11-20-21 |
New Mexico State +36.5 v. Kentucky |
|
16-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 34 m |
Show
|
I will New Mexico St especially since they didn't cover last week vs Bama. This line is most definitely inflated simply because of the result last week. Odds Makers are saying that on a neutral that Kentucky is only a a 2 touchdown dog and I would bet Bama at that number every time. I also question the motivation here for Kentucky coming off a nice game last week with their rival in Louisville on deck.
|
11-13-21 |
Washington State +14 v. Oregon |
|
24-38 |
Push |
0 |
83 h 28 m |
Show
|
I will take Washington St here catching 14 against Oregon. yes, everyone will say that the Ducks have everything to play for since they are in the playoff as of right now. I think Washington St has a ton also as if they win this game they will move to first in the PAC 12 north. The Cougars are much improved and have covered 6 straight games. They are also off their bye week and I love the extra time with how meaningful this one is
|
11-13-21 |
NC State +2 v. Wake Forest |
|
42-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 7 m |
Show
|
I was against Wake Forest last week in a winner and I really wonder where their heads are following that all out effort last week. Yes Wake Forest controls their own still but who else does as well? Yes, NC St will pass Wake if they win this head to head which I believe they will. Wake has a high powered offense no doubt but wow is their defense extremely bad. NC St is a very well balanced team and even though they aren't a powerhouse on offense they won't have an issue moving it here.
|
11-13-21 |
Arizona State v. Washington +6 |
|
35-30 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 29 m |
Show
|
So last week Washington was a 7 point dog to Oregon who many know that is in the college football playoff and odds makers are implying that ASU and Oregon are basically the same team? I'm not buying it here. Washington has under achieved off the offensive side of the ball but their defense is legit and I believe they will want to make a bowl game. They played very hard last week in just a 10 point loss to Oregon. I think a great spot to back them here
|
11-13-21 |
South Carolina -105 v. Missouri |
|
28-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
65 h 21 m |
Show
|
I had South Carolina last week in a great effort. They were 18.5 point dogs last week vs Florida and won outright and in fact they dominated the game. I love seeing a team that has been bad all season but coming off their bye week they gave it their all. I think this South Carolina team is hungry to make a bowl game and a win here would do that for them. This Missouri team has just been disappointing to say the least. Their defense is one of the worst in all of football ranking 125th. I think it was clear from their game vs Georgia last week that they have thrown in the towel for the season
|
11-13-21 |
Minnesota +5.5 v. Iowa |
|
22-27 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 4 m |
Show
|
I like the Gophers here. They laid a complete egg last week in losing to Illinois last week. After the hot start Iowa has really cooled off not covering 3 straight games. Iowa is without their starting QB in Petras and most are happy but I still have a lot of questions on exactly how good the back up is? I mean you would trust the coaching staff that the starter is better right? This game means a lot to both here as the winner still could win the West. I will take the points
|
11-13-21 |
West Virginia +7 v. Kansas State |
|
17-34 |
Loss |
-120 |
73 h 2 m |
Show
|
Give me the 7 here with WVU. This has been a series that West Virginia has owned winning 5 straight SU. I think they are undervalued here simply because of last week, but that was Oklahoma St and they are a good team. Kansas St getting a little too much love off 3 straight wins give me all the points here in a close game.
|
11-13-21 |
Michigan v. Penn State +1 |
|
21-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
73 h 58 m |
Show
|
Do I wish this was a night game in Happy Valley, absolutely. However, I still think there is great value here with Penn St at home. This team will be more than up for this game. Reason why I like the line is remember just a few weeks back Michigan at -3 at Nebraska well you're telling me that Penn St is barely better than the Cornhuskers? Not buying it. This Penn St D is nasty and I think will be the biggest difference here in this game.
|
11-13-21 |
Oklahoma v. Baylor +5.5 |
|
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 55 m |
Show
|
I still believe that Oklahoma is by far the most overrated team in the country and yes they haven't lost yet. This team just keeps escaping close games. The Sooners defense has been horrible on the road giving up 6.9 yards per play which is beyond pathetic. Baylor losing last week wasn't a complete shock as IMO they were clearly looking ahead here
|
11-13-21 |
Syracuse v. Louisville -3 |
|
3-41 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 39 m |
Show
|
I will roll with Louisville here who I think is a cheap price at home. Just a few weeks ago this team was -3 vs a very good Virginia team. Cuse has played well this season and they are getting respect because they are 8-1 ATS. This has been a series owned by Louisville and I dont expect it to change.
|
11-06-21 |
Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan |
|
7-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
93 h 18 m |
Show
|
I think this is now the hardest spot of the year for Michigan. They had their Super Bowl last week vs Sparty and it was an all out effort. That is what we like to call the dream crusher loss and I think it will be hard for them to get up this game. They know Indiana is no good and 20.5 here given the spot is very difficult. Also Penix the Hoosiers QB is suppose to be back this week
|
11-06-21 |
Texas v. Iowa State -6.5 |
|
7-30 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 14 m |
Show
|
I really believe Texas is now a fade for the rest of the season. This team no doubt is talented, but they can't get it done. This is no 3 straight losses for them and 3 huge games in a row. They are facing Iowa St at the wrong time this week in a night game. I fully expect Breece Hall to control this game for the Cyclones as the Longhorns ranks 118th against the run. Cyclones roll here
|
11-06-21 |
Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 |
|
17-40 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 43 m |
Show
|
I just simply love the spot here for South Carolina. Florida is coming off their dream crusher loss last week to Georgia. I just believe that type of loss is a difficult one to overcome. That being said they had an all out effort the week before vs LSU also. South Carolina is off their bye week so they will be fresh and ready and I think they keep it close here
|
11-06-21 |
Iowa -12 v. Northwestern |
|
17-12 |
Loss |
-109 |
93 h 47 m |
Show
|
I am going to take Iowa here as I believe this is their buy low spot. They are coming off back to back losses and yes one could say they might think the season is over, but this is quietly a rivalry game. Northwestern is just no good at all at offense ranking 107th overall vs a Iowa defense ranked 9th. This is a big mismatch here and I believe the Hawkeyes blow them out
|
11-06-21 |
Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 |
|
28-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
53 h 5 m |
Show
|
I have had a pretty good feel for this Miss St team. I had them last week as they beat up Kentucky. I think here is a great spot to back Arkansas now. Everyone is quick to forget how Arkansas jumped out to a hot start. They had 3 tough losses in a row but those were all too good teams in Georgia Ole Miss and Auburn. Arkansas off the bye week, I love the spot here
|
11-06-21 |
Michigan State v. Purdue +3 |
|
29-40 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 12 m |
Show
|
I will take the points here with Purdue. First, we all know that Sparty will be one of the biggest public plays of the weekend with their win over rival Michigan. They were outgunned by over 150 yards in that game making it pretty misleading. I think following that is very difficult. Also Purdue ranks 16th in the country in passing offense while Sparty against the pass is 127. I think Purdue is prime here for another upset.
|
11-06-21 |
Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3 |
|
24-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
89 h 58 m |
Show
|
West Virginia no doubt last week benefit big time from so horrible calls in beating Iowa St. Oklahoma St does have a very solid D and suspect at best offense. I think the Cowboys have been pretty luck so far this season winning a lot of close games and the fact they have covered 6 straight here makes me believe they are one valued. WVU playing with confidence and this isn't a let down spot playing another home game.
|
11-06-21 |
Wake Forest v. North Carolina -2 |
|
55-58 |
Win
|
100 |
86 h 47 m |
Show
|
I like UNC here this week. I mean this is just one of those glaring lines that stand out. Here we have a top 10 team undefeated against a 4-4 team and the ranked undefeated team is an underdog. I had UNC in a loss last week but I was impressed and they did have their shot to cover that game. Wakes defense here is no where near as good and I really believe that Howell torches them
|
10-30-21 |
Louisville +7 v. NC State |
|
13-28 |
Loss |
-118 |
57 h 27 m |
Show
|
I was against NC St last week as I thought they were overrated and they lost outright at Miami. I think this still holds true here being a 7 point favorite over Louisville. NC St by beating Clemson who now we know isn't that good is still getting respect from that win. Louisville's last two losses have been to Wake by 3 and Virginia by 1. This team is extremely undervalued.
|
10-30-21 |
North Carolina +4 v. Notre Dame |
|
34-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 22 m |
Show
|
Alright I finally feel now is a good time to back UNC. We all know how much hype this team had around them with Howell being the can't miss QB prospect. Well they have been favored in every game this season and didn't live up to expectations but now are dogs and I will take them here. Notre Dame getting some credit for the USC blowout win is why. ND best player Hamilton their safety a top 5 pick next year is out this game and that is a huge huge loss for them. UNC in this role now yes please.
|
10-30-21 |
Kentucky v. Mississippi State +105 |
|
17-31 |
Win
|
105 |
57 h 2 m |
Show
|
I really like Miss St here in a night game with the Cowbells a going. This is one of those games that can really define a season for a team like Miss St in beating a highly ranked team like Kentucky. This game to me with this line just says what Vegas thinks of this Kentucky team. They were destroyed @ Georgia scoring on the last play of the game to cover it. Leach knows the importance here and I trust him to get it done
|
10-30-21 |
Boise State v. Colorado State +2.5 |
|
28-19 |
Loss |
-103 |
57 h 48 m |
Show
|
I will take the Rams here and the points as we know the betting public will be all over Boise laying a short number here. Boise just isn't the same type of team we are use to seeing. Their defense especially gets gashed on the ground a ton and that is why I think Colorado St wins this game outright. They will control the clock here for the game. I also think this game means a lot more the the Rams players and coaches than it does Boise who is having a down year. Boise has a big look ahead game with Fresno next week also
|
10-30-21 |
Purdue v. Nebraska -7.5 |
|
28-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 40 m |
Show
|
I will gladly take Nebraska here in this game. I think the Huskers are in a great bounce back spot here against Purdue. This team for sure wants to make a bowl game and the effort will be here coming off their bye week. Purdue still getting credit for the win at Iowa which is keeping this line lower than it should be. Huskers are 3-1 ATS at home this season. I think Purdue has trouble moving it here against a pretty good Nebraska D.
|
10-30-21 |
Miami-FL +9.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
38-34 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 27 m |
Show
|
I had Miami last week in a winner and I really like them here again this week. This team hasn't quit despite having a very poor start and that is exactly what you are looking for when back a team of this nature. They beat NC St outright last week as a home dog. Pitt is off a big win for them beating Clemson. I think this is the biggest flat spot for them. I think Miami is live here as well.
|
10-30-21 |
Texas +3 v. Baylor |
|
24-31 |
Loss |
-107 |
50 h 14 m |
Show
|
I will take Texas here and the points. I think we are getting a very good discount here for the fact they have lost back to back games but were very much in both of those games. Texas is off the bye which I think was very much needed following those two games. I know Baylor is as well but I would argue that the bye came at the wrong time as they have been rolling. Texas wins outright.
|
10-30-21 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin -3.5 |
|
7-27 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 12 m |
Show
|
I will take the Badgers here. I think Iowa is still a public loved team with their ranking. if you have watched most of their games it has clearly been the defense winning the games. Their offense is horrible and even off a bye I don't expect them to move the ball against the Badgers defense. Badgers still control their own here and I fully expect them to win this game.
|
10-23-21 |
USC +7 v. Notre Dame |
|
16-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 17 m |
Show
|
I simply dont understand this line. I know that USC has under performed this season no doubt about it, but you're giving me 7? Ok, so ND went off as a dog at Va Tech is there really a gap between Va Tech and USC? I dont think so at all. I know the public is down in USC but this is a rivalry game and they are coming off a bye. After their first two losses this season they have won and covered the next game.
|
10-23-21 |
NC State v. Miami-FL +3 |
|
30-31 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 49 m |
Show
|
I really like Miami here Saturday night. Yes, things haven't gone their way to say the least this season we can all agree. I actually think King was overrated at QB and it has become clear to me that they haven't gave up even with him out. So they lose to Michigan St and Bama but mind you they were favored by 6 over Sparty. Now they are catching 3 against NC ST. I get adjustments need to be made but this is too big of one. Miami has still played hard like I mentioned losing by 2 to Virginia and 3 to UNC their last two games.
|
10-23-21 |
UTSA v. Louisiana Tech +7 |
|
45-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 38 m |
Show
|
I think we are seeing a highly over valued undefeated UTSA team who has now moved into the rankings. I think most people will just look at the records in blindly take the team who hasn't lost and has covered every week game but 1. The thing is though LA Tech is a quality team and have played really good competition. They lost to Miss St by 1, SMU by 2 and @ NC ST by 7. Clearly in all those games. Just two weeks ago UTSA were 3.5 point dogs on the road to Western Kentucky and now are laying 7 to a better team.
|
10-23-21 |
San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 |
|
20-14 |
Loss |
-104 |
71 h 19 m |
Show
|
Here is another game this week where we have the unranked home team favored over the ranked road team. I will always took to the favorite in this situations and this one definitely makes sense. SDSU could have easiest slipped up last Friday at San Jose St winning in double OT. I think Air Force is going to present a different type of challenge with running the ball here. SDSU also made QB change which is very weird timing for this and I dont believe they should have.
|
10-23-21 |
Western Kentucky -14.5 v. Florida International |
|
34-19 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 16 m |
Show
|
When you look at this game from the surface level you see a 2-4 team vs an 0-5 team. There is on glaring difference though and that is WKU has played some great competition. They lost to Indiana by 2 lost to Michigan St by 17 which was a lot closer than the final indicated and UTSA by 6 in a game they put nearly 700 yards of offense. FIU is just a bad team folks and I truly believe WKU will name their score here
|
10-23-21 |
BYU -3.5 v. Washington State |
|
21-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 15 m |
Show
|
I liked BYU early and wish I grabbed a better line but will still play them here. They are coming off two hard losses and I trust them being a good team to really respond and bounce back here. Also, the main thing here is that Wazzu had a big time shake up this week firing their leach coach and others. I believe that serves as a big distraction here for them and not in a good way.
|
10-23-21 |
Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
17-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 14 m |
Show
|
I know I know Clemson has looked bad to say the least so far this season with a very sub par offense. However, it's safe to say that they still have big talent gap here. Plus if this game were played several weeks ago what would this line be? I would say Clemson by double digits. Clemson D is still very very good and I believe will more than keep them in the game. Dabo you better believe he knows he's an underdog here and they will be motivated.
|
10-23-21 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -7 |
|
21-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
101 h 10 m |
Show
|
I love Iowa St here this weekend. Well for beginners Iowa St is non ranked and favored by over a touchdown vs a top 25 team? Iowa St numbers are extremely good as their two losses they dominated the boxscore and Vegas knows that. Oklahoma St is being so overvalued here with them coming off a Texas road win last week. Iowa St defense will be the difference maker here and I dont expect the Cowboys to score very much at all.
|
10-23-21 |
Oregon v. UCLA -1 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 50 m |
Show
|
Oregon just hasn't been clicking as of late surviving their last 2 games by 7 each game. Here is another classic example of an Oregon team being ranked #10 in the country and are a underdog. I love these types of games. UCLA is much improved this team believes that they can win the South division. I think we see them make a big time statement win here.
|
10-23-21 |
Wisconsin -3 v. Purdue |
|
30-13 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is mostly a spot play here for Wisconsin. Yes, I know the Badgers have been horrible on offense and in large part because of Mertz and how bad he has been. With Purdue beating Iowa last week I think that will have the Badgers full attention here. I think that is a hard game for Purdue to follow up with another performance like that. It's also important to know that Wisky has been favored every game this season well clearly now their lines are finally at an all time low and even vs a lower opponent
|
10-16-21 |
Arizona State v. Utah -102 |
|
21-35 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 53 m |
Show
|
I love this type of game where we have a ranked team catching points. Utah is just one of those places that is very difficult to play. ASU is off back to back big effort games and I firmly believe this is the let down spot here for them. Utah has ridden the ship well after QB Brewer left the team. I think they know this is a good chance to represent the PAC 12 South in the title game. Utah wins outright
|
10-16-21 |
Iowa State -6 v. Kansas State |
|
33-20 |
Win
|
100 |
105 h 14 m |
Show
|
Im putting a lot of faith in Iowa St here with Campbell. I think the bye week came for them at the right time to try and figure out their offense. Their defense is still one of the best in the country and I think they will contain Kansas St. Mostly Iowa St has shot themselves in the foot this season with mistakes or special teams errors. I think Purdy gets right and this team gets back into the Big 12 race as most aren't talking about them anymore
|
10-16-21 |
TCU +12 v. Oklahoma |
|
31-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 54 m |
Show
|
I will fade Oklahoma here off that crazy win over Texas. The fact they won was very lucky and the fact they covered was nothing short of a miracle. This Oklahoma team is vastly overrated and I know they made the QB change which I do think that provides a spark. However, they are still laying crazy numbers. TCU I do trust and their offense will move the ball on this Oklahoma defense. You're going to give me nearly two TD's with TCU? I will gladly take
|
10-16-21 |
Alabama -17 v. Mississippi State |
|
49-9 |
Win
|
100 |
105 h 41 m |
Show
|
I will lay it here with Alabama. I mean last week as everyone knows that Bama lost and they were favored by more actually in that game. Texas AM is better than this Miss St team. I also think the style that Leach loves to play fits right into the hands of Saban and company. Saban doesn't lose and I guarantee he has his boys ready this week and makes a statement.
|
10-16-21 |
BYU +6 v. Baylor |
|
24-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 19 m |
Show
|
This line is way out of control here. So last week BYU losses to Boise giving them their first loss of the season. We are seeing a big time overreaction here though. Baylor last week was favored by 2.5 over WVU and blew them out. Well you're telling me that BYU is worse than WVU? In way am I buying that at all. Baylor has Texas on deck. I love BYU here
|
10-16-21 |
Michigan State v. Indiana +5 |
|
20-15 |
Push |
0 |
98 h 9 m |
Show
|
Michigan St is one of the most overrated teams in the country here. They are undated but should have lost a couple weeks back to Nebraska. I think Indiana is live here for the upset Saturday. The Hoosiers have lost to Cincy, Iowa and Penn St. That isn't anything to hang your head-on as all those teams are very good. Penix being out I believe helps the Hoosiers and he has simply been a shell of himself this season coming off that injury.
|
10-16-21 |
Florida v. LSU +10.5 |
|
42-49 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 4 m |
Show
|
Alright I love the price here for LSU. I mean just two games ago they were favored -3 over Auburn. Is there a huge difference between Auburn and Florida right now? I sure don't think so but you are going to give me 10? I will gladly the Tigers here and all the points.
|
10-16-21 |
Central Florida +21 v. Cincinnati |
|
21-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 52 m |
Show
|
I will take all the points here with this UCF team. The love for Cincy right now is just out of control. yes, the Bearcats are a great team but now laying 3 touchdowns against a more than capable team here in UCF. I know Gabriel being out has something to do with this but UCF has just as good of athletes here. Cincy is 4-1 ATS and UCF is 1-4 ATS. The love from the public will be there and this is why I side with UCF
|
10-15-21 |
San Diego State v. San Jose State +8 |
|
19-13 |
Win
|
100 |
85 h 53 m |
Show
|
Give the Aztecs credit here for winning every game so far this season. There is no doubt that their undefeated record is playing into this line. They have each played New Mexico St and the line differential for those games were that SDSU should be -5 on a neutral but now are -8 @ San Jose? They are way off and we are getting big time value here. Remember that San Jose St was 13.5 point dogs @ USC to start the season
|
10-09-21 |
Michigan v. Nebraska +3.5 |
|
32-29 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 35 m |
Show
|
The Michigan love is getting a little out of hand here now. I will gladly take the 3.5 with the Huskers here in a night game. I really believe this win this one outright and this the Frost moment if you will for the team going forward. Michigan is improved I give them credit and and they are 4-1 ATS while the Huskers are 5-1 ATS. Michigan will be the darling public side now being highly ranked and laying a short price. I believe they fall flat here in Lincoln
|
10-09-21 |
Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech -105 |
|
32-29 |
Loss |
-105 |
60 h 15 m |
Show
|
I really hate this spot for Notre Dame. First, the Irish aren't a good team and should have had a couple more losses before last week. Coming off that first loss is always tough and throw in the fact they have USC and North Carolina next I believe next week is a look ahead. Va Tech is off a bye and they would love nothing more than to beat Notre Dame. Oh yea and it's a night game in Blacksburg which is a very tough environment.
|
10-09-21 |
Penn State +2 v. Iowa |
|
20-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 16 m |
Show
|
I will happily take Penn St in this game. Iowa has been a team that has just feasted off turnovers this season. Penn St only has 3 turnovers on the season and Clifford has improved a ton which was needed if Penn St wanted to make the leap forward this season which they have done. I dont think Iowa gets the short fields like they have with their offense. Penn St defense is also no joke. Iowa is creating all the turnovers they need to win this game. Wrong team is favored.
|
10-09-21 |
Virginia +2.5 v. Louisville |
|
34-33 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 57 m |
Show
|
I just think Virginia is the better team overall here. Louisville to me just doesn't have enough here vs this Virginia team. Virginia is better on both side of the ball. I also really love the spot here for Virginia having on a Thursday so they have plenty of time to prep for this one. That win at Miami for Virginia was enough to save their season and I believe they win outright.
|
10-09-21 |
South Carolina +10.5 v. Tennessee |
|
20-45 |
Loss |
-104 |
54 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a big number here for the Vols to be laying. They are coming off a huge blowout win over Missouri but more importantly they were dogs in that game. Missouri is showing that they are one of the bottom team with Vanderbilt in the SEC. Now Tennessee is laying double digits? I think way too big of an adjustment here as has been made. Both defenses here are pretty good so I dont expect a ton of points. The underdog has thrived in this series going 9-1-1 ATS last 11 games.
|
10-09-21 |
Michigan State v. Rutgers +5.5 |
|
31-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
53 h 27 m |
Show
|
I can't believe this Michigan St team is laying points on the road. The betting public will be all Sparty here as they come in undefeated. Throw in the fact Rutgers is off back to back losses against Michigan and a ugly blowout at Ohio St last week, this is setting up for a nice Rutgers ML play as well. Rutgers was getting 15 last week vs Ohio St and you're telling me there is only a 10 point difference between Sparty and Ohio St?? No way I'm buying that. Rutgers is the right side here
|
10-09-21 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +3.5 |
|
55-48 |
Loss |
-115 |
53 h 17 m |
Show
|
I will take Texas here in this game. I truly believe that Oklahoma currently is the most overrated team in the country. Outside of the beat down of Western Carolina the Sooners have had all their others games be pithing 7 points or less. They are bound to have another close not go their way. Texas is 4-1 ATS while the Sooners are 1-4 ATS. I just couldn't be any less impressed with Oklahoma and I really trust Sark here in his first rivalry game to make a statement.
|
10-02-21 |
Northwestern v. Nebraska -11.5 |
|
7-56 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 17 m |
Show
|
I will take the Huskers here in this game. Nebraska is a team that gets a ton of hate but yet all they have done is cover 4 straight games. They should have won last week @ Michigan St. Here is the reason this team has a legit defense and no one is talking about them. One dimensional NW won't be moving the ball and the Huskers will have huge chunk plays on the ground as the Wildcats have already been exposed to that.
|
10-02-21 |
Western Kentucky +11 v. Michigan State |
|
31-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 9 m |
Show
|
Sparty is off back to back all out games here vs Miami and Nebraska. They should have lost last week and I think are due for a let down here. I had Western Kentucky last week vs Indiana and they covered and had a chance to win that game outright losing by just 2. I think the Hilltoppers give Mich St all they want here
|
10-02-21 |
Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
14-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
57 h 59 m |
Show
|
I think this line stinks and it's not moving with everyone be all over Oklahoma St. The Cowboys could easily be 1-3 as they won some coin flips their first 3 games. Baylor I will admit the score last week was misleading as Iowa St did dominate the game and ultimately special teams cost the Cyclones the game. I do think Baylor is a sneaky team here and that is what this line is telling you. Also Iowa St has a top 5 defense in the country so you can't really blame them for not moving the ball great. Oklahoma St has Texas on deck which is a huge look ahead.
|
10-02-21 |
Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. NC State |
|
27-34 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 55 m |
Show
|
I will gladly take La Tech here in this game catching all these points. I had them in week 1 vs Miss St and they only lost by 1 point as a 23 point dog. I just love the situation here as NC St is coming off a massive massive win over Clemson and you know they are celebrating all week here. I fully expect a let down. I just dont see the motivation here at all for the Wolfpack as they just wanna win this game.
|
10-02-21 |
Texas Tech +8 v. West Virginia |
|
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 7 m |
Show
|
I do like this WVU team but I dont want any part of them laying more than a TD. Tech just got embarrassed last week vs Texas so I think they really are motivated for a bounce back here. WVU I could see coming out a little flat with an all out effort last week vs Oklahoma in a game they could have won. WVU might be a tad better but give me the 8 here.
|
10-02-21 |
Cincinnati -1.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
24-13 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 40 m |
Show
|
So we get Cincy off the bye here and this is absolutely the most circled game of the year for them. The bye week scheduled here is no accident. Also Notre Dame pulling away last week was extremely misleading with the final score. Notre Dame had a kick return for a TD and if they dont get that then I think this game is totally different. They have been very lucky all year long. It catches up with them this week against a very good Cincy team
|
10-02-21 |
USC -7.5 v. Colorado |
|
37-14 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 6 m |
Show
|
This line has been adjusted here a ton as if they game were the beginning of the year it would have been around 17. Yes, USC has looked horrible and there are a ton of questions right now. Colorado is a very bad football team. They barely had over 100 yards vs Minnesota. They were blown out @ ASU last game. The talent gap is wide here and I trust USC to bounce back just like they did after the ugly Stanford loss
|
10-02-21 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin -1 |
|
38-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
67 h 13 m |
Show
|
I like the Badgers here quite a bit here as the betting public will be all over Michigan. The Badgers game last week was very close in fact they had the lead going into the 4th. the game really flipped when ND returned a kick for TD. Mertz doesn't look good I know but has Michigan really impressed you with the schedule they have played? Badgers win by 6.
|
10-02-21 |
Minnesota +2.5 v. Purdue |
|
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 14 m |
Show
|
I like the buy low spot here with the Gophers. This team is coming off their worst loss in the PJ Fleck era losing to Bowling Green as a 31 point favorite. Well, now Purdue is favored and they dont deserve to be. This Purdue offense is very very bad scoring just 13 points each the last two games. Gophers will control the game on the ground in a great bounce back spot and I expect them to win outright
|
10-01-21 |
Iowa v. Maryland +3.5 |
|
51-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
51 h 4 m |
Show
|
Everyone and I mean everyone will be all over Iowa tonight. I mean the #5 ranked team in the country only laying 3.5 on the road against an average team yup it's a lock. I think people are ignoring that Maryland beat a very good WVU team. Also Iowa has a huge look ahead game with Penn St coming to town and there is a lot of talk about gamely being there for that one. I don't trust this Iowa offense at all as they are flat out horrible. Terps win this game outright
|
09-25-21 |
Indiana v. Western Kentucky +9.5 |
|
33-31 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 35 m |
Show
|
I love Western Kentucky here in this game. This is literally like the perfect spot that you look for with a team especially catching this many points. Indiana is off a huge game over Cincy in which they blew it but now have Penn St on deck. Oh and WKU is coming off their bye week as well and you can guarantee they have this one circled and its a night game!
|
09-25-21 |
Nebraska +5 v. Michigan State |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
105 h 51 m |
Show
|
I like the Huskers here in this game. So ever since the first game they lost vs Illinois which was misleading this team has covered the next and still aren't getting credit. Heres the thing though that their defense is flying around and Sparty is so one dimensional running the ball I think Nebraska can really shut them down. Huskers put up nearly 400 yards of offense on the Sooners is that bad? I also think last week Sparty benefitted from 4 turnovers and eventually Miami just throw in the towel late as they knew they couldn't overcome. This would make a ML play also
|
09-25-21 |
Illinois +11 v. Purdue |
|
9-13 |
Win
|
100 |
102 h 9 m |
Show
|
I will take Illinois here and all the points. I think this is a gift. First, I believe Nebraska is better than Purdue and we are getting more points here now than when did when Illinois beat Nebraska. Also Illinois returned their starting QB and they nearly beat Maryland last Friday only losing by 3. Purdue off a big time game against ND I could see them being flat here. I like Illinois
|
09-25-21 |
Colorado State +23 v. Iowa |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
102 h 50 m |
Show
|
Iowa was extremely lucky last week to get the cover by half a point. I wasn't on the game but Kent St was driving and fumbled at the 1 yard line into the end zone and Iowa recovered. That would have made the game 14-16 late in the third. Kent St never recovered from that at all. I also love Iowa has the Big Ten schedule on deck here and I think this is a pretty blah game for them just to get through. Colorado St is coming off a huge win also winning @ Toledo last game. I love back big dogs that are playing confident.
|
09-25-21 |
Louisville v. Florida State +116 |
|
31-23 |
Loss |
-100 |
102 h 44 m |
Show
|
Alright I'm taking FSU on the ML here. I think this is the time of the season they either rally here or completely tank it. I trust that Norvell hasn't lost the locker room yet and that they will rally. I dont believe this Louisville team should be laying points on the road at all and think if this were played last week that FSU is at least a FG favorite here. Also the betting public is down with this team we know that so this is what I think is the ultimate buy low spot.
|
09-25-21 |
SMU +10 v. TCU |
|
42-34 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is one of those sneaky under the rdar rivalry games as campuses are less than an hour apart here. Yes, TCU is big brother but this game means more to SMU. SMU is 11th in the country in scoring offense right now. Also both defense are off to a good start holding opponents to each under 20 ppg. TCU is off their bye but the most important thing here is that they have their big brother on deck in Texas. I think both of these teams are equal so give me all the points.
|
09-25-21 |
LSU -2 v. Mississippi State |
|
28-25 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 14 m |
Show
|
I'm going to lay it here with LSU. I think the healthier this team gets clearly the better they will be and evidence was last weekend vs Central Michigan. Well you ask what's so impressive about that? They dominated that game it was a a big number to lay. I also haven't been a fan of Miss St and they lost @ Memphis last week. I think we are still getting a super cheap price here on LSU since the loss @ UCLA.
|
09-18-21 |
Auburn v. Penn State -6 |
|
20-28 |
Win
|
100 |
106 h 45 m |
Show
|
This probably square and I know the line has gone up a little from 3.5 or 4 from the preseason. I just think it is warranted though. Penn St was in a tough spot last week coming off a huge road win @ Wisky week 1 but they really answered the call. They blew out a Ball St team who is a very good MAC team and the defense here is the real deal. Auburn to me has played tow cupcakes and put up a ton of points. Does that impress you? It's a white out for Penn St and I love this defense
|
09-18-21 |
Mississippi State v. Memphis +3.5 |
|
29-31 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 12 m |
Show
|
Wrong team is favored here in this game. I was against Miss St in both games so far and have went 1-1. They were extremely lucky to have won week 1 against La Tech and they were favored by 23. They won the turnover battle last week and that played a large part of them beating NC St. This Memphis team especially on offense will have no issue moving the ball on this weak Leach defense. Grab this now
|
09-18-21 |
Ball State +7 v. Wyoming |
|
12-45 |
Loss |
-105 |
55 h 8 m |
Show
|
I am just very surprised here by this line. So Wyoming last week was -6.5 at Northern Illinois and they were projected to be one of the worst teams in the MAC this season. They snuck away late and won by 7. Now they are favored granted at home but is there an advantage at home? Ball St most had as a top 3 team in the MAC and I think them getting blown out at Penn St is playing a part of this. Too many points I will take Ball St.
|
09-18-21 |
Alabama v. Florida +16.5 |
|
31-29 |
Win
|
100 |
102 h 34 m |
Show
|
I will gladly take all the points here in this game. Yes, Mama blew the doors of Miami Fla and looked impressive but as we have found out the ACC is just flat out bad and I'm not putting much into that game. Florida has had a couple easy ones here early on looking ahead to this game here. I think the key number here for Florida is 20. If they can get there which I believe they do then they will cover this game. First true road test for Jones lets see how he handles it in a very tough environment.
|
09-18-21 |
USC -8 v. Washington State |
|
45-14 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 29 m |
Show
|
I really think this line climbs during the week so grab it now. USC laid an horrible egg last week losing to Stanford as 17 point favorites. That lead to the firing of their head coach Clay Helton which I think is now a positive and that will motivate the kids to play hard this week. Washington St isn't a good team at all. Wazzu lost to a horrible Utah St team as 18 point favorites in week 1 and Portland St they beat by 20 but didn't cover the -31.
|
09-18-21 |
Florida State +5.5 v. Wake Forest |
|
14-35 |
Loss |
-115 |
55 h 43 m |
Show
|
I fully expect sharp money to come in here on Florida St. This is most defiently an all out game for Norvell and his team. They simply have to win this game or he will be fired. I also think the fact that Wake Forest isn't favored by more tells you exactly what the books are thinking. They don't wanna give you the 6. FSU has the better athletes and that doesn't always matter clearly but for this circle the wagon game here I will back them.
|
09-18-21 |
Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -3 |
|
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 27 m |
Show
|
I really like West Virginia here in this game. Va Tech is getting a ton of respect because of their win over high franked UNC in week 1. It became very clear that the Tarheels are very over ranked and for that part the ACC clearly is. West Virginia had a bye last week after dropping week 1 to Maryland. They were actually in control of that game despite having 4 turnovers to the Terps 0 and only lost by 7. I think that says a lot by how much WVU is improved this season. Also worth mentioning that everyone will be on Va Tech because they are ranked.
|
09-11-21 |
Washington +7 v. Michigan |
|
10-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
46 h 26 m |
Show
|
So last week this line was -1.5 for Michigan and now since the Huskies lost to Montana and looked really bad we are getting some crazy value. Michigan blows out directional Michigan and now gets a lot of love. I just need to more from Harbaugh in these types of games. I love the overreaction to these types of games from 1 week. The total is very low here also and I lean to the under which I think the under and the dog are correlated.
|
09-11-21 |
NC State -2.5 v. Mississippi State |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
107 h 6 m |
Show
|
I am high on this NC St team. I had them last week -18 in a winner over South Florida as they skunked them 45-0. Yes, USF is a bad team I know but the. fact they held a. shutout says a lot to me. Also Miss St. was one of the luckiest teams and I went against them taking La Tech. +23 and they only lost by 1. La Tech let a double digit lead blow against Miss St in the 4th. I also love the extra time off here for NC St.
|
09-11-21 |
Texas -6 v. Arkansas |
|
21-40 |
Loss |
-110 |
107 h 1 m |
Show
|
I will lay the number here with Texas. I was beyond impressed with Texas last week facing a very good Rajun Cajun team who had a lot of hyper surrounding them and they returned a lot of players. Texas won by 20 and dominated from the start of the game. I really believe Sark is going to have a huge impact on this team and culture. Arkansas was very misleading as they were tied 17-17 heading into the 4th but yet covered the 19 as they scored 21 in the 4th. Jefferson their QB was horrible 12/21 against a Rice team. Arkansas doesn't have much of an home field advantage and I like Texas to get the job done.
|
09-11-21 |
Appalachian State +9 v. Miami-FL |
|
23-25 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 23 m |
Show
|
I like App St here in this game. This team is very underrated and I think we are getting really good value here. I also think this is a very tough spot for Miami who is coming off Bama and this game will be easy to over look fro them. I definitely dont think that Miami. will be blowing this veteran group out. App St is a solid program and one thing is for sure here that you know they have this game circled.
|
09-11-21 |
Eastern Michigan +26 v. Wisconsin |
|
7-34 |
Loss |
-103 |
45 h 24 m |
Show
|
Eastern Mich here retunes 10 starts on offense and while the Badgers defense is very good their offense really struggles. Wisky has no motivation here to blow out this team even after losing to Penn St. They also have a huge game next vs Notre Dame so I expect a pretty vanilla game plan. Hutchinson the QB for EMU is a go this weekend and give me just two scores here and I believe they cover this number
|
09-11-21 |
Iowa v. Iowa State -3.5 |
Top |
27-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
105 h 32 m |
Show
|
I love the Cyclones here this weekend. All summer long oddsmakers had this game at 7 and now based on 1 game they are dropping this line by 3! Iowa St is better on both sides of the ball and plus they have the better QB here in Purdy. Also Iowa was pretty lucky last week as they had two pick sixes in the first half. Petras their QB hasn't improved a lick and I think in a hostile environment he folds.
|
09-11-21 |
Miami-OH +19.5 v. Minnesota |
|
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 27 m |
Show
|
I wil take Miami Oh here. The gophers lost their best RB for the season against Ohio St and I think that is a big loss as he is their best player. Also the Gophers love to run the ball and that means the clock will run also. Miami Oh will score as the gophers defense isn't world beaters. I will take all these points here
|
09-11-21 |
Illinois v. Virginia -10 |
|
14-42 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 26 m |
Show
|
Illinois is still getting a little respect from beating Nebraska. However, if you did watch that game it was misleading and there were a couple things that happened they really flipped the game in favor of Illinois. To me last week again UTSA they showed their true colors giving up 497 yards. I trust Bronco Mendenhall here to get it done. Last week Virgnia played horrible William and Mary I know but they took care of business winning 43-0
|
09-04-21 |
Georgia +3.5 v. Clemson |
|
10-3 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 21 m |
Show
|
I love both of these teams and I really like Ulagalelei at Clemson for QB but Clemson did lose a lot. on offense and replacing Lawrence isn't going to be an easy task at all. I think both of these teams are equal here so with this being a neutral field game I think Georgia and the points here have a ton of value. Georgia did lose some pieces on D and they were ranked #1 against the rush last season. Smart has had great recruiting classes so I'm not so worried about guys stepping up and replacing them. I am also putting a lot of trust in QB JT Daniels here as well.
|
09-04-21 |
Syracuse v. Ohio +105 |
|
29-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
107 h 46 m |
Show
|
I'm pretty surprised by this line here. Ohio has a legit shot to win the MAC and these teams we see it every year go beat a power 5 school regardless of how good or bad that team is. Ohio should be favored here. Cuse is flat out no good at all. Cuse went 1-10 last season and yes they return a lot but from an offense which ranked 124 and a defense that ranked 112 this team needs a ton of help. I trust Solich and company to get it done
|
09-04-21 |
Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State |
|
34-35 |
Win
|
100 |
104 h 53 m |
Show
|
So yes we have Conference USA team here in LA Tech against an SEC school and I think most will give Miss St the edge but this team is probably bottom 3 in the SEC. They had 3 regular season wins over LSU Vandy and Missouri last year. Leach is trying to get his style going but I think that's tough in this league as you need some sort of balance. Also their defense especially in the passing game was horrible ranking 105th in the country. In regarding La Tech here I love that they return 10 defensive starters. When backing teams from outside the power 5 you need to look at the experience and La Tech fits that here. I also love we dont really need this to be a close game. Just keep it within 3 TD's here and we are good. I think they do that easily.
|
09-04-21 |
Central Michigan v. Missouri -14 |
|
24-34 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
I'm very high on this Missouri team this season and they are playing a bottom team in the MAC. I think this is a great spot here to back a team that isn't getting much love but will be explosive on offense.
|
09-04-21 |
Indiana +3.5 v. Iowa |
|
6-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
104 h 42 m |
Show
|
Give me Indiana and the hook here in a game I think both teams are equal. The Hoosiers season last year was for real and they return 17 starters from that team. Their only two losses were Ohio St by 7 and Ole Miss by 6. Penix their QB is definitely one to keep an eye on. Iowa here has one of the worst QB's in the Big Ten in Petras and so much of their season will be riding on him. They also had big shoes to fill on the DL which is a. big question mark right now. They only have 13 starts coming back which isn't much at all considering most teams have at least 16 with everyone getting a free year. I think Iowa is a play against until Petras the QB shows any hope.
|
09-04-21 |
Penn State +5.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
16-10 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 17 m |
Show
|
I dont see this number hitting 6 because it will disappear quickly. Penn St just couldn't get out of their own way last season starting 0-5. However, though give them some credit for winning their last 4 when it could have been easy to really pack it in. Clifford their QB is back and I fully expect big improvement from him. Im not taking anything away from Wisconsin last year but their wins were Illinois Michigan Minnesota in OT and Wake Forest in the bowl game. Nothing to special there but they are laying 5.5? Maybe they are that good but I need to see it
|
09-02-21 |
South Florida v. NC State -18 |
|
0-45 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 53 m |
Show
|
I'm really high on this NC St team. I think they are the 2nd best team in the Atlantic behind Clemson obviously. Last year this team went 8-4 and two of those losses were by 2 and 3 points. They were right there for a double digit win season. they return 17 starters which is exactly what we are looking for following a good season. They dont get much love or attention. South Florida on the other hand is the worst team I the AAC and its not close. Both offense and defense last year ranked in the 90's. They had one win and it was the Citadel. NC St shouldn't have an issue scoring 35+ here
|
08-28-21 |
Nebraska -7 v. Illinois |
|
22-30 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 16 m |
Show
|
First play of the season will be on the Cornhuskers here. There is no doubt with everything that is surrounding this team that Frost will be looking to make a statement and I think he does it in a big way. Illinois just doesn't have anyone and the talent gap here is huge. Yes, I know it didn't matter last year but I think we see major improvements with Martinez at QB and this Nebraska team is one to watch covering the number this season. Big Red for the first win this season!
|
01-11-21 |
Ohio State +9 v. Alabama |
|
24-52 |
Loss |
-107 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
I'm taking the Buckeyes here who I believe have a huge ship on their shoulder. I know Bama is extremely good I'm not taking anything away from them. I just was so impressed with Fields and company against a very good Clemson team. There was zero doubt to who the better team was on the field that night. I will gladly take more than a TD here as I clearly see a close game.
|
12-30-20 |
Florida +3 v. Oklahoma |
|
20-55 |
Loss |
-104 |
28 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-20 |
Wisconsin v. Wake Forest +9.5 |
|
42-28 |
Loss |
-107 |
20 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
12-19-20 |
Alabama v. Florida +17 |
|
52-46 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 18 m |
Show
|
I think everyone is falling in love with Bama and I get it. However, this number is just absurd to me here as Florida has a ton of playmakers across the board. This is the type of team that generally gives Saban fits. I think Florida was clearly looking ahead last week as they laid an egg losing to LSU outright. As a whole the offenses in the SEC are flat out terrible and especially the teams Bama has faced which has inflated their numbers. I think Florida hangs around this team averages over 40 ppg they will score it will all come down to turnovers.
|
12-19-20 |
Clemson -10 v. Notre Dame |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 13 m |
Show
|
So yes maybe this is just a bigger adjustment, but I dont think oddsmakers could have made this 13 or so either. Let's face it Clemson with their backup QB had Notre Dame dead in the water before ND scored with less than a minute to take the game into OT and ultimately win in OT. I'm not going against Dabo and Lawrence in a big time revenge game at all. This defense will be flying and they have the best defensive coordinator in the country.
|
12-19-20 |
Ole Miss -1 v. LSU |
|
48-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
12-19-20 |
Northwestern v. Ohio State -19 |
|
10-22 |
Loss |
-111 |
38 h 48 m |
Show
|
I'm going to lay it here with Ohio St. Yes, this is a huge number but boy do the Buckeyes have all the motivation in the world. I guarantee this team is pissed because all of the talk about them not deserving to be here and they are going to make a big statement to leave no doubt. Northwestern has 1 good win and that was @ Iowa by 1. Well how good is Iowa? extremely overrated as all their wins have came against teams with a losing record. Ohio St large here
|
12-19-20 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State +6.5 |
|
27-21 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a revenge game for Oklahoma I get it. Oklahoma definitely passes the eye test here recently especially on offense. Iowa St has played this Oklahoma team very tough the last 3 seasons with clearly not as much talent. Campbell is proven why he is such a great coach and his name will be mentioned all over the place. Purdy and company are rolling as well and their defense is much better than Oklahoma. This is also the first time in literally decades Iowa St has played for something like this. I think they hang around and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright again
|