12-01-19 |
49ers +6 v. Ravens |
|
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 36 m |
Show
|
This might be the public dog of the week, but I also think this is an overreaction here as well to the Ravens. They are coming off a Monday night blowout over the Rams where Lamar became the clear front runner for MVP. I just really think this Niner defense is the real deal here. I'm not saying they shut Lamar down, but they can contain the overall run game. Plus, the weather isn't going to be great either and wouldn't be shocked to see this line drop a couple points in the morning
|
12-01-19 |
Jets v. Bengals +3.5 |
|
6-22 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Bengals don't wanna go winless no team does. With that being said I think we get major effort from them knowing that for them this is a winnable game. Dalton is backcourts at QB which will provide a spark no doubt. Jets getting a ton of respect here, but the Redskins, Giants and Raiders are exactly anything to brag about
|
11-29-19 |
Iowa v. Nebraska +6 |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 30 m |
Show
|
While this is a rivalry, I still find a hard time seeing how much motivation Iowa will have here. Yes, Nebraska is down this season we all know that, but this game is to make a bowl game so we know the effort will be here. Nebraska nearly won @ Iowa last season. I don't think this Iowa team is very good so let's take the points here in this game
|
11-29-19 |
Virginia Tech v. Virginia +3 |
|
30-39 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 2 m |
Show
|
Yes, Virginia Tech is playing well, but so is Virginia here and I can't believe that this line has flipped so much in favor ofd the Hokies. This game is to play Clemson for the ACC Title plus Virginia has big time revenge on their minds here. Virginia Tech was only favored by 3.5 @ home vs Pitt and now are laying nearly the same on the road against a better team and a rival? I don't get the line move lets to Virginia
|
11-29-19 |
Miami-OH v. Ball State -3 |
|
27-41 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 54 m |
Show
|
You may ask yourself why is a 4-7 team favored over a team that is 1st place on their side of the conference. Well, Miami Oh has zero motivation plain and simple as they have already locked in a spot to play for the MAC Title. I also wouldn't be surprised to see them. rest some players as well. Ball St could have easily represented the other side of this division. They lost their last 3 games by a combined 8 points.
|
11-28-19 |
Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 |
|
26-15 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
I'm going to lay it here with the Cowboys. The Bills I had last week in an easy winner, but you just have to think the whole schedule part is going to catch up to them. I also think the line here clearly tells a story. Cowboys honestly should have won @ the Patriots last week and if you took a quick glance at the box score you probably would have guessed that they would have been on top. Dallas in a prime spot here to make a statement and I think they respond
|
11-24-19 |
Cowboys +6 v. Patriots |
|
9-13 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-19 |
Dolphins v. Browns -10.5 |
|
24-41 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-19 |
Raiders -3 v. Jets |
|
3-34 |
Loss |
-119 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-19 |
Seahawks v. Eagles |
|
17-9 |
Loss |
-113 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-19 |
Broncos v. Bills -3.5 |
Top |
3-20 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
11-23-19 |
Duke v. Wake Forest -7 |
|
27-39 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 4 m |
Show
|
This Duke right now isn't a team I want to back. Their offense has been non existent the last 4 games. It's hard to question where their head is at right now coming off a brutal loss to Cure losing by 43 as an 8.5 point favorite. Wake is coming off two tough losses @ Va Tech and @ Clemson and this seems like a nice bounce back spot for them here
|
11-23-19 |
Temple +10.5 v. Cincinnati |
|
13-15 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 59 m |
Show
|
I like this Temple team as I backed them a few times this season. The key here is that Temple still has a shot to play for the conference title. In order to do so, they need to beat Cincy and have them lose next week @ Memphis which is possible. So we know the effort will for sure be there. This is too many points for this caliber of game.
|
11-23-19 |
San Jose State v. UNLV +7 |
|
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 56 m |
Show
|
This will be an all out game here I truly believe for this UNLV squad. This will be the final game ever in Sam Boyd stadium and they are bringing all the big Tim alumni back for this one. This will also be the final home game for Coach Sanchez as he will be fired at the end of the season so I think they will respond here with a major effort. San Jose drummed the Rebels last season and UNLV was a 1 point favorite. I really like the situation here for UNLV to get the upset
|
11-23-19 |
UCLA +13.5 v. USC |
|
35-52 |
Loss |
-105 |
42 h 37 m |
Show
|
I will take the Bruins here who are playing well again on the 2nd half of the season. I know last week they were blown out, but that game was very misleading if you were following it. This is obviously a huge rivalry game and UCLA will need this game in order to make a bowl game. I don't think USC is honestly that much better and Chip will have his guys ready
|
11-23-19 |
Texas A&M +13.5 v. Georgia |
|
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 45 m |
Show
|
So I know the angle for Georgia here will be style points for the committee. Though we have to ask ourselves is this team really that good? I think this line is definitely inflated base on last weeks results with them winning @ Auburn despite being outgained there. The Aggies defense is playing very well right now and Jimbo I do trust here in this spot. He will have his teams and keep this within two scores
|
11-23-19 |
Texas +6 v. Baylor |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-107 |
41 h 28 m |
Show
|
This play here on Texas is really against Baylor in this spot. Baylor is coming off the ultimate dream crusher loss last weekend as they blew a big lead against Oklahoma to ruin their perfect season and knock them out of the playoff contention. This is such a hard spot for Baylor to bounce back from. Herman we all know how good he is in the underdog role. He is looking for a big time win too end the season here and I think he gets one.
|
11-23-19 |
Illinois +15.5 v. Iowa |
|
10-19 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 14 m |
Show
|
I like Illinois here as they are one of the most improved teams in the Power 5 this season. This team is going to a bowl game and playing with a ton of confidence right now. They have won 4 straight 2 being on the road and one of those was over the undefeated Badgers at that time. I also think this isn't a great spot for Iowa here as they took down the Gophers last week handing them their first loss. Iowa also has a big look ahead game with Nebraska being on deck. This is a classic sandwich game.
|
11-17-19 |
Patriots v. Eagles +5 |
|
17-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
This line has crossed some serious numbers. The Patriots always get a lot of love. While I'm not a fan of going against them and rarely do, I like the situation here to do so even though they are of their bye week. The Patriots have faced to easier schedule known to man so far and their toughest opponent shocker they lost on the road SU to the Ravens. Eagles have all the weapons here and I think are prime for a big win but at least. can cover this number
|
11-17-19 |
Bengals v. Raiders -11.5 |
|
10-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
I grabbed a bad number here, but lets lay it anyway. The Bengals made the switch to Finley last week at QB and well they got the doors blown off them by the Ravens. I think this team is in give up mode now. Oakland has been the nice surprise this season and I think they put their foot down here and roll the Bengals
|
11-17-19 |
Saints v. Bucs +5.5 |
|
34-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
Weird line here as the look ahead was actually lower than and following last weeks results they actually made the line higher which is the opposite. Public will still want nothing to do with the Bucs here in this game, but I think we get a big effort and wouldn't be shocked to see another upset
|
11-17-19 |
Falcons v. Panthers -4 |
|
29-3 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
I really like the Panthers here in this spot. The Falcons I had last week as they pulled a big upset as a 13 point dog and beat the Saints outright. I think it's tough to follow that up here. The Panther have two losses the last 7 games and that is at @ SanFran and @ Grenn Bay, two of the better teams in the league. Let's no hold that against them plus they were in the Packer game with a chance to tie it last week. Odds makers are saying Carolina is only a 1 point favorite on a neutral? I'm not buying it
|
11-17-19 |
Broncos +10.5 v. Vikings |
|
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
I had the Vikings last week in a nice winner +3 over the Cowboys on Sunday night football. I dont think the motivation will be there today for them in this spot. I also like that after the QB change for Denver Allen got his first win beating the Browns but then had a bye now and I think the effort will be there for Denver. They will keep this close
|
11-16-19 |
Hawaii v. UNLV +7 |
|
21-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 46 m |
Show
|
UNLV is coming off their bye week and I think most know that the coach is getting fired by now. I think we see a really good effort from them coming down the stretch with winnable games such as this one. San Jose St really moved the ball on Hawaii and I don't trust them laying this many on the road. UNLV will put up some points and I wouldn't be surprised if they pulled the upset
|
11-16-19 |
Texas v. Iowa State -7 |
|
21-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
44 h 24 m |
Show
|
I think Texas will be the huge public dog this week. This Iowa St team is the real deal as I had them last week and it came down to a 2 point conversion in which Iowa St failed to take down Oklahoma. Iowa St has the better defense, better QB, better coach here and this a just a must win a nice bounce back spot for them. Texas I had last week in a loser and really was disappointed as they came out flat in a great spot against Kansas St.
|
11-16-19 |
Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech +7 |
|
45-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 3 m |
Show
|
I like Ga Tech here in this matchup. The Hokies are coming off 3 straight big time games beating UNC by 2 in a thriller, followed by that big time performance @ Notre Dame and then the huge upset win over ranked Wake Forest last week. This is the let down spot this week and Ga Tech is still playing hard this season. I see this game being a lot closer than what most might think
|
11-16-19 |
Florida -6.5 v. Missouri |
|
23-6 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 12 m |
Show
|
I like this Florida team here in this game and don't feel the line drop is worthy here. The reason it's coming down is because Kelly Bryant is coming back for Missouri, but several questions are still left out there. Is he actually 100% and did this time off even help him? It's not like he was lifting it on fire when he was playing. Missouri offense have scored 21 total points the last 3 games. Florida D will chew them up here.
|
11-16-19 |
TCU v. Texas Tech +3 |
|
33-31 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is one of the worst spots you can ask for here. TCU I had them last week in a losing effort but was totally the right side as they blew that game against Baylor and lost in triple OT. TCU has to be deflated from that showing and am shocked they are actually favored given the spot. Texas Tech is still bowl hungry and are coming off a great showing on the road last week @ West Virginia and think they win this one outright
|
11-16-19 |
Wisconsin v. Nebraska +15 |
|
37-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
41 h 2 m |
Show
|
I don't think Nebraska and company under Frost will be throwing in the towel this season and now with them coming off the bye I think we are going to see a huge effort here in order to get the win. Wisconsin knows they just need to win the game and that's it period. I know the Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS but clearly no one wants them, but I think this spot you need to back them
|
11-16-19 |
Michigan State v. Michigan -13.5 |
|
10-44 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 58 m |
Show
|
Sparty is flat out horrible and I don't see how they can recover from last weeks meltdown vs Illinois as they completely imploded that game. Yes, I realize now this is Michigan St super bowl, but quite frankly I don't think this team has anything that Michigan is scared of. Harbaugh will also have no problem here running the score up either even if it does get ugly. Michigan's defense is solid and I expect them to create several turnovers and even a defensive TD
|
11-14-19 |
Steelers v. Browns -2.5 |
|
7-21 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
I had the Browns last week -2.5 in a winner over the Bills and like the spot here again tonight. Maybe they needed a little fire under their ass to get things going. The betting public seems to be falling a little too hard for the Steelers right now. I think we see the Browns make serious push as crazy as that seems.
|
11-10-19 |
Vikings +3.5 v. Cowboys |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 11 m |
Show
|
I like the Vikings here and I know most will be scared to back Cousins here in a prime time game and I get it. I don't think these two teams are equal or Dallas is actually better which is what the line is suggesting. The Vikings D here will be the difference in the game as they will force Dak to beat them. The game last week for both teams were misleading and now we get the hook here with the better team
|
11-10-19 |
Bills v. Browns -2.5 |
|
16-19 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 6 m |
Show
|
I'm taking the Browns here tomorrow. Most will look at this line and obviously grab the 6-2 team as a road dog. I just think the season is finally down to this game here and I believe they respond. Browns are most definitely better than their record and have played a tougher schedule.
|
11-10-19 |
Giants -2.5 v. Jets |
|
27-34 |
Loss |
-130 |
13 h 4 m |
Show
|
So we get a home game here for both teams actually and I just think the Giants are that much better. I know the Giants have some injury concerns but with the Jets laying that egg at Miami last week, I think their season is toast. Jones needs to take care of it better and last week was very misleading vs the Cowboys
|
11-10-19 |
Falcons +14 v. Saints |
|
26-9 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
This line is crazy inflated here. Yes, both teams are off the bye here and Brees is coming back. I can't see this game at all here in the blowout fashion. If the Falcons had gave up o their season IMO we would have seen it the week vs Seattle with a back up QB. I think they would love nothing more to play spoiler so I believe the effort will be there
|
11-10-19 |
Lions v. Bears -2.5 |
Top |
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 53 m |
Show
|
I love the Bears here tomorrow. If you have followed me most this season I have been against them a lot and it has worked out in my favor. I think now is the buy low time on Chicago. The Bears D won't have any issue getting pressure on Stafford. Also the Lions are banged up on offense and don't have a running game at the moment. This is also the Bears season on the line here. The effort will be here in a huge bounce back performance
|
11-09-19 |
Iowa State +14.5 v. Oklahoma |
|
41-42 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 43 m |
Show
|
Iowa St really laid an egg last game vs Oklahoma St losing as a 10.5 point favorite. Now, they are getting 14.5? This seems like a major and unnecessary adjustment to this line. Iowa St to me is still the 2nd best in the league as they have a solid defense. The difference here will come down to whether or not Purdy will take care of the ball. I know people will argue that Oklahoma will be pissed and prime for a let down after the Kansas St loss, but that is also a dream crusher for them as they are eliminated from the playoffs in my opinion. Iowa St can score enough here to keep this close
|
11-09-19 |
Tennessee v. Kentucky -1 |
|
17-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
Odds makers are saying here that Tennessee is better than Kentucky on a neutral field and I'm not buying it at all. The Vols have played much better as of late and have 3 of their last 4 games. However, those games were all at home. They need to prove it for me to back them. Kentucky is coming off their bye and had a lot of momentum going into it with a nice win over Missouri as a 9 point dog. This is one they will be up for again here and a nice revenge angle
|
11-09-19 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin -8.5 |
|
22-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 49 m |
Show
|
I like the Badgers here in this game. A few weeks ago this Wisconsin team was being mentioned in the playoff mix as they really looked the part. Well, an ugly loss to Illinois followed up by a loss to Ohio St which was actually a close game half way through the third. Both teams are off the bye week and and Wisky knows they can still play for the Big Ten Title which is what they had hoped for. The Iowa offense is beyond pathetic and with a stellar Badger defense I think they will get after Stanley and company and make it very hard for them to move the ball.
|
11-09-19 |
LSU v. Alabama -5.5 |
Top |
46-41 |
Loss |
-115 |
49 h 24 m |
Show
|
I love Bama here in this matchup. All I have heard all week is LSU this and that. This is the best LSU team in the last decade and Burrough is the front runner for Heisman, Bama hasn't played anyone. Everyone and I mean everyone is all over LSU here. When that happens it makes me love the favorite even more. Bama has Tua back and I think he is at full strength. This Bama team will be out to prove something and I think all this talk has motivated them even more. Bama rolls here
|
11-09-19 |
Kansas State v. Texas -7 |
|
24-27 |
Loss |
-104 |
47 h 3 m |
Show
|
This game here is another public dog of the week. The world will love Kansas here as they are coming off one of the biggest wins of all college football season in beating Oklahoma as a 24.5 point underdog two weeks ago. I think those are the types of wins though that really empty the tank. Texas is catching them at the right time with the Longhorns coming off a loss and a bye I think they still believe they can play for the conference title so the focus will still be there
|
11-09-19 |
Purdue v. Northwestern -2 |
|
24-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
46 h 43 m |
Show
|
Purdue last week poured a lot into that game in beating Nebraska and that seemed to be their defining season moment. Northwestern is a bad team I get, but this is a great spot for them here as Purdue clearly isn't a powerhouse. Northwestern has struggled big time on offense but I believe they can score some points here in this game. Purdue is still fighting a ton of injuries here.
|
11-09-19 |
Baylor v. TCU +3 |
Top |
29-23 |
Loss |
-115 |
46 h 46 m |
Show
|
I really like TCU you in this game. Baylor in my opinion is very overrated as they are coming in with an 8-0 record. They have had a very favorable schedule here so far and were very lucky @ Oklahoma St. TCU will be looking forward to ruining their perfect season. TCU has the weapons here and you know this will also be a sharp vs square side
|
11-04-19 |
Cowboys v. Giants +7.5 |
Top |
37-18 |
Loss |
-125 |
105 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
11-03-19 |
Packers v. Chargers +4 |
|
11-26 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 28 m |
Show
|
This will be one of the most public vs sharp plays of the week. The betting public will love the Packers here laying a short number on the road with a stadium that will mostly be Green Bay fans. I just think the Chargers will start to turn around their season as last weeks win @ Chicago will be a major boost. I'm also not a firm believer in the Packers and just really like this spot here to go against them. They have benefited so far from a pretty easy schedule.
|
11-03-19 |
Browns -3 v. Broncos |
|
19-24 |
Loss |
-124 |
77 h 24 m |
Show
|
I know the public side here for sure, but this is now a must win game for the Browns if they have postseason hopes. Sure, the case you can make for Denver is that Allen can't play any worse than Flacco but still this is his first start of his career and with a limited offense this will be difficult. I think the Browns know they need to strike first here as Denver will struggle to play catch up. I like Baker to have a nice bounce back here
|
11-03-19 |
Titans v. Panthers -3.5 |
|
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 3 m |
Show
|
Odds makers are telling you that these teams are near equal on a neutral field? There is absolutely no way I believe that at all. Sure, the Panthers looked bad last week, but that was against an undefeated Niner team who is very good. The Titans have looked better with Tannenhill no doubt but they have also been extremely lucky and should have lost their last two games, but since they didn't that is helping this line. Carolina will control this game in a nice bounce back.
|
11-03-19 |
Bears v. Eagles -4.5 |
Top |
14-22 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 3 m |
Show
|
Maybe I am way off here, but how can you possibly like the Bears. What have they shown with Trubisky under the helm for them? The Bears have lost 3 straight games and I think players are starting to be comes frustrated especially with the offense. The Eagles have had their struggles for sure, but they had a coming out party last game and I like to back those teams returning home. Bears aren't a good team and the books are slow to adjust here
|
11-03-19 |
Texans v. Jaguars +2 |
Top |
26-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
71 h 34 m |
Show
|
I love the Jags here tomorrow in London. I think they should actually be favored here given the fact that the Texans took a major blow with Watt being done. The texans defense wasn't exactly lighting things up to begin with and now lose him. Also the Jags should have won the first meeting being stopped at the half yard line after going for 2. Also worth noting that the Jags are the most familiar team traveling to London while this will be the Texans first time and that is a huge advantage.
|
11-02-19 |
BYU +3.5 v. Utah State |
|
42-14 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 1 m |
Show
|
BYU saved their season before the bye week last game as they upset Boise St at a 7 point home dog and I think we get another big effort given the fact this is a rivalry game. BYU has played a much tougher schedule and now its getting easier for them. Utah St coming off an ugly performance @ Air Force and I think their defense has been exposed. I think this line comes down
|
11-02-19 |
Oregon v. USC +5 |
|
56-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 15 m |
Show
|
I like the Trojans here in this game as they control their own destiny here in the Pac 12 south. This will now be the third straight game where Oregon has to bring it and I'm not sure they can be trusted. Throw in the fact I don't trust their coach in close games and especially on the road. USC will move the ball in the air as we saw Wazzu do last week against them. I like USC for the upset here
|
11-02-19 |
SMU v. Memphis -5.5 |
|
48-54 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
11-02-19 |
Mississippi State v. Arkansas +7.5 |
|
54-24 |
Loss |
-106 |
53 h 6 m |
Show
|
I know Arkansas is nothing special but this is crazy to me that Miss St is laying this number on the road. Arkansas has at least played two close games even though they have lost both to Texas AM and Kentucky. Miss St on the other hand has lost 4 straight all by double digits. I still think Arkansas is hungry for a conference win and there is no doubt they know they can win this one
|
11-02-19 |
Utah v. Washington +3.5 |
|
33-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 38 m |
Show
|
I will take Washington again here which feels like the exact same thing as a couple weeks ago vs Oregon. Washington blew that game in the final 6 minutes but now are coming off the bye and I love Coach Peterson in that role here. I think the love for Utah is now a little high for my liking and they simply don't deserve to be favored in this spot.
|
11-02-19 |
Virginia Tech +17.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 52 m |
Show
|
Last week my top play was Michigan and they were an easy winner blowing out ND. I will fade ND again here as that is their dream crushing loss and I feel its tough to bounce back from here. Also given the fact that Va Tech is coming off a bye and have quietly turned around their season. It's so tough to know where the Irish heads are at here and laying this many I have to take the Hokies
|
11-02-19 |
Nebraska -3 v. Purdue |
|
27-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
49 h 25 m |
Show
|
The Huskers have failed to cover now in 5 straight games and no one wants anything to do with them now and you can't blame them. I just don't think Frost will let the guys quit on the season as they still want to at least make a bowl game. Purdue's injuries have really caught up with them and simply they are struggling to move the ball. After last weeks results it seems like Purdue has gave up. This has the feeling for a get right game here for the Huskers
|
10-27-19 |
Packers v. Chiefs +4 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
71 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-19 |
Raiders +7 v. Texans |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-19 |
Browns +13 v. Patriots |
|
13-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
67 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-19 |
Panthers +6 v. 49ers |
|
13-51 |
Loss |
-120 |
31 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-19 |
Giants +6.5 v. Lions |
|
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-19 |
San Diego State v. UNLV +13.5 |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 41 m |
Show
|
The 6-1 Aztecs are getting way too much love here. This is a team that barely averages over 20 points per game. They have been very lucky in several games but that has inflated the number here. I think UNLV is a buy low team here for the rest of the season. Their backup QB can sling it and I believe will put points on the board. The style that SDSU plays will keep UNLV alive in this one
|
10-26-19 |
Notre Dame v. Michigan +1 |
Top |
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 37 m |
Show
|
I really love Michigan here this week. The perception is still down on Michigan that they can't win a big game with Harbaugh as their coach. I believe this game is the perfect storm here simply because Notre Dame is extremely overrated. Last time we saw Notre Dame they struggled big time against a poor USC team. I saw enough last week at Michigan isn't as bad as what the media thinks which definetly reflects what the public thinks. Michigan wins this game fairly easily
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10-26-19 |
Texas v. TCU +2 |
|
27-37 |
Win
|
100 |
65 h 19 m |
Show
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I simply think the wrong team is favored here in this game. Yes, I know Texas has only lost to Oklahoma and LSU and that will be most of the others type of handicap in favor of Texas. I will say though do they pass the eye test and the simple answer is no. They survived two lucky scares vs Oklahoma St and Kansas and legit could have lost each of those. TCU will create some big plays against the weak Texas secondary.
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10-26-19 |
Penn State v. Michigan State +7 |
|
28-7 |
Loss |
-115 |
65 h 10 m |
Show
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So Michigan St couldn't have looked any worse than their last two games. Well those happened to both be on the road and both against the two best teams in the conference in Wisconsin and Ohio St. Sparty is now off their bye week and will be fresh here and I think in a great spot for the outright upset. This will now be Penn's st third straight tough game following @ Iowa and Michigan last week. These are tough stretches and spot you look to play against. Give me Sparty and the points
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10-26-19 |
Wisconsin +14.5 v. Ohio State |
|
7-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
62 h 50 m |
Show
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I really think this Ohio St team is something special for sure. The look ahead line here though was around 10 and now it has crossed to over two touchdowns? Yes, they lost the game, but their season still isn't lost and I don't believe they think that either. Ohio St hasn't seen a physical team like the Badgers in the trenches. There won't be as many possessions clearly with the style of play the Badgers will enforce. I think this is a great bounce back spot and a line over reaction
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10-26-19 |
Illinois v. Purdue -9 |
|
24-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
61 h 26 m |
Show
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Let's noot be fooled by last weeks results. I had Illinois +31 and yes they beat Wisconsin outright, but they were outplayed in that game. In fact Illinois has been destroyed in the box scores clearly indicating this team isn't very good. Purdue has been plagued by injuries, but the fight is still there and that was evident last week @ Iowa. Purdue won't have any issues moving the ball here and expect a big coming out party for the offense
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10-26-19 |
Iowa v. Northwestern +10 |
|
20-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 23 m |
Show
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Iowa shouldn't be laying double digits here in this game. With the line of last week against Purdue they are suggesting that the banged up Purdue team is better than NW and I don't believe it. NW has had Iowa's number over the years and can muck it up. This is a classic very low scoring feel to it and coming down to the last possession for someone to win. Will take the 10
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10-20-19 |
Eagles v. Cowboys -2.5 |
|
10-37 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 55 m |
Show
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10-20-19 |
Ravens +3.5 v. Seahawks |
|
30-16 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 2 m |
Show
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10-20-19 |
Cardinals v. Giants -3 |
|
27-21 |
Loss |
-100 |
64 h 14 m |
Show
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I really like this value here with the Giants. It looks like they will be returning some key pieces here in Barkley Shepard Engram which is major upgrade for them. I also think the Cardinals are being over valued here with back to back late seconds win over the Bengals and Falcons which both could have easily been lost. The Giants are a much improved team with Jones at QB
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10-20-19 |
Raiders v. Packers -5 |
|
24-42 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 5 m |
Show
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10-20-19 |
Texans v. Colts |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 44 m |
Show
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I love the Colts here this Sunday coming off their bye week. I actually think both of these teams are extremely equal and therefore the value lies with the Colts here. I think the perception here is really with the Texans that they are a lot better team. Texans defense hasn't traveled very well on the road for the Texans giving up nearly 7 yard per play. The Colts are also returning some key pieces on defense here which is huge. I love the Colts here
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10-19-19 |
Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +6.5 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 27 m |
Show
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I was on Ole Miss last week in a win as they covered @ Missouri. I will back them again here getting 6.5 at home. This is a competitive team here that did end up scoring 31 against Bama. I also think this a good spot to go against the Aggies here. They are coming off a max effort type of game vs Bama and now sit at 3-3 in the conference. I definitely question their overall motivation here and don't think they should be favored by this much give the situation
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10-19-19 |
Tulane +4 v. Memphis |
|
17-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 1 m |
Show
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This Tulane team is one of the best kept secrets around this season. They are vastly improved and it has shown as they have outgained their opponents by 2 yards per play which is huge. Tulane just keeps winning and covering games as their only loss is to Auburn and they were competitive in that game. Memphis is more of the household name here but they have also played some easier competition.
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10-19-19 |
Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3 |
Top |
45-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
102 h 1 m |
Show
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I love Oklahoma St here in this game. This is a rally the team type of game with them coming off the bye week. They entered the bye week with a sour taste in their mouths dropping a game @ Texas Tech. Baylor is now ranked and 6-0, but they have survived two close games beating Iowa St in the final seconds and Texas Tech last week in double OT. Both of those lucky games were at home and now this is finally a tough travel spot for Baylor here. I actually think this line will go up so grab this number now.
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10-19-19 |
Tulsa +17.5 v. Cincinnati |
|
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 1 m |
Show
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This Tulsa team is no where near as bad as their 2-4 record. All 4 of their losses are to more than respectable teams in Michigan St, Oklahoma St, SMU, & Navy. I think the fact that their record is bad is creating some good value. Tulsa two weeks ago took SMU who has been a high powered machine down to the wire and should have won that game. This is a major overreaction here with Cincy and their 5-1 record and 5-1 ATS record.
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10-19-19 |
Oregon v. Washington +3 |
|
35-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
43 h 52 m |
Show
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I simply believe the wrong team is favored here in this game. Washington has been a tough team to read this season there is no doubt about it. Oregon has only played one true road game @ Stanford and they didn't look that great. I think the perception of both teams is a huge factor here. Also Oregon lost their stud TE who was also their best receiver in Breeland which is bigger than most would think. I like the Huskies to win outright
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10-19-19 |
Clemson v. Louisville +24.5 |
|
45-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
40 h 45 m |
Show
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There is no doubt that Louisville is one of the most improved teams in the country. They will obviously be very motivated for this game with Clemson coming to town and you better believe it that they haven't forgot last years super ugly loss. Clemson is a very good team taking nothing away from them, but what is the motivation for them here in this early kick? I think Louisville can get to 17 points or so and if they do they will cover this game easily.
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10-19-19 |
Wisconsin v. Illinois +31.5 |
|
23-24 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 35 m |
Show
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This is the ultimate sandwich/ look ahead spot you can ask for here. Wisconsin it just steam rolling teams right now and the betting public is most definitely in love with them. They are coming off another 38-0 shut out over Michigan St but they have their biggest game on deck next weekend with Ohio St. They are clearly looking forward to that game. Illnois is a improved team and while they still aren't good, we don't need them to be. They can score 13 here which I think is possible because the Badgers will be resting their key guys later in the game.
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10-13-19 |
Titans v. Broncos -1 |
|
0-16 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 52 m |
Show
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I will take Denver here as we just need them to win the game. While I know last weeks game was very mis leading with the Titans as they missed 4 FG's and had a Touchdown called back, this offense is just brutal to watch. I also think Denver is a lot better than their 1 win shows. They should have beat the Bears straight up, hung with Green Bay, blew another game against the Jags and last week won an impressive game at Chargers last week. Denver still hasn't quit and I think this is a must win for them
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10-13-19 |
Texans v. Chiefs -4 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
90 h 32 m |
Show
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Another great spot here for the Chiefs as Mahomes and company dropped the game to the Colts on primetime as double digit favorites. Mahomes was banged up but he is playing this week and won't have any issues against this Texans defense. Yes, the Chiefs defense isn't great either, but we are now getting a discount on them for the first time with them failing to cover in 3 straight games. The Texans are coming off a game scoring 50+ and the betting public loves to back those type of teams.
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10-13-19 |
Eagles v. Vikings -3 |
|
20-38 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 24 m |
Show
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I'm still high on this Vikings team and I think the betting public will be on the Eagles as most are remembering the road win at Green Bay, but that Eagles team was a desperate team. I still think the Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC and can control the Eagles offense. The media loves to hate on Cousins and people get scared away when that happens. The thing is though that the Vikings offense still has a ton of weapons. I like the Vikings here to control the game and get the win and cover the short number.
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10-13-19 |
Seahawks v. Browns +2 |
Top |
32-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
90 h 46 m |
Show
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I really like the Browns here at this price and feel they should be favored. This is honestly a perfect storm set up here as the Browns are coming off an ugly showing Monday night on primetime and now the betting public will want nothing to do with them. I think the Seahawks are extremely overrated here as they were lucky to beat the Rams and in fact they have survived 3 very close games. The Seahawks have simply done nothing to be favored here in this game. I love the Browns in this spot
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10-13-19 |
Saints v. Jaguars |
Top |
13-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
89 h 28 m |
Show
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I love the Jaguars also here in this game. The Saints are simply getting way too much love here now going 3-0 with Teddy under the helm and the betting public will be on them no doubt this week. I actually think this line will really move closer to game time so grab this line now for the Jags. The Jags absolutely dominated the Panthers last week but it didn't show on the scoreboard. This is now the perfect spot to buy the Jags with Minshew who clearly can flat out play.
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10-12-19 |
Wyoming +4 v. San Diego State |
|
22-26 |
Push |
0 |
60 h 17 m |
Show
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Let's grab Wyoming here. Oddsmakers are saying that SDSU is little better than Wyoming on a neutral field and I simply don't buy that. This SDSU team really struggled against a bad Colorado St team last week and really didn't pull away considering they were +4 in turnovers and also a huge turnover on downs right before half that would have tied up the game. Wyoming's only loss was @ Tulsa and we saw that Tulsa team who should have beat the undefeated SMU Mustangs last week.
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10-12-19 |
Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 |
|
17-12 |
Loss |
-109 |
57 h 24 m |
Show
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This is a huge bounce back here for Iowa. I had Michigan last week as a top play and they covered against Iowa. Iowa played awful in that game and Stanley by far had his worst game of the season. Now, its the classic night time kick off in Iowa City and they are known over the years to pull some major upsets. I wouldn't be surprised to see them win this game and will take the FG + here. Iowa's defense is by far the best D Penn St has seen. I think there are a lot of question marks surrounding how good this Penn St is. Iowa bounces back
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10-12-19 |
Ole Miss +12.5 v. Missouri |
|
27-38 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 59 m |
Show
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I can't believe this line has floated up this much. I think the average fan will see that Missouri is 4-1 playing at home and have covered 4 straight. Missouri has played a very easy schedule so far this season with their best win being South Carolina? I just think Ole Miss has the better talent. Ignore the fact they are 3-3, 2 of those came down to final minute and ended up losing both. Missouri lost their best defensive player which is a huge loss and I think Ole Miss can move the ball and wouldn't be surprised if Ole Miss won outright
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10-12-19 |
Alabama v. Texas A&M +17.5 |
|
47-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 3 m |
Show
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I'm going to take the Aggies here tomorrow. Yes, I know this isn't a night game at the 12th man, but I still think this is way too many points. This will by far be Bama's biggest test of the season and I think Jimbo will have his guys ready for this one. Bama is still very good as we all know but they just aren't the same to me my eyes anyways as years past. This is simply too many points here and will take Texas AM. Remember the Aggies were only 15 point dogs @ Clemson and covered granted that was a lucky one but that was on the road as well. They are catching more here at home against a team who I think is worse than Clemson
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10-12-19 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +11.5 |
|
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 8 m |
Show
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I will take Texas here in this match up. We all know how big this match up especially for Texas here. I just trust Herman here to have his guys ready. Oklahoma has really boated raced some bad teams and now Hurts is in the Heisman talk. There is a lot of love for this Sooner team. The talent gap is not a difference here at all as both teams get big time recruits. There will be a lot of points scored here and I definitely think the back door will be open if Texas needs that
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10-12-19 |
South Carolina +25 v. Georgia |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
64 h 47 m |
Show
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This is simply too many points here for Georgia to be laying. They were extremely lucky to cover last week @ Tennessee if you were watching they needed a fumble 6 late to do that and Tennessee still had their chances. I also like the fact that South Carolina is coming off their bye week and also the week before that he looked very good against Kentucky as they dominated that game. This is a ton of points here grab the dog
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10-12-19 |
Mississippi State v. Tennessee +7 |
|
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
64 h 36 m |
Show
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This is really more of a play against Miss St as I don't feel this team should be laying more than a TD to anyone in conference play. Miss St is really down this season and their best win is at home vs Kentucky in which they caught them in a good spot. Also I think after last week this is the game where we see if Tennessee has any fight left as they have Bama on deck so they know this is really a must win game. I will take the points and trust them here with a big effort.
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10-11-19 |
Virginia v. Miami-FL -2 |
|
9-17 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 42 m |
Show
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Clearly we are having one of those weird situations here where we are seeing the road ranked team as a dog and when we see that is screams to take the home team. Miami last week lost to Va Tech as a double digit favorite but they absolutely dominated that game. The difference was though that they were 0-5 in the turnover category. Miami still has a ton of talent and there is no doubt they will be up for this prime time game
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10-06-19 |
Packers v. Cowboys -3 |
|
34-24 |
Loss |
-120 |
101 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a great spot here for Dallas now. The Cowboys lost on prime time @ the Saints and looked ugly in doing so which now I think the public will love Rodgers as a dog. Well in fact the Packers have been terrible as a dog and on the road over the years. Green Bay was exposed last Thursday IMO has this so called better defense didn't do much against the Eagles which were the best offense they have played. Dallas will be able to control the game with Zeke on the ground keep Rodgers off the field. Also Adams for GB is a game time decision as well which would be a huge loss
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10-06-19 |
Broncos +7 v. Chargers |
|
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is simply too many points here in this division game. The Broncos are now a team the betting public wants nothing to do with. The Broncos were just 7 point dogs two weeks ago at a better Green Bay team. So the fact they didn't cover the last two but actually should have and they blew the game last week, all that is creating a big over inflated line. Chargers are banged up pretty bad right now as well which you have to consider. I don't think the Broncos have totally quit yet and will show up against this division rival
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10-06-19 |
Bills v. Titans -2.5 |
|
14-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
98 h 38 m |
Show
|
I think the betting public will be on the Bills here, especially given that they took the Patriots down to the wire last week. I just think that is a tough spot to follow here now. The Bills also have big time questions with their QB Allen being questionable. If he is indeed out and Barkely is the starter this line will sky rocket. I think it's worth the chance here to grab this short number regardless of what happens. Allen clearly won't be 100% even if he does go. Titans were impressive last week @ Atlanta in which they controlled that game from start to finish. Also worth noting that the Bills wins have came against the Jets, Giants and Bengals not exactly world beaters there
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10-06-19 |
Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 |
|
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 17 m |
Show
|
I just think there is a ton of value here with the Steelers catching more than a field goal at home in this division rivalry. I think we are starting to see the true colors of this Ravens team. Their two wins are against Miami and Arizona. Pittsburgh played very well Monday night and I think their defense will hold Lamar in check. It's also important now that Rudolph has a couple games under his belt now. I'm not a believer in this Ravens team as they need to prove something on defense. They are giving up 7.3 yards per play which is horrible.
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10-06-19 |
Cardinals v. Bengals -3 |
|
26-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a big time discount here on the Bengals. So they were 3.5 point dogs last week suggesting that the Bengals would have been -2 vs the Steelers who are way better than the Cardinals. Now they are only -3 to the Cardinals? I think the betting public will be off Cincy because of the ugly Monday night performance. Well the Cardinals have had back to back no shows at home. Bengals will have some big plays down field as the Cardinals have gave up plenty so far this season. Kirk the WR for AZ is out which is Murray's big down field threat
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10-05-19 |
Tulsa +13 v. SMU |
|
37-43 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a good spot here to go against SMU. SMU is 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS and now the love is getting a little out of hand here. Tulsa is coming off their bye week and we know they have this game circled. This game has also been very close the last couple seasons. Tulsa has also played Michigan St and Oklahoma St so they have played teams better than SMU. The love is simply getting out of control here for SMU take the points with Tulsa
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10-05-19 |
Auburn v. Florida +3.5 |
|
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 40 m |
Show
|
This Auburn team is now the public darling and I think it's time to jump off that ship. Yes, they have had some good performances and have covered every game so far which of course the public loves. I don't think they should be favored in this game. The main key here is that Florida now has several key players back from suspension. I really think their defense will cause some major problems for Nix at QB who has to see the speed that the Florida defense has to offer. Remember last week Auburn went off favored by -7.5 against Miss St @ home. Odds makers are saying that Auburn would nearly be favored by 10 over Florida @ Auburn therefore Miss St is better than Florida? Big time overreaction here take the points
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