Heat on Monday. That rest may hinder them rather than help them vs a Heat team that is well conditioned and in a flow despite of some recent losses. The Heat are 19-1 ATS with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. Mimai beat Orlando at home in their last meetings, but it must be noted that ORLANDO is 1-14 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Teams like Heat are 18-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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02-01-20 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Auburn | 66-75 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Bruce Pearl’s Tigers got of to a hot start this season registering a 15-0 mark but are just 3-2 L/5 SU failing to cover 4 of those tilts including a pair of DD beatdowns . Now down trending the Tigers face a Kentucky team on a 4 gam er win streak and that will be out to revenge a 77- 71 overtime loss in the Elite 8 round to the Tigers last season. The Wildcats are 34-4 SU overall in this series and have covered 11 of their 17 on the road here in Auburn . Kentucky behind Calapari are 12-2 ATS in their last fourteen games when in revenge mode, including 7-0 ATS L/7 versus top tier opposition with a .777 record or better. Key to this game will be the 29th ranked Kentucky FG D, and their ability to sink shots at the charity stripe ( Entering the game at 77.1% at the foul line, the Wildcats had another solid performance at 84.2% (16 of 19) last time out. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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02-01-20 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -9 | 77-82 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Key New Mexico starter aQuan Lyle is OUT Saturday vs Fresno State ( Suspension ) . The Lobos have lost 4 of their L/5 by DDs, and look lifeless right now. Fresno State has won five of its last seven meetings with New Mexico, which includes three straight wins in games at the Save Mart Center. Fresno State has won 50 of its last 66 home games. NEW MEXICO is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2 ppg. Fresno State to cover |
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02-01-20 | TCU +11.5 v. Baylor | 52-68 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
TCU was upset by Texas at home last season, but the program has done well in rebound mode after a situation like this going 16-6 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a home favorite . I know Baylor is getting huge accolades and playing very well but this line is a little bloated and public leaning and Im betting we have value with a under appreciated and under valued side in the Horned Frogs. Play on TCU to cover |
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02-01-20 | Gonzaga v. San Francisco +11 | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings SF is one of the most under rated teams in the country and must never be underestimated behind a veteran group that can score in bunches.USF is 16-7 on the year and 5-3 in the WCC. Since falling to Portland, the Dons have gone 5-1 - their lone loss during that stretch a 58-48 loss at Saint Mary's.The Dons are 11-3 at home this season where they average 81.8 ppg and shooting 46.0% from the field. Saturdays: The Dons are 8-1 this season on the sixth day of the week. The lone loss came on the road at Portland. For the year, USF is averaging 80.0 ppg and shooting 48.7% from the field. Minlend, Bouyea, and Lull all average 13.0 or more on Saturday. Favorites of 10 or more points (GONZAGA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF Dons to cover on the Hill vs Gonzaga |
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02-01-20 | Indiana v. Ohio State -7 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 21-0 ATS. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 115-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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01-31-20 | Thunder +1 v. Suns | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
In the teams' first meeting, Dec. 20 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder pulled out a 126-108 victory and Im betting on the Thunders domination last time to continue here. The Thunder come into Friday's game having won six consecutive on the road to tie the second-longest streak in Oklahoma City history. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 12 on the road. The Suns are 0-14 ATS/SU with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field.The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. The Thunder are 14-0-1 ATS L/15 on the road with less than two days rest.The Thunder are 13-0-1 ATS L/14 on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s all from this season and have won their L/6 SU . Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5.5 | 111-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Memphis has come a long way and New Orleans is just getting started on the road to bigger and better things as along as Zion Williamson stays healthy. Tonight backing home court advantage for teams that play similar styles is my recommendation. The Pelicans are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the ppg diff clicking in at 15.9 ppg. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like Memphis are 0-16-1 ATS /1-16 SU L/17 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win . Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 241 | 111-139 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-31-20 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +6.5 | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Wright State enters this road game vs Wis Milwaukee leading the conference with a 18-4 overall record and and 8-1 in conference mark, but Im betting their in an emotional letdown spot after taking our N.Kentucky last time out by DDs in an all out performance vs a , side that eliminated them last season from the conference tournament. Meanwhile, Wisc-Milwaukee owns a sub .500 recored (9-10) with one of their 10 losses coming earlier this season to Wright State on the road by a , 82-70 count, but have gotten better since that meeting according to my power rankings, and deserve our respect on home floor tonight getting points vs a side that should be in what I describe as energy regression.Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Play on Wis Milwaukee to cover |
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01-31-20 | Raptors -4.5 v. Pistons | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The Raptors defeated the Pistons 125-113 on Oct. 30 and 112-99 on Dec. 18 and matchup well vs the Griffin less Pistons who are experiencing alot of inconsistencies with the lineup they have been putting on the floor. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff registering a -9.6 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pistons are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.3 ppg. The Pistons are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU L/14 as a dog with rest off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of - 14.1 ppg diff. The Raptors are 23-4 ATS /25-2 SU L/27 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg including 15 wins and 14 of 15 covers. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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01-30-20 | Oregon State v. Stanford -6.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
Stanford (15-4 overall) after starting 4-0 in the Pac-12 play have lost 2 straight but will be primed for a bounce back effort tonight at home where they are 11-1 this season. Meanwhile, Oregon State is struggling mightily losing 4 straight, the last 3 by ugly DD deficits and are fade material in their current form. STANFORD is 12-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons and is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. STANFORD is 7-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less this season which was the case in a lethargic 52-50 loss vs California last time out. HC Tinkle is 0-7 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Stanford to cover |
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01-30-20 | Oregon State v. Stanford UNDER 129.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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01-30-20 | Kings v. Clippers -12 | 124-103 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
LAC Key starters George and Patrick Beverley are listed as probable and Kawhi Leonard also expected to play . Note: In his last eight games, Leonard is averaging 35 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 51.8 percent shooting which makes for a perilous matchup for a Sacramento Kings team that the Clippers have owned in recent matchups from a ATS perspective as is evident by a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 mark in this series.In their last meeting on Dec. 31, the Clippers earned a 105-87 victory. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight and a Clipper cover. Clippers have covered 5 straight at home vs opposition playing 2nd of back to back like the Kings ( Kings lost by 20 to Oklahoma City on the road last night and looked exhausted which does not bode well against a now healthy Clippers side) The Clippers are 20-0 SU/ 18-2 ATS as a home favorite off a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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01-30-20 | Idaho State +14.5 v. Northern Colorado | 67-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Im taking a contrarian stance with IDAHO ST college hoops program that is a perfect is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 2 seasons. Yes, Northern Colorado is the superior side and despite of Idaho State losing 4 straight have been competitive not losing by 8,6,3 and 9 points respectively . It must also be noted that N.Colorado is a off a grueling hard fought loss vs E.Washington last time out on the road and with this being their 3rd game in 5 days could easily lack the energy to cover this DD spread. Note: Betting against the public ( including 7 parameters that have used) has netted a 120-56-2 68% CBB record dating back to the 2005 seasons for a massive 32% ROI. Play on Idaho State to cover |
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01-30-20 | Iowa v. Maryland -5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Two of the Big Ten's hottest teams will meet Thursday when No. 18 Iowa visits No. 15 Maryland in College Park, Md.Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 19-0 ATS. Maryland continues to prove to me they are the real deal and are my choice here tonight on their own home floor. MARYLAND is 21-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 59-28 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Maryland to cover |
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01-30-20 | Eastern Illinois +10.5 v. Murray State | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Im taking a contrarian stance here tonight with Eastern Illinois a team running hot and on a 4 game win streak getting DDs vs a highly touted hoops program( Murray State). It must be noted that Murray State is in a look ahead situation here as they have Austin Peay on board for Saturday in a matchup of the OVcs top teams. Im betting this will have Murray State not completely 100% focused here giving us an extra edge. Note:MURRAY ST is 4-16 ATS in home games after 9 or more consecutive wins since 1997- I attribute this kind of line attrition to bloated lines based on recency bias) This EIU hoops group is hard working and currently leads the OVC in blocks and ranks 41st in the NCAA and must be respected here as a DD dog. Note: Betting against the public ( including 7 parameters that have used) has netted a 120-56-2 68% record dating back to the 2005 seasons for a massive 32% ROI. Play on Eastern Illinois to cover |
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01-30-20 | Minnesota v. Illinois -5.5 | 51-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 19-0 ATS. I have Illinois ranked No.18 as 7 point chalk here according to my numbers . Im betting Illinois wins their 8th in a row and covers. Play on Illinois to cover |
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01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs +10 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champion Raptors are rolling right now,as is evident by a current 8 game win streak. Now because of their run, Im betting we have a slightly bloated line to bet in to here with the home underdog Cleveland Cavaliers. I know the Cavs have looked asleep at the wheel, for most of this season, but if there was ever a time to wake up , it would be at home against the defending NBA champs. Note: Cleveland is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series. NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 17-0 ATS L/17 as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.9 ppg. NBA Teams like the Cavs are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a 8+ dog off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff 0f -0.7 ppg. NBA Teams like the Raptors are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.9 ppg.The Raptors are 0-11 ATS /3-8 SU L/11 on the road with rest off a win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. NBA team (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 221.5 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of 226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5 +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total. TORONTO is 8-1 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams like the Raptors are 22-2 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-29-20 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +10 | 85-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
New Mexico has looked pretty bad in recent games , losing 3 of their L/4 big big DD amounts, so it might be hard for some of you to the pull the trigger here against a 21-0 SU San Diego State team that looks almost unstoppable. However, those above ugly losses came on the road and it must be noted that The Lobos are a perfect 13-0 at home this season, and must not be underestimated getting DDs as home dogs. A team like the Lobos that plays fast and averages more than 80 ppg is always going to be a dangerous pup. The last time UNM hosted a top-10 opponent was last season when UNM pulled off a 27-point victory over then-undefeated and No. 5/6 Nevada on Jan. 5, 2019. CBB teams off a big loss going against a top 5 ranked opponent dating back to the 2005 season have been a good money making venture for bettors going 107-56-1 ATS for a 66% conversion rate and a massive 26.6% ROI. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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01-29-20 | Indiana v. Penn State -6 | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
IU is coming off a 77-76 loss to #17 Maryland on Sunday after blowing a late lead and this Im betting will have an impact on their confidence here tonight in Penn State. Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions are off a big confidence building road victory vs Michigan last time out . Note: CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PENN ST) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 64-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Also Since the beginning of 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are playing at home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 18-0 ATS L/18 opportunities. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-29-20 | Texas v. TCU -4 | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
TCU has been a bit inconsistent but in big games they come to play as was evident in a win vs Texas Tech as 2.5-point home dogs last week.. Here tonight against a Longhorns side that has failed to cover 12 of their 18 lined games this season and are SU losers of 6 of 9 Big 12 road tilts the Horney Toad/Frogs have the edge. .TCU is a perfect 4-0 ATS L/4 at home vs Texas and with playing with revenge are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS L/7 at home in this series. Key to this game: TCUs D has been hard on Big 12 conference opponents holding them to 28.8 percent shooting from beyond the arc this season and are the No.1 rebounding side in the conference. Texas Im betting will struggle in these two facets of the game and will fail here against a side with revenge for a key loss last season that cost them a No.1 seed in the Big 12 Tourney. Play on TCU to cover |
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01-29-20 | South Florida +1 v. Tulane | 66-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
USF enters play coming off a setback at No. 25 Houston in which the Bulls held their 18th opponent of the season under its scoring average. The Bulls struggle to score but their D is tenacious and Im betting a Tulane hoops program that is currently averaging 59.4 ppg in offence in their L/5 games is in serious trouble here tonight. S FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.S FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. TULANE is 0-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULANE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/ or more game) after 15+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on South Florida to cover |
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01-29-20 | Grizzlies -2 v. Knicks | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams played last night with the Grizzlies winning and the Knicks losing after holding an early DD lead, which is a confidence buster. Note: The Knicks are 0-12 ATS SU/ATS after a game as a road dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first. NY is up trending but Memphis has shown more consistent flow for a longer period of time and have the explosive offensive guns to get the win here on the road. The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SU with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.The Knicks are 0-13 ATS SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. Play on Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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01-29-20 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -17 | 50-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
In an unexpected dogfight with upstart Illinois near the halfway point of the Big Ten Conference schedule, Michigan State coach Tom Izzo is looking for better production from his 14th-ranked Spartans and Im betting he gets tonight vs Northwestern here at home in what could go down as a statement game at least from a score sheet assessment. Northwestern ha lost 8 of their L/9 and drowning in their own tears, will not have answer for a Spartans side on a mission. Note: The Spartans are 6-0 SU/ATS L/3 seasons at home vs a .200 to .400 side , with the average ppg diff clicking in at a whopping 45+ ppg. ( Mich State 103.5 opp 58.3) . Lay it and play it with Mich State to cover |
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01-28-20 | Butler v. Georgetown -1 | 69-64 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Butler ended a 3 game losing streak last time out with a hard fought back and forth high octane 89-85 win vs Marquette last time out but still failed to cover for the 4th straight time. Butler looked explosive in the early part of this season, but they have fallen back down to earth of late, and Im betting their in for another tough tilt here in Georgetown vs the Hoyas this Tuesday night. Key will be the Hoyas top tier offence ranked 2nd in the BIG EAST in scoring (77.9 ppg) and average 82.2 ppg at Capital One Arena this season, scoring at least 80 points in their last five home games. .Head Coach Patrick Ewing is 4-2 in his last six outings against teams ranked among the Associated Press Top 25. BUTLER is 0-7 ATS in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons. BUTLER is 0-10 ATS in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BUTLER) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgetown to cover |
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01-28-20 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Denver has been dealing with injuries all season and is down three of its top rotation players. Power forward Paul Millsap (left knee contusion) will miss his 10th straight game, point guard Jamal Murray (left ankle sprain) will sit for the seventh straight and big man Mason Plumlee (right foot injury) has missed three games and Im betting they will be pushed here tonight in Memphis by an explosive Grizzlies team that has revenge on board for two losses in this series this season. The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS /12-0 SU L/12 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after playing as a home favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.
MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. DENVER is 0-9 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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01-28-20 | Wizards v. Bucks UNDER 244.5 | 131-151 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has been playing some excellent defence of late, and as a result of this have gone under the set total in 5 of their L/6 trips to the hardwood. We all know Washington loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but after a huge back and forth tilt last time out vs Atlanta ( 133-152) regression to the mean is expected which puts this tilt closer to the 234 range, which according to my own projections gives us value on an under. MILWAUKEE is 24-13 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.6 ppg scored. The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 at home with rest off a 10+ win in a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 194.2 ppg with none of the games in this subset going over this total. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 5-25 UNDER L/30 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which a game in which their points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER L/23 seasons seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-28-20 | Purdue +3.5 v. Rutgers | 63-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
Purdue to cover |
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01-28-20 | Buffalo v. Akron -7 | 77-74 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Akron enters this game against Buffalo (4-2) tied with Bowling Green for the top spot in the East with a 5-1 record and have won 6 of their L/7 games . The Bulls despite of a 4 game win streak are now a far cry from the team that made it to the NCAA tournament last season and rank No. 317 in scoring defense nationally and pay little attention to defence and play all out run and gun hoops under first year coach Whitesell. Tonight Im betting the Bulls are going to face a storm on the road, vs a Zips side with triple revenge on board . Note: The Zips’ 45-11 SU and 35-20-1 ATS the last 56 conference home games when seeking revenge. Whitesell is 8-20 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AKRON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AKRON) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games. are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Akron to cover |
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01-28-20 | Florida State v. Virginia +2 | 56-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Both teams will be following up dramatic weekend wins when Virginia hosts No. 5 Florida State in ACC Tuesday night in Charlottesville, Va.Virginia seeks revenge in rematch vs. No. 5 Florida St. and Im betting they get it and more importantly get us the cover. Im betting they key to our money making venture will come behind Virginia's what is the slowest pace in the ACC and the best defensive efficiency numbers in the conference. FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 4-17 ATS L/21 after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less .The Seminoles have covered just three of their past nine games and played alot of close game which will have a negative effect on them here in this nasty environment and physical atmosphere. Virginia to cover |
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01-28-20 | Villanova v. St. John's +4 | 79-59 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
St.Johns to cover |
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01-27-20 | Rockets v. Jazz -12 | 126-117 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
According to ESPN's Tim MacMahon, Harden is unlikely to play on Monday despite being listed questionable. The Rockets are already without Russell Westbrook, who is resting in the second leg of a back-to-back, while Clint Capela (heel) is doubtful. Utah Im betting takes advantage of this tonight and shows very little mercy in this spot play side action. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-40 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 ppg. Play on Utah to cover |
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01-27-20 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +7 | 65-50 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State is a desperate team that is 0-6 in Big 12 play. Tonight against a superior Kansas side, we get a value line to be into thanks to obvious recency bias and overall public perceptions. With Kansas currently short handed with some key injuries to David McCormack and Silvio De Sousa will not be as fluent as usual. Also series history is on our side as Kansas has also failed to cover against Oklahoma State in five of their last six regular-season meetings and were swept by the Cowboys last season. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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01-27-20 | Wisconsin +6 v. Iowa | 62-68 | Push | 0 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers are a team that is not intimidated on the road and have already won at Ohio State and Penn State and are more than capable of being competitive here in Iowa tonight. This Badgers team also matches up well against the Hawkeyes explosive run and gun offence, behind the 28th-best in adjusted defensive efficiency and 350th in tempo . Both teams convert at similar rates from the charity stripe, and when the game comes down to a couple of possessions this is of utmost importance. The Badgers have gotten the better against the Hawkeyes in recent years, having won four of their last five road games and eight of the last 10 overall. Rinse and repeat situation on board tonight. Wisconsin to cover |
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01-27-20 | Cavs v. Pistons -6.5 | 115-100 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers enter this Motown tilt having lost seven straight games. All but two of those defeats were decided by double digits, including the past three. I know the Pistons may not inspire bettors but they have shown some progression and are an under rated team that can get the job done vs a side that looks like its going through the motions. CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.3 ppg. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-27-20 | North Carolina +6 v. NC State | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Roy Williams hoops program has dominated NC State over the years winning 30 of the L/34 meetings and Im betting this could easily end in an upset by the visitor. I know NC has struggled this season, but there has been a glimmer of hope of late, vs Miami last time out in a convincing DD win. With momentum and confidence on their sides Im betting on the Tar Heels covering here tonight. Note: Williams teams are 39-5 SU when playing with a below .500 record. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) - after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 28-65 ATS L/23 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on N.Carolina to cover |
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01-26-20 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 132 | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.1 ppg scored.NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. (Which was the case last time out at home vs Minnesota) OHIO ST is 9-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with the combined average 125.6 ppg. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 37-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-26-20 | Nets +2 v. Knicks | 97-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
The Knicks played a hard fought game vs the league champs last time losing a 118-112 tilt and will be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a desperate Nets side with revenge on board for a loss to the Knicks back in Brooklyn on Dec 26th by a 94-82 score.That was truly and ugly performance from the Nets and now redemption is at hand. BROOKLYN is 17-4 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. NYK is 0-8 /ATS L/8 after facing the Raptors. NBA Underdogs (BROOKLYN) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-18 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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01-26-20 | Suns +3 v. Grizzlies | 109-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
The Suns have double revenge on board here for two losses in this series this season and have the talent and capability all be it inconsistent to be competitive and pull off an upset here in Memphis. The Suns are 5-0 ATS L/5 as a road dog.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Williams is 10-1 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of PHOENIX. NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 165-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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01-26-20 | Celtics -1 v. Pelicans | 108-123 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics are playing better despite being short-handed while the New Orleans Pelicans have struggled since getting healthy. The Celtics seek their fourth consecutive victory Sunday when they visit the Pelicans, who are 0-2 since rookie Zion Williamson joined the lineup and Im betting things dont bet much better for the Pelicans here vs a more experienced team. BOSTON is 16-3 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out . Play on Boston to cover |
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01-26-20 | Raptors -2.5 v. Spurs | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
Toronto ranks sixth in points per game by an opponent, averaging 106. The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5, 24th in the NBA. Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting t 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. The Raptors come in having won six in a row while the Spurs had won three consecutive until Phoenix abruptly the with a win in San Antonio. Toronto has won six straight games on the road, the third longest streak in team history and today Im betting they end a long losing streak of 10 games here in San Antonio. SAN ANTONIO is 7-16 ATS in home games this season. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 223 | 110-106 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-26-20 | San Diego State v. UNLV +7.5 | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
San Diego State is undefeated at 20-0 but UNLV must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive here and cover on their own home floor where they are 9-4 SU this season. UNLV is 12-4 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Otzelberger is 13-3 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-69 L/23 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover |
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01-26-20 | Missouri State v. Drake -5 | 69-71 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Missouri State is 0-6 when opposing teams score 73 or more points. Drake is a perfect 10-0 when its offense scores at least 73 points and have won 10 straight home games . It must be noted that Drake allowed 63 ppg or less at home this season while scoring 78.9 ppg. Meanwhile, Missouri State scores an average of 64.5 ppg . The Bulldogs have swept the season series from the Bears each of the last two seasons and have won five of the previous six meetings between the two program and they get the nod to win and cover here today. MISSOURI ST is 7-21 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons DRAKE is 16-4 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MISSOURI ST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 31-155 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.7 ppg. Play on Drake to cover |
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01-26-20 | Tulsa +6 v. Connecticut | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
The Huskies enter the game 1-4 in the American Athletic Conference, while Tulsa is 5-1 in conference play. Tulsa has alot of momentum on their sides entering this game as is evident by their current 4 game win streak which includes victories vs Houston and Memphis . Meanwhile, Connecticut their hosts are on a 3 game losing streak and playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. The key here today is a hardcore Tulsa D, that has allowed 61,49, 54,40 points respectively in the above mentioned 4 wins, and Connecticuts inconsistent offence that has scored 60 points or less in 4 of their L/6 games. Tulsa has won 4 straight meetings against the Huskies including the only meeting between the teams last season and Im betting if they lose tonight it will be hard fought and Tulsa will still get the cover. CONNECTICUT is 3-12 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. TULSA is 22-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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01-25-20 | Pacific +21 v. Gonzaga | 59-92 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Pacific to cover |
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01-25-20 | Arizona v. Arizona State +5 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
HC Bobby Hurley will have his troops read here in revenge mode for a earlier loss to Arizona this season. Note: Arizona State is 7-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge from a loss of 20 or more points. ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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01-25-20 | Lakers v. 76ers +5 | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be searching for their 21st victory in 23 games at home when they host the exhausted Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday and Im betting if they lose tonight it wont be a walk in the park for the Lakers, with the home team covering. Note: The Lakers wil be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are on tired legs.LA LAKERS are 3-12 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons and are 3-12 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 29-14 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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01-25-20 | Notre Dame +8.5 v. Florida State | 84-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
Florida State is off to a 16-2 start and red hot but are off a hard fought tilt vs Miami Florida last time out and Im betting will be in a letdown spot vs a hard working 5-returning starter Irish squad that must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive . It must be noted the Notre Dame 7-1 ATS L/8 in this series and 5-0 ATS as a dog and Florida State is 1-7 ATS as favorites after game with the Canes. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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01-25-20 | Mavs v. Jazz -4 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This line is set on public perceptions and media attention towards super star Doncic. My own projections make Utah, a 6 point home favorite here .With that said, Im betting we have value with the home team, vs a defensively deficient Mavericks side, allowing an average of 111.2 ppg. |
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01-25-20 | SMU v. Memphis -5.5 | 74-70 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis is off a 40-point loss at Tulsa Wednesday night in a game where the Tigers were 3.5-point favorites. Memphis has a 61.7% chance to make the NCAA tournament, with a 42.5% chance to earn an at-large bid and a 19.2% to earn an automatic bid by winning the conference tournament. This team is of the top tier variety but they over looked their last opponent and are now red faced and ready for redemption. Im betting on a huge effort here and a cover. CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 46-4 L/23 seasons . Play on Memphis to cover |
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01-25-20 | NC State v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Gtech to cover |
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01-25-20 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Syracuse | 61-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Syracuse continues to play hard fought close contests and over their last six tilts the games have been decided by 1, 4, 8, 2 and 2 points respectively . Nothing comes easily for the Orange and here today vs a disciplined Pittsburgh team ranked 22nd in the nation in turnover margin their going to be in for a tough ride. Syracuse is 21-7 ATS L/28 meetings in this series and get my backing to turn the trick again. Note: Syracuse has failed to cover 8 of their 12 home games this season. Pittsburgh to cover |
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01-24-20 | Clippers v. Heat UNDER 222 | 122-117 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami, has won its last two home games in overtime and could easily find themselves on tired legs here tonight in a game that Im betting will be slow paced as compared to some of their more recent efforts. The Clippers their opponents tonight are 8-23 UNDER since Nov 08, 2018 as a road dog and have recently gone under 4 straight times as road dogs with the combined average score of 209.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season The Heat 0-7-2 UNDER L9 vs the LA Clippers. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-9 L 23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 23-5 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-24-20 | Raptors -7.5 v. Knicks | 118-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Knicks were smashed by the Raptors on Nov. 27, when the defending NBA champions earned a 126-98 victory in Canada. With the Raptors now fairly healthy they are once again going to be a difficult force to deal with here tonight for a NY team that is in an emotional letdown spot after battling the LA Lakers and leaving everything on the court last time out (100-92).Knicks are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Raptors 9-2 away in a 1/1 rest situation. Play on the Toronto Raptors |
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01-24-20 | Yale v. Brown +6.5 | 73-62 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Brown to cover |