Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs OVER 43.5 | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 52 m | Show |
The Chiefs transformed themselves into a defensive team this year. The offense wasn't as potent and the defense picked up the slack. The Dolphins were explosive most of the season but their offense slowed down the stretch. Those are the biggest reasons why we're now working with a total in the low/mid 40s, as compared to a total of 51.5 when these teams faced each other back in November. That's a big drop. Too big! It'll be cold but this is still Patrick Mahomes vs. Tua Tagovailoa. Mahomes still has Kelce to throw to and Tagovailoa's top target, Tyreek Hill will be playing his first game back at Arrowhead. These are some of the best offensive players on the planet and they won't be stopped by the cold. The Dolphins are getting healthier on offense but their defense is severely depleted. They've given up 77 points in their last 2 games alone. Their games average more than 52 points. This one will finish over the low total! ***WILDCARD TOY*** |
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01-13-24 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 134.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Off a 71-60 win at Ohio State, the Badgers showed that they can really play defense. They're going to make scoring difficult for the Wildcats on Saturday afternoon. Northwestern allows just 64 points a game on the road, scoring only 65. The Wildcats are 4-2 to the under in their away games. Twice within the last month, the Wildcats were held below 50 points. Last year's game at Northwestern was quite low-scoring. It finished with 129 points. However, the game here at Wisconsin was ultra low-scoring. It finished with only 106 points. The Badgers are 5-2 to the under when the total was in the 130s. Go with the UNDER! |
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01-12-24 | Hornets v. Spurs OVER 235 | Top | 99-135 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
What reason would these teams have to play defense against each other? They're a pair of non-playoff teams from opposite conferences. Frankly, neither plays much D regardless of opponent. Charlotte allows 120.9 points a game on the road. Teams hosting the Hornets hit a high 50.9% of their field goals. The Hornets are 5-1 to the over on the road when the total was set at 230 or more. The Spurs allow 124.7 points per game at home. They just scored 130 last game and they are 13-4 to the over at home. This game will fly over the total. |
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01-11-24 | Senators v. Sabres UNDER 7 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a big total. Too big. Neither team was pleased with its number of goals allowed last game. Both will be looking to clean that up. Buffalo has already gone under 12 of 19 times, after giving up 4 or more goals. The Senators are 12-8 to the under after allowing 4 or more goals. For the past few seasons, Ottawa is 51-36 to the under after allowing 4 or more goals. The Sabres are also 12-7 to the under when playing a home game with a total of 6 or more. The Sabres score less at home (2.8 gpg) than on the road. The under is 12-7 in their home games. Lastly, the under is 7-1-1 the past 3 seasons when these divisional foes have faced each other. Go with the Under! ***Atlantic Div TOY*** |
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01-11-24 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 226.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Two previous games in Paris have averaged 226.5 points, right around where this O|U number has been set. The defensive minded Cleveland Cavaliers weren't among the previous contestants though. Cleveland ranks in the top 6 in terms of both points allowed and opponents field goal percentage. Both the Nets and Cavaliers play at a slower tempo than the majority of the league. The under is 96-64-2 the last 162 times that Brooklyn played a game with a total of 220 or more. The Cavaliers are 7-4-1 to the under this season against losing teams, 54-31-4 to the under, against sub-500 teams, he past few seasons. This game goes Under! |
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01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
The Golden Knights won the first meeting 7-0. The Avalanche are 10-3 to the under in 13 tries when playing with revenge. Over the past few seasons, Colorado is 44-26-1 to the under, when in a revenge situation. The Golden Knights haven't played in some time. They are 2-1 to the under when having had 3 or more day's off. They are also 12-5-1 to the under against winning teams. Before the 7-0 game, the previous six meetings between these teams had all finished with 5 goals or less. The under was 6-0. This game will be low-scoring! ***NHL TOW*** |
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01-09-24 | Grizzlies v. Mavs OVER 235 | Top | 120-103 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
No Morant. No problem. The Grizzlies just scored 121 in a victory at Phoenix. They scored 127 in their previous game. Each of the games on the current road trip have seen at least 236 points scored. On the season, Grizzly road games are much higher-scoring than games played at Memphis. The Mavericks are the opposite of the Grizzlies. Their home games have been much higher-scoring than their road games. Games here average 237. The over is 7-2 when they play within their division. Dallas has played much higher-scoring games against bad teams than good ones. The Mavericks scored 139 the last time that they faced a losing team. On the season, the over is 15-4 in 19 tries when the Mavericks were matched up against a team with a losing record. Go with the Over! ***SouthWest Division TOM*** |
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01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 45 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Both these teams got a lot better as the season progressed. The Bears started terribly but have currently won back-to-back games and have victories in 4 of their last 5. The Packers entered November with a 2-5 record but now find themselves at 8-8 and in control of their own playoff destiny. A big part of the reason for the improvement comes on the defensive side. Since Week 11, the Bears have allowed fewer than 20 points four times. They have 16 takeaways during that time. In fact, the Bears defense now leads the NFL in interceptions. The Packers just held the Vikings to 10 points to close out 2023. Minnesota managed just 211 yards. The last meeting at Lambeau finished with 37 points. With both offenses missing some important players, the final score will again stay below the total! ***NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH*** |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Still angry about last week's controversy, the Lions say they want to win. The Vikings technically still have hope. Realistically, however, this game likely doesn't mean much. The Vikings won't be going to the playoffs and the Lions will be locked into the #3 seed. Nick Mullens is back at QB and he threw 4 picks last time these teams met. He will miss throwing to Hockensen. The reliable tight-end had 4 receptions for 58 yards in the first meeting. For all the bluster, I'm projecting a lower scoring game. Detroit is off a 20-19 loss. Minnesota managed only 10 points last week and has scored just 71 total points over the last 5 games, an average of 14. Vikings are 5-3 to the under on the road. This one will also stay under! ***EARLY RISER*** |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 85 h 35 m | Show |
First game went over but these teams are not the same ones that faced each other at beginning of the season. Both offenses are missing a lot of important weapons. First game had a total of 40.5 This one is much higher. That gives us a lot more room to maneuver. The Texans defense has come to life. Last week, Houston allowed only 3 points. They gave up just 11 first downs and 187 total yards. Last road game, the Texans allowed only 16 points. The Colts last 3 games have all finished with 43 points or less. They are going to want to run the ball. The Texans are strong at stopping the run. This will add up to a low-scoring defensive battle. ***AFC TOM*** |
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01-06-24 | Denver v. Northern Colorado UNDER 167.5 | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
I'm aware of the O|U stats. Both teams have gone over at an alarming rate. Both this season and for the past few seasons. Obviously, I'm not the only one that sees this. With every passing over, the numbers keep going up and up. Now we get a total approaching 170. That's too high. Even for these teams. For the record, its by far the highest total that either team has seen all year. Games on this floor are averaging 149.6 points this season. They may get a few more than that this game but they won't get enough to finish over the inflated total. Go with the Under! ***TOM*** |
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01-05-24 | Wolverhampton v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
These clubs just faced each other in EPL action. It was a high-scoring 4-1 win for Wolverhampton. Now they meet in the third round of FA Cup play. Wolverhampton is missing its top scorer, Hwang Hee-chan. Brentford will be happy he's not available as he just scored twice against them. The aggressive attacker will be missed. Prior to the 4-1 match, two previous matches between these clubs resulted in scores of 2-0 and 1-1. Without Hwang Hee-chan terrorizing the Bees, this FA Cup match will play out like those two previous matches. Go with the Under. ***FA CUP TOW*** |
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01-04-24 | Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 234.5 | Top | 130-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
The recent Christmas Day game snuck under the closing total, barely. A low-scoring 4th quarter did in those who bet the over. Tonight's game will be higher-scoring. The last 4 meetings have all taken place in Denver. The last time that the Nuggets played here, the teams combined for 251 points. The last 5 meetings here are 4-1 to the over. The Warriors weren't happy with the way the Christmas game went down. They thought the officiating was poor. Their last 2 games have had 236 points and 254. They are 12-4 to the over their last 16 when playing with revenge. Go with the OVER! ***WESTERN CONF TOM*** |
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01-03-24 | Xavier v. Villanova OVER 140.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Both teams entered the Christmas break streaking to the under. The long layoff and the start of Big East Conference play will change things up. Last year's totals were set at 145.5 and 147.5. Tonight's number isn't as high meaning we don't need to score as many. Xavier games are averaging 145 points. The Musketeers are 9-4 to the over the past 13 times they were off a game where they allowed 60 or fewer points. Over the same period, they are 2-0 to the over when playing with 7 or more day's rest. The Wildcats scored 84 last game but the total snuck under because Depaul couldn't score. Xavier will be more competitive. Last year's game at Villanova sailed over the total. The final score was 88-80. This game will also go Over! ***BIG EAST TOM*** |
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01-03-24 | Atletico Madrid v. Girona UNDER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
This is a battle of top clubs. Girona FC is tied (with Real Madrid) with 45 points, most in La Liga. Atletico Madrid and Barcelona are next with 38 points a piece. Both can score but both are also adept at keeping the ball out of the net. Girona is off a 1-1 draw. Atletico Madrid is off a 1-0 victory. Three of its last 4 games have finished with 2 goals or less. Girona can score but doesn't usually do so against Atletico Madrid. The last h2h meeting had a final score of 1-0. The last 5 h2h matches have all finished with three goals or less. Four of those finished below that mark. This one will too. Go with the UNDER! ***LA LIGA TOY*** |
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01-02-24 | UAB v. Texas-San Antonio UNDER 157.5 | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This number is too high! Both teams have gone over lately so that has given us a large number. Conference play is different though. This is the first AAC game of the season for both and there will be some added defensive intensity. UAB plays lower-scoring games on the road than it does at home. The opposite is true of UTSA. The Roadrunners play lower-scoring games at home. Games here average 155 but UAB road games average just 145.4. Six of the past 9 meetings here in San Antonio have gone to the under. Give me the Under! ***AAC TOTAL OF THE MONTH*** |
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01-01-24 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
The first outdoor game ever played in Seattle will be a good one. They're expecting a great turnout to see the Kraken host the defending Stanley Cup champions. I won't worry about who wins but I really like the total. Even if the ice conditions aren't an issue, this has all the makings of a defensive game. This will be the 4th meeting since the start of 2023. Two in April and one in October. Scores of those games were 4-1, 3-1 and 3-1. Vegas has scored 3 goals or less in three straight games. Seven goals over the 3-game span. Seattle has scored 3 or fewer goals in 6 straight games. During those 6 games, the Kraken scored just 14 goals. Their last 4 games had scores of 2-1, 2-1, 3-1 and 3-2. Go with the Under. **NHL TOM** |
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01-01-24 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool UNDER 3.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
This number is too high! Liverpool doesn't concede. The Reds have allowed only 16 goals in 19 league matches. Every other club has allowed at least 20. Newcastle has allowed only 25 goals in 19 EPL matches. Thats 4th best in the league behind only Liverpool, Man City and Arsenal. Four meetings since 2022 have produced scores of 1-0, 2-1, 2-0 and 2-1. Go with the UNDER! **EPL DELIGHT** |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee OVER 35 | Top | 0-35 | Push | 0 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
This is obviously a very low total. Too low! Playing at a very fast pace, the Volunteers average 31.5 points and their games average 53.5. They scored 48 last game and allowed 38 and 36 in their previous 2 games. The Volunteers had a game back in mid-October which finished with 33 points. Other than that, every other one of their games produced at least 43 points. The Vols QB (Milton) opted-out but his replacement (Iamaleava) is a bigtime player who will assume the starting role next season. Offensively, they're still in good shape. However, the Tennessee secondary did take a lot of hits and is depleted. The time off will allow Iowa's offense time to prepare. Again, Tennessee's defense isn't 100%. The Hawkeyes have scored 21, 17, 49 and 27 their past 4 bowl games. Even if they get 14-17 here, which they will, the Volunteers will be able to do the rest. ***BOWL TOM*** |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin v. LSU UNDER 57 | 31-35 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 36 m | Show | |
The Tigers were an over machine all year. They're a little short-handed offensively for the bowl game though and they face a defensive-minded Wisconsin team which has trouble scoring. Badger games average 41.7 points. The Wisconsin offense is also short-handed and won't be able to take advantage of a mediocre Tiger defense. On the season, the Badgers were 8-4 to the under. They were only underdogs once. That game had a total of 48 and finished with 34. Go with the Under! ***EARLY RISER*** |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 43 | Top | 33-10 | Push | 0 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Detroit has clinched the division but these teams are both still alive in the Wildcard hunt. The winner of this game will have a reasonable chance. The loser will pretty much have no hope. I'm not going to speculate on who wins. Instead, I'm going with the over. The Packers are 5-0 to the over their last 5 games. Each of those games had at least 46 points. The last one had 63. The Vikings are 2-0 to the over their last 2 games. Both finished with more than 50. This season's first meeting was low-scoring. That also happened last year. The second game was much higher-scoring, finishing with 58 points last New Year's Day. This number is too low. Go with the Over. ***NFC North TOM*** |
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12-31-23 | Arizona State v. California UNDER 149.5 | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
This total is too high. Arizona State saw its last game go over by half a point. A tough loss for anyone who bet the under. The Sun Devils scored only 49 and 56 points in their last two games before the Stanford win. The Golden Bears got lit up by Arizona last game. The Sun Devils aren't the Wildcats though. Off that loss, Cal will look to bounce back with a much better defensive display. The last meeting was also a tough loss for anyone who bet the under. It finished with 132 points, a game that had a total of 128.5. That went to Overtime though. Only 114 points were scored in regulation. None of the last 5 meetings have gone over 140. Even off the Stanford result, the Sun Devils are 4-1 to the under as underdogs. They are also 13-5 to the under their last 18 against sub-500 competition. Go with the Under. ***PAC 12 TOY*** |
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12-30-23 | Brentford v. Crystal Palace UNDER 2.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Brentford has scored only 3 goals in its past 4 matches. The Bees had 3 goals against Luton Town, one of the worst teams in the EPL, on 12/2 but otherwise have managed only 2 goals in their past 6 matches. Crystal Palace had an unlikely 2-2 draw against Manchester City on 12/16 but otherwise has managed only 5 goals in its other 6 matches. Five h2h meetings had scores of 1-1, 1-1, 1-1, 0-0, 0-0. Not sure that we get another draw but am expecting another low-scoring match. ***Golden Boot*** |
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12-29-23 | Capitals v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Previous meetings this season have had totals of 6 instead of 5.5. The lower number offers us excellent line value. New York's last game had 7 goals. The previous game had 9. Three of the Capitals last 4 road games versus the Islanders have finished with at least 6 goals. Washington allowed 5 goals last game. The Capitals have struggled to score in recent games and will be pleased to know that the Islanders are missing a few defensemen. The Islanders are 20-14-1 to the over this season. Go with the over. ***TOTAL OF WEEK*** |
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12-29-23 | Wright State v. Green Bay OVER 147 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Wright State is a top team in the Horizon League. The Raiders play very fast and have a lot of scoring talent. They are averaging more than 84 points a game. Last 4 games, they scored 81, 84, 92 and 101. Though they don't score the same way that Wright State does, the Phoenix scored 79 points last game. They average 68.8 points at home. Because Wright State pushes the pace, opposing teams tend to score a lot. The Raiders are allowing 82.5 ppg on the road. All their road games have gone over. The Raiders have scored 77, 77, 99 and 79 in the past 4 meetings, an average of 83. They will reach the 80 mark again this afternoon and the Phoenix will contribute the rest. ***HORIZON LEAGUE TOM*** |
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12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky UNDER 44.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Two strong defenses. Clemson allows less than 20 points a game. Kentucky allows less than 25, despite playing in the SEC and facing high-scoring teams like Georgia and Tennessee, as well as other top tier teams like Alabama and Missouri. Two mediocre offenses. Neither team averaged 30 points this season. That's unheard of for Clemson in recent years. The Tigers had averaged 35.5 ppg in four years before Trevor Lawrence and they averaged roughly 44 ppg in the 3 years with Lawrence. Last year, they had 33.2 ppg. This is not the same Clemson offense from years past. Both offenses are dealing with some injuries. Clemson WR Beaux Collins entered the portal and transferred to Notre Dame. Last meeting also came in late December, quite a few years ago now. It finished with a score of 21-13. History repeats itself with another Under. ***Early Riser*** |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 35 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
It's a low number. Not low enough. These are two of the best defenses in football. Neither offense is consistent. The Jets offense is especially anemic. They managed to score 30 in each of their last 2 home games but they scored 0 last time that they were on the road. They average just 12 points per road game. Cleveland home games are lower-scoring than Clev. road games. The Browns allow only 13.1 points per game here, scoring just 20.5. The Browns have allowed less than 300 yards in five of their past six games. The Browns rank 1st against the pass (160.1 yards per game), 1st in total defense (260.3 yards per game), 1st in yards per play (4.46 yards) and 1st in interception rate (3.46 percent). With Flacco and Semian projected to be behind center, this game goes under. ***TNF TOM*** |
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12-28-23 | Pacers v. Bulls OVER 240.5 | Top | 120-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
Both teams have played some unders of late. That has kept the total lower than it could have been. Too low. Indiana games average 251.2 points. The Pacers play at a very fast pace and they play even higher-scoring games on the road. When away from Indiana, their games average 255.2 points. They are 11-2 to the over on the road. When favored, the Bulls go under. When they are underdogs, as they are here, the opposite is true. They are 13-7 to the Over when listed as underdogs. Indiana's last visit here went way over the total, finishing with 247. I'm projecting an even higher-scoring game tonight. Go with the Over. ***Central TOY*** |
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12-28-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Brighton & Hove Albion UNDER 3.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
The fact that both these clubs can score has been worked into the line. We've got a high number to work with. Too high. Tottenham's last 2 matches had scores of 2-1 and 2-0. Brighton's last 5 matches had scores of 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 1-1 and 2-1. In looking at the last 10 h2h matches, it is revealed that al1 10 finished with 3 goals or less. 21 combined goals for the 10 matches, an average of 2.1 per. Given the current form of these clubs, I've got this one also finishing with 3 or less. Go with the Under. ***Total Of Week*** |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers v. Miami-FL UNDER 42 | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Both defenses are better than advertised. Miami allows 22.1 points. Rutgers allows 21. Remember, Rutgers faced Michigan and Ohio State. Miami faced teams like UNC, Clemson and Florida State. So, those defensive numbers are pretty strong. Rutgers can have trouble scoring. Before scoring 24 last game, the Knights had scored 16, 0 and 6 points in their previous 3 games. NC State held Miami to 6 points in a 20-6 win in November. So, the Hurricanes can be stopped. They will be led by a QB making his first start and who didn't take a single snap this year. Rutgers is going to methodically chew clock and play conservatively. This will lead to a low score. Go with the Under. **Rockstar** |
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12-27-23 | Louisville v. USC UNDER 58.5 | Top | 28-42 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 31 m | Show |
USC games mostly went over the total this season. Their final 2 games did go under though and this isn't the same team that was flying over at the start of the season. Nearly 20 Trojam players have opted out, including Caleb Williams. Instead of a Heisman Trophy winner, they'll have a QB (Miller Moss) making his first start. That's obviously a pretty big deal. The Cardinals can really play defense. They allow 307.4 yards per game, 16th in the country, entering the bowl season. They give up only 19.7 points a game. Ashton Gillotte (11 sacks) is an elite defensive end who will give the inexperienced USC pivot problems. The Cardinals are without some of their own top offensive players. Running back Jawhar Jordan (1,128 yards, 15 touchdowns) and wide receiver Jamari Thrash (63 catches, 858 yards) both opted out out to focus on the NFL draft. The Cardinals scored only 6 points last game. This is a chance for the USC defense to prove its better than the stats suggest. Go with the Under! ***BOWL TOY*** |
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12-27-23 | 76ers v. Magic UNDER 226 | Top | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
The Magic just went over against the Wizards last night. Washington doesn't play defense though and the 76ers do. Also, Washington is a divisional opponent and Philadelphia is not. The over is now 6-0 in Orlando's division games. They are 14-8-1 to the under when they play outside of the division. Last meeting finished with only 199 points. Second time in a week that Orlando played 2 games in 2 days. Last time was against Milwaukee. That game stayed under and this one will, too. ***Eastern Conf. TOM*** |
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12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane UNDER 44 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Both teams, particularly Tulane, are severely depleted. That makes the regular season stats somewhat meaningless. The Green Wave will be without their coach and without their starting QB. Other missing players include Tulane's top wide receiver. The Hokies are also missing some players but both teams have their top running backs. That's going to lead to a lot of rushing plays. The Hokies will go against a tough Tulane run defense, which ranked in the top 10. V-Tech defender Dorian Strong chose not to opt out and said this: "I know that the League (NFL) is there for me but there are risks coming back but I think I made the right decision for myself." This will be a defensive game. Go Under. ***Rockstar*** |
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12-26-23 | Magic v. Wizards OVER 237.5 | Top | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
A break will lead to fresh legs and a lot of points on Tuesday. It should also allow Kyle Kuzma time to get back for Washington. Magic have been playing pretty low-scoring games but not when the face divisional opponents. The Over is 5-0 in Magic divisional action. Games with Washington have been especially high-scoring. The Magic are content to run with the up-tempo Wizards. This season's first 2 games had scores of 139-120 and 130-125. Washington is 19-5 to the over last 24 home games with a total of 230 or more, 7-1 this season. This season's games were played at Orlando but these teams are also 4-0 to the over last 4 here in Washington. Go with the OVER! **Southeast TOY** |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice OVER 60 | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
There is little reason to expect any defense in this one. Texas State averages 36 points and allows 33.8. That's an average of nearly 70 per game. Rice games have also been high-scoring. The Owls score 30.3 and allow 26.7. QB AJ Padget has been here before. The Bobcats last 2 games had scores of 96 and 108. If the Owls want to be competitive, they are going to need to keep pace. Look for the final score to fly over the total! ***TOP TIER TUESDAY*** |
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12-26-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Aston Villa's last match was a low-scoring 1-1 draw, no thanks to VAR. That's unusual for Villa though. Games are typically exciting and full of goals. Only Manchester City has scored more goals than AV. After getting blanked 2-0 by West Ham, United will bounce back to find the back of the net. Two of the last 3 head-to-head meetings have finished with more than 3 goals. Go with the Over! **Golden Boot** |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles OVER 43 | Top | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This total is too low. Philadelphia games average 50 points. Both teams allow more than 24 points a game. These teams play again in New York in 2 weeks. That game might be low-scoring but this one won't be. The Eagles are 5-1 to the over at home. Their only game which didn't go over the total here still finished with 48 points. Their other 5 home games had scores of 62, 65, 51, 71 and 61. The Giants have played 2 divisional games since the start of November and both finished with 50 or more points. Go with the Over! ***NFC EAST TOM*** |
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12-24-23 | Nevada v. Georgia Tech UNDER 141.5 | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Both teams went over Friday, when playing 2 games in 2 days. They had yesterday off and defense will now be the order of the day. Both teams hold opponents below 40% field goal shooting. Nevada is 4-2 to the under last 6 tries with a total in the 140 to 149.5 range, 6-4 to the under when favored. G-Tech is 5-2 to the under when listed as an underdog, also 5-2 with a total in the 140s. The under will move to 8-3 the last 11 time that the Yellow Jackets played on a neutral court. **TOTAL DOMINATOR** |
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12-24-23 | Patriots v. Broncos OVER 35 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Given the Patriots' offensive woes, it would be pretty easy to make a case for the under. New England ranks last in the league in points per game. That's been factored into the total though. This is the lowest O|U line on the board. Its lower than yesterday's game. Its lower than any today and its lower than any tomorrow. Next Thursday's game between the Jets and Browns has opened with a similarly low number. That's 2 great defenses though. The Patriots don't fall into that category. The Broncos certainly don't. Denver just allowed 42 points last game. The Broncos allow more than 25 points per game, the Patriots allow more than 21. Five of Denver's last 6 games have finished with at least 39. This is number is too low! ***SNF TOY*** |
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12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina v. San Jose State UNDER 48.5 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
San Jose State pitched a shutout when it played here in Hawaii during the regular season. It was the Spartans best defensive effort of the season. The 35-0 victory stayed well below the total. Coastal Carolina will also struggle to score without their superstar quarterback. Their last game was high-scoring but the Chanticleers were 8-4 to the under on the season. They were held to 17 or less a few times but they also allowed 7 or less more than once. 2 of the last 3 Hawaii Bowls have finished with 48 or less. Make that 3 out of 4. |
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12-23-23 | Grizzlies v. Hawks OVER 238.5 | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Atlanta home games have been going to the over all season. Games here average 251.7 points. They are 8-2-1 to the over here. Memphis games have been lower-scoring but the Grizzlies only recently got Ja Morant back. Last time that the Grizzlies and Hawks met, they combined for 243 points. Morant had 27 and Young had 28. This one will be even higher-scoring. The Hawks are 3-1-1 to the over when playing 2 games in 2 days. Last time they played a home game after playing the previous day, the combined score was 292. ***NON-CONF TOW*** |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 38 | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
This season's first game had a final score of 16-10. Saturday's game will also be low-scoring. This is a late December divisional game. Both banged-up offense is led by a backup quarterback. Browning has impressed but he will be without Ja'Marr Chase. Over their last 5 games, the Steelers have scored 10, 16, 10, 18 and 13 points. The defense struggled last week but had previously held 8 of 9 opponents to 21 or less. Both defenses are dealing with some injuries but both will come to play. Rudolph's last start finished with 32 points, a 16-16 tie. This game will have a lot of running plays and that's going to keep the score down. Go with the under. ***AFC NORTH TOY*** |
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12-22-23 | Sheffield United v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Aston Villa has a strong chance of reaching or exceeding this total by itself. This is a case of the top offense in the EPL against the worst defense in the EPL. With 37 goals in 17 league matches, Villa has scored more goals than any other team. With 43 goals allowed in 17 matches, Sheffield United has conceded more goals than any other team. Villa allows more than a goal per game and Sheffield doesn't usually get blanked. So the underdog should also contribute to the scoring. I'll call for a 3-1 final but it realistically could easily finish with more than that. ***EPL TOW*** |
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12-22-23 | James Madison v. Morgan State UNDER 161 | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Last meeting (2021) had a O|U line of 144. Morgan State scored an 80-73 upset. Another upset is unlikely. The Bears aren't going to score anywhere close to 80 again. The Dukes' last opponent scored 48 and none of their last six opponents have scored more than 71. The total is a lot higher than it was for the last meeting. Too high. The Dukes are 4-1 to the under the last 5 times that they played a game with an O|U ranging from 160-169.5. The score will stay below the high total and the under will improve to 4-0 when Morgan State faced a team with a winning record. ***EARLY RISER*** |
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12-21-23 | Lakers v. Wolves UNDER 225 | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Both teams are off Wednesday losses. The Lakers fell 124-108 to Chicago. The TimberWolves dropped a 127-113 decision at Philadelphia. That's going to lead to better defense tonight. Minnesota is 3-1 to the under when off a loss of 10 or more points. Los Angeles is 5-2 to the under when off a loss of 10 or more. Last meeting between these clubs resulted in a 108-102 final in a game which had a total of 233. With that result, the under moved to 7-1 the last 8 times that these teams met. This one will also stay under! ***NBA TOW*** |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams OVER 45.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show | |
This total is too low. These same teams met a little over a year ago. The game went over with a final score of 27-20. Neither team had trouble moving the ball. With a little better red zone efficiency, the score could have been higher. Entering Thursday, Los Angeles has been hot on offense for quite some time and New Orleans can now make the same claim. The Saints have scored 24, 28 and 28 points their past 3 games. They scored 9 touchdowns in 10 red zone trips. The Rams have scored 28, 31, 36 and 37 points their past four. Stafford is playing great, Cooper Kupp is peaking and the running game is thriving. This game will go over! ****TNF Rockstar*** |
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12-20-23 | Northern Arizona v. San Francisco OVER 136 | Top | 51-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Both the Dons and the Lumberjacks have been staying under the total in the majority of their games this season. All those unders have resulted in a very low O|U total for tonight's game. Too low! The last time these teams played, the total was set at 151. After struggling to score on the road last game, San Francisco will emphasize scoring in this game. The only previous game where they scored 60 or less saw their next game go over with 147. They've averaged 87 points in staying perfect on their home floor. Games here average 147 points. Northern Arizona has scored 76 or more in 4 straight games but the Lumberjacks have also allowed 74 or more in 3 straight. This game goes over the low total! ***TOTAL OF WEEK*** |
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12-20-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Eintracht Frankfurt UNDER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Borussia Monchengladbach does tend to play some high-scoring matches. Their propensity for doing so is keeping this total high. This match will play out differently. The previous 2023 match between these clubs finished with a 1-1 draw. Goals are going be hard to come by again in this one. The hosts are in poor offensive form and will need to win this one by being sound defensively. Eintracht Frankfurt scored 0 goals last match, on only 4 shots, and has scored 1 or less in 3 of its last 4. Eintracht Frankfurt sits 8th in the table but the majority of the teams above them score a lot more goals. The last two meetings in Frankfurt have both finished with 2 combined goals. They may get that many again but they won't get any more! ***BUNDESLIGA TOTAL OF THE YEAR*** |
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12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall OVER 51 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Total has come down and that's providing us with value. Marshall games average more than 51 points. UTSA games average more than 56! UTSA has scored 34 or more in 7 of the last 8 games, going over 40 in 4 of those. Marshall combined with for 56 points last game and is only a month removed from a 71 point game with Georgia Southern. Last 3 Frisco Bowls have had 92, 62 and 67 points. This game goes over! ***TOTAL OF WEEK*** |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks OVER 45 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This total is too low. Philadelphia games average 51 points. Seattle games average 46. The Eagles offense is very difficult to stop but their defense has allowed 33, 42 and 34 points their last 3 games. Similarly, Seattle has allowed 28, 41 and 31 points its last 3. Both defenses saw some important players miss practice this week. The Eagles are healthy on offense. The Seahawks hope to have Geno Smith back to lead their offense. The extra day's rest helps his chances. Smith or Lock, the Seahawks know they are going to need a lot of points. This one goes over! ***NFC TOW*** |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion OVER 51 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Total is too low. Neither defense is very good. The Hilltoppers allow 28.2 points a game. The Monarchs allow 27.8. Both teams allow more on the road. Western Kentucky's last 3 games have finished with 67, 51 and 69 points. These schools combined for 63 points in 2021. 6 of their last 7 meetings have finished with more than 60. There are no weather issues and this will be another high-scoring games. Go with the Over. ***SUPER SMASH*** |
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12-18-23 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Jacksonville UNDER 140.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Total is too high. Same two clubs faced each other last year and the total was only 129.5. Even that was too high. Jacksonville won 65-55. They had only 46 by halftime. ULM is 131-91 to the under in road games over many years, 3-2 to the under on the road this season. The Warhawks are also 4-1 to the under as underdogs. Jacksonville kept its last opponent to 54 points and is allowing an average of 54 at home. This game stays under. ***EARLY RISER*** |
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12-17-23 | Senators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Both the Senators and the Knights will look to improve their number of goals allowed today. The last time that the Senators were off 3 straight losses, they responded with a 2-0 win. The last time that the Knights allowed 5 or more goals, they responded with a 4-1 win. The Knights allow only 2.48 goals per game, 3rd best in the NHL. They kill 87.3% of their penalties. Only Boston is better. Ottawa's last 3 visits to Sin City have finished with scores of 3-2, 2-1 and 4-1. All 3 of those games went under the total and this one will too. ***NHL TOW*** |
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12-17-23 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 37.5 | Top | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 96 h 60 m | Show |
The Jets offense has had its moments but has mostly been inconsistent. Before going overboard about their 30 point effort against Houston, remember that they scored 8, 13, 6, 12, 6 and 13 points their previous 6 games. The Miami offense is dangerous but NY has the defense to slow them. The Jets rank in the top 5 in the NFL for yards allowed. The Dolphins defense is better than the general public realizes. The Dolphins allowed 2 touchdowns in the final 3 minutes last game but they had only given up 14 for the first 57 minutes of that game. Before that, they gave up 15, 13 (to the Jets) and 13 in 3 previous games. They are a top 10 defense for yards allowed. Last season, the game at NY finished with 57 points but the rematch in Miami was far lower-scoring, finishing with only 17 points. This season the game at NY finished with 47. Once again, the rematch wiull be far lower-scoring. Go with the Under! ***AFC East TOY*** |
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12-16-23 | Brandon Royval v. Alexandre Pantoja UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
Brandon Royval is off back-to-back 1st Rd wins. 8 of his last 9 fights have ended in either the 1st or the 2nd round. Alexandre Pantoja went the distance against Moreno last fight. He won his previous fight in the 1st round though. He previously defeated Royval in the 2nd round. Royval's style makes it likely that this rematch won't last long. The Raw Dog fights with ferocity and pace. Go with the Under! ***UFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR*** |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions UNDER 48 | Top | 17-42 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
The Lions scored only 13 points against Chicago last week. Now they take on a Denver defense which just allowed 7 points. The Broncos have been stingy for the past couple of months. Before holding the Chargers to 7, they allowed 19, 17, 9, 22, 20, 12 and 22 points. That's an average of 16 points allowed over their past 8 games. Although the defense has played well, the Broncos tend to have trouble scoring on the road. They've scored 24 or fewer points in every road game but one, averaging 20.7 points and only 191.3 yards of offense. 8 straight Denver games have finished with 46 or less. Go with the Under! ***Non-Conf TOM*** |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals OVER 39.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 72 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bengals offense is back. They scored 34 points in each of their last 2 games. The Vikings only managed 3 points last game but they still average 20.9 points a game on the road. The Bengals have now had 6 of their last 7 games finish with 42 or more points. Four meetings have all had 40 or more points the most recent (2021) finishing with 51. Both games at Cincinnati finished with more than 50. No weather issues. This game goes over! ***NFL Dominator*** |
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12-16-23 | Fulham v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
With 33 goals in 16 EPL matches, Newcastle has no trouble finding the back of the net. Keeping the ball out of the net is a different matter. The Magpies conceded 4 goals last match and and 9 goals in their past 3 matches, across all leagues. Its been a similar story for Fulham. Through 16 matches, the Cottagers have scored 26 goals but have all conceded 26. That's an average of 3.25 goals per match. Last 5 matches have had 4, 5, 7, 5 and 5 goals scored. The Cottagers are scoring goals in bunches right now but often give up a lot on the road. This has all the makings of a high-scoring match. ***EPL TOW*** |
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12-15-23 | CS Bakersfield v. Fresno State UNDER 132.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Fresno State and CS Bakersfield also faced each other last December. That game produced only 104 points, 54 in the first half and 50 in the second. CS BakersField will again struggle to score. The Roadrunners already had a game where they scored 40 points. They've scored 65 or less 4 times. Fresno State allowed only 56 points last game. The Bulldogs have also scored 65 or less in 3 of their last 5. The Roadrunners are 3-0 to the under against Mountain West opponents the last few seasons. This will make 4-0. ***DEC CBB TOM*** |
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12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 33 | Top | 21-63 | Win | 100 | 77 h 40 m | Show |
I played on the Chargers in this season's earlier game. It had an O|U line of 49 points. This one is much, much lower. The biggest difference is that Herbert played in the first game and that he may not in this one. He's questionable at the time of this writing. Coach Staley said Monday: "There’s a lot of information that we’re gathering right now, but he's as tough as they come. We’re gonna make sure that whatever it is, we’re going to do what’s best for Justin long term." Remember that Herbert was only 13 of 24 for 167 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT in the first game. He did add 2 rushing TDs but still his performance wasn't one of his best. But its because of him, primarily, that the total has come down so much. That's giving us value on the over. Of course, Herbert's not the only factor. The Raiders scoring 0 points last week also works in our favor to bring the line down. The last 9 meetings have all finished with 41 or more. With or without Herbert, this number is too low! ***AFC West TOY*** |
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12-14-23 | Capitals v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is the lowest total of any of Thursday's hockey games. The rest have totals of 6 or more. Turning a 6 into a win instead of a push or loss is a big deal. Washington's last game finished with 6 goals. Two of the Capitals last 4 games have landed on that number. Three of their last 4 have finished with more than 5.5 goals. The last 10 meetings between these teams have also all had total lines of 6 or more. Capital road games average 5.9 goals on the season. Same goes for Flyer home games. Washington's last visit to the Philadelphia resulted in a 5-3 final, Travis Konecny recording a hat trick for the home team. This one will also finish over the total! ***Metro Div TOM*** |
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12-14-23 | Rangers v. Betis OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
The first leg was low-scoring, a 1-0 final back in September. This one sets up for more scoring. At the top of Group C, Real Betis needs a point from the match to ensure a place in the knockout round playoffs. A win will confirm a direct spot for them in the round of 16. The visiting Rangers need a victory. This will lead to them throwing caution to the wind. Both clubs are missing some key defensive players which will lead to this match producing a minimum of 3 goals. Go with the Over. ***Europa Cup TOY*** |
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12-13-23 | Jets v. Kings OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The Jets couldn't muster much offense last night. They will have to do better tonight as the Kings have scored 15 goals against them in the past 3 meetings alone. LA finally lost on the road, the trip wearing them down. The Kings had scored 4 or more goals in 3 straight and 7 of 8 before visiting New York though. Winnipeg has only played back-to-back games once and that game finished with 7 goals. This one goes over! ***Total Wipeout*** |
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12-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Rockets OVER 214 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
On a night where the Pacers and Bucks have a total approaching 260, it's kind of refreshing to see a total this low. It's by far the lowest of the Wednesday NBA games. Too low? I believe so. Houston comes off a great defensive effort. The previous 5 opponents all scored in triple-figures and the Rockets do allow 105.6 points per game. Also, the Rockets are 3-0 to the over last 2 seasons after allowing 90 or less. The Grizzlies allow more than 112 points a game. The Grizzlies were struggling to score, on a 3-game streak where they only scored in double-figures when the teams first met. They've hit triple-figures in 6 straight now and scored 113 last game. They are 24-12-1 to the over last 37 tries off a division game. This game will get over the low total! ***SouthWest Div. TOY*** |
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12-13-23 | AC Milan v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
The first leg, back in September, was a scoreless draw but this will be entirely different. Both clubs now know that only a victory can possibly help them. That will lead to a wide open and exciting match. Goals will be plentiful. Why not? Neither team has anything to lose. Attacking chances will be the order of the day. Both clubs will find the back of the net and it would not surprise me if they both did so more than once. There will be no quit from the team which is trailing. They will throw caution to the wind which can lead to goals on the counter-attack. This match goes Over! ***Champions League TOY*** |
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12-12-23 | Kings v. Clippers UNDER 234.5 | Top | 99-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
This is a back-to-back situation for both clubs. The only time that the Kings played a road game, after playing the previous day, they scored just 93 points. The final score of that November 20th game fell comfortably under the posted total. When the Clippers played a home game, after playing the previous day, they held Dallas to just 88 points. The final score of that November 25th game also stayed comfortably beneath the posted number. Last night's game was high-scoring but Clipper home games have been going to the under all season. We can expect a return to that brand of basketball tonight. ***Pacific Div. TOY*** |
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12-12-23 | Panthers v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Seattle has a scoring problem. The problem is that the Kraken can't score. They average only 2.52 goals a game. That's 4th worst in the NHL. Last game, they scored 0. They have scored 3 or less every time, in losing each of their 8 games. Over their last 5 games, they've scored only 6 combined goals. The Panthers are difficult to score against. They only permit 2.4 goals per road game. 8 of 14 road games have gone under. This season's earlier game finished at 3-2. Florida's visit here last December finished at 5-1. They won't even get that many tonight. ***NHL TOM*** |
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12-11-23 | Nuggets v. Hawks OVER 241 | Top | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Both these clubs have dropped 3 consecutive games. The Nuggets are 8-2-1 to the over last 2 years after 3 or more straight losses. The Hawks are 9-4 to the over last 2 years after 3 or more straight losses. Denver has played 4 teams from the Eastern Conference. The over is 3-1. Atlanta has played 3 teams from the Western Conference. The over is 2-1. Denver's last game against an Eastern team finished with 243. points and Atlanta's last game against a team from the West finished with 272. Defense. What defense? They can't set this total high enough. The final score will fly over. ***NBA TOM*** |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders OVER 40 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 52 m | Show |
In my opinion, this number is too low. Both defenses are mediocre, both teams allow more than 20 points a game. The Vikings offense stalled last game but had previously been firing on all cylinders. The Raiders just had three straight games AFC teams, their most recent finishing with 48 points. The three games came against two playoff teams in KC and Miami and a really good defensive team in the New York Jets. Last time they faced an NFC opponent, the Vikings scored 30. Both offenses will have areas where they can enjoy success against these defenses. All 4 meetings over the years finished with at least 44 points. I've got this one penciled in for at least that many once again. ***NFC TOY*** |
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12-07-23 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 229.5 | Top | 89-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
We've reached the semi-finals of the in-season tournament. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The Lakers last game finished with only 209 points. Their previous game produced only 204. They are 9-5 to the under when listed as favorites. The Pelicans upset the Kings to get here. They are 6-2 to the under off a SU win as an underdog, 4-1 to the under off a win by 10 points or more. Neither team scores as many when away from its home floor. This game goes under. ***Western Conf. TOM*** |
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12-06-23 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 220 | Top | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Long layoff will lead to early rust. The last 3 meetings have all gone to the under. The last time these teams played, the total was 219 but they combined for only 198 points. The game before that, they combined for 216. Before that, they combined for just 188. Miami road games are averaging 216 points this season, much lower than Miami home games. Seven of 12 away games have gone under and this one will too. ***Eastern Conf. TOW*** |
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12-05-23 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State OVER 131 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
I know this is a Big Ten game between two teams typically known for defense but this total is too low. The Badgers average 74 points a game. The Spartans average 74.9. The Spartans have scored at least 65 points in all 7 of their games. The Badgers have scored at least 65 in 7 of their 8 games. Though the one that they didn't reach 65 in came on the road, the Badgers are 15-8-1 to the over in road games past 2 seasons, 5-3 as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Both teams reached the 65 mark in the last meetings, a 69-65 win for the Spartans in January. Both teams will hit at least 65 again, the winning team exceeding that number. That will brings the final score over the total and the over to 6-3 the last 9 times that the Spartans played with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. ***Big Ten TOY*** |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers OVER 42.5 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
If not for all the low-scoring primetime games, we could be looking at a higher Sunday Night total. As it is, we've got a nice low number. KC scored 31 last game. The game finished with 48 points. The Chiefs have scored 31 or more in 2 of their last 3 against the Packers. Green Bay scored 29 last game. Packers coach Matt LaFleur played things more aggressively after expressing remorse for previously being too conservative with his play-calling. The game finished with 51 points. That makes 3 straight GB games that have finished with at least 42 points. This one finishes with more than that! ***Non-Conf TOW*** |
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12-03-23 | Avalanche v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Allowing only 2.35 goals per game, 2nd fewest in the NHL, Los Angeles has been an under team. The Kings last two game had scores of 4-0 and 2-1. They are 8-1-1 to the under their last 10 games. Colorado played last night. The game started high-scoring but had no goals from mid-way through the second period right up until the shootout. Last time that the Avalanche played for the 2nd time in 2 days, the final score was 3-1. This game goes under! ***WESTERN CONF TOY*** |
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12-03-23 | Panthers v. Bucs OVER 36.5 | Top | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 56 h 1 m | Show |
Games between these teams at Carolina have been lower-scoring but games in Tampa have been higher-scoring. Carolina's last five visits to Tampa have finished with scores of 41, 63, 48, 58 and 54 points. The last 4 of those all went over the total. Last season's game at Carolina had 24 points but the game at Tampa had 54. This season, Tanpa games average 39.9 points. Carolina games average 42.2 points. Getting rid of Frank Reich can only help the offense. The emphasis will be on improving scoring. The final score will finish above the low total! ***NFC South TOY*** |
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12-03-23 | Brown v. Maine UNDER 138 | 49-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Same teams played last season. Total was 138.5. Brown's best scorer, Lilly, had a big game with 32 points. The final score still stayed under at 70-63. Teams are very similar this season. Maine is tough to score against. The Black Bears have limited 2 of their last 3 opponents to less than 60 points. They are 4-0 to the under their last 4 games. Lilly will get his points but the Black Bears will do a better job on him this year. They are 4-1 to the under with a total of 130 to 139.5. Points will not come easily! ***Early Riser*** |
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12-02-23 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 221 | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This season's two games both went to the under. The last of those finished with 226 points and had a total of 228. The total for the first game was 230.5. We've got a lower number tonight, presenting us with a prime opportunity. The Jazz are 54-31 to the Over their last 85 in the revenge role. Their home games are averaging 237 points, 6 of 9 going over the total. Portland gives up 118 points a game against division foes. The Trailblazers are 13-7 to the over the last 20 times that their previous 3 games all went under. Under streaks end tonight, as this game produced points aplenty! ***Northwest Div. TOY*** |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa OVER 35 | Top | 26-0 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 21 m | Show |
Michigan averages 37.6 points a game. That's more than this total is set at. It's entirely possible that the Wolverines exceed this total all by themselves. They're favored by more than 3 touchdowns. So, they're going to expected to score more than that. Remember they scored at least 30 in every game but one. Iowa is all about defense. That we know. But the Hawkeyes also know that they will need to score points, if they want to avoid total embarrassment. The last meeting had 41 points and the one before that had 45. The 45-point game (42-3 Michigan) was right here in the Big 10 Championship game. Last year's Big 10 title game had 65 points. This game goes over the low number! |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH v. Toledo UNDER 46.5 | Top | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 123 h 60 m | Show |
Miami is here because of defense. The RedHawks permit only 16.3 points a game. Toledo is also stout on defense. The Rockets concede 20.4 points a game. The regular season game finished with 38 points. The RedHawks held the Rockets scoreless in the second half but couldn't erase a 21-3 halftime deficit. Toledo was in this game last year and beat Ohio 17-7. That game finished way below the total. Defense rules the day once again! ***MAC TOY** |
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12-02-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Arsenal UNDER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
Arsenal has conceded only two goals in its past 6 matches. 4 clean sheets and a pair of 1-goal games. Wolverhampton has scored only once in its last 4 matches against Arsenal. Of the last 8 head-to-head matches, only 1 has produced more than 3 goals. Wolverhampton will play conservatively. Arsenal won't come anywhere close to matching the number of goals it had against Lens last game. One or two at most. That's all that will be required as Wolverhampton likely won't score at all. Go with the Under! ***Soccer TOY*** |
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12-01-23 | Senators v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 115 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Ottawa scored 0 last game and has managed 5 goals total its last 3 games. Averaging 2.88 goals, Columbus is one of the lower-scoring teams in the league. The Jackets scored 2 last game which marked the third time in 4 games that they scored less than 3 goals. None of the last 9 meetings have exceeded 7 goals. Six games since 2022 have averaged less than 5 goals each. Under is 5-1 in Blue Jackets last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jackets are also 4-1 to the under last 5 tries when playing with 1 day's rest in between games. This game goes Under! ***EASTERN CONF TOM*** |
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12-01-23 | Iona v. Fairfield UNDER 147 | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
The Stags have a reputation for defense. Their last 3 meetings with Iona have all finished with 144 or less. Last game finished with 131. The Gaels are 4-1 to the under last 5 tries, when playing a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5. Iona opened up MAAC Conference play with a 68-64 loss against Marist. They've failed to reach 70 in either of their road games. Fairfield is 8-4 to the under last 12 in December. Defense will rule the day! ***MAAC TOY*** |
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11-30-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Fordham UNDER 159 | Top | 52-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a very high total considering that the Rams are a good defensive team. They allow 67.5 points a game and a 41% field goal percentage. They are 15-7 to the under the past 22 tries when the total ranges from 150 to 159.5. The Knights are not very good defensively, the reason for such a high total. The Knights can play defense though. We saw that last March. Remember, this team shocked the world and held Purdue to 58 points in the NCAA Tournament last year. Look for the under to more to 7-3 last 10 times that Fordham scored 80 or more in the previous game. ***CBB TOW*** |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings OVER 44 | Top | 12-10 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
Fields is back and the Bears offense is looking better. The defense continues to struggle. Chicago's last game saw 57 points scored. Vikings scored 27 last home game, a 46 point game against New Orleans. Minnesota home games average 44 but Bears' road games average 49.3. Bears last three visits here have had scores of 51, 48 and 60. This one goes over! **NFC North TOM** |
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11-27-23 | Blazers v. Pacers UNDER 240.5 | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Pacers have been streaking to the over all season long. Games have been flying above the total. Their over streak will come to an end tonight. Portland only scores 104.4 points per game this season. That's the lowest in the NBA. A 43.2% field goal percentage is second worst. Last season's game here the total was 237.5 and the game only finished with 207 points. Blazers already 4-1 to the under against Eastern Conference teams. This game goes under! ***NBA TOW*** |
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11-26-23 | Panthers v. Titans OVER 37 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -107 | 126 h 43 m | Show |
Two non-conference teams. Neither is going to the playoffs. Why not throw caution to the wind? Neither defense is looking too good. The Titans gave up 34 points last week; the 6th straight time that they've allowed 20 or more. Carolina allowed 33 last game. That was the 4th time that the Panthers gave up 33 or more in their last 8 games. The Titans have scored 27 or more in 3 of their 4 home games. Their last game here finished with more than 50 points. It also came against an NFC South opponent. This one flies over the low total! ***NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR*** |
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11-25-23 | Pelicans v. Jazz OVER 233.5 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
Front-end of two games between these teams. They play again Monday. When the Jazz played consecutive games against the Suns, the first game produced 259 points., Utah scoring 128 When the Pelicans played consecutive games against the Kings, they scored 129 in the front-end. When they did so against Dallas, they scored 124. New Orleans is off a win at LA last night. Last 2 times Pelicans played two games in two nights, both finished with more than 240. This will be another high-scoring game! ***Western Conf. TOM*** |
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11-25-23 | Connecticut v. UMass OVER 51.5 | 31-18 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Neither team is very good on defensive. Both will be happy to face another defensively-challenged foe. The Huskies allow more than 30 points a game. The Minutemen allow more than 40 points a game! That has led to an 8-2 over record for UMass. The last time that the Huskies played a road game where they weren't a double-digit underdog, they combined with Rice for 69 points. This will be another shootout! ***Saturday Super Shootout*** |
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11-20-23 | Bradley v. Tulane UNDER 147 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Bradley has snuck over last 2 games but both games finished with 144 or less. The Braves lost their leading scorer from last year. They gave up 71 in their first game but have allowed 70 or fewer points in 7 of their last 10 games, each of their last 2. They are 21-7 to the under, last 28 games with a total with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. Tulane allowed only 57 points last game. Tulane is 6-1 to the under last 7 neutral site games when total was between 145.5 and 149. This game goes under! ***Tournament Total Of The Month*** |
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11-20-23 | Heat v. Bulls OVER 208.5 | Top | 118-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
In today's NBA, this is a very low total. The reason for the low total is that both are low-scoring teams. They also just played a low-scoring game. But if we look at the numbers, Miami games average 219.2 points and Chicago games average 217.7 points. Last two years, Miami is 51-42 to the over after allowing 105 or fewer points. Before Saturday's game, Miami had played 9 straight games which reached at least 210 points. This game will be much higher-scoring than Saturday's and will finish over the low total! ***Eastern Conf TOM*** |
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11-19-23 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 10 m | Show |
Neither defense is pitching many shutouts these days. Tennessee has allowed 20 or more points in 5 straight games. Jacksonville allowed 34 last game and has given up at least 20 in 4 of 5 games. The Titans only division game finished with 39 points but the Jaguars' three divisional games have finished with 52, 54 and 57 points. The Titans like to play conservatively at times but they will have to throw caution to the wind if they want to keep up with the Jaguars. Five of the last 7 meetings finished with more than 40 points and last year's 2 games averaged 47. This one goes OVER! ***AFC South TOY*** |
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11-18-23 | Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern UNDER 61 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 48 m | Show |
Lots of room to work with here. The Eagles have been involved in some recent high-scoring games, driving this week's total up. They will be up against a low-scoring team here. The Monarchs only scored 10 points last game. They average 24.4 points a game but that average comes down to 21.2 points per game on the road. Last year was the first meeting. The total was in the 60s but the score was 28-23. The Monarchs likely won't be as successful passing the ball in this game as they were in that one. The Eagles ran the ball 50 times. They will keep the clock moving again and the final score will stay below the big total! ***Sun Belt TOY*** |
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11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens OVER 46 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Ravens offense can't be stopped. Baltimore has scored more than 30 points in 4 straight games. Bengals scored 27 last game and have gone over the 30 mark each of last 2 road games. The earlier meeting finished with 51 points. Bengals gave up 20 or more yards 17 different times last game. The Ravens had trouble stopping both the run and the pass. This will be another shootout! ***TNT TOM*** |
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11-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
The Oilers made a coaching change and immediately got a win. Better late than never! Draisaitl had four points and McDavid had a goal and an assist. Prior to that McDavid had been in a slump. With those two going and the entire team happier, we should see loads of offense from this team, going forward. Seattle has allowed 22 goals past 5 games, an average or more than 4. Before a 4-1 game a few days back, each of the previous 7 meetings have featured at least 7 goals. Both teams will find the back of the net regularly and this one will also finish at 7 or more. ***SUPER SHOOTOUT*** |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan v. Ohio OVER 46.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Ohio games have been low-scoring. So, the total might seem a little high. It's not. Central Michigan games average 54.8 points. The Chippewas scored 28 points last game and 37 the game before that. Problem is that they also allowed 38 and 31. They've allowed 30 or more in seven of their 10 games. So, we've got an offense which is playing well but a defense which has been bad all year. Last 2 meetings both had 57 points and last 4 all finished with 47 or more. Ohio will break out with 30 plus points and CMU will contribute the rest. This game goes Over! ***Conf Crusher*** |
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11-14-23 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan OVER 39 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Lowest of today's 3 totals. Far too low! Akron games produce, on average, 43.4 points. Eastern Michigan games average 44! Last year's game had 62 points! The year before they had 56. Akron has only played 2 home games since October. They had scores of 69 and 58. Eastern Michigan's last 2 games had scores of 72 and 66. This one sails over! ***MAC TOW*** |
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11-13-23 | Cavs v. Kings UNDER 221.5 | Top | 120-132 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The Kings played great defense and allowed only 98 points in their last game. The 105-98 scored stayed below the total by a country mile. It was the 4th time in 5 games that Sacramento had scored 105 or fewer points. A big reason for the scoring woes is that De'Aaron Fox continues to have the same doubtful status that he's had for some time: "Fox has been diagnosed with a right ankle sprain and is unlikely to take the court for the Kings." He's supposed to be out until late November. Last year, Fox played in the first meeting and it was high-scoring. He didn't play in the second and the Kings and Cavaliers combined for only 201 points. The Cavaliers are 14-8 to the under their past 22 against Pacific teams. This one goes Under! ***NBA TOM*** |
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11-12-23 | UC-Davis v. Montana OVER 143 | 65-78 | Push | 0 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Both these teams have excellent guard play. Both appear poised for good seasons. Both are averaging more than 80 points through their opening two games. The Over is 26-11 in Montana home games with a total in between 140 and 144.5. This one sails over! ***Total Smash |
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11-12-23 | Jets v. Raiders OVER 36.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
It may seem that stand-alone NFL games have been going under at a pretty good rate. Previous results from other games have nothing to do with this one though. In this case, the number is too low. The Jets defense is pretty good but they still allow 19.5 points per game. The Raider defense allows 21.4 points a game. Last time these teams met they scored 59 points. The total was 48.5. The Raiders scored 30 last game, their offense coming alive. They will build on that and the Jets will be better than they were last game. This game goes Over the low total! ***AFC TOW |
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11-12-23 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Last month's game between these teams was high-scoring but Columbus divsion games are only averaging 4.7 goals. The Blue Jackets won that firs game. The Rangers have gone under 4 of the past 5 times that they played with revenge. Under has hit 4 of past 5 meetings in New York. Rangers are also 47-29 to the under their last 66 tries, off a 2 or more goal victory. Also, Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. This one goes Under! ***Metro Division Total Of The Year |