Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-04-17 | Yankees v. Indians -125 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MLB Vegas Money Line 'ANNIHILATOR' on Indians - The Yankees continue to be a huge public team and it's once again created some value going against them, as we get the Indians as a short home favorite tonight. Cleveland will send out Trevor Bauer, who is coming off arguably his best start of the season. Bauer allowed just 1 run on 8 innings. I'll take my chances he builds on that performance and has another great outing here against a Yankees offense that has managed just 1 run in their last 2 games combined. At the same, I look for the Indians offense to score a bunch in this one. Cleveland has scored 15 runs in their last 2 and will be facing what I think is an average starter in Jaime Garcia. He's just 5-7 with a 4.29 ERA in 19 starts. It's worth noting the Yankees are a mere 13-23 in their last 36 road games with a money line of +125 to -125. Take Cleveland! |
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08-04-17 | Brewers v. Rays -156 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -156 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague 'GAME OF THE YEAR' on Rays - This is one of my favorite plays of the season. Tampa Bay should have no problem cashing in a victory in this one. The Rays have a massive advantage on the mound here. They will send out Jacob Faria, who is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 10 starts this season. That includes a 2.81 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 4 home starts. Milwaukee is countering here with Brandon Woodruff, who will be making his big league debut. While a top prospect, Woodruff is a mere 6-5 with a 4.46 ERA in Triple A this season and just 1-5 with a 6.69 ERA in his last 10 starts. This is also a tough spot for Milwaukee, who hits the road after two huge series at home against division rivals Chicago and St. Louis. Brewers did take 2 of 3 over the Cardinals, but scored just 9 runs in the process. Take Tampa Bay! |
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08-03-17 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
5* American League 'TOTAL OF THE MONTH' on Yankees/Indians UNDER I really like the value here with the total in Thursday's series opener between the Yankees and Indians. This is a big series for both sides. New York is 1-game back of Boston in the AL East and Cleveland is only 2.5-games ahead of the Royals in the AL Central. A high intensity level and two big time starters should make scoring difficult to come by in what will be an usually mild day in August as temps are expected in the high 70's. The Indians send out Corey Kluber, who is 5-1 with a 1.86 ERA over his last 11 starts. Yankees counter with the newly acquired Sonny Gray, who has posted a 1.37 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over his last 6 starts. That includes a recent outing against Cleveland, where he limited the Indians to just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. Take the UNDER! |
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08-02-17 | Royals v. Orioles -120 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* American League Vegas 'NO LIMIT' Top Play on Orioles - I cashed in on Baltimore with my strongest play on the board Tuesday and I'm firing back with another Top Play selection on the Orioles Wednesday. Baltimore has won 4 straight and ths is an ideal spot to back them at home when they are playing well, as they are an impressive 32-21 at home on the season. WHile the Orioles are suring, the Royals have now lost 3 of 4 since that 9-game winning streak and I look for the sruggles to continue here. KC will send out one of the more overrated starters in baseball in Jason Vargas, who is not as good as his 13-4 record would lead on. Vargas has found things a lot more difficult of late and comes in with a 5.93 ERA and 1.902 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Orioles will counter with newly acquired Jeremy Hellickson and I look for him to shine here against a Royals offense that has manged just 3 runs on 10 hits in their last 2 games combined. Take Baltimore! |
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08-01-17 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total 'ANNIHILATOR' on Cardinals/Brewers UNDER I like the value here with today's total in the series opener between the Brewers and Cardinals. This is a huge series for both teams. Miwaukee's recent struggles has seen them go from a 5.5-game lead in the NL Central to trailing the Cubs by 2.5-games. St. Louis is quietly lurking just 4.5-games back of Chicago. I expect both teams to do whatever it takes to secure a win in the series opener and we got two above-average starters going in this one. St Louis sends out Carlos Martinez, who is considered the ace of their staff and owns a 2.19 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Brewers. Milwaukee counters with Jimmy Nelson, who has a 3.38 ERA in 21 starts overall and a sensational 2.39 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in 11 home starts. Take the UNDER! |
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08-01-17 | Tigers v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line 'MASSACRE' on Yankees -1.5 New York is showing some decent value here on the run line Tuesday against the Tigers. The Yankees are rolling and will be excited to take the field after landing a legit ace in Gray at the trade deadline. I look for New York to have no problem winning here by at least 2 runs, as they have a massive edge on the mound. The Yankees will send out C.C. Sabathia, who is 9-3 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 17 starts and owns a strong 2.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. Detroit counters with Anibal Sanchez, who has come back to reality after throwing well for a period after being added back to the rotation. Sanchez has an ugly 7.04 ERA and 1.890 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take New York -1.5! |
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08-01-17 | Royals v. Orioles -126 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Orioles - Baltimore won in walk-off fashion Monday, defeating the Royals 2-1. That's now 2 losses in KC's last 3 games, which has followed that impressive 9-game winning streak. My money is on the Orioles to keep the momentum going and secure a series win with another victory tonight. Baltimore has won 3 straight overall and are 6-1 in their last 7 home games against the Royals. Dylan Bundy will start for the Orioles and he's clearly not had the type of season they were hoping for. I still like this spot for Bundy, who has pitched his best at home and was sharp in a previous outing against KC this season, allowing just 2 runs on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts in 6 innings of work. Royals counter with Ian Kennedy, who I simply don't trust in this spot. Orioles are 47-25 at home off 2 or more wins over the lsat 3 years and the Royals are a mere 8-21 in their last 29 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their last contest.Take Baltimore! |
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07-31-17 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas 'NO LIMIT' Top Play on Blue Jays -1.5 The White Sox are coming off a rare win yesterday, as they defeated division rival Cleveland 3-1 behind a strong performance from their future ace Carlos Rodon. One of the few good pitchers left on the staff. Chicago will open up their new series with James Shields taking the mound against Marco Estrada of the Blue Jays. Shields has been terrible since returning from the DL and has a 8.16 ERA and 2.163 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The only reason the Blue Jays aren't a much bigger favorite is due to Estrada having struggled of late. I still think this White Sox offense is one he can tame. Chicago hasn't scored more than 4 runs in over a week (7/21). Blue Jays are also playing well right now having won 5 of 7. Take Toronto! |
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07-30-17 | Mets v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider 'TOP PLAY' on Mets/Mariners UNDER I really like the value here with the total in Sunday's series finale between the Mets and Mariners. Seattle will send out one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in James Paxton, who in his last two starts (against the Astros and Red Sox) has allowed a mere 1 run on 10 hits with 17 strikeouts to just 1 walk in 14 innings of work. He's now 10-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 17 starts overall with a 2.36 ERA in 10 home starts and 1.35 ERA in his last 3 outings. New York counters here with Seth Lugo, who has a strong 3.26 ERA in his last 3 starts and should be able to limit a Mariners offense that is hitting a mere .228 was a team over their last 7 games. Take the UNDER! |
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07-29-17 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
5* AL Central 'TOTAL OF THE MONTH' on White Sox/Indians UNDER Runs should be extremely hard to come by for both teams on Saturday. No explanation needed for why it will be difficult for the White Sox, as they go up against former Cy Young winner Corey Kluber and have been awful offensively the last couple of weeks. The key here is how well Chicago starter Miguel Gonzalez has been throwing. Gonzalez returned to the rotation on 7/18 (prev start 6/14) and allowed just 1 run on 5 hits against a loaded Dodgers lineup. In his next start he held the Cubs to 1 run on 7 hits in 7 1/3 innings. Going into Friday one of only two losses for the Cubs since the break. I expect him to match Kluber and keep this a low scoring game. Take UNDER! |
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07-29-17 | Astros -1.5 v. Tigers | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line 'MASSACRE' on Astros -1.5 The Tigers threw in the white towel on this season, but surely came into Friday's series opener wanting to play well against the best team in the AL in Houston. Everything was looking good, as Detroit had a 5-3 lead going into the 8th. That's when the Astros scored 3 and went on to win 6-5. That's a crushing loss to an already damaged pysche. Will be tough for them to bounce back with a good effort here. Houston's offense should provide more than enough offensive fire power for the Astros to win by at least 2 runs. Detroit is sending out lefty Matt Boyd, who is 4-5 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.678 WHIP in 13 starts. He's got a 5.40 ERA at home and 5.74 ERA over his last 3. Take Houston -1.5! |
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07-29-17 | Mets -143 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Loss | -143 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line 'ANNIHILATOR' on Mets - I like the value here with New York, even as a pretty well priced road favorite. That's because the Mets will be sending out one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in Jacob deGrom. He's got a 1.59 ERA and 0.882 WHIP over his last 3 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. The Mariners are countering with Yovani Gallardo, who is a mere 3-7 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in 15 starts. He's somehow got even worse numbers at home, posting a 7.29 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 8 home starts. The Mets have been better offensively of late and should be able to do enough to secure the win. Take New York! |
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07-28-17 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total 'ANNIHILATOR' on Cubs/Brewers UNDER This is a big time series for July as you have two teams fighting for the NL Central title going at in Milwaukee this weekend. I expect all 3 games to have a playoff like feel, as each one is so important. That has me leaning heavily towards the UNDER with tonight's high total, as we have two strong starters facing off. Chicago will send out newly acquired starter Jose Quintana, who has been excellent in his first two starts with the Cubs, allowing just 3 runs on 8 hits with 19 strkeouts in 13 innings of work. Milwaukee counters with Brent Suter, who has made just 5 starts, but pitched very well in those starts, posting a 2.60 ERA and 1.120 WHIP. Take the UNDER! |
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07-27-17 | Mets -101 v. Padres | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas 'NO LIMIT' Top Play on Mets - I like the value here with New York at basically a pick'em on the road against the Padres. The Mets are flying under the radar here due to the fact that they are sending out 23-year-old Chris Flexen to make his big league debut. Flexen is making the jump from Double-A straight to the majors and this highly touted prosect has been throwing the ball extremely well, going 6-1 with a 1.76 ERA in 10 starts this season. Having the kid make his debut should add some life to the Mets, as well as the fact that they are coming off a disappointing 3-6 loss on Wednesday. Even with that defeat, NY is 6-2 over their last 8. I also think the offense is poised for a big game here, as San Dieogo sends out Luis Perdomo, who is a mere 4-5 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in 17 starts this season. Take New York! |
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07-26-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Cubs -1.5 The Cubs are rolling out of the break and I think are going to be a good team to back, even if you have to avoid the big juice with the run line. I'll gladly pay this price on the Cubs here with a surging Jake Arrieta on the mound against the likes of James Shields, who is more of a mentor than anything with the White Sox. Shields clearly isn't starting because of his performance, as he's got a 5.79 ERA and 1.629 WHIP in 9 starts and owns a 8.10 ERA in his 6 outings since returning from a trip on the DL. Cubs offense is trending in the right direction and are in a prime spot here to score a bunch of runs. White Sox pitching has allowed opponents to hit .308 with a .404 OBP over their last 7 games. During this stretch they are allowing on average 5.3 runs/game and scoring a mere 2.6 runs/game. Take Chicago -1.5! |
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07-26-17 | Brewers +113 v. Nationals | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
4* MLB Undervalued Underdog 'HEAVY HITTER' on Brewers + I like the value her with Milwaukee as a dog on Wednesday. The Brewers had one of their best all-around performances since the All-Star break in yesterday's 8-0 win over the Nationals. I like their chances of building off that win behind underrated starter Jimmy Nelson, who has 11 quality starts (team best) in 20 outings. I look for him to limit the Nationals lineup, while the Brewers offense puts up a decent number here against Gion Gonzalez. While Gonzalez has amazing overall numbers for 2017, he's coming off a very poor outing against the Angels, allowing 4 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in a mere 5 2/3 innings. I think those struggles continue here against a highly motivated and locked in Brewers sqaud. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-26-17 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Mariners | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
4* MLB Afternoon Run Line 'ANNIHILATOR' on Red Sox -1.5 Boston is showing some decent value here on the run line, as they figure to have an excellent shot at winning here by 2+ runs. The Red Sox are sending out ace Chris Sale, who has not disapppointed in his first season with Boston. He's 12-4 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.892 WHIP in 20 starts and he's rolling right now with a 1.74 ERA and 0.871 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's going to be a little extra motivated here to help his team avoid getting swept by the Mariners. Seattle will counter with Andrew Moore, who has a 5.70 ERA in 5 starts and has really struggled in his first two starts after the break, giving up 10 runs on 15 hits in just 9 innings of work. Boston got their offense going in a losing effort yesterday and I expect them to put up a big number here. Take Boston -1.5! |
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07-25-17 | Rockies v. Cardinals -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cardinals - I like the value here with St Louis at home against the Rockies on Tuesday. This is a huge series for the Cardinals and they got it started off right with a 8-2 win on Monday. They are in a great position to add another victory tonight, as they have a clear edge on the mound with Lance Lynn facing off against Jon Gray. Lynn owns a respectable 3.30 ERA in 20 starts, but has a sensational 2.66 ERA in 8 home starts and has been straight dealing of late with 0.47 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Gray is still trying to figure things out. He's 3-1, but owns an ugly 6.19 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in 7 starts and has a 9.00 ERA on the road and 9.22 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take St Louis! |
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07-25-17 | Angels v. Indians -1.5 | 7-11 | Win | 120 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line 'NO BRAINER' on Indians -1.5 I like Cleveland to not only win, but to do so by at least 2 runs on Tuesday. The Indians have a clear edge on the mound with Mike Clevinger facing off against Jesse Chavez. Cleveland also comes in playing great ball, as they have won 4 straight and scored a whopping 29 runs during this stretch. The offense shoudl continue to roll against Chavez, who is 2-6 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.567 WHIP in 10 starts. On the flip side, Clevinger is straight rolling right now. He's got a sensational 0.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in his last 3 starts and now owns a 2.74 ERA in 12 starts overall. Take Cleveland -1.5! |
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07-25-17 | A's +104 v. Blue Jays | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line 'ANNIHILATOR' on A's + I like the value here with Oakland on Tuesday. The A's will send out one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in Sonny Gray, who has a 1.96 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Gray is auditioning to contenders, who might trade for him and he's finally looking like he's back to full strength. I just think it's well worth the risk to take the red-hot Gray against Toronto starter Cesar Valdez, who is coming out of the pen and nothing to be excited about. The A's should be able to get the bats going here. As for the Blue Jays, they not only are facing a good pitcher, but come in struggling at the plate. Take Oakland! |
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07-24-17 | Pirates v. Giants UNDER 8 | 10-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Late Night Total 'MASSACRE'on Pirates/Giants UNDER
That's a promising sign for Giants starter Matt Cain, who owns a respectable 3.00 ERA in 9 home starts and is coming off a strong outing at home against the Indians. Pirates counter with Gerrit Cole, who has been dealing of late with 2.37 ERA and 0.947 WHIP. Take the UNDER! |
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07-24-17 | Red Sox v. Mariners -147 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line 'ANNIHILATOR' on Mariners - I'll take my chances here with the Mariners at home with emerging ace James Paxton. After a great start to the season, Paxton hit a rough patch in June, but has been lights out in July with a 2.05 RA and 4-0 record in 4 starts. He's one of those guys that I believe you can keep backing the rest of the way and show a nice profit. It certainly doesn't hurt that he's got a 0.73 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Red Sox. Both Mariners' wins. Boston will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who is making just his second start since the 1st of June. He returned the rotation on 7/17 and struggled, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits with 4 walks in just 5 1/3 innings. He's not nearly as good on the road and will need to be great to keep pace with Paxton. My money is on the Mariners offense to deliver. Take Seattle -1.5! |
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07-24-17 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB Run Line 'PLAY OF THE MONTH' on Diamondbacks -1.5 My money is on Arizona to not only win, but to do so by at least 2 runs. Arizona will send out ace Zack Greinke, who is having a great season. Greinke is 11-4 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.047 WHIP in 19 starts. He has been nearly unbeatable at home, where he's 9-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in 11 starts. I see no reason why he won't put up another stellar outing here at home against a average team like the Braves. Atlanta will counter with R.A. Dickey, who has been throwing the ball well of late, but the road has not been kind to him this season. Dickey is 1-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.511 WHIP in 8 road starts. Greinke is 42-10 in his last 52 as a home favorite of -175 to -250 and these wins have come by an average of 2.2 runs/game. Take Arizona -1.5! |
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07-23-17 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -105 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
5* MLB Situational 'HEAVY HITTER' Top Play on Diamondbacks - I like the value here with Arizona at basically a pick'em against the Nationals. Washington will send out Strasburg, but the Diamondbacks counter with one of the NL's best in Robbie Ray, who is 9-4 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 18 starts. He's faced Washington once this season and pitched very well, allowing just 2 runs on 4 hits in 10 innings. Ray is a lefty and the Nations aren't nearly the same team offensively against left-handed starters. They are scoring 5.6 runs/game on the season, but just 4.2 runs/game against left-handed starters. Their season average is .276 but only .255 when they go up against a south paw starter. Take Arizona! |
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07-22-17 | Red Sox -140 v. Angels | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider 'NO LIMIT' Top Play on Red Sox - I really like the value here with Boston in Saturday's matchup that features David Price on the mound against the Angels' J.C. Ramirez. Price has made just 10 starts in 2017 and it took a little bit to get going, but he's been absolutely on fire of late, posting a 0.90 ERA in his last 3 starts. The most recent being 8 shutout innings against rival New York. He's got a less than great 3.97 ERA in 6 road starts, but he was really good in his last 2 road outings, allowing just 2 runs over 12 innings. Ramirez for LA has been trending in the wrong direction. He just allowed 4 runs at home in a 3-6 loss to the Rays and has now allowed 4 or more in 3 of his last 4 starts and 6 of his last 9. He's 0-5 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.329 WHIP in 9 home starts this season. I just don't see him matching Price in this one. Note that Prices's last 2 starts in LA have seen him give up just 2 runs with 15 strikeouts to just 2 walks in 16 innings (8 innings each start). Take Boston! |
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07-21-17 | Pirates v. Rockies -132 | 13-5 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line 'ANNIHILATOR' on Rockies - Pittsburgh has been playing some of their best baseball, but the Rockies are also playing well, as they enter having won 4 straight. The offense has been clicking for Colorado, as they have scored a ridiculous 49 runs in their last 4 games! What a lot of people will overlook with the Pirates 5-game winning streak is the struggles they enduring on offense. Pittsburgh has scored 4 or fewer in all 5 of those wins. You have to be able to score runs to have success at Coors Field and I just trust the Rockies a lot more in this spot. Note that this could be a bit of a letdown spot for the Pirates having just traveled after concluding a 4-game sweep of the Brewers yesterday. I also like the pitching matchup. Pittsburgh gives the rock to Trevor Williams, who has a 4.56 ERA in 13 starts and 5.16 ERA in 6 road starts. Rockies are 7-3 in Jeff Hochman's 10 starts this season and he's pitched well of late. Take Colorado! |
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07-21-17 | White Sox v. Royals -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line 'MASSACRE' on Royals -1.5 Kansas City crushed Detrot 16-4 yesterday in the scorching heat and will be playing in similar condition tonight, as the head index is expected to be north of 100 degrees when this one gets started. Note Tigers' starter Michael Fulmer came into yesterday on fire and was torched for 8 runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Tonight the Roayls offense goes up against the inconsistent James Shields, who has allowed 10 runs on 13 hits (4 HRs) in his last 2 starts. KC will send out Ian Kennedy, who also figures to give up some runs in these conditions, but I like his chances to keep the White Sox in check. Kennedy has a strong 2.79 ERA and 1.034 WHIP in his last 3 starts and Chicago is averaging a mere 2.4 runs/game in their last 7. Take Kansas City -1.5! |
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07-21-17 | Tigers v. Twins -133 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -133 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
5* AL Central (ML) 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Twins - By trading away J.D. Martinez the Tigers made it official that they were throwing in the towel on this season. More key players figure to be shipped before the deadline. I just don't like the mindset of Detroit right now and this is a tough spot having just played in brutally hot conditions yesterday in KC and having to travel north to Minnesota for tonight's opener. The Twins surprisingly are still in the hunt and making moves to try and improve. Hard to not like Minnesota here with All-Star starter and ace of the staff Ervin Santana on the mound. Santana owns a 2.99 ERA in 19 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his last 5 starts against the Tigers. Detroit counters with Anibal Sanchez who is still trying to figure things out, making only his 6th start of the season and he wasn't sharp in his last start agains tthe Blue Jays at home, giving up 5 runs on 9 hits (3 HRs) in just 6 innings of work. Take Minnesota! |
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07-20-17 | Padres v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
5* MLB Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play on Giants -1.5 The Giants are riding a wave of momentum, as they open this series at home against the Padres. San Francisco won via a walk-off in Tuesday's 2-1 win over the Indians. They followed that up yesterday by scoring 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th to turn a 2-4 defecit into a 5-4 win. Confidence is a beatiful thing and San Francisco will have plenty of it here as they send out their ace Madison Bumgarner in what will be his second start since a return from a lengthy trip on the DL. To no surprise, Bumgarner delivered in his first start back from To no surprise, Bumgarner delivered in his first start back from injry, allowing just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innigns against these Padres in San Diego. If not for the 2 home runs he allowed, the Padres likely don't score and the Giants win, but they lost 3-5 on a 2-run shot in the bottom of the 9th. Bumgarner will be extra motivated to get his revenge and propel his team to a win. San Diego counters with Jhoylys Chacin, who has a 8.16 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in 9 road starts. Take San Francisco! |
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07-19-17 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
5* National League Run Line 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Diamondbacks -1.5 I cashed in on Arizona on the run line yesterday in an easy 11-2 win, snapping their 5-game losing streak. Once a team breaks through after a losing streak, they often keep it rolling and the Diamonbacks are in a perfect spot to do just that. Arizona will send out their ace Zack Greinke, who is 11-4 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.997 WHIP in 18 starts and owns a 1.42 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention Greinke is 8-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 13 career starts against the Reds. Cincinnati has lost all 5 games out of the break and haven't really been competitive in any of those defeats. All 5 losses have come by at least 5 runs and they have allowed a staggering 46 runs combined. They will send out Tim Adleman, who has a 5.12 ERA in 16 starts overall, 5.33 ERA in 9 starts at home and 6.91 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Arizona -1.5! |
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07-18-17 | Cubs v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total No Brainer on Cubs/Braves OVER I've been on the Cubs during their great run out of the break. While I would lean Chicago again, I think the real value in this game is the OVER. Atlanta's SunTrust Park is a very hitter-friendly park and I expect both offenses to provide plenty of fire-power here. Cubs will send out veteran John Lackey, who is in danger with getting demoted to the bullpen, as he's 5-9 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 17 starts and has given up a staggering 24 home runs. Atlanta scored just 3 runs last night, but are still averaging 6.3 runs/game over their last 7. Chicago attack has been equally impressive, as they put up 31 runs in their 4 games out of the break. They will face Atlanta rookie left-handed starter Sean Newcomb, who has struggled against top level teams. Note Chicago is averaging 6.2 runs/game and hitting .280 as a team vs lefty starters this season. Take OVER! |
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07-18-17 | Yankees -130 v. Twins | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider 'TOP PLAY' on Yankees - I know New York is in a bit of a funk here, but this price is just too good to pass up on the Yankees against the Twins. Minnesota will send out 44-year-old Bartolo Colon, who was run out of town in Atlanta after going 2-8 with a 8.14 ERA and 1.778 WHIP in 13 starts. It's amazing he's still pitching at his age, but I'm not sure what the Twins are thinking here adding him. This is exactly what the doctor ordered for the struggling New York offense. Twins have not been a good home team and are just 6-16 at home with a total of 10 or more, while the Yankees are 17-3 this season after a 5-game stretch where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better. Take New York! |
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07-18-17 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Reds | 11-2 | Win | 120 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line 'MASSACRE' on Diamondbacks -1.5 I'm going to jump on Arizona here against the Reds. The Diamondbacks were swept in a 3-game series at Atlanta out of the break and have lost 5 straight and are just 3-11 in their last 14 overall. After a day off yesterday and signfigant edge on the mound, I look for Arizona to not only win but to so in blowout fashion. Diamondbacks will send out Robbie Ray who has been rock solid all season on the road, going 4-1 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 8 starts. Last time out he held the Dodgers to just 1 run on 5 hits with 13 strikeouts in 6 innigns. While Ray shuts down the Reds offense, the offense should breakout of their slump. Cincinnati pitching just gave up 35 runs in a 4-game series at home against the Nationals and will be sending out youngster Sal Romano for just his third big league start. Take Arizona -1.5! |
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07-17-17 | Cubs -154 v. Braves | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
5* National League 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Cubs - I've been on the Cubs out of the break and they just finished off a sweep of the Orioles in Baltimore with a 8-0 win behind newly acquired starter Jose Quintana. The offense was sensational, scoring 27 runs on 41 hits and it was a collective effort. Whether it was the trade or the 4-days off, this team looks like the team from last year. How long that will last is hard to say, but I'm riding them right now. Today they got ace Jon Lester on the mound and he's got something to prove after failing to last an inning in his last start. Lester is as competitive as they get and I expect him to respond with one of his best performances. As for the Cubs offense, they should keep it rolling against Atlanta's Julio Teheran, who is a mere 1-6 with a 7.58 ERA and 1.640 WHIp in 9 home starts. Take Chicago! |
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07-16-17 | Cubs -138 v. Orioles | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas 'NO LIMIT' Top Play on Cubs - Chicago has came out of the break on a mission and have taken the first two game in this series behind an offensive explosion. The Cubs have scored 19 runs and it's been a team effort with 8 home runs coming from 7 different players. This is the first time since May of last season that the Cubs scored 9 or more runs in consecutive games. I believe this is the start of a strong second half and there's certainly going to be no letdown in the series finale, as the Cubs will desperately want to win the first start of their new addition in starter Jose Quintana. He doesn't have great overall numbers, but was pitching on a horrible team. He came to life here in the last couple months, as he owns a strong 2.70 ERA since the beginning of June. Baltimore counters with Ubaldo Jimenez, who owns a 7.25 ERA and 1.612 WHIP in 13 starts. That as bad as it gets for a guy with 10+ starts. With the way the Cubs are swinging the bat, I don't see this going well for Jimenez and that should get the Cubs into a Orioles bullpen that has been worked hard the last two days. Take Chicago! |
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07-15-17 | Cubs -128 v. Orioles | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague Game of the Month on Cubs - Chicago was able to come out of the break and secure a 9-8 win over the Orioles. It was nearly a devastating loss, as the Cubs blew a 8-0 lead, needing a home run by Addison Russel in the top of the 9th to secure the win. I really like the focus I saw from the Cubs last night and I look for this team to go on a big run here out of the break. I'll definitely take my chances with Chicago in this one, as the Cubs send out Jake Arrieta, who the Orioles traded to Chicago. You can bet he's going to be excited for his first start back in Baltimore. Arrieta wasn't great in his final outing, but has been throwing much better of late. Orioles will counter with southpaw Wade Miley, who posted an atrocious 8.02 ERA and 2.431 WHIP in his final 3 starts before the break and is now 4-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.748 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Chicago has owned left-handed starters this season, as they are averaging 6.0 runs/game and hitting .273 with a .361 OBP. Cubs have won 6 straight against lefties, are 7-0 in Arrieta's last 7 starts with 6 days of rest and 7-0 in last 7 interleague games against a team with a losing record! Take Chicago! |
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07-14-17 | Twins v. Astros -163 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line 'NO BRAINER' on Astros - I don't see the Astros slowing down at all in the 2nd half and it's only a matter of time before they are massive favorites the rest of the way out. This is a good price in my opinion to bak Houston at home, especially given the pitching matchup. Astros will send out Charlie Morton, who was sharp in his return from the DL, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings at Toronto. Minnesota is countering with Jose Berrios, who has solid overall numbers, but was trending in the wrong direction going into the break with a 6.23 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Berrois has started against Houston 3 times in his career and has an awful 8.03 ERA and 2.109 WHIP in those outings, all of which have come in the last two seasons. Take Houston! |
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07-14-17 | Phillies v. Brewers -161 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
5* MLB Post All-Star Break 'SUPER SYSTEM TOP PLAY' on Brewers - Home favorites have historically held a huge edge in the first game back from the All-Star break and it's at it's strongest with favorites of -130 or more. Going back to 2004, home favorites of -130 or more are 52-17 (75%) against the money line with a ROI of 24.1%! Milwaukee has to be sick of everyone talking about the Cubs and how they will come back to win the division. The Brewers don't get any respect and I like these kind of teams. Phillies are just playing for pride at this point and are a miserable 13-33 on the road this season. Milwaukee sends out Zach Davies who was surging into the break with a 2.84 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Brewers offense should give him plenty of support against the Phillies Nick Pivetta, who is 2-4 with a 4.73 in 11 starts overall and owns an ugly 5.56 ERA and 1.764 WHIP in 7 road outings. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-14-17 | Rockies v. Mets -141 | 2-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MLB No Doubt Money Line 'BLOWOUT' on Mets - I like New York to take care of business at home against the Rockies in the first game back out of the All-Star break. Mets will send out their ace of 2017 in Jacob deGrom, who is 9-3 with a solid 3.65 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 17 starts. deGrom has an even better 2.56 ERA and 1.177 WHIP in 8 home starts and was red-hot going into the break with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 outings. I trust him a lot more than Jon Gray of the Rockies, who has a 4.85 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in 3 road starts. Colorado isn't the same offensive team on the road and will struggle to score enough to make this a game against deGrom. Take New York! |
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07-09-17 | White Sox +113 v. Rockies | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on White Sox + I like the value here with the White Sox as a underdog in Sunday's series finale before the All-Star break. Chicago will send out future ace Carlos Rodon, who has looked the part in his first two outings of 2017. Last time out Rodon allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings of work. Colorado starter Kyle Freeland is not in good form, as he's poste an ugly 7.27 ERA and 1.789 WHIP in his last 3 starts and it's been equally bad in all 3, allowing at least 7 hits and 4 runs in each outing. Rockies are a mere 9-20 in their last 29 interleague home games against a team that has an OBP of .330 or worse in the second half and the White Sox are 17-9 in Rodon's last 26 starts when he faces a team in the 2nd half that is averaging 7 or more strikeouts. Take Chicago! |
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07-08-17 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Diamonbacks -1.5 (+145) I cashed in on Arizona with the -1.5 run line Friday and I'm jumping right back on them Saturday. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, this is a big series for the Diamonbacks who had just got swept by the Dodgers in their previous series. They desperately want to go into the All-Star break with some momentum. Not only do I like the Dbacks to win here by 2+ runs, but we are getting great value with these odds. Arizona will send out Taijuan Walker, who has a solid 3.30 ERA in 13 starts and is in good form coming off a 7 innings effort at home against the Rockies, where he allowed just 1 earned run. Cincinnati's pitching is not good and they send out youngster Luis Castillo, who has a 4.41 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 3 starts and it's been even worse when on the road. Take Arizona -1.5! |
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07-08-17 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Afternoon Total Annihilator on Mets/Cardinals OVER These two teams combined for 11 runs in the series opener last night and it could have been a lot more, as the two combined to hit 6 home runs, just one shy of the record at Busch Stadium. Conditions should be ideal for more long balls today and the starting pitching matchup also figures to aid in a high-scoring game. Keep in mind yesterday's game featured arguably the best starter right now for both teams in deGrom and Martinez. St Louis sends out veteran Adam Wainwright, who has a 5.48 ERA and 1.550 WHIP in 17 starts and fresh off an outing at home against the Marlins where he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in just 5 innings. It's been even worse of late for Mets starter Zack Wheeler, who has an atrocious 18.39 ERA and 2.861 WHIP in his last 3 starts, pushing his ERA to 5.01 on the season. Take the OVER! |
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07-07-17 | A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night Total Annihilator on A's/Mariners UNDER Runs figure to be hard to come by Friday night when the Mariners host the A's. Two of baseball's rising young starters will square off as Seattle's James Paxton takes on Oakland's Sean Manaea. Paxton got off to an incredible start, but had to take a short trip to the DL. He struggled in his first few starts back, but has returned to his old form in his last 2 starts and is primed for a great outing here against a sub-par A's offense. Manea has a 2.84 ERA over his last 3 starts and has been extremely consistent of late, allowing 2 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts. Only two expections were against the potent offenses of the Astros and Yankees. Seattle isn't hitting well right now. They have a mere .248 batting average over their last 7 and have scored 3 or less runs in 6 of their last 11. Take the UNDER! |
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07-07-17 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 105 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line Massacre on Diamondbacks -1.5 Arizona returns home pissed off after giving up a 4-1 lead in the 9th to the rival Dodgers, which resulted in them being swept and falling 5.5-games back of LA for 1st place in the NL West. I expect this team to put a priority on taking care of business against the Reds and that should be all they need to not only win Friday, but to do so in convincingy fashion. Arizona will have their ace Zack Greinke on the mound, who is 10-4 with a 3.05 ERA in 17 starts overall and a perfect 8-0 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.890 WHIP in 10 home starts. Reds will counter with Tim Adleman, who has a 4.75 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in 6 road starts and a 6.60 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Diambacks offense is averaging 6 runs/game at home and should win here by 2+ runs no problem. Take Arizona -1.5! |
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07-07-17 | Orioles -121 v. Twins | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
5* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles - I really like this spot and value with Baltimore as a short road favorite against the Twins. Baltimore will send out Kevin Gausman, who has looked as sharp as he has all season in his last 2 starts and I like his chances of keeping it going in his final start before the break. Gausman didn't allow a run in 5 1/3 innings at Toronto and then tossed 7 scoreless at home against a red-hot Rays team. Twins are still 7-games under .500 at home and hard to trust their starter today. Felix Jorge will make his second career start. He got the win his debut, but was far from dominant, giving up 3 runs on 7 hits with only 2 strikeouts in 5 innings. He was lucky the offense put up 10 runs. I think this is just what the Orioles' struggling offense needs to get going. Take Baltimore! |
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07-06-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -147 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Dodgers - Los Angels has taken each of the first two in this huge series at home against the Diamonbacks and I look for them to have no problem finishing off the sweep in the finale Thursday night. The Dodgers will send out Rich Hill, who after a slow start is looking more and more like the dominant starter we saw last year. Hill has a 1.89 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's recorded an impressive 26 strikeouts in 19 innings of work. Arizona will counter with Robbie Ray, who has pitched well, posting a 3.06 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 16 starts. However, Ray is trending in the wrong direction, as he's got an ugly 5.10 ERA and 1.812 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He last faced the Dodgers on 4/22 and gave up 5 runs on 9 hits in just 5 1/3 innings. I look for LA's offense to be the difference in this one, as the Dbacks don't figure to do much at the plate against Hill. Take Los Angeles! |
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07-05-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
5* Pre All-Star Break TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Dbacks/Dodgers UNDER While not quite a playoff atmosphere, this is a big game given where these two are sitting in the standings in the NL West title race. Both teams are going to do whatever it takes to get a win and with the pitching matchup going today, runs are going to be hard to come by. Arizona sends out Zack Godley, who has a strong 2.67 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 10 starts and has been just as good on the road with a 2.84 ERA in 5 starts. LA counters with Alex Wood, who has been lights out in 2017. Wood is 8-0 with a 1.98 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in 12 starts. UNDER is 7-1 in Woods last 8 starts against a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 in this situation at home. UNDER is also 5-1 in Godley's last 6 after a Quality Start and 6-2-1 in Arizona's last 9 against a left-handed starter. Take the UNDER! |
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07-04-17 | Red Sox v. Rangers -118 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -118 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rangers - I was on the wrong end of Monday's game, as the Rangers lost in extra innings. I believe that loss will light a fire under Texas and have them ready to go in front of what should be a packed house on the 4th of July. On top of that, the Rangers will send out their ace Yu Darvish, who has really pitched well in his last two starts against the Red Sox, allowing 3 runs on 6 hits with 26 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings of work. On the flip side of this, the Red Sox send out David Price, who is still trying to work out the kinks. In 7 starts, he's got a 4.61 ERA and a 5.32 ERA in 4 outings on the road. He's also got a poor history against the Rangers, posting a 5.42 ERA and 1.391 WHIP in 17 starts. Take Texas! |
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07-03-17 | Red Sox v. Rangers +104 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a short home dog against the Red Sox this Monday. The Rangers went just 1-4 over their final 5 of a 10-game road trip, which I believe has them undervalued here at home against Boston. Texas is 5-1 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. They are also 8-3 in their last 11 following a loss. The Red Sox come in having won 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The only loss during the stretch came with today's starter, Rick Porcello, on the mound. The reigning Cy Young winner has been a major disapponemtnet, as Porcello is a mere 4-10 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.514 WHIP in 17 starts this season. He's 1-4 in 7 road starts and owns an ugly 6.87 ERA in his last 3 outings, not to mention a 5.49 ERA in 11 career starts against these Rangers. Take Texas! |
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07-02-17 | Yankees +107 v. Astros | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
5* Yankees/Astros MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees + New York had a 6-3 lead going into the bottom of the 8th, before their bullpen had an usual collapse, giving up 4 runs in what turned out to be a 6-7 defeat. That loss isn't going to sit well and I look for the Yankees to come out with a chip on their shoulder in the series finale against the Astros. New York will send out Luis Severino, who has a 2.50 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 8 road starts and is comign off a strong outing after a couple of subpar showins. Houston's Michael Fiers has pitched well, but is coming off a shaky outing at home against the A's where he gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 and I like the Yankees chances of getting to him in this one. Take New York! |
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07-01-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals -112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Cardinals - I really like the value here with St Louis as a short home favorite against the Nationals. The Cardinals are rolling right now. After taking the opener 8-1 on Friday, they have now won 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. I wouldn't be shocked if they kept this going into the All-Star break. I'll take my chances here given the pitching matchup. Gio Gonzalez is getting a ton of respect from the books here as he's 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 16 starts. He's got a 6-1 record in 8 road outings, but he hasn't been as good as the record might suggest. Gonzalez has a not so great 4.06 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in those 8 road starts. With how the Cardinals are playing, I look for them to get to him early and score enough to secure a win behind Michael Wacha, who is 4-1 with a 3.26 ERA in 9 home starts. Take St Louis! |
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06-30-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -138 | 6-3 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night Money Line Annihilator on Rays - I like the value here with Arizona at this price at home against a Rockies team that is in a major funk. Colorado has lost 8 straight and figure to find it difficult to snap that streak against Arizona's Robbie Ray, who is 8-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 15 starts. Ray is a big reason why the Diamondbacks have got off to such a great start. Rockies counter with Jon Gray, who is one of their promising young starters, but he's making his first start since April 13th, as he's spent the last 2+ months on the DL. I just don't see Gray being sharp enough against this high-powered Dbacks offense that comes in averaging 6.1 runs/game and are hitting .286 as a team at home this year (30-12 home record). Take Arizona! |
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06-30-17 | Twins v. Royals -120 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* Vegas AL Central NO LIMIT Top Play on Royals - I really like the Royals here as a short home favorite against the Twins. Kansas City has been playing much better of late and have one of the most underrated starters on the mound in Jason Vargas, who is 11-3 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 15 starts. He's been outstanding at home, where he owns a 1.92 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 8 starts. Vargas has allowed more than 3 earned runs just once all season. Twins counter with Ervin Santana, who is 10-4 with a 2.80 ERA overall, but he's been widely inconsistent of late. Santana has allowed 5 or more runs in 5 of his last 10 starts. He owns a 4.51 ERA in his career against the Royals and after a strong outing last time out, I look for Santana to struggle in this one. Take Kansas City! |
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06-30-17 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | 13-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Run Line Smash on Astros -1.5 Houston is showing great value here on the run line, as they get ready to host the Yankees at home on Friday. New York has been in a funk of late, as they are just 4-12 over their last 16 games. Houston on the other hand is on fire right now, having won 8 of their last 10. With the edge the Astros have on the mound, I see no reason why Houston can't win here by at least 2 runs. The Astros send out Lance McCullers, who is 7-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 14 starts and owns a 1.95 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 6 home starts. On top of that, he has a 0.75 in two career starts against the Yankees. New York counters with Michael Pineda, who owns a 6.25 ERA in 6 road starts and a 7.47 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Houston -1.5! |
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06-29-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
5* AL East Total of the Month on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER I got no problem backing the OVER with this big total in Thursday's AL East clash betwen the Orioles and Blue Jays. These two offenses are poised to breakout after each struggled to get anything going in the first two games of the series. I believe there's a chance Toronto could get this total on their own. Baltimore will send out Ubaldo Jimenez, who has a 8.27 ERA and 1.796 WHIP in 10 starts. In his last 3 starts, the opposing team has scored 34 runs. Not a big surprise that the OVER is 8-2 in Jimenez's 10 starts. It's also a perfect 5-0 in 5 starts against division opponents. Toronto will counter with J.A. Happ, who has pitched better of late, but still owns a 4.58 ERA and 1.373 WHIP in 4 home starts and is 0-3 with a 4.88 ERA when he starts a night game. It's also worth noting that the OVER is 23-13 in the Orioles 36 games this season after a loss and 7-1-1 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less. Take the OVER! |
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06-28-17 | Dodgers v. Angels +108 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 108 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague NO LIMIT Top Play on Angeles + I'm going to jump on the Angels at home as the battle of Los Angeles shifts venues after the two just completed a 2-game set at the Dodgers park. The Dodgers aren't the same team on the road, where they are a mere 3-games over .500 compared to 22 games over .500 at home. The Angels are a solid 21-16 at home and most importantly, I feel they have the edge on the mound in this one. Angels send out Alex Meyer, who has posted a sensational 2.02 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 5 home starts. Dodgers will counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is a mere 3-6 and has a 4.57 ERA in 12 starts this season. Ryu is also just 1-4 with a 4.45 ERA in 6 road starts. Angels are 22-9 in their last 31 home games when they come in having won at least 4 of their last 6 and Dodgers are a mere 2-10 in their last 12 road gmes against AL West opponents. Take the Angels! |
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06-27-17 | Rockies v. Giants +130 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 130 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
5* NL West Game of the Month on Giants + I really like the value here with San Francisco as a big home dog against the Rockies. I cashed in on the Giants last night, as the Rockies were getting way too much respect for a team that had lost 5 straight (now 6) against a quality starter in Samardzija. San Francisco's Matt Cain doesn't have great overall numbers, but our focus is on his performance at home, where he owns a sensational 2.54 ERA in 7 starts. Rockies will send out Jeff Hochman, who owns an ugly 6.60 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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06-26-17 | Rockies v. Giants -132 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Giants - I like the value here with San Francisco, who most will want nothing to do with given how good the Rockies have been to start the season and how poorly the Giants have been playing of late. The thing is, Colorado is also struggling at the moment. The Rockies were just swept in a 3-game set at Arizona and have lost 5 straight overall. The offense hasn't been producing and I look for Giants starter Jeff Samardzija to keep the Rockies bats in check. Keep in mind this isn't a great spot for Colorado, given how big that series was against LA over the weekend and the fact this is now their 4th straight on the road. Colorado is just 1-6 in their last 7 road games and 1-4 in starter Marquez's last 5 starts against division opponents. Take San Francisco! |
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06-25-17 | Orioles v. Rays -148 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -148 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on Rays - These two teams have split the first two games of the series and these rubber matches have been a prime spot to back Tampa Bay. The Rays have won 7 straight rubber games and I look for them to make it 8 in a row given the starting pitching matchup. Tampa will send out Jake Odorizzi, who is having a strong season with a 3.78 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 13 starts. He's been at his best at home, where his ERA is only 3.22 and his WHIP drops to 1.030. Baltimore counters with Chris Tillman, who has pitched nothing like the ace of the Orioles staff. Tillman has an atrocious 8.40 ERA and 2.168 ERA over 9 starts. As bad as that is, his ERA is 13.92 on the road and 16.04 in his last 3 starts. Something is clearly not right with Tillman right now. Take Tampa Bay! |
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06-24-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals -130 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
5* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cardinals - I successfully played on the Pirates in the series opener last night, but was fortunate to win with Pittsburgh scoring 2 runs in the final 2 innings to win 4-3. I'm going to flip flop for Game 2, as I feel the value is now clearly with the Cardinals. St Louis will send out Lance Lynn, who has a strong 3.33 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 14 starts overall with a sensational 1.53 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 5 starts at home. Lynn ranks in the Top 20 in ERA and is 8th in opponents batting average at .207. Not to mention he was excellent at home against these Pirates earlier this season (4/17), allowing just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. Pittsburgh will counter with Gerrit Cole, who has a 4.28 ERA in 15 starts overall and 5.01 ERA in 8 road outings. Take St Louis! |
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06-23-17 | Astros v. Mariners -111 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
5* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Mariners - Seattle comes in having won 5 straight and are fresh off a 4-game sweep of the Tigers at home, improving their home record to 24-13 on the season. The Mariners are now 1-game over .500 and should get a big boost here with the return of veteran ace Felix Hernandez, who I think is going to not only provide an emotional lift to this team, but will be a dominant starter for them. Hernandez certainly looked the part in his last rehab start, where he struck out 8 over 6 scoreless innnings. He's going to be excited for the challenge of facing this Houston lineup and I expect him to deliver. I also don't think he has to be great for Seattle to win here. Astros send out Joe Musgrove and his 5.09 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in 12 starts. Mariners offense has been rolling, scoring at least 5 runs in each of their last 5 games. Take Seattle! |
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06-23-17 | Pirates +109 v. Cardinals | 4-3 | Win | 109 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB Division Dog of the Week on Pirates + I really like the value here with Pittsburgh in Friday's NL Central clash against the Cardinals. St Louis hasn't been playing well at all of late. They are just 3-6 in their last 9 and 2 of those wins came against the Phillies. Tonight's starter for the Cardinals is Adam Wainwright, which is a big name, but he's looked nothing like an ace in 2017, posting a 5.75 ERA and 1.639 WHIP in 14 starts. I know the Pirates just lost their last two games with little offense to show for, but that came against two really good starters from Milwaukee in Guerra and Anderson. Prior to that they had scored 15 runs on 22 hits in their previous 2 games. I look for the offense to get going and for starter Jameson Taillon to keep the Cardinals' bats in check. Taillon has a 3.38 ERA in 8 starts overall and a 2.62 ERA in 4 starts on the road. It's also worth noting that this will be the first home game for St Louis after a 6-game road trip and they are just 4-10 at home over the last 2 seasons after playing 5 or more games on the road. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-23-17 | Blue Jays -138 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -138 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line Annihilator on Blue Jays - Toronto got roughed up once again with a chance to reach .500 on the season. That's about the only time they have struggled of late, as they are 13-6 in the month of June and have yet to lose a series while going 9-2 in their last 11. This team is finally playing up to what everyone expected to see to start the year and I look for them to bounce back in a big way after yesterday's frustrating performance. Blue Jays will send out J.A. Happ, who is coming off two strong starts, where he allowed just 3 earned runs with 17 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings of work. He shouldn't have much trouble out performing Kansas City's Jake Junis, who has a 7.40 ERA and 1.693 WHIP in 4 starts. Take Toronto! |
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06-22-17 | Angels v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
5* MLB Run Line Play of the Month on Yankees -1.5 New York snapped their 7-game losing streak yesterday against the Angels, as the offense exploded for 8 runs on 12 hits. I look for the Yankees to stay on the winning path here and more than willing to back them to win by at least 2 on the run line. Given New York's offensive fire-power and strong showing yesterday, good chance they put up a big number here against LA's Jesse Chavez, who has an atrocious 6.27 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 7 road starts. Last road outing was at Houston and he lasted just 3 2/3 after giving up 6 runs. Not only is the offense primed to score early and often, New York should be able to keep the Angels offense in check. Yankees will start the game with Luis Severino, who has a rock-solid 2.99 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 13 starts. He wasn't at his best in his last outing at Oakland, but that just makes me like him even more here, as he's rebounded nicelya after a sub-par performance. Take New York! |
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06-21-17 | Indians -159 v. Orioles | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Indians - I'm willing to lay the big number here with Cleveland, as they have a massive edge on the mound here with Carlos Carrasco facing off against Kevin Gausman. Carrasco is 7-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.008 WHIP in 13 starts. Opponents are hitting just .208 against him, which is the 10th best mark in all of baseball. Carrasco has been at his best on the road, where he's 5-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 0.939 WHIP in 7 starts (6-1 team record). Gausman is 3-6 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.920 WHIP in 15 starts. Opponents are hitting a ridiculous .338 against him with a .408 OBP. It hasn't been any better of late, as he owns a 9.19 ERA and 2.234 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Keep in mind he's facing a red-hot Indians offense that has scored at least 5 runs in 7 straight games. Take Cleveland! |
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06-20-17 | Tigers +123 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night Money Line Smash on Tigers + I really like the value here with Detroit as a decently priced road dog against the Mariners. The Tigers will send out Jordan Zimmermann, who has far from impressive overall numbers, as he's a mere 5-5 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 13 starts. Not to mention Detroit has yet to win a single game he's started on the road (0-6). However, Zimmermann has started to regain his form from years past and comes into this one with a sensational 2.25 ERA over his last 3 starts, with the two most recent against the likes of the Red Sox and and Diamondbacks. While Zimmermann is surging in the right direction, Seattle starter Ariel Miranda is coming off an ugly start at Minnesota, where he gave u 6 runs on 10 hits (3 HRs) in just 4 innings of work. I look for those struggles to carry over at least one more start. Take Detroit! |
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06-20-17 | Astros v. A's -103 | 8-4 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line Annihilator on A's Oakland lost the series opener 1-4 yesterday, but are still 4-1 over their last 5 and I really like the value here with the A's at basically a pick'em at home on Tuesday. Oakland will send out their ace Sonny Gray, who has a strong 3.30 ERA in 5 home starts and has been trending in the right direction with an impressive 22 strikeouts in his last 18.3 (3 starts) innings. Houston will counter with rookie Francis Martez, who pitched well in his big league debut at home against the Rangers, but he's still got some command issues and I think he struggles to find the strike zone on the road. It's also worth noting Gray has a strong history against Houston, as he owns a 2.53 ERA in 8 career starts agains the Astros. Take Oakland! |
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06-20-17 | Pirates +107 v. Brewers | Top | 7-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
5* Pirates/Brewers NL Central NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates + Pittsburgh is showing some great value here as a short road dog against the Brewers. The Pirates are playing much better of late, as they are 6-3 over their last 9. A lot of that has to do with Andrew McCutchen producing at an elite level. In his last 23 games, McCutchen is hitting .381 with 7 home runs and a .454 OBP. Pittsburgh's offense should be able to get going here against Milwaukee starter Zack Davies, who has an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.637 WHIP in 7 home starts and an ugly 9.56 ERA and 2.250 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Pirates. It's the opposite for Pittsburgh starter Chad Kuhl, who owns a respectable 3.42 ERA and 1.253 WHIP in 5 road starta and a 1.76 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Brewers. Milwaukee is just 2-6 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-19-17 | Giants v. Braves +117 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 117 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves + I like what I have seen from Atlanta here of late. After taking 2 of 3 on the road against the Nationals, they bounced back after losing the series opener at home to the Marlins by winning the final two games. The offense has really come alive during this stretch, as they have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. Good chance they can keep the offense going against San Francisco's Johnny Cueto, who is 5-6 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 14 starts overall. Cueto also has an ugly 4.87 ERA in 8 road outings and a 5.40 ERA and 1.860 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Giants as a whole have lost 6 straight and are just 6-19 over their last 25 games. Atlanta is going to send out veteran R.A. Dickey, who doesn't have great overall numbers, but is a respectable 3-1 with a 3.74 ERA in 7 home starts. Last time he took the mound at home, he held the Phillies to just 1 run on 3 hits with 8 strikeouts in 7 innings of work. Braves are 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 home starts against a team with a losing record and 5-1 in his last 6 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Atlanta! |
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06-18-17 | Marlins v. Braves -108 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Braves - I really like the value here with Atlanta as a short home favorite agaisnt the Marlins. The Braves evened up the series with a thrilling 8-7 win in extra innings yesterday and are in a prime spot to build off that Sunday. Atlanta will send out Mike Foltynewicz, who was sharp in his previous start against Miami this season, allowing just 1 run over 6 innings of an 8-4 win. Miami is countering with Jose Urena, who is 0-3 with a 9.82 ERA in 3 career starts agains thte Braves and comes in with a 5.06 ERA in 3 road starts and 5.28 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Take Atlanta! |
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06-17-17 | Cubs v. Pirates +114 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 114 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
5* Cubs/Pirates NL Central Game of the Week on Pittsburgh + I really like the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against the Cubs. Chicago stole the series opener yesterday with a 6-run 9th inning to secure a 9-5 win. I still like the way Pittsburgh has been playing here of late and despite the fact the Cubs will send out former Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta, I think the Pirates have the edge on the mound here. Arrieta has been a big disappointment for the Cubs, as he's just 6-4 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.329 WHIP in 13 starts this season. He's been even worse than that on the road, where he's 3-4 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 8 starts. On the flip side of this, the Pirates are sending outing one of the big surprises of 2017 in terms of starters. Ivan Nova, who could never put it all together with the Yankees, is 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in 13 starts. He's been at his best at home, where he owns a 2.29 ERA and 0.915 WHIP. In his only start against the Cubs (last September), Nova allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 1/3. Arrieta has allowed 16 runs in his last 3 starts against the Pirates all coming since last August. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-16-17 | Yankees v. A's +119 | 6-7 | Win | 119 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night Money Line No Brainer on A's + I really like the value here with Oakland as a decently priced home dog against the Yankees on Friday. I cashed in on the A's 8-7 win yesterday and believe they have an even stronger chance at winning today's contest. That's because the A's are sending out one of the best starters the AL has to offer in Sean Manaea, who is 6-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 11 starts. That includes a 3-0 record over 5 home starts and he's on fire right now with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's simply not getting near the respect he deserves due to how much the public loves the Yankees right now and he's playing on one of the worst teams in the league. Still, too much value here at this price. Take Oakland! |
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06-16-17 | Red Sox +107 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line Destroyer on Red Sox + I like the value here with Boston as a dog in this big AL showdown between two teams that believe they have what it takes to win it all. Even with yesterday's loss, Red Sox are 8-4 in their last 12 and have been scorching at the plate, hitting .324 as a team over their last 7. Houston has been trending in the wrong direction, as they are just 3-6 in their last 9. I'll take my chances here with Drew Pomeranz and the Red Sox offense. Houston's starter, Michael Fiers has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts, but those 3 starts came against the likes of the Angels, Royals and Twins. Even with that, he's still got a less than impressive 4.43 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 12 starts on the season. Take Boston! |
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06-16-17 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -127 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -127 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
5* National League (ML) Game of the Month on Phillies - I really like the value here with Philadelphia as a small home favorite against the Diamondbacks. The Phillies got a big momentum boost in yesterday's 1-0 win against the Red Sox, which snapped a 8-game losing streak. Arizona has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall, but are headed to their second stop of a 8-game road trip after playing two in Detroit. The biggest key here is the starting pitching matchup. Diamondbacks starter Pat Corbin has been awful on the road, going 0-5 with a 9.36 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in 5 road starts. Philadelphia is countering with Aaron Nola, who has thrown well in each of his last 2 outings and has a solid 1.125 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games against left-handed starter, while Arizona is a mere 1-5 in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record and 0-4 in Corbin's last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-15-17 | Rays +132 v. Tigers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Rays + Most are going to look to take Verlander and the Tigers at home given the short price on Detroit here, but this line screams take the other side. Verlander has pitched better at home than on the road, but he's not looked good in either of his last two starts and is 4-4 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 13 starts on the season. Tampa Bay has quietly been playing some really good baseball in the loaded AL East. The Rays are 6-2 over their last 8 and are swinging a hot bat. Tampa has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7, a stretch in which they are averaging 6.7 runs/game and hitting .316 and posting a team OBP of .360. It hasn't been great for Rays' starter Alex Cobb, but he was sharp in his last outing, giving up only 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings and has owned the Tigers with a 2.35 ERA in 5 career starts against them. Take Tampa Bay! |
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06-14-17 | Mariners +125 v. Twins | 6-4 | Win | 125 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Mariners + I like the value with Seattle in this one, as the Mariners are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after getting embarrassed in yesterday's 13-run loss (7-20). Even in defeat, I like the offensive output, as that's now 33 hits in Seattle's last two games. Minnesota will be giving the ball to Ervin Santana, who is coming off a complete game shutout at San Francisco. I believe Santana is in line to regress here and could struggle to countain this Mariners offense. Keep in mind just two starts ago, Santana allowed 7 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in 4 innings against the Angels. Seattle counters with Sam Gaviglio, who has made 5 starts and owns a 2.67 ERA. Outside of a start at Coors where he allowed 5 runs, Gaviglio hasn't allowed more than 1 earned run in each of his other 4 starts. Take Seattle! |
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06-14-17 | Royals v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
5* Interleague Total of the Month on Royals/Giants UNDER I really like the value here the total in today's afternoon showdown between the Royals and Giants. This game features a couple of starters that have underperformed overall, but are on the right track. Kansas City's Jason Hamel has a 0.944 WHIP in his last 3 starts and in his last start, held the high-powered Astros lineup to just 1 run on 4 hits over 7 innings. That came after holding the Indians to 3 runs in 6 2/3 innings. Giants will counter with Johnny Cueto, who has a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts and for as bad as it's been in 2017, he's allowed more than 3 earned runs in just 4 of 13 starts. UNDER is 62-35 in Cueto's career during day games and is 13-4 in the Giants last 17 home games against a right-handed starter and 15-5 in their last 20 home games after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take the UNDER! |
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06-13-17 | Mariners +110 v. Twins | 7-20 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Oddsmakers Error on Mariners + Seattle won the series opener yesterday 14-3 and I just think this is too good of a price to pass up on a team that just scored 14 runs on 19 hits and will be facing a pretty average starter in Kyle Gibson. Not to mention, Gibson has been atrocious at home this year, going 0-3 with a 7.25 ERA and 2.105 WHIP in 5 starts (1-4 team record). Minnesota's offense couldn't get anything going yesterday against a struggling Yovani Gallardo and I expect more of the same here against Christian Bergman, who has a sensational 1.50 ERA and 1.167 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take Seattle! |
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06-13-17 | Diamondbacks v. Tigers -104 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Tigers - I really like the value here with Detroit at basically a pick'em at home against the Diamondbacks. I just think Arizona is getting way too much respect here because they are starting Zack Greinke, when he's got a 3.90 ERA in 5 road starts and a 4.67 ERA in his last 3 outings. Tigers are countering with Buck Farmer, who hasn't allowed a run in his first two starts of 2017, giving up just 6 hits with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Arizona's offense doesn't pack near the same punch on the road, where they are scoring just 3.6 runs/game and hitting .219 as a team. Detroit's offense has been solid of late. They come in off an 8-run outing in the series finale win at Boston on Sunday and are hitting .302 as a team over their last 7 games. Take Detroit! |
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06-13-17 | Rockies v. Pirates -116 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line Annihilator on Pirates - I cashed on the Pirates last night and see no reason not to stay on them today at this price. There's simply too much value on Pittsburgh at home with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound. I know it's been a rough go of things for Cole here of late, but he's been at his best at home, where he owns a 3.93 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 6 starts. He's also got a good track record against the Rockies with a 2.95 ERA in 3 career starts against them. I faded Colorado off a loss to the Cubs on Sunday and I wouldn't be surprised if the hangover from playing Chicago didn't carry over this entire series. Rockies have played just 2 home games since May 31st, so they have to be excited about this series getting over and heading back home tomorrow. I look for the Pirates to take advantage. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-12-17 | Mariners v. Twins -120 | 14-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line No Brainer on Twins - I really like the value here with Minnesota as a short home favorite against the Mariners. The Twins continue to get no respect, despite the fact that we are now midway through June and they are 5-games over .500. Seattle was playing extremely well, but are trending in the wrong direction after losing 3 of their last 4 and more than anything we are fading Mariners' starter Yovani Gallardo. He's 2-6 with a 6.26 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in 12 starts overall. He's allowed 5 runs in each of his last 2 starts and has a 7.63 ERA over his last 3 outings. Twins counter with Adalberto Mejia, who has pitched well since joining the rotation and is trending in the right direction with a 3.37 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Minnesota! |
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06-12-17 | Rockies v. Pirates -129 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Heavy Hitter on Pirates - The Rockies had their 7-game winning streak snapped in Sunday's finale against the Cubs and I look for a letdown here for Colorado in the series opener against the Pirates. Keep in mind that this is the Rockies 10th road game since 5/31, a stretch in which they have played just 2 games at home. Pittsburgh should come out fired up for this one, as Jameson Taillon makes his first start since being forced out of the rotation to deal with testicular cancer back in early May. This kid is one of the Pirates top prospects and I look for the experience to give him a renewed focus on the game and I look for his teammates to do everything in their power to help him get a win in his first start back. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-11-17 | Brewers +144 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Brewers + I really like the value here with Milwaukee as a big road dog here against the Diamondbacks. Arizona will send out Robbie Ray, who is 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in 12 starts overall, but owns an ugly 5.67 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in 6 home starts and that's with limiting the Padres to 1 run on 3 hits in his previous home start. I could easily see him struggling here, as the Brewers have hit left-handed starters well (averaging 5.3 runs/game). Plus, Milwaukee has a pretty good starter of their own going in this one. Chase Anderson is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.223 WHIP in 12 starts and has not allowed a run in 3 straight outings. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-10-17 | Oakland Athletics - Game #1 +108 v. Tampa Bay Rays - Game #1 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB AL Money Line Game of the Month on A's + I'm all over the A's in Saturday's Game 1 of their double-header with the Rays. Oakland is sending out one of the more underrated starters right now in Sonny Gray. I know the overall numbers aren't great, but Gray has had 4 good outings in his last 5 starts. It's just the one bad start was really bad. Last time out he allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innings against a loaded Nationals lineup. I know the Rays offense has been swinging it well, but they are due to regress after the Kiermaier injury and Gray is just the starter that can shut them down. Tampa Bay is also a good team to fade when they start racking up wins in bunches, as they are a mere 13-27 over the last 3 years when riding a 3-game or more winning streak. Take Oakland! |
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06-09-17 | Brewers +122 v. Diamondbacks | 8-6 | Win | 122 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
4* MLB Big Money Undervalued Underdog on Brewers + Great value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog against the Diamondbacks. The Brewers continued to be undervalued by the books, as no one really believes this team is as good as their start. They have a great shot here to pick up a win if Zach Davies continues to throw like he has of late, as Davies owns a 2.65 ERA in his last 3 outings and just tossed 6 shutout innings against a good Dodgers lineup in his last start. Randall Delgado has thrown the ball well for Arizona, but has not recorded a win (only averaging 5 innings/start) and this will be just his 4th start of the season, so those numbers can change in a hurry. Delgado has a 4.07 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in his big league career, which inlcudes 51 starts. Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games with Davies as the starter, while Arizona is a mere 18-40 in their last 58 home games against a team with a winning road record and 0-4 in Delgado's last 4 starts when facing an opponent that is coming off a game where they scored 5 or more runs. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-09-17 | A's +118 v. Rays | 4-13 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line Smash on A's + I like the value here with Oakland as a short road dog here against the Rays. The A's will send out Andrew Triggs, who is 5-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in 11 starts. Typically Oakland starters have better numbers at home, but that's not the case for Triggs, who has a sensational 0.72 ERA and 0.920 WHIP in 4 road starts. His last outing at home was not good, as he gave up 6 runs on 9 hits in 3 2/3 innings. However, that's actually a positive here, as Triggs has been great at bouncing back after a bad start. Oakland is perfect 5-0 in Triggs last 5 starts after allowing 5 or more runs in his previous start. A's offense should be able to score some runs here. Tampa sends out Alex Cobb, who is trending in the wrong direction. Cobb has 14 walks in his last 3 starts, which spans 17 1/3 innings and was just rocked by Seattle in his last start, giving up 9 runs on 14 hits in 5 innings. Rays are 1-4 in Cobb's last 5 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 home starts against a team with a losing record. Take Oakland! |
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06-08-17 | Astros -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
5* AL Run Line Game of the Month on Astros -1.5 After dropping the last two games to the Royals, I look for Houston to bounce back and finish off the series with an easy win over KC behind one of the most underrated starters in the AL in Lance McCullers. Everyone knows about Keuchel in Houston and he's been great, but McCullers isn't far behind. He's 6-1 with a 2.71 ERA (3rd AL) and 1.11 WHIP (6th AL) in 12 starts (10-2 team record). With an offense that is averaging 6.7 runs/game on the road and 8.0 runs/game over their last 7, this is the ideal scenario where you play the run line. Especially when the opponent doesn't have an elite starter on the rmound. Royals will counter with Jason Hammel, who is 2-6 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in 11 starts (2-9 team record). Astros are 13-3 this season in road games after their previous two games finished OVER the total and have won these by an average score of 6.6 to 3.4 (+3.2 runs). They are also 19-4 on the year as a road favorite of -110 or more, winning by a average score of 7.2 to 3.9 (+3.3 runs). Take Houston -1.5! |
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06-07-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 105 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night Run Line Massacre on Diamondbacks -1.5 Instead of laying the big number on Arizona to win the game, I'm going to back the Diamonbacks on the run line here and call for them to win by at least 2 runs. Arizona snapped a 3-game losing streak with an offensive explosion in last night's 10-2 win. Not a huge surprise to see the offense get going at home, as they had just played their previous 11 games on the road. Dbacks are now averaging 6.2 runs/game and hitting .293 as a team at home this season (22-8 record overall) and should be able to come close to their averages against the struggling Luis Perdomo of the Padres. On top of that, San Diego doesn't figure to score much in this one, as the Diamonbacks send out their ace in Zack Greinke, who is 7-3 witha 3.06 ERA in 12 starts overall and 5-0 with a 2.49 ERA in 7 starts at home. Take Arizona -1.5! |
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06-07-17 | Blue Jays v. A's -105 | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB Afternoon Money Line Annihilator on A's - I really like the value here with Oakland as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays. The A's have won each of the first two games of the series and are 3-1 in their last 4 overall. Oakland will send out Jharel Cotton, who has really thrown the ball well in his two starts since returning from the minors, allowing just 4 earned runs on 6 hits with 9 strikeouts in 11 1/3 innings of work. Both of those starts coming on the road against two of the AL's best in the Indians and Yankees. On the flip side of this, Toronto will counter with Francisco Liriano, who has been a big disappointment with a 5.94 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in 8 starts. Liriano has also been dreadful on the road with a 9.65 ERA and 2.787 WHIP in 3 starts. Take Oakland! |
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06-06-17 | Indians -114 v. Rockies | 3-11 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line Smash on Indians - Great value here with Cleveland as a short road favorite against the Rockies tonight. Colorado has been a great story and I fully expect them to stay in the playoff hunt, I just think the Indians are one of the best teams in the league and it's just too good of a price here in what I feel is a very evenly matched game. Cleveland will send out Mike Clevinger, who has a solid 3.14 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 5 starts and has yet to allow a run in two road outings, which includes an outing at Houston against a loaded Astros lineup. Antonio Senzatela has been great for Colorado, going 7-2 over 11 starts, but has struggled a bit of late with a 4.00 ERA over his last 3 starts and I think the Indians put up a big number here. Take Cleveland! |
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06-06-17 | Angels +139 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 139 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* MLB Undervalued Underdog on Angels + I really like the value here with the Angels at this price. I see a very evenly matched game here and no reason that Detroit is this big of a favorite at home. The Tigers are sending out Daniel Norris, who has a 5.32 ERA and 1.773 WHIP over 4 home starts and a 4.47 ERA in 10 starts overall. Similar type numbers for Angels starter Jesse Chavez, expect he's coming off one of his best starts of the season, as he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits over 7 innings. A lot of times we see starters string together a couple strong outings and that's what I'm expecting here. Detroit is just 4-10 in their last 14 off a win and 1-4 in Norris' last 5 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-06-17 | Pirates +113 v. Orioles | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague Game of the Month on Pirates + I really like the value here with Pittsburgh as a short road dog against the Orioles. The Pirates will send out one of the big surprises of the early going for this team, as he's got a 2.92 ERA and 1.078 WHIP over 11 starts. I like his chances of throwing well here against a Orioles team that is struggling offensively (3 or fewer runs last 3 games) and primed for a bit of a letdown after a huge 4-game series over the weekend against division rival Boston. Baltimore is also sending out Kevin Gausman, who has been a disappointment so far with a 5.92 ERA and 1.837 WHIP in 12 starts. Orioles are just 2-7 in their last 9 after a loss, 4-10 in their last 14 overall, 1-5 in their last 6 after a day off, 0-8 in their last 8 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 6-14 in Gausman's last 20 starts during game 1 of a series. Take Pittsbugh! |
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06-05-17 | Giants -109 v. Brewers | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Giants - I really like the value here with San Francisco as a short road favorite against the the Brewers.The Giants are desperate for a win after dropping yet another series over the weekend at the Phillies and I like their chances here with Jeff Samardzija on the mound. Samardzija has been throwing extremely well despite a miserable 1-7 record, evident by his 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention his 1.18 WHIP on the season ranks 13th among all NL pitchers. He's catching the Brewers at the right time, as Milwaukee comes in having scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4. I also think this is a bit of a letdown spot for the Brewers, who are comign off a big home series against the Dodgers. Milwaukee is 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series and 0-6 in their last 6 home games against a team that's won less than 40% of their games. Take San Francisco! |
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06-04-17 | Nationals v. A's -108 | 11-10 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line Smash on A's - I really like the value here with Oakland at basiaclly a pick'em at home against the Nationals. The A's will be sending out their ace Sonny Gray, who was roughed up in his last outing, despite the fact that he actually threw the ball pretty well. Prior to that start, Gray had been dominant in his previous two outings with 19 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. He's more than capable of shutting down this Washington offense at home, where he has a 2.55 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 3 starts this season (3-0 team record). Take Oakland! |
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06-03-17 | Rays v. Mariners -102 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Mariners - I really like the value here with Seattle at basically a pick'em at home against the Rays. The Mariners cruised to a 12-4 win in yesterday's series opener against the Rays and are now 5-1 over their last 6 and have scored at least 5 runs in all 5 wins. Even in their lone loss, which they managed just 3 runs, they racked up 9 hits, but just didn't get the big one when they needed it (left 11 on base). I look for the offense to keep it going here and put up a decent number against Tampa Bay starter Alex Cobb, who has an ugly 5.28 ERA over 6 career starts against the Mariners. Seattle counters with Sam Gaviglio, who pitched extremely well in his first two starts before getting roughed up in his last outing at Coors Field. Most starters struggle at Colorado and I really like his chances of bouncing back with a strong performance here. Take Seattle! |
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06-02-17 | Giants v. Phillies -118 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Phillies - I like the value here with Philadelphia as a short home favorite against the Giants. The Phillies are coming off a rough month, but it hasn't been much better for San Francisco of late. The Giants were just swept at home by the Nationals, which turned into a pretty big series after the Harper/Strickland throwdown in the series opener. San Francisco is also just 2-7 in their last 9 overall and a mere 9-19 on the road this season. Giants offense is one of the weakest in the big leagues, so I'm expecting a strong start here from Phillies starter Jerad Eickhoff. I also look for the Phillies offense to get going here against San Fran's TY Blach, who has a 9.90 ERA and 2.00 WHIP on the road this season. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-01-17 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins +110 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Money Line Smash on Marlins + I like the value here with Miami as a home dog against the Diamondbacks on Thursday. The Marlins come in having won 4 straight behind an offensive surge. Miami is averaging 5.9 runs/game and hitting .296 as a team over their last 7 games. The public will be all over Arizona here with Greinke on the mound, but he's actually been a great starter to fade on the road, as he's 1-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 4 road starts. This is also a tough spot for the Diamondbacks, who had to travel to Miami from Pittsburgh after playing a 14-inning affair yesterday. The Marlins on the other hand will be playing their 7th straight home game. Take Miami! |
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05-31-17 | Dodgers +114 v. Cardinals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line Heavy Hitter on Dodgers + I like the value here with the red-hot Dodgers as an underdog against the Cardinals. LA has won 6 straight, including the first 2 of this 4-game series and are now 11-2 in their last 13 overall. They have outscored St. Louis 14-5 in their first 2 games of the series and have scored 5 or more runs in 4 straight and 10 of their last 13. Dodgers are starting Hyun-Jin Ryu, who doesn't have great numbers, but this Cardinals team has struggled against left-handed starters, averaging just 3.5 runs/game and hitting a mere .211 as a team. I know the Cardinal have one of their better starters on the mound here in Carlos Martinez, but it hasn't really mattered who has toed the rubber against this Dodgers offense. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-31-17 | Rays v. Rangers +120 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Rangers + I really like the value here with Texas as a decently priced home dog against the Rays. Tampa Bay is getting a lot of respect here with their ace Chris Archer on the mound, but he's not the same guy on the road as he is at home. Archer has a 3.61 ERA overall in 11 starts and a 4.17 ERA in 5 starts on the road. Archer also has a history of bad luck against these Rangers with a 5.34 ERA and 1.361 WHIP in 5 career starts. Not to mention he's facing a red-hot Texas offense that has put up 17 runs on 24 hits in their last two games. Rays are also just 6-16 in Archer's last 22 starts off a loss and 7-19 in his last 26 starts as a favorite of -150 or less. Take Texas! |
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05-31-17 | Yankees v. Orioles -103 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
5* MLB AL East Game of the Month on Orioles - I really like the value here with Baltimore at basically a pick'em at home against the Yankees. Even with yesterday's loss, the Orioles are 16-7 in their last 23 home games against New York and 16-8 at home on the season. The Yankees are sending out Masahiro Tanaka, who while coming off a very good outing in his last start, has struggled this season to the tune of a 5.86 ERA and 1.482 WHIP in 10 starts. He's been even worse than that on the road, where he's got a 6.41 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in 5 starts. I know Orioles' starter Kevein Gausman's numbers aren't great either, but he's showed some progress, allowing just 2 earned runs in his last two starts against a couple of strong offensive teams in the Blue Jays and Astros. Gausman also has a great track record against the Yankees, posting a 2.49 ERA and 1.155 WHIP over 13 career starts against them. Take Baltimore! |