Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-24-23 | Talleres Cordoba v. Lanús OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #208045: Argentine Primera Division Saturday OVER 2 in Lanus vs Talleres @ 7 ET - Lanus and Talleres are two of the best attacking clubs in this league. Lanus is averaging 1.4 goals per game and Talleres averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. This total at two goals is a great value because these are two of the hottest clubs in the league right now as well as being two of the highest-scoring teams in the league this season. We'll see goals here. Clean sheet very unlikely and and these clubs are unlikely to draw so I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. Lanus has had just one draw in 9 home matches this season. Talleres has just 4 draws in 20 matches on the season. Each club scores and draw unlikely means excellent value here. Especially this total at just 2 goals. Even a 1-1 draw gets our money back on our bet here but I am definitely looking for at least a 1-1 final here. OVER 2 in Lanus |
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06-23-23 | Sligo Rovers v. UC Dublin OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #205637: League of Ireland Premier Friday OVER 2.5 in UC Dublin vs Sligo @ 2:45 ET - University College Dublin lost 4-0 in most recent match but, as bad they have been defensively (a key here as well), they had scored in 4 straight losses before getting blanked in most recent match. That said, Sligo is not great defensively and should allow at least 1 goal but of course they are a huge favorite for a reason. Looking for at least a 2-1 final. Note that UC Dublin has allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match this season and Sligo is allowing 1.4 goals per match this season. Sligo should be able to score big in this one but should allow at least 1 goal too. Like the value of the rather low total considering the defensive play of these clubs. OVER 2.5 in UC Dublin |
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06-22-23 | Instituto v. River Plate OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #208025: Argentine Primera Division Thursday OVER 2.5 -145 in River Plate vs Instituto @ 6:45 ET - River Plate is the top team in the league and should win this in a blowout. That means we should see an over even if it is via a 3-0 final. The fact is that this is a blowout in the making and River Plate is averaging 2 goals scored per match at home and, keep in mind, that includes plenty of matches against teams that are much tougher than this Instituto club. They have given up an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. But they have averaged scoring a goal per match away from home. That is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here but 3-0 or 3-1 is also a possibility. OVER 2.5 -145 in River Plate |
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06-21-23 | San Lorenzo v. Estudiantes La Plata OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #208009: Argentine Primera Division Wednesday OVER 1.5 -145 in Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo @ 6 ET - I know this is a contrarian play as not many goals are expected in this match but a total of 1.5 is too good to pass up in my opinion here based on the situation. Estudiantes is off a 1-0 loss and yet they dominated the match in terms of possession and scoring chances. They will find the back of the net here at least once. At the same time, even though San Lorenzo has struggled to score goals, they also have been tough to beat. That sets this one up to potentially be a 1-1 draw at least. Before their 1-0 defeat last week, Estudiantes had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 11 matches across all competitions. San Lorenzo has had 3 consecutive draws and a loss. All 4 were dearth of goals but this was preceded by a 3 match stretch in which they scored at least 2 goals in all 3 matches. The scoring will resume here as this is a battle between the 3rd and 4th place clubs in the table and both will push hard for earning a positive result in the table in this one and these hosts have scored well on their home pitch this season. OVER 1.5 -145 in Estudiantes |
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06-20-23 | Sweden v. Austria OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #225459: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Austria vs Sweden @ 2:45 ET - Austria has both scored and conceded in each of its 3 Euro Champ Qualifying matches thus far. Overall, Austria has scored an average of 2 goals per match last 14 matches. They are the host here looking to take care of business against Sweden. This Sweden club comes into this one having scored an average of 2 goals per match last 10 matches. Given the above, and the way I foresee this one playing out, a 2-2 battle would not surprise me in the least. That said, is about more than just the scoring here. Not only has Austria conceded in all 3 Euro Champ Qualifying matches, Sweden has conceded an average of 1.5 goals last dozen matches. Really can't see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final and both clubs have some guys back for this one that were rested in most recent matches. OVER 2.5 +110 in Austria |
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06-19-23 | North Macedonia v. England OVER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #225517: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage Monday OVER 3 -145 in England vs North Macedonia @ 2:45 ET - Of course England should roll big here and that is why they are such a big favorite. I do look for them to put on a strong showing as the hosts in this one but don't be surprised if North Macedonia makes the net ripple at least once also. The visitors are outclassed here but they have scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. In their last 9 matches, England had one scoreless draw with USA but has scored an average of 3 goals in the other 8 matches. I look for them to get at least that here. OVER 3 -145 in England |
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06-19-23 | Romania v. Switzerland OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Rotatation #225541: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage Monday OVER 2.5 in Switzerland vs Romania @ 2:45 ET - Switzerland is a big favorite here for a reason but I am looking for Romania to get on the scoresheet also and we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Switzerland has scored an average of 3 goals in last 5 matches. Switzerland is off a 2-1 win preceded by a couple of clean sheet victories but this followed allowing 23 goals in 13 matches. They are the much stronger club here and should enjoy success against an out-classed Romania club but the key here is, as you can see, Switzerland is usually good for allowing some scoring as well. Prior to those consecutive clean sheets, they allowed at least 1 goal in 11 of 13 matches. Romania off a scoreless draw but, prior to this, scored an average of 2.5 goals last 6 matches. Look for a more aggressive attack here from the visitors because Switzerland's aggression will force Romania to try and create some opportunities on the counterattack. The big underdogs can not just sit back here. Look for a 2-1 or 3-1 type match to play out here as a result. OVER 2.5 in Switzerland |
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06-18-23 | Italy v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #235663: Nations League | Third Place Playoff Sunday OVER 2.5 in Netherlands vs Italy @ 9 AM ET - Italy's defense has been on the decline and you know Netherlands will want this one in their home country even though it is just a battle for 3rd place. However, Netherlands has not exactly been tight defensively in recent matches either so I expect both clubs to enjoy some success in finding the back of the net in this one. Netherlands last 5 matches, not included added extra time of course (just stoppage time of course), have averaged 3.8 goals apiece and all 5 totaled at least 5 goals. Overall, Netherlands has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match their last 25 as they continue to show their strength on the attack. Italy has scored at least 1 goals in 9 of last 11 matches. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 in Netherlands |
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06-17-23 | Moldova v. Albania OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #225421: European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Saturday OVER 2.5 +125 in Albania vs Moldova @ 2:45 ET - Albania has a new coach Sylvinho but they faced a tough match-up in their first match with him at the helm and lost 1-0 to Poland at Warsaw. This is a much more favorable match-up here. They take on an outclassed Moldova club and they are at home for this one. They are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason. Look for Albania to be very aggressive on the attack in this one after being shutdown by Poland. In their last two matches with Moldova, Albania has scored an average of 3 goals per match. While I do expect Albania to be aggressive here and enjoy success on the attack, look for Moldova to get at least one goal on the counterattack here too. Albania has allowed an average of 1.3 goals per match last 15 matches. Moldova, off a surprising scoreless draw with Czech Republic, had allowed an average of 3 goals per match in their 10 qualifying matches (FIFA World Cup and European Championship) prior to that one. They will give up some goals here but also should get on the scoresheet as well. That said, excellent plus money option here with the over in a match that should feature an aggressive approach from Sylvinho's group at home. OVER 2.5 +125 in Albania |
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06-17-23 | Scotland v. Norway OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 125 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #225417: European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Saturday OVER 2.5 +125 in Norway vs Scotland @ Noon ET - Scotland has averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 7 matches. Scotland is off B2B clean sheets but this followed a 10-match stretch in which they had conceded an average of 1.3 goals per match. Scotland has scored 2 or more goals in 9 of last 14 matches. Considering these factors and the strength of this Norway club with a lot of attacking firepower, I look for an over here. Norway has scored an average of 2 goals per match their last dozen matches. But Norway also has conceded an average of 1.7 goals last 7 matches. This one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. I like the value of the plus money on the offering with this one. OVER 2.5 +125 in Norway |
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06-16-23 | Romania v. Kosovo OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #225469: Euro Champ Qualifying Friday OVER 2 -145 in Kosovo vs Romania @ 2:45 ET - Getting this total at a 2, even though we have to lay some extra juice to have it, is absolutely a great value here. Romania has seen 7 straight matches total at least 2 goals dating back to last June. Those 7 matches have averaged 3.3 goals apiece and I am certainly looking for at least 3 goals here. For Kosovo, 6 straight matches and 9 of last 10 have totaled at least 2 goals. These 10 matches have averaged 3.4 goals and I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. Romania goalie Ionut Radu is not on the squad after he was against Belarus so this means Stefan Tarnovanu is likely to get the call here. This will make things trickier for Romania but I do like their scoring options too so look for an entertaining match in this one. OVER 2 -145 in Kosovo |
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06-16-23 | Slovenia v. Finland OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #225445: European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Friday OVER 2 -115 in Finland vs Slovenia @ Noon ET - This is another case where this is a lot of value with a total at 2 goals. Finland is off a 1-0 victory but, prior to this, 16 of last 18 Finland matches totaled at least 2 goals. 17 of last 21 Slovenia matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In their last 7 qualifying matches, whether for European Championship or FIFA World Cup, Slovenia matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Finland's last 6 qualifying matches in those same categories, before that 1-0 loss, had averaged 3 goals apiece also. I am looking for a highly competitive entertaining 2-1 type of match here. OVER 2 -115 in Finland |
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06-14-23 | Croatia v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #235651: Nations League Semi-Finals Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Netherlands vs Croatia @ 2:45 ET - In Nations League action, Netherlands has scored an average of 2.3 goals per match! Only the most recent of the 6 matches (1-0 win) saw them fail to get to the 2-goal mark. In last June's Nations League action, Netherlands allowed a 1.5 goals per match average and conceded at least 1 goal in all 4 matches. Overall, across all competitions, each of last 4 matches for Netherlands have totaled at least 3 goals and these 4 averaged 4 goals per match! As for Croatia, they are not known for their attack but I feel strongly that Netherlands is going to force the issue here as this match is in Rotterdam and the hosts will be on the attack early and often. Both clubs are missing a few players which actually could help the over as well. Don't be surprised if a lack of crisp passes leads to some takeaways that allow for great scoring chances on the counterattack in this one. Croatia opened the Nations League action with a 5-0 loss last year but then rattled off an undefeated 5-match stretch in which they scored an average of 1.6 goals. Overall, across all competitions, last 8 Croatia matches have averaged 2.4 goals apiece. That puts this one "on edge" if you will but the hosts help make sure this one gets pushed over the edge the way I see it. Look for a 2-1 type final and at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Netherlands |
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06-13-23 | Estudiantes La Plata v. Club Atlético Colón OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #208021: Argentine (Liga Profesional) Primera Division Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Club Atletico Colon vs Estudiantes de La Plata @ 5 ET - The last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 4 goals apiece. Colon has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 home matches. There are 26 clubs in this league and Colon is one of only 3 that has both scored and conceded a dozen ore more goals so far this season! Look for goals here as Estudiantes also has shown a knack for bigger scoring outbursts of late with 4-0 wins and 5-2 wins among its last 3 matches prior to a scoreless match last week. Colon have scored in 7 of their last 8 home fixtures and even though they are likely to employ a 5-3-2 here, the visitors may continue the 4-3-2-1 system that has helped lead the way to a lot of scoring in recent matches. Also, Estudiantes has scored in 5 of last 6 away from home. More of the same expected here. Colon does have quite a few draws but you can see why I am expecting this match to get to at least 1-1 and then note that Estudiantes has just 5 draws in 19 matches this season. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Club Atletico Colon |
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06-12-23 | Ukraine v. Germany OVER 3 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #236809: International Friendly Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -125 in Germany vs Ukraine @ Noon ET - The last 5 meetings between Germany and Ukraine have averaged 4 goals apiece and the most recent Friendly was a 3-3 draw. Looking for a lot of goals here as Ukraine should be bolstered by the managerial change of a month ago but Germany is very tough and at home here and is a large favorite for a reason here. Germany has scored 2 goals in each of their two friendlies this season and, prior to that, their most recent match was wrapping up their World Cup early exit with a 4-2 victory. Goals are likely here as a friendly generally does not bring out the best in terms of defensive intensity. Also, Germany allowed 3 goals in most recent friendly and Ukraine has conceded an average of 3 goals per match in last 5 meetings with them. 10* OVER 3 -125 in Germany |
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06-11-23 | Verona v. Spezia Calcio OVER 2 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #201451: Italian Serie A Relegation Playoff Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Spezia vs Verona @ 2:45 ET at Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia - This is a do or die battle in terms of remaining in Serie A or being relegated to Serie B. This is it and I feel we will see an intense battle in which neither club wants it to come down to penalty kicks. That said, also note that there will be no added extra time in this one. The clubs just play 90 minutes and any stoppage time and that is it. That being said, look for a firm push for a deciding goal in what I am anticipating to be a 2-1 final. We have excellent value with this total at just 2 goals. I know neither club is known for their attacking ability necessarily but also note that this is a neutral site venue and the teams allowed 32 goals and 27 goals, respectively, in their 19 road matches this season. That works out to 59 goals or a 3 goal average per match not played at home. Look for each club to score at least once and then, like I said, we'll see that big push for the third goal as neither club wants their fate decided on penalty kicks. Spezia has allowed an average of 2 goals in last 8 matches and 5 of the 8 saw them allow at least 2 goals in a match! Verona's last match with Spezia was a scoreless draw but the 3 meetings prior to that all totaled at least 3 goals and the last 4 matches prior to that did averaged 3 goals apiece. This one should get to the 3-goal mark as well as Verona has also allowed 2 goals per match last 8 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Spezia |
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06-11-23 | Cagliari v. Bari 1908 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #201405: Italian Serie B Promotion Playoffs Final Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -135 in Bari vs Cagliari @ 2:30 ET - We have to lay a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals here but it is some added insurance should this match land on 2 rather than reaching at least the 3-goal mark - the latter of which is what I am expecting. One key here is that Bari needs only a draw to earn promotion to Serie A. That means Cagliari must push hard for a goal here. Once they get that I also do not see Bari being denied. Expecting each club to get to 1-1 and then knowing Cagliari must push hard the deciding goal, this could absolutely open things up for Bari on the counterattack. This is why I am expecting at least 3 goals here. Bari has scored 15 goals in last 11 matches. Cagliari has scored 2 goals per match last 9 matches. You know the visitors will keep the pressure on the attack here knowing it is their only chance to advance. That said, Bari did score 30 goals in 19 home matches this season but Cagliari finished the season strong and will make a push of their own in this huge battle for a promotion to Serie A. 10* OVER 2 -135 in Bari |
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06-09-23 | St. Patrick's Ath. v. Drogheda United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #205609 - League of Ireland Premier Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athletic @ 2:45 ET - 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Drogheda enters this match with 4 of last 5 matches overall having totaled at least 3 goals. Their last home match was a shutout so you know they will be aggressive on the attack here to make up for that loss. However, they are hosting a club that has one of the best attacks in the league. St Patrick's averaging 1.8 goals scored per match this season and 6 of their last 7 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Drogheda does not possess nearly the same impressive numbers in the attacking zone but Freddie Draper has scored 2 goals in 2 of last 3 matches so they have a hot striker right now to say the least. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as both clubs should find the back of the net plus St Patrick's has only 2 draws in 20 matches this season and that is the lowest draw rate in the league. With both clubs scoring and a draw an unlikely result, we'll see this one get to 2-1 at least. OVER 2.5 -130 in Drogheda United |
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06-09-23 | Dundalk v. Cork City FC OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #205613 - League of Ireland Premier Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Cork City vs Dundalk @ 2:45 ET - Cork City has been one of the hottest clubs in the league but only two clubs have scored more than Dundalk's 29 goals this season. I know Dundalk scores much better at home than on the road but 5 of their last 6 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Cork City comes in hot as they have won 4 straight matches and have scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. Cork has allowed 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 at home. You can see why I am expecting both clubs to score here and note that Cork has had just 1 draw in 10 matches at home and Dundalk has had just 2 draws in 10 matches on the road. We should see at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Cork City |
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06-08-23 | Bari 1908 v. Cagliari OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #201401: Italian Serie B, Promotion Finals Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Cagliari vs Bari 1908 @ 2:30 ET - The ability to get an over 2, even though we lay a little bit of juice to do so, is a solid edge here. I know these clubs saw their two regular season meetings combine to total just 3 goals. However, Cagliari has scored an average of 2 goals in its last 7 home matches. Bari is off B2B 1-0 matches - one home and one away - but prior to this they had scored an average of 2 goals in last 3 matches away from home. As you can see, some 2 goal averages in play for each club here and all we need is a 2-1 final and we are in the winners circle. One could reasonably argue each club has a decent shot at 2 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Cagliari |
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06-08-23 | Twente v. Sparta Rotterdam OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #203805: Dutch Eredivisie, Europa Conference Playoffs - Final - 1st Leg Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Twente @ 2 ET - This is a battle for a spot in Europa Conference next season as the winner of this 2-legged contest will qualify for next season's Europa Conference League. The loser will not have European football next season. That said, it is a pretty big battle and I look for an entertaining first leg. Rotterdam is strong on their home pitch but Twente is in great current form. Don't let the full season road numbers for Twente fool you. They have been hot on the road and they keep piling up goals in recent action. As for Rotterdam, they are scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their home matches this season. Dating back to March, the last 13 matches for Twente have seen them score an average of nearly 3 goals per match! As for Rotterdam, they have had just 2 draws in 17 home matches this season so it is fully reasonable to expect at least a 2-1 final here rather than a 1-1 draw. 13 of last 16 Twente matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Sparta off a 1-0 loss to Utrecht but 12 of 15 matches prior to that totaled at least 3 goals! Sparta scored an average of 2.5 goals per match in the dozen matches prior to the 1-0 loss. Per the above, look for plenty of scoring here. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Sparta Rotterdam |
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06-07-23 | West Ham United v. Fiorentina OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 126 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #235601 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Fiorentina vs West Ham United @ 3 ET in Prague, Czech Republic - This is the Europa Conference League (ECL) Final. I know West Ham is the better club defensively but they also have scored very well throughout the Europa Conference League action. Also, Fiorentina is known for their attack and continues to get involved in higher scoring matches. I just do not see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Note that Fiorentina has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches. Also, they have scored an average of 2.1 goals per match last 10 matches across all competitions. West Ham, though having struggled in Premier League this season, has scored 2.3 goals per match in the dozen matches in the Europa Conference League action. Before a 1-0 win in most recent match that brought them to this final, their last 6 matches in ECL action averaged 3 goals apiece. We'll see 3 goals here at least the way I see this playing out. Fiorentina does not want this to turn into a grinder and will force the issue with West Ham United in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in ECL Final |
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06-06-23 | Wehen Wiesbaden v. Arminia Bielefeld OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #202605: German 2 Bundesliga Promotion/Relegation Playoffs Tuesday OVER 3 -115 in Arminia Bielefeld vs Wehen Wiesbaden @ 2:45 ET - Wiesbaden took the first match 4-0 so Arminia is certainly in a tough spot here. I fully expect that to lead to plenty of goals here. Bielefeld is at home and they have no choice but to go for it and be aggressive. Both clubs have had a knack for allowing too many goals and plus Wiesbaden can play rather relaxed with already having that 4-0 lead and just needing to win this 2-leg battle on the aggregate. That being said, high-scoring match here. Wiesbaden appears on their way to getting back to Bundesliga 2 while Arminia headed for the drop. But, before that happens, look for the hosts to put up quite a fight here on their home pitch. Bielefeld has lost B2B matches by exact 4-0 counts. Prior to this they had gone 11 straight matches with both scoring and conceding. That said, a lot of value in this one as their last 13 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and you know they are looking for payback here against the lower-tiered Wehen club from Wiesbaden. OVER 3 -115 in Arminia Bielefeld |
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06-06-23 | FC Emmen v. Almere City OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -56.5 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Dutch Eredivisie Promotion/Relegation Playoffs, Finals Tuesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Almere City vs Emmen @ 2 ET - This is a battle for top league in Netherlands and Emmen was in this season and is trying to avoid relegation while Almere City was not in the top league this season and is trying to earn promotion. In these playoffs, Almere City has allowed at least 1 goal in 4 straight match-ups. Dating back to regular season action too, Almere City is on a scoring run which has seen them score at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals in last 3 home matches. Their last meeting with Emmen was a scoreless draw but this followed a 3-goal match and 3 straight 4-goal matches between these clubs. We'll see scoring here. Emmen has scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches and that includes both of their playoff matches. Their last 8 matches overall have averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same expected here as neither club has been good defensively. OVER 2.5 +110 in Almere City |
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06-05-23 | Stuttgart v. Hamburger SV OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #202405: German Bundesliga Promotion/Relegation: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart @ 2:45 ET - Hamburger SV trying to get back to Bundesliga 1 after 5-year absence while Stuttgart trying to avoid relegation to Bundesliga 2 after 3 years in the top flight. This is the second leg of two and and while the visitors (already up 3-0 after taking first leg by that count) will be strong again here playing with a big lead, Hamburger SV was the highest scoring team in Bundesliga 2 this season and I don't see them going away without a fight in this second of two matches with Stuttgart. Note also that the hosts have averaged 2 goals per match this season. The visitors are not very high-scoring but already showed their compete level in the 3-0 win Thursday and certainly can again take advantage of a Hamburger side that does allow quite a few goals. As mentioned entering the match Thursday, Stuttgart was off a disappointing finish to the regular season and would want to rectify that with a strong showing on their home pitch after a disappointing draw in their regular season finale as a host. They did just that in the 3-0 win and now are rolling again with confidence here. However, now look for Hamburger to also respond here in what should result in a high-scoring match as Stuttgart attack is proving potent against this Bundesliga 2 squad. By the way, before the 1-1 disappointment in the regular season finale, Stuttgart's last 8 matches had averaged 4 goals apiece. Also, the last 4 meetings between these clubs have now averaged 4.5 goals apiece! Hamburger finished the regular season with a 1-0 win but, prior to that, their last 8 matches had averaged 5 goals apiece. 10* OVER 3 in Hamburger |
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06-05-23 | Derry City v. St. Patrick's Ath. OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #205789: League of Ireland Premier Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in St Patrick's vs Derry City @ 2:45 ET - Derry City has a great history against St Patrick's but the latter has been in strong current form plus have this match on their home pitch. That said, I do not see either side being denied a goal here nor do I foresee a draw either. That's because Derry City has had just 2 draws in 9 road matches this season and St Patrick's has just 2 draws in 18 matches overall this season. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that St Patrick's has averaged 2.3 goals scored per match as they have gone 5-1 last 6 matches. Derry has had B2B matches in which they did not score but this followed a run of 8 matches in which they scored an average of 2 goals apiece. In other words, there is solid justification to expect either one of, if not both, of these clubs to get to the 2-goal mark in this one. Yes, I know they have a history of some lower-scoring matches when they meet but this is a different situation now, especially with how St Patrick's has responded since head coach Tim Clancy resigned and Jon Daly took over. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in St Patrick's |
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06-04-23 | Verona v. AC Milan OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #201337: Italian Serie A Sunday OVER 2.5 in AC Milan vs Verona @ 3 ET - AC Milan is locked into the #4 position in the table so they can play loose and relaxed here. At the same time, this is their season finale in a rather lackluster campaign by their standards. That said, they would love nothing more than to knock off Verona and help facilitate their demotion. Verona is fighting for their lives at the Serie A level. They are in a battle with Spezia to avoid relegation. No club has scored fewer goals on the road than Verona in this campaign in Serie A. However, it is now or never for the travelers in this one and they have no choice but to be aggressive here. At the same time, they are up against a foe that is tied for the league lead in goal-scoring on their home pitch. AC Milan has scored an average of 2.1 goals per match in their home matches this season. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as a result. Verona is a bit banged up but, again, they must go for it here. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have seen BOTH clubs score at least 1 goal and those 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Additionally, Verona enters this match having scored in 3 of last 4 matches. AC Milan has scored 12 goals in last 7 Serie A matches. OVER 2.5 in AC Milan |
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06-03-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Arges OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206805: Romanian First Division Promotion/Relegation Playoffs Monday OVER 2.5 goals in FC Arges vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 2 PM ET - This is the second of two matches to determine if Dinamo Bucuresti can get the upset on the aggregate score of the two matches and earn promotion to Romania Liga 1 while delivering relegation to Liga 2 for FC Arges. Certainly it looks like they are on their way and we used Dinamo Bucuresti +230 as a big dog winner in the first match Monday and it was a 6-1 winner. That said, it is basically FC Arges now playing for pride here. Of course FC Arges is favored for a reason here and their only hope is to go for it and look to score a huge win by scoring a ton of goals. It will not be easy and I don't see that happening necessarily but I do expect a rather lively wide-open game and I feel Dinamo Bucuresti has the firepower and the talent level to again score well in this one. In summary, you have an FC Arges club that must go for it on their home pitch as they need plenty of goals but you also have a Dinamo Bucuresti club that is very talented and now playing with the added confidence of that blowout in the first stage. This total seems very reasonable given the circumstances and the likelihood of at least a 2-1 final here. This match being played in Mioveni rather than Pitesti and the hosts are in trouble down 6-1 and not even able to play this one in their home stadium. The cities are very near each other but still it just means it is even more likely Dinamo will again enjoy success and we should see plenty of goals again as FC Arges must score plenty but Dinamo can be fearless with already having the 5-goal edge from the first leg. OVER 2.5 in FC Arges |
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06-03-23 | Inter Milan v. Torino OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #201353: Italian Serie A Saturday OVER 2.5 in Torino vs Inter Milan @ 12:30 ET - Torino has not scored well this season but they will be in an offensive minded 3-4-2-1 formation here and emphasizing the attack against Inter Milan. Of course the visitors have the huge match on deck with Manchester City next week but they still will want to finish the regular season the right way even if they rest a few plays here. Inter Milan still has a shot at finishing #2 in the table and this is a club that has scored an average of 2 goals per match this season. I know that Torino is a lower-scoring club but they will put up a fight here at home and are off a confidence-boosting 4-0 victory. I do not expect either club to deliver a clean sheet and also want to note than Inter Milan's 3 draws in 37 matches this season. In other words, they tend to go for the full 3 points in the table and certainly that is the objective of Torino as well. One can therefore look for at least a 2-1 final in this one and I like the value of the low total in this regular season finale. OVER 2.5 in Torino |
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06-02-23 | Fiorentina v. Sassuolo Calcio OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 57 m | Show |
Serie A Friday OVER 3 in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina @ 2:30 ET - Fiorentina could be distracted with the big match in Prague against West Ham United coming up in 5 days. That plus the fact Sassuolo is at home means they should score some goals here. However, Fiorentina has been scoring well of late and that continues here. With just 4 draws in 18 matches and high likelihood each club scores here, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final and, given the situation, we should see much much more. OVER 3 in Sassuolo |
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06-01-23 | Hamburger SV v. Stuttgart OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #202401: German Bundesliga Promotion/Relegation: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV @ 2:45 ET - Hamburger SV trying to get back to Bundesliga 1 after 5-year absence while Stuttgart trying to avoid relegation to Bundesliga 2 after 3 years in the top flight. This is the first leg of two and and I am sure the hosts will be strong here but Hamburger SV was the highest scoring team in Bundesliga 2 this season and I don't see them going away without a fight in this set of two matches with Stuttgart. Note that the visitors also were solid on the road this season and they have averaged 2 goals per match this season. The hosts are not very high-scoring but are at home here and certainly can take advantage of a Hamburger side that does allow quite a few goals particularly on the road. Additionally, the hosts are off a disappointing finish to the regular season and will want to rectify that here with a strong showing on their home pitch after a disappointing draw in their regular season finale as a host. Before that 1-1 disappointment, Stuttgart's last 8 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Also, the last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 5 goals apiece! Hamburger finished the regular season with a 1-0 win but, prior to this, their last 8 matches had averaged 5 goals apiece. OVER 3 +105 in Stuttgart |
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06-01-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in CFR Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 1:30 ET - CFR Cluj let a 1-0 lead slip away in a frustrating 2-1 loss to Farul in their most recent match and it had their manager furious. That said, and you can tell by the money line of -200 and the goal line of -1, CFR Cluj is expected to respond in a big way here. While I do indeed expect a response from the hosts here in what should be a great atmosphere in Cluj, I am also expected U Craiova 1948 to put up a helluva fight in this one. This is a battle for European football with a shot at the Conference League. That said, U Craiova 1948 is going to battle here and they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals in their last 10 matches. As for CFR Cluj, they have scored 1.7 goals per match last 14 matches. After losing following a 1-0 lead against Farul, I am sure CFR Cluj is going to get a couple goals but I also see U Craiova 1948 being very tough to put away. That means strong odds on at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. As for the last 4 meetings between these clubs, 3 of 4 have totaled at least 4 goals and the 4 matches have averaged 4 goals. More of the same expected Thursday in what should be a very entertaining battle. OVER 2.5 in CFR Cluj |
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05-31-23 | Roma v. Sevilla OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #224401: Europa League Final Wednesday OVER 2 goals +120 in Sevilla vs Roma in Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary @ 3 ET - Yes this is a final and yes both clubs fully capable of being strong defensively and frustrating opponents. However, Sevilla also certainly has plenty of attacking options and this could force Roma to match them. I am looking for an early goal and this match to then play out a little more wide open than most are expecting here. I like the value with the total just 2 goals and +120 available as the comeback price at that total. Roma is known for lower-scoring matches but I fully expect Sevilla to force the issue here and that will make Roma answer them if they want to have a shot in this one. Looking for a 2-1 final as a result here. Note that Roma, in their Serie A action, have seen 7 of last 8 matches total at least 2 goals and those 7 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. As for Sevilla, they consistently have totaled 2 or more goals almost without exception in their matches across all competitions. OVER 2 goals +120 in Europa League Final |
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05-30-23 | Parma v. Cagliari OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #201405: Italian Serie B Tuesday OVER 2 -135 in Cagliari vs Parma @ 2:30 ET - This the first leg of a 2-match battle between these foes to earn promotion to Serie A, which is the highest level of football in Italy. It is a big deal to say the least! Both clubs have recently been in Serie A and what to get right back to it! The key here is the value of an over 2 and I see strong odds that each club scores at least once and I also do not see Parma settling for a draw here even at the possibility of being more aggressive leading to the deciding goal going the wrong way for them. Parma knows the next match is at home and I am expecting an aggressive approach from them here but note that Cagliari was one of the top home clubs in the league this season and averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match in their home matches. Also, Parma has fresh legs and are well-rested with a week and half off since their last match. So this sets up well for Parma to be particularly aggressive on the attack. Cagliari has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this stretch. Parma has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and has scored an average of 1.6 goals during this stretch! OVER 2 -135 in Cagliari |
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05-28-23 | Sepsi v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206937: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - Sepsi already qualified for European Football next season by winning the Romaniei Cupa. They will not be too excited about this game but that opens the door for Universitatea Craiova, needing to win and hoping CFR Cluj loses, to play an aggressive style here. I expect the hosts to be on the attack early and often in this contest while Sepsi just plays along at a similar pace. Sepsi also will be playing their last match under the current manager as he has decided not to renew his contract. So this will be interesting and is likely to lead to a rather wide open affair in this one. Sepsi and Universitatea Craiova have combined for 3 or more goals in 3 of last 4 meetings and, given the situation here, this one should get to at least 3 as well. Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 10 straight Liga 1 matches! That sets this one up well for goals and Sepsi, other than a scoreless draw with Rapid, has been allowing quite a few goals. More of the same likely here and I see a relaxed Sepsi club getting on the scoresheet here but also note that the hosts are 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason in this one! OVER 2.5 in Universitatea Craiova |
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05-28-23 | West Ham United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #200029: English Premier League OVER 2.5 -150 in Leicester vs West Ham United @ 11:30 AM ET - Yes we have to lay some heavy juice on the over 2.5 but odds certainly point to getting to at least 3 here. Leicester needs to go hard for the full 3 points in the table and, at the same time, hope for help from others in terms of avoiding relegation. As for West Ham United, they can play a loose and relaxed style here with no pressure on them and with still being over a week away from their big match against Fiorentina in their Europa Conference League Final in Prague. Leicester off a rare scoreless draw with Newcastle United. Prior to this, Leicester's 3 prior matches all totaled at least 3 goals and those averaged 5 goals. Leicester will put some pressure on West Ham here because they have no choice but to attack and be aggressive but, at the same time, do note that the Hammers have scored an average of 2 goals per match in their last 11 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 -150 in Leicester |
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05-28-23 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -123 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200009: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Brentford still needs to win as they are in the running for a spot for European Football as they can finish in the top eight. Manchester City already won the premier league title for the season but they rested some players Wednesday that could be back here. Also, they might have some extra motivation from the fact their only home loss this season was to Brentford. So even though the Bees should be pushing hard and enjoy some scoring success here, don't be surprised if City answers them goal for goal in a match I am expecting to get to a 2-2 type final. Certainly we should see at least 3 goals here. City averaged 2 goals scored per road match this season and Brentford averaged scoring 2 goals per match at home this season. Brentford also in solid current form with wins in 4 of last 5 matches and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 4 victories. City has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brentford |
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05-27-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - FCSB off the disappointment of the 3-2 loss at Farul. They also are dealing with key defensive absentees for this match. FSCB, however, certainly will still want to put up a big fight against their Bucuresti rivals in this one. That said, I am looking for plenty of scoring here as they will struggle to stop Rapid but FCSB should continue to score well and are the hosts in this city rivalry match Saturday. These teams essentially playing for pride in this one and that means we should see a wide-open match with a lot of open field on the pitch and a chance for some high-quality scoring opportunities. The last two meetings here have been 3-1 FCSB wins. 3 of the last 4 matches for FCSB have totaled at least 3 goals. 3 of the last 4 matches for Rapid have totaled at least 3 goals. They have not had a draw in any of their last 5 meetings and I also do not see either club being held off the scoreboard in this one either. That means the odds of a 1-1 final are small as neither club wants to share the spoils in this rivalry tonight and so look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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05-27-23 | Luton Town v. Coventry City OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200201: English League Championship Saturday OVER 2 in Coventry City vs Luton Town @ 11:45 AM ET at Wembley Stadium in London, England - We saw some 2 and 1/4 on this match and it came down to 2 which makes sense as it is a huge match with the winner going to the Premier League. It is such a massive match. However, the key with the value here is this total dropped to a 2 and this is not a normal English Championship Final to determine who gets promoted. I say it is not normal because, in their over 100 year history, Luton has never been in the Premier League. The fan in me is pulling for Luton here but this job is not about being a fan, it is about picking winners where the value is. The reality is I could see this match going either way in terms of the side but the value is on the over in my opinion. That's because, like I said above, this one is different. These clubs both so hungry for their chance and especially Luton. Coventry City will want to play their typical slow defensive style but I think Luton wants this one too much and will force the issue in terms of the tempo we will end up seeing. Just remember too that the low total means we only need 1 goal from each club and we can not lose. I am certainly looking for at least a 1-1 final here and see a 2-1 being the end result here. The last 5 meetings between these clubs have seen 4 total at least 2 goals and these 5 have averaged 2.8 goals apiece. Note that Coventry City has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and scored an average of 1.5 goals during this stretch. Luton Town has also scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and scored an average of 1.5 goals per match. OVER 2 in Coventry City |
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05-26-23 | Famalicao v. Rio Ave OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206781: Portugal Primeira Liga Friday OVER 2.5 in Rio Ave vs Famalicao @ 2 ET - With neither club playing with pressure I look for a rather wide open affair. While it is true that neither club scores a lot of goals the situation here is a unique one and I also like the fact we are seeing this total tick up some. In other words, we are not the only ones liking the over in this match-up. The fact is Rio Ave has only 2 draws in 16 matches as a host this season and have played well at home. Famalicao has only 4 draws in 33 matches this season so you can see the odds of a draw here our slim. Why does that matter? Because the odds of a clean sheet are also slim and that means a 1-1 match should find its way to at least 2-1. Note that Rio Ave has delivered just one clean sheet last 8 matches and allowed an average of 2 goals in the other 7 matches. Note that 8 of last 9 Famalicao matches have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 8 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 to be a winner here. I am banking on it! OVER 2.5 in Rio Ave |
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05-26-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 128 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2.5 +128 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - This battle relates to the battle for European Football spots and the winner of this match will take on either CFR Cluj or Universitatea Craiova next weekend. This should be a great battle Friday as FC Voluntari was the highest scoring club in the playout stages and averaged 2 goals per match. However, FC Voluntari also allowed at least 2 goals in each of last 3 road matches. That included a 3-3 draw here at U Craiova 1948 last month and that match could have had even more scoring as there were other great saves and a couple of shots off the bar too so the high score was certainly no fluke. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as U Craiova 1948 has scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches as a host. Given all of the above, it would not surprise me to see each club again get to the 2-goal mark in this one and so expecting at least 3 goals is not a big ask considering how aggressive both these clubs have been on the attack. I do not see that changing here as this style is what led to their success in the play-out stages. OVER 2.5 +128 in U Craiova 1948 |
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05-25-23 | Chelsea v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #200129: English Premier League Thursday 10* OVER 2.5 -145 in Manchester United vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - This total opened up at a 3 and has started dropping to a 2.5 and I like to fade line moves like this. Yes both clubs are off 1-0 finals last week but Manchester United has scored an average of 2 goals per match at home this season. As for Chelsea, they faced a Manchester City club that was celebrating their league championship before the match even started and simply wanted to lull everyone to sleep with one of the most boring 1-0 matches you will have ever seen. All that aside from last week, look for a much different match this time around. Manchester United still needs 1 more point in the table to lock in a top four finish. Chelsea has nothing to lose and so they can go aggressive here too in terms of trying to glean something positive as they near the finish line Sunday of what has been an abysmal campaign by Chelsea standards. Manchester United has seen their overall scoring in matches down as of late but a lot of this has been because of a dearth of home matches. Look for them to make the most of their home pitch and earn the final points in table that they need by delivering a strong effort here. This series has a recent history of unders but the odds makers had settle an opening total of a 3 for a reason. They are seeing the same things I am with regard to the situation here and, with nothing to lose, I look for Chelsea to bring a more wide open style here as they battle through injuries. Chelsea had scored an average of 2 goals per match and seen each of last 3 matches total 4 goals apiece before that lousy match with Man City. OVER 2.5 -145 in Manchester United |
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05-25-23 | Valencia v. Mallorca OVER 1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #201865: Spanish La Liga Thursday OVER 1.5 -160 in Mallorca vs Valencia @ 1:30 ET - I am well aware of the defensive strength that each of these clubs possess but, given the situation, this total is a bargain to get over 1.5 in the -160 price range. Mallorca is particularly tough at home but Valencia has been rolling and is in strong current form. Also, Mallorca has scored an average of 1 goal per match at home and I also don't see Valencia slowing down as their surge continues and they want to make it official that they will avoid relegation. Their position has improved but they are not 100% safe just yet. That said, note that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals. 3 of the last 4 totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Mallorca has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 2 goals and actually 5 of those 6 totaled at least 3 goals. Valencia is off a 1-0 victory over Real Madrid but this followed 9 straight matches totaling at least 2 goals. In fact, those 9 matches averaged 2.6 goals apiece! OVER 1.5 -160 in Mallorca |
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05-24-23 | Inter Milan v. Fiorentina OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #201601: Coppa Italia Wednesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Fiorentina vs Inter Milan @ 3 ET - Both clubs are in strong current form. The key here is that I look for Inter Milan to dictate that this match will be played with more attacking. The last time these clubs met Fiorentina got a 1-0 win but the prior match Inter Milan won 4-3. They know what works against this club and that is to be aggressive and on the attack and they have the firepower to do that. Prior to the 1-0 match, 2 of the 3 meetings before that totaled at least 4 goals and those 2 matches averaged 5.5 goals apiece. Inter Milan has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last 10 across all competitions. Fiorentina has scored 2 goals per match in their last 25 matches across all competitions. We'll see goals here. Yes it is a battle for the Coppa Italia as it is the final but Inter Milan knows what will work and they do not want to get lulled into another 1-0 loss against Fiorentina. Both clubs have high likelihood of scoring and low odds on a draw. So that sets this up to be a 2-1 final at a minimum and so we take advantage of the low total here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Fiorentina |
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05-24-23 | Manchester City v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League Wednesday OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Brighton wants to get at least one point in their last two matches to insure they secure a top 6 finish. Manchester City already has won the league title. However, both of these clubs of course play this weekend as well as this is their penultimate match. That said, Manchester City does have a couple of finals on deck and they rested key players in last week's snoozefest with Chelsea that was a 1-0 final and was one of the most boring matches you could watch in your life. After that ugly effort Manchester City put on in front of their home fans did at least result in a 1-0 win thanks to punch-less Chelsea who was an embarrassment in that match, I look for a much better effort here. The starters will be back out there and there is no real pressure on either club and Brighton certainly knows a thing or two about scoring big. Brighton is averaging 2 goals per match this season and Manchester City is the highest scoring club in the league with 93 goals in 36 matches. City has to keep their guys game ready with the finals coming up and I am sure they would rather play them here than on Sunday. That said, the big guns will be out for this game and Brighton has seen last 4 matches all total at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4.5 goals. City, before the snoozefest with Chelsea, had seen 13 of last 15 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 15 matches averaged 4 goals apiece and I look for this one to get there as well. OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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05-23-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Valladolid OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #201885: Spanish La Liga Tuesday OVER 3 in Real Valladolid vs Barcelona @ 4 ET - Real Valladolid is fighting to avoid relegation and will put up a fight here. Barcelona already won the Championship for La Liga for the season but they are off a 2-1 loss and don't want to finish out the season with a whimper and there are still two more matches to go after this. That said, Barcelona will respond here off a loss the way I see it and they should score well to keep pressure on the hosts but I am sure Real Valladolid will put up a fight. The hosts are off a 2-0 loss but 11 of 13 matches prior to that totaled at least 3 goals and those 11 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! As for Barcelona, they averaged scoring 2 goals per match on the road this season and were the top road club in the league. 4 of their last 5 matches overall have totaled at least 3 goals and they can play loose and relaxed since they already have won the title but, again, they will want to atone for that loss last week. OVER 3 in Real Valladolid |
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05-22-23 | Leicester v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #200121: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 -135 in Newcastle United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Big total here but fully justified. Leicester still motivated to avoid relegation. Newcastle still motivated to secure a top 4 spot in the table. Newcastle has scored an average of 2 goals per match in home matches this season. Leicester has scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in road matches this season. The problem for the visitors is they can stop no one and, as for Newcastle, their defensive play has not been nearly as strong of late as it was earlier this season. Yes we need 4 goals to be a winner here but note that Newcastle should be able to attack at will here and they want to end the home portion of their schedule with a resounding win. 5 of Newcastle's last 6 matches have totaled at least 4 goals. Those 6 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. As for Leicester, they are off a shutout loss versus Liverpool but had scored at least 1 goal in 9 of 10 matches heading into that one. Of course Newcastle is a heavy favorite for a reason here and, given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 3-1 final in this one! OVER 3 -135 in Newcastle United |
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05-22-23 | CS U Craiova v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - It took awhile but it is finally feeling like spring here in Romania and the temperatures are going up and the goal-scoring is increasing right along with the temperatures. The season is finally winding down as the play-out stages wrapped up yesterday and the play-off stages have just one more week coming up. This is the final match of this weekend's battles and all matches saw at least 2 goals scored with most of the 7 matches thus far totaling at least 3 and that is what we should see at a minimum in this one as well. These clubs are batting for the #4 position and that is a key one and should certainly see both of them pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here. That should mean at least a 2-1 final as note that Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 9 straight matches and, again, at this critical stage I just do not see either club being willing to settle for a draw here. So if each club scores in a Universitatea Craiova match for a 10th straight time also look for it NOT to end 1-1 and that means strong odds on an over here. I also like the fact that Rapid is off a scoreless draw as they will certainly be pushing hard now. 3 of their 4 matches prior to that had totaled at least 4 goals and I would not be surprised to see that again here. OVER 2.5 in Rapid |
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05-21-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Farul vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This is a highly anticipated match that should feature plenty of scoring. Farul can win the league championship with a win here. However, FCSB certainly will have something to say about that and they have the firepower to get the job done on the for sure. However, it certainly is difficult to play against Farul when they are at home in Constanta. This is a great club, even when missing a few players, that is very tough to beat at home. The value here, in my opinion, is with the total. Each of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 averaged 4 goals apiece. Farul is off a 1-1 draw on the road but this followed a 7-2 home victory! FCSB is off a 1-0 win over CFR Cluj but this was preceded by their last 3 wins (in 4 prior matches) having seen them score an average of 2.3 goals apiece. With a win here they control their own destiny and have a shot at the championship. A draw does not really help them. That said, and considering the fact it is highly unlikely either team delivers a clean sheet here, I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in what should be a fantastic battle in this match-up of elite clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 in Farul |
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05-21-23 | Chelsea v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #200117 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Chelsea @ 11 AM ET - Both clubs can play loose and relaxed here. Manchester City won the title by virtue of Arsenal's pathetic performance yesterday at Nottingham Forest. This secured the title for Man City and they will hoist the trophy at the conclusion of this match Sunday. That said, one might view this as a meaningless match since they already clinched the title and since Chelsea has had a disappointing campaign languishing now in the middle of the table. However, rest assured we will see good effort from both clubs here. Chelsea has been scoring better (finally) since the manager change had more time to have an impact. Also, you know they would love to spring the upset here and put a damper on the Man City celebrations. At the same time, City does not want this day to be somewhat blemished by losing to the Blues. I expect a strong effort and plenty of push from both clubs and each club will have some other players rotating in and everyone involved here will want to put their mark on this heavyweight match. Look for the end result to be solid scoring here as Manchester City has averaged scoring 3 goals per match as a host this season. Chelsea has scored an average of 2 goals in their 3 matches this month and each one of those matches reached the 4-goal mark and this one should too. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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05-21-23 | Southampton v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200113: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Southampton @ 9 AM ET - Since Southampton has had their relegation confirmed this should be a wide open affair. The Saints have allowed 2.5 goals per match last 10 matches and they will be on the attack here as they certainly have nothing to lose. At the same time, Brighton is looking to rebound off a disappointing heavy loss to Newcastle. They did not even generate much in that game either so they will look to be aggressive on the attack as they look to remain in contention for a Europa League action by finishing in the top six in the table. Brighton is on their way but needs to bounce back on their home pitch with a huge win. I fully expect them to do just that as the attacking nature Southampton will likely bring here is only can further open things up on the counterattack and Brighton should score at will in this one. There is a reason this match has a total of 3.5 goals as the posted number. Don't let the big number scare you. This one should be a wide-open affair and the host club will not take their foot off the gas in this one as they are angry off the Newcastle loss. That means plenty of scoring here. OVER 3.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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05-21-23 | Leeds United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200109 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in West Ham United vs Leeds United @ 8:30 AM ET - West Ham off that huge win over AZ Alkmaar in Europa Conference League action Thursday. That could leave them a bit flat here but yet they are at home and should score just fine here. This is particularly true as they take on a Leeds side with a knack for conceding plenty of goals. What I have seen from Leeds too however is that they are attacking much better under Allardyce and I expect at least 3 goals here as a result. 10 of last 11 Leeds matches have totaled at least 3 goals and all signs point to this one reaching at least that number as well. OVER 2.5 -130 in West Ham |
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05-20-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Sepsi can play loose and relaxed here and they are on their home pitch. For visiting CFR Cluj, this match means much more in the playoff table. That said, a lot of value with the over in this one. CFR Cluj will be pushing hard to get the full 3 points in the table but Sepsi beat them 3-0 in the Romaniei Cup semi-finals and each of their other 3 meetings this season have totaled at least 3 goals. That means 4 straight meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and all sings point to a similar result here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi |
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05-20-23 | Arsenal v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Nottingham Forest is not safe from the drop zone yet so you know they will go strong here on their home pitch. They have already been pushing hard for some time now and the result has been plenty of goals and that is what I am looking for again here as well. Each of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and the matches have averaged 4.6 goals. Arsenal knows their title hopes are slim as Manchester City has overtaken them at the top. At the same time however, they will want to respond off a disappointing 3-0 home loss to Brighton & Hove last week. I am sure Arsenal is going to bring a strong effort on the road here and, keep in mind, Nottingham Forest is known for defensive deficiencies. Arsenal is not mathematically eliminated from the top spot yet either so there are multiple reasons to expect them to push hard here and I look for them to be great on the attack. They will want to put on a clinic and get back to winning ways and show everyone what they can do after losing 3-0 to Brighton. Arsenal had averaged scoring 3 goals per match last 13 EPL matches before that ugly effort. 13 of last 15 Arsenal matches have totaled at least 3 goals and this one should as well. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest |
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05-20-23 | Manchester United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200089: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Bournemouth vs Manchester United @ 10 AM ET - The threat of relegation is off for Bournemouth so they will play this match with less pressure on them and they are a host. That said, don't be surprised if they score at least 1 goal here as they are loose and relaxed. All the pressure is on Manchester United as they are still going for a top 4 finish and need these points. They are the better club in this match-up and will be focused on the task at hand and the result should be plenty of scoring. Manchester United has scored at least 3 goals in each of last two meetings (and 3 of last 4) with Bournemouth. Though Man U has not been scoring as much of late entering this match, this is the perfect spot for them to break out against a leaky backline. At the same time, note that the relaxed hosts in this match are off a 2-0 loss but had average scoring 2 goals in 3 matches before that and 4 of 5 matches before the 2-0 defeat had all totaled 4 or more goals. Look for more of the same with a 3-1 type final likely in my estimation. OVER 3 in Bournemouth |
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05-19-23 | VfL Wolfsburg v. SC Freiburg OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #202453: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 in Freiburg vs Wolfsburg @ 2:30 ET - Freiburg is trying to shake off a disappointing stretch and I expect them to respond well here on their home pitch. However, Wolfsburg desperately needs points in the table as they look to secure a top 6 spot and I look for the visitors to be at their best here as well. The result should be at least a 2-1 final as Freiburg has only a 25% draw rate at home and Wolfsburg has only a 19% draw rate on the road this season. That said, looking for each team to score at least once and the likelihood of a draw is slim. 4 of last 6 Freiburg matches have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 totaled at least 4 goals. Wolfsburg has seen each of last 4 matches total at least 3 goals and those averaged 4.5 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 meetings between these teams totaled at least 3 goals and their last two matches have totaled a combined 11 goals. We are going to see some big scoring here. OVER 2.5 in Freiburg |
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05-19-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Arges OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #206909: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -135 in FC Arges vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - FC Arges is desperate for a win in hopes of avoiding relegation. However, they will struggle to stop the opposition in this one too as Petrolul Ploiesti will be ready to go after a 1-0 loss to Hermannstadt. Prior to that defeat, 4 of their last 5 matches had totaled at least 2 goals and there is great value on this one with the total available at 2 goals. Those 4 matches averaged 3 goals and I am looking for more of the same here. FC Arges has seen each of last 4 matches total at least 2 goals and those matches averaged 3 goals apeice. That said, and given the hunger here for 3 points in the table, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. The set-up is perfect with both clubs off disappointing losses and willing to push on the attack in this match. OVER 2 -135 in FC Arges |
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05-18-23 | West Ham United v. AZ Alkmaar OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #235609: Europa Conference League Thursday OVER 2.5 in AZ Alkmaar vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - West Ham won the first meeting 2-1 which puts the the pressure on AZ Alkmaar here. A high-scoring club and on their home pitch, I expect AZ Alkmaar to respond but they will struggle to stop a West Ham club that has been playing so well in its non-league matches. The result will be plenty of scoring here because the hosts can not afford to sit back as they are down a goal and heading into the final of two matches that will be aggregated. At the same time, they have had some issues stopping opposition and I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 match here but certainly we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one given all the variables heading into this one. Both clubs have been so strong in Europa Conference League action and it has been goal-scoring that has led the way. Both clubs with strong attacks. OVER 2.5 in AZ Alkmaar |
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05-18-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 101 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League Thursday OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - A lot of goals here. 9 of last 11 Newcastle matches have totaled 3 or more goals. They continue to score well but their defensive play has not been what it once was earlier this season. 9 of last 12 Brighton matches in Premier League action have totaled at least 3 goals. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals in those 12 matches and are one of the highest scoring teams in the league in road matches this season. Newcastle is averaging about 2 goals per match on the season. A 2-2 final would not surprise me in the least here but we should see at least a 2-1 finish. Goals have been plentiful for both clubs and each of them are motivated here too. That's because Newcastle still trying to lock up a top four finish and Brighton a top six finish. That said, you are sure to see a strong effort from both clubs and a result that is a complete opposite of the scoreless draw these clubs had in the reverse fixture which was way back in August. OVER 3 in Newcastle |
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05-17-23 | Real Madrid v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #224209: Champions League Wednesday OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - The first match-up was a 1-1 battle but we'll see a lot more scoring in this one. City has the weapons and is a different club when they are at home. At the same time, Real Madrid is a tough match-up for them and can compete here. This will result in a high-scoring battle. Manchester City has scored an average of 3.3 goals per match as a host this season in their league action. This is a Champions League battle of course but it is at Manchester City and they will be rolling with confidence at home. Real Madrid has given this club a lot of trouble though as, prior to the 1-1 draw earlier this month they scored 3 goals in EACH of last two meetings with City. More of the same here. OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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05-16-23 | AC Milan v. Inter Milan OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #224213: Champions League Tuesday OVER 2.5 +115 in Inter Milan vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Having lost the first fixture 2-0, AC Milan is desperate for scoring here. They have had their struggles against Inter Milan in recent meetings but it is absolutely now or never here. Even dealing with some injury issues, AC Milan is still going to come out flying and will have to be aggressive on the attack because of facing the 2-goal deficit. That said, I look for a lot of scoring here as AC Milan is going to bring their best effort in that regard but Inter Milan won't hesitate to also pile up more scoring against a rival as they can kick them when they are down. Inter Milan has scored 3 goals per match last 8 matches. AC Milan has struggled recently but if there is one match to dig really deep and answer the bell, this is it and that is absolutely what I am forecasting here. The result will be the type of match that ends with at least 3 goals the way I see it. OVER 2.5 +115 in Inter Milan |
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05-16-23 | Sunderland v. Luton Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200209: English League Championship Tuesday OVER 2.5 +115 in Luton Town vs Sunderland @ 3 ET - Surprisingly Sunderland took the first match 2-1 and the pressure is now on Luton Town on their home pitch. I look for them to respond big. Sunderland is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league in road matches this season and now in this key battle in the promotion semifinals I do not expect them to just sit back here. Sunderland must realize that a strong team like Luton Town is not going to be shutdown on their home pitch. That said, Sunderland needs to keep the pressure on and not just sit back. Note that each club has both scored and conceded in each of the last 5 meetings. I feel we again have strong odds on that happening here. Then the next key is that Luton Town simply can not afford to settle for a 1-1 draw. They will bring everything here in fighting to stay alive for promotion. Luton Town's most recent home match was a surprising scoreless draw with Hull City but, prior to this, they had gone 5-0-1 in last 6 matches on their home pitch and they averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those. More of the same expected here and I would not be surprised to see a very aggressive game from the hosts pay dividends in scoring but also open things up for a Sunderland club that has proven dangerous on the counterattack. OVER 2.5 +115 in Luton Town |
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05-15-23 | Liverpool v. Leicester OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Leicester vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Leicester is fighting for their lives as they are currently in the relegation zone. Leicester is at home here and has scored decently here this season plus they enter this match on an overall run that has seen them average 1.8 goals scored in last 5 matches. The issue for Leicester is a leaky backline and they have conceded an average of 2 goals per match in their last 14 across all competitions. 11 of their last 16 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and this one should too. Liverpool has won 6 straight matches and, though the last two were just 1-0 finals, they are still averaging scoring 3 goals per match last 7 matches! Liverpool knows they can successfully attack more in this match given the poor play of Leicester defensively and I expect the Reds to be aggressive here. Remember that Liverpool is still mathematically alive for a top four finish so they will be pushing hard here. Given the way the Foxes matches have been going I am expecting plenty of scoring here as a result. OVER 3 in Leicester |
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05-15-23 | Rayo Vallecano v. Betis OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #201801: Spanish La Liga Monday OVER 2.5 in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano @ 3 ET - Real Betis still has not locked up a top six finish which is what they need to be guaranteed of Europa League football next season rather than entering the Europa Conference League playoff round. That said, I took expect the hosts to push hard here but so too will Rayo Vallecano. The visitors have been in solid current form and they are still very much alive in the race for European football as they are right on the fringe. In fact, if they win this match they vault all the way up to the #7 spot in the table. However, of course Real Betis is favored with good reason. The best value here, the way I see it, is with the over. Note that Rayo Vallecano has seen their last 9 matches average 3 goals apiece and only 1 of the 9 failed to get to the 3-goal mark. Also, they have both scored and conceded in 7 of those 8 matches. On that note, in the last 5 meetings between these clubs, neither club has managed a single clean sheet! Real Betis is off a 1-0 win but this was preceded by 3 of 4 prior matches all totaling at least 4 goals. We only need 3 here to be a winner and all signs are pointing to that based on each clubs need for 3 points in the table heading into this one. No one will back down in this match. OVER 2.5 in Real Betis |
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05-14-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove @ 11:30 AM ET - Big match with Arsenal still alive for the top spot in the league though Manchester City is trying to pull away. Also, Brighton & Hove still is looking to secure a finish in the top eight so they insure European football for next season. So when you factor that in, despite some injuries impacting this match too, you look for plenty of push from both clubs here. That push should also translate to goals because both these clubs have been scoring well but also conceding with frequency. Arsenal is off a rare clean sheet in their 2-0 win last week but this was preceded by allowing 12 goals over their last 5 matches. Arsenal is scoring an average of 3 goals per match at home this season. Brighton is averaging scoring 2 goals per match on the road this season! Brighton enters this one off a 5-1 loss but scored 7 goals in winning their 2 matches before that and those 2 victories were on the heels of a 3-1 loss. Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same here. OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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05-14-23 | Arges v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206889 Sunday OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Arges @ 11:15 AM ET - Both clubs still motivated to win and pick up 3 points in the table in the play-out stage. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as FC Arges has had only 1 draw in their 7 matches in the play-out and there will be a big push here for a victory. Of course the trouble for FC Arges is they are on the road and U Craiova 1948 is favored for a reason here. The hosts have had some lower-scoring results of late but they are tough at home where they actually have averaged scoring a solid 2 goals per match in their last 9 matches on their home pitch. FC Arges has been strong of late with only 1 loss last 4 matches and they have averaged scoring 1.5 goals during this stretch. This should be a highly competitive match with plenty of scoring. OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 |
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05-14-23 | Manchester City v. Everton OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 50 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Manchester City @ 9 AM ET - I look for Manchester City to be more strong-armed than many expect here. Yes the Champions League is important to them but they also want to win the Championship in the English Premier League of course. That said, they only have a slim lead at the top over Arsenal. Points are important to City and they are also important to the club they are visiting early Sunday. The fact is that Everton is still close to the dangers of relegation but they did show they want to do something about that. They won 5 to 1 over Brighton! Indeed goals have flowed decently of late in Everton matches and at the same time I can't see City being slowed here either. That is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we certainly could see a lot more scoring than that. Lets take advantage of the very fair number here with this total. OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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05-13-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -57.5 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #206881 Saturday OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul @ 2:30 ET - Farul is looking to clinch the top spot and the league title with a win here. However, Universitatea Craiova is certainly favored for a reason. Farul is off a 7-2 win and I know they are missing a few players heading into this match but they are so strong and will still put up a fight here on the road. The thing about Farul is they have plenty of scoring punch but they have been conceding goals with plenty of regularity of late. In terms of the over here, this certainly meshes well with a Universitatea Craiova club that has both scored at least one goal and conceded at least one goal in each of its last 8 matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals and certainly at least a 2-1 final here sure seems to be in the offing. Note that the last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 matches have averaged 4.6 goals apiece. They have scored at least 1 goal in 13 of last 15 matches and have scored an average of 2 goals per match. This one should be very high-scoring given all the positive variables here, including Farul playing without pressure, which point to the over in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova |
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05-13-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Chindia Targoviste @ Noon ET - Chindia desperate for the 3 points as they are so dangerously low in the table. Cluj hungry for points because their position is almost strong enough to secure no fears of relegation and that they can automatically stay in Liga 1. That said, I am looking for goals here because the only draw either club has had in their 7 matches in the play-out stage was the scoreless draw for Cluj last week. However, prior to that draw, Universitatea Cluj had seen 11 of last 13 matches total at least 2 goals. In fact, those matches totaled an average of 3 goals apiece. We have excellent value with this total available at 2 goals. Chindia has seen 16 of last 21 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 16 matches averaged 2.6 goals apiece. With both teams likely to score and neither team apt to settle for a draw here (nor have they been!), this sets up well for a 2-1 final and 3 goals total at a minimum the way I see it. OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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05-13-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Chelsea finally got on track with a 3-1 win last week - their 2nd straight match totaling 4 goals - and I look for this to get them going finally as they look to finish a disappointing campaign in a strong way as they finally got a positive result after the managerial change some weeks back to Frank Lampard. Also, Nottingham Forest - though prone to road struggles - should come up big here as they ride a wave of emotion after a key win last week as they look to avoid relegation. They have won 2 of last 3. Also, each of last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4.8 goals per match. More of the same expected here. OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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05-13-23 | Fulham v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #200053 Saturday OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Southampton is fighting to avoid relegation but they are at the very bottom of the table after last week's 4-3 loss. That was the 3rd time in 4 matches that a Southampton match has totaled at least 4 goals and I expect more of the same here. Certainly they are desperate to get the full 3 points here and stay alive but they allow too many goals and this will continue to be an issue here. Fulham is off a 5-3 win last week plus they get Mitrovic back from his suspension which had him miss 8 matches. That said, Fulham's attack gets a key boost here and they can take advantage of a Saints club which has allowed an average of approximately 2 goals per match this season. Fulham does allow an average of 1.5 goals per match and Southampton is averaging scoring 1 goal per match on the season. So the home club should get on the board here but the Saints have allowed 2.5 goals per match last 9 matches and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here in what should be an entertaining affair with Mitrovic leading the attack again for Fulham in this one. OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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05-12-23 | Hertha Berlin v. FC Koln OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #202417: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 in FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin @ 2:30 ET - Hertha Berlin is currently in last place in the table but they defeated FC Koln 2-0 in the prior meeting earlier this season. That said, this is a payback spot for the hosts and FC Koln did win each of the two prior meetings by a 3-1 final each time. A similarly high-scoring match here getting to 4 goals would not surprise me either. That said, this one could come in surprising fashion though. FC Koln has been in solid current form but Hertha Berlin is desperate for points in the table as they hope to avoid relegation. They will have to score plenty to compete here though because the visitors have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per match in their road matches this season. As for FC Koln, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match on the season. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Hertha Berlin has some momentum courtesy of a 2-1 win in most recent match and their last 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. FC Koln has one shutout loss in last 5 matches but scored an average of 2.2 goals in the other 4 matches. OVER 2.5 in FC Koln |
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05-12-23 | Sepsi v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - Rapid is off a an embarrassing loss at Farul and will be ready to respond here after the 7-2 loss. While I do expect them to respond on their home pitch, I also expect Sepsi to put up a good fight. Sepsi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals scored in those matches. However, of course Rapid is favored for a reason here and that is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Rapid has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 4 matches and that is since a 2-0 loss to Sepsi. They will seek revenge for that defeat here but also Rapid has allowed 2 or more goals in 5 of last 8 matches! Per the above, you can see why plenty of scoring is to be expected in this one and why this total sits at 2.5 goals rather than the more common 2 in this match. OVER 2.5 in Rapid |
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05-11-23 | AZ Alkmaar v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #235605: Europa Conference League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs AZ Alkmaar @ 3 ET - AZ Alkmaar plays in the Dutch Eredivisie league and of course West Ham United is in the English Premier League. AZ Alkmaar has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their league games this season. They also enter this match off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by scoring 8 goals in 3 matches across all competitions. West Ham has been much stronger outside of league play plus they have the home pitch edge here. Note that West Ham has averaged 2.2 goals per match in their last 17 matches outside of league action. They have been great in these other tourneys and are playing with a lot of confidence and are favored heavily here for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as both teams have the scoring trends to support some scoring here but I also expect the Hammers to be particularly dangerous at home in this one. OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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05-10-23 | Inter Milan v. AC Milan OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League Wednesday OVER 2 in AC Milan vs Inter Milan @ 3 ET - Defensive grinder is the expectation here so I am not surprised we are seeing a 2 on this one. The fact is that this is a great value for the over because reports I am reading suggest we are going to see more attacking than others are expecting here. Look for a bit of an aggressive style in this match-up. Note that prior to the 1-0 Inter Milan win in February, the last 3 match-ups between these clubs all totaled 3 or more goals. Note that AC Milan has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches. Each of their last 6 matches have totaled 2 goals. AC Milan has scored an average of 1.5 goals in their last 4 matches as a host. Inter Milan is what really helps push this toward an over. They have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 6 matches! That is not the average total for those matches, that is just what Inter Milan has averaged. Those 6 matches have averaged about 4 goals and Inter Milan had a 3-3 draw in most recent Champions League action. Look for Inter Milan to push the attack in this one and force AC Milan to respond. This is going to result in more scoring here than many were expecting. OVER 2 in AC Milan |
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05-09-23 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Real Madrid is without a key defender as Eder Militao will miss here due to suspension. Manchester City is without a key defender here as Nathan Ake suffered an injury and did not even travel for this match. That said, these are two very strong clubs that are dangerous on the attack and I feel very confident about this one getting to at least 3 goals. Note that Real Madrid has allowed 2.2 goals in the last 4 matches but scored 2.5 goals per match in the last 11 matches! Manchester City is well-known as a juggernaut on offense this season but also note they have conceded in 3 of last 4 matches. City will be aggressive here but Real Madrid has the weapons and the speed to make that dangerous for City on the counter-attack. That said, I am looking for plenty of goals here and note that each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. I would not be surprised to see 4 here and certainly feel good about getting to at least 3 with nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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05-08-23 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #206861 Monday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 2 ET - Raining in Bucharest today but I still like the over here and expect conditions to be okay with the FCSB field. FSCB is chasing Farul at the top of the play-off table and they just watched Farul put on a 7-2 thrashing of Rapid. I look for FCSB to be particularly relentless on their home pitch tonight as they look to replicate that performance. I am not saying they will do that but I do expect them to be aggressive at home here. Sepsi is at the bottom of the play-off table and playing quite loose as a result. Even though Sepsi has scored in 7 straight matches, they have also conceded in 5 of last 6. In those 7 matches, however, Sepsi has scored a solid 1.4 goals per match. Sepsi, however, in the 5 matches in which they conceded have allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match. FCSB is looking for a breakout type effort here and that is the type of match I am expecting with plenty of scoring. FCSB has seen 8 of last 14 matches total at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged about 8 goals. Their most recent home match was a 2-1 win over Farul and they are happy to be at home for just the 2nd time since mid-March. They will make the most of it and I sense and offensive explosion here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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05-08-23 | Everton v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Brighton vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - Brighton needs points in the table as they have a tough closing schedule to the season. That said, they will want to leave no doubt here and will be relentless on the attack. Remember, before last week's 1-0 win over Man U, Brighton had scored 6 goals in a huge home win over Wolverhampton. This is a dangerous club that is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season and now they take on a relegation threatened Everton club. Certainly Everton is going to bring an intense effort as a result but they can not stop anyone. Everton has had 3 of last 4 matches total at least 4 goals. Also, the the last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 5 goals. A similar result here would not surprise me in the least. OVER 3 in Brighton |
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05-07-23 | CS U Craiova v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -52 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 goals -140 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2 ET - The value of an over 2 is a big one here. Yes we lay a little extra juice for that but consider the facts entering this key match in the play-off stage of the season. Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Also, each of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Additionally, CFR Cluj is off a high-scoring 3-1 road loss. Prior to this, in looking at CFR Cluj matches in Liga 1 action, they have seen straight matches as a host total at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged totaling 3.3 goals apiece. OVER 2 goals -140 in CFR Cluj |
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05-07-23 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Manchester United @ 2 ET - Both clubs off negative results and this should bring out the best in each of them here as this is a key match for each. Man U is trying to retain a top four spot in the league while West Ham is trying to avoid the relegation zone which they have now been slipping toward. Man U is allowing about 2 goals per match on the road this season while West Ham is conceding about 1.5 goals per match on this season. I like the fact both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and both clubs also likely to score given those numbers above. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final as West Ham also gets a boost with the return of some players who had been ill and missed the match with Man City. Also, it looks like Man U will get a boost with the return of teen phenom Alejandro Garnacho. Man U won the last meeting between these clubs 3 to 1. West Ham has seen each of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and these have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. More of the same here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United |
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05-07-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200021: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle is scoring an average of 2 goals per match at home this season. Arsenal is scoring an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. A 2-2 final actually would not surprise in the least here. Both clubs have not been the defensive forces they were earlier this season. Arsenal did get their attack going on offense again in the 3-1 win over Chelsea. As for Newcastle, they have continued to roll and can take advantage of an Arsenal backline that has been impacted by injuries as the season has gone on. The fact remains though, the Newcastle backline has not been what it once was either. Look for a wide open affair with goals here as both clubs are confident right now in their attacks. Both clubs have been consistently scoring and conceding for many weeks now. Newcastle's last 9 matches have averaged 4 goals and only 1 totaled less than 3 goals. Arsenal, similarly, has seen last 15 matches average 4 goals and only 2 of the 15 totaled less than 3 goals. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United |
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05-06-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206845: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 in Farul vs Rapid @ 2:30 ET - Farul is a big money line favorite here and favored by -1 on the goal line. Taking this info and Farul's long-term domination as a host, I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here. Rapid should make the net ripple at least once as they have averaged scoring 1.5 goals last 26 matches. Farul has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match in their last 15 matches. One could argue, based on the above, that this should get to 4 goals so certainly expecting 3 is not asking too much. This should be an entertaining affair with a lot of scoring opportunities for each club. OVER 2.5 in Farul |
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05-06-23 | Brentford v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200017: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 in Liverpool vs Brentford @ 12:30 ET - Liverpool off a tight 1-0 win versus Fulham last week but low-scoring matches have been the exception rather than the norm for the Reds of late overall and all season long as a host. Overall, Liverpool's last 5 matches before that one had averaged 5 goals apiece. Also, the Reds had averaged scoring 3 goals per match last 7 at home heading into that one. Brentford has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match last 14 matches. Liverpool huge favorite here for a reason of course and yet you can see why the Bees can be expected to make the net ripple as well in this one. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one! OVER 3 in Liverpool |
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05-06-23 | Leeds United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200013: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - This one will get ugly for Leeds but of course that is why City is favored by 2 to 2.5 goals on the goal line. I feel the best way to play this one is the over. Leeds might get a bit of a new manager bounce after the change at the top and Allardyce being brought in. However, the 68-year old manager did himself no favors whatsoever in comparing himself in the exact same category as managers like Klopp, Arteta and Guardiola! Now he faces Guardiola and the best team in the league. You don't think Guardiola is aware of the comments? You don't think he will put a whipping on the manager that thinks he is just as good as he is when he has no business making such a comment? Even at the risk of allowing some goals, City (who is so strong at home by the way) is going to be aggressive on the attack in this match. They will be relentless and I expect plenty of scoring as a result! OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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05-05-23 | Schalke 04 v. Mainz OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #202581: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 -135 in Mainz vs Schalke @ 2:30 ET - Mainz is off a frustrating 3-0 loss and I am sure they are going to be relentless on the attack here at home as a result. However, Schalke is trying to avoid relegation. They need all the points they can get. They can not just sit back and hope for a win. They need goals. Schalke has struggled to score goals on the road all season long and I am well aware of that. However, the key here is the desperate situation and the fact that Schalke has some momentum from scoring 7 goals in last 3 matches and picking up a couple of home wins. As for Mainz, they are still alive for a top 6 spot despite last week's disappointment and, prior to that loss, had averaged scoring 2.2 goals last 4 matches. Also, in matches on their home pitch, Mainz has averaged 2.3 goals scored in last 6 matches. Schalke has allowed a ton of scoring all season long and they are in trouble here but must put up a fight. We should see the visitors make the net ripple at least once but Mainz could also get this total all by themselves given the situation. OVER 2.5 -135 in Mainz |
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05-05-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -115 in Chindia Targoviste vs Petrolul 52 @ 1:30 ET - Chindia has no draws in the 6 matches in the play-out stage and Petrolul has just one draw in their 6 matches and a solid 4-1-1 record that has them tied for 1st in the play-out standings. Chindia is battling to stay safe from relegation. Petrolul played home matches in this venue too so, even though Chindia is the host here, it still feels like home for the visitors too. The point about the lack of draws above is that if we expect each club to score and we know odds have been just 1 out of 12 for a draw for these clubs combined in the play-out stage, you have strong odds on at least a 2-1 final here. We get extra value too because this total is posted at a 2 in the markets. Strong play for me here as a result. Chindia has scored at least 1 goals in 6 of last 7 matches as a host and has averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 6 matches. Chindia has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. The two matches between these clubs this season each totaled at least 3 goals and those 2 averaged 4 goals. Petrolul has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and averaged scoring 1.3 goals in those 6 matches. More of the same here as we get yet another over between these two nearby foes. OVER 2 -115 in Chindia Targoviste |
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05-04-23 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #200177: English Premier League Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - These clubs just played out to a scoreless draw in the English FA Cup which was decided on penalty kicks. Even off that 0-0 match this total is still posted at 3 goals. Why do you think that is? Indeed you can expect plenty of scoring here as 3 of their last 4 meetings before that totaled at 3 goals. Also, Brighton enters this one off a 6-0 win and their last 6 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and only one totaled less than 3 goals. Manchester United has averaged 1.6 goals scored per match last 5 matches in league action. On the season they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their road matches and Brighton has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their matches as a host in league action. So consider all that and then consider that Brighton is the favorite in this one. It is set up to be at least a 2-1 final the way I see it but I am expecting at least 4 goals as both clubs pushing very hard here given the current situation in the table. They want those full 3 points and so often you see much different results when clubs just meet after a recent match. So after that 0-0 battle watch this one go crazy. OVER 3 -120 in Brighton & Hove |
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05-04-23 | Sheffield United v. Huddersfield Town OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200281: English League Championship Thursday OVER 2 -135 in Huddersfield Town vs Sheffield United @ 2:45 ET - Huddersfield Town has scored an average of 1.6 goals last 5 matches. They need at least a draw here to lock up being safe from the relegation zone. This is a rivalry match however. Sheffield United, though already having locked up promotion to Premier League, has been playing very well and will be playing loose here with no pressure. I expect goals here as these are nearby rivals and Sheffield has been going strong and has averaged scoring 2.8 goals in last 4 matches in league action. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here but the fact that the hosts would benefit from a draw means the value of an over 2 is a good one since 1-1, in theory, is a possibility. However, based on how the visitors can play wide open here and force the hosts to score, I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. OVER 2 in Huddersfield Town |
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05-03-23 | Fulham v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200169 Wednesday OVER 3.5 +115 in Liverpool vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Liverpool, based on the goal-line for this match is expected to win this one by at least a 2-goal margin. Fulham, based on Liverpool's recent trending certainly should be expected to allow at least 1 goal. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final when I look at this match. The Reds have scored 43 times in 16 home matches this season and only Arsenal and Manchester City have scored more as a host. That is pretty good company as those are the #1 and #2 clubs in the league this season. Liverpool had one scoreless draw versus Chelsea in the last 7 matches but their other 6 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Fulham played out to a 2-2 draw the last time these clubs played. Fulham has scored 19 goals in last 14 matches so they can score here. They just will not be able to score a surging Reds club that won 4-3 last week. Another wild one likely here. OVER 3.5 +115 in Liverpool |
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05-03-23 | West Ham United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200173 Wednesday OVER 3 -135 or 3.5 +125 in Manchester City vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - There is even some over 3 available at this one at higher juice. I would recommend over 3 as the top choice and then over 3.5 as a great second option since it has a big plus money. Manchester City actually off a lower-scoring match by their standards as they won only 2-1 last week. Look for them to make up for that here with goals aplenty on their home pitch. Remember they are averaging 3.4 goals per match this season when a host. As for West Ham, they do score an average of 1 goal per match on the road and City has not shown a penchant for clean sheets of late so look for the visitors to make the net ripple here. I am forecasting a 3-1 type match though we could see much more. Manchester City has actually averaged 4.3 goals scored in their last 7 as a host. West Ham has hit a high-scoring trend too with last 5 matches across all competitions totaling an average of 4.6 goals apiece. City also well aware that Arsenal jumped them in the table yesterday. Even if City lost this they still have a game in hand over Arsenal but they should leave no doubt at home here and will push for plenty of scoring to put this one away early. OVER 3 -135 or OVER 3.5 +125 in Manchester City |
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05-02-23 | Chelsea v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #200165: English Premier League Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - I am well aware of Chelsea's goal-scoring troubles but you know they would love nothing more than to play the role of spoiler here against Arsenal. Also, this Arsenal club has not exactly been water-tight at the back right now. That is evidenced by the fact they have both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches. Arsenal's last 9 matches in league action have all totaled 3 or more goals. The last 6 matches have all totaled at least 4 goals. Chelsea has allowed at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and so Arsenal should have a big day as they look to bounce back off a rough 4-1 loss to Manchester City. However, Arsenal has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 4 games and has given up at least one goal in 7 straight matches. Chelsea will get on the board here finally as they are desperate and will be aggressive but there is no denying Arsenal in this one. OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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05-02-23 | Hermannstadt v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -127 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #206829: Romania Liga 1 Tuesday OVER 2 in UTA vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - UTA is hosting a Hermannstadt club that scored 2 goals in its last visit here. Hermannstadt won that match 2-1 and also has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches. UTA is off a 1-0 loss to Universitatea Cluj in Cupa Romaniei action last week but in the playout league action they also have struggled. UTA has allowed 5 goals in last 3 matches but they are the favorite in this match-up with Hermannstadt for a reason. Though they were shutout at home in most recent match in Arad, UTA average scoring 1.5 goals in 8 home matches prior to that. They will respond here at home but Hermannstadt has been scoring plenty of late and could again put up a 2 spot here just as they did in their last visit. That said, there is great value with this total posted at just 2 goals in this one. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here per the above. OVER 2 in UTA |
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05-01-23 | Everton v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Everton @ 3 ET - Leicester has gone 18 straight matches in league action without a clean sheet. That said, odds favor that Everton will score at least 1 goal here. Also, Leicester is favored here at home for a reason. In other words, 2-1 final at a minimum the way I see it and an upset would not completely shock me. I know Everton has been so bad and they particularly struggle to score goals on the road but there is no hiding Leicester's track record for struggling to stop the opposition. At the same time, this is a key battle to avoid relegation so each club is pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. As noted above, good reasoning (18 in a row) for expecting Everton to score here but also Leicester should deliver a huge performance on their home pitch. Leicester has 44 goals scored on the season and no club in the bottom half of the table has more than that! These guys will produce against an Everton club that is allowing 2 goals per match its last 22 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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05-01-23 | CFR Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 101 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206825: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2 goals -140 in Rapid vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - CFR Cluj just lost 3-0 in Cup action earlier this week. They are an angry bunch as they also lost their most recent match in Liga 1 action and did not score. This is rare for them and I am sure CFR Cluj will bounce back big here. The problem is they are at Rapid for this one in playoff action and you know the hosts are going to be tough to beat. I am looking for each club to score at least once and do not foresee either club being satisfied with a share of the spoils based on recent results. That said, the 2-1 final at a minimum is the expectation here but I will grab the over 2 goals with some heavy juice on the over just in case we have to settle for a push. Note that both meetings this season and 3 of the last 4 overall have totaled at least 3 goals when these clubs square off. Rapid enters this one off a 1-0 win but they had allowed 2 goals per match in the 5 matches before that. CFR Cluj, including that 3-0 loss to Sepsi, have allowed 1.4 goals per match in last 10 matches across all competitions. Both Rapid and CFR Cluj are very strong clubs in terms of offensive production but, as you can see, both allowing plenty of goals of late too. OVER 2 goals -140 in Rapid |
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05-01-23 | Luton Town v. Blackburn Rovers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #200277: English League Championship Monday OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Blackburn vs Luton @ 12:30 ET - I like the fact we get the over 2.5 here with no juice on the over. Luton has been red hot and is effectively now locked into the playoff seeding they needed as they will have home playoff match now but also can't catch the #2 spot for an automatic promotion. So we could see Luton make some personnel changes for this one. That does two things. One is these guys will be hungry to show what they can to plus extend a long unbeaten streak for this club. The other is that these personnel changes can lead to some miscues on the field that can lead to counterattack opportunities for the opposition. That opposition today is a Blackburn club that is hosting and desperately in need of a win. So the Rovers are going to bring it on their home pitch today I am sure. Blackburn lost 1-0 last week but that was against Burnley club that is the best club in the league. Prior to this, Blackburn had scored an average of 1.3 goals per match in their last dozen across all competitions. However, Blackburn has also allowed 1.5 goals per match in their last 10 matches across all competitions. Blackburn is a strong home club with only 3 draws in 22 matches as a host this season. That said, with needing 3 points badly and a low draw rate on their home pitch and high likelihood each club scores at least once here, you can see why I am expecting nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one! OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Blackburn |
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04-30-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200157: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham showing renewed spirit as they rallied from 2 goals down under Ryan White and that was against another heavyweight, Manchester United. Now they take on a tough Liverpool club that also has been showing plenty of life of last. Also, Liverpool has been so tough at home this season. They score goals like crazy here but also Tottenham is sure to not go down without a fight. Tottenham just can not beat these guys and Liverpool has scored an average of 2 goals per match in the last 5 meetings. There has not been a clean sheet in any of those 5 matches for either club and, keep in mind, Tottenham still without Hugo Lloris in goal. Tottenham's last 4 matches have all totaled 3 or more goals and their last 3 matches have all totaled 4 or more goals. Liverpool's last 4 matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and the first three in that stretch all totaled at least 4 goals. This should be a very entertaining wide open match given the current situation for each club as well as the history in their match-ups. Liverpool again scores well on these guys but Tottenham, very hungry, is sure to answer. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool |
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04-30-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #200141: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in Manchester United vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - With Emery patrolling the sidelines, Aston Villa has scored at least 1 goal in 20 straight premier league matches. This is a streak since he took over the reins so it is quite impressive to say the least. You can see why one can feel confident in Aston Villa making the net ripple given numbers like that. The other key here is that Manchester United is, of course, favored for a reason. That said, this one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final. I am expecting 4 or more here as each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have topped the 4-goal mark! The most recent meeting totaled 6 goals. 10* OVER 3 +110 in Manchester United |
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04-29-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -59.5 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206813: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi vs Farul @ 2:45 ET - Farul off a 1-0 victory last week but that was preceded by 4 of 5 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Farul has scored 1.7 goals per match last 6 matches. Sepsi needs to respond on their home pitch after a tough run in the play-off. They are off a 3-0 win Wednesday over CFR Cluj in the Cupa României so they certainly bring some momentum into this match. 12 of last 16 Sepsi matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals as they also beat CS Mioveni 4-1 in their first match-up in the Cupa României earlier in April. Sepsi has scored 1.7 goals per match last 15 matches across all competitions. You can see why this total is posted at higher than 2 but also why there is solid value with this total in terms of the over and expecting at least 3 goals given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi |
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04-29-23 | Botosani v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - Petrolul Ploiesti has revenge for a 5-0 loss to FC Botosani when these clubs met in February. The prior match this season also topped the 2-goal mark as it was a 2-1 win for Petrolul Ploiesti. I look for the hosts to be relentless here in the revenge role and we have fantastic value with this total at 2 goals. I know that FC Botosani is off a scoreless draw last week but they had scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches prior to that. Considering that plus the revenge of Petrolul Ploiesti, you have a nice situation for goals here. There have only been 2 times this entire season, and these were many months ago, that FC Botosani was shutout in B2B games. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches and averaged 1.3 goals per match in those 7 matches. OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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04-29-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #200137: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - I know that Nottingham Forest has been so bad on the road this season but they can rally off last week's 3-1 win over Brighton & Hove and should score on the road now this week even though that is rare for them. The issue for Nottingham Forest is that they generally can not stop clubs and this has particularly been true on the road where they have been dreadful in that regard. That said, Brentford should have a huge performance here and the Bees are averaging 2 goals scored per match when on their home pitch this season. Building off the momentum of a 2-0 win over Chelsea, even though that victory was ugly, Brentford can now take advantage of a porous back line and score plenty in this one. The key is a rejuvenated Nottingham Forest desperate to avoid relegation as they are likely to find the back of the net once in this once but the hosts a big favorite for a reason. OVER 2.5 in Brentford |