Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-02-18 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -7 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -114 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia. We think the Panthers will stumble here after their big shootout win over the Blue Devils last weekend. The Cavaliers have been rolling along and have won three straight and we have a hard time seeing the Panthers’ offense getting much going tonight against Virginia’s elite defensive unit. And from a trend based stand point, there’s no question that this one favors the Cavs, as note that Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win against a conference rival, while Virginia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and 3-1 ATS in its last four off a win against a conference rival. Lay the points, play on VIRGINIA. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida -10 | Top | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 59 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Central Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Temple is just 3-4 ATS in its last seen as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while UCF is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: UCF is the highest scoring team in the nation and we have a hard time seeing the Owls, as good as they’re playing right now, keeping pace in this important game. Lay the points, play on CENTRAL FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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10-30-18 | Kent State -1 v. Bowling Green | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Kent State. Two horrible teams, but Kent State has the better defense and we think that’ll be the difference maker in the end. Kent State enters off a 24-23 OT loss to Akron, while Bowling Green comes in off a 49-14 road loss at Ohio. Note that this is a “revenge” game for Kent after the Falcons destroyed it at home 44-16 last year. KSU is averaging 23 PPG and allowing 35. Bowling Green is averaging 25.6 PPG and allowing 47.8. The Green Falcons have looked very bad defensively of late as well, allowing an average of 51.4 PPG over their last four. Note that Bowling Green is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 following an ATS loss, while KSU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. Play on KENT STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13.5 v. Bills | Top | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the New England Patriots. The Pats may or may not have Rob Gronkowski in the line-up, but whether the offensive star plays or not, we like Tom Brady and the surging Pats to deliver the knock out blow to the lowly Bills, who are down to their backup with rookie Josh Allen sidelined with injury. The Patriots slow 1-2 start is now a distant memory after three straight convincing victories and with a chance to continue that run, we expect the perennial favorites to take full advantage. Note as well that the PATRIOTS are 9-1 ATS in their last ten as a favorite of ten points or more. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Stanford. WSU has so far gone undefeated against the spread this season, but we think that string comes to an end here against a Stanford team which is tied with its opponent today, a half game behind Washington for the division lead. It’s a classic contrast of styles, with Mike Leach’s “Air Raid” offense for WSU, against Stanford’s more traditional “ground and pound” offense led by RB Bryce Love. Despite all of its “ATS” success this seasonal note that WSU is still only 2-4 ATS in its last six games played on a grass field and 0-2 ATS in its last two as a road dog of three points or less, while Stanford is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 against teams with winning records and already 3-1 ATS this season vs. conference opponents. Home field is an advantage at this time of year. Lay the points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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10-27-18 | NC State v. Syracuse +2 | Top | 41-51 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Syracuse. These are two talented teams which are clearly very evenly matched. We think that the “revenge factor” comes into play here after the Wolfpack earned the 33-25 home win in the series last year. NC State has only lost one game, but that setback came last weekend in a humbling 41-7 road loss in Clemson. Now NC State is being asked to bring that same energy on the road again against the revenge minded Orange, who broke a two-game slide with a much needed 40-37 double OT win over North Carolina last week. This one sets up great from a situational stand point for the Orange, but also note that NC State is just 2-3 ATS in its last five off a loss against a conference rival, while Syracuse is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against schools with winning records and 4-2 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on SYRACUSE. AAA Sports |
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10-26-18 | Utah v. UCLA +10.5 | Top | 41-10 | Loss | -109 | 38 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on UCLA. We think this is a great overall “situational” play. Utah has won five in a row and it’ll become bowl eligible with a victory today, but the Utes still have plans to win the Pac 12 conference at the end of the year. But this sets up as a potential “trap” against the lowly Bruins, who come in looking much better after a disastrous start to the campaign, having won two straight. The Utes are clearly the better team, but the external factors are working against them today. UCLA will essentially have to “win out” to become eligible and while the odds are against it, it’ll be pulling out all the stops today in trying to keep its recent surge rolling. Note as well that Utah is a poor 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite, while UCLA is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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10-23-18 | Troy v. South Alabama +13 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on South Alabama. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Troy is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while South Alabama is 5-2 ATS as an underdog in the same points range. The bottom line: Troy lost starting QB Caleb Barker to injury and last week the Trojans fell to lowly Liberty. South Alabama QB Evan Orth has a strong 7:3 TD:INT and we think he’ll help keep his team in this one late; play on SOUTH ALABAMA. AAA Sports |
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10-19-18 | Air Force v. UNLV +10.5 | Top | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on UNLV. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Air Force is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in its last six when playing against a team with a losing record, while UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: UNLV’s offense is the difference maker here. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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10-18-18 | Broncos v. Cardinals +2 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Arizona Cardinals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Denver just 2-4 ATS in its last ten as a road favorite of three points or less and only 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Arizona is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less and 7-3 ATS in its last ten against teams with losing records. The bottom line: Home field turns out to be the difference between these two bottom feeders. Play on the CARDINALS. AAA Sports |
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10-18-18 | Georgia State +14.5 v. Arkansas State | Top | 35-51 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Georgia State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Georgia State is interestingly 8-1 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of October and perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Arkansas State is 0-4 ATS in its last four off a loss against a conference rival and 0-3 ATS at home already. The bottom line: Both teams have been horrible, but Georgia State in particular has struggled. That said, Arkansas State’s offense has been terrible as well and we think the hungry visitors will keep it interesting late. Grab the points, play on GEORGIA STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | Top | 30-33 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Green Bay Packers. Both teams have plenty of issues. The 49ers come off their first win of the year, but Green Bay can deliver the knock out blow to their season with a bounce back victory here after a poor effort last week. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers’ detractors are out in force right now, but we look for the all star pivot to once again step up in this pressure packed situation and to deliver a signature performance on the national stage. San Fran is down to CJ Beathard running the show and we expect the backup QB to stumble. Note that the 49ers are just 13-16 ATS in their last 29 as an underdog, while the Packers are still 14-9 ATS in their last 23 as a favorite (and 10-5 ATS in their last 15 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range). Lay the points with confidence, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -125 | 70 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bears. Chicago enters off a 48-10 home win over Tampa Bay, while Miami comes in off a 27-17 road victory over Cincinnati. The Bears are getting fantastic play on both sides of the ball and I look for the team to continue that progression, averaging 27.8 PPG and allowing only 16.2. Miami enters off a 27-17 road loss in Cincinnati, unable to hold on to an early 17-0 lead. The Fish average only 19.8 PPG and they allow 23.4. Note as well that the Dolphins are just 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 following an ATS loss, while Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after posting more than 350 total yards in the air in its previous game. All signs point to a rout, play on the BEARS. AAA Sports |
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10-13-18 | Colorado +7.5 v. USC | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -106 | 58 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Colorado. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Colorado is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 on the road and interestingly 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in games played in Week 5 through 9, while USC is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Buffs are 5-0 and undefeated and they enter off their bye week. USC has looked susceptible at times already this season. We’re expecting a very tight battle, one which will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the New York Giants. The Eagles are only allowing just over 20 PPG, but the Giants are only allowing 21. Each offense has struggled to this point, but at 1-4, New York is still within striking distance of 2-2 Washington. Carson Wentz and the Eagles offense is struggling, which doesn’t bode well heading into this difficult road venue on the short week. Note that the Eagles are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on field turf and only 2-4 ATS in their last six as a road favorite of three points or less, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive losses. We like the veteran Manning to take advantage. Play on the GIANTS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 15-13 | Win | 100 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas State. Georgia Southern is the better team and it’s looking for a third straight victory against lowly Texas State, but we think the home side will keep it interesting against an Eagles team which we predict will get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent today. Georgia Souther is averaging just 30.8 PPG, so Texas State is going to have its opportunities to match pace here. Keep your eyes on Bobcats’ QB Tyler Vitt, who has a 3:2 TD:INT. Texas State’s weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but as mentioned above, the unit definitely catches a break here facing the Eagles somewhat less than spectacular offense. Note as well that Georgia Southern is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive wins and only 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road favorite, while Texas State is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on TEXAS STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-08-18 | Redskins v. Saints -6 | Top | 19-43 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New Orleans Saints. We expect Drew Brees and the Saints to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in this one. Brees needs just 201 passing yards to become the NFL’s all time passing leader (passing Peyton Manning.) The potent New Orleans’ offense got even more so this week with the return of RB Mark Ingram. The combination of Ingram and Kamara is a formidable one and it opens things up even more for Brees. The Redskins come out of their bye, but we think that rest will lead to rust. Note as well that Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four MNF games , while New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU victories. Lay the points, play on the SAINTS. AAA Sports |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Kansas City Chiefs. Jacksonville is 3-1 and it comes in off a victory over the lowly Jets last week, but we don’t think it’ll have enough in the tank this afternoon to hang with red hot Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes, who has a 14:0 TD:INT ratio. Mahomes is surrounded by a plethora of talent and while the defense is clearly the weak point to this point, there’s no question that that unit catches a break today facing this rather one-dimensional Jags offense. Jacksonville’s defense has been tremendous, but we’re expecting the unit to take a step back back in this difficult venue. Lay the points, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2.5 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU. BYU plays with revenge here after falling 40-24 to Utah State on the road last year. Utah State has been great so far, averaging 51.5 points and allowing 23.8. The numbers are a little skewed because of the competition. BYU comes in off a loss to Washington, but overall the Cougars have made significant strides, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they’re allowing just 20.6 PPG (ranked 35th). We think this sets up as a trap for Utah State, which is still a poor 1-7 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records, wile BYU is interestingly 6-3 ATS in its last nine against the Mountain West Conference. Lay the points as BYU finds a way to get the job done at home. AAA Sports |
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10-04-18 | Georgia State +17 v. Troy | Top | 20-37 | Push | 0 | 97 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgia State. This is a revenge game for Georgia State after it fell 34-10 in this game at home last year. The Panthers enter with plenty of momentum though off a 46-14 win over UL Monroe. They had 308 yards on the ground and they’re now ranked ninth in the nation in rushing. Troy is ranked 82nd in the nation in defending the pass, so we think the visitors will have their opportunities today. Troy’s been rolling behind Kaleb Baker, who has completed 71.6 percent of his passes, but we think this sets up as a classic “trap” game for the Trojans. Note as well that Troy is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against teams with losing records and only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 at home, while Georgia State is interestingly 8-1 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of October. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the point, play on GEORGIA STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -7 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 144 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New England Patriots. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense and strong/relevant ATS statistics. As note that Miami is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 against the division, while New England is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, 8-4 ATS its last 12 against the division and 14-5 ATS in its last 19 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: After starting the year 3-0, it’s a natural letdown spot for Miami. At 1-2 though, we’d argue that this is the most important game of Tom Brady’s career. If the Pats fall to 1-3, they’re almost virtually eliminated from playoff contention. Brady comes in off a horrible outing in Detroit and the critics are ready to jump all over the best QB in the World if he falters again here. The spot light is on Brady to execute and we expect the veteran to deliver. Lay the points, play on the PATRIOTS. AAA Sports |
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09-28-18 | UCLA +11.5 v. Colorado | Top | 16-38 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on UCLA. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that UCLA is 3-1 ATS in is last four after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Colorado is 0-3 ATS in its last three following its bye-week. The bottom line: UCLA is desperate and its down men, but head coach Chip Kelly will have his team ready to compete in our opinion. They catch Colorado at a great time out of its bye-week. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. Play on UCLA. AAA Sports |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 80 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the LA Rams. Minnesota’s looked terrible. Kirk Cousins has looked decent at times and completely lost in others. The run defense was No. 1 last year, but it’s No. 15 this year. The Vikes looked “OK” in the Week 1 win over the 49ers, much better in its 29-29 tie with the Packers in Week 2, but downright terrible at home in a 26-7 loss to the Bills as a 17-point favorite last weekend. The defense is out of sync, the offense is out of sync and now that struggling unit hits the road on a short week to face the league’s No. 1 offense and one of the best overall defensive units as well. The Rams feature Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley, along with many other skilled offensive weapons. LA’s offensive and defensive lines are two of the best as well. The Rams have a chance to all but eliminate the Vikes from Super Bowl contention here, as a 1-2-1 record is almost as difficult as 0-3. We’re banking on the Rams going for the jugular and embarrassing the Vikes on the National stage. Lay the points, play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -18 | Top | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 81 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami Florida. Miami Florida roared out to a 31-3 lead over FIU last week and then it took the foot of the gas and held on for the convincing 31-17 victory. UNC opened the year 1-2, but it salvaged its season with a big 38-35 win over Pitt at home last Saturday. Can anyone say letdown spot? In our opinion, this one sets up as a trap for UNC. The Hurricanes though won’t be taking anything for granted we feel. The Tar Heels are averaging 24.7 PPG and allowing 33.3, while Miami Florida is averaging 43.5 PPG and allowing 18.5. Note that the Hurricanes are 21-15 ATS in their last 26 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Lay the points and expect a rout; play on MIAMI FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks v. Bears -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Chicago Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: First off the Seahawks lost top WR Doug Baldwin to injury in last week’s 27-24 setback at Denver. Seattle’s offensive line is a mess as well, which doesn’t bode well facing the Bears’ aggressive front seven, which was unable to hold on in last week’s 24-23 setback in Green Bay. Chicago looked much more complete through all three phases and we think it’ll pull away down the stretch in this one. Note as well that the Bears 6-2 ATS in their last eight MNF games, while the Hawks are 0-6-2 ATS in their last ten on grass. Lay the points, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Purdue -14.5 | Top | 20-19 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Purdue. EMU smashed Monmouth 51-17 last week and it comes in contented, knowing it faces a stiff challenge today. Purdue though fell 31-27 at home to Northwestern as a favorite last week, so it’ll be risking life and limb today to punch its first one into the win column. An 0-2 start to the year, with consecutive setbacks at home would be disastrous for a Boilermakers’ team with big expectations. With a much more “winnable” and important conference matchup at Buffalo next week, would anyone fault the Eagles “looking ahead” here either. But Clearly the Boilermakers don’t have that same luxury. They’ll be looking to take out their frustrations on someone and because of that, we’re expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to roll this score up as much as possible. Note that Purdue is 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference game and 8-2 ATS in its last ten following an ATS loss, while EMU is just 4-17 ATS in its last 21 after scoring 40 or more points in its previous game. With the Bulls up next, we look for the visitors to pack up their tents early in this one. Lay the points, play on PURDUE. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | Arizona +4.5 v. Houston | Top | 18-45 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Arizona. This is a revenge game for Arizona after Houston won 19-16 on the road last year. The Wildcats are hungry after falling 28-23 at home to BYU, while the Cougars come in complacent after their 45-27 him win over Rice. Kevin Sumlin came up short in his first game as head coach for the Wildcats, but with 16 starters returning from last year’s squad that went 7-6 and lost to Purdue 38-35 in their bowl game, we think they have a very real shot at bouncing back and winning this one outright. Arizona had an unstoppable offense last year that put up over 41 PPG and with seven starters back on that side of the ball, including QB Khalil Tate, we’re expecting a much more efficient effort from the unit in Week 2. Houston was 7-5 last year and it lost to Fresno State its Bowl game. Houston has five starters back on offense and they’d anchor a unit which put up 581 yards of offense against Rice. QB D’Eriq King had 320 yards and three TD’s. We think this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last and in a scenario like that, we’re grabbing the points. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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09-07-18 | TCU v. SMU +21.5 | Top | 42-12 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on SMU. We think the improved home side can catch the complacent high-powered Horned Frogs a little complacent here. TCU smashed Southern 55-7 last week and it has to be feeling pretty good about itself. TCU QB Shawn Robinson had an easy time of it last week, going for 182 yards and three TD’s. Last year TCU averaged 33.7 PPG and it allowed only 19 PPG. Clearly the Horned Frogs are an elite squad, we simply feel that the visitors will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. SMU feel 46-23 on the road to North Texas. QB Ben Hicks started slowly and put up some numbers in garbage time, but the final stat line was decent with 252 passing yards, two TD’s and an INT. Last year he had 3,500 yards passing and a sharp 33:12 TD:INT. SMU looked impotent defensively last week and it’s going to have its hands full in this one as well, but after going up big early, we look for the Horned Frogs to take the foot off the gas. We like SMU to cover easily with this large spread. AAA Sports |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 12-18 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Atlanta Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play has been released early and will have an updated analysis closer to game time. After making it to the Super Bowl and losing to the Pats, the Falcons endured an “up and down” season last year. The team’s core remains in tact and it’s made some significant moves in the offseason on the defensive side. The Eagles have a hang over in our opinion after their Super Bowl victory last season. While an outright win is not out of the question, we’re going to ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can. Play on the FALCONS. AAA Sports |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3.5 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Miami Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense, as note that Miami Florida returns it’s starting QB and most of its key pieces on offense. It’s defense is also stacked and should be only better this season. LSU though has a change at QB this year and we think that fact alone will be the difference here in Week 1. We’re expecting an absolute blowout from start to finish. Lay the points, play on MIAMI FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | BYU v. Arizona -11.5 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -106 | 303 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona. BYU was 4-9 last year. Six new assistants were hired and another rebuilding year is expected for the Cougars. BYU QB Tanner Magnum is back, but he’s played in just 13 games over the last two years due to injury. Arizona has a Heisman hopeful in QB Khalil Tate who finished with 1,591 passing yards, 1,441 rushing while being responsible for 26 TD’s himself. The defense was a weak point last year, but it returns nine starters this season. We think the combination of Tate and the Wildcats’ improvement on defense will prove to be too much for BYU to overcome. Lay the points, play on Arizona. AAA Sports |
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08-31-18 | San Diego State +14.5 v. Stanford | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -103 | 755 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego State. We like the Aztecs to keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. SDSU went 10-2 last year with an entirely new offensive line. Now that line returns in full much more experienced. Stanford had a great regular season, but stumbled in its final two games, including a heartbreaking 39-37 loss in the Fiesta Bowl to TCU. Stanford has dynamic RB Bryce Love, who will surely have a huge game here, but SDSU now has the fire-power to match pace against a Cardinal defense with a small question mark coming into the new season. We’re grabbing the points, play on SAN DIEGO STATE. AAA Sports |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State -14 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -106 | 149 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Colorado State. It’s a conference match-up on Saturday night between Hawaii and Colorado State. The Rams were 7-6 last year, while Hawaii went 3-9. Last year Colorado State hammered the Warriors 51-21 in Hawaii. Hawaii has just nine starters back from a 3-9 year and it draws another tough matchup on opening night on the road. Last year Hawaii averaged 22.8 PPG, but with so much turnover on offense, we have a hard time seeing the Warriors mustering much of an attack tonight. It’s going to be a rebuilding year for the Rams as well, but we still think they’ll have more than enough to dispatch Hawaii easily. The defense though has five starters back from a group which allowed 27.8 PPG. Last year the Rams were 11th in the country in total offense. Clearly there is going to be a major drop off this season, but we think the depth COLORADO STATE brings to the table will turn out to be the difference in the end. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 322 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Philadelphia Eagles. Nick Foles isn’t Carson Wentz, but clearly the guy knows how to play. Often in games like this it simply comes down to execution and that’s all the Eagles will be asking of their competent back-up in this one. Tom Brady has a huge edge over Foles in experience, but let’s be fair, not in too many other departments at this stage of his career. Foles can pretty much match Brady throw for throw. Philadelphia has the stronger run game and the better defense as well and that top notch defensive play was on full display in their beatdown of the Vikings last weekend. The Patriots’ also looked sharp defensively in their victory over the Jags. These are two evenly matched teams, but we ultimately feel that Philadelphia’s defense is playing at such an extremely high level right now, that we have a hard time seeing Brady being as effective this week as he was last. That swings the value to the underdog. Grab as many points as you can, play on the EAGLES. AAA Sports |
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01-13-18 | Titans +13.5 v. Patriots | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -108 | 144 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Tennessee Titans. The Titans come in off a tough 22-21 road win over the Chiefs and while an outright upset today is likely out of the cards, we think the conditions are right for a much more competitive affair than what the bookmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota silenced the critics by leading his team back from a 21-3 deficit last week, finishing with 205 passing yards, two TD’s, one INT and 46 rushing yards. RB Derrick Henry posted 156 rushing yards in the victory. Tennessee looked exceptional on the defensive side of the ball as well in the second half, holding KC scoreless after the break. There’s trouble in paradise with the ownership, coaching and QB Tom Brady over on the New England side. But the off field issues likely aren’t going to slow down anything on the field this weekend. New England is the better team in this matchup, which has a major advantage with home field as well. But note that the Pats still own the 30th ranked pass defense. Note as well that Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records, while New England is 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with two weeks of rest. We look for TENNESSEE to leave everything it has on the field of play and to give the Pats a bit of a scare. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-08-18 | Alabama -3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -114 | 61 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Alabama. So why will No. 4 Alabama not only beat No. 3 Georgia, but also go on to cover the spread? The Crimson Tide made a statement in their 24-6 victory over the top seeded and defending CFP Champion Clemson Tigers in the Sugar Bowl. The Tigers averaged 35.4 PPG this year and 448.2 YPG overall, but were limited to just two FG’s and 188 total yards. Georgia averages 36.3 PPG and allows just 15.7, but the Bulldogs have yet to face a defense as good as the Tides. Note as well that ‘Bama is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a neutral site favorite, while Georgia is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a neutral site dog. We think ALABAMA’S defense is firing on all cylinders at the exact opportune moment and we look for it to be the difference maker in the National title game. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 26-13 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Rams. We think the Rams will prove to be too much for the Falcons to handle, on both sides of the ball. Atlanta got back into the playoffs with a 22-10 home win over Carolina in Week 17. The Falcons clearly aren’t the same team which had a late 28-3 lead over the Patriots in the Super Bowl last year though. Atlanta averages just 22.1 PPG this year. Matt Ryan finished with a mediocre 20:12 TD:INT. Julio Jones had a big year with 1,444 receiving yards, but the run game stalled. Defensively the Falcons are decent, allowing only 19.7 PPG. LA led the league in scoring with 29.9 PPG, while ranked 12th on the defensive side by allowing 20.6. QB Jared Goff finished with a fantastic 28:7 TD:INT. Both Goff and RB Todd Gurley sat out the Rams Week 17 loss to San Francisco, so each will be extra/rested and prepared for this one. Note that Atlanta is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road and 0-4 ATS in its last four road playoff games, while the Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last eight as a favorite and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 following a double-digit home loss. We’re expecting a complete rout. Lay the points, play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson +3 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -114 | 518 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Clemson. This is a rematch of last year’s National Title game and we’re expecting a similar final result here as well. Alabama has significant injuries to its defense, with DB Hootie Jones, LB Dylan Moses and and LB Shaun Dion Hamilton all out with injury. Clemson on the other hand has gotten healthier on the defensive side of the ball, with Tre Lamar returning after missing the final three games with an injury. He’s going to be big in stopping the Crimson Tide run game. Alabama allows just 11.5 PPG, while QB Jalen Hurts owns a sharp 15/1 TD/INT. Tide RB Damian Harris averages 8.2 YPC. The Tigers allows just 12.8 PPG and it lead the nation in sacks with 44. Clemson was 6-0 in games against ranked teams this year, which included a convincing 38-3 win over Miami in the ACC Championship. Note that Alabama is just 3-14 ATS in its last 17 following a SU loss (lost 26-14 to Auburn in the SEC Title game), while Clemson is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 neutral site contests. Grab as many points as you can, play on CLEMSON. AAA Sports |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin -6.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 469 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOWL GAME OF THE MONTH on Wisconsin. The Hurricanes are down three starters in this one, with RB Mark Walton lost in October, TE Christopher Herndon suffered a season ending injury in Novmeber and WR Ahmmon Richards was just hurt before the ACC Championship game. The Badgers only loss this year came in the conference championship game to Ohio State. Wisconsin finished in the top 5 in every statistical defensive category, including No. 3 scoring defense in allowing just 13.2 PPG. Miami lost its last two games of the year, getting upset by Pittsburgh 24-14 over Thanksgiving and then getting annihilated by Clemson in the championship contest. Note that Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a loss, while Miami is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight neutral site affairs. When taking into account all of the above factors, we definitely feel that the savvy move in this contest is on the BADGERS. AAA Sports |
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12-28-17 | Virginia +1.5 v. Navy | Top | 7-49 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Virginia. It’s been confirmed that Virginia senior starters Micah Kiser, Quin Blanding and Kurt Benkert will all be playing today. Blanding has four INT’s this year, while Kiser has 130 tackles. Virginia backed its way into the Bowl season after a hot start. Navy can empathize though, as it’s lost six of its last seven, including a deflating loss to Army in its regular-season finale. Note that Virginia is 2-1 ATS in its last three when playing with three or more weeks rest, while Navy is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with three or more weeks rest. The situation and the numbers both point to VIRGINIA as the savvy move in this year’s Military Bowl. AAA Sports |
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12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Iowa. Boston College posted consecutive victories to punch its ticket to the Pinstripe Bowl, with wins over UConn and Syracuse to close the regular season. Iowa went into its final game of the year on a two-game losing streak, but then smashed Nebraska 56-14 in its regular season finale. Iowa RB Akrum Wadley posted 1,021 rushing yards on the year. BC most recently crushed Syracuse 42-14 in the Carrier Dome back on November 25th. Eagles’ RB AJ Dillon has 1,432 rushing yards and 13 TD’s this year. As good as BC has looked of late, we’re calling these offenses a “wash.” The difference maker for us is the Hawkeyes’ defense. Lay the points, play on IOWA. AAA Sports |
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12-25-17 | Steelers -8.5 v. Texans | Top | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Pittsburgh Steelers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road fav in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Houston is already just 1-3 ATS this year after two or more consecutive SU losses and just 2-4 ATS this season against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Steelers’ star WR Antonio Brown won’t be playing in this game, which is a blow for Pittsburgh. But the Steelers should still be OK here facing a dejected Texans side that’s down to its third string QB this weekend. Pittsburgh had its eight game win streak snapped in last week’s controversial 27-24 loss to the Patriots, but with two games left against the Texans this week and at home against the Browns in their finale, the Steelers have a big opportunity to erase that setback from memory and destroy these two bottom feeding opponents before the playoffs. Lay the points, play on the STEELERS. AAA Sports |
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12-23-17 | Colts +13.5 v. Ravens | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 127 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Indianapolis Colts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Indianapolis is already 2-1 ATS this year as an underdog of ten points or more and interestingly, it’s a perfect 3-0 ATS against the AFC North this season, while Baltimore is just 1-2 ATS against teams with losing records this season and just 9-12 ATS in its last 21 in front of the home town crowd. The bottom line: The Colts have been out of the playoff picture for weeks, but will look to play spoiler here. The Ravens’ playoff hops for a wild card spot continued with last week’s win over the Browns, but we think Baltimore stumbles on the short week. Look for Jacoby Brissett and the COLTS to keep this one closer than what Las Vegas would like us to think. AAA Sports |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 14-37 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Central Michigan. Wyoming will welcome back QB Josh Allen to the mix, but we still like CMU here. CMU won its fifth straight in a 31-24 home win over Northern Illinois in late November, while Wyoming backed its way into the bowls, losing its final two, including a 20-17 loss to San Jose State in its finale. The Chips average 29.7 PPG and allow 26.8. CMU QB Shane Morris finished a 26:13 TD:INT. The Cowboys average 22.3 points and allow 17.8. Allen finished with a 13:6 TD:INT. Note though that CMU is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win, while Wyoming is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after a three week or more rest period. Although they haven’t played for almost a month, CMU has a ton of momentum with the five straight victories and we look for this well oiled machine to carry it over here. Play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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12-18-17 | Falcons v. Bucs +6 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 60 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* CASH BOMB on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Atlanta is just 2-4 ATS on the road this year and only 5-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite, while Tampa Bay is 2-0 ATS in its last two Monday Night contests. The bottom line: So far the Bucs are 0-3 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. We think that changes this evening though. Tampa Bay won’t be competing in the postseason, but we think it shows up and competes today. There will be no love loss between these division rivals obviously and the home side does indeed play with revenge after falling 34-20 in ATL in late November. The Falcons are in a dog fight for the NFC South crown, with both Carolina and New Orleans sitting at 9-4. With a game at New Orleans next weekend, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors also in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that one. We expect a competitive affair, so grab the points. Play on TAMPA BAY. AAA Sports |
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12-16-17 | Marshall +6 v. Colorado State | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 70 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Marshall. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Marshall is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog (including a perfect 5-0 ATS this season) and 4-0 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Colorado State is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two or more weeks of rest, 0-4 ATS in its last four neutral field contests and just 1-2 ATS in its last three non-conference games. The bottom line: This is the New Mexico Bowl from Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. The Herd dropped its final two games of the year, but we think they are the more complete team of these two. QB Chase Litton had a 23:13 TD:INT ratio. The Marshall defense though is its strength and we think the unit will prove to be the difference maker in the end in this one. Colorado State’s weakness is on the defensive side and it struggled against good passing teams. The offense led by QB Nick Stevens was impressive, as he’d finish with a 27:10 TD:INT. The Rams also have a powerful RB in Dalyn Dawkins, who we think will have major difficulty with this opportunistic Thundering Herd defense which allows just 125 rushing YPG (note that Marshall gives up just 19.2 PPG overall.) We’re grabbing the points, play on the THUNDERING HERD. AAA Sports |
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12-03-17 | Panthers +5.5 v. Saints | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a TOP RATED BLOCKBUSTER on the Carolina Panthers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Carolina is already 5-1 ATS on teh road this yera, 4-0 ATS as an underdog and 2-0 ATS when trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while New Orleans is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after failing to cover the spread in back to back games coming in. The bottom line: New Orleans looks like its running out of gas now, suffering first loss in eight games in last week’s 26-20 setback to the Rams. And with a game at Atlanta next weekend, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a “trap” for the home side vs. the revenge minded Panthers. Carolina lost 34-17 in the first matchup against New Orleans, but it comes in on top form, having won four straight. We expect these trends to continue and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the PANTHERS. AAA Sports |
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12-03-17 | Patriots v. Bills +10 | Top | 23-3 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Buffalo Bills. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note the New England is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Buffalo is already 3-1 ATS at home and 2-1 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Bills went back to Tyrod Taylor last week and the result was perhaps a season saving 16-10 victroy over Kansas City. But now Buffalo once again finds itself with its back against the wall and clearly it can’t take anything for granted at this point. We think New England wins this one, but with tough upcoming games at Miami and then Pittsburgh, we believe the defending champs get caught “looking ahead” and leave the back door open wide just enough for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the BILLS. AAA Sports |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State -6 v. Wisconsin | Top | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 58 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Ohio State is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to seven points, while Wisconsin is just 2-3 ATS in its last five games played on a neutral field. The bottom line: The winner of this will get a ticket to the College Championship round. Ohio State edged Wisconsin 30-23 in OT last year. Both teams ended the regular season with victories (Wisconsin 31-0 over Minnesota, Ohio State 31-20 over Michigan.) The Badgers average 34.8 PPG and allow just 12.0. The Buckeyes average 43.8 PPG and allow just 19.8. With a chance to derail the Badgers hopes, we think the offensive depth that OHIO STATE brings to the table today will in the end prove to be the difference. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens -7 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Baltimore Ravens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Houston is just 1-2 ATS in its last three Monday Night games and only 3-4 ATS this season in all games it’s played on a grass field, while Baltimore is 2-1 ATS in its last three MNF contests and 4-3 ATS this year in all games played on grass. The bottom line: Houston came out of its bye week and lost three straight, but somehow managed the 31-21 home win over Arizona last weekend. With a game at division rival Tennessee next Sunday, we think the visitors have a classic letdown here. Baltimore could have easily suffered a letdown itself in its first game back from its bye week, but instead it dominated in last week’s 23-0 victory at Green Bay. All signs point to another dominant effort from the Ravens defense. Lay the points, play on BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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11-26-17 | Bears +14 v. Eagles | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Chicago Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note the Chicago is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after two or more consecutive SU losses (ncluding 2-0 ATS this season), while Philadelphia is interestingly just 2-6 ATS in its last eight against the NFC North. The bottom line: The Eagles are rolling, but with a three game road trip starting next week in Seattle, we think the home side comes in a bit complacent here. Mitch Trubisky has been getting better with each outing for the Bears and we think he and his defensive unit will keep his team competitive late. Grab the points, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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11-25-17 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -5.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that UConn is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive SU losses and just 4-5 ATS this year as an underdog, while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: Both teams have been terrible this year and neither will be playing in a bowl. The Bearcats play with revenge though after falling to the Huskies 20-9 last year. The revenge factor, combined with home field advantage turns out to be the difference. Play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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11-24-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -9.5 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* TV GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas. The Red Raiders are an absolute disaster right now, most recently falling 27-3 to TCU on Saturday. Texas Tech still needs one more win to become bowl eligibile, but we don’t expect a letdown from the Longhorns here. Texas enters off a 28-14 win over WVU and it’ll look to send off its seniors with a big victory in front of the home town crowd in the season finale. Last week Texas Tech threw for just 153 yards, no TD’s and an INT. The Texas defense just held the high-flying Mountaineers to 14 points, limiting WVU to only 56 rushing yards on 19 carries. Note that Texas Tech is 0-4 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records and just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU loss of 20 points or more, while Texas is 4-1-1 ATS in its las tsix following an ATS victory and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five at home. All signs point to a blowout, play on the LONGHORNS. AAA Sports |
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11-19-17 | Redskins +7.5 v. Saints | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 148 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washignton Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washignton is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and still 17-12 ATS in its last 29 when playing the role of underdog, while New Orleans is interestingly just 1-3 ATS in its last four against the NFC East. The bottom line: It’s hard to say anything negative about the Saints, as they’re obviously the hottest team in the league right now. Drew Brees has been his normal self and now he has a run game and decent defense behind him. But Washington is desperate and it won’t be giving up on the season until its officially mathematically eliminated. The Saints have been fantastic to this point, but even the best have to have a letdown at some point. And New Orleans is far from “the best” quite yet. With a game at the dynamic LA Rams up next, the Saints could very well be caught “looking ahead” here as well. Grab as many points as you can, play on the REDSKINS. AAA Sports |
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11-17-17 | UNLV v. New Mexico -2 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on New Mexico. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that UNLV is just 4-10 in its last 14 against teams with losing records, while New Mexico is already 2-1 ATS this season against teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Runnin’ Rebels are at 4-6 and need to win their last two games to become bowl eligible. Unfortunately for the Lobos though, at 3-7 their postseason hopes are now gone. This is New Mexico’s final home game of the year though and it will be looking to put on a show for the home crowd, while also putting a final nail in the coffin for UNLV’s bowl hopes. We love the LOBOS to play spoiler tonight, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | Top | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 151 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Atlanta Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Dallas is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog and only 9-17 ATS in its last 27 on “field turf,” while Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last six against the NFC East and 4-2 ATS in its last six against the conference overall. The bottom line: Dallas has come out of its bye and posted three straight wins, but looks set up for a letdown here with a look ahead game against division rival Philly at home next weekend. Conversely, the Falcons have lost four of their last five and will clearly be risking life and limb today to try and stay in the playoff race. All things considered, we feel this line could be a little higher, swinging the value to the home side. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 38 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Stanford. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after holding its previous opponet to three points or less (beat Oregon 38-3 last weekend), while Stanford is already 2-1 ATS at home this year and 4-2 ATS in its last six off a loss against a conference rival (fell 24-21 at WSU last weekend.) The bottom line: The Cardinal became bowl eligible the week before last Saturday’s loss, but suffered a predictable letdown. Washington only has one loss on its resume so far, but we think it’ll have its hands full today in this tough atmosphere. Stanford plays with revenge as well after falling 44-6 in last year’s matchup. Time for the Cardinal to bounce back from last week’s upset loss and to try and avenge last year’s setback to the Huskies, while also dealing Washington a blow to its playoff/bowl rankings. Grab the points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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11-07-17 | Akron +5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Akron. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Akron is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 off a win against a conference rival (including 2-1 ATS in that position this year) and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against teams with losing records (including 3-0 ATS this season), while Miami Ohio is just 1-3 ATS at home this year and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine against teams with winning records (including just 1-2 ATS in that positoin this season.) The bottom line: The Redhawks need to win out for a chance at a bowl, while the Zips, who come in off a 21-20 win over Buffalo last week, need just one more victory to become eligible. With the daunting task of having to “run the table” ahead of it, we think that Miami Ohio stumbles here. AKRON has several strong ATS stats working in its favor and won’t be lacking for motivation. AAA Sports |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers +3 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have Brett Hundley under center and clearly he’s no Aaron Rodgers. Hundley is no Matthew Stafford either. However, the game of football is played with three different units and in our opinion, Green Bay has the advantage in two of those three phases. Clearly the Lions have the advantage on offense with Stafford. He looked pretty average in last week’s 20-15 loss to the Steelers though, putting up 423 passing yards, but not able to find the endzone at all. Detroit is one-dimensional as well, averaging just 82.1 YPG on the ground, ranked 28th. Hundley will be leaning heavily upon RB Aaron Jones today, who had 131 yards on 17 carries in his team’s 25-16 home loss to New Orleans two weeks ago. It was Hundley’s first action as starter and he didn’t look too great, going 12 of 25 for 87 yards, no TD’s and a pick. But with a week off to properly prepare and focus, clearly Hundley is going to perform better today. The PACKERS are 4-1 ATS in their last five in this series and we expect that strong trend of dominance to carry over here. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Tampa is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range and interestingly, 6-3 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of November, while New Orleans is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven games played in November and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. The bottom line: Tampa opened the year by winning three of four, but has since dropped four straight. Clearly the “panic button” has been pressed by the Bucs at this point. It’s been the exact opposite for the Saints, who opened the season with two straight losses, before then rattling off five straight wins. Losing breeds determination, while winning often leads to complacency. Divisional games are always the “toughest” and they almost always “mean more” to the home side, but in this case we feel this one does indeed set up as a classic “trap” for the contented Saints. The Bucs are reeling, but won’t be going down without a fight. While we wouldn’t be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on TAMPA BAY. AAA Sports |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -3.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC ASSASSIN on Western Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that CMU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four following its by week and just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a win against a conference rival, while WMU is 3-1 ATS in its last four following its bye week and and 14-11 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. The bottom line: With a chance to punch its sixth win of the year, we look for WMU to rally here after losing its starting QB and to find a way to get the job done in front of the home town crowd. Play on WESTERN MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | Top | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Detroit Lions. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Pittsburgh is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU wins and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 following a divisional contest, while Detroit is 2-0 ATS in its last two following its bye week and 2-1 ATS in its last three after two or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: The Lions are the most “desperate” team, while Pittsburgh looks primed for a letdown here. Grab the points, play on the LIONS. AAA Sports |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 0-40 | Win | 100 | 84 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Baltimore Ravens. After beating the Falcons 20-17 on the road last week, the injured Dolphins look ripe for the picking by the hungry Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore enters off a 24-16 loss at Minnesota. Dolphins’ QB Jay Cutler went down with injury and backup Matt Moore led his team to the comeback victory. Th Fish though rank just 32nd in total offense with just 261.8 YPG, while looking a better on the defensive end on allowing 18.7. The Ravens averages just 18.3 PPG, while ranked in the middle of the pack defensively. Joe Flacco didn’t have much help last week, but he still managed to go 27 of 39 for 186 yards, one TD and no picks. Note that Miami is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 against teams with losing records and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 following a divisional contest, while Baltimore is 2-1 ATS in its last three after two or more consecutive SU losses. Despite his struggles this year, I’m giving Flacco the nod in this QB matchup and to us, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the home side. Play on the RAVENS. AAA Sports |
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10-14-17 | Connecticut +12 v. Temple | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 139 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Connecticut. UConn is the “hungrier” team here as it’s lost four straight. Temple comes in off its best performance of the year with a 34-10 win over East Carolina and looks primed for a major letdown in our opinion. But not only is this a “letdown” spot, this is also is a bit of a “look-ahead” spot for the home side with a much more difficult game at Army next weekend. It’s a classic “trap” for Temple and it’s the main reason why we love this play so much. For UConn, a bowl trip is likely out of the question, but if the team has any hopes whatsoever it’s going to need to win this game straight up. The Owls picked up the decent victory last weekend, but QB Logan Marchi would post just his first 300 yard game of the year. Temple has already struggled in this spot for bettors this season, going 1-2 ATS at home and 1-2 ATS as a favorite. UConn has struggled in almost every ATS statistical category there is over the last few seasons, which makes it important to note that it’s 4-1 ATS in its last five after surrendering 600 yards or more in its previous contest. While we’re not calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a comfortable back door cover. Play on CONNECTICUT. AAA Sports |
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10-01-17 | Jaguars v. Jets +4 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 143 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Jets. We had a play on the Jets last weekend in their 20-6 upset win at home over the Dolphins. We feel this is another great situational spot to take advantage of as the Jacksonville Jaguars come to town, fresh off their big 44-7 destruction of the Ravens in England last weekend (we also had Jacksonville in that one.) But now the team transitions back across the pond and in our opinion, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the road-weary Jags. Jacksonville won 29-7 at Houston in Week 1, only to then “lay an egg” in Week 2 at home against Tennesse. And with another tough road game at Pittsburgh next weekend, it’s also not too hard to imagine the visiting side in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more difficult matchup. Also note that the Jags are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven when playing the role of favorite, while the Jets are 2-0 ATS in their last two as a home dog in the 3.5 to seven points range. A great “situational” play on the NEW YORK JETS. AAA Sports |
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09-30-17 | Florida State -7.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 26-19 | Loss | -104 | 122 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida State. Florida State is 0-2 SU/ATS, while Wake Forest is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Despite those lop-sided numbers which would suggest that the Demon Deacons have the upper-hand in this contest, we believe that FSU has enough situational factors working in its favor to finally get off the schneid in a big way on Saturday afternoon. Our September CFB “GAME OF MONTH” was on Appalachian State, which fell 20-19 at home to Wake Forest last week, securing the easy cover. The Seminoles come to town the hungrier team for sure after they fell 27-21 at home to NC State in their last game. FSU QB James Blackman was 22 of 38 for 278 yards, a TD and no INT’s. RB Cam Akers led the way on the ground with 57 yards. Auden Tate has 180 receiving yards over his last two games. FSU’s defense wasn’t horrible either, allowing 365 total yards. With last week’s contest cancelled due to Hurricane Irma, the visiting side comes in focused. Wake needed a cluth blocked FG to even earn the victory last week. John Wolford was 14 of 27 for 176 yards and two TD’s. Akeem Byrd so far has 233 yards rushing for the season. The defense looked suspect though in our opinion, allowing 501 total yards. Note as well that the Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a loss against a conference rival, while Wake is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories. Blackman looked great in his role as starter and we think he’ll carry that progression over here. Lay the points, play on FLORIDA STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-28-17 | Texas -5 v. Iowa State | Top | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 84 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas. We think that Texas is going to be the “hungrier” side tonight, a factor which we foresee resulting in a comfortable cover for the visiting team. The Longhorns lost 27-24 to USC in OT last time out, while Iowa State rolled to a 42-14 win over Akron. Note though that when these teams faced each other last year, Texas scored the 27-6 road victory. But it was oh-so-close for the Longhorns against the No. 4 ranked Trojans last time out. Sam Ehlinger was 21 of 40 for 298 yards, two TD’s and two INT’s. One other Texas offensive player to keep your eyes on this weekend is WR Collin Johnson, who had seven catches for 191 yards against USC. Ultimately though we feel that the Longhorns’ defense is flying under the radar in this one, as it looked great against the Trojans, holding them to 468 yards, while also making three sacks and two INT’s. The Cyclones’ Jacob Park had 317 yards and two TD’s last week. RB David Montgomery had 127 rushing yards. The defense looked sharp against the MAC team, but lining up against this Longhorns’ line (on both sides of the ball) is clearly a huge step up in overall caliber and size. We like TEXAS to step up defensively and to pull away for the cover. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 28-17 | Loss | -120 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Arizona Cardinals. Both teams are 1-1 SU. Dallas is also 1-1 ATS, while Arizona is so far 0-2 ATS. Are the Cowboys as bad as their 42-17 loss at Denver last week would indicate? Of course not. But we still believe Dallas has issues. Arizona on the other hand lost its Week 1 matchup in Detroit, only to then bounce back in Week 2 with a 16-13 victory over the Colts. It’s been a bit of a grind for Carson Palmer and company to open the year, but it’s time to open up the playbook with their first game in front of the home town crowd. Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys’ offensive line all had a poor game last week. But the Dallas defense was supposed to be a strength again this year. Broncos’ QB Trevor Simien simply isn’t as good as what his numbers would indicate from last week’s blowout victory. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to grab the points with the CARDINALS, as we believe that Arizona is the more complete team right now through all three phases of the game. AAA Sports |
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09-23-17 | Wake Forest v. Appalachian State +3 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 143 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Appalachian State. The Demon Deacons are 3-0 after trashing Utah State 46-10 at home last weekend. Last week the Mountaineers beat Texas State on the road 20-13. App State’s lone loss comes in its opener, a 31-10 setback at Georgia. Wake Forest: QB John Wolford is playing his best ball of his career, so far going for 500 yards, six TD’s and no INT’s. He also has 192 rushing yards. RB Arkeem Byrd had 120 yards on 19 carries in last week’s win. The defense also looked sharp, so far the unit has allowed just 273.3 YPG. Appalachian State: Mountaineers QB Taylor Lamb was 17 of 28 for 167 yards, one TD and no INT’s last week. So far Lamb has 622 yards, six TD’s and no INT’s this year. App State gives up just 289 YPG thus far. Offensively the team averages 175.3 rushing YPG. The bottom line: With a big conference matchup at home against Florida State next weekend, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic “look ahead/trap” game for the visitors. We’re grabbing the points, play on APPALACHIAN STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-21-17 | Temple +18 v. South Florida | Top | 7-43 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASASSIN on Temple. While we’re not going to call for an outright upset, we do definitely expect the talented visiting side to keep this one a lot closer than what Sin City is leading us to believe. The Owls: Temple enters off a 29-14 home win over UMass. QB Logan Marchi was 22 of 37 for 248 yards, three TD’s and no INT’s. So far he has nearly 770 yards passing and a 5:0 TD:INT. WR Keith Kirkwood now has 185 receiving yards on the year, while RB Ryquell Armstead had 177 rushing yards through three games. The defense was decent, getting gouged for 377 passing yards, but allowing just 61 rushing yards. Massacusetts was behind most of the game though, so it was forced to air it out. The Bulls: South Florida enters off a 47-23 home victory over Illinois. QB Quinton Flowers was 15 of 27 for 280 yards, four TD’s and one INT. So far he has 680 yards passing and an 8:2 TD:INT. RB Darius Tice had 105 yards on 12 carries. USF looked strong defensively, allowing a total of 354 yards. The bottom line: When these teams met last year, the Owls posted a 46-30 victory. Temple had more turnover in the offseason, so these are different teams essentially. However, we think that the Owls’ high-octane offense can keep them in this one late. As mentioned off the top, we think these teams are more evenly matched than what Sin City is trying to lead everyone to believe. Grab the points, play on TEMPLE. AAA Sports When you think of these two teams, what’s the first thing that comes to mind? Explosive offenses likely isn’t one of them. The reason this total is so low, is because there’s no question that these clubs struggle to put points on the board most nights. In fact, the 49ers have yet to score an offensive TD. The Rams looked good beating the injured Colts, but came back down to Earth against the Redskins at home last weekend. San Francisco was never going to make the playoffs this year, but with a three-game road trip looming, this could be its last/best chance to score a victory to open the season. Essentially, it’s a “do-or-die” scenario for the 49ers tonight. With an added 7 points to the UNDER and to the home side’s spread, this one has all the makings of an easy cash! AAA Sports |
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09-16-17 | Stanford -9.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Stanford. Stanford will be looking to take out its frustration on someone tonight after falling 42-24 at USC last weekend. Enter SDSU. The Aztecs are 2-0, but they look primed for a letdown here in our opinion after upsetting Arizona State 30-20 on the road last Saturday. The Cardinal: Stanford smashed Rice in its opener, but was unable to keep pace with high-flying USC last weekend. In all the Cardinal were outgained 623-342. So far Stanford ranks 23rd in the country in scoring though with an average of 43 PPG, while ranked 67th on the defensive side in allowing 24.5. QB Keller Chryst has 425 yards and four TD’s, while RB Bryce Love has 340 rushing yards and two scores. The Aztecs: SDSU held a slim 352-342 yardage advantage over Arizona State last Saturday. So far the Aztecs are ranked 54th overall in scoring with 34 PPG, while ranked 43rd in allowing 18.5. QB Christian Chapman has 293 yards, three TD’s and one INT. Rashaad Penny has 413 yards on the ground and three TD’s. The bottom line: Note that Stanford is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 following a SU loss, while SDSU is just 5-13 ATS in its last 18 against the Pac-12. The Cardinal don’t really have to respect the pass today, so can load the box to slow down Penny. We look for STANFORD to ride its superior defensive play to a decisive victory. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico +15 v. Boise State | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on New Mexico. New Mexico enters off a tough 30-28 home loss to a difficult New Mexico State team at home, while Boise State collapsed in the second half of its game against Washington State, eventually succumbing 47-44 in OT. Note that the Lobos play with revenge here after falling 49-21 at home to the Broncos last season. New Mexico: The Lobos were actually down 30-5 at the start of the fourth quarter, but alas their come back bid came up a bit short. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting New Mexico to carry over that momentum/confidence to this one. QB Tevaka Tuioti came in late and threw for 151 yards and two TD’s. The Lobos also had 176 yards on the ground, led by Jay Griffin IV with 64 and a TD. The defense looked poor, but will catch a small repreive in facing what should be a gassed Broncos side working on the short week. Boise State: Over the final ten minutes the Broncos allowed 21 unanswered points and then eventually lost in overtime to Washington State. QB Brett Rypien was injured, so Montell Cozart would take over and he’d go for 161 yards, two TD’s and an INT. In all the Broncos allowed 455 yards on defense, so the Lobos are going to have their chances here today as well. The bottom line: Rypien is a game time decision here. Note that New Mexico is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, while Boise State is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 at home and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite of 10 1/2 to 21 points. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW MEXICO. AAA Sports |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | Top | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 40 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Denver Broncos. We’ve always felt that the addage “defense wins championships,” pertained more to the gridiron than any other sport. While nothing is on the line except a Week 1 win or loss, we still feel that the Broncos’ elite defense will prove to be the main story-line in tomorrow’s summaries. LA: A new city, building and head coach. Same old QB in Philip Rivers though. Rivers will be handing off to one of the best RB’s in the league in Melvin Gordon and the offense should once again be among the league leaders on that side of the ball. Defense was a major issue last year though, giving up an average of 26.4 PPG. Denver: The defense was fourth in points allowed last year and first against the pass in allowing only 185.8 YPG through the air. LA’s offense revolves around the pass, which doesn’t look too good on the road at Mile High tonight. The team used its top draft picks on the defensive side of the ball as well, so the unit is stacked. The offense is once again a question mark, but both Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch will be given the green light to air it out tonight against the Chargers’ suspect secondary. The bottom line: Note that LA is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 in games where the line is set between +3 and -3, while Denver is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 in the same position. Play on the BRONCOS. AAA Sports |
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09-10-17 | Raiders v. Titans +1 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 2184 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEEK 1 TOP EARLY PLAY on the Tennessee Titans. There is of course an inherent risk when releasing a play weeks/months ahead of time, but in this case, we feel that Tennessee is the correct call in this Week 1 matchup. Oakland seems like a “trendy” pick in Week 1 after Derek Carr’s break out season. But Carr would break his leg in Week 15 last year and the Raiders would then predictably fall in the Wildcard round. Many think the signing of RB Marshawn Lynch will take Oakland to the next level, but we’re not convinced. Lynch is a year removed from the NFL and in his final season with the Seahawks, was visibly set back with nagging injuries. Titans’ QB Marcus Mariota is in our opinion, just as good as Carr in every respect. We also think the Titans have a big advantage in the RB department, with DeMarco Muarry, Derrick Henry and newcomer Khalfani Muhammad. Oakland is just 2-6 in Week 1 since 2009 and all signs point to another letdown here. Play on TENNESSEE. AAA Sports |
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09-09-17 | San Diego State v. Arizona State -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona State. San Diego State beat UC Davis 34-17 last weekend, while Arizona State rallied for a 37-31 win over New Mexico State. Aztecs: SDSU has just 11 starters back from a team which went 11-3 last year, including a 34-10 victory over Houston in the LV Bowl. The ground game notched 276 yards against the lowly Aggies last week. Rashaad Penny had 197 yards and two TD’s on 21 carries. QB Christian Chapman was 16 of 21 for 221 yards and two TD’s. The defense looked good, not spectacular and will now clearly have its hands full against the big arm of ASU QB Manny Wilikins, who had 300 yards against the Aggies last week. Sun Devils: New Mexico State is a damn good team, filled with veteran experience. Last week the offense put up 400 yards, including 331 through the air. Wilkins was 22 of 27 for 300 yards and two TD’s. WR John Humphrey had a big day with 123 yards on seven receptions. ASU’s weakness last year was its defense and that once again appears to be the case this season. The bottom line: But Arizona State catches a break this week facing the run heavy offense of the Aztecs. The secondary is the weak point. SDSU has a game at home against Stanford next weekend, before then starting the conference part of its schedule with a tough one on the road against Air Force. All signs point to the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to that gruelling part of their schedule. A great situational play, play on the SUN DEVILS. AAA Sports |
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09-02-17 | Louisville v. Purdue +26.5 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 130 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Purdue. This is a great “situational” play in our opinion, as we’re expecting the Cardinals to “look past” their lowly opponent tonight to a much more important conference matchup on the road at UNC next weekend. Louisville: The Cardinals were 9-4 overall last year and 7-1 in the ACC, falling 29-9 to LSU in the Citrus Bowl. QB Lamar Jackson had 3,543 passing yards, alowing with a 30:9 TD:INT ratio and also posted 21 rushing TD’s, ultimately going on to win the Heisman. But Jackson only has three other starters returning to his offense from last year. The defensive line also has more questions than answers right now with many holes to fill. Despite the issues that Louisville must overcome, the team is once again expected to among the nation’s leaders on both sides of the ball. Purdue: The Boilermakers were 3-9 last season and had a 1-8 record in league action. Purdue is expected to be a lot better thi syear with several key players returning, including QB David Blough, who had 3,353 yards and a 25:21 TD:INT ratio. Purdue also returns all of its RB’s, including Markell Jones, who had 616 yards last year. The defense was a major issue last year, but the unit returns several starters as well. The bottom line: We like Blough to keep this one respectable. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BOILERMAKERS. AAA Sports |
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09-01-17 | Boston College v. Northern Illinois +3.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 108 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Northern Illinois. BC was 7-6 last year, winning three straight to end the season including defeating Maryland 36-30 in the Quicken Lane Bowl. NIU was just 5-7 and will be eager to return to a bowl this season. BC averaged only 20.4 PPG last year, but the team led the nation in many defensive categories. The Huskies started four different QB’s last year, but still managed to post 30.5 PPG. The defense was a weak point, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing BC’s vanilla offense. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we believe NIU’s offense will at the very least keep this one close enough to cover with the spread. AAA Sports |
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08-31-17 | UL-Monroe v. Memphis -27 | Top | 29-37 | Loss | -110 | 204 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH on Memphis. The Warhawks struggled on the defensive side of the ball last year, an area which is also expected to be a weak point this season. And that doesn’t bode well against the up-tempo Tigers, who we foresee pulling away down the stretch for a comfortable ATS cover. Louisiana Monroe: The Warhawks were just 4-8 last year and failed to qualify for a bowl. UL Monroe was disastrous on the defensive side of the ball last year, allowing at least 34 points in every game, with four games seeing the opposition put up at least 51. QB Garrett Smith finished with 1,237 yards, nine TD’s and seven INT’s. Memphis: The Tigers were 8-5 and then lost 51-31 to Western Kentucky in the Boca Raton Bowl. Memphis is led by Riley Ferguson, who had 3,698 yards, 32 TD’s and ten INT’s. Ferguson is back for his senior year and we think he’ll be the big difference maker tonight. The offense also features a strong run game with Darrell Henderson and Patrick Taylor Jr. The bottom line: Note that Louisiana Monroe is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games in August, while Memphis is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 non-conference contests. All signs point to a rout from start to finish, lay the points with confidence, play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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08-26-17 | Rice v. Stanford -31 | Top | 7-62 | Win | 100 | 128 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Stanford. This game is being played in Sydney Australia. The Cardinal have some big holes to fill this year, but they have plenty of young talent in key positions, as well as plenty of veteran leadership on both sides of the line to fall back on. The Cardinal were 10-3 last year and then beat UNC in the Sun Bowl. Rice was just 3-9 overall. These teams actually met on November 26th last year and Stanford scored the 41-17 victory. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a much bigger rout here today. Stanford turns to QB Keller Chryst, who had 905 yards and ten TD’s last season. Replacing RB Christian McCaffrey won’t be easy, but Bryce Love will try, he ran 112 times for 779 yards and three TD’s last year. The strength of Stanford though lies on both the offensive and defensive lines. And that doesn’t bode well for the undersized Owls, who were held to 17 points or less in half their games last season. The Rice defense struggled as well, with the opposition posting 41 points or more seven times. Note that the Owls also start a redshirt freshman at QB today in Sam Glaseman (also note that Stanford is 7-2 ATS in its last nine neutral field affairs.) Rice already has more questions than answers as we head into the season, which lines up perfectly for Stanford. Look for Chryst and company to shake off some early jitters/rust and pull away down the stretch for the comforable ATS cover. Play on the CARDINAL. AAA Sports |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Steelers. REASONING: Many sharps are likely on the Patriots today, but we think the Steelers can match pace with Tom Brady and company and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Ben Roethlisberger is as experienced as they come and he has the superior RB in Le’Veon Bell today, as well as the best receiver in Antonio Brown. The playing field is even on the offensive end in our opinion. The Pats have the better defense, but not by much. Pittsburgh looked sharp in its 18-16 win over the Chiefs last weekend, while it took New England a full half of football before finally kicking into full gear against the Texans. The Steelers will have their chances and that’s all they can ask for. Grab the points, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs -2 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 148 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Kansas City Chiefs. REASONING: Are the trio of Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown the most feared in the league? There’s no doubt that they are a dynamic group, but something doesn’t add up when you look at Pittsburgh’s offensive stats, as the team averaged a pedestrian 24.9 PPG, ranked 11th overall. Defensively the Steelers concede an average of 20.4 PPG, ranked tenth. The Chiefs posted almost identical offensive numbers, 24.3 PPG which ranked them 13th. Defensively though the team was a cut above the Steelers, allowing 19.4 PPG, good for seventh overall. The Steelers beat the Chiefs 43-14 in Week 4 and suffice it to say, we think it’s payback time! KC is well rested and has a huge advantage of playing in front of the home town crowd tonight. Play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 144 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Dallas Cowboys. REASONING: Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers have been on an unbelievable run to reach this point, but we think they’ll finally have a letdown here. The Cowboys aren’t the greatest in defending the pass, but overall the unit finished in the Top 5 in almost every statistical category. Rodgers won’t have Jordy Nelson in the lineup, which is very significant in this playoff game. His experience in these types of situations simply can’t be downplayed in our opinion. The Cowboys are dominating on both sides of the ball and come in refreshed and focused. Note that Green Bay is just 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Dallas is 5-3 ATS at home. Lay the points, play on the COWBOYS. AAA Sports |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Falcons | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Seattle Seahawks. REASONING: You’d be hard pressed to find a team with as much playoff experience as the Seahawks over the last five years. Atlanta hasn’t won a playoff game since 2012. The Hawks come in with a ton of momentum after dismantling the Lions 26-6 last week. The defense allowed just two field goals and QB Russell Wilson finished 23 of 30 for 224 yards and two TD’s. Seattle finished the regular season allowing only 18.2 PPG, ranked third overall. Will “rest lead to rust” for Atlanta? Possibly. The Falcons finished with the No. 1 offense in the league with an average of 33.8 PPG. The defense though was a disaster, allowing an average of 25.4 PPG, ranked 27th overall. Seattle is too deep and experienced and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 672 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Penn State. REASONING: USC closed the season with eight straight wins, including beating Notre Dame 45-27 at home in its finale. Penn State started the year 2-2, but then rattled off nine straight victories. Ultimately we think that Penn State’s explosive offense will do just enough to take this one down to the wire. The Trojans actually started the year 1-3, including a 52-6 loss by No. 1 Alabama. USC is ranked 42nd in scoring offense with 32.9 PPG and tied for 24th in scoring defense in allowing 22.2 PPG. The Nittanly Lions are putting up 430 yards of offense and 36.2 PPG, which is ranked 26th in the FBS. Penn State is 35th in the FBS in scoring defense, allowing 23.4 PPG. Note that USC is 0-4 ATS in its last four games played on a neutral field, while Penn State is 4-2 ATS in the same position. These teams are very similar and all signs point to this one being decided by whoever has their hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on PENN STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-01-17 | Giants v. Redskins -8 | Top | 19-10 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washignton Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New York is just 1-3 ATS this year in revenging a loss against an opponent and only 2-4 ATS on the road, while Washington is 4-3 ATS at home and 4-0 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Giants will be resting the majority of their starters today, as win or lose, the team is locked into its current playoff position. The Redskins still have a shot at a Wildcard, but need to win today. We’re expecting the home side to win big. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State -3 v. Clemson | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 626 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. REASONING: Back in 2014, No. 11 Clemson upset Ohio State 40-35 in the Orange Bowl. That game featured a couple of great QB’s in Taj Boyd and Braxton Miller, and so too does this one, with Clemson’s DeShaun Watson and OSU’s JT Barrett. Both teams have just one loss on the year. Barrett finished with 3,275 yards, 33 TD’s and just five picks, while RB Mike Weber led the way with 1,072 yards and nine TD’s. Ohio State ranks amont the best in the country on the offensive end (42.7 PPG, ranked fourth) and on the defensive end. Watson is 30-3 as a starting QB for Clemson. Watson had a mediocre season though, finishing with 37 TD’s and 15 picks. Clemson posts 506 yards per game, but is about to face the toughest defense it’s seen all year. Note that Ohio State is 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while Clemson is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the same position. We think Watson struggles against this top ten defense and look for Barrett to do just enough to secure the victory today. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Washington +17 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Push | 0 | 622 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington. REASONING: We got down on this one early and have Washington at +17 and it’s since dropped. Regardless, we think the high-flying Huskies can test Alabama’s nation leading defense and keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Washington hammered Colorado 41-10 in the Pac-12 Champ game, while Alabama cruised to a 54-16 win over Florida in the SEC title contest. The Crimson Tide are No. 1 in points allowed this year, allowing just 11.8 per contest. But there were two offenses which Alabama was unable to contain, beating Ole Miss 48-42 on September 17th and Arkansas 49-30 later on. Washington has steamrolled every opponent this year with its dominant offense, except in its only loss, falling 26-12 to USC on November 12th. QB Jake Browning has 42 TD’s this year, to go along with just seven picks. But Washington’s defense is vastly underrated in our opinion, as it concedes only 17.2 PPG, ranked ninth overall. Bama QB Jalen Hurt was 11 of 20 for 137 yards and one score in the win over the Gators. Hurts has 33 combined rushing/throwing TD’s and nine picks. Note that Alabama is just 1-2 ATS in its last three dome games, while Washington is 2-0 ATS in its last two in the same position. With a month off to prepare, we think Chris Peterson has the Huskies ready to play today. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Cowboys. REASONING: Detroit looked horrible in its loss in New York last week as QB Matt Stafford’s offense posted just six points. If the Lions have had one weakness this year, it’s clearly been their play away from friendly confines where they’ve gone just 3-4 this season. Dallas has already earned a first-round bye, but won’t be rolling over and will clearly want to finish off the season on a high note. Dallas has struggled against the pass this year, but catches a break in that Stafford’s offense isn’t what it used to be in year’s past. Dallas fell to the Giants for a second time this season, but then bounced back with a 26-20 win over the Bucs on Sunday Night Football last week. QB Dak Prescott was 32 of 36 for 279 yards, while Ezekiel Elliot had 159 yards and a TD. Note that Detroit is just 3-4 ATS on the road this year and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games played in the month of December, while Dallas is 4-3 ATS in its last seven in front of the home town crowd. We don’t see DALLAS taking the foot off the gas at this point of the season, so lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt v. NC State -5.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State. REASONING: NC State earned bowl eligibility in its final game of the season. So too did Vanderbilt. The Wolfpack would beat UNC 28-21 in their regular-season finale. The team was paced by RB Matthew Dayes, who had 103 yards rushing and two TD’s in the victory over the Tar Heels. In all Hayes would finish with 1,119 rushing yards and ten TD’s. Also note that NC State has five receivers collecting at least 400 receiving yards, led by Stephen Louis with 657. The Wolfpack average just 25.5 PPG, ranked 88th overall, but they’ve been exceptional on the defensive end, allowing just 23.2 PPG, which is ranked 33rd in the country. The Commodores would beat Tennessee 45-34 in their regular season finale. QB Kyle Shurmur had a big day with 416 yards passing and two TD’s. RB Ralph Webb is the focal point of the offense though, he finished with 1,172 rushing yards and 12 TD’s. These teams are similar in many respects, as note that Vanderbilt averages only 23.5 PPG, while conceding just 22.6 (ranked 28th). Note though that Vanderbilt is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and only 1-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while NC State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest. We think the numbers all point to NC STATE as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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12-25-16 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* X-MAS DAY PRESENT on the Baltimore Ravens. REASONING: This is essentially a contest for the AFC North Title. If the Steelers win, they go to the playoffs and win the division. If the Ravens win, they have to beat the Bengals on the road next weekend to claim the title. Baltimore comes off a 27-26 win over Philadelphia, while the Steelers held on for a 24-20 win over the Bengals last weekend. Both teams enter into this one on top form, but if recent history is any precedence, then the Ravens have to be loving their chances today, as they’ve won four straight and six of the last seven in the series. In the first game against the Steelers this year, QB Joe Flacco was 18 of 30 for 241 yards, one TD and a pick. The Ravens average 347.1 YPG on offense and are also ranked fifth overall in yards allowed per game at (312.6). For the most part the Steelers have been solid on both sides of the ball this year, but note that QB Ben Roethlisberger completed just 50 percent of his passes for 264 yards in the first game against the Ravens. And note that Baltimore is 4-0 ATS against the divsional already this season, while Pittsburgh is only 1-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The RAVENS always play the Steelers tough and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another hard-fought battle that will likely come down to whoever has his hands on the ball last. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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12-24-16 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 25-38 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Green Bay Packers. REASONING: Green Bay needs to win its last two games for a shot at the postseason and it’ll be gunning for a fifth straight victory overall. We think Aaron Rodgers and the home side find a way to get the job done at the end of the night against this patchwork Minnesota Vikings team. The Packers most recently beat Chicago, while the Vikes enter having lost seven of their last nine after falling to the Colts last week. Minnesota is ripe for the picking, last week’s 34-6 loss to Indinapolis was its worst performance of the year. RB Adrian Peterson returned and looked horrible, going 22 yards on six carries and a lost fumble. The Vikes would need a miracle at this point to make the postseason. Rodgers was 19 of 31 for 252 yards, but had no TD’s last week. Rodgers though hasn’t thrown an INT since mid November, a span of five games. And note that the Vikes are just 1-4 ATS their last five on the road, while the Pack is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at home in this series. Over his last five games, Rodgers has ten TD’s and no INT’s. It’s hard to imagine the deflated an undermanned Vikes putting up much of a fight at Lambeau this afternoon. Lay the points, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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12-19-16 | Central Michigan +13 v. Tulsa | Top | 10-55 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Central Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and “common sense:” As note that Central Michigan is 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this year and 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a loss against a conference rival, while Tulsa is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with two weeks or more of rest and just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games. The bottom line: We think Cooper Rush can keep this one close and look for the trends listed above to continue over into the Beach Bowl. play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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12-15-16 | Rams +14.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -130 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Rams. REASONING: LA has many issues and after getting blown out 42-14 at home by Atlanta last Sunday, the team would fire head coach Jeff Fisher. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the rest of the team to respond in a big way tonight. Don’t get us wrong, we don’t think that the Rams are going to be able to suddenly “throw a switch” now and become a fantastic team, but we do think that in this first game back, everyone on the field today will be shaken up by the drastic measure and we’re expecting that focus to translate into some positive production. When these teams met earlier in the year, LA managed a 9-3 win. At 8-4, the Seahawks have the division wrapped up for the most part, so it’s not too hard to imagine the home side coming in a bit complacent here as well. Seattle’s defense has been great this year, once again in the top 10, but the offense has been hit-or-miss all season and it certainly looked poor in last week’s 38-10 loss in Green Bay, one which QB Russell Westbrook threw a career high five INT’s. Note that LA is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against the division, while Seattle is just 3-6 ATS as a favorite this year. We aren’t going to predict an outright upset, but do think that the determined visitors can keep this one competitive. Play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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12-11-16 | Saints +3 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -115 | 150 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Saints. REASONING: New Orleans is sitting two games back in the NFC South and a loss today would essentially be the “nail in the coffin” for the Saints. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. New Orleans will be desperate after losing three of its last four, most recently falling to the surging Lions 28-13. QB Drew Brees had an “off” night, but overall the veteran has been spectacular this season and we’re expecting a big time bounce back performance this afternoon. Tampa Bay on the other hand is poised for a letdown after four straight wins in our opinion. Most recently Tampa stormed back to take a seven point win in San Diego, QB Jameis Winston going for 280 yards, a TD and a pick. Note that New Orleans is already 2-1 ATS against the division and a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road, while Tampa is just 2-4 ATS at home this year. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 144 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Arizona Cardinals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Washington is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog of three points or less and just 1-3 ATS in its last four “dome” games, while Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last eight played in the month of December, just 2-1 ATS after two or more consecutive losses and interestingly, a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five against the NFC East. The bottom line: This is a must win game for both teams to keep their already extremely slim playoff hopes alive, as each will essentially need to win-out for any chance whatsoever. We think that home field advantage can’t be overlooked in this position, so we’re laying the points. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 140 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Baltimore Ravens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of December and interestingly, just 1-4 ATS against the AFC North, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a win against a division rival and 4-1 ATS against the AFC East. The bottom line: The Dolphins have reeled off five straight wins, but we think are ripe for a letdown here. The Ravens play in New England next weekend, meaning that this game becomes almost a “do-or-die” scenario for the home side. We’re laying the points, play on BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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12-03-16 | Florida v. Alabama -24 | Top | 16-54 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Alabama. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Florida is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog (including just 1-2 ATS this year), while Alabama is 8-4 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: The Gators have a top 15 defense, but the offense is a disaster. And that doesn’t bode well for an Alabama team which leads the nation on defense in allowing under 12 PPG. The Crimson Tide also rank in the top 10 offensively. On the national stage, we look for the No. 1 team in the FBS to send a resounding message to the rest of the country. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-02-16 | Colorado +8 v. Washington | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Colorado. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: Washington is 11-1 and with a victory tonight, will not only claim the Pac 12 title, but also punch its ticket to the playoff championship round. Colorado beat Utah at home last week and has been under valued all year in our opinion. The Buffs have a top 35 offense and a top 10 defense. The Huskies are 3rd in the nation in scoring and also have a top 10 defense. Will Washington get caught “looking ahead” to what might be? The pressure is on the Huskies and we think the spotlight is going to be a detractor tonight. Conversely, the Buffs clearly have nothing to lose. The bottom line: Note that Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after a win against a conference rival and 4-2 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Washington is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 off a win against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings +3.5 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 76 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Minnesota Vikings. REASONING: Dallas has been unbelievably impressive obviously, as the combination of a rookie phenom QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliot have the Cowboys at 10-1. Minnesota’s run game has been non-existent this season and QB Sam Bradford has been just adequate. The Vikes rank dead last in almost every offensive category. The defense and special teams have been exceptional though and are the main reason that Minnesota is 6-5 and still very much in playoff contention. Desperation breeds motivation and success often leads to complacency. So far everything has gone the Cowboys’ way this season, but we think the desperate home side will give them everything they can handle today. The Vikes have 28 sacks, which rank seventh in the NFL, and the secondary has 12 INT’s, ranked third. Bradford continues to be extremely effecient, as he’s completed 71.3 percent of his passes, with 12 TD’s to just three picks. Also note that Bradford catches a bit of a break today, as the Dallas pass rush is tied for 25th in the league in sacks. The Cowboys are just 1-3 ATS in their last four “Thursday night” games (including 0-1 this season), while the Vikings are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 at home, including 4-1 ATS this season and 11-6 ATS in their last 17 against teams with winning records. Bradford has been given the green light to go deep and he’s facing the perfect defense to do it against. Head coach Mike Zimmer is a defensive specialist and we think the Vikes can put significant pressure on Prescott tonight. Grab the points, play on the VIKINGS. AAA Sports |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Green Bay Packers. REASONING: The Packers have lost four straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victory. The Eagles come in off a 26-15 road loss to Seattle and we think they’re primed for another letdown tonight. The panic button has been pressed in Green Bay, but their is a silver lining in that the team still sits just two games shy of a tie atop the NFC North standings. Green Bay’s defense ranks in the lower third in passing yards allowed, but QB Aaron Rodgers continues to find ways to get the job done, he’s ranked eighth in the league in passing. In the Packers’ 42-24 loss to the Redskins, Rodgers had 351 yards passing and three TD’s. Philadelphis is now in last place in the NFC East, and the playoffs are almost assuredly out of the question at this point. The defense has been the Eagles strong point, conceding an average of just 18.7 PPG thus far. But clearly that unit is going to be tested by a motivated Rodgers this evening. Rookie QB Carson Wentz has looked pretty ordinary of late and I think he’ll have troubles against this Packers secondary which will clearly be playing with a chip on its shoulder after the recent stretch of poor play. Note that Green Bay is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against the NFC East, while Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven when playing the role of favorite. Grab as many points as you can, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |