Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-03-18 | Wofford +3.5 v. Mercer | 65-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
WOFFORD is 13-2 ATS L/14 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game .MERCER is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots .WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS L/7 off a road loss against a conference rival .MERCER is 0-9 ATS L/9 after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.WOFFORD is 10-0 ATS L/10 off a road loss dating back to last season. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (MERCER) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 8-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 135 | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors, with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games 48-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Alabama +8 v. Florida | 68-50 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
Alabama enters this game vs Florida as a underdog with a bite, as is evident by a 3-1 record when playing an AP Top-25 team this season. The Tide, have defeated then-No. 5 Texas A&M, then-No. 17 Auburn and then-No. 12 Oklahoma, and is one of eight teams from around the nation who has at least three victories of AP Top-25 teams this season. I know the Crimson Tide were upset last time out by Missouri, but I think this group got caught looking ahead to this tilt, as they lost for the first time at home in program history to the Tigers. I'm betting Alabama will now be very focused this Saturday, and ready to extend on a 6-3 ATS SEC conversion rate this season. Meanwhile, Florida is off a hard fought tilt against Georgia last time out, which has not been a good omen for the program in the past as they are 0-13 ATS L/13 after facing Bulldogs. From a matchup perspective Alabama defense is allowing opponents to shoot 41.3 percent from the field , while Florida is shooting just .437 on the season ranking just No.229 in the nation. My own projections make this a much closer game the linesmakers estimate, because of the offense vs defense power rankings system I used for this tilt. Alabama is 9-3 ATS in this series as a dog of 6 points or more. Play on Alabama to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Montana State v. Northern Colorado OVER 149 | 63-86 | Push | 0 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER L/9 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 156 ppg going on the board. MONTANA ST is 10-1 OVER L/11 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.N COLORADO is 6-0 OVER in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 166.6 ppg scored. CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points MONTANA ST/(N COLORADO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER dating back 5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 148.5 | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game with a combined average score of 172.8 ppg scored. KANSAS is 29-11 OVER L/40 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games going back over multiple seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings in this series have seen 175 , and 167 total combined points go on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-02-18 | Lakers +1.5 v. Nets | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The last time these teams met, the Lakers took out the Nets by a 124-112 win as former Net Lopez scored a season-high 34 points on 13 of 23 from the field and made six 3-pointers. From a matchup perspective I feel the Lakers once again have a viable opportunity to turn the trick again. It must be noted that Brooklyn could easily also be in a letdown scenario here , after back to back grueling division games, including an upset of the 76ers ast time out . BROOKLYN has crashed and burned consistently in the past after these type of affairs as is evident by their 1-12 ATS L/13 record in home games after 2 consecutive division games . Lakers are 9-2-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Brooklyn
Play on LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
02-02-18 | Pacers v. Hornets -3 | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pacers are coming off a 3-0 homestand that included a 105-96 victory over the Hornets on Monday night but despite of that momentum, this is a bad spot for them according to my reference power rankings and system vs system matchup projections. The home team also has the added edge factored in for Coach Nate McMillan not being behind the bench tonight for the Pacers because of personal reasons. The Hornets also have motivation on their side as they look to get revenge for a earlier loss to the Pacers this season. Actually in that loss the Hornets looked like the better team, when they pushed Dwight Howard to the front of their offensive attack and focused on him getting the ball. They floundered in the second half however, when they got away from that game plan and lost . But now tonight with the Pacers weaknesses exposed look for Howard once again be a focal and point and eventual catalyst in what I am betting will be a Hornets win and cover . Pacers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Charlotte.Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher 9-20 SU for go against 69% conversion rate for bettors over the last 5 seasons losing by an average of 4.4 ppg . NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 60-18 SU L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 7.1 ppg. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
02-02-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis +2 v. Detroit | 60-74 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Head coach Jason Gardner, will have his teamed primed and ready to get back on track vs a Titans team defeated 81-66 back in January of this season when they last met. IUPUI shot nearly 52 percent as a team while holding Detroit to just over 40 percent from the floor.From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Jaguars have a good chance of breaking a recent 3 game skid here tonight vs Detroit Mercy. Meanwhile, Detroit is 6-17 SU overall and 2-8 SU in Horizon League play. The Titans are 4-7 SU at home this season. The Titans come in having dropped four straight, which began with the 81-66 loss on Jan. 16 to the Jaguars and are fade material in this spot as chalk as they enter this game possibly short handed, and feeling deflated ... [C] 02/01/2018 - Isaiah Jones is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Undisclosed )[F] 02/01/2018 - Jaleel Hogan is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Academics )[F] 02/01/2018 - Tariiq Jones is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Academics )[G] 02/01/2018 - Jermaine Jackson Jr. left last game, is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Knee )DETROIT is 0-7 ATS L/7 in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 dating back to last season.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS L/20 after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . Play on IUPU-Indianapolis to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | San Francisco +14.5 v. St. Mary's | 43-79 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Dons will travel east on the Bay Bridge to take on long time rival Saint Mary's on Thursday night in McKeon Pavilion. The Gaels are team that is riding a 16-game winning streak, and looks like their on a mission this season. However, with this group playing all out on a nightly basis I'm betting they will eventually slow down a bit, which could be the case against a upstart rival that would love to upset them in this spot. From a matchup analysis standpoint, my system vs system projections give us a decent opportunity to cash via cover . ST MARYS-CA is 3-11 ATS L/14 in home games after a win by 10 points or more. ST MARYS-CA is 4-12 ATS L/16 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-68 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Francisco to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +1.5 | 124-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
The Thunder have possibly put it all together as they have been surging of late. I'm not completely sold on their sudden reversal in fortunes just yet, despite of the prognosticators and media shoveling their love for them down our proverbial throats. Hey guys, I'm not dumping on the Thunder, because the big three of Westbrook, Melo, and George are true big times talents, I'm just throwing caution to the wind as their a lot of basketball to played this season, before a definite stance can be taken and in my opinion the jury is still out. In their last trip to the hardwood Oklahoma City had a 8 game win streak abruptly ended against Washington despite of the Wizards playing without John Wall, and in the recent past have proven themselves unreliable and inconsistent despite of their talent levels. With that said, I'll take a contrarian stance, and back the young but talented Denver Nuggets to grab us some cash in the Mile High city tonight. It must be also noted that Oklahoma City has crashed and burned consistently after being cash cows for their backers for extended periods, as this trend indicates: OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-12 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread . The Thunder have also not been able to take advantage of struggling defenses: OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS L/22 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is also just 2-10 ATS vs. division opponents this season. Thunder are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Nuggets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 25-9 L/5 seasons SU for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Injury update: Nuggets C Nikola Jokic (ankle) is probable Thursday vs Oklahoma City. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Middle Tennessee +3.5 v. Old Dominion | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
These are two strong hoops programs, with similar records and defensive records. I know the players and home town crowd will be sky high for this tilt, but if Old Dominion gets the win it won't come easily and I'm betting they fail to cover. Middle Tennessee State is a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 in this series. Middle Tennessee State has played in hostile environment and recently taken part in NCAA Tourney games and are not easily intimidated. Home court advantage is worth something here, but not enough for me to consider the home chalk as a stable choice, and instead I'm siding with what my own system to system rankings suggest is the better team. ( Middle Tennessee State) This game could easily be decided by one or two possessions which makes getting points a quality opportunity. No team in the nation has more wins on the road this season than Middle Tennessee, with a 8-1 record in true road games. MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS l/9 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last few seasons and overall is 21-9 ATS L/30 when playing against a team with a winning record . OLD DOMINION is 8-20 ATS L/28 in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. CBB favorite (OLD DOMINION) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion UNDER 130 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Blue Raiders and Monarchs prepare to meet in a game that I have pegged for a defensive battle on Thursday.These are the two best statistical defenses in the conference this season, ODU giving up just 62.9 points per game and MT 64.9 |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Northern Kentucky v. Youngstown State +12 | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Youngstown States win/loss record is not very impressive, but in their defense they have played a road heavy schedule of late , with 9 of their L/13 as visitors. However, in the 4 games at home during that span they have won 3 of those games, with the only loss coming against a top tier Illinois Chicago program. The visitors today Northern Kentucky are a strong team, but this line is bloated according to my own data and projections. With Youngstown State averaging 88.4 ppg at home this season, I'm betting their well positioned to get us a cover vs a N.Kentucky side that despite of a 16-7 overall record on the season is just 5-5 ATS on the road this season . |
|||||||
02-01-18 | VMI +17.5 v. NC-Greensboro | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
UNC Greensboro enter this home game on tired legs after two straight wide open run and gun affairs , a 98-82 win at Samford , and a upset loss at Chatanooga by a 87-85 margin. For a team that usually plays strong D, their are some issues that need to be addressed, and I'm expecting a concerted and more methodical effort from Greensboro in this spot, which will make for closer gap in the margin of victory than the lines-makers are estimating. I know VMI may not inspire many bettors but they have covered 4 of their L/6 and have down in enough upward meomtnum to be considered viable dogs in this situation. Greensboro HC Miller is 0-6 ATS L/6 after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent and is 1-9 ATS L/10 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-13 ATS L/15 after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. UNC-GREENSBORO is 0-6 ATS L/6 after a combined score of 165 points or more. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-22 ATS L/31 in home games after a loss by 6 points or less CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UNC-GREENSBORO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 32-69 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors on the blind. Play on VMI to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | San Jose State +18 v. UNLV | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
When these teams met earlier this season UNLV came out on top , 82-76, in overtime at the Event Center. The Rebels are obviously the superior team, and San Jose State has struggled mightily this season, but from a player vs player /system vs system analysis the Spartans actually matchup fairly well, especially on this line and vs a side that has a tendency to play down to their opponents. It must also be noted that San Jose State played a decent Wyoming hoops program very tough loss last time out ( 90-86), covering a 11 point dogs and are showing progress. San José State shot 48.4 percent (30-62) on Wednesday night compared to Wyoming's 44.1 percent (30-68). It's the sixth time in nine Mountain West games that SJSU has finished with a higher shooting percentage than the opponent. With that said, I'll recommend we take San Jose State in this spot vs a side that is consistently over rated by the linesmakers as they covered only once in their 11 games . That one cover was in their last trip to the hardwood, in an emotional 88-78 win vs top tier San Diego State, that will now also have the Rebels in a let down state, and susceptible to a down game vs less competetion. UNLV is 1-9 ATS L/10 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. UNLV is 6-18 ATS L/24 against conference opponents . CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 113-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. San Jose State to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | 76ers v. Nets +7 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after a hot streak that saw them notch wins in 10 of 13 games, have now lost back to back games including a 10-point loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday and a 12-point smack down at Milwaukee on Monday. I watched highlights from those game , and some shot clips, and the 76ers looked exhausted and are fade material here in their current form, even against a struggling side like Brooklyn, especially laying this much lumber on the road. Note: BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season and 19-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BROOKLYN is 16-7 ATS L/23 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season I also betting on a motivated game from the Nets newest acquisition Okafor as he goes against his old teammates. His will to show his old team what he's truly worth should spread and motivate the entire squad to a stronger than normal performance . Okafor a former No.3 pick with the Philadelphia 76ers was traded to the Brooklyn Nets last month, and has slowly been getting acclimated to his new teammates and is getting more minutes of late. This kid has talent, and despite of not working out in Philly is a steal in my opinion for the Nets. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more 13-52 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Heat v. Cavs -2 | 89-91 | Push | 0 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Cavs, for a team that is held in such high regard by NBA prognosticators, is a team that has not been fluent of late as their 5-8 record in January would indicate . This team needs some motivational therapy, as they are now a half game ahead of the Heat for third place in the East. To make matters worse the team will have to play without all star Kevin Love who broke his hand in his last trip to the hardwood. However, the silver lining is that the Bulls will now be playing small ball for longer stretches , and when they go big with Jae Crowder ( 6-6) and bring Channing Frye off the bench they wont be easily intimidated by guys like Hassan Whiteside, and maybe more motivated in Love's absence ,which I'm betting actually helps them in the long run. I recently began to believe going small for Cleveland would get them over this ugly slump their in, and now their going to be forced to do it. In their only meeting this season the Cavs beat the Heat 108-97 and lead by as much as 34 points , and now even with out a key cog in their lineup matchup well vs the Heat. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games after 2 consecutive division games .MIAMI is 1-8 ATS L/9 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season . NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 10-29 L/5 seasons for ago against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, in January games are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Pittsburgh +16.5 v. Miami-FL | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is having problems notching wins and are currently on a 9 game losing streak in conference action and desperate for a win. I know the Panthers record is ugly but my own cross reference analysis suggests their has been improvement with a program that is chalk loaded full of freshman, and on this DD line are viable dogs. Their ability to work hard and be competitive was showcased when Pitt dropped a hard-fought battle to Syracuse, 60-55, Saturday at the Petersen.Pitt has limited its past two opponents to 34.4 percent (43-of-125) shooting from the field, including 24.0 percent (12-of-50) from beyond the three-point arc and capable of giving a Miami Fl side of a hard fought 104-93 loss to instate rivals last time out and now in a letdown state a battle for their money in this spot Note: PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season. MIAMI is 8-17 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread MIAMI is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss are 180-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - a very good team (8 or more PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 23-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | West Virginia v. Iowa State OVER 147.5 | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 123.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Louisville enters this game off a 97 point out and win vs Wake Forest last time out, but now go against a staunch physical Virginia D, that will be out to ruin their flow and make them more manageable to control. Meanwhile, Virginia will be in a letdown spot , and on tired legs after taking out Duke on the weekend in a grueling 65-63 win , which should see them even more methodical than usual. VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season and is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or mote with a defense of 42% or better .LOUISVILLE is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better. Note: Louisville has not scored more than 60 points in any of their six meetings with the Cavaliers since joining the ACC. Virginia currently leads the country in scoring defense, allowing (52.1). Rinse and repeat are on tonight's agenda in what I'm betting is a combined total that remains on the low side of the number. VIRGINIA is 10-0 UNDER L/10 after a win by 6 points or less and is 8-0 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival with both combined totals well below this offered number. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Vanderbilt +10 v. Kentucky | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Kentucky enters this game off a huge win vs the West Virginia Mountaineers on the weekend and will now be in a letdown spot vs visiting Vanderbilt and susceptible to a down outing. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt despite of sporting just a 3-6 SU record in SEC play this season, have been highly competitive and have covered their L/3 games to the hardwood. One of those aforementioned losses came to Kentucky by a 74-67 deficit at home and the commodores will now have revenge on board. Note: VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent and is 6-0 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (KENTUCKY) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-46 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Magic +12.5 v. Rockets | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Houston at home this season, has played down to lower tier opponents like Orlando and have used these type of games , as resting points and live in game scrimmages. Resting key players for longer junctures of the game, and conserving their overall energy levels for foes they deem more important in stature. This is an intelligent game plan, in a long in grueling season, but it provides an opening for a cover on a DD line. Note: HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season and long term are is 17-37 ATS L/54 as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. I know Orlando does not inspire bettors , but they have been competitive of late, and have covered 6 of their L/7 overall Houston is also just 5-18 ATS L/23 in home games in non-conference games. Orlando is also 8-2 ATS on the road as non conference DD dogs. NBA Home favorites (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Nebraska-Omaha +14.5 v. South Dakota State | 60-80 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jackrabbits (18-6, 6-1 Summit League) are coming off a grueling 78-76 win over Fort Wayne in the 2018 Pork Classic Saturday and could now easily be in a letdown spot. From a matchup standpoint the Rabbits took out visiting Mavericks 101-88 in Omaha earlier this month and now the lines-makers are adding a couple of digits in there for good measure because of home court advantage. I have a lot of respect for the home team, as they have won 16 straight here, one of the longest active streaks in College Hoops, but complacency could make it difficult to be motivated vs a side that thet stepped on in the earlier meeting, and with the added energy they exerted last time out, I'm betting their susceptible to a non salient performance this evening. Note: NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS L/14 revenging a loss vs opponent and is 8-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent .S DAKOTA ST is 2-9 ATS L/11 when playing only their 3rd game in a week . Omaha is led by four double-figure scorers, with Zach Jackson (18.1 points per game) pacing the team.The Mavericks are averaging 78.3 points per game as a team and shooting 46.7 percent combined and are the type of hoops group that have the ability to cover a DD line like this because of their ability to score in bunches, especially via the back door scenario . NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NEBRASKA-OMAHA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 93-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nebraska Omaha to cover |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards tried to run and gun with the red hot Oklahoma City Thunder on the road last week and lost by a 121-111 count. Now in the rematch, I'm betting the Wizards slow things down a little bit, as they play without star guard John Wall in the lineup. This combination of expected strategy and key cog missing will see their flow curtailed, which will also effect their offensive output here , which in turn will effect the total combined score falling on the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games on Tuesday nights. ( This could just be an anomaly but still worth noting) OKLAHOMA CITY is also 19-5 UNDER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after 5 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 192.1 ppg scored. Under is 25-12 in Thunder last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Wizards last 17 vs. Western Conference. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5/ 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Indiana v. Ohio State -11 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers enter this game in a big letdown situation after taking on a top tier Purdue program at home on the weekend in a grueling game that saw the Hoosiers take the Boilermakers down to the wire before losing. After the energy they exerted, I doubt they will have much left in the tank, versus an explosive Ohio State side that is a perfect 9-0 SU at home this season and 8-1 ATS winning those games by an average of 16 ppg . It must also be noted that Ohio State has revenge on board for losing to Indiana in their final game of last season, which is a good omen for the Buckeyes covering as they are 7-1 ATS with revenge L/8 at home in this series. INDIANA is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games after playing a home game and is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better .INDIANA is 14-29 ATS L/43 in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days and just 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS L/13 when playing on the road with one days rest . Indiana HC Miller is 2-12 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in his career. Play on Ohio State to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs +2 | 95-88 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavs enter this game desperate for a win after being losers of three in a row and six of the last seven, and are off a heart breaking 2 point loss to the Denver Nuggets last time out. The Heat are a fine team but with this being their 4th game in 7 nights will be on tired legs, and susceptible to down performance after playing 5 straight closely contested and grueling games. Dallas won the first meeting between these teams this season, but DALLAS is 32-17 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent and are viable home dogs in this spot. DALLAS is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.DALLAS is 20-11 ATS L/31 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DALLAS is 33-18 ATS L/51 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 36-13 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Wolves v. Hawks +6 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Minnesota is 12 games above .500 and 20-6 at home but the Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven tilts on the road and are weak favorites here as they look ahead to going against the Toronto Raptors on their schedule for tomorrow night . Meanwhile, Atlanta despite a lackluster record, in a rebuilding year, have been competitive for most of this season, despite of some recent lopsided setbacks. Minnesota is 8-11 against the East and Atlanta is 8-11 against the West and from a system to system and player to player standpoint the Hawks matchup fairly decently vs the Wolves especially on their own home court. MINNESOTA is 17-33 ATS L/50 versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game .ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS L/12 after 2 consecutive division games.ATLANTA is 16-7 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season and is 13-5 ATS L/18 in non-conference games this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, after allowing 105 points or more in a loss to a division rival are 29-12 SU L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The visiting Charlotte Hornets enter this game with a 4-9-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 1-3-1 ATS in their L/5 strips to the hardwood. The Hornets are also just 3-9 away in a 1 and 1 situation vs conference opposition. Meanwhile, their hosts the Pacers unlike some people, seem to like playing on Mondays as their 11-1 ATS mark in their L/12 first games of the week would indicate . The Pacers from a betting perspective have also faired well against NBA Southeast opposition cashing 8 of their L/10 meetings with the series host cashing 5 straight meetings and once again look like viable wagers. CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is 19-8 ATS L/27 vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48%or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 43-3 SU l/21 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 8.4 ppg. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Lehigh +2.5 v. Holy Cross | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Lehigh enters this game desperately looking for a win after a 4 game losing streak, during which they have not played badly and experienced some heart breaking close losses. After splitting a pair of meeting last season, Lehigh won the first meeting this year, 83-77 and matchup very well against Holly Cross and are viable underdogs. Meanwhile, Holy Cross began Patriot League play 0-3, but is 4-3 over its last seven games and according to my power rankings are a pickem against this type of opponent according to my head to head system to system, analysis. Holy Cross is last in the league in scoring offense (63.3), but stands second in scoring defense (69.4). I'm betting the teams lack of consistent scoring will be their undoing in this matchup. LEHIGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 o less turnovers/game and LEHIGH is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games and 14-3 ATS L/17 as a road underdog or pick .LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games . LEHIGH HC Reed is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game like Holy Cross. CBB road team (LEHIGH) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 46-17 ?21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Lehigh to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Notre Dame +14.5 v. Duke | 66-88 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Duke is coming off a huge game against Virginia last time out which they lost 65-63. Coach K stuck with his starting 5 for the entire 2nd half, which is going to effect his team tonight. The Blue Devils exerted a heck of a lot of energy in a grueling physical game, and will now be in a letdown scenario vs a Notre Dame team that despite of being in a slump, will be out looking for revenge for last seasons ACC Finals loss. QUOTE: We have to put (the Virginia game) behind us and get ready for Notre Dame," Krzyzewski said. "It was a very physical game. I'm not saying dirty or anything like that. It was hard-fought. We have to recover, not just emotionally, but physically, before Monday night." END QUOTE: It must be noted that Duke is just 0-4 ATS L/4 as home favs of 13 points or more after taking on the Cavaliers. The Fighting Irish desperately are now trying to end a 5 game losing streak thanks in part of suffering through and injury bug (ie PG Matt Farrell, and Bonzie Colson), and inexcusable shooting from the floor of late (less than 40%), With that said, both teams have their issues going into this game, but from a matchup standpoint this line is a little bloated which gives us value with the visiting dog. Notre Dame has won and covered both their games vs .900 or better opposition this season. DUKE is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss as a favorite, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 169-108 ATS L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | East Tennessee State v. The Citadel UNDER 164 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
E.Tenn State is a fine all around team, but their defense is particuallary tough, as is evident by allowing just 65 ppg on average. I know Citadel is a wide open run and gun team, but I'm betting E.Tennessee will slow them down , and conservatively and systematically wear them down as the game progresses( something they do very well). This type of game plan should lead to much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. E TENN ST is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored. E TENN ST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game and is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games .THE CITADEL is 6-0 UNDER L/6 off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 154 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (THE CITADEL) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 33-13 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (E TENN ST) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Washington State v. Washington OVER 148 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | California +18 v. USC | 59-77 | Push | 0 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The California Bears current 7 game losing streak might not suggest to passive college hoops fan that they are a very good team. But the truth is, this young rebuilding program lead by Justice Sueing (18.9 ppg) is actually starting to show signs of positive momentum according to my own data and power rankings, and are gaining confidence with each game out, as was the case when they almost upset UCLA last time out . Meanwhile, USC remains a contender in the PAC 12, and despite of their superiority may not be all that motivated vs a side they beat by 18 points earlier this season, especially after taking part in a hard fought revenge win vs Stanford last time out. With that said, my own numbers suggest we have value taking the Bears here. CALIFORNIA is 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders. USC is 9-22 ATS in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.CALIFORNIA is 25-12 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals.Enfield is 14-24 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week as the coach of USC CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (USC) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 36-78 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on California to cover |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Northern Iowa v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 127.5 | 47-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. When these teams played back on Jan 7 they combined for 107 points in a Loyola Chicago win by a 57-50 count. I'm expecting another physical affair, that results in a rinse and repeat situation. N IOWA is 11-3 UNDER L/14 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) with a combined average score of 122.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. N IOWA is 8-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games with a combined average score of 114 ppg scored. N IOWA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with a combined average score of 120.1 ppg scored. LOYOLA-IL is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 123.1 ppg scored. N IOWA is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored. N IOWA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread with a combined average of 117.2 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team ( 80% or better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors with a combined average score of 116.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 75-40 UNDER L/5 seasons with the combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Seton Hall v. DePaul OVER 147.5 | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
Seton Hall has averaged 78.3 ppg on offense this season, and matchup well enough against DePaul to stay in that range here today according to my own projections. Note: SETON HALL is 50-13 OVER L/63 when they score 75 to 80 points. SETON HALL is 16-6 OVER L/22 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 150.1 ppg scored. CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 116-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 226.5 | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rockets have no problem scoring points in bunches behind an explosive offense that averages 116.8 ppg at home this season, but its their defensive performances that are most troubling, as is evident by allowing 108.8 ppg as hosts. Needless to say, the Rockets are a one way offensive juggernaut and nothing will change today vs the visiting Phoenix Suns. The Suns are allowing more than 112 ppg this season, while the offense, has averaged 106.8 ppg on the road ranking last in the NBA overall and also own the 4th fastest pace . This according to my own projections results in a high scoring affair that eclipses this fairly high but beatable Total. My own estimates suggest that the Rockets will meet their season average offensive output of around 117 points today, which is a good omen for a over wager cashing as the Rockets 46-13 OVER when they score 117 or more points in a game with the combined average score clicking in at 236 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points wit a combined average score of 236.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points with a combined average of 145.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 14-3 OVER L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game of 130.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Purdue v. Indiana +11 | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Powerful Purdue enters this game against their Big 10 rivals Indiana, pounding opponents mercilessly. Purdue may look unbeatable, but their are chinks in their armour, especially when it comes to getting to the charity stripe. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of a 1 point loss to Illinois last time out, I'm betting Archie Miller and company will be very prepared to pull of the upset here at home in Assembly Hall vs a side that destroyed them in two meetings last season. Note: Purdue is just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road as chalk vs a side with Double revenge. Indiana is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home with revenge as long as they have a .500 record or better and 7-1 ATS in their L/8 overall. PURDUE is 7-22 ATS L/29 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games. INDIANA is 20-9 ATS L/29 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. Take the pointS with Indiana to cover |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Detroit +19 v. Northern Kentucky | 44-72 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky is in a letdown situation after playing against a top tier Oakland program on Friday night and losing in a grueling affair. Meanwhile, Detroit is a team that despite of a ugly record have been very competitive for the most part this season behind an offense that averages more than 80 ppg overall. The Jesuits did look bad in their last game vs Wright State , losing by 30 plus points but that kind of ugly performance has been rare this season, and they are capable of bouncing back in this spot. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 8-31 ATS L/21 seasons, for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (N KENTUCKY) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Portland +22.5 v. St. Mary's | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. St.Mary;s is off a big win vs BYU last time out and will now be in a letdown spot, and susceptible to being upset but more importantly not covering. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 29-67 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.
ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons and is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing with one or less days rest. Portland has won and covered its last two trips to St.Mary's. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Nets +10.5 v. Wolves | 97-111 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Wolves enter this game on a 2 game losing streak, and looked very lackluster on defense in the process, allowing 126 points to Golden State and 123 to Portland. They looked tired for long stretches of those games, which is not a good omen headed into this game vs a well conditioned Brooklyn team that is tenacious and competitive. In the Nets last trip to the hardwood a 116-91 loss to the Bucks, they had a rare ugly outing but that has been the exception in recent outings, as 11 of their last 14 games have been decided by six points or less, and they have covered 12 of their L/15 overall. When these teams met on Jan 3 the Nets squeaked out a 98-97 win at home and actually matchup pretty well against the Wolves and get my support here getting points. BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 16-4 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.MINNESOTA is 37-61 ATS L/98 after allowing 120 points or more .MINNESOTA is 17-30 ATS L/47 in non-conference games dating back to last season. NBA Road underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Colorado State v. New Mexico OVER 148.5 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 220 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The Celtics in a grueling physical game took out the Golden State Warriors 92-88 in a home win in November. With that template having proven successful last time out, I'm betting on the Celtics preparing to play a similar type conservative affair. Boston's guards limited Golden State's super star backcourt duo of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to a total of 22 points on 8-for-32 shooting in that game. I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in a much lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER L/11 when the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 25-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Kentucky +8 v. West Virginia | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Wow. How often do we see Kentucky as this big a dog. I know the Wildcats are a young team, but now with no pressure on them, and many expecting them to lose I'm expecting we see this team at its very best . It must be noted that West Virginias coach Bog Huggins is 0-13 ATS L13 vs the SEC and once against looks like his team will have problems covering vs a Kentucky team with a chip on their shoulders. Play on Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | St. Joe's v. Pennsylvania OVER 143 | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | SIU-Edwardsville +20 v. Belmont | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. BELMONT is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better . Play on SIU-Edwardsville to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia Southern OVER 149 | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Tennessee v. Iowa State +3 | 68-45 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Iowa State has owned non conference teams in their own home court over the years, sporting a 212-21 SU mark in these games including 45-1 from game 12 out. I will not be surprised if home court advantage helps them spring another upset and more importantly get us a cover. Play on Iowa State to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis +8 v. Illinois-Chicago | 62-71 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Play on IUPUI to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Western Carolina +14.5 v. Furman | 66-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. W CAROLINA is 21-10 ATS L/31 when the total is 130 to 139.5. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FURMAN) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG) or more against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 26-63 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Carolina to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Dayton v. St. Louis -3 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Dayton is in a letdown spot after taking out Davidson last time out by a 65-64 count and now susceptible to a down performance. That last game was a huge paybakc effort, for losing in last years A10 Tourney to Davidson. Meanwhile, St.Louis is much improved and have been playing great ball at home and are my choice here tonight to take advantage of Daytons situation. Dayton is just 1-4 ATs L/5 off a conference win. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock +8 v. Coastal Carolina | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan OVER 143 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Fairfield v. Quinnipiac UNDER 147.5 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Duquesne +18 v. Rhode Island | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The home team Rhode Island is obviously the better team, but from a matchup analysis system I use , my data has me believing the line is slightly bloated and their is value with the underdog. DUQUESNE is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games.RHODE ISLAND is 5-16 ATS L/21 in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DUQUESNE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Duquesne to cover |
|||||||
01-26-18 | Knicks v. Suns OVER 217 | 107-85 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This game between the visiting NY Knicks and their hosts the Phoenix Suns has the makings of a run and gun all out offensive affair. The Suns behind the 4th ranked pace in the NBA are lead by explosive offensive guard Devin Booker who is averaging 24.8 points a game but also own a lackluster D allowing 112.2 ppg the worst mark in the league. With this their first game home after an extended road trip, I'm betting they will be ready to take off here in their own digs. Note: Over is 19-7-1 in Suns last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Meanwhile, the Knicks are allowing 110.3 ppg on the road this season, and are consistently taking part in back and forth wide open tilts as is evident by going over the Total in 9 straight and 11 of their L/12 games overall with the average combined score clicking in at 223.5 ppg . The Knicks are also on tired legs as they played last night, and won't have the energy to play physically in what should be a loosely played game. Over is 18-5 in Knicks last 23 games playing on no rest. NEW YORK is 10-1 OVER L/11 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average score of 224 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 7-0 OVER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 228.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-26-18 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 157.5 | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky can score in bunches, but what makes them such a strong team is their ability to play shutdown defense , especially at home where they have allowed an average of just 58 ppg. I'm betting Oakland despite of owning a solid attack, will find their flow curtailed here, which will effect their output which in turn will influence the Total combined score of this tilt to a lower combined score than the lines-makers are estimating. N KENTUCKY is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 141.3 ppg scored.OAKLAND is 10-2 UNDER in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 146.7 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (N KENTUCKY) - a very good team (+8 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 82-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 65\% conversion rate for totals bettors on the blind. CBB Road teams against the total (OAKLAND) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) 66-31 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
01-26-18 | 76ers v. Spurs -3.5 | 97-78 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs are well prepared and very motivated to take on the Philadelphia 76ers tonight at home in the Alamo city. The Spurs have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Sixer's in Pennsylvania, by a 112-106 count , and will have a rested LaMarcus Aldridge ready to get them what they want. Spurs HC Popovich rested Aldridge last time out, in a win at Memphis and now has fresh super star to deploy here this evening. I know Philadelphia is playing good ball at the moment winning 7 of their L/9, and have come a long way from their recent failures, but they are still not an elite team, and do not have the pedigree or experience of their opponents tonight the Spurs. SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS L/20 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game .Spurs are 20-3 SU at home this season. Spurs are 13-0 SU at home L/13 in this series. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 19-44 ATS L/21 seasons for ago against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover
|
|||||||
01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls -4 | 108-103 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers enter this road tilt vs the Bulls playing decently of late, winning 7 of their L/9 and have been especially good at home, where they have won 6 straight games. However, you have to remember that this young Lakers team previous to their current top tier play, lost 9 straight , and have lost 15 of 21 road games and I currently feel still don't deserve a great deal of respect at this juncture of their campaign. Meanwhile, Chicago, in what has been tabbed as a rebuilding year, have surprisingly been tough to play against as is evident by covering 6 of their L/7 overall and 20 of their L/26 , and 13 of their 21 home tilts. After a bad outing against the 76ers last time out, I'm betting the Bulls will be primed to bounce back with a big effort here. Add to that the Bulls are also in revenge mode for a 103-94 loss at Staples back on Nov 21 and we have a fired up group to back in this spot play. Lakers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Lakers are 2-6 L/8 in Chicago. Bulls are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a home underdog are 30-1 SU 21 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11.5 ppg, which qualifies this as solid ATS choice. Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 10-52 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors losing by an average of more than 8 ppg. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
|||||||
01-26-18 | Harvard +2.5 v. Yale | 54-52 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams are having sub par below .500 seasons from a records perspective, but one side ( Harvard) in my humble opinion shows upward momentum, behind a tough physical defense A IS evident by not allowing more than 65 points in any of their L/7 games, including holding three of those opponents to under 58 points or less. Meanwhile, Yale plays a more wide open style of play, and I' betting they will have their flow interrupted tonight, by Harvard's big men, which will take . them put of their comfort zone and translate into a non cover and down performance. Crimson are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Crimson are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Crimson are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Crimson are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Yale. Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. HARVARD is 6-0 ATS L/6 after allowing 60 points or less. HARVARD is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last couple of seasons. HARVARD is 12-3 ATS L/15 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . YALE is 2-9 ATS L/11vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts. YALE is 2-8 ATS in all lined games this season. Play on Harvard to cover |
|||||||
01-26-18 | Detroit +12.5 v. Wright State | 55-87 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Detroit's record is horrendous, and its been a frustrating season for a decent group of young talent. Mercy however, has won 2 of their L/5 overall, and have seen 2 of the three losses decided by 6,2,7 points. Two of those losses came against a strong Oakland squad, and another against explosive N.Kentucky. So despite of their overall record this side is a viable option on this DD underdog line. When these teams played on Jan 5 Wright State beat the Jesuits by 7 points, and now the lines-makers have added the obligatory home court advantage of 5 points on to that deficit. With that said, according to my own numbers this line is slightly bloated and thus we have value taking the underdog. Note: Injury update- Raiders Justin Mitchell is out indefinitely ( Personal ) Raiders are 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ) are 41-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | California +16.5 v. UCLA | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. California is in a rebuilding season but they are showing a marked uptick in their performance levels as the season has progressed. My own power rankings suggest the Bears are more than capable of covering the number here on the road vs a more experienced UCLA side that is experiencing a lot of injury issues to depth players and is on a current 3 game losing streak. UCLA is 26-40 ATS L/66 as a favorite . CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CALIFORNIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 45-17 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on California to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Santa Clara +9 v. San Diego | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
San Diego after a quick start to their campaign have lost 4 of their L/5 and are now dejected after a ugly performance against BYU last time out losing by a 74-58 count. Meanwhile, Santa Clara are a under rated team, that is getting better as the season has progressed. They are 4-3 in their L/7, but the 3 losses have all come to quality teams, BYU, St.Mary's and Gonzaga, with the 4 wins coming against teams that are on par with their opponent tonight San Diego . With that said, I'm recommending we take the points in this spot play. SAN DIEGO is 12-28 ATS L/40 in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more after 15+ games .SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 15 points or more , which happened last time out vs Gonzaga (75-60). SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers. Santa Clara is 15-5 ATS L/20 in this series and have won their L/2 visits to San Diego. CBB home team (SAN DIEGO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 55-105 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Utah +8.5 v. Arizona State | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
The Arizona Sun Devils started their season out with 12 straight wins, and were the talk of College basketball . Since then , they have lost 4 of 6 in conference play, and despite of performing at a below average clip, are being over rated by the lines-makers thanks in part to their fast start. The Sun Devils won last time out vs a rebuilding California program by 81-73 count, but did not cover as hefty 10 point favs and in the process failed to cover for the 7th straight time. Meanwhile Utah is off two straight home wins, and enter this game with revenge, for a 80-77 loss on Jan 7th as 3 point home dogs. Now with payback at hand , I expect the Utes, who are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 in this series to be very competitive in a possible upset scenario. Note: Utah is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 in this series when seeking same season revenge. ARIZONA ST is 1-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival. UTAH is 25-10 ATS L/35 revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are 147-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Utah to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Northern Arizona +10.5 v. Montana State | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
N.Arizona has lost 9 of their L10, but have been competitive vs the spread cashing 5 of their L/6. Meanwhile Montana State has lost 3 straight, all DD losses, and are not quite ready to be made DD chalk, vs a side that despite of a ugly record has not been easy out on most nights. N ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS L/12 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals .HC Murphy is 13-5 L/18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, off 2 covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northern Arizona to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Colorado +14 v. Arizona | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizona remains the front runner for a PAC12 championship and subsequent NCAA tourney appearance in what is looking like a weaker than normal conference this season. Meanwhile Colorado has won 4 of their L/6 in conference action, covering in 5 of those games. Tonight I expect the buffalos will be competitive again vs a Wildcats side off a hard fought win vs Stanford last time out by a 73-71 count and could easily experience a letdown in this spot. ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Colorado has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Arizona. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (COLORADO) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 23-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92 % conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | South Alabama +16.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 57-76 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Lafayette is really rolling right now winning 7 straight and are 17-3 on their campaign. Because of their successes the lines-makers are over doing some this line vs a side that has proven very competitive this season. S ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season. Lafayette HC Marlin is 3-15 ATS L/18 after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better, which happened last time out vs Texas State. S.Alabama HC Graves is 16-7 ATS L/23 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game . LA-LAFAYETTE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games. Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LA-LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game), after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 11-34 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Play on South Alabama to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Troy State v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 139.5 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
LA Monroe is struggling to score, as is evident by a 48,52, and 55 point offensive outputs in their \L/3games. LA Monroe 's saving grace to some extent has been a decent D, that allows just 61.3 ppg on home this season . With that said, I'm expecting LA Monroe to try to slow this game down to grind, in an effort to control Troy's more aggressive offense, which I'm betting effects this total combined score to stay under. LA-MONROE is 13-5 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games. Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (LA-MONROE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Penn State +9.5 v. Ohio State | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Ohio State has played some surprisingly good ball to this point in the season, and because of their successes are being over rated on the point spread according to my own numbers tonight. The public is all over the Buckeyes. But I'm waiting on them to fade and refuse to follow the consensus despite of their successes to this point in the season. Here a Mark Twain quote that I have always liked: "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect." –Mark Twain- and here's another one It's not the size of the dog in the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog. With that said, I'll take the underappreciated puppy in this spot play. Penn State. OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PENN ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 38-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Eastern Illinois +13 v. Belmont | 59-81 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Sharp money attacked this underdog line right out of the box, but now even a couple of points of its highs there is still value with taking the points with Eastern Illinois. Belmont is a fine program, with top notch pedigree, but the linesmakers are over valuing them here according to my own numbers. Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 80-39 ATS l/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on E.Illinois to cover |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Kings +9 v. Heat | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
The Kings enter this game with a little momentum after they snapped an eight-game losing streak Tuesday, by taking out the Orlando Magic 105-99 in the visitors role. Meanwhile, the Heat are of an emotional close lose by a 99-90 count at the Houston Rockets on Monday. That game was very competitive to the very end and a grueling conclusion to a 5 game road trip , and will now have a Heat side that has not been home in 10 days, and still getting acclimated to their own digs again in a letdown spot. This makes the Heat vulnerable in my opinion, especially on a slightly bloated line. Hey folks, I know the Kings may not inspire bettors, but they are playing better overall ball as this season has progressed and found a spark plug Garrett Temple who had a career best 34 points last time out. His energy and professionalism/work ethic are spreading through the Kings locker room and translating itself into a nice energy flow for his team. QUOTE: "Garrett has been a fantastic leader for us, and I couldn't be happier for him," Kings coach Dave Joerger told the media. "He is the ultimate professional. For him to have this type of night, I'm just tickled." END QUOTE. The Heat are 0-10 ATS failing to cover by 5.4 ppg off a loss as a dog in which they led by double-digits. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 2 days rest are 43-83 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 144 | 78-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. COLORADO ST is 6-0 OVER as a road underdog or pick this season with combined average of 156 ppg scored Colorado State HC .Eustachy is 12-1 OVER in his career after playing a game as a home underdog with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored and is 12-3 OVER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average score of 153.7 ppg scored. All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST/Colorado State ) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 114-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for Totals bettors on the blind. ( the combined average score of these tilts was 151.9 ppg. Play OVER
|
|||||||
01-24-18 | Celtics +1 v. Clippers | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics enter this game in a funk , after losing 4 straight games, and will be primed to bounce back here vs their hosts the LA Clippers tonight. Previous to their ugly run they won 7 straight and have been very competitive this season and more than capable of a top tier effort even though they played last night here in LA losong a heart breaker to the Lakers 108-107. The Celtics are one of the leagues better conditioned teams and are 18-8 ATS off a road loss, and 17-5 ATS L/22 when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days. Considering the Clippers are also in a bit of a slump losing 2 straight and still short handed with a boatload full of injuries , it will not be a hard decision to back a Celtics team that my own power rankings suggest to be the superior side. BOSTON is 27-15 ATS L/32 when the line is +3 to -3 and 18-8 ATS L/26 off a road loss. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS L/19 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 115 points or more against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 6-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover
|
|||||||
01-24-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -3 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Minnesota (31-18) has won two in a row and seven of nine and are media darlings at the moment as this young team continues to get accolades for their up trending performances. Tonight against the Blazers though, my own head to head systems and power rankings suggest that the Blazers despite of not having the same top tier record as the Wolves matchup very well against the visitors. Minnesota won 108-107 on Dec. 18 at Target Center in the only previous meeting between the teams this season in a game that I felt the Blazers could have won. I'm betting a change in venue will help the host notch a victory in the rematch. Note: Wolves Jimmy Butler expected to miss this game with a injury, but if he does play he will be less than 100%. Timberwolves are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Trail Blazers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Trail Blazers are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Northwest.Timberwolves are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Portland. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - off a loss against a division rival, in January games are 26-7 ATS in the following game for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are just 32-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover
|
|||||||
01-24-18 | Stanford +10 v. USC | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Stanford has won 5 of their L/6 and covered 6 straight games. Their only loss came last time out, against Arizona by a 73-71 loss. The Cardinal have gotten better with each successive game this season, and despite of being in a letdown situation after their loss to Arizona last time out, I'm betting the linesmakers have over exaggerated the situation by asking USC bettors to lay 10 points. Stanford shown its moxy, and I expect they will find the energy to get us a cover here as DD ddogs. STANFORD is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (STANFORD) - off a home loss against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 85-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Stanford to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Air Force v. Utah State OVER 141 | 49-71 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. AIR FORCE is 9-1 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. The L/7 meetings in this series have gone OVER. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (AIR FORCE) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-24-18 | South Dakota State v. South Dakota UNDER 158 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 51-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors. Play UNDER
|
|||||||
01-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Drake +2.5 | 80-57 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Drake is a perfect 8-0 at home this season, and are viable underdogs here in a game vs top tier competition. Loyola Chicago has lost only 4 games this season, and 3 of those came on the road. Take the points. DRAKE is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus very top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game and 10-2 ATS versus strong defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game.DRAKE is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots ARE 16-44 ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Drake to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Indiana State +2.5 v. Southern Illinois | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Indiana State is a highly competitive hard working team, that owns a solid 6-1-1 ATS mark in their L/8 games overall, and must be respected here getting points vs a side that has failed to cover 6 of their L/7 overall. S ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts this season. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA ST) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 63-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana State to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Louisville v. Miami-FL UNDER 138.5 | 75-78 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. MIAMI is 14-5 UNDER L/19 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average score of 132 ppg scored. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after a combined score of 165 points or more vs NC State last time out in a 86-81 road win and 12-1 UNDER off a road win with a combined average of 132.8 ppg scored.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins dating back to last seasons with a combined average score of 132.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER
|
|||||||
01-24-18 | Jazz v. Pistons -2 | 98-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
The Pistons enter this game on a 5 game losing streak, and are now desperate to get back in the win column here at home in Motown this Wednesday night. Meanwhile, visiting Utah also continues to exhibit inconsistencies this season, and have lost 13 of their L/17 overall. Despite of both teams futility , one side stands out as being slightly superior from a matchup perspective and that is the home team according to my own player to player and system vs system matchup stats/data. In a contest of two struggling teams the lesser of two evils is the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons SRS is 0.36 ranking them 14th in the league while the Jazz SRS -0.43 ranking them 17th in the league. ( SRS DETROIT is 11-3 ATS in non-conference games this season.DETROIT is 15-5 ATS L/20 in home games off a upset loss as a favorite which happened last time out to Brooklyn 101-100.DETROIT is 12-2 ATS L/14 in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Northwest.
Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Pelicans v. Hornets UNDER 224 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Pelicans enter this game having seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored on the road this season. Meanwhile, Charlotte has seen a combined average score of 211.5 ppg go on the board in their home games this season. These averages and a head to head matchup systems analysis has me projecting a total closer to 218.5 to 220, which gives us value on making a UNDER wager in this spot. The discrepancy between my numbers in the offered total is partially based on series history which has seen both sides take part in a high scoring affairs. But the lines-makers have stretched this number to its outer limits and there is value on the under considering my projections. NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 UNDER L/29 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record with the combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 23-12 UNDER L/35 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game with t a combined average of 210 ppg scored. HC Clifford of Charlotte is Clifford is 21-9 UNDER in home games after a win by 6 points or less ( beat Sacramento 112-107 last time out) the combined average score of 195.1 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 6-2 in Pelicans last 8 road games.Under is 10-4 in Hornets last 14 vs. Western Conference. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 37-84 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. ( The combined average score of those games was 218.7 ppg) Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-24-18 | St. Joe's +7 v. St Bonaventure | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The Hawks won the first meeting with the Bonnies this season, 85-78, on Jan. 6 St.Joes 'has covered 11 of their L/15 games at St.Bonaventure. JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games dating back a few seasons.ST BONAVENTURE is 1-8 ATS L/9 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ST JOSEPHS) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Joseph;s to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Rhode Island v. Fordham +15.5 | 78-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. This selection is based on my own projections, and simple math which tells me this is a bloated line. Take the points. CBB Home underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - after a loss by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 53-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fordham to cover |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Marquette v. Xavier UNDER 164.5 | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (XAVIER) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER
|
|||||||
01-23-18 | VCU +2.5 v. St. Louis | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Saint Louis is played great basketball at home this season, but VCU is the better overall team, and has dominated this series in recent years. All the numbers and matchup stats points to VCU getting us the cover here tonight on the road. VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts . CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VA COMMONWEALTH) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on VCU to cover |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Texas A&M -3 v. LSU | 65-77 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
LSU has some troubling stats and performance data attached to their resume as they are ranked 295th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions and the Tigers are ranked 227th in the nation in defensive rating with 103.5. Yes, Bayou Bengals can light the scoreboard up, but playing pylon D, makes them vulnerable against a solid two way side like Texas A&m , that is exceptional in defensive transition allowing 66.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 57th in the nation. My power rankings suggest a more than 3 point win for the Aggies. LSU is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games against conference opponents. LSU is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games dating back to last season and is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.LSU is 4-12 ATS L/16 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record . CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (TEXAS A&M) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 129-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on Texas A&M to cover |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Duke v. Wake Forest UNDER 162.5 | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Wakes Forests only chance to be competitive here today vs visiting Duke, is to make this a slow precise game. I expect plenty of clock time to be burned as the Deacons look to keep the Blue Devils from running and gunning. This I'm betting leads to a lower scoring game than the lines-makers might anticipate. WAKE FOREST is 11-2 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141 ppg going on the board. DUKE is 24-8 UNDER L/32 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games with a combined average of 143.9 ppg scored.WAKE FOREST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 as an underdog this season with a combined average of 140.7 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 167-96 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Creighton v. St. John's UNDER 157 | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. ST JOHNS is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored and is 10-2 UNDER ) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average with a combined average of 142.3 ppg scored.CREIGHTON is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in January games dating back to last season with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored.ST JOHNS is 19-6 L25 UNDER as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points with a combined average of just 128.8 ppg going on the board. ST JOHNS is 24-8 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more were scored, with a combined average of 137.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Cavs v. Spurs +1 | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Cleveland and San Antonio are two teams that have been under performing of late. But one team looks like they care and are working hard to get back on track, while the other( Cleveland ) despite of saying what's politically correct to the media , looks like their just going thorough the motions. The Cavs leader, LeBron James responses to media of late about his team performances (3-9 SU L/12) , have been positive in nature, and despite of him saying he's playing as hard as ever, its not translating onto the court, which is a worrisome situation. The Cavs biggest issue is one that makes you wonder if their a championship calibre team, as they have allowed 119.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and overall on the season rank 28th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, San Antonio are coming off a only their 4th loss at home this season last time out to Indiana, but are more than capable of bouncing back behind a defense, that is ranked No.1 in the league in points allowed and 2nd in defensive efficiency. With that said, the difference maker tonight I'm betting will come via the superior defense and coach ( Popovich). CLEVELAND is 11-29 ATS versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 4-15 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season .CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season and is 1-9 ATS off a home loss by 10 points which happened against Oklahoma City 148-124. SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS in home games after playing a home game this season. SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS L/22 in home games off a upset loss as a favorite which happened against Indiana last time out.
NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 35-2 SU L/5 seasons, winning SU by 10.6 ppg for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Davidson -1 v. Dayton | 64-65 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Davidson is currently playing their best hoops of the season, and have won 5 straight games and 6 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, their opponents Dayton, in a rebuilding season, are still very inconsistent, as is evident by their current 2 game losing streak, which ha culminated a recent 6-6 run. According to my power rankings the superior side is Davidson, nd they get my backing in this spot play. DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.DAYTON is 2-8 ATS L/10 after playing a home game this season. CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play Davidson to cover |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Iowa | 67-85 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Wisconsin is playing its seventh and eighth road games of the season this week. Only two major conference teams have played more than six road games . This is making this young team tougher and more accustomed to being on the road, which also makes them a lot more dangerous than if they were to have played mostly at home. After watching Badgers All-American Etahn Happ ranking (sixth at 16.7 ppg in Big 10), rebounds (fourth at 8.5 rpg) and assists (10th at 3.7 apg) its become obvious to me this team will jell around him, and get better as this season progresses. Wisconsin has won six of the last seven meetings, with the one loss coming in last season's only meeting, which resulted in a 59-57 Hawkeyes' win in Madison . The Badgers now have payback on todays agenda. UW is currently enjoying a three-game win streak in Iowa City and get the nod again to add to a 19-6 overall record here. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 57-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Rider v. Fairfield UNDER 157 | 90-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. FAIRFIELD is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in home games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 151.5 ppg scored.RIDER is 11-3 UNDER L/14 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) with a combined average of 140.9 ppg going on the board.
CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Arkansas +1.5 v. Georgia | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Arkansas has just to be much firepower for a Georgia side, that has struggles on offense of late. Yes, Georgia can play solid D, but its their offensive transition game that most worries me , which makes them fade material in this spot vs this type of explosive side that is converting on an amazing 49.3% from the field. GEORGIA is 3-11 ATS L/14 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts . ARKANSAS is 9-2 ATS L/11 in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game .GEORGIA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. ARKANSAS is 10-2 ATS L/12 when the total is 140 to 149.5 . CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (GEORGIA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games \re 5-24 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Wolves v. Clippers -2 | 126-118 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves were riding a five-game win streak in early January, but have suddenly begun to struggle losing to Orlando and Houston in back to back affairs, before coming up with a big victory vs the Raptors on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Clippers, ended a six-game winning run on the weekend with a loss to the Jazz. The Clippers have also won four consecutive home games and 12 of their past 16 contests overall and from a matchup standpoint here on their own home floor deserve to be favorites and are my choice tonight as short chalk. Note: LA also has revenge on board for a loss here to the Wolves back in December, and will primed for payback. Note: Wolves Jimmy butler is less than 100% for this tilt with a knee injury and may miss this tilt. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 31-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 9-52 SU L/ 5 seasons and a perfect 0-7 SU this season for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors. Play on the Clippers to cover |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Michigan State v. Illinois +11.5 | 87-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The No. 9 ranked Spartans, have only played two true road games this season, so tonight's conference tilt will give us some more insight into a team, that is being slightly over rated here because of their earlier season successes. Meanwhile, Illinois (10-10, 0-7) is the only Big Ten team without a conference victory, and enter this game in desperation mode, and will I'm betting leave everything on the court tonight, in what I estimate will be a cover. ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS L/6 after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival which happened vs Indiana last time out by a 85-57 count. Illinois has covered 11 of the L/16 meetings here at home in this series. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (ILLINOIS) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 34-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3 | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets were focused this season in the first meeting, between these teams in Portland on Dec 22. walking away with a solid 102-85 win in a game where they looked like they matched up well vs their opponents. After ugly losses to Atlanta and Phoenix at home lately, HC Malone is on the hot seat, and needs a win here to keep the proverbial wolves at bay. I'm betting he will pull out all the stops here to get his reeling team back in gear here in what is important game for the Nuggets in a few different ways. Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 117-43 SU winning by an average of 6.8 ppg. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 159 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals .TCU wants to run and gun and Bill Huggins and company could comply, but I'm betting they won't as they choose to slow this game down and take TCU out of their comfort zone. This I'm betting leads to a score that fails to eclipse the totals number. W VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus good shooting teams - making 45%or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 143.1 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.2 ppg scored.W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when the total is 159.5 160 over the last few seasons with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. ( key on the set total as the lines makers know these facts/stats as well) Still plenty of value at 159 . Home teams where the total is between 159 and 169.5 points (TCU) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 23-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Heat +10 v. Rockets | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The explosive Rockets take on the feisty Miami Heat on Monday night at Toyota Center after exerting a lot of energy in back to back wins vs the Minnesota Timberwolves and Warriors at home . Now in an emotional let down spot I expect the Rockets may find themselves in a bit of a letdown spot vs a physical side and susceptible to being upset but more importantly failing in their quest to cover. HOUSTON is 5-17 ATS L/22 in home games in non-conference games and is 6-17 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, which happened vs the Warriors last time out. MIAMI is 13-4 ATS L/17 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points . MIAMI is 15-4 ATS L/19 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.MIAMI is 31-13 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 35-74 ATS L/5 seasons for go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Nebraska +11 v. Ohio State | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Nebraska according to my power rankings is being under rated here vs a public team (Ohio State ), that has performed well above expected levels this season. We have plenty of value here backing the underdog. Note: I watched Nebraska vs powerful Purdue in a game earlier this season, and was impressed by their tenaciousness under the rim and paint, against their big men, and once again feel they will once again not back down in this matchup) . Take the points with the road dog. NEBRASKA is 11-1 ATS l/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Jazz v. Hawks +2.5 | 90-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah won its last game but not has not won two games in a row in over a month. I'm betting things wont change this Monday night when they visits the Atlanta Hawks. It must be noted that on the season the Jazz are just 8-15 SU on the road, for the leagues worst away record. Meanwhile, Atlanta after a horrendous start to their campaign, has won seven of their L/ 16 games and more importantly have covered 11 of their L/17 overall and have become highly competitive. The Hawks got shellacked last time out, but this rebuilding franchise has been resilient of late, and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. In their current forms the wrong team is favored here. Take the points. Jazz are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 60-19 SU L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |