Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-24-17 | Astros v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 13-4 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Philadelphia will send Vince Velasquez (2-5, 5.14 ERA) to the mound to face fellow right-hander Brad Peacock (8-1, 2.49) on Monday in the series opener.Peacock, has allowed just seven earned runs in his past six outings, , helping a pitching staff that has the lowest starters' ERA in the AL. Needless to say the Phillies inconsistent lineup will have huge problems brings runs across the plate here tonight. With the Phillies scoring abilities muted I expect to see this total combined score stay on the low side of the number. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined score of 6.6 rpg going on the board. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-23-17 | Red Sox v. Angels +123 | 2-3 | Win | 123 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Porcello the Red Sox starter has been a hard luck pitcher this season, and has not received much run support. In 10 of his last 17 starts, the Red Sox, have scored two runs or fewer, including being shut out five times.He has not helped his own cause either, posting a 4-12 record and 4.60 ERA while allowing 11.2 hits per nine innings. Meanwhile, Angles starter Bridwell (3-1, 3.18 ERA) has seen his team won 6 of his L/7 starts. He is a very under rated hurler, and gives his team a great chance at an underdog upset. The Angles are 13-3 in game 3 of a series and I'm betting they have the edge again. ( Halos are 7-3 L/10 in this series. Play o the LAA to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-23-17 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 10.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Minnesota starts rookie left-hander Adalberto Mejia (4-4, 4.22 ERA) try on Sunday vs Detroit starting left-hander Matthew Boyd (3-5, 5.58). Detroit has done its worst offensive work on the road this season , hitting under the Mendoza line (.244 BA) and 4.3 rpg and I'm betting their bats will be muted in this game. Meanwhile, The Twins have done their worst work offensively vs left handed pitchers like Boyd averaging just 3.7 rpg via a ugly .238 BA. Todays home plate umpire has seen an average of 6.6 rpg and since 1997 has seen his home plate appearances produce a a combined average of 8 rpg. Boyd has gone under in 4 of his L/5 starts vs an above .500 team. Twins have gone under in 4 straight vs LHP and have gone under in 4 straight games 3s of the series. UNDER is 5-1 in Mejas L/6 starts.UNDER is 2-0-2 in Boyds L/4 vs Twins. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-22-17 | Red Sox -128 v. Angels | 3-7 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH David Price (5-2, 3.39 ERA) vs. Angels RH JC Ramirez (8-8, 4.54) Price the BoSox starting pitcher delivered eight scoreless innings against the New York Yankees on Sunday and has allowed a total of two runs over his last three starts spanning 20 innings of top tier work. Needless to say Price is in a groove and a quality hurler to back tonight via a decent line. Meanwhile, Angels starter Ramirez, in first start after the all star break was roughed up, vs TB allowing 4 runs in just 6 innings. Ramirez has also not pitched well at home this season where owns a 1-5 record along with a bloated 5.50 ERA. Considering the form of both pitchers, and the Angles overall offensive struggles, it will be easy decision taking Price and the Red Sox in this spot. Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 1-4 in Ramirezs last 5 home starts.Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Angels - poor AL offensive team (4.2 runs/game or less ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 41-85 for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to won on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-21-17 | Astros -135 v. Orioles | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
The Astros starting right-hander is coming off one of his strongest starts in 2017 with a seven-inning outing on July 16. Fiers (6-4, 3.75 ERA) allowed two earned runs on an efficient 92 pitches on Sunday and once again looks like a viable betting option in this spot.In his 17 innings in July, Fiers has allowed five earned runs, notched 24 strikeouts and posted a 2.65 ERA. Meanwhile, Orioles starter Jimenez is coming off of his fourth outing lasting fewer than four innings in his 14 starts. Going just 3 2/3 innings against the Cubs, the righty allowed six runs on 11 hits, including a home run. At home, Jimenez is 1-1 with an 8.13 ERA and is a go against hurler tonight. |
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07-20-17 | Yankees v. Mariners +107 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (5-4, 3.40 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (5-3, 4.20) Severino is winless in his last six starts and just not getting any breaks, and tonight I'm betting things won't get better, vs a Seattle team that is in top form of late, as is evident by winning 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, the long time ace of the Seattle Mariners Felix Hernandez takes to the hill, and is looking strong after spending a good part of the season on the disabled list. Since returning he owns a 3-1 record along with a stable 3.72 ERA, and getting stronger with each outing. Yankees are 1-6 in Severinos last 7 starts vs. American League West.Yankees are 1-9 in Severinos last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.Mariners are 11-3 in Hernandezs last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.SEVERINO is 1-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.NY YANKEES are 9-21 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.SEVERINO is 3-10 L/13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 . Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-20-17 | Rangers -115 v. Orioles | 7-9 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Left hander Cole Hamels goes to the hill for the Texas Rangers tonight, vs a Baltimore team that has struggled vs southpaw pitching this season averaging just 3.8 rpg via a BA of .241. Hamels has been on fire of late winning 2 of his L/3 starts, while registering a miniscule 0.82 ERA and 0.500 WHIP. He has allowed just 2 ERS in his L/22 innings of work and once again looks like a solid choice here. Meanwhile, Wade Miley the Orioles starting hurler, has been operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, registering a 1-2 record along with an extremely bloated 11.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. MILEY is 1-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.352 and gets the thumbs down. MILEY is 4-14 L/18 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%). HAMELS is 16-2 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season dating back to last season. HAMELS team is 24-6 when he starts against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175. BALTIMORE is 0-12 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.BALTIMORE is 14-25 L/39 against the money line against AL West opponents. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-19-17 | Tigers -106 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Royals enter this tilt against the Tigers in a funk as is evident by having lost four of five at home after the All-Star break. With starter Jason Hammel, at 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA through three July starts the Royals once again look they will continue in downward spiral.Hammel is 2-2 along with a ugly 8.02 ERA in 10 career outings, including seven starts, against the Tigers.HAMMEL is 0-8 L/8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%). Meanwhile, Detroit seems to have found their rhythm after the all star break, winning 4 straight times, behind a offense that has scored 37 runs during that span with 11,6,10,9 run outputs. Yesterday they scored a 9-2 win vs the Royals. DETROIT is 18-4 L/22 against the money line after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games . HAMMEL is 1-8 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-19-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -132 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Pomeranz, the Red Sox lefty starter , is 9-4 with a 3.75 ERA this season. He has won his last three decisions and is 6-1 in his last seven trips the hill. Pomeranz hasn't lost since June 4, and the Red Sox are 8-2 in his past 10 starts and he once again looks like a viable option to back in this spot. Note : The Jays have struggled against southpaw starters this season, averaging just 3.5 rpg via a .232 BA. Meanwhile Aaron Sanchez the Jays starting thrower is in a bit of a funk of late, allowing 20 hits in under 14 innings of work (3 starts), while registering a bloated 5.27 ERA and a 2.048 WHIP. His form is definitely suspect at the moment which makes him fade material for me. I also know the Red Sox have played alot innings recently, but I'm betting they muster up enough juice to take out the Jays today. |
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07-19-17 | Diamondbacks -148 v. Reds | 3-4 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Greinke (11-4, 2.86 ERA) is in top form and has done well vs the Reds, in his career going 8-2 with a 2.21 ERA in 13 career starts. With Cincinnati having lost five straight since the All-Star break by a combined 46-14 they once again look like fade material facing a tough hurler like Greinke who is 10-3 with a 2.62 ERA in his past 15 starts . GREINKE team when he starts is 20-4 L/24 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record. CINCINNATI is 8-25 L/27 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season (dating back 3 seasons). MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more like the Dbacks - NL team with a low on-base percentage (. or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 109-42 dating back 5 seasons, for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-19-17 | Mariners v. Astros -116 | 4-1 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Right-hander Charlie Morton (7-3, 4.06 ERA) will start Wednesday for the Astros and Left-hander James Paxton (8-3, 3.19 ERA) takes the ball for the Mariners . Paxton has been hot of late, but the way the Astros are swinging their bats, anything that moves is ready be hit, including Paxtons powerful fastball. It must also be noted that MLB Home teams like the Astros - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 32-12 for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Astros have averaged 6.3 rpg vs lefty starters this season via a .295 team BA. HOUSTON is 35-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season, 31-13 against the money line against division opponents this season. Play on the Houston Astros to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-18-17 | Tigers v. Royals +101 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Detroit beat the Royals yesterday by a 10-2 count, but I'm betting they bounce back today.Detroits starter Boyd is 0-2 with a 13.17 ERA in four career starts at Kauffman Stadium. In seven career appearances against the Royals, he is 1-3 with a 9.11 ERA and once again looks like fade material. If he he falters which Im betting he does he is backed by a bullpen with a ugly 7.12 road ERA. DETROIT is 16-24 L/40 against the money line after a win this season. The Tigers are 1-6 in Boyds L/7 starts. Royals are 13-3 L/16 games in Game 2 of a series. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-18-17 | Mariners +170 v. Astros | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Todays pitching matchup on paper favors the Houston Astros. But Peacock the Astros starter despite of some good numbers this season, has seen his team lose 10 of his L/13 home starts, and is just 1-5 in his L/6 game 2 of a series, and his team is just 1-4 in his L/5 starts vs the Mariners. Yesterday the Mariners proved that they were no pushovers, with a come from behind win vs the explosive Astros , by 9-7 count and they must not be underestimated here as they have won 6 of their L/7 games overall and ramping into top form. SEATTLE is 17-8 L/25 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.SEATTLE is 16-6 L/22 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start). MLB teams like the Astros - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are not long term good bets as they are just 11-33 in these situations. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-18-17 | Yankees -139 v. Twins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Colon the veteran Twins hurler today, is at the end of a long successful career, and no longer looks like a viable MLB pitcher. After being released by Atlanta the Twins went after him and gave him a contract. In one minor league start he looked below average allowing 4 runs in just under 4 innings of work. Colon, who is 6-7 with a 5.69 ERA all-time against the Yankees, and once again looks like fade material in this spot vs the Yankees. MINNESOTA is 12-22 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 17-3 L/20 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Twins - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are just 11-51 L/66 for a go against conversion rate of 83% for bettors. Also MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more like the Yankees - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 60-19 for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-18-17 | Diamondbacks v. Reds +127 | 11-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Arizona started their season on fire, but have fallen apart lately as is evident by losing in 11 of the last 14 games, including a season-high five straight losses. Meanwhile, the Reds are off being swept the by Nationals in a weekend series, and now get a chance for redemption against a another struggling team. I know Ray the DBacks starting pitcher has some nice numbers this season, but he has not had much success vs the Reds in the past posting a 0-2 record along with a 4.91 ERA in two starts. RAY when he starts has seen his team go 6-15 against the money line when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).RAY is 5-11 L/16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175. It's also interesting note how well struggling underdogs have done in situations like this as this league wide trend would indicate:MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Reds - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 62-32 L/94 opportunities, for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-17-17 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Mejia the Twins starter had his three-start winning streak snapped in his last start allowing four runs in 6 2/3 innings of a loss to Baltimore. Minnesota's rookie gave up a total of three runs over 17 2/3 frames during his string of victories but has not faired well at home, recording a lowly 5.62 ERA in eight starts at home and looks vulnerable in this spot. Meanwhile, Mitchell the Yankees starting thrower has made 12 relief appearances for the Yankees this season, allowing 11 runs - nine earned - and 15 hits over 16 innings. I'm betting both these hurlers get lit up tonight vs some very hungry offenses. Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 1 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 17-6-3 in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota.MINNESOTA is 66-39 OVER L/105 vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game with a combined average of 10.7 rpg going on the scoreboarde .MINNESOTA is 24-10 OVER L/34 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg being scored.
Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-17-17 | Phillies +140 v. Marlins | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Phillies starting hurler Eichoff, owns a 2.12 ERA in his L/3 starts, and has been a stable cog for his team pitching staff of late. Meanwhile, Miami's starting pitcher Koehler has not looked like he belongs in the majors for this entire season. He has a 7.43 ERA on the road and a horrendous (8.84 ERA) at home. His ERA in May was 10.13; he did not pitch in the majors last month, and he owns a 13.50 ERA in July and now he is listed a favorite , which throws up red flags, and makes for a value fade play against the Marlins in this spot. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Marlins - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are just 19-36 for a go against conversion rate of 66% for underdog bettors. MIAMI is 10-18 L/28 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season .MIAMI is 11-20 against the money line in home games in night games this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-17-17 | Cardinals v. Mets -107 | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Adam Wainwright the Cards despite of a good record this season, has performed badly on the road, going 3-4 along with a bloated 8.36 ERA in 8 starts. Considering his road woes and the Cardinals ineptness on the road against teams like the Mets , as is evident by a 4-11 L/15 record on the road vs a team with a below .500 record team its an easy decision to take a desperate and frustrated Mets team in this spot. It must also be noted that the Cardinals and have lost 12 of their L/17 games in the first tilt of a series. Mets are 17-7 L/24 vs a pitcher with a 1.30 WHIP pr greater. NY METS are 12-4 L/16 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs were scored. (They were clobbered by the Rockies 13-4 yest) ST LOUIS is 13-19 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. The Cardinals are 0-11 L/11 on the road after a game where they had a higher on base % than opponent in their last game. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-17-17 | Rangers v. Orioles -113 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Orioles were embarrassed this past weekend by the visiting Chicago Cubs, allowing 27 runs and 10 homers as they were swept in a 3 game set. Now after being humiliated, I expect they will pull their proverbial pants up, and look for redemption vs the Texas Rangers in game 1 of this series. I know there may not be alot of support for them here with Chris Tillman on the hill ( 0-5 L/10 starts along with a 8.80 ERA). But he has had some time off after his wife gave birth on June 30th. Now rested and more than capable as he has shown in the past, Im expecting Tillman to finish his season strong , starting today vs a Rangers side, that has averaged just 4.4 rpg on the road this via a lowly .219 BA .TILLMAN team when he starts is 18-8 L/26 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. TEXAS is 5-17 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. BALTIMORE is 37-18 L/55 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse.BALTIMORE is 13-3 L/16 against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-16-17 | Giants -117 v. Padres | 1-7 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Giants Right-hander Jeff Samardzija (4-10, 4.58) is tied for the most losses in the National League , but despite of that is still a very reliable from a long term perspective. He has also done very well vs the Padres and is 7-2 with a 3.13 ERA lifetime against them. My own batter vs pitcher power rankings also suggest this is a very bad matchup for the Fathers. Meanwhile, San Diegos starter Cahill despite of some decent numbers this season, has been a little unstable of late recording a 4.11 ERA and 0-1 record in his L/3 trips to the hill, which includes giving up 4 HRS in 15.3 innings of work. The Padres won as underdogs yesterday, by a 5-3 count, but I'm betting on a bounce back effort in this spot by the Giants. |
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07-16-17 | Indians v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Manaea the As starter is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in two career starts against Cleveland. He has 17 strikeouts and three walks in 14 innings. Cleveland power pitcher Bauer is 1-1 with a 3.16 ERA in four career starts against the A's. He has 27 strikeouts and nine walks in 25 2/3 innings. BAUER is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse dating back to last season with a combined average of 7 rpg getting scored.BAUER is 9-0 UNDER L/9 in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/games, with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.BAUER is 15-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored.BAUER is 17-2 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.BAUER is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game with combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.BAUER is 8-0 UNDER l/8 in road games against AL West opponents with an average of 5.2 rpg scored. BAUER is 16-3 UNDER L/19 in road games with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. BAUER is 10-0 UNDER L/10 in road games in day games with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. The Indians have gone under in 15 straight games, in the last game of the series on the road,when they scored 2 or fewer runs for their starter in his L/game and its after the all star break. CLEVELAND is 17-7 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. These teams have gone under 14 of the L/18 meetings. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-16-17 | Mariners -119 v. White Sox | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Today vs White Sox I expect Mariners rookie Andrew Moore will be hard to deal with. Moore in limited work owns a 3.68 ERA, but is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the Mariners organization and has made 3 straight quality starts. Meanwhile, the White Sox , go with southpaw Derek Holland, who's 5-9 with an ERA that has gone from a nighty 2.37 in May to now bloated 5.01 ERA. In his last seven outings, Holland has given up 35 runs in 31 innings and must be considered fade material in this tilt. The Mariners have won 5 of their L/6 road games and are 19-6 L/25 in the second half of the season dating back, to last season vs a team with a win % of .380 to .460. White sox are 0-5 in their L/5 games with Holland on the hill facing a below .500 side. Play on the Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-16-17 | New York Yankees - Game #1 v. Boston Red Sox - Game #1 -140 | 3-0 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Yankees LH CC Sabathia (7-3, 3.81 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (4-11, 4.75) Porcello the Red Sox starting hurler allowed a run over eight strong innings in a loss at Tampa Bay before the before the all star break, and has finished at least six frames in 16 consecutive outings. I know last years Cy Young award winner has a lot of losses, but he is a fine hurler that gives his team a chance at a win almost every time he goes to the hill. Meanwhile, CC Sabathia the Yankees starter, despite of pitching well in a previous game against the Red Sox this season, still owns a bloated 5.25 ERA in 16 career appearances at Fenway Park. NY YANKEES are 14-30 L/34 against the money line in road games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher .Yankees are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. Yankees are 0-5 in Sabathias last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Red Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Red Sox) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 107-43. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-15-17 | Giants v. Padres +134 | 3-5 | Win | 134 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Giants starter Bumgarner (0-3, 3.00 ERA) faces the San Diego Padres on Saturday night in his first outing in three months, and I'm betting he is still rusty.The Padres will counter with right-hander Jhoulys Chacin, who has won his L/2 starts and 4 of his L/6, and must be respected here as an underdog. Chacin owns a 5-2 record at home this season along with a stingy 1.68 ERA. Giants are 4-9 in Bumgarners L/13 road starts.Padres are 5-2 L/7 home games vs a team with a road winning record of less than .400 like the Giants, and are 5-2 in Chacins L/7 starts vs a team with a below .500 record. SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this seasonSAN FRANCISCO is 9-23 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-15-17 | Nationals -156 v. Reds | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Scherzer (10-5) the Nationals starter is very high on my pitcher power rankings list and takes a major league-best 2.10 earned-run average and National League-leading 173 strikeouts into Saturday's start vs the Cincinnati Reds. The Nats all star hurler is 7-2 on the road thiss eason along with a stingy 1.47 ERA. He is backed by an offense that has the National Leagues top three hitters. Needless to say we have a big edge backing the Nationals here today, while laying a little lumber. Nationals are 24-8 in Scherzers last 32 road starts. Reds are 24-50 L/74 vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Reds are 1-5 L/6 vs NL East teams.CINCINNATI is 3-15 L/18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season which happened yesterday in 5-0 loss. MLB Road teams like the Nationals - hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-15-17 | Rockies +100 v. Mets | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Citi Field has been good to Rockies starter Tyler Chatwood. In three career starts there, Chatwood has allowed one run in 17 innings of top tier work. Chatwood has had a tendency in his career to pitch better on the road than at home, and today I'm betting on him delivering us some bankroll expanding profits.Chatwood is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in five career starts against New York -- the lowest ERA he has produced against any opponent he has faced more than three times. Meanwhile, Seth Lugo his pitching opponent from the Mets owns a 6.48 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and according to my own pitcher vs batter rankings matchup badly vs this Rockies batting order. The Mets won a 14-2 lopsided decision yesterday, but I expect the Rockies to bounce back in the second game of this series. NY METS are 8-22 L/30 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.COLORADO is 15-7 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-15-17 | Mariners -145 v. White Sox | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Seattle's starter Hernandez (4-3) is now completely healthy , which was evident when he came off a two-hit, eight strikeout effort against Oakland on Sunday. It was a start that Hernandez said was his best of the season. With him in top form the Mariners are formidable opponents for any AL team including the Pale Hose.Meanwhile, Mile Pelfrey the White starting hurler, owns a 0-2 record along with a ugly 8.31 ERA in his L/3 starts, and is fade material in this spot play. Mariners are 25-9 L/45 in Hernandez's last 34 start vs a team with a below .500 record. Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandez's :L/5 starts vs the Southsiders. SEATTLE is 27-9 L/36 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 . The Mariners are 11-0 L/11 as a road favorite of 140 or more against a team that has lost at least two straight games. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the White Sox - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 11-50 on the moneyline for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 1 unit reg selection |
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07-15-17 | Twins v. Astros OVER 9.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Musgrove (4-7, 6.04 ERA) will make his 15th start of the season for Houston.Twins will respond with right-hander Ervin Santana (10-6, 2.99 ERA). MINNESOTA is 10-1 OVER in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.MINNESOTA is 8-0 OVER after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games. Houston has gone over in 8 straight games with a combined average of 13.9 rrpg going on the board. In 5 of their 7 games they have score more than 10 runs ( 16,10,12, 19,10 respectively) and I expect despite of going a strong hurler will unload again, as they are currently hitting on all cylinders. Meanwhile, Minnesota I am betting will respond with some fire works of their own vs a hurler, in Musgrove, who has recorded a ugly looking 10.79 ERA in this L/3 starts overall, and a 5.40 ERA in 9 home starts this season. These teams have gone over in 10 of their L/14 meetings. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-15-17 | Cubs v. Orioles +121 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Cubs starter today Jake Arrieta (8-7) faces Baltimore Saturday , and Wade Miley (4-7, 4.97) goes to the hill for the Orioles.It must be noted that the Os southpaw is 4-1 with a 3.46 career ERA versus the Cubs and gets my support here tonight. Yesterday the Cubs won a close one after taking a big lead vs the Orioles, squeaking out a 9-8 win , but today I expect they will be on the wrong side of the final score. It must be noted that the Cubs are just 0-12 on the moneyline, when on the road and coming off a win this season.CHICAGO CUBS are also just 9-25 L/34 against the money line in road games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more. ARRIETA is 1-6 L/7 against the money line in July games dating back to last season. BALTIMORE is 32-17 L/49 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game. Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyine 1 unit reg selection |
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07-14-17 | Twins v. Astros -163 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Berrios(8-2, 3.53 ERA) the Twins starter has been a decent cog in the Twins rotation this season, but the Twins are just 3-9 in his L/12 starts vs an above. 500 team with Berrios on the hill and he owns a 6.23 ERA and has allowed five homers over his most recent three starts.Twins are also 1-4 in Berrios L/5 starts in game 1 of a series.HOUSTON is 27-10 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. It must also be noted that the Astros are a perfect 8-0 L/8 times vs a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15 and 5-1 L/6 at home vs a right handed starter and a long term 45-18 L/63 vs righties and have averaged 5.8 rpg vs orthodox pitching this season. Meanwhile, the Astros starter Morton has seen his team win 5 of his L/7 home starts. With the Twins sporting a 0-6 mark in the L/6 overall meetings in this series they once again look like fade material tonight. MINNESOTA is 4-17 L/21 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. .620 or better ). Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-14-17 | Phillies v. Brewers -163 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Zach Davies will start for Milwaukee against Philadelphia after finishing the first half with victories in three straight decisions. DAVIES team is 7-1 when he starts against the money line after a win this season.He is now rested and in top form and very much looks like a viable pitcher to back in this battle vs a lowly Philadelphia Phillies squad, that have lost 40 of their L/57 overall games vs a team with an above .500 record like the Brewers and are also 14-39 in their L/53 on the road vs a righty starter. Phillies are also 0-4 in their starter Pivettas L/4 road starts. Phillies are 4-10 in the L/14 meetings in this series and are fade material in this spot play. DAVIES team when he starts is 11-4 L/15 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.PHILADELPHIA is 4-23 ( against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-14-17 | Dodgers v. Marlins +115 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
McCarthy the Dodgers starter labored through six innings of two-run ball against the Royals after coming off the disabled list and still needs time to get back in top form. Meanwhile, Miamis's starting hurler Straily, fresh off a career start, opens the second half for the Marlins. Straily pitched a career-high 8 1/3 innings and allowed one run. Since the beginning of June, Straily owns a 2.95 ERA with an 8.25 K:BB ratio and must be respected in this spot. STRAILY is 7-1 L/8against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.STRAILY is 15-4 L/19 against the money line in the second half of the season dating back to last season.MCCARTHY team when he starts is 2-19 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career.MIAMI is 29-17 L/46 against the money line against NL West opponents. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Marlins - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts have won 40 of their L/60 opportunities Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-14-17 | Rockies v. Mets -141 | 2-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
New York Mets Jacob deGrom (9-3, 3.65 ERA) goes against Colorado's Jon Gray (2-0, 3.75) in a matchup of ace right-handers.DeGrom won his fourth straight start in his last appearance , when he allowed four runs over seven innings as the Mets beat the Cardinals, 6-5. He has a 1.80 ERA in the four consecutive wins.DeGrom is 2-0 with an 0.95 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies. Gray is 1-0 with a 6.14 ERA in three career starts versus the Mets.DEGROM team is 28-11 when he starts against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 in his career and the Mets a pere a perfect 5-0 in DeGroms L/5 starts.. Rockies starter Gray is 1-5 in his L/ road starts vs a a team with a below .500 record and the rockies are 6-16 in Grays L/22 road starts. Rockies are 3-11 L/14 meetings in NY. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Rockies - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are a bankroll depleting 14-61 L/75 for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-14-17 | Cardinals v. Pirates -123 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh smashed the Cubs 14-3 Sunday and won five of six games going into the break and look like viable investment options again in this spot vs the Cardinals with starting pitcher Cole who is 6-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 12 career starts aganst the Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Cards LEAKE is 7-17 against the money line against division opponents and the Cards are just 15-21 L/36 against the money line against division opponents this season. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-14-17 | Blue Jays v. Tigers -117 | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays will open this series vs the Detroit Tigers with Aaron Sanchez (0-2, 4.85 ERA), who was limited to just six starts in the first half due to a blister on his right middle finger.The Tigers will respond with right-hander Justin Verlander (5-6, 4.73 ERA). Verlander got the win in his last outing which is a good omen heading into this game as his team is 10-0 L/10 when he starts against the money line in home games after a win. Detroit has won 4 of the L/6 meetings here in Motown and get the nod again in this spot. |
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07-09-17 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -145 | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Corbin the DBacks starter is 2-2 with a 3.41 ERA with 32 strikeouts and eight walks over his last five starts, and looks like a viable investment option in this spot. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is just 22-65 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start like Corbin. The Reds starter Bailey , after an extended time on the disabled list , finally got his first win last time out. In his previous two starts before the victory, he was clobbered in a big way, as his team lost by scores of 18-3 and 11-3 and I won;t be surprised when he implodes again.
Arizona is 9-0 L/9 in the last game of a series, at home, when their opposition starter has an ERA of 4 or higher. Reds are 4-17 L/21 vs NL West and are 8-24 L/30 road games.DBacks are 7-2 in Corbins L/9 home starts. Dbacks are 28-9 L/37 at home vs sides with a losing record on the season. DBacks are 4-0 L/4 in Corbins L/4 starts vs DBacks. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | A's v. Mariners -148 | 4-3 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Seattle ended a 8 game home losing streak by beating the As yesterday by a 7-2 count, and will now be primed to make it 2 wins in a row with that momentum on their sides. OAKLAND is 0-9 L/9 against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games losing SU by an average of 4.6rpg.As Manager MELVIN is 19-39 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | White Sox v. Rockies -134 | 5-4 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
This Saturday evening, Jeff Hoffman (5-1, 4.01) gets the start in this interleague game for Colorado. He goes against White Sox Left-hander Jose Quintana (4-8, 4.45) who will start for the White Sox. Quintana has pitched well of late, but it must be noted that his team is just 0-10 L/10 when he makes a road start as a underdog after his team won his L/2 starts. Yesterday the Rockies clobbered the Pale Hose by a 12-4 count and today my projections tell me they will be out hammering the ball around the launching pad known as Coors Field again in a victory. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-16 L/20 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more. COLORADO is 9-2 L/11 against the money line vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game this season.COLORADO is 16-11 L/17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | Red Sox -102 v. Rays | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Red Sox starter Rick Porcello is 4-10 5.01 ERA , despite of a negative record is highly under rated . The right hander has been extremely consistent in staying in games for at least six innings. He's done so in each of his last 15 starts, the longest active streak in baseball, and must be respected here on a value line. His pitching opponent from the Rays, Alex Cobb (6-6, 4.01) looked tired in his last start, giving up six earned runs vs Baltimore which could easily extend into today vs a peaking Boston Red Sox side that clobbered the Rays by a 8-3 count yesterday to even this series at one a piece. BOSTON is 26-10 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half and is 21-9 against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season.TAMPA BAY is 47-62 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 dating back to last season. Play on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | Mets v. Cardinals -131 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
The Mets send Zach Wheeler (3-5, 5.01) goes to the hill and is making his second start since coming off the 10-day disabled list for biceps tendinitis. He was not looking good before the break, and now I'm betting he still not back in the groove and is at a disadvantage vs the Cards batting order today. Meanwhile, St. Louis will turn to Adam Wainwright (9-5, 5.48 ERA) who very much looks to be the superior option in this spot. He has done his best work at home where he is 6-1 on the season along with a 3.42 ERA. WAINWRIGHT team when he starts is 14-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last year and is 30-13 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.WAINWRIGHT team when he starts is 21-7 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | Braves +1.5 v. Nationals | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
The Nationals have had some problems with the Atlanta Braves in this series, and look to be in a bit of a funk, averaging just 4.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamond. Today , the Nats will send Stephen Strasburg (9-2, 3.28 ERA) to the hill in the third game of the four-game series. Strasburg got a no decision in his last turn, which was against the Braves. ( Atlanta won that game 11-10 on June 12) . Meanwhile, the Braves send Julio Teheran to the mound, to face Nationals hitters. Teheran has done his best work on the road this season, going 5-0 along with a registering a solid 2.88 ERA, and must not be underestimated in this spot. Today I'm betting the Braves if they lose, will not go easily, and getting a +1.5 value run line with them makes good investment sense. TEHERAN team when he starts is 6-0 L/6. against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better and is 8-1 overall in his career against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season. WASHINGTON is 14-20 against the money line in day games this season. |
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07-08-17 | Orioles v. Twins -120 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Baltimores starter Miley (3-7, 5.20 ERA) goes head to head against Minnesota rookie left-hander Adalberto Mejia (4-3, 4.32), who is coming off one of his best starts of the season last time out. Meija is 3-0 along with a stingy 1.53 in his L/3 starts. Over his last six starts, Miley is 1-4 with an 11.69 ERA and he is fade material in this spot according to my own prjections. The Twins have taken the first two games of the four-game, weekend series and the first five games between the teams this season and I'm betting they have the edge this afternoon. MILEY is 1-10 L/11 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season. BALTIMORE is 2-13 L/15 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | Brewers +189 v. Yankees | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Named to the AL All-Star team, Severino had a lot of problems in his last outing, allowing six runs in 5 1/3 innings and taking the loss against the Astros.Severino is 1-2 with a 4.88 ERA over his last four starts after he went 4-2 with a 2.90 ERA over his first 11 outings and is over rated as a favorite in this spot vs a Brewers team that must not be underestimated, after they took out the Yankees as +190 dogs yesterday by a 9-4 count. MILWAUKEE is 8-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 or more this season. MLB team like the Yankees - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 16-49 in the followup game for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-08-17 | Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Houstons bats are heating up again, as they have scored 57 runs in their L/6 games, and nothing looks to be able to stop them rolling again vs a sub par Toronto pitching staff. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have shown glimpses of coming to life offensively of late scoring 7 runs in back to back games before yesterdays 12 -2 loss to the Astros. Today, Im expecting a these teams to light the board up again, despite of two decent hurlers going to the hill ( Fiers vs Stroman) with the Astros leading the way in what my own projections estimate to be a high scoring affair. FIERS is 10-2 OVER L/12 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board. HOUSTON is 19-7 OVER in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season, with a combined average score of 11.8 rpg going on the board. FIERS is 21-9 OVER L/30 when playing against a team with a losing record. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span this season with a combined 12.5 rpg going on the board. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-07-17 | Royals v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodgers will send right-hander Kenta Maeda (6-4, 4.56 ERA) to the mound in the series opener vs the KC Royals vs right-hander Jason Hammel (4-7, 5.08). Hamel was slapped around in his last start, allowing seven runs (six earned) in 5 1/3 innings during a 10-5 loss to the Twins on Saturday and in 18 career games against the Dodgers, 14 of them starts, Hammel is 2-7 with a 5.00 ERA and looks to be in trouble vs a explosive Dodgers offense that has averaged 5.5 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Maeda gave up five runs and eight hits in 3 2/3 innings during a 5-3 loss to the San Diego Padres on Sunday in his last start. His overall efficiency numbers are not as good as his record would indicate and is once again has a high probability of allowing multiple runs vs a Royals offense starting to hit on all cylinders averaging 7 rpg in their L/7 games overall. Royals have gone over in 5 straight interleague games and 5 straight interleague road tilts, and 5-0 to over vs the NL West. Royals are 9-3-1 over in their L/ 13 road games vs right handed starter. KANSAS CITY is 31-15 OVER L/50 in road games against NL West opponents with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. Over is 7-1 in Maeda's L/8 home starts vs a winning team and 20-8-2 to the OVER his L/30 overall starts. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-07-17 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Greinke the Dbacks starter is 7-2 with a 2.40 ERA in 12 career appearances, all starts, against Cincinnati. His ERA is 2.07 in 19 starts against the Padres.Greinke has had great success at home, going 8-0 with a 2.67 ERA in 10 starts and I'm betting hr will be lights out again vs a inconsistent Reds offense that averages just 4.4 rpg on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Reds starter Adelman (5-5, 4.67 ERA) will make his first career start against Arizona. He owns a 3-3 record along with a stable 3.64 ERA in his last eight starts, with four of them quality starts and overall has 6 quality starts which is second on the team. It must be noted that the DBacks bats are slumping and have averaged just a .208 BA along with 3.4 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamond. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season(which happened lat time out vs the Dodgers).GREINKE is 26-9 UNDER L/35 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-07-17 | Angels v. Rangers -135 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rangers starting hurler Hamels (3-0, 4.12 ERA) goes head to head with Angels starter Ricky Nolasco (4-9, 4.42). Hamels is extra fresh because of being on the disabled list for a good part of this season, but since returning looks to be at the top of his game, as was evident in his last outing allowing two runs on two hits in 6 2/3 innings. He has also owned the Halos in his career , registering five of his six quality starts, leading to a career 2.93 ERA vs. Los Angeles. HAMELS team is 16-4 when he starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record and 13-1 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%). I know Nolasco the Halos thrower has been in top form in his last two starts, but as can seen from his record has been far from a consistent commodity. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selecton |
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07-07-17 | Brewers +188 v. Yankees | 9-4 | Win | 188 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Guerra the Brewers starter is guy that won't impress many underdog bettors to take a value line with the Brewers vs the favored NY Yankees. I know Guerra's been clobbered lately, but Milwaukee is a quality team, and have the better record of these two teams. Also I'm betting the Brewers despite of what they say in a public media forum are aware of this line, and now have something to prove. After all its not like the Yankees have been a model of consistency of late, as the pitchers have posted a 5.10 ERA in the last 22 games, and since June 12, the relievers are pitching to a 5.64 ERA, and New York pitchers have allowed 50 runs in the seventh inning or later. There is just to much value considering the matchup.
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07-07-17 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
The Braves starter today veteran knuckelballer Dickey has allowed two runs in his past three starts. He has permitted just 14 hits over 20 innings and is shaping into top form for this game vs the Nationals. Meanwhile, The Nationals are slated to start Max Scherzer (10-5, 1.94 ERA). He has been an extremely consistent cog for his teams pitching staff, and is a big problem for the best of offenses. I'm betting we see a pitchers duel in this spot. WASHINGTON is 13-2 UNDER L/15 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg getting scored.DICKEY is 17-6 UNDER after a win dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg going on the board. ATLANTA is 36-19 UNDER in July games dating back 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. The Nationals have gone under 11 straight times, when Sherzer starts as a home favorite when his team lost his last start vs a current opponent. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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07-07-17 | Pirates v. Cubs -149 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Chicago will send Eddie Butler (4-3, 4.18 ERA) to the hill against Pirates rookie right-hander Trevor Williams (3-3, 4.67). |
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07-06-17 | Braves +155 v. Nationals | 5-2 | Win | 155 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Nationals will start left-hander Gio Gonzalez (7-3, 2.77 ERA) on Thursday against Atlanta right-hander Mike Foltynewicz (6-5, 3.83. The Braves starter has been on fire in recent starts and took a no-hitter into the ninth inning Friday against the Oakland Athletics and is 2-0 in his L/2 starts along with a 1.89 ERA. Meanwhile, Gonzalez despite of a very good season, is just 4-9 with a 5.13 ERA in 18 starts in his career against the Braves and looks vulnerable as a favorite in this spot. ATLANTA is 12-9 L/21 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better.GONZALEZ team when he starts is 17-24 L/41 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record.ATLANTA is 11-4 L/15 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last couple of seasons.WASHINGTON is 3-8 L/11 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Gonzalez when he starts has seen his team, go just 7-15 L/22 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-06-17 | A's v. Mariners -142 | 7-4 | Loss | -142 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Paul Blackburn (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Sam Gaviglio (3-3, 3.48) Seattle's starter Gaviglio is winless in his last three starts despite allowing three runs or fewer each time, but today I'm betting his fortunes turn vs a inconsistent/streaky As side. He faces a As hurler in Blackburn, that is making just his 2nd major league start. He looked very good in his adrenalin filled beginning, but now in a natural letdown spot I won;t be surprised is he is lit up. Hey guys, I know the Mariners have slumped at home of late losing 7 straight, but all and bad runs must eventually come to an end , the tricky part is timing it. Today, I'm betting the bad run ends abruptly. Athletics are 9-21 in their last 30 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. OAKLAND is 9-26 L/35 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-06-17 | Orioles v. Twins -138 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (8-7, 4.02 ERA) vs. Twins RH Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.44) |
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07-06-17 | Padres v. Indians UNDER 9 | 2-11 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Padres starter today Lamet in his last three starts, is 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA, having held hitters to a .159 average, with 25 strikeouts in 19 innings. He is backed by a San Diego bullpen that has been outstanding, in this series so far , pitching 8 2/3 scoreless innings in th, and once again I'm betting the Indians offense will be muted. I know the Indians starter Tomlin has regressed in recent turns, but the Padres offense is less than what anyone would consider consistent, as they average just 3.6 rpg overall this season, and have battled just .233 vs lefties like Tomlin. With that said, Im expecting a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers are, and recommend we take the under investment option here. |
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07-05-17 | Orioles v. Brewers -144 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Baltimores starter today vs the Brewers Aquino (1-1, 9.00 ERA) will be recalled from Triple-A Norfolk on Wednesday. He wons a record at Norfolk, of 2-7 along with a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts. Needless to say, he looks like fade material vs a hard hitting Brewers crew here today in Milwaukee. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Garza (3-4, 3.46 ERA) allowed two runs on six hits in five innings of work l last time out, a 3-2 Milwaukee victory over Miami.In 13 career starts against the Orioles, Garza is 9-1 with a 3.11 ERA and according to my own pitcher power rankings should give us a good turn today. Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Brewers are 7-0 in Garzas last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Orioles are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Orioles are 6-20 in their last 26 road games.Orioles are 4-14 in their last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Milwaukee is 16-5 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-05-17 | Pirates -150 v. Phillies | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Philadelphia lost by a 3-0 count yesterday to the Pirates. Philadelphia's offense is becoming very inconsistent, scoring 2 runs or less in 5 of their L/10 games, and could easily fall asleep at the proverbial wheel once again today vs Pirates starter Cole. PHILADELPHIA is 0-9 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season and 2-13 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season. Pirates are 20-8 in Coles last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Phillies are 0-5 in Livelys last 5 starts.Pirates are 18-8 in the last 26 meetings MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are a bankroll expanding 32-7 L/39 opportunities for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates 1 unit reg selection |
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07-04-17 | Red Sox v. Rangers -125 | 11-4 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH David Price (3-2, 4.61 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Yu Darvish (6-6, 3.11) Boston has been playing some very good baseball of late, but todays offers a chance to bet against them in a game the Rangers have the edge in because of the pitching matchup. Price after being on the disabled list earlier this season, is now healthier , but still does not look as strong as he once did, and is susceptible to being lit up vs a under rated Texas offense. Price the BoSox starter for this tilt suffered through one of his worst outings of 2016 at Texas on June 24, when he was hammered for six runs and 12 hits in 2 1/3 innings of unstable work.PRICE is 3-9 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.42 and a WHIP of 1.391. Meanwhile, the Rangers starting hurler Darvish despite of being winless in his last three outings despite allowing a total of two earned runs in his L/13 innings of work. Rangers are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 7-3 in Darvishs last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Texas. TEXAS is 30-18 L/48 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the monyeline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-04-17 | Giants +1.5 v. Tigers | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The SF Giants are finally coming to life, after starting their season in dismal fashion. The Giants have now won 6 straight and must not be underestimated with this momentum on their sides.Meanwhile, the Tigers (36-45) have just dropped two of three to the American League Central-leading Cleveland Indians, and enter into this game in a letdown situation. Their record at the midway point is their worst since 2003 and I really believe they are over rated favorites in this spot, vs a NL team that their not used to facing. I know veteran hurler for the Giants righty veteran Cain may not inspire bettors, but DETROIT is just 24-36 against the money line against right-handed starters this season, and just and 10-19 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Also from a runline perspective it must be noted that the Giants are a perfect 10-0 on the runline when Matt Cain starts as an underdog when they won their most recent start and they also won his last start against this same opponent. Play on the SF Giants +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-03-17 | Royals v. Mariners OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Royals RH Ian Kennedy (2-6, 4.72 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Andrew Moore (1-0, 3.86) The Royals bats have finally come to life, as was evident by winning seven of its last eight in California road trip, taking series from the Padres, San Francisco and the Los Angeles Angels behind a reenergized offense that averaged 7.4 runs in its wins. Today against the Mariners starter Moore, who is being called up by his team to make his 2nd career start, this kid very much looks like he could be in trouble vs a KC batting order thats been chewing up pitchers of late. With that said, I won't be surprised if the Royals surpass this Total all by themselves or at least put a big enough dent in the number that we only need a few runs from the Mariners. Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 8-1-1 in Kennedys last 10 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in Royals last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-2-1 in Royals last 13 road games.Over is 9-4-1 in Mariners last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. SEATTLE is 27-11 OVER L/38 in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse with a combined average of 9.9 rpg getting scored. MLB team like the Royals - lower tier AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or better), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 32-8 over for a 80% conversion rate for over bettors on the total.Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Mariners - starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 37-9 to the over for a 80% conversion rate for over bettors on the total. Play OVER |
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07-03-17 | White Sox v. A's -123 | 7-2 | Loss | -123 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
White Sox LH Carlos Rodon (0-1, 0.00 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (5-7, 5.02) Cotton has won back-to-back outings after going 0-4 over his previous five trips to the hill and once again looks like a viable investment option here tonight. Meanwhile, White Sox are 3-8 in Rodons last 11 road starts.Over his career, Rodon is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in two starts against the Athletics.Athletics are 4-1 in Cottons last 5 starts vs. American League Central. The A's outscored Chicago by a combined score of 18-5 during a 3 game sweep of a series they played late last month. Now they get the Pale hose at home, and once again look like the superior side in the first game of the rematch. .OAKLAND is 13-6 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. Play on Oakland As on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection ( LATE STEAM) |
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07-03-17 | Red Sox -110 v. Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (4-10, 5.06 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Martin Perez (4-6, 4.70) |
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07-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -119 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (8-4, 3.41 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (6-7, 5.56) Both the Yankees and Blue Jays are struggling to put Ws up of late, but the Yankees are at least showing some life offensively, scoring an average of 6.2 rpg at home this season, while the Jays are not scoring a total of just 11 runs in their L/5 games overall. Tanaka the NYY starter looks to be pulling out a early season funk, and his last few starts has given the Yankees what they expect of him, tossing eight scoreless innings in a no decision on June 23 against Texas, and then cam back and yielded just two runs and six hits over six innings in southside Chicago vs the White Sox to win on Wednesday. Im betting he has the edge over Toronto's starter Marcus Stroman. Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays. TANAKA team is 16-2 when he starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record dating back to last season and is 15-3 L/18 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.STROMAN is 1-7 L/8 against the money line in road games in the second half of the season dating back to the last campaign. NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-02-17 | Nationals -118 v. Cardinals | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.06 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-6, 2.88) Washington Nationals ace Max Scherzer who has registered 151 strikeouts in 113 2/3 innings go up against St. Louis Cardinals ace Carlos Martinez and his 121 whiffs in 106 1/3 innings. In a game of fast ball heavy heat specialists I'm betting on the explosive Washington Nationals having the edge behind a offense that averages 5.9 rpg vs righty starters. WASHINGTON is 34-13 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. WASHINGTON is 33-14 L/47 against the money line in night games this season. Nationals are 6-0 in Scherzers last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Nationals are 23-9 in Scherzers last 32 starts.Cardinals are 17-8 in Martinezs last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. MARTINEZ team when he starts is 3-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game dating back to last season.SCHERZER team is 16-2 L/18 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-02-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 15-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Southpaw Drew Pomeranz (7-4, 3.81 ERA) will start for Boston with right-hander Joe Biagini (2-7. 4.50) going for Toronto. Pomeranz is 4-1 with a 2.66 ERA over his last eight starts and has 50 strikeouts, and opposition BA of .257 over 44 innings during that span. In five starts in June, he was 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA.Toronto has scored 10 runs in its past five games and have struggledvs LHP averaging just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .229 BA and Pomernaz should once again hold them down in this spot. I know Torontos Biagini may not inspire the same confidence, but he is a bullpen guy, thats been placed in the rotation, and still learning how to temper a starters role, but make no mistake he must not be underestimated, and is considered a quality pitcher. My own projections make estimated a total of 7.5 runs per game getting scored here, which would give us value for an under wager.
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07-01-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (6-4, 3.53 ERA) vs. Astros RH Francis Martes (2-0, 5.51)
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07-01-17 | Rays v. Orioles -119 | 10-3 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Orioles starting hurler today Bundy (8-6, 3.73 ERA) has been Baltimores most consistent starter this season and been his best at home recording a 3.26 ERA allowing just 18 ERS in 49.7 innings of quality work. He's posted quality starts in 14 of his 16 turns and is a key component in the teams quest for AL East title run, and looks like a soild hurler to back in this spot play. Meanwile, TBs starter Odorizzi (4-3, 4.00 ERA) has had problems with home runs this season. He's tied a club record by giving up homers in 11 straight appearances.ODORIZZI team is 0-10 L/10 when he starts against the money line in road games vs. good power teams like O's - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.Of the 21 ballparks Odorizzi has pitched in, he has posted his third-worst ERA of 6.32 at Camden Yards in his 37 innings of work. The righty thrower is just 1-3 in Baltimore and has allowed 12 home runs, which is the most he's allowed at any opposing ballpark in his career Rays are 1-6 in Odorizzis last 7 starts.Rays are 1-6 in Odorizzis last 7 road starts vs. Orioles.Rays are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Baltimore. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to wn on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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07-01-17 | Red Sox -144 v. Blue Jays | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Chris Sale (10-3, 2.77 ERA) will start for Boston against Toronto Blue Jays left-hander Francisco Liriano (4-3, 5.46 ERA).Chris Sale Bostons ace starter today is 4-2 with a 1.90 ERA in nine career games (six starts) against the Blue Jays and is 2-1 with a 1.36 ERA in five career games (four starts) at Rogers Centre and gets the nod here today vs the Blue Jays.SALE Red Sox are 22-4 L/26 against the money line when he starts vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse like the Jays.SALE team is also 18-3 against the money line when he starts in game when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. Considering Toronto has really struggled against southpaws like Sale this season averaging just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .232 BA , it is an easy decision for me to back the road team in this spot. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-30-17 | Dodgers v. Padres +197 | 10-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Alex Wood (8-0, 1.86 ERA) vs. Padres LH Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.42) Wood the Dodgers starter is getting alot of accolades, thanks to a fast start to this current campaign. But from a long term perspective, I still feel that Wood is a middle of the pack type of hurler, who could implode at any time. It must also be noted that his team has lost his last two starts vs the San Diego Padres. Meanwhile, the Padres a team that has won two straight series, goes for third advantage with picher Calyton Richard on the hill. The southpaw goes against a Dodgers team that is hitting just .244 on the road this season. I know these teams from a long term perspective are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but the Dodgers after an extended hot run have lost 2 of their L/3 and shown some hiccups on offense getting shut out in one of the losses and scoring 2 runs in the other. On the other hand the Padres have been playing well, winning 4 of their L/6 games and are 7-2 L/9 at home and must not be underestimated on a value line in a spot play. Dodgers are 1-6 in Woods last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Dodgers are 3-10 in Woods last 13 road starts. WOOD team when he starts is 0-9 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last few seasons.LA DODGERS are 19-30 L/49 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. WOOD is 0-9 L/9against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-30-17 | Braves v. A's OVER 8.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (5-5, 4.10 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Sonny Gray (3-3, 4.45) Oakland enters this game with their bats on fire , scoring an average of 6 rpg during a current 7 game run, but unfortunately their pitching and defense have been really bad and they have allowed 5.4 rpg during the same span for a combined average of 12.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. Oakland has also done their best offensive work this season at home where they score an average of 4.8 rpg including 54 HRS. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of owning a very inconsistent offense, should do some damage today vs Sonny a Gray a hurler who owns a 4.45 ERA on the season. Note: GRAY is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.689. Atlanta also have a tendency of consistently allowing a boatload full of runs as has been the case in 3 of their L/4 allowing 6, 6, and 7 runs, and I'm betting on them getting blown up again with Mike Foltynewicz on the hill. The Braves hurler owns a ugly 6.91 ERA in his last 3 trips to the mound and has averaged just 4.8 innings per start. Over is 17-7-1 in Foltynewiczs last 25 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 interleague road games.Over is 9-4 in Foltynewiczs last 13 road starts.Over is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-1 in Grays last 6 home starts. OAKLAND is 14-4 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. GRAY is 15-5 OVER in night games dating back to last season with a combined 10.9 rpg going on the board. GRAY is 15-4 OVER L/19 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game with a combined average of 10.3 rpg getting scored.OAKLAND is 16-4 OVER after scoring 2 runs or less this season with 11.1 rpg clicking in on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined 11.1 rpg getting scored. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-30-17 | Marlins v. Brewers -103 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Edinson Volquez (4-8, 4.15 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (3-4, 4.43)
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06-30-17 | Yankees v. Astros -159 | 13-4 | Loss | -159 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
McCullers (7-1, 2.53 ERA, 4-0 at home 1.95 ERA) is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA over two career starts against the Yankees.Meanwhile, Pineda (7-4, 4.12)has struggled of late garnering a 7.47 ERA in his L/3 starts. The Yankees starting hurler also took the loss against Houston on May 11, allowing three runs on six hits and one walk with seven strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings in a 3-2 loss. Pineda is 2-3 with a 4.62 ERA in six career starts against the Astros. I'm betting the pithing matchup, favors the Houston Astros to bring home the cash on the moneyline tonight. NY YANKEES are 6-14 L/20 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.HOUSTON is 15-3 L/18 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better.MCCULLERS JR. team is 12-1 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season when he starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 7-35 dating back 5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Also MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like the Yankees - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are just 9-44 L/53 for a go against conversion rate of 83% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-30-17 | Red Sox +126 v. Blue Jays | 7-4 | Win | 126 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Doug Fister (0-1, 4.50 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (4-6, 4.89) Boston starter Fister (0-1, 4.50 ERA) will take on Toronto right-hander Marco Estrada (4-6, 4.89). Estrada is 0-4 with a 10.03 ERA in five starts in June. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but one ( Fister) is the lesser of two evils at this time. Also both teams are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the perfromance spectrum, with the Red Sox coming off a brilliant home stand where they took 3 of 4 vs the Minnesota Twins, compared to a Blue Jays team that has lost 5 of their L/7 in current basement dwellers in the AL East. TORONTO is 9-16 L/24 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Boston has won 13 of the L/22 games played in Toronto. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games on astroturf.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. Red Sox. MLB Home teams like the Jays - with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or better over his last 5 starts, cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games are just 35-71 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-29-17 | Brewers +105 v. Reds | 11-3 | Win | 105 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Milwaukee will send right-hander Jimmy Nelson to the mound Thursday night . He wons a 1-1 record along with stable 3.66 ERA in his L/3 starts. Nelson is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 12 career appearances, including 10 starts, against Cincinnati. Meanwhile, Bailey the Reds starter/ began his season, after injury rehab, in atroicious fashion, and still looks far from 100%. He allowed 8 ERS in just 1.7 innings of work in his only start ( 43.11 ERA). Bailey, is 5-8 with a 4.64 ERA in 22 career starts vs. Milwaukee. Needless to say, Bailey looks like fade material. In his last three starts going back to last season, his team has lost 18-3, 11-2, and 18-9. The Reds have won the first two games of this series, but tonight, I expect the Brewers to repsond in a big way. MILWAUKEE is 9-2 L/11 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. CINCINNATI is 9-25 L/34 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-4 L/18 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.MILWAUKEE is 10-3 L/13 against the money line after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less.CINCINNATI is 3-15 L/18 against the money line in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save. Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Brewers - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a losing team are 105-76 . Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-29-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -127 | 10-4 | Loss | -127 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Starting pitchers: Philadelphia -Lance Lynn vs Patt Corbin -Arizona Corbin the Arizona DBacks starter who has recorded a 5-2 record at home along with stable .3.19 ERA is a southpaw, and the Cards have struggled mightily vs lefties this season averaging just 4 rpg via a lowly .226 BA. Meanwhile, Lynn the Cards starter is struggling of late garnering a ugly 8.21 ERA in his L/3 turns allowing 14 ERs in just 15.3 innings of sub par work. Today I expect the DBacks who entered Wednesdays action averaging 6.3 rpg at home will light Lynn up and help us get to the promised land. LYNN team is 2-10 L/12 when he starts against the money line in day games. ARIZONA is 19-4 L/22 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%).ST LOUIS is 7-20 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MLB Road teams like the Cardinals - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are just 12-30 L/42 opportunities for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-28-17 | Braves v. Padres -122 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Atlanta's starter Colon (2-7, 7.78 ERA) pitches for the first time since June 5. The veteran no longer looks as viable a pitching option when he was young, as is evident by having surrendered at least six runs in five of his 12 starts and owns a ugly 0-3 record along with a nasty looking 13.91 ERA in his last 3 starts. Meanwhile, San Diego will answer back with right-hander Luis Perdomo (2-4, 4.56 ERA) who unlike Colon has been a good pither for the Padres this season, an owns a 2-1 record along with a stable 2.41 ERA in his L/3 starts . The pitching matchup and home field advantage favor the Padres getting the victory. Atlanta won the first game of this seres 3-0 which sets up these key situational trends. The PADRES are 6-0 at home after being shutout as favorite , and had at least 2 hits . ATLANTA is 8-34 L/42 times against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. SAN DIEGO is 9-2 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-28-17 | Dodgers v. Angels +108 | 2-3 | Win | 108 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
HYUN -JIN RYU -Dodgers vs ALEX MEYER Angels Dodgers starter Ryu (3-6, 4.35 ERA) has only two quality starts this year in 12 trips to the hill.In 67 innings, he has been slapped around for 14 home runs. Injuries have really taken their toll on the Dodgers southpaw, and has yet to get back t o 100% healthy, and very much looks like fade material in this spot. Meanwhile, the Angels, starting thower, Meyer (3-4, 4.20 ERA) is proving his worth as a starter with consistent efforts. In his last seven trips the hill, the right-hander has allowed just three earned runs or fewer six times, two runs or fewer in five of those games, The pitching matchup, and home field advantage favor LAs other MLB tean in this spot. The Dodgers won at home last night by a 4-0 count, but now I feel their at a disadvantage on the road vs a fiesty Halos group. LA DODGERS are 2-10 L/12 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents.LA DODGERS are 9-24 L/33 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive home games. MLB teams like the Dodgers - very good NL offensive team (5.0 runs/game or more) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), after a win by 4 runs or more are just 24-61 for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-28-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -124 | 4-3 | Loss | -124 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Wainwright The Cards starter is 2-4 with a 9.48 ERA on the road this season and is fade material here at Chase Field tonight vs a Arizona side that has averaged 6.3 rpg at home this season via .289 BA. Meanwhile, Godley, Arizonas starter joined the rotation after Shelby Miller had a season-ending elbow injury, is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA. He has not given up more than three runs in any of his nine starts and has not given up more than two runs in his four starts at Chase Field. He has made seven quality starts in his last eight outings, missing by an out of an eight-game streak after pitching 5 2/3 innings in a 5-1 victory at Philadelphia on June 17. Im betting the Dbacks to deliver the good at home in this meeting. ARIZONA is 30-10 against the money line in home games this season . ST.LOUIS is 12-22 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 19-4 L/23 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%).GODLEY is 12-4 against the money line in night games . Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-28-17 | Phillies v. Mariners -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Phillies send pitcher Mark Leiter Jr to the hill today to face the Seattle Mariners in his second career start. In 12 relief appearances prior to the start, Leiter had pitched 19 innings and posted a 4.74 ERA. He had allowed just 13 hits but had walked 14 as his biggest issue so far has been his control. Meanwhile, Mariners starter ace Felix Hernandez (3-2, 4.68 ERA) will be making his second start since coming back from the disabled list . He won that start, and I'm betting on him being even better this time around vs a Phillies side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season.
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06-27-17 | Angels v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Angels RH Jesse Chavez (5-7, 5.15 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (5-3, 4.62) The Dodgers had their 10 game winning streak snapped yesterday in game 1 of this series vs the LA Angels and now instead of being deflated by the loss will be primed to bounce back in revenge mode. Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series. Angles starter Chavez is 1-2 with a 6.10 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 40 hits in just 31 innings of work, and could easily get gobbled up by a explosive Dodgers offense, that is averaging 8.3 rpg in their L/7 games, and 5.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Maeda, has seen his team win his L/4 home starts, and is a capble hurler who must be respected vs a Halos team that is inconsistent offensively. If he does need help the Dodgers bullpen has been brilliant this season especially at home where they own a miniscule, 1.94 ERA and 0.957 WHIP. LA ANGELS are 2-16 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better losing SU by an average of 2 rpg which can be applied to a runline result. LA DODGERS are 14-1 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.LA DODGERS are 37-8 L/45 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season winning SU by an average of 2.9 rpg. Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 to win vs the runline |
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06-27-17 | Yankees -137 v. White Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -137 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
White Sox left-hander Jose Quintana (4-8, 4.69 ERA) is slated to make a start here vs the NY Yankees and right-hander Luis Severino (5-3, 3.30 ERA). I'm betting the Yankees have the edge vs Pale Hose side, that is in a funk and have lost seven of the last eight games to fall a season-worst 11 games below .500. I know Qunitana has seen the White Sox win his L/2 starts, but the team is just 0-12 when he starts as an underdog and his team win his L/2 starts. |
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06-27-17 | A's v. Astros -148 | 6-4 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Right-hander Mike Fiers (5-2, 3.81 ERA) will start Tuesday for the Astros.Fiers is red hot and 4-0 with a 1.72 ERA over his past five starts. Meanwhile, the As will respond with Left-hander Sean Manaea (6-4, 4.05 ERA) . He has lost both his career starts vs the Astros. Astros are team that must be respected, and could be this years version of last years Cubs. When a team like this can be bought for a 1.50 or less on a moneyline, you have to think seriously about taking them. Alot has been made of well the Astros have played on the road as compared to in their own backyards, but give it some time, Im sure their numbers will increase as the season goes on, as long as they remain healthy. Meanwhile, Oakland has for the most part been horrendous on the road losing 25 of 37 games, and despite of a recent road sweep vs their White Sox, they should now fall back to their expected mean average perfromances. Also after the As sweep you can bet the Astros will be wide awake and ready for their opponents. HOUSTON is 15-2 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Play on Houston to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-27-17 | Rangers +152 v. Indians | 2-1 | Win | 152 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas had a 9-2 lead wiped out vs the Cleveland Indians yesterday and lost 15-9. But now I expect the Rangers to come back even more determined to set things right and get redemption for yesterday humiliating crash and burn scenario. It must be noted that the Indians are 0-6 this season, as -140 or more favorite, when their opposition is out for immediate revenge after a 4 plus run victory. CLEVELAND is just 8-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season. Rangers are 11-2 L/13 against the money line after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game. MLB Road teams like the Rangers - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 61-31 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-27-17 | Brewers +118 v. Reds | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Reds have lost 14 of 16 with their rotation ranking last in the major leagues with a 6.21 ERA after an 8-2 loss at St. Louis on Monday and in no way should be considered viable favorites here. Meanwhile, the Brewers will start right-hander Junior Guerra, who has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his seven starts and must be considered a playable underdog in this spot. The Brewers won their last game 7-0 vs Atlanta and look like strong underdogs in this spot play, GUERRA is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.CINCINNATI is 4-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.CINCINNATI is 3-17 L/20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) .MILWAUKEE is 11-4 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less and CINCINNATI is 2-13 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-27-17 | Orioles +150 v. Blue Jays | 3-1 | Win | 150 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Orioles will start right-hander Kevin Gausman against Blue Jays right-hander Joe Biagini (2-6, 4.43 ERA).In the six starts in between (May 17-June 16), Biagini was 0-5 with a 6.14 ERA. Gausman has also been smacked around, but is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays this season, and must be given some respect here to perform at the same level he did in recent previous meetings. Toronto does not qualify as a solid favorite in this spot and according to my own projections this game should be closer to a pickem, with two less than stable pitchers on the hill for each team. Thus there is value with taking the visiting Orioles in this spot play. Baltimore's offense has smacked out 8 runs in two straight games , and looked like they primed for more production in this spot. It must be noted , MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Blue Jays - after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are just 10-28 L/38 times, for a go against conversion rate of 74% for underdog bettors. TORONTO is 3-8 L/11 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season at home. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-27-17 | Rays v. Pirates OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Trevor Williams (3-3, 5.09 ERA) gets the start for Pittsburgh, while Tampa Bay, replies with Alex Cobb (6-5, 4.05 ERA). Both pitchers look susceptible to being lit up like Christmas Trees. TB has seen a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored in their L/7 games overall, and their defense and pitching have been a downward spiral, especially on the road where they have allowed 5.1 rpg this season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh in interleague games have allowed 5.2 rpg this season , and I'm betting they will have problems containing a TB offense that has averaged 7 rpg during a recent 7 game span. I'm betting on a total combined score to eclipse this number. Over is 7-1 in Cobbs last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 13-3 in Cobbs last 16 road starts.Over is 20-5-1 in Rays last 26 overall.Over is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 games following an off day.Over is 11-2-1 in Pirates last 14 interleague home games.Over is 8-1-1 in Pirates last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 23-8 in Pirates last 31 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. TAMPA BAY is 24-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg getting scored. COBB is 13-4 OVER L/17 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game with an average of 10.2 rpg getting scored. PITTSBURGH is 23-9 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg.TAMPA BAY is 17-7 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season for combined average of 10.9 rpg. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-27-17 | Cubs v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Scherzer the Nats starter owns a bloated 6.00 ERA in two starts against the Cubs last year. Meanwhile, Cubs starter Arrieta is 1-1 with a 4.98 ERA in eight starts against Washington. These are two vialbe pitchers, but the total is a little low considering how explosive offensively both sides can be, especially the Nationals when playing at home where they own a .296 BA and have averaged 6 rpg vs right handers like Arrietta. I know these teams took part in a tight 3-0 game yesterday that the Cubs won, but today Im betting on more offensive output. ARRIETA is 10-1 OVER after giving up 2 earned runs in his last 2 outings dating back to last season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg going on the board. CHICAGO CUBS are 10-1 OVER in road games after a one run win with a combined average of 10.7 rpg going on the board. Scherzer has had a great start to his season, but when or iff he does leave this game he is backed by a bullpen with a bloated 5.03 ERA on the season. Cubs are 13-4 OVER L/17 in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worsewith a combined average of 11.6 rpg getting scored. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-26-17 | Twins +194 v. Red Sox | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Jose Berrios, the Twins starter has won seven of his eight 2017 starts, and now goes against Red Sox ace Chris Sale in the series opener The Twins are showing their upward mobility by their successes this season, and are now a first place team. I know they have a tough assignment going up against BoSox starter Chris Sale, but the Twins are no pushovers and must be respected on a value line with Berrios (7-1, 2.67 ERA) who has allowed two runs in each of his four starts, all victories. Meanwhile, Boston after losing three of their last four, including two of three over the weekend to the Los Angeles Angels the RedSox are showing some inconsistencies as their recent 4-6 record would indicate in their last 10 games. With that said, I'm going to take the value line, and back a Twins team that come into this series with a 23-9 record on the road, the second-best road record in baseball. MINNESOTA is 6-0 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season and the Twins are also 9-0 L/9 dating back to last season when they are a road underdog, vs a team with a superior record winning on the moneyline by an average of 4 rpg. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-26-17 | Cubs +138 v. Nationals | 5-4 | Win | 138 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Eddie Butler (3-2, 4.19 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (7-1, 2.96) Washington southpaw Gio Gonzalez (7-1, 2.96) takes on Cubs right-hander Eddie Butler (3-2, 4.19) when Chicago begins a four-game series in Washington against the first-place Nationals this Monday night. Nationals starter Gonzalez has some quality numbers on board so far this season but, Chicago has done their best offensive work on southpaws during this campaign going 12-6 on the moneyline and averaging 6 rpg, via a .271 BA which includes 25 HRS and 102 RBIs, so needless to say, they must not be underestimated as underdogs in this spot. I know Cubbies thrower Eddie Butler may not inspire bettors when hes on the hill, but the Nats looked tired yesterday while scoring just 2 runs vs a Reds team that gives up runs in bunches. Yes, the Nats can be explosive offensively, but they have put out some clunkers, scoring 2 runs or less 3 times in their L/7 games. With that said, I expect the Cubs , to wake up here today and deliver a motivated win vs a side that should inspire them to their former greatness of last season. Nationals are 2-9 in Gonzalezs last 11 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Cubs manager MADDON is a perfect 8-0 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better since becoming manager in this organziation. GONZALEZ is 7-14 L/21 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 . MLB Home teams like the Nationals - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just 29-51 L/80 times. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-26-17 | Reds +136 v. Cardinals | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Reds LH Brandon Finnegan (1-0, 2.70 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (3-3, 4.76) Cincinnati scored five first-inning runs and rolled to a 6-2 victory behind seven surprising solid innings from veteran Scott Feldman yesterday vs the powerful Nationals . With the momentum of that win on their side I now expect, the Reds to be solid again behind Left-hander Brandon Finnegan (1-0, 2.70 ERA) vs a St.Louis side that the Reds have beaten in 8 of L/10 meetings . Finnegan is 2-1 along with a stable 3.13 ERA in seven outings, five of them starts vs the Cardinals . Meanwhile, Wacha St. Louis right-hander starter has really been in a funk of late and has not lasted past the fifth inning in five of his past six starts and currently looks like fade material, despite of a recent history of success vs the Reds. Reds are 4-0 in Finnegans last 4 starts.Reds are 7-1 in Finnegans last 8 starts vs. National League Central. Reds are 6-2 in Finnegans last 8 road starts.Cardinals are 1-5 in Wachas last 6 home starts.Cardinals are 7-15 in their last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter. ST LOUIS is 8-17 L/25 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-25-17 | Astros -105 v. Mariners | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Astros RH Francis Martes (2-0, 5.02 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Ariel Miranda (6-3, 4.04) |
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06-25-17 | Brewers +119 v. Braves | 7-0 | Win | 119 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee right-hander Zach Davies (7-4, 5.40 ERA) opposes Atlanta right-hander Julio Teheran (6-5, 4.76) in the final meeting of the season. In four starts this month, Davies is 2-1 with a 6.00 ERA . Despite of his bloated ERA because of ugly start last time out the Brewers are 9-6 when Davies pitches and it this winningest pitcher and must be respected in this spot. Meanwhile, Tehran the Braves starter is just 1-5 at home this season, along with a bloated 6.65 ERA and fade material according to my own projections. TEHERAN is 4-13 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse.TEHERAN is 2-15 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last couple of seasons, and his team is s 2-12 against the money line when he starts at home when the money line is +125 to -125 . The Braves are also 0-18 at home when Tehran starts and is off a quliaty start where he allowed 6 hits or less in his last start and are not a fav of -140 or more.(Which happened against SF last time out on June 20.) Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Brewers - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a losing team are a long term 105-76 dating back 20 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Braves - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or better over his last 3 starts are just 16-33. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-25-17 | Reds v. Nationals OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Yesterday Cincinnati was blown up 18-3 count, vs the potent bats of the Washington Nationals, and I'm betting on another big output by a team that averages 6.1 rpg vs righty starters/ The Reds starter Feldman will take the mound for a team who has allowed 121 RBI and pitched to a 5.27 ERA. He is part of a rotation whose ERA increased to 6.20 ERA after the Reds allowed double-digit runs for the 11th time yesterday. Meanwhile, the Nats will respond with Tanner Roarke who has a 9.88 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. After being embarrassed yesterday I also expect a Reds side that owns an offense that has five players with at least 10 home runs, and three with at least 16 to try to get back some respectabilty in this spot, with some offensive fireworks of their own. Whatever, the outcome my own projections estimate this game to easily eclipse the number. CINCINNATI is 18-2 OVER L/20 vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. CINCINNATI is 15-3 OVER after allowing 8 runs or more this season with an average of 11.3 rpg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 11-2 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.WASHINGTON is 20-7 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Nats - after scoring 8 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 74-29 to the OVER for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-24-17 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Tyler Chatwood (6-7, 4.08 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (10-2, 2.61) The Dodgers offense continues to churn out runs and are off a 6-1 win yesterday vs Colorado. The Dodgers have averaged a whopping 8.6 rpg during a current 7 game span, and have averaged 5.7 rpg at home this season and today against Rockies starter Chatwood, who is is 6-7 with a 4.08 ERA on the season, I'm beting their offensive output surge continues.He faced the Dodgers in April and allowed six hits and five runs in 4 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies sometimes explosive offense will face super star hurler Clayton Kershaw, who's name has become subliminally synonymous with a under pitcher for bettors. However, Kershaw has not been so perfect of late, as is evident by giving up 11 hits and four runs (three homers) against the Cubs, and last week allowed six hits, four of them home runs, and six runs to the Mets. Now its Colorado's turn to make Kershaw look human. the Rockies have averaged 5.2 rpg this season in offensive production via a .272 BA. LA DODGERS are 15-6 OVER in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 22-11 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less this season with a combined average sore of 9.2 rpg clicking in and are 12-3 OVER after allowing 1 run or less this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-2 in Dodgers last 14 overall.Over is 7-1 in Kershaws last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Kershaws last 7 home starts vs. Rockies. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less like Colorado - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 35-12 over dating back 20 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-24-17 | Astros -138 v. Mariners | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Astros starter McCullers (6-1, 2.58 ERA) was 4-0 in May with a 0.99 ERA and 37 strikeouts in six starts before going on the disabled list with lower back problems. Now healthy again, the thrower looks to keep his stellar record intact vs the Seattle Mariners in game 2 of this series.McCullers is 4-2 in his career against the Mariners with a 2.14 ERA. He got the win against them April 4 in Houston, allowing one run and five hits in six innings of a 2-1 victory. Meanwhile, the Astros explosive offense that has averaged 6.6 rpg in road games, now goes against a rookie right-hander Sam Gaviglio (3-1, 3.43 ERA).HOUSTON is 13-3 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. Seattle banged Houston yesterday 13-3 and the Astros will now be out looking for redemption and payback to even this series. I'm betting they get what they want. SEATTLE is 11-21 L/32 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more.HOUSTON is 12-4 against the money line in road games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. MLB All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 the Mariners - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 23-84 for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-24-17 | Cubs -163 v. Marlins | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Jon Lester (4-4, 3.83 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Justin Nicolino (0-1, 5.06) Marlins southpaw starter Nicolino (0-1, 5.06 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season when he faces the Cubs this Saturday afternoon .Nicolino's numbers per nine innings this season are below average -- hits allowed (11.3), HRS (2.3), walks (3.9) and strikeouts (5.6). The Cubs after being shutout by 2-0 count yesterday will be ready to respond in a big way, and I am betting Nicolinio will get shelled. The lefty made his first start in nearly three weeks last time out, against Washington, allowing six runs (three earned) in three innings, including a pair of home runs.The Chicago Cubs have averaged 6.1 rpg vs LHP this season and own projections estimate a similar offensive output today. Meanwhile, Chicago's starter LESTER has seen his team go 24-5 in starts against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse dating back to last season. Lester has been in stable form of late, going 1-1 along with a 3.50 ERA in his L/3 starts, allowing 7 ERS over 18 inning including 22 strike outs. MIAMI is 4-16 L/20 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less . I don;t make it a consistent habit to lay alot of lumber, but this spot warrants investing a few extra bucks. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-24-17 | Reds v. Nationals -149 | 3-18 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Reds RH Homer Bailey (2016: 2-3, 6.65 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Joe Ross (3-3, 5.98) Bailey the Reds starter who is coming off the disabled list, has the unenviable task of going head to head with the first place Washington Nationals, who entered Friday leading the National League in hitting (.274), slugging (.472), OPS (.811), homers (110), extra-base hits (268), runs (398) and RBIs (390). Bailey is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA in his career against Washington and 0-3, 5.40 at Nationals Park.Bailey struggled in six major-league turns last season, allowing a total of 35 hits in 23 innings. Meanwhile, Washington will fire back with with right-hander Joe Ross (3-3, 5.98).Nationals are 5-1 in Ross' last 6 home starts. Reds are 0-8 in Baileys last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.Reds are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Washington I expect the Nats explosive offense beats up on the Reds Bailey, and despite of Ross also being a sub par hurler, the Nationals offense will trump any run out put the Reds register. CINCINNATI is 3-17 L/20 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season and 0-10 against the money line in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and is 1-11 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season and 2-15 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-23-17 | Astros v. Mariners -111 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Astros RH Joe Musgrove (4-6, 5.09 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (2-2, 4.73) Houstons starter Musgrove, has dropped back-to-back starts since returning from a shoulder injury.Astros manager A.J. Hinch said he doesn't consider Musgrove to be 100 percent . QUOTE: "One step closer to that, obviously," Hinch told the Houston Chronicle. "Fully back, to me, is extending him north of 100 pitches." END QUOTE. Meawhile, Felix Hernandez will make his first start since, experiencing alot of shoulder pain in the beginning of the season. After rehab, he has said to the media, that he feels no pain is all right now, which is a good thing for Seattle Mariners backers. King Hernandez, the Mariners' career leader in wins with a (156), innings (2,442 1/3), strikeouts (2,286) and starts (364), has won both his appearances at home this season and gives his team in edge in this opening series game. I know the Astros are hot, but , after a 4 game road sweep of the As, may enter this game on tired legs in a natural letdown state and vulnerable to a down performance. Seattle has won 5 straight and must not be underestimated here at home, where they own a 24-13 record and average 5.3 rpg. SEATTLE is 20-7 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season and Hernandez is 31-14 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 Astros- allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are just 15-45 in the followup game going back 20 seasons. ( note: Houston won yesterday 12 -9 vs the As) Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-23-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals -117 | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Jameson Taillon (3-2, 3.38 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (7-5, 5.75) Veteran right-hander Adam Wainwright (7-5, 5.75) i has some problems of late, but Wainwright is 5-1 with a 2.88 ERA in seven home starts and does his best work in front of the home town fans. Pittsburgh has batted just .246 on the road this season, and lostt 22 of 35 way games. Meanwhile, Jameson Taillon (3-2, 3.38) a guy that been through alot this season, ( testicular cancer) is off a game where he gave up eight hits and four runs Sunday in five innings of a 7-1 defeat against the Chicago Cubs and once again looks like fade material vs a Cards side trying to shake off an embarrassing loss to the lowly Philadelphia Phillies last time out by a 5-1 count. Meanwhile, the Pirates are off two straight losses to the Brewers , and now in a letdown situation now go against a team that has swept 2 straight 3 game series against them. WAINWRIGHTs team is 25-9 L/34 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL).PITTSBURGH is 1-11 L/12 against the money line revenging 2 straight one run losses against opponent. Pirates are 9-21 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 4-9 in their last 13 during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. Pirates. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher Pirates - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 4 runs or more are 44-109 dating back 20 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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06-23-17 | A's v. White Sox OVER 10 | 3-0 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (4-7, 5.40 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Mike Pelfrey (3-5, 3.56) Right-hander Mike Pelfrey (3-5, 3.56 ERA) goes to the hill to face a As team off a 12-9 loss yesterday. In four career appearances vs the As, all starts, Pelfrey is 0-4 along with a nasty looking 7.97 ERA. He has surrendered 18 earned runs and 32 hits in 20 1/3 innings of sub par work. Meanwhile, Jharel Cotton faces the a White Sox team off a 9-0 victory yesterday vs the Twins. Cotton owns a 6.23 ERA in his L/3 starts, and almost always seems on edge of disaster when he takes to the hill of late. Yes I know he had quality start in his last outing, but he hs seen 5 of his L/6 starts after a quality outing eclipse the number.Note: Cotton has surrendered 12 of his 13 home runs in his last seven outings. Over is 5-0-1 in Athletics last 6 road games.Over is 5-0 in Athletics last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-0-1 in Athletics last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. American League West.Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 11-4 in White Sox last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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06-23-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals +130 | 4-5 | Win | 130 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (2-4, 4.26 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jake Junis (2-1, 5.56) The Blue Jays offense is a little banged up at the moment with key contributors Donaldson and Pearce at less than 100% or in the dugout tonight. The Kansas Royals might be underdogs here , but must not be disrespected as they have won nine of 11 contests to move within one game of .500. Meanwhile, the Jays, are one game under .500 on the season, at 35-36 and in their L/9 attempts trying to even their season record , have fallen flat on their faces losing 9 straight times by a overall 73-24 count. On paper the pitching situation looks like it favors the Blue Jays, but veteran knuckelballer Happ is anything but a sure bet, and could easily get rocked tonight by Salavador Perez and company.Happ is 2-2 with a 5.96 ERA in four starts against the Royals. Blue Jays are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jays are 2-8 in Happs last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.Blue Jays are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City. KANSAS CITY is 17-5 L/22 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base and is 16-8 L/24 against the money line in home games against AL East opponents.TORONTO is 4-10 against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more, which happened in a 11-4 loss to Texas last time out. TORONTO is 13-25 38 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |