Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-21-20 | Lynx +3 v. Mercury | 90-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Lynx are viable bets for a third consecutive victory, as they go against a Mercury side that Im betting they will send to their third loss in a row on Friday night at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. Ride the momentum of the Lynx getting points. MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota has won 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series and the last 3 most recent meetings. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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08-20-20 | Storm v. Fever +17.5 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Everything continues to be all systems go for the Seattle Storm, who look to further their best start in franchise history and win their 10th consecutive game Thursday night when they face the Indiana Fever. However, this many points has value attached to it. Play on the Fever to cover |
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08-18-20 | Aces v. Sky +4.5 | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
The last two meetings in this series were decided by 1 point and 2 point respectively and Im betting on another close game here. CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago to cover |
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08-18-20 | Fever +5 v. Sun | 62-84 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Connecticut sits eighth in the league standings, one-half game in front of it is seventh-place Indiana (4-6). Both are coming off losses and be primed for bounce back efforts. My power rankings make these teams fairly evenly matched with the points Im betting proving golden. CONNECTICUT is 17-30 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS in road games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-18-20 | Fever v. Sun OVER 164 | 62-84 | Loss | -125 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
During Indiana's 104-76 victory over the Sun in the 2019 regular-season finale, Kelsey Mitchell knocked down a WNBA record nine 3-pointers en route to a 38-point performance. Im expecting more offensive fireworks here tonight from both sides. INDIANA is 8-1 OVER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 11-3 OVER off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Play OVER |
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10-10-19 | Sun +7.5 v. Mystics | 78-89 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
These teams are proving particularly evenly matched, and Im betting this deciding game 5 will also be hard fought til the end, with the points proving golden. |
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10-08-19 | Mystics -2 v. Sun | 86-90 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
There is blood in the water, and the Mystics up 2-1 have the teeth to proverbially snatch and grab game 4 here and take home a WNBA championship. It is a well known fact that Washington has the deepest bench in the league, and that edge will be very important here in this key game. WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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10-06-19 | Mystics +2.5 v. Sun | 94-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - Tied 1-1 Washington opened this best-of-five championship series with an impressive 95-86 home win over Connecticut last weekend and than Connecticut bounced back and now with the series tied 1-1 we go back to the land of the Sun. The key to this game with be Delle Donne who despite of being questionable for this game is expected to play. Washington has outscored Connecticut by 12 points with Delle Donne in the game during these Finals. However, the Mystics have been outscored by 15 when she's not on the floor. Even for some reason, Donne can compete it must be noted that the Mystics have the deepest team in the league. QUOTE: We have the best bench in the league," Washington guard Kristi Toliver said. "Everybody knows that. Connecticut knows that. We've relied on them so much this year, and through injuries and people out. END QUOTE. Im betting on the Mystics finding a way to be very competitive and to get us the cover here. CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons and s 1-10 ATS hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 42% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for 81% conversion rate. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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10-01-19 | Sun v. Mystics OVER 170.5 | 99-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a fast paced 95-86 tilt that Washington won in game 1 of this series. Im betting on more of the same high octane action here in game 2 and a combined score that eclipses the total. Note : Washington has set the pace in all its home games this season, averaging 93+ ppg per game, and if Connecticut has any chance of being competitive here they will have to answer with some offensive fireworks of their own. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER in home games vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 7-0 OVER vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997 with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-22-19 | Sun v. Sparks -4.5 | 78-56 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
There is recency bias attached to this game and line after Connecticut took the first two games of this series including a lopsided DD 94-68 beatdown last time out over a LA group that looked asleep at the proverbial wheel .However, now back in their own digs where the Sparks have dominated opponents going 15-2 SU this season Im betting they will bounce back. Sun are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Sun are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS off an home win scoring 85 or more points this season. CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts this season. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season.LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season. WNBA Favorites (LOS ANGELES) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 51-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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09-17-19 | Sparks +2.5 v. Sun | 75-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1 This matchup features two of the best front courts in the league, but Im betting what I believe is the superior D, to win this series and game 1. Sparks have my support getting points. Note: Sparks are one of the league's original franchises and have garnered three WNBA titles , and have been to the Finals five times and have an overall culture of winning, and obvious play off experience which gives them in an edge in this environment vs a Connecticut side, that just cant matchup to those numbers, WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 4-26 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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09-15-19 | Storm v. Sparks -6.5 | 69-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - 2nd Round - Single Elimination Today Im betting on the LA Sparks continue their home dominance Sunday against the defending champion Seattle Storm in the second round of the WNBA playoffs. L.A. was 15-2 at home during the regular season and has not lost at Staples Center since June 18. Two of those home victories came against No. 6 seed Seattle and a 3rd win is coming today. LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average diff coming in at +9.7 ppg. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season with average ppg diff of +14.1 ppg. WNBA Road underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 1-33 SU L/5 seasons. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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09-11-19 | Lynx +3 v. Storm | 74-84 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Seattle are deep teams with tons of experience and championship pedigree and both will not be easily intimated. The Minnesota Lynx enter the post season playing their best hoops of the season as is evident by winning 5 of their L/6 games while shooting an impressive 48 percent from the field in those 5 wins and are more than capable of pulling off the straight up upset here in their current form. I know Seattle has won all 3 games in this series this season, but my estimates still suggest we have leverage on this line getting 3 or more points. Storm are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. WNBA team (MINNESOTA) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 48-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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09-06-19 | Fever v. Liberty +2.5 | 86-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Two non play off teams the Fever and the Liberty go head to head here tonight in NY where Im betting the home team has the edge. NY won the last meeting by a 82-76 count at Indiana last time out. In the first game of the year between these sides in NY the Fever won 81-80 on a buzzer beater. Im projections make this a close game, but home court and desperation have me backing them taking points. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 2-13 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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09-01-19 | Fever +9.5 v. Lynx | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Lynx star Maya Moore is sitting out and fellow superstar Seimone Augustus not 100 percent and with a play off spot locked up Im betting we see this team more interested in staying healthy than playing all out hoops. With that said, look for up and coming star rookie Teaira McCowan (9.6 ppg, 8.8 rpg) to lead Indiana in what Im betting will be a competitive effort. MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 58-19 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-29-19 | Wings +11.5 v. Sky | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
After winning 3 straight Dallas has dropped three straight and failed to cover . But it must be noted that Agler is 36-20 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Its interesting to note that Chicago has average 44.3 % with their FG conversion rate at home, but DALLAS is 21-9 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Chicago Sky have already clinched a playoff berth, so playing all out here is not a priority. However staying healthy is , which makes for plenty of back door cover options if the Sky get up big and rest their top players . WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
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08-29-19 | Mercury v. Dream +5 | 65-58 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won the two meetings between the teams by a combined 11 points and Im betting on another close game , as both teams are competing for a play off birth against each other. The Mercury dont have as tough a path as Atlanta, but the Dream still have a chance if they can win their L/4 games of the season, so they wont easily fold here tonight. Atlanta has won 2 straight. WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 73-129 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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08-29-19 | Sparks v. Fever +6 | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Los Angeles' weakness is, perimeter defending, was again exposed as Washington knocked down nine first-half 3-pointers and put the Sparks in a 17-point halftime hole and tonight Im betting they wont easily get off the matt after being KOd last time out. LA has proven themselves at home but on the road they have lost 9 of 15 straight up and are fade material as hefty road favs. LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1997. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-25-19 | Sun +2.5 v. Sparks | 72-84 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Looking to maintain their spot atop the WNBA standings, the Sun try for a fifth consecutive victory while looking to halt the Los Angeles Sparks' 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Sun have the edge here and offer us value taking points. Take the points with the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-22-19 | Fever +10.5 v. Sparks | 65-98 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks will try to extend their home winning streak to 10 games on Thursday night against the Indiana Fever. However, Im betting it wont come so easily . LOS ANGELES is 9-21 ATS after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. This will be the Sparks 4th game in 8 days, and they are on just one days rest so a little bit of fatigue will factor into this game, which gives credence to an Indiana cover here . Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Indiana is 5-2 L/7 meetings in LA.WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LOS ANGELES) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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08-20-19 | Mercury +8.5 v. Aces | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Phoenix's recent win on got them back to .500 (13-13) as they rallied for a 78-72 victory over the New York Liberty on Sunday and now bring momentum into this game vs their hosts Las Vegas.Phoenix is in seventh in the league, one-half game better than Minnesota for the final playoff spot, and will play with desperation tonight making them viable underdogs.Phoenix won the only game between the teams thus far, 86-84 on May 3 and get my support to make this a competitive tilt as well. I know Las Vegas has been hot, but because of a recency bias attached to this side number we have value on the underdog. Note: LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 1-9 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. LAS VEGAS is 1-10 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. LAS VEGAS is 6-28 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% or better of their shots. PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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08-20-19 | Liberty +5 v. Fever | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Liberty are in a real funk and have lost 11 of their L/12 games, but this is a favorable matchup for them from a ats perspective , as Im betting this number is bloated according to my power rankings. The Fever were smashed 107-68 on the road by the Washington Mystics last time out, and after being KOd like that by a heavy weight its hard to bounce right back. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 6-25 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. INDIANA is 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 4-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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08-18-19 | Wings +11 v. Sun | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Rookie star Arike Ogunbowale leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer. Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think. CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997. CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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08-16-19 | Liberty v. Wings UNDER 153 | 77-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Liberty are on a 6 game losing streak, and what stands out during their current negative run is their inability to score with consistency, only once scoring more than 79 points. Meanwhile, Dallas during this entire season, has had problems putting points on the board, averaging just 70.3 ppg, behind the leagues slowest pace, and D ppg allowed ranking 2nd in the league ( 74.9 ppg). Look for this two converging trends of play to see a game that is much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. I know the Wings have had two consecutive decent offensive efforts, the last against a stunned Sparks team, but now a reversion to the mean is my prediction and a total that stays on the low side of the number. Under is 3-1-1 in Liberty last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 16-4-1 in Wings last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Friday games.Under is 8-3-2 in Wings last 13 home games.Under is 18-7-2 in Wings last 27 overall.Under is 11-5-2 in Wings last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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08-16-19 | Storm +8.5 v. Sun | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun look to retain the inside track on a bye to the semifinal round of the playoffs Friday night when they host the reigning WNBA champion Seattle Storm. However, I don't believe the sledding will be easy, for a Sun side that is still getting acclimated to being at home after a exhausting 4 game road trip that including 3 straight games out west. I know the visiting Storm were smashed by the Mystics last time out, but after that embarrassment Im betting this proud championship team will be out looking for redemption and will be prepared to play a strong game. Note: Storm are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Sun are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Sun are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Friday games.Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Sun are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sun are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-14-19 | Storm v. Mystics -9.5 | 59-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Seattle swept Washington in the 2018 championship series and won this season's first meeting 74-71 on the road June 14. However, the Mystics (17-7) finally got some amount of revenge with a 99-79 win at Seattle on Aug. 2 and will be ready to send another message to the Storm here tonight. Storm are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Mystics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mystics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more are 27-1 SU winning by an average of 12.7 ppg. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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08-11-19 | Sky v. Sparks -6 | 81-84 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing very good basketball at the moment, with the Sky having won 7 of their L/8 games, while the Sparks have also won 7 of their L/8. But home court advantage Im betting will be the difference makers and after playing a grueling competitive game in Las Vegas a couple of days ago the Sky will not be as fresh as they need to be vs a LA team on a 5 game home winning streak that plays their best in Southern California. LA has won the L/4 meetings in this series dating back to last season and they get the nod again this Sunday. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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08-10-19 | Wings +9.5 v. Mercury | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Phoenix getting to the playoffs is not guaranteed and they need wins, but Dallas who most probably wont be in the play offs would love to play spoilers here, against a team that they have matched up well against recently despite of losing all three meetings with the last two having been decided by a combined 9 points.I once again look for a fairly close affair , and for a Dallas team that is winless on the road this season, to play loose and stay within the number for a cover. Mercury are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on the Wings to cover |
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08-10-19 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 151.5 | 82-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dream shot just 33% last time out in a loss which marked the 8th straight time Atlanta shot below 40 percent. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of finding ways to post some wins this season, are still ranked 10th in pace, and 7th in ppg, so according to the projection possibilities that I hqve calculated, a lower scoring game must be expected. Under is 5-0-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Wings last 4 road games.Under is 20-6-2 in Wings last 28 overall.Under is 19-6-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Under is 3-1-2 in Wings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 15-5-1 in Wings last 21 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-1-1 in Wings last 5 Saturday games. Under is 6-0 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Mercury last 5 Saturday games.Over is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play UNDER |
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08-09-19 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 154 | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Minnesota's defence looks solid in a win vs Atlanta 85-69 on Tuesday to snap a four-game slide, and Im betting on more top tier defence here today, against a Connecticut team that can offensively explosive but that has also averaged 4.1 ppg on the road less than at home. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE is on tonights agenda for the host Lynx which will lead to a grinding lower scoring game than the lines-makes expect. Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 14-6 in Lynx last 20 games following a straight up win. Play UNDER |
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08-08-19 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 152.5 | 74-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The two meetings in this series between LA and Phoenix this season, have seen scores of 82-72 and 85-68 . Both teams had missing components in those meetings, and now both are mostly healthy and with the play offs around the corner and both being play off candidates Im betting a physical post season type affair as both prepare for a WNBA championship run which will make for a fairly lower scoring affair. LOS ANGELES is 17-3 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.7 ppg going on the board. LOS ANGELES is 16-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. LOS ANGELES is 21-5 UNDER in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Mercury last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games.Under is 13-5 in Mercury last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games.Under is 35-16-1 in Sparks last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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08-07-19 | Liberty +8 v. Sky | 92-101 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Liberty will desperately try to avoid being swept at the hands of the Sky, but also look to keep from matching a season high with their fourth consecutive overall defeat. Needless to say they have some pride on the line here, and Im betting they play hard and at least make this competitive vs a red hot team. NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in road games double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 39-27 SU L/5 seasons. WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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08-07-19 | Liberty v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that this contest will remain on the low side of the total. Recency bias also suggest this total is skewed to the upside thus giving us value with a under wager. CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season. CHICAGO is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 8-2 UNDER in home games this season. (all of the above combined scores were all under this set total) NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-06-19 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 148 | 85-69 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Two struggling teams go head to head today in Atlanta . The Dream, are last in the league in scoring and shooting percentage while being the only team connecting below 30 percent from 3-point range and Im betting on their scoring woes continuing here today vs the Minnesota Lynx. Meanwhile, Minnesota has not scored more than 79 points in 8 straight games, while their defence has been fairly decent , allowing more than 79 points just twice during the above mentioned 8 game run that has seen 6 of those game stay under the total. Everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 26-7 in Lynx last 33 road games.Under is 6-2 in Lynx last 8 overall. Under is 20-7 in Dream last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7-1 in Dream last 27 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 overall.Under is 23-10 in Dream last 33 home games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-03-19 | Sky v. Dream +3.5 | 87-75 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, but other than a couple of clunkers have been mostly competitive, and are viable underdogs vs a Chicago Sky team, that has lost 6 of 9 and 4 of their L/5 on the road this season, WNBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Dream are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Sky are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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08-01-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 154 | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
As we come closer to the WNBA play offs teams become more aware of their defensive responsibilities and play also gets more physical. These two teams are strong candidates for a run at a WNBA championship and Im betting play a hard core competitive game here today that will end up on the low side of the total. CONNECTICUT is 11-2 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.4 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-8 UNDER in road games after 5 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers for a combined average of 158.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, on Thursday nights are 41-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals are 34-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 59-22 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-30-19 | Wings +12 v. Aces | 54-86 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Vegas has won seven of eight and shares the top spot in the league with Connecticut and are getting a negative public lean , which according to my power rankings gives us value with a underdog wager with the Dallas Stars. Add to that Dallas has not been able to win regularly in July, going 1-7 which gives us a recency bias. LAS VEGAS is 12-23 ATS in home games versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. AS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-24-19 | Liberty +9.5 v. Sun | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
The NY Liberty started their season slowly but overall have performed well of late and been competetive as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 games vs a winning side, and are off a impressive SU win vs the LASparks last time toout. Meanwhile, Connecticut despite of a impressive record this season have been inconsistent and are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. My own power rankings suggest this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the travelling dog. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. |
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07-23-19 | Sparks v. Dream +2.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream are a very contrarian side to be on tonight. In my usual contradictory betting bias that the side Im recommending we take tonight in this battle against the visiting Los Angeles Sparks. It must be noted that Los Angeles (10-8) played the last three games with just eight players as Candace Parker (ankle), Alana Beard (hamstring), Alexis Jones (knee) and Maria Vadeeva (knee) are all hurt and Riquna Williams is currently suspended and with the all star break coming up Im doubting these players will be rushed back to the court. Los Angeles barely beat Atlanta 76-71 in overtime on the road July 14, and Im betting now on tired legs and short handed the Sparks could get upset. WNBA team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 23-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 5-32 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Atlanta Dream |
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07-21-19 | Fever +5 v. Sky | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My power ranking suggest Indiana despite of their dismal record matches up well against streaking Sky. When these teams played back on June 15 Chicago won 70-64 at Indiana in a game that essentially was up for grabs, and Im betting on a repeat confrontation here. Note: Indiana has won 4 straight on the road in this series and gets the nod to cover again. Sky are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Fever are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Fever are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Chicago. WNBA Road teams (INDIANA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 31-9 ATS L22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate! Play on Indiana to cover |
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07-20-19 | Mercury +1.5 v. Wings | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas, which has the worst record in the league, has dropped four straight and six of seven and dont deserve to be favs even against a banged up Mercury side. Look for the Mercury key contributors Grinner and Bonner to be the difference makers. Mercury are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Wings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Home underdogs (DALLAS) - good ball handling team - committing 14 turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 17-41 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 35-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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07-19-19 | Aces v. Storm UNDER 157.5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The No.1 ranked D of the Seattle Storm, in the WNBA and 8th ranked pace, and 9th ranked offence take on the No.1 pace , and No 2 offense in the league of the Las Vegas Aces. When these teams played back on June 25 in Nevada the final score clicked in a 60-56 and was very physical. While these teams may not have the small of output this time , Im still expecting a tight game that does not exceed this total. Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 Friday games.Under is 13-3-2 in Storm last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 16-4-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2-1 in Storm last 11 games following a ATS win.Under is 19-9-2 in Storm last 30 overall. Under is 4-0 in Aces last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 road games. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Aces -1 v. Storm | 66-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Aces are slight dogs here, but this team is an explosive group that already beat Storm at home 60-56 back on June 25th. Now well rested and off since Saturday I expect this young but powerful Aces group to battle hard and be fresh enough to come out on top. Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. WNBA team (SEATTLE) - a good offensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and 19-45 ATS for 70% go against conversion rate over the L/22 seasons. Play on the Las Vegas Aces to cover |
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07-18-19 | Wings +8 v. Sparks | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wings played the Mercury hard yesterday and covered, and now according to my power rankings Dallas is being underestimated in their ability to cover vs LA here today, which gives us value on this line. I know the Wings are on short rest, but the Sparks are banged up with Candace Parker, Alan Beard, Alexis Jones, and Maria Vadeeva out, and short handed with key starter Riquna Williams' taking a lengthy suspension. Dallas has an edge especially from a ATS standpoint. Dallas is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to LA. WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-17-19 | Wings +7.5 v. Mercury | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Mercury on a two game losing streak and losses in 4 of their L/5 proved to me they dont matchup all that well vs the Wings. In the first meeting with the Wings this season on June 20. the Mercury two key offensive threats Griner and Bonner were held to a combined 20 points as Phoenix shot 24.6 percent and was outrebounded 49-28. While I dont expect that lopsided of a occurrence here I do believe we have value taking points with the visitors. Note:Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Dallas Wings ( Back ). Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-17-19 | Dream +7 v. Sky | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 1 h 60 m | Show | |
Atlanta according to my power rankings is being under rated here thus giving us value taking points with the with the Dream vs Chicago. Atlanta won two of the three games between the teams last year, including an 89-74 romp at home in the most recent matchup. WNBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-57 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-14-19 | Liberty v. Storm UNDER 154.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Seattle is ranked No.1 in the WNBA in defence, 8th in pace and 10th in offensive rating, and are more than capable of controlling the action here today in a very precise manner, which Im betting leads to a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Liberty last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-4 in Liberty last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 7-1-1 in Storm last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 12-2-2 in Storm last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 15-5-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-3 in Storm last 10 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Storm last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Play UNDER |
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07-14-19 | Sky +1.5 v. Wings | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Chicago recorded a 78-66 home win over Dallas last Sunday to snap a five-game losing streak and once again have the edge according to my projections that make them a -1 point favorite instead of a dog. Note: Dallas is expected to be short-handed along the frontcourt for this match, with Azura Stevens sidelined with a foot injury and center Isabelle Harrison's status uncertain as she is in concussion protocol and unlikely to play. Sky are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Sky are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. Wings are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.Wings are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings UNDER 153.5 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago had a huge offensive output last game out for a win but today I expect a more muted effort that will see them regress offensively. However, I also like the way their defence matches up against Dallas, as was evident when they held them to 66 points in last week 78-66 home win vs the Wings. With that said, Im expecting this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Sky last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Sky last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-0 in Wings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Wings last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 7-1 in Wings last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Wings last 7 Sunday games.Under is 17-5 in Wings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 10-3 in Wings last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Wings last 26 overall. Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 153.5 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting their season on fire and failing to pace themselves the Connecticut Sun now look to be exhausted as is evident by a 5 game losing streak that has seen them score an average of just 70.6 ppg. Meanwhile, Phoenix is off an explosive two way performance last time out beating Washington by a 91-68 count. Im betting on an offensive regression here today by the Mercury even if super star Diana Taurasi plays , and for a D that has held 5 of their L/7 opponents to 70 point or less to continue their top tier stopping modus operandi. This combination of expected projections makes for a score that will be lower than the linesmakers and public expect. Both teams have gone under in 3 of their last 4 trips to the court. Under is 6-1-1 in Mercury last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 road games. Under is 11-3 in Sun last 14 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sun last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western ConferenceUnder is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up loss.Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Sparks v. Fever +3 | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
L.A. has shown flashes of brilliance of late at least when at home, but is a different stroy on the road where they are 3-5 SU and been outscored by an average of 14.7 points while losing three in a row and are expected to be without Candace Parker tonight ( Candace Parker is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Foot ). Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream despite of having problems getting into the win column consistently are a under rated side, and on most nights a very competitive team that just cant get over the hump. With that said, getting points with the host Fever according to my projections is a viable wager. LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky +1 | 73-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The Chicago Sky have shown a lot improvement since opening 2019 with a lopsided loss to the Minnesota Lynx and now in revenge mode are viable bets here on an almost pickem line. Minnesota is off a hard fought win vs Connecticut last time out by a 74-71 score , and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a hungry team. Note:MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Chicago sky to cover |
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07-10-19 | Mercury +9.5 v. Mystics | 91-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
According to my projections this line is slightly bloated giving us value with the under rated Phoenix Mercury who now have Diana Taurasi travelling with the team and is expected to back in the lineup after a lengthy lay off. Meanwhile , Washingtons, star Delle Donne broke here nose last time out, and is less than 100% entering this game giving the Mercury and edge here on this line. The Mercury have won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here to Washington DC. Thibault is 19-30 ATS in home games in non-conference games as the coach of WASHINGTON.
WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 8-23 su L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Phoenix to cover |
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07-07-19 | Mystics -3 v. Sparks | 81-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Washington has won the L/4 meetings in this series, and are showing that they are contenders for a WNBA championship if they can stay healthy. They have won 5 straight games, and are showing no signs of slowing down, making them viable road favs here vs the inconsistent LA Sparks. WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games are 33-11 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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07-05-19 | Liberty +8 v. Mercury | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The NY Liberty are playing top tier basketball entering this game, as they look for their fourth straight victory. Even though Diania Taurasi is expected to return to the court tonight for the Mercury after a long absence, I still believe we have value with the road underdog Liberty. I know the Liberty are on short rest but that have proven well conditioned and under estimated in this spot recently as they have cashed 6 of their L/7 with 1 days rest. Liberty are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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07-05-19 | Dream v. Storm UNDER 147 | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My line for this game was set around 144, so we have value to the under here at this number. The Seattle Storm are averaging 74.2 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.7 points on 42.6 percent shooting and are deliberate team with a conservative defensive mindset. Meanwhile, The Atlanta Dream are averaging 69.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting and once again depend on a slower pace to try to stay close here, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails toe eclipse this total. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 Friday games.Under is 12-3-1 in Storm last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Dream +7 v. Lynx | 68-85 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Dream enter this game as still be very under rated and have been money in the bank of late when playing on the road cashing 10 of their L/14 opportunities and are once again a value line call here vs a Minnesota team that my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 5-25 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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07-02-19 | Sky v. Aces UNDER 160 | 82-90 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
The recency of Chicago allowing 94 points last time out, and the Aces taking part in a back and forth high scoring affair in their last game, have put this total in the beatable category to the under. Tonight Im betting on the Sky playing more conservatively and paying strict attention to D, while the Aces regression on tired legs after that last scoring fest they took part in is to be expected. Play UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 153 | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The reigning WNBA champs have shown alot of grit despite being without stars Breanna Stewart (Achilles), Sue Bird (knee), coach and Dan Hughes. Hardcore D has been their signature style of play and has resulted in 10 of 12 games staying under the total. Nothing changes tonight against a visiting Mercury team that has averaged just 69.4 ppg on the road this season. DEFENSE, DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENCE. Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games. Under is 5-0 in Storm last 5 Sunday games.Under is 9-1-2 in Storm last 12 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 overall.Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Sky v. Sparks UNDER 157 | 69-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Chicagos D continues to improve and LA has been a defence first team at home for quite a while now and tonight Im betting on combined score that fails to eclipse this total. The last three times these teams have played in LA the scores have all stayed below the total, and nothing changes here today. LA ranks 8th out of 12 teams in offence this season. Under is 3-1-1 in Sky last 5 vs. Western Conference Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Lynx v. Wings +4 | 86-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
The Wings have not beaten the Minnesota Lynx since relocating from Tulsa after the 2015 season, losing all 10 meetings . They have lost 12 straight to the Lynx since an 86-78 victory June 21, 2015, but the last four defeats have all been by single digits and Im betting we have another close one today with the points eventually proving to be golden. Lynx are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.Lynx are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.Wings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Play on the Dallas Wings |
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06-29-19 | Fever +11 v. Aces | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
The Fever (5-8) are trying to salvage a split of this two-game swing out west after losing 91-69 at Phoenix on Friday night, their worst defeat of the season and Im betting they now bounce back and are much more competitive after that sleepy effort. According to my power rankings this Fever team is very under rated and I wont be swayed by the recency of that last result. Note:Turnovers continue to be a problem for Las Vegas, which ranks 11th in the 12-team league in turnovers at 16.8 per game after committing 19 on Thursday night. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July game are 9-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in May, June, or July games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana Fever to cover |
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06-29-19 | Fever v. Aces UNDER 158.5 | 97-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score that combines to stay on the low side of this total. LAS VEGAS is 12-3 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite which was the case last time out at LA vs the Sparks. Under is 6-1-1 in Aces last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Las Vegas. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Sun +7.5 v. Mystics | 59-102 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Connecticut (9-3) still has the best record in the WNBA but is coming off a 74-73 defeat to the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night for their 2nd straight loss. Because of the recency of the Sun loss and the Mystics current 5 game win streak we now get a value line to bet into , making getting points here a prime opportunity according to my power rankings. Connecticut has won 3 straight meetings in this series and 3 of their L/4 visits to DC and get the nod here. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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06-28-19 | Sky +3 v. Storm | 76-79 | Push | 0 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
These teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Chicago Sky looking for their third straight win on the road and in this series while the Seattle Storm trying to avoid their 3rd straight loss overall in head to head meetings with the Sky. This is a momentum play that favors the Sky to cover , especially with key Seattle guard Jewell Loyd expected to miss with an injury. WNBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-74 L/5 seasons for a solid 60% conversion rate. Play on the Chicago sky to cover |
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06-28-19 | Fever v. Mercury UNDER 155 | 69-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
According to my projections and the lack of efficiency we have in the WNBA market Im betting we have a value you total to bet into here in Phoenix tonight favoring and under wager on what is a bloated line in my estimations. Note: Key offensive Threat for the Mercury future HOF Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Back ). Under is 7-3 in Fever last 10 games playing on 2 days restUnder is 4-0-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS winUnder is 9-4 in Mercury last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix. Play UNDER |
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06-26-19 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 149 | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Connecticut (9-2) had its seven-game winning streak suddenly snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago, as they looked exhausted. This team has had problems in the recent past controlling their run and gun ways, and exhaustion has caught with them. The Sun now playing their 2nd straight road game and 3rd game over in the L/5 days Im betting their tired legs wont allow them to run with wreck-less abandon against a Dallas team that is both offensively challenged and defensively aware of making sure they don't get involved in a shoot out. This combination Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimations might indicate. I know Dallas looked defensively hapless and helpless last time out allowing 86 points in a 86-68 loss. However it must be noted that Agler is 21-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997 with a . combined average score of 144.5 ppg.Agler is 24-8 UNDER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-26-19 | Mystics v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
I think there are alot of numbers here that might scream over to the public but as usual the public over reacts to recency trends which is gives us value on what my own projections estimate to be a slightly bloated total giving us value with an under wager. WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 games are 71-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 42-17 . UNDER 22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-25-19 | Storm v. Aces -6 | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The Aces have not been consistent early on this season, but they are very under rated and have proven how explosive they can be while, my power ranking suggest the Seattle Storm are over achieving. This WNBA market is highly inefficient and my number suggests it should be closer to -8 favoring the Aces.. thus we have value laying the lumber . SEATTLE is 18-37 ATS L/55 in road games after a win by 6 points or less.Hughes is 24-41 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 40% or less in all games. Play on the Aces to cover |
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06-23-19 | Sparks +1 v. Mercury | 72-82 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
With the Sparks Candice Parker now making here third start since returning of injury should now have gotten rid of her rustiness and Im betting we see her at the top of her game. Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games and are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - after scoring 55 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% SU conversion rate. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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06-23-19 | Mystics v. Dream +9.5 | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
The Dream according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the WNBA, and according to numbers we have value on the this home dog line.This is Washington's first game in Atlanta since winning Game 5 of the WNBA semifinals 86-81 last September. ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, on Sunday games are 49-21 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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06-23-19 | Mystics v. Dream UNDER 157.5 | 89-73 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Afternoon games have a tendency of being a little slower paced and Im betting that will be the case here this afternoon. WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-3 UNDER in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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06-22-19 | Wings +13 v. Aces | 68-86 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
After starting their season at 0-5 the Wings have won two straight and have momentum entering this game against Bill Lambeers Las Vegas Aces. Dallas has a recent history of success in this series having won 6 straight meetings overall and the L/3 here in Vegas and have enough talent to keep this game closer than the spread the linesmakers have placed on it might indicate. WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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06-21-19 | Fever v. Sky UNDER 164 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
When these two teams played last week, the total was set at 166 and the under cashed with only 134 total points going on the board. Im betting the same kind of pace, and shooting is once again going to play out in a total score that once again fails to eclipse the number. I know the The Sky's three-guard combo of Courtney Vandersloot, Allie Quigley, and Diamond DeShields looked explosive and combined for 50 points in their 91-83 win at New York on Wednesday night, but the Fever, know this will be primed to play a tough brand of D, and Im also betting on a regression shooting out put by the Sky here in a game that will be much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. INDIANA is 14-5 UNDER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 156 ppg. INDIANA is 10-2 UNDER after a game attempting 80 or more shots with a combined average of 153.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 26-13 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 149.9 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 51-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-21-19 | Dream +12.5 v. Sun | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings the Atlanta Dream are much better than their record might indicate and they offer us value on the line here this evening vs the Sun. The Dream did beat the Fever last time out, and have momentum entering this game, and Im betting they wont be easy outs even though they continue to adjust without star Angel McCoughtry out of the lineup. Atlanta has won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here against the Sun. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in May, June, or July games are 9-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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06-20-19 | Mystics +4 v. Aces | 95-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Washington looked explosive and dominating when they opened a stretch of four consecutive road contests with a conclusive 81-52 victory at Los Angeles on Tuesday. I know their hosts the Aces have won 2 straight, but my power ranking suggest they will have their hands full of a confident team playing with immediate momentum. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games are 32-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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06-20-19 | Mercury v. Wings UNDER 145 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Mercury have struggled mightily out of the gate this season without all star Diana Taurasi who is also expected to miss this game. The Mercury's flow is way off and Dallas also has offensive issues. These are two slowest paced teams in the league and low total is not low enough according to my projections. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in all games this season.Agler has gone under in 19 of his L/25 in home games after 4 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached . Play UNDER |
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06-19-19 | Sky v. Liberty UNDER 165 | 91-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Liberty after being in a game with a combined score of 190 points has the linemakers tweaking this line upwards, thus giving us value on a regression type score here vs the Chicago Sky. These teams have combined to go under in 7 of their L/10 combined games, and Im betting on another under here. Under is 4-1-1 in Sky last 6 overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Sky last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1 in Liberty last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 8-2 in Liberty last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-4-1 in Liberty last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-2 in Liberty last 7 Wednesday games. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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06-16-19 | Storm v. Sun -9 | 67-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Connecticut, which has won five straight overall, is trying to break the franchise record of 11 consecutive home victories originally established from Sept. 19, 2004-July 28, 2005 and Im betting they get it as well as the all important cover.
WNBA Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 30-9 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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06-15-19 | Dream v. Wings +4 | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Still without injured star Angel McCoughtry, Atlanta's averaging just 69.0 points - shooting a league-worst 36.6 percent. The Dream also allowed at least 82 points in each of their first three losses before falling 65-59 to Connecticut on Sunday and are fade material in their current form.Dallas is struggling to the franchise's worst start since relocating to the Dallas 0-5 in 2016, the Wings have been hit hard by injuries , but still have enough guns to chase their first win and more importantly get us the cover. Dallas has won the L/3 meetings here and gets the nod again to cover. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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06-15-19 | Dream v. Wings OVER 145 | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Despite of both these teams shooting horribly of late, it still must be noted that Atlanta is allowing 81 ppg this season overall, and here at home despite of being banged up Im betting Dallas does some damage, and Atlanta reciprocates with some offensive fireworks of their own, which will result in a total that will be eclipsed. These teams have gone over in 11 of their L/14 meetings and 3-0 OVER here in Dallas. Play OVER |
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06-14-19 | Liberty +12 v. Aces | 65-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
New York (2-4) was finally able to halt a losing stretch that reached 17 games with an 88-78 home victory over Las Vegas on Sunday. (Vegas has lost 3 of their L/4)The Liberty held the Aces (2-3) to 35.4 percent shooting en route to their a win and followed that up with a victory vs Minnesota, and Im betting they are competitive here again, behind super star Tina Charles. LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 30-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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06-11-19 | Mystics v. Sun OVER 166 | 75-83 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Washington comfortably leads the WNBA with 89.6 points per game and is hitting a league-best 8.8 3-pointers per contest.The Sun are averaging 87 points per game at home this season. Im betting both sides to take part in a run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Over is 5-1 in Mystics last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Sun last 6 home games.Play on the OVER |
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06-09-19 | Storm v. Sky UNDER 165 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Thanks to the Chicago Sky being the worst defensive team in the league right now, the Total has been blown up past my power ranking performance indicators would suggest. Meanwhile, Seattle, a defence first team is off shooting 59.3 percent during an 84-77 win at Minnesota also added to this number but Im betting on a natural regression here to the norm that should also help this contest stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Storm last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-1-1 in Storm last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1-2 in Storm last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 overall. Play UNDER |
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06-08-19 | Sparks v. Lynx UNDER 149.5 | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Minnesota (4-1) a defence first team under coach Cheryl Reeve allowed more than 71 points for the first time on the campaign with an 84-77 loss at Seattle on Tuesday. The Storm shot an amazing 59.3 percent from the floor. .The Lynx, regrouped with a vengeance , and applied their gritty slow down style of play this past Thursday's 58-56 win over Phoenix. Meanwhile,Los Angeles their opponents tonight ended Minnesota's 2018 season with a 75-68 victory in the first round of the WNBA playoffs, and their will be revenge on board for the Lynx, and a game that will be gritty and physical and that fails to eclipse this posted total. ( This will be LAs 3rd straight road game in 4 days so they will be on tired legs which Im betting adds to how methodical this game will be. Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sparks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 16-7 in Sparks last 23 games following a straight up loss.Under is 37-18-1 in Sparks last 56 Saturday games.Under is 49-24 in Sparks last 73 overall. Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 Saturday games.Under is 6-1 in Lynx last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 overall.Under is 8-3 in Lynx last 11 home games. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER |
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06-06-19 | Mercury v. Lynx UNDER 156.5 | 56-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Lnyx shot 59% from the floor last time out and still lost to Seattle, and now Im betting on a huge regression here from a team short on fire power and big on playing solid defence. Note: MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.7 ppg scored. Their opposition here tonight Phoenix, continues to play without injured legendary guard Diana Taurasi, and despite of still having some offensive weapons will find the sledding sloppy here in the land of Lakes. Play on the UNDER |
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06-05-19 | Sky +11 v. Mystics | 85-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Both these teams won their last games out, with Chicago taking out Seattle, and Washington clobbering Atlanta by DDs. To many points here considering the matchup stats , which gives us value taking points. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 10-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites (WASHINGTON) - off a home win, in June games are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Sky to cover |
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06-04-19 | Lynx v. Storm UNDER 150 | 77-84 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota is a defence first team, that ranks No.1 in ppg allowed and 10th in pace in the league, with all 3 of their first 3 games staying under the set total. Meanwhile, Seattle ranks 2nd inppg allowed in the league, and 7th in pace. Considering the way both these teams modus operandi consistently plays out, a combined score on the low side of this total is a high probability outcome. Under is 24-4 in Lynx last 28 road games.Under is 13-3 in Lynx last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 overall.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Play UNDER |
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06-02-19 | Sun v. Aces OVER 167 | 80-74 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
In last years three meetings these teams Conn and LV combined to average 182.33 ppg, with at least one team scoring 90 points or more each time and with two of the tilts seeing Connecticut score more than 100 points. Both teams remain offensively explosive this season, and an all out run and gun affair must be expected again. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-2-1 in Aces last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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06-01-19 | Liberty +3.5 v. Fever | 77-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a hard fought opener for both teams back in NY with the Fever squeezing out a 1 point win on the last shot of the game by a 81-80 score vs a stunned Liberty team. Now in a revenge mode Im betting on the Liberty getting us the cover between two evenly matched sides. NYL have won their L/3 visits to Indiana SU. WNBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 12+ losses in last 15 games are 27-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 10+ losses in last 12 games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate! Take the points with the NY Liberty to cover |
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05-29-19 | Storm v. Lynx UNDER 155 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
With reigning MVP Breanna Stewart (Achilles) out for the season and league legend Sue Bird (knee) sidelined indefinitely the team will focus on playing top tier defence .With superstar Maya Moore taking the 2019 season off to focus on family and her ministry work, the Lynx will also have their attack flow interrupted which Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of total. MINNESOTA is 6-0 UNDER in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-4 UNDER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-1 in Lynx last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Lynx last 6 Wednesday games.Under is 16-5 in Lynx last 21 overall.Under is 16-5 in Lynx last 21 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Lynx last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 6-2-1 in Storm last 9 vs. Western Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 8-3-1 in Storm last 12 overall. Play UNDER |
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05-28-19 | Fever v. Sun OVER 161.5 | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
The 3 most recent meetings in this series between the Fever and the Suns have all been fairly high scoring with the lowest scoring tilt clicking in at 163 combined points. Im betting that both sides with one game under their belts should be ready to run and gun here this evening in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. Over is 3-1-1 in Fever last 5 overall.Over is 6-2 in Fever last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up recordOver is 6-0 in Sun last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Connecticut. Play on the OVER |
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05-25-19 | Mercury -2.5 v. Storm | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Health issues within the team and coaching staff are expected to make the Seattle Storm's defense of their WNBA title much more difficult and makes them weak home dogs here as well vs the Phoenix Mercury. I know the Mercury are banged up as well but Phoenix, , still has two of the league's top players on the floor and prepared to go in superstar Brittney Griner (20.5 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.6 blocks per game) and DeWanna Bonner (17.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg). The Mercury also took versatile Stanford star Alanna Smith in the first round of last month's draft. Note: PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SEATTLE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws are 5-20 L/25 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate with a the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.7 ppg. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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09-12-18 | Storm v. Mystics -1.5 | 98-82 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 38 m | Show | |
The smell of desperation is in the air. Washington down 2-0 must win here tonight or be eliminated by Seattle. Their star Delle Donne has been hampered by a knee injury, but the Mystics have tried to makeup for her sudden offensive inadequacies by playing a physical brand of basketball that had them take the Storm down to the wire in game 2. Now with their season on the line and backs up against the wall, Im betting they claw to a victory here vs a Seattle side that has lost 3 of their L/4 road games SU. Washington has won and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. WNBA Favorites (WASHINGTON) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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09-09-18 | Mystics v. Storm UNDER 168.5 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0 The Mystics offence is just not as efficient with star forward Delle Donne suffering through a knee injury and less than 100%. This in itself will have the Mystics employing a more defensive mind set in an attempt to stay competitive vs an explosive offensive opponent. I'm betting on this combined score to stay on the low side of the Total. WASHINGTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average score of 159.6 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 156 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons with the total combined average score clicking in at 158.7 ppg. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 45-18 UNDER L21 seasons with a combined average score of 157 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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09-07-18 | Mystics v. Storm -5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 1 According to my power rankings the Seattle Storm are the superior team, and a -5 point home line is 2 points short of where it should be according to my numbers based on home court advantage and a eastern team travelling west. Also Washingtons Delle Donne is less than 100% as he suffers through a knee injury.n the first two games of the playoffs, she averaged 29.5 points and 13.5 rebounds on 48.5 percent shooting. In two games after returning from the injury, she put up 14.5 points and 10.5 boards, while shooting just 39.2 percent. Without her Im betting they can't keep up offensively. Also a lot of emotion went into their dramatic game 5 win vs the Dream, and now a huge letdown is to be expected, even more so than the Storm could experience. WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in road games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 3-19 ATS after 3 straight games with 45 or more rebounds since 1997. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-31-18 | Storm +2.5 v. Mercury | 66-86 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - SEA leads 2-0 |
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08-28-18 | Mercury v. Storm -5 | 87-91 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0 Seattle won the first game of this series, but did not cover. The Mercury gave it their all and left everything on the floor in game 1, and still fell short. Tonight Im betting they get lit up as they play on the road on tired legs. SEATTLE is 11-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. Mercury are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Semi-Finals games.Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Storm are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Storm are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Storm are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Storm are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 34-2 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-26-18 | Mystics v. Dream | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1 The Dreams record speaks for itself but own power rankings make the Mystics the better team, and my choice here today. ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS after a non-conference game this season.Thibault is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better are 107-56 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 61-23 SU L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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08-23-18 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 177 | 96-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
For this being play off basketball game Im betting the total reflects more of a confrontation that would coincide with the regular season. The Mercury can be very physical at home and defense minded as well, we need be especially against a run and gun team like the Sun. With that said, I'm expecting a gruelling affair that stays under the total. |