10-28-17 |
Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 49 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 47 m |
Show
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50* GT/Clemson MAX BET Parlay Georgia Tech vs. Clemson UNDER 49 I know it's surprising for me to go against a triple option team but I believe this is the perfect spot to back the National Champs. We all know Clemson is coming off a loss but the key here is that they have had over two weeks to prepare, since they played on a Friday. I've always been a fan of backing the triple option teams when their opponents get them on a short week or just one week. However, I love to fade them when they go into their bowl game or teams have an extended period of time to prepare for them. The icing on the cake here is that it's Clemson and that fantastic defensive front. How do you stop the triple option? Disrupt them right off the snap and Clemson has the big men on the DL to destroy the attack. The Tigers are also allowing only 13.6 points per game but just 7.5 at home. One of the toughest places in play in all of college football is Death Valley at night. I expect Clemson to just destroy GT by not allowing them to score and with GT having the rushing attack, it will take time off the clock and shortening the game, hence the under play as well.
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10-07-17 |
Air Force v. Navy UNDER 50 |
Top |
45-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
99 h 50 m |
Show
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50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE YEAR Air Force vs. Navy UNDER 50 EVERY year we play the Army/Navy game UNDER the total. This play is almost a mirror image of that for the same reasons (just take out Army and replace it with Air Force.) Both teams run the triple option and they know each other like the back of their hands. A lot of teams have trouble with the triple option that never see it. When you practice against it every day, you know how to contain the attack. It's going to be a ton of running plays and the clock is going to continuously move. We played this game under last year for a 50* and it was lined at 46.5. We now get 50! I love this play at 49 and above. I would play for 4% if aren't able to get the key number of 49 (7 TDs.) I believe why we are getting so much line value is because how each offense has done this season. Air Force just took on New Mexico and that game was a total shootout. On the surface, it looks like these offenses are juggernauts. But when you look closer and see it's the triple option that has this effect and that the Military academies are extremely disciplined and know how to stop this effective ground game, the under is the only way to look.
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09-30-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech OVER 83 |
Top |
41-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 36 m |
Show
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40* NCAA SHOOTOUT OF THE WEEK Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech OVER 83 It's funny saying this but we were actually waiting for this game to drop below the "key" number of 84. 84 is 21 points a quarter or 12 TDs. This game reminds me of our NFL GAME OF THE YEAR on the over last year when the Packers and the Falcons met in the NFC Championship. The reason I bring this up is because that game also had a ridiculous total of 61, which was the highest ever. Well, this game isn't the highest total ever, but it's one of them. I like playing contrarian when the conversation of highest/lowest ever lines come up. These two teams met last year to a final of 45-44 (89 points.) These two teams just play see saw football, hence why the over is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Texas Tech has eclipsed 50 points themselves in both home games this season. I also expect Mason Rudolph to have a huge game because he was sub par in his standards last week against TCU. Prior to that, the Cowboys posted a 59 on the road at Pittsburgh.
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09-23-17 |
Florida Atlantic v. Buffalo UNDER 62 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 33 m |
Show
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40* NCAA TOTAL OF THE WEEK Florida Atlantic vs. Buffalo UNDER 62
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12-20-16 |
Memphis v. Western Kentucky OVER 77.5 |
Top |
31-51 |
Win
|
100 |
271 h 26 m |
Show
|
50* CFB Boca Raton Bowl MAX BET Memphis vs. Western Kentucky OVER 77.5 Get this one ASAP. This line is only going to keep rising. Not over thinking this one. It's two of the best offenses in the nation. One of the totals I look for every week is Western Kentucky and who they are playing. If they are playing a team that has any kind of offense, we're taking the over. WKU has scored 44 or more points in 9 straight games. They are also the number 2 team in the country in points scored. Memphis is not too far behind them averaging just under 40 points per game on the season. Both teams like to play extremely fast and it's nothing but the hurry up for both squads. This game should be back and forth, non stop, for 60 minutes.
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12-10-16 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 50 |
Top |
21-17 |
Win
|
100 |
119 h 49 m |
Show
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50* CFB Army/Navy MAX BET Army vs. Navy UNDER 50 (This line has tumbled down to 47 at most shops now and would play for 4% at this number. No play at < 45.) There is no secret to this play. It's the Army/Navy game. You take the under. Both teams run the triple option and they know each other like the back of their hands. Lot of teams have trouble with the triple option that never see it. When you practice against it every day, you know how to contain the attack. It's going to be a ton of running plays and the clock is going to continuously move. Navy is also without their senior QB and senior RB so getting into an offensive rhythm could be a serious problem.
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11-05-16 |
Oregon v. USC OVER 78.5 |
Top |
20-45 |
Loss |
-108 |
26 h 52 m |
Show
|
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11-05-16 |
Air Force v. Army UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
31-12 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
10-15-16 |
Arizona State v. Colorado OVER 60 |
Top |
16-40 |
Loss |
-105 |
93 h 43 m |
Show
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5* CFB SHOOTOUT OF THE MONTH Arizona State vs. Colorado OVER 60
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10-08-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 73 |
Top |
45-40 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 32 m |
Show
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4* Oklahoma vs. Texas OVER 73
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10-01-16 |
Akron v. Kent State UNDER 54 |
Top |
31-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 18 m |
Show
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5* Akron vs. Kent State UNDER 54
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09-24-16 |
Bowling Green v. Memphis UNDER 68.5 |
Top |
3-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
49 h 38 m |
Show
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4* Bowling Green vs. Memphis UNDER 68.5
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09-24-16 |
Nebraska v. Northwestern UNDER 48 |
Top |
24-13 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 44 m |
Show
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4* Nebraska vs. Northwestern UNDER 48 Two teams that run, run, and run some more. Nebraska has looked sharp on offense but they have played teams this season that simply don't play defense. Northwestern's strength IS defense. Their offense, however, is a laughing stock. Northwestern is one of those teams that you should only look towards the under. Almost like the Saints in the NFL, only look over or pass. Northwestern has gone under the total in 27 of their last 35 home games. I expect this clock to be moving pretty quickly with all the running going on and with a shorter game, that means less points.
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09-24-16 |
Vanderbilt v. Western Kentucky UNDER 52 |
Top |
31-30 |
Loss |
-120 |
67 h 35 m |
Show
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4* Vanderbilt vs. Western Kentucky UNDER 52 With these 4 top totals plays, my CFB total expert was ecstatic with these lines. He was like a kid on christmas explaining them to me. Projections have Florida/Tennessee off by 7 points, Vandy/WKU off by 10 points, Nebraska/Northwestern off by 10 points, and BG/Memphis off by 8. I will be honest with you guys. I trust his opinion and always run totals games I have found through his projections. Well, we are 9-2. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. As for the game, it's pretty simple. Vanderbilt has ZERO offense and a solid defense. These two teams actually met last year and the final score was 14-12. This total is DOUBLE that! Way too high. The UNDER is also 41-19 for Vandy following a loss.
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09-24-16 |
Florida v. Tennessee UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
28-38 |
Loss |
-107 |
66 h 41 m |
Show
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4* Florida vs. Tennessee UNDER 43.5 This just missed being a 5*. 45 was the number for the big strike but we still LOVE this play above the key number of 42. What can't we say about the Florida defense. Granted, it's still early in the season, but this team is as good as gets. They have allowed 4.7 points per game, lead the nation in total defense, and rank 2nd against the run. Florida also is starting their back up QB, due to injury, and this should lead to a very conservative game plan. There is just something about Florida that is in the head's of the Tennessee Volunteers. They have lost 11 straight and can't get out of their own way. With the Tennessee offense struggling (Ranked #101) and the fact that the best unit on the Field is that Florida defense, this should be a good ol' fashioned defensive battle.
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09-17-16 |
Troy v. Southern Miss OVER 65 |
Top |
37-31 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 55 m |
Show
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4* CFB TOP PLAY SHOOTOUT Troy vs. Southern Mississippi OVER 65 Two teams that can obviously put up points and play fast. They both are Top 20 offenses and rank #2 or #34 in tempo. Troy just put up 24 points on the Clemson defense. Granted it was against Austin Peay, but they put up 57 in their first game. Southern Mississippi is a team that is all about offense and has scored 100 points already this season. A trend that I love in this game is that Troy has gone over the total in 38 of their last 52 non-conference games. When team's aren't familiar with Troy, their offense has success.
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01-11-16 |
Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
45-40 |
Loss |
-120 |
188 h 45 m |
Show
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50* NCAA Championship MAX BET Alabama vs. Clemson UNDER 52.5 Well we cashed our Bowl TOTAL OF THE YEAR with this Alabama defense and their offensive slow starts and we're going to continue to ride that trend here. I do recommend betting some of this wager on the 1st quarter and 1st half under as well. Looking closer at Alabama games, their games tend to start off very slowly with a heavy dose of Henry and terrific defense. Just look at the box scores of these games. Multiple games have 0 total points in the 1st quarter and less than 20 in the 1st half. Big games typically go under. Coaches are very conservative early, especially when you have a mediocre QB like Coker, on the big stage. We all know this Alabama defense is amazing but this Clemson defense is pretty darn good too. Look at what the Tigers did to Oklahoma. They completely shut down that great rushing attack of Perine and the Sooners. I do recommend to try and get this game at least 52 with that being a very key number but lower than that, I would bet more on the 1st quarter and 1st half.
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12-31-15 |
Michigan State v. Alabama UNDER 47 |
Top |
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
168 h 42 m |
Show
|
50* One & Only BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR Michigan State vs. Alabama UNDER 47 Personally playing the 1st HALF UNDER for 3% and the whole game for 2% The 1st half under is definitely the better play here. The system does not allow for us to release 1st half plays so we'll do it like this. However, we did cash our SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on a Bama full game UNDER so we'll let it ride with the Tide again. These teams are almost mirror images of each other. Play conservative, possession type football and rely on the stout defense. Both teams can really run the rock so this should let the clock continue to move. The key here is that this is a HUGE game, so I don't see these coaches "opening" up the playbook and taking shots early on, especially with Coker. They don't want these QBs to make a costly turnover. I expect a field position type game here. Looking closer at Alabama games, their games tend to start off very slowly with a heavy dose of Henry and terrific defense. Just look at the box scores of these games. Multiple games have 0 total points in the 1st quarter and less than 20 in the 1st half. As the case with most unders, as long as there aren't turnovers that lead to short fields, this game should be a low scoring defensive struggle.
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12-29-15 |
Air Force v. California OVER 67.5 |
Top |
36-55 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 52 m |
Show
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50* NCAA TOTAL MAX BET Air Force vs. California OVER 67.5
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12-26-15 |
Miami (Fla) v. Washington State OVER 62 |
Top |
14-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 22 m |
Show
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40* NCAA-F TOP PLAY TOTAL Miami vs. Washington State OVER 62
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12-22-15 |
Akron v. Utah State UNDER 48 |
Top |
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
138 h 48 m |
Show
|
40* COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Akron vs. Utah State UNDER 48
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12-19-15 |
Ohio v. Appalachian State OVER 54 |
Top |
29-31 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 9 m |
Show
|
40* Ohio vs. Appalachian State OVER 54
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11-28-15 |
Colorado State v. Fresno State OVER 59 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
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50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE MONTH Colorado State vs. Fresno State OVER 59
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11-12-15 |
Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 16 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL OF THE YEAR Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech UNDER 53.5 When I saw this total, my eyes nearly popped out of my head. I could not believe a game between these two teams was lined in the 50's, let alone 53.5. The Hokies and Yellow Jackets are no strangers. They know everything there is to know about each other. What does this mean? It means that it's going to be very difficult to score. We all know Georgia Tech runs the triple option. It gives teams fits that haven't seen it before because they struggle on defensive assignments and containing. The problem is for the Yellow Jackets is that VA Tech knows how to stop the furious rushing attack. To add even more problems to Georgia Tech is that the Hokies come off a bye week. This gives them extra time to prepare and good news for under bettors is that VA Tech has gone under in 5 straight games off the bye and are 18-3 to the under their last 21 Thursday Night games. Bottomline here is that these two teams know how to stop each other. The under has cashed in 7 of the last 8 meetings and they have scored less than this number (53.5) combined in those 7 games also. Points should be at a premium here and, as the case with most unders, as long as each team doesn't turn the ball over deep in their own territory, this game goes under with ease.
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11-07-15 |
LSU v. Alabama UNDER 48 |
Top |
16-30 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 51 m |
Show
|
50* SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR Louisiana State (LSU) vs. Alabama UNDER 48 Get to this one ASAP as this line is steadily dropping. It opened at 52 and I expect it to go even lower than the 48 we have now. There are two things both LSU and Alabama do well. That's running the football and playing stout defense. Both teams are also exceptional not allowing big plays (20 yards or more.) This means that if these two teams do manage to score, it will take a lot of time off the clock. For Alabama, they have to depend on their rushing game heavily because their QB situation is borderline pathetic. Also, the Bama defense is outstanding and they always keep them in game. LSU's defense has been fantastic this season as well. They have had just one drive of 80+ yards in all of their games. That's right, ONE! When looking at this number, this total is pretty high for this meeting of LSU/Alabama. These two teams have managed to score more than 48 points just once in the last 8 games between each other. In fact, the under has cashed in 5 of the last 6 meetings. This is a terrific spot for the Bayou Bengals, for a lower scoring game, as the under is 7-1 their last 8 games coming off the bye. The same goes for the Tide as the under has cashed in 12 of their last 15 home games facing a team with a winning record. I do realize that the over is 6-0 the last 6 games for LSU, but I believe this has given us great value here since the oddsmakers had to over adjust this number accordingly. Bottomline here is that his is a huge game for these two squads. We have two teams that play outstanding defense, and run the ball furiously which should take a lot of time off the clock and lead to a shorter game. Points should be tough to come by in this one and as long as both teams protect the ball and don't give the other team short fields to work with, this game goes under with ease.
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