Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-09-18 | Mariners v. Royals OVER 7.5 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (1-0, 4.26 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (1-0, 0.00) Gonzales looked alright in his opening start, but was troubling were a pair of home runs he gave up at AT&T Park, which is troubling considering its reputation for being unfriendly to HR hitters. I know the Royals bats have been struggling, but I'm betting they get things rolling here tonight. Meanwhile, Junus the Royals starter , is a capable hurler, and has faired well at Kaufman Stadium in his young career, but I'm not sold on him, on those limited data starts, and feel he is still susceptible to being lit up vs a batting order that my own pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest he does matchup well against. Seattle set a season high for runs in an 11-4 win at Minnesota on Saturday and had yesterday off, and will now be ready to reset their attack on fresh legs. Note: Mariners CF Dee Gordon (11-for-30) and 2B Robinson Cano (11-for-25) both are riding seven-game hitting streaks and Seattle SS Jean Segura is 11-for-25 during his six-game hitting streak. SEATTLE is 24-12 OVER when playing with a day off over the last few seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts overall. Over is 4-1-2 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 12-3-1 in Mariners last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 6-1-2 in Mariners last 9 road games.Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - good fielding team - turning 1.1 or more DP's/game on the season. against opponent terrible power team - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game on the season are 51-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-08-18 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Mets RH Matt Harvey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (1-0, 1.29) Roark the Nats starter looked good in his first start, but it must be noted he was sub par at Nationals Park last season garnering a 6-6 record along with a slightly bloated, 5.04 ERA in 17 games (14 starts). Meanwhile, Harvey the NY Mets starter despite of saying he's healthy again , is still a pitcher that has a lot to prove after two dismal seasons where he went 9-17 and recorded a inflated 5.78 ERA. Harvey is 0-3 with a 7.25 ERA in five games against the Nats the last two seasons. Harvery has seen 4 of his L/5 starts vs the Nats go over the total. Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-0-2 in Harveys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 12-5-3 in Harveys last 20 starts overall. NY METS are 24-9 OVER L/33 vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. NY METS are 29-9 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 dating back to last season. Play OVER |
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04-08-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (0-0, 5.40 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Luke Weaver (1-0, 1.80) WEAVER is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.WALKER is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.Over is 6-1 in Walkers last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 4-1 in Walkers last 5 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Weavers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. My own projections estimate this total should be closer to 9, thus giving us value with an over wager. ARIZONA is 12-3 OVER after 2 straight games with no home runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 11 rpg being scored.Over is 16-5-1 in umpire Timmons' last 22 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.Over is 4-1 in umpire Timmons' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Arizona. MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250) or less against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 45-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER
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04-07-18 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Mets LH Steven Matz (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (1-0, 1.50) |
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04-06-18 | Padres v. Astros -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Padres RH Luis Perdomo (0-1, 11.25 ERA) vs. Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 3.38) McCullers the Astros starting hurler was dominant in exhibition play, going 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in six appearances (five starts), striking out 24 over 21 innings of top tier work, and I expect he will dominate again. The Astros have won 6 of their first 7 games, and according to my early season power rankings are the far superior side here, and deserve our backing on the RL/ HOUSTON is 29-11 L/40 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better over the last 2 seasons winning by an average 2.3 rpg. The Houston Astros are 30-0 as a 200+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent winning SU by an average of 3.5 rpg. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 to -190) (HOUSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a winning record last season are 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 3.7 rpg . Play on Houston to cover on the RL -1.5 |
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04-06-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (0-0, 5.40) |
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04-06-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Royals LH Danny Duffy (0-1, 11.25 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (1-0, 7.94) The Royals starting thrower Duffy posted an under performing 0-3 record with a 4.60 ERA in three meetings with Cleveland last season to drop to 2-6 lifetime against the club and is fae material here today. Meanwhile, Indians starting hurler Carrasco did well versus Kansas City last season, recording a 2-1 mark and is 9-6 with a viable 3.58 ERA in 22 games and get my support on the RL. The Cleveland Indians are 19-0 as a favorite of more than 190 when they are off a road game and facing a divisional opponent with fewer wins with the average margin of victory coming by 4.11 RPG. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 to -190) (CLEVELAND) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a winning record last season are 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the run differential clicking at 3.7 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to cover RL -1.5 |
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04-05-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
MATCHUP: Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (1-0, 10.80 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (2017: 12-5, 5.11) ST LOUIS is 25-12 OVER vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game with an average of 10.6 rpg sored. |
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04-04-18 | Mariners +114 v. Giants | 1-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (0-0, 0.00) |
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04-04-18 | Indians -139 v. Angels | 2-3 | Loss | -139 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Indians RH Corey Kluber (0-1, 2.25 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-0, 0.00) Cleveland top tier starter today Kluber was a hard-luck loser on Opening Day, allowing two runs on just six hits and one walk over eight solid innings of work in a 2-1 loss vs Seattle. Today I'm expecting he will be just as strong, but with a different won loss result. Note: Indians are 7-1 in Klubers last 8 road starts and the Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Skaggs the Halos starter also did well on opening day, but according to my own data, and pitcher vs offense power rankings does not matchup well vs the Indians batting order and is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in three career starts against Cleveland.Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Indians are 11-2 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. LA ANGELS are 11-24 /35 against the money line against AL Central opponents.
Play on Cleveland to win on the moneyl |
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04-03-18 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 9 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Nationals RH A.J. Cole (2017: 3-5, 3.81 ERA) vs. Braves RH Julio Teheran (0-0, 6.35) |
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04-03-18 | Rays v. Yankees -130 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rays RH Chris Archer (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (2017: 9-7, 3.88) Rays starter today Archer in his first start this season served up four runs and six hits with six strikeouts in six innings against the Red Sox on Thursday. He was 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA in four starts against the Yankees last season and is fade material here today against the pinstripes. Meanwhile, the Yanks expected starter Montgomery struck out 144 and allowed 140 hits in 155 1/3 innings during a viable rookie campaign in 2017. He was also 6-3 with a 3.43 ERA in 15 starts at Yankee Stadium where he thrived , including six innings of one-run work vs the Rays in late September. According to my pitcher vs team batting matches up very well against the Rays and get the nod here this afternoon. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Yankees won 12 of 19 meetings with the Rays last season, including eight of 10 in New York.Yankees are 20-6 in their last 26 home games.Yankees are 43-19 in their last 62 home games vs. a right-handed starter. CHRIS ARCHER is 3-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last few seasons.ARCHER is 11-22 L/33 against the money line against division opponents . NY YANKEES are 22-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last couple of seasons. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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04-02-18 | Rangers v. A's -142 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Rangers senior citizen right-hander Bartolo Colon will face Oakland's Andrew Triggs, in the series opener of this series. As hurler Trigg's had surgery last season, and said to be looking pretty fresh . Prior to this operation he displayed some solid skills, and must be respected here tonight vs a Texas team struggling to find their offensive cohesiveness. Triggs has been amazing in his young career against the Rangers as is evident by allowing just one earned run and five hits in 12 2/3 innings (0.71 ERA) in three outings, including two starts. Meanwhile, Colon, pudgier than ever, and looking completely out of shape takes to the hill for the Rangers, well past his prime. Colon is well respected, but might be better off as a pitching coach at this stage in his life. In his last MLB stint he registered a ugly 2-8 run with a nasty looking 8.14 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 14 starts . When considering the As explosive long ball batting order I suspect the fly ball pitcher will be batting practice participant in this event. Note: Colon will be backed by a tired bull pen. TEXAS is 2-13 L/15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last couple seasons. Texas Manager BANISTER is 0-9 against the money line after 2 straight losses by 6 runs or more. ( Which just happened) Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rangers are 1-10 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in Oakland. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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04-02-18 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +104 | 7-8 | Win | 104 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (2017: 5-9, 3.77 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.49) Dodgers No. 5 starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is set to face D-backs' No. 4 Taijuan Walker on Monday.Walker was 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three regular-season starts against the Dodgers last year, winning twice at Dodger Stadium. Diamondbacks are 20-6 in their last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Dodgers have allowed 1,1. 0, and 0 runs in their first 4 games, but it must be noted that LAD Manager ROBERTS is 2-12 in his career against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games. Arizona has won the last six regular-season meetings with the Dodgers by a combined score of 40-13 and get the nod again in this tilt. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline |
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04-01-18 | Pirates v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Trevor Williams (2017: 7-9, 4.07 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Michael Fulmer (2017: 10-12, 3.83) WNW 8 mphGusts: 14 mph but conditions are suitable for a 9+ point output. |
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04-01-18 | Indians -125 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (2017: 17-9, 4.19 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Mike Leake (2017: 10-13, 3.92) The Seattle Mariners after struggling through nagging injuries in spring training, started their season off with even more injuries as DH Nelson Cruz , and Starting catcher Mike Zunino are now out for a while and I'm betting this will effect the cohesiveness of the team. QUOTE: "When I heard that, I wanted to throw up," Mariners manager Scott Servais said. "I really don't know any other way to put it. Our club has just battled through a bunch of nagging injuries in spring training and early in the season." END QUOTE: Cleveland starting pitcher Bauer owns a 2.25 ERA in four career starts at Safeco Field and gets the nod vs Seattle starter Leake, who despite of being 3-1 after being acquired by the Mariners last season, suffered that lone loss vs Seattle. CLEVELAND is 28-14 L/42 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125. CLEVELAND is 41-17 against the money line in road games after a win which was the case yesterday. Indians are 11-4 in Bauers last 15 starts. Indians are 17-6 in their last 23 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 6-38 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors on the blind. Play on Cleveland to win on the moneyline |
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03-31-18 | Indians -107 v. Mariners | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (2017: 18-6, 3.29 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (2017: 12-5, 2.98) Indians starter today Carrasco went 18-6 with a 3.29 ERA last season when he tied for the American League lead in victories and finished fourth in the Cy Young voting. He's a quality hurler that deserves our respect in this spot. The Venezuelan was 11-2 with a 2.65 ERA on the road in 2017. I know his pitching opponent Paxton is also a top quality hurler, but the Indians are a good fastball hitting team, and against the fire baller Paxton should not be over whelmed. PAXTON is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.406. Cleveland lost 2-1 to Seattle yesterday, but it must be noted that SEATTLE is just 17-30 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less and are 2-8 L/10 under the same perimeters. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Play on Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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03-30-18 | Angels v. A's -104 | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (2017: 2-6, 4.55 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Sean Manaea (2017: 12-10, 4.37) Injury prone Tyler Skaggs starts for the Angels tonight vs their hosts the Oakland As. Last season when he came off the disabled list he registered just one win in 11 starts. The kids got great stuff and that's why the Halos stick with him, but he just can't seem to get it all together or garner run support when he does. Skaggs has never beaten the Athletics - as he has recorded a 0-4 record along with a bloated 6.26 ERA in five career meetings and is fade material vs Billy Beans under rated squad in this spot. Meanwhile, the As starter Manaea had a strong spring, going 1-0 with a 2.53 ERA in 10 2/3 innings of quality work. He's very hard on LH hitters, who have hit just .207 against him in his career, and has been solid at home in the Coliseum, as is evident by recording a 11-6 mark along with a solid 3.55 ERA in 27 games (26 starts). Manaea beat the Angles 3-1 last September throwing six innings of shutout ball, while allowing five just hits. He gets my support . OAKLAND is 18-7 L/25 against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less dating back to last season.Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 10-2 in their last 12 home games. Play on Oakland to win on the moneyline |
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03-30-18 | Pirates v. Tigers OVER 9 | 13-10 | Win | 110 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (2017: 11-14, 4.14 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Jordan Zimmermann (2017: 8-13, 6.08) Zimmermann has struggled during his first two seasons in Detroit . He recorded a 8-13 record and 6.08 ERA last season and in his last spring training outing gave up four runs on nine hits in five innings against Philadelphia . I'm betting the Pirates knock him around again this afternoon. Meanwhile, Pirates starter today Ivan Nova, went 11-14 with a 4.14 ERA last season and did not fair well vs Motown going 0-3 and in his career NOVA is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 1.859. Once again, in retaliatory fashion I'm betting that Nova also gets lit up in a game that is projected by me to go over the number. ZIMMERMANN team when he starts is 22-9 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored.ZIMMERMANN is 15-3 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg going on the score board. Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.Over is 9-1 in Pirates last 10 vs. American League Central. Temps in Detroit today are supposed to be 45 degrees, and partly sunny. It should be comfortable and conducive to batters being loose enough to rev things up. Play OVER |
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03-29-18 | Indians -165 v. Mariners | 1-2 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Indians RH Corey Kluber (2017: 18-4, 2.25 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (2017: 6-5, 4.36) |
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03-29-18 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Giants LH Ty Blach (2017: 8-12, 4.78 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2017: 18-4, 2.31) Super star hurler Kershaw makes his eighth consecutive Opening Day start, setting a franchise record. He is 22-9 with a 1.60 ERA in 40 career starts against the Giants his best against any team in MLB and looks to be the far superior choice here today in the opener. SF starter Blach was 2-7 with a 5.02 ERA after the All-Star break last season and finished 3-7 with a 5.55 mark on the road.Blach average of 4.01 strikeouts per nine innings was the lowest in the Majors last season. This is a pitching mismatch of mammoth proportions , favoring the Dodgers. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 to -190) (LA DODGERS) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a winning record last season are 32-8 on the RL L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the RL -1.5 |
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03-29-18 | Twins +114 v. Orioles | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (2017: 10-8, 4.14 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (2017: 13-9, 4.24) Odorizzi will get the call on Opening Day for the first time in his career after being acquired by the Twins in a trade with the Rays. Odorizzi has a great deal of experience vs. the O's from his AL East days, going 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA vs. them in '17 and he gets my attention and money here today. Meanwhile, Orioles starter Bundy will make his first career Opening Day start against the Twins at Camden Yards. He was regarded highly as the season progressed last season, and finally ended up the ace of the staff, despite of not looking all that great late in the season, as is evident by a 7.54 ERA in his L/3 starts . BUNDY is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA in his career with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333,serving up a total of eight runs on 11 hits and five walks in just 12 innings .Orioles are 1-5 in Bundys last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. Orioles are 9-19 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MINNESOTA is 34-24 L/58 against the money line in road games against right-handed starters and is 23-17 l/40 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 . Minnesota won five of the seven meetings last season.Twins are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 13-32 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Minnesota to win on the moneyline |
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11-01-17 | Astros +145 v. Dodgers | 5-1 | Win | 145 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 2.95 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (2-1, 4.15) Darvish the Dodgers starter for game 7 has served up seven homers in 24 2/3 career postseason innings, which includes his tenure with Texas and against this formidable long ball offense is very susceptible. I liked the Astros in game 6 and I'm coming right back tonight with them again.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 0-5 in Darvishs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Astros starter McCullers Jr.s is 8-1 in his last 9 starts with 4 days of rest. Road team is 8-0 in home plate Wegners last 8 games behind home plate. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams which post a win order of WLLWLW through six games irrespective of site (such as the Los Angeles Dodgers) have a 0-4 Game 7 record. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-31-17 | Astros -111 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -111 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
World Series - Game 6 - Best of 7 - The Houston Astros hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 13-runs-12 in 10 innings and now I'm betting they take the World Series here tonight in Los Angeles. Game 6 will go to Motown's Verlander, who's 4-0 with a 2.05 ERA in five games (four starts) this postseason. He allowed three runs on two homers in six innings in Game 2. He's 9-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) since joining Houston and is the guy I'm backing here. VERLANDER team when he starts 18-3 L/21 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career.HOUSTON is 16-4 L/20 against the money line in road games after scoring 9 runs or more.LA DODGERS are 2-7 L/9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs.HOUSTON is 24-9 L/33 against the money line against NL West opponents. NOTE: HOU leads 3-2-Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an MLB/NBA/NHL-worst 0-5 Game 6 record and a 0-5 series record . The Los Angeles Dodgers and their predecessor entity, the Brooklyn Dodgers, have a combined 0-8 series record upon trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Dodgers - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 10 runs or more are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-17 | Astros +100 v. Dodgers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Last night I watched the Dodgers find a way past the Astros. I wanted to get a better feel of what to expect before pulling the trigger on any game in this series. Tonight I'm ready to fire off my first shot . It must be noted that in four appearances (three starts) in this postseason, Verlander the Astros starter vs the Dodgers this evening owns a 1.46 ERA over 24 2/3 innings, striking out 24 with six walks. Each time the veteran hurler Verlander has gone to the hill this October, the Astros have come away with a victory and I'm betting on nothing changing tonight. HOUSTON is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season .VERLANDER team record is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.HOUSTON is 42-19 L/61 against the money line in an inter-league game . Astros HC HINCH is 21-8 L/29 against the money line against NL West opponents. MLB teams like the Dodgers - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs or more /game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are just 36-69 since 1997 for a go against conversion rate of 665 for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros -137 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04) I'm betting the Astros will stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday. The Astros new ace Justin Verlander looked good when facing the Yankees and Severino in Game 2 as he earned the victory in a complete game. That was the veteran rightys third win in as many 2017 postseason outings and he's not finished yet. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31 and expect his record to stay untarnished after this tilt is said and done. VERLANDER when he starts has seen his team go 24-4 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career.HOUSTON is 17-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 8-18 against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season and 19-32 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Houston - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 149-71 L/5 seasons for conversion rate of 60% for bettors. MLB Road teams like the Yankees - good offensive team - scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 58-94 for a go against conversion rate of 61% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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10-17-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs -115 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
The Cubs will be primed and motivated to get a much needed win here , and I'm betting we see them at their very best in game 3 of this NL series vs the Dodgers. I know both sides have been operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but in this critical game, the ghosts of Wrigely will be out in full force to help out the defending champions notch a win. The Dodgers have looked good in the first two games of this this National league finals series, and overall in the play offs as their defense and pitching are in top form. However in the past this has not been a guarantee that they will continue to produce positive results as is evident by their , 6-17 mark against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games. DODGERS are also just 4-11 L/15 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better and are 4-13 L/17 against the money line in road games after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. A lot has been made of the fact that the Cubs bats have been ice cold of late , but it must be noted that the LA DODGERS are just 22-23 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. There also long term league wide trends that tell us these types of struggling offenses have done well against the moneyline in the past.
MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Cubs - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 43-15 over the L/20 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-14-17 | Cubs +185 v. Dodgers | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Clayton Kershaw the ace of the Dodgers staff struggled down the stretch this season, because of back issues, and I don't think he is 100% yet. Kershaw also has a history of struggling in the play offs in the past, and in my opinion is not a strong a favorite as the lines-makers are making him here in game 1. The Dodgers southpaw hurler gave up back-to-back home runs in the seventh inning of his Game 1 start vs. Arizona, and all told, he has a 21.86 ERA in the seventh inning of postseason games. Considering the defending World Series Champion Cubs have done their best work against LHP this season averaging 5.5 rpg a on a 2.71 ERA , they must not be underestimated here as big underdogs. Meanwhile, Jose Quintana the Cubbies starter has been in top form of late, recording a 1.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, QUINTANA team when he starts is 30-11 L/41 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game.CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Cubs are 7-0 in Quintanas last 7 starts.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Cubs are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff road games.Dodgers are 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-14 in their last 19 League Championship games. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Dodgers - good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base are 24-43 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-13-17 | Yankees v. Astros -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Keuchel the Astros starter is 4-2 with a 1.41 ERA over six career starts against the Yankees, In his one postseason start against the Yankees, Keuchel pitched six superb shutout innings with seven strikeouts in the 2015 AL wild-card game, a 3-0 Astros victory at Yankee Stadium.On May 11, he limited the Yankees to five hits, one walk and one unearned run with nine strikeouts over six innings in a 3-2 win. Meanwhile, Tanaka the Yankees starter has been hos worst on the road this season as is evident by a 4-7 record along with a bloated 6.48 ERA over 15 road starts in 2017. He is 0-2 with a 10.38 ERA over four career starts against Houston. From a starting pitcher perspective the Astros must be respected here, and backed on the money-line. KEUCHEL team when he starts is 13-3 L/16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game .TANAKA is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.86 and a WHIP of 1.701.Astros are 5-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts vs. Yankees. Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 League Championship games and are 0-4 in their last 4 League Championship road games.Yankees are 2-5 in Tanakas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff home games.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 League Championship games. NY YANKEES are 11-23 L/33 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.HOUSTON is 81-38 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.HOUSTON is 23-8 against the money line after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are just 11-41 for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like the Yankees - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 14-52 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Astros RH Brad Peacock (13-2, 3.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (5-9, 4.88) Fister the Red Sox starter today vs the Astros enters Game 3 with a 4-1 career record and 1.78 ERA in eight postseason starts, and I'm expecting him to be in good form here again and slow down the hot bats of the Astros. Meanwhile, the Stros starter Peacock enters this tilt having held his last seven opponents to two or fewer earned runs .With the way the struggling offense of the BoSox is operating at the moment, I'm betting on them having a less than favorable output in this spot. Under is 6-1 in Fisters last 7 starts overall.Under is 28-12-2 in Red Sox last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Fisters last 7 home starts.Under is 20-8 in Red Sox last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Peacocks last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Astros - in a playoff game, having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 32-9 UNDER dating back 20 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Astors - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% are 32-8 UNDER dating back 20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Cubs +115 v. Nationals | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Jon Lester (13-8, 4.33 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (15-9, 2.96) Lester finished his season in top form as is evident by a 5-1 record in September and is 9-7 in play off action along with a stingy 2.63 ERA in 22 career appearances (19 starts). This season he has been in good form vs the Nationals and owns a solid 2.84 ERA in two no-decisions. Meanwhile, Gonzalez struggled down the stretch, losing four of his last six starts. The defending World Series champs came away the victory in game 1 of this NL series, and I'm betting they get the win here again today over the Nationals. Watching both teams, its become apparent to me that the Cubs look calm cool and calculated, while their seems to be an edge or nervousness surrounding the Nationals as they nervously try to avoid their forth straight first round elimination. Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 Divisional Playoff games.Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff home games.Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Nationals are 4-13 in Gonzalezs last 17 starts vs. National League Central.Nationals are 0-4 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts vs. Cubs. Cubs are 8-1 in Lesters last 9 starts vs. National League East.Cubs are 7-2 in Lesters last 9 road starts.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 20-8 in Lesters last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 Divisional Playoff games. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-06-17 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 7 | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cubs enter this game batting under the Mendoza line on the road this season, averaging just 4.8 rpg on a .247 BA. With that said, I'm betting their offensive output against Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg will be muted . The Nats starter is in top form, and registered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is 7-2 at home this season along with a stable 2.85 ERA. Meanwhile, The Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks is also in red hot form and has registered a miniscule 0.96 ERA in his L/3 starts and owns a viable 2.83 ERA in away tilts. It must be noted that the Nationals have done their least damage vs RHP this season, batting just .266 and should once again find putting runners in scoring position a difficult prospect.Considering both bullpens are stable, it will not be a hard decision to recommend we take an under stance here. |
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10-04-17 | Rockies +155 v. Diamondbacks | 8-11 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20) Colorado's starting hurler Gray became a key part of the rotation after the All-Star break while going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA over 15 starts, and allowed a total of just seven runs in 30 innings of quality work in his last five appearances and struck out 10 batters to win at Arizona on June 30 and is more than capable of shocking the DBacks tonight. Meanwhile, Arizona's ace Greinke looked fatigued to me towards the end of the season, and was hammered in his last home start against Miami on Sept. 22 as he allowed eight runs in just four innings. I know the Rockies are underdogs here, but I'm betting they matchup well against Greinke and deliver a value line winner behind what can be an explosive offense. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Greinkes last 5 home starts vs. Rockies. GRAY is 5-0 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 road starts.Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
American League Wild Card Game Minnesota's Santana, the ace of Minnesota's staff, will make his ninth career postseason appearance and third start in the AL Wild Card Game. He finished the year strong with a 3.31 ERA in six September starts. The Twins starter struck out 230 batters over 193 1/3 innings this season and will be a hand full for the Yankees .Meanwhile, Severino will be making his first career postseason appearance at any level in Tuesday's AL Wild Card Game for the Yankees, after going 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA since the break. The big thrower, has a lot of stamina and can go deep into games, as was evident by his velocity late into games, throwing more 100-plus mph fastballs after the seventh inning than any other starter. With two quality hurlers on the mound, and sudden death implications, I expect defense and pitching and a mistake free mentality to make for a low scoring affair. SANTANA is 16-4 UNDER L/20 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 6 rpg gong on the scoreboard. NYY Manager GIRARDI is 19-7 L/26 UNDER in home games in October games with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 playoff home games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games. These teams have gone under in 5 of 6 meetings this season. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 like Yankees - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, in October games are 58-23 UNDER for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 20 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Mets +110 v. Phillies | 0-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Phillies rookie Nick Pivetta (7-10, 6.26 ERA) goes to the hill to face the Mets here this afternoon . Pivetta is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA, surrendering 18 hits to Mets batters in 16 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, the Mets will respond with Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 3.18 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in Sunday afternoon's season finale.He has pitched well against the Phillies, as is evident by a 4-1 career record and a stingy 1.89 ERA against them. This is an important start for Syndergaard as will have direct implications for his future standing with the Mets. I'm recommending we back his motivational intentions today.
The Mets are 7-2 in Philadelphia this season. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Diamondbacks v. Royals +104 | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.54 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jake Junis (8-3, 4.39) KC sends Rookie Jake Junis to hill to start for them today. He is 8-3 with a 4.39 ERA with 75 strikeouts in 92 1/3 innings. He lost his previous start to the New York Yankees, ending an impressive personal six-game winning streak.Junis is 2-0 with a 3.49 ERA in six starts and two relief appearances this year at Kauffman Stadium and is a viable pitcher to back here against a Arizona Dbacks side that has already clinched a wild card birth and looking ahead to post season play. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Walker has been on the wrong end of back-to-back starts to San Francisco and Miami, working a total of 8 2/3 innings, but getting beaten around for early exits. Walker is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two career starts against the Royals. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 4-0 in Junis' last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. KANSAS CITY is 12-5 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.JUNIS when he starts for the Royals has seen his team go 7-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-29-17 | Brewers -130 v. Cardinals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Chase Anderson (11-4, 2.81 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH John Gant (0-0, 3.65) Anderson the Brewers starter tonight lost to the Chicago Cubs in his last appearance but won each of his previous four decisions and remains a viable candidate to deliver a winning ticket tonight. With Milwaukee still having a chance of catching the Colorado Rockies for the second National League wild-card spot I expect he will get some motivated support. Meanwhile, also considering the Cardinals are now deflated after their 11th-inning, 2-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Thursday night eliminated them from the play off race, I expect the Brewers have a edge based on motivation. With that said, I expect the Brewers to beat up on Cardinals' starter John Gant, who is making only his second start since he was recalled from Triple-A Memphis at the start of September.
Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-28-17 | Cubs +183 v. Cardinals | 2-1 | Win | 183 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have lost four of their last five, scoring two or fewer runs three times over that stretch and one more loss would put them out of any play off contention. I know Chicago has clinched their spot in post season play, but would love nothing more than to finish off their opponents hopes in killer fashion which is repeatedly exhibited by championship teams. I expect some of the Cubs young talent to see time tonight, and to want to make a mark, so I don't expect the Cubs to lay down and just the let the desperate Cards roll over them. It must also be noted that Cubs starter Hendricks who has been very sharp of late is in line to start the Cubs’ playoff opener, and will be primed to make an impression on his coaching staff tonight with a top notch effort . He is 4-4 with a 2.25 ERA in his last eight apperances – all quality starts – and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his 12 trips to the hill since coming off the disabled list July 24. Meanwhile, cards starter Lynn has only one victory over his last nine starts and off a very ugly effort last time out, and owns a 13.03 ERA in his L/3 overall. He looked fatigued in the above mentioned outing, which is not a good omen for his teams chances at staying alive after tonight. Lynn has seen his team lose 7 straight vs the Cubs when he starts. Cardinals are 1-7 in Lynns last 8 starts overall. Cubs are 22-5 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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09-27-17 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 10 | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Houston's Astros bats are on fire , as is evident by scoring 25 runs in their L/2 games. The way they are hitting I don't think it matters which pitcher they go against. Today against Nick Martinez, who makes his fourth start since rejoining the rotation this month, I'm betting the Astros explode again vs a 3-7 pitcher with a 5.42 ERA. Martinez is 0-3 over his past four starts with a 4.63 ERA and a .230/.264/.425/.689 opponents' slash line. Meanwhile, a relaxed Texas side playing as spoilers will primed to bang out some hits and runs vs a hurler in Verlander that they have done well against. Verlander is 1-1 with a slightly bloated 5.54 ERA against Texas this season, both starts coming with Detroit. HOUSTON is 12-3 OVER L/15 in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg going on the board.TEXAS is 15-4 OVER L/19 in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over with a combined average of 12.5 rpg going on the scoreboard. TEXAS is 9-1 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games with aa combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 11-2 OVER in road games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Rangers - after 2 straight losses by 6 runs or more against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 74-38 OVER dating back 20 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for over bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-25-17 | Padres +255 v. Dodgers | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Padres LH Travis Wood (4-6, 6.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (9-12, 3.96) |
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09-24-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Houston enters this game with their pitching in defense in top form , having allowed a total of 10 runs in their L/6 games. Meanwhile, the LA Angles have scored a total of 15 runs in their L/6 and once again look like offensive production will be curtailed as they face Astros starter McCullers who has pitched his best at home this season going 4-0 in 8 starts along with a stable 2.87 ERA. He will also be well rested after being off since Sept 6 , recouping from fatigue.McCullers, has allowed only one unearned run over 13 2/3 innings in two starts versus the Angels this season and should once again be solid and fresh in this spot.Meanwhile, the Angels starter Skaggs has been in strong form of late as his last three starts would indicate, posting a 2.45 ERA. I'm betting bot these hurlers and their bullpens do enough to help keep this contest from eclipsing the total. Under is 5-0 in Skaggs' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 overall.Under is 17-5 in McCullers Jr.s last 22 home starts.Under is 6-0 in McCullers Jr.s last 6 starts vs. Angels.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Houston. MCCULLERS JR. is 17-4 UNDER L/21 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game dating back to last season with a combined average of 5.9 rpg going on the board. MCCULLERS JR. is 15-4 UNDER L/19 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 18-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season, with a combined average of 6.7 rpg getting scored.MCCULLERS JR. is 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 dting back last season with a combined average of 5.2 rpg scored. The Angels are 0-15-1 UNDER by an average of 4.19 rpg in the last game of a series as a dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Houston Right-hander Charlie Morton (12-7, 3.75 ERA) will start for the Astros this Saturday afternoon. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.74 ERA in four career starts against the Angels, including two this season where in 10 combined innings allowed just three runs on nine hits including registering eight strikeouts. Morton is a capable hurler who can hold a struggling Halos group to a limited offensive out put. Overall Houston pitching has allowed a total of 8 runs in their L/5 games overall , with all 5 staying under the total Note: LAA has scored just 13 runs in their L/ 5 games (2.6 rpg) Meanwhile, Right-hander Bud Norris (2-5, 4.53 ERA) will make just his second start of the season for the Angels. Norris,has done a majority of his work as the closer this season, and started against the Texas Rangers on Sept. 15 allowing one hit over two scoreless innings.Norris has 19 saves this season and is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in seven games (one start) against Houston, and matches up well against a Astros batting order that has scored just 11 runs in their L/4 games. MORTON in his L/22 in home games /day games has seen a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored with 17 of those games staying under the total.LA ANGELS are 12-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses this season with the combined average clicking in at 5.7 rpg.LA ANGELS are 34-17 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. These teams have gone under in 7 of their L/9 in Houston. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-22-17 | Rangers v. A's -122 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Martinez the Rangers starter has not notched a single win in his past nine outings, allowing 28 earned runs in 35 innings. He is 0-3 over the stretch that dates back to June 25 and is fade material here tonight in Oakland against the As. It must be noted that the Rangers are 0-13 L/13 when Nick Martinez starts on the road when they lost in his last start.
TEXAS is 4-12 against the money line vs. lower tier speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 9-3 against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less this season. Right now the As are playing their best ball of the season, and have won 10 of their L/13 including 4 in a row, and here tonight against a struggling pitcher have the edge. Play on the Oakland A's to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-21-17 | Nationals -133 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark of the Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves' R.A. Dickey, are two pitchers operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. Roark is 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 outings since the All-Star break.Roark is also 6-2 with a 2.80 ERA in his career against Atlanta and beat them in Washington on Sept. 14, when he allowed two runs and four hits Meanwhile, the Braves veteran knuckleballer Dickey is 0-2 with a 10.50 ERA in three starts this month. Opponents have batted .333 in his past six trips to the hill, and looks to be in trouble vs a explosive Nationals batting order tonight.Dickey is 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four starts against Washington this year and 4-9 with a 4.17 ERA in 20 career games (18 starts) vs. the Nationals. With the Nationals remaining consistent and on a 3 game win streak, Atlanta looks a little lost and have lost 4 straight. Considering the pitching matchup and both teams current form I am recommending we take the Nationals in this spot play. ATLANTA is 1-11 L/12 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span.ATLANTA is 0-10 L/10 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season
Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-17 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Right-hander Luke Weaver (6-1, 1.89 ERA) will start for St. Louis on Wednesday. Weaver is 5-0 in his L/5 starts has recorded a 1.15 ERA, having walked four and struck out 42.Cincinnati counters with right-hander Rookie Davis, a 24-year-old rookie who rejoined the rotation after Triple-A Louisville's season ended. He's a solid pitcher that still has some maturing to do and despite of not looking all that good in limited MLB action is still respected by his own organization. I expect both hurlers to do enough to help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. Under is 4-1-1 in Weavers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in umpire Segals last 10 games behind home plate. The Cardinals have gone under 13 straight times as a road favorite of more than 140 after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is not a series opener with a combined score of 4.76 rpg going on the board with highest total run count during that span clicking in 7 combined runs! Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-17 | A's -107 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Daniel Mengden the As starter this afternoon, tossed a complete-game shutout against the Philadelphia Phillies last time out and gets my support here this afternoon . He is opposed by the inconsistent Anibel Sanchez (3-4, 7.03 ERA).OAKLAND is 6-0 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse this season.SANCHEZ team when he starts is 9-21 L/30 against the money line against AL West opponents in his career. With these teams playing at the opposite proverbial end of the performance spectrum at the moment it will be an easy decision to back the As this afternoon. Note: Motown has lost 9 of their L/11 while Oakland has won 3 in a row and 10 of their l/13. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like As - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 61-28 since 1997 for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline (LATE STEAM)
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09-19-17 | A's -124 v. Tigers | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-3, 6.42) The Tigers starting hurler Bell(0-3, 6.42 ERA) has struggled since joining the Detroit rotation in September. He has allowed 13 runs in 12 innings in three starts in September, and he lasted just 3 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday, allowing six runs and nine hits in 3 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) will go to the hill for the As. The righty hurler has shown a lot of improvement against two of the majors' best offensive teams in his last couple of appearances.Gossett held the Houston Astros to one run on six hits and struck out seven on Sept. 9 for his fourth victory, then allowed three runs and five hits in 5 1/3 innings at Boston on Thursday and being that he is in very good form at the moment while Bell is not the Athletics have the starting pitcher edge. Tigers are 2-11 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League West.Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. DETROIT is 27-43 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 9-22 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.OAKLAND is 18-11 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-19-17 | Brewers -120 v. Pirates | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is now completely deflated and just playing out the string, after just getting swept by the Reds, and losing yesterday in the opener of this series the Brewers for their 5th straight loss which includes being defeated in 11 of the L/12 games. Tonight I expect more of the same negative results from the Pirates , as they face the Milwaukee Brewers Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) who beat the Pirates last week 8-2, and matches up well against their batting order.Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates. This season, he is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts vs. Pittsburgh. Anderson faces against off against the Pirates Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA) who has lost 4 of his L/5 decisions. MILWAUKEE is 12-3 against the money line in road games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which happened last time out beating the Pirates by a 3-0 count. MILWAUKEE is 11-4 against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 9-3 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less this season.PITTSBURGH is 4-18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are a long term bad bet 77-192 for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection ( LATE STEAM) |
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09-17-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Dbacks starting hurler today Walker owns the 10th-best ERA road mark in the majors (2.71) and I'm betting on him once again being solid on the hill in the visitors role vs a Giants team that has been offensively challenged all season long. Meanwhile, SFO Stratton (2-3, 4.07) enters Sunday's contest well rested. He has pitched a total of only 4 1/3 innings in two September starts, and should be strong and fresh for this start. His issues today will come via run support, as was the case yesterday when the Giants were shutout. Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Giants last 13 home games.Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 5-1 inumpire Hobergs last 6 games behind home plate. WALKER is 14-5 UNDER L/19 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board.ARIZONA is 17-8 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg getting scored.SAN FRANCISCO is 15-3 UNDER after being shut out in a loss to a division rival with a combined average of 5.1 rpg going on the board.SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 UNDER in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season with a combined 6.1 rpg getting scored. Play on the UNDER |
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09-16-17 | Padres +177 v. Rockies | 0-16 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Colorados Anderson (4-5, 5.75) will oppose the Padres Jordan Lyles (1-2, 6.75), who spent just over 3 1/2 years with the Rockies before they released him Aug. 1. Needless to say Lyles would love to beat his old team today in a place he is used to pitching in. I''m betting he has a good chance at helping his team notch the underdog win vs a lineup he is very familiar with. I know San Diego has lost 4 straight , including yesterday opening game in this series, by a 6-1 count but they have been a positive bet in the past, under these circumstances as they are 15-5 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses. Also Colorado is a ugly 0-9 L/9 off a home win in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and never trailed. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | White Sox +103 v. Tigers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Carson Fulmer (2-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-4, 7.43) Sanchez Motown's starter tonight vs the White Sox is winless in his last five appearances and was crushed for seven runs and 12 hits in 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on Sunday. In 11 home outings this season, he is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA..Chicago pounded out 25 hits is 17-7 rout of Detroit in Thursday's series opener and I'm betting this young group will unleash another barrage on a Tigers teams just playing out the string. Detroit dropped its last six games and 12 of the past 14.and are fade material again. SANCHEZ team when he starts is 6-21 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game dating back to last season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-14-17 | White Sox +115 v. Tigers | 17-7 | Win | 115 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
White Sox RH James Shields (3-6, 5.40 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-2, 5.79) Bell has a 6.28 ERA in 10 games (one start) at home and is fade material here today vs the Chicago White Sox. Note: Motown has lost 5 straight with the offense only providing 9 runs in total during that span. Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The White Sox are a perfect 12-0 on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a 110-plus dog in which they did not hit a home run. Which was the case yesterday. Play on the Chicago White Sox ( Late Steam) |
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09-13-17 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty (0-0, 6.00 ERA) will draw the start for the Cardinals opposite Tyler Mahle (0-2, 3.60 ERA) in a matchup of rookies this Wednesday night in game that I am betting eclipses the total. |
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09-12-17 | Astros v. Angels +113 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Astros RH Justin Verlander (11-8, 3.74 ERA) vs. Angels RH Garrett Richards (0-0, 1.13) Richards now healthy after rehab this season is (0-0, 1.13 ERA) and the Angels face the American League West-leading Houston Astros, as underdogs tonight and are a value selection in this spot. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Verlander a former Tiger hurler, gets the call tonight for the Astros. It must be noted that VERLANDER is 0-7 L/7 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. VERLANDER is 1-8 L/9 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts.Angels are 30-14 in Richards' last 44 home starts.Angels are 4-1 in Richards' last 5 home starts vs. Astros. MLB Road teams like Houston - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs , are 29-55 66% go against conversion rate . Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-12-17 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Suter the Brewers starter tonight In five career games against the Pirates, including four in relief, is 0-0 along with a stingy 1.80 ERA. Meanwhile, Gerrit Cole (11-9, 3.93 ERA) starts Tuesday for Pittsburgh. Cole has a 3.27 ERA over his past 16 starts. He has faced Milwaukee four times already this season, going 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 27 innings. MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined 7.2 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Brewers- good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 147-104 for a 59% conversion rate under.The Brewers are have not eclipsed the number in 14 straight games after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-11-17 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rangers Cole Hamels (9-3, 4.03 ERA) will start the opener of a pivotal series against Seattle on Monday night when the Rangers host left-hander Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.72) and the Mariners.In Hamel's last three starts, he is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA and 12 career starts against them , his ERA is 5.06. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from Seattle Miranda during a recent 11-start stretch, has garnered a bloated 6.28 ERA, and he hasn't pitched more than six innings in any of the starts. With that said, I expect both these offenses to light up the board tonight in what I'm betting will be a high scoring affair. The Rangers are 16-0-3 OVER when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite after they scored first in his last start won.HAMELS is 20-9 OVER L/29 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. HAMELS is 10-1 OVER ) in September games with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Orioles +1.5 v. Indians | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Indians will attempt to extend their winning run to 18 games when they finish their three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles this Sunday night. Tonight's starter for the red hot Indians Bauer owns a 8-0 record along with a 2.47 ERA in his L/10 starts. Despite of this streak , and while, everyone and his dog will be Cleveland tonight, I'll be looking in the opposite direction. It becomes very hard for a team to make runs like this without, having the other teams extremely motivated to take them down. Especially when that team has no pressure on them. It must be noted that Bauer despite of being in good form, has not liked facing the Orioles as is evident by his 0-3 record along with a bloated 6.75 ERA in four career starts . Meanwhile, Hellickson the Orioles, four career starts against the Indians, He is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA.HELLICKSON team when he starts is 10-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line 190 to +175) like Baltimore - after allowing 2 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 69-17 for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons and a perfect 9-0 100% conversion rate this season. MLB team like the Indians - red hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are just 19-38 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Baltimore to cover +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Brewers v. Cubs -155 | 3-1 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.29 ERA) will go to the hill in his fourth start this season against the Brewers.Hendricks, who is 6-3 in 13 career starts against Milwaukee, hasn't lost since Aug. 4 and is currently in top form and gets the nod in this spot.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Brewers Meanwhile, The Brewers will answer back with right-hander Zach Davies (16-8, 3.77), who has lost two of his three starts against the Cubs this season and is fade material this afternoon. He's a quality pitcher but the Cubs offense matches up very well against him. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 24-11 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 114-45 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | 0-7 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (11-12, 4.11 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (11-7, 4.21). Both these pitchers are currently not in top form, but Nova has looked better to me than Wacha has and is a viable pitcher tp back here on a affordable runline price. Nova is also on extended rest and should be fresh here after 10 days off. I know the Cards are winning consistently, but their bats are not performing optimally, and look ready to fail, as they are 10-17 SU L/17 after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season, which has just happened. The Cardinals are 0-16 L/16 on the runline when Michael Wacha starts as a home favorite after a quality start in his last start. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 on the runline
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09-10-17 | Rays +138 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 138 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
The Rays throw Boston native Alex Cobb (10-9, 3.64 ERA) up against reigning American League Cy Young award winner Rick Porcello (9-16, 4.67) for the finale. Porcello has had a down year after last seasons great work and three of Porcello's losses this season have come against the Rays (1-3, 5.18 ERA), which is tied for his most defeats against a single opponent. Meanwhile, Rays starter Cobb has fared well pitching in his hometown, going 4-1 with a 3.34 ERA in six career starts at Fenway Park and looks like a viable candidate to back today.
PORCELLO when he starts has seen his team go 2-7 L/9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season and is 3-11 against the money line against division opponents this season. Boston has scored 9 runs in two straight games, but are 6-13 L/19 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the BoSox - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 31-56 for a go against underdog conversion rate of 65% for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on TB Rays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Giants -149 v. White Sox | 1-13 | Loss | -149 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
SF starting hurler Samardzija (9-12, 4.31 ERA) pitched a three-hit shutout vs the Padres on Aug. 28 and allowed that performance up vs the Cardinals allowing just one run and two hits in seven innings on Sept. 2. He went 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in six starts in August, his best month of the season and enters this game in top form, and a viable hurler to back against a struggling White Sox team that has lost 8 of their L/10 games.The Pale Hose respond, with veteran righty James Shields (2-6, 5.72 ERA) . SF beat the White Sox 9-2 yesterday and won 11-3 the day before and now with momentum on their side I like their chances again today. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 L/16 against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more SHIELDS when he starts has seen his team go 9-27 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. The White Sox are 0-14 L/14 past the first game of a series as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game. MLB team like the White Sox - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 24-53 dating back 5 seasons. Play on the SF giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Orioles v. Indians -148 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
The Friday night pitching matchup has Baltimore left-hander Wade Miley (8-11, 4.91 ERA) opposing Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger (8-5, 3.50). Both pitchers have done well of late, but I'm betting the hotter bats of the Indians and home filed advantage will be the difference maker. BALTIMORE is 9-26 L/35 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season and is 2-15 L17 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better .CLEVELAND is 21-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive wins this season. Orioles are 11-24 in their last 35 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 7-0 in Clevingers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like Cleveland - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 47-12 L/59 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors spanning 5 seasons. Play on the Cleveland Indians |
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09-07-17 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Lynn the Cards starter against the Padres tonight, has recorded a solid 3.25 ERA in six starts versus the Padres in his career , and ranks in the National League top 10 in many pitching categories which includes, opposing batting average (.211), ERA (2.99) and hits/nine innings (6.79).He's held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in 12 starts, which leads the majors. Meanwhile, Richard, the Fathers starter is 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA in 13 games (nine starts) against the Cardinals. He is highly respected by his peers and leads a young pitching staff by example and work ethic unmatched in modern day baseball. He also leads the Padres in innings pitched (173) and in seven of his last eight games he's gone at least six innings. Under is 10-2 in Lynns last 12 starts overall.Under is 8-2 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 41-18-1 in Lynns last 60 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 road starts.Under is 11-5 in Padres last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. Padres.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 7-1 in umpire Tichenors last 8 Thursday games behind home plate and the last 8 times he has been behind home plate in a Cards game the total has stayed under. LYNN is 10-1 UNDER L/11 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season dating back over the last few seasons. LYNN is 17-3 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career.RICHARD is 31-14 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-07-17 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Dan Straily (9-8, 3.91 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (2-8, 4.31) Miami will send Straily (9-8, 3.91 ERA) to the hill in the opener of a four-game series at SunTrust Park, and Atlanta will counter with rookie Sean Newcomb (2-8, 4.31) on Thursday. Straily the Marlins man on the mound has been extremely strong in three starts against Atlanta this season, going 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Straily has struck out 20 batters in 17 innings, has walked only three and has allowed just one home run. He matches up well against the Braves batters. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Newcomb is in good form at the end of his rookie season . He was 1-3 with a 4.02 ERA in six starts in August but allowed three or fewer runs in five of those starts. He lost to Chicago on Aug. 31 despite allowing only two earned runs in five innings with seven strikeouts. So the W's are not there , but solid pitching performances are which solidifies my bet that this tilt will stay under the Total. NEWCOMB is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg getting scored. ATLANTA is 24-9 UNDER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. MIAMI is 31-18 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.ATLANTA is 16-8 UNDER in home games against division opponents this season. The Marlins are 0-13 L/13 UNDER in the first game of a series when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em when they are off two losses in which they never led going under by 3.62 rpg game. Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 7-0 in Newcombs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record including 5 straight at home vs a below .500 team.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-06-17 | Texas Rangers - Game #2 -117 v. Atlanta Braves - Game #2 | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Cole Hamels the ace of the Texas staff will make the start for the Rangers here in the 2nd game of this double Header. Meanwhile, Julio Teheran (9-11, 4.75 ERA) will start for the Braves , making his first start at SunTrust Park since ending a nine-game home losing streak with a victory over the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 25. Unfortunately for him, and despite of pitching well of late I'm betting he reverts back to his losing ways here at home again. He threw 109 pitches in his last outing, allowing just 1 run in a win and will not be so fresh here and could tire early. Also with that in mind it must be noted that Atlanta is 0-11 L/11 when Julio Teheran starts at home and he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. |
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09-06-17 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Royals send Boyd to the hill to face the KC royals this week. He owns a 8.67 ERA in his L/3 starts. The Motown hurler has been hit hard in his eight career outings against them. He has a 2-3 record and 8.27 ERA in those appearances. He is 1-0 with a 6.52 ERA in two starts against Kansas City this year. Meanwhile, Hamels goes to the hill for the Royals. He has recorded a 5.21 ERA in his L/3 starts. Hammel is 2-2 with a 6.70 ERA in 12 career outings (nine starts) against the Tigers and is winless in his last six starts vs. Detroit dating back to 2011. Both hurlers look like they will be cannon fodder in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 28-11 OVER L/39 in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season , with a combined average of 10.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. KANSAS CITY is 23-9 OVER in September games dating back to last season.KANSAS CITY is 10-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more with a combined average of 12.2 rpg going on the scoreboard.DETROIT is 20-11 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg getting scored. Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Royals - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 46-23 to the OVER dating back 5 seasons. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-06-17 | Phillies +103 v. Mets | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
The Mets have lost 17 of their last 23 and are fade material here this evening, vs a Philadelphia team that despite of being bottom feeders still have some fight left in them behind with a fairly young lineup with promise. The Phillies Pivetta the teams starter tonight in his most recent trip the hill allowed one run over six innings Friday as the Phillies beat the Miami Marlins 2-1 and gets the nod here in this spot. PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this season and 8-2 after scoring 9 or more runs which happened yesterday in a 9-1 victory vs the Mets. NY METS are 14-37 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.NY METS are 4-15 L/19 against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Phillies - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest are 43-16 dating back 20 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for betting backers of this league wide trend. |
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09-05-17 | Royals -123 v. Tigers | 2-13 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Royals LH Jason Vargas (14-9, 3.87 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 6.95) Sanchez the Tigers starter I'm betting exhibits some rust today after being on the disabled list over the L/2 weeks. Prior to his being sidelined, he allowed 17 runs on 23 hits - nine home runs - over 11 1/2 innings in three trips to the hill. I'm expecting he will be cannon fodder for the royals bats tonight. I know Vargas his pitching opponent tonight, has not been good form since the all star break, but is still a stable commodity compared to his counterpart. With that said, I'm betting the Royals hand the Tigers their 6th straight loss in this spot. VARGAS has seen his team go 20-9 L/29 when he starts against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.KANSAS CITY is 19-6 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. SANCHEZ team when he starts is is 5-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher.Royals are 13-4 in Vargas' last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.The Tigers are 0-14 as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 12+ hits. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the tigers - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 26-82 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 72-24 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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09-05-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.32 ERA) vs. Pirates LH Steven Brault (0-0, 5.93) Hendricks the Cubs starter tonight vs Pittsburgh is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts since the end of July when he came off the disabled list .The righty hurler has made four straight quality starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any appearance since his return. Meanwhile, Brault the Bucks starter will make his first big-league start of the season after six appearances out of the bullpen and has made seven major-league starts last season and went 0-3 with a 4.26 ERA, so he is still looking for his first major-league win. Brault has allowed 17 runs (nine earned) in 8 2/3 innings over four career trips to the hill(one start) against the Cubs and according to my cross reference pitching vs offensive power rankings is fade material tonight. (it must be noted that the cubs offense has done their best work against southpaw hurlers like Brault this season averaging 5.7 rpg in offense The Pirates smashed the Cubs 12-0 in the series opener, and now embarrassed I expect they come here with intentions of getting back on track today and handing out some big pay back of their own.The Pirates are 0-14 L/14 on the runline and moneyline as a 170+ dog after they scored six-plus runs and it is after the All-Star break , losing by an average of 4.43 rpg on the moneyline and 2.93 rpg on the runline. HENDRICKS when he starts has seen his team go 24-7 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Pirates - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 24-90 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors. Play on Chicago Cubs -1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay will send right-hander Alex Cobb (9-9, 3.72 ERA) to the mound on Monday. Cobb is 0-3 in his past four starts but his pitched well in those three starts, recording a stingy 2.20 ERA . I'm expecting both there teams to have problems scoring today vs pitchers in top form.
Play on UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Angels -137 v. A's | 11-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27) Right-handers Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27 ERA) of the A's and Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52) of the Angels will kick off a series this Monday.Smith the Athletics starter today is among my lowest ranking pitcher in my personal power rankings list. It must be noted that LA is 17-0 as a 125-plus road chalk on the moneyline off a road tilt when facing a team that is under .550 on the season whose starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.625 like Smith. Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 road starts.Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings. BRIDWELLs team is 8-0 when he starts against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season and is 9-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 7-22 l/29 against the money line in home games in September games over the last few seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher As - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or mote over his last 3 starts are just 21-86 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Yankees v. Orioles -122 | 7-4 | Loss | -122 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (13-8, 3.94) Bundy the Orioles starter is coming off his first career complete game, a one-hit shutout vs the Seattle Mariners in which he registered 12 strikeouts. I'm betting he uses the momentum of that game to take out the NY Yankees to Monday afternoon. Bundy (13-8, 3.94 ERA) went 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five starts in August. Meanwhile, the Yankees will start rookie Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA). In his latest trip to the hill, Montgomery took the loss against the Cleveland Indians by allowing four runs and six hits over just four innings. He actually looked a little tired in that game, and is fade material here this afternoon in Baltimore in game 1 of this series. The Yankees I'm betting will also be in a natural letdown situation after beating the ace of the BoSox rotation last night Chris Sale by a 9-2 count. It must be noted however, that the Yankees have not performed all that well in this situation , as they are 4-15 against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this season. Yankees are 2-8 in Montgomerys last 10 starts.Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomerys last 5 road starts.Yankees are 1-8 in Montgomerys last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Orioles are 7-0 in Bundys last 7 starts.Orioles are 5-0 in Bundys last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Baltimore.The Orioles are 12-0 on the moneyline with no rest as a favorite in the first game of a series when playing a team that has a better record. BALTIMORE is 29-11 L/40 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-17 | Phillies +117 v. Mets | 7-11 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Mark Leiter Jr. (2-4, 3.88 ERA) vs. Mets RH Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12) New York's Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12 ERA) is expected to face Philadelphia's Mark Leiter (2-4, 3.88 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers at Citi Field this Monday afternoon. In his past 15 games (11 starts), Montero is 3-5 with a 4.27 ERA and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 72-30 in 71 1/3 innings. He opened the season by going 0-4 with an 8.24 ERA in his first 13 games (two starts) and had a great outing last time out, but watching this young man pitch I'm betting that was an anomaly and I am going against him here this afternoon.Montero is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in six career trips to the hill (two starts) against the Phillies. Leiter, a left-handed hurler, allowed one run over five innings of relief in his lone appearance against the Mets on Aug. 10 and gets the nod today. NY METS are 10-17 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.NY METS are 12-29 against the money line in day games this season.The Phillies are 17-0 on the moneyline in the first game of a series as a dog off a road game when their opponents starting pitcher has same-season-revenge and it is after the All-Star break.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 1-6 in Monteros last 7 home starts.Mets are 3-12 in their last 15 home games. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-03-17 | Red Sox -115 v. Yankees | 2-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Chris Sale (15-6, 2.77 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (11-6, 3.14) Sale owns a 2.12 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings against New York this season but is just 0-2 in four outings due to poor run support He is off a .dominating effort at Toronto on Tuesday, when he struck out 11 without walking a batter and scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings. Needless to say he enters this game with fire in his eyes, and is a quality hurler to back in this spot. Meanwhile, the Yankees will return fire with Luis Severino who's worst start of the season came in a home game home against Boston on Aug. 12, when he was crushed for 10 runs ( eight earned ) over 4 1/3 innings of ugly work. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter projections , tells me the BoSox offense should give Sale all the run support he will need tonight. Red Sox are 5-1 in Sales last 6 road starts. BOSTON is 37-19 L/56 against the money line in September games.BOSTON is 27- against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season dating back to last year.SEVERINO is 5-12 L/17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over.
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09-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -137 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays enter this game vs Baltimore despite of winning yesterdays game having dropped three consecutive road series. Overall, they are 8-16 in their last 24 road games and 3-7 in their last 10 and once again look like fade material here this afternoon in Maryland. Toronto is also 0-4 in series against the Orioles this season. |
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09-03-17 | Reds v. Pirates -116 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Reds RH Sal Romano (4-5, 4.91 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Trevor Williams (5-7, 4.37) The Pirates took out the Reds 5-0 yesterday which is a good omen for us as they are 17-0 as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they shut out their opponent. CINCINNATI is 7-26 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 2-11 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 6-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Reds - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 runs/game or more per game on the season (NL), in September games are just 15-58 over the L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-02-17 | Angels -115 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (6-12, 5.09 ERA) vs. Rangers RH A.J. Griffin (6-5, 5.26)
Angels are 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Angels are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB Road teams LA Angels - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 63-32 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the LA Angles to win on the moneyline |
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09-01-17 | Rays v. White Sox +155 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter southpaw Blake Snell (2-6, 4.29 ERA) will start today against a White Sox team that are big home underdogs. Last time out Chicago lost 5-4 in walk off fashion as underdogs , but this time around I'm betting they find their way and deliver a pay day vs a, pitcher that despite of some recent good outings is a very hittable pitcher. Chicago has lost their L/2 games they played vs the Rays but are solid in that situation going 10-5 against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.The White Sox are also 6-0 L/6 as a home dog in the first game of a series with no rest when they are off a road game and they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost. Rays are 1-5 in Snells last 6 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Rays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.Snell has won just two times in 20 career road starts. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-01-17 | Angels v. Rangers -101 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-4, 4.25 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Cole Hamels (9-2, 3.78) Skaggs the Angels starter tonight vs the Rangers is 0-3 with a 4.56 ERA since coming off the disabled list . . Skaggs owns a 2-2 record along with a 5.66 ERA against the Rangers in his career. I'm betting Skaggs in trouble today vs a Texas side that does their best offensive work at home averaging 5.8 rpg via a .271 BA. Meanwhile, Texas will respond with southpaw Cole Hamels (9-2, 3.78 ERA), who had a solid August despite a ugly outing last time out. I expect this quality hurler to come back here with a vengeance. He owns a 4-1 record along with a stingy 2.47 ERA for his career vs the Halos.Hamels is 6-0 at home this season in 8 starts along with a very stable 3.01 ERA. HAMELS team when he starts is 16-2 L/18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season.LA ANGELS are 3-11 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Rangers - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% are 48-21 during the L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees -135 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (4-4, 4.19 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.82) Sabathia is making his third start since returning from the disabled list because of a right knee injury. Sabathia was on the DL when the Red Sox last visited New York and returned Aug. 19 in Boston when he allowed two runs and four hits.He followed it up by allowing just one run and five hits in seven quality innings in a no-decision in the Yanks heart breaking 11-inning loss to the Seattle Mariners this past Friday. Sabathia is shaping back into form and I expect he will be at his best in this tilt. . The current Boston roster is hitting a combined .187 (32-for-171) off him. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, in nine starts since May 25, Rodriguez the BoSox starter is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA.Rodriguez is trying for his first win in over three months. The Red Sox swept the Yanks the last time they met, and now I expect the Yankees will be amped up to perform here, as they are not only in revenge mode, but in a desperation mode as well, as their play off aspirations, will hinge on their play over the next week. SABATHIA is 10-2 against the money line against division opponents this season.Red Sox are 0-5 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts vs. Red Sox. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -128 | 11-8 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
I almost always like to put a starting pitching matchup analysis up , but when a situation like this arises, momentum plays a almost bigger factor in a projected outcome .Toronto just finished a six-game homestand with a ugly 1-5 record and have now lost 10 of 12 overall. The Blue Jays sit in last place in the American League East and are regularly playing like bottom feeders and are fade material here again tonight vs a Baltimore team on a red hot 7 game win streak after yesterdays 8-7 win vs the Mariners.The Orioles have been offensively explosive during their winning run, scoring four or more runs in six of the seven victories. With play off aspirations still in play I expect we will see the Os, in top form, again tonight vs a team playing out the string that they have beaten 7 of 10 times this season. BALTIMORE is 36-10 L/46 against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).TORONTO is 4-11 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.BALTIMORE is 67-29 L/96 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Os starter HELLICKSON is 7-2 against the money line against division opponents this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Jays - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 11-45 over the L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | White Sox +137 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Gonzalez the White Sox starter is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA over his last four starts and owns a 2.93 ERA in eight starts since coming off the disabled list with AC joint inflammation in his right shoulder. Needless to say he is in top form. Meanwhile, Minnesota's veteran hurler, Colon, despite of being fairly stable , owns a bloated 6.94 ERA at home this year spanning 9 starts. Looking at this games pitching matchup, there is value in backing a visiting White Sox team that has cashed 4 of their L/7 as underdogs and 7 of their L/11 overall, with young rejuvenated lineup. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-7 against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival which happened last time out. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-30-17 | A's v. Angels -139 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) vs. Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 2.89) Bridwell the Angels starter tonight continued to be in top form last Friday but suffered his first loss in nine starts after giving up two runs and six hits in seven innings against Houston. Today I expect he will bounce back and get his team to the win via his usual solid work.Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Despite the absence of Mike Trout, the Angels have outscored the Athletics 11-3 in winning the first two , games of this series, and with Trout expected back tonight the Angels will be ready for a bigger output. Meanwhile, Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) has pitched well against Los Angeles this season, going 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three starts. However, all three of those outings were well before he missed 2 1/2 months with a strained shoulder. He has pitched decently of late, but I still feel he is less than 100% and susceptible to being beaten around. Athletics are 0-5 in Gravemans last 5 road starts and are 0-6 in Gravemans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 18-41 in their last 59 road games.Athletics are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles. BRIDWELL team when he starts is 8-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 19-4 l/23 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons.OAKLAND is 17-42 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-30-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (8-15, 4.57 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (6-10, 4.10) Over his past five starts, Happ the Blue Jays starter is 3-2 with a 3.94 ERA. Happ won the first three of those starts, allowing one run in each outing, then lost the next two, allowing five runs each time. I expect he will bounce back today vs a Red Sox batting order that he matches up well against according to my own cross reference baseball pitcher vs offense power rankings. He has pitched once this season against the Red Sox, a no-decision July 18 in the Blue Jays' 5-4, 15-inning loss at Fenway Park. He allowed five hits, two walks and two earned runs while striking out two over five innings.Happ is 5-3 with an ERA of 3.66 in 14 career games (13 starts) against Boston. Meanwhile, his Boston Red Sox pitching opponent Porcello goes against a Toronto Blue Jays team that has averaged only 4.1 rpg at home this season via a .242 BA. Porcello ahs been average at best, but the way the inconsistent offense of the Jays is operating I expect he will have a decent start and than rely on a solid bullpen with a 3.21 ERA on the season. The Red Sox have gone under 12 straight times as a dog past the first game of a series after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game. Under is 6-0 in Porcellos last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Porcellos last 7 road starts.Under is 25-12 in Red Sox last 37 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Happs last 6 starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Happs last 6 starts overall. TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER L/33 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg going on the board.TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER L/14 vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.BOSTON is 31-18 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.HAPP is 10-1 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.TORONTO is 30-18 UNDER in home games against right-handed starters this season. HAPP is 8-0 UNDER in night games this season with a combined average of 71 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-29-17 | Giants v. Padres -113 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
The Giants starter tonight Matt Moore’s has pitched well recently with his team winning his last two starts, but the Giants have not performed well in this spot going 0-11 on the road off a road tilt when they won the last two games their starter started, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. Previous too his recent success Moore was just 1-8 from May 24-Aug. 7, so a regression to the norm is not out of the question. Meanwhile Perdomo (6-8, 4.84 ERA) the Fathers starter, was in top form in his last trip out at St. Louis on Thursday. Over six innings, he allowed just two runs on seven hits and two walks in a no-decision.In seven career games against the Giants, Perdomo is 1-0 with a 3.94 ERA. He is 0-0 with a 3.63 ERA in three starts vs. San Francisco this year. I like the Padres hurler here to keep his team in the game. SF took a 3-0 win yesterday but SAN DIEGO is 7-1 against the money line revenging a shutout loss to opponent this season. Giants are 1-6 in Moores last 7 starts vs. National League West.Padres are 5-2 in Perdomos last 7 home starts.Padres are 6-1 in Perdomos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Giants- starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are just 35-70 L/105 opportunities for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-29-17 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota will start right-hander Ervin Santana (13-7, 3.24 ERA), while Chicago will go with James Shields (2-4, 5.63 ERA).A new arm slot has aided Shields upward performance in August, where he has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his four outings and he had three quality starts. He allowed three runs on three hits against the Twins on Aug. 23.He has a 3.00 ERA over two starts against the Twins this season. Meanwhile, the Twins starter Santana looks to close out a top tier August, during which he’s gone 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA. His last start was also against the White Sox where he allowed just three hits and one earned run but came away with a no-decision in Chicago's win.He is 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four starts against the South Siders this season. I'm betting both these capable hurlers will keep the other offense under wraps tonight and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the number. Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 10-1-1 in Santanas last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. CHI WHITE SOX are 10-2 UNDER L/12 after a win by 6 runs or more this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg.(White sox won 7-1 last time out) The Twins have gone under 14 of the l/15 times as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which they won by 5 or more runs with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board.(Minnesota won 7-2 last time out) Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-28-17 | A's v. Angels -165 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Two pitchers who do not inspire all star day dreaming go to the mound to face each other tonight. The Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney (0-0, 8.10 ERA) will make his third start of the season following his return from Tommy John surgery.His last major league victory came against Oakland on Sept. 2, 2015, when he went seven innings and allowed three runs and seven hits in a 9-4 road victory.Heaney has made just 21 starts with the Angels since being acquired in a December 2014 trade. The 26-year-old is 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA in his Angels career. He has not been very good after coming off the disabled ,list , but now fully healed and the rust wearing off I'm betting he has enough juice in his arm, to keep the As bats under control tonight. Meanwhile, A's rookie hurler Gossett hasn't faced the Angels, but he is 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA against the AL West this season.Gossett gave up five runs in five innings in his return Wednesday but didn't get a decision in Baltimore.On the season, Gossett is 3-6 with a 5.49 ERA in 11 starts and is fade material in this spot play. Note:Angels superstar Mike Trout has hit more homers against the A's (24) than against any other team in his career. Trout is batting .308 in 104 games against Oakland in his career. I know Oakland has played well lately, but they have not dealt with success well. as they are 1-11 against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. Also the Athletics after the all star break are 0-20 L/20 after a 4 plus run win as a favorite , which happened yesterday vs the Rangers yesterday by a 8-3 count.OAKLAND is 9-22 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Angels - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 191-64 over the L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-28-17 | Rays v. Royals OVER 10 | 12-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.76 ERA) vs. Royals RH Ian Kennedy (4-9, 5.09)
KENNEDY is 7-0 OVER in home games in night games this season with a combined 11.2 rpg going on the board. The Royals are 10-0 to the OVER as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they did not hit a home run. The L/7 games in this series here in KC have gone over the Total. MLB teams against the total KC Royals - after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 53-22 L/75 for a 71% conversion rate for OVER bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-28-17 | Mariners v. Orioles -115 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (0-1, 7.40 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Chris Tillman (1-7, 7.75) Tillaman the Os starter tongiht has had an off year, but the former all star is a very capable hurler , and has faired well against Seattle in his career as is evident by a 7-1 record along with a 3.30 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) and his team has won his L/7 starts vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Gonzales the Mariners starter continues to struggle and has not made it past the 5th inning in any of his L/5 starts. After sweeping the American League East-leading Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park over the weekend, the streaking Orioles (65-65) bring a four-game winning streak into tonight's tilt vs the Seattle Mariners. Note the above mentioned weekender vs the BOSox saw them out score them by a 25-4 count. BALTIMORE is 20-6 L/26 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. BALTIMORE is 17-4 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.SEATTLE is 3-11 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Orioles - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 33-12 during the last 20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-27-17 | Astros v. Angels +122 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
The Angels had a very efficient offensive performance yesterday scoring 7 runs in a win vs the Astros. LA ANGELS are 21-7 L/28 against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base . Today I expect Nolasco who is 7-2 in his career against the Astros with a 3.63 ERA in 69 1/3 innings and 1-1 in two starts against Houston this season with a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings to do well and get his team to the promised land. the veteran Halos hurler has won four of his last five outings and must not be underestimated on a underdog line. Meanwhile, Astros starter MORTON's team when he starts is 14-36 against the money line in day games in his career and fade material in this spot play. Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. .HOUSTON is 9-15 against the money line in August games this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Angels - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 78-39 over the L/20 seasons, for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-27-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Orioles LH Wade Miley (7-10, 5.11 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (3-6, 4.78) It must be noted that the Bosox have dropped the first two games of this series: The Red Sox have gone under in 10 straight games when it is the last game of a three game series and they are trying to avoid a sweep. MILEY is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season with a combined 7.7 rpg going on the board. BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board.BALTIMORE is 12-3 UNDER L/15 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg being scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher like the Orioles - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 47-16 UNDER for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-27-17 | Pirates -119 v. Reds | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Taillon Pittsburgh Starter today will wear a jersey with "J-Mo" on the back above his number 50 as part of Players Weekend. After he was diagnosed with testicular cancer in May, the Pirates donned wristbands with the hashtag #JamoStrong for their friend and teammate. He has not pitched all that well of late, but this kids been through hell and back, and on a special occasion like today , I'm betting we see him at his best. Yesterday the Pirates shut out the Reds, and must be noted that the Reds are 0-9 on the moneyline as a dog coming off a home game in which they were shutout. The Pirates are also 13-0 L/13 against an opponent seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss, with their starters providing 12 straight quality starts in this situation. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starting hurler is ranked as the Reds' highly in the Reds pipleine of pitchers . The 22-year-old right-hander has a 2.06 ERA between Double-A Pensacola and Triple-A Louisville this season, and a combined 2.85 ERA in 105 career Minor League games, but here making his first MLB start I expect he won’t be as smooth here against top tier pros. CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Tigers v. White Sox -108 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Left-hander Carlos Rodon (2-4, 3.88) will start Saturday for the White Sox. Right-hander Buck Farmer (2-1, 6.62) will start for Detroit.Farmer hasn't pitched for the Tigers since June 18 against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he allowed seven runs in 2 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Rodon owns a 2.49 ERA in his L/3 starts, while allowing just 6 ERs in his L/22 innings of work. Needless to say, these pitchers indicators are at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, making Rodon and the White Sox a viable moneyline investment option. RODON is 9-1 L/10 against the money line in home games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings. White Sox are 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 8-3 in Rodons last 11 home starts.Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games. CHI WHITE SOX are 7-0 L/7 against the money line in home games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher . Which happened yesterday in a 3-2 Pale Hose win vs Verlander and company.RODON is 8-0 L/8 against the money line in home games in August games over the last few seasons. Home teams like the white Sox - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 105-64 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Rangers -114 v. A's | 3-8 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Since he came to the Texas Rangers on July 31, 2015, in a trade from the Philadelphia Phillies, left-hander Cole Hamels has gone 31-7 on the moneyline.This season, he's recorded a solid 9-1 record and will take a five-game winning streak into this the second game of the this set with their hosts the Oakland A's.Hamels has a .816 winning percentage in his career with the Rangers. He's the second pitcher in major-league history with a winning percentage of .800 or higher in his first 60 starts with a team. Needless to say, I'm feeling confident in backing him in the Rangers this afternoon Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA in five career starts against the A's. He's 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three starts at the Coliseum..After losing the series opener against Oakland and falling two games behind Minnesota for the second wild-card spot in the American League I'm expecting his offense to also be ready to back him in this spot. Meanwhile, Manaea his pitching opponent from the A's is slumping and not in good form as his recent slump, that has seen him go-0-3 with an 8.17 ERA in six starts. HAMELS is 9-0 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season. TEXAS is 33-17 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-25-17 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Tigers RH Justin Verlander (9-8, 3.96 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (7-10, 4.44) Detroit's starter Verlander is coming off a stellar performance against the Los Angeles Dodgers last weekend when he allowed one run on two hits and struck out nine over eight innings in a 6-1 Tigers victory. He was keyed up for that game, and will now be in an emotional let down situation. He is 3-6 with a 5.24 ERA away from Comerica Park this year, including three homers at Texas last week. it must also be noted the Tigers have lost their past seven road games since Aug. 5, including a three-game sweep at Texas last week. They've been outscored by a 54-20 margin in that stretch and overall have allowed 29 runs in their L/3 games, and I'm betting on the White Sox doing some offensive damage tonight, which help us get over the Total. I know Migule Gonzalez the Pale Hose starter has pitched well lately, but he is just 3-6 with a 7.07 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) against Detroit and in 3 outings against them this season, two were disastrous allowing 13 runs in 12 innings of 24 hits. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter power rankings suggest Motown matches up well against him. VERLANDER in 7 starts this season in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season has seen a combined score of 9.6 rpg go on the scoreboard. CHI WHITE SOX are 23-12 OVER vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg getting scored.DETROIT is 25-14 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored in those tilts. DETROIT in 31 games when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season has seen average of 10.2 rpg get scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Verlanders last 5 road starts vs. White Sox.Over is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts vs. Tigers.Over is 6-0 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3 in Tigers last 15 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-25-17 | Mariners v. Yankees -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Tonight's pitching matchup for the opener of the Mariners @ NYY series will feature a pair of left-handers, New York's CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.99 ERA) and Seattle's Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.78). Sabathia returned from the DL Saturday in Boston and was in good form, allowing just two runs and four hits in six innings in a 4-3 win. He is 3-2 with a 4.45 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.One of those starts came on July 21 in Seattle, as the veteran allowed one run and four hits in five innings of a 5-1 win. Sabathia improved his career stats against the Mariners to 14-6 with a 2.62 ERA in 27 starts.. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Miranda is showing some inconsistencies. He was 7-4 with a 4.15 ERA in his first 18 starts but is 1-2 with a 6.51 ERA in his past seven outings and not exhibiting quality form at the moment and is fade material. SABATHIA is 7-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SABATHIA is 8-0 against the money line after his team suffered al loss this season.Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathias last 16 starts vs. Mariners Mariners are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings. The Yankees are 15-0 L/15 as a 140+ favorite off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings , which happened in yesterdays 10-6 loss vs Detroit. Play on the NYY to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-24-17 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Astros starter Keuchel (11-2, 2.58 ERA) struggled coming off the the disabled list, but has finally transformed back to the pitcher he was prior to his injuries and is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA over his last two starts.KEUCHEL is 14-2 UNDER L/16 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Nationals Right-hander Stephen Strasburg (10-4, 3.24) will start the series finale. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros.On Saturday, Strasburg started after missing nearly a month with an elbow impingement, and took a 3-1 loss to the San Diego Padres, but pitched well as he gave up two runs on four hits, with eight strikeouts, over six innings. I'm betting his form will be even better today as he gets back into game shape. I expect both starting pitchers to go fairly deep today, and for this score to remain on the low side of the Total. WASHINGTON is 22-8 UNDER L/30 as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 21-7 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season dating back to last year, with a combined 6.4 rpg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg getting scored. Only one of Washington's L/12 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 2.33 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 11 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/14 games, and have gone under 6 straight times , allowing an average of 2.16 rpg. I'm betting this total score will also land on the low side of the number. The linesmakers have dropped this total a full 1 and 1.r runs lower than the first two totals listed in this series, but there is still real value attached to under wager in this spot. Play UNDER |
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08-24-17 | Rockies v. Royals -113 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
Royals starter Jake Junis' is off a bad turn, out the bullpen last time out, but his last two starts for the Kansas City Royals were of a top tier variety and he looks ready to carry that momentum into this game vs the Rockies as KC trolls for the sweep.He limited the Seattle Mariners to four hits and one run over eight innings, walking none and striking out seven, in an Aug. 6 victory and than he controlled the Oakland Athletics on Aug. 14, giving up two runs on four hits over six innings, walking none and striking out two. With Kansas City in red hot form having won three straight and seven of 10 following Wednesday's 6-4 victory vs the Rockies |
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08-23-17 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Tonights pitching matchup - featyres Right-hander Mike Fiers (7-8, 4.32 ERA) going to the hill for the Astros. Right-hander Edwin Jackson (4-2, 3.43 ERA) will start for the Nationals.Jackson has won back-to-back starts, allowing just two runs over 13 innings in is currently in the best form of the season. Jackson has posted a strong 1.11 WHIP in six starts for the Nationals and has struck out 29 while issuing only eight walks. Meanwhile, Friers, the Astros starter despite of some ugly outings lately, is still a sold hurler, that has performed well against the Nationals in the past, as is evident by a 2-1 record along with a 2.45 ERA over four career outings (including two starts) against the Nationals. Only one of Washingtons L/11 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 1.9 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 11 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/13 games, and have gone under 5 straight times , allowing an average of 2.4 rpg. I'm betting this total score will also land on the low side of the number. JACKSON is 10-1 UNDER L/11 when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season with a combined 5.8 rpg going on the board. FIERS is 22-8 UNDER in career starts when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 21-8 UNDER L/29 as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. Under is 9-0-2 in Nationals last 11 overall.Under is 9-0 in Nationals last 9 interleague games.Under is 8-0 in Nationals last 8 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts overall.Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games.Under is 20-7-1 in Astros last 28 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Nationals - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 60-33 under during the past 5 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-23-17 | Blue Jays -109 v. Rays | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (11-6, 2.99 ERA) vs. Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.37) Stroman the Blue Jays starter today enters this tilt against the Rays in top form as is evident by having limited opposition batters to three earned runs or fewer in 20 of 25 starts this season. He has allowed just one homer over his last 10 starts and has recorded a stingy 2.02 ERA over that time.Among starters with at least 100 batted balls allowed since the All-Star break, Stroman has the lowest average launch angle (-0.8 degrees), according to MLBs Statcast. He also has the second-lowest rate of barreled balls allowed (1.4 percent), surrendering only two total during that time. This will be Stroman's second straight start vs the Rays, as he faced them last Wednesday. On average, Stroman has performed better in the second game of those back-to-back starts. He recorded a 3.48 ERA over 20 2/3 innings in the second starts, and a 5.06 ERA over 16 innings the first time he faced the opponent. Today I'm betting we see the Jays young hurler at his best. Note: Stroman owns a 2.25 ERA over three starts against Tampa Bay. He's struck out 22 Rays over 20 innings this season. Meanwhile, Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.37 a rookie and will make his first start against the Blue Jays, though he's seen them three times coming out of the bullpen. He gave up 11 hits AND 6 RUNS in 7 innings last time out, and according to my own cross reference batter vs pitcher power rankings matches up poorly vs the Jays sometimes explosive offense. Overall, the Rays have lost four of Pruitt’s L/5 starts and the losses in his last three outings have all been at home, and I'm betting things don't get better in this spot as the Jays bounce back from yesterdays 6-5 loss. Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stromans last 5 starts vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 8-2 in Stromans last 10 starts on astroturf.Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stromans last 5 road starts vs. Rays. Long term team trend: The Blue Jays are also 19-0 L/19 on the moneyline as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is after the All-Star break. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |