Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-07-23 | Orioles +148 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
The finale of this series now tied 1-1 features Atlanta's Bryce Elder (3-0, 1.75 ERA) against Baltimore's Tyler Wells (2-1, 3.34). WELLS is 12-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and have an edge here according to my projections from a mathematical standpoint based on a value underdog line that is bloated. Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 9-3 in their last 12 road games. BALTIMORE is 22-11 against the money line in all games this season.BALTIMORE is 13-3) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ATLANTA is 9-16 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Orioles are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Baltimore to win |
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05-06-23 | Astros -116 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
The Astros starting hurler France has been a strong minor league pitcher averaging 2.33 ERA in 19 1/3 innings this year in Triple-A ball , while averaging 12.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The 28 year old can make you miss, and against a Seattle team that is struggling to hit and score hes a prime candidate to help his team to a victory. Meanwhile, the Astros bats get to face a sub par hurler in Marco Gonzales who has garnered a bloated 4.74 ERA. MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON -GONZALES is 2-9 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.459.
Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Seattle.Astros are 52-19 in the last 71 meetings. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games are 27-9 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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05-06-23 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Minnesota's starter Gray has not allowed more than one run in any of his starts this season and has garnered 41 strikeouts in 31 innings of top tier pitching .Meanwhile, the Guardians Allen has made two starts during this campaign, and looked good both times . The southpaw has not allowed more than three runs and struck out 16 batters in 11 innings of quality work. I expect both starters to long and strong and for both od these decent bullpens to hold the proverbial fort. Note:The Twins pen ranks 13th while garnering a 3.73 ERA, while the Guardians rank eighth in MLB with a 3.35 ERA. Im betting on the pitching staffs having the upper hand on the offenses today. CLEVELAND is 7-0 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games. Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 21-6 in Guardians last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning recor Under is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 3-1-2 in Twins last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 37-11 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the under |
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05-06-23 | Tigers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Detroits starter Turnbull has been battered this season as he returns from Tommy John surgery. The righty hurler has garnered a bloated 6.83 ERA . Meanwhile, veteran righty Wainwright makes his season debut for the struggling Cards . his velocity was off late last season, and he is throwing alot of soft stuff, curveballs in particular, that a decent hitting and up-trending Tigers offense Im betting can tee off on. Note: St.Louis has allowed 33 runs in thier L/5 games and with Wainwright on the hill more runs should be on the agenda. As far as the Cards offense goes, they should get a boost facing a pitcher that is in fade material mode at this time. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored . Advantage to the over |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers -113 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are rocking and rolling right now with 6 straight wins and a recent offensive explosion of 42 runs in their L/4 trips to the diamonds. In their current form they are worth trailing on a value line in a advantageous situation according to my power rankings. KERSHAW is 24-9 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 0.964.The three-time Cy Young Award winner has a 0.763 WHIP and a .175 opponents' batting average and looks like he is back in his prime.Kershaw is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 career starts at Petco Park. Dodgers are 58-21 in their last 79 during game 1 of a series. Dodgers are 70-27 in their last 97 games vs. a right-handed starter and have the advantage here vs the Fathers today like Fathers starter Darvish. Darvish is 3-5 lifetime against the Dodgers with a 2.47 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 17 walks in 62 innings over 10 starts. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after allowing 1 run or less against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 9-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Dodgers are 66-30 in the last 96 meetings. Play on Los Angeles Dodgers to win |
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05-05-23 | A's v. Royals -155 | 12-8 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Athletics will send lefty Kyle Muller (0-2, 6.28 ERA) to the mound against Royals righty Brad Keller (2-2, 3.56). Muller has allowed 56 baserunners in 28 2/3 innings. My power rankings suggest this is a pitching mismatch favoring the Royals.One of the few bright spots among Royals starters, Keller has allowed hitters to a .226 BA , in 30 1/3 innings.
OAKLAND is 1-17 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games, in May games are 15-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Royals to win |
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05-04-23 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby, 2-2, 2.93 ERA, will get the start for the Mariners. The Athletics will counter with Drew Rucinski, 0-1, 4.76 ERA. Seattle’s pitching staff has been consistent, as is evident by giving up an average 4.14 runs per game. Opposition batting orders have garnered a lowly .230 batting average against the Mariners, which ranks seventh in the league. Their 3.52 ERA is also seventh, as is their 1.21 WHIP are also ranked 7th. Meanwhile, I know the As pitching is one of the most inconsistent in all of MLB , but this matchup and pitcher vs batting order projections looks favorable for them when it comes to limiting the Mariners offensive production with D. Rucinski on the hill . (Yes Hill has not impressed of late but does matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games.Under is 7-3 in Mariners last 10 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in Athletics last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Seattles starter Kirby.OAKLAND is 17-6 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 32-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play under |
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05-04-23 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 6-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Colorados starter Seabold (0-0, 5.27 ERA) will match up against Brewers lefty Wade Miley (3-1, 1.86). My projections estimate that Seahold matches up well vs a 4.4 rpg on a .240 BA. Meanwhile, Miley also matches up well here vs a Colorado side averaging 3.9 rpg. I know Coors Filed is a proverbial launching pad, but this series has been fairly low scoring so far and nothing will change today according to my projections. Under is 12-3-1 in Brewers last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Seabold.Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 37-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 82 % conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-03-23 | Brewers v. Rockies +104 | 1-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Freeland (2-3, 4.32 ERA) will square off against Milwaukee's Eric Lauer (3-2, 5.19) in a battle of left-handers. Milwaukee has struggled against southpaw pitching averaging just 3.2 rpg via .202 BA. FREELAND is 33-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in his career. (Team's Record) Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 39-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.Brewers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado. Colorado Rockies to win |
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05-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Torontos starter MANOAH is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MANOAH is 15-4 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Manoah has been outstanding in six career starts against the Red Sox, going 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 37 innings and Im betting another top notch effort tonight. Meanwhile,Nick Pivetta (1-2, 5.11 ERA) goers to the hill for Boston . The right-hander has pitched at least five innings and recorded at least five strikeouts in four of his first five starts and is edging into top form. Note: Under is 9-2-1 in Blue Jays last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-3-2 in Blue Jays last 13 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Play under |
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05-03-23 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Reds starter Cessa may not inspire bettors when looking at an under bet but it must be noted that SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like the Reds expected starter Cessa. On the flips side , Lugo who makes his 15th career appearance (second start) against the Reds owns a a 1.04 ERA, a 1.154 WHIP and a .234 opponents' batting average vs Cinncy. He has pitched well this season, and deserves respect in his ability to limit the inconsistent Red offense here today and help us get paid via an under wager. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordS. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-02-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-13 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia will send left-hander Matt Strahm (2-2, 2.31 ERA) to the mound.The Dodgers will counter with lefty Julio Urias (3-3, 4.41 ERA), who won the National League ERA title last season with a 2.16 mark. Urias, who is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA lifetime against the Phillies in six appearances (four starts) is capable of holding the Phillies bats down. Also according to my pitcher vs power rankings numbers matches up well here. Factoring in the bull pens as well has me projecting a totals line closer to 7 which gives us a full run of value to the under. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Dodgers starter URIAS is 19-8 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games. PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 40-11 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 50-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-02-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers +140 | 4-6 | Win | 140 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Texas has averaged 6.4 rpg vs right handed starter like the Dbacks starter Gallen and 6.7 rpg at home this season, and are a value home dog here according to my projections. Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League West. Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 25-9 L/5 seasons for. a 74% conversion rate for bettors. (Texas smashed the Yankees 15-2 L/time out). Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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05-02-23 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Minnesotas starter RYAN is 10-1 OVER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Ryan whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.3 rpg scored. Over is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Ryan.Meanwhile, White Sox Tuesday starter Michael Kopech owns a (0-3, 7.01 ERA) and a bloated 9.31 ERA at home. My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest the Twins matchup well against him and should do some early damage. which will help us eclipse this total. Over is 11-3-1 in White Sox last 15 home games.Over is 19-6-3 in White Sox last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.BALDELLI is 27-11 OVER in road games in May games as the manager of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 10.1 rpg. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 62-27 OVER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 9.9 rpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. Play over |
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05-02-23 | Twins -160 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
White Sox are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Twins starter Ryan. White Sox garnered a victory last time out, but that has not been a recipe for success in the follow up as the White Sox are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. Rinse and repeat is the bet here. Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins to win |
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05-01-23 | Reds +1.5 v. Padres | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 0-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know he has pitched well recently but it must be noted thatSNELL is 5-13 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and get the nod here on. a value run line. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Play on Cincinnati Reds +1.5 runline |
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05-01-23 | Blue Jays -137 v. Red Sox | 5-6 | Loss | -137 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Jays had a 7 game win streak end yesterday in a loss to Seattle, and will now be n a bounce back mode here today. Jays starter Berrios owns a stingy 1.42 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is in top form. His team has won his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and my power rankings suggest he matches up well here against the BoSox starter Kluber who has recorded a 6.89 ERA in his L/3 starts including a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA at home in Fenway this season. Advantage Blue Jays. BOSTON is 34-54 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like the Jays starter Berrios. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 61-14 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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05-01-23 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago left-hander Drew Smyly (2-1, 3.21 ERA) opposes left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-1, 3.00) in the series opener. Smyly is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA over his past four starts. CHICAGO CUBS are 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Gore. Everything points to this being a pitchers duel. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. SMYLY is 12-2 UNDER (+10.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.Under is 37-18-6 in Cubs last 61 during game 1 of a series. Under is 13-3-3 in Nationals last 19 during game 1 of a seriesUnder is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 overall.Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the under |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Im betting that the Phillies will not get the series sweep as the Astros have the edge here, especially with Left-hander Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50) starting for Philadelphia. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 20-41 in their last 61 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. HOUSTON is 31-8 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-4 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 18-3 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 25-5 ( against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders as the manager of HOUSTON. Home teams (HOUSTON) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 36-16 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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04-30-23 | Pirates v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh put 16 runs on the board yesterday while allowing 1 run in a win vs the Nationals . Im expecting immediate regression offensively here today for the Pirates which will help us a cash a under ticket. Under is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series. PITTSBURGH is 22-11 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.
WASHINGTON is 42-26 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 7.9 rpg. Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Oviiedo. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Play under |
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04-30-23 | Orioles -149 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Orioles and Tigers split Saturday's doubleheader, with Baltimore pushing through with a 6-4 victory in the nightcap. That marked the Orioles 10th win in its last 12 games and like them to bring home the cash again this Sunday. Note: The Orioles Im betting will get out to an early lead vs Detroit's starter Spencer Turnbull (1-3, 7.25), who has had more strikeouts than walks in only one of his five trips to the hill this season.Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Turnbull. Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradish. Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Os starter Bradish. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-29-23 | Rays -135 v. White Sox | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay outscored Chicago 16-11 to secure a three-game sweep last weekend in Florida and has continued the momentum by winning the first two games of this weekend series. Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 5-0 against CHI WHITE SOX this season and Im betting they make it 6 in a row in the south side tonight. TAMPA BAY is 25-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 15-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. TAMPA BAY is 13-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-17 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 6-19 (against the money line in April games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33)or less, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-123 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 3.21) has the starting assignment for the Astros on Saturday and according to my projections has a high percentage chance of having a quality start. Meanwhile, Right-hander Zack Wheeler (2-1, 4.73 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Phillies which I also project to have a quality start. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 53-26-6 in Phillies last 85 vs. American League West. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. National League East. THOMSON is 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with s combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.THOMSON is 26-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play under |
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04-29-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost by 2 runs or more in 8 of their L/11 overall losses and this tilt projects out to be a runline win for the Twins. The Twins last 5 wins overall have come by 2 runs or more. Rinse and repeat in a projected mismatch. Note: KCs starter Brad Keller . Over the past 14 games, a Royals starter has been has garnered a win just one time , with all Royals starters combining to allow 57 runs (56 earned) in 67 2/3 innings during that span -- an ERA of 7.45. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 58-9 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this run line offering from the books. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins -1.5 runline |
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04-28-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -105 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The last time the Mariners visited Toronto, they overcame an 8-1 deficit Oct. 8 to complete a two-game sweep of the best-of-three American League wild-card series. You can bet the Jays have some redemption in mind. Seattles starter CASTILLO is 10-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more.12-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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04-27-23 | Orioles -144 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles swept the Detroit Tigers in a three-game home series last weekend and matchup well against them according to my early season power rankings. Orioles starter GIBSON is 22-12 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) worked out of a bases-loaded jam in the first inning on Saturday and went on to limit Detroit to two hits and one run in 6 1/3 innings. The Orioles batting order matches up very well left-hander Joey Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA), who allowed five runs and six hits in four innings on Saturday. Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. Orioles are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series. BALTIMORE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Tigers are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The As look abysmal at this point in the season, and today Im betting they have huge problems with Angels super star starter Ohtani. Ohtani (3-0, 0.64 ERA) has made five starts this season and is yet to give up more than three hits in a game. OAKLAND is 1-15 against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with the average rpg diff clicking at -5.5. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-36 L/26 seasons. Play on the LAA to win -1.5 runline |
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04-27-23 | Padres -126 v. Cubs | 2-5 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
After being held to five hits getting shut out for the fifth time in a 6-0 series-opening loss on Tuesday, San Diego recorded nine hits during a 5-3 win on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt and deserve my betting respect on this line offering.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 5-18 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 137-53 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Smyly (2-1, 3.13 ERA) took a perfect game into the eighth inning Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers and now Im betting with upward momentum on his side and continues his top tier work.He is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA in four games (two starts) vs. San Diego. Padres hace average 2.8 rpg scored. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. Scheduled San Diego starter Michael Wacha (2-1, 7.08 ERA) has struggled in his last two tilts but is a viable hurler who Im betting matches up well here vs the Cubs batting order in windy Wrigley. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the under |
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04-26-23 | White Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Chicago will start right-hander Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.97). In three career appearances (one start) against Toronto, Kopech is 0-1 with a 20.77 ERA. The Blue Jays answer back with Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (3-0, 3.80 ERA) who will start for Toronto on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 6.92 ERA in three career starts against the White Sox. Im betting on the explosive Blue Jays bats to be the major catalysts behind a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 9-3-1 in White Sox last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play on the over |
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04-26-23 | Rangers -103 v. Reds | 3-5 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Reds will vie for the sweep on Wednesday when they send Graham Ashcraft (2-0, 1.88 ERA) to the mound opposite fellow right-hander Jon Gray (1-1, 3.72). Im betting the inconsistent Reds dont get the sweep and instead Im backing the Rangers here to salvage a victory behind the arm of Gray who is 4-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.348 with his team winning 5 of his all time starts vs the Reds.Rangers are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Play on Texas to win |
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04-25-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -135 | 5-4 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Kansas City lost for the ninth time in the past 10 games yesterday by a 5-4 count to the Dbacks. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as the Dbacks will be wide awake despite of their opponents ugly record so far this season. Quote:"I don't care if it's home or road. It's frustrating to lose, and everybody in there is frustrated," "It's a dangerous thing to start thinking about who you're playing and what their record is because we respect every opponent," Lovullo said. "If we start to look at them as less talented, which they are not, we're in trouble." Quote. Royals are 3-14 in their last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Nelson. .Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Neslson. Royals are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 22-51 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games.. Royals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Play on Arizona Dbacks to win |
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04-25-23 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 8 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Two viable starting hurlers go to the hill today in this matchup between the Astros and their hosts the Rays. In the Astros' 8-1 victory on Wednesday, Garcia threw seven shutout innings and allowed just two hits. He struck out nine and walked one over a season-high 92 pitches and he enters this tilt with momentum. Meanwhile, Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 2.01) in his three victories has held the opposition scoreless -- six innings against the Washington Nationals, seven against the Oakland A's and five his last time outing in Cincinnati against the Reds this past Wednesday.Rasmussen holds a 2-1 record with a 3.00 ERA in three lifetime starts versus the Astros.My projections estimate both starting throwers will long and strong today and help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals offering. HOUSTON is 44-24 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 44-21 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Under is 20-7-3 in Astros last 30 vs. American League East.Under is 18-6-4 in Astros last 28 on astroturf. TAMPA BAY is 34-20 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-2-1 in Rays last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TAMPA BAY) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 30-5 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 28-9-3 in the last 40 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play under |
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04-24-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Left-hander Tommy Henry will make his season debut on Monday night against Kansas City right-hander Brad Keller (2-2, 3.00 ERA). The Dbacks consider themselves contenders this season, and Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo talked about in spring training when he said his ball-club could be a playoff contender "if we make the most of our opportunities." This is an opportunity they need to take advantage of as the Royals despite of a recent small crop of wins must be considered cannon fodder for a true contender. Ill give Lovullo and comapny the bdenefit of the doubt and take them as short favs here today. LOVULLO is 16-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like the Royals starter Keller. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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04-24-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -143 | 4-2 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Right-hander Colin Rea (0-0, 4.22 ERA), who has been called up from Triple-A Nashville after Brandon Woodruff went on the injured list, makes his third start for Milwaukee, while left-hander Matthew Boyd (0-1, 4.50) gets the nod for Detroit. Note:Boyd is 0-1 with a 14.09 ERA in two career starts versus Milwaukee, allowing 12 runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings, including five homers. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers Rea. DETROIT is 7-26 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.(Tigers are struggling with their offense) MILWAUKEE is 11-4 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Boyd. Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss. Tigers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on the Brewers to win |
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04-24-23 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
In Monday's series opener, Tampa Bay starts rookie right-hander Taj Bradley (2-0, 2.61 ERA), who will be making his third big league start. My early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he matches up well here vs the Astros. Meanwhile, the Astros are going with right-hander Jose Urquidy (1-1, 3.66), who will be making his fifth start this season. Urquidy has faced the Rays twice in his career, both starts, and he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings against them.Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. With two solid bullpens behind each starter a lower scoring tilt is my projection. HOUSTON is 26-14 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 28-14 UNDER (+12.8 Units) after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 25-10 UNDER against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Under is 18-5-4 in Astros last 27 on astroturf. Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 28-8-3 in the last 39 meetings in Tampa Bay. Under is 5-2-2 in Rays last 9 during game 1 of a series. Play under |
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04-23-23 | Mets -115 v. Giants | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Mets lost yesterday to the Giants, but now Im expecting them to bounce back here in this tilt. SHOWALTER is 51-21 against the money line after a loss as the manager of NY METS. Mets are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mets are 49-19 in their last 68 games following a loss. Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. NYM starter MEGILL is 12-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN FRANCISCO is 12-31 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like NYM starter Megill. MEGILL is 8-0 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)( The Mets righty lost to the Dodgers last time out) Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. like Ross Stripling of the Giants. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-12 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the money-line |
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04-22-23 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost 7 straight and 10 of their L/11 with only one of the losses coming by 2 or less runs. Advantage Halos on the runline. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at -3.2. Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-34 L/5 seasons with the average rog didd clicking in at +2.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 4-41 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on the LA Angels to win -1.5 |
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04-22-23 | Astros v. Braves +104 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Braves starter WRIGHT is 26-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 19-0 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 20-4 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 25-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Wright scored the win in his only career start against Houston, going six innings with six hits allowed, two earned runs and seven strikeouts against the Astros last August. Im betting he gets the job done again in his third start of the season. Houston kicked off the series with a 6-4 victory Friday. Atlanta scored four first-inning runs, then was held scoreless for eight as the Astros chipped away at the lead and will be primed for a bounce back effort here at home. ATLANTA is 26-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better like Valdez. VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 19.27 and a WHIP of 3.212. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 41-10 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. American League West. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Astros are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.Astros are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-22-23 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 10.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rockies starter FREELAND is 20-2 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Rockies starter Freeland. Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 home games. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Phiiles stater Sanchez.Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Phillies starter Sanchez.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 22-8-3 in Rockies last 33 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with q combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. THOMSON is 22-7 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Play on the under |
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04-21-23 | Mets +100 v. Giants | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Giants, who have lost six of seven and are not in good from, and my power rankings suggest they are being over rated here today . Giants starter DeSclafani, recorded a 6.63 ERA while being limited to five starts last season due to a right ankle injury, and despite of being a solid pitcher overall, is a go against option for me today against a solid NY Mets side that are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Desclafani . Note: DeSclafani is 0-4 with a 5.91 ERA in eight career games (seven starts) against the Mets. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Mets Lucchesi .Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. .Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 42-25 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 22-5 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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04-21-23 | White Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Rays are off to a 16-3 start with a plus-83 run differential, the largest through 19 games in the modern-baseball era and Im betting on some rinse and repeat action here this evening as they host the White sox they will send Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.32 ERA) to start the series opener for Chicago. Tampa Bay ahs averaged 7.8 rpg at home this season and blasted righty starters like Kopech for an average 7.2 rpg. TAMPA BAY is 20-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.9 which qualifies on this run-line offering.TAMPA BAY is 12-0 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the rpg diff registering at +5.8 which qulaifies on this runline offering. Play on TB to win -1.5 |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
The series starts with Michael Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) going to the hill for San Diego against Ryne Nelson (1-0, 3.71) in a match up of right-handers. Offensively the Padres enter this game struggling to score runs recently and were shutout two times in a row and then followed up with 1 run output last time out . So one run in their L/3 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in game in their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, Arizona has faired better offensively of late, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest that Wacha should cause their output status immediate regression. Advantage to the under. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games.Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 overall. ARIZONA is 50-33 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 home games. Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres expected starter Wacha. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play under |
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04-20-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs -113 | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Things don't look cohesive in Dodger town right now, and after a losing 3 of 4 at home to the NY Mets, bouncing back will not come so easy with jet lag a tailing factor in tonights Wrigley Field tilt after a late night flight in from the West coast. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-2 against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Grove. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. LA DODGERS are 6-13 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or better ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 48-16 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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04-20-23 | Angels v. Yankees -155 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Nestor Cortes (2-0, 2.60 ERA) goes to the hill for the Yankees as he bids for a franchise record. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine straight starts, and gets my support here to go long in this tilt and help his team to victory. Cortes is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career games (one start) against the Angels. He earned a win vs. Los Angeles last June 2 in New York when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings.Rinse and repeat on board. LA ANGELS are 7-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons like NYY expected starter Cortes. LA ANGELS are 22-43 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 30-8 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 106-37 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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04-19-23 | Pirates -120 v. Rockies | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/4 games overall and Im betting they struggle here again today vs Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) who will look to extend the streak of Pittsburgh quality starts. . The Cuban right-hander allowed just one run and struck out 10 over seven innings in his latest start, but he has no run support vs St. Louis Cardinals, losing 3-0 . Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh gets to go against a lefty Gomer. The Pirates have lit up lefties this season for an average of 5.7 rpg and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation this afternoon in the Mile High city. Rockies are 9-25 in their last 34 overall. Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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04-19-23 | Guardians -133 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Quantrill, a 15-game winner last season, is 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career outings against the Tigers, including five starts and according to my power rankings matches up well vs this version the Tigers. Meanwhile, Turnbull (1-2, 9.00 ERA), who was sidelined all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, had allowed 12 runs in eight innings during his first two starts of the season and once again looks like cannon fodder. Guardians are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter. QUANTRILL is 18-9 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-121 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Guardians to win |
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04-19-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Reds | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter RASMUSSEN is 13-0 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.9 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Meanwhile ,the Reds will turn to a rookie making his major league debut Wednesday as right-hander Levi Stoudt gets the spot start. Needless to say this is a bad matchup vs an inexperienced MLB pitcher. Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Reds are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the TB Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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04-18-23 | Rangers -117 v. Royals | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Texas has won 6 of their L/8 while their hosts KC have lost 7 of their L/8. Its obvious these teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum. With that said, Ill ride the Rangers momentum here to what my power rankings suggest will be a victory. KCs starter KELLER is 1-10 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five lifetime appearances (four starts) against the Rangers, Keller is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA. Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter Eovaldi. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings. are 55-14 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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04-18-23 | Twins v. Red Sox +100 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY has a had a good start to his season but is just 15-24 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Twins right hander has also struggled agains the Red Sox in his career and owns 1-7 record when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.13 and a WHIP of 1.488. Twins are 13-31 in their last 44 road games.Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Sale. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.. Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go 89% against conversion rate for bettors . Play on the Red Sox to win |
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04-18-23 | Orioles -132 v. Nationals | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Orioles won three of four games against the Nationals last season, outscoring the inter-league foe 17-8. My power ranking suggest they still matchup well vs this current Washington squad and have the edge here as road favs. Orioles are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league road games.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league home games.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. WASHINGTON is 9-23 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. ( Washington did not play yesterday) WASHINGTON is 8-26 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MARTINEZ is 2-14 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of WASHINGTON. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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04-18-23 | Angels v. Yankees -149 | 5-2 | Loss | -149 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
My projections make the NYY a viable fav here this evening vs a inconsistent Angels team that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games. NY YANKEES are 33-8 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. NEVIN is 12-35 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of LA ANGELS. Angels are 8-25 in their last 33 vs. American League East. Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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04-17-23 | Mets v. Dodgers -143 | 8-6 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Mets have played better overall ball than the Mets early this season, but in this one instance (game) the Dodgers look to have the advantage with May on the hill. The Mets will send left-hander David Peterson (0-2, 4.91 ERA) to the mound in the series opener a hurler that the Dodgers matchup well against according to my power rankings. Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 19-39 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 88-26 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 103-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rare for bettors. Mets are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Dodgers |
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04-17-23 | Giants v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Marlins on Monday will start lefty Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.93 ERA). According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the SF batting order. When or iff he leaves this game Miami has well rested bullpen performers ready to go with lefty A.J. Puk, and righty Dylan Floro. Puk, a former starter in his college career, has a 1.50 ERA so far this season. He's using his upper-90s fastball against lefties and his slider versus lefties giving them fits.Floro a finesse pitcher, owns a 0.00 ERA in six appearances, and gets hitters to chase by using his sinker-slider combo. Meanwhile, on the flipside Logan Webb armed and with his new 90 million dollar contract will be primed to perform here against a struggling Miami offense. Advantage to the under. Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East. SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.
Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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04-17-23 | Rays -136 v. Reds | 1-8 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Reds, who have lost five of their last seven and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Reds starting righty hurler GREENE is 5-20 ( against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GREENE is 4-20 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the Rays have absolutely demolished right handed pitchers like Green, averaging 7.8 rpg in offense via. a.284 BA. TAMPA BAY is 14-1 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-17-23 | Angels -130 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The Angels will look to avoid a 4 game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox today when they send Japanese phenom Ohtani out to the hill . Ohtani has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in Fenway.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BOSTON) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 8-54 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-11 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Halos to win |
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04-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Houstons starter VALDEZ is 22-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and this year so far are averaging just 2.5 rpg in production vs southpaws. .Meanwhile,HOUSTON is 45-15 against the money line against left-handed starters like Heaney over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9. The Astros superior starter and bullpen will help us cover this runline offering. Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline |
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04-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Marlins Right-hander Sandy Alcantara, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner im betting matches up very well vs the the Dbacks batting order and should limit their production to a minimum here today. Meanwhile, , Arizona will start right-hander Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA). Gallen is coming off a career year in 2022, when he went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA in 31 starts for Arizona. After a rough start this season, Gallen settled down last time out and pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers. He struck out 11 and allowed just three hits and one walk and has momentum entering this tilt. Im betting these two hurlers go long and strong and we see little offensive production making for a lower scoring affair. Miami hurler ALCANTARA is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 15-5 UNDER at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 3-1-2 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Arizonas Gallen . Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 10-3-2 in Marlins last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-16-23 | Twins v. Yankees -153 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) has won three straight starts to begin a season for the third time in his career (2013, 2020) and is once again ready for a shutdown performance against a batting order he matches up well against. MINNESOTA is 14-34 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 17-37against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. COLE is 4-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.143 and his teams have won all 5 of his starts vs the Twins in his career. NY YANKEES are 32-8 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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04-15-23 | Braves -133 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this game having won 4 straight games, and have momentum on their sides entering this game vs a struggling KC Royals side that has lost 4 of their L/5 and 10 of 14. I know Bubic the Royals starter has looked solid so far this season, but run support has been hard to come by for the Royals southpaw, as Kansas City scored scored just one run in each of his first two outings of the season. Run support behind a side that averages just 2.5 rpg will once again be the Royals undoing. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 118-34 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-15-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -123 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Saturday's pitching matchup will feature Miami left-hander Braxton Garrett (0-0, 4.70 ERA) and Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson (1-0, 4.91). The key here will not be the starting pitchers but Miami's bullpen which has been strong with A.J. Puk (1.50 ERA) and Dylan Floro (0.00). The Marlins won 5-1 yesterday and look like viable shot home favs in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter lie Garrett. Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 91-43 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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04-15-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these offenses are of the sub prime variety and Im betting they will once again find the sledding tough in todays matchup. In the first two games of this series a total of 8 runs have been scored with each side recording a shutout and a rinse and repeat scenario from a total runs perspective is a good bet here. The Cards have gone under in 9 of their L/10 overall, and the Pirates have gone under in 3 straight and 4 of their L/6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games.Under is 12-2 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Matz. PITTSBURGH is 22-10 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SHELTON is 31-17 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 run or less as the manager of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. MARMOL is 20-9 UNDER after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of ST LOUIS with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. ST LOUIS is 7-0 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. . MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 44-13 UNDER L/276 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-14-23 | Angels -112 v. Red Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
After getting swept in four games by the undefeated Rays in St. Petersburg, Fla and now with no momentum on their sides the BoSox are vulnerable to another defeat. My power ranking suggest that with Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 1.64 ERA) going to the hill for the Angels that they have an edge. Red Sox are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Note: Red Sox righty starter Houck is 1-1 with a 14.54 ERA against the Angels in two career starts, both in relief last year. Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. BOSTON is 15-34 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 11-33 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Angels to win |
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04-14-23 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers Clevinger and Wells , matchup well here vs each opposing batting order according to my early season power rankings. Factoring in the bullpens and edger to the under makes for viable wagering opportunity. Under is 15-6-1 in Orioles last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Clevinger. Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Baltimores Wells. Under is 6-0-2 in White Sox last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League East. BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 25-12 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. The last 6 games in this series played in south side Chicago have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . Play under |
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04-14-23 | Rays -105 v. Blue Jays | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
The Rays own a 13-0 record and are 12-1 against the run-line, as they’ve won all but one game by multiple runs. That one game was a 1-0 shutout. Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter like Berrios and have an edge here as short road favs.BERRIOS is 7-21 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) TBs starter RASMUSSEN is 15-4 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-13-23 | Brewers +125 v. Padres | 4-3 | Win | 125 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
After the first two weeks of the 2023 season, the Brewers are off to an 8-4 start. The Padres are 7-6. The Brewers according to their win loss record are also playing a more consistent brand of baseball and deserve respect here as road dogs. I know the Brewers lost yesterday to Arizona by a 7-3 count but they have been resilient recently after suffering a defeat as is evident by going 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game while registering a 4-0 record in their last 4 games following a loss. Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. MILWAUKEE is 12-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 39-19 against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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04-13-23 | Twins v. Yankees -140 | 11-2 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Yankees matchup well here vs the Twins in the opener of their 4game series according to my early season power rankings. The Yankees are averaging 5 plus runs while their pitching staff is giving up 2.75 runs per game. Ryan has pitched well for the Twins, but Yankees expected starter Johnny Brito owns a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.90 and is in top form. RYAN is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.750. ( Ryan's one start was here at Yankee Stadium in a 7-1 loss last season in September) NY YANKEES are 30-6 (against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 6-22 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 8-24 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 11-44 in the last 55 meetings in New York. Twins are 12-39 in the last 51 meetings. Play on NYY to win |
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04-13-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
The Rays have been in top form so far this season and have recorded 4 shutouts and registered 12 straight wins and now Im betting on lucky 13 to be a conclusive victory. The 12 wins to start their season have seen 11 of those games decided by 2 or more runs and a rinse and repeat situation is my bet today vs a Red Sox side that has lost 3 straight .TAMPA BAY is 20-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons as hosts.Rays are 42-11 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.Red Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 13-40 in their last 53 games on astroturf. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 |
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04-12-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Rangers | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Brad Keller. In his first two starts of the year Keller has a 1-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and nine Ks in 10.1 innings and has the ability to keep his team in this game. Meanwhile, Texas sends Eovaldi who is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA. According to early season power rankings KCs struggling offense matches up well here giving us an edge on a runline wager backing the visiting Royals. TEXAS is 38-60against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), playing on Wednesday are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Royals +1.5 run-line |
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04-12-23 | Nationals v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Washington left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-0, 2.38), who will start Wednesday's game, has pitched well in his first two start and now expecting he has another good start and will help contribute to what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Washingtons starter GORE in 6 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Under is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Canning. LA ANGELS are 19-7 UNDER in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg. LA ANGELS are 23-11 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 30-15 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play under |
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04-12-23 | Mariners v. Cubs -102 | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Stroman (2-0, 0.00 ERA) is 5-0 with a 1.18 ERA in his past six starts. In his five home starts going back to last season. Stroman has yielded just two runs, with 17 hits and 11 walks, while striking out 32 in 32 innings to earn five consecutive victories and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today vs the visiting Mariners. . Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 of their L/7 road games. Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. cubs are 5-1 L/6 overall. CHICAGO CUBS are 31-16 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. Mariners are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Mariners are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings. Play on Chicago to win |
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04-11-23 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +115 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 straight games and have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and roll into this game with offensive momentum and deserve respect here as home underdogs. It must be noted the Dbacks starter Kelley has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Brewers and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today. Especially considering the Brewers starter Burnes has struggled so far this season as is evident by garnering a bloated 9.65 ERA so far this season. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Brewers are 7-18 in their last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Kelly. MILWAUKEE is 9-16 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play on Arizona to win |
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04-11-23 | Nationals v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Angels starting hurler OHTANI is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg going on the board.OHTANI is 20-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) OHTANI is 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Across his first two starts Ohtani is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. He has 18 Ks in 12.0 innings total. I know Washington scored 6 or more runs in each of the past 4 games , but 3 of those were in the launching pad known as Coors Field, but here against a top tier hurler like Ohtani Im betting on offensive regression which will contribute to a lower scoring affair. NEVIN is 15-4 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse as the manager of LA ANGELS. Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 15-5-3 in Nationals last 23 interleague road games.Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 22-9-4 in Angels last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play under |
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04-11-23 | Padres v. Mets -136 | 4-2 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
On Monday versus the Mets, San Diego had just two hits in a 5-0 loss and Im betting their offense struggles to be consistent today vs Mets starter Peterson Meanwhile, the Mets are 17-8 in their last 25 at home versus a southpaw starter and 46-22 in their last 68 at home vs lefties like the Padres starter Weathers. Mets are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record. NY METS are 23-5 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 47-20 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons Play on the NY Mets to win |
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04-11-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -141 | 8-4 | Loss | -141 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Yesterday the Phillies put 15 runs on 20 hits, including nine runs and 10 hits against top tier hurler Alcantara. This is an explosive Phillies lineup and Im betting on another top shelf effort today against a lesser pitcher in Luzardo. Marlins are 18-37 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola. Marlins are 12-32 in their last 44 vs. National League East.Marlins are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series. PHILADELPHIA is 32-8 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 25-58 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies to win |
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04-10-23 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Lefty Wiley goes to the hill for the Brewers and he is backed by a strong looking bullpen that has recorded a minuscule 0.84 ERA. The Dbacks have struggled against southpaws this season so far as is evident by a .220 BA and those struggles Im betting continue today. Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona. Play on the UNDER |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The Angels will be primed for a redemption performance today after blowing a big lead to the Blue Jays yesterday and finally succumbing in extra innings by a 12-11 count. Washingtons starting hurler CORBIN is 2-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this run line offering. CORBIN is 4-25 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at -3.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (WASHINGTON) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 10-61 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Angels -1.5 runline |
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04-10-23 | Royals v. Rangers -165 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Royals enter this game against Texas with a 41-88 record in their last 129 vs. American League West and are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series. Royals are also 16-35 in their last 51 road games and are fade material here at Texas tonight. Meanwhile, the Rangers , are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Greinke and are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Rangers are also 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and according to my projections have multiple edges in this tilt. Rangers starter HEANEY is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.887. KANSAS CITY is 2-15 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base. Play on Texas |
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04-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -120 | 12-11 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My power rankings suggest Kikuchi the Blue Jays expected starter does not matchup well vs the LA Angels batting order. KIKUCHI is 4-12 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). KIKUCHI is 1-6 against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.61 and a WHIP of 2.222. Meanwhile, Blue Jays are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos starter Detmers. Detmers pitched at a top tier level in his lone start against the Jays , allowing just four hits and no runs in 5 plus innings while striking out five batters. Rinse and repeat situation on board. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. The Angels have won four of their last seven games and are in a groove offensively, scoring 16 runs in their last four trips to the diamonds. Play on LA Angels to win |
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04-09-23 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My projections expect a total combined score of 9+ runs here giving us value with an over wager. Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Giants expected starter A. Desclafani. Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-1 in Royals last 9 road games. Over is 11-3 in Royals last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5 in Royals last 20 interleague games. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. KAPLER is 21-6 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 40-12 OVER L/26 seasons. Play over |
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04-09-23 | Mariners v. Guardians +117 | 6-7 | Win | 117 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
In the series finale, right-hander George Kirby (0-1, 8.31 ERA) gets the start for Seattle. The Guardians counter with right-hander Zach Plesac who is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.533. These teams have played each other 6 times already this season, with Seattle winning 3 of 4 in Seattle. Now here in Cleveland the Mariners took the first two games of the series, but now Im betting on a bounce back scenario for the Guardians. FRANCONA is 36-14 (against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of CLEVELAND. CLEVELAND is 27-9 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 95-36 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-09-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers +106 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Red Sox will send right-hander Kutter Crawford (0-1, 15.75 ERA), who was battered in his season debut by Pittsburgh on Monday, giving up seven runs in four innings . My early season power rankings suggest he does not matchup well here vs the Tigers batting order. Advantage to the Tigers. HINCH is 19-12 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. Boston pounded Motown yesterday 14-5) Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing recordTigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home game. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
LAA southpaw starter ANDERSON is 16-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and according to my early season power rankings matches up well here vs the Jays.ANDERSON is 25-10 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 14-22 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Note:Anderson was 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and named to the All-Star team for the first time in his career last year with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jays starter BERRIOS is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 1.598. Berrios (0-1, 12.71 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays after a poor performance in his first start of the season. Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West. Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Advantage LA Angels to win |
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04-08-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 8-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter DAVIES is 12-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 16-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 during game 3 of a series. Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Yankees v. Orioles +118 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Baltimore is one of the American Leagues most under rated teams, and thanks to what has been so far an explosive offense look to be underrated in this spot play vs the NYY. Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Irvine and with my early season power rankings suggesting he has an edge against this NYY batting order especially with Josh Donaldson expected to miss. Im also betting on this hardcore offense of the Orioles having a good day against a rookie hurler in Brito. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-08-23 | Royals v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Royals right-hander Brady Singer (1-0, 1.80 ERA)Im betting will duplicate his effort in a 9-5 home victory over the Toronto Blue Jays this past Monday. He worked the first five innings, allowing the Jays to one run on two hits. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Manaea will be making his first home start since joining the Giants as a free agent in December and Im also betting he will be primed to compete.Under is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Note: KC has scored 3 or less runs in 4 straight and 5 of 8 games and have already been shutout 3 times. SF has been shutout twice already this season and scored 3 or less runs in 4 of 7 games. More offensive struggles look imminent today, Play under |
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04-07-23 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Colorado shutout Washington yesterday 1-0 and another low scoring game is my forecast here today . Colorados starter URENA is 16-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Colorado has not scored more than 4 runs in 6 straight games. Washington has scored 2 or less runs in 5 of their 7 games this season. COLORADO is 11-0 UNDER after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. ( the combined score of these games were all well below this offering) Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League East. COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Yankees v. Orioles +108 | 6-7 | Win | 108 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
The Orioles have 11 home runs so far this season -the same amount as the Yankees -- and their 34 runs scored are five more than the Yankees' total. So from a offensive perspective the Orioles must not be discounted here as underdogs. Im betting that they get a decent start from Kremer today, which put them in a great spot to cash a underdog ticket for us. KREMER is 14-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 94-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers going against each other for the second time this season. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings in the first meeting. Im betting we see them continue their successes here today and for both bullpens to stand tall in support.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road gamesUnder is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days .NY METS are 13-3 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Cleveland bats are currently on fire and have brought 18 runs across the plate in their L/2 games, and Im betting they light up As starter Muller here today which gives us an a pronounced edge to the over.Note: Oakland has allowed 31 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds. These teams took part in a 12-11 slugfest and Im betting on not of lot of regression in this meeting. Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Over is 4-0-2 in Athletics last 6 vs. American League Central. Over is 6-0-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the over |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees OVER 7 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Two quality right handed pitchers Cole (NYY )and Nola for Philadelphia go head to head against two quality offensive lineups. Both teams hit righties well and even the best of pitchers in this league would have problems with these batting orders. Im expecting a decent offensive utput by these sides today in a game that I pegged to eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. COLE is 25-11 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 15-1 OVER L/16 vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-10 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game are 79-38 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-04-23 | Twins +130 v. Marlins | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Marlins starting pitcher today ALCANTARA despite of being one of MLBs top hurlers is just 5-17 against the money line vs. teams like the Twins outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ALCANTARA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 13.49 and a WHIP of 2.355. The Twins have won 4 straight out of the gate this season and deserve respect here as road dogs. vs a Miami side that has lost 4 of their first 5 home tilts. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter dating back to last season. Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 interleague home games.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series. MIAMI is 20-46 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-29 ( against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
The Padres send Yu Darvish to the hill this afternoon vs the DBacks. The right hander finished eighth in the 2022 Cy Young voting and matches up well here according to my early season power rankings. DARVISH is 12-0 UNDER ( when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 4.6 rpg scored. Arizona's Zac Gallen, who finished fifth in the 2022 Cy Young race goes for the Dbacks. He has struggled of late in the spring and his opener, but he matches up well vs the Padres batting order.Gallen, who went. 12-4 in 31 starts last season with a 2.54 ERA, a league-leading 0.913 WHIP and a .186 opponents' batting average. Im betting both hurlers go fairly deep today and both bullpens stand tall behind them when need be. Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-03-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox -147 | 7-6 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
In the first series of the season vs Baltimore, The Red Sox restructured batting order looked like it would be an explosive offensive group and that what it was . The offense scored nine runs in each of the first three games and now with momentum on their sides look like a side on a mission here vs the light hitting Pirates today. Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 home games. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 11-37 against the money line in road games against AL East opponents since 1997. Pirates are 8-26 in their last 34 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 7-24 in their last 31 interleague road games. SHELTON is 3-21 against the money line in road games when playing on Monday as the manager of PITTSBURGH. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 48-17 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play on Red Sox to win |
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04-02-23 | Mets -114 v. Marlins | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
New York Mets right-hander Kodai Senga is set to make his major league debut on Sunday when he faces the Miami Marlins and Im betting he gives the edge on the mound to the Mets with an extremely motivated effort. Meanwhile, Trevor rogers the Marlins starter has seen his side lose his L/3 starts vs the Mets and Im betting that run continues. Rogers struggled against right-handed batters last year, allowing them to hit .299 with an .886 OPS : the Mets matchup well in that category. ROGERS is 4-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Marlins are 11-28 in their last 39 vs. National League East. Mets are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami. Play on NY Mets to win |
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04-01-23 | Twins -146 v. Royals | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-01-23 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals +120 | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Flaherty was 2-1 with 4.25 ERA last season in nine appearances (eight starts), after recovering from a shoulder injury. He was 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 2021, but he was limited to 17 appearances (15 starts) by an oblique strain that season. He is now said to be as healthy as he has been in a few years and is ready for a rebound. Quote: "At the end of the day, we are counting on him to be a dude," Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said. "And he has prepared in a way to do exactly that." END Quote. Toronto's starter GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.482. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TORONTO) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 17-32 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis Cards |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Ray In 32 games last season procured a 12-12 record and had a 3.71 ERA and a 1.190 WHIP.He ranked 31st in ERA (3.71), 31st in WHIP (1.190), and 10th in K/9 (10.1) among qualified pitchers in the majors last year and according to my early season power rankings matches up well vs this Guardians batting order. Ray is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career appearances against Cleveland, including three starts. On the flipside I know Gaddis does not inspire the same confidence in being able to curb the Mariners bats , but he is under rated according to my projections and should do just fine here and if he falters he has the benefit of having the backing of a viable bullpen, Everything points to a lower scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 6-1-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 12-3 in Guardians last 15 during game 2 of a series. Under is 13-3 in Mariners last 16 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle. Play UNDER |
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03-31-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -175 | 2-1 | Loss | -175 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Dodgers blasted the Dbacks last night 8-2 in the opening game in this series and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario in game 2. Dodgers are 41-10 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. DBacks starter Kelly, was 13-8 last season with a 3.37 ERA in 33 starts. In his recent starts with Team USA he went 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA. Kelly does not have a victory against the Dodgers in 12 career starts, garnering a 0-9 record along with a 5.97 ERA over 63 1/3 innings and Im betting his less than stellar starts vs the Dodgers will continue today. Rinse and repeat as the Dodgers win for the 18th time in the L/21 meetings in this series. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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03-30-23 | Guardians +108 v. Mariners | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Seattle really had Cleveland's number last year, winning six of their seven matchups in a home-and-home split down the stretch. But most of those games were incredibly close, headlined by their final matchup in what became a weather-impacted matinee and now Im betting on things turning around starting tonight/ Clevelands starter BIEBER is 21-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 5-13 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)Current Cleveland batters own an .838 OPS against him. CLEVELAND is 24-13 against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. Guardians dating back to last season are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West. Play on Cleveland to win on the ML ( Late Steam) |