Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5 v. Rutgers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Early Big 10 Action here on Saturday has Michigan State playing at Rutgers. Michigan State has pretty much owned Rutgers, winning nine of the last ten meetings between these teams. Michigan State started the season by winning its first two games, but have since dropped three straight, including two weeks ago at Iowa, 16-26, as a 10-point dog. The Spartans had last week off to prepare for this game. The Spartans are 2-2-1 vs the spread. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 3-2 S/U and 4-0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Wisconsin last week, 13-24, as a 13-point dog. Rutgers has averaged 336 ypg while allowing 283.7 ypg this year. The Big 10 East is tough this year with four teams having five wins while Rutgers comes in with four wins and Michigan State is last with a 2-3 record. I like this Spartans team off the bye week to prepare for this game. I'll take the points in this one. Play Michigan State. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4 v. Utah State | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Mountain West clash here tonight has Fresno State visiting Utah State. Fresno is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The have a turnover ratio of +7 this season and have outscored their opponents by a 33.5-18.2 margin. The Bulldogs have averaged 408 yards per game while allowing 289.8 yards per game this season. Fresno looks to rebound from its first loss of the season after last week's setback at Wyoming, 19-24, as a 5-point road favorite. The defense has allowed over 10 points twice in their five games this year. The Utah State Aggies are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have a +2 turnover ratio and have average 38.2 ppg while allowing 32.2 ppg. The Aggies average 462.8 ypg while allowing 407.2 ypg. Utah State has won two straight games after last week's win over Colorado State, 44-24. Utah State lost at home to James Madison and on the road at Air Force, both as dogs. Their wins have been when they are the favorite. As the dog tonight I expect another loss for the Aggies tonight. Play Fresno State. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +6 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Early game from London England here on Sunday. The Jags will be playing their second straight game from London. The Jags had little trouble in last week's game over the pond as they beat the Atlanta Falcons, 23-7. The defense held the Falcons to just 287 total yards. That improved the Jags to 2-2 and tied with the other three teams in the AFC South, all with 2-2 records. The Jags have a +2 point differential as they have scored 72 points and allowed 70. The Buffalo Bills have a +84 point differential, scoring 139 points and allowing only 55. They are coming off that showdown with the Miami Dolphins last week in which they dominated from start to finish in a win, 48-20. The Bills have dominated their last three opponents since that opening week shocking loss at the Jets, 16-22. One thing in this game is the possible letdown the Bills might have after that emotional win over the Dolphins last week. I'll take the points with the Jags who seem to play very well in London. Play Jacksonville. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one. |
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10-07-23 | Marshall +6.5 v. NC State | 41-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference matchup here on Saturday. The Marshall Thundering Herd come into today's contest at North Carolina State with a 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS record. They have rushed for an average of 169 yards per game this season while passing for 243.3 yards per game. Marshall is coming off a win over Old Dominion, 41-35, but failed to cover the 14.5 point spread. NC State is 3-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack averages 151 yards on the ground and 194.2 yards passing. The Wolfpack is coming off a loss at home to Louisville, 10-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. It was the Pack's first cover of the season after four straight losses to start the season. NC State trying to rebound from a 4-9 campaign last season. Marshall is 58th in the country in passing offense and 53rd in rushing offense. NC State is 3-2 on the season but just 1-2 at home and 1-1 in the ACC. The Pack are just 106th in passing offense and 71st in rushing offense. Marshall getting 6.5-points here today and for me I can see the Herd winning this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play Marshall. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech. |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City. |
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10-01-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC West matchup here on Sunday has the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals playing at the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are forced to play with their QB in Kyler Murray who will miss this game. However, he could return for their next game. Surprisingly though, the Cardinals are 3-0 vs the spread. They covered the 7-points in their opener at Washington, then covered vs the Giants and then shocked everyone last week with an outright win at home over the Dallas Cowboys as a 11-point dog. RB James Conner has been great with 98 yards last week and 106 the week before. The 49ers look like one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They have scored 90 points while allowing just 42 for a +48 point differential. Only the Buffalo Bills have a better point differential (+56). Brock Purdy has been efficient at QB with FOUR TD's and no INT's. He had 310 yards last week vs the Giants. But it's RB Christian McCaffrey who leads the team with 117 rushing yards per game and three TD's. The Niners are 14 point favorite or there about. With Dallas up next for the 49ers I expect them to not really concentrate much on this big dog today. I'll take the Cardinals and see if they can remain perfect vs the number. Play Arizona. |
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09-30-23 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here on Saturday as TCU hosts West Virginia from the Amon Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. TCU won this matchup last season, 41-31 as a 7-point road favorite. West Virginia lost its opener to Penn State, 15-38. However, they have ton three straight over Duquesne, Pitt, and last week over Texas Tech, 30-13, as a 6-point dog. They have at least 146 yards rushing in each game. They have also covered their last three games. TCU also opened with a loss to Colorado, 42-45, but have since beaten Nicholls State, Houston and last week over SMU, 34-17. They are 2-2 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs have averaged 208.3 yards on the ground and 292.8 yards through the air. Their defense has held opponents to just 85.8 rushing yards. TCU has averaged 38.3 ppg, good for 23rd in the nation. They are 23rd in passing and 20th in rushing. I don't see West Virginia being able to move the ball well against this TCU defense and keep up with the dynamic TCU offense. TCU a double digit favorite but I have to believe that they will cover this game by at last a TD over that number. Play TCU. |
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09-30-23 | Notre Dame v. Duke +6 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one. |
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09-30-23 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +6.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC Classic here from AT&T Stadium as Arkansas hosts Texas A&M. The Aggies have won nine of the last 10 meetings with the Razorbacks. A&M is 3-1 S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming at Miami in week 2, 33-48 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies had a nice win to go to 1-0 in the SEC last week over Auburn, 27-10, as a 10-point favorite. The Aggies have one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging 149.5 ypg and getting 209 last week vs Auburn. Arkansas opened the season with a pair of wins over Western Carolina and then Kent State. However, they lost in week three to BYU, 31-38, and then last week last at LSU, 31-34, covering the 17.5-point dog line. They played their best game last week at LSU with 137 yards on the ground and 289 yards passing. Arkansas is a 6-point dog here on Saturday. A&M will be without QB Conner Weigman who has a foot injury. QB Max Johnson is probable and expected start. I'll take the points here with Arkansas. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | 31-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Two ACC teams meet here on Saturday as the 4-0 Syracuse Orange host the 2-2 Clemson Tigers. The Tigers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the Orange, including last year's 27-21 win as a 14-point favorite. Clemson looking to rebound from that wrenching loss last week at home to Florida. They led all the way until OT when Florida pulled out the win, 31-24. Clemson kicker Jonathan Weitz missed a 29-year field goal late in the 4th that could have won the game for the Tigers. Clemson lost their opening game at Duke, 7-28 before winning games vs Charleston Southern, 66-17, and Florida Atlantic, 48-14. Syracuse is 4-0 after beating Army last week, 29-16, pushing the 13-point line. The Orange are now 3-0-1 vs the number. They had an easy win vs Colgate, 65-0, then beat Western Michigan, 48-7, and a nice win at Purdue, 35-20. These two team very close in the power ranking and Syracuse a TD home dog here. I think Syracuse makes this a close game and possibly pulls out their 5th win. Play Syracuse. |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +1.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Two new members of the Big 12 will meet here on Friday as Cincinnati plays BYU in Provo. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-2 and 0-1 in the Big 12 after losing at home last week to Oklahoma, 6-20. The Cats had 376 yards of offense, but could manage just two field goals. What has hurt the team most thus far are turnovers, as they rank 84th in the nation in turnover differential. BYU is 3-1 after losing its first game of the season last week to Kansas, 27-38. The Cougars led at halftime, 17-14, but were outscored 21-3 starting the second half and never could come back. BYU is 41st in turnover differential. The offense has looked good, though the defense has had some issues thus far. BYU at home as a dog here on Friday is a bit more than I can pass on. The Cougars have the offensive weapons to stay in this game and I look for an outright win by BYU. Play BYU. |
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09-25-23 | Rams +3 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bengals a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl. They are 0-2 and have scored 27 points in two games. Now QB Joe Burrows has been hurt and while it looks like he will play tonight, he can't be close to 100%. The Rams are 1-1 after their two games. The Rams opened with that come from behind week 1 win at Seattle, 30-13. Then last week came up a big short at home against the 49ers, 23-30, pushing the spread. QB Matthew Stafford has looked good for the most part, though he did have two picks last week by the 49ers and just one TD on the season. The Bengals Joe Burrow only had 82 yards in their season opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. Then last week in the loss to Baltimore, 24-27, he had 222 yards with two TD's and one INT. Coaching edge goes to the Rams. The Rams have looked better overall and I can't be sure that Burrow can give 100% here. Take the Rams. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Week three of the NFL concludes here tonight with the Buccaneers hosting the Eagles. With Dallas and Washington both losing on Sunday, a win by the Eagles will put them alone in first in the NFC East with a 3-0 record. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 and with Atlanta and New Orleans both losing Sunday the Bucs can be the only team in the NFC South with a 3-0 record. The Eagles have average 178 yards on the ground this year and 162.5 yards through the air. Their defense has allowed just 52 rushing and 326 passing. Tampa Bay's defense has also been very good, allowing 54 yards rushing and 248.5 yards passing. Philly QB Jalen Hurts has two TD's and one INT on the season. He passed for 170 yards in the opener at New England and 193 yards last week vs Minnesota. Baker Mayfield came over to the Bucs in the offseason. He has three TD's and no INT's. At Minnesota in week one he threw for two TD's and 173 yards. Last week vs the Bears he threw for 317 yards and one TD. Both teams have played well early in the season, but the difference for me here tonight is getting points at home with Tampa Bay. I'll take the points in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle. |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are 1-1 to start the season as three teams are all tied for the AFC South with a 1-1 record. The Titans averaged just 21 ppg thus far while allowing 20 ppg. The Titans opened the season with a loss at New Orleans, 15-16 and then won last wee at home over the Chargers, 27-24. They covered both games. They have rushed for 245 total yards and passed for another 381 total yards. Ryan Tannehill tossed three INT's in the opener but rebounded with None in their win over the Chargers to go with one TD. Derrick Henry is one of the best backs in the league, but he's yet to hit 100 yards. He rushed for 63 in the opener and then 80 yards last week. The Cleveland Browns had high hopes this season with Watson finally getting a full season at QB and arguably the best running back in Nick Chubb. Well, Chubb went down last week and will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. That will lead Jerome Ford to pickup the slack. Ford did rush for 106 yards after Chubb went down last week. Still, huge loss for this team. What made the injury even worse was losing the game to the Steelers, 22-26, even though they held Pittsburgh to just 255 yards of offense. I'm going to take Tennessee this week and see if Ford can really pick up the huge hole left by Chuff. Play Tennessee. |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions pulled the big upset in week one when they went into Kansas City and got the win, 21-20, as a 4-point dog. They fell off last week, losing at home as a 4.5-point favorite to the Seattle Seahawks, 31-37. They have outgained their opponents on the ground, 110-86. They also have more passing yards per game at 283-268.5. QB Jared Goff has four TD's and just one INT. Atlanta off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. The Falcons play their first road game here today after winning at home over Carolina, 24-10 and then at home over Green Bay, 25-24. The Falcons have been great on the ground, with 170.5 yard average. They haven't had to put much pressure on rookie QB Desmond Ridder who has been effective. Ridder has 2 TD's and just 1 INT this season. The Detroit defense has only allowed an average of 86 yards on the ground so this should be an interesting matchup. I'll take the points with Atlanta. -------------------------------------------------------- |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups on Saturday has Notre Dame hosting Ohio State. The Irish faithful will be in full force for this one. Both teams are undefeated as Ohio State is 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS while the Irish are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Ohio State opened the season with a win over Indiana, 23-3, failing to cover the 30-point line. Then beat Youngstown State, 35-7, also failing to cover the 45.5-point line. And then last week beat Western Kentucky, 63-10, covering the 29-point line. This will be their toughest matchup of the season at Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have out gained their opponents 474.7 ypg to 223.7 ypg. They also have outscored opponents, 40.3 to 6.7 ppg. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Central Michigan last week, 41-17, failing to cover for the first time this year. The Irish biggest win was two weeks ago over NC State where they won 45-24 as a 7-point favorite. The Irish are out gaining opponents 508.8 to 234.8 ypg this year. They have outscored their opponents 46-11.7 ppg. This is a game that could really pad a resume for the playoffs at the end of the season. For me, I can't pass on the points at home with Notre Dame. Play the Irish plus the points. |
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09-23-23 | Texas -16.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
A pair of undefeated PAC-12 teams meet here on Saturday as 3-0 Oregon State takes on 3-0 Washington State. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-1 vs the spread and 2-1 over/under this season. Oregon State opened with a winner over San Jose, 42-17, then beat Cal Davis, 55-7 and then last week got by San Diego State, 26-9, but failed to cover that 24.5-point spread. The Beavers are outgaining their opponents 466 yards to 257 yards. They also rush for 6.3 yards per carry while holding the opponents to just 2.0 ypg. They outscore their opponents 41-11 on the season. Meanwhile, Washington State opened the season with a win and cover vs Colorado State, 50-24 and then a upset win at Wisconsin, 31-22 and last week beat Northern Colorado, 64-21, but failed to cover the 47.5-point line. The Cougars outgain their opponents 535.7 to 363.7 yards per game. They have also outscored opponents 48.3 to 22.3 ppg. Both these teams have been great on offense and solid on defense. I'm taking the home dog here on Saturday. Play Washington State. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers to rebound here and win this second straight home game. Play Steelers. |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks +5 v. Lions | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Seattle comes into this road game after blowing a halftime lead last week at home against the Rams. Leading 13-7 at the break, the Seahawks were outscored 0-24 by the Rams in the second half to start their season with a loss. Seattle had just 180 yards in the game (85 rush/95 pass) while allowing the Rams 426 yards. The Detroit Lions pulled the big shocker in week 1 with a win on the road at defending champion Kansas City, 21-20. The Lions had 368 yards of offense and held the hi-flying Chiefs offense to just 316 yards. J. Goff led the passing with 22-of-35 for 253 yards and a TD while D.Swift led the rushing with 178 yards on the ground and a TD. The Lions return home this Sunday and while they are a decent favorite, which hasn't happened very often, I have to think they could be in for a letdown this week. I'm going to take the points with the visitors in this one. Play Seattle. |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
SEC Clash here on Saturday has Florida hosting Tennessee. First conference game for both teams here on Saturday has Tennessee coming in at 2-0 while Florida is 1-0. The Vols are coming off a win over Austin Peay, 30-13, coming way short of the 48.5-point line. Meanwhile Florida is coming off a blowout win over McNeese State, 49-7, but also failed to cover the 48-point line. Have to take these softball games with a grain of salt as both teams piled up the yards and points. Florida lost its opener to Utah before bouncing back against McNeese State. The Florida defense has been good, allowing just 15.5 ppg thus far. This will be the first test for Tennessee while Florida did face Utah in their opener. I'm just not ready to lay points on the road in the SEC. I'll take Florida here today. |
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09-16-23 | Liberty v. Buffalo +3 | 55-27 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo looking for its first win of the season after starting 0-2. They face Liberty here on Saturday with the Flames coming in at 2-0. The Flames beat Bowling Green, 34-24, covering the 8-point line. They also beat New Mexico State last week, 33-17, also covering the 9-point line. The rolled up 526 total yards against New Mexico State last week. Liberty is in the Conference USA this year after being an independent. Buffalo lost its opener to Wisconsin 17-38, but covered the 29-point line. It was last week when they lost to FCS school Fordham, 37-40, that really hurts. They failed to cover the 22.5-point line despite leading 21-3 in the 2nd quarter. Liberty will be laying points at Buffalo here on Saturday. I look for Buffalo to put a lot of effort in this one after that loss to Fordham last week. I'll take the points at home with Buffalo. |
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09-16-23 | LSU -9 v. Mississippi State | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
SEC matchup here on Saturday has Mississippi State hosting LSU. Miss State Bulldogs are off to a 2-0 start under new HC Zach Arnett. They have wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Arizona thus far. This will be their biggest test of the young season. LSU comes in here winning four of the last five in this series. LSU lost its opener this season to Florida State, which makes this SEC contest even bigger for the Tigers. They are led by Jayden Daniels who has 708 of LSU's 1081 total yards this season. This is almost a must win spot for LSU and against 1st year coach Arnett I give a big edge to the Tigers here today. I look for LSU to win and cover this game against a Mississippi State still learning the ropes under a new head coach. Take LSU |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
Minnesota hits the road here to start week 2 as the Vikings play at Philadelphia. The Vikings and Eagles both coming off excellent seasons last year with Minnesota at 13-4 and the Eagles 14.3. The Eagles just coming up short in the Super Bowl, losing to the Chiefs. Last year the Vikings played at Philly in week two again, losing this matchup last year, 7-24. The Vikings coming off that week one loss to the Bucs, 17-20 at home. The Vikings used the pass extensively last week, rushing for just 41 total yards. QB Kirk Cousins was 33-of-44 for 344 yards and two TD's. The Vikings defense allowed just 242 total yards to the Bucs and held them to nine total first downs. The Eagles opened with a tough game at New England and were able to escape with the win, 25-20. The Eagles jumped out to a 16-0 lead over the Pats, but had to hold on for the win. The Eagles had just 251 totals yards as Jalen Hurts went 22-of-33 for 170 yards and a touchdown. The Eagles have had to adjust to both new offensive and defensive coordinators this year. This was an Eagles team that ranked first in the NFL in total defense last year. If the Vikings can establish a rushing game here on Sunday they should be able to compete and keep Hurts and the Eagles offense off the field. I'm still looking for the Eagle to adjust to new coordinators and early in the season is the time to take advantage. Play Minnesota plus the points. |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
Already a key NFC East battle here on Sunday night has the NY Giants hosting the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams were 1-2 in the preseason. The Giants scored 61 points and allowed 72 while the Cowboys scored 68 and allowed 66. The Cowboys turn the backfield over to Tony Pollard with the departure of Ezekiel Elliot to the Patriots. Dak Prescot is back and healthy. The Cowboys are one of the favorites to get to the Super Bowl, despite a disappointing end to last season. Their defense will be great again this year, led by LB Micah Parsons. The Giants surprised everyone by making the playoffs last year and winning their first playoff game since Super Bowl 46. QB Daniel Jones is much improved and RB Saquon Barkely is back after a contract dispute. I know it's early, but I like the Giants here to win this game. But I'll gladly take the points too. Play NY Giants. |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 92 h 0 m | Show | |
The season starts with a big rivalry already as the Cleveland Browns host the Cincinnati Bengals in this Battle for Ohio. Bot teams didn't do much in preseason as Cleveland finished 1-2-1 and scored 86 points in their four games. The Bengals were 0-2-1 and scored 51 points while allowing 71 points. Cincinnati won in double digits for the second consecutive season last year. The offense will be very good once again with Burrows at QB, Mixon in the back field and a core of excellent receivers. Burrows suffered a calf injury in preseason but is probable for this contest. The Bengals defense lost some key players in the secondary with Jessie Bates III and Vonn Bell both departing. The Browns look to get back to the postseason after missing the playoffs the last two years. DeShaun Watson will be the key cog for this team after starting just six games last year and looking very rusty. This offense has one of the best backs in the NFL in Nick Chubb so that should take some heat off Watson. With Burrow not playing in the preseason I'll look for him to take some time to get back on track. I like the home dog Browns in this opener. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +2.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 60 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers and 49ers open the season here in Pittsburgh. The Steelers were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason and outscored their opponents by a 78-32 margin. Meanwhile, the 49ers were 1-2 in the preseason and scored just 40 points while allowing 77. This will be the sophomore season for Steelers QB Kenny Pickett. You can expect the reigns to be pulled off him this year. Last year he was held back but not this year. A lot is expected out of the 2nd season QB and I do look for him to have a breakout year. He can do it throwing and with his legs. It looks like Brock Purdy will start for the 49ers after the bad injury in the playoffs vs the Eagles. Should be interesting against a Steelers teams that was very good at intercepting the ball last year. I like home dogs, especially ones coming off impressive preseasons with the better QB playing. I'll take the Steelers on Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Titans +3 v. Saints | 15-16 | Win | 105 | 88 h 11 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints came off their preseason with a 2-1 record and outscored opponents by a 61-58 mark. As for the Titans, they also were 2-1 and outscored opponents 64-46. The Titans hope to rebound from a 7-10 season that saw them drop their last seven games. Mike Vrabel will be in his sixth season and the team under his control haven't missed the playoffs in two straight seasons. They come back with QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry. They added WR DeAndre Hopkins which should help the receiving corp. The New Orleans Saints have seen their win totals drop each of the last four seasons to just seven wins last year. In comes new QB Derek Carr. This might be the first time since Drew Brees that they will have a solid option at QB. Word is that WR Michael Thomas looks like his old self and could give a huge boost to both Carr and the receivers. Thomas has battled injuries over the last few seasons that has seen his playing time drop drastically. The Titans want to prove they aren't the team that finished last season. It will yet to be seen if Carr can keep the mistakes that plagued him in Vegas last year to a minimum. I have to take the points here with Henry carrying the load here on Sunday. Play Tennessee. |
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09-10-23 | Cardinals v. Commanders -7 | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 21 m | Show |
Arizona had a good preseason, going 2-1. However, they were outscored 46-72. Washington was a perfect 3-0 and scored 67 points while allowing 62. The Commanders came off a decent season last year. HC Ron Rivera had to shuffle some QB's, but the team performed well and finished 8-8-1, narrowly missing the playoffs. They start this season with a new offensive coordinator in Eric Bieniemy. The team was also sold as Daniel Snyder gave up ownership to Josh Harris. All these changes could be a new start for the Commanders. The defense has a lot of talent and stacked with draft picks. The D-Line is made up of all 1st round picks. The Defense finished 7th last year in scoring and should be even better this year. The Cardinals could and likely will be the worst team in the division this year. QB Kyler Murray will be out with an ACL tear and that leave David Blough and Jeff Driskell as the candidates. I see a huge difference in talent between these teams. I especially like the Commanders defense and they should shut down this anemic Cardinals attack. Take Washington here in week one. |
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09-09-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Conference USA Action here on Saturday has two teams expected to make some noise in the conference this year as Liberty hosts New Mexico State. New Mexico State Aggies finished last year 7-6 under HC Jerry Kill while Liberty was 8-5 under HC Jamey Chadwell. New Mexico State opened this season with a loss to U Mass before beating Western Illinois in their second game, 58-21. They had 438 yards of offense in the 2nd half alone last week. This Aggies team was 38th in defense last season. Liberty is 1-0 with a win in their opening week over Bowling Green, 34-24. Though leading 24-0 they had to hold off a furious rally by Bowling Green. They were led by sophomore QB Kaidon Salter who had 143 yards and two TD's. Liberty had five interceptions on defense, the most by a Liberty defense since 1995. New Mexico State won this matchup last year 49-14. Double digit favorite is Liberty this year and I think that's just too many points to give this New Mexico State squad. Play New Mexico State. |
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09-09-23 | Appalachian State +19.5 v. North Carolina | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
App State hits the road for the first time this season after beating Gardner-Webb last week at home, 45-24. North Carolina opened with a win over South Carolina last week, 31-17. App State struggled a bit last week, pulling away in the 2nd half and allowing 24 points on defense. The Tar Heels had 269 yards passing and 168 yards rushing last week. A lot of points to cover here this early in the season against what has been a good App State program in season's past. I'll take the points here with App State. |
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09-09-23 | Ole Miss -7 v. Tulane | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
Ole Miss travels to Tulane here on Saturday to face the Green Wave from Yulman Stadium. These teams last met two years ago with Ole Miss taking that one, 61-21. The Rebels closed out last season by losing their last four games of the year and five of the last six. The Rebs did open with a win in their opener, scoring 70 points in the process, but that was against Mercer. Today will be a much tougher test for this team. They do have an explosive offense though with one of the best QB's in Jaxson Dart. Quinshon Judkins looks to carry the load running the ball. Tulane is coming off that bowl win vs USC last season. They dominated South Alabama at home last week with a 20-point win. Now comes an SEC team to town, which is going to be a early test for this Tulane squad. Michael Pratt will be at QB after a 14-of-15 performance last week for four TD's. The Rebels will be out to get that bad taste from the end of last year from their mouths. I don't see them overlooking this Tulane team. I'll lay the points with Ole Miss. |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers -6.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show |
Big 10 action already on tap here on Sunday as Rutgers hosts Northwestern. The Northwestern Wildcats had one of their worst years in history, finishing 1-11 on the season. They return a couple of QB's who will battle for the starting job. Rutgers looks for a winning season after losing since 2014. They had a 4-8 campaign last season. The QB job is wide open this season with a trio of players competing for the job. The defense should be solid this year, led by the pass rush and a good secondary. Both teams looking to get off to that winning start. For me I'll take Rutgers here at home. |
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09-02-23 | Old Dominion +16.5 v. Virginia Tech | 17-36 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: Virginia Tech looks to start its season on a positive note and that means avenging a loss to Old Dominion from last year. The Monarchs defeated Tech, 20-17 last year and sent Tech on a 3-8 season. Bhayshul Tuten transfers over from NC A&T to bolster the running game for the Hokies. Old Dominion finished last year 3-9 and had some major roster overhauls. So it's yet to be seen how those will effect this year's team. Still, the Hokies not a team to be laying this many points even in a revenge situation. I'll take the points with ODU here on Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | 17-37 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Both teams open the season here on Saturday night. South Alabama Jaguars finished with a 10-3 record last season while the Tulane Green Wave were 12-2. The Jags won 10 games for the first time in school history which has them one of the top teams to win the Sun Belt this year. They averaged 29.8 ppg last year while have a very balanced offense rushing for 156 ypg and passing for 267 ypg. Carter Bradley is back at QB after hitting on 65% of his passes and having 28 TD's last year. South Alabama should be just as good as last year with most players returning. They had a very good defense that held opponents to 22.5 ppg. Tulane did lose their leading rusher from last as Shaadie-Clayton-Johnson is expected to fill the void. The Jags had an excellent offense and balance attack with a good defense. The Green Wave did struggle against the run last year and that could be exploited here today. The Jags had the 6th best run defense in the country last year and should disrupt the Tulane rushing attack today. This South Alabama team just too good on both sides of the ball to be getting this many points. Take South Alabama. |
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09-02-23 | Northern Illinois +9 v. Boston College | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Opening game for both these teams as Northern Illinois Huskers look to improve on their 3-9 season last year. However, five of those losses came by one score. Rocky Lombardi is back at QB for NIU after 645 yards and five TD's last year. NIU suffered through a lot of injuries last year so they are looking for more consistent play this season. Boston College had its worst season since 2015 last year, finishing with a 3-9 record. They also return last year's QB as Emmett Moorhead is back behind center. NIU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games while BC is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 overall games. Getting more than a TD with a team that lost five games last year by one score is good for me. I'll take the points with Northern Illinois. |
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09-01-23 | Central Michigan +14 v. Michigan State | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Battle of Michigan teams here today has the Central Michigan Chippewas taking on Michigan State from Spartan Stadium. C.Michigan picked to finish fourth in the MAC has a somewhat difficult non-conference schedule with Michigan State and Notre Dame on tap. Michigan State takes on Richmond and Washington in their other non-conference games. C.Mich was 4-8 last year and turned the ball over a lot (-18 turnover ratio). Jim McElwain looks to improve the team as he did at Colorado State and Florida. They will start Sophomore QB Jase Bauer or reshirt freshman Bert Emanual Jr. The defense has talent at every level with a experience secondary. Michigan State has not announced a QB yet for week one as redshirt junior Noah Kin and redshirt freshman Katin Houser both compete for the spot. Michigan State will have to rely on a good defense until the offense finds its footing. Early on here I am like some nice dogs and today is one of them. I'll take the points with Central Michigan. |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 football on tap to start both Nebraska and Minnesota season. Nebraska parted ways with HC Scott Frost after losing four straight seasons. In comes Matt Rhule, former Carolina Panthers head coach. Rhule has shown he can help rebuild teams as he did at Temple and Baylor. The Huskers averaged 22.6 ppg last year. Jeff Sims, former Georgia Tech QB, will be the starter at Nebraska this year. Minnesota has won at least nine games in three of the last four years (Covid season the exception). They averaged 28.2 ppg last year. The bad news is they lost both QB's from last year and their leading rusher. Western Michigan transfer Sean Tyler is expected to replace their leading rusher, Mohamed Ibrahim. The defense lost some key members to a squad that was one of the best defensive teams in the country, allowing just 13.3 ppg last year. How the replacements will be is yet to be seen. The Minnesota team was a rushing team last year and didn't throw the ball much. How the loss of Ibrahim will effect them will be the big test. The defense also has lots of questions, losing their top three tacklers from last year. I'm looking for the Huskers to give them a good game here on Thursday under their new head coach. I'll take the points with Nebraska. |
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08-31-23 | NC State v. Connecticut +14 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State travels to Hartford tonight to kickoff the season with U Conn for both teams. NC State finished last year 8-5 and lost in the Mayo Bowl to Maryland. U Conn finished 6-7 and lost in the Myrtle Beach Bowl to Marshall, 14-28. NC State will be rebuilding this season after losing a number of starters off of last year's team. That includes losing QB Devin Leary who transferred to Kentucky. They did get Virginia transfer Brennan Armstrong though. The defense returns six starters which finished 15th overall in scoring defense. As for U Conn, they look for another bowl bid this year and that would mark the first time for back-to-back bowl seasons since 2008-10. They will have Maine transfer Joseph Fagnano at QB. He had 15 TD's and 2231 yards last year at Maine. He will have an offensive line in front of him that returns four starters. Last time these teams met was 2022 with NC State winning at home, 41-10. Both teams have lots of new faces on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Huskies. Play U Conn. |
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08-26-23 | Navy +20.5 v. Notre Dame | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is the first game of the college football season as Notre Dame hosts Navy. Notre Dame has high aspirations for this season and a CFB playoff in part to Wake Forest transfer Sam Hartman. The Irish were 9-4 last year in the debut of HC Marcus Freeman. Still, they need improvement after losses last year to Marshall and Stanford. Navy will have a new look at HC as DC Brian Newberry takes over after 15-year HC Ken Niumatalolo was fired. Notre Dame a huge favorite here on Saturday. Hartman was one of College football's top QB's and will be a big upgrade at the position for Notre Dame. One thing Navy has going for it is the option. Always hard to prepare for a good option team. And this year you can expect more passing from this Middie tea under new OC Grant Chestnut. This more passing attack could catch the Irish off guard today. The offensive line should be very good with three returning seniors. Navy needs to get the ground game going and keep the Irish offense off the field. Navy covered last year, losing by just three points to the Irish, 32-35. I'll take the big points here with Navy on Saturday. Play Navy. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 45 h 5 m | Show | |
You can make a case for either side, but a few things separate these teams for me. First is experience. That all falls to the Chiefs, from head coach Andy Reid all the way to QB Patrick Mahomes. They have been here and done it. Plus, you now give Reid two weeks to prepare for this game? You know he's going to come up with some crazy stuff to throw a the Eagles. Mahomes high ankle sprain should be good to go too. The Eagles really had an easy road to get here against the Giants and then playing a 49ers team that had to put Christian McCaffrey at QB at one point. They really have been challenged by a good offense of late and that will come on Sunday. The factor that swayed this game for me is the experience factor and all those check marks line up on the Chiefs. I'll be betting the Chiefs come Sunday. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -125 | 149 h 31 m | Show |
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? I'll take the Bengals and Burrow in this game. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense and the Cowboys won't have the cake walk they had last week. Also, the 49ers defense will give Dak plenty of problems here this week. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and the 49ers in a blowout win. My Playoff Game of the Year is on the San Francisco 49ers. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
The NFC East battle between the NY Giants and Philadelphia Eagles will once again take place here on Saturday. The Eagles had the NO 1 seed in the NFC with their win over the Giants in week 18. The Giants rested most of their starters in that game with nothing to play for. They hit the road last week and beat Minnesota, 31-24. QB David Jones shined as he threw for over 300 yards and a pair of TD's while also using his legs to get key yards totaling 7. That performance earned him the status of being the only player in NFL history to throw for 300 yards and 2 TD's while also rushing for more than 70 yards in a playoff games. The Eagles had last week off after beating the Giants in the final week of the regular season. QB Jalen Hurts returned after missing weeks 16 and 17. The Eagles defense is ranked 2nd in the NFL with a 389.1 average per game. However, the did fail to cover three of their last four games heading into this contest. The Giants have been a great playoff road team, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 tries. They are also 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games on grass. I will take the points here with the Giants as Jones will be the deciding factor in this cover. Play NY Giants. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Another miraculous comeback in the NFL last week, something we've seem much of lately, as the Jacksonville Jaguars looked horrible in their first half vs the Chargers. But a different team came out of the locker in the 2nd half and rallied to beat the Chargers, 31-20 behind Trevor Lawrence's four touchdowns. Now the young Jags will have to face the very experienced Kansas City Chiefs on the road. That is a big edge for me in this game, the experience of the Chiefs over the Jags. The Chiefs also had last week off with the first round bye and will be well prepared and rested for this game. I have high hopes for this Jaguars team with all the young talent, but it's not their season yet. The Chiefs still remain a big favorite to make the Super Bowl and I will take them here today. Play Kansas City. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | 31-14 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. Now he is a home dog.... I'll take that shot here tonight. Give me the points at home with Tom Brady in the playoffs anytime. Take Tampa Bay tonight. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
If you look strictly at the best covering teams in the NFL this year, then you need look no further than the Bengals. They were 11-4 on the season vs the spread and only the Giants had a better spread covering percentage. Can't say the same for the Ravens who where just 7-9 vs the number. The Ravens closed out their season with a loss to the Bengals on the road, 16-27, but covered the 12-point dog line. That makes six games in a row they have scored more than 17 points. Most of that is due to Lamar Jackson being out of the lineup. Right now it's a question if Jackson will be able to play this week. If he doesn't it could get ugly for the Ravens offense. Baltimore finished 16th in total offense while Cincinnati was 8th (4th in passing). The Bengals have been very good at home, going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. They are also 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf. I like the Bengals here on Sunday, especially if Jackson isn't in the lineup again. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
The NY Giants covered their fourth straight game and six of their last seven after losing to Philadelphia in the regular season finale, 16-22, as a 16.5-point dog. The Giants offense was mediocre all season, finishing 19th overall though 5th in rushing. The Vikings were 7th ranked on offense, 28th rushing and 6th passing. The Giants defense ranks 25th while the Vikings are 31st. This will be the first time in six years that the Giants will have made the postseason. These teams met just three weeks in Minnesota with the Vikings winning a close game, 27-24. The Vikings closed out their regular season with a win over the Bears, 29-13, covering the 6.5-point line. That cover snapped a four game spread losing streak. The Giants have covered their last four road games and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games. The Vikings are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs the NFC. The road team has covered nine of the last 13 in this series and I'll be on the road team here today. Play the Giants. |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins make the trip North to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins just did get into the postseason with their close win over the Jets in the final week. These teams split the two regular season games. The Dolphins beat the Bills back in Week 3 in Miami, 21-19. covering the four-point dog line. They lost on Dec 17 at Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. There is a possibility that they could get Tua Tagovailoa back this week after he's missed time with a concussion. The Dolphins look for the huge upset against a Bills team that has won seven straight games. Buffalo has the 2nd ranked offense and the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. They also have the best point differential in the league at +10.6. Meanwhile, the Dolphins defense didn't do well down the stretch, allowing five of the final six opponents to score at least 23 points. Their defense has dropped to 18th in the NFL. The Dolphins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf and 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games. Buffalo is 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at home vs the Dolphins and have won the last six straight up. The Dolphins have not found an answer for Bills QB Josh Allen who has torched them. In his 10 games vs the Dolphins he as 27 TD's and 5 INT's. At home, Allen has a +16.6 average margin of victory over the Dolphins. I'm taking the Bills here on Sunday as my Wild Card Game of the Year. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 58 m | Show | |
This playoff game will feature two of the young, emerging QB's in the NFL with Justin Herbert for the Chargers taking on Trevor Lawrence of the Jags. The Jaguars had an incredible run this season just to make the playoffs. HC Doug Peterson has done a great job with this team after the debacle left by Urban Meyer. Jacksonville was 4-8 at one juncture of the season and was already looking toward the NFL draft. However, five straight wins later they took control of the AFC South. And, for the first time since 2018, they will host a playoff game. Also look for the Jags to take advantage of a poor Chargers rush defense that allows 145.8 ppg this year. Also, I'm not a fan of Chargers HC Staley. I feel he's made some bad coaching decisions and this is one intangible that goes to the Jags. I'm looking for Jacksonville to control the ball on the ground and keep Herbert and his receivers off the field. I'll take the Jags at home here in week one of the playoffs. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. I don't see any problem here today for the 49ers. Take San Francisco. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 55 m | Show | |
College Football Championship game here has TCU a big dog to defending Champion Georgia. Georgia really could not be here if the Ohio State kicker made that last second 50-yard Field Goal. Ohio State truly deserved to be here as much as Georgia as they led a lot of the way in that semi-final game. Yet, Georgia survived that missed field goal and here they are. TCU surprised everyone with a dominating performance over Michigan. TCU will have to contend with a Georgia team, though torched by Ohio State, still ranks 5th in the nation in scoring defense. TCU is no slouch though, ranking 5th in the nation in scoring defense (14.8 ppg). They also rank fifth in the FBS in scoring (41.1 ppg). Both teams you can make an argument for. But for me, I have to take these points with TCU. They have a great defense and offense and can stay with Georgia tonight, just as they did with Michigan. Take the points here with TCU. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are 8-8 on the season and just 3-4 on the road as they head to Atlanta for this AFC South contest. The Bucs beat the Panthers last week, 30-24 while the Falcons beat the Cardinals, 20-19. The Bucs QB Tom Brady has never lost to the Falcons and who can forget that NFL Super Bowl combeack he led when with the Patriots. The Bucs are the 4th seed in the playoffs. HC Todd Bowles said he will play the starters here today. Though have to wonder how long Brady will be in the game. Should he come out Blaine Gabbert would take over. The Bucs average just 18.5 ppgs this season and are last in rushing. The Falcons have lost six of their last eight and play for pride here today. Desmond Ridder will make his fourth pro start today. The Bucs already have offensive line issues so with that I don't expect Brady to be in this game a long time. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. I have to believe this game means more to the Falcons then the Bucs. Play Atlanta. |
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01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +7.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Final week of the season and the Bears only can look to break a nine game losing streak here today at Soldier Field. As for the Vikings they are still playing for position in the NFC playoff picture. The Bears got clobbered last week by the Lions, 10-41 for their ninth straight loss. The Vikings are also coming off a loss last week as the Packers pounded them, 17-41. The Bears will be without QB Justin Fields who will sit out with various injuries today. Nathan Peterman will get the start. A lot of Bears younger players will try to impress for better roles next season with this team or another team. The Vikings looked like one of the best after nine weeks, going 8-1. Then Dallas beat them badly, 3-40. Since then, they are just 4-3. The Vikings have the division won, but a win today could improve their playoff position. I believe the Vikings will do just enough to win here today, but not be able to cover this big line. Play Chicago. |
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01-07-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The AFC South title is on the line as the final week of the regular season begins here on Saturday with a pair of games. The Titans can salvage a bad finish to the season with a win here and playoff berth, while the Jaguars are looking to win five straight. The Jaguars have a one-game lead over the Titans with their 8-8 mark and the Titans 7-9. A Tennessee win and they would take the division because of their better AFC South record. A Jags loss and they could still make the playoffs, but they need help with losses by the Pats, Dolphins and Steelers. With Ryan Tannehill out at QB for the Titans, Mike Vrabel will start Joshua Dobbs over his rookie backup. Dobbs will be making only his second start of his six season NFL career. But I like this move from Vrable as Dobbs is highly intelligent, though lacking starter experience. The only issue is that Dobbs has only been with the team a few weeks. What I also like about this spot is that Vrable has had two weeks to prepare for this game with the Titans off last week. The Pressure is on the Jags today as they are a pretty big favorite. The Jags have done well as a dog, but as much as the chalk. In all likelihood a Jax loss puts them out of the playoffs. Vrable also had done great with teams in the dog role, covering at a very high rate. Plus add the fact that RB Derrick Henry is healthy for this game and I believe the Titans have a great shot here today to win. But lets take the points anyways. Play Tennessee. |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have all hands on deck here on Sunday as a win will give them the AFC best record and home field throughout the playoffs. The Raiders season is done, QB Derek Carr likely done with the Raiders as Jarrett Stidham makes his second straight start here today. Stidham did well vs the NFL's top defense last week with both his arm and legs, but the Raiders came up just short at home. Stidham passed for 365 yards in that loss. Another potential big loss is that of AFC leading rusher Josh Jacobs. While Jacobs has some nagging injuries, it's a personal issue that may keep him out today. These teams last met back in week 5 and the Raiders comeback fell just short in the loss at KC, 29-30. Jacobs rushed for 154 yards in that contest. KC qb Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 in career with 26 TD's and just three INT's. The Vegas defense is 29th in the league so look for Mahomes to torch them again here on Saturday. Chiefs should win here today, but can they cover the big spread? I look for the Raiders with Stidham to at least stay inside the number as the KC starters might be pulled if they get up by double digits in this game. No pressure on the Raiders also, and that also helps. I'll take Vegas here on Saturday. |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
The Rose Bowl has the PAC-12 Champion Utah taking on Penn State from the Big 10. The Utah Utes are 10-3 on the season and look to win their first ever Rose Bowl here on Monday. They won the PAC-12 in back-to-back seasons. They rank in the top 20 in both the offense and defense. Penn State will be making its fifth trip to the Rose Bowl and its first win since 1995. Penn State was third in a very good Big 10 in both scoring 35.8 ppg and total offense. Utah though will be hampered a bit here on Monday as both their top rusher and receiver from the regular season will not play here today. Will we see the same Utah team that took down USC in the PAC-12 Championship? I see this Penn State team as being very well balanced and with those two key players missing on Utah, I'll take the Nittany Lions here today. Play Penn State. |
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01-02-23 | Purdue v. LSU -14 | 7-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
One big thing you have to keep in mind for these bowl games is which teams have players that want to play. We see it more and more where players either enter the transfer portal or opt out to prepare for the NFL draft. Some still will play for their team, but most don't. Purdue will get hit by that today in the Citrus Bowl. The Boilermakers were 8-5 on the season. Former Purdue QB and Saint's all star Drew Brees will be an assistant coach today as HC Jeff Brohm moves on to Louisville. They will also be without QB Aidan O'Connell and WR Charlie Jones (the Nation's leading receiver in receptions) along with three other full-time starters. All five of those players opted out to enter the transfer portal. LSU was 9-4 and while they will also miss a few players, they weren't hit nearly as hard as Purdue. WR Kayshon Boutte will be their biggest player opting out for the NFL Draft. LSU was happy to welcome back QB Jayden Daniels who announced he would return for 2023. Purdue's offense will be a big question here today without HC Brohm and the combo of O'Connell to Jones also gone. I'm taking LSU here today as they will have a big edge at the QB position. Play LSU. |
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01-02-23 | Mississippi State -3 v. Illinois | 19-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Early game on the Monday Bowl schedule has Mississippi State taking on Illinois. The Bulldogs will be playing with heavy hearts here today after the passing of their coach, Mike Leach. Both these teams did more than expected of them this year. Illinois started the season with a 7-1 record but then had three straight losses to Michigan State, Purdue and Michigan. They did finish the season with a win over Northwestern to get to eight wins. Miss State also started fast, getting out of the gate to a 5-1 start, but they could only play .500 ball the rest of the way. Have to wonder how this Miss State will rebound since the passing of their coach on Dec 12. DC Zach Arnett will take over the heac coaching duties here today. Miss State decided to play this game despite losing their coach. That makes me believe that want to win this one for the coach. That can be a strong motivating factor and I will be on them here today. Play Mississippi State. |
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01-01-23 | Steelers +2.5 v. Ravens | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Packers today. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +2 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams in desperate need of a win to keep their playoff hops alive meet today as the Seahawks host the Jets. Both teams are 7-8 and both have a narrow slot at make the Wild Card playoffs, but both must win here today. The Jets lost their last home game of the season last week to the Jaguars, 3-19. It was their fifth loss in the last six weeks. Seattle also lost last week to the Cheifs, 10-24. The Jets would be eliminated from the playoffs with a loss and will also need the Pats to lose a game. The Seahawks are 8th in the West but will need to not only win, but will also need a Washington and Green Bay loss to get in. These two teams are very evenly matched and with Zach Wilson benched again that actually will help the Jets. But I think it's the Seattle defense that will step up today and do just enough to get the Seahawks the win in what will be a close finish. Take the point or so with Seattle here today. |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Ohios State Buckeyes looked like the team to beat in the Big 10 before Michigan dismantled them in their annual matchup. Really Ohio State is lucky to be here with USC losing and opening the door for them to slide back in. There is no pressure on the Buckeyes here today since really they shouldn't even be here. The Buckeyes were 2nd in scoring offense with a 44.5 ppg average. They also had a very good defense, ranked 13th in scoring, holding opponents to just 19.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Georgia was perfect on the Year and had little trouble in the SEC. Stetson Bennet led the team with 3,425 yards passing and 20 TD's. Of course you can make a case for either team. But for me, this high scoring Ohio State team as a nice dog is too much for me to pass up on. I believe Ohio State can win this game, but I'll take the points anyways. Play Ohio State. |
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12-31-22 | TCU +8 v. Michigan | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Look for defense to be the name of the day here as TCU takes on Michigan. The TCU defense has been great, especially in a secondary that forces a lot of INT's. On offense, they are led by QB Max Duggan, the Heisman Trophy runner up. Duggan had 30 TD's this year and over 3,300 yards passing and just four INT's. But his legs also get him lots of yards with 404 rushing and six TD's on the ground this year. They also will be healthy for this game as everyone is available. For Michigan, they will miss their best running back in Blake Corrum (1,463 yards and 18 TD's after he injured his knee vs Illinois and will not play today. For me, it's all about the TCU offense led by Duggan and their excellent defense. I can get a TD or even better here with the Horned Frogs looks to be a steal to me. Play TCU. |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Bowl has Alabama taking on the Big 12 Champion, Kansas State. The Alabama Crimson Tide might be in for a bet of a letdown here today. Winning bowl games is about the players that want to be there and play in the game. I have to wonder about Alabama. They finished with 10 wins and made a case for their being in the playoff final four, but find themselves instead in the Sugar Bowl. Most teams would relish the kind of season Alabama had, but this isn't any team. Most surprising is that neither team looks to without players opting out or going into the transfer portal. Alabama is loaded at offense with last year's Heisman winner Bryce Young leading them at QB. This team averaged 40.8 ppg during the regular season. The Tide look to be a heavy favorite with their offense, but I still wonder if they will have motivation here today. Kansas State can take solice in that the Tide allowed 318 yards to Auburn in their last game, 181 yards rushing to Ole Miss and 185 yards rushing to LSU, all three of those over their last four games. Kansas State won 10 games too this year and might figure to be the be dog as everyone counts them out. I'm going to take the points with the Wild Cats here today and see which Alabama team shows up. Play Kansas State. |
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12-30-22 | Clemson v. Tennessee +6 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
It's the SEC vs the ACC in the Orange Bowl here today as Tennessee faces off against Clemson. This is a fitting bowl for two teams that will be all orange playing in a sea of orange here today. Both teams will also play with QB's that didn't play most of the season. Joe Milton will start for Tennessee after taking over for injured Hendon Hooker in the Vols loss to South Carolina. He did lead the Vols to a lopsided win over Vanderbilt, 56-0. True Freshman Cade Klubnik came in the ACC Championship game win over North Carolina, 39-10. That lead to previous starter, DJ Uiagelelei's entry into the transfer portal that takes him to Oregon State. The Vols had the nation's third ranked passing attack under Hooker, so it will be interesting to see how they attack the Clemson defense. While these teams look a bit different then they did earlier, still should be a very good Orange Bowl. I'm going to stick with Tennessee though in this game. Play Tennessee. |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish can end the season with 9 wins with a win today over South Carolina. The Gamecocks look to win their third straight game here today at the Gator Bowl. South Carolina started the season slow, going 1-2 after three games. However, the finished with a 5-2 mark the final seven games. They also averaged just under 40 points per game in those final five wins. Their biggest win was a dominant performance over Tennessee for their 7th win, 63-38 with over 600 yards of offense. They then finished the season by beating Clemson on the road, 31-30 as a 14 point dog. Notre Dame lost their last game of the regular season at USC, 27-38, as a 4.5-point dog. Both these offenses are very good. But I have been impressed at how S.Carolina performed those final two weeks as double digit dogs in both games. I'll take the points here today with South Carolina. |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Panthers and UCLA Bruins meet for the first time in football in 50 years as they play in the Sun Bowl from El Paso Texas. The No 18 Bruins had a fine season under Chip Kelly, finishing the regular season at 9-3. If not for a pair of late season losses, the Bruins might have made the NCAA playoff picture. The Bruins should be at full strength despite many players declaring for the NFL Draft or entering the transfer portal. THe Panther on the other hand will be missing seven key players due to the draft and transfers. Pitt finished 8-4 on the season. The big player here today will be UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Zach Charbonnet - both of which will play in this Bowl. This UCLA offense is as good as any in the country, especially with DTR and Charbonnet leading the way. Pitt will have trouble staying with this UCLA team with so many good players missing today. I'm taking UCLA. |
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12-29-22 | Washington +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 5 m | Show |
Alamo Bowl here on Thursday has Washington taking on Texas. Texas finished the regular season at 8-4 after back-to-back wins in the final two games. The Huskies finished with six straight wins. The Longhorns will miss one of their best running backs in Bijan Robinson (6.1 ypc and 18 TD's). Robinson decided to sit out the bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. This will put more pressure on QB Quinn Ewers. Washington had 10 wins under one-year coach Kalen DeBoer. And Washington has been playing as good as any team in the country. They have one of the best offenses in the country and an improving defense. The offense is 2nd in the nation in total offense and first in passing offense. Neither team will have much rushing, so the passing edges goes to Washington here today. I think it's a gift getting points with the Huskies today. Take Washington. |
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12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 40 m | Show | |
Cheez-It Bowl here on Thursday has Oklahoma taking on Florida State. This will be the fifth ever postseason meeting between these two teams. Florida State enjoyed a rejuvenated season after four straight losing campaigns. The Sooners on the other hand had a down season under first year HC Brent Venables, finishing just 6-6. A loss here today and it will be the team's first losing season since 1998. FSU had a nice season under HC Mike Norvell, going 9-3 and can have their first 10-win season since 2016. OU running back Eric Gray has opted out of this game as he declared for the NFL draft. That's a big loss on the ground for the Sooners. FSU ranked top 25 nationally in sacks with 34. They also have a top 20 total scoring defense that yielded the fewest yards per game in the ACC. These teams headed in different directions and with the Sooners missing a key running back they will have troubles against this top defense of the Seminoles. I'll lay the points here with Florida State. |
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12-28-22 | Ole Miss -3.5 v. Texas Tech | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Ole Miss comes in losing three straight games while Tech has won three straight. Speculation that Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin might be headed to SEC foe Auburn. But Kiffin has come out and said he's staying at Ole Miss. So with that settled, Ole Miss can get back to how they started the season. The Rebels won seven straight to start the season. This Tech team has had a Jekyl and Hyde season. They looked like they would make a bowl. At one stage the Red Raiders were 4-5 as they came down the stretch. But the Raiders rallied in November and ended up rattling off three straight wins to end the year. Texas Tech hit their peak against TCU and Oklahoma. It's hard to get up again for a game like today. Ole Miss has much more desire to play for a win. Take Ole Miss. |
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12-27-22 | East Carolina -7 v. Coastal Carolina | 53-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Despite their proximity, this will be the first meeting between East Carolina and Coastal Carolina in the Birmingham Bowl. East Carolina is 7-5 and with a win will have their most wins since 2014 and their first bowl win since 2013. Coastal won in the Bowls last year. Coastal QB Grayson McCall has entered the transfer portal, but is expect to play one more game for Coastal here today. McCall has 24 TD's this season. The problem with Coastal is their defense, which ranks 98th in the nation. East Carolina has a top 25 offense and should move the ball easily today vs this Coastal defense which allows 459 yards. That for me is the key in this game, the inability for Coastal to contain the East Carolina offense. Take East Carolina. |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern -5 v. Buffalo | 21-23 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Crampton Bowl today has two teams that have never met before as Buffalo takes on Georgia Southern. Ga Southern has lost three of their last four as they head into today's contest. The Eagles had to beat App State to qualify for this game in what was a back-and-forth scorefest, 51-48. Buffalo also limped into this game. After starting the season 5-3 they lost three in a row and had to come from a 0-16 deficit to Kent State to rally and get into this game. Ga Southern has the fourth ranked passing attack in the nation and that will give Buffalo lots of problems here today. The Eagles can also run the ball with Jalen White who had 914 yards and 10 TD's this year. That will be against a Buffalo defense that had lots of problems stopping the run as they allowed 175 ypg on average. Could be a very high scoring game with both offenses very good. But for me, I give the edges in this one to Ga southern because of their passing game. Play Georgia Southern. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins can take a step closer to a Wild Card slot in the AFC with a win today over the Green Bay Packers. The Dolphins are 8-6 in the AFC East, but with the Buffalo win on Saturday they Bills locked up the division. The Packers are 6-8 overall and while not mathematically eliminated, they have a tall task to get the playoffs and a must win here today. The Packers are coming off a win over the Rams last week, 24-12 as a 7.5-point home favorite. That made two wins in a row for thee Packers. Miami lost a close game to the Bills last week in Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. That loss makes three losses in a row for the Dolphins. If the Packers can win here today on the road, they will finish the season at home on Lambeau Field for their final two games. Dolphins' center Mitch Morse did not return after being evaluated for a head injury in the second half of last week's game vs the Bills. He is listed as questionable today and he's the one that calls out the lanes and blocking assignments in audibles among snapping the ball. The Dolphins rank 27th in opponent third-down conversion percentage and they rank near the bottom of the league in passing defense (27th), scoring defense (26th), and red-zone defense (25th). The Pack has won four of the last five vs the Dolphins and today I'll take the points with the visitors. Play Green Bay. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
With the cyclone bomb hitting most of the country this weekend, we can fully expect the retractable roof here in Dallas to be closed for this game. Other than the weather, the big news here is that QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) will miss today's game at Dallas. Garner Minshew is expected to make the start in his place. Both these teams have clinched a playoff spot as the Eagles are 13-1 with the best record in the NFL and the Cowboys are 10-4. The Cowboys lost to the Eagles back in October when Cooper Rush was filling in for Dak Prescott. The Dallas defense, once one of the best in the league, has suffered injuries and it showed in their loss last week to the Jaguars. The Eagles clinch the NFC and Home field advantage and a first round bye with a win here today ad Dallas. The Cowboys would have to win out the rest of the way if they hope to get the East title. While Minshew won't bring the rushing dynamic to the Eagles, he is deadly accurate as a thrower and will change the game plan here today for the Eagles. Even without Minshew here today I like the Eagles who have the better defense and they want to lock up everything so they can rest a few weeks. Play Philly. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
Armed Forces Bowl here today is the lone college game on the slate. Air Force takes on Baylor. The AF Falcons bring a four-game win streak into this game and are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Falcons averaged 27.7 ppg while holding opponents to just 13.2 ppg. Air Force coming off that fine defensive effort in their win over Navy, 13-3, as a 2.50 point favorite. They held Navy to -1 yard rushing and just 188 yards passing. They will face a Baylor Bear team that had a down season at just 6-6 S/U and 7-5 ATS. The Bears averaged 33.6 ppg while allowing 26.6 ppg. The Bears tied for 6th in the Big 12 standings with just two teams having a worse record. The Bears bring a 3-game losing streak into today's contest, coming off a loss at Texas, 27-38, as a 10-point dog. These teams haven't met since 1977. Air Force is led by RB Brad Roberts, who had 1612 rushing yards and 15TD's this season. Motivation is a key in these bowl games and Acacdemy's usually have plenty of that because their seniors will likely be the last time they wear the football uniform. Plus getting points with a team that can win 10 games is more than enough for me. I'll take Air Force here today. |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama -3 v. Western Kentucky | 23-44 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Reason: Lone game on the Bowl slate tonight has the New Orleans Bowl between South Alabama and Western Kentucky. The Sun Belt rep in this game has won five straight New Orleans Bowls and the South Alabama Jaguars look to make that six in a row here tonight. Western Kentucky had a lot of replacing to do on offense this year as OC Zach Kittley, QB Bailey Zappe and their top two receivers all departed. However, they did a good job replacing them as they are back in the Bowl game again this year with a 8-5 record. South Alabama is under 2nd year coach Kane Wommack and he had them at 5-7 last year but stepped up this year to a 10-2 mark as both sides of the ball saw great improvements. One of their losses came by just one point to UCLA. One area that could be a problem for Western tonight is their rush defense, that allowed 155.9 yards per game and their 2nd leading tackler will be out as he declared for the NFL Draft. This game will be the South Alabama outstanding defense against the Western Ky offense. Look for South Alabama to control the ball on the ground and their defense to stiffle the Hilltoppers. I expect South Alabama to come out on top here tonight. |
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12-19-22 | Rams +7 v. Packers | Top | 12-24 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
The LA Rams might not be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but realistically their 4-9 record is not going to be good enough at this point. They did put some excitement into the game last week with the dramatic come-from-behind win over the Raiders with newly acquired QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led them to a pair of late fourth Quarter TD's, the last with just seconds to go to get the win. The Packers also having a bad season at just 5-8 overall. The Packers had last week off after beating the Bears the week before, 28-19, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Packers are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. It looks to be a cold and possibly snowy night in Green Bay around 20 degrees with some snow likely. Mayfield should be used to it from his days in Cleveland. Lets see if the magic is there again for Mayfield and the Rams. I'll play the Rams. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Bucs | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bengals are now 9-1 ATS their last 10 on grass, 13-3 ATS their last 16 on the road and 14-3 ATS their last 17 following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bucs are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight at home, 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 games overall. Cincinnati just a much better team than this Tampa Bay club is right now. I'll take the Bengals. |
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12-18-22 | Patriots +1.5 v. Raiders | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots look to continue their dominance vs the Raiders here on Sunday. The Pats have won six straight vs the Raiders and now it's mentor vs mentee as Josh McDaniels looks to beat his old coach in Bill Bellichick. Somehow the Raiders collapsed (again) last week and let Baker Mayfield lead the Rams on two late TD drives to pull out the win, 17-16. A unsportsmanlike penalty on Raiders' Perryman sure helped in the defeat as the play was a sack and ended up 15 yards and a first down all because he slapped the ball out of the players hand. It's bad enough when physical mistakes hurt you, but stupid mental ones really are hard to take. That loss ended any hope of a Raiders playoff as they dropped to 5-8. While not mathematically eliminated, they sure look to be done as a Thanksgiving Turkey. The Pats need a win here today to improve on their 7-6 record and keep their playoff hopes alive. The Pats are a good bounce back team, evidenced by their 23-5 spread mark the last 28 times they have got 250 yards or fewer the previous game. They are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall. Not only has the road team covered four of the last five in this series, but the Pats are 5-1 ATS their last six meetings. I'm taking the Patriots as the Raiders just keep finding ways to lose games. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys struggled all game with the lowly Houston Texans last week, but finally pulled out the win, 27-23, as a 17-point favorite. The Texans didn't roll over against their intrastate rivals from the North. The win improved the Cowboys to 10-3, though they still trail the 1st place Eagles by two games. As for Jacksonville, they pulled the upset win at Tennessee last week, 36-22, as a 3-point dog. The Jags are now 7-1 on the season when they score 24 or more points. They are 0-6 when scoring fewer then 24 points. The Jags are in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of first place Tennessee. The Jags offense is decent, ranked 11th overall while Dallas is one slot higher at 10th. The Jags are 27th on defense while Dallas is much better at 5th. Dallas has been a good covering team, but not so much on the grass where they are 3-7 ATS their last 10. In addition the dog has covered four of the last five in this series. Question is, which Jax team do we see today, the one that scores 24 points or more and wins or the one that scores fewer than 24 and loses. I think we see the former here as they get those 24 or more points and cover this dog line. Play Jacksonville. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. The weather conditions play a big role for me here today and as such I have to go against the Dolphins who are used to that muggy Florida warm weather. Play Buffalo. |
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12-17-22 | Fresno State -4 v. Washington State | 29-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Fresno State comes into this LA Bowl with momentum, having won eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Washington State Cougars are a team in flux as they have coaching and personnel who will be missing today. Fresno State finished the regular season at 9-4 overall and riding that 8-game win streak. They looked great in the Mountain West Championship, beating Boise State on the Boise Blue turf, 28-16. This veteran team average 395 yards per game. They also held their last three opponents to just 30 combined points. Washington State finished the regular season at 7-5 overall under first year coach Jake Dickert. Washington State will be without OC Eric Morris who became the head coach at North Texas. He will also lose DC Brian Ward who will become head coach at Arizona State. They will also lose starting WR De'Zhaun Stribling and Donavan Ollie as both players entered the transfer portal and have departed. On defense they lose All-PAC-12 linebacker Daiyan Henley as he opted out for the NFL draft. Everything points to the Bulldogs here on Saturday. Take Fresno. |
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12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State -7.5 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Bowl pits the SEC vs the PAC 12 as Oregon State takes on Florida. The Oregon State Beavers can win 10 games with a victory here today in Vegas. Meanwhile, Florida at 6-6 was just luck to get a bowl bid. Plus, the Gators will have a new QB under center after starter Anthony Richardson opted out to get ready for the NFL draft. Plus, backup QB Jalen Kitna was released from the team earlier. Also opting out was their leading receiver Justin Shorter and Nay'Quan Wright and Lorenzo Lingard, both running backs, entered the transfer protocol. It looks like 20 scholarship players will be absent from the Florida sideline today. I'm not even looking at stats in this game. Florida shouldn't be here today and Oregon State will run away with the game. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. The Niners haven't like these short weeks, going 3-9 ATS their last 12 times on Thursday. Meanwhile, Seattle doesn't seem to mind the short week as much with a 8-2-2 ATS mark their last 12 times on Thursday. The Mariners are 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 meetings vs the 49ers in Seattle. They are also 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings overall. I'll take the points at home against a backup QB here tonight. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4 | 30-24 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are in third place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record. The Panthers have won two of the last three games including two weeks ago over Denver, 23-10, as a pick'em. The Panthers had last week off to prepare for today's contest. The offense is not very good, ranked 30th overall. The defense is better, ranked at 19th overall and 14th vs the pass. The Panthers are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs the NFC. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine road games. The Seattle Seahawks making a push for a postseason spot as they are 7-5 overall and 2nd in the NFC West, one game back of the 49ers. Seattle is coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-23, failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Seattle offense ranks 9th overall (7th passing) and the defense is 30th. The Hawks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Panthers in Seattle. This is a long trip to the Northwest for the Panthers and I look for a Seattle win as they push for a playoff spot. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions -2 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
The NFC North is already fully handled by the Minnesota Vikings as they sit atop the division with a 10-2 record. The next closest team are these Detroit Lions with a 5-7 record. Realistically it looks like only the Vikings will make the playoffs from the North. The Vikings have won two games in a row including last week over the Jets 27-22, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their offense was held to just 287 yards by a very good Jets defense. The Vikes offense ranks 19th overall in the league and 31st on defense, last in pass defense. Not very good for a team that is 10-2 overall on the season. The Lions may only have five wins, but they have been very competitive and have lost five games by four points or fewer this year. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 40-14, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have also won four of their last five games and covered five in a row. Their defense is dead last in the NFL but their offense ranks 7th overall. They have a very balanced offense, 10th in rushing, 9th in passing. The Vikings are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record and 1-5-1 ATS their last seven vs the NFC. Conversely, the Lions are 7-0 ATS their last seven vs the NFC and 9-2 ATS their last 11 at home. Detroit has covered the last four in this series and four of the last five in Detroit. I like the Lions here today. |
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12-11-22 | Ravens v. Steelers -1 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens found themselves in a defensive battle last week vs the Denver Broncos and came out on top in a 10-9 win, but didn't come close to covering the 8.5-point favorite line. The Ravens had just 285 total yards of offense, but held the Broncos to just 272 yards. The Ravens have now failed to cover the spread in their last three games. The Ravens will also be without QB Lamar Jackson, who injured his knee early in the Broncos contest. The Ravens will look to Tyler Huntley here on Sunday. Baltimore's defense is good but not great as they are ranked 13th overall. They are 2nd vs the rush but 25th vs the pass. The offense was already 14th, 3rd rushing, but without Jackson at QB those numbers won't be as good. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won two straight games including last week at Atlanta, 19-16, as a 1-point favorite. The defense ranks just 24th with the offense at 26th. The Ravens are just 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games and 3-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. They have also gone 0-4 ATS their last four vs the AFC North. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS their last seven games overall. They have also covered five of the last seven vs the Ravens. With Jackson out I'll take the Steelers here today. |
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12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
NFC South clash here can put the whole division into turmoil with a Saints win. Right now the Bucs lead the South with a 5-6 record, the Falcons lost on Sunday dropped them to 5-8 and the Panthers and Saints pull up the rear at 4-8. A Saints win and three teams would have five wins. However, a Bucs win and they can pull into solo position in the South lead. The way the NFC is panning out, all four teams in the East could make the playoffs, the Vikings in the North with the Lions and Packers still in it and the 49ers and Seahawks in the West. It's likely that only the winner of the South will make the playoffs. The Saints were shutout last week at San Francisco, 0-13. They had just 260 total yards. The Saints offense ranks 15th in the NFL, 11th in passing. Tampa Bay's offense is just 18th overall, 5th in passing and last in rushing. Tampa Bay lost at Cleveland last week, 17-23, as a 3-point favorite. Despite Tom Brady at QB, the Bucs offense has scored more than 22 points just one time all season. The Bucs defense has dropped to 9th while the Saints are 11th. Tampa Bay is just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have covered the last four in this series at Tampa Bay and seven of the last nine overall. The dog is also 4-1 ATS the last five. I'll take the points here tonight with the Saints. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders -2 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I like the Raiders here today as they have confidence and momentum. Play Las Vegas. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-04-22 | Broncos v. Ravens -9.5 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
The first place Baltimore Ravens are tied with the Bengals for the AFC North lead. Both teams are 7-4 and looking to get sole position this week. While the Bengals will face the Chiefs, the Ravens face the reeling Broncos. Denver sure didn't expect this kind of season when they signed Russell Wilson in the offseason. Yet here they are, last in the AFC West with a 3-8 record. The Broncos offense has been anemic, scoring 10, 16 and 10 the last three games - all losses. In fact, they have over 21 points just one time all season and that was 23 vs the Raiders in a nine-point loss. The only saving grace has been their 3rd ranked defense. The Broncos are now 4-14 ATS their last 18 vs the AFC and 2-7 ATS their last nine on the road. The Ravens are coming off that tough loss last week at Jacksonville, 27-28, as a 3-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The offense ranks 11th overall and the defense is 15th. The Ravens are 7-3 ATS their last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Ravens are also 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the Broncos and 6-1 ATS their last seven at home. I'll take the Ravens here today against a Broncos team that just can't score. |
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12-04-22 | Browns -8 v. Texans | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The big news in this game is the expected debut of Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson. His suspension over, the Browns stated weeks ago that when he was ready he will start. However, such a long lay I have to wonder how game ready he will be. Then again, he's facing his old team in Houston and they are not good so it's the perfect team to debut against. The Browns are 4-7 and in third in the AFC North. They still have a shot at a postseason bid, but they will have to almost win out the rest of the way. The Browns still have the NFL's 5th ranked offense, thanks to a rushing game that gets over 150 yards per game. If Watson can contribute as he once did that will make this a very formidable balanced offense. The Houston defense is ranked 29th in the NFL and last vs the rush so it will be a long day against this Browns rushing attack. That means not a lot should be required from Watson as he gets into game shape. I'll take the Browns here today as they control the ball on the ground. |
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12-03-22 | Purdue +17 v. Michigan | 22-43 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship looks like an easy win for Michigan here today. However, Michigan is coming off that huge emotional win over their bitter rivals Ohio State, 45-23, as a 7.5-point dog. This will actually be the first time these Big 10 have met since 2017. Purdue finished the regular season with a 3-game winning streak that propelled them to the Big 10 West title. Obviously Purdue will be hard pressed to win today, but I'm looking at this almost 17-point dog line. Purdue closed out with wins over Indiana, Northwestern and a very good Illinois team. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. Whereas Michigan is only 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Michigan should clinch that spot in the playoff top four, but will they cover this huge line. I expect Purdue to at least get inside this big number. I'll take a shot with the big dog here. |
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12-03-22 | Coastal Carolina v. Troy -8.5 | 26-45 | Win | 100 | 40 h 48 m | Show | |
Sun Belt Championship as Troy hosts the title game against Coastal Carolina. Coastal is 9-2 on the season and looking for a second Sun Belt title in the last three years. Coastal got blown out last week by James Madison, 7-47. Madison actually beat out Coastal for the East Division, but because it was the Dukes first year in conference they weren't eligible for postseason this year. So really Coastal shouldn't even be in this game. Adding to their woes, QB Grayson McCall could miss this game with an ankle injury. Meanwhile, Troy has been red hot under first year coach Chip Lindsey. They finished the season 10-2 overall and making their first ever in the Sun Belt Championship game. Troy coming off a strong performance last week over Arkansas State, 48-19. Troy just too good for this Coastal team that was blown out last week. Take Troy. |
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12-03-22 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
MAC Championship here today has the 7-5 Toledo Rockets taking on the 9-3 Ohio Bobcats in an early Saturday matchup. Ohio is coming off a win over Bowling Green, 38-14, as a 5.5-point favorite. Ohio has been a great bettor's team, covering their last eight games. Toledo, is coming off a loss at Western Michigan, 14-20, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Rockets have not taken off for bettors, failing to cover in five straight games. The Rockets offense will have to improve that off poor performance at Western Michigan where they had to punt 10 times. Ohio is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 on a neutral site and 22-8 ATS their last 30 vs a team with a winning record. I like Ohio here early on Saturday. |