Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-29-16 | Clippers +10.5 v. Blazers | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
This line just looks really inflated here since the Trailblazers won @ the Clippers. I don't see a blowout happening tonight as the Clippers were in it the whole game last time, they just suffered a cold shooting spell late which was hard to over come. The Clippers can really slow down the game here make Portland work offensively. Portland is 9-21 ATS after covering the spread 3 or more games in a row. Portland is also 0-4 ATS L4 games after scoring 100 points or more. Clippers are 6-2 ATS L8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more. |
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04-29-16 | Raptors v. Pacers -2 | Top | 83-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA TOP PLAY! This series has 7 games written all over it. The Pacers almost grabbed another win @ Toronto in Game 5 losing by 3. The Pacers will win here tonight as they probably feel they should be ahead in this series. Indiana has done a great job of chasing the Raptors off the 3 point line in this series which is big considering how dangerous Lowry and DeRozan can be. The difference in the last game was that Indiana only forced 7 turnovers while committing 14 themselves. I like Indiana a lot in this do or die spot tonight. Pacers are 17-4 ATS L21 games playing on 2 days rest. Raptors are 2-10 ATS L12 Conference Quarterfinal Games |
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04-28-16 | Hawks -2 v. Celtics | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
This is no shock to me that the Hawks are favored here @ Boston even though they were underdogs by 2.5-3 the last two games which they both lost. I called the blowout for Atlanta last game as it was smooth sailing the whole 2nd half for them. The Celtics are really missing Avery Bradley right now as their poor shooting is being exposed. The Hawks will be motivated to end this series tonight and I believe they do so. |
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04-27-16 | Blazers v. Clippers +3.5 | 108-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
This won't be a popular play by any means with the news that everyone is aware of regarding Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. However, when people are so quick to write a team off usually they really surprise everyone. I also believe this will play with Portland's head as they may feel like this game will be easy and not come out with the same energy and focus that they should. Let's also remember the loss of Blake Griffin to me isn't as big as people are making they played almost the whole season without him and actually played better without him people are forgetting that. So really what you have lost is Paul. Granted a big loss, but they still have a top 5 coach in the league in Doc Rivers and I expect a big game from his son Austin Rivers tonight. Portland was destroyed in their first two games here in this series as 8 point dogs now they favored by over 3? Take the Clippers tonight |
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04-27-16 | Hornets v. Heat -6 | 90-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
This game is a lot like the Hawks/Celtics series. Home team has won every game so far and covered in both those. The Heat have been in control in my opinion in three of the four games which is what I said about the Hawks last night and they were an easy winner. The Heat will respond here tonight at home after letting the last game slip away. Miami also dominated the boards, but lost both games which is rare to see. They will dominate the glass again and take full advantage of it being back home. Heat are 7-0 ATS L7 home games vs team with a losing road record. Hornets are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a winning home record. 12-1 system play there! |
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04-26-16 | Celtics v. Hawks -7 | 83-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Well this series has been very entertaining and the home team has won every game. While the Hawks have only covered once in the 4 games scaring the betting public away from them. However, when you look back at the games the Hawks actually were in total control of 3 of them. Game 1 they were up huge and blew the lead but still won. Game 2 they dominated. Game 3 Boston was up big time, but Hawks fought back to make it a game. Game 4 Hawks were in control and blew it late in 4th and lost in OT. Atlanta is normally a very good 3 point shooting team, but have struggled and it's not because the Celtics are playing tough defense they are just missing open shots. I look for Atlanta to get out to a big lead and not look back here tonight. Celtics 2-9 ATS L11 road games vs team with a winning home record. |
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04-25-16 | Clippers -3 v. Blazers | 84-98 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT NBA PLAYOFFS! I was on Portland Saturday night in their win over the Clippers, but will be against them here tonight. The Trailblazers got their win and I fully expect the Clippers to play with a lot of urgency to get a 3-1 lead here to try and end this series @ home next game. The Clippers shot terrible from three point range going 3-18 in Game 3 and that will not happen here tonight. Griffin was 5-16 and Redick was 2-10 from the field while only Crawford off their bench had more than 4 points. This will be a better performance all the way around tonight. Portland is 2-8 ATS L10 following an ATS win |
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04-24-16 | Cavs v. Pistons +6.5 | 100-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Pistons will be trying to avoid the series sweep here today so I expect a really big effort out of them. This game was really close the other night but the Cavs just pulled away late to cover. Now this line has gone up since they won by 10. Pistons are 7-3 ATS L10 games following a double digit loss at home. Cavs are 9-18 ATS after winning 3 or more consecutive games in a row. Detroit is also 12-4 ATS revenging a home loss by 10 more. |
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04-24-16 | Hawks v. Celtics -2 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
This was the series I had going 7 games and like the Celtics again which was my First Round PLay Of The Year Friday night. Celtics will tie this series back up today. Boston had a big lead and let t get away from them but managed to hold on. They still didn't play a great game by any means, but they will be ready again here today. Hawks are 0-5 ATS L5 road games. Hawks are 1-6 ATS L7 games after allowing 100 points or more in previous game. |
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets +9.5 | 121-94 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm going to go with the Rockets again here today. I believe there is to much hype in Curry returning. Not saying the Rockets will win today but getting this many points at home is hard to pass up. Curry is no doubt a superstar, but I doubt he is worth 6 or more points to the oddsmakers. They know the betting public will be all over the Warriors with Curry coming back I'm not biting. Rockets are 20-6 ATS L26 games playing 2 days rest. |
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04-23-16 | Clippers v. Blazers +1.5 | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This will be the third and final NBA play today. Portland is in a similar spot to the Hornets and Pacers as well. They are coming off two blowout losses but now return home. This team shoots a lot of 3's and actually do a great job of knocking them down. They have been ice cold so far in this series and expect that to change here tonight. Portland is 8-2 ATS L10 games following a double digit loss. Clippers 2-8 ATS L10 games playing on 2 days rest. |
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04-23-16 | Heat v. Hornets -2 | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! I'm backing the Hornets here again tonight who are obviously in a must win spot if they want this series to continue. The Hornets have been a very good home going 30-11 this year. I simply can't trust the eat here who have been shooting lights out in both games so far. Shooting over 57% for two straight games is difficult there is no way they can do it a third game. Heat are 1-6 ATS L7 road games and Hornets are 11-4 ATS L15 games following a double digit loss. |
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04-23-16 | Raptors v. Pacers +2 | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a do or die situation for the Pacers here tonight. I believe they will respond here big time following an ugly loss the other night by double digits. The Pacers shot under 40% for the game and a terrible 27% from the 3pt line. Those numbers won't happen again here tonight. Pacers are 4-1 ATS L5 home games following a double digit loss. Raptors are 2-8 ATS L10 Conference Quarterfinal Games. |
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04-22-16 | Hawks v. Celtics -3 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
NBA FIRST ROUND PLAY OF THE YEAR! This is a an absolute must win for the Celtics here as they have played just terrible in the first two games. They have yet to shoot over 40% from the field, but return home here tonight and this team will have a ton of fight in them. This Celtics team is no joke and Brad Stevens has done a terrific job this season. This is a perfect spot for a nice bounce back here tonight. I really love the Celtics in this spot. |
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04-21-16 | Warriors v. Rockets +5 | 96-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
I backed the Rockets in Game 2 and they covered. To me it's now or never for this team. I expect them to bounce back here @ home after hearing about how bad they are on defense. Also another key here is Curry, gut feeling is that he sits out tonight. The Rockets are averaging over 20 turnovers in the first two games expect that to be cleaned up big time. I simply trust the Rockets to have a lot more fight than what they have shown so far |
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04-21-16 | Raptors v. Pacers +1.5 | 101-85 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacers have the chance now to really take control of this series. Paul George is playing great basketball and expect a couple teammates to step up tonight and help him get the W. The series is tied up here and Indiana hasn't played good either game when you look at the stats. I see tonight being a big breakout game returning home. Pacers are 8-2 ATS L10 games following a SU loss. Raptors are 3-7 ATS L10 games following a SU win. |
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04-20-16 | Pistons v. Cavs -10 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
I look for the Cavs to come out extremely focused here tonight as the Pistons gave them all they wanted in Game 1. The Pistons shot nearly 51% from the field and I don't see that happening again. Also the Pistons hit 15 threes which is extremely difficult and hard to follow up on. The Cavs will step up their pressure here tonight and make things very difficult for the young Pistons tonight. |
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04-20-16 | Hornets +5 v. Heat | 103-115 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Everything went perfect for the Heat in game 1 and the public will be all over them again here. However, the Heat shot 57% from the field which was their 2nd highest percentage going back over a month ago. They also shot 50% from the three point line, so clearly it will be hard for them to repeat the performance. I see the Hornets bouncing back here tonight and stealing one @ Miami. |
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04-18-16 | Pacers v. Raptors -7 | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
This may seem like a big number considering they just lost by 10 in Game 1. The Raptors will be ready tonight rebounding from a bad performance. Lowry and DeRozan shot a combined 8-32 from the field including just 1-10 from three. They both won't be off again like that tonight. Also the Pacers hit 11 threes shooting 52% from the three point line which will be difficult to back up. The Pacers are just 2-10 ATS L12 meetings so don't be surprised to see the Raptors dominate from start to finish. Also the Raptors hold a big rebounding advantage against Indiana |
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04-17-16 | Hornets +4.5 v. Heat | 91-123 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
I like the Hornets to win this series. They have been absolutely on fire the 2nd half of the season and aren't getting enough credit here. The Hornets won @ Miami on March 17th despite the Heat shooting 53% for the game. The pace of the play here will be very slow and I believe that will favor the Hornets in this game. Hornets are 10-4 ATS L14 games after winning by 10 or more points |
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04-17-16 | Pistons +11 v. Cavs | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
The Pistons are no push over here for the Cavs. The Pistons just won @ Cavs last game of the season and that was without Cleveland's best players in Love Kyrie and LeBron. Since they are back I believe we are seeing a big over reaction to them being back. The Pistons didn't play their best players either in Drummond KCP Harris Jackson and Morris. I see the Pistons being able to really clog things up in the middle here and keep it close. The Pistons won 3 of the 4 meetings during regular season and are 8-2 ATS L10 meetings @ Cavs. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics +5.5 v. Hawks | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
I like the value here with the Celtics tonight vs the Hawks. They will be out for revenge after losing a week ago @ Atlanta. Atlanta won by 11 but in large part was because they made 17 three pointers. I highly doubt that happens here tonight with how good of defense the Celtics play. Atlanta only wins by an average of 6 @ home so with it getting very tight and the pace slowing down I see it favoring the Celtics |
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04-13-16 | Clippers v. Suns -5 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
I look for the young Suns to rebound here and get the win pretty easily tonight vs the Clippers. The Clippers are sitting their whole starting 5 and with them playing last night and having an easy win I don't see them having any interest in tonight's game. The guys that will be playing aren't use to playing this many minutes and they will obviously have a very short bench. Suns are 6-0 ATS L6 games following an ATS loss. |
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04-13-16 | Heat v. Celtics -4.5 | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
The Celtics have lost two games in a row both by double digits, but this game is still a big one for them. They would tie the Heat and still have a chance for the 3 seed. Seeds 3-6 are still up for grabs in the Eastern Conference and I expect a huge bounce back from the Celtics tonight after losing an ugly home game to the Hornets last out. The Heat are coming off a hard fought win last night @ Detroit. Miami just 1-6 ATS L7 road games and that was last night and are 0-4 ATS L4 on 0 days rest. |
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04-13-16 | Spurs v. Mavs -5 | 96-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
I have no problem backing the Mavs here who right now sit in the 6th spot in the Western Conference, but are tied with the Grizzlies. So this is a must win game for the Mavs so they can avoid the Spurs or the Warriors in the first round of the playoffs. The Spurs are sitting a bunch of players again after coming back and beating the Thunder in OT last night. I don't see them getting up for this at all. Huge motivation edge goes to the Mavs here tonight. Spurs are just 1-9 ATS L10 games and are 2-7 ATS L9 games playing on 0 days rest. |
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04-13-16 | Pacers v. Bucks -4.5 | 97-92 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
I see the young Bucks giving a good effort here tonight vs the Pacers who will be without Paul George. The Pacers played last night and played very hard with their playoff fate now in order I don't much of an effort from them here tonight. The Bucks played very hard their last game being down 20 @ the Magic late in the 3rd quarter and fought all the way to back to get down 4 points so I really like the effort they are still giving here. Pacers are 1-7 ATS L8 games following a win by 10 or more points |
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04-13-16 | Pistons +2 v. Cavs | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
I see the Pistons responding tonight after losing a tight game vs the Heat last night. With Love Kyrie and LeBron all out the Cavs have a terrible bench and there is no motivation for them what so ever to win this game. I believe Van Gundy will have them ready as he wants to build their confidence going into the playoffs. Pistons are without Jackson again but they have a way better team than the Cavs are putting out there tonight. |
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04-12-16 | Heat v. Pistons -2 | Top | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NBA TOP PLAY! I really like the value here we are getting with the Pistons in their final home game of the season. The Pistons have been a nice surprise making the playoffs and are tied with the Pacers for the 7th and 8th seed. That is very crucial as they will want to avoid the Cavs first round. The Pistons have also had 3 days off and this is the Heat's 4th game in 6 game. Heat are just 1-6 ATS L7 road games. |
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04-11-16 | Kings v. Suns -6 | 105-101 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
This may seem like a lot of points for the Suns as the betting public won't have anything to do with them, but the Kings are coming off a win over Thunder which I believe they are content with going into the off season. There is no reason for them to get up for this game and also the have shut down Cousins and without him they have been terrible. Kings are 7-19 ATS L26 games vs a team with a winning % below 40. Suns are 18-7 ATS L25 games following a win of 10 points or more |
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04-11-16 | Mavs v. Jazz -5.5 | 101-92 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Utah is in a must win spot here tonight vs the Mavs. Both teams are playing their 2nd of a back to back. The Mavs are coming off a loss @ the Clippers and while they are fighting for the playoffs they still are pretty comfortable. The Jazz can't simply afford to lose at all being only 1 game up on the Rockets for the 8th seed. They had an impressive win by 16 @ Denver yesterday which I had and will back them again tonight. This is a young team that has fought very hard all season to get into this position and see no reason why they can't pull away from the Mavs. Mavs are still getting a lot of respect because of their 6 game winning streak prior to last night. |
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04-11-16 | Bucks v. Magic -3.5 | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is another situation where both teams are playing their 2nd of a back to back. The Magic played their rival the Heat without Oladipo and Gordon plus it was a revenge game from the Magic just beating them and Miami blew them out which is why I like this young Magic team who has been playing very well prior to last night were 5-2 L7 games. Oladipo and Gordon should also be back which is 2 starters for them. The Bucks played @ Sixers and won in OT by 1 point. I just don't see them responding tonight. I also question where Middleton will play since yesterday they said he was out then he played so I have a hunch he might sit as well. Magic are 8-2 ATS L10 following an ATS loss. Bucks are 0-4 ATS L4 after allowing 100 points or more |
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04-10-16 | Jazz -6.5 v. Nuggets | 100-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
I like the Jazz here tonight to bounce back against the Nuggets who are coming off a win over the Spurs, but that is with the Spurs resting players. The Jazz have all the motivation here as they are fighting a playoff spot and are only 1 game ahead of the Rockets for the 8 seed. The Jazz are 10-1 ATS L11 games vs team with a losing record. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS L6 games vs team with a losing record. |
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04-10-16 | Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers | 91-98 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
This won't be a popular play with the Clippers coming off a big road win @ Utah as a double digit underdog. They have nothing to play for here in this game and are fully expected to sit a bunch of players. Meanwhile, the Mavs have everything to play for as they are fighting for a playoff spot but still have a chance to get the 5 seed with Portland losing last night. The Mavs have won 6 in a row and expect a large effort this afternoon |
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04-09-16 | Cavs v. Bulls +7.5 | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! This line is a huge over reaction to the Bulls struggles. While it's very likely they miss the playoffs I still expect them to compete and give the Cavs a game today. The Bulls were actually favored by 4 this year @ home. The Cavs have nothing to play for as the #1 seed is theirs. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS L7 meetings. Cavs are 1-7-1 ATS L9 following a loss of 10 points or more. |
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04-09-16 | Celtics +5.5 v. Hawks | 107-118 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
I like the Celtics here tonight getting the points. This is a team that Brad Stevens has playing really good ball winning 4 in a row. This games means a lot to each team as they are battling for the 3 seed in the Eastern Conference. That is huge because that means they would avoid the Cavs until Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics are the best team in basketball playing a 2nd of a back to back going 40-16-1 ATS L57 games on 0 days rest. |
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04-08-16 | Spurs v. Nuggets -2.5 | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Spurs are resting everyone tonight so clearly they are showing they don't have much interest in this game. While the Spurs do have very good bench this is hard for those bench players in this situation since they will be logging a lot more minutes than usually. The young Nuggets will be up for the game tonight. |
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04-08-16 | Grizzlies v. Mavs -6.5 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
This is actually a very big game that will go under the radar. The Mavs are only 2 games back of the Grizz and are looking to climb in the playoff race to avoid the Spurs and Warriors first round. The Grizz are being over valued here due to their win over the Bulls. Like the Mavs to pull away here as they have won 5 in a row. |
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04-08-16 | Heat v. Magic -1 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm going to go with the Magic here tonight. The Heat are coming off a big win last ngiht over the Bulls and the Magic are come in off a loss vs the Pistons. I realize every game counts for Miami now but this is the first of a home and home and the Magic will have plenty of motivation here to beat their in state rival. Heat are 0-4 ATS L4 road games. |
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04-07-16 | Spurs v. Warriors -7 | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm taking the Warriors here for a couple reasons. One I'm not sure that Coach Pop will play everyone tonight. Also the Warriors will be focused here tonight as clearly they had no interest in playing the T Wolves the other night. Warriors beat the Spurs by 30 earlier this season when they played @ Golden St. I like the Warriors to bounce back in a big way here tonight. Spurs are 2-12 ATS L14 following a SU win and are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a winning home record. |
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04-07-16 | Wolves v. Kings -4.5 | 105-97 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a perfect spot here to back the Kings as short home favorites over the Timberwolves. Minnesota comes into this game beating the Warriors as 14 point underdogs and are due for a major let down here tonight. There is no way the T Wolves will bring the intensity like they did vs the Warriors. The Kings have been playing pretty good as of late as well they have covered 6 of their last 7. When you look back at Minnesota they won @ Thunder then followed that up by losing at Suns. Clearly that aren't capable of back that performance up. Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 games vs a team with losing record. T Wolves are 0-4 ATS L4 games vs team with losing record. |
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04-06-16 | Thunder v. Blazers +1.5 | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Both of these teams played on the road last night and both came away with wins. This is a similar spot to what the Pacers are facing tonight. This game means nothing to the Thunder as they have locked in the 3 seed. Portland, however this game means a lot as they could get the 5th seed from Memphis but if they lose they could go to a 7 seed. Portland has already beat the Thunder @ home this year and see no reason why they won't do it again tonight given the circumstances. Thunder are 2-5 ATS L7 games after allowing 100 points in and Portland is 17-7 ATS L24 games after allowing 100 points previous game. |
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04-06-16 | Rockets v. Mavs +2.5 | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a huge game for both teams as both are fighting their playoff lives. Houston is coming off a big win which I had over the Thunder and now faces a Mavs team who has won 4 in row. I actually believe the Mavs need this more when looking at the remaining schedule. After this they have road games @ Clippers and Jazz and also play the Spurs. A loss here would pretty much know them out. The Rockets have 4 games left after tonight against 4 bad teams in the Suns Lakers Kings and T Wolves. So a loss for them tonight wouldn't be the end. Rockets are 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win and Mavs are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU win |
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04-06-16 | Cavs v. Pacers -1 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a great spot to back the Pacers tonight vs the Cavs. Cavs are coming off a blowout win last night vs the Bucks and now travel to rival Indiana. The Pacers are a very desperate team right now fighting for the playoffs coming off of two road wins and having @ Toronto next they can't afford to lose tonight. Indiana as had two days off and are 14-3 ATS L17 games playing on 2 days rest and the Pacers have are 5-0-1 ATS L6 meeting vs the Cavs. Take the Pacers here tonight they will have a huge game |
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04-05-16 | Blazers v. Kings +3 | 115-107 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm going to take the Kings here tonight as I feel like this game should be at least a PK or even the Kings favored. Portland is coming off a hard fought game @ the Warriors and now will have to bounce back, but they have a huge look ahead with the Thunder. The Kings are coming off a nice upset win @ Denver and I say upset because they rested their better players. I believe the Kings will respond here tonight and get revenge on Portland just beat them by double digits on March 28th. Portland has just 1 road win SU in last 10 games and that was @ the Pelicans who have injuries everywhere. |
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04-05-16 | Spurs v. Jazz +3.5 | 88-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
I like the Jazz here tonight as they are still fighting for a playoff in the Western Conference. A big question mark lies with what the Spurs will do for tonight's game. Coach Pop has been on record resting his players late in the year and with the Warriors on deck I wouldn't be surprised if he chose to do that tonight. The Spurs have nothing to play for here tonight while the Jazz have everything. I expect a huge effort from this young team tonight. They won't let this game get away like they did vs the Warriors. Jazz are 9-2 ATS L11 home games vs a team with a winning road record. |
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04-05-16 | Pistons v. Heat -3 | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
We are getting good value here with the Heat @ home tonight. They are coming off a blowout loss @ Portland, but Wade sat out that game. Why this line is low is because Wade is questionable for tonight's game. To me it doesn't matter if he plays or not I would still back the Heat. This is a huge game for both teams as the Pistons are looking to make the playoffs while the Heat have a chance for the 3 seed. The Pistons are coming off a an upset win @ Chicago and are getting respect because of that. Heat are 5-0 ATS L5 games following a loss of 10 or more points |
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04-03-16 | Celtics v. Lakers +9 | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
This won't be a popular play, but the Lakers are in a very good spot here. They are coming off a big upset win over the Heat and have had 3 days off since that win. The Celtics couldn't be more overvalued because they did something no other team had done this year and that was beating the Warriors @ Golden St. It's very difficult to bounce back from a game like that and expect a let down here. Celtics are just 2-7 ATS L9 road games. |
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04-03-16 | Grizzlies v. Magic -4.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Magic are playing very well right now late in the season winning 3 of their last 4 but their last game was a tough spot being a 2nd of a back to back. I see the Magic responding here tonight with the Grizzlies who keep on slipping. The Grizz have lost 5 in a row and with how banged up they are with injuries everywhere I see them losing again tonight. Magic are 5-1 ATS L6 home game vs team with a losing road record. |
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04-03-16 | Thunder v. Rockets +3 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
I look for the Rockets to bounce back here Sunday vs the Thunder. The Thunder have nothing to play for here as they are locked into the 3 seed for the playoffs. The Rockets have everything to play for as if the season ended today they would be out of the playoffs. Falling 2 games back would be very difficult this late in the season to make the playoffs. I like the Rockets to bounce back from a tough loss vs the Bulls on Thursday night. The Rockets seem to give the Thunder great games as they are 5-0 ATS L5 games |
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04-02-16 | Heat v. Blazers -6 | 93-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Portland comes in off a very impressive victory over the Celtics Thursday night and are still fighting for a playoff spot as they are only 2 games ahead for the 8th seed. You can't afford to lose home games late in the year. I'm not so worried about the look ahead with the Warriors tomorrow night as they will give a max effort here knowing they probably lose @ Warriors. The Heat played last night and blew a big lead in the 4th. They will once again be without Wade and Bosh tonight and I think this will be hard for them to play back to back with a limited bench. Portland is 8-3 ATS L11 games vs team with winning record. |
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04-02-16 | Pistons v. Bulls -3 | Top | 94-90 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
CENTRAL DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR! The Bulls come into this game winning two hard games on the road @ Indiana & @ Houston. Generally yes, you would play against a small favorite coming home in this situation, but the Bulls can't afford to lose anymore games if they wanna make the playoffs. The Bulls have 3 road games in a row after this game tonight so if they were to lose it would knock them out of the playoffs. The line is low here since Rose is out for the Bulls. I actually like how the Bulls play without Rose anyways. |
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04-01-16 | Celtics +12 v. Warriors | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
We are getting really good value here with the Celtics who I lost with last night, but have no problem backing them on a back to back as they are one of the best teams in the league ATS in this situation with a 39-16-1 ATS record on 0 days rest. The Warriors were very lucky the other night @ Utah and somehow they covered which is why this line is high. The Celtics are still one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference and they have a lot to play for with seeds 3-6 being a toss up. The Warriors have locked up the #1 seed since the Spurs will be resting their guys for remainder of season. I know the Warriors are trying to break the record, but this will be their 7th game in 12 days. |
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04-01-16 | Heat -8 v. Kings | 112-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The Heat are coming off a terrible loss @ Lakers the other night and will be the more motivated and focused team here tonight. The Kings are coming off a nice win over the Wizards which I had, but they caught them in a good spot as the Wizards were on a back to back. The Heat actually have a lot to play for with the seeds 3-6 being to tight in the Eastern Conference. Also at the end of the game vs the Wizards Cousins received a technical which puts him out for tonight's game and that is a huge loss for them. The Heat will have no problem exposing them in the paint tonight. Heat are 20-7 ATS L27 road games vs home team with a losing record. |
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04-01-16 | Magic v. Bucks -2.5 | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! I like the value here we are getting with the Bucks. The Magic have had 3 blowout wins in a row including an impressive one last night @ Indiana as a big underdog. This will be a tough spot for them tonight on a back to back which is giving us the value with Milwaukee. I was on the Bucks last game vs the Suns and was very impressed that when the Suns came all the way back Milwaukee didn't fold and in fact they battled back to win by double digits. Jason Kidd will not let this young team quit and this is a perfect spot for them at a short price tonight. |
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03-31-16 | Celtics +3.5 v. Blazers | 109-116 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I don't think the average fan will realize it, but the Celtics have a lot to play for here. They sit in 4th place currently tied with the Heat and Hornets, but are only 1 game back of the 3rd spot. Getting the 3 seed is crucial as that means that would avoid the Cavs until the conference finals. With the Celtics coming off an ugly performance vs the Clippers and have had two days off I see a max effort here tonight. Portland has won two in a row, but over the Sixers and Kings nothing to be impressed about. The Celtics have played very well in Portland going 8-2 ATS L10 meetings. Portland is also just 1-5 ATS L6 games following a SU win. |
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03-31-16 | Bulls +6.5 v. Rockets | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! As the season continues to come to an end the Bulls find themselves still 2 games behind the Pacers after beating them last game. This line is very inflated as the Rockets are coming off a crazy comeback @ Cleveland, but that was without LeBron. I honestly question if the Cavs are even a playoff team without LeBron so I'm not very impressed with that. The Bulls won't be getting much love because of their recent play, but they still have everything to play for here and every game is a must win now in order to make the playoffs. Rockets are 0-4 ATS L4 games following a SU win and are just 2-6 ATS L8 home games. |
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03-30-16 | Wizards v. Kings +2.5 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT SPECIAL I really like the value we are getting here with Kings. I actually thought they would be favored in this one. This is a very difficult spot for the Wizards playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and 2nd of a back to back. Coming off an extremely hard fought game vs the Warriors where they gave everything they had. It's hard to bring that intensity to a game like this. The Kings lost by 12 their last game, but is very misleading as they rested Rondo Gay and Cousins. So their 3 main players have ad two days off. Prior to the rest taking place they did win two straight. Don't let the close game last night with Warriors fool ya I see the Kings taking advantage of a tired team here. |
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03-30-16 | Warriors v. Jazz +5 | 103-96 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Jazz have been a great surprise this season and wouldn't be shocked if they pull the upset tonight over the Warriors. If you remember when the Warriors played @ Utah earlier they had to come back from a big hole and won by 3. The Jazz remember that all to well. This will be the Warriors 6th game in 10 days and 2nd of a back to back. The Jazz will have plenty of motivation as they will be trying extra hard to make the playoffs as they are currently in the 7th spot, but one loss could knock them down to 9. The Jazz have won 4 of 5 and 8 of 10 with both losses on road @ Bulls and @ Thunder nothing to hand your head on. Jazz are 9-1 ATS L10 home games vs team with a winning road record. Home team is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings |
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03-30-16 | Knicks v. Mavs -5.5 | 89-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is all about the motivation here for these two teams. The Knicks laid an absolute egg @ Pelicans which is telling me they are done for the year. The Pelicans team has so many injuries and yet the Knicks could have cared less. The Mavs, however have a lot to play for. This is a must win game here to stay in the playoff picture with Utah and Houston. Knicks are 4-10 ATS L14 games playing on 1 days rest and Prozingis is doubtful for tonight as well. Mavs played hard last game @ Denver and will do the same tonight |
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03-30-16 | Suns v. Bucks -6.5 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bucks are coming off an ugly loss to the Hornets @ home and I expect them to bounce back here tonight after having 3 days off. This is a young team and I don't believe Jason Kidd will allow these guys to call it quits for the season. Also the Bucks have lost 5 in a row, but all 5 of those were to playoff teams. The Suns gave a lot of effort in making a comeback @ Minnesota, but I don't see them having any interest in tonight's game. The Suns are a terrible road team going 7-30 SU. The Bucks are 9-1 ATS L10 games after losing 2 in a row by double digits or more. Suns are 3-11 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points previous game. Suns are also 11-22 ATS when being a road underdog this season. |
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03-30-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
NBA TOP PLAY! I'm backing the Raptors here as they are coming off an ugly loss to the Thunder where they were just outplayed from the get go in that game. Atlanta is coming off a nice road win @ Chicago and have won 9 out of their L10 which is why we are getting a short price here. Tough spot for the Hawks as they have the Cavs coming to town next and are due for a let down here after a nice win over the Bulls. The Raptors will be highly motivated and will need a win to keep the Hawks away from stealing their #2 seed in the East. The Raptors have won all 3 meetings this year and with 3 of their next 4 on the road I expect them to take care of business again |
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03-29-16 | Thunder v. Pistons +3 | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! I was against the Thunder last night and will be against them again here as they are playing their 2nd of a back to back. The Raptors were flat out horrible last night and the Thunder lights out. The Pistons have a lot to fight for here as they are trying to get in the playoffs. Also the Thunder do have the Clippers on deck making this spot a little bit harder as well. The Pistons have had two days off and coming off an ugly home loss vs the Hawks. They will be the more motivated team here tonight and you can't trust the Thunder to cover two in a row on the road with a road ATS of 12-21 |
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03-29-16 | Nets v. Magic -6 | 105-139 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This is another game where I like the spot. The Nets are still getting some respect because of their wins over the Cavs and Pacers. Now they are playing their 2nd in a back to back and have the Cavs on deck again. The Magic had a nice win over the Bulls Saturday night, but the public won't be giving them any credit due to the Bulls recent struggles. Also the Magic have had two days of rest and are getting Oladipo and Vucevic back tonight as well. Nets are 1-5 ATS L6 games playing on 0 days rest. Magic are 14-2 ATS after playing a home game as an underdog. |
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03-28-16 | Suns v. Wolves -6 | 116-121 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
This may look like a big number since both teams have bad records, but I see Minnesota controlling this one from the start. The home team has won and covered in their 3 meetings this year, but the Timberwolves absolutely destroyed the Suns @ Minnesota earlier by 30 as 4 point favorites. The T Wolves lost @ the Suns 2 weeks ago but that was only by 3 points. Minnesota hasn't gave up on their season since they are a young team. They did beat the Kings @ home as 4 point favorites who are better than the Suns and also won in double OT @ the Wizards. The Suns are 2-3 their L5 games but both wins came against the Lakers so not very impressive. Suns are 1-8 ATS L9 road games vs team with a losing home record. |
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03-28-16 | Hawks v. Bulls +3.5 | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
EASTERN CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE YEAR The Bulls aren't getting any respect here due to their 3 game skid which including 2 losses to the Knicks and a terrible performance @ Orlando in getting blown out. The Bulls are still without a doubt one of the most talented teams in the league. They currently sit in the 9th spot and this is an absolute must win game for them as 5 out of their next 6 are on the road. This will be the Hawks 4th game in 6 days and have the Raptors and Cavs looking ahead for them. I just can't street enough how crucial this game is for the Bulls and they will have a max effort here vs the Hawks who have beat them 3 times already but won't make it a 4th! Take the Bulls here you won't be disappointed |
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03-28-16 | Thunder v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 119-100 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH! The Thunder have been playing better but I was very surprised to see them favored @ Toronto who is a very good home team. The Thunder have won 7 in a row but most of those were to lesser teams and the Spurs win doesn't count as a quality win since they rested their whole team. The Raptors are getting ready to make a big playoff run this year and will be up for the Thunder tonight. The Thunder are also terrible on the road vs the spread, as they are 11-21 ATS on the road. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS L6 home games vs team with a winning record and have a home record of 28-8. |
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03-27-16 | Rockets v. Pacers | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY I like this spot to back the Pacers as they are coming off a bad loss last night vs the Nets while the Rockets are coming off a big win @ home over the Raptors. Rockets 0-4 AS L4 after scoring 100 or more and have lost 3 consecutive road games. Pacers are 5-1 ATS L6 following a SU loss |
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03-26-16 | Hornets -3.5 v. Bucks | 115-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Both of these teams play last night in losing efforts. Hornets made a crazy comeback @ Detroit late but just ran out of time. The Bucks will be playing their 5th game in seven days and are coming off 3 road games as well. The motivation here will be with the Hornets as they are right in the middle of the Eastern Conference playoff race. Bucks are 3-7 ATS L10 home games vs team with a losing record. Play against home underdogs after playing 2 consecutive road games and playing on back to back days 64%! |
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03-26-16 | Bulls -4 v. Magic | Top | 89-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
TOP NBA PLAY! This is really a do or die spot here for the Bulls as they dropped two games in a row to the Knicks and have fell out of the 8 spot by 2 games. They simply can't afford another loss here with the Hawks coming to town followed by two tough road games. The Bulls didn't play last night while the Magic had a hard fought game vs division rival Miami. The Magic aren't playing well themselves as they have lost 6 in a row. Bulls are 5-2 ATS L7 games after losing by 10 or more the previous games. The Bulls also return Gasol to the lineup and the Magic could be without Oladipo and llyasova. |
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03-25-16 | Raptors v. Rockets +1 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
This game here is all about motivation. The Rockets are still playing to try and make the playoffs, meanwhile, the Raptors pretty much have locked up the 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. With the Rockets coming off an home loss to the Jazz and tough road games @ Indiana & @ Cavs on deck I see a max effort here in a must win game to stay alive for playoff hunt |
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03-25-16 | Hornets v. Pistons -2.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
TOP NBA PLAY! The Hornets are getting way to much respect here. Sure they have been playing good ball as of late but they have benefited from playing a ton of home games. In fact this will only be their 3rd road game this month. The Pistons are playing well also winning 4 of their last 5 and they have a lot of motivation riding as they are in the hunt for a playoff spot. This Pistons are a solid 23-12 @ home and meanwhile the Hornets aren't a great road just 14-19. Pistons are 15-5-1 ATS L21 home games vs team with a losing road record. |
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03-24-16 | Blazers v. Clippers -4.5 | 94-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! This is a nice short price here on the Clippers who have been struggling as of late losing 3 in row. They lost by double digits last night @ the Warriors and look for a big bounce from them tonight. The Trailblazers played as well last night and beat the Mavs by 6. I really believe they are in for a tough one tonight given this spot. The last meeting the Clippers were favored by 3.5 @ Portland so clearly there is a ton of value with the Clippers only laying 4.5 @ home given that. |
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03-23-16 | Lakers v. Suns -5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a great spot to back the Suns tonight as the Lakers are coming off a nice upset win over the Grizzlies, but they also caught the Grizz on a back to back. Believe it or not the Suns were favored by 11 earlier in the season over the Lakers @ home and covered!! That is pretty remarkable when you think about it. The Suns will be motivated here and don't trust the Lakers on the road as they are 5-30 SU so this short line shouldn't be a problem. |
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03-23-16 | Jazz +1.5 v. Rockets | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a great spot to back to the Jazz who will be hungry for a win tonight considering they are battling for the 8th spot with the Rockets. The Rockets just played a heck of a game last night vs the Thunder but came up short and now on a back to back this line wants you to take them here. The Jazz however are well rested having two days off so expect a max effort here. Rockets are 2-8 ATS L10 games playing on zero days rest. Rockets also just 1-6 ATS L7 home games. |
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03-23-16 | Raptors v. Celtics | Top | 79-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a huge game for the Celtics tonight and love the price we are getting with them. The Raptors have won 7 of 8 including a recent win over Boston by double digits. The Celtics will be giving it their all tonight for several reason. 1. They have a big 5 game west coast trip coming up which will be difficult, also seeds 3-6 in the Eastern Conference are only divided by half a game, and last is the revenge factor. The Raptors have beat the Celtics every meeting this year it won't happen tonight. Raptors are 3-9-1 ATS L13 meetings in Boston. |
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03-21-16 | Grizzlies v. Suns +2.5 | 103-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
NBA UNDERDOG SPECIAL This is a very tough spot for the Grizzles who just upset the Clippers @ home last night as 9 point underdogs. Now they travel all the way to Phoenix where the Suns are well rested and have had two days. The Grizzlies are also very banged up still with a ton of players out. The Suns won't get much respect because of their record, but they already won @ Memphis two weeks ago. Also the Suns have been playing better with the return of Knight as they are 4-4 SU L8. Considering they only have 19 wins that is playing well for them. |
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03-21-16 | Wizards +6.5 v. Hawks | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
We are getting good value here with the Wizards who are finally starting to get healthy. The Hawks have won 5 in a row with the last two being by double digits. They were only favored by 8 over the Nuggets @ home and the Wizards are clearly 1 point better than the Nuggets. The Wizards also have a lot to play for here as the season is winding down they need a big run to make the playoffs. I expect a lot of effort here from them tonight as they have won 4 in a row themselves and are being under valued here. |
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03-16-16 | Clippers +3 v. Rockets | 122-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
I think to much is being made of the Clippers so called recent struggles. Their losses were @ OKC home to Cavs and @ Spurs all elite teams. Now they are catching points @ Houston. Rockets are being over valued winning 4 of their last 5. I really think the Clippers ware desperate here and will come out with the win. Clippers are 8-2 ATS L10 following a SU loss. |
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03-16-16 | Hawks v. Pistons +1 | 118-114 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
The Pistons were embarrassed last time out losing 81-124 @ the Wizards. The Hawks are coming in off a blowout win vs the Pacers. I really see a big bounce back here for the Pistons as they are still in the playoff hunt and need every win they can grab especially at home. This is just a one game road trip for the Hawks so I don't any motivation here with them. After the Piston suffered a blowout loss @ the Knicks they returned home and had an easy victory over the Trailblazers. |
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03-16-16 | Thunder v. Celtics +4.5 | 130-109 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
This line really surprised me here with a very good home team catching this many points. The Thunder are coming of a blowout win over the Trailblazers, but they had to following 2 straight loses. The Celtics deserve more respect here with a 23-11 home record. They are coming off a tough loss last night and will be ready for tonight. The Thunder are also a terrible 9-20 ATS on the road this season. Celtics are 9-3-1 ATS L13 games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60% and the Thunder are 5-11 ATS L16 on road games vs a home team with a winning percentage above 60% |
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03-15-16 | Clippers +9 v. Spurs | 87-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
NBA MARQUEE MATCH UP We are getting good value here with the Clippers as they are coming off an embarrassing @ home vs the Cavs. I expect the Clippers to be very motivated here as they are just 2-3 SU their last 5. The Spurs are coming off a big home win in a come back vs the Thunder. The Clippers are 8-1 ATS L9 games following a SU loss and ar3 3-0-1 ATS L4 games following a double digit home loss. Spurs are 0-5 ATS L5 games following a SU win and are 0-4 ATS L4 games vs a team with a winning record. |
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03-15-16 | Nuggets v. Magic -2.5 | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
NBA BLOWOUT WINNER I like the Magic here at a short price vs the hot Denver Nuggets who are playing their 2nd of a back to back. The Nuggets gave everything they had last night vs the Heat and have covered 5 in a row and that is why the line is low. The Magic are 1-4 SU their last 5 and are coming off a 4 game west coast road trip but have had two days. Orlando is also expected to get back Payton and Jennings tonight which is key. Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 games following a loss by 10 or more points |
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03-14-16 | Cavs v. Jazz +4.5 | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Jazz have won 2 in a row both by double digits and like them to carry on the momentum here. The Cavs are coming off a blowout win over the Clippers yesterday and will be getting all the public love. The Jazz have a lot to play here as they are fighting for a spot in the Western Conference playoffs. Cavs are 8-19 ATS L27 games after two consecutive wins by 10 or more points. Jazz are 8-1 ATS l9 homes games vs a team with a winning road record. |
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03-14-16 | Wolves v. Suns | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Suns have dropped 3 games in a row including a close loss @ the Warriors. The betting public is missing one major key here because they want noting to do with the Suns. Eric Bledsoe returned from injury and that is huge for them as he is immediately their best player. Also the T Wolves caught the Thunder in a perfect spot when they beat them last and it's simply an over reaction. Play against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as a road underdog then playing a team with a losing record. 30-8 ATS 79%! |
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03-14-16 | Pistons v. Wizards -1.5 | 81-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Wizards need a win and need one bad if they want to play in the post season this year. They come in losing 5 in a row and failed to cover in all of those contests. However, 4 of those 5 were on the road and their home loss only by 1 to Indiana. I expect a big effort from them tonight. The Pistons are coming off a 14 pt win @ the Sixers and this will be their 4th consecutive road game in 6 days. I doubt they play with much motivation here given they have already won twice on this road trip an return home for 8 games in row. Pistons are 1-8 ATS L9 games playing on 1 days rest and Wizards are 5-2 ATS L7 home games. |
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03-13-16 | Pacers v. Hawks -4.5 | 75-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Pacers played with a lot of effort last night after having a few days off and are returning home after this game for a 5 game home stand. I think the Pacers will be looking ahead to that as they have the Celtics Raptors and Thunder coming which are all big games. The Hawks are playing good basketball going 6-2 their last 8 with losses coming @ Warriors and @ Raptors. They played pretty sloppy last night vs a Memphis team battling injuries and clearly weren't interested in that game. Pacers are 7-15 ATS L22 games @ Atlanta and are 5-13 ATS L18 playing on 0 days rest |
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03-12-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5.5 | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a really tough spot here for the Pelicans who are very banged up from a lot of injuries. They also just played last night in a losing effort @ Memphis in which that game went to OT. Thin bench as I have mentioned now playing @ Bucks I see no motivation here for the Pelicans and they also have the Warriors on deck Monday night. The Bucks are still fighting and are coming off a nice win vs the Heat. I don't see a let down here as they have had two days off after that game. This is a young team that wants to end the season on a high note. Bucks are a solid home team with a 19-12 record and Pelicans are a pathetic 7-25 on the road. |
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03-12-16 | Rockets v. Hornets -4.5 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm gonna roll with the Hornets again here tonight as they won for me last night. They are quietly playing some of the best basketball right now. They have won 6 in a row and have covered in 5 of those. Why we are getting a nice price here despite that is because the Rockets have won 3 road games in a row. The Rockets pulled off a nice upset last night @ Boston, but I don't see them being able to win 4 in a row and especially on back to back nights it's very difficult. I believe they will be content here as they have a winning road record during this current trip. Rockets are 2-6 ATS L8 games playing on 0 days rest. Hornets are 7-0 ATS L7 games following a win by 10 points or more. |
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03-12-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +1 | 112-105 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
NON CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE DAY I really feel like the Mavs are in a must win game here. They have dropped their last 3 home games in a row which is he first time all yer that has happened and I see them being extra motivated here tonight to end that streak. They are tied with the Rockets for the 7th and 8th spot, but the Jazz are lurking. Mavs have had two days off which will help them because their schedule gets very tough from here. Pacers have had a rare 4 days off and don't see much motivation from them tonight as they have Eastern Conference Rival Atlanta tomorrow. The Pacers are coming off a big win over the Spurs as well which I had. Pacers are 2-7-1 ATS L10 games following a SU win. |
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03-11-16 | Wizards v. Jazz -3 | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
I like the Jazz to bounce back here tonight vs the Wizards who aren't exactly playing quality ball either. The Wizards have only covered 2 out of their L7 road games and that was to the Sixers and the Timberwolves. The Jazz are 19-13 @ home but have lost 3 straight @ home and don't see them dropping one tonight. Wizards are 0-5 ATS L5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. |
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03-11-16 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Grizzlies | 114-121 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Both teams are extremely banged up, but the Grizzlies have it a lot worse than the Pelicans. This line is begging you to take Memphis @ home but they may only have 8 in uniform. They will also be missing 4 starters and I just don't see how they can overcome this tonight. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU loss. |
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03-11-16 | Pistons v. Hornets -4.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Both of these teams have been playing extremely well as of late. I will take the home team here as the Pistons are due for a letdown coming off two big wins. The Hornets are 23-9 @ home while the Pistons are just 14-20 on the road. Pistons are 1-7 ATS L8 games playing on 1 days rest. Hornets are 7-1 ATS L8 games playing on 1 days rest |
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03-10-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -4 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY We are getting a nice short price here on the Raptors due for a couple reason. The Raptors have only covered 1 game in their last 5 and had to come back against the Nets @ home, but I believe they were looking ahead to this one. The other reason is that the Hawks are riding a 3 game road winning streak. Hawks were very lucky to escape @ Denver with a victory because the Nuggets shot 35%. Raptors are 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs a team with a winning record. |
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03-09-16 | Clippers v. Thunder -5.5 | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
MARQUEE SHOWDOWN This is a game the Thunder have had circled a week ago since blowing a huge 4th quarter lead @ the Clippers. The Thunder controlled 90% of the game, but had some costly turnovers down the stretch and that was the difference. I expect a big effort from Durant and Westbrook here tonight. The Thunder have had two days off and they are 5-1 ATS L6 games having that. Clippers are 4-10 ATS L24 games following a ATS win. Thunder are 27-9-2 ATS L38 home games vs a road team with a winning percentage greater than 60% |
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03-09-16 | Pistons v. Mavs -2 | 102-96 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
NON CONFERENCE BLOWOUT WINNER We are getting a nice short price here on the Mavs who have lost and not covered 3 in a row. The Mavs are still in the hunt for the playoffs, but they can't afford to lose to teams that are equal or less than them like the Pistons. Detroit is getting some respect here because they are coming off a 20 point blow out win over the Trailblazers and have won 4 of their L6. Pistons are 2-6 ATS L8 road games. Mavs are 4-1 ATS L5 games playing on 1 day rest. |
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03-08-16 | Hawks v. Jazz -1 | 91-84 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
We are getting good value here with the Jazz as a short home favorite. The Jazz snapped a 5 game losing skid last time out @ Pelicans. I believe this young team will try and rally here as they are fighting for the 8th spot in the Western Conference. The Hawks have covered 5 in a row but I think they are due for a letdown here coming off a win @ the Clippers and have Eastern Conference rival the Raptors next. Atlanta is 16-33 ATS L49 games playing on 2 days rest. |
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03-08-16 | Knicks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 94-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
I don't think the Nuggets are getting enough credit here tonight as the Knicks are coming off a big victory over the Pistons as underdogs. Nuggets were lucky escape with a win vs the Mavs but the Knicks are a terrible team on the road with just 10 wins. |
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03-07-16 | Bucks v. Bulls -6.5 | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
I hit my TOP PLAY winner with the Bulls last game vs the Rockets and will back them again tonight. The Bulls are still being under valued here because of that 4 game losing skid when Jimmy Butler was out. The Bucks are coming off a hard fought game last night vs the Thunder and it's very difficult for the lower quality teams to play with that intensity back to back nights against tough competition. Bucks are just 1-6 ATS L7 meetings @ Chicago. |
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03-07-16 | Spurs v. Pacers +7 | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
We are getting good value here on the Pacers since they have been struggling lately. I believe they can ride a little momentum in this game coming off a hard fought road win @ Washington. The Pacers in my opinion are still a quality Eastern Conference team and I just don't see the Spurs blowing them out. The last time these teams met were @ the Spurs and they were favored by 9 so if adjusting for Pacers home court the line should be around 3. Also if you look back at the recent road games for the Spurs like the Pelicans Kings those lines were only between 8-10 and the Pacers are way better home team than those two. I expect a battle here tonight. Indiana is 4-1-1 ATS L6 games playing a team with a winning percentage greater than 60% |
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03-07-16 | Wolves v. Hornets -9 | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This may look like a big number, but the Hornets aren't getting enough credit here as they have been playing really basketball as of late. They are 9-2 SU their L11 and look for them to roll tonight. I really don't trust Minnesota in this spot either as they are coming off a blowout win over the Nets @ home. Somehow the T Wolves shot 68% from the field which is unheard of. There is no way that happens again and they also have the Spurs on deck tomorrow night @ home. Minnesota is 1-8-1 ATS L10 games after scoring 125 points or more in the previous game. Hornets are 6-1 ATS L7 games when their opponent scores 100 or more point the previous game. |