Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-10-21 | Florida Atlantic -2 v. New Mexico | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
FAU/New Mexico FAU finished 13-10 last year and it's looking for its third straight winning season under coach Dusty May. New Mexico was terrible last season, finishing 6-16. The Owls went 7-5 in Conf. USA play. There are two double-digit scoring options on FAU. The Owls put up 78.1 PPG last year. The Lobos have plenty of issues coming into the season. Offense was the biggest issue, as New Mexico averaged only 65.3 PPG. The Lobos were terrible last year and it's going to take some time for Pitino to gets things turned around. I like the Owls to lay the hammer down here in what will be a hostile environment. 10* Coaches Corner on FAU. |
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11-10-21 | Hornets +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
Hornets/Grizzlies. I'm expecting an all out war until the final horn. 10* PLAY-BOOK on Charlotte. The Hornets played a back-to-back at LA, losing badly to the Clippers, but then bouncing back with a much better effort in what turned out to be an unfortunate 126-123 OT loss to the Lakers. The Hornets have now lost five in a row (both SU and ATS), but I expect them, at the very least, to give the Grizz everything they can handle tonight. Memphis off a tiring 125-118 OT home win over the Wolves, so I believe fatigue is a factor here. Also note that it's a look-ahead spot with Phoenix coming to town next. I believe these teams are evenly matched on paper. That gives the advantage here to the "hungrier" team, which as I've clearly pointed out above, is the Hornets in my opinion. 10* Charlotte. |
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11-10-21 | Ball State -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 29-30 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 53 m | Show |
Ball State/NIU NIU is bowl eligible at 6-3, while Ball State needs one more victory as it's just 5-4. I think this matters. I believe the more desperate team will find a way to victory this evening (and that hungrier tearm is definitely the Cardinals!) NIU lost 52-47 at Kent State last time out and I think it comes in exhausted here. Ball State is off a 31-25 win at Akron, but it can't be happy with the performance as the Cardinals were a 20-point favorite in that one. The Huskies are terrible defensively and the Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a road favorite in the -1.5 to -3.5 range. I'm laying the points, the play here is Ball State. |
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11-09-21 | Bucks v. 76ers OVER 220 | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Bucks/76ers Yes, Joel Embiid is out for the 76ers, but I'm still expecting a faster-paced shootout between these two Eastern Conference heavyweights. Philaldelphia is out to rebound off last night's 103-96 loss here at home to the Knicks (it's seen the total go 'over' in ten of its last 13 after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to fewer than 99 points in though.) Milwaukee is just 4-6. It's playing terribly. It's lost 113-98 to New York, then 101-94 at Washington. With the White House visit out of the way though, I think the Bucks' offense returns to form here (amazingly the Bucks have seen the total go 'under' in eight of their ten games this season.) It's next man up in Philadelphia. This number is low, the play is the over. |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH -7 | Top | 18-45 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
Buffalo/Miami Ohio. Buffalo is 4-5. It's gone 2-3 in conference play. They're off a 56-44 loss to Bowling Green. Miami Ohio is also 4-5. Both teams need two more victories to become bowl eligible. The Redhawks though are 3-2 in conference play. Off an upset 35-33 loss to Ohio, I like Miami Ohio to get back on track here in this crucial and important matchup. The Bulls' offense revolves around RB Dylan Mcduffee, but their defense concedes 31.8 PPG. That's bad news facing the Redhawks, who have the 34th ranked passing attack in the country with 264 yards per game. Keep your eyes on QB Brett Gabbert, who already has 1,435 passing yards. Buffalo's defensive issues come back to haunt it again. Lay the points, the play is Miami Ohio. |
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11-09-21 | Siena v. St Bonaventure -20 | Top | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
Siena/St. Bonaventure. Sienna was 12-5 last year, taking the reg. season co-championship in the MAAC, while St. Bonaventure easily won the A-10 and went on to play in the NCAA Tournament. Siena eventually lost 55-52 to Iona in the Conference Tournament semifinal. The Bonnies however also won the regular season title over VCU, and eventually fell 76-61 to LSU in the First Round. The Saints are just 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road. The Bonnies are 22-7-2 ATS in their last 31 at home. All five senior starters return for St. Bonaventure, so lay the points here! 10* Bonnies. |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Arkansas This is a big game for both teams, as each sits at 5-3. They each need one more win to become bowl eligible. However, I really do think that the home field will be a big advantage for the Razorbacks today. Mississippi State is off a 31-17 home win over Kentucky, but I think it'll stumble here on the road. Arkansas State won't be lacking for motivation here obviously, as it's just 1-3 and last in the SEC West. Arkansas pulled off the upset 21-14 last year over Ole Miss as a 16.5-point dog. Will Rogers was 36 of 39 for Ole Miss last weekend, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice for him this weekend. Arkansas comes in rested as well off its bye. The Razorbacks are 100% healthy and they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine when coming out of their bye week and playing at home. Look for Ole Miss to stumble off last week's big win and for the rested home side to pull away down the stretch. |
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11-02-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Braves (Fried, 1-2, 5.40) vs. Astros (1-2, 7.62) As a handicapper it is hard to have faith in either starter in Game 6. Rookie Luis Garcia has been all over the map; two short poor outings, followed by a 5+ inning gem, followed by a wild effort where he struck out six, walked four, but only allowed 3 hits and a run. To top it off, he is pitching on only three days rest. Like any starter in the post season, he will be on a very short leash. The Astros’ pen has been excellent right through the series, has a 1.50 ERA, while used for over 4 innings per game. And with the immediate threat of elimination, anyone and everyone is available in relief. I want to believe in Fried on Tuesday. I won a ton of games with him in the regular season, but he has not impressed in the post season. Much is made of soft hits, and his performance after the second inning of his last start, but he allowed 6 runs in that start, and 5 in the previous start. He is at least pitching on 6 days rest. The Braves bullpen, ridden mercilessly through the postseason, over-achieved until game five when the Astros bats finally woke up. It may be a case of overexposure, and does not bode well for Game 6. The same could hold true for the Astros pen. Game 6 may be the tipping point for them. There are very hot hitters on both sides. I don’t think we can expect a low-scoring game; either one of these starters could fail, and as mentioned the relief could also falter. I think the bats will rule on Tuesday. Take game 6 to go over. |
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10-31-21 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 224 | Top | 85-95 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers The Rockets are 1-4 and the Lakers are 3-3. Neither team is happy where it sits as far as its win/loss record is concerned. The Lakers are a massive favorite here, but they've been terribly inconsistent from game-to-game. Off a 113-101 win and cover at home here over the Cavaliers, LeBron James and company will be cautious to not lose focus or to take the foot off the gas. The schedule is different for both clubs, as they'll have a night off before playing here again on Tuesday night. Houston's off a poor 122-91 home loss to Utah. Note though that it's seen the total go over in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or less points in. I don't expect a huge emphasis by either team on the defensive end. Look for this one to produce and exciting, high-scoring outcome and take the over. |
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10-30-21 | Duke v. Wake Forest -16.5 | Top | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 104 h 7 m | Show |
Duke @ Wake Forest Duke comes into this ACC Matchup with a 3-4 record. Last week, they got absolutely torched by UVA 48-0. That makes them now 0-8 their past 8 games played against opponents from this conference. On the road this year, the Blue Devils are a sad 0-3 ATS. They've also allowed 440+ yards per game from their opponents. The Demon Deaconds come into this game with a perfect 7-0 record. They are off a huge win against Army where they dropped 70 points on the scoreboard. Dating back a few seasons, Wake Forest is a dominant 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played in October. QB Sam Hartman has been unbelievable this season as well. With 19 TDs and only 3INTs, while adding 4 more TDs on the ground, Wake couldn't be more happy. With Wake Forest having beaten UVA by 20, and Duke losing to them by 50, I expect no short of an annihilation this Saturday. Take the Demon Deacons. |
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10-25-21 | Bucks -150 v. Pacers | Top | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks @ Indiana Pacers I think the Bucks'll dig deep and find a way to win this game in Indiana on Monday night. Milwaukee is 2-1 so far this year and I expect it to build off its impressive 121-111 road win in San Antonio on Saturday. The Pacers are just 1-2. They're coming off a hard-fought 102-91 OT win over the Heat. The Pacers have been getting good play from guard Malcolm Brogdon, who is averaging 24.7 points, 8.7 boards, 7.7 assists, 1.3 blocks and 0.7 steals this year. Indiana though has been terrible defensively in the early going (conceding 116.3 PPG), and I think it'll struggle to contain Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Pacers are alos just 1-5 ATS in their last six following a win of ten or more points, while Milwaukee is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six as a favorite. But for this pick, we're throwing the spread out the window and taking the Bucks on the moneyline. And that's the pick here, Milwaukee on the moneyline. |
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10-17-21 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Dodgers (Scherzer, 0-1, 1.46 ERA) vs Braves (Anderson, 1-0, 0.00 ERA) The Dodgers’ ace Max Scherzer has already rung up 2 starts and a relief appearance, and we are just into the Divisional finals. Start #3 has him paired up against Ian Anderson who continues his hot run as a starter in the post season. He is 3-0 with an ERA of 0.76 in his career, and pitched five scoreless innings against the Brewers. His regular season was solid and he is a very good home starter. The Dodgers had a bullpen day and a loss yesterday, used eight pitchers, and will need some innings out of Scherzer. Scherzer shut out the Braves over 6 innings in September. If there is a cloud on the horizon, it is his poor final two starts in the regular season. After 3 outings so close together, fatigue could become an issue. The Dodgers got some hits against Fried but couldn’t do much damage. The Braves were very productive considering their number of hits. The long ball played a role again. The Braves pen which has been very good, held the Dodgers scoreless over 3 innings and will be better rested. Two questions come to mind. Can Scherzer pitch an effective start with little rest? Can Anderson handle a potent Dodgers offense as he did with the poor-hitting Brewers? Anderson struggled against the Dodgers back in June, allowing 4 runs in 4+ innings. This is a must win for the Dodgers, and they will be loaded for bear. I think that they will get to the Braves’ pitchers, if not against Anderson, then when facing the bullpen. I’m not convinced that Scherzer will go long or be completely overpowering today. Take the Braves/Dodgers total to go under. |
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10-12-21 | Astros v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Astros (McCullers JR.) vs White Sox (Rodon) With the season in the balance, the White Sox look to Carlos Rodon for the equalizer. Rodon has been the White Sox’ best pitcher this year, he just hasn’t been able to pitch much in August and September. His quality has not suffered. In 28 total innings over the two months, he had an ERA of under 2.00. In all likelihood, he will not pitch more than 5 innings, and has little post season history. Lance McCullers Jr. shut out the White Sox over 6+ innings. This makes 3 wins in a row for McCullers over the Sox this year. He has had 4 days rest and was well-rested coming into the postseason. Plan B is Urquidy should Junior falter. McCullers allows a lot of ground balls, so Houston’s superlative infield defense could play a large factor on Tuesday. Both sides have shown some offensive muscle in this series, but I am not expecting it early in game 4. The total is set slightly higher due to the end results in the last two games. I like the total early, with Rodon and McCullers likely still in the game. Take the under in the first five innings on Tuesday. |
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10-09-21 | Michigan -2.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Michigan @ Nebraska Michigan is going to have a letdown, but it's not going to be this weekend. The Wolverines are 5-0, most recently coming off a 38-17 victory over Wisconsin. Nebraska is off a 56-7 win over Northwestern. The Wolverines won four straight at home though before hitting the road and defeating the Badgers last weekend. I just can't see the Huskers keeping pace with this high-flying Wolerines offense though that enters averaging 40.2 PPG. QB Cade McNamara has 731 yards passing and five TD's, while RB Blake Corum has 521 rushing yards and seven major scores on the ground. Michigan allows just 12.8 PPG, while Wisconsin concedes 15.5 Previous to last week's win, the Huskers had lost two straight. Wisconsin averages 32.2 PPG, led by Adrian Martinez who has 1,463 passing yards, six TD's and two INT's. Nebraska though is a poor 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Michigan faced the best rush defense in the nation last weekend and still posted over 100 yards. Go with the Wolverines here to pull away down the stretch. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 51.5 | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders @ LA Chargers Entering this game, the Raiders are 3-0 with significant victories against the Ravens and the Steelers. They also beat the Dolphins in a thriller last week. In each of those games, they scored at least 26 points with an average of 30ppg. The Raiders have also seen the total go OVER in 8 of their last 9 games dating back to last season against AFC opponets. For the Chargers, they'll come in very confident after beating Mahomes and the Chiefs last week. Herbert has looked excellent so far and his top 2 WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams have also looked very strong. As long as Ekeler keeps providing with his rushing and catching, the Chargers will definitely score a lot in this one. Last year, when these two teams played (twice of course,) both games ended with 57 points. I expect another game with a similar, if not higher number here tonight. Take the OVER. |
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10-03-21 | Chiefs -5.5 v. Eagles | Top | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 143 h 50 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles For one of the few times in Mahomes' career, the Chiefs have lost two straight games. Although two doesn't seem like much, they've been that dominant with him back there that they've never lost three straight with him at QB. KC also brings in a wicked 7-1 record in thier last 8 games against teams in the NFC. The Eagles haven't been any better than the Chiefs this season. Although they won week 1 with ease, two straight loses bring the, to 1-2 as well. They are brining in an awful 1-5 ATS in thier last 5 games against teams from the AFC. Philly is also 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. With Mahomes having never lost 3 straight in his professional career, I don't see that happening here against the struggling Eagles. Expect a huge bounce back performance from him, Travis Kelce, Tyrrek Hill and the entire Chiefs crew here today. Take KC. |
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10-02-21 | UL-Monroe v. Coastal Carolina -33.5 | Top | 6-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
UL Monroe @ Coastal Carolina After getting dominated in week 1, UL Monroe has won two straight to get back in the bowl hunt. Although they are 2-1, they've been awful on the road. Dating back to last season, the Warhawks are a terrible 0-9 in their last 9 road games. they are also 1-8 in their last 9 games played against teams in their Conference (Sun Belt.) Coastal Carolina has been near perfect dating back to last season, with only the one loss. After last week's 53-3 win, the Chanticleers are a perfect 10-0 in their last 10 home games. I expect QB McCall to have anothe excellent game against this weak opponent. This is a complete mismatch on both sides of the ball and the oddsmakers know it. The spread is big, but it's not big enough. Expect atleast a 40pt win for CCU. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys -175 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys The bottom line is here, I simply can't see the Eagles keeping pace with Dak Prescott and this high-flying Cowboys offense. Dallas has proven it can compete in a high-scoring shootout, like its Week 1 loss in Tampa, while also grinding out a victory in a defensive affair (like last week's win at the Chargers.) Philadelphia man-handled the Falcons in Week 1, but then it looked terrible in last week's humbling home loss to the 49ers. Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home in this series, while Philly is just 2-6 ATS its last eight after an ATS home loss in which it posted 15 or less points in. But, we're going to bypass the spread option here though, and instead take the Cowboys on the MONEY-LINE. |
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09-26-21 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50 | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers @ San Fransisco 49ers Things didn’t look so good for Aaron Rodgers after week 1. But he definitely showed the world that he’s not done yet after last weeks performance against the Lions. They scored an easy 35 points and definitely could have scored more in the win. This week, Rodgers returns to his hometown and I believe he is bound to do something special yet again. Off the win against the Eagles, the Niners are now 2-0 to start the year. Last week they didn’t score that much. But they looked strong offensively and could have put up more than they did. In week one they went way OVER the total and I expect another high scoring game. Both teams are really good offensively and I expect a shootout in this one. Take the OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Seahawks v. Vikings | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -125 | 73 h 30 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings Off a heartbreaking OT loss to Derrick Henry and the Titans, the Seahawks fall to 1-1. Despite losing, Russell Wilson has looked dominant in the first two games of the season. Tyler Lockett has been the main target so far, but I expect DK Metcalf to make some noise here today. Heartbreaking not only can describe the Hawks, but the Vikings have now seen two devastating losses. Week one against the Bengals in OT, and last week they missed a make-able field goal in the final seconds against the Cards to lose by a point. That takes a lot out of a team and I expect them to get jumped on from the opening kickoff. With both teams off a loss, this is basically a revenge game to get back on track. But that missed field goal for the Vikings is going to be too hard to come back from this week against a strong Seattle team. Take Seattle |
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09-25-21 | West Virginia +17 v. Oklahoma | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 52 h 43 m | Show |
West Virginia @ Oklahoma The Mountaineers are now 2-1 after a 27-21 win over then No. 15-ranked Virginia Tech. The Sooners are off a 23-16 victory over Nebraska as 22.5 point favorites. So far WVU is averaging 39 PPG, throwing for 271.3 and rushing for 139.7. QB Jarret Doege had 193 yards, two TD's and an INT last week. The Mountaineers have also been good defensively in conceding just 17 PPG. The Sooners may be 3-0, but I think they'll have a fight on their hands here today. Okalahoma is averaging 45.7 PPG, while allowing 17. Spencer Rattler had 214 yards and a TD in the Sooners victory last week. Oklahoma though is poor in this spot for bettors (3-8 ATS its last 11 after scorign 40 or more points in its previous game), while WVU has been good (5-1 ATS its last six games played in September.) I think the Sooners are susceptible defensively. Grab all these points, the play is West Virginia 10* BIG PLAY |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers OVER 48.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Detroit @ GB. Two divisional opponents off Week 1 losses collide in Week 2. Detroit's offense actually looked quite good in last weeks' 41-33 loss to the 49ers (especially considering the way the 49ers' held the high-flying Eagles to just 11 points on their own field on Sunday after they scored 32 in their Week 1 win at Atlanta.) Jared Goff was 38 of 57 for 338 yards. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers uncharacteristically struggled in their 38-3 season-opening loss at New Orleans (interesting though, that game was played at Jacksonville instead of New Orleans because of Hurricane Ida. Traveling to Jacksonville is tough, but especially on short notice. That was a game that completely favored the Saints. New Orleans looked poor in its loss at Carolina on Sunday.) Rodgers though is going to benefit greatly from being in friendly confines and facing a poor Lions' defense which just conceded 41 points to San Francisco (which could only muster 19 in yesterday's win at Philadelphia.) Look for these experienced "gun-slingers" to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. The play is the over. |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs -3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 35-36 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens The Chiefs are 1-0 after coming from behind to knock off the Browns 33-29 at home in Week 1. The Browns had a half time lead and a ten-point lead going into the fourth-quarter, but Patrick Mahomes took over and KC now comes to Baltimore sitting at 1-0. The Ravens on the other hand looked bad in their 33-27 OT loss at Las Vegas, giving up a huge lead late to lose in extra time. These teams are loaded with offensive talent. Each struggled defensively in Week 1. Despite being on the road though, I say this one favors KC. The Ravens are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 following a SU loss, while KC is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games after having 350-plus yards of offense in its previous outing. I think Baltimore continues to struggle. Lay the points. |
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09-18-21 | Arizona State -170 v. BYU | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -170 | 86 h 16 m | Show |
Arizona State @ BYU Both teams are in the Top 25. ASU is ranked in 19th, and while it's had to deal with a couple of "cream puffs" to open, it's still outscored the opposition 78-24. ASU QB Jayden Daniels had 175 passing yards, two TD's and two INT's in last week's win. BYU is off an upset 26-17 win over then No. 21 Utah in its last outing and I say it'll finally take a step back here. The difference in the end was that the Cougars forced two turnovers, while giving up none. I do like Jaylen Hall, who has five TD's and no INT's this year. But the Sun Devils are now a clear step up in competition on both sides of the ball. ASU's superior offense will be too much for BYU to keep up to in my opinion. Let's skip the spread, lay the price on the money line here. The play is Arizona State money line. |
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09-17-21 | Cubs v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
Cubs (Davies, 6-11, 5.40) vs Brewers (Houser, 9-6, 3.25) The Brewers are comfortably aligned for the post-season, with very good starting pitching and a very sharp bullpen. All they need now is to jump-start their recently sluggish bats. Today’s game might be that opportunity. The Cubs’ bats have been hot lately, but that hasn’t translated into wins. At 4-6, and 20 games out, they are just playing out the season at this point. Cubs starter, Zack Davies has been a workhorse this season and had a couple of quality starts in August, but has since struggled. He is 0-3 with an ERA of 7.76 in his last three starts. Supported, or not supported by a bullpen with an ERA of 6.00, pitching an unsustainable 4.25 innings per game of late, this does not bode well for their chances today. Add to this a 27-44 road record. Brewers starter Adrian Houser is on the mound today for the Brewers. Houser, a real success story for the Brewers, had a rough start three outings ago, but in his last two starts has given up 0 runs over 15 innings. He has had great support this season with a team record of 16-7 with him on the mound. I mentioned that the brewers’ pen was sharp. How does an ERA of 0.67 L7 sound? The Brewers are a solid home team and 71-42 vs right-handers. The odds for the Brewers are very favorable.Take the Brewers, - 1 1/2. They are worth the extra runs today. |
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09-16-21 | Giants v. Washington Football Team UNDER 41 | Top | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 53 m | Show |
NY Giants @ Washington We played against the Giants in Week 1. They only scored 13 points. Washington wasn't much better. The Football Team managed just 16. Both games were comfortable under winners. The Giants are 9-0 to the under after an ATS loss. Giants also 6-0 to the under after allowing 350 or more yards. WFT 4-0 to the under after a loss. Twenty of the last 28 meetings have produced unders. Two struggling offenses. Two capable defenses. A low-scoring division rivalry. Take the Under. |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders OVER 50 | Top | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Baltimore Ravens @ Las Vegas Raiders The Thursday Night prime-time Opener between the Cowboys and the Buccaneers went well over the posted number. The Sunday Night prime-time matchup between the Rams and the Bears also sailed over the posted number. Now on Monday night we have a couple of high-scoring AFC teams read to battle it out and everything points to these high-scoring prime-time games continuing. The Ravens averaged 29.3 PPG last year. The Raiders averaged 27.1. Baltimore was one of the best defensively last season in conceding only 18.9 PPG, but the Raiders were one of the worst in allowing 29.9. The Raiders and Ravens have played over the total the last five times they've met. Expect that high-scoring streak to continue here in their first game of the 2021/22 season. The play is the over the total 10* |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 45 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -106 | 445 h 1 m | Show |
Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams Two teams that were pretty good defensively last year, and inconsistent on the offensive end collide in LA tonight. The bottom line for this one for me though is that each starts a new quarterback in a new system and I think that despite both being veteran's, that it'll take time for both Andy Dalton of the Bears and Matthew Stafford of the Rams to form chemsitry with their respective offenses. Each side will be focused on establishing the run while on offense. We can expect a heavy pass rush from each defense as well. When we consider what each of these team's game-plan will be in Week 1, we have to conclude that the under is the correct call. |
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09-11-21 | Vanderbilt v. Colorado State UNDER 51 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 102 h 17 m | Show |
Vanderbilt @ Colorado State The Commodores scored only three points in their Week 1 game. That was a very disappointing loss against East Tennessee State. Vanderbilt was favored by more than 3 touchdowns. That showed just how bad Vanderbilt really is. Scoring won't be any easier this week. The Rams were better than Vanderbilt but they weren't good either. They lost against South Dakota State, scoring only 23 points. Vanderbilt rushed for 2.7 yards per carry, CSU ran for 3.1 ypg. Commodores 4-0 to the Under L4 non-conference games. Rams 5-0 to the Under L5 vs. losing teams. Take the UNDER |
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09-05-21 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan OVER 42.5 | Top | 23-8 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Winnipeg vs. Saskatchewan Labor Day weekend is a big deal in the Canadian Football League. As far as Saskatchewan fans are concerned, this is one of the biggest games of the season. Both teams are playing good football. The Green Riders are 3-0. The defending champions are 3-1. Both teams have shown an early tendency to the under. That has created a low total. Too low for a CFL game featuring the top rated offense, in terms of points scored per game, in the league. The Riders average 28.7 points per game. Last 10 meetings saw total lines ranging between 45.5 and 60. Saskatchewan has gone 6-1 to the Over when off a bye. Take the Over |
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09-04-21 | Fresno State v. Oregon OVER 63.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Fresno State @ Oregon Fans of offense are in for a treat. Fresno State averaged 32.8 ppg and 479 ypg last year. This year's offense is loaded and already scored 45 points and 538 yards against UConn its opener. Oregon has 9 returning offensive starters. They have an experienced QB, throwing to excellent receivers, playing behind an experienced offensive line. The Ducks scored more than 30 points in every game but one last year. Ducks are 6-2 to the over last eight times they faced a team with a winning record. Bulldogs are 5-1 to the over last six times they were off an ATS win. Go with the Over. |
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09-02-21 | East Carolina v. Appalachian State -9.5 | Top | 19-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
East Carolina vs. Appalachian State The Mountaineers are loaded on both sides of the ball. Appalachian State averaged better than 34 points last season, as well as more than 450 yards. Many of the skill players that put up those numbers are back. The secondary was already the best in the Sun Belt and the Mountaineers bring back 10 defensive starters. The Pirates are a bad defensive team. They will have trouble stopping the balanced Mountaineer attack. Thursday night football has not been kind to ECU. The Pirates are 5-12 ATS their last 17 Thursday games. They are also 4-11 ATS their last 15 outside of their own conference. The Mountaineers are better on both sides of the ball. They won't be stopped in this one. Lay the points with Appalachian State. |
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08-31-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Braves (Morton:12-5, 3.60) vs Dodgers (Buehler (13-2, 2.02) This is a must series for both teams. The Dodgers took their eye off the ball, lost 2 of 3 to Colorado, and were limited to 7 runs total. They have their big three on the mound against the Braves, starting with Walker Buehler. Buehler is as good a starter as you will find in the MLB. In his last three games he has allowed 3 runs in 21+ innings. He has an exceptional home record and is solid vs. both right and left. His mound opponent is no slouch. 37 years old Morton is still bringing it. He has been dominant on the road, and aside from a poorish start against the Yankees, allowing 2 runs or less while pitching an average of 6 innings per start. These are two surging teams. Atlanta struggled against the Yankees and the Dodgers vs Colorado, but otherwise, winning has become a habit. The Dodgers surpass the Braves slightly in most categories from runs scored to relief ERA. It is hard to bet against the Dodgers so I am looking at the total. It is surprisingly high, so take the total to go under. |
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08-23-21 | Jaguars v. Saints -4 | Top | 21-23 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Jacksonville Jaguars at New Orleans Saints It's great to have some Monday night football. Much of the buzz around tonight's game surrounds Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Exciting, yes. Keep in mind that the #1 pick will be facing a formidable Saints defense though. New Orleans ranked in the top five of most defensive categories last year. Lawrence should get the Week 1 start for Jacksonville. The Saints have a QB controversy of their own though. Hill and Winston both have their eyes on the job. Both are going to be going all out tonight. Expect them to enjoy success on offense. The Saints turned the ball over six times in Week 1. That's not going to happen again. Peyton will make sure of it. He's not going to want Trevor Lawrence and Urban Meyer to stroll into his team's home and beat them either. Preseason or not. The number is reasonable. I'm laying the points with the Saints on Monday night. |
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08-20-21 | White Sox v. Rays OVER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 101 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
White Sox (Giolito) vs Rays (Wacha) The team record for a given pitcher is a curious stat. Lucas Giolitto is 9-9 with a good ERA of 3.83, pitching for a very strongWhite Sox team. His team record? 11-13. Michael Wacha is 2-4, and has struggled most of the season, with a 5.91 ERA. Team Record? 10-6. Part of Wacha’s success is due to Tampa’s novel and successful use of their bullpen. Compared to the White Sox, the Rays’ relievers average an extra inning per game over the course of the season. Lately the bullpen has accounted for an average of more than half the Rays’ total innings. And with a collective ERA of 2.68, is it really any surprise? Wacha has been pretty poor in his last 3 starts. He is 0-2 and has given up 18 earned runs in 14 innings. Needless to say we cannot expect a long outing out of him. Giolito has had only one bad start since mid-July, and is capable of good length in his starts. Against Wacha, it may be the day that Giolito gets some run support. These are two division-leading teams, but the White Sox have been struggling at 5-5 last ten. They are not the best road team, but they are very solid against right-handed pitching. The Rays are 7-3, a terrific home team and very effective against right handed pitching. I hate betting against the Rays, so I won’t. They always seem capable of turning a sandwich into a banquet somehow. I am looking at the total. At 9, Wacha on the mound, two very good offenses, I think it is low. Take the White Sox and Rays to go over the total. |
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08-06-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -134 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Since finding a home field at last, the Jays are on a tear at 8-1. Combine this with Boston’s slump (1-7 last 8), and it sets up an uncommon situation for this year; that of Boston as an underdog. Eovaldi is pitching for the Red Sox, and other than his last start, has been very good. The Sox haven’t been especially supportive; though he is 9-6, the team record with him pitching is only 11-10. Alek Manoah starts for the Jays. At 3-1, 2.47, Manoah has been a real eye-opener for the Jays. For a youngster, he is feisty and very confident. And why not? In his last three starts, he has gone 17+ innings and given up only 2 ER. He has also had run support in his rookie season. The Jays are 6-3 in his starts. If Boston’s recent record is alarming, how they are losing is doubly so. A case in point is yesterday’s pummeling in Detroit. Many of these losses have lopsided affairs. Their relief efforts have been uncharacteristically poor from a highly-regarded pen. The Blue Jays’ inferior bullpen has been a thorn in the side all season, but the Jays made efforts to remedy this at the trade deadline. Boston more or less stood pat. While the Red Sox have a potent offense, they pale at the moment compared to the Jays. There are very few rest spots in this formidable juggernaut’s lineup. While Boston is a very good road team, their recent woes are more significant. I like Manoah and the Jays today. Take the Jays, a favorite, to win outright. |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Talk about a turn-around. It wasn't long ago, Phoenix fans were chanting "Suns in 4." Now, its Milwaukee fans doing the chanting. They were hitting everything last game but we kept hearing Van Gundy say that the teams were still playing good defense. The big final score of game 4 has rewarded us with a large over|under line for this contest. My wager Its all about the defense in this potential close-out game. This is only the 2nd time Phoenix was behind in a series, entering a game, in these playoffs. The 1st was game 4 against the Lakers. The Suns allowed only 92 points in that low-scoring game and they kept the Lakers to less than 40% shooting. I'm going under. |
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07-18-21 | Mets -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
New York Mets (Walker) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Brubaker) The Pirates are winners of two straight against the Mets. In Sundays match-up, Taijuan Walker (7-3, 2.50) faces off against J.T. Brubaker (4-9, 4.47) and hopes to stop the bleeding for the Mets. Walker has been very sharp, giving up only 5 earned runs in his last three starts. He has been particularly strong against right-handed batters, with an ERA of 2.16. Brubaker has been spiraling in the wrong direction. The loser of three straight, the Pirates are only 4-12 when he is on the mound. Adding to this is a Pirates bull pen, average at best, and very poor over the last seven games. Both teams are light-hitting, but the Mets have thrived on right handed pitching (38-25) while the Pirates have struggled (28-41). The Pirates’ home record is nothing to brag about either. My wager I think the buck stops with Walker. He has been as dominant as any pitcher of late, and has had plenty of run support. Brubaker is heading sideways, and the Pirates‘ relievers cannot be counted on to back him up. Take the Mets -1.5. |
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07-09-21 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
The Yankees and Astros met three times back in May. Two of those games finished with 10 or more runs. The other finished with nine. Five of the past six meetings have finished with at least nine runs. Odorizzi has a 6.76 ERA in his four starts here. Three finished over the total. Odorizzi averaged only three innings in those games. Cortes won't be around long either. He's made only one start and lasted just three innings. Cortes did happen to face Houston in his lone 2020 start. He managed only one out while allowing 8 runs. In fact, he gave up more HR's than he had outs recorded. Prior to yesterday, NY had gone over in six of seven. My wager? Take the OVER |
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07-05-21 | Dodgers -151 v. Marlins | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -151 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
LA Dodgers (Walker Beuhler) vs. Miami Marlins (Trevor Rogers) Beuhler (8-1, .90 WHIP) is pitching for LA today and I don’t think he will be taking the day off. He is a consummate starter, giving the Dodgers innings pitched, wins, and consistency every start, whether home or away, or day or night. Twenty three year old Trevor Rogers may be well on his way to that kind of success. He is 7-5 (on an inferior team) with an ERA of 2.14. In his last start, he had some control issues, but still only gave up 2 runs on 2 hits. The Dodgers are 11-5 with Beuhler on the mound: Marlins only 8-8 when Rogers is pitching. Beuhler averages at least an inning longer in his starts. Dodgers’ bullpen has been absolutely lights out in the last 7 games. Miami’s blew a tire on Independence Day. The wager The Dodgers have too much going in all categories against the Marlins. Take the Dodgers to win. They are worth the money. |
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06-30-21 | Canadiens +183 v. Lightning | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: Do I think that Tampa is going to sweep the Canadiens? I don't. Do I believe that Montreal has what it takes to "steal" a game here from the defending champs? I do as well. This Montreal team has been unbelievable at making adjustments from game-to-game and now desperate to avoid an 0-2 hole, I believe Carey Price and company will find a way to deliver. The pick: Tampa's been damn good in the playoffs as well. But not perfect. Also note that Montreal is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a three goals or greater road loss to an opponent. Toronto was down 3-1 to the Leafs in the Opening round and never once gave up hope. I look for the Habs to bounce-back and shock the Lightning in their own barn in Game 2. This is a 10* GAME 2 PLAY-BOOK on the Canadiens. |
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06-29-21 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -156 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: The Dodgers won this game here last night by a score of 3-2 and I expect another really tight affair here as well. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra frames, I'm going to lay what I feel to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. For me, the starting pitchers are completely even. Honestly, it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starters to win here. Kevin Gausman is 8-1 with a 1.49 ERA for San Fran, while Walker Buehler is 7-1 with a 2.51 ERA for LA. The pick: San Francisco is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge a one run road loss to an opponent. I think the outright win is absolutely possible, but in the end I'm going to hammer the Giants on the run-line. This is a 10* RUN-LINE COACHES CORNER on the Giants. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 219 | Top | 88-110 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: Kawhi Leonard hasn't been playing for a while now, yet the Clippers are still finding ways to win. This is a bit of a different story with Trae Young being injured, as he's the team's leading scorer and he's been in the line-up every game since Day 1. Leonard has had issues for years and all season again. However, whether Young suits up or not, I believe that just like the Clippers last night, the way Atlanta is going to upset the Bucks is to push the pace and score some points. The pick: Milwaukee will be out to do the same. If the Bucks can put up a big enough number in the first half, it could very well be enough to take out the remaining wind from the Hawks in the second. I expect each team to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF. This is a 10* FIRST HALF PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Bucks/Hawks. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers +6 v. Suns | Top | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
The set-up: The Suns are in the cusp of punching their ticket to the NBA Finals. I think Phoenix will win this series, but it could have its hands full here in Game 5 in trying to put away this desperate Clippers team. LA lost 84-80 in Game 4, and it now has its back against the wall in this elimination contest. The pick: I think LA is going to show up and play well defensively and after a poor shooting game last time out, I also expect Paul George to be much more efficient here. The Suns are the better team, but I think this one will come down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last. I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Clippers. |
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06-28-21 | Orioles +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 9-7 | Win | 142 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: Obviously, the Astros are the better team. However, I think the stage is set for a closer game than what this insane moneyline price would suggest. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but I do think the hungry Orioles can keep it competitive. The visiting side goes with Tom Eshelman (0-1, 7.27 ERA) who was crushed by these very Astros last week for six runs and striking out only one over four innings. Previous to that in his debut he looked good in holding the hard-hitting Jays to one run over five innings. I think Eshelman settles down here, and actually benefits in having already seen the Astros line-up. The pick: Zack Greinke (8-2, 3.56), gave up one run and struck out four over 7.1 innings in a victory over these very Orioles last Tuesday. Greinke's been great this year, but note, while he's 5-0 with a 2.07 ERA on the road, he's just 3-2 with a 5.27 ERA at home. This one is going to be decided late, so let's take the visitors on the spread option tonight. This is a 10* RUN-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Orioles. |
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06-28-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -163 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: I've had a lot of success playing on Montreal so far in the playoffs. I think that the Habs have been completely underrated. The Lightning are probably the better team in this series, but they've been less the dominant, needing seven games to get past the Islanders. I think Montreal is better than New York. The pick: This is going to be a tight series. I think Game 1 will see Montreal try to do what it's done so often in this playoffs, and that's steal Game 1. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Canadiens. |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 224 | Top | 113-102 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hawks had to play from behind the entire in Game 1, but they pushed the pace and got some big shots down the stretch, winning the game, and the total flying "over" the number. Game 2 was a completely defensive affair by the Bucks, as the Hawks once again went down early, but this time it appeared as if they resigned themselves to a loss in that one and they were already looking ahead to Game 3 at home. The pick: And that game comes here and now. The Hawks will look to get out and push the pace in this one and to finally not have to play from behind. The Bucks are the highest scoring team in the league and while I do think they'll take a step back on the defensive end here, I expect that this open-paced affair will see them put plenty of points on the board as well. Everything points to a high-scoring contest in Atlanta on Sunday night. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Bucks/Hawks. |
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06-26-21 | A's v. Giants -120 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: The Giants won last night and I think they're going to come out fired up here and find a way to do it again. Alex Wood (6-3, 4.09 ERA) is coming off a crummy start for the Giants, but I still love him here over confirmed "gas can" Frankie Montas 7-7, 4.79) for the A's. Montas was lit up in his last outing and he's struggled on the road. The pick: San Francisco is also 7-2 in its last nine after shutting out its opponent in a home victory in its last outing. Considering the circumstances, I think we're getting an excellent price here on the home side. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Giants. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 218 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: Game 1 snuck "over" the number. Game 2 fell "under" the number in the Clippers 106-92 victory. I think this back and forth pattern continues as far as the total is concerned, as I expect this one to fly over as it comes down the stretch. Phoenix has to push the pace and get the Clippers playing from behind. The Suns can't afford to sit back and try to beat LA at its own game. The pick: Also note that Phoenix has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 95 points or less in. Expect this faster-paced Game 4 to produce a lot of points on the board. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Suns/Clippers. |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: Game 1 snuck "over" the number, but I expect Game 2 to be more of a defensive affair. Overall, the playoffs have been low-scoring compared to the regular season. The Bucks were the highest scoring team in the league during the regular season. But the Hawks have advanced to this point mainly because of their suprising defensive play. That defense wasn't at it's best in Game 1, but it came up big when it had to at the end of the game. The pick: Milwaukee has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it allowed 115 or more points in as well. Atlanta comes out aggressive here, and so does Milwaukee. Expect that to translate into a defensive battle in Game 2. This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER On the UNDER. |
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06-25-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -159 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: I'm not going to break down the cast of characters on each team. If you're wagering on this contest, you almost assuredly know the strengths and weaknesses of each team and how they got to this point. So why is Tampa going to win Game 7 here on its own ice? I don't think that its experience at this level can be overlooked. New York is in unchartered territory right now. The pick: Tampa is 26-8-2-0 at home, while New York is just 16-17-3-1 on the road this season. The last time these teams played here, the Bolts won 8-0. I don't expect such a ridiculous lop-sided destruction here in Game 7, but I do expect it to be convincing. Lay the price with confidence. This is a 10* GAME 7 BEST OF THE BEST on the Lightning. |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers -1 | Top | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
The set-up: I just think the Clippers are going to dig deep and deliver the goods in this Game 3. They won't be panicking, as they've already been here in their two previous series, going down 0-2, only to then rally for a series victory. I got down early and have an unfavorable line, and while the Clippers are now the slight home dog, I still think that the change in venue is just what Paul George and this veteran-laden Clippers team needs to get back into this series. The pick: Game 2 was tight, and the Clippers had their chances at the end. I say Game 3 is controlled start to finish by the home side. Chris Paul won't be at 100% health and I think LA's competent guards can slow him down even further. For all the reasons listed above, the play is LA. This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Clippers. |
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06-24-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
The set-up: This series has been dominated by great goaltending and tough defensive play. Las Vegas was favored to win this series by quite a lot, but the high-powered Knights are now on the ropes as they try to figure out this tough Habs' defense. Las Vegas was the No. 1 defensive team in the league this year, but it was also the No. 3 on the offensive end. The pick: Montreal is going to have its hands full here against a Las Vegas team playing with deperation. Montreal has been good offensively throughout the playoffs though and will have extra opportunities on the back end with the Knights' defenders having to constantly join the attack. Game 6 (to me!), just screams over. This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Knights/Habs. |
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06-24-21 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Pirates have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. That said, I'll lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs on the "run line" option. The Cards have lost three straight and they face Chad Kuhl (1-4, 5.66 ERA), who comes in off his best start of the season, allowing one run over six innings and striking out four in a victory over the Indians. The pick: Kuhl has struggled, but I think he can build off his last performance and get the better of his counterpart Carlos Martinez (3-8, 6.62), who most recently got shelled for eight runs over three innings in a loss to the Braves. Martinez has now been rocked for at least five runs in three of his last four outings. I think Kuhl on the RUN LINE is the correct call here. This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Pirates. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7 | Top | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 106.3 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 105 points in the playoffs, while the Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 107.9 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 102.3 points so far in the post-season. The Bucks were one of the favorites to advance in the East before the season started, but the Hawks rise to this point is nothing short of spectacular. Clearly, Atlanta has already exceeded expectations to this point. The pick: I think Milwaukee is going to win this series. I don't think it'll sweep Atlanta though. That said, I do think that the Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo is a major matchup issue for the Hawks and I believe that Atlanta is going to struggle down the stretch of this opener. I'm laying points and expecting a comfortable cover for the home side in Game 1. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks. |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
The set-up: This has been a back and forth series, but after getting blown out 8-0 in Game 5, I believe that the Islanders are going to double-down on the defensive end in an attempt to stave of elimination. The Isles have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a five goals or greater road loss to an opponent as well. The pick: Tampa looked not only great on the offensive end in scoring those eight goals, but it also looked great defensively. Do I expect the Bolts to explode for another eight goals tonight? Of course not, that was an outlier. Do I believe that Tampa's going to play "lock down" defense and get great goaltending again? That's a given. So after the offensive explosion in Game 5, Game 6 sets up as a lower-scoring "under." This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Islanders. |
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06-23-21 | Rockies -109 v. Mariners | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: The Rockies lost a tight 2-1 affair here last night in the opener. They've now dropped three straight. This is a pitching matchup which favors the visitors though. Despite German Marquez (5-6, 4.26 ERA) struggling on the road this season, he comes in on top form, most recently going six shutout innings against the Brewers on Thursday. It was his fifth quality start out of his last six trips to the hill and he now owns an 82/39 K/W over 82.1 innings of work. The pick: Justus Sheffield (5-6, 5.65) got destroyed for seven runs over five innings in a loss to Minnesota on Wednesday. He's been rocked for at least two home runs in three straight starts. I say at this price, Marquez is the correct call. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Rockies. |
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06-22-21 | Rockies +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: Kyle Freeland (0-2, 9.58 ERA) gave up five runs over four innings against San Diego on Wednesday. Over 20.2 innnings, he has a poor 2.27 WHIP and 12/11 K/W. Clearly, the only way Freeland can go is "up" from here. That said, the sample size is still way too small at this point and he draws a favorable matchup here against this poor Seattle offense. The pick: Chris Flexen (6-3, 4.12) comes in off a great start, going eight scoreless against the Twins. Of concern though is that he has just 44 strikeouts over 67.2 innings of work. I don't trust either starter, but believe that Freeland's "upside" is where the value lies here. This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Rockies. |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens +210 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-1 | Win | 210 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
The set-up: I love the Habs chances here. I think they have much more than just a "punchers" chance in this one. These teams' playoff numbers are almost identical. There's been no clear advantage for either team. On home ice or on the road. The pick: Montreal though is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge an OT home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. Great value on a great team. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Canadiens. |
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06-22-21 | Clippers +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: The Clippers ran out of gas in the fourth quarter, but despite only shooting 45 percent from the floor, they still had a shot at upsetting the Suns in Game 1. Phoenix didn't look overly impressive and I believe the Clippers can make the necessary adjustments to not only make Game 2 even more competitive, but possibly even pull off the straight-up upset here. The pick: The continued absence of Chris Paul won't help this Suns team over the long-term. He'll likely return soon, but he's out again tonight. So is Kawhi Leonard for the Clippers, but LA is deep and experienced and I believe it throws it best shot at the Suns tonight. That said, grab the points. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Clippers. |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 115 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
The set-up: 17 losses in a row for the Diamondbacks. As bad as a team is, when a losing streak gets as long as this (and the same goes for a winning streak), it becomes unrealistic to continue much longer. The Diamondbacks have been playing hard of late though and I believe they're in line to finally break this string of futility. Off a 9-8 loss here last night to the Dodgers, Merrill Kelly (2-7, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for the home side. He's off a loss to the Giants, but note that he's been better at home with a 3.99 ERA, than on the road with a 6.71 ERA. The pick: Brett Anderson (2-4, 4.24) is off his best start of the year, going seven scoreless vs. the Reds, unfortunate to receive a no-decision. He had nine strikeouts, which was a season-high. Previous to that he'd not struckout more than four in any start though. Also note, while he's 1-1 with a 2.86 ERA at home, he's just 1-3 with a 5.58 ERA on the road. If not now, WHEN for the Diamondbacks! I'm standing in front of this train and say that this streak ends here and now! This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Diamondbacks. |
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06-21-21 | Austria v. Ukraine OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a big game for both teams. They come into the final match level on points and goal difference. Ukraine holds the tie-breaker though with one extra goal scored over Austria, but for either to advance, they're going to have to win outright today, and not settle for the the push. The pick:Ukraine though has so far been decent offensively, creating 4.52 expected goals (xG) through its first two matches against the Netherlands and North Macedonia. Ukraine's defense though has been shaky, as the Dutch created 2.05 xG vs. them, while North Macedonia even posted a 1.50 xG. Austria has a ton of value in this match and while a draw would likely get it into the next round, I think it'll take advantage of this weak Ukraine defense and just try to keep the momentum rolling, instead of playing super strategically. I expect each team to push for an outright win. This number is low, the play is the over. This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Ukraine/Austria. |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: Some cappers put a lot of stock into where the public money is going. Most sharps are contrarian by nature. When there's just a few games remaining though, those percentages of public money become skewed. I think they're much more accurate during the regular season. Most of the public money is on the Hawks, but in this case I think the public is correct. The pick: This is going to be a battle. It has been all series. Very back and forth and very close. Nothing's going to change here. Note though that the Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 100 points or less in. This one comes down the final moments, so grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks. |
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06-20-21 | Tigers +144 v. Angels | Top | 5-3 | Win | 144 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: I like Detroit to bounce back in the finale of this four-game series, while I think LA will have a letdown after winning the first three. Previous to losing three straight, the Tigers had won three in a row. Detroit has to be feeling confident sending Casey Mize (4-4, 3.49 ERA) to the hill, as he's now given up three or fewer runs in nine straight outing and he's gone six or more innings in eight of those starts. The pick: Dylan Bundy (1-7, 6.98) has been flat-out terrible this season for the Angels. He most recently got blasted for seven runs over 2.1 innings on Monday in a loss to the A's. He's failed to finish six innings in six straight starts. The final nail in the coffin for the Angels today is the fact that Detroit is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge three straight losses against an opponent. This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Tigers. |
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06-19-21 | Bucks +1 v. Nets | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: The Nets would have easily won this series if not for injuries to James Harden and Kyrie Irving. I don't think that Kevin Durant is the best basketball player of all time, but he's clearly been the best players in this series. Even better than the Bucks Giannis, who has played very well himself. But KD is going to be exhausted at this point and after the Game 6 collapse, I think the Bucks can smell the blood in the water. The pick: Further, note that Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after holding its previous opponent to 90 points or less in a SU/ATS home victory. Milwaukee's depth will prove to be the difference here vs. this wounded and undermanned Nets side. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks. |
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06-19-21 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: This has been a very defensive series so far, but I think that changes finally here. The Lightning won 2-1 in Game 3, but note that the Isles have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. The pick: These teams have two of the best goaltenders between the pipes, but the overall situation points to more of a wide-open affair. I expect the Islanders to go on the attack early and to push the pace from the opening face-off, until the final horn. As a result, look for this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* SEMI-FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Lightning/Islanders. |
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06-19-21 | Germany v. Portugal +0.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: Germany looked less than impressive in its loss to France, while Portugal rolled to a 3-0 win over Hungary. The Portugese won't be taking the foot off the gas here in this difficult group, and the pressure really is on the Germans here (especially with an own goal from Mats Hummels deciding the contest in Munich.) The pick: Joachim Low's team struggled to create opportunities, and I think that'll again be the case here vs. Portugal. Germany will be desperate to avoid defeat, as a draw today wouldn't be the end of its chances. I'm laying the price and grabbing the spread on Portugal here. This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Portugal +0.5. |
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06-18-21 | Twins -162 v. Rangers | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a complete pitching mismatch. Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.49 ERA) struck out eight over seven innings while allowing just two runs in a win over the Astros on Saturday. He has 81 K's over 77.1 innings of work and he's 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA on the road. The pick: Mike Foltynewicz (1-7, 5.48) gave up eight runs over 2.2 innings in a 12-1 loss to the Dodgers in his last start. He's 1-4 with a 6.92 ERA in all night games. The Twins can't take anyone for granted after a terrible start to the season. They just broke a three-game slide with a 7-2 win at Seattle on Wednesday and I like them to build off that with their ace on the mound. Lay the price with confidnce, the play is Minnesota. This is a 10* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Twins. |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: With a chance to end this series here and now, I like the Hawks chances to do just that. This is a well-coached team that continues to get underestimated, both by its opponents, and the bookmakers. It's Atlanta that is controlling the pace and flow of this series and I say nothing changes here in this crucial contest. Philadelphia has the best player on the floor in Joel Embiid, but the Hawks counter with the second best player in this series in Trae Young. The pick: The bottom line here though is that Atlanta's defense has been the difference-maker for it during the playoffs and I like the Hawks to continue that run here in this crucial Game 6. Outright win is completely possible obviously, but let's grab the points just in case. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Hawks. |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -111 | 30 h 22 m | Show |
The set-up: Kevin Durant is playing like a man possessed right now and with James Harden on the mend, the Nets will look to take advantage a shaky Bucks team that will be focussed on pushing the pace itself. THe Nets have played fantastic defense to this point, but fatigue plays a factor here in my opinion finally. The pick: And it won't be these talented offenses that suffer, it'll be their defensive play. These guys can run and gun all day, but when they get tired, it's their defensive play that goes down the tubes. With Giannis desperate to avoid defeat, look for this faster-paced affair to go "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Nets/Bucks. |
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06-17-21 | Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 118 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: Game 1 went "under." Game 2 went "over." I think Game 3 follows suit here and will fall "under" once the final horn sounds. New York isn't going to win this series by turning this into a "track meet" with the Lightning. Instead, they'll have to grind out victories and wait for the Bolts to make the first mistake. The pick: These are two of the best defensive clubs in the NHL, and this decisive Game 3 has all the makings of a lower-scoring affair. Finally, take note that the Isles have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a two goals or greater road loss to an opponent. This number is high. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Islanders. |
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06-17-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Giants will not only win this game, but win by a significant margin. The visitors hand the ball to Zac Gallen (1-1, 3.04 ERA), who returns from a stint on the injured list. Gallen struggled with control before landing on the IL, but he's now been given the green light to go here. He'll be on a short leash though, which definitely swings the odds in favor of Kevin Gausman today. The pick: Gausman (7-1, 1.43) is coming off his first loss of the season, giving up only two runs over four innings to the Nationals. To go along with his minuscule 0.78 WHIP, he also owns a sharp 97:18 K:BB over 81.2 innings of work. Look for Gausman to go deep, for Gallen to the get the hook early, and for the home side to post a big winning victory. This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Giants. |
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06-17-21 | Austria v. Netherlands -167 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: Netherlands has the home advantage and while it didn't look overly impressive in its win over Ukraine, it still got the job done. I think it continues to build momentum here in this favorable matchup. If recent history is any precedence, then the Netherlands has to be feeling confident here, as they've won the last six straight head-to-head meetings. The pick: Austria is an organized team, but after punching its first Euro Cup victory ever over North Macedonia last time out, this absolutely sets up as a letdown spot in my estimation here. Conversely, Netherlands won't be taking anything for granted after its "close call" last time out. Considering the circumstances listed above, I have no issues at all in laying this larger price. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Netherlands. |
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06-16-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: Yes, the Golden Knights looked fantastic in Game 1, but I believe that Montreal can make adjustments to be much more competitive in Game 2. The Habs won't be panicking. Montreal has played extremely well, as it had to battle back from a 3-1 deficit to beat high-powered Toronto in seven games, before then sweeping the high-powered Jets in four. The pick: The Habs are also 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a two-goals or greater loss to an opponent. Look for Montreal to at the very least, take this one into extras. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Canadiens. |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: This series has been interesting. Atlanta has clearly played extremely well ever since it hired Nate McMillan as coach. This has been a back and forth series. Game 1 went "over," Game 2 went "under," Game 3 went "over" and Game 4 went "under." This pattern is now set to continue in this all-important Game 5 in my opinion. The pick: And that's based upon this strong trend that's emerged, but also because of a couple strong O/U ATS trends each team has exhibited in this position, as ATL has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 after holding its previous opponent to 100 points or less in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing, while Philly has seen the total fly "over" in 14 of its last 21 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 100 points or less in. This number is low. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Hawks/76ers. |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets +3 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: Despite both Kyrie Irving and James Harden sitting this one out, I think Kevin Durant and his cast of role players can take this inconsistent Bucks team down to the wire. The pick: I think that Blake Griffin, Jeff Green and Joe Harris will have significantly better games at home. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but also note that Brooklyn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 at home. I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Nets. |
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06-15-21 | Rays v. White Sox -109 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams came into this three-game series red hot, but I think the White Sox will bounce back here after yesterday's 5-2 opening loss. Shane McClanahan (2-1, 4.54 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he gave up three runs over three innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals on Wednesday. It was his second straight poor outing and I think he'll continue to strulggle, especially in this difficult road venue. The pick: Give me Dallas Keuchel (5-1, 4.14) who is coming off back-to-back quality starts. I love Keuchel here at this price, lay it with confidence. This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the White Sox. |
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06-15-21 | Portugal v. Hungary OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: Portugal is out to defend its title with an opening clash against Hungary in Budapest. Portugal will be determined to get out to a quick start here considering the competition in Group F, and because of that, I'm expecting a higher-scoring affair here. The pick: Both teams desperately need a victory here in this opening game Portugal has to face Germany after this, followed by France. It's now or never for Portugal. But an upset here for Hungary would clearly be monumental as well. I say these teams push the pace and this one flies over sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* EURO-CUP TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Hungary/Portugal. |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -124 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the extra time off here benefits the underdog. The Habs are going to try and win this game by a "war of attrition." Montreal is red hot and I think it has the unit to upset the Golden Knights at their own game. The pick: I had a play on the Islanders on the PUCK-LINE last night as well, but didn't even need the extra goal and a half. Here though, we very well could. In a contest which I see being decided late or in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Canadiens. |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hawks have been fantastic at making game-to-game adjustments since Nate McMillan took over as head coach. I think that happens again here. Atlanta is now desperate to avoid an 0-3 hole and I like the Hawks to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that Philly is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS victories in a row as well. The pick: ATL on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a 15 points or greater SU/ATS home loss to an opponent. Look for Trae Young to have a monster game for the Hawks' defense to finally show up as well. Outright is obviously possible, but grab the points. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks. |
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06-14-21 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: I think off of yesterday's 18-4 Jays victory, that Monday's series four-game series finale sets up as much more of a "duel." Toronto hands the ball to Alek Manoah (1-0, 3.14 ERA), who bounced back from a bad outing to allow two runs over five innings while striking out four in a no-decision vs. the White Sox last time out. He so far has a decent 16/7 K/BB over 14.1 innings of work. The pick: Clearly, Boston's bullpen can't be happy with yesterday's result. This pick is based mostly upon the steady play of Boston starter Nathan Eovaldi (7-3, 4.11), who gave up five runs over six innings in a loss to Houston in his last outing. It was only the third home run he's given up all season though, and note that he's been at his best in all "night" games with a 3-1, 2.99 ERA record. Finally, note that Boston has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten after a ten runs or greater home loss in its last outing. This number is high, the play is the under. This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Jays/Red Sox. |
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06-13-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -120 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a major mismatch on the mound. The Cubs are off a win yesterday over the Cards and I love them to do it again here. Carlos Martinez (3-6, 6.21 ERA) has struggled big time this year, especially on the road where he's just 1-4 with a 7.15 ERA. The pick: Zach Davies (3-3, 4.45 ERA) comes in off his best start of the season, allowing no runs over six innings in a victory over San Diego. Davies is a solid 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA at home. Lay this price, but expect a big home side blowout. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Cubs. |
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06-13-21 | Islanders +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: Up and down the line, these clubs are very evenly matched. The Islanders have the lockdown defense to push the Lightning to the brink in this series. I also like New York to push the Bolts in Game 1. Note that the Isles are 7-1 in their last eight when playing with three or more days of rest. The pick: Conversely, the Lightning are only 2-6 in their last eight when playing with five or more days of rest. I'm banking on the defensive-minded visiting side, to at the very least, take this one into extra time. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Islanders. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: Brooklyn looked like it was going to roll over the Bucks in this series, but then it shifted to Milwaukee and the Bucks somehow managed to hold on for the 86-83 victory. It was a back and forth game and really, Milwaukee did not win that one by very much obviously. But I think that Game 4 finally sets up as a great spot for the Bucks to bounce back with a convincing win. The pick: Brooklyn's role players aren't contributing and it's two super stars are now worn out, as the continued absence of "The Beard" is now taking its toll on the Nets. I like Giannis and company to lay the hammer down here. Outright win is obvious, but let's grab the points anyways. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks. |
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06-12-21 | White Sox -171 v. Tigers | Top | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: The pick: This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the White Sox. |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | Top | 127-111 | Win | 101 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: This has been an interesting series so far. Atlanta is an interesting "X Factor" that's come out of no where to be extremely competitive. Atlanta won Game 1 after jumping out to an early lead and then maintaining that pace throughout. I expect a similar game-plan here, as Philly will try to do everything it can to contol the pace and run its offense through its big man Joel Embiid. The pick: However, the shift in venue favors a faster-pace in Game 3, one which I absolutely believe will be dictated by the home side. One last thing from a trend based stand-point, note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a ten points or greater road loss to an opponent. This number is a little low. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER 76ers/Hawks. |
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06-11-21 | White Sox -160 v. Tigers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: I think Lucas Giolito (5-5, 3.88 ERA) and the White Sox are well worth the price of admission in this spot. Giolito is out for revenge here after giving up four runs over seven innings in a loss to Detroit at home last Saturday. He did go on to strike out nine. Overall Giolito has been great this year and a bounce-back is imminent in my opinion, as note that he's 2-1 with a tiny 2.79 ERA in all "night" games this year. The pick: Tarik Skubal (3-7, 4.33) gave up one run throwing opposite Giolito last Saturday for the victory, spanning five innings. He also had 11 strikeouts. Skubal has been better at home than on the road, but definitely better in all "day" games (2-1, 2.05), than in "night" contests (1-6, 5.91). Look for Giolito to come in fired up here and to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the White Sox. |
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06-11-21 | Italy -180 v. Turkey | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: Turkey is the youngest team in the Tournament. Italy is a young team as well. Both clubs have played well coming into the Euro, but to open things off, I think the favored Italians will be prepared to take care of business on home soil. The last two head-to-head meetings between the countries have ended in a 1-1 draw, so Italy won't be taking anything for granted here either. The pick: Of their 13 international meetings leading up to this moment, the Italians have lost only once, while the Turks have drawn seven times. Turkey plays a "war of attrition" style, but I don't think that's going to cut it here against a highly-motivated Italian side. This tournament is going to feature a few big upsets, but not on Opening night. Lay the price with confidence. This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Italy. |
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06-10-21 | Clippers +3 v. Jazz | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -104 | 31 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Clippers have a legitimate shot at taking Game 2 outright. LA let a lead slip away in Game 1, and it had a shot at sending it to OT late, but ultimately while LA covered in Game 1, it lost outright. Kawhi Leonard and Paul George continue to play well though and the Clippers have the defensive toughness to make adjustments and play better against Donovan Mitchell and the Jazz. The pick: LA is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it allowed 110 or more points in. I say that this one comes right down to the wire (at the very least) as well, and that's why I'm recommending to grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the LA Clippers. |
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06-10-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -118 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: I expect Las Vegas to double down on the defensive end in an attempt to end this series here and now. The Knights stumbled in Game 1, losing 7-1, and while the lost Game 2 in OT, they've still been the much better team in this series from the get-go. Las Vegas is the No. 1 defensive team in the league, and I expect it to put on a classic clinic in front of the home town crowd here. The pick: Colorado is on the ropes and I think that it's fatigued majorily. Look for this one to fall well "under" once the final horn sounds. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Avs/Knights. |
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06-10-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox +105 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 105 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
The set-up: The Blue Jays won 6-2 last night, getting five runs over the final two frames to secure the victory. Hyun Jin Ryu though is coming off his worst start of the year and I think he'll struggle again here in this difficult road venue. Dallas Keuchel has been as solid as Chicago could possibly hope for and he comes in off a victory. I say these pitchers are evenly matched, and that swings the value to the revenge-minded home side. The pick: Which is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a four runs or greater home loss to an opponent. Bank on Keuchel outlasting Ryu and for the home side to bounce back after yesterday's defeat. This is a 10* AL BLOOD-BATH on the White Sox. |
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06-09-21 | Bruins v. Islanders +121 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 121 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
As of now, the Islanders are underdogs heading home leading 3-2 in their division finals. Bruins out-shot New York 44-19, and had a sub-par performance from the usually dependable Tuukka Rask. If the Bruins are all about the fire power of the perfection line, the Islanders show a balanced attack. While young gun Barzal has stepped up in the last two games, seven forwards are major players in Isles post season scoring. Will there be a home advantage? Bear in mind the Isles’ regular season record of 21-4-3. Special teams? If you face the Bruins, you can count on PP. opportunities. Last night the Islanders converted 3 of 4 opportunities. The Isles are also one of the least penalized teams in the NHL. Last night Boston was 1 for 2 on the power play. Isles goaltender Varlamov has been more than steady in net. Tukkaa Rask is now listed as ‘questionable” for game 6. Believe of that what you may.. One last factor to consider is the ‘Barry Trotz’ impact. A fine strategist with a steadying effect, he is a little like an extra player. The wager Play the islanders to win |
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06-08-21 | Hawks +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hawks destroyed the 76ers in Game 1. Well, they did for three quarters anyways, and then they took the foot off the gas and allowed Philly to make a game of it. Atlanta never trailed though and I think the Hawks have a legimtate shot at taking Game 2 as well. Atlanta looked especially good on the defensive side for three quarters. The pick: Is 76ers big man Joel Embiid back to 100% health? He wasn't in top form in Game 1 and the uncertainty in Game 2 is definitely not going to help this 76ers offense. When Embiid is in the line-up, the offense is run through him, but his injury makes it awkward and difficult to game-plan in the short-term. The Hawks are 100% healthy, hungry and Nate McMillan has been brilliant in making adjustments from game to game and I expect him to have another masterpiece planned tonight. Grab the points. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks. |
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06-08-21 | Lightning -1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-0 | Win | 220 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: With a chance to eliminate the dangerous Hurricanes, I think the defending champs will not only win Game 5, but I expect them to win big, getting a couple extra emtpy netters in the process. Carolina is on the ropes and I don't think it has the heart left in it to compete from a 1-3 hole. The pick: Carolina got out of its normal game-plan in Game 4, having to push the pace to try and avoid the 1-3 hole, and it'll have to abandon its normally tight defensive game-plan here as well. And that I think is not going to work against the Champs, who are versatile and can adapt. Great value, expect Tampa to move on with a decisive victory. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Lightning. |
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06-06-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 109 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: I expect an all out offensive war between these two evenly matched clubs. The Avs jumped all over the Knights in the first game of this series and won by a score of 7-1, but since then it's been a very competitive series. The last two games have fallen under th enumber, but I expect a wide-open affair here finally in Game 4. The pick: The Avs have to be careful here to not have a letdown. They'd won six in a row and looked well on their way to winning a seventh and now they'll have to match that intensity from this now confident Knights team. Everything points to a high-scoring offensive affair today. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Avs/Knights. |
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06-06-21 | Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: I'm expecting an absolute war until the final horn. In fact, this game could even go to extra's, that's how competitive it's been. LA's only averaed 108 points here during the playoffs, while Dallas has averaged 115 on the road. The pick: The Mavericks are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 100 points or less in. Outright victory? Of course. Dallas has already proven it can win here. In the end though, let's grab the points. This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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06-06-21 | Reds v. Cardinals -116 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: The Reds have taken the first three games of this series, but I say that the Cardinals dig deep here and salvage in the fourth. I also think that as good as Wade Miley (5-4, 3.26) has been this year for the Reds, John Gant (4-3, 1.60) has been even better for the Cardinals. The pick: Finally, note that St. Louis is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge three-straight losses to an opponent. As Bob Barker used to say: "The Price is right!" as well. This is a 10* AFTERNOON BLOOD-BATH on the Cardinals. |
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06-05-21 | Mets v. Padres OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: This can still be a pitchers duel and go "over" this tiny number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting here. It's impossible to say anything negative about either Jacob deGrom of the Mets or Joe Musgrove of the Padres. Each has been damn near perfect. Regression is likely to come, but not anything terrible. All of that said, this play is based entirely on some very strong O/U trends that each team has exhibited in this spot. The pick: As note that the Mets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss to an opponent, while San Diego has seen the total go "over" in seven of its last ten after shutting out its opponent in its previous outing while scoring two or less runs in the process. Look for this one to sneak over in the latter frames. This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Mets/Padres. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets -3.5 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: We haven't yet really witnessed the true power of these Brooklyn Nets. Kyrie Irving, KD and James Harden only played in eight regular seaosn games together, and Brooklyn still finished No. 2 in scoring behind the Bucks. Both teams rolled through their first round opponents, but was most impressive to me was how well the Nets played defensively against the Celtics. The pick: The Heat were completely pathetic. I think Boston could have beaten Miami if they played in the first round. I expect the Nets' Big 3 to take this personally and to send an early message. A great "situational" play here, so lay the points. This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Nets. |
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06-04-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -101 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: Colorado won Game 1 by a score of 7-1, and then it managed a 3-2 OT victory in Game 2. The Knights aren't going to be able to sit back and hope that Colorado makes the first mistake in Game 3, because the Avs are much too disciplined. Also, they have a two-game lead. Instead, Las Vegas will be forced to push the pace of this contes from start to finish. The pick: And it's interesting to note that the Knights have seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an OT road loss against an opponent. I think we'll see a similar final combined score as what we saw in Game 1. This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Avs/Knights. |