Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-18 | SIU-Edwardsville +14.5 v. Valparaiso | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart SIU Edwardsville to cover |
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11-21-18 | Texas State v. Cal Poly +6.5 | 54-42 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Cal Poly to cover |
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11-21-18 | SMU v. Wright State +3 | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Wright State to cover |
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11-21-18 | Utah Valley -2.5 v. Long Beach State | 87-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Utah Valley to cover |
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11-21-18 | Western Illinois v. Tennessee-Martin UNDER 143 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Play UNDER |
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11-21-18 | San Diego State +3 v. Iowa State | 57-87 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Play San Diego State to cover |
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11-21-18 | South Dakota State v. Colorado State +6.5 | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Colorado State to cover |
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11-21-18 | Wisconsin v. Stanford +8.5 | 62-46 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Stanford to cover |
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11-21-18 | St. Louis v. Pittsburgh +5 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-20-18 | Green Bay v. Oregon UNDER 150.5 | 72-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Oregon calling card is based on playing sound defensive ball, and so far after 4 games have allowed an average of 61.5 ppg on the season , and in their two home games this season have allowed 57 and 47 points respectively (52 ppg). More of the same sound transitional hoops will be on tonights agenda is a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the Total. OREGON is 14-1 UNDER in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.2 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Oregon /WI-GREEN BAY) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 72% or more of their free throws, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 97-55 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-20-18 | Tennessee State -1 v. CS-Northridge | 77-80 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
TSU is 1-0 in the all-time series versus CSUN, beating the Matadors in overtime 75-72 at a tournament in Las Vegas, Nov. 2006. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 0-9 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 4-19 ATS after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons which happened last time out. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 3-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Gottfried is 7-18 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 in all games he has coached since 1997 CS-NORTHRIDGE is 5-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons and 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE ST is 34-17 ATS L/51 in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game . CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 21-52 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE ST) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 72-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee State |
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11-20-18 | Blazers v. Knicks +8 | 118-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Tonight we have a tilt at Madison Square Garden, that has mismatch written all over it and the lines-makers have followed suit by making the Portland Trail Blazers 8 point road chalk, vs their hosts the New York Knicks this Tuesday. However from a contrarian perspective, Im betting taking points with the home dog is prudent bankroll expanding choice vs a Portland team on tired legs as they play their 4th road game in less than a week. I know its not easy backing a rebuilding /struggling team like the Knicks that continue to give younger players minutes, but from a advantage players viewpoint, this line is slightly bloated and offers value according to my power rankings numbers. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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11-20-18 | Nets v. Heat -3 | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Brooklyn a team the this lost 4 of their L/5 overall is not the same team without injured G Caris LeVert in the lineup . He leads the Nets in scoring (18.4 points per game) but its expected out for net fe months. Now they will go against a very hungry and rested Miami team , desperate to get a win, after getting hammered by the LA Lakers on Sunday night ( 113-97) for their fourth straight home loss. The media is attacking the team for their lack of grit, and believe me say pros do not like to be embarrassed and will be hell bent on getting some redemption tonight. MIAMI is 29-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, on Tuesday nights 110-23 SU L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average margin point differential going by 8+ ppg. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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11-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic UNDER 222 | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Orlando enters this game with a hot hand from the field converting at more than 50% with their FGs in their L/3 games, but in the past this has been a signal for downturn in offensive efficiency and production as is evident by the following trend: ORLANDO is 13-3 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots with a combined average of 193 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Toronto enters this game off a fine defensive performance last time out, allowing the Bulls just 83 points, as they paid alot of attention to their stopping abilities in transition . That stronger defensive performance stemmed from criticism they received after suffering a previous loss to the Celtics, that saw some in the media call them soft defensively and portray them as reverting back to their old ways under former HC Casey. The truth is the Raptors are a solid defensive team ranking 6th in the league in efficiency, and With that said, Im expecting more of the same stopping action from the Raptors in the spot vs a Magic team ranked 21st in offense in the league behind a 21 st ranked pace.. TORONTO is 17-4 UNDER in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board. ORLANDO is 24-12 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg getting scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (TORONTO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-20-18 | St. Peter's v. NC State OVER 148 | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
NC State averaging 95.5 ppg is going to explode offensively here tonight and St.Peters is going to have to chase them, or completely be embarrassed. This will result in a combined score that eclipses this weak total. ST PETERS is 17-6 ATS L/23 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 haveseen a combined average of 149.2. ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-20-18 | Cornell +14.5 v. Connecticut | 74-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Cornell enters this tilt on a three-game road streak is the longest since 2012-13. • key Cog Morgan enters the week among the national leaders at 25.4 ppg. and 7.8 rpg. while adding 2.8 apg. and 1.6 spg. Matt Morgan's 56 consecutive double figure scoring games has surpassed John Sheehy's 34 straight (1953-55) for a school record that had held for 62 years.Look for him to lead the way in a Cornell cover vs UConn. • Morgan became the first Cornell player to declare early for the NBA Draft during the spring of 2017 (and again in 2018), withdrawing before the early entry deadline to preserve his final two seasons of eligibilityCONNECTICUT is 7-24 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more 3 straight games.CORNELL is 70-48 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog since 1997 CORNELL is 24-8 ATS L/32 versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game. CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31%or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (CONNECTICUT) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 30-75 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cornell to cover |
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11-20-18 | Samford +22.5 v. Ohio State | 50-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
The Ohio State Buckeyes are undefeated and ranked , as they come off an OT win vs Creighton and than a beat down of South Carolina State. They did not suffer a letdown after that emotional win to Creighton but now Im betting in delayed response here tonight vs underrated ( Samford) they will suffer an natural regression in energy levels.Samford (5-0), coached by former Kentucky player Scott Padgett might not be on they same level as Ohio State , but they work hard at both ends of the court and are well coached and can stay within this number. Look for Seven-footer Ruben Guerrero ( 17 ppg, 8.8 rpg), a native of Spain and a transfer from South Florida, to help lead Samford to a cover.Four of five Samford starters have season scoring averages in double figures. Josh Sharkey is averaging 14.2 points and 7.8 assists per game. SAMFORD is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games Take the points with Samford |
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11-20-18 | Colorado State v. Florida Gulf Coast +1 | 82-74 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
GULF COAST SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Germain Arena - Estero, FL |
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11-20-18 | Colorado State v. Florida Gulf Coast UNDER 153 | 82-74 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections ( Sides/Totals) are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. |
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11-20-18 | Western Carolina +10.5 v. Jacksonville State | 53-84 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
CANCUN CHALLENGE - Semifinals - Hard Rock Riviera Maya - Cancun, Mexico Jacksonville State has lost 3 straight, and Western Carolina is 1-3. Both may not inspire bettors, but from . system vs system and players vs players perspective as well as previous recent matchup comparisons this game in a neutral court environment offers value with the underdog. This one is all about the math, and overall long term edges . With that said, Im recommending we take the points. Play on Western Carolina |
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11-19-18 | Arizona v. Iowa State | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
MAUI INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - Lahaina Civic Center - Maui, HI Arizona 3-0 is undergoing a massive roster overhaul and is unranked in the AP preseason poll for the first time since 2010-11, but underestimating their talent levels is not something I care to do, as this class is still chalk loaded full of top tier players.UA admittedly does have a lack of depth up front, but has a great deal of versatility and are quicker defensively via a smaller sized group. Iowa State also 3-0 should also be better this season , but are currently short handed playing without four potential rotation players, including preseason all-Big 12 guard Lindell Wigginton, . Forward Solomon Young, and forwards Cameron Lard and Zoran Talley Jr. who are out for an unspecified violation of team rules. Tonight their at a disadvantage vs a side in Arizona that will play at a normal time on their body clocks, at 7 p.m. Tucson time. ARIZONA is 10-1 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Arizona HC Miller is 10-2 ATS against Big 12 conference opponents in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Arizona to cover |
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11-19-18 | Cal Poly v. Washington State UNDER 148 | 70-84 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
My projections set this total at closer to 141 thus giving us value the this number to the under. WASHINGTON ST is 20-6 UNDER after playing a game as a road favorite with a. combined average of 127.6 ppg scored. CAL POLY-SLO L/10 games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (CAL POLY-SLO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers are 37-13 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-19-18 | Clippers v. Hawks +7.5 | 127-119 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Hawks are struggling (3-13) as they enter this game on a seven-game losing streak on Monday when they start a four-game home stand against the Los Angeles Clippers (10-5) at State Farm Arena. . Thanks to their ineptness and inability to garner wins of late, we are getting an exaggerated line to bet into with the home dog Hawks. I know the Clippers are playing well and we have a matchup of teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but desperation and being back on their own home court after a 4 game road trip against strong teams ( Indiana, Golden State, Denver, Lakers) makes the Hawks battle tested and a viable wagering option as they play in desperation mode. LA CLIPPERS are 18-34 ATS L/52 as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-19-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Hornets | 112-117 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings and head to head matchup systems and player vs players analysis, the Celtics matchup very well vs the Charlotte Hornets. CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 vs Charlotte. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less ), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-106 ATS for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors over the L/21 season. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-19-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Rutgers -5 | 36-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rutgers has lost alot from last season, and are not a viable Big 10 team but here at home they are good bets be able to handle a hard working but over matched MAC side in E.Michigan. HC Murphy is 3-14 ATS ( vs. teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN CBB home team (RUTGERS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team that had a winning record, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference are 49-21 L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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11-19-18 | Old Dominion v. Northern Iowa +3.5 | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
PARADISE JAM - Final Rnd - VI Sport & Fitness Center - St. Thomas, VI UNI matches up very well here vs Old dominion and a SU victory as underdogs is not out of the question. N.Iowas hoops program is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 meetings in this series vs Old Dominion. N IOWA is 12-3 ATS versus terrible shooting teams - making 39% or less of their shotsOLD DOMINION is 0-8 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 season .N IOWA is 19-6 ATS L/25 in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5. Play on Northern Iowa to cover |
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11-19-18 | Auburn v. Xavier +10 | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
MAUI INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - Lahaina Civic Center - Maui, HI Highly rated Auburn is getting way to much respect here, vs a talented young group at Xavier. I know the Muskateers have a new coach with Travis Steele , but the former HC Mack left a pipe line of fine recruiting talent and key players returning form last season. Just to many points here to pass up with a a quality group in a neutral court environment.
Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-19-18 | Georgia v. Illinois State UNDER 146 | 80-68 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
CAYMAN ISLANDS CLASSIC - Round 1 - John Gray Gymnasium - Cayman Islands Georgia is a good two way team, but Defence remains their calling card. Illinois States HC Muller, i expect will look to keep his team competitive with a methodical approach which Im betting helps this score stay on the low side of the Total.. Muller is 9-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of ILLINOIS ST with a combined average of 122.2 ppg scored. ILLINOIS ST is 12-2 UNDER versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 140.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 18-4 UNDER after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (GEORGIA) - poor ball handling team - committing 18 or more turnovers/game, in November games are 127-73 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 148-88 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-19-18 | Kennesaw State v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | 81-100 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
The Kennesaw State Owls enter this game against Eastern Kentucky averaging just 50 points on 35 percent shooting and allowing 62.5 points on 42.8 percent shooting and as a result have been manhandled in their 4 games out of the gate this season. Their offensive production is a huge issue. Im betting their offensive efficiency as well as a need to be methodical and defensive minded will be key in this tilt staying under the total. Play UNDER |
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11-19-18 | South Dakota State v. Tulane UNDER 155.5 | 80-84 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
GULF COAST SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Germain Arena - Estero, FL Both these teams have seem some fairy high scoring games in the early part of their non confernce schedule, but with both on almost a weeks rest I expect their to be some rust here and for their flow to not be conducive to a inefficient offensive output, which makes this a solid wagering investment option for UNDER bettors in this spot play. TULANE is 9-2 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons CBB Neutral court teams against the total (TULANE) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 390-280 UNDER L/21 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (S DAKOTA ST) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 221-130 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Texas A&M v. Minnesota UNDER 151.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
VANCOUVER SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Vancouver Convention Centre - Vancouver, CAN These quality teams have the ability to play a strong brand of defensive ball that based on taking care of the ball in transition. With that said, I expect a total score that remains on the low side of the Total. TEXAS A&M is 171-129 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record L/21 seasons with a combined average score of 137.1 ppg scored. Kennedy is 20-5 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of TEXAS A&M with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. Pitino is 13-4 UNDER in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average score of 137 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13 or more /game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Warriors +3 v. Spurs | 92-104 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
I know the Warriors played last night and are on tired legs as they embark on their 5th game in 7 days and I also know that Golden State on a current 2 game slide after last nights loss to Dallas will be without Steph Curry and Draymond Green tonight in this tilt vs San Antonio. However, despite of that my matchup rankings data base suggest even with the injuries, the well conditioned and deep Warriors are capable of pulling off a win here as a road underdog vs a San Antonio side that has lost their L/3 trips to the hardwood and 5 of their L/6 overall. It must also be noted that NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a positive long term betting situation as they are 54-20 SU L/22 seasons. Also Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a bankroll expanding 53-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-18-18 | UCF v. Western Kentucky UNDER 138 | 78-62 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Northeastern v. Davidson OVER 141.5 | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play OVER |
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11-18-18 | Central Michigan -9.5 v. San Jose State | 76-74 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. San Jose State to cover |
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11-18-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 | 33-101 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play OVER |
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11-18-18 | Samford v. Cleveland State UNDER 153 | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. |
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11-18-18 | Columbia +3 v. Fordham | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Columbia to cover |
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11-18-18 | Samford v. Cleveland State | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Samford to cover |
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11-18-18 | George Washington +11 v. South Carolina | 55-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. George Washington to cover |
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11-18-18 | St. Joe's +8 v. West Virginia | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. St.Joes to cover |
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11-18-18 | Air Force +4 v. South Dakota | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Air Force to cover |
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11-18-18 | Campbell +2 v. Austin Peay | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Campbell to cover |
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11-18-18 | Wofford v. Oklahoma UNDER 152 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | UC-Davis v. Texas-Arlington OVER 140 | 59-68 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 50 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play OVER |
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11-18-18 | Wake Forest v. Valparaiso -1 | 69-63 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
MYRTLE BEACH INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - HTC Center - Conway, SC The Demon Deacons needed a late 10-0 run to slip past Fullerton 66-59 last time out, but Im betting they wont be so lucky here vsValparaiso. Im betting it will be Vals D, that is the difference maker here. In their last game they suffocated Monmouth allowing them 54 points, and holding them to 39.6 percent shooting from the field and 4-of-18 shooting from 3-point range . VALPARAISO is 7-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons. WAKE FOREST is 5-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.WAKE FOREST is 32-55 ATS when playing on a neutral court since 1992. Demon Deacons are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Crusaders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Crusaders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.CBB Neutral Court favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 20-11 SU 22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Valparaiso |
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11-17-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +3.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are playing top tier basketball at the moment as is evident by on their three-game winning streak and overall have won four of five trips to the hardwood. Thanks in part to a strong effort on defense. Against Utah the Mavs held the Jazz to 31.3 percent field goal shooting after keeping Chicago and Oklahoma City under 40 percent in the previous two tilts. Tonight against a banged up Golden State team that looks out of sync of late and playing without Steph Curry, I feel the Mavs have an advantage here as underdogs . on their own home floor. DALLAS is 35-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 18-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Warriors are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 12-38 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 59-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-17-18 | Georgia Southern v. Pepperdine OVER 159 | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island My own projections estimate this combined score to eclipse the 160 point plateau. Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | 76ers v. Hornets -2.5 | 122-119 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The well rested Charlotte Hornets will be very ready to take down a Philadelphia 76ers off a gruelling game against the Utah Jazz last night. The Sixers have played well at home this season , but are just 2-7 on the road, and are fade material in this spot vs a side that was embarrassed by Cleveland last time out . But now on 3 days rest Charlotte will be out looking for redemption and also for revenge for a 133-132 OT loss last week on the road to the Sixers. That game showed me that the Hornets matchup well against their opponents as did a 105-103 loss in their first meeting here in Charlotte. CHARLOTTE is 13-0 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 64-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days is 25-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 6.3 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking at 6 points. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
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11-17-18 | Florida International v. Columbia UNDER 164 | 98-87 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
JOHNNY BACH CLASSIC - Round 2 - Rose Hill Gym - New York, NY This line Total has been pushed to nose bleed levels now making an under wager a viable investment opportunity. COLUMBIA is 12-3L/15 UNDER in road games in all tournament games with a combined average of 126.8 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/ or more game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (COLUMBIA) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers are 58-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-17-18 | Texas State v. Drake OVER 137.5 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Drakes D, was exposed to be very weak last time out by the Colorado Buffs as they allowed 101 points in a loss. Today I expect Texas State a team that is 2-0 on the season and off scoring 97 points last time out to also do some damage. Drake will Im betting reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own , in the one facet of their game that looks to be decent and that is their offence. DRAKE is 6-0 OVER after allowing 90 points or more over the last 3 season with the average combined score clicking in at 160 ppg.DRAKE is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of with a combined average of 150.3 ppg going on the board.TEXAS ST is 16-4 OVER in road games off a home win with a combined average of 142.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | Old Dominion v. Kennesaw State UNDER 130 | 65-47 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling to score. With Kenn State averging just 62.3 ppg and Old Dominion averaging 55.2 ppg. Both are playing methodical styles of basketball with their defences being their strong points. Kenn State allows an average og 60.5 ppg while Old Dominion allows 61.3 ppg. OLD DOMINION is 19-5 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 . CBB Neutral court teams against the total (/KENN ST/OLD DOMINION) - in a game involving two struggling offensive teams (63 or less PPG) are 100-52 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-17-18 | Michigan v. George Washington UNDER 132 | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
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11-16-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Nevada OVER 153 | 59-87 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Little Rock Trojans are coached by former NBA veteran Darrell Walker. Little Rock, like ranked Nevada, are built to push the ball in an up-tempo pace. The Trojans are averaging 92 points in their two wins and are no pushovers . Im betting on this tilt eclipsing the Total. Musselman is 9-1 OVER in home games off a home win by 10 points or more as the coach of NEVADA. with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-16-18 | Knicks +10.5 v. Pelicans | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
New Orleans at one point in the early part of the season lost 6 straight games, and then won three straight. Two of those wins were vs struggling Phoenix and Chicago, so Im not going to give them a great deal of accolades. The final win came against a Raptors team that looked exhausted and did not look themselves. Than last time out the Pelicans lost again, and did not look cohesive vs the Minnesota Wolves on the road. I can't put my finger on it but HC Gentry lead squad just does not seem to make all the moving parts work in coordination, with Defence, being their key problem point as they rank 27th in the league allowing an average of 115.8 ppg. I know tonights opponent the New York Knicks will not inspire bettors, but their desperate for a win and or to even stay competitive after 3 straight DD losses, and will be hell bent on not being embarrassed again. The Pelicans in their current form just do not seem like 10 points plus chalk, not even against a struggling Knicks team. With that said, Ill take the points with the lesser of two evils. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Knicks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. NBA team (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG), after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 49-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Two teams vying for supremacy on the Eastern Conference go head to head tonight as the Toronto Raptors visit the Boston Celtics tonight.Toronto started their campaign 12-1 but have suffered back to back losses at home to the Pelicans and Pistons and are just 3-2 on the road . Truth is the Raptors did not pace themselves out of the gate, and could easily be in pause mode, as they recuperate from exerting to much energy. Meanwhile, Boston has not always looked consistent in the early going this season, but are still a fine team, especially in the defensive end of the court where they rank 2nd in the league allowing just 101.9 ppg. Tonight Im betting their D, and home court advantage will be the difference maker in what Im also betting will be a Celtics win and cover. Celtics are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more 61-11 SU L/5 season for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 116-123 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors are front runners for a Eastern Conference championship, and when these two hard nosed competitors meet this evening, Im expecting a very physical affair that will base alot of action on each team focusing on transitional defence. The Raptors rank 9th in defensive efficiency while the Celtics rank 1st in Defensive efficiency. Im betting on a post season type affair that will not be very free flowing and a end result of a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed the total. TORONTO is 16-5 UNDER in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up recordNBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 4-0 UNDER this season and 36-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-16-18 | Jazz +3 v. 76ers | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers just do not look cohesive of late, and now with big ego Jimmy Butler in the lineup after a trade with Minnesota might still have problems going forward. Yes, I know how talented Butler is, (all you have to do is ask him) but there are reasons why he didn't want to be in Minnesota and its not because of the cold weather .In my humble opinion Butler at this point in his career is not a team player, and Im betting at least for the foreseeable future will be a negative influence on Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid and how well this team plays as a group especially in key situations. Time will tell if Im wrong, but for tonight Im betting a Jazz team off an embarrassing effort last time out vs Dallas, shooting just 31.3 percent from the field and 17 percent from 3-point range, will be primed for a bounce back redemption filled effort vs a over rated 76ers team . ***It must be noted that Utah owns a +0.11 SRS while, Philadelphai has -0.58 SRS. ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) UTAH is 43-27 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.NBA Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 85 points or less. are just 11-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-16-18 | Loyola Marymount v. Georgetown UNDER 147 | 65-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
JAMAICA CLASSIC - Round 1 - Montego Bay Convention Centre - Jamaica My projections based on both teas systems, suggests a total closer to 141. Thus giving us value on what my numbers say is a bloated number, based on only recent performance data. GEORGETOWN is 17-6 UNDER as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more re 29-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-16-18 | Georgia Southern v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 155 | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island This steamed up to 155 after the opening and is now inflated enough for me to recommend we make a under wager here. Not sure where all the initial action came from but it was bolstered by public money and very little if any sharp money. Perceptions lead to irrational exuberance, as both these teams have come gang busters with offensive explosions in their games, but both actually key their successes and failures on playing good D, and thats what Im expecting here today. GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135.9 ppg scored.FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 41-18 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-15-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Santa Clara UNDER 136 | 61-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My own projections based on system vs systems analysis, suggests this total should be closer to 131. Thus giving us value on this line to the under. UC Irvine is a defence first team that has allowed 64.7 ppg so this season in 3 tilts. Meanwhile, Santa Clara scored 64 points in their lone game, vs Grand Prairie and should struggle again vs this D. Im betting on a methodical approach here from Santa Clara, in an effort to stay competitive. This will result in a low scoring affair. UC-IRVINE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored. SANTA CLARA in their L/8 home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 131.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-15-18 | Oral Roberts v. BYU OVER 147.5 | 65-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that BYU should score in the upper 70s while Oral Roberts should put in the low sixties on the board. Projected 76-to 79 points for BYU 61-64 for Oral Roberts. We have value here on this number as the combined score should project at or above 148. ORAL ROBERTS is 11-2 OVER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.5 ppg scored.ORAL ROBERTS is 14-4 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.BYU L/6 after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 3 seasons have seen the followup see a combined score of 153.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-15-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets will bang heads tonight in what promises to be a physical affair. The Warriors will be without the often injured Step Curry but are expected to have Draymond Green back in the lineup but may not play a great deal becasue of a toe issue, which should slow their offensive production and see them more concentrated on sound defensive play. The Warriors as per news reports and obvious on court confrontations among themselves , are showing us what its like when this many big egos are put into the same dressing room. But when the game starts their still a team to contend with and Im betting come out here and play hard as a team. Meanwhile, the Rockets thanks to keeping pretty boy Carmelo Anthony on the sidelines , are a more rugged team , behind a under rated defense continues to improve as is evident by a 6th overall ppg defesnive ranking and a methodical calculated pace that is 29th in the league. HOUSTON is 12-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.5 ppg going on the board.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-14-18 | Blazers v. Lakers UNDER 225 | 117-126 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Portland has gone under the total in 7 of their L/8 games thanks to playing a top tier brand of defence, that has seen them hold 4 different opponents to 93 points or less. The Blazers own the leagues 5th best D ,both in points allowed 106.2 and efficiency 105.9 and will primed to grind the free wheeling Lakers down in this spot and not allow them flow. This Im betting takes a more than enough points off this totals number to seen this score stay on the low side of the digits. Note: Lakers games have had some bloated Totals attached to them which has resulted in 7 of their L/8 games and and 5 in row failing to eclipse the total . The L/7 meetings here in LA between these two teams have stayed under the total. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall.Under is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 3-0-1 in Lakers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0-1 in Lakers last 5 home games.Under is 6-0-1 in Lakers last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Lakers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2-1 in Lakers last 8 Wednesday games. Portland is 13-4 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205.8 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 49-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-14-18 | Grizzlies +10 v. Bucks | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has played some great ball this season , but lately have alternated wins and losses during their L/6 games, and are of a win last time out. They are getting alot of accolades, but this season is still early and my own rankings and stats analysis show some regression. Meanwhile, Memphis enters this game a little banged up , but its mostly depth players and as long as Conley remains healthy and on the court the other Grizzlies as a whole can feed of his energy. From a matchup perspective Memphis is not an easy team to play against, as they sport the leagues best defence behind the leagues slowest pace and Im betting they can cause problems for a team like the Bucks that needs to run a free flowing system to play at an optimal level. With that said, Im betting we have value taking points here with the visitors. Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. MILWAUKEE is 18-45 ATS L/63 as a favorite of 10 or more points. HC Budenholzer is 3-13 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games in all games he has coached. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 3-24 ATSL/5 seasons for a go against 85% for bettors. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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11-14-18 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Nebraska | 57-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
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11-14-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Duke OVER 150 | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Duke scored 118 points in their opener vs Kentucky, and 97 points vs Army in their last game at home,, and it does not matter what E.Michigan does to slow this game down Duke will score at will and run and gun the visitors into the ground behind a pro style offence and could come close to eclipsing this total all by themselves. DUKE is 11-0 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 165.6 ppg scored.DUKE is 8-0 OVER ( off a home win scoring 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons eith a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-14-18 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Michigan State UNDER 144 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
UL Monroe is really out classed here by Michigan State , and despite of having some decent cogs in the backcourt, just ant hang with this type of team and will struggle to put points up on the board. With that said, I expect them to try to slow this game down to crawl in order to compete, as they did in their game against the Texas Longhorns losing by 65-55 count. It must be noted that MSU HC Izzo is troubled that his team is averaging 17 turnovers, leading to 18.5 points per game off them. The first two opponents have shot 45.0 percent overall and 42.9 percent on 3-point tries and Im betting he has his team trying to make sure their defensive issues are worked on vs a lower tier team.LA-MONROE is 18-8 UNDER as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. Izzo is 13-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of MICHIGAN ST with a combined average of 132.1 ppg scored. on the UNDER |
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11-13-18 | Hawks +12.5 v. Warriors | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Golden State played last night in LA vs the Clippers . That game went into to OT, as they lost by a 121-116 count. Now on tired legs as they prepare to play on back to back nights and with the added inconvenience of being without the often injured Curry in the lineup the Warriors will not be as ferocious as usual, and could easily be over looking this lower level opponent. When your a team like the Warriors that has had so much successes in this league of late, its easy to become a little bit to comfortable . Meanwhile, Im betting on rising star Trae Young to come out flying and inspired tonight in an attempt to upend the champs. Im really expecting two different energy levels here in this spot and getting points to eventually be golden. NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 16-52 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. |
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11-13-18 | Rockets +4.5 v. Nuggets | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are suddenly struggling for the first time this season and despite of being (9-4) have lost three straight and two in a row at home and has had trouble with energy levels and consistency of late which culminated in allowing their opposition to hit on 57%+ of their FG last time out. . Meanwhile, Houston showed some life last time out, posting a impressive 115-103 victory over a very deep Indiana team. Im betting on the Nuggets issues to continue here tonight and for the Rockets to build off of their last effort. HOUSTON is 20-8 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 4-14 ATS in home games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Houston has won and covered their L/3 trips to the Mile High City. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 30-8 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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11-13-18 | Drake v. Colorado UNDER 149 | 71-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Drake allowed just 52 points in its opener, and will not be easily scored upon hereby a methodical and very young Colorado offence that is playing their first game of the season. Fluidity could be a problem for the Buffs, but their D, should be well prepared to be physical with a Drake team that will run and gun if allowed. DRAKE is 11-2 UNDER L/13 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points with a combined average score of 127.2 ppg scored. COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 142 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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11-13-18 | Coastal Carolina v. Tulane OVER 145 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate we have value on this total right to the 147.5 range. Coastal Carolina has averaged 88 ppg in offence in their first two games, while Tulane looked weak on defence last time out, in their only game allowing 80 points. Im betting on More of the same action here , as Coastal lights up the board vs a unorganized defensive group, and Tulanes response will be to respond or be blown off the court, which will in turn help this game eclipse the Total. COASTAL CAROLINA is 14-4 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 150 ppg going on the scoreboard.TULANE is 24-10 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 149 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-13-18 | NC-Greensboro -7.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 82-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My own poer rankings make NC Greensboro 9.5 point chalk here thus giving us value on this line. UNC-WILMINGTON is 0-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.UNC-GREENSBORO is 8-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with the average victory coming by 10.5 ppg. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UNC-WILMINGTON) - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are 53-104 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on NC Greensboro to cover |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier +1 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The Musketeers have started the season 2-0 under first-year head coach Travis Steele. There are some new faces this season, as key guys likeTrevon Bluiett and J.P. Macura, are gone, but this is considered one of the best recruiting classes ever put on the floor by Xavier, so the Musketeers aren't exactly short on talent and have to be respected here in their own building, Yes even against a Big 10 power house like Wisconsin. Musketeers are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big Ten.Badgers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-12-18 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 230.5 | 116-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers' own a defensive-minded backcourt buoyed by Patrick Beverley and Avery Bradley. This duo and other parts of this team were put together, in part, to deal with explosive backcourts like the one from the they will play tonight. However, that talented backcourt of the Warriors has some injuries, and could possibly be without Curry tonight . Tonight Im betting , that the Clippers HC Head coach Doc Rivers will use two full rotations of players, to be fresh enough to be physical and control the Warriors speed. This should mute some flow from this game, and thus scratch a few points off the expected combined score, in a game Im betting that will result in a under wager cashing for us in this spot. Under is 22-8 in Warriors last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 18-7-1 in Warriors last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 10-4 in Clippers last 14 games following a straight up win.GOLDEN STATE is 29-10 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 117-85 UNDER in home games after a non-conference game with the combined average score of 197.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 80-49 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 198.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 38-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216 ppg going n the score board. Play UNDER |
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11-12-18 | Denver v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas States HC Webers system and calling card has always been based on playing a solid brand of defensive ball. But today against a lower tier non conference team ( Denver), I expect the Wildcats to be a little more free wheeling, and for this total to be eclipsed. DENVER is 18-8 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.9 ppg .DENVER is 12-3 OVER in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.8 ppg. Play OVER |
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11-12-18 | Utah v. Minnesota UNDER 147 | 69-78 | Push | 0 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two teams and coaches that base their successes and failures on playing top tier defence. The Utes have three 7-footers on their roster (Novak Topalovic, Jayce Johnson and Brandon Morley). They rank 19th in the nation in average height (78.4 inches). They use their height well within this system of tough inside play and good rebounding. Minnesota's physcial Big 10 group will reciprocate with some strong physical action of their own in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. UTAH is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 141.4 ppg scored. Krystkowiak is 35-22 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-12-18 | Nets v. Wolves -2.5 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
With the negative influence of Jimmy Butler saga gone now after he was traded to the 76ers on the weekend, the Minnesota Wolves should feel like they now have a second life, and Im betting will be energized and thrive here tonight vs the Brooklyn Nets. Yes, the Nets are up-trending, but are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and off a extremely exhausting and demanding game vs the Warriors last time out. . The Nets are now in the unenviable position of playing against a pumped up team that needs desperately to turn their season around after a ugly 0-5 road trip. MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Nets are 2-12 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Minnesota.NBA team (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 70-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-12-18 | UC-Davis +16 v. Arkansas | 58-81 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Im betting the Arkansas Razorbacks are in a emotional letdown situation after a OT loss to Texas in their first game of the season. Despite of this being their home opener it will be hard for the Hogs to have the energy levels needed to cover this fairly big number vs the University of California-Davis Aggies. Im not saying the the Razorbacks 44 home opener winning streak is in jeopardy , but rather that the line is inflated to the point where there is value taking points with the road dog. CAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasonsCAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasonsCAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cal Davis to cover |
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11-12-18 | Pelicans v. Raptors UNDER 233 | 126-110 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raptors can run and gun behind an explosive offense , but their defence is under rated and currently ranked 8th in DEF Rating efficiency (106.7 ppg) behind the 10th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans, in the early part of this season were seen as a all out one attacking team, that trys to outscore their opponents on the run. But their last two wins have been predicated by playing top tier brand of defence, that kept those opponents at 99 points or less. Im betting the success of those above mentioned outings and victories will see Gentrys troops alot more focused on playing top tier defence in a unfriendly road environment against a dangerous opponent. Look for an expect a more muted total combined score than the linesmakers number might suggest. Under is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 37-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a 216combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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11-12-18 | St Bonaventure v. Niagara UNDER 152.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies turned to their defense to even their record 1-1 with a 67-36 win versus Jackson State and that will be their key in this game vs Niagara. Schmidt is 34-17 UNDER in road games in non-conference games as the coach of ST BONAVENTURE with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Bonnies last 5 road games.Under is 8-2 in Bonnies last 10 non-conference games.CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ST BONAVENTURE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 31-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-11-18 | Celtics v. Blazers -2.5 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics successes in recent years has been their ability to play top tier defence, but recently especially on this current road trip they look to be struggling .As a result the Celtics have lost 3 of their L/4 games and have failed to cover 4 straight games. Meanwhile, Portland their hosts tonight are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and have won 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 behind some solid two way basketball that has result in allowing 3 of their L/7opponents to score 93 points or less. With that said, Im recommending we lay the short lumber here with the Blazers. PORTLAND is 35-23 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. HC Stotts is 11-1 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more as the coach of PORTLAND. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 26-3 SU L/22 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 12.8 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 29-3 SU L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average margin point differential coming by 14.9 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-11-18 | Vanderbilt v. USC -2 | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Trojans showed how explosive they can be when they took out Robert Morris last time out in a powerful well balanced 83-62 win. The Trojans shot 53.2 from the field and allowed their opposition to convert on a lowly 34.3 % of their their shots. Vandy obviously offers up more talent, but travelling from west to east is never any easy proposition for any team , and it will be a factor in what Im betting will be a road loss for the Commodores. USC has played well against non-Pac-12 opponents covering the spread in 31 of the last 47 and is 7-3 ATS L/10 vs SEC teams. VANDERBILT is 1-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasonsVANDERBILT is 7-19 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Play on the USC Trojans to cover |
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11-11-18 | Bucks v. Nuggets OVER 223 | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Milwaukee comes at their opponents with a run and gun take no prisoners attitude, and essentially force any all opponents to partake with some offensive fireworks of their own this or be blown off the court. The Bucks rank 4th in pace and 2nd in offence (121 .7 ppg) in the league a even though the Nuggets operate at a slower pace, Im betting they will have to up their speed or like I said get crushed by a high flying group. The Nuggets are on a couple days rest so they will be ready . One last thing, I know the thin air of Denver, can take its toll on visiting squads, but the Bucks are one of the leagues best conditioned teams and should have no problems with energy despite of playing last night. The L/2 meetings (lat season) have seem combined scores of 253 and 257 poinss going on the board. DENVER is 47-24 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-11-18 | Magic v. Knicks +1 | 115-89 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
When you first look at this matchup would might assume that the Magic are the superior side, and deserve to be slight favourites here on the road, because of there better play of late as compared to their struggling counterparts. But according to my power rankings charts, and the Orlandos history of ATS futility I feel we have value on a picket line with the ver hungry home team. I know the Kncisk lost last night to Toronto, but I liked their offensive flow in a 128 -112 loss and feel like it could carry into this game. Note The Magic are 11-23 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Orlando took out the reeling Wizards last time out at home in Central Florida , but are just 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons. Since 1989, sub win percent than opponent underdogs off of a win against a team that just played on the road are just 58-97-5 ATS/61-120 SU in regular season when the final margin of their last game was smaller than the margin going into the fourth quarter. (Orlando) Orlando HC Clifford is 9-23 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in all games. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 5-24 SU L/22 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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11-11-18 | Pacers +2.5 v. Rockets | 103-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers currently rank very high on my power ranking charts, while Houston is sinking like a rock, and in their current form look very much like fade material. The Rockets are talented but their seems to be an issue with flow and chemistry right now. Add to that their on tired legs in this spot, after finishing off an extended 5 game road trip that resulted in them losing their last two tilts including one last night in San Antonio . This is actually the Rockets 2nd back to back game scenario in the L/9 days, so Im betting their going to be exhausted. Meanwhile, the Pacers despite of losing 2 of their L/3 games are a deep team that works at an accelerated pace, and Im betting the Rockets wont be able to handle their speed in their current form.I NDIANA is 31-18 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasonsINDIANA is 23-6 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.D'Antoni is 8-21 ATS in home games in non-conference games as the coach of HOUSTON. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 27-4 SU L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate witht he average point differntial clicking in a 6.4 ppg. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-11-18 | Hornets +2.5 v. Pistons | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
The Hornets have consistently proven their not an easy out , as was the case in their last trip to the hardwood vs the Philadelphia 76ers on the road as they lost a heart breaking 133-132 OT decision. Now with rest they come back out looking to rebound vs a inconsistent Detroit team, that just recently ended a 5 game losing streak with a pair of wins vs lower tier teams Orlando and Atlanta. Tonight against this run and gun and high energy Charlotte group Im betting this Motown crew is at a disadvantage. DETROIT is 19-35 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - poor three point shooting team ( 33% or less ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 23-73 SU lL22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. |
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11-11-18 | East Tennessee State +11.5 v. Creighton | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
E.Tenn State is an explosive offensive teams as ws evident against HIWASSEE COLL as they took a 109-44 win. They have enough fire power to hand here with a very good Creighton team. TENN ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 5-15 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on E Tenn st to cover |
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11-10-18 | Lakers v. Kings UNDER 240 | 101-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a Kings team that will be playing the second night of a home back-to-back games, and Im expecting them to be more tempered in their approach tonight on tired legs. The Kings last 4 home games have stayed under the Total, and it must be noted that SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams like the Lakers - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg on the scoreboard. I know the Lakers on a couple days rest should be fresh, and ready to run but with addition of veteran Tyson Chandler into the Lakers lineup I expect the way the Lakers play will be more balanced with a greater respect and attention placed on playing good defence. The Lakers early season defensive inefficiencies and their explosive offensive weapons have seen recent games see high totals attached to their tilts, and as a result these over compensations have seen 4 straight games stay under the total, and tonight Im betting this Total is also to high. SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons and overall is 24-9 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 season with the combined average score of the home games clicking in at 205.8 ppg. SACRAMENTO in their L/8 home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games have seen a combined average score of 199.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-10-18 | Rockets -2 v. Spurs | 89-96 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston despite of their talent level are not playing up to expectations, but from a systems matchup perspective have an edge here even though they are playing in enemy territory but still not far from home. The Rockets were hammered in their last trip to the hardwood, snapping a 3 game winning streak , losing to the Thunder 98-80. . That loss came in their 4th straight road game, and the team as a whole looked pooched. Now with some rest and back in Texas the Rockets will be out looking for redemption, for that last loss which gives us a motivated team to back. HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS L/9 in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Note: I didn't like the way the Spurs looked last time out in a 95-88 loss to Miami. Coach Popovich essentially insulted his group calling them soft. Im not sure that will ignite them if thats truly what he thinks they are. I personally feel that Pops might have something here, as the Spurs don't seem to like to work inside. The Spurs shot a ugly 33% in that loss to the Heat, but made 13 of 32 from beyond the arc preferring to do their work from the outside. In what the lines makers think will be a closely contested affair, Ill take what I for at least now perceive to be tougher clutch team ( Rockets) HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS L/26 as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets took three of the four meetings from the Spurs last season. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 75-35 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-10-18 | 76ers v. Grizzlies UNDER 210 | 106-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The Sixers played an intense game against Charlotte last night, winning 133-132 in OT and will now be playing their 5th game since Nov 3. Needless to say the Sixers should be on tired legs and in not way or shape ready to run here tonight and will have to rely to an extent on their defence to be competitive which is ranked 10th in the league in efficiency Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are back to being a team that was feared prior to last season, behind a top tier D , as is evident by having held 5 diff opponents under 97 points and rank No.1 in the league in points allowed (100.6 ) and 30th in pace . Their 29th ranked offense tells a story of a methodical side, that bases it successes and failures on defence and tonight Im betting nothing changes. MEMPHIS is 10-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205.6 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA in their L/40 in road games off a close home win by 3 points or less have seen a combined average score of 195.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MEMPHIS/PHILADELPHIA ) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in November games are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 204.3 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-10-18 | Illinois State v. Belmont -2.5 | 89-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is Belmonts first game of the season, and Illinois State did not look all that impressive in their first game taking a 74-66 tilt vs Florida Gulf State. My own projections and early season power ratings suggest that Belmont should be a 7 point fav here thus we have value on a short chalk line. Yes, their are new faces in the lineup but they have all been recruited to play Rick Byrds system, and Im betting they will do just fine. Belmont has won 285 games since 2007 - the most among all NCAA Division I program from the state of Tennessee - including Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Memphis. Belmont to cover |
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11-10-18 | Morehead State v. Syracuse UNDER 134.5 | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Syracuse D, looked tremendous in their opener vs E.Washington holding their opposition to just 34 points in methodical fashion. A repeat looks to be on todays agenda vs a Morehead State team on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 days. SYRACUSE is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of with a combined average of 123.3 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-10-18 | Kent State -3.5 v. Cleveland State | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Kent according to my power rankings is the superior team here today vs Cleveland State and my projections make them a 7 point favorite, thus giving us value on this cheaper than expected line. Cleveland looked over matched vs Davidson in their opener, and some glaring weaknesses make them fade material in this spot. The incoming class is highlighted by two freshmen in Anthony Roberts and DeAndre Gholston. Roberts is a Highly talented freshman that scored 22.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg at Detroit Henry Ford HS, while Gholston is a wing player that averaged 22.0 ppg and 6.0 rpg at 21st Century Charter. Play on Kent State |
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11-09-18 | San Diego v. UC-Davis +5 | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
SF clobbered Cal Davis in their first game of the season 76-42 , but this team is not as bad as that score might indicate and more than capable of bouncing back here in this spot vs a team that is not deep and heavily depends on the big three of Pineiro, Wright, and Carter III to do most of the heavy lifting. UC Davis will Im betting limit these three tonight on their way to cover. DAVIS is 8-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons andis 6-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CAL DAVIS) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 37% for more of their attempts are 128-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UC Davis |
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11-09-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Texas A&M UNDER 144.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Texas and Cal Irvine both put up alot of points in their first games, with Texas winning 93-82 vs Savannah State, and Cal Irvincd smasing Idaho 86-68. But from a matchup analysis trends sheet I use based on the type of systems both teams use, Im expecting a lower scoring affair here tonight. HC Kennedy in his L/18 games after scoring 85 points or more as the coach of TEXAS A&M has sen a combined average score of 139.2 ppg scored. HC Turner in 250 games in all lined games as the coach of UC-IRVINE has seen a combined average score of 136.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-09-18 | Maryland -14 v. Navy | 78-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
LATE STEAM VETERANS CLASSIC - Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD |
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11-09-18 | NC-Greensboro +10.5 v. LSU | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
After defeating Southeastern, 94-63, in the season opener, the champions of the Southern Conference from UNCG are viable challengers vs LSU tonight and are good investment options getting points.The Spartans are bonfied winners and took 27 games last year and have won 52 over the last two seasons for Wes Miller in his eighth season as the head coach at UNCG. Last year’s team took Gonzaga to the wire before falling, 68-64, in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. LSU is 9-21 ATS l/30 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points . Take he points with NC Greensboro to cover |
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11-09-18 | Jacksonville State v. Samford +7 | 72-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
My estimations/projections make this weak line as I have Jacksonville State as 1.5 point fav instead of the linesmkaers 7 being offered. |
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11-09-18 | Wizards v. Magic +3 | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington has quite honestly looked horrendous this season, with five of their defeats coming by double-digits, Washington is allowing 120.5 points per game and has already allowed at least 134 points three times. Just nasty numbers, and until they can get this ship righted look very much to be fade material, even against a young inconsistent Orlando group. The Magic are still trying tolearn to win, and have shown some signs of waking up of late and have won 2 of their L/3, and despite of a loss last time to Detroit as they still shot 46 percent but were some how outscored 25-16 in the fourth when they shot 5 of 16 and committed nine turnovers. These I consider to be growing pains for a team like the Magic and their more than capable of turning things around and getting us a cover here at home tonight.WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and just 20-38 ATS as a favourite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Orlando to cover |