Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-08-18 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
TREVOR RICHARDS (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) Roark the Nationals starter has not looked all that great of late, but according to my power rankings pitcher vs offence charts matches up well vs Miami, and could have a fast reversal of fortunes in this spot. It must be noted Roark has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts against the Marlins and I'm betting he keeps that momentum alive in this rematch. Meanwhile, Trevor Richards is a pitcher that continues to gain confidence and has shown composure of late. He is not easily rattled, and I expect he will temper the Nats offence here today, as the home teams comes off an offensive explosion yesterday, and could experience a battery draining reversion to the mean that has seen them average just 3.9 rpg in day time games this season. Under is 6-2-1 in Roarks last 9 starts vs. Marlins.Under is 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yesterday the Nationals unloaded the Marlins in a big way winning by a 13-4 count. Previous to that they won 3-2, after winning the first game of the series by a 14-12 count. With that said, the it must be noted that the Nationals have gone UNDER in the last 9 game of a home series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, staying under by an average of 3.72 rpg. The last 7 games have not seen more than 6 combined runs scored and none of these 9 games have eclipsed the 9 run totals plateau offered here today by the books. Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 9 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival, in July games are 88-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-18 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7 | 4-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R) LHP Wei-Yin Chen (2-5, 5.55) starts for the Marlins and has a 9.85 ERA in seven road starts this season and looks like cannon fodder once again, and could easily all by himself facilitate a score that eclipses this beatable number. In his last seven starts, Chen is 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA. Meanwhile, Scherzer has lost four consecutive decisions for the first time since 2009-10, with complaints about of lack of run support. Today he should finally get the help he needs, why he himself may not do all that well vs a Marlins offence that according to my own power rankings actually matches up well against him.MIAMI is 11-2 OVER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored.MIAMI in 28 games as a road underdog of +150 or more this season have seen a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 13-2 OVER vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Chens last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 road games.Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 home starts vs. Marlins. The Marlins have gone OVER 16 straight times by an average of 4.88 rpg as a road 170+ dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 runs/game or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 roles earned runs in his last 2 outings are 46-19 OVER L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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07-07-18 | Rangers -115 v. Tigers | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) The Tigers took out the Rangers yesterday in game 2 of this series . It must be noted however, that the Texas Rangers have won 8 straight on the moneyline in franchise history with Cole Hamels when they are a favorite and seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a favorite. With Hamels pitching his best best ball on the road this season, as is evident by garnering 3-1 record along with a stingy 2.05 ERA in 8 starts, he and is team look like a viable option to keep this streak alive. Hamels owns a singy 1.80 ERA in three career starts at Comerica Park. HAMELS team is 19-3 against the money line when he starts vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. Fiers the Tigers starter owns an 8.10 ERA in seven career outing vs the Rangers (six starts). Rangers are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.Tigers are 1-12 in their last 13 games on natural playing surface and have lost 14 of their L/17 overall.DETROIT is 16-36 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 7-22 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-07-18 | Rockies +178 v. Mariners | 5-1 | Win | 178 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockies are off a a 7-1 win yesterday, where they left a lot of runners on base vs their hosts Seattle. The score could have been even more one sided if thats possible. It must be noted however, the The Rockies have won 10 straight as a dog off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base. COLORADO is also 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season and must not be underestimated. Colorado will send left-hander Kyle Freeland (8-6, 3.25) to the hill to face the Seattle Mariners this Saturday afternoon Freeland has made one career start against the Mariners, a 6-3 victory at Safeco Field last season. He pitched six innings in that game and allowed two runs on six hits. In five career interleague starts, Freeland is a perfect 4-0 while garenring a 2.14 ERA and gets my support here. Yes, the powerful Paxton goes to the hill for the Mariners, but with Colorados bats finally starting to heat up no pitcher is safe. Note: Rockies star offensive weapon Charlie Blackmon is back in form and hit a home run last night.During the Rockies recent' four-game win streak, Blackmon is batting .471 (8-for-17) with two homers.Blackmon has a .305 career average against southpaws like Paxton. Of the left-handed batters with a minimum of 750 plate appearances, the only ones in baseball history with a better average against southpaws are Ichiro Suzuki, Tony Gwynn, Rod Carew and Larry Walker. When this guy is on fire, the Rockies offence feeds off of him. It must also be noted that the Rockies have won 9 straight on the moneyline as a road underdog after a game in which Charlie Blackmon hit a home run. Mariners are 1-7 in Paxtons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mariners are 2-5 in Paxtons last 7 interleague starts.Rockies are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.Play on Colorado to win on the moneyline |
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07-07-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Two top tier starting pitchers Severino (13-2, 1.98 ERA) and Happ (10-4, 4.03) go to the hill today to face each other in a tilt I have pegged as a pitcher duel.Severino has looked good vs the Blue Jays this season going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA in two starts and has currently on a 13 2./3 scoreless innings streak. In 17 career starts against the Yankees, Happ is 8-3 along with a 3.53 ERA. Yesterday the Blue Jays started the series with a 6-2 victory , and chased the Yankees starter from the game early. Its very important to note however, that The Yankees have gone under 18 in a row as a road favorite of more than 120 after a game in which their starter pitched less than three innings and it is not a series opener.The last 17 have only seen three games reach the 8 run Totals plateau and non eclipsing it. The average combined score clicked in a 6.89 rpg. NY YANKEES are 15-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average score of 7.2 rpg scored.TORONTO is 21-9 UNDER against division opponents this season with the average score of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on astroturf.Under is 24-5 in Yankees last 29 overall.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 road gamesUnder is 35-16-2 in Happs last 53 starts vs. American League East.Under is 36-17-3 in Happs last 56 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 21-10-3 in Happs last 34 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Play UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | Braves +122 v. Brewers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R) Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz gets the nod from me here in tis spot as he starts for the Braves. Foltynewicz owns a minuscule 0.87 ERA over his last nine starts, holding opponents to a .146 average during that stretch with 64 strikeouts in 52 innings.Needless to say , getting him on a value line looks very much like a blue chip investment option. Opponents scored more than one run against him in one of those above mentioned trips to the hill . The top tier right hander has held opponents scoreless in five of them, including his last outing when the Cardinals managed just one hit against him in five innings.Foltynewicz has owned the Brewers during his four seasons in the big leagues, recording a 1.48 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee. He faced them twice last season, allowing two earned runs (five total) over 11 innings while striking out 15 and is my choice to deliver us some bankroll expanding profits in this spot vs the host Brewers. A key perfect trend also indicates the The Braves are 5-0 on the moneymen with Mike Foltynewicz as a underdog when they won his last three starts , which has just happened. I know the Braves have struggled a little bit of late, but they have proven resilient, and show good fight going forward as is evident by ATLANTA going 10-1 against the money line after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. I also know that the Braves face a good young pitcher in Peralleta but they have proven themselves vs strong pitching opponents, going 10-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 15-27 L/21 seasons for a long term go against 64% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-06-18 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 7 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
RYAN STANEK (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Stanek the Mets starter today vs the struggling offence of the NY Mets has been in top form in spot starts as an "opener" for the Rays. he recently had a streak of 12 consecutive scoreless trips to the hill halted in a relief loss at Miami this past Monday . But the confident hurler bounced back quickly with two shut out innings of relief the next day against the Marlins, striking out three in the process. Note: Stanek is the only pitcher in history with seven straight scoreless starts, something I have taken into consideration as have the lines makers. Meanwhile, his Mets pitching opponent Jacob DeGrom, despite of owning the best ERA in the National League, continues to be frustrated, thanks to a lack of run support and clutch hitting by a offence that is averaging just 3.2 rpg on the season at home via a ugly .215 BA. He has made eight starts at home, posting a 2-2 record despite a 1.90 ERA and .199 batting average against. I expect he will be in top form again, vs a TB side that has averaged just 3.2 rpg in interleage action this season. Im expecting both pitchers and their bullpens to highlight what I'm betting will be a lower scoring fair that fails to eclipse the total. Note:The Mets have gone 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest as a home favorite off a game as a dog when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost ( That happened to Degrom last time out). The L/13 have not seen more than 7 runs scored, with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. The L/8 have seen 4 shutouts, and a combined average score of 3.5 rpg scored. The Rays had a day off yesterday: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following an off day. Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15Under is 12-4 in Rays last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague home games.Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games. Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | A's +170 v. Indians | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
PAUL BLACKBURN (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R) A's will send Paul Blackburn (2-2, 6.46 ERA) to face the Tribe tonight. I know is stats don't look like their of the top tier variety , but what is important here is not his overall numbers, but the facts that in his last start on June 29 in Oakland, Blackburn owned the Indians, pitching 6 1/3 scoreless innings and giving up just three hits in a 3-1 victory. . In two career starts against the Indians, Blackburn is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA. BLACKBURN is 9-3 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Cleveland will fire back with the rusty Carlos Carrasco (8-5, 4.24), who will make his first start since June 16, a 9-3 loss to Minnesota. It will take him some time to get things going in the right direction, something he wasn't doing before being sidelined. There is a lot of value sitting on the table here, and even though there is never great value with consistently taking dogs on the blind in MLB (myth) , there are obviously consistent spots where underdogs can pay big dividends. This one has the potential to pay out, according to my investment chart parameters. CARRASCO is 3-10 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 13-4 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. The Indians have lost 9 straight in the first game of a series with rest after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed. MLBRoad underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-05-18 | Angels v. Mariners -132 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) |
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07-05-18 | Padres +140 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R) |
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07-04-18 | White Sox v. Reds -167 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. SAL ROMANO (R) Covey the Pale Hose starter today is fade material in this spot in his current form which has produced a 0-2 record along with a ugly 12.71 ERA in his last three starts .He is also off allowing nine runs on eight hits in 2 1/3 innings of an 11-3 setback at Texas. White Sox are 1-11 in Coveys last 12 road starts. White Sox are 0-6 in Coveys last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Yesterday Chicago showed rare offensive explosion in a 12-8 win vs the host Reds. But a long term historical trend favours the Reds to bounce back here. The Reds are 27-0 L/27 as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs which happened yesterday. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-21 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last couple of seasons. Cincinnati is 7-2 in interleave play this season, and have averaged close to a .300 team BA, and scored an average of more than 7 rpg. I am not a big proponent of laying heavy lumber, in money line situations, but this extra out lay , is worth it, according to my investment chart perimeters . Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the money line |
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07-04-18 | Astros -142 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Garrett Cole . (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L) Cole the Astros starter today , had a 7 game win streak end lat time out, but will be more than prepared to bounce back in this spot . The righty hurler has allowed just eight hits while going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 20 innings in three very strong starts against the Rangers this season and is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in four career outings.Cole gets the nod vs an inconsistent Texas attack that averages just 4.3 rpg vs righties via a lowly .230 BA. Astros are 14-3 in Coles last 17 startsAstros are 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts vs. American League West.Rangers are 0-4 in Minors last 4 starts vs. American League WestRangers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rangers are 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600Astros are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Texas and have won 7 straight overall in this series.HOUSTON is 13-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.HOUSTON is 19-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. The Rangers are 1-16 L/17 on the money line as a home dog when they are off two losses in which they never led with 15 of those loses coming by multiple runs. MLB Road teams like (HOUSTON) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in July games are a solid long term investment option going 159-105 L/21 seasons for a 60%+ conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the money line |
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07-04-18 | Red Sox -124 v. Nationals | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R) |
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07-03-18 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) The Dodgers smashed the Pirates yesterday by a 17-1 count and now I'm expecting a natural letdown situation to occur offensively for the Dodgers here , which I'm betting helps facilitate a lower scoring affair.Note: The Pirates have gone under 10 straight times on the road after they allowed 12+ hits which happened in their last game. No score eclipsed the 7 run plateau, and the 10 games went under by an average of 3.8 rpg. The Pirates are 2-16-1 O/U as a road dog off a road game in which they lost by 5+ runs with no game over the 19 game span eclipsing the 7 run plateau. Two pitchers who have recently come of the DL go head to head tonight in LA as Clayton Kershaw of LA takes on Ivan Nova of the Pirates. In four starts since coming off the DL because of a sprained right finger, Nova is 2-0 with a 1.75 ERA.Nova ince coming off the DL and has given up one or no runs in three of those outings. Note:Under is 15-2 in Novas last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Meanwhile, Kershaw will be making his third start since coming off the disabled list for his most recent back injury and is showing upward momentum and strength and owns a 2.77 ERA since his return, and I'm betting this will be his strongest start to date as the rust will now completely worn off. .KERSHAW is 17-5 UNDER in his career in home games in July . (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 home starts vs. Pirates. Under is 24-9-4 in Pirates last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (PITTSBURGH) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), in the second half of the season are 73-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. ( The que numbers are even better at 7.5) Play UNDER |
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07-03-18 | Orioles v. Phillies -149 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
Orioles are 3-11 in Cobbs last 14 starts.He owns a ugly 6.75 ERA on the season along with a 2-9 record and has registered an even uglier .6.90 ERA on the road .1730 WHIP allowing 67 hits in just 45 innings of substandard work. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 against the money line in home games with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 12-43 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season and s 6-24 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.BALTIMORE is 2-18 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Orioles have lost 14 straight on the money line in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 consecutive one run wins over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 31-11 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 127-43 L/21 seasons for 74% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win on the money line |
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07-03-18 | Red Sox -101 v. Nationals | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Roark the Nationals hurler has been in a funk for a while now He went 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA in five starts and one relief appearance in June, surrendering 18 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings of sub par work. He looked decent in his last outing but still looked erratic at times in is in unstable form at the moment and fade material vs a Boston Red Sox side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings . Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the BoSox Johnson a southpaw allowed a run in four innings for the Red Sox Thursday night against the Angels in place of Steven Wright, who went on the disabled list with a knee injury earlier last week. With this being Johnson's last chance to show his stuff as a starter in the rotation with Drew Pomeranz close to returning, I'm betting he will be primed to perform.Red Sox are 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts. WASHINGTON is 8-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. ROARK is 1-7 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)ROARK is 5-11 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 45-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague road games. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the money line |
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07-02-18 | Indians v. Royals OVER 8 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
In his first 14 starts this year, Kluber the Tribes starter tonight vs the Royals was 10-2 with a 1.99 ERA. But in his last three starts, Kluber is 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA and struggling mightily. Meanwhile,Junis the Royals starter has lost his L/6 starts along with a bloated 6.30 ERA and was beaten around for five runs on seven hits , including three homers - and three walks over five innings of sub standard work vs the Brewers last time out.Junis' last start against Cleveland came May 13. In a 6-2 loss to the Indians, he pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing four runs and six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.In three career appearances against Cleveland, Junis is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA and could easily get beaten around again vs a side that my power rankings suggest does not matchup well against. I won't be surprised if the sometimes explosive Indians offence puts enough runs on the board to eclipse this total all by themselves. KLUBER is 8-0 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average score of 11.5 rpg scored.KLUBER is 39-22 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with an average of 10 rpg scored. Im betting a struggling KC offence does just enough damage here to help us eclipse the total. . KANSAS CITY is 54-32 OVER L/86 as a home underdog of +175 or more with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLBRoad teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 53-21 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-02-18 | Twins v. Brewers -138 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Gibson the Twins starter despite of decent overall numbers this season is beginning to go into a tailspin as is evident when he lost his second straight start and fell to 1-5 in his last eight trips to the hill this past Wednesday after allowing five runs on 11 hits in a 6-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox.With Gibson in a down turn, and the Twins struggling away from home losing 25 of 40 games, this season, they are fade material, especially considering how tired their over used bullpen is. SUTER the Brewers starter is 11-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Brewers are 4-0 in Suters last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 5-1 in Suters last 6 home starts. MINNESOTA is 1-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.MINNESOTA is 3-14 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. ( Note: The Twins pitching staff has just allowed 35 runs in a 3 game set vs the Cubs ) MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games dating back to last season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the money line |
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07-02-18 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -140 | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. RYAN BORUCKI (L) Fiers the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season with a 5.15 ERA, nearly two full runs differential than his total at Comerica Park (3.19) and is fade material here in this spot. At the Rogers Centre Fiers, is 0-2 mark and 5.91 ERA in two career starts. Meanwhile, Borucki in his major league debut, allowed just 2 runs vs the explosive Houston Astros in 6 quality innings of work, and should be very well prepared for a far less cohesive offence in this spot. I know the Tigers won yesterday to end a 11 game losing streak, but I'm betting on them reverting back to usual selves this afternoon. The Tigers have lost 18 straight as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.The Tigers have lost 18 straight as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent,The Tigers have lost 18 straight games as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.The Blue Jays have won 6 straight if not playing the first game of a series as a 140+ favorite after they scored first.Tigers are 4-17 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series. Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.Tigers are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the money line |
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07-01-18 | Rockies +190 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Dodgers have looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in the first two games of this series vs the Colorado Rockies losing both times as hefty favs. I natural reaction by bettors would no be that the Dodgers will be now primed for a bounce back effort as they look to avoid the embarrassing sweep at home. Unfortunately though its not always easy to just push the start button, and reboot when your crashing, and that is what my contrarian position is in this spot. |
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07-01-18 | Braves v. Cardinals +102 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Foltynewicz despite of pitching well of late has faced St. Louis three times in his career, going 1-2 with a 9.95 ERA and yielding a whopping 22 hits over 12 2/3 innings which coincides with me fading him as my power rankings suggest the Cards matchup well against him. Meanwhile, John Gant (2-2, 3.48). Gant, replacing the disabled Michael Wacha in the rotation, pitched the best game of his career Monday night, limiting Cleveland to an infield single by Yan Gomes over seven innings in a 5-0 victory. Now with confidence on board, the former Atlanta prospect will be out to show the Braves what they missed out on. |
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06-30-18 | Red Sox -135 v. Yankees | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R) The ace of the BoSox pitching staff goes against the Yankees after striking out nine or more batters in each of his past four outings. He tallied eight strikeouts, allowed eight hits, walked none and surrendered one run over six innings against the Yankees on April 10 and matches up very well against the Yankees batting order. Note: Sale is getting stronger as the season has progressed ,his average fastball was 92.5 in April, 95.6 in May and 97.0 this month. Meanwhile, the Yanks starter Gray is off a loss in his last start, when he surrendered four runs and six hits in 6 2/3 innings to the Rays at Tropicana Field. He faced Boston on April 12, permitting six runs over three innings in a loss and my own power rankings suggest he will struggle against the Red Sox batting order again. Since joining the Yankees, he is 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox. For his career, Gray is 1-5 with a 5.97 ERA in seven games against Boston. GRAY is 6-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 5-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 47-19 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Red Sox are 18-1 L/19 as a 130-plus favorite off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-30-18 | Indians v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 105 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Plutko the Tribes starter today vs Oakland limited Detroit to two runs on six hits over six innings on Sunday, ending with four strikeouts and no walks. The right-hander has held righty batters to a .186 average with a .620 OPS in six outings this season. I'm expecting he does just fine vs Oakland offense that has struggled offensively at home this season generating just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .223 BA. Meanwhile, the Athletics will respond with Jackson who gave the A’s six innings in his 2018 debut, holding the Tigers to one run on Monday. He allowed just six hits and didn’t walk a batter, while striking out seven in the 80-pitch outing. I expect he gets even stronger today, and continues his past top tier efforts vs the Tribe, as is evident by 9-1 W/L career record along with a solid 2.81 ERA. The Indians have been a Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde offense home and away this season. On the road Cleveland has averaged just 3.8 rpg behind a lackluster .224 BA and I'm betting on Jackson and a stable As bullpen 2.66 ERA at home to keep the Tribe for erupting, thus helping see this game score finish on the low side of the Total. JACKSON the As starter is 11-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.
MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-30-18 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Skaggs the Angles starter this afternoon took the loss in his last start on Monday despite holding the Royals to one run over seven innings. He has posted a 0.67 ERA over 27 innings in four June starts and I'm betting will make life difficult for the Os offense. Meanwhile, Baltimore's starter Cashner took a no-decision in his last start, against the Mariners, despite going six innings for the third time in four outings. The righty has a 3.68 ERA in June but is winless in four starts, thanks to a lack of clutch hitting and run support by the Os struggling batting order that has produced more than 3 runs only twice in their L/9 games. LA ANGELS are 9-1 UNDER after a win by 6 runs or more this season with the average combined score clicking at 6.4 rpg.BALTIMORE is 14-4 UNDER in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 20-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored and is 16-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. CASHNER is 9-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average scoring ringing in at 6.5 rpg. CASHNER is 12-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. CASHNER is 15-4 UNDER (+10.8 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 17-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-29-18 | Rockies +145 v. Dodgers | 3-1 | Win | 145 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
German Marquez the Rockies hurler has a below average won loss record of 5-8 and a bloated 5.64 ERA, but a lot of that damage has come at Coors field. On the road Marquez is 3-3 along with a stable 3.29 ERA , and is under rated on the line in this spot thus giving us value backing him and his teammates in this spot. It must also be noted that the Dodgers are 0-6 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season LA DODGERS are also just 3-10 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 6-0 against the money line revenging a 3 game sweep, beaten by 3+ runs in each game over the last 3 seasons. Which happened the last time these teams met in early June. LA DODGERS has also not been stable favorites as is evident by a 20-24 record against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies have won 8 straight as a 150-plus underdog on the opening line off a road game in which they led by multiple runs, which was the case last time out. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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06-29-18 | Braves v. Cardinals -140 | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. MILES MIKOLAS (R) The Braves starter today Teheran vs the Cards is coming off his worst start of the season after giving up 7 runs, including a grand slam in the first, to the O's last Saturday. Since starting the season 4-1, Teheran is 1-4 in his last six outings along with a bloated 6.06 ERA and seven homers allowed in 32 2/3 innings. He will be backed by a Braves bullpen, that has garnered a 5.46 ERA with 14 walks in 29 2/3 innings on the recent homestand. Meanwhile, Mikalos .the Cards starter has been one of major league baseballs pitching surprises this season, and is highly under rated and gives the Cards a strong chance foe victory tonight. The righty thrower has walked just 12 hitters in 97 innings while ranking second in the National League in WHIP (0.97) and sixth in ERA. He should do well vs a mix match banged up Atlanta batting order that is slumping of late, as was evident when they lost 4 of 6 in their recent home stand. TEHERAN is 18-35 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cardinals are 41-9 L/50 since Sep 15, 2015 as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games, which the Braves have. MLB Teams are 19-4 since Jun 18, 2018 League as a home 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. MATHENY is 94-60 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-29-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) Sabathia the Yankee starter tonight has lost his last two starts, both to the Rays, despite limiting them to five runs (four earned) with 14 strikeouts over 13 innings. I'm betting he keeps his team in this game as well and limits the Beantown offense to limited run producing opportunities. Meanwhile, Rodriguez the BoSox starter , despite of a rare substandard effort Mariners, when he allowed 5 runs in 4 innings, the southpaw has been solid, with a 2.97 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in the past seven games. Against the Yankees on May 10, he struck out eight over five scoreless innings. Both hurlers are backed by quality bullpens, and I'm betting on these hurlers providing up with quality work, which will help contribute to us cashing a under ticket here. Under is 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 home starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts vs. Yankees. Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 23-9-2 in Rodriguezs last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record. SABATHIA is 26-10 UNDER against division opponents over the last few seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 17-7 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 22-8 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined 5.5 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-4 UNDER L/26 in June games as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOONE is 27-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. The Red Sox are 3-17-2 OU L/22 by an average of 1.73 rpg in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after they used 5+ pitchers. The Red Sox are 9-27 OU since Jun 15, 2004 on the road off a game as a favorite vs a lefty when they won the last three times they faced a lefty with a combed average of 8.3 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 12-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board. NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are a long term good bet for under bettors and are 138-64 to the UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-28-18 | Brewers -102 v. Reds | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) The Reds hurler is currently in good form and off a quality start but it must be noted that the Reds are just 1-6 in DeSclafanis last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Meanwhile the Brewer starter Guerra despite of substandard win loss record, has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his L/8 starts, and almost always gives his side a chance for victory. GUERRA is 21-10 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years this season.Brewers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The Reds are 0-13 SU after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, trailed and won. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 40-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewer to win on the money line |
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06-28-18 | Mariners -142 v. Orioles | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. JIMMY YACABONIS (R) Mike Leake (8-4, 4.11 ERA) will start for the Mariners against Jimmy Yacabonis (0-0, 15.43). Leake has the advantage according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings system. LEAKE is 12-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Seattle has won the first three games of this series, after yesterdays 8-7 victory in 11 innings over the slumping and injury-riddled Orioles and look like viable investment option to sweep this series.SEATTLE is 31-18 against the money line after a one run win over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-13 L/13 at home after playing as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record.
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06-27-18 | Cubs v. Dodgers -135 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) |
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06-27-18 | Indians +100 v. Cardinals | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
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06-27-18 | Twins -138 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The White Sox will go to right-hander James Shields (2-9, 4.59 ERA) to make his 17th start of the season, but are at a disadvantage as the Twins return fire with the confident Kyle Gibson who has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in each of his past five starts. Gibson owns a solid 6-2 record with a 2.42 ERA vs the Twins in his career.GIBSON is 11-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 13-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 25-9 ( against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record)GIBSON is 12-2 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 4-18 since Apr 27, 2013 in not the first game of a series as a dog off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season including their L/11 in a row under these perimeters. The White Sox are 0-6 L/6 this season and its not the first game of a series as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they scored 6+ runs.The White Sox are 0-10 L/10 this season and its not the first game of a series as a dog after playing as a home dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the money line |
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06-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Astros -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) |
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06-27-18 | Royals v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Brent Suter (8-4, 4.15 ERA) will start for Milwaukee, looking for his fourth consecutive victory. The left-hander has been amazing during his winning streak, recording a 2.84 ERA while holding batters to a .185 average and a .551 OPS. He is in great form and gets my support to help his team cover on the run-in this afternoon vs a Royals that are 4-19 since June 1 and have lost 12 of their last 14 games -- six by four or more runs. It must be noted that the Brewers are 7-0 on the money line in franchise history with Brent Suter as a home favorite when they scored three-plus runs and won in his last start with the victories coming by an average of 5.71 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 7-31 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line -1.5 ( Late update) |
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06-26-18 | Mariners -132 v. Orioles | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) The Mariners have won 25 straight on the moneyline as a road favorite of more than 130 when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.00 on the campaign, it is not a series opener, and they did not use more than five pitchers in their previous game.
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06-25-18 | Indians v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R) Cleveland and their bats have come to life of late, scoring 50 runs in their L/6 games and could put enough runs on the board vs the Cards starters in bullpen today to eclipse this weak total all by themselves.Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. CLEVELAND is 17-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive home games this season.( The Tribe just played 9 straight as hosts) The Cardinals have gone 7 straight times in the first game of a series with no rest as a underdog after a game as a road pup in which they used 5+ pitchers going over the total by an average of 8 runs per game. Play on the OVER |
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06-25-18 | Padres v. Rangers -140 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. COLE HAMELS (L) Hamels is 3-3 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in his past 10 starts. Opponents are hitting .206 off him in that stretch. He is 9-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 17 career starts against the Padres.Hamels has gone six-plus innings in his past eight starts, his second-longest streak with the Rangers, and has allowed just one earned run in 13 innings in his last two starts. Note: HAMELS is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 2-16 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start dating back to last season. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after getting shut out are 30-62 L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB TEXAS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 36-17 for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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06-25-18 | Mariners -119 v. Orioles | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Andrew Cashner (2-8, 4.72 ERA) starts for the Orioles Monday against Felix Hernandez (6-6, 5.14 Despite a career-high ERA of 5.14, the veteran right-hander has pitched better of late, allowing two or fewer runs in three of his last four starts. He’s 4-1 with a 3.09 ERA in seven career starts at Camden Yards. He gives his team an edge, vs a hurler in Cashner that has been both inconsistent and the unlucky recipient of a lack of run support making him and struggling team fade material in this spot. HERNANDEZ team when he starts is 14-3 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record .SEATTLE is 37-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.SEATTLE is 9-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games this season. BALTIMORE is 9-30 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 6-23 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. BALTIMORE is 9-23 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. Play on Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-25-18 | Yankees -142 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
JONATHAN LOAISIGA (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
Yankees starter Loaisiga (1-0, 3.12 ERA) will make just the third start of his major league career. Note: Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 0-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season. NY YANKEES are 24-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NY YANKEES are 14-3 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are a LONG term negative bet as they are 62-105 L/21 seasons for a 62% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-24-18 | Phillies +108 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
NICK PIVETTA (R) vs. JEFRY RODRIGUEZ (R) The Nationals will send the inexperienced Jerry Rodriguez to the hill to make his second career Major League start. The kid like so many young pitchers that get the call-up to the majors have some good stuff, but putting it to proper use is a constant issue as was the case was for Rodrigues , as is evident by allowing five runs on four hits in five innings in his first start. I'm betting he will once again get schooled by a Phillies team that are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Monday against the Cardinals, Pivetta looked rejuvenated after a couple down efforts and generated 11 of 21 strikeouts with his nasty curveball and struck out a career-high 13 in 7 1/3 innings. When the curve is working well he is hard to beat and gets my backing here tonight. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies have won the first two games of this series by a 17-5 count and are more than capable of completing the sweep with a win tonight in DC vs a struggling Nats team that has lost 7 of their L/9. Note: Philadelphia is 4-0 L/4 in games 3 of a series. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.WASHINGTON is 9-15 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB team (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR are 57-102 L/21 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the money line |
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06-24-18 | Marlins +157 v. Rockies | 8-5 | Win | 157 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
CALEB SMITH (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) German Marquez (5-7, 5.20) will start for the Rockies. He been consistently hit hard this season and is 0-2 with along with the bloated 5.23 ERA in two starts against the Marlins, including April 28 when he gave up three runs (one earned) in six innings in Colorado's 4-1 loss.The Rockies are 7-8 in starts by Marquez, who is 2-4 with a 7.45 ERA in eight starts at Coors Field this season and is fade material in his current lower tier form. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 5-1 in their starters Smiths last 6 starts. Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 3-7 in Marquezs last 10 home starts. COLORADO is 7-15 L/22 against the money line in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 6-2 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games this season.COLORADO is 9-20 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple of seasons.COLORADO is 4-15 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last couple of seasons. Marlins are 16-7 in the last 23 meetings. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the money line |
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06-24-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | 8-2 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
LUKE WEAVER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R) |
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06-24-18 | Tigers +150 v. Indians | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. ADAM PLUTKO (R) |
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06-23-18 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) The lines-makers know well the odds of the Royals winning this game and have the same trends and data that I have on this tilt which I include here below. The Astros are 32-0 SU as a 200+ favorite after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is not a series opener.Since the start of 2017 campaign, the Astros have won 14 in a row with Lance McCullers as a 125-plus favorite when he went six-plus innings in his last start.As pertains to the run-in it must be noted that Houston has won 7 straight on the money line in this spot this season with every win by multiple runs. Houston Right-hander Lance McCullers (8-3, 3.77 ERA) gets the nod in the middle game of the series for Houston. He is 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four career starts against the Royals. Meanwhile,the Royals will answer back right-hander Ian Kennedy (1-7, 5.31 ERA) on Saturday. Kennedy is winless over his last 13 starts, one behind Athletics right-hander Chris Bassitt for the longest active streak in the majors. He is 0-7 with a 6.12 ERA since his only win on April and is fade material inches current form.KENNEDY is 1-10 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) losing SU by an average of 4 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros on the run-line -1.5 |
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06-23-18 | Dodgers -115 v. Mets | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Two star pitchers go to the hill today, but I'm betting the Dodgers behind Kershaw have the edge, because of the more consistent offence, and better clutch hitting I know DeGrom the Mets hurler has been lights out this season, but the Mets have lost 8 of his L/11 starts despite of him garnering a minsucle 0.90 ERA. DeGrom is also 0-3 with a 3.26 ERA in six career regular-season starts against the Dodgers. He has beaten every other team he has faced more than once. Kershaw is 8-0 with a 1.84 ERA in 12 regular-season starts against the Mets and I'm betting he remains perfect after today. NY METS are 9-22 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLBHome teams (NY METS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA dodgers to win on the money line |
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06-23-18 | Cubs -115 v. Reds | 2-11 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Luke Farrell (2-2, 3.63 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 4.60) The Cubs have lost the first two games of this series, and will primed to bounce back here with a big effort this afternoon. Luke Farrell will make his first start of 2018 for the Cubs. The right-hander, who was named the starter following Friday's game, has made 12 relief appearances this year, allowing allowing seven earned runs over 17 1/3 innings for a 3.63 ERA and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Reds.Reds are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. National League Central. The Reds hurler , Anthony DeSclafani , according to my own rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubbies. It must be noted that the Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 11-23 in their last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-23-18 | Phillies -106 v. Nationals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies ace looks like a lock to make the NL All-Star team, and is in rebound mode after a rare forgettable start. He allowed four runs in 4 1/3 innings Sunday against the Brewers, just the second time this season he has allowed more than three runs. Phillies are 9-2 in Nolas last 11 starts.Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Nationals starter Fedde has given up 10 runs on 19 hits in three starts this season.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 0-4 in Feddes last 4 home starts. Nola is a special pitcher and gives his team a chance at victory every time he goes to the hill. Considering the pitching matchup and the Nationals recent struggles , as is evident by losing 6 of their L/8 the Phillies have an edge. Washington has lost 12 of 18 home games vs teams whose hitters strike out more than 7 times a game this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-23-18 | Rangers v. Twins -137 | 9-6 | Loss | -137 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (0-0, 15.95 ERA) vs. Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (3-4, 4.38) |
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06-22-18 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R) Padres left-hander Clayton Richard (6-6, 4.31), enters this game in top form and has allowed just six earned runs in his L/ 20 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, Stratton the Giants starter threw seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit, in a 7-0 victory over the Padres in April and in his career owns a solid 2-1 record along with a stable 3.21 ERA against them in three games, including two starts. Under is 4-1 in Strattons last 5 starts overall. Both pitchers are backed by solid bullpens with SF relievers garnering a 2.87 home ERA and the Padres relievers recording a 2.79 overall ERA. The Giants have struggled against LHP this season like Richards averaging 4 rpg, via a lowly below the Mendoza line .241 team BA. The Fathers, 3.4 rpg on he road, while hitting just .225. SAN DIEGO is 20-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.6 rpg. Under is 8-2 in Padres last 10 overall.Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Everything points to this being a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse this total. Play UNDER |
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06-22-18 | Tigers +184 v. Indians | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R) In two starts against the Indians this year, Fiers is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA, having allowed two runs and eight hits in 13 innings with 13 strikeouts and two walks. In six career starts against Cleveland, Fiers is 3-1 with a 2.04 ERA and must not be underestimated in his ability to help his team pull off a nice upset here tonight in Cleveland against the Tribe. FIERS team when he starts is 5-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. FIERS team when he starts is also 6-1 against the money line against division opponents this season. Tigers are 5-0 in Fiers' last 5 starts. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP of 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 10-30 L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Cubs -133 v. Reds | 3-6 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) The Cubs lost last night to Cincinnati blowing a 2-0 lead going into the 6th, eventually running out of gas and losing 6-2. However, the Cubs have proven resilient in the past off a loss vs an opponent, and are also 25-7 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite dating back last season. Quintana (6-5) was nearly flawless his last time out against the Reds, limiting them to a Scott Schebler single over seven innings while striking out seven and walking four during a 10-0 victory in the second game of a May 19 doubleheader and is my choice to get us the promised land here again tonight. Quintana has pitched extremely well vs Reds, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA while striking out 16 in 16 2-3 innings over three career starts.Note:The Cubs are 6-0 on the moneyline when Jose Quintana starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start. Chicago has won these six games by an average of 8.33 rpg. Cubs are 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Reds are 0-4 in Castillos last 4 starts. CINCINNATI is 14-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start and is 5-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season and is 17-42 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 20-9 in the last 29 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Mariners +122 v. Red Sox | 10-14 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R) The Red Sox will play their first home game after an extended road trip and will now be in a bit of jet lagged let down state that puts them at a disadvantage vs a quality opponent. note: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Mariners starter tonight left-hander Wade LeBlanc pitched a top tier game when he out dueled Steven Wright and handing the Boston Red Sox a 1-0 defeat last time they faced each other last week. LeBlanc, who has been pitching well of late , is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA and has allowed only 11 earned runs in nine starts. LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts against Boston and gets my support in this tilt vs the Red Sox. LEBLANC is 13-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 10-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.
SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season.SEATTLE is 10-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.SEATTLE is 21-7 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. Play on Seattle to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) |
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06-21-18 | Cubs -156 v. Reds | 2-6 | Loss | -156 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R) The Cubs just took 2 of 3 from the LA Dodgers and enter this game with momentum and confidence as they send starter Hendricks to the ill. The righty hurler is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 career starts against the Reds.Cubs are 6-1 in Hendricks' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Meanwhile, the Reds will send still-inconsistent right-hander Matt Harvey (1-5, 5.92 ERA) to hill. He is 0-3 in his L/4 starts, and is fade material in his current form. HARVEYs team when he starts in his career is 16-32 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record . Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Cubs are 43-17 in their last 60 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Cincinnati. Cubs are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings. CINCINNATI is 4-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season and is 4-17 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season.Cincinnati is 8-23 L/30 against NL Central sides.Reds are 9-20 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHICAGO CUBS) - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 85-22 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-21-18 | Mets v. Rockies -145 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L) |
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06-21-18 | Red Sox v. Twins +110 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Porcello the Bosox starter is 3-3 over the last eight starts with a 5.28 ERA. He far from being in top form and susceptible to being beaten around. Meanwhile, Twins starter Gibson a solid hurler, who was suffering from a lack of run support earlier this season is off a win last time out, outdueling Cleveland ace Corey Kluber by holding the Indians to a run over seven innings. I'm betting on more top tier work here vs a Boston team that is 2-for-22 with runners in scoring position in the series, including 0-for-9 in Wednesday’s setback. GIBSON team is now 9-1 when he starts against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is just 9-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 9-3 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Twins have won 10 straight on the moneyline as a home dog after playing as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record. Play on Minnesota Twins ( LATE STEAM)
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06-20-18 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R) There are two very average pitchers on the hill today, but two below average offenses will face them. Texas has averaged 3.9 rpg on the road via a lowly .229 BA while KC has averaged 3.4 rpg on a .234 BA. The Royals have scored more than 3 runs just once in their L/11 games, and struggle with their bats at the best of times and even against the worst of pitchers. My projections once again suggest that topping 3 runs for the this futile KC offense will be hard to achieve, while, Texas will not be far behind or ahead in production , which makes for a viable under wager in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 17-6 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 road games. Under is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win. Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 6-2 in umpire Fairchilds last 8 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 72-36 UNDER L/21 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-20-18 | Mariners +179 v. Yankees | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JONATHAN LOAISIGA (R) |
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06-19-18 | Mets v. Rockies -153 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Laying a little lumber here tonight, but feel we have a big enough edge to make it a viable wagering opportunity. Jason Vargas the NY Mets starter has pitched decently of late but on the season has garnered a ugly 9.14 ERA on the road this and according to my projections another non quality start here in the launching pad known as Coors Field will find him in a front of a proverbial firing squad here again today. .Vargas, who is 2-2 with an inflated 9.00 ERA in five career starts versus Colorado, including 1-2 with an super bloated 11.40 ERA in three outings at Coors Field. Mets are 2-7 in Vargas' last 9 starts.Mets are 1-5 in Vargas' last 6 road starts. Meanwhile, Colorado's starter Marquez may not also inspire bettors, but the Rockies are 6-1 in Marquezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Vargas owns a 1-0 record along with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against the Mets, including six quality innings in a victory at Citi Field on May 4. My power rankings suggest he matches up well against this light hitting Mets offense. MLB team (NY METS) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 34-62 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (COLORADO) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 41-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win on the moneyline |
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06-19-18 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R) Milwaukee will recall right-hander Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.72 ERA) from Triple-A Colorado Springs and give him his third career start Tuesday, against Pittsburgh righty Jameson Taillon (4-5, 3.94 ERA). In his earlier recall, Peralta, , made his major league debut on Mother's Day, recording 5 2/3 scoreless innings against Colorado, while allowing just one hit and setting a Brewers record for a debut with 13 strikeouts. The kid looks good and should have the confidence for a good start here .Meanwhile, Taillon the Pirates starter pitched on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-4 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. I'm expecting both hurlers to do their part in what I'm betting will be another low scoring game in this series. Yesterday the Pirates took a 1-0 victory. Note: MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite dating back to last season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.9 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER after a loss this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. These teams have stayed under in 13 of their L/19 games here in Pittsburgh. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. Taillon has stayed under in his L/4 meetings vs the Brewers and his L/4 here at home. Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 46-15-1 in Brewers last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 road games.Under is 53-18-1 in Brewers last 72 games following a loss/. Under is 30-12 in Brewers last 42 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 79-34-4 in Brewers last 117 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 35-16-1 in Brewers last 52 vs. National League Central.Under is 36-17-1 in Brewers last 54 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-2-1 in Pirates last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-2 in Pirates last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 33-15-3 in Pirates last 51 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-0 in Taillons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1 in Taillons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Taillons last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Play UNDER |
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06-19-18 | Dodgers -122 v. Cubs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R) |
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06-18-18 | Rangers -103 v. Royals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R) I know that old timer Bartolo Colon the Rangers starting pitcher may not inspire bettors, but the veteran is resilient, as is evident by him being the most profitable starter in the league this season when his team lost his last start, cashing 5 straight times on the moneyline.The Rangers are also 6-0 L/6on the moneyline off a walk-off win as a dog, which happened yesterday. COLON in his career when he starts is 56-31 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game . Meanwhile, his Royals pitching opponent KENNEDYs team when he starts is 3-14 against the money line in home games in night games dating back to last season. Kennedy is also winless in his last 12 starts overall, and never seems t catch a break no matter what, because of lack of run support and crap clutch hitting. Both these teams are less than impressive but the Rangers enter this game with some momentum after wiining 2 straight in Colorado, and look to be the better of two teams with sub par records. KANSAS CITY is 6-24 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.KANSAS CITY is 4-15 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 39-12 L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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06-18-18 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) The Tribe has lost 4 of their L/6 overall and have looked a little wobbly of late. In last weeks series vs the White Sox they lost 2 of 4 games, and had lost five straight to the Minnesota Twins - including the first two in their weekend set - before picking up ad desperation 4-1 win in the finale Sunday afternoon. The Indians have scored a total of just 18 runs in their L/6 games ( 3rpg) and could find themselves struggling to move runners again vs the Pale Hose starter Covey who is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA since being recalled from the minors May 19. He was on the hill when the White Sox beat the Indians in south side Chicago last week by a 3-2 score. Meanwhile, Indians hurler BAUER in his career starts has seen his team go just 13-19 against the money line in home games against division opponents. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 4-1 in Coveys last 5 starts. CLEVELAND have lost 14 of their L/21 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the +1.5 runline |
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06-18-18 | Brewers -120 v. Pirates | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) Brewers starter Chacin Three of his last five outings have seen him not allow a run, including a six-inning effort in a win over the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday. He has won his last six decisions with opposition batters hitting just .227 overall against him. Chacin limited the Pirates to one run in six innings in his only meeting against them this season and matches up very well vs the Bucks. CHACIN team when he starts is 8-0 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Pirates have also lost 14 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a home game and they are seeking same-season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher. Meanwhile, Williams the Pirates starter has lasted just three innings in each of his last two starts, giving up a total 12 runs .Williams has not had a quality start in 5 straight and has garnered a 0-2 record along with an ugly 8.57 ERA during that nasty run. Needless to say, unless he suddenly comes to life, that Pirates chances look bleak here vs a winning team and pitcher. CHACIN is 9-2 against the money line in night games this season.Brewers are 10-1 in Chacins last 11 starts.Brewers are 5-0 in Chacins last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Pirates are 9-19 in their last 28 overall. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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06-18-18 | Yankees -125 v. Nationals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 0 h 20 m | Show | |
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R) .Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games.Nationals and are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and 1-4 in their L/5 vs the AL East. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-17-18 | Mets v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) Buchholz faced the Mets in his first start for Arizona, giving up one run on two hits in five innings in a 4-1 Mets victory at Citi Field on May 20. He is good form this season, as is evident by garnering 2.25 ERA in 5 starts. According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the Mets light hitting and inconsistent offensive lineup that has scored a total of 20 runs in their L/11 games. Meanwhile, the Mets Wheeler is 2-1 with a 2.13 ERA in four career games against Arizona, giving up 25 hits but only six earned runs while striking out 20 and walking five in 25 1/3 innings. Thanks to the Mets inability to score consistently and Wheelers ability to limit damage, I'm betting this tilt stays on the low side of the total. NY METS in their L/19 games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season have seen a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 Under is 4-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 6 games behind home plate.Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 4 of a series. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 71-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-17-18 | Red Sox -125 v. Mariners | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R) Rodriguez the Bosox starter has won five in a row, the most recent being a 6-4 victory over the Orioles on Tuesday. He went 5 2/3 innings and allowed two runs and gets my support here today in the finale of this 4 game series vs the Seattle Mariners . Note: RODRIGUEZ team when he starts is 12-1 against the money line in all games this season Meanwhile, Mike Leake has also done well of late with his team winning his last seven starts . However, according to my power rankings he does not matchup well vs the Red Sox batting order .In his career vs Boston he (0-2, 6.56 ERA in four career meetings). Key Trend: LEAKE team when he starts is 1-12 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better in his career) Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.Red Sox are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts. BOSTON is 40-15 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. BOSTON is 13-3 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-17-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Royals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. BRAD KELLER (R) Houston is merciless and the Royals are just plain bad. McCullers the Astros starter set a career high in wins (eight) by beating the A’s on Tuesday night in Oakland. He has thrown at least six innings in nine of his 14 starts. Of the 35 earned runs he has allowed, 15 have come in two rough starts and now he gets the nod today. Meanwhile, this is not a good spot vs Brad Keller who is making just his 4th career start. Houston is a mean offensive machine, averaging 6 rpg on the road and could easily beat up on this kid today. HOUSTON is 21-4 SU in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with the average combined margin of victory clicking in at 4.1 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 6-30 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last few seasons with the average margin defeat coming by 3.4 rpg. The Royals have lost 15 straight 140+ dog off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times which happened yesterday in a 10-2 loss to the Astros. Actually the L/5 times when this trend is in play the Royals were smashed and lost by an average of 7.5 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the runline -1.5 |
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06-16-18 | Giants +135 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) Alex Wood the Dodgers starter tonight, is a mess right now, and has allowed a total of 13 earned runs in his last three starts covering just 12 innings. He is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA in 11 career games (seven starts) versus the Giants and is fade material in his current sub par form. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Bumgarner after missing the first part of this season struggled in his second start last Monday against Miami Marlins , giving up four runs in 5 1/3 innings. But I'm betting he will get better. QUOTE:“He’s only going to get better,” manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “He needs to pitch. He'll get to where he needs to be.” The four-time All-Star is 15-9 with a 2.53 ERA in 29 career games (28 starts) against the Dodgers and get the nod tonight on a value line. Dodgers are 2-6 in Woods last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. LA DODGERS are just 12-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. LA DODGERS are 4-9 against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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06-16-18 | Padres v. Braves -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) The Padres ended an eight-game drought in Atlanta on Friday night, beating the National League East-leading Braves 9-3 for their 12th victory in the past 17 games. Those 5 losses, however, have all come by multiple runs.The Braves bullpen blew a lead last night , but it must be noted that ATLANTA is 6-0 against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season. Lyles the Padres starter today allowed 11 hits in consecutive starts, and in his outing Monday vs. St. Louis he recorded only three swings and misses on 102 pitches.Lyles has a 6.35 ERA in four games (three starts) against the Braves, with the loss in San Diego last week his only decision, allowing 8 runs in just 4.1 innings of work. LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 10-37 in his career against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 with the average margin of defeat coming by 2 rpg. Meanwhile Sean Newcombe is off a rare bad start last time out and ready to rebound. the southpaw has had a tremendous season overall recording a 2.92 ERA and has been solid at home vs sub par opponents going 5-0 in L/5 starts . Newcombe has not allowed a run in his 12 career innings against San Diego. I'm betting the Braves have the edge with Newcombe here again. ATLANTA is 21-7 against the money line after a loss this season with the average win coming by more than 2 rpg. Atlantas last 8 wins have all come by 2 runs or more and they once again have the edge here on the -1.5 value runline. Play on Atlanta -1.5 on the runline |
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06-16-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Blue Jays | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) Scherzer the Nationals starter has made eight career starts against the Blue Jays, posting a stingy 2.15 ERA and averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. He has thrown at least seven innings and struck out at least nine in three consecutive starts. Needless to say hes owned them and I'm betting nothing will change today. Note: The Nationals have won 15 straight on the money-line by an average of 3.3 rpg with Scherzer as a favorite of more than 135 when they lost his last start.Meanwhile, the Jays starting hurler Estrada (3-6, 5.09 ERA) is coming off a quality start but that was against a weak, Baltimore offense .Blue Jays are 0-5 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. WASHINGTON is 41-9 lL50 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more with the average win coming by 2.2 rpg, which qualifies on the runline option.SCHERZER is 23-5 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 44-10 with the average with the average scores coming by more than -1.5 runline offer. Play on the Washington Nationals -1.5 on the runline |
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06-16-18 | Marlins v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Chen of Miami and Cobb of Baltimore are two hurlers that have struggled recently. But going against respective offenses that must be looked at as lower tier attacks, these two sometimes very capable hurlers could easily look like Cy Young award candidates. COBB team when he starts is 15-4 UNDER in home games in day games in his career, with a combined average score of 5.6 rpg scored.BALTIMORE in 22 games vs. a starting pitcher that gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season have seen a combined average of just 7.5 rpg scored. CHEN is 44-23 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season in his career with a combined average score 7.7 rgg going on the board. BALTIMORE is 21-7 UNDER L/28 in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts are 49-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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06-16-18 | Marlins v. Orioles -143 | 5-4 | Loss | -143 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Both pitchers are nothing to brag about, but from a home filed advantage situation in an interleague game, my own power rankings suggest that Cobb and his team have a big enough edge to get us a win here between two bottom feeders. Orioles are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter MIAMI is 11-31 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons..Orioles are 37-17 in their last 54 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record MLB team (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing 44-17 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 31- 10 L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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06-15-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners -138 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L) The BoSox pulled off a 2-1 win in the first game of this series between two contenders last night, but it must be noted that Seattle has proved resilient off a close loss as is evident by the following trends. SEATTLE is 10-0 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season and is 8-0 against the money line after a one run loss this season. SEATTLE is also 19-6 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season The Mariners will send left-hander James Paxton (6-1, 3.02) to the mound. Paxton, a hurler that has not lost since his first start of the season, is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in three career starts against the Red Sox and gets my backing here tonight.BOSTON is 9-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. The Red Sox have also lost 16 straight on the money-line as an underdog vs a southpaw when they are off a game as a favorite and they faced righties in each of their last three games. I know Rick Porcello the BoSox starting thrower is currently in top form , but my pitcher vs offense power rankings suggest Seattle matches up well against him. Red Sox are 0-4 in Porcellos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-15-18 | Twins v. Indians OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Two pitchers Gibson( Min) and Kluber ( Indians) with strong ERAs are on the mound, but according to my projections 8 or more runs could easily go on the board here today based on my offensive estimates relating to the Tribes out put. According to my pitcher vs offense power rankings the Indians matchup very well vs Gibson and could come close to eclipsing this Totals number all by themselves. In 14 career starts against Cleveland, Gibson is 2-6 with a 5.60 ERA. He goes against a home team that has averaged 5.8 rpg at home this season. Note: Whether this is anomaly or not it is still interesting to note- GIBSON is 10-1 OVER when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Kluber is a stud, but his bullpen has been a little tainted, and when and if he comes out, things could roll out of hand . MINNESOTA is 31-13 OVER vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2couple of seasons. The Indians have gone OVER 10 straight times at home after they had a higher team-left-on-base % than their opponent, going over by an average of 7.1 rpg Cleveland s 15-4 OVER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average offensive output of 11.8 rpg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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06-14-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) Seattle starter tonight King Felix is 6-5 this season with a career-worst 5.70 ERA. He has given up four or more runs in five of his past seven starts and now goes against a BoSox team that has averaged 5.3 rpg vs RHP this season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox will return fire with David Price a hurler in top form at the moment. but it must be noted that PRICE in 16 career games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) has seen his team back him with an average of 6.3 rpg and while the opposition has scored an average of 3.9 rpg , for average combined score of 10.2 rpg going on the board. Also Seattle's offense has revved up recently and has scored an average of 5.33 rpg in their L/9 trips to the field and is 17-8 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season . My own projections estimate the Mariners will at least score 4 runs while, the Red Sox should also put that many runs on the board, which will I'm betting result in score that eclipsed this beatable total. Note: Seattle has gone over in 5 straight games and have gone over 12 Straight times by 3+ runs off a game as a dog in which they had more than one multiple-run innings. Over is 5-1 in Prices last 6 starts vs. American League West.Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-3 in Prices last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 8-2 in Hernandezs last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 starts vs. Red Sox. Play OVER |
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06-14-18 | Rays v. Yankees -166 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)
It must be noted that the Rays found a way to win yesterday vs Toronto despite of scoring just one run in a 1-0 win vs a strong hurler in AJ Happ. But in the past this has not been a strong omen for them in the follow up as is TAMPA BAY is just 3-21 against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog and are also 0-24 on the moneyline on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits, getting pounded by an average of 3.5 rpg in the follow up. NY YANKEES are 22-8 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. NY YANKEES are 37-12 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 dating back to last season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-14-18 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R) The Astros have owned the first two games of the series between American League West rivals, winning by 6-3 and 13-5 deficits . More of the same one sided action I'm betting is on todays card, as star hurler Justin Verlander goes to the hill for the Astros. Verlander (8-2, 1.45 ERA), has been particularly dominating on the road where he has garnered a 6-1 record and miniscule 0.96 ERA this season. Yes, I know he is going against a As pitcher Montas getting a lot of accolades for a 3-0 start to his career, but two of those wins came against light hitting KC and one against a Arizona team that was struggling offensively when he faced them. This is a whole different kind of offense he will face today, as he goes against a Astros team that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season and merciless in their domination of their opposition, putting the pedal to the metal from1 through 9. It must be noted that Astros have won 18 straight SU as a 125-plus regular season road favorite when they are off a five-plus run win and it is not a series opener, winning by an average of whopping 6.22 rpg, while the Athletics in their L/9 at home off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times, which happened in yesterdays 13-5 loss have scored an average of just 1.89 rpg in the follow up. HOUSTON is 18-4 against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span dating back to last season winning by an average of 4 rpg. HOUSTON is 17-3 SU in road games against division opponents this season winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.HOUSTON is 19-4 SU in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with the average margin of victory coming by 4.2 rpg. OAKLAND is 9-24 SU in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last few seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg. OAKLAND is 2-12 L/14 SU in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent with the average loss coming by 2.8 rpg. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (HOUSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 33-14 L/5 seasons winning by an average of 2.8 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros -1.5 Runline |
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06-13-18 | Giants v. Marlins +103 | 4-5 | Win | 103 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
ANDREW SUAREZ (L) vs. CALEB SMITH (L) Miami has had the Giants number for a while now, and even when they look like they have an advantage they fall flat on their faces . The giants have now lost 6 of their L/7 games vs the Marlins and have lost 4 of their L/5 here in South Florida. Today we have two young pitchers on the hill, that throw consistently in the low 90s. The Marlins Smith holds the advantage over a Suarez as the later, has not looked comfortable in his five road starts this year, going just 1-2 along with a bloated 6.75 ERA. Meanwhile, the Marlins Smith leads National League rookies with 79 strikeouts. In his 13 starts this season, he is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings, which is a steady improvement from his 8.7 stat line of 2017. His walk rate of 4.1 is high but yet improved from his 4.8 figure of last year. This kids gaining confidence and deserves my backing in this spot play. Giants have lost 7 of their L/10 vs a LHP. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Giants are 22-46 in their last 68 road games. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, in June games are 22-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline |
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06-13-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -138 | 7-2 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Rockies enter this game in a funk and are on a five-game losing streak. Everything was going their way earlier this season despite of inconsistent offensive results, but now their pitching is failing them as well, and their not playing clutch ball. For example yesterday they out hit the Phillies but still lost, because of their inability to score with runners in scoring position. The Rockies have been outscored 41-24 during their last five games and look to be down-trending in a big way, and very much look fade material here again tonight in Philly. Tonight I expect Phillies starter Nick Pivetta who owns a solid 2.20 ERA at home this season in 7 starts to help his team score the W.Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 9-2 in Pivettas last 11 home starts.Nick Pivetta is 7-0 L/7 on the money-line when facing a team on a multi-game losing streak. Note that Anderson the Rockies starter is off a quality start last time out his best of the season, but that is not a good omen for his team as he has seen his side go just 3-13 after a quality start Phillies are 25-12 in their last 37 home games. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), after a one run win are a bankroll expanding 98-38 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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06-13-18 | Pirates +150 v. Diamondbacks | 5-4 | Win | 150 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
I've picked the Pirates in two straight games in Arizona, and have come up short both times. I know Einstein said, that doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is a sign of insanity , but here I go again. Call me crazy if you like, but I'm recommending we take the Pirates on the value line, as my power rankings suggest they the Bucks actually matchup well vs the Dbacks despite of both teams currently being on different trajectories.
Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Whether this is an anomaly or not its still interesting to note that the DBacks have lost 8 straight Wednesday games. Hump day algorithm in play here. MLB Home teams (ARIZONA) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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06-13-18 | Mets -108 v. Braves | 0-2 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R)
This selection is based on the dominance of DeGrom vs the Braves this season. they just can't figure him out. With that said, Mets starter DeGrom (4-1, 1.57 ERA) will be making his fourth start against the Braves this season and has yet to have a decision despite a 0.50 ERA,.DeGrom is 5-3 with a 1.84 ERA in 14 career starts against the Braves, striking out 98 in 88 innings. DeGrom's ERA is the best in the National League by nearly a half run and he is second best with 106 strikeouts in 80 1/3 innings and he gets my backing here this afternoon vs the Atlanta Braves. Mets are 20-8 in DeGroms last 28 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. It must be noted that the Braves won yesterday but have not won back to back games since June 1 and I'm betting on that trend continuing here this Wednesday afternoon. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Pirates +132 v. Diamondbacks | 8-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) There is bad blood between these two teams, after 5 batters were plunked yesterday. The Pirates looked pretty furious , and this I'm betting has them pumped up to play today and get revenge for yesterdays blown loss where they were up 5-0 before unceremoniously imploding and losing 9-5. Williams the Pirates starting hurler a Arizona State alum won his only career start in Arizona, allowing one run in five innings and will be primed to perform here in a State he knows well. Pirates are 7-1 in Williams' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. BUCHHOLZ Arizona's starter is 4-14 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last few seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games are 31-11 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Giants -118 v. Marlins | 1-3 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
CHRIS STRATTON (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R) SF had won 8 of their L/10 before their loss on Monday to the Marlins, but today I'm betting they will be focused and ready to bounce back vs the Marlins starting hurler Richards who has given up 29 hits and 14 walks across 28 2/3 innings overall. Giants are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Stratton actually has been steadier on the road (3.86 ERA) than at home (5.45). Opponents are batting .206 off him on the road and .316 at AT&T Park and he gets the nod as road chalk tonight in South Florida. STRATTON is 10-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record). STRATTON is 11-2 against the money line in night games dating back to last season. STRATTON is 11-0 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 5-0 in Strattons last 5 starts. Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Road team is 17-4 in umpire Wegners last 21 games behind home plate. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -145 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
JON GRAY (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R) Early on this season, Colorado put up some nice numbers in the win loss column thanks to some strong pitching. Their offense was inconsistent during the first part of their season, but now suddenly their defense and pitching is going down hill quickly as is evident by allowing an average of just over 8 rpg in their L/11 tilts overall. Needless to say in their current form they are fade material according to my power rankings. Gray todays starting pitcher for the Rockies , is having motion problems, and looks ready to implode at any time. Note: GRAY is 1-13 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies return fire with what I'm betting will be an all star pick for the NL this season. Nola has allowed more than three runs just once this season as he is establishing himself as one of the best starters in the National League.Phillies are 14-3 in Nolas last 17 home starts. NOLA is 11-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season. MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, in June games are 81-24 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Red Sox -165 v. Orioles | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. DAVID HESS (R) The Red Sox Southpaw is currently in top form, going 4-1 with a 2.14 ERA in his last six starts. In seven career starts at Camden Yards, Rodriguez is 3-2 with a 2.75 ERA. Opponents are hitting just .228 against him this season. RODRIGUEZs team when he starts is 21-5 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher dating back to last season.RODRIGUEZ is 15-1 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season.(Team's Record) Meanwhile, Hess the Orioles starter is also pitching well, but the difference is that he does not have a consistent offense or bullpen behind him , while Rodriguez does. BALTIMORE is 1-20 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season which has just happened. BALTIMORE is 6-25 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 4-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.BALTIMORE is 1-15 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games. are 36-8 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 37-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-11-18 | Angels v. Mariners +104 | 3-5 | Win | 104 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. WADE LEBLANC (L) The up trending Mariners (41-24) have won 17 of their last 22 games to pull into a tie with the defending World Series champion Houston Astros atop the American League West. The Ms are a side familiarizing itself with finding ways to win. That's become obvious by snatching 21 of 30 1 run affairs. With Mariners left-hander Wade LeBlanc (1-0, 2.95 ERA), on the hill for them here tonight the Mariners once again look like a solid option vs a banged up Angels team missing Japanese super star Ohtani, and stalwart shortstop Andrelton Simmons. Mariners are 10-0 in LeBlanc's last 10 home starts. LEBLANC is 9-0 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons and is 9-0 against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Heaney the Halos starter despite of some strong efforts this season, including in his last start, has a average at best on the road mark, recording a 0-2 record along with a 4.43 ERA. Note:Angels are 1-7 in Heaneys last 8 road starts.Angels are 1-6 in Heaneys last 7 starts following a Quality Start his last appearance. Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.SEATTLE is 15-7 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are just 87-138 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-11-18 | Pirates +138 v. Diamondbacks | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L) Musgrove’s nearly perfect start with the Pirates came to an end on Tuesday, when the Dodgers scored four runs (three earned) during his five innings on the mound. Despite of the that sub par effort he still owns a 1.89 ERA and .670 opponents’ OPS in three starts this season and must not be underestimated vs a Arizona side hitting a ugly .214 vs RHP pitchers this season. I know Pittsburgh in their current form, does not inspire bettors, but in this league anything can happen, and the DBacks are far from infallible with a sub ,500 record this season vs orthodox throwers ( 19-21)
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in Corbins last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Diamondbacks are 4-9 in Corbins last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.
Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the moneyline |
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06-11-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. JUNIOR GUERRA (R) Quintana the Cubs starting thrower struck out a season-high 10 batters over 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Philly, but got a no-decision. He's pitched his best ball on the road where he is 4-2 with a 2.62 ERA , and will be making his second start at Miller Park this season.. Quintana has been dominant against the Brewers, going 4-1 along with a microscopic 0.63 ERA in six meetings - including two wins this season in which he has allowed only five hits over 13 scoreless innings. Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 starts vs. Brewers.Under is 5-1-1 in Quintanas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record Meanwhile, the Brewers starting hurler Guerra surrendered a total of just five runs in his last three starts combined (18 IP). Guerra is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in seven games (four starts) against the Cubbies, and on April 28 at Chicago gave up one run and three hits over six frames but still lost.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-1-1 in Guerras last 7 home starts.Under is 18-3 in Guerras last 21 starts following a team loss in their previous game. ( Brewers lost 4-3 to Philly yesterday) The Brewers have struggled against LHP this season and own a sub par below the Mendoza line .233 BA vs southpaws. The Brewers inconsistent offense has contributed to them seeing 17 of their 27 home games stay on the low side of the Total. The Cubs have also been sub par at vs right handers producing just 4.7 rpg and a 391 strike outs and have been particularly unproductive on the road averaging just 4.2 rpg in offense. This has attributed to them going under in 18 of their 29 road games this season. Both these pitchers are backed by very viable bullpens. Chicago owns a stingy 1.99 road ERA, while the Brewers own a 2.54 home ERA. Considering the starting pitching matchup and the bullpen and offensive power rankings we have value with an under wager in this spot. Add to that both teams are in race for division supremacy and you have a post season type atmosphere at Miller Park that could translate into a play off style low scoring affair. I-94 rivalry = low scoring. QUINTANAs team when he starts is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 5.4 rpg scored and is 9-1 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 rpg gong on the board.QUINTANA is 15-3 UNDER L/18 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. GUERRA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last few seasons with a combined average of 6.1rpg scored and is 18-6 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 27-10 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg going on the board. Under is 34-15-2 in Cubs last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record..Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, in June games are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-10-18 | Yankees -1.5 v. Mets | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. SETH LUGO (R) |
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06-10-18 | Mariners v. Rays OVER 7 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R) Mariners starter Paxton is a top tier hurler in good form , but I;m betting the Rays do enough damage today vs him and his bullpen to get us over the number. PAXTON team when he starts is 11-1 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in his career, with the combined average score of 10.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Eovaldi the Rays starter back in the rotation after Tommy John surgery looked off in his second start and gave up four runs on four hits and a walk across five innings to take the loss at Washington. Today I'm betting a Mariners offense that has done its best work on the road this season averaging 4.9 rpg lights this vulnerable hurler up and possibly eclipse this total all by themselves. Over is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 road starts and is 4-1 OVER in Paxtons last 5 starts overall.Over is 8-3-2 in Paxtons last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays have gone OVER 13 straight times by an average of 1.73 RPG as a dog off a home game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings. SEATTLE is 30-17 OVER in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game dating back to last season with a combined average score of 11 rpg going on the board.SEATTLE is 14-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. Over is 3-0-1 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate and MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - revenging 5 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, starting a pitcher who walked 1or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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06-10-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -122 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
ALEX COBB (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) Estrada is coming off his best start this season and looks to be forming into top gear entering this tilt vs the Orioles. He took a scoreless outing into the 7th vs. the Yanks, but came away with a no-decision , because his bullpen let him down vs a strong offense. It was the second time over the last five starts Estrada has allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting Estrada will do just fine in this spot vs a Os team that is struggling vs RHP , averaging just 3.1 rpg on a lowly .217 team BA. Blue Jays are 4-1 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record
BALTIMORE is 3-13 L/16 against the money line in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).BALTIMORE is 9-30 The Orioles have lost 20 straight on the money-line off a road extra inning game and it is not a series opener.( Which happened yesterday ) Play on the Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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06-09-18 | Yankees -155 v. Mets | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L) |
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06-09-18 | Cardinals -105 v. Reds | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) Wacha the Cards starter today vs the Reds, is in top form as is evident by a 5-0 record along with a 1.60 ERA over a span of nine starts, which started with 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball against Cincinnati on April 20. My own power rankings also suggest he matches up very well vs the Reds and he and the Cards get my back here in this spot play.ST LOUIS is 8-0 against CINCINNATI this season including yesterdays extra innings 7-6 victory. Note: The Reds have lost 14 straight as a home dog after they played extra innings last game. CINCINNATI is 2-18 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. CINCINNATI is 16-34 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) are 67-25 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline |
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06-09-18 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) My own projections estimate that the total of this tilt should be closer to 9 to 9.5 runs thus giving us value according to my data on a over wager. I know Cubs starter John Lester is a stable fixture in the Cubs rotation, but the Pirates have done some of their best offensive work vs lefty starters this season averaging 5.1 rpg of production behind a solid .274 BA.Over is 11-4 in Pirates last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter and they have gone over in 4 of their L/5 vs LHP on the road. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 home start vs a team with a below .500 record and he is 5-0 in his L/5 starts vs the Pirates and 9-2 OVER in his L/11 home starts overall. The Cubs have gone OVER when Jon Lester starts as a home favorite when they won in his last start against the current opponent, going over by an average of 9.56 runs per game. The combined average score of those tilts clicked in at a whopping 18.3 rpg. Meanwhile, Nick Kingman the Pirates starter owns a bloated 6.10 ERA in 10 innings of road action this season, and almost always has looked to be on the verge of imploding, and is not in good overall form and very susceptible to being lit up by the Cubs today. Everything points to this being a fairly high scoring affair. Play OVER |
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06-08-18 | Braves +166 v. Dodgers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R) The Braves starter McCarthy (5-2, 4.83 ERA) has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. He is a former Dodgers and would love nothing more than to take them down here tonight in Chez ravine.MCCARTHY is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season. (Team's Record) Dodgers are just 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. I know the the Dodgers are going with Buehler a pitcher who has faired well a home this season, but Atlanta must not be underestimated behind a the high octane offense that leads the National League with 312 runs and is second in OPS at .759. ATLANTA is 7-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season and is 11-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Braves lost to San Diego last time out, but have shown a great deal of resiliency after a defeat as is evident by the following trends. Braves are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss.ATLANTA is 9-1 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season. The Braves have 6 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with rest as a 170+ dog off a road game where they struck 10 times or more. MLB team (ATLANTA) - after scoring 1 run or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games in which they struck out at least ten times are 49-25 L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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06-08-18 | Mariners -124 v. Rays | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. WILMER FONT (R) The Tampa Bay Rays enter this game in a major funk having lost 7 straight games, after the Mariners beat them 5-4 yesterday. I'm betting things wont get better today for the Rays as their inconsistent offense that has scored just 16 total runs during their current losing streak goes head to head with top tier Seattle starter Marco Gonzalez who is currently in top form as is evident by his 3-0 record in this L/3 starts which includes a microscopic 0.44 ERA and .0.934 WHIP . Overall the righty has allowed just 1 ER in more than 26 innings of quality work spanning 4 starts.Mariners are 6-0 in Gonzales' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series and beat the Mariners the last time he faced them.Mariners are 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Meanwhile, Seattle will face a reliever in Wilmer Font, who despite of pitching well since arriving in TB , has shown a propensity to implode, as is evident by being smashed around for 24 runs over 17 innings of work with Oakland As and the Los Angeles Dodgers earlier this season. The righty thrower has also allowed a troubling 11 HRS in just 30 innings of work this season. Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Seattle has owned the Rays of late winning 11 of the l2 meetings. Seattle is 15-4 L/19 overall. Rays are 9-23 in their last 32 games following a loss.Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Seattle to win on the moneyline |
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06-07-18 | Mariners -108 v. Rays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. RYAN STANEK (R)
The Rays go without a traditional starting pitcher Thursday and go with their bullpen instead vs the Mariners. Reliever Ryne Stanek (1-1, 3.65 ERA) will serve as an "opener," expected to draw the first inning or two. Meanwhile, Seattle will fire back counter with Mike Leake (5-3, 4.71 ERA), who has pitched well with four quality starts in his last five outings and gets my support here tonight. Note: TB is ice cold and has scored only 12 runs in their six-game losing streak and are fade material in this current form.TAMPA BAY is 5-22 and 2-14 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last few seasons. The Mariners did lose last time out, but have proven to be resilient in the bounce back situation winning 11 of 13 games. Also SEATTLE is perfect 9-0 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season. Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Mariners are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 4 straight games are 49-86 making for a good long term go against wagering option that has converted at a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind dating back 21 seasons. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-07-18 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R) After starting their season with inconsistent offensive results the Colorado Rockies are now hitting on all cylinders and averaging 6.7 rpg over their L/11 .Their saving grace earlier on the season, was their pitching but now suddenly that has gone in reverse as well, as is evident by allowing 9.8 rpg in their L/5 overall. They have not seen less than 9 combined runs scored in any of their L/11 overall, and I'm betting nothing changes this afternoon in Cincinnati. Meanwhile, the Reds are also partaking in a some high scoring affairs and only one of their L/11 has seen less than 9 runs scored. The Reds have allowed 6.7 rpg in their L/11 overall, and have averaged 5 rpg in offense in their L/5 overall and have shown some offensive explosive this season behind a under rated group of hitters. Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. National League West.Over is 6-0-2 in Rockies last 8 overall. Considering todays pitching matchup featuring Tyler Anderson and Tyler Mahle, and their sub par supporting bullpens another high scoring tilt is not out of the question and offers up a viable over wagering investment option. Over is 6-1-2 in Reds last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Andersons last 5 road starts.Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CINCINNATI is 14-3 OVER in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 12.5 rpg. Anderson is off a non quality start going five innings and allowing seven hits and five runs and owns a bloated 7.16 ERA in his L/3 overall starts and a overall 5.07 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starter is off a good effort, but that was his best start since April 2nd and according to my power rankings is not a stable nor consistent hurler at the moment and vulnerable to being lit up vs a Rockies batting order in red hot form coming into this tilt. Hs last two starts have seen 11 and 9 combined runs go on the board. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. Play OVER |
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06-06-18 | Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
BLAINE HARDY (L) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) Boston's southpaw starter tonight Eduardo Rodrguez is currently in top form and has settled into a nice rhythm , allowing three earned runs or less in his last five starts. He gets the nod from me tonight vs a very inconsistent Detroit Tigers offense These below straight up trends correlate to my -1.5 runline stance. RODRIGUEZ team when he starts is 14-1 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. BOSTON is 32-6 against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg. DETROIT is 57-179 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with the average loss coming by more than 2.4 rpg. The Boston Red Sox have won 20 straight games as a home 200+ favorite when they are off two victories in which they never trailed, with the last one coming as chalk, with the average margin of victory clicking in at 5.3 rpg.The Detroit Tigers have lost 28 straight times as a 125-plus underdog when they are off a game as a dog in which Miguel Cabrera was hitless losing SU with the average loss coming by 3.6 rpg ( 5-23 on the Runline) MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+135 to -190) (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Wednesday are 39-14 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate on the blind with the average margin of victory coming by 2.8 rpg. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the -1.5 runline |