Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves +3 | Top | 119-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +3 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 5:10 ET - Both teams playing well but the Wolves are not getting enough respect on their home floor here and I am happy to grab them as a home dog in this one. Minnesota has won 9 of last 10 games and also already beat the Bucks earlier this season in Milwaukee. The Bucks are off B2B road covers but this was preceded by a 5-7 ATS stretch overall. The Timberwolves are 23-12 at home while the Bucks are 20-14 on the road this season. But due to long-term reputation of these teams this game is priced this way. We'll take advantage. Give me the points! 10* MINNESOTA |
|||||||
03-19-22 | Penguins v. Coyotes +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
10* Arizona Coyotes +1.5 goals -120 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 5:05 ET - This is a tough spot for the Penguins and they are over-valued. They are off a 3-2 win in the shootout at St Louis Thursday. That was a big win for the Pens but this Pittsburgh team is only 6-6 last 12 games and 3 of the wins were by just a single goal. That means that at -1.5 goals the Penguins would be just 3-9 last 12 games. Now they face a scrappy Coyotes team that is at home and well-rested and has been playing well. Arizona has been off since Tuesday and they have won 8 of 11 games and 2 of the 3 losses were by just a single goal. That means that the Coyotes have only 1 loss by a multi-goal margin in last 11 games. Just a ton of line value here in a non-conference game in which the Penguins will be in a fierce battle just to win this game let alone win it by any kind of margin. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 goals |
|||||||
03-19-22 | Creighton +12 v. Kansas | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAA Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* Creighton Bluejays +11.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 2:40 ET - The Bluejays have only lost 3 games since early February and 2 of the 3 losses were by a half-dozen points or less. Now Creighton is catching a full dozen points against the Jayhawks and I feel it will prove to be too much. Kansas is on a 12-4 SU run but 5 of those wins by a single digit margin. That means only 7 of last 16 Jayhawks games have been wins by a double digit margin. The last time these teams met the Bluejays fell short by just a single point. This one will not be quite that close but strong odds that they stay within single digits here as they are playing with a lot of confidence here after their late rally led to an eventual OT win over San Diego State in first round action Thursday. 8* CREIGHTON +11.5 |
|||||||
03-19-22 | North Carolina +5.5 v. Baylor | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Saturday 8* North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 vs Baylor Bears @ 12:10 ET - Bears are a great team of course but they are certainly not unbeatable. Before blasting an over-matched Norfolk State in the 1st round, Baylor was on an 8-4 SU run and 2 of those wins by 4 or less points. With how hot the Tar Heels are right now, look for the Bears to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread of nearly a half-dozen points. UNC has won 7 of 8 games and has had some very impressive efforts recently. More of the same here. 8* NORTH CAROLINA +5.5 |
|||||||
03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | Top | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates (-) vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:57 ET - The Pirates lost to Connecticut in the Big East tourney but won 6 in a row before that defeat. Seton Hall certainly finished the season much hotter than TCU. The Horned Frogs enter this game having lost 8 of 13 games. The Pirates, had a mid-season lull but then got stronger later in the season and I like the way Seton Hall played down the stretch. TCU turned the ball over 15 times per game away from home this season while the Pirates turned it over 11 times per game away from home. I am grabbing the hotter team that takes better care of the ball and I look for the Pirates to pull away strongly in the 2nd half of this game as their winning ways continue while the Horned Frogs, a little beaten up from all the losing, again struggle to find a way to get back to winning as they came slips away from TCU in the second half. 10* SETON HALL |
|||||||
03-18-22 | Virginia Tech v. Texas +1 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 8* Texas Longhorns (-) vs Virginia Tech Hokies @ 4:30 ET - The Hokies marched through the ACC Tourney and so they enter this match-up winners of 4 straight including upset of Duke in the Championship Game. Conversely, the Longhorns have lost 3 straight as they got knocked out of the Big 12 Tourney immediately when they were upset by TCU. However, the two losses before that were to rock solid teams - Kansas and Baylor. This set up is perfect for Texas to roll and we get a bargain on the line - right around a pick'em - because of the recent results heading into this game. Great value. We'll take it! 8* TEXAS |
|||||||
03-17-22 | Creighton +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays (+) vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 7:27 ET - Bluejays faced a tougher schedule and I also like the fact Creighton won both games against UConn and all 3 games against Marquette and also they did get a 20 point win versus Villanova this season. San Diego State, on the other hand, lost both games against Boise State this season and 2 of 3 against Colorado State. The point is we are looking at how these teams fared against some of the other tourney teams coming from the same conference they are in and you can see that the Bluejays were much better than the Aztecs. Couple that with the fact that Creighton had the tougher overall schedule and you can see why I like having them as a small underdog to San Diego State in this match-up. Having the 2.5 points (current line) could be a bigger value than you think too when you consider the very low posted total on this Bluejays/Aztecs battle. Believe it or not, 6 of San Diego State's last 14 games decided by 2 points or less! 10* CREIGHTON |
|||||||
03-17-22 | New Mexico State v. Connecticut -6 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA TNT Annihilation Thursday 8* Connecticut Huskies (-) vs New Mexico State Aggies @ 6:50 ET - This is a case of two teams with very different strength of schedule factors and I feel the Huskies will roll big. There is a big difference between the Big East and the WAC! That said, getting this line right around a half-dozen points, we have excellent line value here! Look at it this way. Connectictut lost to Villanova by just 3 points in Big East action. New Mexico State beat Abilene Christian in WAC action. That is the most recent game for each of these teams. The Huskies were a very small dog to the Wildcats. Now imagine what the line would be if Villanova was playing Abilene Christian! You can see my point here and I think we have a ton of value in this game with UConn as they should win this by a double digit margin! 8* CONNECTICUT |
|||||||
03-17-22 | Memphis v. Boise State +3 | 64-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA Daytime Dominator Thursday 8* Boise State Broncos (+) vs Memphis Tigers @ 1:45 ET - The markets are favoring Memphis here as the line has climbed from -1.5 to -3 on the Tigers. I fully realize that Memphis has played the tougher schedule this season but it is not like that schedule variance is huge. Also, this is also a revenge game for Boise State as the Broncos lost to the Tigers in tourney time last year! The Broncos enter this game on a 10-2 SU run and the two losses were each by just 3 points so I feel we have excellent line value here with having the points on our side. 8* BOISE STATE |
|||||||
03-16-22 | 76ers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Cleveland is a solid team playing with revenge here and they are on their home floor. However, the flip side of that is the fact that Philly being on the road gets a small number for the point spread and I love the fact that the Sixers enter this game off a loss. Philadelphia is a rock solid 10-1 SU last 11 times when off a SU loss. Also, the 76ers have won each of last 3 meetings with the Cavaliers and they won each of the games by at least 6 points and that includes a 20-point win in their last visit to Cleveland. Look for another big win for the Sixers in this one as they face a Cavs team that is off a win but this was after losses in 8 of last 11 games! Look for the road team to get back on track after they blew their game Monday at home against Denver and they will make it 4 in a row over the Cavaliers! 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
|||||||
03-16-22 | Bryant +3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Play-in Wednesday 10* Top Play Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 vs Wright State Raiders @ 6:40 ET - Most people have heard of Wright State from the Horizon League but very few know about Bryant University from the Northeast Conference. Of course this is an advantage come tournament time. I like taking underdogs like the Bulldogs in spots like this at this time of the year and will ride with Bryant in this play-in game. The Raiders have played the tougher schedule but only slightly and, keep in mind, confidence builds with wins and this Bryant team has won 18 of 20 games! Wright State has won 10 of 15 games and the Raiders have been playing well but again this Bulldogs team even hotter. Also, Bryant does have the better defensive numbers on the season. 10* BRYANT +3.5 |
|||||||
03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +10 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic (+) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic have been competitive with covers in 7 of last 9 games! Also, one of those two non-covers was an 8 point loss and, with this spread in the 10-point range, that would be enough for an ATS cover in this case! Certainly I am expecting a game decided by single digits as the Magic have been tough on the Nets with covers in 3 of last 4. Also, 2 of the 3 ATS wins were SU wins and the lone loss by just 2 points. I know Brooklyn should have Kyrie Irving for this one since it is a road game but also note that the Nets are off B2B divisional games including that huge win at Philly and a tight win over the city rival Knicks. Also, Brooklyn has a tougher match-up on deck tomorrow night as they are hosting a solid Mavericks team then. All that said, this is an ideal flat spot for the Nets. Great spot to fade Brooklyn. 10* ORLANDO |
|||||||
03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern -3.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Opener Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers (-) vs Texas A & M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Both teams considered 16 seeds in this play-in game yet the team with the lesser record favored by 3.5 points. Head scratcher? Not really! The fact is the Tigers have been the hotter team in comparison with the Islanders for quite some time now. Texas Southern enters this game having gone 18-5 since starting the season 0-7. The Tigers also have won 13 of last 15 games and their last two wins each by 19 or more points in conference tourney action. Texas A & M Corpus Christi is just 8-7 since starting the season 15-4. For the Islanders, 6 of those 7 losses were by 6 or more points and I fully expect this one will be too! 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN |
|||||||
03-14-22 | Nuggets +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers are in the 2nd game of a B2B and it was a hard-fought OT win yesterday and it was on the road at Orlando. That said, this is a tough spot for Philadelphia and the situation is made even tougher because they are now hosting a Nuggets team that is angry off B2B losses. Denver, dating back to late November, is 4-1 SU when they enter a game off B2B SU losses. Also, prior to the B2B defeats, the Nuggets had won 12 of 14 games. Consider that plus the fact Philly could have some key star players resting or on minutes restrictions here and this is a great spot for a road dog! Strong upset possibility but will grab the points (currently 2.5) here as additional insurance. 10* DENVER + |
|||||||
03-13-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 6:10 ET - This play all about the situational value as Philadelphia has had two days off since a blowout home loss to the Nets as a favorite. The 76ers also had two days offs heading into that one. That said, it has been almost a week since Philly tasted victory and they can't wait to erase the bitter taste of an ugly home loss to Brooklyn Thursday. As for the Magic, they are actually off 3 straight covers, and 2 straight outright upsets, as underdogs! As a result, they are a little over-valued here. The Sixers don't just want to win this game, they want to come out with a vengeance...a huge blowout win. Look for a no-doubt blowout rout for the road team in this one. The 76ers want to do to the Magic in Orlando what just happened to them in Philly versus the Nets. 10* PHILADELPHIA - |
|||||||
03-13-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Purdue | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers @ 3:30 ET - The Hawkeyes lost both regular season meetings with Purdue this season. The Boilermakers also are the higher-ranked team. Consider all of that and yet this line opened up at a -1 and, of course, everyone is now fading Iowa and the line has jumped up to a 2.5 in this one. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move here and grabbing the points with Iowa. The Hawkeyes barely snuck by Indiana yesterday but will carry momentum from that last-second buzzer-beating half-court 3 winner that allowed them to avoid OT versus the Hoosiers. The Hawkeyes had been on an ATS hot streak before yesterday's non-covering win. The Boilermakers have continued an ATS losing streak. More of the same here! 10* IOWA |
|||||||
03-11-22 | Iowa -6 v. Rutgers | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes (-) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 2 ET - This line is in the 6.5 range and Iowa's 23 wins have included 21 by a double digit margin this season! The Hawkeyes are rolling right now and they have revenge from an ugly 48-46 loss at Rutgers in the regular season. Iowa enters this game with wins in 9 of last 11 games and all 9 wins were by a double digit margin. Rutgers has lost 3 of 5 games and scored an average of 62 points last 4 games. The Hawkeyes have averaged 88.4 points per game last 10 games. Revenge will be sweet here and it will be in the form of a blowout. 10* IOWA |
|||||||
03-10-22 | Nets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 129-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Game of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have won 8 of 10 games and still have not lost a game with James Harden on the floor. Now he faces his former team as the Nets are in Philly and this line is very manageable in the -4 range. Brooklyn unlike the Sixers, has been trending the wrong direction. The Nets are off a win, albeit versus a slumping Charlotte team, and this followed losses in 6 of 7 for Brooklyn. Yes they have Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant but this 76ers team is loaded with weapons and plus the absence of LaMarcus Aldridge tonight gives them one less big body to try and stop Joel Embiid. Look for huge games from Harden, Embiid, Tobias Harris, and Tyrese Maxey to lead the way for the home team tonight. Thybulle and Niang also have been contributing well for this surging Philly team. The Nets, even with win over Hornets, are just just 3-10 SU last 13 road games. This is a very fair line on the 76ers to roll big at home and they have added motivation of blowing a 7-point halftime lead and losing to Nets in the only other game in which they hosted Brooklyn this season. Payback time and the Wells Fargo Center will be jumping tonight! 10* PHILADELPHIA |
|||||||
03-10-22 | St. John's v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (-) vs St John's Red Storm @ 7 ET - The Red Storm are 0-6 this season when facing a ranked team. The average margin of those losses is 9 points and they lost twice to Villanova this season and the line on this game is the 5.5 to 6 point range. In the most recent game, Big East Player of the Year Collin Gillespie was dealing with an injury and scored ZERO points and yet the Wildcats still won that game by 6 points! The 5th year senior is averaging 16.3 ppg this season. You know he will be in line for a huge game here after being held scoreless in the most recent meeting. It is now tourney time and this rested Wildcats team taking on a St John's team that was in action yesterday. I like the Red Storm overall as they are scrappy team that can be difficult to play against. However, the numbers speak for themselves here and we get line value because this is essentially a home game for St John's so that keeps the line lower than it should be. Given the situation here this game should be a double digit blowout win for the Wildcats in this one as the Red Storm drop to 0-7 on the season in games against ranked teams. 10* VILLANOVA |
|||||||
03-09-22 | Bulls -5 v. Pistons | Top | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Game of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons enter this game on an 8-0 ATS run but the Bulls are 8-0 ATS last 8 meetings with Detroit. So which trend stays alive here? The latter as Chicago rolls in this one. Love the fact that the line came down already from 6.5 to a 5 and we have good value here with the road favorite. The Bulls have lost 5 straight games (and 0-5 ATS) but have faced a truly brutal schedule during this time. The Pistons have won 6 of 8 games SU (and 8-0 ATS) but faced more favorable scheduling and match-ups in this stretch. Now, coming off a hard-fought OT win versus Atlanta, the Pistons host an angry Bulls team ready to get back on track. Chicago just lost at Philadelphia but the 76ers, when James Harden is on the floor, have looked like the best team in the NBA in recent weeks. This also was the 2nd game of a B2B for the Bulls and they also have recently had to face the Bucks and Grizzlies plus they visited the Heat. I expect Nikola Vucevic to play tonight (questionable with hamstring injury) but even if he did not, this is ideal spot for the Bulls to get back on track. They have gone 8-0 ATS last 8 versus Pistons and each of last 5 wins by 6 or more points with an average margin of victory of 18.6 points per game during this stretch. Road rout by double digits here. 10* CHICAGO -5 |
|||||||
03-09-22 | Butler +6.5 v. Xavier | Top | 89-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Butler Bulldogs +6.5 vs Xavier Musketeers @ 4:30 ET - Xavier won both regular season meetings. The Musketeers, however, did the same thing last season too and then got beat by Butler in the Big East tourney. Not only that, the Bulldogs were down by 14 points at the half in that one and yet rallied for the win. This team still has that confidence and see the Big East tourney as a fresh start. I know Butler struggled late this season but so too did Xavier! In comparing the two teams what I like the most heading into this tourney is that the Bulldogs, not including OT, had allowed 66 or less points in 3 straight games before losing bad to Villanova in the season finale. The Musketeers, on the other hand, allowed 77.7 points (not including OT of course) over their final 6 games of the season and went 1-5 SU with their only win against a Georgetown team that lost 20 straight games after starting the season 6-4. Per the above, excellent line value with a scrappy underdog playing the better defense and that has tourney confidence facing this over-rated favorite that had a disappointing finish to the season as expectations were much higher at Xavier. 10* BUTLER +6.5 |
|||||||
03-08-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -2.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line keeps coming down and yet I feel strongly that Brooklyn was made a sizable road favorite here by the odds makers with good reason. Look for the Nets to roll in this one. Brooklyn has lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 but now comes in as a road favorite over a team that has won back to back games. Fishy, right? Well we are not going fishing today, we are winning sports bets! Lets get this one as the Nets get revenge for a home loss to Charlotte much earlier this season. The Hornets are off home win versus Spurs but his followed losses in 8 of last 9 games on their home floor. More of the same expected here! 10* BROOKLYN -2.5 |
|||||||
03-07-22 | Bulls v. 76ers -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The Bulls Nikola Vucevic is likely to play here but is also unlikely to be 100% as he missed practice yesterday due to hamstring tightness. This could hurt the Bulls some and Chicago enters this game off 4 straight losses. Now they take on an angry Philly team that just lost at Miami in a game James Harden missed. He should be back here and I am expecting huge games from Tobias Harris, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Harden as the Sixers get right back on track here. Philadelphia has dominated the series with the Bulls in recent years and I see no reason for that to change here. Most recent win for the 76ers against them came in Chicago recently and was by 11 points and the average margin of the last 6 wins is 11 points also! Look for another win by double digits here as the Sixers get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |
|||||||
03-06-22 | Penn State +6 v. Rutgers | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Penn State Nittany Lions +6 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Noon ET - The Scarlet Knights are seeking revenge here but they are also off a last second win at Indiana and I feel Rutgers could be emotionally spent here already. Penn State is a scrappy underdog and a tough team to blowout and, as a result, excellent line value with the half-dozen points here. The Nittany Lions are only 4-6 SU last 10 games but only 1 of the 10 was a blowout loss. The other 5 losses were by an average margin of just 4 points. The underdogs will be in this one all the way, have a shot at yet another SU win over the Knights and, as a result, excellent value here with the points. 8* PENN STATE +6 |
|||||||
03-05-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 82-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - The road team is a perfect 2-0 in this series this season. The 76ers have not lost since James Harden has this the floor in a Sixers uniform. Yes, this is a back to back for Philadelphia but it is also a great value spot for them because you don't have to lay any points to back a team that looks absolutely like an NBA title contender. The Heat are certainly a strong team in their own right but they are also a banged up team right now and the healthier and hungrier team right now is the roadie in this one. Also, both teams are playing 3rd game in 4 days so is really not a huge rest edge one way or other. The travelers get it done and remain perfect with Harden on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 |
|||||||
03-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -6.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 4 ET - Triple revenge spot for the Jayhawks as they have lost 3 straight to the Longhorns including earlier this season at Austin. The fact Kansas is the host in this one is certainly a big edge. The Jayhawks are 15-1 at home this season while Texas is 5-6 in road games. Also, the Horns off a disappointing 7 point loss to Baylor and that was at home! The last 3 road losses for the Longhorns have come by an average margin of 13 points per loss! The Jayhawks last 5 home wins by an average margin of victory of 13 points! With this line around a half-dozen points coupled with the home court edge and the triple revenge factor, this one offering superb line value. 10* KANSAS -6.5 |
|||||||
03-04-22 | Ball State v. Western Michigan +3.5 | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
CBB MAC Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Western Michigan Broncos +3.5 vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6 ET - Love this spot for the Broncos. Western Michigan has lost 3 straight games to the Cardinals but they enter this game on a bit of a roll. Indeed the Broncos have won B2B games outright as underdogs and have won 4 of last 6 games overall and are on a 7-1 ATS run. That said, and playing their home finale with triple revenge, Western Michigan is in a great spot for another upset win. Ball State is actually in a tough stretch that has seen them lose 6 of 9 since defeating the Broncos. Also, the Cardinals just got blasted by 19 points at home versus Akron and that is the same Zips team that Western Michigan beat once this season and only lost to by a single point in the other game. The point is that the Broncos are the hotter team right now, playing better, have triple revenge here, and are on their home floor. It all adds up to a great spot to back the host as an underdog in this one. 10* WESTERN MICHIGAN +3.5 |
|||||||
03-03-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
NBA TNT Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jaylen Brown is out for this game with a sprained ankle. The Grizzlies are currently riding a very special run from a very special player Ja Morant! Memphis has won 11 of 14 games and 6 of last 7 on the road. Boston is off a major comeback win versus the Hawks but will not be able to do the same against a streaking Grizzlies team playing with a ton of confidence right now. Before rallying from a double digit halftime deficit to defeat Atlanta, the Celtics were on a 1-3 ATS run. The road team pulls away as this one goes on as Morant and Company prove to be too much against a Celtics team that will really miss Brown in this game. 10* MEMPHIS -2.5 |
|||||||
03-03-22 | Penn State +12.5 v. Illinois | 55-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 8* Penn State Nittany Lions +12.5 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Nittany Lions just got waxed at home by Nebraska and I fully expect a response here. Prior to that disastrous result, Penn State was on a 4-4 SU run in which the 4 losses came by an average margin of 3.8 points and in which no defeat was by more than 6 points. That said, the Illini laying double digits here is just too much in my opinion. Illinois is off a win at Michigan but this was preceded by a 6-5 SU stretch and, overall, last dozen games have featured only 2 Illini wins by more than 8 points. 8* PENN STATE +12.5 |
|||||||
03-02-22 | Xavier +1.5 v. St. John's | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 8* Xavier Musketeers +1.5 @ St John's Red Storm @ 6:30 ET - The Musketeers got blasted by double digits at home by the Red Storm two weeks ago and now it is payback time. Off 4 straight losses, enough is enough for Xavier. There is a reason this line is right around a pick'em even though the Musketeers have lost 4 straight and St John's is at home and has won the last two meetings. In other words, don't let the line fool you. This one is going to feature a road win as Musketeers take advantage of a Red Storm team that has lost 5 of last 6 home games! 8* XAVIER |
|||||||
03-01-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -2.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Tourney Topper Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -2.5 @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 8 ET - We are getting line value here because this game is at UW-Milw even though UIC had the better record in the Horizon League regular season. So the higher-rated Flames are being hosted by the Panthers and the result is a much lower line on the much better team in my opinion. Coming into this season big things were expected from the Panthers because of Bradley, Jr (considered an NBA prospect) and Vin Baker (Boston College transfer who had to sit out last season.). However, Bradley ended up injury prone and has been shut down for the season and Bradley just not materialize into the big contributor he was expected to be. Conversely, the Flames hopes were riding on a number of transfers and those hopes did materialize for them. Of course I am not saying UIC is a great team but they have exceeded expectations and are certainly a better team that the Panthers. Already 2-0 against them this season and UIC had big turnover edges in the match-ups this season plus a big rebounding edge in the 2nd meeting and overall had 28 more field goal attempts combined in the two games. Couple all that with only having to lay a small number here and you have solid value in my opinion. Look for Flames to advance to 2nd round of Horizon League tourney in convincing fashion. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -2.5 |
|||||||
03-01-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Celtics | 98-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
NBA TNT Annihilation Tuesday 8* Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:30 ET - The Hawks lost at Boston by 10 points two weeks ago but Atlanta actually led that game by 10 points at the half. I am expecting payback here for the road dog. Yes, John Collins and Lou Williams are out but Colins was out for the most recent meeting too and Williams does not play big minutes. Also, Atlanta actually had 8 more shots for the field in the 10-point loss as they simply were done in by poor shooting. Boston is off a loss at Indiana and has failed to cover 3 of 4. The Hawks are off a huge win versus Toronto and have won 3 of 4 games with the only loss by just 4 points. Huge value here with the big points in my opinion. 8* ATLANTA +7.5 |
|||||||
02-28-22 | Wolves -2.5 v. Cavs | 127-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 8* Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - This a great spot to back a small road favorite. The Timberwolves are off an embarrassing 31 point home loss to Philly and have had back to back days off heading into this one. Minnesota will be ready here and is a much healthier team than Cleveland is. The Cavaliers are still expected to be without Darius Garland, Caris LeVert, and now Rajon Rondo out as well. The Cavs are off a low-scoring win but it was a non-covering victory and they have now gone 0-4 ATS last 4 games. The Timberwolves were on an 8-3 SU/ATS run before getting their doors blown off on their home floor against a 76ers team rejuvenated by the addition of James Harden to the lineup. This is a fantastic set-up. 8* MINNESOTA -2.5 |
|||||||
02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 @ Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - The Mavericks are off a loss by 5 points at Utah in a game in which the Mavericks had 14 more field goal attempts! Yes, it was a bit of a phony final as the Jazz shot 54% from the field. Now the Mavs are only getting about 4 points against Warriors team that is 26-6 at home while Dallas is only about a .500 team on the road. If you look up the definition of "trap line" in a bettors dictionary they could use this game as an example. Looks so easy to lay a short number with the Warriors on their home floor, especially off a huge win. However, that big win came against a very short-handed Blazers team and note Golden State had lost 4 of 5 heading into that game. Dallas is a fantastic 6-1 the last 7 times they were off a loss. Also, the Mavs lone loss in those 7 games came in OT. The Mavericks have shown a propensity for responding off losses and I expect that to continue here. Adding fuel to the fire for Dallas here is the fact that Golden State destroyed the Mavericks by 38 points last month. Payback time is here and now. 10* DALLAS +4 |
|||||||
02-27-22 | Jets -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-3 | Win | 135 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher Sunday 9* Top Play Winnipeg Jets -1.5 +135 @ Arizona Coyotes @ 4:05 ET - Great set up here as Jets are on a losing streak but have faced a tough stretch of opposition and now finally get a chance to bounce back against one of the weakest teams in the league. The set up is strengthened here because the Coyotes off a rare win and that was a big one too as it was a victory over Vegas Friday. Note that Arizona has lost 11 of 13 times this season when off a win. Also, most recent loss was a 1-goal loss but 10 of 13 defeats prior to that one had been by 2+ goals. 15 of Winnipeg's last 17 wins have been by 2+ goals. Look for this to be another big win for the Jets by a comfortable margin on the road. 9* WINNIPEG -1.5 +135 |
|||||||
02-26-22 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3.5 | 82-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
CBB Matinee Mauling Saturday 8* Xavier Musketeers -3.5 vs Seton Hall Pirates @ 3:30 ET - I lost with Xavier plus the points in a triple-OT thriller at Providence Wednesday. I have had my eyes on this next match-up for the Musketeers ever since. They are hosting a Pirates team that is 2-4 SU last 6 road games. Xavier lost its most recent home game but was 12-3 SU in their first 15 as a host this season. This is the perfect bounce back spot and, keep in mind, Seton Hall still without Bryce Aiken and he is certainly a player that makes the Pirates much better. As for the Musketeers they had not lost 3 straight games this entire season until the tough loss to the Friars Wednesday. The losing streak stops right here right now and note that Xavier's last 16 wins have featured 13 by at least a half-dozen points. This one will be too for the Pirates. 8* XAVIER -3.5 |
|||||||
02-25-22 | Akron +8 v. Ohio | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Akron Zips +8 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - The Zips Bryan Trimble Jr was recently placed on a leave of absence. Akron had just wrapped up a 3-game losing streak - all losses by 4 or less points - and the Zips have responded with back to back wins by an average margin of 16.5 points per victory. Granted, the wins were against weaker teams in the MAC but the point is that this team has banded together and is better off without Trimble. Team chemistry is so important and these guys are really working hard now for each other and working well together and playing solid defense and crashing the boards. I don't see them getting blown out here at Ohio. Yes the Bobcats are a very strong team and they did win the first meeting by 6 points at Akron. However, Ohio shot 50% from the field in that game while the Zips had a rare 9 for 17 shooting performance from the free throw line in that one. All that and yet Akron sill lost by only 6 points. This Zips team is starting to jell at the right time and I look for them to be very tough on the Bobcats in this one and it goes down to the wire. 10* AKRON |
|||||||
02-24-22 | Maryland v. Indiana -6 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -6 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Hoosiers have lost 5 straight games and are off a crazy OT loss at Ohio State where they failed to cover as underdog. That was a nice break (seems rare but always do admit it) for me as the Buckeyes -6.5 were my play there. Now I come back with a fired up Indiana team off that tough loss from earlier this week. The Hoosiers have faced 4 ranked teams during this 5-game losing streak. In other words, they have simply faced a murderers row of opponents and have paid for that. Now they get a chance against a lesser team plus they are at home. I like the fact that Maryland is on a 2-game winning streak but faced a Penn State team that is below .500 on the season and a Nebraska team that is the worst in the Big Ten. Also, Fatts Russell had huge games against both the Nittany Lions and Cornhuskers but the Hoosiers held him to a rough performance when they faced the Terrapins earlier this season. As Russell goes, so go the Terps and because of that key factor and the situational edges here I am fully expecting a home blowout here. 10* INDIANA |
|||||||
02-23-22 | Xavier +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Wednesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ 7 ET - If you look up "trap line" in a "dictionary for bettors" and it gave you examples this one would be a perfect fit. The Friars are at home, they are a ranked team and they are hosting an unranked team they already beat on the road this season and have beaten 3 of last 4 times overall and also 6 of last 8 times when hosting. Consider all that and then consider the fact this line opened up at very nearly a pick'em even though the Musketeers come into this game having lost 4 of 5 games and Providence comes into this game winners of 9 of 10. This game has "trap" written all over it in my opinion and sure enough the betting markets are already falling for it! The line is up to a 2.5 and I would not be surprised if it climbs even higher. Either way though, I am pulling the trigger now early this morning and taking advantage of the added line value. This one all the way up to a 2.5 as of early morning Wednesday. Grab the points with the road dog but I am expecting an outright upset. 10* XAVIER +2.5 |
|||||||
02-22-22 | Villanova +2.5 v. Connecticut | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
CBB Big East Beast Tuesday 8* Villanova Wildcats +2.5 @ Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET - This is the classic situation I love as we get line value in a game simply because that team is on the road. In this case that team is Villanova and they are catching a few points at Connecticut. Yes, the Huskies are certainly a high quality team but the Wildcats are the better team and now come into this one as a dog. Villanova has performed better in the bigger games against the tougher competition in my opinion and the Wildcats have just 3 losses in Big East action this season while the Huskies have 5 defeats in conference action. Watch the road team prove to be the better team in crunch time of this game. By the way, Collin Gillespie continues to be listed as questionable for the Wildcats but he keeps playing through a nagging ankle injury and I expect him to be out there again tonight in this key match-up. 8* VILLANOVA +2.5 |
|||||||
02-22-22 | Yale -2.5 v. Dartmouth | Top | 66-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play Yale Bulldogs -2.5 @ Dartmouth Big Green @ 6 ET - The Bulldogs laying a short number here on the road. I understand the low line as Dartmouth has the home court edge plus revenge factor in their favor here. However, the Big Green just 4-7 in conference games and has a poor overall record on the season. Yale, on the other hand, has a 9-2 record in Ivy League action plus a solid overall record on the season. What I especially like about this game is having the Bulldogs off a loss. Yale just lost to Princeton in what was a battle for first place. However, there will be no sulking and hanging of heads here for Yale. In fact, now it is more important than ever for the Bulldogs to win out and they have a pair of weaker foes on deck after this clash with Dartmouth. For an understanding of how much value we have here, note that Yale lost to Princeton by just 6 points plus had beaten them by 6 points earlier this season. Conversely, the Big Green lost at home to the Tigers by 4 and also got blasted at Princeton by 45 points. As noted above, the Bulldogs only have 2 conference losses this season. The other one was to Pennsylvania and the Quakers are another strong team that also beat Dartmouth by double digits. The points is that catching Yale off a loss is a great situation for laying a short price away from home as other results this season also show that the Bulldogs, comparatively with the Big Green, are the better team. 10* YALE -2.5 |
|||||||
02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7 ET - The Buckeyes are off a loss Saturday versus Iowa. Also, Ohio State lost at Indiana by 16 points early last month. In other words, the set up here is perfect for a revenge win by a large margin. Adding to the value is the fact that the Buckeyes are a PERFECT 6-0 this SEASON when off a loss. When facing a Big Ten team and Ohio State is coming off a loss they have won all 4 games and by an average margin of 10 points! I am looking for a win here by a double digit margin as Indiana's slump continues. The Hoosiers have lost 4 straight both SU and ATS. Also, the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in meetings between these teams. Going further back and looking at meetings in Columbus, the Buckeyes are a rock solid 13-6 both SU and ATS when hosting Indiana. Before their loss to Iowa Saturday, Ohio State was on a 6-1 ATS run. As for the Hoosiers, they are 2-6 ATS in road games this season. Look for these trends to continue here as the Buckeyes get big-time revenge payback. 10* OHIO STATE -6.5 |
|||||||
02-20-22 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Wisconsin Badgers -2.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 1 ET - The Badgers are under-valued here simply because the Wolverines are absolutely over-valued in this spot. The betting markets have been impacted by the fact Michigan recently defeated Purdue and also is coming off a win at Iowa. The Wolverines also recently snuck out a 1 point road win at Penn State but before these rare B2B road wins, Michigan was 4-7 SU on the road this season. They are now facing a Wisconsin team that has revenge from losing both games against the Wolverines and that included a home game in which they blew a 12 point lead at the half. The Badgers lost their most recent home game but were 10-2 SU at home on the season prior to that defeat. I am taking advantage of the over-adjusted shading toward Michigan in this one and I expect a big home win. 8* WISCONSIN -2.5 |
|||||||
02-19-22 | Iowa +5.5 v. Ohio State | 75-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5 @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - The set-up here is ideal for an upset in my opinion so I certainly like the fact we have the added cushion of about a half-dozen points in this one. Iowa is off a home loss to Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 SU the last 5 times when off a loss and the only loss in those 5 games was in double-OT by a 4 point margin. Here Iowa is catching the Buckeyes off a big win by a 25 point margin against Minnesota. Ohio State is just 2-4 SU the last 6 times they were off a win by a margin of 8 or more points. Yes the Buckeyes have home court edge here but note that last season the road team won both meetings SU and ATS! Overall Iowa has won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these teams and the only loss was by just 4 points. Also, before the loss to the Wolverines, the Hawkeyes had won 3 straight games and averaged 93 points per contest. Grab the points with confidence here. 8* IOWA +5.5 |
|||||||
02-18-22 | Butler v. St. John's -7.5 | 57-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash 8* St John's Red Storm -7.5 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 5 ET - Butler is not healthy. Even if Bryce Nze and Bo Hodges both came back for this hard to say if either would be anywhere close to 100% and, again, that is if either guy plays here. They have another game Sunday hosting Providence so the Bulldogs may not rush these guys back either. As for St John's, they are on short rest here as they just played Wednesday. However, I looked into it and the Red Storm are PERFECT 4-0 SU this season when playing with just one day of rest between games. The average margin of victory in the 4 wins was 13 points! The Bulldogs have 13 losses this season and 8 of them were by a margin of 15 or more points. 4 of St John's last 5 wins have been by 13 or more points. This line was as high as 8.5 and has dropped to 7.5 and I love fading line moves for additional value. I feel the Red Storm will crush the Bulldogs here as they already won at Butler two weeks ago despite the Bulldogs shooting 10 of 28 threes compared to just 2 of 16 for St John's. Those crazy stats are not happening again here and the Red Storm dominate by double digits at home against a wounded Butler team that just can't seem to get healthy this season. 8* ST JOHN'S -7.5 |
|||||||
02-17-22 | Heat v. Hornets +4.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 8* Charlotte Hornets +4.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Yes the Hornets have been struggling but I expect them to get payback here after losing to Miami by 18 points in an ugly home loss two weeks ago. The Heat have beaten Charlotte 3 straight times and this one has been circled in red for the Hornets as a result. Note that Herro is out for Miami tonight and Butler might miss this game too as he is dealing with a shoulder injury. 8* CHARLOTTE +4.5 |
|||||||
02-17-22 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 9* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 @ Penn State Nittany Lions @ 4 ET - Yes the Golden Gophers have been struggling but this spot sets up very well. The Nittany Lions are off a huge comeback win over Michigan State. Minnesota is off a game in which they got thoroughly embarrassed and scored just 45 points at Ohio State. Minny has struggled like I said but they did beat Penn State on Saturday. PSU also, prior to the win over the Spartans Tuesday, had lost 6 of last 7 games. The Nittany Lions are the much better rebounding team but the Golden Gophers the better team in terms of not turning the ball over. Grab the points here in a game with upset potential. 9* MINNESOTA +6.5 |
|||||||
02-15-22 | Blues v. Senators +1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 9* Top Play Ottawa Senators Puck Line +1.5 goals -135 vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 - The Senators are catching the Blues off a big 5-1 win versus Marc-Andre Fleury and the Blackhawks. Not only that, St Louis was at home for that one and is on the road for this one and I really like the way Ottawa has been playing. The Sens have been getting fantastic goaltending and have been a tough team to beat and I especially like the value with the +1.5 goals on the puck line in this one. The Senators have allowed an average of only 1.8 goals per game in regulation time of their last dozen games. Also, Ottawa has a record of 6-4-2 in these 12 games and one of the regulation losses by just 1 goals so, at +1.5 goals, the Sens would be 9-3 last 12 games. The Blues are a solid 8-5 last 13 games but two of those wins by just a single goal so St Louis would be unimpressive 6-7 at -1.5 goals last 13 games. Just feel there is too much value with the way the Senators have been playing and the solid goal-tending they have been getting. The Blues, before their win over Chicago, had allowed 3.6 goals per game last 9 games. 9* OTTAWA +1.5 -135 |
|||||||
02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -4.5 vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - Can you imagine how high this line would be if Zach LaVine was not out for the Bulls? Exactly! The point is we are getting a ton of line value here on a very good Chicago team that also is playing this game with triple revenge! Indeed the Bulls lost both games versus Spurs last season plus lost at San Antonio earlier this season. In that match-up however, SA shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and outscored the Bulls by 24 points from beyond the arc. Of course this was the difference in the game and the Spurs aren't going to be hitting a ridiculous 16 threes in the rematch on the road. Also, Chicago is off a non-covering SU win versus OKC Saturday and the Bulls are 4-0 ATS the last 4 times they have entered a game off an ATS loss. The Spurs are off B2B wins and have not won 3 straight games since right around Christmas. From a situational standpoint, I love the value with the home team as a small favorite in this one. 10* CHICAGO -4.5 |
|||||||
02-14-22 | St. Louis +2.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CBSSN Blowout Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens +2.5 @ St Bonaventure @ 5 ET - The Billikens are off a loss that followed a 6-game winning streak. St Louis is a perfect 4-0 SU the last 4 times they entered game off a loss. The Bonnies are off B2B wins but this followed losses in 6 of 10 games and St Bonaventure has not won 3 straight games since early December. The set up is perfect for a road win here especially when you consider this is a revenge game as the Bonnies won at St Louis Friday. Payback time here for the Billikens as they return the favor by winning at St Bonaventure. 10* ST LOUIS +2.5 |
|||||||
02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL Super Bowl Sunday 8* Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 vs Los Angeles Rams @ 6:30 ET - All the pressure is really on the Rams here. Los Angeles, under head coach Sean McVay got to the Super Bowl a few years ago and scored a measly 3 points against the Patriots. There is immense pressure on LA to make up for that effort here. In turn, that puts pressure on QB Matthew Stafford and he has been prone to turnovers in the past. Is this the game the turnover bug bites him again? This would not surprise me if it is. The Bengals and QB Joe Burrow come into this game in an entirely different situation. Cincinnati, of course, was not expected to be here. But the fact no one expects anything from them and any win through the post-season was just a bonus, this Bengals team is playing rather loose and relaxed. That said, and with the line move to the 4.5 range, I really like having the points here in a game in which an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. But having the points is truly a solid bonus as the Bengals have only failed to cover twice in their last ten games against teams with a winning record. Cincy has been an ATS covering machine. The Rams last ten games against teams with a winning record has seen them cover only three of the games. Value with the points. We'll take it! 8* CINCINNATI +4.5 |
|||||||
02-13-22 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado State Rams +2.5 @ Boise State Broncos @ 4 ET - The Rams are the better team offensively. Statistically these teams are nearly equal on the defensive end but the shooting edge of Colorado State is the key here. Boise State is favored but that is only because they are at home. I love taking short dogs in college hoops. The Rams are about a 3 point dog here but have the offensive firepower to pull off the upset here because they can get key buckets when they need. They are the type of team that can thrive on the road and yet we get line value here because of the home court factored in for the Broncos. The Rams are 7-2 SU on the road and Boise State does have a pair of road losses already this season. 10* COLORADO STATE +2.5 |
|||||||
02-13-22 | Hawks +7 v. Celtics | Top | 95-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Trae Young is probable for the Hawks in this one. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Boston SU and is on an overall 6-2 ATS run last 8 meetings. I know the Celtics have won 7 straight games overall but their two most recent home wins each by 6 points and I love the value with the Hawks here off a loss. Atlanta had won 9 of 12 games before losing at home versus San Antonio Friday. Also, the Hawks are 3-1 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I would not be surprised at all to see an upset here but am grabbing the points for added insurance in this one and, yes, I am aware of the John Collins injury. 10* ATLANTA +7 |
|||||||
02-12-22 | Cavs +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Both teams off wins and both teams in 2nd game of back to back but I feel it will be much tougher on the 76ers than the Cavaliers. Keep in mind the Sixers lost Curry in the trade for Harden and they still don't have Harden available yet. Also, this is the 2nd game of a back to back and Embiid might be limited or possibly even miss the contest. You never know for sure these days but he could end up being in street clothes with it being 2nd game of a B2B and he is so injury-prone. In any event I like Cleveland taking on a team that is without a key outside shooter and they did struggle overall with the 3-ball yesterday and the Cavs are not the Thunder! OKC was missing a ton of personnel for yesterday's game but the red hot Cavaliers will present a much stiffer challenge. The Cavs have won 13 of 16 games! 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
|||||||
02-12-22 | Temple +4.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Philly Insider Saturday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 2 ET - Even though Jake Forrester is likely to miss again, Jeremiah Williams and Damian Dunn are both expected to play in this one. Also, Temple is 8-0 SU at Tulane since the Green Wave joined the AAC beginning in 2014. We also get the Owls angry off a loss here as they lost at South Florida on a buzzer beater. Getting points with an angry road dog that should be healthier here is something I won't pass up on. Look for the Owls to make it 9 in a row SU in games played as a visitor against Tulane but we'll grab the points for added insurance here. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
|||||||
02-11-22 | Thunder v. 76ers -12.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7 ET - Even if James Harden does not play tonight, Philly is bolstered by the huge trade that got rid of the toxic Ben Simmons and brought in a superstar. The Sixers will be bolstered by this trade no matter who is on the floor tonight and Philadelphia is hungry to bounce back after the home loss to Phoenix Tuesday. With two days off between games, the 76ers will have fresh legs here and they can run and gun their way to victory past a Thunder team that just does not have the horses to keep up. Oklahoma City is already one of the league's worst teams even when healthy but right now the Thunder are extremely short-handed. Yes this is a big number to lay but OKC is off B2B home losses by an average margin of 15.5 points and its last 4 road losses have also come by an average margin of 15.5 points. Lay it! 9* PHILADELPHIA -12.5 |
|||||||
02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +4.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - The Terrapins go as Fatts Russell and Eric Ayala go. That said, with those guys struggling overall the last 3 games it comes as no surprise that Maryland enters this one on a 3-game losing streak. However, match-ups certainly matter in basketball. That said, Russell and Ayala both had solid games against the Hawkeyes in the first meetings this season and that was at Iowa and ended up a loss by only a 5-point margin. Now the Terrapins are getting nearly that same number at home and note that the Hawkeyes are 2-5 on the road this season. This one sets up well for an upset and I like the extra value of having a few points on our side as well should Maryland fall just short. Note that Maryland is allowing only 65.5 ppg at home while Iowa is allowing 74.4 ppg on the road. The better defense at home and off 3 straight losses and catching some points...I'll take it! 10* MARYLAND +4.5 |
|||||||
02-10-22 | Arsenal v. Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Thursday 9* Top Play Wolverhampton +1/2 goal vs Arsenal @ 2:45 ET - Both these clubs have issues when it comes to scoring goals. This is likely to be a tight, low-scoring battle as evidenced by the posted O/U on this match of only 2 goals. That said, having the + on the goal line is likely to prove to be a big value in this one. Wolverhampton has earned at least a point in the table in 14 of 21 matches or 67%. Arsenal, on the road has won only 4 of 10 road matches or 40%. Also, in terms of current form, Wolverhampton has won 3 straight in Premier League action and overall 4 of last 5 across all competitions. Arsenal has not won any of its last 5 matches across all competitions and has not scored a single goal in the last 4! The hosts in this match-up are known for being stingy too as the Wolves have allowed only 16 goals on the season and only table-topping Manchester City has been better with just 14 goals conceded. A lot of home dog value here in my opinion. 9* WOLVERHAMPTON +1/2 goal |
|||||||
02-08-22 | Villanova v. St. John's +4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
CBB PA Insider Tuesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +4 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - Villanova is a great team but St John's is very scrappy and this is particularly true at home. The Red Storm are seeking revenge for getting blown out at Nova earlier this season. In that game, though St John's lost by double digits they simply shot very poorly! Villanova was on fire from deep and the Red Storm had about the same number of 3-point attempts plus overall had 15 more FG attempts in the game but it was just an off-shooting game for them. The Wildcats also are likely to be without Gillespie in this one and he is arguably their best player and a team leader. This is a very tricky spot for the Cats and the home team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The safe play here is to grab the points but we likely will not need them! 10* ST JOHN'S +4 |
|||||||
02-08-22 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Senators | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Rout Tuesday 9* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +105 @ Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes outplayed the Maple Leafs last night but lost 4-3 in OT in a frustrating loss that should not have happened. Carolina will bounce back stronger than ever tonight and they catch a Senators team off a rare big win versus the Devils last night as Ottawa prevailed 4-1. The Sens have been playing better recently but are still no match for a Canes team angry off a loss in a game in which they know they deserved better. Of course the money line is prohibitive here as it is far too pricey but we get value on the puck line and I do expect a road team win by 2+ goals. The Hurricanes are 4-1 last 5 times when off a loss and 3 of the 4 wins by a multiple goal margin. Look for this one to be a rout as well. 9* CAROLINA -1.5 +105 |
|||||||
02-08-22 | Watford v. West Ham United -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play West Ham United -1 +105 vs Watford @ 2:45 ET - West Ham has dominated Watford in recent meetings. Watford is emphasizing defense but continues to struggle to score goals. The visitors will not be able to keep up with a West Ham club that is scoring an average of 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Also, the hosts have pounded Watford for at least 3 goals in each of last 4 meetings. The visitors are in the regulation zone in the table for a reason and West Ham is off a disappointing effort in their most recent match and will respond strongly here. Lay it! 9* WEST HAM UNITED -1 +105 |
|||||||
02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
CAA Game of Year Monday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -6 vs NC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - This line has gone from an opener of 7.5 to as low as a 6 as of mid-morning game-day and it is now "go time" with this one. Yes the Seahawks have the much better record than the Pride but why do you think this game is priced this way? You think the odds makers made a mistake? They did not! Hofstra was installed as a 7.5 point home favorite with good reason in this one. The Pride have revenge from a loss at UNC-Wilmington a little over a week ago. They lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land on a rare poor shooting night for Hofstra. Also, the Pride severely outrebounded the Seahawks by a 13-carom margin but were done in by a rare turnover-prone effort as they turned it over 17 times in the game. UNCW turned it over only 9 times in that game. Now with the Pride as the hosts watch all the flukiness of that first game result get flip-flopped here. Hofstra will not be denied here as they have also played the tougher schedule so far this season but are set up well here with an edge as they are playing 3rd straight home game while the Seahawks are on the road for a 3rd straight time! 10* HOFSTRA -6 |
|||||||
02-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 57-62 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Florida Gators -8.5 vs Ole Miss Rebels @ 3:30 ET - Though the Gators probably will not have Colin Castleton back just yet, he has started practicing again and this is giving the Florida team a mental boost as they know one of their best players has an imminent return. The big injury news about this match-up is that Ole Miss just lost freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season to a knee injury suffered in the Rebels upset win at LSU early this week. Though a freshman, he had taken on a starters role for the last 10 games and he had thrived at the point guard position. In fact, he had 21 points in the upset win over these Gators at Ole Miss last month. His loss is huge and is particularly troublesome because guard Jarkel Joiner is still out. That means Austin Crowley likely will be at the point guard position again. Point guard is such an important position and now Ole Miss down to their third choice there. Also, the home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Look for the Gators to win in a home blowout by a double digit margin as they get their revenge. 10* FLORIDA -8.5 |
|||||||
02-04-22 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -6 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -6 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7 ET - I know Bryce Aiken might still be out here but I still like the Pirates a ton in this spot even if he does not play. The key is that if he does he is likely to be close to 100% because his only issue was being in concussion protocol. In my mind the bigger story here is the Bluejays being without center Ryan Kalkbrenner as he rolled his ankle quite badly in Tuesday's game. That is a tough injury so even if Kalkbrenner plays he is unlikely to be himself. From a situational standpoint, this is a great spot as Creighton is off an upset win at Connecticut as a double digit dog! The Bluejays had lost 3 straight road games heading into that one and the margin of the games was 23 points per defeat! Yes Seton Hall has been struggling to cover games lately but the Pirates are 8-3 at home this season and off B2B losses SU as a solid home favorite each of last two games in Newark, the Pirates are hungry. Look for the hosts to respond in a huge way here. Note that Creighton is only making 30.9% of threes this season and on the road they are allowing 37.5% threes! The Pirates stats, when at home, are nearly the identical reverse of that with hot shooting and strong defense. They pull away for the double digit win here in my opinion. 10* SETON HALL -6 |
|||||||
02-03-22 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 128-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Detroit Pistons +7.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Detroit has an ugly SU record on the season. However, Minnesota has been a road-adverse team. Looking at the last 11 Timberwolves games, the home team is a perfect 11-0 ATS in those games! Wolves at home, they get the cash. Minny on the road, their opponent gets the cash. This pattern going for 3 weeks now and I look for it to continue here. Pistons off a home loss to New Orleans but were on a 5-1 ATS run heading into that one. Detroit also is on a 6-2 ATS run in home games. Pistons lost Cade Cunningham to injury in that game and he only played 21 points. He could come back for this game and is listed as questionable. Either way, I do like the home dog here catching big points. 9* DETROIT +7.5 |
|||||||
02-03-22 | St. John's -4.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm -4.5 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6 ET - The Red Storm off B2B losses but faced a pair of ranked foes and they have not lost 3 straight games this entire season. Also, in their loss to Providence Tuesday, St John's actually had 16 more field goal attempts in the game but the Friars got to the line for 33 free throw attempts - 3 times as many as the 11 the Red Storm got! St John's is a little under-valued here off the unusual results the last two games and note that Georgetown has lost 9 straight games including a 19-point beatdown at St John's. Though the Hoyas are now at home for the rematch, they are simply not a very good basketball team and the Red Storm will be aggressive and bring extra hunger to this match-up as a result of B2B losses. Only one of Georgetown's defeats in the 9-game skid came by a margin of less than 7 points. Once again, look for the Hoyas to lose by 7 or more points as their losing streak reaches 10 games. 9* ST JOHN'S -4.5 |
|||||||
02-02-22 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6 vs Florida Gators @ 3 ET - The Tigers have been struggling overall but this is a different team when on their home floor. Though Missouri is likely without Javon Pickett here lets not forget the Gators are still without leading scorer and leading rebounder Colin Castleton. That said, the value is with the home underdog here. Florida is off big win versus Oklahoma State but had lost 5 of 8 games heading into that one. Also, the Gators have lost 3 of last 4 road games. Missouri is just 2-2 SU last 4 home games but the two losses were each by 3 or less points! Now a line that opened at -5 is already up to a -6 and this is just two much for Florida to be laying on the road when you consider all of the above. Look at the defensive stats for these two teams in this spot too. Gators allow 69 points and 47% shooting on the road. Tigers allow 63 points and 39% shooting when at home. Grab the home dog! 10* MISSOURI +6 |
|||||||
02-01-22 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Western Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +3.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Warriors are off 5 straight wins but are in the 2nd game of a B2B and Klay Thompson will sit. Conversely, the news is much better on the Spurs front as they were able to rest up yesterday plus get Dejounte Murray back tonight for this one. Also listed as probable are Poeltl and White. San Antonio as a home dog is the play here as they are 4-1 SU the last 5 times off a loss. The Spurs did win at Golden State earlier this season and it was no fluke. San Antonio played a strong game in Oakland and they can do it again here with a refreshed Murray ready to go and he is having a great season. The Warriors barely covered at Houston against a bad Rockets team and, keep in mind, Golden State was on a 1-5 ATS run in road games heading into that one. I don't think we'll need the points here but I will grab them for added insurance. 10* SAN ANTONIO +3.5 |
|||||||
02-01-22 | Boston College +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +9.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 6 ET - The Cavs are a solid team known for stellar defense. However, their long-term struggle season after season tends to be with scoring and that is the situation now moreso than ever this season. That is a big part of the reason the Cavaliers are a rather mediocre 12-9 this season. Now, because they are at home and hosting an Eagles team that has had its share of struggles this season we are seeing this line way too high. Virginia has gone just 7-7 last 14 games and only 3 of the wins were by more than 5 points. You read that right...the Cavs have just 3 wins of more than 5 points in their last 14 games! That said, I love the Eagles plus the big points here and will challenge the Cavaliers to win this game by double digits. Boston College has some extra confidence heading into this win off a big win over Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, that is the same Panthers team that the Cavs beat by an average margin of only 3 points in their two meetings this season. The Eagles have played 20 games this season and only 5 of them resulted in a loss by a double digit margin. I see the Cavaliers winning this game but I look for it to be a tight low-scoring battle as the road team covers! 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +9.5 |
|||||||
01-31-22 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers did not just lose at Memphis last month, they got embarrassed by 35 points. Philly played that at game without Embiid and Curry but both those guys will be playing in the rematch in Philadelphia. On that ugly night in Memphis last month, the undermanned Sixers simply shot very poorly while the Grizzlies were on fire. That will not be the case in the rematch. I like the fact that Philly is off an ATS loss versus Sacramento, we had the Kings as a big dog that night and was a solid winner. Note that the Sixers have not had back to back ATS losses since that tough mid-December stretch that included the ugly loss at Memphis. So it has been about 7 weeks since the Sixers have had B2B ATS losses. Coming off the non-covering win versus the Kings, look for Philly to not only win this game but also cover as it is a much shorter number to cover. Yes Memphis is a very strong team but Philly is tough at home and especially when they are motivated. The 76ers will be ready to go here and their 2-point win versus Sacramento ended a streak that saw each of the Sixers last 17 wins come by a margin of 3 or more points. Look for this win to get the job done and get the hosts right back into the ATS win column. Lay the short number! 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 |
|||||||
01-31-22 | Colgate -8.5 v. Lafayette | Top | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NCAAB Patriot League Game of the Year 10* Top Play Monday Colgate Raiders -8.5 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 6 ET - I know this is a bit of an off the radar match-up but it caught my attention for two reasons. Colgate, whom I lost with Friday, was a team I was looking to come back with in their next game. Lafayette is a team from Easton PA whom I am familiar with from my family roots in Rickenbach PA which is just north of Reading PA and not far from Easton. The Leopards had rare success in recent seasons but this season they are back to being the bad Lafayette team they usually are. Lafayette lost league scoring champion Justin Jaworski coming into this season and that has hurt this team a lot. They are 5-13 on the season and the Leopards have lost 5 of 7 games and just can not score at nearly the same level that the Raiders can. Colgate had won 4 straight before their tough loss at Boston University and they will bounce back here. The last time the Raiders faced the Leopards they dominated and won the game by 25 points. I know this is a big line on the road but it is fully justified in a game in which the majority of my models are projecting a double digit road win. Lafayette's last loss was by only 4 points but, prior to this, their last 3 losses all were by 14 or more points. Look for this one to be in that range as well. 10* COLGATE -8.5 |
|||||||
01-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College -3.5 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles -3.5 vs Pittsburgh Panthers @ 4 ET - The Eagles off back to back ugly losses but both were on the road and they had their chances against the Tar Heels at North Carolina but shot extremely poor in that game. Boston College is now back home and I expect the shots to be falling for them here as they enjoy their return home. The Eagles are catching the Panthers at an ideal time for a big win. Pittsburgh is off a big win versus Syracuse and note that the Panthers have only managed B2B wins twice this season and each time the 2nd game was against a foe much weaker than this BC team. Look for the Eagles to come up with a blowout win here. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE -3.5 |
|||||||
01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month NBA 10* Top Play Sacramento Kings +10.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Kings are off B2B ugly losses but have been off for two days since that B2B situation. Also, there is a chance that BOTH Fox and Metu will be back for this game. Even if only one returns or neither returns, Sacramento has a great shot at a solid cover in this one in my opinion. Prior to the B2B ugly losses, the Kings last 7 losses featured only one by more than ten points! Here we are working with a line of 10.5 and a rested and angry Sacramento team is going to put up a helluva fight in this one. Philly is 4-2 SU last 6 games but only 2 of the wins by more than 10 points and the Sixers just beat a Lakers team without LeBron James. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Kings and 76ers. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS the last 3 times they were at home and coming off an ATS cover in their prior game. That is the situation here and a hungry and motivated and rested Kings team that should be healthier here too is going to be a handful for Philly to deal with. This one decided by single digits. 10* SACRAMENTO +10.5 |
|||||||
01-29-22 | St. John's +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm +13.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 4:30 ET - The Red Storm can hang tough in this game. Looking at their road games this season, St John's did get blown out once but they also lost by 2 at Indiana, lost by 2 at Pittsburgh, lost by 10 at a ranked Providence team, lost in OT at UConn, and are off a big road win at Seton Hall. As you can see the Red Storm have been solid away from home and are coming off a confidence-boosting win over the Pirates. That said, I feel this is too many points for Villanova to be laying here. The Wildcats are a strong ranked team but off a dominating win over DePaul that is resulting in an inflated line here. Nova has big games against two ranked teams, Marquette and UConn, coming up and the Cats may not be fully prepared her for a scrappy Red Storm team that is absolutely going to give them all they can handle in this one. Look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin. 9* ST JOHN'S +13.5 |
|||||||
01-28-22 | Pennsylvania +4 v. Harvard | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers +4 @ Harvard Crimson @ 5 ET - Dingle is off a huge game for the Quakers even though he shot very poorly from 3-point land. Getting him rolling again - 31 points in that game - is a huge plus for Penn and watch him now knock down his threes at a much higher rate in this one. The Quakers are playing better currently than what their full-season record indicates and that is why they are such a small dog here even though Harvard has the much better full-season record. Note that the Crimson have been without forward Chris Ledlum - top rebounder and 2nd leading scorer - each of last 3 games. Also, Harvard has been without another key rotation player, guard Idan Tretout, each of the last 3 games. The Quakers get it done on the road here and we probably will not even need the points but I will grab them for added insurance in this one. 10* PENNSYLVANIA +4 |
|||||||
01-28-22 | Colgate -1 v. Boston University | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Colgate Raiders -1 @ Boston University Terriers @ 2 ET - Both teams entering this game on hot streaks but Boston University enters the game with the much better record on the season plus this game is on their home floor. Do not let the line fool you here. The game is priced this way for a reason and Colgate dominated the Terriers in their meetings last season plus enters this game on a 4-game winning streak with all 4 wins by MORE than a DOZEN points each! The Raiders get the best of this one even though the game is at Case Gym in Boston. 9* COLGATE -1 |
|||||||
01-27-22 | Lakers +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 87-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Lakers +3 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Right away this morning this line jumped out at me. This line opened nearly at a pick'em even though Philly is at home and has won 12 of 15 games and they are hosting a Lakers team that had lost 11 of last 18 games before the win at Brooklyn. Also, LA is only 9-12 in road games this season. Sure, Anthony Davis is back now for the Lakers but essentially a "pick" on the road against a 76ers team that has been hot and has the better record this season. Looks funny, right? Sure enough the betting masses have hammered the Sixers here and the line has gone as high as a +3. As long time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am all over the small road dog here. This game was priced this way for a reason and I feel the Lakers have a chip on their shoulder and are out to prove some things now that they are getting healthy. Keep in mind, Sixers still dealing with some injury issues too. 10* LOS ANGELES LAKERS +3 |
|||||||
01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - Yes, the Badgers are off a loss here but the last time they were off a defeat they barely squeaked by Nicholls, a Southland Conference team! Also, Wisconsin has a big game on deck this weekend hosting rival Minnesota. Yes, the Badgers have a strong record this season but lets talk about what they have done since opening the season with a pair of blowout wins. Wisconsin has since gone 13-3 but the average margin of the 13 wins is only 6 points! Simply put, the Badgers are not known for blowing teams out. Only 2 of their last 12 victories have been by a double digit margin! The Cornhuskers have an ugly 6-13 SU record on the season but this is a scrappy underdog when on their home floor. Nebraska lost versus Ohio State in OT, was down by just 5 to Illinois with under 2 minutes to go in game, and lost by just 7 to Indiana. All those games were at home and all of those games so the Huskers fall just short. I would not be surprised, given the situation here, to see the Cornhuskers get the shocker upset but, at the very least, a home dog cover is likely here. 10* NEBRASKA |
|||||||
01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Wednesday 9* Top Play Orlando Magic Pick vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers are off a hard-fought win last night at Washington where they rallied for the win after being down by 30 points at the half! Look for this to have taken a lot out of LA and now they face a rested Orlando team. While the Clips are 2nd night of a back to back and playing 5th road game in 8 days, the Magic playing just 2nd game in 5 days and have been off the past two days. Also, Mo Bamba has been back in starting lineup and is expected to be there again for Orlando tonight. The Magic going to be too much for a tired Los Angeles team in this one. 9* ORLANDO Pick |
|||||||
01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
|||||||
01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
|||||||
01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 |
|||||||
01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +3 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 3 ET - Do you think the Rams are only 4 points better than the Eagles team that the Bucs just flat out embarrassed last week? Me neither! But that is what this line is telling you as the Rams are +3 this week after the closing line on last week's game was Eagles +7. That is only a 4 point variance and I am not buying it. The odds makers do not intentionally set "trap lines" but this is one that will likely "trap" public bettors as Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl Champions are only a 3 point favorite on their home turf. The Rams look like a team on a mission after their dismantling of the Cardinals last week and I love their defense. Also, this is not a pedestrian offense for LA like the poor Philly offense with a rookie QB that TB faced last week. Upset alert! 9* LOS ANGELES RAMS +3 |
|||||||
01-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham +0.5 +110 @ Chelsea @ 11:30 AM ET - These clubs have met twice very recently and Tottenham deserved a much better fate in the second fixture compared to the first. That said, and with Chelsea missing some key players including their #1 goalkeeper for this one, I feel we have excellent value with Tottenham plus a half goal and plus money too. The visitors have only lost 5 matches all season and, keep in mind, a win or a draw here gets us the money. Yes, Chelsea is one of the best clubs in the league but they have not been as dominant of a late and are a bit short-handed here and they have won only 12 of 23 matches in league action. In other words, about a 50-50 chance they don't win this match but those chances go even lower when you consider they are facing a Tottenham squad that is only 8 points behind them in the table but has played 4 less fixtures! The point is the, the losses and draws for Chelsea are going to come in matches like this again quality competition and I look for a very strong effort from the visitors here to get us the win at the betting counter! 10* TOTTENHAM +0.5 +110 |
|||||||
01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Year NFL 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +5.5 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:15 ET - The 49ers beat a good Cowboys team last week. That was not just about Dallas being bad it was that the Niners are built well for playoff football and they proved that last week. Defensively this team is solid and, oh by the way, San Francisco plays in a division with Arizona and the Rams. LA may have made the Cards look bad last week but the fact is both the Cardinals and Rams are very good teams and finished the regular season with a combined record of 23-11. As for the Packers, they play in a division with the likes of the Vikings, Bears, and Lions. Not only did none of those teams have a winning record, the 3 combined for a 17-33-1 record. Now don't get me wrong, Green Bay is an excellent team. I am just pointing out that they might be a bit over-valued. Also, Green Bay won at San Francisco earlier this season but the Niners lost the turnover battle 2-0. The 49ers actually had 26 first downs compared to only 21 for the Packers. Also, the line in that game was SF -3 and that means the markets considered the teams equal then. Now this game is at Green Bay and the line was as high as a -6 on the Packers. Suddenly GB is now deserving of an extra 3 points compared to the original match-up? The point is that if this line was priced the same was as the original match-up it would be GB -3. This is value. Packers played 17 games this season and only 8 were wins by more than 3 points which means 9 were not! You get my point. The Niners have now played 18 games and only 5 were losses by more than 3 points which means, of course, the other 13 games were not! I just look for a very tightly contested game quite possibly decided by 3 points and whether SF wins or GB wins I don't care as long as the margin is slim like that. The fact is though I sense an upset here. The Niners allowed 17 points per game last 6 games. GB, not including meaningless season finale in which they did not care, did enter that contest having allowed 26 points per game last 6 games. The better D and a very confident group will be able to get the upset here but I am grabbing the points for added insurance. 10* SAN FRANCISCO +5.5 |
|||||||
01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator 9* Top Play Tennessee Titans -3.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 4:30 ET - Huge rest edge here for Tennessee off the bye week while Cincinnati was in action for wild card weekend. Give the Bengals credit as they got it done last week and are elated to have finally won a playoff game after a 3-decade stretch without notching a post-season win. That said, Cincinnati has already achieved something and there was a lot of celebrating last week. However, now they are facing a much different animal. The Titans are not the Raiders...not even close. Playing a playoff game on the road instead of at home...not even close. The point is that Joe Burrow and the Bengals are in for a rude awakening going on the road and facing one of the top teams in the league and one with a good amount of playoff experience on its roster. Look for this to turn into a blowout as Cincinnati perfectly fits the mode of a "one and done" in terms of how they are built for a post-season run. They just don't have the ground game on offense that the hosts have and now those hosts getting back Derrick Henry at RB this week too. 9* TENNESSEE |
|||||||
01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 |
|||||||
01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
|||||||
01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
|||||||
01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Early Contrarian Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +3.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The Wolves are attracting attention here as a small road favorite but, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side. I like the Knicks as a home dog off an embarrassingly low-scoring home loss to Charlotte. Keep in mind, New York had won 5 of 6 (both SU and ATS) before that loss. Also, the Knicks now catch the Timberwolves off a huge win over Golden State. Could Minnesota be a little flat after the Warriors? I absolutely believe so. Also, the Knicks have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and the only loss was by a single point! Value with the home dog getting solid points here! 10* NEW YORK KNICKS +3.5 |
|||||||
01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
|||||||
01-17-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Rams | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals +4 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 8:15 ET - The road team won both meetings in the regular season. Rams on a 2-4 ATS run in home games. Cardinals were 8-1 SU and ATS in road games. Los Angeles known for playoff disappointment. I also like Murray over Stafford at the QB spot as the latter has been a little turnover-prone of late and the former is such a dangerous playmaker. The Cards are offering line value here because there is a lot of anti-Arizona sentiment based on their late season fade but a lot of that had to do with some injury issues that have since improved. Other than the split against Arizona, Los Angeles went just 1-4 SU in games against teams that ended up in the playoffs this season. Also, the Rams had a pair of wins against two other teams (Colts and Ravens) that came by margins of just 3 and 1, respectively. The point is that there is a lot of value with grabbing the points here in my opinion and an outright upset would certainly not surprise me in the least. 10* ARIZONA +4 |
|||||||
01-17-22 | 76ers v. Wizards +3.5 | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 8* Washington Wizards +3.5 or +4 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 2:10 ET - This is a tricky spot for a hot Sixers team. Philly just got a big win over a Miami team they do not like. They could be a little flat here and I do not expect the Wizards to be flat all. Washington has revenge for a 21 point beating they suffered, also at home, versus the Sixers a few weeks back. The Wizards Kuzma shot poorly, as did the team, in that game. Kuzma is now hot! Plus Bradley Beal did not play in that game and though there is a chance he could miss this one too, the Wizards star performer might be back as he was upgraded to questionable for this game. He has been in covid protocols and the fact he was upgraded to questionable here I have a strong feeling he will play. Either way I like the revenge-minded home dog here as they catch Philadelphia off back to back big wins over the long-time rival Celtics and a more recent rival, Jimmy Butler and the Heat. Wizards hungry for a home win and get the job done here. 8* WASHINGTON +3.5 or +4 |
|||||||
01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-17 | Win | 102 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +3 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:30 ET - You all likely know the traditional factor of a home team generally having a factor of 3 points in the line in the NFL. That said, this line is saying that these teams are equal even though Dallas finished 12-5 and won their division while the 49ers barely made the playoffs! San Francisco's 10-7 record placed them 3rd in their 4 team division. With all this said, you know where that places me on this game. When something does not look right most will just line up on that side where they feel there is a mistake and now they miraculously have some gift from the odds makers. It just does not work that way folks. Many may be enticed to play Dallas at home -3 here but in typical contrarian fashion I am on the other side of the public in this one. The Cowboys went only 5-3 at home this season and the Niners went 6-3 on the road. Also, SF won 7 of last 9 games and Dallas - other than 2 wins against Eagles in divisional battles - went 1-4 in games against playoff teams. This is another game where all the pressure is on the home favorite. In fact, the expectation is that if Cowboys don't make a run in this post-season there will be some coaching staff shake-ups. This is a lot of pressure on a team and Dallas has never been known for handling pressure well. Upset alert! 10* SAN FRANCISCO +3 |
|||||||
01-16-22 | Eagles +8 v. Bucs | 15-31 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
NFL Earliest Dominator Sunday 8* Philadelphia Eagles +8 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 1 ET - The big underdog Eagles getting some help from mother nature in this one as very windy conditions expected in Tampa for this one. This could limit the passing games a bit and when you compare the running games of these teams the Eagles certainly hold the big edge. Since Philadelphia went to their heavy ground attack, that is when the team has flourished. Prior to their loss in a season-ending finale that had no meaning to them (guys sat, etc) Philly had won 7 of 9 games. Of course the Buccaneers are the defending Super Bowl champs and finished the season red hot so I am not saying the Eagles win this outright of course. I am simply saying that getting more than a TD is offering great value here. Before their blowout win over the Panthers in the season finale, only 5 of Tampa Bay's last 14 games were Bucs wins by more than a TD! The Eagles know they must get after Brady in this game and between the wind and QB pressure, I think Tom Brady and Company will be held in check more than usual in this game. The "we have nothing to lose" Eagles come into this game loose and relaxed knowing nothing is expected of them while all the pressure is on Brady and Company as one of the Super Bowl favorites. Glad to grab the big points here. 8* PHILADELPHIA +8 |
|||||||
01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
AFC East Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -4.5 vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The Patriots could be hosting this game but they instead went 1-3 their last 4 games. The Bills could be on the road for this game but instead they got the job done and went 4-0 last 4 games. Also, the experience of last year's post-season run for Buffalo and QB Josh Allen is huge. Allen had a 5-1 TD-INT ratio in last year's playoff run and that included a 3-0 ratio at home. Now he and the Bills take on a rookie QB Mac Jones making his first ever playoff start and it is on the road and it is in frigid conditions for a QB who played his college ball at Alabama. As for Allen, he played his college ball in Wyoming and certainly is no stranger to cold weather games. It will be frigid at Orchard Park Saturday and Allen and the Bills stay hot and make it 5 straight SU wins and, along the way, they get the cover too! 10* BUFFALO -4.5 |
|||||||
01-15-22 | Raiders +6.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL Daytime Dominator Sunday 8* Las Vegas Raiders +6.5 @ Cincinnati Bengals @ 4:30 ET - Waiting has paid off as this line has moved back toward the Bengals now. We are seeing some +6 with a plus money price and even some +6.5 are now out there. Anyway, is now about 5 hours before kickoff so I don't want to hold off any longer because I don't think we are going to see any 7's show up on this one but we definitely have value with the big dog here in my opinion. All the pressure is on a Bengals team that is on an 0-8 SU run in the post-season and has not won a playoff game in 3 decades! Cincinnati is favored and feels the pressure to win here. The Raiders come into this game loose and relaxed plus on a 4-game winning streak. This is the perfect recipe for a dangerous dog situation! That is what I see here is an underdog that has been playing with an "us against the world" mentality for 4 straight weeks now and I look for them to at least get the cover even if their SU winning streak does finally come to an end. I don't trust the Bengals laying this many points in this situation and would not be surprised to see this game decided by a margin of only 3 or 4 points. 8* LAS VEGAS +6.5 |
|||||||
01-15-22 | Northwestern +8 v. Michigan State | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Dominator Saturday 8* Northwestern Wildcats +8 @ Michigan State Spartans @ Noon ET - The Wildcats biggest loss this season has been by a margin of only 8 points and that was at Ohio State and then followed by a loss by 7 points in the double-OT game they just played on Saturday. Northwestern is now only 8-6 on the season but their 6 losses all by single digit margins and the average margin of defeat only 5.7 points per loss. The point is that we have excellent line value with the points here in my opinion. As strong as Michigan State has been this season they barely snuck by the Wildcats in their meeting 2 weeks ago and this is a tough scheduling spot for them here. They are off a last second home win over Minnesota and have big road games at deck at Wisconsin and Illinois. The big points offering big value here in my opinion. 8* NORTHWESTERN |
|||||||
01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - Yes the Sixers off a loss but they clearly got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the rival Celtics. Philadelphia had won 7 straight games before that loss. Also, the 76ers have won 4 of last 5 versus Boston. The Celtics are off a win and cover but this was preceded by ATS losses in 6 of last 8 games. The better team at home and laying a manageable price and they had been the hotter team. I'll take it as the Sixers bounce back off a loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
|||||||
01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Game of the Week Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +110 vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - We are getting some line value here because Crystal Palace has played a little better of late. The better results had a lot to do with scheduling and so I don't expect it to continue here. Now Palace is on the road where they have won just 1 match all season. Also, Crystal Palace is without a few players who are playing in the Africa Cup of Nations and this includes Zaha who is one of their top scorers. Also, Brighton & Hove has revenge on their minds here from losing most recent match versus Palace. The hosts do come into this match hot as they have been winning and playing well on both ends of the pitch and the only draw in their 4 game unbeaten streak was versus Chelsea and there certainly is no shame in playing out to a draw against those guys. Considering all these factors look for the club on its home pitch to get the full 3 points in the table by notching a key victory in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +110 |