12-29-15 |
Texas Tech v. LSU -7 |
|
27-56 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 39 m |
Show
|
LSU -7 Les Miles and LSU should have their way defensively and offensively against the Big 12 Texas Tech. It's the same old script we tend to see from the Big 12 in bowl season and won't change against the more physical and powerful Tigers.
|
12-29-15 |
Air Force v. California -7 |
|
36-55 |
Win
|
100 |
90 h 31 m |
Show
|
California -7 Jared Goff had woes all season long and did not play like the elite level quarterback that draft prognosticators foresee him as. But when you've been a starter for numerous seasons and are in the Pac-12 your going to face elite talent. California just did not have the talent to surround Goff and be successful in the Pac-12. Facing Air Force will be a different story and I expect Goff to finally have a performance worthy of a high drafted quarterback.
|
12-28-15 |
Central Michigan +5 v. Minnesota |
|
14-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
69 h 36 m |
Show
|
Central Michigan +6 This is one bowl game where I'll put an asterisk on a defense in the Chippewas that can be supported solely by quarterback play. The Gophers are not a juggernaut scoring team which gives value to the Chippewas who are led by an underrated bowl quarterback in Cooper Rush.
|
12-28-15 |
Pittsburgh v. Navy -3 |
|
28-44 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 60 m |
Show
|
Navy -3 Something just was off with the Pittsburgh Panthers football team as the season waned on. Under a new Coach they seemed to hit that wall of change. Navy led by all time leading QB rusher Keenan Reynolds should handle this game.
|
12-26-15 |
Nebraska +6.5 v. UCLA |
|
37-29 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 37 m |
Show
|
Nebraska +6.5 A 5-7 team does not belong in bowl season but I believe we'll see a worthy effort from the Corn Huskers. Don't forget Mike Riley has a Pac-12 background from 03-14 as Oregon State Coach. Also, Nebraska has been a great team at playing close games. Five of their losses were by five points or less and all seven by ten or less. UCLA like Memphis defense is too much of an eyesore to back in bowl season.
|
12-26-15 |
Indiana v. Duke +3 |
|
41-44 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Duke +3 Indiana has now crept up to a three-point favorite. Yes, they did have some formidable games in the Big Ten against the Buckeyes and Spartans. But there are certain teams in bowl season that nearly a full month of preparation poses a disadvantage. The Hoosiers are one in my book as they play a style of play game to game that never had any wrinkles. Look for Duke who can win in an array of ways to come out as an underdog winner.
|
12-26-15 |
Southern Miss v. Washington -8.5 |
|
31-44 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Washington -8.5 Chris Peterson and people in Washington know that they have a legitimate top 15 team heading into next season. Southern Miss has immense talent but this matchup just doesn't suit them. The Huskies close the season with two wins to become bowl eligible and will have the type of performance that likely will place them as a top fifteen 2016 team.
|
12-26-15 |
Connecticut +5 v. Marshall |
|
10-16 |
Loss |
-104 |
15 h 36 m |
Show
|
UConn +5 UConn has the look of one of those 6-6 teams that puts on a performance far superior than what they showcased in the regular season. Teams from smaller conferences that are juggernauts point wise often are trap teams in bowl scenarios. Look for UConn to be prepared and deliver as an underdog
|
12-05-15 |
Troy v. UL-Lafayette -2 |
|
41-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 35 m |
Show
|
UL Lafayette -2 Fans of the Rajun Cajuns are unaccustomed to the struggles they've witnessed from their team this season. The offense has sputtered in close losses to South Alabama and New Mexico State that was topped off by a 21-point loss last week to Appalachian State. To end a three game skid they'll look to do so against Troy which has also had a less than stellar season. The personnel is there for Lafayette. Expect them to grind out another close game but this time pull out the W against a Troy team that will not have an answer for Elijah McGuire.
|
12-05-15 |
New Mexico State v. UL-Monroe +2 |
|
35-42 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 35 m |
Show
|
UL Monroe +2 Monroe has been an absolute untrustworthy team for the month of November ATS, and has had an abysmal year with a record of 1-11. Yet I like the effort in the way they battled back from a big deficit last week to Hawaii to cover in a two-point loss. Typically you would not find value on a 1-11 team that's just a two-point underdog at home. Monroe will battle hard in this one and get their second victory of the season with a win over New Mexico State which should be relenting on defense
|
12-05-15 |
Temple +6 v. Houston |
|
13-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
|
Temple +6 The Houston Cougars and Temple Owls seemed like they were on track to battle in the championship as undefeated teams just a bit over a month ago. Two losses by the Owls and a recent loss to UConn by Houston changed all of that. Houston responded in great fashion a week ago with the return of Greg Ward Jr. to the lineup from injury. Yet often times people forget just how much can be lost by missing two games of action. This is a championship game against a veteran team in the Temple Owls. Expect Ward to show some rust and for the Owls to continue to show proper strides they've showcased the last several weeks. Grab the Owls.
|
11-28-15 |
Notre Dame +4 v. Stanford |
|
36-38 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 16 m |
Show
|
Notre Dame plus 4 Early post before line movement---Subscribers analysis will be added when other plays are finalized.
|
11-28-15 |
Florida State v. Florida +2.5 |
|
27-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
26 h 32 m |
Show
|
Florida +2.5 If Florida had not laid an egg last week against Florida Atlantic this game likely would be Florida -1. I'll side with value here as even though Sean MacGuire is starter he is doing it in a different capacity. No longer has Coach Jimbo Fisher said it's something he'll evaluate. Now with the permanent job I believe MacGuire may handle the pressure a bit differently. Florida will get enough done on offense to cover the 2.5.
|
11-28-15 |
Texas State v. Idaho -3 |
|
31-38 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 3 m |
Show
|
Idaho -3 We will go to the Sun Belt yet again as Idaho takes on Texas State. Texas State has been a peculiar team because they have a solid quarterback in Jones as well as senior running back Robert Lowe. But they're just not the same potent combination that was witnessed a season ago. Scoring the football has been difficult and I believe that'll bode to the home favorite in Idaho. Grab Idaho -3.
|
11-27-15 |
Baylor -1 v. TCU |
|
21-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
Baylor -1 Baylor may have lost high hopes of a BCS playoff just two weeks ago but that doesn't take away their talent advantage over TCU. TCU played a spirited game last week without Boykin but even with him back you have to wonder how they're going to keep up with the potent Baylor Bears. We'll back the Bears here today to make things interesting if Oklahoma loses Saturday.
|
11-21-15 |
Michigan State +14 v. Ohio State |
|
17-14 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 29 m |
Show
|
(371) Michigan State vs (372) Ohio State Can Michigan State put a thorn to the Buckeyes on Saturday? This of course could have been a classic matchup of undefeated teams if it were not for the Spartans meltdown against the Wolverines. I ask you, what would the point spread be if that play did not happen to give the Wolverines the win over the Spartans? Definitely not near two touchdowns. Though the Spartans have not looked the part of a highly ranked team neither have the Buckeyes. Expect the Spartans to battle in this game as if they could take that last play back against the Wolverines. Grab Michigan State plus the 14. Play Michigan State plus 14
|
11-21-15 |
Houston v. Connecticut +10 |
|
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 16 m |
Show
|
UConn plus 10 Last week I avoided posting Oregon as a moneyline play against Stanford. This week I'll recommend a 50/50 wager on UConn ML and with the points +10. There's a reason why the undefeated Cougars continue to get zero respect from the polls and BCS chances. They have a run and gun look that has succeeded in the American conference but they don't pass the eye test. The Huskies have made strides and this is the type of game that can get them to a bowl and carry momentum into next season. Grab the Huskies
|
11-21-15 |
South Alabama v. Georgia State -2.5 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 45 m |
Show
|
Georgia State -2.5 Last week I bypassed the Sun Belt but we'll head back into it this week as South Alabama travels to Georgia State. South Alabama has been a hot potato team that is off their first winning streak of the season. Still, their defense is a major concern of mine heading on the road against a Georgia State team that has underachieved this season. Expect Georgia State to capitalize at home and take advantage of a South Alabama team that is subpar.
|
11-21-15 |
Purdue +23 v. Iowa |
|
20-40 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Purdue From time to time value just sticks out. Iowa's undefeated season has rose their spread value sky high. But over their last three games their only cover was by a half point over Indiana. High lines against the Gophers and Maryland did not come close to inflated spreads. As this line continues to climb from 20 to now 23 I have to step in and root for 2-8 Purdue, who did play a competitive game against a similar style team in Michigan State.
|
11-14-15 |
Oklahoma v. Baylor -2 |
|
44-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 33 m |
Show
|
Baylor -2 Baylor faces the toughest part of their season starting with a Saturday matchup against Oklahoma. Losing Seth Russell will surely have an impact on the Bears but they feel they've improved enough defensively to match their potent offense. Oklahoma will be a true test but I'll side with the Bears to pull out the win and cover Saturday.
|
11-14-15 |
Oregon +10 v. Stanford |
|
38-36 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-15 |
Temple -2.5 v. South Florida |
|
23-44 |
Loss |
-112 |
21 h 32 m |
Show
|
Play Temple +3 South Florida has made stellar improvements to turn around a football program that looked in deep trouble the last four seasons. Still, I believe this is a good spot to back a veteran Temple team. Three point road favorites usually pushes a mind set of trap. Instead here I love the value. Back the Owls who should keep winning off of having a turnover advantage.
|
11-14-15 |
NC State +10 v. Florida State |
|
17-34 |
Loss |
-106 |
85 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-07-15 |
UL-Monroe +10 v. Troy |
|
14-51 |
Loss |
-115 |
27 h 58 m |
Show
|
UL Monroe +10 For the second consecutive week we’ll be on UL Monroe as double digit underdogs. Troy is catching far too much love after a blowout win on the road as 3 point favorites over New Mexico State and taking Appalachian State to three overtime’s as three touchdown underdogs last week. Monroe is a stubborn team that hangs in games. Troy will come back down to Earth from their impactful two weeks. Grab Monroe.
|
11-07-15 |
Cincinnati +9.5 v. Houston |
|
30-33 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 57 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati +9.5 All great college offenses meet a heads on challenge once or twice a season. You just can’t win every week in college football in landslide fashion with offense. Cincinnati is a confident team that’s capable of sustaining matching offense of the Cougars for four quarters. Cougars sophomore quarterback Greg Ward Jr. is still adapting and may not be ready for a closer than anticipated game. That’ll factor in to the spread as this should be closer to 5.5-6 points. Grab the Bearcats.
|
11-07-15 |
UL-Lafayette -2 v. Georgia State |
|
23-21 |
Push |
0 |
25 h 29 m |
Show
|
Louisiana Lafayette -2 We were on the opposite side of the Rajun Cajuns last week for a cover. Saturday I look for them to play a strong game against Georgia State. In consecutive weeks they’ve found themselves in a hole because of poor first half play. That can be corrected and I expect Lafayette to finally play a complete game and grab the win on the road. Play Lafayette.
|
11-07-15 |
Stanford v. Colorado +16.5 |
|
42-10 |
Loss |
-102 |
24 h 27 m |
Show
|
Colorado +16.5 Full season college subscribers have noticed my love for the Buffaloes. They’ve been on my board countless times this season and there’s a main reason why. Colorado has been the doormat of the Pac-12 since entering and with how strong the Pac-12 is this season oddsmakers are overlooking the Buffaloes. Each week there is value and it’s to be had again at home against Stanford. Note the odd start time of 10AM PT for this Pac-12 matchup. Shaky wins by a top ten team don’t prosper the following week. Usually it’ll take a half to get things refigured out. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Colorado have a small lead here at half and hang on to cover a sizeable spread in the second. Grab Colorado.
|
10-31-15 |
Arizona +4.5 v. Washington |
|
3-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 18 m |
Show
|
Rich Rod and the Arizona Wildcats have been as potent of an offense as there is in the Pac-12. The problem has been the defenses vulnerability to stop anything. Heading up to Washington they need to show the veteran capabilities this team possesses. Washington has a young defense that has struggled against the run and will have Browning returning from injury at quarterback. This is the type of game where Arizona’s offense should finally be able to outpace their poor defense. Grab the Wildcats.
Play Arizona +4.5
|
10-31-15 |
Stanford -10.5 v. Washington State |
|
30-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
34 h 49 m |
Show
|
Saturday night the Washington State Cougars will look to try and knock off the surging Stanford Cardinal in the Pac-12. The Cougars have just one loss in conference and could tie the Cardinal with a win Saturday. Luke Falk has been dominant at quarterback with just four interceptions and over twenty touchdowns. On the road this should be a true tough test for the Cardinal. But they’re the only team in college football I see getting better as the season goes on. They’ll have too much balance that will over power the Cougars. Grab Stanford. Play Stanford -10.5
|
10-31-15 |
Notre Dame v. Temple +11 |
|
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 29 m |
Show
|
The undefeated Temple Owls will do all they can Saturday to keep their undefeated record intact. To do so they’ll have to play mistake free football and execute at their highest level in all phases of special teams, defense, and offense. For how great Notre Dame has been this season they’ve been a turnover prone team. That will be the difference in landing our cover Saturday as Temple will play like a true top twenty five team. Play Temple + 11
|
10-31-15 |
UL-Monroe +11.5 v. UL-Lafayette |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 16 m |
Show
|
As potent as Louisiana Lafayette are on offense they are just as deadly and porous on defense. Louisiana Monroe has struggled as they transition with a true freshman quarterback in Garrett Smith. This should be the type of game he can settle in as he is a dual threat quarterback. Even though Monroe is 1-6 overall they’ve fought in several games including against Tulsa and Alabama. We’ll grab them plus 11.5 Saturday. Play UL Monroe +11.5
|
10-31-15 |
Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College |
|
26-10 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 46 m |
Show
|
Neither of these teams light it up on offense. Virginia Tech may look back at this season and say what if. They’ve lost several close games that were winnable and now likely will not be in position to make a bowl game. But I believe they’re further ahead in development than Boston College. The Hokies will be able to shut down Boston College’s simplistic offense and get the win and cover Saturday morning.
Play Virginia Tech -2.5
|
10-30-15 |
Louisville v. Wake Forest +12 |
|
20-19 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
Play Wake Forest +12 In the ACC Friday night the Louisville Cardinal will look to finally play mistake free football against Wake Forest. This is a curious line even against a rusty young Wake Forest team. I just have not seen enough from the Cardinal offensively or discipline wise to back them as double digit favorites. Wake Forest will stay in this game and cover the number.
|
10-30-15 |
East Carolina -6 v. Connecticut |
|
13-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
Play East Carolina -6 UConn is definitely a program moving upward after years of poor football play. They’ve stayed in a few games this season against teams such as Missouri, BYU, and South Florida. I’m not sold on them finishing the season out strong. They have a look of a young team that is growing but will falter as the season ends. East Carolina should be able to take prime advantage of UConn even on the road. Grab East Carolina
|
10-29-15 |
Oregon +2.5 v. Arizona State |
|
61-55 |
Win
|
105 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
Play Oregon +2.5 A Pac-12 battle takes place Thursday night in Tempe, Arizona between Arizona State and the Oregon Ducks. These two have not squared off since 2012's Thursday matchup in which the Ducks blew out Arizona State. This is a chance for both teams to get back on the right path and control their destiny for an at-large bowl game. I like the versatility Adams Jr. brings to the Ducks offense. He'll be very tough for the Devils to adjust too defensively, especially with the all out blitzes Todd Graham loves to bring. It's hard to believe the Ducks are in an underdog role for the second consecutive game but I'll grab them once again. Play Oregon plus 2.5
|
10-24-15 |
Colorado +2 v. Oregon State |
|
17-13 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 8 m |
Show
|
In the late Pac-12 matchups we’ll overlook Stanford vs Washington for the Colorado vs Oregon State game. Both teams are on the bottom level of the Pac-12 but have ingredients in place to move upward. Colorado has the edge in leadership while Oregon State has an abundance of freshman learning on the go. All of the veterans on Colorado have endured an abysmal record in the Pac-12, with the majority being landslide losses to top level teams. Winning a conference game means the world to the upperclassmen and head coach of Colorado. It won’t be easy but we’ll look for the Buffaloes to grab the road win and cover the small line of plus 2. Play Colorado +2
|
10-24-15 |
South Alabama v. Texas State -3 |
|
18-36 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 36 m |
Show
|
In this late evening Sun Belt conference matchup we’ll back the home team in Texas State against a reeling South Alabama team. South Alabama is coming off extended rest after losing to Arkansas State in a Tuesday matchup a week and a half ago. They’ve had poor play lately from the quarterback position. Texas State is a disciplined enough team at home to have the edge in the turnover battle. That’ll be the difference in the final result and land us a cover with Texas State. Play Texas State -3
|
10-24-15 |
Indiana v. Michigan State -16.5 |
|
26-52 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
Play Michigan State -16.5 Michigan State has been horrid ATS and is coming off of a freak win against Michigan. The win finally shook their ATS woes but also kept them in the hunt for a BCS championship. I think it will spark the Spartans against an Indiana team that has been playing above their capability. The Spartans style of play bodes well for an ATS cover here. A few big plays with their offense and a grind it out style that pours it on in the second half. Grab Michigan State
|
10-24-15 |
Clemson v. Miami (Fla) +7.5 |
|
58-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 37 m |
Show
|
Clemson is one of those teams that yearly has had the possibility of representing in a BCS bowl. But ACC conference play usually targets them for a critical loss. While the Miami Hurricane program is no where to the level it use to be, it is by no means a down program. They have talent and will be ready to battle Clemson in hopes of derailing their season. 7.5 is far too many points in my opinion. Look for the Hurricane to battle just as hard as they did against Florida State. Grab the 7.5. Play Miami +7.5
|
10-24-15 |
Houston -21.5 v. Central Florida |
|
59-10 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 27 m |
Show
|
It’s not often you see a road team as steep favorites. Yet that’s the case with Houston. Houston made the switch to quarterback Greg Ward Jr. in this exact matchup last season. John O’Korn has since transferred to Michigan, but the move has proved to be one of the top decisions any division one program has made. Ward’s averaging over 70% on pass completions and over 100 yards rushing in each game. Those believing that Central Florida will be able to respond in a big way better take a look at the poor play during their 0-7 start. A loss to FCS Furman and a mountain of points giving up to UConn and Tulane. Grab Houston. Play Houston -21.5
|
10-20-15 |
UL-Lafayette +7.5 v. Arkansas State |
|
27-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
10/20 05:00 PM CF (301) UL - LAFAYETTE VS (302) ARKANSAS STATE edit
Take: (301) UL - LAFAYETTE
Reason: Play UL Lafayette plus 7.5 Tonight in the Sun Belt conference, Arkansas State will look to build upon last week's come from behind win against South Alabama. Freddie Knighton returning to the lineup was vital for an offense that struggled without him. Yet, defensively Arkansas State has been struggling. I'll side with the points here on a high number with Lafayette.
|
10-17-15 |
Oregon +3 v. Washington |
|
26-20 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
|
10/17 07:30 PM CF (213) OREGON VS (214) WASHINGTON edit
Take: (213) OREGON
Reason: Play Oregon +3 The perception is that the Oregon Ducks are finished. An overtime loss a week ago marked their third loss of the season and second in Pac-12 conference play. Meanwhile the Huskies just defeated USC as 17 point underdogs. But I think this matchup here is a solid one for the young Ducks. Washington doesn't run away from teams with a vanilla offense and will have a tough time on defense with Oregon's up tempo offense. Grab Oregon plus 3.
|
10-17-15 |
Arizona v. Colorado +7.5 |
|
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 26 m |
Show
|
Colorado +7.5
Colorado is a team that was on the rise in bettors’ eyes just two weeks ago. Then they stumbled at home as 7.5 point dogs to Oregon and suffered another ATS loss last week to Arizona State. A game in which bettors moved the line by two full points to 16.5 to 17 before kickoff. This week though they have a much better matchup against the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona’s defense is one of the worst in the Pac-12 which should keep this game close. The Buffaloes always mark a game or two in Pac-12 play that they believe they can win, and this is one for a building football program. Grab the Buffaloes
|
10-17-15 |
Louisville v. Florida State -7 |
|
21-41 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 25 m |
Show
|
FSU -7 Everett Golson has had his woes against tough blitzing defenses throughout his career. Yet the burden at Florida State is not as high on his shoulders as it was at Notre Dame. The Seminoles an rush the football against the Cardinals aggressive defense and then open up the passing game. On offense Louisville turns the football over far too frequently to support them on the road against a potent team such as FSU. Grab FSU.
|
10-16-15 |
Cincinnati +6 v. BYU |
|
24-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
Tonight in Utah, BYU will look to get back on a winning track after stumbling in late September. BYU’s defense has been worse as the season has stretched and the offense is still working out kinks with freshman quarterback Mangum. That is not a quality recipe to have against the potent offense of the Bearcats. They’ll be able to score against the Cougars and should get a solid cover for us Friday night.
|
10-15-15 |
UCLA v. Stanford -7 |
|
35-56 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
10/15 07:30 PM CF (109) UCLA VS (110) STANFORD edit
Take: (110) STANFORD
Reason: Play Stanford Tonight, we'll back the Pac-12 Stanford Cardinal against the Bruins. Stanford has owned this series as of late and are a team riding great momentum since their first loss against Northwestern. Look for the Cardinal to have the advantage on both sides of the football tonight. Grab Stanford.
|
10-10-15 |
California +7.5 v. Utah |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 39 m |
Show
|
10/10 07:00 PM CF (379) CALIFORNIA VS (380) UTAH edit
Take: (379) CALIFORNIA
Reason: Play California plus 7.5 Utah is a quality team but I have my doubts about them being in the top five. Similar to Ole Miss defeating Alabama and then losing to Florida a week ago, the same may happen with Utah after beating Oregon. The Pac-12 is too balanced. California's offense will be the first to really test a Utah defense that is solid but not as great as years past. We'll then see if Travis Wilson can handle the burden of making tough decisions when not having a lead. An area he has struggled in throughout his career at Utah. We'll grab Cal in a generous spot of 7.5 points.
|
10-10-15 |
Troy +30.5 v. Mississippi State |
|
17-45 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 25 m |
Show
|
10/10 01:00 PM CF (349) TROY VS (350) MISSISSIPPI STATE edit
Take: (349) TROY
Reason: Play Troy plus 30.5 SEC teams and teams in general have had a tough time covering huge point spreads this season. The theme throughout the main power conferences is parity. This parity has allowed for teams from smaller schools to stay in games against power schools. Troy will do the same as this shouldn't get over the low to mid 20's. Grab Troy plus 30.5
|
10-10-15 |
Wisconsin +1.5 v. Nebraska |
|
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 54 m |
Show
|
10/10 12:30 PM CF (403) WISCONSIN VS (404) NEBRASKA edit
Take: (403) WISCONSIN
Reason: Play Wisconsin plus 1.5 It's peculiar to see the Badgers an underdog here. But they did just lose as a touchdown favorite at home to Iowa. They're 3-2 and in an awfully familiar spot as a season ago in which they started the season the same way. Last year they rolled off seven straight wins until losing to Ohio State in the Big Ten conference championship game. Nebraska may get an early lead here but Wisconsin will show their veteran grit and get the win Saturday at Nebraska.
|
10-09-15 |
Southern Miss v. Marshall -3 |
|
10-31 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
10/09 04:00 PM CF (307) SO MISSISSIPPI VS (308) MARSHALL edit
Take: (308) MARSHALL
Reason: Play Marshall -3 The line movement over the last day figures to side with Southern Miss. On the contrary I'll side with the Thundering Herd. Southern Miss has the lure of their spread offense but while it's been effective it has had it's down moments as well. They nearly lost a three touchdown lead against Texas State and were down three touchdowns to Nebraska. Marshall will be able to win this with the consistency of their offense and the home edge. Grab Marshall
|
10-08-15 |
Washington +17 v. USC |
|
17-12 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 0 m |
Show
|
Play Washington Both the Trojans and Huskies are coming off bye weeks. Yet I expect the younger Huskies to be ready against a Trojans team that has hit their ceiling offensively. 17 points is far too many to side on the Trojans side. Grab the Huskies
|
10-03-15 |
Arizona +12.5 v. Stanford |
|
17-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
|
Play Arizona plus 12.5 At night in the Pac-12 we will look to grab Arizona as near two touchdown underdogs against Stanford. Arizona is coming off a horrible loss to UCLA at home but I see this spot as a nice matchup for Arizona. Stanford's defense has given up several points to start the season especially in first halfs. That does well for Arizona's spread offense. Grab the points here.
|
10-03-15 |
Colorado State +4 v. Utah State |
|
18-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
30 h 53 m |
Show
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10/03 04:00 PM CF (207) COLORADO STATE VS (208) UTAH STATE edit
Take: (207) COLORADO STATE
Reason: Play Colorado State plus 4 The change over both of these teams have faced has taken a little bit of luster out of this matchup. Both teams may be down talent wise but you can count on a good matchup when they meet. Utah State's offense just isn't where it needs to be to back as a favorite even at home. Grab Colorado State in a spot where I believe they should be the slight favorite.
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10-03-15 |
Ole Miss v. Florida +7 |
|
10-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
Play Florida plus 7 Ole Miss surged to the top with a win over Alabama. Watching that game anyone would have seen the continuous mental lapses by Alabama. To start the game they used an unproven quarterback that wasn't ready for the big stage, and Alabama's defense kept giving up big play after big play. At home Florida will pose a challenge against Ole Miss. Backing Ole Miss as a full touchdown favorite will bite you in the tail. Grab the points with Florida.
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10-03-15 |
Eastern Michigan +45 v. LSU |
|
22-44 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
Play Eastern Michigan +45 LSU potent run game should be their bread and butter against an Eastern Michigan team vulnerable against the run. Still a steep line of 45 points is high enough to back the MAC Eastern Michigan. Expect this line to toy around the high 30's and low 40's by the third quarter. But it won't be enough to get the cover on LSU's side. Grab Eastern Michigan plus 45.
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10-03-15 |
Alabama v. Georgia -1 |
|
38-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 24 m |
Show
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10/03 12:30 PM CF (159) ALABAMA VS (160) GEORGIA edit
Take: (160) GEORGIA
Reason: Play Georgia -1 The Georgia Bulldogs get to attempt to be the second SEC team to knock off Alabama and it just turned October. The issues at quarterback at Alabama have plagued them in years past but this year is different. Coker has been unable to lift the team with big plays and the defense just isn't holding like it use to. Georgia has just as much fire power on offense as Ole Miss and will knock Bama down for their second overall loss of the season.
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10-02-15 |
Memphis v. South Florida +7.5 |
|
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
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10/02 04:00 PM CF (105) MEMPHIS VS (106) SOUTH FLORIDA edit
Take: (106) SOUTH FLORIDA
Reason: Play South Florida plus 7.5 This line has come down steadily since opening at 12 earlier in the week. I still see value on South Florida as touchdown underdogs at home against Memphis. The Bulls stay prepared defensively on a week to week basis and have shown signs of progression by staying in a game against Florida State earlier this season. Memphis offense is talented but with their defense a liability you have to grab the points here
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09-26-15 |
Utah +12.5 v. Oregon |
|
62-20 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 23 m |
Show
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09/26 05:30 PM CF (387) UTAH VS (388) OREGON edit
Take: (387) UTAH
Reason: Play Utah plus 12 This number will likely rise by Saturday kickoff but I'm fine with the current line of plus twelve. A big school that has covered frequently in years past is always going to get late cash at the window before games. Here Utah will look to exact a bit of revenge from last year's rout loss. They had numerous chances to make a game of it and nearly had a 14-0 lead. A gaffe at the goal line allowed Oregon to return a 99 yard touchdown defensively. Oregon's defense is giving up nearly 34 points a game. Expect Utah to match up well offensively and stay in this game. Grab the twelve points.
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09-26-15 |
UCLA -3 v. Arizona |
|
56-30 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 8 m |
Show
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09/26 05:00 PM CF (401) UCLA VS (402) ARIZONA edit
Take: (401) UCLA
Reason: Play UCLA The Bruins got away with a win last week as near 17 point favorites against BYU. Winning those type of games doesn't look great ATS but awakens a team with talent. Freshman quarterback Josh Rosen has had his share of mistakes the past couple of weeks but I look for the Bruins to bounce back nicely on the road against Arizona. UCLA is a true top ten to fifteen team while I believe Arizona is rated higher than they should be. Grab UCLA
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09-26-15 |
Arkansas State +7 v. Toledo |
|
7-37 |
Loss |
-106 |
48 h 54 m |
Show
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09/26 04:00 PM CF (335) ARKANSAS STATE VS (336) TOLEDO edit
Take: (335) ARKANSAS STATE
Reason: Play Arkansas State plus 7 We see this from time to time when a small school with talent gets a bit of inflated value off of big wins. Yes they did defeat Iowa State and Arkansas but Toledo has been far too rusty offensively to back two weeks in a row as seven point favorites. Arkansas State will bode to be a challenge for Toledo. Grab the seven early as this line should come down.
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09-26-15 |
Army v. Eastern Michigan -1.5 |
|
58-36 |
Loss |
-106 |
47 h 55 m |
Show
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09/26 03:00 PM CF (311) ARMY VS (312) EASTERN MICHIGAN edit
Take: (312) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Eastern Michigan -1.5 The MAC continues to be an under valued conference ATS to start the 2015 season. They've done it with a style of outscoring opposing teams. Eastern Michigan will look to pile on points early against a team in Army that has a suspect defense. I expect Eastern Michigan to make enough stops on the defense side of the football to do enough to limit Army's option attack. Grab Eastern Michigan Saturday.
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09-25-15 |
Boise State -2.5 v. Virginia |
|
56-14 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 55 m |
Show
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09/25 05:00 PM CF (305) BOISE STATE VS (306) VIRGINIA edit
Take: (305) BOISE STATE
Reason: Play Boise State -2.5 Friday offers an unusual solid game for viewers and bettors before Saturday's big slate of action. Boise State of the Mountain West has lost a little of their flare from years past which may sway bettors minds to Virginia's side. Virginia has the allure of nearly beating Notre Dame fresh in minds. The fact of the matter is Virginia has failed to display solid offense and defense for four quarters in my opinion. This is a solid matchup but Boise State will get the overall win and ATS cover
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09-19-15 |
Ole Miss +7 v. Alabama |
|
43-37 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 42 m |
Show
|
Ole Miss (151) vs Alabama (152)Play Ole Miss Plus 7 Saturday night there are intriguing games from a host of conferences. Alabama and Ole Miss square off as the SEC takes center stage in prime time. Ole Miss has been a scoring machine to start the season but will they be prepared to contend with Alabama? We believe so as last year they battled back from an early deficit to knock off the Crimson Tide. Defensively Ole Miss has just as many key pieces as Alabama. Look for Ole Miss to stay in this one as they can replicate last year's game plan to have success. Don't be fooled by the Crimson Tide. Grab the full touchdown here
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09-19-15 |
Stanford +10 v. USC |
|
41-31 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 2 m |
Show
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09/19 05:00 PM CF (195) STANFORD VS (196) USC edit
Take: (195) STANFORD
Reason: Play Stanford plus 10 I expect this line to stay around this number as USC boasts a fantastic team. Yet this is a rivalry game that has lived up to the billing year after year in the Pac-12. With this game being early in the season I believe it favors the defensive minded Stanford Cardinal. Speeding up the tempo has not worked for USC in recent years against Stanford, and I don't see it happening on Saturday either. This is a marquee game where you'll want points on your side. Grab Stanford plus 10.
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09-19-15 |
Southern Miss +3 v. Texas State |
|
56-50 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 52 m |
Show
|
09/19 04:00 PM CF (163) SO MISSISSIPPI VS (164) TEXAS STATE edit
Take: (163) SO MISSISSIPPI
Reason: Play Southern Miss plus 3 Saturday this is my under the radar play on Southern Miss. Texas State is a team that has some fire power but is not a team that is going to pull away under any circumstance. That should leave the Golden Eagles an opportunity to steal this game and perhaps get an early lead. Either way this is a safe number to grab the plus three and play the road team in Southern Miss.
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09-19-15 |
NC State v. Old Dominion +17 |
|
38-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
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09/19 04:00 PM CF (129) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (130) OLD DOMINION edit
Take: (130) OLD DOMINION
Reason: Play Old Dominion plus 17 Added Play Saturday Old Dominion looks to surprise folks as 17 point underdogs at home. This figures to be a lopsided affair as Old Dominion has struggled to stop the run this season. That may be the case but their offense is solid enough to put up points against NC State. I also expect Old Dominion to handle the run better as they'll have focused energy against a top non-conference opponent. Grab Old Dominion plus 17.
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09-19-15 |
Utah State +6.5 v. Washington |
|
17-31 |
Loss |
-106 |
40 h 2 m |
Show
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09/19 02:00 PM CF (161) UTAH STATE VS (162) WASHINGTON edit
Take: (161) UTAH STATE
Reason: Play Utah State plus 7 buy the hook We'll buy the hook in this spot as Utah State travels to Washington for another Pac-12 non-conference game. I liked how Utah State played last week against Utah. Even though Chuckie Keaton took some hits he showed adversity to keep his team in the game. A little bit better of accuracy from Keaton and they may have pulled off the upset. I expect him to be much more fluid in this game as he is finally settling in off of missing a full season with injury. Both Utah State and Washington have solid defenses that should neutralize each other. In the end the experience at quarterback will make the difference and that sides to Utah State.
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