Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-28-23 | McNeese State v. UAB -6 | 81-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UAB is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots UAB to cover |
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11-28-23 | Hawks +5 v. Cavs | 105-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Atlanta can run and gun with anyone in the NBA and despite of tnheir defensive failures recently are side that must be respected getting points especially the way their star Trae Young is shooting the ball.Young's most recent top teir offensive effort came on Sunday in a 113-103 loss to the Celtics, when he connected on a team-high 33 points and added seven assists in the second game of a back-to-back.Meanwhile, the market was slow to catchup with Cleveland as this season began , but now they have caught up and are starting to over adjust giving us value with this underdog selection. Advantage Atlanta. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. .Atlanta has won five of seven games over Cleveland, dating to the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-28-23 | Miami-FL v. Kentucky -6.5 | 73-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two weeks ago, Kentucky lost to top-ranked Kansas in a tight game in the Champions Classic. Now, the Cats take on their second Top 10 foe of the season when eighth-ranked Miami visits Rupp Arena on Tuesday night in the SEC/ACC Challenge and this time they are now better prepared and organized. Kentucky has now scored at least 81 points in each of its first six games and will have no problems dealing with Florida States balanced attack. Kentucky to cover |
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11-28-23 | Mississippi State v. Georgia Tech +8.5 | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Tech to cover |
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11-28-23 | Western Carolina v. Tennessee Tech +5.5 | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (W CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Tennessee Tech to cover |
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11-27-23 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Clippers | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Denver is 11-6 on the season but just 3-6 on the road, but Im betting those numbers will turn around to upside in Nuggets away games, as they are just to talented to not get into a groove even away from the Mile High City. DENVER is 8-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons and according to my power rankings have an edge here taking points. I know the Nuggets played last night, but they are a well conditioned side, that will be ready to play here tonight in LA even without Jamal Murray in the lineup. The Clippers rank 9th (3.62) in /SRS while the Cliipers ranks 13th with a 1.31 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-27-23 | Pelicans v. Jazz UNDER 231 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game having gone under in their L/4 trips to the hardwood while Utah has gone under 3 straight times. I know New Orleans has been explicit about picking up their defensive play and you can see it in their play, and here tonight in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City Im betting on an even more stringent defensive effort , as their 5th game in a week. Advantage under. NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 215.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 48-21 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average score of 227 ppg going on the score board. Play under |
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11-27-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +2 v. Fresno State | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 34-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%) or better , after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 33-6 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1997. Play in US Santa Barbara to cover |
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11-27-23 | Houston Christian v. TCU UNDER 164 | 64-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TCU can light up the board and name their score here but Houston Christian on flipside wont be able to penetrate a very TCU D, this Im betting will lead to combined score that does not eclipse this offered total. TCU is 11-3 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (TCU) - an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score clicking in at 156.9 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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11-26-23 | Bulls +4 v. Nets | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is on tired legs as they play their 2nd back to back games this season and are vulnerable .The Nets earned a 109-107 win in Chicago during an in-season tournament game on Nov. 3 and Im betting on another close game here with the points to be golden. BROOKLYN is 11-24 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 4-15 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 21-37 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.Vaughn is 11-25 ATSin home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-26-23 | Suns v. Knicks -3 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Knicks have looked a little lethargic offensively in back to back games . The first tgame came at the end of a exhausting 5 game road trip and the 2nd was when they played their first game at home after that for-mentioned away rodeo. Now acclimated to home cooking and well rested Im betting on the Knicks will be primed and motivated to play at an optimal level, against a Phoenix Suns squad on a 5 game win streak. NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Suns beat Memphis last time out by DDs, but this is not a favorable spot from a historical standpoint for the Suns as Vogel is 12-26 ATS (- in road games off a road win by 10 points or more in all games he has coached. Key injury updates: Beals still out for Suns and Durant(foot) is questionable tonight and if he plays is less than 100%. PHOENIX is 26-44 ATS L/70 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game . NBA Favorites on the opening line of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-26-23 | Mississippi Valley State +21 v. Pacific | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pacific played a hard fought game and get the win last time out by. a 73-71 count vs lower tier LeMoyne and could easily find themselves flat here. PACIFIC is 3-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.PACIFIC is 3-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 19-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (PACIFIC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are just 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 20 or more points (PACIFIC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss St Valley to cover |
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11-26-23 | Bellarmine v. West Virginia -9.5 | 58-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. West Virginia to cover |
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11-26-23 | George Washington v. Delaware UNDER 151.5 | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-23 | Canisius v. Bowling Green UNDER 145.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | North Carolina Central v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 144.5 | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Stonehill v. Quinnipiac -12.5 | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Quinnipiac to cover |
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11-26-23 | Brown v. Ohio UNDER 147 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-25-23 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas 10-5 is the fresher team here entering this tilt against a LA Clippers (6-8) side that played last night. The Mavs rank 15th with. a+0.83 rating in the NBA in SRS while the Clippers, are ranked 21st with a -0.01 rating. Factoring in exhaustion adn performance levels the Play on Dallas cover |
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11-25-23 | Furman v. UAB -5 | 86-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FURMAN is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road teams as an underdog or pick (FURMAN) - after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 115 points or less are 7-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-25-23 | Alabama v. Oregon UNDER 160.5 | 99-91 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-25-23 | Canisius v. Western Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Spurs v. Warriors -10.5 | 112-118 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have struggled out of the gate this season and now have an opportunity to take on their frustrations out on a San Antonio team on a 10 game losing run and that they have beaten up pretty easily in recent meetings with 37,31, 15 points deficit victories in their L/3 meetings. I know Golden State has not covered any of their 7 home games this season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here with the DD fav. Note:GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in Phoenix. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 16-31 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 12-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Santa Clara v. Oregon UNDER 146.5 | 88-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Heat v. Knicks -5.5 | 98-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami has played some decent defensive ball of late , while winning at Cleveland and Chicago. But from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their betting backers as they are 2-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, NYK after a extensive 5 game road trip looked flat in tired in their final game of the trip with a 117-110 loss to Minnesota. However, they have now been off since Nov 20th and with extensive rest and back on home court Im betting on a big effort from the Knicks. . NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Note: Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 35-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff registering at +11.5 which qualities on this ATS offering. MIAMI is 18-32 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.( Heat beat Cleveland 129-96 last time out) NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 18-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rte for bettors. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-24-23 | Seton Hall v. Iowa UNDER 155 | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Baylor v. Florida UNDER 158 | 95-91 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Toledo v. Indiana State UNDER 165.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Monmouth v. Belmont UNDER 155.5 | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Michigan State v. Arizona UNDER 146.5 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score in the high 130s to low 140s, giving us an significant possession edge to the under. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ARIZONA) - after scoring 85 points or more, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 40-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.7 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points ( MICH ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 148-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with thre average ppg diff clicking in at 141.1 ppg. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Colorado State v. Creighton UNDER 154 | 69-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Butler +7 | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 27-12 ATS L/49 in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 with the average ppg diff clicking at 0.00 (even). CBB Neutral court teams (FLA ATLANTIC) - good shooting team from last season - made 45% of their shot attempts, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season are 11-32 L5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Butler to cover |
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11-23-23 | Villanova v. North Carolina UNDER 146.5 | 83-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Penn State +8 v. Texas A&M | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PENN ST is 34-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 8-0 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Penn State to cover |
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11-22-23 | Mavs -2.5 v. Lakers | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are scoring 122.8 points a game, which is second-most in the league, in wide open run and gun fashion, and that makes them viable options against a Lakers side that is due for offensive regression after last nights 131 output vs the Jazz. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing with 2 days rest are 95-84 L/5 ATS for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - an explosive offensive team (118 or more PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 25-6 L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a average ppf diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. DALLAS is 3-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-22-23 | New Mexico v. Rice UNDER 166.5 | 90-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 157 | 86-71 | Push | 0 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | 76ers v. Wolves -5 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves have won 10 of their first 13 games to jump to the top of the Western Conference standings and according to my power rankings matchup well here vs the Philadelphia 76ers here tonight with home court advantage on their sides. The Wolves rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency which is important in game that features the 76ers top ranked offensive efficiency. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins against the New Orleans Pelicans and New York Knicks, and it has won nine of its last 10 trips to the hardwood and have momentum on their sides, vs a Philadelphia side on a short rest after taking the Cleveland Cavaliers last night in a tilt that went to OT in a 122-119 loss at home. Now exhausted and off a red eye to get here the 76ers are at a disadvantage. Finch is 13-3 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more as the coach of MINNESOTA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.9. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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11-22-23 | Arkansas v. Stanford UNDER 154.5 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Indiana State v. Pepperdine UNDER 159 | 90-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Michigan v. Memphis UNDER 157.5 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Michigan +1.5 v. Memphis | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan has opened the season winning its first three games by 23.7 points before suffering its first loss against Long Beach State, 94-86, at Crisler Center in a freakish back and forth event. Note: Howard is 35-18 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread as the coach of MICHIGAN.( Upset by Long Beach St last time out) Rebound redemption mode in play. Michigan has scored 45-plus first half points in all four games; the Wolverines have scored 85-plus points in all four games; U-M has had at least one 20-plus point scorer in all four games; and the Maize and Blue has had 38-plus rebounds in all four games and matchup well vs the Tigers attack. MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN is 88-57 ATS in all tournament games since 1997. CBB underdog (MICHIGAN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 35-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan to cover Michigan to cover |
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11-22-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Colorado State v. Boston College UNDER 147.5 | 86-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Long Beach State v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 151.5 | 82-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Appalachian State v. Murray State UNDER 147 | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Toledo +3.5 v. New Mexico | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. • Toledo 4-0 leads the MAC in FOUR categories — 52.2 FG%, 44.4 3PTFG%, 10.7 spg, and a 1.7 A/TO ratio. Toledo to cover |
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11-21-23 | Toledo v. New Mexico UNDER 162 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Kansas v. Marquette UNDER 157.5 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Jazz v. Lakers OVER 235.5 | 99-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The last four meetings between the Lakers and Jazz have all eclipsed this total with a combined average of 253.25 oog going on the board. My own projections for this contest come in the high 230s to the low 240s giving us a significant edge to the over. Utah has consistently played run and gun ball with 7 of their L/9 going over the offered number and Im betting they drag the Lakers into a wide open tilt here today that goes over the digits.Hardy is 10-1 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored.Ham in 36 games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a. combined average of 237.1 ppg go on the board.UTAH in its L/57 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored.UTAH L/22 against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-21-23 | Hofstra v. Wright State UNDER 160.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Colorado v. Florida State UNDER 152 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Georgia Southern +5.5 v. Northeastern | 76-93 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Southern to cover |
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11-21-23 | Buffalo v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 153.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Marshall v. Oakland UNDER 149.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Prairie View A&M +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Prairie View A&M to cover |
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11-21-23 | Binghamton v. Sacred Heart UNDER 146.5 | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-20-23 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | 93-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been an inconsistent commodity this season, but they have recent wins against top tier opponents Denver, and Dallas, and 1 point loss to Minnesota and must be respect as underdogs here at home tonight vs the Sacramento Kings. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less) are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-20-23 | Bucks v. Wizards +9.5 | 142-129 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off a physical high octane battle against Dallas that they won by a 132-125 count last time out and could easily be vulnerable to being a letdown spot here vs Washington on the road tonight. I know Milwaukee has looked unstoppable of late, but with all the running and gunning their doing , their proverbial tank is probably on empty and it should not come as a surprise that they could also be over looking a lower tier opponent. Note:MILWAUKEE in their L/34 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games have seen a average ppg diff clicking in at -0.2. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 116-182 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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11-20-23 | St. Joe's v. Kentucky -15 | 88-96 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kentucky basketball is playing with a shortened rotation as their 3 big men are not going to be available to play. But St.Josephs is not a team that can take advantage of this situation. Plus remaining talent on this Kentucky roster is more than capable of controlling play here tonight. Kentucky to cover |
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11-20-23 | Tennessee v. Syracuse +14 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Syracuse has won their first 3 games of the season, but have failed to cover each time and today Im betting they finally get out of their ATS funk for their betting backers and get us the cover vs Tennessee.Barnes in 9 road games against ACC opponents as the coach of TENNESSEE has seen the average ppg diff click in at +7.6 ppg. SYRACUSE is 44-24 ATS L/68 as a neutral court underdog or pick with the average ppg diff clicking at -0.5. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-19-23 | Suns v. Jazz +5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jazz, host the Suns again on Sunday night in Salt Lake City, after a hard fought battle that saw them lose 131-128 to Phoenix in an NBA in-season tournament game. Now here at home, in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City where alot of teams have have some problems playing will see the Jazz get revenge or more importantly get us the cover. UTAH is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-19-23 | Northern Iowa v. South Florida UNDER 145.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score to reach the high 130s which give us a solid 2 to 3 possession edge on this totals offering to the under. S FLORIDA is 14-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 119.2 ppg scored. Jacobson in 184 road games after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of N IOWA ihas seen a verage combined score of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S FLORIDA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 182-95 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 139 ppg going on the board. |
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11-19-23 | Mississippi State v. Northwestern +4.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern and Miss State are two evenly matched teams , but Im betting it will Northwestern rebounding abilities that will keep them in this game against their SEC opponents. NORTHWESTERN is 13-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion to cover. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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11-19-23 | Connecticut -12 v. Indiana | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this has mismatch written all over it.The defending national champions Connecticut are loaded and dominating at both ends of the court , They are backed by the back court withTristen Newton and Donovan Clingan at center, and Cam Spencer who can shoot the proverbial lights out.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country and have covered all 3 of their games in impressive fashion. Meanwhile, Indidana despite of their brand name and expected strong projections, are a one dimensional side, that just dont matchup well vs UConn.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country. with the average ppg diff clikcing in at 16.6 ppg.CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS ( after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons Play on the UConn to cover |
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11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 125-132 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks ranked 4th in pace have for most of the season run and gun at a high octane rating and Im sure nothing will change here except their oppositions ability to slow them down and grind away with more physical type of game plan. Im looking for a much more grinding type of affair between two strong teams, and a score that remains on the low side of the offered total. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 230s giving a 2 possession plus edge on the number to the under. MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in their L/33 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-8 UNDER L/37 in home games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more with a combined average score of 202.8 ppg scored.(Beat Charlotte last time out 130-99) DALLAS in their L/33 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/ MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 223.2 ppg. NBA eams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 39-13 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score registering at 227.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score of 225.6 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 37-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 222.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. La Salle UNDER 144.5 | 78-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score ranging from the high 130s to a maximum of 141 which gives us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this number. LASALLE is 9-1 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LASALLE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Mississippi State -7 v. Washington State | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KenPom ranks the Cougars 82nd nationally and outside the top 85 in Offensive and Defensive Efficiency despite of 3-0 record to begin this campaign. Yes the Cougars did win last time out in convincing fashion but this is still not a good matchup vs a staunch and physical Mississippi State' defense . The Bulldogs have smashed their opponents by DDs and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup vs a far less superior side.WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS ( in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-18-23 | Sacred Heart v. Loyola Maryland +2.5 | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Loyola to cover |
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11-17-23 | San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-17-23 | Mercer +30.5 v. Alabama | 67-98 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tide are one of the best teams in the nation and because of this will be getting a great deal of public money which in turn will bloat this number from where the true market value is. Taking points is the right choice here because of this. The last time Mercer and Alabama met was Dec. 19, 2017 when the Tide held off a late charge by MU before prevailing, 80-79. MERCER is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points . ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better which was the case last time out vs South Alabama in a 102-46 victory. CBB favorite (ALABAMA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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11-17-23 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | 126-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be primed to snap a two-game skid and a 1-3 ATS run when they face the host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA in-season tournament on Friday night. In the two losses tge 76ers looked tired but now with extra day of rest Im betting they will be good to go. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Hawks are off a 116-114 home loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday and are on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Also key star Trae Youngs wife just had a baby so Im sure life has been hectic for him and it could show on the court tonight at some juncture. ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 16-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-17-23 | St. Thomas v. Cal Poly +7 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 15-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 11-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 7-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cal Poly to cover |
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11-17-23 | Holy Cross +11 v. Winthrop | 51-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holy Cross stands 1-2 so far this year, including a 68-67 victory at Georgetown on Nov. 11 and must not be underestimated in their abilities to compete here vs Winthrop today. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (WINTHROP) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their game are 36-7 ATS L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Holy Cross to cover |
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11-16-23 | Thunder -2 v. Warriors | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4; 8-3 ATS) have gone 4-1 SU and ATS over their last five trips to the hardwood and have momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a four game losing run and are fade material in their current form especially with the explosive Curry and tough man Green out of the lineup. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS vs. sub pard rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at +14.4. Play on Thunder to cover |
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11-16-23 | Utah v. Wake Forest +5.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Demon Deacons are coming off an 80-77 loss at Georgia in their first real raod game this this past Friday (Nov. 10) . Wake Forest went 16-of-18 (88.9 percent) from the free throw line against Georgia. For the season, the Deacs are now a stellar 35-of-39 (89.7 percent) from the charity stripe and Im betting it will be their ability to convert from the FT line will be a key difference maker tonight vs Utah. UTAH is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Smith is 4-17 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds as the coach of UTAH. Forbes is 23-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1997. WAKE FOREST is 19-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.Forbes is 27-11 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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11-16-23 | College of Charleston v. Vermont UNDER 145.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Myrtle Beach Invitational - HTC Center - Conway, SC My totals projections for this game are in the low 140s giving us a one to two possession edge on this Totals offering. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 10-2 UNDER ) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 138 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VERMONT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 13+ wins in last 15 games are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 135.5 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Long Island v. UCLA UNDER 142 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 13-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCLA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 36-6 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 137.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Stony Brook v. Nebraska UNDER 141 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 137. Value to the under by 2 possessions. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.9 ppg scored. STONY BROOK is 9-2 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average 131.9 ppg. CBB - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 137 pp scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Bucks v. Raptors +4.5 | 128-112 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS in all games this season and have failed to cover 7 straight games overall. Their marker value has been consistently over rated by the lines-makers and tonight looks to be no different against what looks to be a tenacious hardworking group of Raptors. Key injury Note: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Calf) is not 100% despite of being expected to play tonight. Raptors are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (-19.55 Units / -17% ROI) dating back to last season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 PPG or more) are 35-5 L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-15-23 | Celtics -3.5 v. 76ers | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Celtics have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Sixers last week by a 106-103 count, and will be primed for pay back here tonight in the rematch. Meanwhile, on the flipside the Sixers play again tonight after seeing their eight-game winning streak snapped last night vs Indiana . Now on tired legs against a talented and redemption minded squad Im betting the 76ers are in trouble. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 23-5 L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at +13.6. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.6. Play on Boston to cover |
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11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Redhawks are 24-8 SU all-time in home- openers since joining the NCAA Division I in 1991-92. Southeast Missouri began its home slate with a win in eight of the last 11 years and posted victories in 15 of its previous 18 home-opening contests. The Redhawks won their home-opener in five of their last seven seasons and according to my projections have the edge again. EVANSVILLE is 0-9 ATS in road games on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons. EVANSVILLE is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (EVANSVILLE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 9-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.3. Play on Missouri State to cover |
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11-15-23 | Richmond v. Boston College UNDER 142.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RICHMOND is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a blowout win by 30 points or more. RICHMOND is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 358-249 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. CBB eams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RICHMOND) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-14-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 107-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers are off two straight wins and look to be in sync entering this tilt vs the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. I know the Grizzlies are off a win vs the Clippers on Sunday, but Im not impressed by the Clippers so far this season, so Im betting that the 2-8 bad news Bears revert back to the inconsistent type of play they have exhibited this season. MEMPHIS is 1-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-28 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an sub par defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team 14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5 TO's or more )are 24-2 L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which esaily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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11-14-23 | Iowa v. Creighton UNDER 163.5 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 156 to 159 giving us solid value by 2 plus possessions to the under on this offering. I know both these sides have shown huge offensive lower tier competition , but now when facing some decent defensive talent a quick regression must be expected. IOWA in their L/11 against Big East conference opponents have seen a combined average of 155.5 ppg scored. CREIGHTON is 16-3 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (IOWA) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 41-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (CREIGHTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 49-16 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play under |
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11-14-23 | Texas A&M v. SMU +5.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big game for SMU at Moody tonight and Im betting their enthusiasm behind the home crowd should help them stay competitive via a havoc style of play that creates alot of turnovers . The Mustangs also exhibit tenacious rebounding on both the defensive and offensive board . With Texas A&M off a Big 10 win on the road, vs Ohio State last time out could find keeping their energy at a high level difficult. The last time SMU played an SEC school at home they upset Vanderbilt, 84-72, back in December of 2021. TEXAS A&M is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SMU) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/game or more on the season, in November games are 26-18 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on SMU to cover |
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11-14-23 | Boston University +10.5 v. Howard | 53-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this line should be closer to -7 giving a solid one possession value to cover this hefty side offering. BOSTON U is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games versus sub par passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game. Play on Boston U to cover full game and first half Boston U to cover |
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11-13-23 | Rider v. Nebraska UNDER 149.5 | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections have estimated a combined score in the low to mid 140s range giving us a 2 possession or more edge on this offered totals number. Baggett is 48-34 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 11-2 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 32-17 UNDER as a home favorite of 10 or more points with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 138 ppg. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Knicks +9 v. Celtics | 98-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game giving up 103.2 per outing (second in NBA) and here against the explosive Celtics Im betting they will be very physical and tenacious which will in turn take away the home teams positive flow. Based on a short list of early season results the line may not seem out of place, but after watching the Knicks on a few occasions this seasons it become obvious this a proud hard core type of team, that deserves alot more respect than they are getting tonight. NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 19-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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11-13-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Northwestern State UNDER 146.5 | 96-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the upper 130s to maximum 141 range giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NORTHWESTERN ST) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games. are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with as combined average of 135.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams against the total (NORTHWESTERN ST) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-13-23 | East Tennessee State v. Butler UNDER 147 | 47-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 13-2 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (BUTLER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average for a 79% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Villanova v. Pennsylvania +11.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This is a Big 5 battle between the Villanova Wildcats and Penn Quakers. .The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 14 consecutive games. The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Villanova in any of their last 10 games on the road.The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 3 of their last 4 games against Villanova.According to my line projections we have the edge with the home side Pennsylvania taking points. Play on Penn to cover |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 136-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans will be primed to bounce back from a 0-3 road trip when they host the Mavericks on Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Mavs are off a hard fought win vs conference rivals the Clippers last time out in what turned into a physical game and could easily be in a emotional let down state here in the Bayou tonight making them vulnerable to a hungry home side. NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Green is 15-4 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-12-23 | North Carolina Central v. Georgia UNDER 146 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score that hits in the low 140s, which gives us a 1 to 2 possession edge on this totals offering.
White is 20-8 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-12-23 | UAB +5 v. Maryland | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big 10 conference Maryland getting to much respect here vs experienced mid major conference side UAB. My own number makes the Terps just a 2 point fav. Full possession of value makes the Blazers to side to back. Kennedy is 22-12 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of UAB. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - bad pressure defensive team from last season - forced 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-11-23 | Raptors v. Celtics -8 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This will be the final stop on a four-game road trip for Toronto nd Im betting they will be on tired legs in a nasty home environment against a superior side the Celtics. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons which is the case here tonight. Note: against this type of team in a cover situation you need to be able to make charity stripe conversion something Toronto isa not doing well as they rank last in the NBA in free-throw percentage at 69.6 percent. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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11-11-23 | Fresno State v. Kent State -2.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kent State had their 23 games win streak abruptly end last time out in OT vs a very good looking James Madison side. However, Im now expecting to rebound vs aFresno State side traveling from West to East and way out of their time zone. CBB road team (FRESNO ST) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Kent State to cover |
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11-11-23 | Utah Tech v. Jacksonville State UNDER 144.5 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total out at 139 giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. JACKSONVILLE ST is 21-8 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average fo 130.1 ppg scored. Harper is 36-24 UNDER as a home favorite or pick as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTAH TECH) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 180-87 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the combined average of 138.5 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-11-23 | NC-Wilmington v. North Carolina-Asheville | 83-66 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these programs are ranked in the College Insider Mid-Major Top 25, with the Seahawks checking at seventh on the list and UNC Asheville at 17th Asheville suffered a 99-74 loss to Michigan on Tuesday (Nov. 7), in their season opener, but after playing that type of type tier opponent will be well prepared for a bounce back effort. Meanwhile , UNC Wilmington comes into Saturday's game after defeating Mount Olive 105-66 on Monday (Nov. 6) and this will be a quick up turn in class which will not serve them well in this road game in a hostile foreign environment. UNC-ASHEVILLE is 6-0 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UNC-WILMINGTON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Asheville to cover |
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11-11-23 | Texas State v. Miami-OH +2.5 | 75-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami Ohio to cover ( LATE STEAM) |