Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-23-18 | Sparks v. Mystics UNDER 156 | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sparks top tier defence stood tall, and held 3 of their L/4 regular season opponents to 68 points or less. The Sparks were sending a signal, that their defensive schemes and grueling inside action will be on full display during this first round action vs the Mystics. With that said, I'm betting that defensive mind set will be on their agenda today. Look for the Sparks to be able to slow the explosive Mystics down, and for this contest to remain on the low side of the number. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 roles turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games where they committed 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 ppg scored. Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 43-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-23-18 | Sparks +5 v. Mystics | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
These two teams despite of contrasting styles matchup very evenly, as was the case last time these teams played here in Washington on Aug 17, as the Mystics squeaked by the Sparks 69-67. Im betting on another close game here today and for the Sparks to cover the number again. LOS ANGELES is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 visits to DC. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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08-21-18 | Wings v. Mercury UNDER 175.5 | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - First Round Both these teams can light up the scoreboard quickly, but Im betting on a physical play off affair that favours this contest staying on the low side of the number. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 154.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games after a game where a team made 45% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 147.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 8-2 UNDER after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or less of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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08-19-18 | Wings v. Storm UNDER 175 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Storm (25-8) will play host to the Dallas Wings (15-18) on Sunday afternoon in what is now a meaningless regular-season finale.I expect the Storm will be concentrating on defensive checks/systems and staying healthy, which I'm betting will have this game played at a lot slower pace then the pundits might expect which will effect this total score to the under. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER in home games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.3 ppg scored.DALLAS is 12-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combine average of 170.6 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-19-18 | Dream v. Aces +4.5 | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Aces close out their first season since moving from San Antonio against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday in their finale at Mandalay Bay Events Center. they just missed play off spot, this season, after losing last time out to Dallas who ended up clinching the final play off spot. QUOTE:"We played pretty good basketball. So did they," Aces coach Bill Laimbeer told the Las Vegas Review-Journal after the Aces lost to the Wings, allowing Dallas to clinch the eighth and final playoff spot Friday night. I'm betting Lamber will emphasize finishing the season strong, and I expect to see the Aces to play hard here today vs a team that despite of wanting to get a victory to secure a better play off seeding , still has to balance the fact that staying healthy is of also paramount importance, which may effect their ability to be physical. LAS VEGAS is 22-11 ATS against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Aces 81.2 Opp 82.1 WNBA team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half 66-15 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA team (ATLANTA) - decent defensive team (40.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 8 or more 3 point shots are just 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Vegas Aces to cover |
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08-19-18 | Sparks v. Sun UNDER 160.5 | 86-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these teams visiting LA and their hosts Connecticut have secured play off spots and will both want to remain rested and healthy and practice solid defensive sets before the play offs begin, which will help this score stay on the low side of the number. LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average 150.3 ppg and is 6-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 147.5 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 18-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.2 ppg . WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-17-18 | Liberty v. Storm UNDER 163.5 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball and a more physical brand of defensive ball. Im betting instead of running and gunning that the Storm will prep for the play offs by playing a concerted defensive style game vs a NY team that enters this tilt on tired legs as they now play their 3rd game of this western road trip. In the first two games they scored 66,72 points and will hard pressed to surpass those offensive numbers here in their current exhausted state. NEW YORK is 12-4 UNDER in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Seattle has seen 8. of 14 home games stay under the total. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-17-18 | Sparks v. Mystics UNDER 158.5 | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball and a more physical brand of defensive ball.Los Angeles allows a league-low 76.9 points per game and reigning defensive player of the year Alana Beard remains the ringleader on defense. Needless to say the Sparks failures and successes hinge on playing quality D. Today this will be of the utmost importance vs a strong Mystics team hitting on all cylinders at the moment. This Im betting results in a fairly low scoring affair. LOS ANGELES is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons wiTh a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored.LOS ANGELES is 17-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-17-18 | Lynx v. Sun UNDER 164 | 79-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball and a more physical brand of defensive ball. The Sun have been rolling offensively of late , and the Lynx will be prepared to slow them down, especially after losing their last meeting in this series, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 8-0 UNDER revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons 154.4 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season ,with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 9-0 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored.CONNECTICUT is 15-4 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 44%or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 162.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-17-18 | Sparks v. Mystics -3.5 | 67-69 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
The Sparks and Mystics go head to head Friday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., with more at stake for Washington than Los Angeles. The Mystics have won seven straight and are one game behind the second-place Atlanta Dream with two games left.The Dream have two games left as well, beginning on Friday against league-leading Seattle at home. On Sunday, Atlanta visits Las Vegas s, who are also fighting for the eighth and final playoff spot. |
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08-15-18 | Liberty +12 v. Aces | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
The Liberty were on the road Tuesday night and lost to the Los Angeles Sparks 74-66 for their 10th straight loss, but it must be noted that NEW YORK is 13-4 ATSL/17 in road games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. Tonight Bill Lambeers Vegas Aces are in my opinion being over rated , considering they have lost 4 of their L/5 SU/ATS with their only win coming against lowly Indiana last time out. With the pressure of a play off spot looming in the back ground for this young team, the pressure could be to much for them, and I''m betting this 12 point chalk line thats been attached to them is out of whack and does not truly coordinate to the matchup discrepancies. Lambeer is 23-44 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached since 1997. LAS VEGAS is 0-7 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS in road games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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08-14-18 | Liberty v. Sparks UNDER 157 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
LA successes and failures are based on their ability to play top tier defense, and later they have gotten away from that Thats what Im betting they concentrate on today vs a struggling NY Liberty just playing out the season. This type of physical defensive game plan, will help these teams combine to play a lower scoring game than the lines makers anticipate. LOS ANGELES is 14-2 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 148.3 ppg scored.LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21or less free throws/game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 142.2 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 147.1 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 9-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in a 146.9 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 144.9 ppg.Agler is 10-1 UNDER in home games off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LOS ANGELES with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (LOS ANGELES) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or more ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 155.2 ppg Play UNDER |
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08-14-18 | Wings +11 v. Sun | 76-96 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
On Sunday, after the Wings lost their eighth straight game and barely holding onto the eighth and final spot, team president/general manager Greg Bibb fired coach Fred Williams and replaced him for the rest of the season with assistant Taj McWilliams-Franklin. These types of situations usually ignite a team , at least temporarily. I know the Wings are without their leading scorer right now Liz Cambage, and Connecticut has been playing strong hoops of late winning 6 of their L/7, but because of the lack of being able to pace themselves correctly have been streaky this season, and with this being the Suns 4th game in a week, they could easily find themselves in a letdown situation and running on fumes. With that that said, door is wide open for a Dallas cover here based on motivation factors alone. CONNECTICUT is 2-11 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 70 or more shots this season.CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 5 straight games this season. WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-19 ATS for a 73% conversion rate last 5 seasons. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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08-12-18 | Sparks v. Mercury +1 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Mercury (17-14), who are in seventh place, have a shot at climbing as high as No. 4, where the Los Angeles Sparks (18-12) are currently ranked. Needles to say thesis an important game for the Mercury and I'm betting they come out here on fore and take advantage of exhausted LA team playing their 3rd game in 5 days. Add to that the added incentive of the Mercury to get revenge here for two previous losses to the Sparks this Eason. Note: WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 33-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. LOS ANGELES is 2-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season The Mercury blew out Indiana last time out by 20 points, which is a good omen for us here this evening, as Phoenix HC Brondello is 7-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 29-8 ATS L/37 versus teams who average 37 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 19-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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08-12-18 | Storm v. Lynx -1 | 81-72 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The defending WNBA champion have not played with a lot of emotion or motivation this season, and lookalike they are pacing themselves for the bigger prize. With Minnesota still needing some wins to clinch a playoff spot, this veteran laden group Im betting will take nothing for granted and be prepared to take down the leagues currently top ranked team Seattle here tonight at home. Minnesota is a perfect 4-0 SU here and nothing Im betting changes tonight as the Lynx bring out their A game and send a message to the Storm that their championship banner won't be easily snatched away from them. |
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08-12-18 | Dream v. Liberty +6.5 | 86-77 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream lost their 2nd leading scorer McCoughtry for the season with torn ligaments in her left knee Thursday. Even though the Dream responded with two victories , I'm betting it will eventually catch up to them, quite possibly today, vs a team that I'm betting they will be less than inspired to play against. I know the Liberty go against a side that has won 13 of their L/14 games, but that just means they will be primed and motivated to pull off the upset. The Liberty proved they can hang with good teams especially at home where last time out they lost 82-81 home to the Sparks. Considering the Dream are on tired legs playing their 4th game in a week its not a far reach taking points here today with the home dog. Note: WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are just 19-48 L/5 seasons with a 4.6 ppg differential, qualifying on a ATS perimeter. ATLANTA is 4-16 ATS L/20 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points .NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons andi s 5-15 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NY Liberty are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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08-11-18 | Wings v. Dream UNDER 167.5 | 82-92 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Early afternoon starts can sometimes see teams get out go the gates slowly, which can easily effect offensive output. Where getting close to play off time and playing top tier defense is of paramount importance. Last time out Atlanta held a pretty good Sparks team to 73 points in a win, which produced their 9th under in their L/11 trips to the hardwood. Defense has been a mainstay of the Dream this season, which has helped them garner 12 wins in their L/13 games, and they have rarely gotten away from this grinding type of basketball, and Im betting nothing changes today as they dictate the pace of this tilt vs a Dallas that has scored 78 points or less in 3 of their L/5 games. ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins this season with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 154.3 ppg. Dallas came into Atlanta in May and beat the /dream 78-70. ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 153.8 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 154.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER |
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08-10-18 | Fever +12 v. Mercury | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Indiana is 3-3 in their L/6 , and showing signs of being competitive. they did notch a recent win against a very good LA Sparks team, and also beat Dallas and went into NY and took out the Liberty straight up as dogs. I know Indiana does not inspire most bettors, but at around 12 points there is value taking them as underdogs here, as Phoenix has really been struggling of late, losing 9 of their L/11 overall SU, and are off a gruelling and heart breaking loss to the Washington Mystics last time out (103-98) With this being the Mercury's 3rd game in 4 nights, I'm betting their tired legs and damaged emotional well being, will play a part in failing to cover vs a side playing with nothing to lose. Unlike the Mercury who need wins to try to salvage a play off spot. I do know that the Mercury handled the Fever on two previous occasions this season, but here at home they have lost 2 of the L/3 meetings between these teams . PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more this season which happened in their last game vs Washington (103-98).PHOENIX is 0-9 ATS in home games after allowing 75 points or more this season.PHOENIX is 1-7 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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08-09-18 | Sparks v. Dream +2 | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks enter this game on tired legs as they play. their 4th game in a week, their 2nd straight road game after a gruelling come from behind win vs the NY Liberty last night. I'm betting despite of winning 3 straight games, that the Sparks might be to tired to deal with a Atlanta team that has lost only once in their L/12 trips to the hardwood. The Dream might of had some detractors earlier on this season, but the way their playing , two way ball at the moment they are proving their naysayers wrong and are proving to be a difficult team to beat down the stretch to the post season. Sparks are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Sparks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.Dream are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Dream are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sparks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings.Sparks are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. The teams have split their two games so far this season , with both being played played in Los Angeles ,with the Sparks notching a 72-64 on June 12 and Atlanta firing back with a 81-71 win 17 days ago. WNBA Home favorites (ATLANTA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 28-9 ATS L/21seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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08-08-18 | Sun -2 v. Wings | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Sun enter this game on a four-game winning streak all by DDs that has helped them to a No. 5 rankings in the WNBA standings. The way they are currently playing Im betting they Weill be hard to stop vs a defensively deficient Dallas Wings team that has lost 5 straight games. Connecticut beat Dallas here on July 22 by DDs, 92-75, and now are just 2 point favs. giving us value based on my projections. DALLAS is 1-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and is 2-11 ATS revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite . CONNECTICUT is 16-3 ATS L/19 in road games after 2 straight games with 20 or more assists. WNBA team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 61-14 L5 seasons and 13-1 this season. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-07-18 | Aces v. Dream UNDER 166.5 | 100-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Atlanta plays a physical grinding game that bases its successes on its defensive game,. Because of the Dream's ability to dictate the pace of games they have done well and also have stayed under the posted total in 8 consecutive games. Meanwhile, Bill Lambeer's young Aces chalk full of offensive talent, have gotten away from disciplined basketball, and instead have played a reckless one way game of late, something that has culminated in them allowing 104, and 109 points in back to back games (losses), something the coaching staff wants to address down the stretch drive to the playoffs. With that said, I expect the Aces will try to be a little more defensively responsible, while Atlanta will continue to play their usual brand of hard nosed hoops. This I'm betting leads to a much lower scoring affair than the lines makers expect. LAS VEGAS is 9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.2 ppg scored.LAS VEGAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.2 ppg scored.LAS VEGAS is 8-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.9 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 155.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread this season with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 12-2 UNDER in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season with a combined average of 155.4 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game this season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. Atlanta has gone 2-12 UNDER at home this season, while Vegas has gone under in 8 of their 13 road games. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 34-6 UNDERL/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 153.5 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 39-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 155.5 ppg. Play UNDER |
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08-05-18 | Aces v. Sun -9 | 88-109 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces arrived in Connecticut for Sunday's game against the Sun amid a storm of controversy after they canceled Friday night's game in Washington. They canceled because of what they though there safety concerns after being stuck in a plane for 25 hrs. QUOTE: Given the travel issues we faced over the past two days -- 25-plus hours spent in airports and airplanes, in cramped quarters and having not slept in a bed since Wednesday night -- and after consulting with our Union, and medical professionals, we concluded that playing tonight's game would put us at too great a risk for injury," the Aces said in a statement. The Aces now precariously prepare to play a Connecticut team ramping in to top form and looking as strong as they did earlier this season after 3 consecutive DD wins. Earlier this season Connecticut won a 101-65 lopsided decision vs the Aces at home, and then were upset in the rematch 94-90 in Vegas. Im betting the Sun come out focused and ready to reap revenge for that last loss as they also focus on keeping their momentum alive heading towards the playoffs. Lay the points with Connecticut to cover |
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08-03-18 | Sky v. Dream UNDER 171 | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream enter this tilt winning nine of their last 11 contests. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 79 points on 41.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.8 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Defense is the key to the Dreams successes of late, and nothing will change here tonight as they force the pace of this game, and slow down a Chicago side with grindem out basketball . Chicago likes to run with wreck-less abandon, and that won't come easily tonight, which will effect the Total combined points to register on the low side of the number. Under is 6-0 in Dream last 6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 12-2 in Dream last 14 home games. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-01-18 | Mercury +2.5 v. Aces | 104-93 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
After a red hot start that saw them go 14-5 record, the Mercury (15-12) have been highly inconsistent since losing power forward Sancho Lyttle to a season-ending knee injury June 30. However, this is still a good veteran laden Mercury side that must not be underestimated vs a young group in Las Vegas . Adjustments are being made and their leader and future Hallof Famer, Jamie Taurasi feels this team can get back on track. QUOTE: "By this time of the season, we should have everything figured out," Taurasi told the Arizona Republic. "Now it's about application. You want to come and put it to work because what things work, what don't work, how to approach things. And we know when we don't come with the right approach, what's most likely to happen. Nothing is going to be a surprise anymore. END QUOTE:Taurasi has been stellar in her three games against the Aces this season, scoring 25, 28 and 33 points. Las Vegas also has not been able to stop Griner, who is averaging 20.7 points and 11 boards per game against the Aces this season. I'm betting these two star players will the difference maker today in Vegas.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.LAS VEGAS is 12-27 L/39 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Phoenix is 8-1 L/9 meetings and have won their L/4 games as visitors in this series. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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07-31-18 | Storm v. Mercury UNDER 166.5 | 102-91 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
Now with the top teams in the WNBA making the final drive towards the play offs , paying more attention to defence becomes of paramount importance. Today I expect both these play off bound teams to start revving up for the post season, with some physical hoops, that will see this total combined score fail to be eclipsed. SEATTLE is 23-8 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 160.1 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 11-4 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 160.6 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-2 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more since 1997 with a combined average of 147.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-7 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 17-4 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 155.6 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 19-5 UNDER in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.4 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.5 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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07-24-18 | Liberty +11 v. Lynx | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Lynx are off a game where they were very focused in beating a very good Phoenix Mercury team on the road, showing their championship pedigree in the process . But now I doubt we will see the Lynx at their best vs a less than consistent NY Liberty side thus giving us value with a underdog line. Minnesota for the most part have proven themselves as week chalk of late failing to cover 10 of their L/14 as favs of 7 points or more and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as DD favs as they are here today. NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better this season.MINNESOTA is 10-20 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. WNBA team vs the money line/SU (NEW YORK) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 21-5 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - revenging a loss versus opponent against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 26-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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07-24-18 | Storm v. Fever +11 | 92-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The teams top team (Seattle) is obviously much better than the leagues worst team ( Indiana) However, the Indiana Fever have played their best against the top teams in the WNBA this season.The Fever (3-22) have only three wins in 2018, but they've come against teams currently ranked No. 2 (Atlanta), No. 5 (Minnesota) and, most recently, No. 3 (Los Angeles on Friday) in the WNBA standings and tonight I'm betting on them giving a tired Seattle side a run for their money. It must be noted that the Storm , lost their first road game in a month last time out to a very good Atlanta side and exhibited some exhaustion in that tilt, something I'm betting continues here. SEATTLE is 4-12 ATS after 3 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line /SU (SEATTLE) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 15-46 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. WNBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 35-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-24-18 | Mystics v. Sun UNDER 171 | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams have already played each other 3 times this season, with the last two featuring high offensive shooting percentages by both sides. However, the way both sides have trending of late, with Connecticut staying under in 9 of their 11 , as they pay more attention to defense, and Washington going under in 3 of their L/4 thanks in part to decent defensive stances, I'm betting this total combined score will fall under the Totals plateau that the lines makers have released. It must also be note that both these coaches know playing a tough defensive brand of hoops as the play offs approach is of the utmost importance. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average score of 157.7 ppg scored and is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 158.1 ppg going on the score board. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 154.8 ppg. HC Thibault of Washington is 16-5 UNDER after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better with the combined average of 158.3 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 49-18. UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors and 10-3 UNDER this season. Play UNDER |
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07-22-18 | Fever +8 v. Aces | 74-88 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Vegas is a young team, and despite of being talented young teams sometimes lose their concentration and show a lack of consistency especially after a big upset win like they pulled last time out vs the Phoenix Mercury. Today vs a 3-21 Indiana team I'm betting the Aces in a letdown situation overlook their opponent, and possibly get upset, and more importantly as far as we are concerned we get a cover with Indiana. LAS VEGAS is 6-19 ATS L/25 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - off an road win where they scored 85 or more points, with a losing record after 15 or more games are just 8 -19 L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-22-18 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 177 | 92-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
This is from a systems play, that has shown a great deal of profit potential over the last 5 seasons. Off course many other factors go into a selection, but this is strong situational system that deserves our attention. |
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07-22-18 | Storm v. Dream +2 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Atlanta might be a dog here today vs Seattle but they are more than capable of pulling of the upset. This is Seattles third straight road game and are off a underdog upset vs the Connecticut Sun that time out, and susceptible to a letdown on tired legs. Meanwhile, Atlanta just might be the real deal, as they enter this game on a 7 game win streak, and have only one loss in their L/8 , and that was on the road to his same Seattle team team 95-86. With revenge on board Im betting the Dream coming out of this with a win, and more importantly as we are concerned a cover. Atlanta is 7-2 ATS L/9 meetings overall. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog over the last 2 seasonsSEATTLE is 1-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog ATLANTA is 25-12 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less since 1997. ATLANTA is 7-1 ATS in July games this season. ATLANTA is 61-33 ATS after 3 consecutive division games since 1997. ATLANTA is 20-6 ATS in home games off a home win against a division rival since 1997. ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games this season. ATLANTA is 8-2 ATS after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games this season. ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this seasonATLANTA is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 15- 45 L/5 season for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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07-22-18 | Storm v. Dream UNDER 163.5 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
This is from a systems play, that has shown a great deal of profit potential over the last 5 seasons. Off course many other factors go into a selection, but this is strong situational system that deserves our attention. |
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07-21-18 | Lynx v. Mercury | 80-75 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Two of the top teams in the WNBA enter this game against each other in what must be considered slumps. The Mercury have lost 4 of their L/5 and the Lynx have lost 4 of their L/7 with no back to back wins since early July. Both are desperate to get back on track, but I'm betting home court advantage for the Mercury will be the difference maker. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS in home games off a close home loss by 3 points or less . Which happened last time out in a 85-82 loss to Vegas. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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07-20-18 | Wings v. Sky UNDER 180 | 99-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Chicago losers of 17 of their 23 games this season know they need to slow this game down against the super explosive Wings' to have any chance at victory, and I'm betting as a result will be very physical here . The Sky enter the game losers of their last four contests, with each of those losses coming by double digits and in no way shape or form feel confident in turning this into a run and gun affair. Meanwhile, the Wings are off a nationally televised game vs the Mystics and will now be on tired legs and less than capable of running and gunning themselves. This I'm betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers expect. It must be noted that only two of Dallas's last 14 games have eclipsed this current total being offered. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 153.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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07-20-18 | Storm v. Sun -2 | 78-65 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Seattle is a top tier team, and Connecticut are also a team that needs to be respected especially on their own home court . Connecticut started the season 7-1 but has gone 5-10 since, the last two losses coming in stunning fashion, thanks to their lack of ability to pace themselves and just plain bad luck.The Sun lost to the New York Liberty on a buzzer-beating 3-pointer by Shavonte Zellous. Then, after two wins, Connecticut set up for the last shot against the Dream with the score tied. But the Sun turned the ball over, and Atlanta's Tiffany Hayes hit a Hail Mary half-court shot for the 86-83 victory. The indignity of those types of losses Im betting will ignite this Sun team into fervently seeking redemption against one of the leagues top teams. The Sun also have revenge on board for previous losses to the Storm, so II big time effort is something I'm banking on by the host side. I know its hard going against a team like the Storm , especially after they dismantled Chicago last time out, but a 101-83 count, but a letdown situation is not out of ordinary after a performance like that. Note: SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons and is 3-11 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Favorites (CONNECTICUT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 30-9 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams SU (CONNECTICUT) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 25-5 L/5 seasons for a 83% SU conversion rate. WNBA Home favorites SU (CONNECTICUT) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors winning by an average of 8.1ppg. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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07-19-18 | Liberty v. Dream UNDER 160.5 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
New York goes into the Atlanta off a 104-87 loss at Dallas on Tuesday that ended the Liberty's two-game winning streak. The Liberty after scoring 107 points in a win in their previous game now a much needed attention to playing better D,. With that said, I'm betting on a more physical game plan this time around that focuses on paying attention to their transitional play and taking care of business in their own end . New York beat the Dream 79-72 at home on June 19 and a repeat type total combined score is not out of the question in this spot. NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta has won 5 straight thanks to playing solid defence, allowing an average of 78.6 ppg in those tilts. Nothing changes tonight in a tilt I have pegged to fail to eclipse the Total. Note: ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a close win by 3 points or less , which happened in a 86-83 loss to the Connecticut Sun last time out. The combined average score of those games was 151.3 ppg. |
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07-17-18 | Liberty v. Wings UNDER 167 | 87-104 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
New York is off an explosive offensive game last time, scoring 107 points, and I'm betting they will now revert back to their mean average of 78 ppg overall, and 76.2 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Dallas is in a emotional letdown state after a hard fought loss to the Seattle Storm last time out. I know Dallas can play some big time offence , but overall their coaching staff preaches a defence first mentality and they have an ability to slow teams down, which I'm betting they do tonight against the Liberty. Considering the above mentioned situations I expect a muted total score here that fails to eclipse the number. NEW YORK is 7-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored . NEW YORK is 16-5 UNDER after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better with the average combined score 127.4 ppg. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 27 games clicking in at 153 ppg. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-15-18 | Mystics v. Dream +1 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream enter this game playing their best hoops of the season, and coming off a dominating 98-74 victory over Indiana on Friday in which seven Dream players scored 10 or more points in a game for the first time in franchise history.Atlanta has scored 90.6 points per game in the first five outings this month and are dangerous in their current form, and are my choice today vs the Washington Mystics. ( TheMystics won last time out but lost their two games and one to Atlanta previous to that and have looked unstable at times and unstoppable on other occasions, today Im expecting they will just be out played by a confident side. QUOTE:"When you get on a roll, it is the beauty of sports in general, confidence is a beautiful thing," Atlanta coach Nicki Collen said. "When the person next to you is making shots and you get a little cushion, it becomes a little easy to step up and take the next shot. There is not a ton of pressure when you are playing with a 12-point lead to take an open 3 and make it 15." END QUOTE. Atlanta clobbered the Mystics 106-89 as road dogs on July 11 , last week, and matchup very well vs the Dream. Note: WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. WNBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 28-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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07-14-18 | Wings v. Storm UNDER 173.5 | 84-91 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The Wings are averaging 87.3 points per game, and their opponents the Storm average 87 ppg. However, both these coaches preach a defence first system, and that I'm betting will be at the forefront of this contest as both know how explosive each others offences are. With that said, I'm expecting a lower scoring tilt then the line offered. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 home games. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 153.4 ppg going on the board. SEATTLE is 20-7 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or less ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (DALLAS) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-13-18 | Fever v. Dream -7.5 | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
WNBA Underdogs vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 2-28 L/21 seasons losing by an average of 16.4 ppg. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game are 18-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-11-18 | Lynx v. Fever +11 | 87-65 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
The Indiana Fever have two wins this season and one of them came vs today's guests the Minnesota Lynx last week on July 3. The linesmakers are now expecting the defending champion lynx to come out and get their revenge with a conclusive DD victory. But I' betting a win by the Lynx won't come as easily as some might think. The lynx scored just 59 points in their loss to the fever and despite of bouncing back in their next game they followed that up with another clunker and scored just 63 points in a another loss to Dallas by a 90-63 count. It' obvious the Lynx are struggling right now , and have shown a lack of consistency since early in the season. I know Fever may not inspire bettors but this home under dog line does have value attached to it. MINNESOTA is 4-11 ATS after playing a game as favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 18-33 ATS L51 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots after 15+ games. Favorites (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 11-37 last 5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off a road loss ARE just 7-26 L5 seasons for a go against 79%conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-10-18 | Aces v. Sky UNDER 174.5 | 98-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago played good defense in this last tilt, and got the win by a 73-66 count vs the defending league champion Lynx. Needless to say HC Stocks is happy with their play , and I;'m betting they will be out to slow the fast paced wide open attack of the visiting Aces in this spot. Aces veteran HC Lambeer in retaliatory fashion will push his ladies to be equally physical, which I'm betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 157.7 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS is 13-5 UNDER in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.5 ppg going on the board. Las Vegas HC Lambeer is 34-17 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games in his career something the Aces just achieved.( A Combined average of 153.2 ppg were scored in those tilts) Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80%or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons . Play UNDER |
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07-10-18 | Mercury v. Wings UNDER 168 | 72-101 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 163 -163.5 , thus we are getting a two possession advantage according to my line. This is a value play based on a inflated line that will be bet down from the opener. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 149.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-10-18 | Sparks v. Storm | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm a little surprised at how erratic the LA Sparks have played of late, as they have lost 5 of their L/6 games and look to be in a tailspin defensively, allowing 81 or more points in 5 of their L/7, where they have in the recent past played their best hoops. In the Sparks current form, it won't be a hard decision to fade them against a Seattle side with a killer instinct and currently playing their best basketball of the season as is evident by having registered 5 straight wins and 7 victories in their L/8 trips to the court. Seattle is a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings here at home in this series. LOS ANGELES is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they allow 83 or more points in a game this season WNBA Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 8-30 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 32-1 L/21 season for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - off a home win, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 29-2 for a 93% conversion rate L/5 seasons. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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07-08-18 | Mercury -4 v. Dream | 70-76 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Phoenix (14-5) is the real deal behind the clutch play of Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, and I'm betting these two stars will own the Atlanta Dream( 8-9) this afternoon at the McCamish Pavilion on the campus of Georgia Tech University. Phoenix won the first game between the two teams 78-71 on June 3 in Atlanta and a repeat performance is high probability event today. |
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07-07-18 | Mystics v. Sparks -7 | 83-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Los Angeles is a top tier side that has struggled a bit of late as they have dropped two straight and four of their past five games. The Sparks, however, did did look good against defending champs Minnesota, last time out, but the Lynx were on a mission, after scoring just 59 points in a previous loss , and the Sparks were not able to match their intensity and lost . Tonight, I expect a big bounce back effort by the Sparks vs the Mystics with behind their league leading scoring defense that allows 76.5 points a contest as will the Sparks ability to be physical vs a side that struggles under the glass, as is evident by Washington ranking 11th in the league in rebounding (31.9 boards per game). Don't get me wrong the Mystics are a fine team, but LAs will to get back on track will be of paramount importance here as Candace Parker, Nneka Ogwumike and company roll. LA has dominated this series , over the last few seasons garnering a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS mark in the L/7 meetings. Im betting on these trends to stay intact . LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games off a road loss over the last few seasons winning by DD averages. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last few seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since in their inception to the WNBA.WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 52-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - excellent shooting team (46% or better) against an poor defensive team (43.5-46%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate winning by a an average of 10.4 ppg. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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07-05-18 | Sparks v. Lynx -5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks despite of being a top tier team, have been struggling of late, losing 3 of their L/4 overall. It must be noted that WNBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are a long term bad bet losing 34 of their L/38 games SU dating back 21 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average loss coming by 10 ppg which qualifies on this line. WNBA Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Meanwhile, Minnesota the defending league champs had a 7 game win streak abruptly end last time out, to the lowly Indiana Fever who now have just two wins on the season, by a 71-59 count as -14 point chalk. That was embarrassing to say the least for the Lynx and their lowest offensive out put since the 2013 season. Before the loss, Minnesota was averaging 85.6 points per game during the team’s seven-game win streaking I'm betting they come out here like gangbusters looking for redemption. MINNESOTA is 31-16 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team after 15 or more games are 23-3 ATS L/21 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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07-01-18 | Sun +4.5 v. Storm | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Make no mistake that the Connecticut Sun are one of the premier teams in this league, but recently have had to deal with an exhausting early season schedule, that effected their play to an extent, which included playing 4 games in 7 days against Washington , Phoenix, Seattle, and the defending champion Minnesota Lynx. Now with some much needed rest I expect the Sun will primed fora pay back effort vs another strong side ,their hosts the Seattle Storm who are now playing their 4th game of the week, and on tired legs . With that said, Im betting on the Sun getting us the cover here tonight. Miller is 20-9 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days as the coach of CONNECTICUT. SEATTLE is 9-20 ATS versus teams who average 42 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last couple of seasons and s 8-17 ATS L/25 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and 2-9 ATS versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.SEATTLE is 7-17 ATS L/24 against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 season.SEATTLE is 9-21 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 52-17 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Conneciut to cover |
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06-29-18 | Sparks v. Aces +7 | 78-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
LA played last night and lost to Seattle and are now on tired legs and susceptible to a letdown vs a young Vegas team that has surprised some opponents this season thanks to a talented coach in Lambeer and young group that is on a upward trajectory. |
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06-29-18 | Sky +4 v. Liberty | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
The Liberty after playing a hard fought physical affair vs the Washington Mystics last night in DC will now be on tired legs and also in a huge emotional letdown spot after losing 80-77 on a last second downtown shot. I know the Chicago Sky may not inspire bettors with their overall record, but they have won 2 straight, and I'm betting won't be easy outs for a NY team that has lost 7 of their L/8 overall and have proven to be bad bets at home vs perceived lower teams with below .500 records like the Sky as the following trends demonstrate. NEW YORK is 3-15 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons.NEW YORK is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last few seasons. NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last few seasons. WNBA (CHICAGO) - with a losing record, in June games are 61-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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06-28-18 | Liberty v. Mystics UNDER 160 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
"It's amazing when you play really good defense what kind of things can happen," Mystics coach Mike Thibault told the Washington Post after their recent win vs the Connecticut Sun . With that said, I now expect the Mystics to continue to stay focused on their defensive game, which will have a direct effect on the to total combined score of this game to the low side of the number. It must be noted that the Liberty have averaged barely 70 ppg in their L/5 overall, and struggling with their offensive flow. Meanwhile, I know the Mystics have been lighting the board up of late, but WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.8 ppg going on the board and is 9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.
WASHINGTON is 22-9 UNDER L/31 in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with the combined average score of 140.6 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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06-27-18 | Fever +12 v. Sun | 89-101 | Push | 0 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
I know the Fever don't inspire bettors, but they are capable of covering here vs a exhausted Connecticut team off a loss to the Mystics last night .The last time the Fever visited the Sun they lost by 9 points on May 26 this season ( 86-77). CONNECTICUT is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or worse). CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points . CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. INDIANA is 20-8 ATS in road games revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points . WNBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 48-15 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - with a winning record on the season playing a losing team, in June games `13-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. WNBAHome favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are just 6-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 83% on the blind. WNBARoad underdogs of 10 or more points (INDIANA) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-9 ATS for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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06-26-18 | Wings v. Sparks UNDER 163.5 | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played on June 22, the Dallas Wings were shooting the lights out, and the Sparks were playing uncharacteristically bad defensive basketball , as was evident in a 101-72 loss while allowing their opponent to average 53.1 % conversion rate from the Field. Now you can bet the Sparks will be primed to play much better D, and thwart the attack of the Wings. Two of the last three trips to the hardwood have seen the Sparks hold opponents to 55 and 54 points and they are more than capable standing tall here in this rematch in a tilt that I am betting see the total combined score stay on the low side of the number. |
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06-26-18 | Mercury -3.5 v. Liberty | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters on a two-game losing streak after enjoying a eight-game winning streak. During their winning run, the Mercury beat the Liberty 80-74 at Madison Square Garden three weeks ago, and matchup well against them. NY also lost two this past weekend, as they lost 88-78 to the young Las Vegas Aces on Friday. In their following game the struggling Liberty shot just 38.3 % in a ugly 80-54 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday and now look like fade material in their current form. Both teams are desperate to get back in the win column, but team is superior to the other, and gets my support on a short chalk line. NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after scoring 55 points or less are 4-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by an average of 7.2 ppg which then qualifies on this spread line. WNBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or less are 35-4 SU L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by more than 10.2 ppg Play on Phoenix to cover |
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06-24-18 | Storm v. Wings -2.5 | 97-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas is forming into top gear as was evident when they hammered the LA Sparks by a 100-72 count in their last trip to the hardwood. Meanwhile, the Storm look to be trending downward, after a loss to the young Vegas Aces last week and than had to play a top tier of defence to defeat lowly Indiana last time out. From my own perspective it just seems like Storm has lost its offensive flow, which is not a good omen for them facing a side that is starting to heat up offensively. With that said, lets lay some short lumber with the confident home side with momentum on their sides . Storm are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. Wings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Wings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Wings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Wings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Sunday games are 8-31 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors losing by an average of 7 points a game. WNBA team vs the money line (SEATTLE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 44% or worse on the season, after a game where a team made 55% of their free throws or worse are 20-62 L/21 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average loss coming by 7.2 pig. WNBA Underdogs vs the money line (SEATTLE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are a long term bad bet , on a short line as they are just 142-358 for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin loss coming 5.2 peg. Play on Dallas Wings to cover |
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06-22-18 | Mystics -4.5 v. Sky | 93-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Washington owned the Chicago Sky in their last meeting on June 19 by a 88 -60 count, and are now only being asked to lay 5 points in the rematch. I know playing on the road is different than hosting, but it became painfully obvious to me that the Mystics match up extremely well vs the Sky, and another conclusive win is not out of the question and actually a viable wagering option. |
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06-19-18 | Wings v. Lynx -9.5 | 83-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Dallas has been playing well of late but is on very tired legs as they play their 4th game in 7 days and are at a disadvantage in this spot vs a explosive Minnesota Lynx side. Meanwhile, Minnesota the defending WNBA champions after starting their season slowly in hangover mode , finally came out and looked fresh against the NY Liberty last time out and pounded them by a 85-71 count . The Lynx are also well rested with this being only their 2nd game in 10 days. This is a situation where the hungry well rested home team with superior fire power looks very much like a viable option, at anything under 11 points according to my power ranking line projections. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 51-15 L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 35-7 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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06-19-18 | Sky +9.5 v. Mystics | 60-88 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
Washington has played great at times this season, and looked completely out of sync on other occasions. They have one win in their L/5 games, vs Connecticut, and were lucky to come put of that game with a victory despite of a 30 point half time lead. Meanwhile, the Chicago Sky have lost 4 straight, but from a matchup perspective look like they could be competitive in this spot vs D.Jeckyll and M.Hyde Mystics side that are just 1-5 ATS in 6 home games this season. Also from a historical league wide data base point of view , struggling teams like Chicago have actually been long term good bets while teams like Washington have not been( See below) WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an struggling defensive team (46% or worse) are 34-15 SU for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses are 80-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors . WNBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, in June games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Favorites (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game dating back to last season.WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons.WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS L/40 in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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06-19-18 | Sky v. Mystics UNDER 171 | 60-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Washington after taking part in a grueling run and gun and high anxiety physical affair in a 95-91 win vs Connecticut on the 13th than flew out to the West coast to play the LA Sparks and looked exhausted, in a loss( 97-86), and than after that affair, they then flew all the way back east (DC) on the 16th and now after a couple days off I still don't think they will have gotten over their jet lag or recuperated from their heavy schedule , and it will show on the court today vs a Chicago side that is also on tired legs with this being their 4th road game in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Everything points to this being a closely contested lower scoring tilt that stays on the low side of the number. |
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06-17-18 | Mercury v. Aces +7 | 92-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Bill Laimbeer's Aces , led by rookie A'ja Wilson, returns to the Mandalay Bay Events Center on the Las Vegas Strip Sunday to take on the Brittany Griner, Diana Taurasi and the 9-3 Phoenix Mercury. Vegas are coming off a road trip where they played well, despite a loss last time out, and showed progress capturing a couple of wins. Now with the confidence sky high I'm betting this young team will come out here ready to upset a hot Mercury side on a 7 game win streak. Meanwhile, the Phoenix is coming off an 89-72 home victory on Saturday night against the exhausted looking Connecticut Sun and extended its winning streak to seven games. In their only other meeting this season, the Mercury won 72-66 and I'm betting the Aces stay within the number again and get us the cover. |
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06-15-18 | Sparks -3 v. Mystics | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Mystics are off a enormously exhausting game vs the Connecticut Sun last time out ( 2 days ago). In the first half of that game they were explosive and jumped out to huge 30 point lead at the half, only to run out of gas, and allow the talented and never say die Sun to get back into the game, before rallying late for the upset win. The Mystics are now in a huge letdown spot vs a very good LA Sparks team that I'm betting will take advantage of this situation today on their way to a cover on the road as short chalk. LA is 6-0 SU/ATS L/6 in this series including 3-0 SU/ATS here in Washington. WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS in as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average defict clickingi n under 10 ppg. WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game over the last few seasons. LOS ANGELES is 23-12 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game dating back to last season. Thibault is 10-20 ATS as a home underdog as the coach of WASHINGTON ( Opp 82.7 Wash 76.7) WNBA team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 23-6 SU for a 79% conversion rate last 22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10,2 ppg. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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06-13-18 | Aces +10.5 v. Liberty | 78-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Bill Lambeer knows the Liberty well after being the HC there for 5 seasons. I'm betting he has his young but talented Aces ready to compete here , despite of being on tired legs after a OT victory yesterday in Atlanta and 3rd game in 5 days. Note: LAS VEGAS is 11-3 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last few seasons. LAS VEGAS is 15-4 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last few seasons and is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers and also is 16-7 ATS L/23 against Eastern conference opponents. NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last few seasons and is 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record. WNBA Underdogs (LAS VEGAS) - below average team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 44-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Vegas Aces to cover |
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06-12-18 | Dream +9 v. Sparks | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks played their best game of the season , winning a wire to wire tilt against the Chicago Sky last time out after playing their worst game of the season, against Seattle the game before that in a ugly DD loss. In the last win the Sparks played lights out , and exerted a lot of energy and could easily find themselves in a emotional letdown spot here today vs what I'm starting to believe is a strong Dream defense. I was not sold on the Dream prior to that game, and still stubbornly not completely sold on them going forward, but they did get my attention and respect when they upset the Seattle Storm right in their own back yard last time out as 8 point road dogs. Also previous to that the Dream handed a strong Connecticut Sun team their only loss of the season to this point. I now do believe that the Dream are defensively as good as advertised and in a game that expect to be physical and fairly low scoring I'm betting getting 10 points makes for a feasible wagering option. |
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06-12-18 | Mercury -1 v. Wings | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
The game is a rematch between Phoenix (7-3) and Dallas from the season-opener on May 18 in Phoenix, won by the Mercury 86-78. Phoenix enters this game with a lot of momentum as is evident by their 5 game winning streak. It must be noted that the Mercury have top tier head on head collision with a super charged Connecticut team after this game, and I'm sure they want to go into that tilt with a winning mind set, so a look ahead scenario I'm betting will effect them positively and not in a negative way. Tonight I'm going to ride this run away freight train right through Dallas . My own power rankings suggest from a neutral court perspective that the Mercury are the superior team by 4 to 5 points, thus betting into what is essentially a pickem situation on the road does not deter me in the slightest. PHOENIX is 16-7 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game dating back to last season.PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS L/8 in road games off a win against a division rival. DALLAS is 11-23 ATS when playing 3 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Any team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (76 or more PPG), after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half 41-13 SU L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - good shooting team - shooting 44% OR BETTER on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% OR MORE of their shots are 41-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Phoenix Mercury |
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06-12-18 | Aces +4 v. Fever | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
Las Vegas has tasted victory only once this year and was the worst team in the league in 2017 and another victory may not be out of the question tonight vs 0-8 Indiana. As the WNBA's 11th-place team last season, Indiana was swept by the 12th-place Stars (now Aces), losing the three meetings in 2017 by an average of 11.7 points per game and look like fade material again vs an under rated Aces side that despite of ugly 1-7 record has shown some life this season and competitiveness. INDIANA is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons.LAS VEGAS is 16-4 ATS L/20 after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game over the last few seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-0 ATS in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers dating back to last season. WNBA Road underdogs (LAS VEGAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses are 67-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Las Vegas ( Late Steam) |
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06-10-18 | Dream v. Storm -7.5 | 67-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
The Dream opened their three-game road trip with an 87-83 victory Friday night in Las Vegas against the Aces and exerted a lot of energy in that game , and looked a little wiped out late and we could see them on tired legs in this spot. Atlanta is improved, but its still early and I'm not a believer just yet. Meanwhile, the Storm are coming off an 88-63 victory at Los Angeles and are proving to be pretty good team, with a lot of explosiveness offensively and a defense that is very under rated. The Storms coach Hughes has a solid reputation as a defensive guru in his 17 years as a coach in the WNBA and something that I'm keeping in eye on for future totals wagers. For now I'm betting on the Seattle D to continue to play solidly and for their offense to light up an over rated Atlanta Dream defense that is getting far to many accolades based on a small sample size. ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game over the last few seasons with the average margin loss coming by 8.6 ppg. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more losing by ana average of 10.8 ppg. WNBA Home favorites SU (SEATTLE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 80 points or more are 35-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by more than 12.5 ppg. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 3-22 SU 5 seasons losing by an average of 11.7 ppg. WNBA Home favorites (SEATTLE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 27-6 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 12-39 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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06-09-18 | Lynx v. Sun -4 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun have proven that they are a team to be reckoned with this season accumulating a 6-1 record to this point. Today at home in front of their own faithful against the defending WNBA Champion Minnesota Lynx you can now bet they will be sky high and ready send a message to their opponents that they have arrived and are ready to dethrone them and snatch away their title.
SUN HC Miller is 19-7 ATS L/26 versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots as the coach of CONNECTICUT. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 80 points or more are 34-1 L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 12.5 ppg. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 4-25 L/5 seasons with the average margin of defeat coming by 7.9 ppg. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on the Connecticut to cover |
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06-08-18 | Dream v. Aces +5.5 | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Atlanta (3-3) is an improved team, but I'm not ready to buy into them being this big road favorite, even against a young inexperienced team like Las Vegas (1-5). I respect the talent the Aces have with the likes of Wilson and Plum and I' betting they will prove themselves more than capable of being handful for a over rated Dream team that is just 2-11 ATS L/13 versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last few seasons. ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS L/18 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more dating back to last season. NBA Underdogs (LAS VEGAS) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are a bankroll expanding 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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06-07-18 | Sun v. Liberty +5.5 | 88-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Two long time rivals the Connecticut Sun and the NY Liberty go head to head today in game that offers value on the home underdog . I know the Sun have run over a lot of opponents this season on their way to 5-1 record and the Liberty are 2-3 and currently a below .500 team. However my team vs team and player vs player and systems vs system power rankings suggest that the Liberty are well suited to compete vs the explosive Sun and take advantage of a tired group playing their fourth consecutive road game in a week. Note: The Suns looked winded in their first loss of the season, last time out in Atlanta .The Liberty are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. NEW YORK is 14-5 ATS after playing a home game over the last couple of seasons. WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss 34-14 L/5 seasons for a 69% SU conversion rate for bettors on the blind. ( The Mercury upset the Liberty in their last home game) Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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06-05-18 | Sun v. Dream UNDER 165 | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun have been running and gunning with their offensive attack since game 1 of this season. Atlanta knowing what coming their way will out to make sure that they slow this game down to crawl in order to compete. With that said, look for this to effect the combined score of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. CONNECTICUT is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in road games off a road win against a division rival since 1997 with the combined average score 147.1 ppg going on the board. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off a road win by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 53-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with the average combined score clicking in at 150 ppg. Play UNDER |
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06-03-18 | Mercury -1 v. Dream | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Two teams both off victories vs the defending WNBA Champion Minnesota Lynx play each other this afternoon. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in road games off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.Dream are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win. Dream are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. My own power ranking suggest that Phoenix is the superior side, and the early market also agrees with my assessments. WNBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 2 straight games are 22-55 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games are 36-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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06-02-18 | Liberty v. Fever +6.5 | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Indiana fell to 0-5 with its 86-77 loss to Connecticut Sun on May 26, which concluded a exhausting stretch of five games in eight days to begin the 2018 campaign. Now with 6 days rest and back in their own digs I'm expecting a big time effort from a desperate group in this spot vs the visiting NY Liberty.
Liberty are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 11-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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06-01-18 | Sun v. Sky +7.5 | 110-72 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Connecticut (3-0) will make its road debut after winning each of its first three games on its home court this season. Here on the road against a competitive opponent being this big a road favorite makes for viable opportunity to cash with the well rested home dog Chicago (2-2). Sun are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Sky are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Sky are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Below are some league wide SU trends that give credence to us taking the points. WNBA Road teams SU (CONNECTICUT) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 9-24 L/21 seasons for a go against 73% SU conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams SU (CONNECTICUT) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-25 L/35 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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05-29-18 | Mystics v. Storm -4 | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington and Seattle are looking pretty good at the moment, with the Storm garnering a 3-1 record and the Mystics at a perfect 4-0. Three of the Mystics 4 wins have come on the road but they have a recent history of flat road performances, and are is 2-10 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons losing SU by just under 10 ppg. WASHINGTON is also 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The Mystics are just 4-14 SU here in Seattle, and I'm betting on another inconsistent effort away from DC , with added problem of being banged up and having to find a replacement options for the injured trio of [F] 05/27/2018 - Elena Delle Donne is "?" Tuesday vs Seattle Storm ( Dehydration ) [C] 05/19/2018 - Emma Meesseman is out for season ( Personal ) [G] 05/19/2018 - Tayler Hill is out indefinitely ( Knee )WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 24-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate winning by an average of 12.3 ppg. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off an home win scoring 85 or more points, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 29-65 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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05-29-18 | Wings +3.5 v. Liberty | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Liberty have started their season with a 0-2 record, after a hard fought gut wrenching loss to the defending champion Minnesota Lynx and could now easily find themselves in a letdown situation vs a under rated 2-2 Dallas Wings side that is a capable of pulling off the SU upset. The Wings took out the Liberty and preseason action by 10 points and matched up well against them overall. These teams played last September in regular season action and the Liberty pulled off a hard fought 82-81 win and another closely contested affair according to my own matchup stats is a high probability situation that warrants backing the underdog. It must be noted that the Liberty are expected to be without three guards in Brittany Boyd (Achilles), Sugar Rodgers (sore left knee) and Epiphanny Prince (concussion) . WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 16-33 L/5 seasons with the average margin deficit coming by 3 ppg. WNBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 70-38 L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with the average margin deficit clicking in a 1.5 ppg. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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05-27-18 | Storm v. Aces +6.5 | 105-98 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
Bill Lambeer has assembled some decent young talent in Las Vegas and they should not be underestimated here at home vs a Seattle team on tired legs and in an emotional letdown situation after a hard fought come from behind over time victory vs Chicago last time out. I'l gladly takes the points with a hungry home team looking for positive momentum. SEATTLE is 4-12 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons and are 5-16 ats last 21 after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after scoring 40 points are 8-23 L21 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to cover |
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05-26-18 | Fever +14 v. Sun | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun blasted out of the gate this season with a huge win vs the Las Vegas Aces by a 101-65 count, and than followed that up with a hard fought come from behind 102-94 win vs a top tier LA Sparks team. That last game, was exhausting both physically and mentally and now a natural letdown scenario is a strong possibility, as I'm betting they will take more casual approach to this game against an Indiana side that is a lowly 0-4 on the season. CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS L/25 in home games off 2 or more consecutive home wins .
NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in May, June, or July games are 41-83 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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05-23-18 | Dream v. Sky -2.5 | 81-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Chicago has started their season at 2-0 and they are looking pretty strong in their current form and possible dark horse play off contenders after a dismal season in 2017. Even though their four-year streak of playoff qualification came to an end, the team did end in a positive direction at the end of last season. Point guard Courtney Vandersloot set the WNBA record for highest assist average for a season (8.1), while Allie Quigley made her first All-Star team and won the league’s 3-point contest and its extending into this season. I'm betting Atlanta will be over matched in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS vs. division opponents over the last few seasons. Chicago has won 3 of the L/4 meetings here on their own floor. WNBA team vs the money line (ATLANTA) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 14-35 L/21 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by 5 ppg. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after a loss by 10 points or more are 14-42 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors with the average margin loss coming by 6.2 ppg. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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05-22-18 | Aces +16 v. Mystics | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Connecticut clobbered Vegas in both teams opener , by a embarrassing 101-65 count. Washington is now because of the Aces dismal performance being made 16 point chalk on the opening line.It must be noted that After a long tenure with the New York Liberty, the well respected Bill Laimbeer left to become the coach and general manager of the former San Antonio Stars, which relocated to Sin City and believe me when I say he not taking this kick in the face lying down. Laimbeer does have the talented National Player of the Year A’ja Wilson of South Carolina and guard Kelsey Plum in the lineup and despite of their ugly effort last time out are talented enough to stay within the number here and at least redeem themselves to some extent by being competitive. LAS VEGAS is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or more over the last few seasons. LAS VEGAS is 10-2 ATS L/12 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last few seasons. Mystics HC Thibault is 1-10 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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05-20-18 | Mercury +2.5 v. Storm | 87-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Phoenix opened their season with a 86-78 win as 5 point chalk vs Dallas and look like viable underdogs in this spot vs the Seattle Storm. PHOENIX is 6-0 ATS in road games off a win against a division rival over the last few seasons. Mercury C Brittney Griner looks primed for a season as does C Marie Gulich. F DeWanna Bonner, back after having twins, plus former Fever PG Briann January. Finish off with future HOF Diana Taurasi and you have a dangerous Mercury side to back vs a Storm side depends way to much on 3 point shooting and veteran Bird who at 37 has slowed considerably despite of still having great basketball prowess. WNBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 85 or more points are a long term good bet going 63-32 L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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05-20-18 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 159 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Phoenix looks set to play much better defense than many might give them credit for being able to do. I watched portions of their opening win vs a potent Dallas offense, and feel confident they matchup well vs Seattle and have the ability to slow them down offensively and clamp down a side that takes way to many three pointers to compete. I'm betting on this game staying on the low side of the number. My own Totals projections set this numbers at 154 to 156 so we have value on this line. Play UNDER |
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05-20-18 | Sparks +5.5 v. Lynx | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The core of the Sparks that led to success recently remains intact as F Nneka Ogwumike (2016 MVP) and F/C Candace Parker (2008, '13 MVP) are still on the court . New faces include veteran G Cappie Pondexter and rookie C Maria Vadeeva and make them viable contenders. Their two way play is their strength , and I'm betting it keeps them in this game vs Minnesota side that had to replace a lot of their bench in the off season. The defending champs beat the Sparks in last years finals , and are a still a top tier team, but their overloaded veteran presence , makes them vulnerable to injuries and exhaustion late in games, and their hunger to beat up on a team they beat last season, may be less their opponents urge for revenge. Take the points in what should be a competitive game. LOS ANGELES is 27-15 ATS in all games dating back to last season. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 6 or more points/game, vs. division opponents are 26-5 L/21 seasons for a powerful 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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09-29-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. LA Sparks UNDER 155 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 58 h 42 m | Show | |
09-24-17 | LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 158.5 | 85-84 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 11 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | LA Sparks v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 155.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. Washington Mystics UNDER 165.5 | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks UNDER 155.5 | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 164 | 83-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks UNDER 157.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks -8.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 159 | 81-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Washington Mystics v. New York Liberty UNDER 153 | 82-68 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 164.5 | 88-83 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
09-03-17 | Connecticut Sun v. LA Sparks UNDER 161 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
09-03-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 160 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
09-03-17 | New York Liberty v. Dallas Wings UNDER 167.5 | 82-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
09-01-17 | Atlanta Dream v. LA Sparks UNDER 158.5 | 56-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
09-01-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 170 | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
08-30-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. Indiana Fever UNDER 155.5 | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
08-29-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Washington Mystics UNDER 169.5 | 86-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |