Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-30-18 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Milwaukee last night. Their superstar Kahwi Leonard sat out that game so he could play tonight at home in the second game of a back to back. Leonard is widely considered to be the league's best defender, and with him in the lineup the Raptors have been tough. Leonard has played in five games this season, and only one of those saw more than 227 combined points. Tonight's total is far higher than in any of the previous ten games between Toronto and Philly, and the under looks like a great bet here with this inflated line. While the trends will tell you that these teams have gone over, it's important to know that those trends just don't hold true when you factor in the inflated total. Philly is not one of the better shooting teams in the league, and the Raptors should hold them to under their season average of 112 points per game. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-03-18 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 213 | 128-110 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@TOR Under. |
|||||||
05-01-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 227 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go Under the total.
The pundits are calling for Philly to go all the way to the NBA Finals, but first they have to get past a Celtics team that finished three games ahead of them in the standings. I bet on Boston to win their series versus Milwaukee, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." They won all four home games in the first round, and held the Bucks under 100 points in each of the last three games in that series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 224.5 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
04-23-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 209 | Top | 96-113 | Push | 0 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go Under the total. |
|||||||
04-22-18 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@IND to go Under the total.
The Pacers have a chance to take a stranglehold on this series, heading into Game 4 at home already up 2-1. The Cavs lone win came by a score of 100-97 at home in Game 2, and LeBron scored 46 points in that game. All three games in this series have been low scoring, and I expect another defensive battle in such a high stakes contest tonight. The Pacers were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA after the all start break, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight at Indianapolis. The Cavs are just 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, yet they are a road favorite here tonight. Kevin Love is banged up, and George Hill could miss tonight's game with a back injury. The under is 15-5 in Pacers last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-21-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 207 | Top | 102-115 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
|
|||||||
04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 207 | 110-97 | Push | 0 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Warriors head to San Antonio in complete command of this series, and they will be a favorite to win Game 3. The Spurs aren't good enough to compete with the Warriors in this series, but they are sure as hell good enough to steal a game at home. Their Game 2 loss at Golden State was their 10th straight loss on the road, but they have won 11 in a row at home. In fact the Spurs won 33 games on their home court during the regular season, one of those wins coming versus Golden State. The Spurs won that game by a score of 89-75, and they lead 49-41 at halftime. They have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games, and they lead the NBA in opponent's scoring average. I expect the home team to come out playing with plenty of emotion here in Game 3, especially in the first half. The Spurs led by a score of 53-47 at the half in Game 2, but went on to lose by 15 points. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 11 meetings in San Antonio. |
|||||||
04-17-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers UNDER 214 | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@POR to go Under the total.
The Blazers held New Orleans to just 97 points in Game 1, but they were on the wrong side of a close defensive game. I expect Portland to come back an even the series with a win in Game 2, but my money is on the total. Portland ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they are going to be playing with desperation here in tonight's game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in five of the last seven meetings. The under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Portland, and 11-5-1 in the last 17 overall. The Blazers have also gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-15-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 203 | 107-113 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under.
The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-11-18 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 211 | Top | 98-122 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@NO to go Under the total. |
|||||||
04-09-18 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 200 | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
03-30-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@OKC to go Under the total.
The NBA Playoffs are just a few weeks away, and as teams jockey for playoff position, we see a lot more intensity on defense. I bet on the under in the Thunder's 108-105 loss to Portland, and here is what I had to say before the game: "Both the Blazers and the Thunder rank among the top defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th and 7th in opponent’s scoring average. The Thunder are just one game back of Portland in the Northwest, and there is just two games separating 3rd place Portland and 6th place New Orleans in the Western Conference standings. The Blazers have won all three of their games against the Thunder this season, and two of those three games fell short of the total. The total for tonight’s game is higher than it was in any of those previous three contests." The Thunder host the Denver Nuggets tonight, and these two teams have gone under in two of three previous meetings this season. Once again, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous three games. I'll place a value bet here on what appears to be an inflated total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-25-18 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 207 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@IND to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@IND to go UNDER the total.
I bet the under in the Pacers loss at New Orleans on Wednesday, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers and the Pelicans are two teams that jockeying for playoff position, and they have a history of playing low scoring games. Eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the listed total. Both teams have stepped up their intensity on defense in recent weeks, and the result has been lower scores across the board. That being said, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. It's also higher than it was in any of Indiana's last 10 games overall, and nine of those games went under." Tonight's game against the Clippers is quite similar, and I expect another hard battle. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings, and the under is 6-0 in Pacers last six home games. The under has cashed in four of the Clippers last five visits to Indiana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-21-18 | Pacers v. Pelicans UNDER 219.5 | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on IND@NO to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-13-18 | Magic v. Spurs UNDER 205 | 72-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
03-09-18 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
02-27-18 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
|
|||||||
02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 212 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@UTAH to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
02-14-18 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 208.5 | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Grizzlies last game was a 110-92 loss at Oklahoma City, and I had the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings." Take UNDER.GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-11-18 | Grizzlies v. Thunder UNDER 207 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208 | 73-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers host the Blazers in their first game without Blake Griffin. The Blazers come in as winners of five of their last six, and during that span they gave up an average of just over 102 points per game. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just over 103 points per game this season. The Clippers had been playing some high scoring games with Griffin in the lineup, but they will be shorthanded here tonight, with Avery Bradley injured and Tobias Harris unlikely to play. These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 heat to head meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Only one of the previous 10 meetings in this series saw as many as 220 combined points. The under is 17-7-1 in the Trail Blazers last 25 games following an ATS win. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 197 | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
01-24-18 | Celtics v. Clippers UNDER 218 | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Celtics are playing their second game of a back to back in LA after losing to the Lakers last night. The bookmakers are expecting tonight's game against the Clippers to be a high scoring affair. The total seems a little too high considering Boston boasts the leagues top defense. The last time these two teams played the total was set at 218, and it ended up a push with the Clippers winning 116-102 at home last March. A lot has changed since then, and this Boston team rarely plays such high scoring games these days. Boston has failed to reach the total in four of it's last five when playing the second game of a back to back. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings at the Staples Center, and the under in 19-9 in the last 28 meetings overall. This number looks to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Cavs v. Spurs UNDER 208.5 | 102-114 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@SA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Bulls v. Pelicans OVER 225 | 128-132 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI@NO to go OVER the total. The Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming into New Orleans as winners of four of their last five. They scored an average of 115 points in those games, and they rank 4th in the NBA in scoring since the New Year. They will play at New Orleans tonight, and both these teams are more interested in scoring than they are about playing defense. The Pelicans have won four of their last five, and have scored over 112 points per game during that span. History tells us that these two teams have scored a ton of points in previous meetings, especially in New Orleans. The over is 11-3-1 in Chicago's last 15 visits to The Big Easy. Chicago has gone over in eight of it's last 10 road games, and 15 of it's last 20 overall. The Pelicans have gone over in 20 of their last 28 home games, and 12 of their last 16 when coming off an ATS loss. Another high scoring game at the Smoothie King Arena seems inevitable tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@SA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-19-18 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 218 | 108-100 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
|
|||||||
01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total.
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-15-18 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 205 | 118-107 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHA@DET to go UNDER.
The Pistons have been great at home this season (13-5), and they host the struggling Charlotte Hornets in an early game on Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets are coming off a home loss to Oklahoma City by a score of 101-91. They have lost five of their last six against the Pistons, and they are just 5-13 on the road this season. Detroit beat the Hornets by a score of 102-90 in the most recent meeting at the Palace in their season opener back in October. The Pistons have won five straight home games, and they have beaten some of the league's top teams during that stretch (Spurs and Rockets). They rank 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 101.5 points per game. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, while the Pistons have gone under in six of their last eight at home. The under is is 12-5-1 in the Pistons last 18 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. I like the Pistons to win a low scoring game here at the Palace. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@PHX to go OVER the total.
The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets OVER 206.5 | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@CHA to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
01-07-18 | Knicks v. Mavs OVER 207 | 100-96 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@DAL to go OVER the total. The Mavs are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference, but they are on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last six overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last four games. The Knicks are really struggling, they have lost seven of their last eight overall. They allowed an average of 107 points in those losses, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The total for tonight's game appears to be a bit low, as the Knicks have gone over the number in four of their last five, while Dallas has gone over in four straight. The Mavs have gone over in five of their last six versus Eastern Conference teams, and with not a lot at stake here between a couple of teams in the midst of a rebuild, don't expect to see a defensive battle. The Mavs are coming off a 127-124 loss to the Bulls, and Chicago shot over 56 percent from the field in the game. I expect to see a similar flow to tonight's game. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-26-17 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 211 | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on CHI@MIL to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
12-26-17 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 209 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on TOR@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206 | Top | 92-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
12-13-17 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217 | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHX to go UNDER the total.
The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-07-17 | Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule. |
|||||||
12-06-17 | Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 95-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Hawks v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@DET to go UNDER the total. The Hawks have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they've averaged just 100 points per game in those losses. They are playing at the Palace in Detroit tonight, and I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here. The Pistons are sitting in first place in the Central Division, and it's no thanks to their 16th ranked offense. Detroit has been taking care of business on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. They rank 8th overall in scoring defense, and they are 5-1 at home. They've held their opponents under 100 points in five of their six home games so far. These two teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. That results in a much higher number here for tonight's game. The last three times these teams faced each other, the boomakers set the total below 200. The under 15-7-2 in Hawks last 24 road games, and they have several key players nursing injuries heading into tonight's game. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-08-17 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 229 | 101-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@GS to go Under the total.
The Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, scoring over 118 points per game. They are coming off a 97-80 win over the Miami Heat, marking the first time they won a game without reaching 100 points since April of 2016. It was a dominant performance defensively, blocking 10 shots and holding the heat to 36.1 percent shooting. Tonight's game against Minnesota will feature two of the league's premier shot blockers, as both Kevin Durant and Karl Anthony Towns are ranked in the Top 5 in blocks per game. Minnesota is coming off five straight wins, holding opponents to less than 100 points in each of their last three. They have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors, who have only covered in one of their last 10 versus the Wolves. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams, and seven of those 10 games went under. I expect both these teams to continue a trend of strong defensive play, in what should be a competitive game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-08-17 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
11-07-17 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205 | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 196 | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-01-17 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
|
|||||||
10-30-17 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 192 | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
10-30-17 | 76ers v. Rockets UNDER 216.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHI@HOU to go UNDER the total.
The Rockets beat the Sixers by a score of 105-104 last week, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams." The Rockets have continued to trend under, but the total for tonight's home game remains the same as the last meeting between these two teams. I expect a similar result. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 212 | 113-120 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORL@CHA to go Under the total. The Orlando Magic are off to a surprising start, and they come into tonight's game at Charlotte looking for their fourth consecutive win. They could be due to suffer a bit of a let down, coming off a huge 114-87 win over the Spurs. They shot 57.1 percent from the field, and 47.8 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. Those numbers are obviously not sustainable, and Charlotte ranks among the top teams in the NBA, holding opponents to just 99.6 points per game so far. Dwight Howard leads the NBA in rebounds, and ranks among the league leaders in blocked shots. The Magic are 0-4 in their last four visits to Charlotte, and they failed to score 100 points in three of those games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all four of those games, and Charlotte has gone under in seven straight. The Hornets have played more than their fair share of low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 16 of their last 22 when playing teams in their own division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
10-28-17 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 208 | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@LAC to go UNDER the total.
I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 104-103 win at Portland. Blake Griffin hit a buzzer beater three-pointer for the win. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: "The new look Clippers are off to a decent start, and most impressive has been their defense. They've allowed an NBA best 88 points per game so far. While we have seen the Clippers play their fair share of high scoring games in previous seasons, this year's squad appears to be designed to play a different brand of basketball. With Patrick Beverly at PG instead of Chris Paul, and J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford no longer coming off the bench, we shouldn't expect to see the same "Lob City" offense." The Clippers host the Detroit Pistons, another solid defensive team. This game will feature two of the league's worst free-throw shooters in DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond. These two teams have gone over the total in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was much lower than the total for tonight's contest. The Clippers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at Staples Center. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-26-17 | Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
10-25-17 | Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 221 | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on HOU@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 | Top | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 88-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHO@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
10-20-17 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@IND to go OVER the total.
The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
10-17-17 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 232 | 122-121 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GS@CLE to go UNDER. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total.
Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total.
After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216 | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go OVER the total.
Last night we saw the Celtics pull off a stunning upset for the ages in Cleveland. They pushed the tempo, playing fast and making a whopping 18 three-pointers. The pressure is off for both the Spurs and the Warriors now, and I expect to see both teams come out pretty loose in Game 4. The Spurs scored 108 points in Game 3, despite going just 5-of-21 from beyond the arc. They also shot just 60 percent from the free-throw line. I expect improvements in both those categories tonight, and that will help push the total higher. These teams have played a total of six games this season (regular season and playoffs), and five of those went over the total. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while the Spurs have gone over in five straight home games. The Warriors scored 128 points in their series clinching win at Portland, and 121 points in their series clinching win against the Jazz. I expect to see them score 120+ again, closing out the Spurs tonight. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@GS to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 213 | 114-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@HOU to go OVER the total.
These teams have gone over in four of the five games so far in this series, and I bet the over in the last two games. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss." I was a little lucky in Game 5, needing the overtime to go over. With Leonard injured, Houston should have little trouble scoring. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Game 6. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Wizards shot 52.4 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, beating the Celtics by a score of 121-102. It was the third time in four games that these two teams went over the total in this series. Both games in Boston went over, and the Wizards led at halftime in each of those contests. The Celtics needed overtime to get past Washington in Game 2, however the two teams had already scored enough points in regulation to push the total over. John Wall went off for 40 points on 16-of-32 shooting in that game, but it wasn't enough as the Celtics won 129-119. Isaiah Thomas struggled in the second half of the last game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his swagger back here at home in Game 5. He was 10-of-23 from beyond the arc in the previous two games in Boston. The over is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games, and these two teams have gone over in eight of the last 11 meetings in Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
|
|||||||
05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@SA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTA@GS to go OVER the total.
The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 197 | Top | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total.
I hit the under in Game 1 of this series, and then I didn't have a bet on Game 2, when the total went way over. Both teams shot close to 50 percent from three-point range in Game 2, well above their season averages. That's unlikely to happen again here in Milwaukee in Game 3. I expect tonight's game to be similar to Game 1, and here is what I had to say before this series started: "The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in the playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points" Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTA@LAC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 219.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
|
|||||||
04-15-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in he playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-15-17 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 213 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 36 m | Show |
|
|||||||
04-06-17 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 205 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@IND to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
03-29-17 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 208 | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@PHI to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Hawks finally snapped a seven game losing streak with a 95-91 home win over Phoenix. It was their eighth consecutive game failing to score over 100 points, but they turned up the heat defensively. The Hawks are banged up, missing leading scorer Paul Millsap and forwards Kent Bazemore and Thabo Sefolosha. While they still sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, eighth place Miami is just two games back. Atlanta can't afford to keep on losing, and I expect them to play inspired basketball coming off last night's win. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, especially considering the last time these two teams met the number was under 200. In fact they have only gone over tonight's number twice in the last 10 meetings. Atlanta has gone under in 15 of it's last 20 overall, and that's a trend that should continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-26-17 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 208 | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@GS to go Over the total.
The Warriors have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game against the Grizzlies as winners of six straight. They've scored over 110 points in their last five games, but they haven't reached the total in any of their last nine games. Bookmakers have noticed, and the total for tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of the last five meetings in this series. Three of those games went over the total, but both these teams are riding under trends at the moment. Steph Curry has been heating up, hitting 53.2 percent from the field and 48.9 percent from beyond the arc over his last five games. These teams have met twice this season, and both of those games went way over. I expect both teams to go over 100 points here tonight, and it looks like the value lies with a play on over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-24-17 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIL to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
03-24-17 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 125-117 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
03-24-17 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 207 | Top | 87-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
|
|||||||
03-23-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
|