Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-12-16 | A's v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
The Reds have defeated Oakland by an identical 2-1 score in each of the first two games in this series. With both teams turning to the back end of the rotation in the series finale, I expect to see a lot more offense today. My money is on the over for the 1st five innings of play. 2. Fielding - The Reds rank dead last in the majors with a fielding percentage of .978. Oakland isn't much better, ranking 25th overall. |
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06-08-16 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds failed to continued their recent surge with a 7-6 win in the opener of a three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday. Their bats have been on fire lately, and I think we'll see another action-packed contest involving the Reds tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Reds hand the ball to the struggling Alfredo Simon (2-5, 8.94). He was lucky to receive the decision last start despite surrendering four runs on five hits with three home runs in seven innings of an 11-4 win at Colorado. The Cardinals counter with Jaime García (4-5, 3.48 ERA). The southpaw has posted a 3.50 ERA over 19 career appearances (17 starts) against the Reds, and I don't like his chances of improving on that number tonight. 2. Cincinnati's Bats - The Reds have scored a total of 48 runs in their past five games. Their .614 slugging percentage here in June is the best mark in the majors for the month by quite some distance. 3. X-Factor - Billy Hamilton is on fire with three three-hit games in his last eight appearances. Selection: This is a play on STL@CIN to go OVER the total (10*) |
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06-07-16 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 104 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals wrapped up the weekend with a pair of wins against the Giants in which they outscored their opponent 13-7. The Cincinnati Reds have heated up in recent games, and I think we'll see plenty of action over home plate early in Tuesday's match-up. |
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06-06-16 | Braves v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
The Atlanta Braves are tied with the Minnesota Twins for the worst record in baseball this season. Runs have not come easy for the team, but the pitching match-up in Monday's series-opener against the San Diego Padres combined with a low number makes me believe we'll see enough runs to push this game over the total. |
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06-05-16 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have among the worst records in baseball this season, but they've made some noise lately entering Sunday riding a four-game winning streak. The Washington Nationals can't be happy at all about the prospect of getting swept by the Reds, and I think we'll see plenty of action over home plate today. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Nats hand the ball to Tanner Roark (4-4, 2.70 ERA) who has pitched pretty well lately. The right-hander has however served up home runs in four straight outings, and Brandon Phillips is 3-for-6 with a homer off Roark in previous meetings. Cincinnati counters with Jon Moscot (0-3, 7.13) who will make his second start since returning from the disabled list. Moscot was lit up for seven runs on eight hits with four (!) home runs in just two innings of a 17-4 loss at Coors Field in his comeback. 2. Trends - The over is 5-2-1 in the Nats last eight overall and 6-1-2 in the Reds'. Over is 17-5-4 in Cincy's last 26 games following a win and 6-1 in Washington's last seven following a loss. 3. X-Factor - Cincinnati has scored 31 runs over its four-game win streak. Selection: This is a play on WAS@CIN 1st Half OVER (10*) |
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05-29-16 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds ended an 11-game skid with a 7-6 win against the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday. Each of the last four meetings have gone over the total and I think we'll see the two teams run up the score early in Sunday's contest. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Reds hand the ball to Brandon Finnegan (1-3, 3.97 ERA) who surrendered five runs (three earned) on seven hits with three home runs in five innings of a 13-7 loss against Milwaukee on May 7 without factoring in the decision. The Brewers counter with Jimmy Nelson (4-3, 2.92 ERA) who tossed opposite Finnegan in that contest. Nelson lasted only five innings as well over which he was torched for six runs (five earned) on eight hits. 2. Poor Fielding - Only the Cardinals have committed more errors than the Reds' 41 this season. Milwaukee is also among the 10 worst in that category with 31 errors in 49 games. 3. X-Factor - Jay Bruce was 2-for-5 in Saturday's contest and he's 7-for-17 with three doubles and a pair of homers off Nelson. Selection: This is a play on CIN@MIL 1st 5 innings to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-28-16 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
The Brewers won Game 1 of this home series versus Cincinnati by a score of 9-5. I expect to see another slugfest Saturday, as two struggling pitchers take the mound in Game 2. My money is on the over for the first five innings of play. Selection: This is a play on the Reds@Brewers 1st 5 innings OVER (8*) |
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05-21-16 | Cubs v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Cubs handed the Giants a lopsided loss in the series opener in San Francisco last night, and I think we could see another slugfest here in Game 2 Saturday. Chicago ranks third in the major leagues in runs scored, and those big bats should be able to take advantage of a struggling San Francisco starter. Selection: This is a play on the Cubs@Giants to go OVER the total (10*) |
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05-11-16 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
The Reds won Game 1 of this home series versus Pittsburgh by a score of 3-2, but I think we should see more offense here with a couple of struggling pitchers on the mound in Game 2. Before yesterday's game, Cincinnati had gone over in five of seven during this home stand. Selection: This is a 10* play on the Pirates@Reds to go OVER the total (1st 5 innings). |
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05-08-16 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants will be looking to deny the Colorado Rockies a split in this four-game series at AT&T Park on Sunday afternoon. The Giants pulled off an 13th inning win yesterday, but several factors would suggest that we will see more action over the plate today. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Giants hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija (4-1, 3.32) who is coming off his best start in a Giants uniform when he tossed eight innings of one-run ball at Cincinnati on Tuesday. The Shark was not quite as successful his last outing in San Francisco when he conceded five runs on five hits in 5 2/3 innings on April 27. Samardzija has made two day starts in 2016, giving up a total of eight runs in 11 innings. The Rockies counter with Eddie Butler (0-1, 6.75 ERA) as the 25 year old is set to make his third start of the year. Butler surrendered five runs on four hits with a pair of homers in a 6-3 loss at San Diego his last start. 2. Taxed Bullpens - The Rockies used six relievers in yesterday's contest while the Giants asked five pitchers to come out of the bullpen in yesterday's marathon game. Hardly ideal for today as both teams bullpens rank in the bottom third of the majors. 3. X-Factor - The over is 13-3 in the Giants last 16 overall and eight of their past 10 home at AT&T Park have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on COL@SF to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-05-16 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 106 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 7-4 win over San Francisco in the final game of a three game set at home, and they will host Milwaukee in Game 1 of a new series tonight. Cincinnati hit four home runs in last night's game, and three of the Reds last four games have seen the total reach double-digits. I expect to see another slugfest in Cincinnati tonight. |
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04-30-16 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show |
10* play on UNDER Rockies/Diamondbacks. The Arizona Diamondbacks are a half a game back of first place San Francisco in the NL West, and only a half game up on the Colorado Rockies. Arizona lost Game 1 of this home series versus the Rockies by a score of 9-0, but we should see a much different outcome with Arizona sending it's ace to the mound in Game 2. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - Zack Greinke will get the nod for the home team, and he's coming off a shaky performance. Greinke (2-2, 6.10 ERA) gave up seven runs on 11 hits over 6.2 innings in a win over St. Louis in his last start. The veteran has seen plenty of Colorado in recent seasons, and he's 6-2 with a 3.21 ERA in his last 11 starts against them. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Colorado slugger Nolan Arenado hit a home run in Game 1 of this series, but he's struggled against Greinke. Arenado is 5-for-27 (.187) with three strikeouts lifetime versus the former Dodger. 3. X-Factor - The Rockies will send Chris Rusin to the mound, and they've failed to reach the total in six of his last eight starts. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies@Arizona to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-27-16 | Yankees v. Rangers OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
8* play on the OVER Yanks/Rangers. The Texas Rangers cruised to a 10-1 victory at home versus the Bronx Bombers on Tuesday, and I expect to see another slugfest in Arlington tonight. Neither of tonight's starting pitcher's inspire much confidence, and we could see a few balls leave the park. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - C.C. Sabathia will go for the Yankees, and the veteran was roughed up by Tampa in his latest start. Sabathia (1-1, 5.28 ERA) gave up three runs on nine hits while walking three in just 4.2 innings in a no-decision. He's 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in his last two starts versus the Rangers. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Texas lineup is hitting .308 over a combined 143 at bats versus Sabathia, and Elvis Andrus is 10-for-22 with four RBIs lifetime versus the southpaw. 3. X-Factor - The Rangers have gone over in eight of their last 10 home games, while the Yankees have seen the total go over in eight straight when Sabathia starts. Selection: This is a play on the Yankees@Rangers to go OVER the total (8*) |
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04-27-16 | A's v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 4-9 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
8* play on the UNDER A’s/Tigers. After splitting the first two games of a home series versus Oakland, the Tigers send ace Justin Verlander to mound in the rubber match on Wednesday. Sonny Gray will go for the A's, and with a pair of aces on the mound, we should be in for a pitcher's duel. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - Justin Verlander is coming off a stellar performance in a losing effort versus Cleveland, striking out 10 while giving up a pair of runs on four hits in seven innings. He's 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts versus Oakland. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Tigers are batting just .180 with 13 strikeouts over a combined 50 at bats versus Gray. 3. X-Factor - These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the under is 11-5 in Verlander's last 16 starts versus Oakland. Selection: This is a play on the Athletics@Tigers to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-27-16 | Reds v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
8* play on the OVER Reds/Mets. The Reds have lost three straight heading into Game 3 of this series in New York. We saw plenty of scoring in the first two games of the series, and the Reds have been involved in more than their share of high scoring games this season. My money is on the over tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Reds will send 24 year old right-hander Jon Moscot to the mound tonight, and he was roughed up pretty good in his last start. Moscot (0-1, 5.06 ERA) gave up four runs on three hits and four walks in just five innings in a loss to the Cubs. Matt Harvey will go for the Mets, and he's 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA so far. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Reds are hitting .333 over a combined 48 at bats versus Harvey, and Joey Votto is 3-for-9 with a home run lifetime versus the right-hander. 3. X-Factor - The over is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings in this series. Selection: This is a play on the Reds@Mets to go OVER the total (8*) |
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10-28-15 | Mets v. Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
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10-21-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 9 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals and the Toronto Blue Jays have split back-to-back slug-fests at Rogers Centre. The Royals have a commanding 3-1 lead in the series though and I think runs will come at a premium for both sides in this do-or-die game for the Jays. |
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10-16-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays erased an 0-2 deficit versus Texas in the ALDS, and won Game 5 at home in one of the wildest games any of us have ever seen. The Royals were also on the ropes, and their bats bailed them out in Game 4 in Houston, before they took the deciding Game 5 at home. I expect to see fireworks when these two hot teams meet in Game 1. Selection: This is a play on Toronto@KC to go OVER the total (10*) |
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10-15-15 | New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The New York Mets and the Los Angeles Dodgers are tied at 2-2 of this NLDS and will play a deciding Game 5 at Dodger Stadium Thursday. The winner will face the Cubs in the NLCS, and I think we'll see a tight low-scoring contest with two real studs on the mound. |
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10-13-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. New York Mets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
The New York Mets won an action-packed game 13-7 last night to take a 2-1 lead of this NLDS against the Los Angeles Dodgers. We're likely to see much less action over the plate in tonight's contest as the Dodgers are looking to stay alive in the series with their ace on the mound. |
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10-07-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 106 | 51 h 11 m | Show |
The Chicago Cubs are coming into the National League Wild Card game on the back of eight consecutive victories, much thanks to outstanding pitching. The Pirates pitching staff finished the regular season with the second-best ERA, much thanks to their ace Gerrit Cole. Runs won't come easy for either team here and I think we'll see this game go under the set total. |
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10-06-15 | Houston Astros v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
The New York Yankees closed out the regular season with six losses in their last seven games. The Houston Astros won six of their last eight but that was still not enough to catch the Yankees meaning the Bronx Bombers will enjoy the home-field advantage here in the one and only AL Wild Card game. There will be extreme pressure on the batters, and runs are likely to come at premium with two elite pitchers on the mound. |
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10-03-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Only one of the Toronto Blue Jays last eight games have failed to go over seven runs and we should see plenty of action over the plate here in game 2 of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Jays have already claimed the division but are looking to stay ahead of the Royals for the best record in the American League, and are likely to field a strong lineup. |
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10-02-15 | San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Dodgers will close out the regular-season with a three-game set against the San Diego Padres home at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers may have claimed the division title but are still battling with the Mets for post-season home-field advantage and I think we'll see both sides playing a competitive and high-scoring game tonight. Here are my keys to the game: |
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09-28-15 | Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
The Mariners have lost five straight on the road, and they return home to host Houston in a three game series starting tonight. The Astros are still very much alive in the AL West, trailing Texas by just 2.5 games with six games to play. The total for tonight's game looks a little low, and I think we'll see some runs at Safeco in Game 1. Selection: This is a play on the Astros@Mariners to go OVER the total (10*) |
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09-22-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
The AL East is still very much up for grabs as the Yankees and the Blue Jays play Game 2 of a three game series in Toronto on Tuesday. The Jays hold a 3.5 game lead, but with a dozen games remaining the race is far from over. With a pair of quality pitchers on the mound in a high stakes game at Rogers Center tonight, I expect a low scoring tilt. Selection: This is a play on the Yankees@Jays to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-14-15 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals have completely collapsed, and they now sit 9.5 games back of New York in the NL East. After losing 2-of-3 in Miami, they begin a new series tonight in Philadelphia. The Phillies are coming off back-to-back home wins over the Cubs, and with a hot young pitcher on the mound tonight, we could see a pitcher's duel here in Philly. Selection: This is a play on the Nationals@Phillies to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-09-15 | New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The Mets have won the first two games of this series in Washington, and they look to complete the sweep tonight. The first two games of this series saw plenty of scoring, but I think tonight's game will be a pitcher's duel. Given the scheduled starters, the total for this game looks a little high. |
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09-08-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox lost by a score of 3-2 in the series opener at home versus Cleveland, and I think we could see another pitcher's duel in the Windy City here on Tuesday. These teams have a long history of playing low scoring games, as 24 of the last 28 meetings have failed to reach the total. Selection: This is a play on Cleveland@Chicago to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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09-07-15 | Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
The Colorado Rockies will take on the Padres at PETCO Park on Monday, and this will be a battle of two of the bottom feeders in the NL West. The Rockies have lost seven of their last eight versus San Diego, and I expect to see a low scoring game here between two teams that are struggling to score runs. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies@Padres to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-06-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates trail St. Louis by 6.5 games in the NL Central, and they have split the first two games of this weekend series at Busch Stadium. Last night's game was a pitcher's duel, and I think we'll see another low scoring tilt tonight. Selection: This is a play on the Pirates@Cardinals to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-02-15 | Washington Nationals v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals will host Washington tonight, and this game looks destined to be a pitcher's duel. The Cardinals won both Games 1 & 2 by an identical score of 8-5, but I expect a lower scoring battle here in St. Louis tonight. Selection: This is a play on the Nats@Cardinals to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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08-27-15 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
The New York Mets are coming into this contest looking to book a seventh consecutive win and complete a four-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies. Each of the first three games in the set have seen 11 runs or more scored and another slugfest seems likely tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Mets hand the ball to Jonathon Niese (8-9, 3.80 ERA) who was lit up for seven runs on 11 hits in just 5 1/3 innings of work at Coors FIeld his last start. He was still "rewarded" with the win though as the Mets offense bailed him out in the 14-9 victory. The Braves will counter with Aaron Harang (5-14, 4.67 ERA) who's off a rare strong outing when he held the Fish to two runs on two hits and four walks in seven innings his last start. He's still 0-3 with an 8.18 ERA in his last four outings and will have to slow down a Mets team that has been hitting .347 with an average of 10.7 runs over its last six games. 2 .Trends - Nine of the Mets last 10 games and each of their last seven with the total set at 7.0-8.5 have gone over the total. The over is 26-6-4 in Phillies last 36 home games and 6-2 in their last eight with the total set at 7.0-8.5. 3. X-Factor - The Mets' Michael Cuddyer is 7-for-10 with two homers, three doubles and a total of six RBIs over the first three games in this series. He's 3-for-14 with a double and a triple off Harang in previous match-ups. Selection: This is a play on Mets@Phillies to go over the total (10*) |
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08-26-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
The Atlanta Braves host the Colorado Rockies in a battle of bottom feeders here on Wednesday. The Rockies tied the series at 1-1 with a 5-1 win last night, but another win here in the rubber match is unlikely. The Braves will send a hot pitcher to the mound to try to silence the Colorado bats that rank dead last in the majors in runs scored on the road, batting .234 away from Coors Field. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies@Braves to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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08-25-15 | Chicago Cubs v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6.5 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
Nine of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between the Chicago Cubs and the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park have one under the total, but I think the line is set way too low tonight. The Cubs have been swinging hot bats of late and I think we'll see a high-scoring game between two teams fighting for the Wild Card spots in the National League. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta (15-6, 2.30 ERA) who by all means are having an impressive season. The 29 year old is off four straight wins and tossed six scoreless innings of a 7-1 home-win against the Braves his most recent start, but he conceded three runs (two earned) on five hits and two walks in 6 2/3 frames at U.S. Cellular Field his last road outing. Arrieta has yielded three walks in four of his last seven starts for a total of 17 over that span. The Giants will counter with Matt Cain (2-3, 5.66 ERA) who's allowed four runs or more in four of his last five starts while making it past to the sixth inning just once. He has a 7.32 ERA in four starts this month with just 12 strikeouts over 19 2/3 innings of work. 2. The Cubs Bats - Chicago has averaged 6.86 runs scored on its own over its last seven games behind a .277 batting average and eight of their last 10 games as a road favorite have sailed over the total. The over is 7-2 in Cain's last nine home starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. 3. X-Factor - The Giants have scored just 16 runs over their last six games (all away from home) but they've been up against the elite pitching staff of the Cardinals and the Pirates. Expect an offensive outbreak in front of the home-town crowd tonight. Selection: This is a play on CHC@SF to go over the total (10*) |
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08-25-15 | Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
The AL West-worst Oakland Athletics recorded their fourth win in six games when they defeated division-rivals the Seattle Mariners 11-5 last night. Another high-scoring encounter is in the cards Tuesday night as two unreliable pitchers will take the hill. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The A's hand the ball to Jesse Chavez (7-12, 3.75 ERA) who had posted a 6.57 ERA over five starts before holding the Dodgers to two runs in eight innings of a 5-2 home-win Wednesday. His road-ERA of 4.73 is almost two runs higher than his mark home in Oakland though and he's lost each of his last four starts against the Mariners behind a 4.75 ERA. The M's will counter with Mike Montgomery (4-6, 4.16) who is 0-4 with a 7.45 ERA in his last eight starts. The 26 year old left-hander held Oakland to run on six hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 2-1 win on July 5, but he'll face a revived Oakland offense here. 2. Situational - Nine of Chavez's last 13 starts overall and three of his last four against Seattle have gone over the total. The same is true for 21 of the Mariners last 29 games at Safeco Field. 3. X-Factor - The current members of the Mariners are batting .303 over 119 at bats against Chavez with Nelson Cruz going 5-for-11 with a double and a pair of homers. Selection: This is a play on OAK@SEA to go over the total (10*) |
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08-25-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 106 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks had won four straight with a total of 26 runs scored before coming up short in a 5-3 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals in the opener of a four-game set Monday night. The Cardinals have scored 15 runs over their last two games and I think we'll see plenty of action over the plate from both sides tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D'backs hand the ball to Robbie Ray (3-9, 3.38) who had his scheduled start Monday pushed back a day to give him some extra rest. Ray last outing was on August 19 when he conceded three runs on seven hits in six innings of a 4-1 loss to the Pirates. He's surrendered three runs or more in each of his last four starts with one coming home at Arizona where he's 0-4 with a 4.45 ERA on the season. The Cardinals will counter with Jaime Garcia (5-4, 1.79 ERA) who's having an impressive season, but he conceded three runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings his most recent start. He allowed a season-high four runs (three earned) on eight hits in six innings against the D'backs back in May. 2. Arizona's Bats - The hosts have averaged six runs per game over their last seven games with a .285 batting average, reaching the seats 10 times over that span. A.J. Pollock has been swinging an extremely hot bat and was named NL Player of the Week on Monday after going 12-for-29 August 17-23. 3. X-Factor - 23 of Garcia's last 34 road starts (68%) with the total set in the 7.0-8.5 span have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on STL@ARI to go over the total (10*) |
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08-22-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
The Chicago White Sox broke out of an offensive slump in an 8-2 win against the Los Angeles Angels Thursday and they beat the Mariners 11-4 in Seattle last night. We are likely to see more fireworks at Safeco tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox hand the ball to southpaw Carlos Rodon, who has been hit hard in three of his last four appearances. The 22 year old gave up a pair of home runs in loss to the Angels in his last start, and he's 2-3 with a 5.67 ERA in his last six starts. The Mariners will counter with Vidal Nuno, who comes out of the bullpen. 2. Situational - Nine of the White Sox's last 11 away from home have sailed over the total and the over is 5-1 in the Mariners last five home games. 3. X-Factor - The Over is 18-5-3 in the Mariners last 26 home games. Selection: This is a play on CHW@SEA to go over the total (10*) |
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08-22-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies have split the first two games of this series in Miami, and we have seen plenty of offense so far at Marlins Park. I expect another slugfest here tonight, as both teams send struggling pitchers to the mound. Selection: This is a play on the Phillies@Marlins to go OVER the total (10*) |
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08-21-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners OVER 6 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
The Chicago White Sox broke out of an offensive slump in an 8-2 win against the Los Angeles Angels last night. The Seattle Mariners meanwhile lost the rubber-match of a three-game series against the Texas Rangers Wednesday. Both teams will start with their respective ace on the hill in this contest which should lead to a low-scoring contest. I think the books have set this line way too low though and I'm hammering the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox hand the ball to Chris Sale (11-7, 3.32 ERA) who tossed seven scoreless innings home at U.S. Cellular Field against the Cubs his last start. He was lit up for seven runs on 12 hits in five innings of an 8-2 loss at Fenway his last road start though and he has a 3.75 ERA in 11 road starts this year. The Mariners will counter with Felix Hernandez (14-7, 3.65 ERA) who hasn't looked much like an ace here in the second half of the season. He's posted a 6.31 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break and lasted only 2 1/3 innings of a 22-10 loss to the Red Sox his very start. He managed to give up 10 runs on 12 hits while serving up three homers over those rough frames. 2. Situational - Eight of the White Sox's last 11 away from home have sailed over the total and the over is 4-1 in the Mariners last five home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. 3. X-Factor - Nelson Cruz is 6-for-13 with two homers in previous at bats versus Sale. Selection: This is a play on CHW@SEA to go over the total (10*) |
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08-19-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are looking to chase down the St. Louis Cardinals for the NL Central-lead, or at the very least defend the Wild Card spot they are currently owners of. They've won five of their last six games scoring eight runs or more three times in that span and are off a 9-8 win against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Another high-scoring tilt is in the cards Wednesday night when the two teams clash for the rubbermatch of this three-game series at PNC Park. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Pirates hand the ball to J.A. Happ (4-7, 4.64 ERA) who's still looking for his first win with the Pirates since coming over from Seattle. He's 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA over his last six starts overall and allowed four runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-0 loss in his lone home-start for the Pirates so far. The D'backs will counter with Robbie Ray (3-8, 3.29 ERA) who's off three consecutive losses surrendering a total of 10 runs on 18 hits and eight walks over 15 1/3 innings of work. This will be his first start against the Pirates this season but he was lit up for four runs in five innings here at PNC Park in his debut season last year. 2. Situational - The over is 6-2-1 in the Pirates last nine games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 5-1 in their last six at home. 11 of the D'backs last 16 away from home have sailed over the total. 3. X-Factor - The Pirates have reached the seats in 12 consecutive games, as streak likely to continue as Ray has served up four homers over his last four starts. Selection: This is a play on ARI@PIT to go over the total (10*) |
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08-18-15 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 15-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals are coming into this contest on the back of six consecutive losses, leaving the field scorless half of the times. A visit to Coors Field could be just what they need to get back on track offensively, and I expect a high-scoring contest in this series-opener against the Colorado Rockies. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Nats hand the ball to Jordan Zimmermann (8-8, 3.34 ERA) who's overall numbers may look decent enough, but he's way better at home at Nationals Park than on the road where he has a 4.55 ERA in 11 starts on the year. He's a winless 0-3 with a 3.68 ERA overall since the All Star break. The Rockies will counter with David Hale (3-4, 5.69 ERA) who'll make his first start in over a month after spending some time on the disabled list due to a groin injury. He's allowed four runs or more in each of his last five starts, serving up on a homer per game on average in that span and a total of 10 in his last seven starts. 2. Situational - Six of the Rockies last seven and all of Hale's last four home at Coors Field have gone over the total. The over is 8-2 in the Nats last 10 games following an off day. 3. X-Factor - Colorado's relievers rank dead last in the major leagues this season with a 4.83 ERA. Selection: This is a play on WAS@COL to go over the total (10*) |
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08-17-15 | Minnesota Twins v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are coming off back to back wins over Cleveland, and they begin a new series in the Bronx on Monday night. The Yankees are clinging to a half game lead in the AL East after taking 2-of-3 in Toronto. The Bronx Bombers might need all the offense they can muster tonight with a struggling reliever making a spot start in Game 1 versus the Twins. |
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08-15-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are looking to make it to the post-season sitting just three games back of the Angels for the last Wild Card in the American League. They're desperate for a win after losing out 6-1 to division-rivals the Cleveland Indians in this series-opener last night. I expect both teams to score plenty of runs here as two rusty pitchers will take the mound. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Twins hand the ball to 24 year old rookie Tyler Duffey (0-1, 27.00 ERA) who'll make his second start in the big leagues. He conceded six runs on five hits with two homers in just two innings of a 9-7 loss to Toronto in his debut 10 days ago. The Indians will counter with Josh Tomlin who'll make his very first start of the season after recovering from a shoulder surgery. He posted a 4.76 ERA in 25 outings last season and he owns a 6.41 ERA in nine career games (six starts) against the Twins. 2. Situational - Five of the Tribe's last seven games have gone over the total and the same is true for seven of the Twins last nine. Seven of the last eight meetings have gone over. 3. X-Factor - Joe Mauer and Torii Hunter are a combined 10-for-24 in previous match-ups with Tomlin. Selection: This is a play on CLE@MIN to go over the total (10*) |
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08-13-15 | Texas Rangers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins are coming into this contest looking to complete the sweep of a three-game set against the Texas Rangers Thursday afternoon. They ran away with an 11-1 victory last night, and I think plenty of runs is in the cards for both teams today. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rangers hand the ball to Chi Chi Gonzalez (2-4, 3.74 ERA) who allowed just one earned run over his first three starts in the big leagues but has struggled of late. He lasted only 1 2/3 innings his last start conceding six runs on five hits and two walks in an 8-2 loss to the Halos. The Twins will counter with Ervin Santana who's lost three straight starts behind a 10.93 ERA. He has a 5.60 ERA in 29 career starts against the Rangers. 2. Situational - Six of the Twins last seven and five of the Rangers' last seven away from home have gone over the total. 3. X-Factor - The Twins have scored 39 runs with a .272 batting average over their last six games. Selection: This is a play on TEX@MIN to go over the total (8*) |
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08-05-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
The New York Yankees have been swinging extremely hot bats of late and defeated the Boston Red Sox 13-3 in last night's opener of a three-game set of this classic rivalry. Another high-scoring game is in the cards tonight when the two AL Est rivals will clash again. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Red Sox hand the ball to Steven Wright (4-4, 4.53 ERA) who is off a decent outing when he conceded two runs on six hits in seven innings of an 8-2 home-win against the White Sox. He had surrendered 10 runs (eight earned) in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts prior though and has a 5.28 road-ERA for the year. The Yankees will counter with Luis Severino who will make his major-league debut. He's 7-0 with a 1.91 ERA in 11 starts with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre but is likely to struggle here against the big boys and could certainly have asked for an easier opponent to make his debut against. 2. Glowing Bats - The Yankees have scored a major leagues best 69 runs with a .323 batting average over the last seven days for an insane average of 11.5 runs scored per game. The Red Sox have averaged 6.33 runs per game over the same span while batting .284. 3. X-Factor - Each of the last five meetings at Yankee Stadium have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on BOS@NYY to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
The major leagues-leading St. Louis Cardinals have found ways to win despite being rather unproductive at the plate but was on the losing side last night when the Cincinnati Reds shut them out in a 4-0 defeat. Another low-scoring contest is in the cards tonight when the teams will square off in the rubber-match of a three-game set at Busch Stadium. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Cardinals hand the ball to John Lackey (9-5, 2.88 ERA) who conceded four runs on four hits in six innings of a 5-4 loss against Cincinnati in his season-debut. He's been extremely efficient of late though after conceding a season-high 10 runs at Colorado on June 8 going 5-1 with a 1.75 ERA in eight starts since. The Reds will counter with Anthony DeSclafani (5-7, 3.98 ERA) who's struggled home in Cincinnati this season, but he's been reliable away from home posting a 2.67 ERA in 10 road-starts. 2. Home Cookin' - Lackey has a 1.97 ERA in 11 home-starts for the year and the under is 35-14-2 in the Cardinals games at Busch Stadium this season. 3. X-Factor - Each of the last four meetings at St. Louis have gone under the total. Selection: This is a play on CIN@STL to go under the total (10*) |
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07-29-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
Two teams that have been swinging hot bats in recent games will clash at Globe Life Park in Arlington Wednesday night. The Yankees annihilated the Rangers 21-5 last night, and although less runs are to be expected tonight I think the teams will score enough for the game to climb over the total. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rangers hand the ball to Colby Lewis (10-4, 4.49 ERA) who's off a pair of road-wins yielding four runs over 15 innings of work. His most recent starts home at Texas has not been quite as successful with the veteran right-hander giving up a total of 13 runs on 17 hits in 11 frames. This will be his second start against the Yankees this season surrendering five runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 10-9 win back in May and he's 2-3 with a 5.55 ERA in six career starts against them. The Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka (7-3, 3.64 ERA) who's won three straight starts behind a 2.82 ERA. He's yielded five home-runs over the last two alone though and he's allowed 11 over his last six starts. 2. Hot Bats - The Yankees have scored a major leagues-best 59 runs over seven games in the last seven days with the Rangers sitting fourth with 44 runs scored over the same span, but one less game played. 3. X-Factor - The over is 8-2 in Lewis' last 10 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Selection: This is a play on NYY@TEX to go over the total (10*) |
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07-28-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
The Chicago White Sox bats have come alive during a five-game winning streak. They defeated the Boston Red Sox 10-8 in last night's opener of a four-game set at Fenway Park, and I believe we'll have another high-scoring contest on our hands tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox will hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija (7-5, 3.91 ERA) who's off eight innings of one-run ball at Cleveland. He's otherwise been rather poor away from home this season with a 4.84 ERA in 11 outings away from home and he has an 8.53 ERA in two career games (one start) against Boston who will counter with Wade Miley (8-8, 4.33). Miley has conceded one run in 13 innings over his last two starts combined, but he was far from perfect giving seven free passes over those two games. He's surrendered nine runs on 14 hits in 12 innings in his last two starts home at Fenway where he has a 4.68 ERA for the year. 2. Hot Bats - The White Sox have averaged 6.14 runs per game over their last seven while the Red Sox have averaged an even five over the same span. 3. X-Factor - Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval are a combined 11-for-26 in previous match-ups with Samardzija. Selection: This is a play on CHW@BOS to go over the total (10*) |
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07-22-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost back to back games at Atlanta, and still they come into Game 3 as a heavy favorite. The Dodgers are well overrated on the road, as they are just 20-25 so far away from Chavez Ravine. I like the Braves as a home dog with their ace on the mound, but I think the better bet is on the total. |
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07-19-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
The Blue Jays lost by a score of 3-2 at home to the Rays yesterday, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this afternoon. Toronto leads the major league's in scoring, but the Rays might have their Kryptonite. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rays will hand the ball to Chris Archer, who has absolutely owned Toronto throughout his career. Archer (9-6, 2.74 ERA) is actually coming off the worst start of his career, allowing nine runs on a dozen hits over six innings in a loss at Kansas City. He's faced Toronto three times this season, allowing just one run over 22 innings. As incredible as that sounds, he's 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA in five starts at Rogers Center since 2012. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Jose Bautista is 2-for-26 lifetime versus Archer, while Edwin Encarnacion is 4-for-28 with four strikeouts. 3. X-Factor - Five of the last six times these two teams have played in Toronto, the total has gone under. Selection: This is a play on the Rays vs. Jays to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-11-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
The Phillies were hammered in a 14-2 loss at AT&T Park last night, and that was with their ace Cole Hamels on the mound. It's not going to get any easier tonight with a win-less rookie getting the start. On a positive note, they might have more success against veteran Ryan Vogelsong than they had against Madison Bumgarner last night. |
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07-11-15 | Houston Astros v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays defeated the Houston Astros 3-1 last night, and I expect another low-scoring contest at Tropicana Field Saturday afternoon when the two teams will square off in the middle game of this three-game series. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Astros will hand the ball to their ace Dallas Keuchel (11-3, 2.14 ERA) who's been exceptional all season long. He has the lowest ERA in the American League and had tossed 19 shutout innings before giving up three runs in six innings his last start. The Rays will counter with Jake Odorizzi (4-5, 2.47) who's had a great season as well. He will make his first start since June 5 due to an oblique injury, and what better place to make the comeback than at the Trop where he's compiled a 1.64 ERA over five starts this season. 2. Houston's Bats - The Astros have scored only 17 runs over their last seven games with nine of them coming in a 9-4 win at Cleveland. They've scored four over their last four games. 3. X-Factor - 10 of the last 11 meetings at the Trop have gone under the total. Selection: This is a play on HOU@TB to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-10-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6 | Top | 2-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants have lost eight of their last nine overall, and they now sit in third place in the NL West, 5.5 games back of the Dodgers. The good news is that they host the Phillies for a three game series prior to the All Star Break, and I like the Giants to get back on track tonight in the series opener. Selection: This is a play on PHI@SF to go over the total (10*) |
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07-10-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners defeated the Los Angeles Angels 7-2 last night when the teams opened a four-game set at Safeco Field. The M's recorded a season-high 19 hits while the Halos had eight, but I expect both teams to struggle at the plate tonight in what should be a low-scoring contest. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Angels will hand the ball to Hector Santiago (5-4, 2.40 ERA) who's undefeated in his last three starts conceding just a total of two runs on eight hits and four walks over 20 innings of work, seven innings of one-run ball against the M's on June 28 included. The Mariners will counter with Mike Montgomery (4-2, 1.62 ERA) who's been terrific over his last three starts as well, conceding only one earned run over 23 2/3 frames. The 26 year old rookie will make his first career start against the Angels tonight, a situation usually favoring the pitcher. 2. Situational - The under is 7-1 the in Angels last eight games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 8-1-1 in their last 10 on the road when facing a left-handed starter. None of Montgomery's last four starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 have gone over. 3. X-Factor - Santiago has the current members of the Mariners limited to a .196 batting average. Selection: This is a play on LAA@SEA to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-08-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
The Dodgers have split the first two games of this home series against the Phillies, but they are a heavy favorite in tonight's Game 3 with their ace on the mound. We've seen plenty of runs scored in this series so far, but tonight's game looks like it could be a pitcher's duel. |
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07-03-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves upset Max Scherzer and the Nationals at Turner Field last night, and they've now won five of their last six home games. They should have an excellent chance to extend that winning streak tonight, hosting the last place Phillies. Philadelphia has lost four straight, and seven of it's last eight overall. Selection: This is a play on PHI@ATL to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-03-15 | Houston Astros v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 12-8 | Win | 102 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
The AL West-leading Houston Astros will visit the AL East-worst Boston Red Sox for game 1 of a three-game set at Fenway Park Friday night. The Astros are riding a four-game winning streak and have averaged five runs per game over their last five while the Red Sox also have won four of their last five and trounced the Blue Jays 12-6 yesterday. I think we can expect to see plenty of action over the plate in Boston tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Red Sox will hand the ball to Justin Masterson (3-2, 5.58 ERA) who was sharp in his comeback from a five-week stint on the DL due to tendinitis in his right shoulder when he tossed five innings of one-run ball at Tampa Bay. He's been quite poor home at Fenway this season though conceding 14 runs in 20 innings of work for a 6.30 ERA. The Astros will counter with 26 year old right-hander Dan Straily who will make his season-debut tonight taking over the recently demoted left-hander Brett Oberholtzer's spot in the rotation. He's not been particularly impressive in the minors with Triple-A Fresno going 6-6 with a 4.06 ERA for the year and this is a bad time to face a surging Red Sox offense coming off a big Thursday. 2. Jose Altuve - The Astros's second baseman is having another productive year batting .298 for the season and he's been very good of late batting .368 over a 10-game hitting streak. He's enjoyed recent visits to Fenway as well going 6-for-10 in his last two games there. 3. X-Factor - Only one of the Red Sox's last six games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 has gone under. Selection: This is a play on HOU@BOS to go over the total (8*) |
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07-02-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 12-6 | Win | 114 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
The Blue Jays bats came alive on Canada Day at Rogers Center, and the Jays defeated the Red Sox by a score of 11-2. They will look to salvage a split in the final game of this series tonight, and I think we could see another high scoring affair with a couple of below average pitchers starting in this one. Selection: This is a play on the BOS@TOR to go over the total (10*) |
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07-02-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
We've seen plenty of action over the plate in the first two games of this series as the Pittsburgh Pirates have defeated the Detroit Tigers 5-4 and 9-3. Runs should come fairly easy for both teams today as well considering the pitching match-up, and I think the value is on the over here. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Tigers will hand the ball to Kyle Ryan (1-1, 4.56 ERA) who missed his last start due to a rainout. He has struggled lately conceding a total of nine runs on 13 hits in 10 2/3 innings in his last three outings and has only 11 strikeouts but eight walks over 23 2/3 innings this season. The Pirates will counter with Francisco Liriano (4-6, 3.21 ERA) who started the season excellent but has had a tough time of late. Liriano has conceded a total of seven runs on 13 hits in 12 2/3 innings over his last two starts and he has a 5.59 ERA against the Tigers lifetime. 2. The Tigers Bats - The Tigers have a team batting average of .276 against left-handers for the season which is among the best marks in baseball, and they have a team batting average of .293 against Liriano. 3. X-Factor - The Pirates Neil Walker is off a 4-for-6 performance with two homers last night and is 6-for-12 in the series so far. Selection: This is a play on PIT@DET to go over the total (10*) |
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07-02-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays bats have been very quiet so far in this series, but the Cleveland Indians have been all the hotter hammering in 21 runs over the first three games of the series. The number on the total looks way too low for me considering the potential in both teams line-up, and I think we should see this one fly over by quite some margin. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rays will hand the ball to Matt Moore who will make his first start for almost 14 months. The 26 year old southpaw made just two starts in 2014 before suffering an elbow injury that forced him to have Tommy John surgery. He has not gone deeper than 5 1/3 innings in any of his rehab outings and has a 3.78 ERA in four career outings versus Cleveland who will counter with its struggling ace Corey Kluber (3-9, 3.66 ERA). Kluber is 0-4 with a 3.97 ERA in his last five starts while yielding 10 walks and three homers. He has a 3.66 ERA and has been nowhere near the form that saw him claim the AL Cy Young trophy last year. 2. Cleveland's Bats - The Tribe have averaged 5.33 runs per game over their last six and have hit southpaws hard all season long scoring a major league best 119 for the year. 3. X-Factor - David DeJusus and Evan Longoria are a combined 8-for-22 against Kluber in previous meetings. Selection: This is a play on CLE@TB to go over the total (10*) |
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06-25-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers host the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park this afternoon, and both teams are coming off a loss. I'm expecting to see a pitcher's duel in the Motor City, with two capable starters on the hill today. |
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06-18-15 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros have feasted on Colorado's pitching staff so far in this series, and I think we should see another slugfest at Coors Field this afternoon. Both teams turn to the back end of the rotation today, and these two starters might struggle to keep the ball in the park. |
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06-17-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Seattle Mariners OVER 6 | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Giants and the Seattle Mariners have split the first two games of this home and home series, and now the series shifts to Seattle. We will see two of the best pitchers in baseball starting in one of the most notorious pitcher's parks, but with an incredibly low number here, I like the over. Selection: This is a play on the Giants/Mariners to go OVER the total (8*) |
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06-17-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers will head to Cincinnati for the second leg of this home and home series, and tonight's game will feature two of the best pitchers in the major leagues. Neither team has been great offensively, and it's likely that we see a low scoring pitcher's duel here in Cincinnati tonight. 3. X-Factor - The Reds have a long history of playing low scoring games when Cueto pitches in Cincinnati, the under is 22-6-3 in Cueto's last 31 home starts. |
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06-17-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
We saw a wild game in Tampa last night, but with the Rays and the Nats heading back to Washington for the second leg of this home and home series, I expect to see a low scoring tilt in the nation's capital. Selection: This is a play on the Rays/Nats to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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06-16-15 | Oakland A's v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
The San Diego Padres spent plenty of money this off-season in an attempt to bolster their offense, and so far it looks like money well spent. San Diego is third in the National League in scoring, thanks to the big bats of Justin Upton and Matt Kemp. They host the Oakland A's at PETCO today, and I think the total looks a little low considering both teams rank in the top 10 in the majors in runs scored, and each team turns to the back end of their rotation. 2. Kazmir On The Road - The Over is 6-1-2 in Kazmir's last 9 starts as a road favorite. Selection: This is a play on the Athletics@Padres to go OVER the total (10*) |
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06-15-15 | Oakland A's v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
The San Diego Padres spent plenty of money this off-season in an attempt to bolster their offense, and so far it looks like money well spent. San Diego is third in the National League in scoring, thanks to the big bats of Justin Upton and Matt Kemp. They host the Oakland A's at PETCO tonight, and I think the total looks a little low considering both teams rank in the top 10 in the majors in runs scored, and each team turns to the back end of their rotation. 2. Derek Norris - He arrived in San Diego via the trade that sent Hahn the other way, and he leads all National League catchers with 39 RBIs. Selection: This is a play on the Athletics@Padres to go OVER the total (10*) |
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05-30-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
1* free play on Chicago@Houston to go UNDER the total... The Houston Astros are still at the top of the AL West, but they've cooled down of late winning just one of their last four games. The Chicago White Sox won the opener of a three-game set at Minute Maid Park 6-3 in extra-innings last night, but we might see a pitcher's duel here this afternoon. . Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox will give the ball to Jose Quintana (2-5, 4.67 ERA) as he'll seek to bounce back from one of his worst starts of the year. He's had three sub-par starts on the season but has held opponents to two runs or less in six of his nine starts. He's been immense over his last two outings away from home surrendering just two runs on 10 hits while hurling seven innings in both games, and he's undefeated in four career starts against the Astros (all Chicago wins), going 1-0 behind a 3.63 ERA. Houston will counter with its ace Dallas Keuchel (6-1, 1.98) who's been their best pitcher. 2. Chicago Bats- The White Sox are really struggling at the plate, ranking dead last in the American League scoring just 173 runs. 3. X-Factor - Keuchel has been having a fine season so far, and 10 of his last 12 starts as a home favorite have gone under the total. |
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05-11-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds will host the Atlanta Braves for the opener of a three game set at Great American Ball Park Monday night. They split a four-game set in Atlanta a couple of weeks ago as the Braves won the opener of that series 5-1 with the same pitching match-up as tonight. I expect quite a few more runs to be scored in this game and I'm playing the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Braves will hand the ball to Shelby Miller (4-1, 1.66 ERA) who is coming off a complete game shut out against the Phillies on May 5. He was tagged for three runs on six hits over seven innings against the Reds in his last start prior though and he was 1-2 with a 3.50 ERA over three starts against Cincinnati last year. The Reds will counter with Mike Leake (2-1, 2.47 ERA) who is coming off back-to-back dominant performances after first hurling eight scoreless innings at Atlanta followed by another eight scoreless innings at Pittsburgh, surrendering just a combined total of eight hits. He is 4-2 in seven career starts against the Braves with a 2.03 ERA, but keep in mind that Atlanta has averaged 5.6 runs per game over its last five.. 2. Bullpens - Neither pitcher can expect much back-up from the bullpen as Cincinnati's has compiled the worst ERA in the majors on the season (5.47 ERA) while Atlanta's has not done much better sitting fourth from the bottom with a 4.76 ERA. 3. X-Factor - Brandon Phillips is 6-for-17 with a homer against Miller over previous at bats. Selection: This is a play on ATL@CIN to go over the total (10*) |
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05-02-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Last night's meeting between the Chicago White Sox and the Minnesota Twins saw just one run scored as the White Sox prevailed in a 1-0 victory. The first game in this four game set saw a total of 14 runs though, and I expect to see plenty of action over the plate in Game 3 today as well. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Twins will hand the ball to Ricky Nolasco (0-1, 18.00 ERA) who'll make his second start of the year today just coming off the disabled list with a right elbow inflammation following his season debut in a 11-0 loss at Detroit. He was charged with six runs on six hits over just three innings in that game and is likely to be in for more pain here as he's 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four starts against Chicago over his career and with the current White Sox roster batting a combined .324 over 142 at bats against the right-hander. The White Sox will counter with Hector Noesi (0-2, 5.23 ERA) who'll make his third start of the season after surrendering six runs on eight hits over a combined 10 1/3 innings in his first two outings. He faced the Twins over 4 2/3 innings in his season opener as he allowed two runs while walking six and he's posting a 4.32 ERA against Minnesota over his career. The current Twins roster is batting .290 over 131 at bats against Noesi. 2. Trends - 10 of the last 13 meetings have gone over the total and the over is a convincing 9-1-1 in the Twins last 11 games as a home favorite and 4-1 in the White Sox last five away from home. 3. X-Factor - Minnesota's bullpen ranks among the worst in the majors on the season as its relievers has posted a combined 4.11 ERA over 70 innings so far. Selection: This is a play on CHW@MIN to go over the total (10*) |
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05-01-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 0-8 | Push | 0 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been swinging hot bats of late, putting up a total of 21 runs over their last two games alone. The Los Angeles Dodgers have been rather effective as well coming off a three game set against the Giants where they scored a total of 16 runs and I expect another slug-fest at Dodger Stadium tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D'Backs will hand the ball to Rubby De La Rosa (2-1, 4.68 ERA) who has given up a fair amount of runs over two road starts on the year already. He was extremely poor away from home last season as well, going 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA over 10 starts. Carlos Frias will toe the slab for the Dodgers making his first start of the year after hurling 2 1/3 innings as a reliever. He finished last season with a 6.12 ERA over 15 outings, two starts, and I'm not convinced he will be up for the challenge here. 2. Trends - The over is 5-1 over the last six meetings in L.A. and 23-8-1 in Dodgers last 32 home games overall. 3. X-Factor - The Dodgers ranks near the top of the majors with 32 homers on the year, with 19 coming at home. Selection: This is a play on the ARI@LAD to go over the total (10*) |
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04-30-15 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets OVER 7 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 115 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals have scored 26 runs in consecutive wins at Atlanta, and they head to New York tonight to begin a new series with the Mets. With the Nats apparently heating up at the plate, I think we can expect another high scoring game against the Mets tonight. Selection: This is a play on the Nats@Mets to go OVER the total (8*) |
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04-29-15 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins are tied at 1-1 in this three game set at Marlins Park as they come into the rubber-match tonight. None of the previous games in the set have seen more than seven runs, and I doubt this contest will be any difference as I think we'll have an interesting duel on the mound. Selection: This is a play on NYM@MIA to go under the total (10*) |
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04-26-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers (3-15) are coming into this contest against NL Central division rivals and top-team the St. Louis Cardinals with the worst record in baseball on the season. I the chances of a lower scoring game with two very strong hurlers on the hill this Sunday. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Cardinals will hand the ball to Lance Lynn (1-1, 1.56 ERA) who's had an excellent start to the season. Lynn has allowed just four runs on 13 hits with 27 strikeouts over 17 1/3 innings on the year and held Milwaukee to one run on six hits over five innings in a 4-2 home win on April 15. That performance was certainly no fluke as he's to 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA in his last seven starts against the Brewers. Milwaukee will counter with Mike Fiers (0-3, 6.75 ERA) who has had some starts already this season but has put up good numbers against the St. Cardinals in his career. In five career starts versus St. Louis, Fiers has a 1.72 ERA. 2. Cards strong starting pitchers numbers - St. Louis is undefeated over its last four away from home and has won 25 of the last 34 meetings in Milwaukee, five of them behind Lynn. The Cardinals have not had a smaller ERA from their starters in their first 16 games since it was at 1.78 in 1943. 3. X-Factor - The Cardinals bullpen has the third best mark in the major leagues for the season with a 2.03 ERA. Milwaukee's ranks in the bottom half with an ERA of almost the double, 3.91. Selection: This is a play on the St. Louis Cardinals@ Milwaukee Brewers to go under the total.(8*) (8*) |
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04-23-15 | Atlanta Braves v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
The Braves will wrap up this three game series with the Mets on Thursday, looking to avoid a sweep with a win in the finale at Citi Field. We'll see a pair of quality pitchers face off in this pitcher friendly park, and the result should be another low scoring game. Selection: This is a play on the Braves@Mets to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-21-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
Selection: This is a play on BOS@TB to go UNDER the total(10*) |
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04-19-15 | Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The Oakland Athletics moved into first place in the AL West with a win over Kansas City last night, and they've been pretty impressive at the plate so far this season. This series is tied at 1-1, and I think we could see a few runs scored by both team in the rubber match at Kauffman Stadium Sunday. |
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04-18-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
The Cleveland Indians are really struggling at the plate so far this season, and they wasted another solid start from Cy Young winner Corey Kluber last night in Minnesota. The Twins aren't exactly ripping the cover off the ball either, and I think we'll see another low scoring tilt in Minnesota on Saturday afternoon. 2. Hitting - The Indians have only managed to score 29 runs so far, only Houston and Chicago have fewer among American League teams. The Twins have scored just one more (30 total). 3. X-Factor - Hughes was always a better pitcher in day games than he was under the lights, and he was 11-2 with a 3.26 ERA in 16 starts in the afternoon last season. |
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04-17-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers have certainly lived up to all expectations so far this season, but the same can not be said for the White Sox. These teams will play Game 1 of a three game set at Comerica Park on Friday afternoon. Both teams send their respective aces to the mound, in what might just be a pitcher's duel. Selection: This is a play on Chicago@Detroit to go UNDER the total .(10*) |
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04-16-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays won in a slugfest at Rogers Center in Game 3 of this series versus Tampa last night. Toronto will try to salvage a split with a victory in Game 4 tonight. It's not going to be easy, as the Rays starting pitcher for tonight's game has been awful tough in previous visits to Toronto. Selection: This is a play on the Rays@Jays to go UNDER the total (10*) .(10*) |
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04-15-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 104 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals will look to continue their hot start to the season in Minnesota on Wednesday, playing Game 2 of this three game series. The Royals won last night by a score of 12-3, remaining unbeaten with a 7-0 record. I think we'll the bats of both teams cool off tonight, with a pair of quality pitchers on the mound. Selection: This is a play on the Kansas City Royals .(10*) |
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04-14-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox struggled at the plate to start the season mustering only seven runs over their first four games. The bats have come alive of late, but I think they're about to cool off again as they open a two game set at Cleveland tonight. The same goes for a Cleveland Indians team that were swept in a three game set against the Tigers. With two struggling offenses facing a pair of quality starting pitchers, runs could be hard to come by tonight. Selection: This is a play on CHW@CLE to stay under the total (10*) |
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04-13-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers have won only one game on the season so far, but the way they've struggled at the plate it's not that big of a surprise. The team has mustered 16 runs over their first five games and will visit the St. Louis Cardinals this afternoon, a team that has been involved in quite a few low-scoring contests so far and is sending its ace to the mound. I think this game has a lot factors pointing towards a low-scoring contest. Selection: This is a play on MIL@STL to go under the total (10*) |
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04-11-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 106 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
The Dodgers and the Diamondbacks have both split their first four games of the season, and Arizona took the first game of this series last night by a score of 4-3. The visitors are a heavy favorite to even the series tonight, with their ace on the mound. |
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04-10-15 | San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres OVER 7 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres are coming into this contest with quite the opposite records. The Giants have won three of their first four for the season while the Padres have lost all but one, last night's 1-0 loss in extra innings to the Giants in the opener of this four game set included. I expect to see quite a few more runs tonight, and the number set for the total seem really low to me. Selection: This is a play on SF@SD to go over the total (*) .(8*) |
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04-08-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers won their home opener, defeating the Twins by a score of 4-0 on Opening Day. Game 2 will be an afternoon start in the Motor City, and the home team is a big favorite to come away with another win. I think we'll see a few runs scored here today, as these teams dig deeper into their rotation. Selection: This is a play on the Twins@Tigers to go OVER the total .(8*) |
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10-28-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals OVER 7 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals will be fighting for their lives tonight as another San Francisco Giants win would make them the 2014 World Series Champions. We have seen plenty of runs in this series, but the books are still keeping the lines low and I think we're getting a good price on the over in Game 6. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Royals will hand the ball to the Yordano Ventura (14-10, 3.20 ERA) who will have a ton of pressure on his shoulders tonight. The inexperienced 23 year old is making his second start in the World Series, as he gave up two runs on eight hits with a homer over 5 1/3 innings in the 7-2 win in Game 2. Ventura is relying on his fastball, which indeed is pretty good, but the problem is those can easily turn into home runs and especially the way the Giants have been swinging their bats lately. The visitors will counter with Jake Peavy (7-13, 3.73 ERA), and with 12 years in the major leagues and pitching in the last World Series as well he is certainly not lacking any experience. That being said, he did surrender four runs on six hits over five innings in the last match-up versus Ventura six days ago, and struggled on the road the whole regular season going 4-8 with a 4.60 ERA. 2. The Giants offense - They have really been swinging hot bats recently, scoring 16 runs over their last two games. The Royals previously so hailed bullpen has started to show weakness, with Herrera and Davis conceding three runs over the last two innings in Sunday's 5-0 loss. 3. X-factor - Billy Butler has owned Peavy in previous encounters, hitting an impressive .424 over 33 at bats with three homers and three walks. Selection: This is a play on the SF@KC to go over the total (10*) |
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10-22-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -118 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
The hosts got off to a terrible start last night as James Shields conceded three runs in the first inning to open the 2014 World Series. The Giants could run away with the game eventually winning it 7-1, but I expect a tighter contest with much fewer runs tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Royals will hand the ball to Yordano Ventura (14-10, 3.20 ERA) who will make his first post-season start at Kauffman. The 23 year old Dominican has conceded five runs on 10 hits over 12 2/3 innings in two road starts after making an unsuccessful relief appearance at home against the A's in the Wild Card game. He was showing decent numbers at home during the regular season though, going 6-7 with a 3.21 ERA over 16 starts and certainly seems to be favored by pitching under the lights where his ERA was 2.86 compared to a 4.50 ERA in day-light games. The Giants will counter with Jake Peavy (7-13, 3.73 ERA) who will make his third start in this playoff. The veteran has been successful in his previous two, surrendering only two runs on six hits over 9 2/3 innings of work. He has not conceded more than two runs in any of his last eight starts, and only one of his last five starts have gone over the total. 2. The Bullpens - The Giants bullpen has the best stats in the post-season, as San Fran's relievers are showing a 1.69 ERA over 37 1/3 innings only giving up seven runs while fanning 32. Madison Bumgarner went seven innings last night before Lopez and Strickland came on and each tossed one scoreless inning. The Royals bullpen is ranked third, compiling a 1.98 ERA over 41 innings conceding nine runs while fanning an impressive 42 batters. It was solid last night as well, with Collins and Fraser combining to hold the Giants scoreless through the final three innings. 3. X-factor - Eric Hosmer and Lorenzo Cain has yet to figure Peavy out, going a combined 4-for-26 versus the right-hander. Selection: This is a play on SF@KC to go under the total (10*) |
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10-21-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -119 | 89 h 44 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants are coming to Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals in Game 1 of the 2014 World Series. Both teams send their respective aces to the mound tonight, both backed by incredibly solid bullpens. Don't expect to see a slugfest here in Kansas City. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Royals will hand the ball to James Shields (14-8, 3.21 ERA) to start off this World Series. Now, Shields have admittedly not had his best playoff of his career so far, but he is not called "Big Game James" for nothing and I expect him to deliver the goods tonight. His last home start was decent enough, as he limited the Angels to two runs on six hits over six innings, and he tossed nine scoreless innings conceding only four hits in his only start against the Royals this season, also that outing at home. The Giants will counter with Madison Bumgarner (18-10, 2.98 ERA) who has been nothing short of spectacular so far this post-season. He has two shutouts, and has given up only six runs (five earned) on 19 hits striking out 28 over 31 2/3 innings of work. It might suit MadBum fine to start this series on the road, as he was showing his best stuff away from home during the regular season going 11-4 with a 2.22 ERA over 18 starts. 2. The Bullpens - The Giants bullpen has the best stats in the post-season, as they're showing a 1.78 ERA over 35 1/3 innings, only giving up seven runs while fanning 30 and limiting their opponents to a .164 AVG. The #2 ranked bullpen? The Royals of course, who have compiled a 1.80 ERA over 35 innings, conceding seven runs fanning an impressive 36 batters and limiting opponents to a .170 AVG. 3. X-factor - KC's right fielder Norichika Aoki is still hitless against Bumgarner, going 0-for-13 lifetime. Selection: This is a play on the Giants@Royals to go Under the total (10*) |
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10-15-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals can complete the sweep against the Baltimore Orioles in front of their home crowd this afternoon. They claimed last night's game 2-1, and a similar scoreline is more than likely as the teams once again will enter the pitcher friendly Kauffman Stadium for Game 4. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Orioles will hand the ball to Miguel Gonzalez (10-9, 3.23 ERA) who had a solid finish to the regular season going 3-2 behind a 1.69 ERA in September, but this will be his first start since Sep 28. He was not successful in the six innings hurled so far against the Royals this year surrendering four runs (three earned) on six hits over six innings, and if we track back to 2013 his numbers were even worse, conceding six runs on eight hits over just 4 2/3 innings of work. The Royals will counter with Jason Vargas (11-10, 3.71 ERA) who's coming off a solid display at Los Angeles in the ALDS, as he allowed a pair of runs on three hits over six innings on Oct 2. This will be the first time the veteran lefty will face the Birds this season, but he has proved himself capable of keeping the Orioles bats quiet in the past showing a 1.93 ERA over eight starts lifetime. 2. Home cookin' - All of the Orioles last six post-season road games, and all of Gonzalez last seven on the road have gone under the total. Only one of the last eight meetings in KC have gone over the total. 3. X-factor - The Royals bullpen has been phenomenal lately. It worked four perfect innings last night, and has limited the opponents to a .179 AVG while registering a combined 1.59 ERA over the last 16 games. Selection: This is a play on BAL@KC to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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10-01-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are set battle it out with the San Francisco Giants for the NL Wild Card where the winner will be rewarded with a five game series against the Nats. I expect a low scoring game with both teams sending hot pitchers to the mound. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Giants will hand the ball to Madison Bumgarner (18-10, 2.98 ERA) who probably doesn't mind a trip to Pittsburgh at all. The 25 year old lefty has done better on the road than at home this season, going 11-4 with a 2.22 ERA over 18 starts away from home. He finished the regular season strong, going 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA in August followed by a 3.08 ERA in his four starts in September. The Pirates will counter with Edinson Volquez (13-7, 3.04 ERA) who finished the season in an even stronger manner. The veteran did not allow a single run in his last two starts, hurling seven innings in both of them conceding a total of only seven hits. He's undefeated over the last two months, showing a 2.11 ERA in August and a 1.08 ERA over his five September starts. 2. Trends - Only one of the last five meetings have gone over the total. None of the Pirates last four have gone over, and only two of the Giants last eight on the road have. 3. X-factor - Hunter Pence's 180 hits in the regular season made him the Giants top guy in that category. Volquez has dominated the 31 year old in previous encounters though, limiting Pence to a .194 AVG with 16 strike outs over 36 at bats. Selection: This is a play on SF@PIT to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-23-14 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers are playing well of late, winners of nine of their last 10 overall. They host Houston in Game 2 of this home series tonight, after taking the opener by a score of 4-3. Both teams are turning to the back end of the rotation here in this hitter's park, and that could translate into a high scoring affair. |
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09-18-14 | Boston Red Sox v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 10-5 in September so far, and they'll look to complete the sweep at home versus Boston tonight. The Red Sox have been out-scored 13-1 while losing the first two games of this series, and with a struggling pitcher on the mound, that trend is likely to continue tonight. |
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09-15-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
After dropping 2-of-3 at home to the Dodgers, the San Francisco Giants are now three games out of first in the NL West. They take on the cellar dwelling D'Backs in Arizona tonight, and this looks like a favorable match-up for the visitors. I have my eye on the total though, as we'll see two inconsistent pitchers on the hill. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D-backs will hand the ball to Wade Miley (7-11, 4.28 ERA) who's really struggled at Chase Field this season. The southpaw is 2-7, with an alarming ERA of 6.08 over 14 starts at home. He was 0-3 over five starts in August, and have surrendered four runs on 12 hits over nine innings so far this month. The Giants will counter with Ryan Vogelsong (8-10, 3.90 ERA) who was torched by the Rockies his last road start, as he surrendered eight runs on 10 hits, lasting only five innings. That was not a one time thing as he's been poor on the road for a better part of the season, posting a 5.11 ERA over 14 starts. 2. Over trends - All of the D-backs last four games have gone over the total, and so have seven of the Giants last nine on the road as well. 3. X-factor - Buster Posey has owned Miley, going 9-for-22 with one homer lifetime. Ryan Vogelsong has been hit hard by a lot of players in the D-backs line-up, but most notably Aaron Hill who's 13-for-28 with two homers versus the veteran. Selection: This is a play on SF@ARI to go over the total (10*) |
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09-11-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
The Bronx Bombers will host the Tampa Rays at Yankee Stadium Thursday night, and both teams will be sending hot pitchers to the mound. Alex Cobb will get the nod for the visitors, while Michael Pineda takes the mound for the Yankees. The total may look low at first glance, but I think the under is a solid play tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 2. Trends - Only one of Pindea's last seven, and none of Cobb's last nine starts have gone over the total. 3. X-factor - Alex Cobb has the NYY line-up hitting .176 over 125 at bats, with Derek Jeter going 2-for-12 with two strike-outs lifetime. Selection: This is a play on TB@NYY to go under the total (10*) |
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09-04-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals have taken over the top spot in the NL Central, sitting three games up on the Milwaukee Brewers. The division rivals will meet tonight at Miller Park, for Game 1 of a four game series that could decide the division. The Cardinals come in riding a five game win streak, while the Brewers have lost eight in a row. I'm expecting a high scoring affair with a couple of struggling pitchers on the mound. 1. Pitching - The Brew Crew will hand the ball to Wily Peralta (15-9, 3.82 ERA) who's been hit hard over his last two starts, surrendering 14 runs on 16 hits over eight innings. The 25 year old had a decent start to the season, but has dropped off more and more and was posting a 4.81 ERA in his six outings in August. The Cardinals will counter with Michael Wacha (5-5, 2.79 ERA) who'll make his first start since the middle of June. The 23 year old right-hander was not exactly on the top of his game prior to his injury, showing a 4.24 ERA over his three June starts. He's win-less on the road this season, going 0-5 with a 3.40 ERA over seven starts.
Selection: This is a play on St.Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers to go over the total (10*) |
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09-03-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
The Padres have been rather hot lately winning both games of this series so far and six of their last seven overall. Four of those six wins came in games decided by one run, and offense continues to be an issue for San Diego.
2. Padres woeful offense - The Padres are ranked last in all offensive categories in the major leagues. They've scored 11 runs over their last five games. 3. X-factor - Josh Collmenter has owned the Padres, limiting them to a .209 ERA over 86 at bats. Selection: This is a play on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres to go UNDER the total (10*). |
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09-03-14 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 105 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are just 2-8 over their last 10 games, and they host the Chicago White Sox in Game 2 of this series tonight, after losing the opener by a score of 6-3 last night. The last four meetings have seen a total of 60 runs, and I think we'll see plenty of action over the plate in this fixture as well. Here are my keys to the game:
2. Trends - The over is 3-0-1 in the White Sox last four games overall, and 5-0 in the Twins last five games at Target Field. 3. X-factor - Jose Abreu is set to make a comeback for the White Sox. He's 12-for-21 in his last six games, and is batting .339 versus Minnesota lifetime. Selection: This is a play on Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins to go over the total (10*). |
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08-28-14 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
After the Tribe won in a slugfest in Game 1 of this series versus Chicago, the White Sox responded with a 3-2 win in a pitcher's duel last night. I'm expecting to see the bats come alive again in the series finale. Here are my keys to the game: 1: Pitching - Carlos Carrasco will get the call for Cleveland, and he was lit up the last time he faced Chicago. Carrasco (5-4, 3.14 ERA) gave up five runs on six hits over 6 1/3 innings in a loss earlier this year. The White Sox will counter with John Danks, who comes in win-less in his last four starts. Danks (4-8, 4.98 ERA) have given up 12 runs on 24 hits over 18 innings versus Cleveland this year, going 1-1. 2: Jose Abreu - The Chicago slugger is 10-for-19 with six RBIs in his last five games. 3. X-Factor - The White Sox have seen the total go over in seven of their last eight versus the AL Central. Selection: This is a play on Cleveland@Chicago to go OVER the total (10*) |