Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-20-22 | Leicester v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in Wolverhampton vs Leicester @ 11:30 AM ET - I am well aware of the fact that Wolverhampton matches this season have a tendency to be some of the lowest scoring matches consistently week after week. However, the reason this total is holding at 2.5 goals in my opinion is because we actually have a solid shot at the over with this particular match-up. So grabbing the plus money on the over is the way to go as Leicester has been known for high-scoring matches particularly on the road. Leicester is allowing 2.3 goals per match away from home this season but also scoring 1.6 goals per match on the campaign. Given those numbers could we see 4 goals here? Yes we could but Wolverhampton really does tend to keep the scoring down and my forecast here is 3. Neither club settles for many draws as between the two of them they only have 10 draws in a combined 45 matches. That means we only have about a 22% chance of a draw from a statistical standpoint. That said, given Leicester's high-scoring ways I don't see them being held off the scoresheet nor being able to stop the Wolves. so the result should be at least a 2-1 final as I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +130 in Wolverhampton |
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02-19-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Tottenham @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City is scoring an average of 3 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Tottenham defeated them 1-0 earlier this season in the reverse fixture. That said, in this revenge situation, Manchester City will not hold back in piling up goals if given the chance. The fact they are facing an "out of form" Tottenham, I absolutely believe they will have that opportunity. Of course this is why City is such a massive money line favorite in this match. Where we get the best value, in my opinion, is with the total. I do not expect Tottenham to be held off the scoresheet but I expect the hosts to be relentless on the attack here. The result should be a 3-1 type match here and that gets us the money with the least amount of risk here. Tottenham has scored a total of 5 goals in last 4 Premier League competitions against City while also conceding 3 times in the last meeting in Manchester. Look for a huge effort from the hosts and they dictate the pace of this one which will be an aggressive attacking one after the 1-0 loss way back in August. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-15-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United has been a bit disappointing of late to say the least. This club still has so much firepower though and they are at home and I am envisioning a breakout effort which will lead to a high-scoring match here. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs has totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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02-13-22 | West Ham United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
EPL King Power Blowout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs West Ham @ 11:30 AM ET - This one takes place at King Power Stadium in Leicester and I am expecting plenty of goals in this one! The last 6 meetings between these clubs have all totaled 3 or more goals. Additionally, Leicester matches are averaging about 3.5 goals apiece this season and West Ham matches are averaging 3 goals each this season. Leicester is allowing an average of nearly a full 2 goals per match this season which is a big part of the reason they are so far down the table. While I expect their struggles with conceding goals to continue, I also expect the hosts to put up a fight on their home pitch. Leicester is averaging scoring 1.7 goals per match at home and I don't see either club having a clean sheet here nor either club settling for a share of the spoils here. Leicester has had only 2 draws in 11 matches this season and West Ham has had only 4 draws in 24 matches this season. Given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester |
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02-12-22 | Manchester City v. Norwich City OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 120 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Norwich City vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City has won the last two meetings 5-0 but those two matches were as a host. The last time they visited Norwich City they lost 3-2 and this was recent enough that it is fresh in their minds. Manchester City wants to make sure they don't let that happen again. I am looking for a 4th straight time that a meeting between these clubs totals 5 or more goals and the good news is we need only 4 goals to be a winner here. Norwich has some extra confidence here as they enter this match unbeaten in their last 4 overall plus knowing the last time they hosted City they got the victory. That said, I do expect Norwich to find the back of the net at least once in this one but the trouble is they will not be able to stop the strongest team in the league and I look for Manchester City to put on a clinic in this one and score a pile of goals. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Norwich City |
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02-10-22 | Leicester v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
EPL USA Network TV Rout Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Leicester @ 2:45 ET - Liverpool is the highest scoring club in the Premier League this season and averaging nearly 3 goals per match. I know they have also been very strong defensively and particularly this is true at home. However, it will be tough to produce a clean sheet hosting a Leicester club known for its attacking style and having averaged scoring nearly 2 goals per match this season. Could we see a 3-2 type match here or a 4-1 match? Absolutely! Note that Leicester has a leaky defense and allows plenty of goals and that is why their road matches have seen them combine with their opponents for an average of 4 goals per game. Leicester's manager is an ex-manager of Liverpool and I have a feeling the heavily favored hosts want to not only win this match but to put an exclamation point on it! That said, I see this one getting over the total with an exciting attacking style being the theme for both clubs in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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02-09-22 | Southampton v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
EPL TV Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Southampton @ 2:45 ET - Tottenham scoring 1.6 goals per match at home this season and Southampton allowing 2.2 goals per match on enemy soil. Given those numbers don't be surprised if Tottenham finds the back of the net at least twice in this one. As for Southampton, I certainly do not see them remaining without a goal in this match-up. Tottenham has allowed 1.2 goals per match and Southampton is scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. Tottenham has not produced a clean sheet in any of their last 6 matches across all competitions. Southampton, in their last 11 matches across all competitions, has featured only ONE time that either they or their opponent were held without a goal. Also, 10 of their last 13 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two clubs has totaled 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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02-08-22 | Everton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 103 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Newcastle does struggle to score goals overall but they are better when they are on their home pitch. Also, they are hosting an Everton club that is not too far above them in the table and has been a disappointment this season. Look for both clubs, also bolstered by some recent additions in terms of personnel, to play this match with a lot of energy and to be more aggressive on the attack. There is some reason for optimism right now for each club based on some recent developments and we should see a spirited match with more scoring opportunities than you might have otherwise expected. Each club pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here and does not want to settle for a draw and a split of the spoils. I also don't foresee either club producing a clean sheet so that means we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. Everton concedes about 2 goals per game on enemy pitch and Newcastle conceding about 2 goals per game on their home pitch this season. Both clubs would like to stop the bleeding but the scoring chances will again be there in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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01-22-22 | Manchester City v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - The last time these teams met the result was a scoreless stalemate. Yes indeed, a 0-0 draw! Yet the total on this rematch is 3.5 which looks fishy, does it not? Exactly! Here is how I see this playing out. Manchester City is the proven best club in the premier league this season. City is on a 12-match winning streak in the league and averaging about 3 goals per match during this hot run. After getting embarrassed by being held scoreless on their home pitch earlier in this campaign, City is not going to take their foot off the gas here. They are going to be very aggressive and score many goals in my opinion. At the same time, Southampton is not going to be held off the scoresheet on their home pitch in my opinion. I am looking for a 3-1 match here but would really not be surprised at all to see much more scoring than that. Southampton may try to play a defensive style at first and go with a 3-5-2 formation but once they get down a couple goals they will have to adjust their style and I would not be surprised to see a lot of goals here as a result. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton |
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01-21-22 | Norwich City v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Watford vs Norwich City @ 3 ET - Norwich City has allowed 2.5 goals per match as travelers this season. Watford has allowed 2.2 goals per match on their home pitch in this campaign. So each club should manage at least 2 goals here, right? Not necessarily but I do feel the leaky defense of each club certainly helps our cause here and with each club going hard for the full 3 points in the table here we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Neither wants to settle for a draw here as they are both near the relegation zone. Also, note that Watford is off a 1-1 draw but, prior this, 3 of last 4 matches across all competitions totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, two of those totaled 5 goals. As for Norwich City, 3 of their last 4 matches in Premier League action have totaled 3 or more goals. Both clubs also playing with a little extra confidence here as Watford picked up a point by virtue of a draw in most recent match and now are on their home soil for this one and Norwich picked up a victory and the full 3 points in their most recent match. Even with some absentees for each club in this one (injury/covid/Africa Cup of Nations) we should a rather spirited affair in this one and it totals 3 or more goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in Watford |
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01-19-22 | Manchester United v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Brentford is going to push hard for all 3 points in the table at home. Manchester United is unlikely to deliver a clean sheet as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. At the same time, Man U is certainly favored here for a reason. That said, I see no reason this match does not get to at least 2-1. Note that Brentford is conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season and now host a highly talented group of attackers as they face Manchester United. The good news for Brentford fans is they have won 4 matches on home soil this season and this club plays with confidence when on their home pitch. Brentford will be on the attack but Manchester United off a high-scoring 2-2 draw and I fully expect a similar result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford |
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01-18-22 | Chelsea v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - With Chelsea off a disappointing loss to Manchester City I could see them being a little deflated here at the start of this one. Brighton & Hove should at least be good for one goal in this one and might get more because Chelsea's #1 goalkeeper is currently at the Africa Cup of Nations. So they are down to their #2 defending the net but Chelsea still has plenty of firepower to score some goals of their own here. Prior to the 1-0 defeat versus City, Chelsea had scored an average of 2.5 goals their last 4 matches. Brighton & Hove scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches across all competitions and will bounce back here from a 1-1 draw versus Crystal Palace. Ironically they also had a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea in their first match of this campaign 3 weeks ago. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one and am happy to have the plus money with the over here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-15-22 | Manchester United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - I know these clubs just played to a 1-0 final in Manchester United's win in the FA Cup Monday but I am looking for more goals in the rematch. Note that Manchester United has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight EPL matches and Aston Villa's recent low-scoring ways had a lot to do with the opponents they faced. Even with that Aston Villa's last 3 matches in EPL action averaged 3 goals per match. If the visitors concede at least once here - and the odds favor that happening - but if they still find a way to win (they are favored with good reason here) then we are looking at a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. That said, a total at 2.5 goals and about a pick'em price either side of the total is an excellent value in my opinion. Manchester United still has a lot of doubters and is out to prove they can make a march up the table. The hosts here also with plenty to prove as they have lost 3 straight matches. The point is both clubs very hungry for the full 3 points in the table! So, as an example, if this match gets knotted up at 1 apiece it is simply highly unlikely that either club sits back and plays for a draw. That is just happening here. So look for at least a 2-1 result here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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01-11-22 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
EPL USA Network TV Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Brentford @ 2:45 ET - Southampton carries high-scoring momentum into this match after 3-2 win over Swansea City in the English FA Cup featured a lot of late scoring. Brentford also rolling with scoring confidence after a 4-1 win over Port Vale which was also an English FA Cup match. Although Brentford recently had some struggles with scoring goals in recent matches that had a lot do with a stretch of matches against Chelsea, Brighton & Hove, and Manchester City. If you average what those clubs are allowing per match this season it is 0.80 goals. As for Southampton, also dealing with injury issues at right-back at the present time, the Saints are allowing about double that at 1.5 goals per match. The point is that Brentford is going to have an opportunity to build off momentum here as they also did win most recent Premier League match 2-1 over Aston Villa after the aforementioned tough 3-match stretch. As for Southampton, prior to high-scoring victory over Swansea, the had played to a 1-1 draw against Tottenham but the was preceded by a 7-match stretch in which 6 of the matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact those 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Looking for a similar result here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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01-03-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United builds off their 3-1 win over Burnley. They finally seem to be responding well to Ralf Rangnick as their interim manager has now had more time at the helm and the players are starting to get comfortable in their roles. Wolverhampton's struggles continue as they have not played in two weeks and could be rusty here. The reason I feel this will translate to an over here is because the hosts are going to force the pace of play in this one. I am well aware of the fact that Wolverhampton is known for playing low-scoring matches but Manchester United, on their home pitch, will be dictating the flow of this game. The hosts were aggressive in their 3-1 win over Burnley. In their prior match, a 1-1 draw with Newcastle, both clubs had a lot of quality scoring chances and saw good opportunities for a much higher-scoring game. Now, after the breakthrough versus Burnley and taking on a rusty Wolverhampton club here, look for a very aggressive attack from Rangnick's club. The result should be plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United |
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01-02-22 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a 1-0 defeat and Chelsea off a 1-1 draw. After those low-scoring matches, and knowing Chelsea is a bit depleted defensively on the injury/covid front, I like the over in this one. Liverpool's road matches have averaged totaling nearly 3.8 goals apiece this season while Chelsea's matches on their home pitch averaging 3.1 goals each. Liverpool scores 2.8 per match on the road and Chelsea scores 2.3 per match on their home pitch. I know Chelsea tends to play lower-scoring matches but Liverpool is going to force the issue here. The visitors will be particularly aggressive coming off a 1-0 loss and knowing the hosts are a bit depleted defensively. Liverpool will be on the attack here which should lead to good opportunities on the counter-attack as well in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea |
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01-01-22 | West Ham United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been strong as a host this season and is scoring an average of 1.8 goals on their home pitch. West Ham averages a respectable 1.6 goals scored per match on enemy soil. I feel we have excellent line value here with the low total posted on this one. This is particularly true when you consider that each of West Ham's last 3 matches across all competitions have totaled 3 or more goals including the last two, each in Premier League matches, each totaling 5 goals. Each of Crystal Palace's last 4 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same expected here on New Year's Day! 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-30-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Burnley @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United's home matches have averaged 3.4 goals this season. Their recent matches have been lower scoring but they are ready to bounce back large after a disappointing draw against Newcastle United Monday. Burnley is known for lower-scoring matches but they have not played in 2 and 1/2 weeks and that rust is something the hosts will exploit and attack and that leads to plenty of goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-29-21 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - City is on fire scoring a ton of goals as they have won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 5.7 goals per match. Manchester City can certainly get this total all by themselves based on the way they have been playing but Brentford should contribute as well. The hosts are off a loss in which a clean sheet was delivered to them but they had scored 2 goals in each of their two prior matches in league action. Look for 1 to 2 from the hosts here and look for the visitors and front-runners in the league to continue their torrid scoring pace here. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford |
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12-28-21 | Liverpool v. Leicester OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Leicester vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool averaging 3 goals scored and 1 goal allowed per road match this season. Leicester will struggle to stop the aggressive Liverpool attack. However, Leicester is on their home pitch and they themselves have averaged 2 goals per match when on home soil this season. This one could get quite crazy as Leicester is off a 6-3 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged a total of 6 goals apiece! Liverpool's last 2 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals apiece and I just can't see this one today finishing with anything less than 4 goals. 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Leicester |
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12-27-21 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Manchester United is now back and healthy and that is bad news for Newcastle United. That should translate to plenty of goals here as Newcastle matches, particularly on home soil, have been trending to very high scores this season. We get some line value here because Manchester United off some tighter lower-scoring games but this situation has the makings of being very high-scoring. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3.7 goals this season. Manchester United matches averaging 3.1 goals this season. Each of the last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled 4 or more goals. The hosts also enter this one having surrendered 3 or more goals in 3 straight matches. More of the same expected in this game as do note that the visitors have been unable to produce a clean sheet against these hosts in each of last 4 meetings. The home team finds the back of the net at least once in this one but the visitors run wild here! 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle United |
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12-26-21 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 3 ET - I like the extra value we can get here with the plus money on the over 2.5 available as high as a +130 in this one as of about 6 hours before it gets underway on Sunday. Yes I know Brighton & Hove has endured a long winless drought but they get some guys back here and I look for them to make a big push for the full 3 points in the table in this one. That said, I also do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match so this is another one of those instances where I can comfortably forecast at least a 2-1 final here. Brentford's matches away from home have averaged totaling 3 goals apiece as they score an average of about 1.5 goals but also allow an average of 1.5 goals when on enemy soil. The hosts are the favorite in this one for a reason and given Brentford's history can you really expect Brighton to deliver a clean sheet here? Exactly! You can not! So we should see at least a 2-1 final here as each club works hard to get on the board and then works even harder to get the full 3 points and pull a little farther away from the relegation zone. 10* OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-19-21 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - With Tottenham playing for the first time in two weeks as covid continues to wreck havoc with scheduling, you know Liverpool is going to be on the attack early and often. The visitors will be looking to catch the hosts a little rusty in this match. Liverpool has been on an incredible goal-scoring tear and has averaged 3.3 goals per match on enemy soil this season! Though Tottenham has not scored as well overall this season, they are still averaging 1.4 goals per match when on their home pitch this season. Both matches between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals last season. The Hotspur have been better recently too. Though they have not played in 2 weeks now their 4 matches leading into the unwanted break have seen them score an average of 2 goals per match across all competitions. As for Liverpool, they are the highest scoring club in the league thus far this season. 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
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12-18-21 | Arsenal v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
EPL NBC Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Leeds has allowed an average of 4 goals in last 3 matches. However, in the two matches before the embarrassing 7-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester City they did score two goals in each match. Arsenal enters this one having scored an average of two goals in last 5 matches. Arsenal also has scored an average of 3 goals per match in last two versus Leeds United. However, the hosts are sure to respond off the embarrassing loss in their most recent match and that is why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. Keep in mind, Arsenal is allowing an average of 2 goals per match on enemy pitch this season while the hosts have averaged 2 goals per match overall thus far this season. This is another one of those matches where I expect neither club to produce a clean sheet and I also do not foresee either club settling for just 1 point in the table via a draw. In other words, we should see at least a 2-1 final at a bare minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United |
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12-16-21 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Day Smash Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - The visitors are going to sneak up on the hosts in this one. Newcastle is off a 4-0 loss in their most recent match and I know they have struggled to score goals on the road this season but Liverpool is going to get caught being overconfident here and I am sure the visitors sneak through for a goal or two in this one. At the same time, the hosts had been on an explosive high-scoring stretch before some recent lower-scoring matches. That said, after being frustrated by a hot goalie for Aston Villa in their tight 1-0 win Saturday, look for plenty of goals in this one as Liverpool faces a Newcastle club that just allowed 4 goals on Sunday. The last two matches between these clubs were surprisingly low-scoring but prior to that their matches have trended over in a big way. That trending resumes here and we see plenty of offensive fireworks in this one. Keep in mind, the hosts are scoring an average of 3 goals per match this season and the visitors, as rough as their campaign has been, are averaging a goal per match this season. Looking for at least a 3-1 final here but would not be surprised to see much more as Liverpool is just in front of Chelsea and just behind Manchester City in the table and will not take their foot off the gas here and will leave no doubt in this one as to who the superior foe is in this match-up. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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12-15-21 | Southampton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 120 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Crystal Palace vs Southampton @ 2:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been playing well on their home pitch and has had some nice scoring outputs recently. Their 3-1 win Sunday was the 2nd time in 5 matches in which they have scored 3 goals. Southampton has a leaky defense and shaky goaltending right now and the recent increased attacking style from the hosts should pay big dividends here. As for Southampton, they should bounce back on the attack after being shutout 3-0 in most recent match. The visitors had scored a total of 3 goals over their prior two matches and overall that was the 4th time in 5 matches that a Southampton affair has totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here as I don't see Crystal Palace being stopped here but Southampton won the last meeting 3-1 and has scored 2 or more goals in 2 of last 3 meetings. So goals should flow better than most are expecting here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Crystal Palace |
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12-14-21 | Leeds United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation - 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - I know this total is at a 3.5 and of course would prefer it at 3 but I think we'll see at least 4 goals in this one! Leeds is off a 3-2 loss to Chelsea and this was preceded by a 2-2 draw versus Brentford. Leeds United is allowing 2 goals per match on enemy pitch this season but their attacking ability also showing signs of life in recent matches. Manchester City should have a strong performance here after a nail-biter 1-0 win versus Wolverhampton. Manchester City is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season and should get to 3 or more here. Last season they managed only 1 goal in each match against Leeds United and certainly want to make up for that here as one ended in a draw and the other in a defeat for Manchester City. With all the firepower they have on the attack and the fact that Leeds United has a leaky defense, look for the hosts to take advantage in a big way in this one. I am expecting a 3 to 1 or perhaps even wilder 3 to 2 or 4 to 2 match here. I know Manchester City has been so stingy in terms of goals allowed but Leeds has scored 2 in back to back matches and one of those was against Chelsea and plus they had success against City last season. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-12-21 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 11:30 AM ET - Neither one of these clubs has delivered a clean sheet in any of their matches dating back to early last month. That said, looking for at least to find the back of the net once and with these clubs sitting at 13/14 in the table, neither one wants to settle for just a draw here. I am expecting at least a 2-1 battle. Crystal Palace has allowed 1.8 goals last 4 matches. Everton has conceded 2.2 goals last 4 matches. The hosts have struggled recently in the goal-scoring department but being on their home pitch and facing a foe that has struggled a bit should lead to some much more positive results in this one. Everton enters this one off a 2-1 win also so the visitors will have some momentum heading into a match they certainly view as winnable despite the longer odds here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-11-21 | Manchester United v. Norwich City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
EPL NBC Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Norwich City vs Manchester United - Norwich allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season. However, I also do not expect the hosts to be shutout on their home pitch. Norwich has averaged scoring about a goal per match when at home. They have been rejuvenated a bit with Smith at the helm. Likewise Manchester United got a boost with Rangnick at the helm. I know the latter's first premier league contest since he took over was a low-scoring 1-0 victory. However, Rangnick's design is to be aggressive on the counterattack and even his 4-2-2-2 formation is structured that way. With that said, I am expecting a lot of goals in this one. I feel the visitors are in search of that big victory to prove Manchester United is back to being the club they are use to being. That said, I expect an aggressive effort here and they will not hesitate to take advantage of the club that the very bottom of the table. Norwich, as noted above, should find the back of the net at least once. Either way, this one finds it way to at least 3 goals as I fully expect the visitors to put on a strong display in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Norwich City |
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12-10-21 | Watford v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
NBCSN Annihilation Friday EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Watford @ 3 ET - Key factors for this one are leaky defense which means neither club likely to deliver a clean sheet and also there is strong evidence we will not see a draw in this one. Why? Well the odds are in our favor because Watford has only had 1 draw in 15 matches this season. Brentford has had only 1 draw in 7 home matches this season. As you can see, strong support for expecting at least a 2-1 final here. Not only from just a statistical standpoint either because one should also consider the situational factor that both these clubs are currently in the lower half of the table and Watford is just above the relegation zone. This is a key match that each club views as a winnable opportunity and a match where going all out for the full 3 points is of the utmost importance. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford |
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12-05-21 | Leicester v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Day Game - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Leicester @ 11:30 AM ET - Leicester is the only club, other than Manchester United, to have both scored and conceded at least 22 goals thus far in Premier League competitions. In other words, when Leicester is involved, one can comfortably expect goals to be scored. Aston Villa has played much better under the direction of Steven Gerrard and I expect that to continue here. But I also expect Leicester to give them all they can handle here. Leicester enters this one having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches across all competitions and they have averaged 3 goals per match during this stretch. The visitors also have conceded 2 or more goals in 3 straight matches in Premier League action. The hosts are looking to respond here after a 2-1 defeat and that loss was to a tough Manchester City club. Look for Aston Villa - had scored 2 goals in each of 2 prior matches under Gerrard's direction - to respond big with a huge effort on their home pitch here. On the season their home matches have averaged 3 goals and I expect at least a 2-1 final in this one. Given all of the above a clean sheet is unlikely and with each club expected to get a goal but the 3 points being so critical in this one - Leicester 3 points in front of the hosts in the table entering this one - I expect a huge effort in going for the victory and this one finds it way to 2-1 at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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12-04-21 | Manchester City v. Watford OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 115 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - 10* Top Play OVER 3.25 goals in Watford vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Look for plenty of goals here as Manchester City is so dangerous on the attack and now have Grealish and Foden back on the pitch as well. City has been a scoring machine of late including on the road and the fact this match is at Watford makes me like it even more. Manchester City have scored 2 or more goals in 6 straight matches across all competitions and Watford is surely going to do their best to put up a fight here. However, the hosts will have to rely on their attacking abilities because their defense is certainly a major concern. No club, other than winless Newcastle, has shipped more goals on their home pitch than Watford. Overall, the hosts are allowing 2 goals per match on the season but also average scoring nearly 1.5 goals per match. I do not expect the hosts to get blanked and I also expect the visitors to put at least 3 to the back of the net. Manchester City has scored an average of 4.6 goals per match in their last 5 meetings with Watford and all of those were victories as you would expect given those amazing numbers. Also, City enters this match averaging a solid 2.5 goals per match last 6 matches overall and Watford's last 3 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals per match. This is an ideal match-up for the visitors to really put down the hammer and I feel strongly that they will show no mercy and will be on the attack throughout this match. 10* OVER 3.25 in Watford |
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12-02-21 | Arsenal v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - On their home pitch and with interim manager Michael Carrick set to hand the reins over to Ralf Rangnick after this match, I look for Manchester United to be a little more aggressive on the attack. Arsenal is having a solid season thus far but their defense certainly is not impenetrable as evidenced by allowing about 2 goals per match on the road this season. By the way though, Manchester United has allowed about 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. We only need a 2-1 match here to cash a winning ticket and I am expecting at least that. I know these clubs have a history of low-scoring matches but the key here is the situation and I also expect Cristiano Ronaldo to return to the lineup as if a fire is lit under him for the home club and he will be a playmaker in this one. Manchester United is off a 1-1 draw and, with their slow start to the campaign, they really need to start picking up the full 3 points in their matches and that means a little more aggression on the attack is going to be required. I look for more of an attacking style in this one to set the tone for a high-scoring affair with each club finding the net at least once and neither one being willing to settle for a draw so look for a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-01-21 | Liverpool v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 111 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
EPL - NBCSN Blowout Rout - 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Everton vs Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - We are getting line value here because these rivals have a history of lower-scoring matches when they meet. However, I just do not see this red hot Liverpool club being slowed down. They have revenge from a 2-0 loss in their last match with Everton. Keep in mind the prior meeting was a 2-2 draw so we did see plenty of scoring in that one. As for what to expect in this one, I like the fact that Everton is averaging 1.7 goals per match on their home pitch this season and Liverpool is conceding an average of 1 goal per match on the road this season. Given those stats you can see why it is reasonable to expect Everton to find the back of the net at least once, even in this revenge situation. As for Liverpool however, they are the ones I expect to go absolutely crazy in this one as they get their revenge and they get it in style. Liverpool, within the Premier League matches, has now scored 3.3 goals per match last 10 matches. Also, across all competitions, Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 17 straight matches! You have to go back to an August meeting with Chelsea to find the last time Liverpool did not record at least 2 goals. Of course we need 4 or more to be a winner here as 3 will be a push but note that 8 straight Liverpool matches within Premier League competitions have totaled 4 or more goals. That trend continues here as Everton has some defensive shortcomings the visitors can exploit, but again, the hosts should be good for at least one goal here in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Everton |
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11-30-21 | Crystal Palace v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace @ 3:15 ET - Crystal Palace used to be known for their low-scoring ways and getting involved in many defensive low-scoring matches but that just has not been as prevalent this season. In fact, Crystal Palace is averaging 1.5 goals per match on the road this season. Trouble is they are allowing 2 goals per match away on enemy pitch this season. Leeds United will be ready to take full advantage of that as they need a victory on their home pitch. I look for them to respond off a disappointing result as Leeds is just above the relegation zone at this 1/3 point in the season and coming off a goal-less stalemate against Brighton & Hove. Crystal Palace has conceded 5 times in last two matches but also has scored an average of 2 goals last 4 matches! There were 7 goals scored in the two matches between these clubs last season. More of the same expected here as Leeds responds after being held scoreless last week but the visitors continue their attacking high-scoring push. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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11-28-21 | Manchester United v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -121 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United is known for having strong attackers but this club also has a mediocre midfield and a defense that has been a bit depleted. Rest assured, the #1 club in the table is going to take advantage of this and score well here. Chelsea has scored an average of 3 goals per game when on their home pitch this season! We are getting line value here with this total set rather low because of recent meetings between these clubs trending to low-scoring matches. This one looks different for sure. Manchester United is in the midst of a managerial switch and will be a rejuvenated club looking to make a statement by being ultra-competitive in this match. To do so they will have to emphasize their top talent on the pitch and the strength of this club is, no doubt, up front. Manchester United is averaging 1.7 goals per match thus far on the campaign and they could surprise Chelsea early here but I expect the hosts to come roaring back against visitors known to struggle to protect their own goal. That is why I foresee at least a 2-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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11-27-21 | Southampton v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Early TV Rout - 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Liverpool vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 16 straight matches across all competitions. Southampton is averaging a goal per match this season. You can already see why I am expecting this match to get to 2-1 at a minimum. But we need a little more to cash this ticket. Can we get that 4th goal at least? You bet! Liverpool has been an incredible tear and each of their last 7 matches within premier league competition have totaled at least 4 goals! The average score of those matches 3.4 to 1.3 or an average of 4.7 goals per match which is, of course, anything but average! Look for a 3 to 1 type final here as the high-scoring trend continues. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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11-21-21 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham - The first premier league match under new manager Antonio Conte was a scoreless draw two weeks ago. After that result, look for the Spurs to emphasize the attack a little more in in this one. Each of the last five meetings between Tottenham and Leeds have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes both matches last season. Leeds also has had trouble finding the back of the net of late and is further down the table then they would like to be and know they must start scoring more and increase their shots at earning the much-needed full 3 points in the table. Look for the strategy employed here by each club to be more conducive to scoring. I know these have been two of the lower-scoring clubs in the league thus far but also, looking at their goals allowed totals for the season, you can see why I am expecting this one to get to the 3-goal mark and I will take advantage of the low total posted on this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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11-20-21 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - OVER in Liverpool - This is the big one Saturday. Taking center stage as Arsenal has surprised early this season and now pays a visit to league heavyweight Liverpool. The issue I have here with Arsenal is they always tend to struggle with Liverpool plus the hosts come in angry off a loss to West Ham. That 3-2 defeat marked the 6th straight time in a Premier League match that a fixture involving Liverpool totaled at least 4 goals. I am expecting that streak to reach 7 in a row here. Liverpool wants to respond off defeat but also note that the hosts have surrendered 2 or more goal in 4 of last 6 matches in league action. Arsenal is on an 8-match unbeaten run and have averaged 2 goals per match their last 8 fixtures across all competitions. So the hosts are favored by 2 to 1 odds for a reason here but the visitors are poised to get on the scoresheet once if not twice and you can see why I am expecting a high-scoring match in this one. OVER in Liverpool |
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11-07-21 | Liverpool v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
TV Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in West Ham United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 ET - West Ham is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Liverpool is scoring an average of 3 goals per match. Liverpool is scoring a ridiculous average of 4 goals per match when on enemy soil this season. These are not match totals these are club totals! You can see why I am expecting 5 goals to be scored here and a 3-2 type match given the above. Both these teams like to attack and West Ham will be boosted in this one by being on their home pitch. Also, West Ham can take advantage of a Liverpool group of midfielders dealing with injury issues. That will make it a little easier to break through to a Liverpool defense that certainly has not been impenetrable this season. These clubs have met twice in calendar year 2021 and the matches combined for 13 goals for a 6.5 average. Look for a very entertaining fixture here. If you like goals this should prove to be a great one to tune into. 10* OVER 3 goals in West Ham United |
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11-06-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle @ 1:30 ET - Newcastle has conceded 23 times this season and only league-worst Norwich City has surrendered more goals. Newcastle also has been distracted by the managerial search and that appears to only just now be settled with the appointment of Eddie Howe. With all the distractions I again look for the visitors to struggle in this one but, prior to the shutout defeat at the hands of league-leading Chelsea, Newcastle had scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches. Newcastle has allowed an average of 2.3 goals per match this season and 3 of last 4 fixtures have totaled at least 3 goals. Brighton & Hove has seen each of their last 3 fixtures total at least 4 goals and they have allowed 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. You can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. The winner has potted at least 3 goals in each of the last two meetings between these clubs and I am expecting these clubs to combine for at least 3 in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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11-05-21 | Aston Villa v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Aston Villa @ 4 ET - Aston Villa is allowing about 2 goals per game on the road this season but this is also a club that is averaging about 1.5 goals per game. That said, the value is with the over in this one. Southampton has been playing better of late but is also off of facing some weak competition. I look for Southampton to be surprised here by an Aston Villa club that is better than their record suggests. That said, I also expect the visitors to go all out for the win here as they have but 1 draw in their 10 matches this season. That means value with the over here because it is highly unlikely that either club delivers a clean sheet here and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here which, of course, would cash our ticket in this one. Aston Villa tends to play higher scoring games and I do expect the visitors to be the ones controlling the tempo in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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11-01-21 | Everton v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Wolverhampton vs Everton @ 4 ET - I know Everton has been out of form so to speak but they get a key attacker back for this match and I expect them to be aggressive here on the road. Everton has plenty of confidence as they have enjoyed success in recent battles with Wolverhampton. The key for the hosts here is they have been in strong recent form but must start scoring more goals if they are going to start getting some victories on their home pitch. That said, I feel strongly that both clubs are going to be aggressive on the attack in this one and we should see it get to 3 goals as a result. Look for each club to score at least once and neither one wants to settle for a share of spoils in this fixture. That is because currently only 1 point separates the two clubs in the table. That said, look for a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. The last meeting between these clubs saw only 1 goal scored but that followed 4 straight meetings that each tallied at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Wolverhampton averaging 1.8 goals last 5 fixtures across all competitions. Everton's last 12 fixtures across all competitions have seen 8 of them total at least 3 goals and I look for this one to get to at least the 3-goal mark as well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Wolverhampton |
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10-31-21 | West Ham United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Certainly West Ham has been the hotter team of late but I do expect Aston Villa to respond on their home pitch here. I know West Ham has been tough to score against of late but I don't see Aston Villa being shut down as a host here. The concern for the home club here is they continue to struggle on defense in front of their goalkeeper. That has led to giving up a lot of goals of late. Complicating matters for Aston Villa is that goalie Martinez has just recently gone home to Argentina to tend to personal matters. Martinez has been charged with plenty of goals of late due to leaky defense in front of him and, now with even more on his mind as well, the visitors should find the back of the net early and often in this one. But look for the hosts to match them goal for goal in a match in which I would not be surprised to see at least a 2-2 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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10-30-21 | Chelsea v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Chelsea @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle has made a managerial change and I know they are trying to shore things up defensively. However, Chelsea has simply been too strong on the attack and they will not let up here. In fact, Chelsea has been getting involved in higher scoring matches for quite some time now and I do not expect that pattern to end here. Newcastle has scored well this season and this has been particularly true on their home pitch. So I do expect them to score at least 1 goal here but I do expect Chelsea to prevail which would mean nothing less than a 2-1 final and that cashes our ticket. The reality is the visitors could push this match over the total all by themselves and that truly would not be too much of a surprise. They have shown a knack for "pouring it on" in recent matches and will be unlikely to show any mercy here. Either way, getting this total at a 2.5 is a solid bargain and I will not hesitate to invest in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle |
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10-24-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United has scored an average o 2.5 goals in matches on their home pitch this season. Liverpool has scored an average of 3.5 goals in matches on the road this season. Both these clubs are loaded with attackers and, try as they may, the defense of each club will struggle in trying to fully stop the potent attacks they are facing in this one. Sometimes these teams have matched up and then it doesn't live up to the expected onslaught of goals but given the current state of the attacking unit of these clubs and Salah versus Ronaldo having ability to make headlines here, look for a very entertaining affair here. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester |
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10-23-21 | Manchester City v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - I do not see Brighton & Hove been held without a goal on their home pitch here. At the same time I do not see Manchester City being denied the full 3 points points in the table in this one. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here and that would cash our ticket. Brighton & Hove's fast start in this campaign has been helped by scheduling and they take a major step up in level of opponent for this one. That said, City will not hold back either. Incredibly, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 5 or more goals in 5 of last 11 matches! This City club can score goals in bunches and I am expecting more of the same here in what is a statement game for them since these two clubs are so tight in the standings right now. The visitors will not hold back here but the hosts find the back of the net too. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove |
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10-22-21 | Aston Villa v. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - Arsenal is off a 2-2 draw but this was preceded by allowing just one single goal over 4 matches! Aston Villa also is off a high-scoring match that was preceded by stifling defense. Prior to a 3-2 defeat, Aston Villa allowed a total of only 3 goals over 4 matches. Also, there has been a clean sheet in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs and that includes a pair of 1-0 victories for Aston Villa which is the type of result I feel is likely in this one. 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal |
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10-18-21 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - I know Arsenal has been playing much better in the defensive zone for quite some time now. However, they are still a very strong club on the attack too when they want to be and Arsenal enters this match off a scoreless draw. After that 0-0 final with Brighton & Hove two weeks ago, I look for Arsenal to be very aggressive on the attack in this one on their home pitch. Prior to that low-scoring match, Arsenal - across all competitions - had scored 3 goals in each of their prior two matches. Also, 4 of Crystal Palace's last 5 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. Crystal Palace is known for giving Arsenal some trouble so I do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match. Look for this to be a very competitive match that ends with at least 3 goals (perhaps a 2-1 final) Monday afternoon. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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10-17-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle does tend to fare better in the goal-scoring department on their home pitch and there is renewed enthusiasm with the changes at the top of the organization that just took place. Also, Tottenham has allowed 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 away matches. The Hotspur also have some issues on defense which the hosts can take advantage of. However, Newcastle has been dreadful defending their own goal thus far and is allowing an average of 2.3 goals per match. Do not be surprised, given the above, if each club gets to 2 goals in this one as the odds certainly seem to favor that. With that being said, we have excellent line value here with this total at just 2.5 goals and I will lay the very fair price on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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10-16-21 | Chelsea v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford - Chelsea is a machine right now and sitting at the top of table. Chelsea is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. I know Brentford was known for lower-scoring matches earlier in the season but look at what they have been doing of late. Brentford, across all competitions, has scored 2 or more goals in 4 straight! In fact, thanks to a 7-0 win outside the league during this 4 match stretch (other 3 were league games), Brentford has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 4 matches! Chelsea is 3-1 last 4 matches in league action and scored 3 goals in each of the 3 victories! I do not see either team being held off the scoresheet here and, as a result, am expecting nothing less than 2-1 final here as you know Brentford will be gunning hard for the upset but the scoring talent of these visitors can not be underestimated. It is why the travelers are favored by 1 goal on the spread (goal line) for this match. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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10-03-21 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a battle of heavyweights in the Premier League. I know match-ups like this can sometimes turn into grinders but I expect plenty of scoring in this one. Liverpool has been in fantastic form and is averaging 2.5 goals per match this season to lead the league in scoring. Manchester City is not far behind as they are averaging 2 goals per match. I know City is known for their tough defense but Liverpool is simply playing at a phenomenal level on the attacking side of things. At the same time, I doubt Liverpool is going to shut down City as the other end of the pitch either. Just a lot of firepower on the attack for both of these clubs and this total opened up at a 3 in many spots. The ability to turn a final result of 3 goals from a push to a win, after some downward line movement has moved this total down to a 2.5, has me elevating this play to my highest level on Sunday. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool |
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10-02-21 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
NBC National TV Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Part of what has fueled the recent Arsenal surge is their health on defense and that would tend to point one toward an under. However, the confidence in the back-end has actually fueled a surge on the attack going the other way. Arsenal has been extremely impressive on the attack and has scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions including 3 goals in each of the past two. As for Brighton & Hove, they have scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions and have averaged 1.5 goals during this stretch while Arsenal has averaged 2 goals during this stretch. I don't see Arsenal settling for a draw either as they look to notch a 5th straight victory. That said, per all of the above you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. The victor has tallied 2 goals in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs and I expect at least that here with a 2-1 tally being the most likely result. Arsenal pushes the pace again here but Brighton fares well on their home pitch also. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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09-26-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - These two clubs have been two of the lowest scoring clubs in league action so far this season. In typical contrarian fashion that has me on the over here. The reason is because when these rivals match up you can often throw logic out the window. The fact is this should be a spirited and entertaining match-up and the health of Arsenal is now much better than it was earlier this season. We get a low posted total here because of the trending of these two clubs early this season but I am looking for nothing less than 2-1 final in this one and that would cash our ticket. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs in league action have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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09-25-21 | Liverpool v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford - On the surface this would look like an under. Brentford has conceded just twice in five matches while Liverpool has conceded only once in five matches. However, there is so much more than meets the eye here at first glance. Brentford has faced a rather easy set of fixtures thus far and this includes a number of clubs that are having major goal-scoring issues early this season. Now they host a Liverpool club that has scored 3 goals in each of its last 4 matches across all competitions. Prior to this 4-game stretch they scored only 1 but it was against Chelsea and is the only goal Chelsea has conceded this season! Also, they scored 2 against Burnley and that is a club that is known for playing tight, low-scoring defensive-minded matches. The point is we have a lot of value here with a low total of 2.5 when you consider the firepower the Liverpool attack has! Also, Brentford has averaged 2.6 goals per match its last 5 matches and should at least find the back of the net once as a host against Liverpool. Even if they do not, they are not going to be able to stop the Liverpool attack in my opinion and I am looking for the visitors to score at least 3 in this one as they will want to make a statement. Brentford only got elevated to the league this season and they have played an early season schedule filled with clubs that just are not scoring well. This has led to the strength of their defensive play being over-estimated. This total should be higher than 2.5 and I will not hesitate to step in and take advantage and go with my highest rated play here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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09-19-21 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
EPL 9* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United - Manchester United and West Ham have been two of the highest scoring clubs in the league thus far. Look for more of the same here. Manchester United is ready to go on the attack here after a disappointing 2-1 loss to the Young Boys outside premier league activity in their most recent match. Man U has a long unbeaten streak in road matches but faces a West Ham club that is firing on all cylinders right now. Even though West Ham will be without Antonio here, the hosts have plenty of firepower and I do not see either club delivering a clean sheet in this one. Also, both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table and will not settle for a draw and a sharing of the spoils. That said, look for at least a 2-1 final here and this cashes our ticket. 9* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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09-18-21 | Everton v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa - Everton has been rolling big-time under new direction of a former Liverpool manager. They have piled up goals with their new attack and are averaging 2.5 goals per match. This will be an intriguing fixture however because Aston Villa is on their home pitch and certainly not going to back down here. Aston Villa is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season as a host. Last season Aston Villa also averaged 1.5 goals per match. We are getting some line value here because Everton was not a high-scoring club last season but they are a different club this season since changing managers. This should be a highly entertaining match as both clubs will be aggressive on the attack. Everton, as the travelers here, will look to force the issue on the road and I look for their attacking style to lead to a high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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09-17-21 | Leeds United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle - Both these clubs conceding goals in bunches so far in this campaign. In fact, Leeds and Newcastle are the two worst clubs in the league thus far in terms of goals allowed. That is one key factor here and then there is this one too: Leeds had no draws in 19 league road matches last season. So if each club scores at least once and Leeds is unwilling to settle for a draw (odds certainly favor that) then you can expect to see at least a 2-1 final here. The fact is Leeds likes to attack and is willing to risk defensive shortcomings by being aggressive on the attack. With that said, we should see plenty of scoring here. Newcastle showed some fight in their battle with Manchester United last week and I certainly see them having some success against the leaky defense of Leeds. That said, we have a ton of value with this total in the 2.5 range. Newcastle's home matches averaged totaling 3 goals last season and Leeds road matches averaged totaling 3.5 goals last season. I am expecting quite an entertaining match here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle |
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09-13-21 | Burnley v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton - I am well aware of the fact that Burnley struggles to score goals. It has been their M.O. for a few seasons now as they just try to turn matches into grinders and hope for the best. However, Everton is not going to let that happen here. Under the direction of Rafael Benitez, this club has been rejuvenated. Everton has already scored 7 goals in 3 matches and they have scored at least twice in each match. Here is the key to the over though. Everton could be flat here. I really believe we are going to see some issues for this club just like we saw when Tottenham battled Crystal Palace early Saturday. Tottenham had been rolling and winning key matches and then came out flat and lost 3-0. I am not expecting a clean sheet for either club though here. Everton will score but I am looking for Burnley to find some leaky defense to their liking here as Everton makes the mistake of underestimating here. Keep in mind, Burnley won here 2 to 1 last season and a similar result here would not be a surprise. Either way I am looking for at least 3 goals here because this has proven to be a favorable match-up for Burnley in recent seasons and I feel they will again catch Everton at the right time to make this match a dandy and it sees 3 or 4 goals as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton |
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09-12-21 | Liverpool v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER 3 goals in Leeds United - Liverpool is off to a hot start and has already scored well early this season. The match against Chelsea, as you would expect with the Blues stingy defense, was a low-scoring battle. Other than that though, the Reds have impressed on the attack. As for Leeds United, that is what they are known for - to be aggressive on the attack. Being a host for this one I expect some extra aggression from Leeds on the attack as they are desperate for their first win of the new campaign. It has been two draws and a defeat thus far for the host and they can not afford to just sit back and think that will change their fortunes. This club is best when they are on the attack. Of course this often does carry some risk at the other end. Checking the numbers from last season, Leeds matches averaged 3 goals. As for Liverpool, they averaged 2 goals per match as travelers but Leeds averaged 1.63 goals per match on the season. You can see why I am expecting 4 goals here which would give us the win but even 3 goals gets us a push which is not the desired result but certainly a nice safety net here too. Just the way Liverpool has started and knowing what Leeds is capable of on the attack, I am looking for a 3-2 finish or a 2-2 draw here. Should be quite the entertaining affair given the scheduling factors as Liverpool ready to be turned loose on the attack after being bottled up by Chelsea in their league match before the international break. 10* OVER 3 goals in Leeds |
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09-11-21 | West Ham United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton - West Ham United has not produced a clean sheet in 8 straight road matches. Southampton has not produced a clean sheet in 14 straight matches overall in league action. Considering that plus the fact West Ham's matches have averaged 5 goals this season and Southampton's matches have averaged 3.3 goals this season, you can see why I am comfortable with the over in this one! Strong odds that each club gets on the scoresheet based on the above and certainly neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 draw. That being said, look for at least a 2-1 final here but truly I am expecting 4 or more goals here. West Ham is a club not afraid to risks and go all in offensively but this does tend to expose their weaknesses defensively and the hosts more than capable of taking advantage here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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08-29-21 | Manchester United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NBC Sports Network Rout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - I know that Wolverhampton has yet to score this season but they have generated over 40 shots on goal and they are going to get their just deserve soon enough. In fact, Manchester United has not delivered a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches across all competitions. In other words, look for Wolverhampton to get on the scoresheet finally in this one. However, I am looking for a 2-1 type match. These clubs always tend to have tight matches decided by a single goal but Manchester United has incredible attacking talent. After a 5-1 win in week 1 was followed by a disappointing 1-1 draw in week 2, look for the visitors to be on the attack early and often in this match-up. The incredible signing of Ronaldo (though he will not play until after the international break) is a big momentum boost for this club as well. I look for the visitors to ride the positive wave of momentum here but I also expect the Wolves to put up quite a fight and all those chances they have been generating on the attack are finally going to yield some results. In fact a 2-1 type match is really my minimum estimate here. Look for a 3-2 type match as this one should prove highly entertaining at both ends of the pitch with plenty of quality chances. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton |
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08-29-21 | Watford v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Early Striker - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Watford @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham his a heavy home favorite here for a reason. However, after opening up the season with back to back big wins, could the Hotspur overlook a newly promoted team like Watford? I do believe so and I feel Watford will find the back of the net at least once but Tottenham will ultimately prevail. Of course that puts this match at nothing less than 2-1 final which cashes our over ticket. I know Tottenham has been involved in low-scoring matches of late but with the international break on deck and with only Crystal Palace on deck in their next match after the break, I look for the Hotspur to be aggressive on the attack here. Watford will be forced to play the same style and, after all, what do they have to lose? Watford can take a run at Tottenham by trying to push hard for that first goal in the match but ultimately the Hotspur have too much attacking talent. Especially with the Harry Kane saga finally resolved, the home club should score plenty in this one and truly could end up getting this match over the total all by themselves. Look for a much more wide open match than the first two Hotspur matches this season. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham |
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08-28-21 | Southampton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Great set-up here as this is the only match between two winless clubs on Saturday. Both clubs will go very hard to get the full 3 points here in the table and yet I do not foresee either club being held off the scoresheet. In other words, the likelihood of at least a 2-1 game is quite likely here. Newcastle has allowed an average of 3 goals per match on the young season and Southampton has allowed an average of 2 goals per match. The Saints have allowed an average of 3 goals per match in their last 6 matches on enemy pitch in league action. Newcastle has scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 home matches in league action. Southampton off an 8-0 win in English Caraboa Cup action and will fare well here in the goal-scoring department as they are loaded with confidence. However, I do not foresee them slowing down Newcastle at St James Park. In fact, the last 3 meetings here have all been won by the hosts and all have totaled 3 or more goals with the average being 4 goals per match. I am expecting 4 in this one but 3 more gives us a winning ticket and I feel we have strong value here. No club allowed more goals on the road than Southampton last season. Only 2 out of 20 clubs allowed more goals at home than did Newscastle last season. Look for this one to see plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United |
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08-23-21 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
NBCSN Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in West Ham United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - West Ham opened the season with a 4-2 win and, dating back to last season, have won 3 straight matches and scored at least 3 goals in all 3 matches. The total on this game is sitting at 2.5 goals and, in theory, you can see why West Ham could arguably get this game over the total all by themselves. However, the travelers from Leicester certainly should enjoy some success in terms of finding the back of the net in this one. I know they scored only one goal last week but it was all the needed in the 1-0 victory but they will need more this week so they will have to be aggressive on the attack. Leicester has been involved in lower-scoring matches recently including a pair of club friendly matches last month and an English FA Community Shield match earlier this month. However, when Leicester matches up with West Ham it tends to be goals aplenty and I do expect the home club to dictate the pace here as well. The last 5 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and the average goals scored was 4 per match. More of the same here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in West Ham |
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08-21-21 | Norwich City v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
TV Total Annihilation - 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Manchester City vs Norwich City @ 10 AM ET - After being shutdown by Tottenham in a low-scoring 1-0 battle last week, I do not see Manchester City letting up here. They should score plenty and could get to this total all by themselves but look for Norwich City to find the back of the net at least once and there is a reason Manchester City is a massive favorite on the money line in this match. In other words 3 to 1 or 4 to 0 or 4 to 1 are all logical finals for this one. 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Manchester City |
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08-15-21 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Of course these are two of the best clubs in the league and they are equally strong on defense as well on the attack. Those balanced attributes are what helped lead to successful campaigns last season for each club. That said it is hard to argue against the strengths of the defense and goalkeeping of each of these clubs. However, I like all the Harry Kane drama surrounding this match-up and the fact that Tottenham made some key offseason acquisitions to strengthen their club plus they have a new head coach in Nuno Espírito Santo and he had enjoyed success at Wolverhampton. Manchester City averaged scoring 2.2 goals last season and Tottenham averaged 1.8 goals per game. That totals 4 goals and while I do not necessarily expect that many here I do feel we should get at least 3. Just so much firepower for each club and I do not see either team being shutout. Nor do I foresee either team being willing to settle for a draw. That said, if this game gets to 1-1 each club will be gunning hard for that 2-1 win and will be willing to take some risk by being aggressive on the attack. A lot of positive dynamics for an over in this one in my opinion. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham |
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08-14-21 | Liverpool v. Norwich City OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
NBC Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Norwich City vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Liverpool known for some crazy high-scoring matches to begin new seasons and last year was no exception. This season they are on the road at Norwich City and I am aware that the last time these clubs met was a 1-0 Liverpool win. However, 3 of the 4 prior meetings totaled at least 5 goals and I would not be surprised to see today's match do the same. Liverpool finished last season well but they know they were fortunate to have some help from other clubs in the way things finished out. That said, they want to do a better job of having strong early season success this year and I expect them to view this as a statement match. In other words, Liverpool will be strong on the attack throughout this game and will not take their foot off the gas. Norwich City, though at home, also fully realizes they are a bit outclassed here. That said, they will not be able to stop Liverpool but they have some talented forwards that will be a little extra aggressive on the counter-attack which should lead to a goal or two for a club that was very impressive last season and certainly earned their promotion to the premier league for this season. Look for an entertaining affair with plenty of scoring to wrap up Saturday's slate of matches. 10* OVER 3 goals in Norwich City |
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05-23-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 3 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
Total of the Year - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leicester vs Tottenham @ 11 AM ET - I do not see Tottenham laying down here in what could be Harry Kane's final game with them. Plus the Spurs are angry off a defeat in their most recent match and the Hotspur would love to play the role of spoiler. Additionally, this match is still important to Tottenham for purposes of qualifying for a Europa League spot in the table by finishing at at least seventh! Leicester is still hopeful of a top four spot but is behind Liverpool on goal differential. The difference is so great that Leicester's better hope would be a Chelsea defeat but that is not likely either. That said, Leicester just needs to go strong here and try to score as many as they can in this one. The fact is Tottenham is going to put up a fight as well and these clubs are each averaging about 1.8 goals per game so I do like our chances for a very high-scoring match in this one. This one likely to get to 5 goals in my opinion but certainly should see at least 4 and we only need 3 to avoid a loss. I'll take it! 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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05-16-21 | Sheffield United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Sheffield United @ 2 ET - Sheffield certainly can play loose and relaxed as they were the first club relegated and have had a very rough season. The result of this should be plenty of goals in this one. Sheffield, as you would expect, has been one of the worst clubs in the league as far as goals allowed this season. Also, Sheffield can take advantage here of an Everton club which has been one of the worst in the league in terms of goals allowed on its home pitch this season! We have talked here before about this type of scenario and I feel it again leads to value in a spot like this. That is, I do not see Sheffield going without a goal here. I also do not see heavily favored Everton as not finding a way to win this match. That said, we should be looking at a 2-1 final at the very least and that would put us into the win column with this one. Sheffield has shipped 6 goals in its last two matches. Everton has gone 5 straight home matches without a clean sheet and has allowed 2 goals in 4 of those 5 matches. Look for this one to surprise and see more goals than you would expect even though Sheffield usually struggles to score. I feel strongly they will not have that same struggle today plus Everton should score very well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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05-15-21 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - With no further threat of relegation, Brighton can play loose and relaxed here. That makes for a dangerous dog but I still not see the hosts as being able to stifle a West Ham club that is desperately trying to get all 3 points from this match as they still have hopes of a top four finish in the table. That said, each club should get to a goal here and I certainly do not see either club being willing to settle for a 1-1 draw. Both clubs will be going hard for all 3 points here. Interestingly, Brighton has never lost to West Ham in 7 matches in the premier league. What have they got to lose here? Nothing of course so they will go strong here but I also expect West Ham to be relentless here in terms of pressure. Yes West Ham has been delivered a clean sheet in 2 of last 3 matches but one of those matches was against defensive-minded Chelsea. Prior to the 1-0 defeat versus Everton, West Ham matches had totaled at least 3 goals in 5 of last 6. In fact, those 5 matches averaged nearly 5 goals per match. With that said, I am looking for a surprisingly high-scoring match here. The hosts, now with no threat of relegation, do enter this one having scored 3 goals in last two matches and I expect more of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton |
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05-14-21 | Manchester City v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Newcastle United vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - With Manchester City having locked up the #1 spot in the table for the season and with Newcastle United confirmed safe from relegation, this match should be played rather relaxed. What has been noticed with Newcastle is they are playing much better since the pressure is now off. That said, the hosts are likely to give Manchester City a challenge here and score at least 1 goal if not more. But ultimately the visitors, even with resting a couple guys for what lies ahead in other competitions, will prove to have too much firepower and should score plenty here. Manchester City is motivated to extend their winning away run and they have been phenomenal as travelers here. However, Newcastle is on a 3-1-1 run and has averaged scoring 2 goals in these 5 matches. Manchester City got stifled by Chelsea in most recent match but this followed 3 straight matches in which they had scored 2 goals in each. Also, Manchester City has averaged nearly 3 goals per match in last 4 meetings with Newcastle across all competitions. 10* OVER 3 goals in Newcastle United |
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05-13-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NOTE: This match was rescheduled from earlier this month but my original write-up still holds true. In fact, with Chelsea losing yesterday, this actually gives Liverpool a little more hope in terms of staying alive for a top four spot in the table while Manchester United can be aggressive on the attack here knowing they are very nearly already locked into the #2 spot in the table as the campaign is winding down. Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 3:15 PM ET - ORIGINAL WRITE-UP: Always a big match-up, the first one in the league action this campaign was a scoreless draw. I feel strongly that this is serving to give us excellent line value with the total in this one. Both clubs are pretty well set in the table with perhaps Liverpool having a little extra hunger but knowing that the chances of them moving into the top four rest somewhere between slim and nil! That said, there will be a little more aggression on the attack in this one from both clubs and Liverpool has been showing much stronger away form over its last 7 league matches on enemy soil. Also, on the campaign, Manchester United has averaged 2 goals per match in home matches and Liverpool has averaged 2 goals per match on the road. 2-2 final here? Certainly would not totally surprise me and we just need 3 goals here to be a winner. Manchester United has scored 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 matches across all competitions and actually scored an average of 3 goals in those 6 matches! When these clubs met in English FA Cup action in January it was a 3-2 win for Manchester United. Liverpool's recent matches heading into this one have featured some tougher luck in scoring goals but the opportunities have been there. That said, and given this situation, Liverpool will be relentless in their quest for cashing in those opportunities in this one. 10* OVER the total in Manchester United |
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05-11-21 | Crystal Palace v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Crystal Palace @ 3:15 ET - With no pressure on either club, I am expecting a rather wide open match here. Southampton is now safe from any relegation threat courtesy of Fulham and West Bromwich both losing their matches to join Sheffield United as the 3 clubs that have been relegated for next season. As for Crystal Palace, they are higher in the table than Southampton but not high enough to have any real incentive to move higher. The point being that both clubs play with no pressure here and I expect plenty of good scoring opportunities as a result. Southampton has Danny Ings very close to returning and he might even be back for this game. Also, the hosts should have Takumi Minamino back for this one after he missed the match with Liverpool. Southampton will be stronger on the attack here as a result. The injury situation for Crystal Palace has also recently improved as well and with some fresh legs coming in for both clubs in this one, and the rather open and attacking style I expect to see in a match with no real bearings in the table, we should certainly see at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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05-10-21 | Burnley v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Fulham vs Burnley @ 3 ET - I know that Fulham struggles to score goals but their season is on the line here. Without a win here, Fulham will be relegated. That said, the hosts will be going hard for a victory and the full 3 points in the table here. Despite getting shutout by Chelsea in most recent match for Fulham, they actually nearly equaled Chelsea in terms of shots and shots on goal. It was an impressive effort though Fulham ended up with nothing to show for it. They will be more rewarded for their scoring opportunities in this one as they take on a Burnley club not exactly known for shutting the opposition down. In fact, each of Burnley's last 6 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. Those 6 matches averaged 3.7 goals and I would not be surprised to see 4 here but certainly we should see at least 3. Burnley has only 1 clean sheet in last 9 matches so Fulham will get on the board here. But I do not see either club settling for a draw here and that means we should see at least a 2-1 final. On that note, Burnley has scored in 8 straight matches and has averaged nearly 2 goals per match in their last 6 matches! Burnley has conceded nearly 2 goals per match in their last 9 matches. You can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here as both clubs go hard for the full 3 points. Fulham getting 3 points keeps their slim hopes alive for avoiding relegation while Burnley getting the full the 3 points means they eliminated Fulham plus moved themselves to safety and they would have no further worries about relegation. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Fulham |
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05-09-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
National TV Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs West Bromwich @ 2 ET - I know that Arsenal has not scored a lot of goals recently and West Bromwich is off a 1-1 draw. However, West Bromwich is still desperately trying to avoid relegation and their four prior matches all totaled 3 or more goals and actually averaged 4.3 goals per match. I feel we have excellent line value here with this total. No club has conceded more goals this season than West Bromwich. Arsenal is angry off a loss and will be ready to respond here and to be much more aggressive on the attack. West Bromwich, likewise, must be on the attack here as they can not afford to settle for a draw. They are desperately seeking 3 points in the table to keep their slim hopes alive in terms of avoiding relegation. Arsenal still has hopes to move up the table as well and their scoreless result in UEFA Europa League action on Thursday has the hosts fired up to respond here. I just do not see either team being held off the scoresheet here and I certainly do not see this match ending in a draw so we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Look for an aggressive attack from both clubs here and note that Arsenal won the reverse fixture 4-0 this season and the last 4 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3 goals. We should see at least that here as well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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05-07-21 | Newcastle United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leicester vs Newcastle @ 3 ET - Both teams gunning hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. Leicester trying to secure a top four spot and Newcastle trying to secure safety from the relegation zone. I do not see either club earning a clean sheet in this one and I do not expect a 1-1 draw either. As a result, we should see at least a 2-1 match here. Leicester is off a 1-1 draw with Southampton and that was deeply disappointing for them. They will respond here and 8 of 10 preceding matches in Premier League action had totaled at least 3 goals. Newcastle is off a disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal but that followed a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Liverpool which was preceded by a run of 4 straight matches that all totaled 3 or more goals. Also, the last 3 matches between Leicester and Newcastle have all totaled 3 or more goals. Leicester home matches averaging 3 goals this season. Newcastle's road matches have seen them allow 1.6 goals per match. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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05-03-21 | West Ham United v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
Early Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Burnley vs West Ham @ 3:15 ET - Burnley off a 4-0 win versus Wolverhampton so they will be ready to go here as they try to move further away from any threat of relegation and got a boost in confidence with the blowout win. West Ham also will be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here because they still have hopes of a top four finish. That took at hit with a 1-0 loss to Chelsea but there was no real shame in that as the defensive level of play since Thomas Tuchel took over at manager at Chelsea has been incredible. That said, West Ham will be looking for a breakout game on the attack in this one at Burnley after being stifled by Chelsea. You have read about this scenario with me before right here but again this is one of those spots where I do not expect either side to deliver a clean sheet. In other words, each club scores at least a goal. Additionally, neither team willing to settle for a draw here because each club needs the full 3 points in the table as noted above. So we should see at least a 2-1 final here and we are working with a total of 2.5 goals on this one. I will take it! Prior to the low-scoring loss to Chelsea, each of West Ham's last 4 matches totaled 5 or more goals! Additionally, West Ham entered the match with Chelsea on a run of 7 of 9 matches totaling at least 3 goals! Burnley is on a run of 5 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those actually averaged 4 goals per match. So look for plenty here as this one sets up well for plenty of offense. 10* OVER the total in Burnley |
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05-01-21 | Aston Villa v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - Yes Everton is still chasing a top four spot and does have a game in hand in comparison with Chelsea. However, with how strong Chelsea has been since the managerial change, the likelihood of them blowing their top four spot lies somewhere between slim and none! That said, neither club in this Saturday match-up is facing much pressure truly. I expect the goals to be flowing well as a result. Aston Villa's last 4 matches have all totaled 3 or more goals and have averaged 3.5 goals. Everton's matches on home soil this season have averaged 3 goals per match. The last 5 times that Aston Villa and Everton have squared off, the matches have averaged 3.4 goals. Everton is off a 1-0 win over Arsenal but their match previous to that totaled 4 goals! Overall, Aston Villa has conceded 2 goals in 4 of its 5 matches. With Everton allowing 1.6 goals per match at home this season, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here with 2-2 or 3-2 also having potential as well. Either way, Aston Villa's current form should insure this match gets to at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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04-25-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs West Bromwich Albion @ 2 ET - Aston Villa is having troubles defensively partially due to injury issues. The fact is that Aston Villa - 1-3 last 4 matches - has conceded 2 goals in each of its last 3 losses and scored 3 goals in the lone win during this stretch. Aston Villa has not managed a clean sheet in any of its last 5 matches and they themselves have only been kept off the scoresheet once in their last 5 matches. Aston Villa has had only 2 draws result from 15 matches on their home pitch this season. West Bromwich has had only 4 draws in 16 road matches this season. So the odds of a draw are slim. The odds of either club not scoring, based on Aston Villa's recent performances, are also quite slim. That explains why I fully expect at least a 2-1 final here. This match should get to at least 3 goals and we are working with a total of 2.5 goals. It has been a disappointing campaign for West Bromwich and they are desperate for 3 points in the table to keep their slim hopes alive in terms of avoiding relegation. West Bromwich has seen each of their last 3 matches total at least 3 goals and these have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. With both teams having some issues at the back we should see some nice scoring opportunities in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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04-24-21 | Chelsea v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in West Ham United vs Chelsea @ 12:30 ET - Chelsea has only won 1 of its last 4 in premier league action. Chelsea seems to be getting fatigued late in the season as they also have played matches recently in English FA Cup action and in the UEFA Champions League. This match on Saturday will be Chelsea's 4th since April 13th. To put that in perspective, the hosts in this one will be playing for just the 2nd time over the same span. Indeed West Ham is the more rested club in this one and they have been strong at home this season. West Ham has only lost 3 times on their home pitch and has tasted victory 9 times as a host in this campaign. However, the issue for West Ham is they struggle at the back and allow far too many goals. The suspension of Craig Dawson for this one certainly will not help in that regard. That said, I do expect West Ham to enjoy some success on the attack but fail to slow down a Chelsea attack that led to a 3-0 defeat in the reverse fixture earlier this season. I am aware that Chelsea has a tendency to play very low-scoring matches and I certainly respect their play defensively. But Brighton & Hove played them nearly even in a scoreless draw Tuesday and now Chelsea visits a West Ham club known for cashing in more of their opportunities as they are a much better club than Brighton of course. That is why this is a battle for a top four spot in the table and, from that standpoint, one might expect a tight low-scoring contest. However, each of the last 4 matches for West Ham have totaled at least 5 goals and certainly I expect we can get to at least 3. West Ham has BOTH scored 2 or more and conceded 2 or more in each of its last 4 games! 10* OVER the total in West Ham United |
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04-22-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs West Bromwich @ 3 ET - You have read this type of analysis from me quite often these days but I repeat it here because it applies again. Neither club wants to settle for a draw here and I do not expect a clean sheet in this match. So if each club gets a goal and there is no draw that means at least a 2-1 final here. Leicester is pushing hard for a top four finish and, after back to back losses in premier league action, is desperate for the full 3 points in the table. West Bromwich is off back to back wins and is hungry to escape the relegation zone. As slim as those odds still seem for the travelers here, they absolutely are starting to believe courtesy of the back to back confidence-boosting wins. West Bromwich has won its last two matches by a combined score of 8-2 and this included a victory over Chelsea. As for Leicester, their last 3 matches have averaged 4 goals each as they had a 5-0 win over Sheffield but lost two decisions by a combined 5-2 score. The two most recent meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals and each totaled 3 or more. Look for more of the same in what should be a spirited fixture Thursday with both clubs on the attack early and often. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester |
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04-21-21 | Manchester City v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Aston Villa vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - I understand the injury issues here but Aston Villa played very well against Liverpool in their most recent match. I do not see them being held off the scoresheet here. Aston Villa is averaging 1.64 goals per game on their home pitch this season. They get at least 1 here in my opinion but I also certainly do not see Manchester City losing this match. They are the top team in the premier league and angry off some recent setbacks. Manchester City has averaged 2 goals per match on the road this season. Aston Villa will not go down without a fight on their home pitch in this one. The result should be at least a 2-1 final and that would put us into the winners circle with this one. Each club has had only 5 draws in Premier League competitions this season and that is after 30 matches for Aston Villa and 32 matches for Manchester City. In other words, as long as Aston Villa gets a goal, which I fully expect, we should see at least a 2-1 final here as the odds of this one finishing a 1-1 draw are quite slim as you can see. 10* OVER the total in Aston Villa |
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04-19-21 | Liverpool v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Leeds United vs Liverpool @ 3 PM ET - No team in the Premier League has fewer draws this season than does Leeds. The only club in the table with less than 5 draws is Leeds with 3 and they have played 31 matches so that means, odds prevailing, there is only 10 percent chance of a draw here. That said, I certainly do not foresee Leeds not scoring here. They have won 3 straight matches and scored at least 2 goals in all 3 matches. These teams last met in September and that was a wild 4-3 final! Liverpool has scored 5 goals in its last 2 premier league matches entering into this one. The point is that getting each team to at least a goal is likely and the likelihood of a draw is slim. With that factored in we should see at least 3 goals here. That is the posted total on this game and certainly offers some security as I see this game getting to at least 3 goals but, more likely, 4 or 5. Remember the last meeting tallied 7 goals. Another high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 3 goals in Leeds United |
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04-18-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Total of the Week - EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Burnley @ 11 AM ET - Burnley has a history of performing well at Manchester United. Even though they are way down in the table, not even completely safe from relegation, Burnley keeps battling hard. Burnley has scored at least 1 goal in each of its last 5 matches but I do not see them winning this one. Hence, we should see at least a 2-1 final here and we have a total in the 2.5 range with this match. Burnley has an additional issue here in terms of stopping one of the best teams in the league in Manchester United. Goalkeeper Nick Pope is dealing with an injured shoulder and is a game time decision. Even if he plays will he be 100%? Doubtful. Also, he has a shaky line in front of him as Burnley has been struggling defensively. They have allowed 2.5 goals per match this month. Manchester United has scored 2 or more goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions. The fact is, given all of the above, Manchester United could get this match over the total all by themselves but I do expect Burnley to find the back of the net at least once in this one and at least a 2-1 match here or perhaps 3-1 final. Again, they have been competitive here so that gives some extra confidence but they will struggle to stop this opponent that will be very strong on the attack on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United |
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04-16-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Tottenham - Both clubs have been struggling recently but both still have top four ambitions in the table for a Champions League position. That said, I do not expect either team to settle for a draw here and I do not expect either team to have a clean sheet either. I know Everton is coming off a disappointing scoreless draw at Brighton & Hove but I am expecting a big response here. Everton has won both meetings with Tottenham this season (one was in English FA Cup action by a 5-4 count!) and I look for plenty of goals again here. In their 4 matches across all competitions prior to the scoreless draw, Everton conceded 7 times including 2 goals in each of 3 matches. Tottenham was held to 1 goal in their loss to Manchester United but that was preceded by them averaging scoring 2.2 goals per match in their 14 preceding games. Tottenham has conceded at least twice in 4 of last 5 matches. I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here but a 3-2 final would not be a surprise. Again, as noted above about the hopes of a top four finish in the league still being alive, neither club wants to settle for a draw here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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04-12-21 | Everton v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton @ 3:15 ET - Each club desperate for 3 points here as Everton still has two games in hand on the clubs ahead of them which they are chasing for a higher finish in the table. Certainly Everton is still very much in reach of a strong finish in the table. They need the full 3 though here. At the same time, Brighton is only 6 points clear of the relegation zone so they are not out of danger to say the least. They do not want to settle for a draw here. That said, and you have seen this discussed here before, we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. I do not see either team producing a clean sheet and I don't see either team settling for a draw. So look for this match to get to 1-1 at some point and then eventually 2-1. Either way we should see at least 3 goals in this one. Each of Everton's last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Everton is off a 1-1 draw but that was preceded by them allowing 2 goals in each of their 3 prior matches across all competitions. Also, off of the draw where allowing a late goal was an equalizer, Everton will be a little more aggressive on the attack for the full match in this one. They got burned for sitting back in their last match, versus Crystal Palace, and can not afford to make the same mistake here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Brighton & Hove |
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04-11-21 | Arsenal v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Sheffield United vs Arsenal @ 2 ET - Arsenal not known for producing clean sheets and bottom-dwelling Sheffield does score a little better on their home pitch than when traveling. That said, even though the emphasis for Arsenal is now on UEFA Europa League action, they are still too strong for this Sheffield team. In other words, we should see at least a 2-1 final here as Arsenal again fails to produce a clean sheet but I expect them to win this match. On the off chance Arsenal has a really tough time here than we could see a shocking 2-1 upset as well which is why my play here is the over rather than Arsenal. But Sheffield has some injury issues with their defense and has conceded 11 times in last 4 matches. That said, do not be shocked if it is the road team that gets this match over the total all by themselves. Arsenal has had some big scoring in road matches since the calendar turned the page to 2021 and that includes 7 goals in their last 3 matches on enemy pitch. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Sheffield United |
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04-09-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Fulham vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - These clubs do have a history of low-scoring results in recent matches when they have gone head to head. However, this is a case of each club desperate for a win and earning all 3 points in the table. That said, unless either club has a clean sheet performance the game gets to at least 1-1 and then the unlikeliness of either club settling for a draw means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Fulham has seen each of their last 3 matches total at least 3 goals. Wolverhampton is off a 3-2 loss to West Ham. That was the 2nd time in last 4 matches that the Wolves have seen a total of 5 goals scored. Wolverhampton has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of their last 11 matches across all competitions. Look for this one to get to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 goals in Fulham |
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04-05-21 | West Ham United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Wolverhampton vs West Ham @ 3:15 ET - The value of getting a 2 here is something I won't pass up on. West Ham can move into a top four position in the table with a win here but you know Wolverhampton will be doing everything they can to prevent that plus looking to avenge a 4-0 loss to the Hammers in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Note that 9 of West Ham's last 11 games in Premier League action have totaled at least 2 goals and 8 of the 9 that did actually totaled 3 or more goals. West Ham is off a 3-3 draw versus Arsenal where they blew a 3-0 lead and had to settle for a split of the spoils. While they would love to bounce back here in terms of their defensive play, West Ham has conceded at least a goal in 4 of last 5 matches and certainly did not impress in that regard against Arsenal. However, the Hammers have been scoring goals quite well and, in fact, have scored 2 or more goals in 7 of last 11 games. Also, it is absolutely worth nothing that there have been a ton of goals scored since the international break. There were 8 matches Saturday and Sunday and all 8 had at least 2 goals scored and 7 of the 8 had 3 or more goals scored. More of the same expected with this one Monday. 10* OVER 2 goals in Wolverhampton |
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04-04-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +107 in Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - Much has been discussed lately about the solid defensive play of Manchester United and that is well deserved. But this club needs to score some goals and they know it! They have been held to just 1 goal in each of their last 4 matches across all competitions. This cost them as they lost in the English FA Cup to Leicester. Look for a response here from Manchester Un4 ited as they have scored at least 3 goals in each of their last 4 matches against Brighton. We have a total of 2.5 to work with on this one and I certainly like the odds of getting past that mark here as the host has a chance to get this over the total all by themselves. However, I do expect Brighton to contribute as they scored at least 1 goal in each of their March matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 3 games last month. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and, entering this one, Brighton has seen 4 of their last 5 matches overall total at least 3 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United |
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04-03-21 | Sheffield United v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leeds United vs Sheffield United @ 10 AM ET - Sheffield has had a miserable season. So much so that manager Chris Wilder is out and Paul Heckingbottom has been ever since. Now he faces the club, Leeds, that let him go after just 4 months as a manager in the summer of 2018. He was replaced by Marcelo Bielsa and that is who he will be opposed by in today's match-up. That is an interesting dynamic and I believe both managers will be looking to one-up the other here and that insures at least a 2-1 final in my opinion. I know Sheffield has not scored much at all this season but I don't see Heckingbottom's team being shutout in this one as he'll do anything he can to put a scare into Leeds and take all 3 points. Note that Leeds is allowing 1.6 goals per match this season and Sheffield is allowing 2 goals per match when on enemy pitch this season. Sheffield has allowed 3.5 goals per match since Heckingbottom took over and Leeds will not take their foot off the gas here if they have the chance to pour it on in this one. Why? Well, Sheffield has surprisingly won their last two visits at Leeds so big-time payback is on order for this one. Bielsa and the home club will not hesitate to push the pace here and take advantage of Sheffield's defensive shortcomings. 10* OVER the total in Leeds |
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03-21-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3:30 ET - I am aware of some injury and fatigue issues impacting both clubs entering this showdown in front of the international break. However, not only do I expect we could see some surprises on the injury/fatigue front in terms of who ends up playing in this match, I also like situational edges that lean toward an over in this one. For one thing, these two clubs are right next to each other in the table so neither club wants to settle for a draw as they each are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. On that note, Tottenham has had just 3 draws in 14 road matches this season and Aston Villa has but 2 draws in their dozen matches on their home pitch this season. So with the likelihood of a draw being slim, lets talk about the likelihood of a clean sheet for either club here. I just do not see it as the last two meetings between these clubs each totaled 4 or more goals. Also, Tottenham has produced just 1 clean sheet in its last 4 matches overall across all competitions and the Hotspur allowed an average of 2 goals per match in the other 3 matches. Aston Villa has been involved in lower-scoring games of late but that has had a lot to do with who they were facing. Now they take on a Tottenham club that averages scoring 1.7 goals per match this season. Aston Villa, by the way, also averages 1.7 goals per match on their home pitch. Even with injury issues I just not see either club being held off the scoresheet here and we are working with a total of 2.5 goals. That said, with neither team willing to split the spoils here, I look for this match to find its way to at least a 2-1 final. Like I said, do not be surprised when you see how the personnel news surrounding this match ends up being a different factor than you would expect. I feel strongly that we have line value here as a result. 10* OVER the total in Aston Villa |
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03-20-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 130 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - This is similar to yesterday's lone match in EPL that ended up 2-1. I just do not see either club in this one being willing to settle for a draw. That's because they are each just ahead of the relegation zone and desperate for a full 3 points in the table. At the same time, there is little chance of either team producing a clean sheet. Why? Well Brighton & Hove has allowed 1.4 goals per match on their home pitch this season. As for Newcastle, they have allowed 1.6 goals per match on enemy pitch this season. Just like yesterday's match, don't be surprised when each team tallies a goal in this one and then it ultimately turns into a 2-1 final. Looking for at least 3 goals here and expecting a competitive battle with both clubs being more aggressive on the attack than you might normally expect. These are desperate times for each club and Newcastle's schedule of fixtures gets tough coming up so they must go for the full 3 points in this one in my opinion. 10* OVER the total in Brighton & Hove |
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03-19-21 | Leeds United v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Fulham vs Leeds United @ 4 ET - Great set up for an over here. Leeds is off a scoreless draw but they faced Chelsea. Ever since Chelsea made their managerial change they are conceding next to nothing! As for Fulham, they are off a 3-0 shutout loss but faced the top team in the league. Manchester City has conceded only 21 times in 30 matches this season! As you can see, both clubs were set up to struggle to score goals in their most recent matches. That said, look for things to open up here. Leeds has had only 3 draws in their 28 matches this season and I don't see a clean sheet for either club here. That said, the likelihood of at least a 2-1 final here is strong in my opinion. Leeds has allowed an average of 2 goals per match as travelers this season! Fulham has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match on their home pitch in this campaign. Leeds also has scored well away from home as they have averaged 1.7 goals per match on enemy pitch this season. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Fulham |