12-24-17 |
Giants v. Cardinals -3.5 |
|
0-23 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 21 m |
Show
|
The Giants I totally see throwing in the towel here. They are coming off back to back division games and gave everything they had last week vs the Giants and came up short. I don't think they will have any interest here. The Cardinals have actually been playing hard despite not making the playoffs. They have beat two playoff teams in the Titans and Jags in the last few weeks
|
12-24-17 |
Jaguars v. 49ers +4.5 |
|
33-44 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 12 m |
Show
|
I have cashed on the 49ers the last 3 weeks ever since Jimmy G took over. They have been a underdog in 2 of those games and just beat a playoff team in the Titans last week. I think the Jags are being overrated here. I know Bortles has played better, but traveling across country here I don't trust him. The 49ers have a solid defense as well and can keep Bortles in check. I wouldn't be shocked if Jimmy won another one
|
12-24-17 |
Browns +6.5 v. Bears |
|
3-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 6 m |
Show
|
I know I know the Browns. You have to realize who they are playing as well here. The Bears are nothing special especially on offense. The weather is another factor here that will keep the scoring at a premium. The Browns will be the more motivated team here trying to get their first win of the season
|
12-24-17 |
Lions v. Bengals +5 |
|
17-26 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 3 m |
Show
|
I'm not buying into the Lions here at all. This game should be a lot closer to a PK, but is over reacting to the Bengals 3 straight losses. The Lions have benefited from turnovers that is the only way they win games just like at the beginning of season. Wouldn't be shocked in Cincy wins SU
|
12-24-17 |
Falcons v. Saints -5.5 |
|
13-23 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 12 m |
Show
|
Like the Saints here in this rivalry. First, they will want revenge from a couple weeks ago as they had a chance to win the game SU, but Brees through a pick in the end zone late. The Saints are just a different animal at home. The Falcons are on a short week also coming off Monday night division rival against the Bucs in a game they just looked pathetic in.
|
12-17-17 |
Cowboys -3 v. Raiders |
|
20-17 |
Push |
0 |
82 h 18 m |
Show
|
Let's go with the Cowboys here tonight. I think they are starting to heat up here being back in playoff contention and cant afford any slip ups. They will give everything they have here knowing that Zeke is coming back next week. Cowboys were impressive last week and the Raiders have nothing to slow them down
|
12-17-17 |
Patriots -2.5 v. Steelers |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
For me simply you cant ignore the situation here for the Patriots. First, they are coming off a bye and they are great in that role. Also last week they didnt have Gronk for Monday night and now he returns. The Steelers defense has major flaws now as we saw what the Ravens were able to do and a large part of that is because of the Shazier injury
|
12-17-17 |
Titans v. 49ers -1.5 |
Top |
23-25 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 13 m |
Show
|
Really like San Fran here today against the Titans who are one of the most overrated teams in the league. San Fran has been a whole different team since Jimmy G took over and I have backed them on both occasions. The key here why I know San Fran hasnt quit is the fact that they have won two consecutive road games
|
12-16-17 |
Chargers v. Chiefs +1.5 |
|
13-30 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
12-16-17 |
Oregon -7 v. Boise State |
Top |
28-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 40 m |
Show
|
This Oregon team would have been a legit top 20 team this year if their QB Herbert was healthy for a full season. He came and to no surprise they score 48 and 69 to finish off the season. This team is just different when he is running the show. Boise played one of the easiest schedules you could have asked for this season. This team simply isn't built for a big come from behind.
|
12-16-17 |
North Texas v. Troy -6.5 |
|
30-50 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 58 m |
Show
|
North Texas is a very overrated 9 win team here. Just look at their defensive stats giving up 5.2 yards per rush and 8.4 yards per pass. Those are very bad numbers given that Troy averages nearly 5 yards per rush. Also people are forgetting at this is the same Troy team that beat LSU during the season.
|
12-10-17 |
Eagles v. Rams -2 |
|
43-35 |
Loss |
-105 |
51 h 19 m |
Show
|
This seems obvious here which is always scary, but I think the Rams respond here. I do like this Eagles team a lot but I think their schedule has helped them out a lot. Last week against the Seahawks was the first game in their last 6 games they played a team with a winning record. Well they lost that battle. Rams are behind them here for home field advantage which I think plays a role here as well
|
12-10-17 |
Jets v. Broncos +1.5 |
|
0-23 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
I dont believe that this Jets team deserves to be favored over anyone. They have won one road game and that was against the Browns. I know Denver has had a rough go at it, but I think they give a good effort here in a game they believe they can win.
|
12-10-17 |
Vikings v. Panthers +3 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 55 m |
Show
|
Like the Panthers here because it seems like they have been over adjusted. The Vikings were 3 point dogs @ the Falcons last week and are now 3 point favorites against a very similar team. This game is Carolina's season IMO we get huge effort.
|
12-10-17 |
49ers +3 v. Texans |
|
26-16 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 54 m |
Show
|
I backed the Niners last week as a underdog and they won SU. I think this is great value because the Niners are't tanking. They want to play well now with Jimmy G under the helmet. I also think he is so much better than Savage for Texans
|
12-10-17 |
Cowboys -3.5 v. Giants |
|
30-10 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
Let's take Dallas here as I think after last weeks win over the Redskins gives them the confidence to still believe they can make the playoffs. The Giants are a mess right now firing their coach last week. I think Dak has a breakout game here against a pretty poor Giants defense
|
12-03-17 |
Eagles v. Seahawks +6 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 0 m |
Show
|
This to me is just pure over reaction. The eagles are currently the hottest team around covering in blowout fashion. They now have to travel to maybe the toughest Home field in Football to win at. The Seahawks have a lot to play for still while the Eagles pretty much have things locked up. We get a big effort from Wilson here
|
12-03-17 |
Panthers v. Saints -4 |
Top |
21-31 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 9 m |
Show
|
Love the Saints here as I’m not a believer in this panther team. I think the Saints have it figured out here and will just pour the points on. Carolina really struggles on offense so any empty possessions will only put them further behind the 8 ball. Saints win in a blowout
|
12-03-17 |
Vikings v. Falcons -2.5 |
|
14-9 |
Loss |
-120 |
22 h 20 m |
Show
|
The Vikings are now the hottest team in the league right now. I know the Falcons have had a couple lucky breaks playing teams when they aren't at their best, but I like them here in this spot. Their yards per play are the best in the NFL again. Getting this team at home under a field goal I think is a steal and too hard to pass up
|
12-03-17 |
Lions v. Ravens -3 |
|
20-44 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 7 m |
Show
|
I'm not a fan of this Lions team as I think they are extremely overrated. They benefited earlier in the season because they had the best turnover differential for the first few weeks. I just think Baltimore has the defense here to get shut down Stafford and company. Also the Lions recent wins you can't be excited about, Browns, Bears and Packers.
|
12-03-17 |
49ers +3 v. Bears |
|
15-14 |
Win
|
105 |
22 h 60 m |
Show
|
I think we are seeing two different directions for the teams in this game. Jimmy G is finally starting for the Niners and obviously that is an upgrade and I think the Niners will be excited here to have some new blood in their lineup. I think the Bears are throwing in the towel now losing and not covering 4 straight. This should be a PK will gladly take the FG
|
12-02-17 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin +6 |
|
27-21 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
All Wisconsin does is win Football games. Yea, they don’t have the flashy type players but they do all the little things correct and that is why they are successfull. Ohio St offense has been rolling since their loss @ Iowa. I dont think Barrett who isn’t 100% can get the explosive plays against Wisconsin and their #1 ranked defens.
|
12-02-17 |
Georgia +3 v. Auburn |
Top |
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
Love Georgia here getting revenge from earlier this season. Auburn has now beat both Georgia and Bama and are now getting prices like that. Both those games were at home though Now Georgia is catching 3 because of that when they were 2.5 point favorites the first time around. The line has been adjusted by 9-10 points and that is way too many. Georgia wins this game out right on a neutral field
|
12-02-17 |
TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
Another revenge game here. Yes, I know the Sooners have been rolling but I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see TCU win this game outright. They have a legit defense and the Sooners defense is one I don’t trust at all. Mayfield is getting a lot hype right now also because he will Win the Heisman and I think most people will lay this number no problem based on the first go around but I think it’s much closer
|
12-01-17 |
Stanford v. USC -4 |
|
28-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
79 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
11-26-17 |
Broncos v. Raiders -4 |
|
14-21 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 48 m |
Show
|
Like Oakland here laying st short number. They will bounce back from a bad performance last weekend against the Patriots. The broncos are still trying to find a QB and their season is over. If they were in a so called bounce back spot it would have been a few games ago.
|
11-26-17 |
Jaguars v. Cardinals +5.5 |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
Last week the Jaga seemed like they pulled away as they covered the number but the Browns had plenty of chances to tie that game. The Browns do what they normally do in giving the other team a defensive TD. The cardinals season is on the line here today. They have enough on defense here to shut the Jags down as their offense relies heavily on Fournette. We will see a huge effort from them today. This is a one score game either way
|
11-26-17 |
Saints v. Rams -2.5 |
Top |
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
11-25-17 |
Notre Dame -2 v. Stanford |
|
20-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
46 h 35 m |
Show
|
I'm just not buying the fact that Stanford is a superior team. They are getting a lot of respect because they have beat Washington at home. I still think in the back of Notre Dame mind that if things fall right and they have a great performance they still have an outside shot of getting in.
|
11-25-17 |
Arizona v. Arizona State +2.5 |
|
30-42 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 16 m |
Show
|
I think the wrong team is favored here in this game as Arizona has really struggled on the road this season. They are getting a lot of credit because they have Tate at QB. I also think ASU will want revenge from last season. The Sun Devils defense is much improved this season. I like ASU to win outright
|
11-25-17 |
Wisconsin v. Minnesota +17.5 |
|
31-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 58 m |
Show
|
For the average college football fan I'm not sure people realize how big of rivalry this actually is. They brought Fleck in here for this stage. While he doesn't have what he needs for this year he will be throwing everything at this Badgers team to get a win. Wisconsin is a great team but they aren't flashy. With the styles of these two teams I think covering this much is a tough task I will gladly take the points
|
11-25-17 |
Alabama -4.5 v. Auburn |
|
14-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 46 m |
Show
|
The SEC conference is down big time this year. So we have IMO an overrated Aubrun team who played the toughest team in Georgia at home and blew them out. So I think people realize that and we are seeing the line being adjusted in favor of Auburn. Well, for me you have to prove a lot more than that as Bama has owned this conference forever. Last year this line was 20.5 so your telling me in a years time that Bama got worse and Auburn got this much better? I'm not buying it. Let's lay the points with Bama here
|
11-25-17 |
Ohio State -11.5 v. Michigan |
|
31-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 27 m |
Show
|
Since Ohio St went on the road a few weeks and were embarrassed at Iowa we have seen a whole different team. It's almost like that loss really woke them up. Right now they are playing like a top 4 team in the country scoring 100 points combined their last 2 games. I was against Michigan last week at Wisconsin in a easy winner. This team just doesn't pass the eye test because their offense is so bad. They will be without their starting QB here as well. Every time Michigan has had to play a better team they loss plain and simple. Another key factor is that the Buckeyes have styles points to play for here because they can still make the football playoffs. Urban Meyer will have no problem running up the score on Michigan
|
11-24-17 |
California v. UCLA -7 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-115 |
77 h 30 m |
Show
|
I love the Bruins here showing a lot of heart last week actually out playing their rival in USC last week. Both teams in fact are coming off their rivals with Cal coming off Stanford. UCLA still has plenty of motivation trying to make a bowl game and I think they will respond having a new coach on the sidelines. UCLA is a perfect 5-0 at home and believe they can handle Cal who has been pretty poor on the road.
|
11-24-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5 |
|
10-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
31 h 24 m |
Show
|
Lets take Virginia here as I think we are getting good value with a team trending in the right direction. I had this team last week at Miami and they were up two touchdowns in the 2nd half but kinda fell apart. I dont think with what we have seen from Va Tech here recently they should be this big of favorite. They should have lost last week vs Pitt who we know is a bad team. They have only covered the number twice in the last 7 games and one of those was even lucky.
|
11-24-17 |
South Florida v. Central Florida -11 |
|
42-49 |
Loss |
-105 |
70 h 15 m |
Show
|
Frost has these guys on a mission here to finish the season perfect. This is a big time rivalry and UCF will want revenge. Both teams have great offenses there is no hiding that, but the motivation is the angle I am playing. UCF will not be stopped here and I think South Florida is being a little over valued because they have survived some very close games as being big favorites which suggests they might be getting lucky
|
11-23-17 |
Chargers v. Cowboys +2.5 |
|
28-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
No choice but to take Dallas. To me this is a huge over reaction as the Cowboys have lost to the Falcons and Eagles the last two games. They are easily two of the better teams not only in the NFC, but the NFL. I know Dallas has some key injuries but I think this team is simply due and are tired of hearing about everything. I will take Dallas and believe they respond in a must win situation
|
11-23-17 |
Vikings v. Lions UNDER 45 |
|
30-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 4 m |
Show
|
I think this will be a physical battle here as the Vikings will really want revenge as their most recent loss was to the Lions almost 2 months back. I think the real value here though is on the under. They played to a 14-7 game the first time around. The Lions aren't going to be as fortunate here facing a team that actually has a pulse. The total has gone under the last 5 games as well.
|
11-19-17 |
Eagles -4 v. Cowboys |
|
37-9 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
11-19-17 |
Bills +4.5 v. Chargers |
|
24-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
102 h 23 m |
Show
|
I did grab this line early as I expected it to drop but obviously that was before the QB change for the Bills. They are now benching Taylor, but I still think this game could be close. You can't fault Buffalo for last week the Saints now look like them old selves and are playing at a very high level. The Chargers still don't have any home field advantage and you can expect more Bills fans at this game. Rivers is also banged up as well even though he is expected to play. I think the Bills can still keep this close enough
|
11-19-17 |
Lions v. Bears +3 |
|
27-24 |
Push |
0 |
99 h 19 m |
Show
|
Really like the Bears here as I think the Lions are vastly over rated. Look back at last week and the Brows lead the game in the 4th quarter but failed to cover the 2 touchdowns. The Bears stats are a lot better than their record. Remember this Bears team at home has beat Carolina and Pittsburgh. They also took the Vikings down to the wire. Bears win outright
|
11-19-17 |
Jaguars v. Browns +7.5 |
|
19-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
99 h 16 m |
Show
|
I'm not buying into the Jags here and the hype. The Browns should have easily covered last week leading the Lions into the 4th quarter. They had a huge miscue before half as well that cost them at least a field goal. I don't trust Bortles on the road at all.
|
11-19-17 |
Bucs v. Dolphins |
|
30-20 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 52 m |
Show
|
I know Winston is still out but it's not like Fitzpatrick is your normal backup as he has spent plenty of time as a starter in his career. The Dolphins just seem like a complete mess right now after they have failed to show up the last two games after getting blown out on Thursday night against Baltimore. Tampa clearly hasn't gave up evidence with a win last week. They should have no problem here and they also get Evans back in the lineup
|
11-19-17 |
Ravens -2 v. Packers |
|
23-0 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 35 m |
Show
|
I dont believe in Hundley leading this Packer team. Let's face it last week the game was changed when Fox challenged the call be a touchdown and was over turned for a fumble and touchback. If it wasn't for that the Bears probably win the game. Flacco is just so much better also than Hundley you can't ignore that. The Ravens are still in the mix for a wild card spot in the AFC. This is a must win game here IMO and believe they get the job done
|
11-18-17 |
UCLA v. USC -15 |
|
23-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 42 m |
Show
|
I know this is a big number here in a rivalry game but USC is just by far the better team. Since USC got destroyed at Notre Dame all they have done is cover every game. This team hasn't gave up and they still have possible PAC 12 title in their grasps. The key here is simple and that is UCLA won't be able to stop USC on offense at all. We have seen Rosen struggle when he gets behind also because he starts to take more risks and leads to turnovers.
|
11-18-17 |
Arizona University v. Oregon -3 |
|
28-48 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 39 m |
Show
|
I really think Oregon is going to have a ton of motivation here with their QB returning. I don't think the betting public will want anything to do with them. They also will want to make a bowl game so a win here would make that possible. Oregon has played 3 of their last 4 games on road and to no surprise with a backup QB then they lost them all. Him being back I think rallies the team in a big win
|
11-18-17 |
Arizona State -7 v. Oregon State |
|
40-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 49 m |
Show
|
Call me a sucker here for this one but Arizona St has way more talent and this Oregon St team that has 1 win on the season and quite frankly don't care about this game. They care about next week having their rival Oregon on deck. Their defense is just flat out awful as they give up 5.4 yards per run and 6.5 per pass attempt.
|
11-18-17 |
Virginia +19.5 v. Miami-FL |
|
28-44 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
Miami is coming off their biggest win in how many years last week just throttling Notre Dame and not to mention the week before was another big win over Virginia Tech. It's pretty safe to say that Miami wno't have the same intensity as they have the last two weeks. I also think Miami has a way of playing down to teams as we saw them barely escape with a win over a terrible UNC team just a few weeks ago. Virginia isn't world beaters but I think they can move the ball and keep it closer hre
|
11-18-17 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 10 m |
Show
|
Really like the Badgers here against Michigan. Wisconsin simply doesn't get much love because of their style of play. All they have done so far is just dominate teams and it's because of their #1 overall ranked defense. Michigan does have a good defense as well but the two quality teams they have played in Michigan St and Penn St both were losses. I do love the spot for Wisconsin as they will want to earn style points with the committee and Michigan as the biggest look ahead you could ask for with Ohio St on deck
|
11-12-17 |
Cowboys v. Falcons -3 |
|
7-27 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 44 m |
Show
|
This line will go up now that we know Zeke is suspended here. I also believe we get a desperate Falcons team here that has played 3 straight road games. This is a must win game for them as they go to Seattle next week and they will treat it as that. You also can't ignore the fact that the Falcons are the best yards per play team in football once again, but they aren't winning so the public will have nothing to do with them here. Ryan shouldn't have a problem picking apart the Dallas secondary
|
11-12-17 |
Vikings v. Redskins UNDER 42.5 |
|
38-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
64 h 23 m |
Show
|
I really like both defenses here in this match up. So the Vikings are coming off their bye week after a London trip. The Vikings have one of the best defenses in football this year and are fresh. That will serve well against a Redskins team who is banged up front and just got done playing a physical Seattle team. The Redskins also have a solid defense and it may not look like it by scores because Redskins have coughed up some bad turnovers leading to easy points. Neither team likes to air it out downfield and I can see a lot of field goals here in the red zone
|
11-12-17 |
Saints v. Bills +3 |
|
47-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
64 h 56 m |
Show
|
Like the Bills here at home in the underdog role. The Saints as most know thrive in the dome but now traveling in cold weather here against a Buffalo team that is a perfect 4-0 at home this season. They have the extra time here after following a division loss. I think the Saints have dodged some bullets here recently. I was on the Saints last week in a easy winner but look at the teams here. The Bucs Bears Packers (no Rodgers) Miami and Detroit. This will be their toughest test and they don't deserve to be favored here.
|
11-12-17 |
Browns +11 v. Lions |
|
24-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
64 h 40 m |
Show
|
In no way do I want to lay double digits with the Detroit Lions. I think this team has been very lucky benefiting from turnovers early in the season and they dodged one last week with Rodgers being out. The Browns are coming off their bye week from London in a game vs the Vikings which they lead at half. Detroit also doesn't present a problem on the defensive side here I will take the double digits
|
11-12-17 |
Packers v. Bears -4.5 |
|
23-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 8 m |
Show
|
At this point I don't think there is a choice but only to back the Bears here. They are coming off their bye week and would love nothing more than to pound a Packer team just like what we saw from the Lions last week. The fact that the Packers were coming off their bye week at home on Monday night and that was the product we saw. I think there is a lot to be concerned about. The Bears still have hope here for the 2nd half of the season and I think we see a huge effort here
|
11-11-17 |
TCU +7 v. Oklahoma |
|
20-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
94 h 18 m |
Show
|
I was against Oklahoma in a loss last week against their rival Oklahoma St. There were two key things that happened I felt that really shifted momentum. Early in the game OU fumbled was return for TD but over ruled as an incomplete pass instead. Late in the game 1st and goal Oklahoma St had a chance to take the lead and Rudolph throws and INT which ultimately did them in. I'm really not sold at all on this OU defense I think they are frauds giving up 6 yards per play compare that to the best defense in the Big 12 in TCU who gives up just 4.9. I love how TCU responded last week after losing to Iowa St in a nice bounce back game they took care of business against Texas. 7 points is a ton for a team with no defense and given the magnitude of this game.
|
11-11-17 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin -11.5 |
|
14-38 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 36 m |
Show
|
Lines that really make you scratch your head huh? So we have Iowa coming off their win of the season on a national televised game blowing out Ohio St. I'm not sold on Ohio St this year and think they are overrated so I'm not gonna over react and give Iowa all the credit here. Iowa decided to open up the playbook for once and it clearly caught the Buckeyes off guard. Let's remind you also Ohio St was coming off a huge comeback win over Penn St the week prior.
Wisconsin is a team that doens't get any love at all because they aren't flashy they have no stand out NFL players. All they do is simply play every week and win. They are catching Iowa at the right now and the Hawkeyes are no longer a surprise team. Iowa on the road this season is 0-3 ATS.
|
11-11-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech +3 |
|
22-28 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 43 m |
Show
|
All the love is gone for Georgia Tech now after their hot start to covering 6 starting. The Yellow Jackets are a perfect 4-0 ATS at home and are catching Virginia Tech at the right time. I think after last week the Virginia Tech loss will serve as hangover as they went to Miami and just got beat down. Tech still has plenty of motivation here IMO wanting to playing for a bowl game. Having the hangover and playing an option type of team isn't the ideal situation you want so I think Tech wins this game SU.
|
11-11-17 |
Florida v. South Carolina -7 |
|
20-28 |
Win
|
100 |
86 h 38 m |
Show
|
The Gators are done for the year. If you didn't see last weeks results @ Missouri you should look that up for yourself. People may say well South Carolina has nothing to play for here. If you remember Will Muschamp use to coach @ Florida so you can guarantee he would love to pour it on the scoreboard here. This South Carolina team I had last week in a easy cover and a good effort against Georgia. The Gators also have a laundry list of injuries. Their season is over take the Gamecocks.
|
11-11-17 |
Rutgers +31 v. Penn State |
|
6-35 |
Win
|
100 |
86 h 17 m |
Show
|
Talk about a very frustrating last two weeks for Penn St. They had a lead for almost the whole game @ Ohio St to only lose in the final seconds and then travel to Michigan St last week and suffer another devastating loss by 3 to Sparty. I just think given the situation and results of the last two games that it's going to be very hard for Penn St to be excited in this game as their post season playoff and Big Ten conference hopes are over. This will also be an early kick here which I think benefits Rutgers as I could see Penn St just going through the motions. The thing here also is that Rutgers has been undervalued here is that Rutgers is 7-2 ATS this year and have covered 4 straight. In fact they have won 3 of their 4 last games outright. This team is playing with a ton of confidence and have over achieved but the markets haven't reacted to them.
|
11-11-17 |
NC State v. Boston College +3 |
|
17-14 |
Push |
0 |
52 h 38 m |
Show
|
How much is left in the tank here for NC St? They are coming off back to back huge efforts both in losing outcomes against Notre Dame and Clemson. Now their season in their eyes is over and I don't think the motivation will be there.
This young Boston College team is having the season of their lives and would love nothing more to beat another ranked team this season. Also a win here would make them bowl eligible as well. I also really like the fact that they are coming off a bye week.
|
11-11-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +7 |
Top |
49-42 |
Push |
0 |
98 h 37 m |
Show
|
I'm going to roll with the Cyclones here. I faded them last week at West Virginia coming off their huge upset win over TCU and that worked out. I will back them as I think Oklahoma St will be deflated here coming off an emotional loss against their rival Oklahoma. Iowa St by far has the better defense here and with them catching 7 here suggest that Oklahoma St is equal to TCU but that clearly isn't the case. I think people fall in love with high octane offenses. I also think the fact that Iowa St is playing the underdog role this season and still have a legit shot at the Big 12 title game gives them all the motivation.
|
11-09-17 |
North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -9 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 4 m |
Show
|
So this North Carolina team poured their hearts out prior to their bye week against Miami and came up short. For a team that has 1 win on the season you think these kids really have much motivation after their possible upset of the year was so close? I don't think so. Pit is also coming off their bye week here and I think they will be motivated here trying to make a bowl game sitting at 4 wins right now. I know Pitt doesn't have the greatest defense but it's not like UNC brings a power house offense to the mix. I like where Pitt is trending here winning their last two games outright as dogs. UNC is being out gained by over 100 yards per game. Pitt should have no problem here
|
11-08-17 |
Toledo v. Ohio +4 |
|
10-38 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
I like Ohio here tonight catching points as this is the biggest game in the MAC for the year. Both teams are in first place and this will probably be the preview for the MAC Championship game. Ohio has out performed expectations in the ATS column going 7-2 ATS and 4-1 ATS at home. While I know Toledo is a strong program there is no arguing that I just think they have a had a lot easier road so far in MAC play. Also, since they have covered 4 straight the line is being favored toward them. I see a really close battle here and think this game should be a PK
|
11-06-17 |
Lions v. Packers +3 |
|
30-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is the Packers season on the line here coming off their bye week. Hundley has had plenty of time here to prepare and given the fact this is a prime time game I expect a huge effort from Green Bay. I don't trust this Lions team at all laying points. This team could easily have just 1 win as 2 of their 3 were pretty lucky. Let's take the division home dog here
|
11-05-17 |
Chiefs v. Cowboys -1 |
|
17-28 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 3 m |
Show
|
You have to be very impressed with what we have seen from Dallas the last two weeks. They seem to get a lot out of their bye week blowing out the 49ers and then really taking to their division rival the Redskins. They are catching the Chiefs on a short week here with them coming off the Monday night football game. The main key here now is that Zeke is going to play and what does Dallas do best that is run the football. What do the Chiefs struggle against that is the run giving up 4.9 yards per rush. This is a huge game for Dallas and I think they respond here
|
11-05-17 |
Redskins v. Seahawks -7 |
|
17-14 |
Loss |
-113 |
97 h 10 m |
Show
|
No choice but to take the Seahawks here as they are going to ride the momentum of last weeks thrilling victory in the final seconds against Texans. They actually get some relief here playing Washington as they might be the most injured team in the league. They are without both TE's, a couple starting OL, maybe Crowder their WR plus many more. I just don't see how they can move the ball on offense here at all.
|
11-05-17 |
Bengals +5 v. Jaguars |
|
7-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
94 h 56 m |
Show
|
Maybe I am way off here, but the Jags always seem to get a lot of love, but with Bortles at QB I can't lay this. This line is saying that the Jags are better than the Steelers and the Bengals took serious money going off as 4 point dogs @ Pitt. Jags also don't have much if any home field advantage here as they are 0-2 this season just averaging 16 ppg at home. Their defense gets a lot of credit but they do give up 5.2 yards per rush. I think the Bengals defense is more than respectable and will take the points
|
11-05-17 |
Bucs v. Saints -7 |
|
10-30 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 56 m |
Show
|
Let's go with the Saints here in a division rivalry game against the Bucs. The Bucs have been very disappointing to say the least and a large part of that is because of their secondary. Well if you have a bad secondary against the Saints especially playing on their field it's going to be a long day. Winston just hasn't taken the step forward here as what most people thought. He has a combined 8 turnovers on the season with just 10 touch down passes. The Saints are playing with a lot of confidence here winning 5 straight games and I don't think they will have a problem here against a very bad defense
|
11-05-17 |
Ravens v. Titans -3.5 |
|
20-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
41 h 34 m |
Show
|
Let's take the Titans here coming off their bye week looking to go to 5-3. I think the Ravens are very over rated here as most people are remembering their Thursday night blowout win over the Dolphins. The Ravens have one of the worst passing offenses only averaging 4.8 yards per pass attempt. I also think that Flacco isn't 100% if you remember he took a nasty shot to the head last week as he attempted to slide. The Ravens are still banged up with a lot of injuries. Titans should have no problem holding their offense down
|
11-04-17 |
Colorado v. Arizona State -3 |
Top |
30-41 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 32 m |
Show
|
Was really surprised by this number as I think Arizona St bounces back here in a big way after playing terrible against USC last week. Colorado really doesn't pose a threat here and are getting a lot of respect after blowing out Cal last week who is the 2nd worse team in the PAC 12. This Colorado team destroyed ASU last year and I really like the revenge angle here as well. The Buffs only two conference wins have came against the 2 worst teams in the conference this number shouldn't be an issue for the Sun Devils
|
11-04-17 |
Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Miami-FL |
|
10-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
71 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
11-04-17 |
Colorado State -3 v. Wyoming |
|
13-16 |
Loss |
-115 |
33 h 11 m |
Show
|
I just think the Rams here are the much better team in this game. They aren't getting much respect for several reason, but the fact they are favored and Wyoming has covered 5 straight games tells you something. Colorado St has had a rough schedule stretch here playing 3 option teams in a row. Wyoming doesn't have much of an offense here and the Rams really can move the ball. So I think once the Rams get up it's going to be very difficult for them to play catch up
|
11-04-17 |
Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3 |
Top |
62-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 36 m |
Show
|
Love Oklahoma St here in this rivalry match up against the Sooners. Oklahoma is getting a lot of respect here in my opinion since they did go on the road and win @ Ohio St, but that was early in the year. Oklahoma defense is very very shaky giving up 8.0 yards per attempt while Oklahoma St averages over 10.0 yards per pass attempt. I know this series has been OU recently I also think that is played into the line. Oklahoma St also has the better defense that ranks 35th and OU pass defense ranks 87th. The Cowboys get revenge here
|
11-04-17 |
South Carolina +24.5 v. Georgia |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 42 m |
Show
|
Have no choice but to take the Gamecocks here getting all these points. Georgia is now ranked #1 in the football college playoff so they don't need to impress the committee anymore here and just need to win go forward. I don't think South Carolina is getting enough credit on the defensive side of the ball here holding teams to 5.3 yards per play. They are very good against the run as well just giving up 3.8 yards per run. Georgia also has their biggest game of the season to date on deck next week @ Auburn.
|
11-04-17 |
Iowa State v. West Virginia -2.5 |
|
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 32 m |
Show
|
The love for Iowa St is just way too much for me right now. While yes, this is a great story and Campbell deserves a ton of credit and probably just sealed the deal on coach of the year last week. Iowa St is in the toughest spot of the year right now after a huge upset over TCU and now traveling to a tough place in Morgantown and the will be more than motivated here. It's also worth noting that West Virginia played Oklahoma St pretty tough last week but the 5 turnovers simply did them in. They are catching Iowa St at the right time
|
11-04-17 |
Stanford v. Washington State -2.5 |
|
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 29 m |
Show
|
This Washington St team has been one you look to back at home and fade on the road. So they have laid two eggs on the road first @ Cal, but during that game they had 7 turnovers. Last week against Arizona who has been a red hot team here lately they committed 4 turnovers but still managed to rack up over 600 yards of offense. Stanford is 2-2 on the road but easily could be 0-4. They barely beat Utah by 3 and last week without Love they should have lost to the worst team in the Pac 12 in Oregon St beating them by 1. This is also senior day for Washington St so they want to go out in style. Also Stanford has a huge look ahead game with Washington coming to town
|
11-02-17 |
Northern Illinois v. Toledo -8.5 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 26 m |
Show
|
I know Norther Illinois is a respectable team, but Toledo this year is just in a class by themselves in the MAC Conference. They are averaging 40.5 points per game and a massive 7.1 yards per attempt. Nothern Illinois has a decent defense but they haven't faced a team like they will here tonight. The Huskies have been very lucky this season winning by 3 last week in OT, beating Buffalo by 1, and winning at Nebraska by 4 because they had two pick sixes in that game. I think Toledo puts the hammer down tonight
|
10-29-17 |
Cowboys v. Redskins +2 |
|
33-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
77 h 44 m |
Show
|
I think we are seeing the classic over reaction from just one game. So last week the Cowboys come off their bye week and blowout a 49ers team that has been playing everyone close. Then on Monday night national televised game the Redskins fail to cover against the Eagles. So, now everyone jumps ship and thinks the Cowboys are back and maybe they are but the line has moved so much. This line prior to results from last week were Redskins -1 so clearly last week is playing into this line. The Redskins played tough @ Kansas City gave them all they wanted and people are forgetting they did beat the Rams @ LA.
|
10-29-17 |
Bears v. Saints -9 |
|
12-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
141 h 20 m |
Show
|
Let's go with the Saints here as the Bears on the road I don't trust. First, last weeks game vs Carolina is one of the craziest wins you will see in the NFL. The Bears didn't score an offensive TD but did score twice on defense. I think the public perception now is that the Panthers are a good team, but I'm not buying into them. The Bears also had had 2 other non offensive touch downs the week before. It's safe to say they have been getting extremely lucky and will need some offense here to keep pace with Saints at home in the dome
|
10-29-17 |
Panthers v. Bucs -1.5 |
|
17-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
86 h 37 m |
Show
|
All I needed to see was that Cam Newton interview and him walking out on the media once again when things don't go his way. Tampa knows this division is still up for grabs and a win here will go a long ways especially with another division game next week. The Bucs were in prime position last week against Buffalo but a late turnover cost them. I know Tampa doesn't have a great defense but it's not like the Panthers are an offensive juggernaut right now. This is normally a tight game but under a field goal let's take the Bucs here
|
10-29-17 |
49ers +13 v. Eagles |
|
10-33 |
Loss |
-115 |
73 h 1 m |
Show
|
I'm going to give the 49ers a shot here against the Eagles coming off a huge monday night win over a division rival. Clearly their intensity won't be the same here and there is no motivation for them to blow the 49ers out. They simply want to win the game and move to 7-1. The 49ers caught the Cowboys at the wrong time last week with them coming off their bye week. It's also worth mentioning here that the Eagles lost their best OL in Peters for the season and also their LB Hicks for the season. I like the Niners to bounce back and cover this big number
|
10-29-17 |
Falcons -3.5 v. Jets |
Top |
25-20 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is the buy low sell high type of game for me. The Falcons started off the season flying high with their offense going 3-0. Now, they have dropped 3 straight and failed to cover in those 3 games. The Jets at the beginning of the season were supposed to be the worst team ever in NFL history and now are just 3.5 point dogs to a team that most thought could make another Super Bowl appearance. You tell me where the value is. I think the Jets are in a tough spot here coming off back to back heartbreakers against division rivals in the Dolphins last week which they should have won and the Patriots the week before.
|
10-28-17 |
Texas Tech +20 v. Oklahoma |
|
27-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
95 h 34 m |
Show
|
I think this is great value here with Texas Tech who may have been caught looking ahead last week toward this game. They lost to to Iowa St who has been the surprise team in the country so far. Mind you this Oklahoma team also lost to them on their home field as well. Oklahoma just isn't the same team from earlier in the season. They have been just escaping with some narrow victories by beating Baylor who is terrible by just 8, Texas by 5 and Kansas St last week in the final seconds by 7. It's also worth noting that they ad Bedlam on deck here with Oklahoma St as that could decide the title. They just wanna win this game not reason to blow Tech out
|
10-28-17 |
Tennessee v. Kentucky -5.5 |
Top |
26-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
124 h 16 m |
Show
|
I know the line has gone against us here, but I cant believe Tennessee is taking any kind of money. After last week against Bama I think all their motivation is gone here. They didn't score an offensive touchdown at all. We all know Butch Jones will be fired at the end of the season if not before. Kentucky will have the motivation here as they can become bowl eligible here with a win and I think this is a spot to back them.
|
10-28-17 |
Nebraska v. Purdue -5 |
Top |
25-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
78 h 29 m |
Show
|
Just love Purude here this week as they come into this game dropping back to back road games. Now, last week they lost to Rutgers but that was very misleading as Purdue out gained them by over 200 yards. I think a large part of last week was because they were looking ahead to this game vs Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are done for period. This team couldnt manage to get up for home games vs Wisconsin and Ohio St, I don't care if they are off their bye they have no interest here. Purdue is eager here to make a bowl game and they need this one in order to do so.
|
10-28-17 |
TCU -6 v. Iowa State |
|
7-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
120 h 26 m |
Show
|
A lot of Iowa St love going on right now. Yes, the story is a great one and you have to give coach Matt Campbell all the credit in the world. I just think he is running into the best team in the conference and they are pricing Iowa St as possibly the 2nd best team. TCU won't be over looking this match up now as they know what's at stake.
|
10-28-17 |
UCLA v. Washington -17 |
|
23-44 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 34 m |
Show
|
Yes, this may seem like to big number to lay because it is UCLA with the pro QB, but this team can't play a lick of defense. Don't let last weeks results fool ya as they beat up on a injured Oregon team. UCLA has yet to win a true road game and now have their toughest task by far. I think the bye week did a lot of good for the Huskies who was be more than motivated after dropping their recent game @ Arizona St. Arizona St held them to just 7 points which was crazy because they hadn't scored under 30 all games prior. They will bounce back here as they face a terrible and I mean terrible Bruin defense.
|
10-28-17 |
NC State +7.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
14-35 |
Loss |
-122 |
91 h 23 m |
Show
|
I did have Notre Dame last week against USC in a easy win. I will go against them here this week as this is a extremely tough spot for them. First, the line is inflated big time here as NC St is better than USC in my opinion and we are catching 7.5. The thing here is that the Wolfpack have a lot better defense than what people realize. The other main key is that the Wolfpack are coming off a bye here and I always think that is key especially catching a team coming off a national victory like Notre Dame last week
|
10-28-17 |
Penn State v. Ohio State -6 |
|
38-39 |
Loss |
-110 |
117 h 30 m |
Show
|
Yes, we know Penn St has been a covering machine all season long and are coming off a very impressive win over Michigan. I'm not very high on this Michigan team this year so when you look at their schedule it has been pretty easy to say the least. Ohio St is in the perfect situation here as they are coming off a bye with plenty of time to prepare. Meyer off a bye almost never losses a game. Granted Ohio St hasn't been playing the greatest competition either, but their offense is starting to come a live at the right time. This will by far be the biggest challenge for Penn St especially on defense which I still have questions about. With all time to prepare and the Buckeyes season is on the line I look for them to cover this one
|
10-27-17 |
Florida State -3 v. Boston College |
|
3-35 |
Loss |
-125 |
56 h 50 m |
Show
|
I would sure like to think that is Florida St team and Jimbo have a lot more fight in them and won't let the players quit on this season. Remember just a few weeks ago this Florida St team took the undefeated Miami Hurricanes down to the wire. I just think the talent level is to far apart. While Boston College is doing a great job I need more points to back them here
|
10-26-17 |
Dolphins v. Ravens OVER 37 |
|
0-40 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 12 m |
Show
|
When I see totals this low I almost always take over just out of principle. I mean just look last week as the Ravens totals was 37.5 and went over facing maybe the best defense in the NFL with the Vikings. The Dolphins total was 40 facing the Jets both teams not known for offense, but that total flew over as they combined for 59 points. One key for me is that the Dolphins have their man in Moore starting at QB now which is a huge upgrade over Cutler. I know there are injuries but each team will move the ball here on one another. I think this total gets over in the 3rd quarter
|
10-23-17 |
Redskins v. Eagles UNDER 49.5 |
|
24-34 |
Loss |
-107 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
I think we see an old fashioned division dog fight here tonight in this game. Sure the Eagles have been an over team, but a lot of those have came down to the wire. This is also a revenge game here for the Redskins and both these teams are very familiar with one another. The first meeting went under and that was even with a late fumble for a TD with a minute left in the game.
|
10-22-17 |
Broncos v. Chargers -1 |
|
0-21 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-17 |
Ravens v. Vikings -5.5 |
|
16-24 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-17 |
Cardinals v. Rams -3 |
|
0-33 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 12 m |
Show
|
I've been high on this Rams team from the get go this season. So, this game is being played in London and you have to give the Rams a huge edge there for the simple fact they traveled across the pond last season and are familiar with this situation. The Cardinals are getting a lot of respect because of Petersen and what he did last weekend which was impressive. I don't think with the Cardinals bad OL and Rams great DL that he will have a great game. Therefore, I don't trust Palmer in this game as we have seen him hit a wall in his career. Rams are the real deal
|
10-21-17 |
USC v. Notre Dame -3.5 |
|
14-49 |
Win
|
100 |
106 h 21 m |
Show
|
Give me Notre Dame as I think they are one of the best teams in the country. I'm not sure why USC is still taking money here. Notre Dame is also coming off their bye week here and their QB Wimbush is probable to go. USC was lucky to escape with a victory last week vs Utah as nearly two touchdown favorites. The Irish only loss this season was to the undefeated Georgia Bulldogs by just 1 point.
|
10-21-17 |
LSU v. Ole Miss +7.5 |
|
40-24 |
Loss |
-130 |
35 h 40 m |
Show
|
I did have LSU last week in a crazy come back against Auburn and they ended up winning the game outright after being down 20-0. This isn't the role here where LSU will be successful coming off that big win and let's not over look the fact they have Alabama on deck. Ole Miss and their QB Patterson is starting to rise here and he will be a factor. A large part of Ole Miss early struggles were because they played 3 consecutive road games against Alabama, Auburn, and Cal.
|
10-21-17 |
Indiana v. Michigan State -7 |
Top |
9-17 |
Win
|
100 |
102 h 20 m |
Show
|
Really like Michigan St here as I don't think Vegas is pricing them right. I was lucky last week to cover with Minnesota as Sparty went to their house and dominated. So it was a little misleading there and Indiana was misleading as well as they came back to take it to OT vs Michigan. were 7 point dogs to them on their home field and now 7 on the road to a team that won @ Michgian? Vegas is still pricing Michigan better than Michigan St. I think Indiana is deflated here as last week and Michigan St controls this game start to finish
|
10-21-17 |
Iowa v. Northwestern +2 |
|
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 30 m |
Show
|
I will take Northwestern here as I think they should be favored here in this game. They have the better defense and offense. Iowa has been a part of some very misleading games like the Penn St game where they were out gained by over 300 yards and it came down to the last play of the game. Illinois is by far the worst team in the Big 10 and Iowa need a late 89 pick six in the 3rd to stretch this lead out or else Illinois takes the lead there. NW got their offense going last week racking up over 530 yards @ Maryland. To much of this line is being played into Iowa coming off their bye week
|
10-21-17 |
Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7 |
|
31-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 5 m |
Show
|
Let's go with Texas Tech here as I think they respond in a big way here. Last week they should have won the game @ West Virginia up 35-17 as a touchdown dog and couldn't get the cover. Now Iowa St is getting a lot of respect because they went into Norman as 31 point underdogs an won SU, then followed up by pounding Kansas last week. Texas Tech has big time revenge in mind also after getting embarrassed in Ames last year.
|