05-13-17 |
Jorge Masvidal v. Demian Maia +110 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
110 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
|
40* UFC 211 BEST BET Demian Maia +110
|
12-30-16 |
Amanda Nunes +150 v. Ronda Rousey |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
150 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-16 |
Cody Garbrandt +185 v. Dominick Cruz |
|
5-0 |
Win
|
185 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
08-20-16 |
Nate Diaz v. Conor McGregor -130 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* MMA UFC 202 MAX BET Conor McGregor -130 Plain and simple, the UFC needs McGregor to win this fight. Conor is one of their last superstars. Jon Jones and Rousey are near after thoughts. Also from a conspiracy theorist point of view, there is nothing better than a rematch that the contender wins, so it sets up the 3rd fight. Most people talked about Diaz taking the fight on just 10 days notice, but so did McGregor. Conor McGregor went out guns blazing in the first fight and it backfired. He landed a ton of punches but wore himself out. You can't do that to Diaz. He isn't the most technical fighter but he can take a beating. McGregor now has the chip on his shoulder and has plenty of time to prepare. I expect McGregor to keep this fight standing and use his excellent striking ability to take timely shots and save his energy. Too many things point to the UFC's golden boy winning this fight. Just think, he was -500 the last fight and is now -130...ton of value here. BONUS: I do lean the OVER 2.5 rounds. Diaz rarely gets knocked out and if he does, it shouldn't be quick. Also, I believe there is some value on the fight to go to decision at +380.
|
08-20-16 |
Nate Diaz v. Conor McGregor OVER 2.5 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 22 m |
Show
|
2* Conor McGregor vs. Nate Diaz OVER 2.5 Rounds
|
08-20-16 |
Takeya Mizugaki v. Cody Garbrandt UNDER 1.5 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
132 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
2* Cody Garbrandt vs. Takeya Mizugaki UNDER 1.5 Rounds Like Garbrandt to win but I won't release a -475 favorite to clients.
|
07-09-16 |
Amanda Nunes v. Miesha Tate -240 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-240 |
68 h 58 m |
Show
|
50* MMA FIGHT OF THE YEAR Miesha Tate -240 I'll start with this; My most trusted MMA source has this has his biggest bet of his career. Miesha Tate has the heart of a lion. We had her in her last fight against Holm and even though she was down in the score cards, she kept coming and finally got her submission win. Tate can withstand punishment. Nunes strength is trying to go all out early in the fight with her striking and sometimes will slow down in the later rounds. You simply can not do that to Miesha. If Miesha gets Nunes to the ground, goodnight. Tate holds a huge advantage with her takedown offense. It's going to be a bit frustrating watching the first couple rounds, as I expect Nunes to get a few good strikes in and Tate usually starts slow. As long as Meisha can withstand that punishment, she wins this fight by submission. MMA LEANS: Mark Hunt -170 Dillashaw - Tate Parlay
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03-05-16 |
Miesha Tate +250 v. Holly Holm |
|
4-0 |
Win
|
250 |
21 h 42 m |
Show
|
20* Miesha Tate +250 Money is starting to pour in on Miesha Tate. She opened above +300 and has dropped to +230 in some spots. Keep an eye on this line movement. It is extremely important to keep an eye on line movements in MMA and Boxing. Look at the last fight for Holm. Rousey was a -2000 favorite from opener all the way to the night before the fight. She then dropped to -1200 on the day of the fight and -700 right before the bell. We all know what happened to Rousey. If this line continues to drop and goes below +200 before the fight, I may increase the bet size. My top Vegas source has made one of his biggest bets of his career on Tate. (He was on Holm in her last fight.) Bottomline here it's worth a shot a least at +250 to take a chance on Miesha Tate. That's way too good of a payout to pass up.
|
03-05-16 |
Conor McGregor v. Nate Diaz UNDER 2.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 57 m |
Show
|
50* UFC 196 MAX BET
Conor McGregor vs. Nate Diaz UNDER 2.5 rounds
Also like McGregor to win this fight but simply not releasing a play for clients at -500.
Conor McGregor is simply amazing. He talks the talk and walks the walk. I pity Nate Diaz. The only way Diaz has a chance to win this fight is to land a lucky punch. It could happen, we've all seen it, so it does present a bit of value here going under 2 minutes and 30 seconds of the third round because I don't see how Diaz can last an entire fight with his mad man. Conor knows that he can't go to the ground in this fight and I expect him to make sure this fight stays standing. His striking ability is spectacular and he should make it look fairly easy by his relentless ability to target the body. He is too fast for Diaz. McGregor has now won 5 straight fights by knockout. I expect him to beat Diaz up so bad that the ref calls the fight and wins by TKO. Most of the MMA experts I have spoken with think Conor wins this fight in the 2nd round.
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