03-19-17 |
Kings v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs are coming off back to back losses, and they return home to play bottom feeders Sacramento tonight. The Kings have been a good bet when visiting San Antonio in recent seasons, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. They are going to have their work cut out for them tonight though, with an injury depleted lineup facing the NBA's #2 ranked defense. The Spurs are normally very stingy when coming off a loss, and they've gone under in seven of their last 10 versus losing teams. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings in this series, and the Kings have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The under is 11-4 in Sacramento's last 15 overall. I expect this game to be a blowout, with the reserves coming off the bench in the fourth quarter. It's going to be difficult for the Kings to contribute enough points to push the total over.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
91-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total.
It's difficult not to notice that teams heading toward the post-season are starting to tighten up defensively. Both the Raptors are the Pacers are jockeying for playoff position in the Eastern Conference, and tonight's game will be meaningful for both teams. Indiana has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 10 overall. During that span the Pacers have held opponents under 100 points eight times. The Raptors have gone under in seven of their last 10, and their offense has suffered with PG Kyle Lowry out of the lineup. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. They've gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous eight meetings between the two teams. The Pacers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
87-75 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go UNDER the total. The Raptors offense has struggled in the absence of starting PG Kyle Lowry, and they've averaged just 96 points per game over their last six. Four of those games were losses, including a 104-89 loss at Miami on Saturday. That was the last time they played on back to back nights, a situation that has seen them fail to reach the total in four straight. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when coming off a loss. They will visit Detroit, a team that is battling for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are level on points with ninth place Miami, and only occupy the eighth spot by virtue of the tie breaker. Chicago is only a game back in 10th place, meaning that this is very much a must win for Detroit. The Pistons have gone under in four straight home games, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference. I expect a defensive battle here at the Palace tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-15-17 |
Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 211 |
Top |
104-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@BOS to go UNDER the total.
As the playoffs get closer, competitive teams tend to step it up defensively. That's been the case for both the Celtics and the Timberwolves of late. Boston is trying to catch the Cavs for first place in the East, while the Wolves are still 3.5 games back of the eighth place Nuggets in the West. Boston has not gone over the total for 10 straight games, while Minnesota has failed to reach the total in eight of it's last 10. This will be the second meeting between these teams this season. Boston won the first meeting 99-93 at Minnesota. The Celtics last home game was a 100-80 win over the Bulls, holding Chicago to 37.9 percent shooting. The Bulls scored just 26 points in the first half (not quarter) of that game. The under is 13-3-3 in Celtics last 19 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-13-17 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204 |
Top |
93-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total. Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
92-102 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go UNDER the total.
We all know that scoring drops dramatically in the NBA Playoffs in comparison to the regular season. When two post-season contenders meet late in the season, these games have major playoff implications. That will be the case when the Thunder host the Spurs on Thursday, looking to snap a four game losing streak. The Spurs are certainly taking this game seriously, as evidenced by the fact that they sat their starters in last night's win over Sacramento. That game went over the total, but the Spurs had gone under in seven of their previous eight games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and of the three games that went over, two of those saw less than 213 points. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Oklahoma City lost at San Antonio by a score of 108-94 earlier this season, and the Thunder shot just 35.3 percent from the field in that game.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAC@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers are in Minnesota tonight, and this is a big game for two teams that are trying to improve their playoff position. The Wolves are trying to catch Denver, sitting three and a half games back of the eighth place Nuggets. The Clippers are a game and a half back of the Jazz for fourth place in the West. This is the time of year when we see an increased emphasis on defense, and teams still in the hunt should be battling hard for ever single possession all night. That's resulted in a trend of low scoring games for Minnesota, who have gone under in five of their last six overall. During that span they allowed 100 points only once, in a 142-130 loss at Houston. Previous meetings in this series have trended over, but tonight's total is higher than it was in seven of the last eight. The Clippers lost at home to Minnesota by a score of 104-101 in the last meeting.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-03-17 |
Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214 |
Top |
135-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-01-17 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222 |
Top |
99-103 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200 |
Top |
89-96 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213 |
Top |
114-98 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-24-17 |
Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 215.5 |
|
97-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on BOS@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors host the Celtics in their first game back after the All Star break, and this is a huge game for both teams. Boston sits four games clear of Toronto in second place in the Eastern Conference, and the Raptors are just half a game up on 5th placed Atlanta. Toronto limped into the break as losers of 11 of their last 15. During that span they failed to score 100 points six times. I would expect both teams to be a little rusty following a week off, and I don't think either team will be giving up any easy buckets. Toronto ranks in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring averaging, allowing just 104.3 points per game. The addition of big man Serge Ibaka at the trade deadline certainly isn't going to hurt. Tonight's total is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, and four of the last five have gone under. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last eight overall, with the two exceptions coming in games against Western Conference teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205 |
Top |
88-111 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Utah Jazz are coming off an embarrassing 88-72 home loss to the Clippers. The Portland Trailblazers are coming off a home loss to Atlanta, shooing just 35.9 percent from the field and scoring just 97 points in regulation. The two teams will meet in Utah tonight, and we should expect to see a defensive battle. Utah is a heavy favorite, and the Jazz have a history of locking in defensively off a big home loss. They've gone under in nine of their last 10 following a double digit home loss. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it has been in recent meetings. In fact each of the last 10 meetings in this series saw a number below 200, dating back to 2014. The Jazz will be desperate to end a three game losing streak, and that should mean a heavy emphasis on defense. Two of Portland's last three visits to Utah have failed to go over 200 points, and none of the three went over the total listed for tonight's contest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210 |
Top |
99-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total.
The Pelicans are coming off a 122-106 win at Minnesota, and they shot 60 percent from the field in the victory. They play Sunday in Sacramento, and the Kings aren't the best defensive team in the NBA. Sacramento scored 65 points in the second half to come from behind and beat the Hawks 108-107 in overtime on Friday. They've scored an average of 107 points while wining three of five games during their current home stand. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the Kings have gone over in seven straight games coming off a win. The Pelicans have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall, mostly due to the fact that they give up an awful lot of points. Opponents have averaged over 112 points over their last five games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214 |
|
98-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on CHA@POR to go OVER the total. The Hornets are reeling, coming into Portland off four straight losses. Starting center Cody Zeller has missed all four of those games due to injury, and Charlotte has lost nine of 10 games without Zeller this season. They've struggled on defense in his absence, allowing over 110 points per game during their current losing skid. The Blazers have been a major disappointment this season, but they've won three of their last four, scoring an average of over 113 points in those games. The one loss came by just two points to defending Western Conference champs Golden State. Portland has won five straight home meetings with the Hornets, scoring an average of 115 points in those games. The over is 6-1 in the Blazers last seven versus teams with a losing record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Kings v. Rockets OVER 224.5 |
|
83-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on SAC@HOU to go OVER the total. The Kings came up just short in a 122-119 loss at Philly last night, but DeMarcus Cousins continued his extraordinary play, scoring a whopping 45 points and pulling in 15 rebounds. Cousins scored 35 points in Saturday's win at Charlotte, and that was the second game of a back to back for the Kings. Sacramento has scored an average of 112 points per game over their last five (all on the road). It's going to take plenty of points to keep up with the Rockets in Houston tonight. The Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. Houston defeated Sacramento 132-98 at home back in December, and six of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Neither of these two teams are too keen on playing defense, and they should both be content to play a fast pace high scoring game in Houston tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-17 |
Kings v. 76ers OVER 205 |
|
119-122 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@PHI to go OVER the total.
The Kings have won three of their last four games, scoring an average of over 110 points per game during that span. They are Philly to play the Sixers tonight, and Philly has lost back to back games, giving up over 120 points in each of those losses. The Sixers appear to have cooled off after a 10-3 run prior to Friday's home loss to the Rockets. James Harden went off for 51 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists in that game. I think we could see another half hearted effort on defense tonight, and DeMarcus Cousins could pile on the points. Cousins scored 35 points in a win at Charlotte Saturday, and he's averaged over 30 points per game in his last five. The Kings have been having their way with opponents from the Eastern Conference, and they've covered the spread in five straight on this road trip. The Sixers have gone over in five straight, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 when playing the second game of a back to back.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-28-17 |
Kings v. Hornets OVER 209 |
Top |
109-106 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@CHA to go over the total.
The Kings appeared to be well on their way to a third straight victory last night in Indiana, leading by double digits in the fourth quarter. They couldn't hang on though, eventually losing by a score of 115-111 in overtime. They might not have much left in the tank here on their second game of a back to back in Charlotte. The Hornets though have lost three straight, giving up an average of 110 points per game in those losses. This will be their second game in as many nights, and third game in four nights. Recent games between these two teams have been high scoring, the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in the last two meetings, and I don't expect to see a lot of effort here on defense from two teams that might not make the playoffs. The Hornets have gone over in 13 of their last 17 when playing their second game of a back to back, and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus the Kings.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-17 |
Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 |
Top |
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are coming off back to back losses, failing to score 100 points in both of those games. They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 99.4 points per game (28th). It has been their defense that has helped them win 16-of-24 at home. They rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed, giving up just 95.5 points per game. They are likely to put even more emphasis on defense tonight, looking to get back on track against a struggling Lakers team. LA has failed to score 100 points in back to back losses at Portland and Dallas. They scored just 73 points, suffering their worst ever loss at Dallas on Sunday (122-73). They've lost seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and they've scored an average of just 82 points while losing their last three visits to Utah. The Jazz have gone under in five straight following a loss, and the under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 home meetings versus the Lakers.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
95-103 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 |
Top |
99-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-27-16 |
Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5 |
Top |
103-113 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total. The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-20-16 |
Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213 |
Top |
113-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-06-16 |
Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204 |
Top |
114-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Heat v. Blazers OVER 214 |
Top |
92-99 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
100-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are coming off a 113-80 loss to Toronto last night, shooting just 34.4 percent from the field. Playing on the road on back to back nights against one of the league's best defenses in Memphis tonight, I expect another poor showing offensively for LA. The Grizzlies are coming off a 95-94 win over Orlando, and they've failed to reach 200 points in four straight home games. Injuries to DeAngelo Russell and Nick Young haven't helped the Lakers, and LA has failed to reach the total in five straight. Memphis has it's own injury concerns, as they've been without Mike Conley, Zack Randolph and Vince Carter. The Grizz have gone under in four straight at home versus teams with a losing record, and that's a trend I expect to continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
107-109 |
Loss |
-119 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Hawks have lost three straight, scoring an average of just 87 points in those losses. They will be a favorite in Phoenix tonight, facing a Suns team that has won just once in it's last five games overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings dating back to 2014, and tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of the last four meetings. The Hawks are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents under 100 points per game on average. The under is 19-7 in their last 26 road games, and they've failed to reach the total in 21 of their last 29 versus Western Conference teams. The Suns have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210 |
Top |
96-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Lakers will be shorthanded when they face the Bulls in Chicago tonight, already missing starting PG DeAngelo Russell, they could be without Nick Young who suffered a strained Achilles in the loss to New Orleans last night. These teams have gone over the total in each of the last four meetings, but we see a higher total in tonight's game than in any of those previous contests. The Bulls are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents to an average of just 99 points per game. These teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 12 meetings at the United Center, and Chicago has held opponents to an average of 95.8 points while winning four of five home games this season.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195 |
Top |
105-120 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@TOR to go OVER the total.
The Raptors have scored over 110 points in nine of their last 11 games overall. They scored a whopping 122 points in a blowout win over Philly last night, and they host a banged up Memphis team here tonight. Memphis is already missing Zack Randolph, Mike Conley and Chandler Parsons, and could be without Vince Carter here in Toronto. The Grizzlies have a reputation for being one of the league's toughest defensive teams, but I don't like their chances of slowing down the Raptors with a depleted lineup. The over is 9-2 in Toronto's last 11 overall, and they've gone over in seven of their last 10 home games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, but two of the last three times they met, the total was over 200.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5 |
Top |
121-114 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Pistons will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Boston tonight. They 112 points in an upset win over the Hornets in Charlotte last night, and they were 12-of-28 from three point range in the victory. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, but the listed total was over 200 in all four of those games. Tonight's number looks a little too low, and I am expecting the Pistons to be competitive, with a little momentum coming off an impressive performance. The Celtics are also coming off an impressive showing, scoring 112 points and hitting 11-of-27 from three-point range at Miami on Monday.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 196 |
Top |
112-103 |
Loss |
-117 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, holding opponents to an average of just 92.8 points per game. They are coming off their most impressive victory of the season, holding the Hawks to just 68 points in a 95-68 home win on Friday. They are in Minnesota tonight, and the T-Wolves have lost four of their last five. Minnesota ranks 19th in the NBA scoring an average of 103.1 points per game, but has been held to less than 100 points in four of it's last five games. These two teams have gone under in three of the last four meetings, and the one game that went over saw just 193 total points. This is a big game for the Jazz, who sit just a half game back of Oklahoma City in the Northwest Division standings. Minnesota sits dead last in the division, and the T-Wolves have gone under in seven straight versus Northwest Division teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-10-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 |
Top |
108-97 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total. After both the first two games of this series failed to reach the total, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 3 in Cleveland. The pace of play in the first two games should have resulted in a higher score, but Cleveland just kept on missing shots. The Cavs shot 52.7 percent from the field in Game 3, and they were 12-of-25 from three point range. Still the total for Game 4 remains much lower than it was in the first two games, and I think after three straight lob-sided games, we might finally see a competitive contest here in Game 4. Surely the Splash Sisters have to be better, and they have plenty to prove after going a combined 4-of-16 from beyond the arc in Game 3. The over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
06-05-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 206.5 |
Top |
77-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total.
After cashing in on a heavy under trend this post-season, I decided to switch things up with a play on the over in Game 1. It didn't work out, with the Splash Brothers shooting just 8-of-27 combined, totaling only 20 points. The Cavs were brutal, shooting just 38.1 percent in a 104-89 loss. Cleveland missed a lot of easy put-backs and layups that you would have expected them to hit. Heading into Game 2, we see that the bookmakers have adjusted with a total that is 3-4 points lower than it was in Game 1. We know Curry and Thompson are going to be better than they were in Game 1, and I expect Cleveland to play a bit better as well. The Warriors have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, but three of those games saw enough points to go over tonight's total.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-02-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 210 |
Top |
89-104 |
Loss |
-103 |
57 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total.
The playoffs have been very profitable for The Iceman so far, and much of the success has come with totals. Those who have followed would know that The Iceman plays a lot more unders than he does overs, but he's changing things up here in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. While he Warriors failed to reach the total in five of their seven games in the Western Conference Final, only two of those games saw fewer points than the total here for Game 1. When these two teams met in the Finals last year, we saw tight, low scoring games. The series opener went just over, only because of overtime. Things have changed here in 2016, with a healthy Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving, these Cavs can score with the best of them. The Warriors certainly are the best of them, averaging 111 points per game in the playoffs. The Cavs come in averaging 107 points per game. The Warriors didn't play particularly well against the Thunder, but with Klay Thompson making 11 three-pointers in Game 6, and the Splash Bros hitting a combined 13-of-23 from downtown in Game 7, they survived. I think if they play that way against the Cavs they could be in for a tough series.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-30-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 219 |
Top |
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors have won back to back games to force a Game 7 at Oracle Arena, but neither of those wins were particularly convincing. They trailed 53-48 at halftime in Game 6, and they have trailed at the half in three of the last four games in this series. The only thing that saved them from elimination in Game 6 was the red hot shooting from Klay Thompson, who hit 11 three-pointers. If the Warriors are counting on Thompson (not Curry) to carry the load here in Game 7, they could be in trouble.
The Thunder have really turned up the defensive intensity in the playoffs, not just in this series, but also in their semi finals series versus San Antonio. Steven Adams continues to own the boards, and he had three blocks in Game 6. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last six meetings at Golden State, and the Warriors have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 Conference Finals games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-28-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 221 |
Top |
108-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors are down, but not out. After getting throttled in back-to-back games in Oklahoma City, they face elimination once again, but this time on the road. Steph Curry said after Game 4: " this is not how we're going to go out." Head coach Steve Kerr insists that Curry isn't injured, but then goes on to say that "it's the playoffs, everyone is a little banged up".
Curry was 2-for-10 from beyond the arc in Game 4, and 3-for-11 in Game 3. He's only averaged 24 points per game in the series, well below his regular season average of 30.1 PPG. We've seen three of the first four games in this series fall well below these inflated totals, and we only saw a combined 85 points in the second half of Game 4. In an elimination game, I expect both teams to go all out on defense from start to finish. The Warriors haven't taken a lead to the locker room at halftime in any of their road games in these playoffs. Despite scoring 31 points in Game 5, Curry was just 3-for-8 from beyond the arc.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-27-16 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 |
Top |
113-87 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@TOR to go OVER the total. After three of the last four games in this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 6 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the three games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 6. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to close out the series, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 road games, and 12-6 in their last 18 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
05-26-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 221 |
Top |
111-120 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors are down, but not out. After getting throttled in back-to-back games in Oklahoma City, they face elimination at home in Game 5 tonight. Steph Curry says: " this is not how we're going to go out." The Warriors are asked to cover a bunch of points here, and I just can't bring myself to bet on a team that has already displayed an inability to stop Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. Head coach Steve Kerr insists that Curry isn't injured, but then goes on to say that "it's the playoffs, everyone is a little banged up".
Curry was 2-for-10 from beyond the arc in Game 4, and 3-for-11 in Game 3. He's only averaged 24 points per game in the series, well below his regular season average of 30.1 PPG. We've seen three of the four games in this series fall well below these inflated totals, and we only saw a combined 85 points in the second half of Game 4. In an elimination game, I expect both teams to go all out on defense from start to finish. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings at Oracle Arena, and the Thunder have gone under in four straight road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-25-16 |
Raptors v. Cavs OVER 198.5 |
Top |
78-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the first two games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 5. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a pair of losses, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 8-3 in Cavaliers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 12-5 in their last 17 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
05-23-16 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 |
Top |
99-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers have adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this is an over-correction, and this of all games looks like one that should see more scoring. None of the first three games were close, but I expect the Cavs to respond after an embarrassing loss in Game 3. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a double-digit loss (the Zig Zag Theory), but I think the better bet is on the Cavs to simply be more competitive, thus pushing the total over. The trends show that the over is 9-3-1 in Cavaliers last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
05-22-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
105-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total 1st half.
Do you remember when the Thunder upset the Warriors in Game 1? Perhaps the Warriors convincing 118-91 win in Game 2 has made us forget about how well the Thunder have played. Oklahoma City returns home with the series tied 1-1, and they are an underdog in Game 3. We've seen the Warriors deal with their fair share of adversity in this post-season, and they've made a habit of playing poorly in the first half on the road. They trailed at the half in both of their games in Portland, and they failed to get to the locker room with a lead at the half in both road games in their first round series versus Houston .
Steph Curry continues to make incredible shots night in and night out, but after dropping 40 points on the Blazers in Game 4, he's been held under 30 points in three straight. He's admitted his knee is still not 100%, and he injured his elbow late in Game 2. You could see his elbow was quite swollen while he was sitting on the bench in the third quarter, and the injury was on his shooting arm.
When the Warriors visited Oklahoma City in the regular season, they went to halftime trailing 57-46. That's well short of the number for the first half of Game 3. These teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and the Warriors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Finals games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-18-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 222 |
Top |
91-118 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors got off to a great start in Game 1, but they struggled in the second half allowing Oklahoma City to come from behind to record the upset. Stephen Curry still isn't 100%, and he was just 1-of-1 from the field in the fourth quarter. The Warriors have a habit of slow starts to games, and I really think these teams will struggle to reach this enormous number in the first half of Game 2.
Steph Curry returned to action in Game 4, and he scored 40 points (a record 17 in overtime) en route to a 132-125 victory. He made his first three-pointer in the third quarter, and he did the bulk of his scoring after that. After seeing so many high scores in Golden State's series versus Portland, the bookmakers have come out with an astronomically high total for Game 2 of the Western Conference Final.
While there were several high scoring games in the Thunder's series versus San Antonio, not one of those games saw enough points to reach the total in tonight's game. In fact the Thunder held the Spurs to 100 points or less in five of the six games. It's not going to be easy to duplicate that success against the Warriors, but I wouldn't be surprised to see another close game at Oracle Arena.
Take UNDER .
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-17-16 |
Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
84-115 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Cavs have been unstoppable so far in these playoffs, but they come into Game 1 versus the Raptors off a long layoff. It's been nine days since they closed out the Hawks in a four game sweep in the Eastern Conference Semi Final. Game 4 of that series failed to reach 200 total points, as have five of Cleveland's last seven games in these playoffs. The Raptors are also trending toward the under, with six of their seven games against the Heat failing to reach a total of 200 points. Toronto finished the regular season with the NBA's 3rd best defense, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. The emergence of center Bizmack Biyombo may make them even tougher, and they held the Heat to an average of 93.7 points in their last series. Biyombo isn't as much of a scorer as the injured Jonas Valancunias, but he's a dominant defender and an excellent rebounder. The Raptors have gone under in eight of their last nine on the road, and Cleveland has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven when playing on three or more days of rest. The Cavs could be a little sluggish to start tonight's game, given the nine day layoff.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-16-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 223.5 |
Top |
108-102 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total.
The Oklahoma City Thunder shocked everyone with a stunning upset win in their second round series versus San Antonio. As impressive as they have looked, I still think they're going to be in way over their heads in the Western Conference Final. The Warriors had some ups and downs in their series versus Portland, but in the end they were able to overcome slow starts, closing out the Blazers in five games.
Steph Curry returned to action in Game 4, and he scored 40 points (a record 17 in overtime) en route to a 132-125 victory. He made his first three-pointer in the third quarter, and he did the bulk of his scoring after that. After seeing so many high scores in Golden State's series versus Portland, the bookmakers have come out with an astronomically high total for Game 1 of the Western Conference Final.
While there were several high scoring games in the Thunder's series versus San Antonio, not one of those games saw enough points to reach the total in tonight's game. In fact the Thunder held the Spurs to 100 points or less in five of the six games. It's not going to be easy to duplicate that success against the Warriors, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Golden State struggle to shake off the rust coming off a layoff. The Warriors came out flat a few times in their series versus Portland, and it could take a while to get going in Game 1.
Take UNDER .
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-13-16 |
Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 |
Top |
91-103 |
Loss |
-100 |
31 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total.
It's rare to see The Iceman change strategy in the middle of a playoff series, and even after just missing the under in Game 5, he's firing right back with "under" in Game 6. The officials are clearly giving the Heat the benefit of the doubt on every close call, and Toronto is really going to struggle to score with a banged up DeMar Derozan and and DeMarre Carroll. Bizmack Biyombo has been great, but he doesn't pose as much of a threat as the injured Jonas Valancunias.
Patrick Patterson started at PF in Game 5, and he scored just eight points on 3-of-12 shooting. He's having a terrible series, shooting just .335 and averaging just six points per game. The Heat could be without Loul Deng in Game 6, and Hassan Whiteside remains sidelined with a knee injury. Toronto has failed to reach the total in eight straight road games, and 10 of it's last 13 overall. The under is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 overall.
Take MIA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-11-16 |
Heat v. Raptors UNDER 188.5 |
Top |
91-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Raptors blew a late lead in Game 4 in Miami, and they return home deadlocked at 2-2 in their series versus the Heat. Coming off such a tough loss, I expect Toronto to come out strong with a big first half in Game 5. Both teams have lost their starting center, but Toronto is in far better shape with Bizmack Biyombo scoring 13 points and pulling in 13 rebounds in 31 minutes in Game 4. The Raptors are also getting big minutes off the bench from Cory Joseph and Terrence Ross, who combined to score 28 points in the loss at Miami. With DeMar DeRozan battling a thumb injury, the pressure is on Kyle Lowry to carry the load. He scored 33 points on 11-of-19 shooting in Game 3, but he fouled out with just 10 points in Game 4. Expect a bounce back performance from the Raptors PG at home tonight. Four of five games in this series have gone to overtime, and still the total has gone under in each of the last three games. The Heat have gone under in eight of their last nine overall, and Toronto has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 12. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
05-09-16 |
Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 |
Top |
87-94 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors are back in the driver's seat after winning Game 3 in Miami, and they have to be encouraged by the play of Kyle Lowry. Their star PG has broken out of a slump, scoring 33 points on 11-of-19 shooting in the last game. He's going to need to carry the load with DeMar DeRozan banged up, and Jonas Valanciunas sidelined with an ankle injury. Toronto's center had been dominant in this series, scoring 55 points and pulling in 38 rebounds in 2.5 games. His replacement Bizmack Biyombo is also an excellent defender, but is nowhere near as dangerous offensively. Still this leaves the Raptors in better shape than Miami, who will really miss Hassan Whiteside. We've seen a trend of close, low scoring games so far in this series, with all three decided by six points or less. Two of the three games went under, with the only exception being Game 1, when Kyle Lowry hit a miracle shot from half court to force overtime. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in seven straight on the road, and the Heat have gone under in seven of their last eight overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-06-16 |
Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 200 |
Top |
121-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
30 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total.
After a low scoring battle in Game 1, the Cavs came out and set an NBA record with 25 made three-pointers in Game 2. You might as well just completely disregard what happened in the last game in Cleveland, and I think it's far more likely that Game 3 will be a lot more like Game 1.
Three of Cleveland's last four games at Atlanta have failed to reach the total, and the only exception was a 110-108 overtime win for Cleveland. The first half of that game only saw a combined 96 points, and I don't expect any more scoring here in Game 3 in Atlanta.
The Hawks were the best defensive team in the NBA after the All Star break, and they've gone under in seven of their last eight when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in Atlanta's last six home games, and 8-2 in the Hawks last 10 overall.
Both of Cleveland's road games in these playoffs have gone under, and LeBron struggled in Detroit, scoring a total of 42 points on 17-of-43 shooting. He was just 2-of-12 from beyond the arc in those games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-03-16 |
Heat v. Raptors UNDER 191 |
Top |
102-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors finally got the monkey off their backs, ending a 15 year run of playoff disappointment by escaping their first round series versus the Pacers. They overcame adversity, with stars Kyle Lowry and DeMar Derozan struggling with their shot through the entire series. It was strong defense and key contributions off the bench that powered the Raptors past Indiana. Only one of the seven games in that series went over the total, and we are likely to see more defensive battles in this series versus the Heat.
Miami is coming off a blowout win in Game 7 over Charlotte, and they held the Hornets to just 74 points on 32.1 percent shooting in the series finale. The final four games of that series went under the total, and the Heat have failed to reach the total in five straight on the road. We've seen roughly 65% of the games in these playoffs go under, and the bookmakers have not been able to adjust quick enough. In fact, in games with a total of 195 or less, the under is 12-2-1. The total for tonight's Game 1 is still higher than it has been in two of the last three meetings between these two teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-02-16 |
Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
98-97 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total.
I took the under in Game 1, and here is what I said pregame: "The Oklahoma City Thunder had little trouble getting past the Mavs in the first round, winning the series in five games. The final three games in that series all went over, and the Thunder averaged 122 points in those games. They can't expect to enjoy that same success in San Antonio, where they lost both meetings during the regular season. Three of the four games in the season series went under, and the Spurs won 102-98 in overtime in the last meeting. San Antonio is by far the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 92.9 points per game. They only allowed the Grizzlies to average 71 points in their two home games in the first round. The Thunder played well defensively in the first round, holding the Mavs to 93.8 points per game."
While the Spurs defense was as good as I expected it to be, the Thunder just couldn't stop San Antonio from scoring. Oklahoma City will need to tighten things up here in Game 2, and I expect a much slower pace after the Thunder make adjustments.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-02-16 |
Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Cavs have won seven straight against Atlanta, and they've held the Hawks to fewer than 100 points in regulation in all seven of those games. Both teams were impressive on defense in their respective first round matchups. The Hawks allowed Boston to average just 93.8 points per game, while the Cavs held Detroit to an average of 95 points per game. Atlanta has failed to reach the total in eight of it's last 10 overall, while the Cavs have gone under in five of their last six when coming off at least three days rest. The under is 23-11 in Cavaliers last 34 Conference Semifinals games. These teams played a low scoring contest in Game 1 of the East Finals last year, with Cleveland winning by a score of 97-89. I expect a similar looking score in Game 1 of this series.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-01-16 |
Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 189.5 |
Top |
84-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total. This series has seen more than it's fair share of low scoring games, with five of the six games going under the total. We saw just 184 points scored in Game 6, and I really don't think we can expect more than that tonight in Game 7. Toronto did a decent job defending Paul George, holding him to 21 points on 5-of-14 shooting in Game 6. Indiana scored just nine points in the fourth quarter in Toronto in Game 5, but the total did go over for the first time in the series. Despite a heavy trend of low scoring games in these playoffs, and five of six games going under in this series, we still saw a higher total in Game 6 than we saw in Game 5. DeMar DeRozan is averaging just 15.8 points per game on 32.8 percent shooting in this series, while Kyle Lowry has shot just 27 percent from the field in three home games against the Pacers. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-30-16 |
Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
92-124 |
Loss |
-107 |
67 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Oklahoma City Thunder had little trouble getting past the Mavs in the first round, winning the series in five games. The final three games in that series all went over, and the Thunder averaged 122 points in those games. They can't expect to enjoy that same success in San Antonio, where they lost both meetings during the regular season. Three of the four games in the season series went under, and the Spurs won 102-98 in overtime in the last meeting. San Antonio is by far the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 92.9 points per game. They only allowed the Grizzlies to average 71 points in their two home games in the first round. The Thunder played well defensively in the first round, holding the Mavs to 93.8 points per game.
Take UNDER GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-29-16 |
Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 195 |
Top |
83-101 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors head back to Indiana with a chance to close out the Pacers in Game 6. So far home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, with both teams winning once on the road. The Pacers came very close in Game 5, but blew a 13 point lead in the fourth quarter. I think that such a demoralizing loss sets up Indiana for an emotional let down here tonight. The Raptors haven't had any trouble winning at Indiana, and they've covered the spread in nine of their last 11 at Bankers Field House.
Indiana scored just nine points in the fourth quarter in Toronto in Game 5, but the total did go over for the first time in the series. Despite a heavy trend of low scoring games in these playoffs, and four of five games going under in this series, we still see a higher total in Game 6 than we saw in Game 5. DeMar DeRozan scored 34 points on 10-of-22 shooting in the last game, after struggling earlier in the series. This is a good sign moving forward for the Raptors, but still they've failed to reach the total in five straight road games. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-27-16 |
Blazers v. Clippers OVER 196.5 |
Top |
108-98 |
Win
|
102 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@LAC to go OVER the total.
The last time I watched the Clippers play without Blake Griffin and Chris Paul, they won at Utah by a score of 102-99. That was a road win against one of the best defensive teams in the league, in a game that Utah needed to win in order to make the playoffs. Jamal Crawford led the way with 30 points on 9-of-20 shooting. It appeared that the Clippers strategy without their stars was to play a fast paced, high energy game, shooting a ton of threes. They were quite successful going 13-of-29 (44%) from beyond the arc.
Paul Pierce scored 18 points in 33 minutes in that game, and he was 4-of-5 from beyond the arc. The veteran has seen limited action so far this post-season, but expect to see more of "The Truth" tonight. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, and seven of the last eight overall. The number in all of those games was well over 200, and tonight's total is roughly 10 points lower than it would be in normal circumstances. That may prove to be a case of the bookmakers over-compensating.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-26-16 |
Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 199 |
Top |
83-110 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Hawks took a 2-0 series lead to Boston, and after failing to reach the total in each of the first two games, the number in Game 3 was still over 200. The under is trending huge in these playoffs, and while the bookmakers have made some slight adjustments, I still think this number is way too high, especially when you consider that they only combined to score 161 points in the last game.
The Hawks had by far the best defense in the NBA since the All Star break, and the Celtics have proven to be more than capable of playing defense as well. These teams have failed to score 200 points in three of the four games so far, and those were all regular season games. With an increased emphasis on defense in the post-season, they are even less likely to reach that number.
Boston is missing second leading scorer Avery Bradley, and leading scorer Isaiah Thomas was held to just 16 points on 4-of-15 shooting in Game 2. The Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-24-16 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 217 |
Top |
121-94 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GS@HOU to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors looked unstoppable of Game 1 of this series, beating Houston 104-78. They followed that up with another double-digit win at home in Game 2, despite the absence of MVP Steph Curry. It was a different story back in Houston for for Game 3, and the Rockets pulled off the upset winning 97-96. With Curry set to return for Game 4, the bookmakers have Golden State heavily favored this afternoon.
I think it's important to remember that Curry played every game when these two teams met in last year's playoffs, and that series was a lot closer than most expected. Those games were for the most part quite close, and the scores were much lower than anticipated as well. The Warriors were held to 43 percent shooting in Game 3 without Curry, but they shot an even lower 42.9 percent in Game 1, and Curry scored 24 points on 8-of-13 shooting in that game. Coming off an injury, he may not be at 100 percent, and it could be a tough ask for him do any better than that here in Houston in Game 4.
The Warriors have failed to reach the total in six straight road games, and they've gone under in 11 of their last 16 in Houston. They've also gone under in six of their last eight when coming off a loss. This is a huge game for both teams, and we should expect a solid defensive effort all the way around.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-23-16 |
Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 194.5 |
Top |
83-100 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total.
After two low scoring games in Toronto, we saw these teams combine to score just 186 points in Game 3 in Indiana. The bookmakers adjusted with a lower opening total for Game 4, but public money has caused some late line movement, pushing the number right back up to where it was in Games 1 & 2. The trend throughout the playoffs so far has been low scoring games, and I see no reason for either of these two teams to open things up here tonight. With the Raptors up 2-1 and the series heading to Toronto for Game 5, a loss here would likely be the end for the Pacers. We should expect this to be another gritty defensive battle. The way DeMarre Carroll has played defense against Paul George, the Pacers might struggle on offense. Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan continue to struggle with their shooting, and I just don't see anybody picking up any easy buckets here in a pivotal Game 4.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-22-16 |
Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 181.5 |
Top |
96-87 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@MEM to go OVER the total.
The Spurs are in complete control of this series heading into Game 3 in Memphis, and I am not convinced that will change simply because Memphis is at home. That being said, they scored an average of just 71 points in the two games in San Antonio, and I expect them to show at the very least a modest improvement on offense. The under has been really trending in these playoffs, as 14 of 19 games so far have failed to reach the number. This has prompted the bookmakers to adjust, and we see a total in Game 3 that is 10 points lower than it was in Game 1.
The over has been a good bet after the Grizzlies have suffered a double-digit loss, trending at a rate of 7-1-2. They've also played higher scoring games in Memphis, going over at a rate of 20-8-2 in their last 30 home games. The Spurs are still scoring their fair share of points, averaging 100 per game in the post-season. They are smoking hot from beyond the arc, hitting 19-of-39 three-pointers in Games 1-2.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-22-16 |
Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
103-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
42 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Hawks take a 2-0 series lead to Boston, and after failing to reach the total in each of the first two games, the number in Game 3 is still over 200. The under is trending huge in these playoffs, with 14 of the first 19 games failing to hit the total. While the bookmakers have made some slight adjustments, I still think this number is way too high, especially when you consider that they only combined to score 161 points in the last game.
The Hawks had by far the best defense in the NBA since the All Star break, and the Celtics have proven to be more than capable of playing defense as well. These teams have failed to score 200 points in three of the last four meetings in Boston, and those were all regular season games. With an increased emphasis on defense in the post-season, they are even less likely to reach that number.
Boston is missing second leading scorer Avery Bradley, and leading scorer Isaiah Thomas was held to just 16 points on 4-of-15 shooting in Game 2. The Under is 8-2 in Hawks last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-22-16 |
Cavs v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
101-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@DET to go UNDER the total. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Pistons made 15 three-pointers in Game 1, shooting a staggering 51.7 percent from beyond the arc. They shot better than 50% from the field, hanging around in a close game decided by just five points. I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here in Game 2, or for the rest of the series for that matter. The Cavs were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding opponents to well below 100 points per game. The trend so far in these playoffs has been that points have been hard to come by. The under is 9-4 through the first 13 post-season games, and only one of five Game 2s has gone over. In fact, we've seen fewer points scored in Game 2 than in Game 1 in all five series that have played twice so far. The Pistons led by seven points early in the fourth quarter of Game 1, and that should be enough to convince the Cavs that they need to be a lot better defensively here in Game 2. The Pistons still think they can win this series: "We don't care who you put in front of us," Reggie Jackson said. "We fear nobody and experience is going to be our best teacher. We're going to learn on the fly. We think we have a chance." I expect a battle here in Game 2, with both teams grinding it out for every possession." The Pistons three-point shooting cooled off significantly in Game 2, hitting just 4-of-17 from beyond the arc. They were held to just 37 points in the second half, and I expect another defensive battle in the Motor City tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-20-16 |
Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 201 |
Top |
90-107 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons made 15 three-pointers in Game 1, shooting a staggering 51.7 percent from beyond the arc. They shot better than 50% from the field, hanging around in a close game decided by just five points. I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here in Game 2, or for the rest of the series for that matter. The Cavs were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding opponents to well below 100 points per game. The trend so far in these playoffs has been that points have been hard to come by. The under is 9-4 through the first 13 post-season games, and only one of five Game 2s has gone over. In fact, we've seen fewer points scored in Game 2 than in Game 1 in all five series that have played twice so far. The Pistons led by seven points early in the fourth quarter of Game 1, and that should be enough to convince the Cavs that they need to be a lot better defensively here in Game 2. The Pistons still think they can win this series: "We don't care who you put in front of us," Reggie Jackson said. "We fear nobody and experience is going to be our best teacher. We're going to learn on the fly. We think we have a chance." I expect a battle here in Game 2, with both teams grinding it out for every possession.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-19-16 |
Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 205.5 |
Top |
72-89 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Hawks did everything I expected them to do in Game 1, until they nearly collapsed in the fourth quarter allowing Boston to get back into the game. Boston only managed to score 34 points in the first half, and the Celtics might struggle again in Game 2 without Avery Bradley, who is second in the team in scoring behind Isaiah Thomas. Bradley scored 18 points before getting injured in Game 1.
So far in these playoffs seven of 11 games have failed to reach the total, including Atlanta's win in Game 1 of this series. These are two of the best defensive teams in the playoffs, and I expect to see an even lower score than what we saw in Game 1
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-17-16 |
Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
101-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are a big favorite in their first round series versus Detroit, and they will be asked to cover a double-digit spread in Game 1. The Pistons aren't going to lay down though, and I expect this to be a battle, with both teams playing tough defense from the opening tip off.
The Pistons beat the Cavs in overtime in a meaningless game in the season finale, with both teams resting their starters. Prior to that, the Pistons won in Cleveland by a score of 96-88 in February. The Cavs were the 4th best defensive team in the league this season, and they've been particularly strong defensively when coming off a few days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
It wasn't that surprising that all four playoff games on Saturday failed to reach the total, as history tells us that scoring does down in the post-season. The defenses tighten up, and you just don't see that many easy buckets. I don't think the bookmakers have properly adjusted here with a number higher than 200 for Game 1.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-13-16 |
Heat v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 |
Top |
88-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The playoffs haven't started yet, but the atmosphere at the Garden should resemble a playoff game tonight when the Celtics host the Heat in the final game of the season. Home court advantage is up for grabs, and we should see both teams play with an added intensity tonight. These teams have a history of playing defensive games, with five of the last six meetings going under. Only once in the last 10 meetings have we seen a total over 200, and they came up well short in that game with Boston winning 101-89 at home. Miami comes in as winners of four of it's last five, holding opponents well below 100 points in all four of those wins. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when playing on one day's rest, and the Heat have gone under in four of their last five when playing on back to back nights. Miami has gone under in seven of it's last 10 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-13-16 |
Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
97-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@MIL to go UNDER the totaL. The Indiana Pacers have nothing to prove in their final game of the season, as they already know where they will play in the first round of the playoffs. We should expect the Pacers to rest their starters here in Milwaukee, but don't expect the Bucks to treat this like a meaningless game. After a frustrating season, finishing at home on a positive note would be big for the Bucks. They have a solid 23-17 home record, and should be more than capable of beating the Indiana bench players. Even at full strength, the Pacers aren't a great road team with a record of 18-22 outside Indiana. They've failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games, and they have gone under in six straight when playing on back to back nights. The Bucks have gone under in seven of their last nine in Milwaukee.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-12-16 |
Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 205 |
Top |
98-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total.
Coming off three straight losses, you have to think Spurs coach Greg Popovich wants to give his team something to be positive about heading into the playoffs. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder are expected to rest their starts. The last time Oklahoma City played at San Antonio, the Spurs won by a score of 92-85.
The Thunder shot just 38.3 percent from the field in that game, and were just 2-of-18 from beyond the arc. I don't expect their backups to have any more success at the AT&T Center tonight. The Spurs have won three of their last four home meetings with Oklahoma City, and they held the Thunder to an average of just 88 points in those wins.
The Spurs #1 ranked defense held Golden State to just 92 points on Sunday, but they couldn't stop the Warriors from winning their 72nd game of the season. I expect a similar effort on defense tonight, which should result in a convincing win over a short-handed opponent.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-09-16 |
Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 207 |
Top |
107-118 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Celtics will play in Atlanta in the second game of a back to back, after beating up on Milwaukee at home last night. This is a huge game for both teams, with home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs up for grabs. The Celtics will have their work cut out for them, as Atlanta has really been on a roll. The Hawks have won 14 of their last 18 overall, and they held opponents under 100 points in 11 of those 14 wins. They rank 6th in the NBA with an opponent's scoring average of just 98.9 points per game, and they've held Boston below 100 points in three of their last four home meetings with the Celtics. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 13 meetings in Atlanta. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall, while the Hawks have gone under in nine of their last 12 home games. With such high stakes in tonight's game, we should expect to see both teams fighting hard on defense. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-08-16 |
Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 194.5 |
Top |
93-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Mavs winning streak is now at five games heading into tonight's home game against Memphis. They have been dominant on defense during that span, holding opponents to just 86 points per game. The bookmakers have been slow to adjust to the fact that teams playing for playoff spots tend to tighten up the defense, and the total was over 200 in each game during the Mavs run. It appears that they've spotted the under trend, and have adjusted by shaving a few points off the number. I don't think they've adjusted enough though, as not one of the Mavs last five games has reached tonight's number.
Their opponent tonight is down three key starters, including their PG Mike Conley. Memphis is not a great offensive team at the best of times, as one of just half a dozen NBA teams that fail to average 100 points per game. The Mavs are also down a starting PG, although J.J. Barea has been brilliant filling in for D-Will. Dirk Nowitzki is really struggling offensively, shooting just 23-of-84 over his last five games. Backup center Salah Mejri has been a defensive dynamo, with seven blocks in his last three games, despite averaging less than 20 minutes.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-07-16 |
Bulls v. Heat UNDER 206 |
Top |
98-106 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* (GOW) play on CHI@MIA to go UNDER the total. Last week's big bet in the NBA was on the under in a game between the Bulls and the Pistons, and that Bulls lost that game at home by a score of 94-90. They now sit 2.5 games back of the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and whatever slim hopes they have will end tonight if they lose in Miami. The Heat are in a battle for one of the top four spots, trailing Boston by just half a game. Miami is coming off a 107-89 home win over the Pistons, putting on another defensive clinic. The Heat rank 4th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just 98.3 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of the last eight. Nine of those 10 games saw a total below 200, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-06-16 |
Rockets v. Mavs UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
86-88 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HOU@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Rockets and the Mavericks will play a Titanic game in Dallas tonight, with the eighth and Final playoff spot in the West up for grabs. The Mavs have won four straight, putting them in seventh in the West, one game ahead of Houston. During that span they've put on a defensive clinic, holding opponents to an average of just 86 points. The Rockets are on the outside looking in, sitting in ninth. Houston is one of the league's highest scoring teams, but as they've been battling for a playoff spot, they've trended toward lower scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of their last eight. They don't score quite as much on the road, and they've gone under in four straight away from Houston. We should see a cautious approach from two teams fighting for their lives, and tonight's total appears to be a little inflated. As I have said several times this week: "I think the bookmakers have failed to take this into consideration when they come out with such a high total. Teams battling for survival tend to play a lot tougher defense, and both these teams have been playing low scoring games of late."
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-06-16 |
Pistons v. Magic UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
108-104 |
Loss |
-107 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@ORL.
After a lopsided loss at Miami last night, the Pistons have slid all the way to eighth in the Eastern Conference, clinging to the final playoff spot. They have a two game lead on the ninth place Bulls, but they can't afford to keep losing or they could miss the playoffs all together. A win in Orlando tonight would give them plenty of breathing room, and I expect to see a solid effort. Detroit has failed to score 100 points in five straight games, and it has only surrendered an average of 97.8 points during that span. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over the total in six of the last seven meetings. Tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of those games, and there's a lot more at stake for the Pistons here tonight. The Pistons have gone under in nine of their last 11 road games, and five straight overall. They have won three straight in this series, holding the Magic to an average of 96 points in those games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-05-16 |
Pistons v. Heat UNDER 204 |
Top |
89-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@MIA to go UNDER the total.
The Heat host the Piston tonight in a game with massive playoff implications. The Heat are fighting for home court advantage in the first round, while Detroit still needs to clinch one of the last spots in the East. The Pistons have won each of the previous two meetings this season, and both those games went under the total. I bet on the under in Detroit's last game, a 94-90 win over the Bulls in Chicago.
Here is what I said prior to tip off: "I think the bookmakers have failed to take this into consideration when they come out with such a high total. Teams battling for survival tend to play a lot tougher defense, and both these teams have been playing low scoring games of late. The Pistons lost at home to Dallas last night, three days after beating the Thunder 88-82. Detroit has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last nine on the road, while the Bulls have gone under in five straight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings"
It's a similar situation here tonight, and we see another inflated total in a game that appears to feature two teams trending toward low scoring games. The under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Miami. The Heat have failed to reach the total in four of their last five, while Detroit has gone under in eight of it's last 10 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-03-16 |
Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 209.5 |
|
107-100 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on BOS@LAL to go UNDER the total.
The Celtics come into LA as winners of five of their last seven, but given the magnitude of their upset win at Golden State, we could see Boston suffer a let down here. The Lakers won their last game 102-100 in overtime versus Miami, but it would be a mistake to think that this team is anything other than a steaming hot mess. They lost four straight prior to the win over the Heat, and they've scored an average of just 95.4 points per game over their last five. Both teams could suffer a let down here tonight, and the Celtics have failed to reach the total in seven straight coming off an ATS win. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when playing on one day's rest, and five of their last six overall. The Lakers have also been trending toward the under, failing to reach the total in 10 of their last 13 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-03-16 |
Mavs v. Wolves UNDER 207.5 |
|
88-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on DAL@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Mavs have won three straight, putting them back in the hunt for one of the final playoff spots in the West. The recipe for their success has been strong defensive play, as they've allowed opponents to average just 88.7 points per game during this winning streak. I think the bookmakers have failed to take this into consideration when they come out with such a high total. Teams battling for survival tend to play a lot tougher defense, and both these teams have been playing low scoring games of late.
Minnesota has lost three of four, and they were held to an average of just 82.6 points in those losses. These teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings, and four of the last five at Minnesota have gone under. With so much at stake for the Mavs, expect to see a battle for each possesion, with no easy buckets conceded. Dallas has been great on the road against inferior opposition, and the under is 9-3 in their last 12 road games versus teams with a losing record.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-02-16 |
Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 205.5 |
Top |
94-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* (GOY) play on DET@CHI to go UNDER the total.
Down but not out, the Chicago Bulls have shown a lot of character winning back-to-back road games to keep their playoff hopes alive. They host the Detroit Pistons tonight, and the Pistons are one of the teams they are trying to catch. They trail eighth place Indiana by one game, and they are 1.5 games back of Detroit. That means that tonight's game might as well be a playoff game, because the stakes don't get any higher.
I think the bookmakers have failed to take this into consideration when they come out with such a high total. Teams battling for survival tend to play a lot tougher defense, and both these teams have been playing low scoring games of late. The Pistons lost at home to Dallas last night, three days after beating the Thunder 88-82. Detroit has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last nine on the road, while the Bulls have gone under in five straight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-01-16 |
Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 194.5 |
Top |
85-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
This is an absolute do or die game for the Jazz, and I expect them to put on a defensive clinic against a Minnesota team that is just going through the motions. The Timberwolves are coming off a 99-79 home loss to the Clippers, and they lost at home to Utah by a score of 93-84 last Saturday. These teams have gone over the total in three of the last seven meetings, but only one of those games saw enough points to reach tonight's total. That game was a 106-104 overtime win for Minnesota last March. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and six of their last eight at home. They held the defending champions Golden State to 89 points in regulation in their last game, and they've held five of their last seven opponents to fewer than 90 points.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-31-16 |
Bulls v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 |
Top |
103-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHI@HOU to go UNDER the total.
The Houston Rockets have a reputation for playing high scoring games, but we normally see teams tighten up come playoff time, and that's certainly been the case for Houston. The Rockets are currently in a three way tie with Utah and Dallas, with all three teams battling for the final two spots in the Western Conference. The Rockets have struggled, winning just twice in their last six games. They failed to reach the total in all but one of those games.
They host the Chicago Bulls, who are also fighting for their lives. Chicago is still two games back of Indiana for the last spot in the East, but they kept their hopes alive with a 98-86 win at Indiana on Tuesday. The Bulls have gone under in six of their last seven overall. Chicago has won three of the last four in this series, and Houston has scored an average of just 98 points in those games.
This is essentially a do or die game for both teams, which should mean no easy points. Expect both teams to play intense defense on every possession, and with a sky high total, I expect them to come up well short of the number.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-30-16 |
Heat v. Lakers UNDER 207 |
Top |
100-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@LAL to go UNDER the total. After a string of uncharacteristically high scoring games, the Miami Heat got back to business on Friday, defeating the Orlando Magic by a score of 108-97. They followed that up with another under in a home win over Brooklyn three days later. I cashed in with the winning total in both those games, and I still think bookmakers are offering an inflated total in tonight's game at LA. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and nine of the last 11. Most of those games saw a total below 200, and only once did we see a number as high as we see tonight. They've failed to reach the total in four straight meetings at the Staples Center, and the Lakers failed to score 100 points in all of those games. The Heat only broke the century mark once during that span, and that was a 101-95 win on Christmas Day 2013. Miami's defense is ranked 4th in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. The Lakers offense is ranked 29th, and they scored just 70 points on 30.6 percent shooting in a home loss to the Wizards on Monday. Rumors of a divided locker room have surfaced, and a rookie PG DeAngelo Russell is at the center of the controversy. The 19 year old appears to be responsible for secretly recording a private conversation with a teammate, and the embarrassing contents of that conversation have since become public. This is a complete disaster for the Lakers, and a situation that isn't going to go away any time soon.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-29-16 |
Rockets v. Cavs UNDER 214 |
Top |
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on HOU@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Rockets head to Cleveland in a desperate situation, currently in an eighth place tie with the Dallas Mavericks for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The good news is, they've actually owned the Cavs in recent years, winning six of the last seven meetings. More good news is that the Cavs have decided to rest LeBron James tonight. They recently rested James in a home game against Dallas, and just barely beat the Mavs by a score of 99-98. Cleveland hasn't done well at all when James doesn't play, failing to cover in 14 of 15 games since 2014. They failed to reach the total in 12 of those 15 games. Despite that, tonight's total is sky high, in fact higher than any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams. Houston has been playing low scoring games lately, failing to reach the total in four of it's last five overall, and four of it's last five on the road. The Cavs have gone under in five of their last six when playing one two day's rest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-29-16 |
Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 202 |
|
98-96 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
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This is a Free #NBA play on CHI@IND to go UNDER the total. The Bulls are coming off a heartbreaking 102-100 home loss to Atlanta last night, which puts them 2.5 games back of the Pistons, who currently hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. They have nine games left two play, but six of those will be played on the road. Tonight's game at Indiana looks like a let down spot for the banged up Bulls, and the Pacers are one of the teams they are trying to catch. The Pacers have won three straight home games, limiting opponents to an average of just 86 points in those victories.
These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, as five of the last six meetings have failed to reach the total. The one exception was a home win for the Bulls, winning by a score of 102-100 in overtime. They've failed to cover in five straight at Indianapolis, and all five of those games went under the total. The Bulls are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, and they've failed to cover in four of their last five when playing in a back to back situation. The Pacers have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven home games, while the Bulls have gone under in seven of their last 10 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
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03-28-16 |
Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 193 |
Top |
75-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are coming off a commanding 93-84 win at Minnesota, and they'll need to keep the ball rolling tonight as they are just one game ahead of the 9th place Dallas Mavericks, and half a game up on Houston. They will host the struggling LA Lakers, who have lost seven of their last eight. The Lakers are playing on back to back nights, coming off a 101-88 home loss to the Wizards last night. Both Kobe Bryant and DeAngelo Russell are playing through injuries, and playing on no rest isn't going to be easy, especially against one of the top defenses in the league. Utah is the second lowest scoring team in the NBA, but it makes up for it with stellar defense. The Jazz have held opponents to an average of just 89.7 points and 7.0 makes from 3-point range over it's last nine games. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and five of their last six at home. Utah has trended under at a rate of 28-13-1 in it's last 42 home games versus teams with a losing road record.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-28-16 |
Nets v. Heat UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
99-110 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 26 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on BKN@MIA to go UNDER the total.
After a string of uncharacteristically high scoring games, the Miami Heat got back to business on Friday, defeating the Orlando Magic by a score of 108-97. I bet on the under in that game, and here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Heat rank 4th in the NBA with an opponent's scoring average of just 98.2 points per game. They are particularly strong at home, boasting a record of 23-13. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last 10 meetings, but the total for tonight's game is about 10 points higher than it was in any of those previous contests."
We see a similar situation tonight, as the Heat will host bottom feeders Brooklyn. Seven of the last 10 meetings have gone over, but the total in those games was at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. Only one of those 10 games saw enough points to reach tonight's total, and that game was a home win for Brooklyn. The Nets are coming off back to back home wins, setting them up for a let down here in Miami. The Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Sitting just half a game behind Boston, and a half game ahead of the surging Hornets, this is a key game for Miami in the playoff race. We should expect the Heat to put on a defensive clinic here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-26-16 |
Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 204 |
|
115-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
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This is a Free #NBA play on CHA@MIL to go UNDER the total. Ladies and gentlemen.. it's DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN this March. If anyone thinks for even a second that The Iceman's recent success is the product of "luck", "chance" or "coincidence"... THINK AGAIN! - March 2013: 89-60 +$10,549 - March 2014: 72-48 +$6,058 - March 2015: 97-58 +$13,219 - March 2016: 56-32 +$12,939 The Milwaukee Bucks will return home after three straight losses on the road, and they host the red hot Charlotte Hornets. While the Hornets came up just short in Detroit last night, they've won 17 of their last 22 overall. One reason for Charlotte's success in it's top 10 ranked defense, that allows opponents to average just 101 points per game. The Bucks don't often reach the century mark, and they come in averaging just 92.5 points per game while losing five of their last six overall.
These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, and despite that the number in tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and Milwaukee has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven. The under is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 versus teams with a winning straight up record. One contributing factor to Milwaukee's trend of low scoring games is that it ranks dead last in the NBA in made three-pointers.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-25-16 |
Magic v. Heat UNDER 211 |
Top |
97-108 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on ORL@MIA to go UNDER the total.
The Magic come into Miami as losers of five in a row, and they'll have a tough time here against one of the top defensive teams in the league. The Heat rank 4th in the NBA with an opponent's scoring average of just 98.2 points per game. They are particularly strong at home, boasting a record of 23-13. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last 10 meetings, but the total for tonight's game is about 10 points higher than it was in any of those previous contests. They've scored fewer points in Miami, as the under is 7-3 in Orlando's last 10 trips to American Airlines Arena. The Magic have also been riding an under trend on the road, failing to reach the total in six of their last seven away from Orlando. The Heat managed just 88 points in a loss at San Antonio in their last game, their lowest points total in 27 games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-23-16 |
Jazz v. Rockets OVER 199.5 |
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89-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on UTAH@HOU to go OVER the total.
Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Houston that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 12-23 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City.
The Rockets are coming off back to back losses on the road, but they've won four of their last five home games. Houston ranks 4th in the league in scoring, but they are one of the league's worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing opponents to average 107 points per game. Four of the last five meetings in this series have gone over the total, and the Rockets have gone over the total in 13 of their last 16 when playing on back to back nights.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-23-16 |
Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
122-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 17 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards are hot, coming into tonight's home game versus the Hawks as winners of four straight. They've surrendered an average of just 95 points per game during that span, and their last win came on the road at Atlanta. The Hawks are looking to avenge that loss in the second game of this home and home set tonight, and Atlanta is one of the league's best defensive teams. Atlanta ranks 6th in the NBA limiting opponents to an average of just 99.1 points per game. Prior to being upset by the Wizards, they had won five straight, and allowed less than 100 points in four of those five wins. These teams have actually gone over in seven of the last 10 meetings, but that stat is a little misleading. Seven of those 10 games saw a total below 200, and not one of those 10 games saw a number as high as tonight's total. Only twice in the last 10 meetings did they score enough points to reach this inflated total. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 when playing on one day's rest, and four straight when coming off a loss.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-22-16 |
Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 202 |
|
100-107 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on MEM@LAL to go UNDER the total.
The Grizzlies are coming off back to back wins over the Clippers and Suns, and they play their second game in as many nights here at the Staples Center tonight. Much like last night's game, they face a struggling team that actually benefits more with every loss, as it improves their draft position. The Lakers have lost four straight home games, scoring an average of just 96 points during that span. They've been trending toward the under, failing to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. Memphis is still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and they need to be in order to compensate for their offense that ranks 24th in the league averaging just 99.2 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with five of the last six meetings in LA. The is under 19-7 in Lakers last 26 home games, and 12-3-1 in the Lakers last 16 games following an ATS loss. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-21-16 |
Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 206 |
Top |
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on MIL@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Bucks lost 94-85 at home to Utah last night, and they'll be hard pressed to earn a better result on the road in the second leg of a back to back. They struggle to score at the best of times, as one of just a handful of teams that average less than 100 points per game. The total for tonight's game looks a little inflated, as the two teams haven't scored a combined 200 points in any of the last seven head to head meetings. The Pistons are on a roll, coming into tonight's game off back to back home wins. They rank among the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record. The Bucks average just 5.4 made three-pointers per game, only Minnesota is worse with 5.2 per game.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-20-16 |
Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 192 |
Top |
94-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIL to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's game versus the Bucks in Milwaukee as winners of four of their last five. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 87.6 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 96.7 points per game. They face a Milwaukee team that averages under 100 points per game, ranking 23rd in the NBA in scoring. The Bucks are much better defensively than they are on offense, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Utah's leading scorer Gordon Hayward has missed two of the last three games with plantar fasciitis. He played 37 minutes against the Bulls last night, scoring just nine points on 4-of-13 shooting. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the Bucks lost 84-81 at Salt Lake City in the most recent meeting. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-19-16 |
Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 217 |
Top |
79-87 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
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his is a 10* play on GS@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are the NBA's best defensive team, holding opponents to an average of just 92.5 points per game. They are still undefeated at home, and they host the League's top team in a marquee matchup on Saturday night. This is a revenge spot for the Spurs, who lost 120-90 at Golden State earlier this year. Note that even that high scoreline wasn't enough to reach the total for tonight's game. In fact, not one of the last 10 meetings between the two teams has seen enough points to reach this inflated number The Warriors are gunning for a record, but this might be one game that they are willing to concede. If things get out of hand early, I think it would be wise for Steve Kerr to rest his starters here in the second game of a back-to-back. If the roles were reversed, you can bet that's would Greg Popovich would do. The under is s 9-3 in Spurs last 12 overall, and four of the Warriors last five visits to San Antonio have failed to reach the total. The Warriors have failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-17-16 |
Suns v. Jazz UNDER 198 |
Top |
69-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on PHX@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's home game versus Phoenix off three consecutive wins. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 92 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 97 points per game. The Suns aren't exactly a prolific scoring team, ranking 22nd in the NBA in scoring. Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and the under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The Jazz may need to be even better defensively tonight, missing their leading scorer Gordon Hayward. The under is 27-13-1 in Jazz last 41 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schue
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03-14-16 |
Cavs v. Jazz OVER 194.5 |
Top |
85-94 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CLE@UTAH to go OVER the total. I bet on last night's Jazz game to go over in Sacramento, and here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City." The Jazz return home to play their second game of a back to back against the surging Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have won six of their last seven overall, scoring an average of 114 points in those victories. They've won five of their last six versus the Jazz, and they've scored an average of 108 points in those five wins. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last 10 overall meetings, and eight of the last 10 at Salt Lake City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-13-16 |
Jazz v. Kings OVER 204.5 |
|
108-99 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on UTAH@SAC to go OVER the total. Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City. They catch the Kings in a slump, coming in as losers of eight of their last nine overall. During that span they played a tough schedule though, facing the Spurs twice, the Thunder, Grizzlies, Cavs, Clippers and Pelicans in New Orleans. Even in those losses they still averaged well over 100 points per game. Defense is the problem for Sacramento, ranking dead last in the NBA allowing opponents to average almost 110 points per game. The Jazz have lost seven of their last eight road games, and they allowed opponents to average well over 100 points in those games. The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two teams, and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Sacramento. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-09-16 |
Jazz v. Warriors OVER 207 |
Top |
94-115 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 1 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. The Warriors are by far the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They've scored significantly more points at home, while remaining undefeated at 27-0. They scored 119 points in a win over Orlando in their last game, and have averaged 117.6 points in their last five at Oracle Arena. They host the Jazz tonight, and Utah has lost six of it's last seven on the road. The Jazz will be playing a quick turnaround in a back to back after a home loss to the Hawks last night, a tough spot to face Steph Curry and The Warriors. Curry dropped 41 points (seven three-pointers) in the win over Orlando. These two teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings, and the Jazz have gone over in nine of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last eight when playing on one day's rest. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-02-16 |
Pistons v. Spurs UNDER 202 |
Top |
81-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on DET@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are by far the best defensive team in the NBA, and they host a Detroit Pistons team tonight that is quite content to play a defensive style. The Pistons have held their last five opponents to an average of just 95 points. They've failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, and four of their last five road games. The Spurs are 28-0 at home, and they've been dominant defensively in the majority of those games. They tend to step up the defensive intensity against better teams, failing to reach the total in eight of their last 10 against teams with a winning record. They have just come back from a long road trip, and the under is 16-7-1 in their last 24 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-02-16 |
Jazz v. Raptors OVER 193 |
Top |
94-104 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on UTAH@JAZZ to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz are a prime example of a Jekyll and Hyde team, playing great defense at home, but really struggling on the road. They've lost six of their last eight overall, and four straight on the road. They have not been a good bet in previous meetings with the Raptors, failing to cover in five straight versus Toronto. The Raptors scored an average of 106.4 points in those games, and they averaged 113 points in their home games during that span. The Jazz have surrendered 100 points or more in each of their last five road games. The Raptors have won 11 straight at home, covering the spread in eight of those games. Six of the last eight in this series have gone over the number. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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02-29-16 |
76ers v. Wizards UNDER 214.5 |
Top |
108-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on PHI@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Washington Wizards have won five of seven since the All Star break, much because of an improved defense. They've held their opponents to fewer than 100 points in each of the wins in that span, and odds are we'll see a low-scoring contest when they host the woeful Philadelphia 76ers Monday night. Philly has lost eight straight since a 103-98 win against the Nets on Feb. 6. It lost 130-116 at Orlando yesterday when it scored a season high while shooting 53.2% from the field. We're unlikely to see as many points tonight though as the the under is 4-1 in its last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and meetings with the Wizards generally have been low-scoring affairs. The Wizards defeated the 76ers 106-94 on Feb. 5 and 103-94 last Friday. Six of the last eight meetings in this series have stayed under the total with both teams playing on a back-to-back we're unlikely to see either team looking to drive up the tempo. The Wizards defeated a Cleveland team without the rested Lebron James 113-99 last night, allowing the talented Cavaliers to shoot just 40.0% from the field. The 76ers are the league's lowest-scoring team at 96.2 points per game and should pose little offensive threat. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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