Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-27-14 | Missouri v. South Carolina -5 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 2 m | Show |
50* SEC GOY South Carolina -5 Yes, I am aware of the fact of the huge revenge spot for Missouri but it's a very TALL order to try and knock off South Carolina at home. The Gamecocks have a tremendous home field advantage and I expect a high scoring affair. The big concern for Missouri is their offensive line. It has completely shifted. The Tigers lost their TOP LG to an ACL tear and now the entire line has to change positions. Matty Mauk better watch out, he could be running for his life and chucking up INTs. Another concern for Missouri is their secondary. The ol' ball coach, Steve Spurrier, will come up with a game plan to eat that soft coverage alive. The numbers for the South Carolina defense are a bit frightening but this team has played a MUCH tougher schedule than Missouri. The Tigers have played South Dakota State, Toledo, UCF, and Indiana. The Gamecocks have faced Texas A&M, Georgia, a really good ECU team, and Vanderbilt. Vandy isn't a good football team, by all means, but they did scare South Carolina last week so I expect them to come out extremely focused in this one. I'll finish with this. Missouri's confidence took a HUGE hit last week losing at home to the Hoosiers. If this team gets down early, it could be a long day. Remember 50* means 5% of your bankroll. Not half or all of it. Best of Luck! |
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09-25-14 | Appalachian State +19.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
40* ESPN GOW Appalachian State +19.5 Was waiting to see if we could get a 20 but I can't wait any longer. I feel this line is going to start dropping soon. Update: Get this NOW! line is dropping and is at +17.5 We have cashed with Georgia Southern every week this year and now I believe the oddsmakers have caught up to this team and it is time to fade them. These two teams are long time rivals and they know each other extremely well. App State has dominated this series going back 10 years. They have won 8 of those meetings and the 2 that Georgia Southern won, were wins in single digits. Laying close to 3 TDs is a joke in my opinion. Typically any rivalry game with a line that high is ridiculous. This App state team plays very fast and it should give problems to this Georgia Southern team that has had to do a ton of traveling this year. Am I calling for the outright upset? No. Do I think this is going to be a close contest throughout? Absolutely. Subscribers: We may have a play in TNF but it won't be until later if we pull the trigger. Waiting on some info. |
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09-22-14 | Chicago Bears v. NY Jets -2.5 | Top | 27-19 | Loss | -118 | 93 h 7 m | Show |
50* MNF GOM New York Jets -2.5 Everyone and their mother is going to line up and take the Bears here. This is a great spot to jump on the Jets. First, let me start of by saying this. Jay Cutler may be my LEAST favorite QB in the league. I can't stand his cavalier attitude. He always looks like he doesn't care. Secondly, he is right behind none other than Tony Romo, as the most mistake prone signal caller in the NFL. The Jets have a terrific defensive line and that's what gives Jay Cutler fits. I believe that Geno Smith has improved his game a bit this year and they have a great rushing attack. Good news for New York because Chicago just can not stop the run. To top this all off, we have Chicago coming into this game in a letdown spot from coming back from 17 down to beat the 49ers and we have New York coming into this game focused because they blew a 21-3 lead to Green Bay. Vegas isn't stupid and they have the New York Jets favored for a reason here guys. Jets take care of business in front of their home fans in primetime. |
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09-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints -10 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
50* MAX BET New Orleans Saints -10 Even though New Orleans is 0-2, I still think the Saints are one of the best teams in the league. The Saints are a COMPLETELY different animal inside the Superdome. They absolutely embarrass teams there. This is the Saints home opener and this place will be rockin'. Without a doubt, New Orleans and Seattle have the 2 biggest HFAs (home field advantage) in the league. This team is an incredible 14-1 SU & ATS @ home following a loss with Sean Payton. Minnesota looked lost without AP and Matt Cassel is a joke. This could get UGLY real quick with Drew Brees and Jimmy Graham having a field day. The Saints need to send a message and I believe they win this one going away. Saints BIG! |
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09-20-14 | North Carolina +2.5 v. East Carolina | Top | 41-70 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 5 m | Show |
40* Big Underdog North Carolina +2.5 Buy the hook. North Carolina +3 The ECU Pirates are playing some great football. They took South Carolina to the brink and they took down Virginia Tech. ECU did benefit greatly from the schedule and if you look closer, South Carolina just got done facing Texas A&M and was looking ahead to Georgia on deck. VT just pulled a huge upset over Ohio State and was in a prime letdown spot. North Carolina comes into this game with 2 weeks to prepare for this one. You best believe that UNC had this game circled at the beginning of the season with the complete ass kicking they took last year at the hands of the Pirates. This is Big Bro vs. Little Bro and Big Bro wants some serious revenge. This line is an over reaction to ECU beating VT and scaring the Gamecocks. UNC should win this game OUTRIGHT especially given that they have more talent and speed. The only thing the concerns me in this game is that usually when a lesser known team is favored against a "big boy" from a power conference, you take the favorite all day. Given the recent history of these two teams and the scheduling factor, I just can't pass up UNC. |
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09-20-14 | Florida v. Alabama -14.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 75 h 15 m | Show |
50* MAX BET Alabama -14.5 Was waiting to see if we could get the 14 but I can't wait any longer and I want to get this out to you guys ASAP. Buy the hook if you feel more comfortable doing so. Watch out Florida, Alabama could simply take you behind the wood shed in this one. People got a little worried about this squad after the scare they received from WVU, but it turns out The Mountaineers are legit. Let's not forget, Alabama is the class of the college football world. All their starters are potential draft picks and their defense is as good as it gets. Florida is going to have a tough time doing anything. This game reminds me a lot of our last MAX BET with Missouri. It was a close match-up in the first half and then eventually Missouri wore down UCF and won the battle in the trenches and cruised in the 2nd half to an easy victory and cover. Expect more of the same as the Tide roll in the final stages of the game and cover the spread. |
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09-20-14 | Virginia v. BYU -14 | Top | 33-41 | Loss | -100 | 73 h 47 m | Show |
50* GOM BYU -14 The Cougars lost their opener last year to Virginia 19-16. They are catching Virginia at a GREAT time. UVA comes into this game off a huge upset win over Louisville. Good news for BYU is that they played last Thursday, so they have the extra time to prepare. This line is -14 for a reason folks. This team is that much better and part of it is because UVA trots out 18-22 year olds and every year BYU trots out 27-30 year olds. Yes, that is a bit of an exaggeration but it makes me laugh. I mean the whole team isn't like that, but face it, these dudes for BYU are grown men playing against boys. BYU believes they can make it all the way to the playoff and they need to take down a team from a power conference, convincingly, to do that. Expect Taysom Hill and company to go up and down the field on the "Wahoos" and cover the number for us. |
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09-14-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars +7 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -140 | 86 h 33 m | Show |
50* NFL Underdog of the Month Jacksonville Jaguars +7 (-140) I realize that this line is pretty much at 6 across the board. This play is still a 50* wager at that number, but I absolutely LOVE the Jags getting a touchdown. I do recommend buying the point, if possible, simply because the Redskins shouldn't be laying 2 possessions (to win) to ANYONE. I hate to admit this but I'm a Redskins fan at heart. I have been since I was young and let me tell you, it sucks. This team honestly does whatever they can to lose ball games. This organization has RGIII all messed up. This guy IS NOT a pocket passer. He scrambles and excels running the pistol or some sort of offensive system where he can get outside the pocket. Yes he may get hurt, but that's how he plays. Trying to make him something he is not will not work and I'm sorry to say this but the Redskins are going to ruin his career just like they have so many other players. Some of this blame does go on Robert though. He is a horrible 3-12 against the number since injuring his knee in the playoffs to Seattle. These Redskins have absolutely no business laying this many points. Most people look at the Jaguars and still think that they are the worst team in the league. Chad Henne is a huge improvement over that ridiculous Blaine Gabbert experiment and I see this team surprising a lot of teams this year. These Jags just took Philadelphia to the brink and they play a great brand of defense. I'll end on this. FedEx field is a complete joke. There is no home field advantage there and half of the seats are gone from the upper level so Dan Snyder can still "sell out." I follow the Redskins very closely and I believe that getting the points with Jacksonville is strong enough to make this the underdog game of the month. |
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09-14-14 | Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 3 m | Show |
50* Vegas Insider Dallas Cowboys +3.5 I love this spot for the Cowboys and I placed a small wager on Dallas ML as well. Playing on the road this week is probably the best thing for The Cowboys. They were booed out of Jerry's world Week 1. I also feel that Dallas will bounce back well versus this Titans squad. I know many of you may laugh at this next comment, but hear me out. The Cowboy's D is not that bad. They held the 49ers to ZERO points in the second half and gave up the points only because they were -4 in TO margin. Short fields and Romo INTs lead to those points. If the Cowboys stay committed to the ground game, which they have a lot of success doing, Tennessee should be in for a long day. This line is an over-reaction to Dallas losing badly and Tennessee stomping a depleted Chiefs squad that was due for a big regression. Even though Dallas got crushed as an underdog last week, historically The Cowboys thrive in the underdog role. Look for Dallas to stretch the field and as long as Tony Romo isn't the horrendously bad, turnover prone, Tony Romo, we cash this ticket. |
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09-14-14 | New England Patriots v. Minnesota Vikings +3.5 | Top | 30-7 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings +3.5 Let me clear up the confusion on this selection. We released a TOP PLAY on this selection on the Vikings earlier in the week but then the news of Adrian Peterson came out. So we deleted the pick and released it as a free play. Since some of my subscribers already received this play on the Vikings, it has to stay in the system for record keeping purposes. Like I said before, feel free to buy back on New England ML if you like to set up a middle or just let it ride. I personally think it's an over-reaction and kept my wager. I had a 50* wager on Minnesota so I bought back 10* on New England ML. Sorry for the confusion and Best of Luck today! |
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09-13-14 | USC v. Boston College +17 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 101 h 37 m | Show |
40* Big Underdog Boston College +17 We cashed our PAC-12 GOM with the USC Trojans last week and I'll be the first to admit, we got lucky. Stanford dominated the ball game throughout but USC did just enough to win. This was a HUGE win for Southern California and I believe that they are going to be in for a bit of a let-down this week. Boston College lost last week to Pittsburgh 30-20. Good news for BC is that they did play Friday at home, so they have an extra day to prepare and they don't have to travel. USC has to travel all the way across the country for this game and you best believe these fans are going to be jacked up for the mighty Trojans on ESPN. 17 points is just WAY TOO MANY for this team to be laying on the road. Am I calling for the outright upset? No. Do I believe this will be a closely contested game throughout. Absolutely. Even if this one does get ugly, the back door will be wide open given the fact that Boston College will show some pride playing at home on National television. |
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09-13-14 | Central Florida v. Missouri -9.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 84 h 36 m | Show |
50* MAX BET Missouri -9.5 Matty Mauk has really become the leader of The Missouri Tigers and a lot of people have forgotten about this squad. Let me remind you. This team is legit. Don't forget that they played for the SEC championship last year, which is really like the mini National Championship. I believe that UCF is totally out matched in this one. Missouri has a great home crowd and they are an amazing, 15-5 ATS, their last 20 games. I refuse to over think this one and Missouri should dismantle Central Florida Saturday afternoon. |
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09-11-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 6-26 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
40* TNF GOW Pittsburgh Steelers +3 This play is a fade of the Baltimore Ravens. The Ray Rice domestic violence case has completely blown up after the release of the elevator video and now, 3 days later, they get the first ever Thursday Night Football game on CBS. The headline of this game is going to be about Ray Rice and the NFL's punishment. This is going to be a HUGE distraction for the Ravens. Besides the fact of this distraction, these teams always play each other very tough and the games are decided by 3 points or less almost every meeting; 8 of the last 11 to be exact. I believe the Steelers are going to have a very solid season this year and will get 9-10 wins. Getting the points here with Pittsburgh in this bitter rivalry is the way to go. |
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09-08-14 | San Diego Chargers +3 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 94 h 57 m | Show |
50* MNF MAX BET San Diego Chargers +3 This game is a case of public perception. The Arizona Cardinals are overrated and The San Diego Chargers are underrated, IMO. Philip Rivers has been reborn, so to speak, under Mike McCoy and has become a top QB again. This Chargers defense has also made some improvements and picked up Dwight Freeney and Brandon Flowers. The Cardinals, on the other hand, should regress from their surprising 10-6 finish last year. They were projected to win just 5 games last year. Carson Palmer is too unreliable and can become a turnover machine when things go south. Look for San Diego to take care of business on the road, where they excelled last year (ATS), and bring down Arizona on Monday Night Football. |
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09-07-14 | New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins +5.5 | Top | 20-33 | Win | 100 | 110 h 1 m | Show |
50* Big Underdog Miami Dolphins +5.5 This game seems just way too easy to take New England. Everyone and their mother is going to line up to back Brady and the boys for some easy money. Not so fast my friends. Miami always plays New England tough and this is just too many points to pass up on a very live HOME dog. I expect Ryan Tannehill to be much improved this year and should thrive under his new OC and better offensive line. The Miami Dolphins in recent years have thrived in the underdog role and don't be surprised if this is a battle all the way down to the end. |
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09-06-14 | USC +3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 114 h 32 m | Show |
50* PAC-12 GOM USC (Southern California) +3.5 Update: Tuesday this line has dropped to +2.5 almost everywhere. I have USC winning outright so getting points is just a bonus, IMO. If you feel more comfortable, buy the hook. For what it's worth, I did place a small wager on the ML. USC is just stacked with talent and Cody Kessler has really blossomed into a beast. Steve Sarkisian is a HUGE improvement for this team and he should have some tricks up his sleeve for this momumental game. The Trojans should be able to win the battle in the trenches since the Stanford O-line is practically all new from losing 4 starters from last years team. |
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09-06-14 | Akron +15.5 v. Penn State | Top | 3-21 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 50 m | Show |
50* Vegas Insider Akron +15.5 In a nut shell, Penn State is not a very good team and has to travel back from Dublin. This is a horrible spot for them. Last year, Notre Dame was laying a huge number to a horrible Purdue team and almost got beat outright. I see a lot of similarities in this game and I would not be surprised one bit if Akron keeps this game close and threatens for the outright, just like Purdue did a season ago. |
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09-05-14 | Washington State v. Nevada +4 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
40* Bailout GOW Nevada +4 Teams from smaller conferences get up big time when a team from a power conference comes into their house, especially a team they have a chance of beating. We saw it last night with UTSA and they managed to cover and I believe we'll see the same thing again here tonight. Washington State does one thing and that's pass the ball. Nevada should be able to shut down their passing game enough so that Cody Fajaro and company can run around that terrible defense of WSU. I expect this game to be back and forth with Nevada pulling away at the end. |
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09-04-14 | Green Bay Packers +5.5 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 10 m | Show |
40* Green Bay Packers +5.5 I personally bet part of my wager at +7 (-140) because getting a TD cushion with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers seems like a no brainer to me. If you can't buy points, don't worry, I almost called for the outright upset but it's just so tough to beat Seattle at home, so taking the points is the way to go. I am VERY high on the Packers this year and I expect big things from them. For what it's worth, I personally made wagers on Green Bay to win the NFC North, win the NFC & Super Bowl, and OVER 10 Regular Season wins. People are forgetting how good this team really is because Aaron Rodgers went down last year and they became an afterthought. The Packers made some key moves on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason and we already know how amazing their offense is with Aaron Rodgers and company. Eddie Lacy now has a year under his belt and he shined last year in this offense. Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb will be 2 studs this year and will rack up fantasy points for all you fantasy guys out there. Side note: Do you guys remember the infamous "Fail Mary" where the replacements refs blew the final play call between these two? Well you best believe the Packers do and I believe this helps our cause as well. |
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09-01-14 | Miami (Florida) v. Louisville -3 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
40* ACC GOW Louisville -3 The Black out is going to be in full effect tonight in Louisville and that smells trouble for the young Freshman QB for Miami, Brad Kaaya. I think it's going to be extremely difficult for this young kid to adjust to the pressure of playing under the lights, a nationally televised game, and in front of a ruckus crowd. Good luck Brad. Petrino returns tonight for Louisville and you best believe he'll have his guys ready for this HUGE game. I see a game filled with mistakes and turnovers from Miami, and this line offers plenty of value because most people aren't going to want to back Louisville since the departure of Bridgewater. Let's remember this guys, teams from powerhouse conferences, they don't rebuild, they reload. We'll take Louisville to get their first win in their new conference, the ACC, tonight. |
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08-30-14 | Georgia Southern +23 v. NC State | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 474 h 7 m | Show |
40* Big Underdog Georgia Southern +23 GSU is a cover machine against the "Big boys" of the FBS. They covered vs. Alabama, Georgia, and beat Florida. This is their first year in the FBS and I expect them to make a statement in their first game. NC State just flat out stinks. They have a new coach and lost their QB. The Wolfpack didn't win a single conference game last season and got embarrassed, at home, their last game of the season. Georgia Southern should definitely keep this game close and wouldn't be surprised if this was a battle throughout. |
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08-29-14 | Colorado State +3 v. Colorado | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
50* Vegas Insider Colorado State +3 Colorado State is returning almost all of their top key players this year including ALL their top WRs and their QB, Garrett Grayson. This kid broke school records and should keep on improving this season. This offense should pick up right where they left off considering the QB and the TOP WRs are all back after a record breaking campaign. Colorado state clearly has more experience than Colorado and they are playing with revenge from last season. Little bro beats big Bro tonight as we believe that State wins this ball game OUTRIGHT. |
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08-28-14 | Ole Miss -10 v. Boise State | Top | 35-13 | Win | 100 | 580 h 30 m | Show |
50* ESPN GOM (Ole Miss) Mississippi -10 First let me start with this. This game is in ATLANTA, aka SEC country. Secondly, Boise State has a new coach now and it's going to take a bit, I believe, to get things going for the Broncos. The Rebels QB, Bo Wallace, looks to have a break out year this season and I think he does just that. This is Mississippi's chance to shine on National Television and prove that they belong in the SEC. Even though we saw some crazy things last year, we know that when it comes down to it, the SEC plays outstanding defense. Ole Miss should dominate on both sides of the ball and the Rebels should definitely win this game by 2+ touchdowns. |
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08-28-14 | Ole Miss -10 v. Boise State | Top | 35-13 | Win | 100 | 60 h 23 m | Show |
50* ESPN GOM (Ole Miss) Mississippi -10 First let me start with this. This game is in ATLANTA, aka SEC country. Secondly, Boise State has a new coach now and it's going to take a bit, I believe, to get things going for the Broncos. The Rebels QB, Bo Wallace, looks to have a break out year this season and I think he does just that. This is Mississippi's chance to shine on National Television and prove that they belong in the SEC. Even though we saw some crazy things last year, we know that when it comes down to it, the SEC plays outstanding defense. Ole Miss should dominate on both sides of the ball and the Rebels should definitely win this game by 2+ touchdowns. |
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08-28-14 | Wake Forest v. UL-Monroe +3.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 432 h 25 m | Show |
50* Vegas Insider UL-Monroe +3.5 This play has been bet down to +2.5 now and I have actually seen a couple +1s. This is sharp money all the way. Although this play is as good as it gets at +3.5, I still love it getting points because I believe UL-Monroe wins this game OUTRIGHT regardless. |