Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51.5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 1170 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@NE to go Under the total. The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features a pair of Super Bowl contenders and a couple of aging Hall of Fame quarterbacks. You might think that these teams have lit up the scoreboard in previous meetings, but that hasn't been the case. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total dating back to 2013. The last time these teams met the Steelers won by a score of 17-10 last December. Big Ben threw for 235 yards, two TDs and a pair of INTs in the win. Brady was even more pedestrian, throwing for 279 yards, a TD and an INT in the loss. The Steelers have managed to find ways to win without LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown, but there is no denying that they aren't as talented as they once were. The Patriots will be getting used to life without Gronk, and Sony Michel should play a bigger role in this year's offense. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at Foxboro. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | 49ers +1 v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 126 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF 49ers. Tampa might be shorthanded in Week 1 with several players coming down with an illness that has threatened their status for the season opener versus San Francisco. The biggest name on that list of sick players is wide receiver Mike Evans. It will be even more important to be well hydrated as extreme temperatures are expected in Tampa. The Bucs won just five games last season, and Jamies Winston didn't even play in two of those wins. San Francisco appears to be an organization trending in the right direction with a talented young QB that you can build a team around. The same can't be said for Winston and the Bucs. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -109 | 353 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IND@LAC to go Under the total. The biggest story of the pre-season was Andrew Luck hanging up the cleats, and bettors have been scrambling to make sense of the Colts moving forward. The knee jerk reaction was to bet against Indianapolis, but after the line went as high as -9, the Chargers have settled as less than a TD favorite. Indy should still be competitive, as they were the last time Jacoby Brissett stepped in at quarterback. I do expect them to be more conservative though, and that should lead to a lower score. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers -170 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 339 h 20 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-08-19 | Bengals v. Seahawks -8.5 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are infamous for their dominant play at home in Seattle, and they draw an inferior opponent in Week 1. Cincinnati will come into the Emerald City without their starting left tackle, and this revamped defense with the additions of Jadaveon Clowney and Ziggy Ahnsa is likely to cause all sorts of problems for the Red Rifle. The Bengals lost six of eight on the road last year, and Seattle has covered the spread in nine of it's last 13 overall. AJ Green will not play in Week 1, still recovering from an ankle injury. I like the Seahawks to win this game by double digits. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins +5 | 59-10 | Loss | -110 | 2637 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Miami Dolphins (Week 1). The Dolphins are already the laughing stock of the league, and we haven't even played a game yet. It's not easy to make a case for why the Dolphins will be anything other than awful in 2019, so instead I will focus on Baltimore. They come into this Week 1 matchup asked to cover a bunch of points on the road, and I just don't think this Ravens team is going to live up to all the hype. Lamar Jackson came in and sparked the team to a 6-1 finish in the final seven games of 2018. Only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and wins over Cleveland and Cincinnati came by three points or less. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 400+ yards in each of his first three starts for Tampa last year, winning two of those games and losing by just three points to Pittsburgh. Fitzpatrick played in eight games for the Bucs last year, and they lost by more than seven points in just three of those games. So while the Ravens may be the better team, I am not sure they are seven points better, especially on the road in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Titans v. Browns -5.5 | 43-13 | Loss | -101 | 123 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Are the Browns for real? I am not quite ready to call Cleveland a Super Bowl contender, but here in Week 1 against Tennessee, I think they will like up to some of the hype. The Titans didn't look great this pre-season, and they are going to miss their best offensive lineman for the first five weeks of the season. I just can't see Mariota keeping up with Baker Mayfield, given all the toys Baker has at his disposal this season. I look for a double digit win for the Browns. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -180 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 123 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings failed to live up to expectations last season, and even though Kirk Cousins completed better than 70 percent of his passes for over 4000 yards and 30 TDs, we expect him to be better this season. Minnesota will host the Altanta Falcons in Week 1, and this team appears to have really fallen off a cliff since their Super Bowl loss to New England. The Falcons looked awful in the pre-season, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus the Vikings. I expect Minnesota's defense to be better in 2019, and they should open the season with a solid win over Atlanta. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears -160 | 10-3 | Loss | -160 | 58 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears. The Packers lost seven of their final 10 games last season, missing the playoffs again. One of those losses was a 24-17 loss at Chicago, and Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times while throwing for 274 yards, no TDs and a pick. There are no shortage of bettors still willing to back the Packers, but I don't see why this year will be any different in Green Bay. They start the season on the road against the league's most talented defense, and Chicago's offense could be better this year with a more experienced Mitch Tribisky. Aaron Rodgers didn't see any action in the pre-season, and he might not be at his best here in the Windy City. He will have to be great to keep the Packers in this game. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-19 | Patriots -1 v. Rams | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 329 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on New England. Why do you think the Rams beat the Saints? Are you one of those conspiracy theorists that believes the only reason the Rams are playing in the Super Bowl is because a referee missed a call at the end of the NFC Championship Game? If that's what you believe, then I think you are missing something. You have to give credit where credit is due, and I think it's fair to say that Jared Goff outplayed Drew Brees. I also think it's pretty clear that Sean McVay outcoached Sean Payton. I don't think the Rams can count on winning the quarterback battle or the coaching battle here against Brady and Belichick. My money is on experience over youth, and I expect Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski to turn back the clock. Props include: Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -140 | 37-31 | Loss | -140 | 155 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. Last week in New England it looked like vintage Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. The Patriots out-scored the Chargers 35-7 in the first half, and went on to win 41-28. Tom Brady threw for 343 yards and a TD on 34-of-44 passing. I think we'll see a very different story here this week, as for the first time in a long time the Patriots play a playoff game on the road. They were just 3-5 on the road during the regular season, and the last time they played at Kansas City they lost 41-14 prompting talk of the end of a dynasty. While that talk proved to be premature, surely the end is near and this could be the passing of the torch from Brady to Mahomes. Belichick isn't having any of it: “Yeah, I don’t think that game has anything to do with this one,” Belichick said. “We’re going to get ready for Sunday.” Mahomes and the Chiefs will also be ready, and they are younger, faster and more talented. The Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Championships games, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings versus Kansas City. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -170 | 26-23 | Loss | -170 | 152 h 37 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-13-19 | Eagles +9.5 v. Saints | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the Eagles. The Eagles are the hot team coming into this divisional playoff game versus New Orleans. The Saints are Super Bowl favorites, but Drew Brees and company sputtered a bit down the stretch. After losing to the Cowboys in Dallas, they scored just three points in the first half in Tampa before rallying for a come from behind win. Their home win over the Steelers was helped by a pair of controversial pass inerference penalties on the game winning drive. Nick Foles has picked up right where he left off in last year's playoffs, and he will go up against a Saints defense that allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. I like Philly to keep this game relatively close and Foles to have a big day. Take Philly, GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -190 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 97 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. I bet the farm on the Chargers last week as an underdog on the road in Baltimore. The Chargers had a significant edge at quarterack with Rivers versus Lamar Jackson. That won't be the case this week in New England as Rivers is 0-7 in his career against Tom Brady. The Pats have the advantage of coming off a bye week, and veteran players like Gronkowski and Edelman should benefit from the rest. The Pats were 8-0 at Foxboro this season, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Divisional Playoffs games. The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four against New England, and I think it's tough to expect a different result here this week. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Colts. |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -5.5 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -109 | 118 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears. Can you believe that the Eagles are back in the playoffs, and last year's Super Bowl MVP is once against playing like one of the league's best quarterbacks. Nick Foles is capable of being great (at times) but let's not get carried away when we compare him to other great quarterbacks. The Bears have wins over the Packers and the Seahawks, and Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers have been consistently great for their entire careers spanning the better part of the last decade. Nick Foles on the other hand has had a handful of great games in an otherwise mediocre career. He comes into Chicago nursing sore ribs, and he's in serious danger of taking a beating today. I like the Bears to win big at Soldier Field. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +2.5 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers. Lamar Jackson has turned things around for the Baltimore Ravens, who might not have made the playoffs without him. I am not convinced he is the quarterback of the future for this franchise though, as I have seen this script before. It seems like nobody remembers his teammate RGIII early in his career in Washington. As exciting as it is when he eludes defenders and picks up big gains with his athletic ability, he's nothing short of a disaster in the passing game. He matches up against a potential future Hall of Famer in Phillip Rivers, and heaven forbid if he needs to rally his team late (as Rivers has done countless times in the past). The Ravens defense is statistically the best in the NFL, but they almost didn't survive in a must win game against the Browns last week. Baker Mayfield lit them up for 376 yards and three scores. I expect Rivers to be just as good here in this Wild Card game. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks 1st Half. The Cowboys come into the playoffs as winners of seven of their last eight overall, but I don't think that run is as impressive as it looks. The fact remains that Dak Prescott is no more than an average quarterback, and Jason Garrett is a below average coach. The Cowboys have a history of post-season failure, while the Seahawks have a history of post-season success. Russell Wilson has had an MVP worthy season, and I just think this is a tough draw for Dallas. The Seahawks have won four of the last five meetings versus Dallas since 2012, including a pair of wins at Dallas. I think Seattle can do everything Dallas can do, without making as many mistakes. I'll take the points. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Colts +106 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 106 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colts I think it's clear at this point that there's no stopping Andrew Luck. He's certainly been great in both previous games against the Texans this season, throwing for 399 yards and two TDs in a 24-21 win in Houston a few weeks ago, and throwing for 464 yards and four TDs in a 37-34 loss at home in September. The Texans rank 28th in the NFL in passing defense, so this appears to be a favorable matchup for Luck. He's going to have to be great if the Colts are going to have a shot, but I like his chances. Take INDY GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans may have won four straight, but those wins came against the Jets, Jags, Giants and Redskins. Not only have they built their winning streak against some of the weaker teams in the NFL, many of those wins were far from impressive. They trailed at home against the Redskins last week, and they were losing 16-6 at the half in a home win over the Jets a few weeks ago. The Colts have won eight of their last nine overall, including a 38-10 win over Tennessee. They led 24-3 at halftime in that game, and Andrew Luck threw for 297 yards and three TDs on 23-of-29 passing. The Colts last road game was a 24-21 win over the Texans in Houston, and they led 17-7 at the half in that game. If Marcus Mariota is healthy enough to start this game, he might not finish it. The Titans leading receiver Corey Davis is also banged up, and keeping up with Andrew Luck is going to be a tough ask for Tennessee. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. I took Minnesota +3.5 when they lost 25-20 at Chicago a few weeks ago. A missed two-point conversion at the end of the game cost me the cover. Here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record." The Bears have since won four of five games, including road wins at Detroit and San Francisco. This will be the Bears first road game against a team with a winning record. They have lost at Miami and at New York (Giants). It's hard to beat a team twice, and that is going to be especially true given what's at stake for the Vikings here. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 54 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -108 | 161 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC@SEA to go Under the total. The Seahawks return home with a bitter taste in their mouth after losing in overtime at San Francisco. They might just get back on track against a Chiefs team that appears to be vulnerable. I bet against the Chiefs last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss to LA: "The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday." Patrick Mahomes gets a lot of attention with his "no look" passes, and the rest of his "hot dog" antics. He could be in for a rough ride here in a cold weather game in the Emerald City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 56 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOY) play on PIT@NO to go Under the total. |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +4 | 14-9 | Loss | -105 | 138 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. The Bears are the NFC North champs, and we have all seen the video of Chicago players celebrating post game in a disco themed nightclub following Sunday's win over Green Bay. This sets them up for the mother of all let down spots, traveling out West to take on the 49ERS. The Bears are just 3-3 on the road this season, and two of those three wins came in games decided by less than a touchdown. They won 16-14 at Arizona, and they lost at Miami and Green Bay. Their last road game was a 30-27 loss to the New York Giants. The 49ERS are coming off an impressive win over Seattle at home, giving them a 4-3 home record. Expect the Niners to give the Bears all they can handle here this week. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. I bet against the Cowboys last Sunday, and here is what I had to say before they got shutout by the Colts: "The Cowboys have won five straight, and people are calling them a Super Bowl contender. The Colts have won six of their last seven, and they aren't getting a whole lot of attention. So which one of these teams is for real? We'll find out on Sunday." While I was quick to point out that Dallas was overhyped, I am just as quick to jump back on the Boy's bandwagon when they return home to face a Tampa team that was eliminated from the post-season with a loss to Baltimore on Sunday. The Bucs rank 27th in the NFL versus the run, and Jameis Winston has thrown more INTs (10) than he has TD passes (8) on the road this season. I expect Zeke to run wild, and Famous Jameis to turn the ball over against this stingy Dallas D. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -4 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LAC. I bet on the Chargers on TNF last week, and they pulled off an amazing comeback to beat the Chiefs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings" The Ravens played the Chiefs a week earlier, and they lost in overtime by a score of 27-24. Lamar Jackson played well in Kansas City, throwing for 147 yards and two TDs on 13-of-24 passing. He had thrown three picks and just one TD pass in his previous three starts, and he had a mediocre game against a terrible Tampa Bay team last week. I don't think this rookie can keep his team in the game against Phillip Rivers and a Chargers defense that ranks among the best in the NFL. A healthy Keenan Allen and Melvin Gordon will be a huge boost for the home team. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 126 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Panthers. Most people still consider the Saints to be the best team in the NFL, but if there is one weakness it is Drew Brees on the road. A week after losing to Dallas, the Saints put up just three poins in the first half at Tampa Bay. They went on to rally for a win and cover in the second half of that game, but tonight they face a different monster. Cam Newton and Riverboat Ron are still alive in the playoff hunt, and they won't be an easy out here at home in Carolina. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -10.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 84 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LAR. It might seem like the bookmakers are asking a lot, pegging the Rams as a double digit favorite over the defending Super Bowl champs? Even thought Carson Wentz has been ruled out with a bad back, his replacement is the Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. While Foles led the Eagles all the way last year, he took over on a winning team with a stacked backfield and one of the league's top defenses. Injuries have hit the Eagles hard, both in the secondary as well as at the RB position. The Rams will look to make a statement here, as people are calling them a fraud after they lost to the Bears in Chicago. Jared Goff would love to bounce back with another one-sided victory at home. Goff has been a completely different quarterback at home than he has been on the road. He has 18 TDs and just 2 INTs on better than 70 percent passing in LA, and he has as many picks (9) as he has TDs on the road. Take LAR. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -130 v. Steelers | 10-17 | Loss | -130 | 98 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. Things are falling apart in Steel Town, and the last thing the Steelers need coming off three straight losses is a game against the New England Patriots. The Steelers have lost five straight to Belichick and company dating back to 2011, and two of those losses came at home at Heinz Field. New England has been a favorite in all five of those games, but the bookmakers are giving the Steelers more credit here this time around. Ben Roethlisberger is going to play, but he won't be 100 percent as he's nursing bruised ribs. He hasn't exactly been on top form lately, throwing six picks in his last four starts. The Steelers problems are nothing new, they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight games in December. They are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. How could anyone bet against Brady and Belichick in this spot? I know I won't. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks -4.5 v. 49ers | 23-26 | Loss | -104 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are playing the 49ers for the second time in three weeks, and they won 43-16 at home in the last meeting. The 49ers are high on Nick Mullens, and he's certainly moved the ball throwing for almost 1500 yards and nine TDs in five starts. He's still a rookie though, and he's made his fair share of mistakes. He's thrown as many picks (6) as touchdowns in his last four starts. Given that the Niners have lost 10 straight to the Seahswks dating back to 2014, I don't expect much from Mullens here in this game. The Seahawks are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -140 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 106 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Cowboys have won five straight, and people are calling them a Super Bowl contender. The Colts have won six of their last seven, and they aren't getting a whole lot of attention. So which one of these teams is for real? We'll find out on Sunday. One thing I can say with confidence is that the Colts have the better quarterback in Andrew Luck, who has thrown for 3,759 yards and 34 TDs this season. I would also give the Colts the edge when it comes to coaching, as I think Jason Garrett is lucky to have a job in the NFL. The Cowboys have been far better at home than they have been on the road, and the home team has covered the spread in four of the last five head to head meetings. My money is on the Colts to take advantage of a Cowboys team that I think has become grossly overvalued. Take INDY. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Texans -6.5 v. Jets | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Texans. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 66 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday. The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. I think the home team is asked to cover a few too many points here and the line should be closer to a pickem. My money is on the visitors plus the 3.5. Take LAC. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-10-18 | Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on the Vikings. |
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12-09-18 | Rams -160 v. Bears | 6-15 | Loss | -160 | 121 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. |
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12-09-18 | Eagles v. Cowboys -190 | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 117 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Eagles got the win over the banged up Redskins with their second and third string quarterbacks under center, but it was far from impressive. Now they head into Dallas to take on the red hot Cowboys, and Amari Cooper who is coming off consecutive big games. He's caught 17 passes for 256 yards and two TDs in wins over Washington and New Orleans. Dak Prescott is also playing his best football, with a completion percentage around 75% over his last four starts. I like the Cowboys to take down Philly in Big D! Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-18 | Ravens v. Chiefs -7 | 24-27 | Loss | -106 | 157 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Titans | 9-30 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jags. There has been a lot of talk about the Titans run stuffing defense, but their 305 lb defensive tackle Jurrell Casey has been banged up. That might explain why they gave up 156 rushing yards against the Jets on Sunday, and a whopping 281 rushing yards in Houston in their previous game. Leonard Fournette has been a beast, running for 95 yards in each of his last two starts, despite the fact that the Jags lost both those games. With Cody Kessler at quarterback, we should see Fournette get plenty of touches tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 43.5 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -115 | 129 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@PHI to go Over the total. When I saw the total open at 43 for Monday's game between Washington and Philly, I assumed that bad weather must be in the forecast in the City of Brotherly Love. That's not the case though, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to the injury to Alex Smith. The Redskins are still tied for first place in the division, and it's not like Alex Smith was lighting it up when they were winning games. Smith averaged 206 yards per game on 62.5 percent passing, averaging 6.6 yards per pass. McCoy has completed 60 percent of his passes, and has averaged 6.4 yards per pass. On Thanksgiving Day in Dallas, he threw for 268 yards and two TDs, but was picked off three times. He matches up against a Philly team that is very thin in the secondary, and I expect him to have some success moving the ball. These teams actually have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five meetings, and four straight meetings in Philly. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade this low number. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -4 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Patriots. |
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12-02-18 | Panthers -175 v. Bucs | 17-24 | Loss | -175 | 113 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Carolina Panthers.
The Panthers come into Tampa off three straight losses, at Pittsburgh, at Detroit and at home versus Seattle. They came quite close to winning two of those three games, and it was their kicker that cost them in the Motor City. They are still alive as far as the playoffs are concerned, but only if they can get a win here against the Bucs. Tampa is out of it, and the Bucs rank 27th in the NFL in total defense. Tampa is 2-7 in it's last nine overall, and their wins during that span both came against teams with a losing record (San Francisco and Cleveland). Now that all the "Fitzmagic" has worn off, Famous Jameis is back under center for the Bucs. He had a pretty solid game against the 49ers, but he still has more picks (11) than TDs (10) this season. The Panthers have owned the Bucs, winning eight of the last 10 meetings, and three of their last four in Tampa. I'll take the road favorite in a must win game. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-18 | Bears -175 v. Giants | 27-30 | Loss | -175 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears.
The Giants had a 19-3 first half lead in Philly last week, but they got blown out in the second half and lost by a score of 25-23. After the game Odell Beckham Jr told the media that the Giants didn't have a game plan to exploit Philly's second and third string corners. It's going to be tough to pick up the pieces after such a tough loss, and at this point there are serious questions about whether or not New York is actually interested in winning. The Bears didn't miss a beat with Chase Daniel coming in for Mitch Trubisky, and I expect the Chicago pass rush to cause all sorts of problems for a struggling Eli Manning. This should be another "W" for the bad news Bears. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +7.5 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 91 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. I bet against the Saints (as crazy as that sounds) on Thanksgiving, and they crushed the Falcons by a score of 31-17. The final score doesn't paint an accurate picture though, as Atlanta actually had more yards (366-312) and more first downs (18-9). The fact of the matter is that Atlanta fumbled the ball three times, and if it wasn't for all the turnovers the game might have been a hell of a lot closer. Here is what I said about the Saints: "The Saints have won nine in a row, and they are ranked #1 overall in all of the NFL Power Rankings. They have won four in a row by a double digit margin, and right now they appear to be indestructible. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. They will be an enormous favorite at home versus the Falcons this week, in a rematch of a thrilling 43-37 barn burner in Atlanta earlier this year. Drew Brees tied the game with a last minute TD forcing overtime, and then he walked it off with a 1 yard rushing TD a few minutes into the overtime period." Now New Orleans is more than a TD favorite on the road? I'll fade the chalk on Thursday night! Take DAL. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans -180 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texans. |
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11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -172 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 11 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13.5 v. Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints have won nine in a row, and they are ranked #1 overall in all of the NFL Power Rankings. They have won four in a row by a double digit margin, and right now they appear to be indestructible. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. They will be an enormous favorite at home versus the Falcons this week, in a rematch of a thrilling 43-37 barn burner in Atlanta earlier this year. Drew Brees tied the game with a last minute TD forcing overtime, and then he walked it off with a 1 yard rushing TD a few minutes into the overtime period. The Falcons were so close to winning that game, yet the bookmakers are saying that they can't even come within two TDs here in New Orleans. Atlanta is 4-6 overall, but only two of their six losses came by more than a TD. They lost on the final play against Dallas last week, lost by a single point to the Bengals, and lost by six in their season opener at Philly. I'll take the points here with an Atlanta team that is capable of keeping up in a high scoring game. Take ATL. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -7 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys got their swagger back after beating the Eagles in Philly, and the Falcons in Atlanta. Now they are back home where they are 4-1 this season, hosting the Redskins and their backup quarterback. Colt McCoy was 6-of-12 for 54 yards in the loss to Houston last week, and he's making his first start since 2014. He's 32 years old, which is still young for a quarterback, but riding the pine for the last four years might make him a little rusty. He will be under heavy pressure, facing the Cowboys Top 10 ranked defense. The injury to Alex Smith isn't the only issue the Redskins have to deal with, they are also banged up on the offensive line, and thin at RB. With Chris Thompson out, they will lean heavily on a 33 year old Adrian Peterson who is bothered by a sore shoulder. Washington has been doing it with smoke and mirrors the last few weeks, and they are like a broken team being held together by duct tape. Things should begin to unravel here in Big D. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-22-18 | Bears -165 v. Lions | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 41 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. Any doubts about whether the Bears are for real would have been silenced when they beat up on the Vikings on Sunday night. They rank 3rd in the NFL in total defense, and 2nd against the run. Kahlil Mack has terrorized opposing quarterbacks, and he's facing a Lions offensive line that hasn't been able to protect Matthew Stafford. In recent losses to Chicago and Minnesota, Stafford was sacked 16 times. Then last week the Lions played Carolina, and the Panthers let them off the hook. Carolina failed to get any pressure on Stafford, and then after their kicker missed a chip shot FG and a PAT, they decided to go for a game winning two-point convert rather than a PAT to tie. I don't think Detroit will be so fortunate here against these bad news Bears. Trubisky was 23-of-30 for 330 yards and three TDs in the last meeting, but even if he's out and Chase Daniel is in, the Lions are without their leading rusher and top wide receiver. Take CHI. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs +143 v. Rams | 51-54 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. Two 9-1 teams will meet in LA tonight, in the most highly anticipated game since Kansas City played at Foxboro earlier this season. The Chiefs lost that game by a score of 43-40, but their defense appears to have improved since then. In fact the Chiefs come in off four straight wins by an average margin of over 16 points. During that span they held opponents to just 17 points per game. The Rams on the other hand have allowed opponents to average over 30 points per game while going 2-1 in their last three games. They narrowly avoided a loss at home to the Packers, then they lost to the Saints at the Superdome, and then barely hung on in a home win over Seattle. Kansas City is playing better football right now, and I like Patty Mahomes a little more than Jared Goff. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-18 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -122 | 154 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record. Take MIN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 56 | Top | 7-48 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@NO to go Over the total. |
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11-18-18 | Texans -133 v. Redskins | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 135 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. |
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11-18-18 | Panthers -185 v. Lions | 19-20 | Loss | -185 | 129 h 25 m | Show | |
7* |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -133 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 65 h 44 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-12-18 | Giants +165 v. 49ers | 27-23 | Win | 165 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the NYG. It's a battle of the bottom feeders on Monday Night Football when the Niners host the Giants in Santa Clara. San Francisco is the favorite coming off a blowout win over Oakland despite starting a third string quarterback. It was an impressive performance from Nick Mullens, who has since moved up the depth chart and will take over the starting roll from C.J. Beathard. I'm not about to bet on a rookie QB as a favorite, playing on one of the league's weakest teams in a natural let down spot against a team that is coming off a bye week. After everything worked out perfectly for the Niners in their win over Oakland, they might not be so fortunate here this week. The Giants still have plenty of weapons, with Manning, Barkley and OBJ. Coming out of the bye week without any significant injuries, this looks like a good spot for the Giants to get a little bit of swagger back. I'm calling for the upset. Take NYG.
GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks +11.5 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 160 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -9.5 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 134 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOM play on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers gave the Rams all they bargained for in LA, and then they went toe to toe with the Patriots at Foxboro. They went into the fourth quarter of last week's game tied 17-17, but the Pats scored two late TDs to make a close game look like a blowout. They return home looking to extend their perfect home record, hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Fish are coming off a 13-6 home win over the Jets, but they weren't all that impressive in that game. They were out-gained by 114 yards (282-168). Brock Osweiler failed to throw for a TD in his second consecutive game, totaling 139 yards on 15-of-24 passing in the win over the Jets. It's not like they can lean on their running game, as they have scored an NFL worst three rushing TDs. A cold weather game at Lambeau Field looks like a tough spot for a Miami team with a serious lack of talent. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-11-18 | Bills +9.5 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 157 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have looked like the worst team in the NFL for most of the season, but I still can't see how anyone would justify betting on the Jets favored by more than a TD in what looks like a battle of the bottom feeders. It should be a rather meaningless game played in bad weather, and neither of these teams have much of an offense. Sam Darnold is really struggling, but he's still probably better than Nathan Peterman. The Bills will hope that either Josh Allen or Derek Anderson can start this week. The favorite has only covered the spread once in the last six meetings between these teams, and the Jets have only averaged 11 points per game during their three game losing streak. I'll take the points here against a Jets team that ranks 28th in the NFL in passing. Take BUF. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5 | 22-34 | Loss | -115 | 129 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total. The Lions are ... "they are who we thought they were." They have a starting quarterback with a career record of 63-70 that they have grossly overpaid for, and they are 3-5 and in last place in the NFC North. After scoring just nine points in a loss at Minnesota last week, they will be hard pressed to do any better in Chicago this week. The Bears defense has allowed a total of 19 points in back to back wins over the Bills and the Jets. The weatherman is calling for a cold and wet day in the Windy City, and the conditions might hinder the passing game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last six meetings in Chicago. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record. Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times last week, and his life isn't going to get any easier here in Chicago. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers -165 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Pittsburgh. The Panthers are 2-1 on the road, but keep in mind that they trailed 17-0 in Philly, and pulled off a miracle comeback late in that game. They come into Pittsburgh off three straight wins, but they looked vulnerable in all three of those games. Starting with the win over the Eagles, they were dominated in that game and got lucky to win. Last week against the Bucs, they gave up 21 unanswered points allowing Tampa to pull within a TD after trailing 35-7. The Steelers on the other hand have improved defensively, and have held their last four opponents to an average of 18 points. They are particularly tough against the run, ranking 5th in the NFL allowing opponents to average just 90 yards per game. Carolina is a run first team, ranking 3rd in the league in rushing. This appears to be a tough matchup on the road for the Panthers. I expect Pittsburgh to hold Christian McCaffrey in check tonight, edging out the Panthers in Steel Town. Take Pit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Cowboys. The Boys have gotten a lot of negative press this year, as fans have only recently come to terms with the fact that Dak Prescott is an average at best quarterback. This is not news to me, as I had been saying it since he was named the starter. That being said, Dallas is still a solid team with a stud running back and a better than average defense. They are 0-4 on the road and 3-0 at home, and that's a trend that seems destined to hold true tonight. The Titans are playing their first game since losing in heart-breaking fashion in London, when they missed a two-point conversion in a 20-19 loss to the Chargers. Tennessee has lost three straight, and three of four on the road this season. The Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week, and 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. The Patriots and the Packers each came into this season as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but while New England is right where they were expected to be heading into Week 9, the Packers are done. The trades sending Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Ty Montgomery to Baltimore and Washington have some suggesting that the Packers are throwing in the towel. It might be a little too soon to give up on Green Bay when you consider that they are just one game out of first place in the NFC North. That being said, with three of their next four games coming on the road to teams with a winning record, it's hard to see them making up any ground. They are 0-3 on the road, and they have given up a whopping 90 points in their last three games. Aaron Rodgers can only do so much, and he doesn't have the supporting cast to win a battle versus Brady and Belichick at Foxboro. The Patriots are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 home games. Take NE. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +111 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 111 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. The Rams bring an 8-0 record into the Super Dome, and this game has all the signs of a let down spot for an undefeated team. LA is actually a favorite against the 6-1 Saints, and that's a little shocking when you consider it's Jared Goff versus All Time Passing Leader Drew Brees. The Saints haven't just been winning, they have beaten the likes of Minnesota and Baltimore on the road during their six game winning streak. The Rams got off to a slow start in last week's home win over Green Bay, a game that could have easily gone the other way. Anybody who knows anything about betting the NFL, would know that almost every team is capable of having a bad game. There's only one team in NFL history to have a perfect season (72 Dolphins). Chances are that the Rams will lose a game, and this looks like the spot for exactly that to happen. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -4.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vikings. The Vikes are coming off a home loss to the New Orleans Saints, snapping a three game winning streak. They host the Detroit Lions Sunday, and Detroit will be without leading wide receiver Golden Tate who was dealt to Philly at the trade deadline. The Vikings have three losses on the season, and two of those came against the Rams and the Saints who have a combined record of 14-1. The other loss was an inexplicable 27-6 home loss to Buffalo. Kirk Cousins ranks second in the NFL in passing behind Patrick Mahomes, and he has better than a 70 percent completion percentage, with 16 TDs and just four INTs. This Minnesota team came into the season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl, and they desperately need a win here at home to get back on track. The Lions are 1-2 on the road this season, and both losses came against teams with a losing record. I like Minny to win big here in this spot. Take MIN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens -130 | 23-16 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh is in 1st place in the AFC North with a record of 4-2-1, but they have just one win against a team with a winning record. When you consider that they padded their stats by playing the Browns twice, the Bucs and a banged up Falcons team, their record isn't all that impressive. Baltimore on the other hand is 4-4, but owns the NFL's #1 ranked defense. The Ravens are 2-1 at home, with the one loss coming against Drew Brees and the Saints (by a single point). They completely shut down this Steelers offense in Pittsburgh, winning by a score of 26-14 in Week 4. There will be some people calling this a revenge spot, but the fact that Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus Baltimore, I caution against backing Big Ben and the Steelers. The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six coming off a loss, and I expect the NFL's best defense to shine here at home this week. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Bucs v. Panthers -6 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Carolina Panthers. It's like Deja Vu All Over Again? Ryan Fitzpatrick came in last week and nearly upset the Bengals, engineering a stunning second half comeback. Remember the last time Tampa fans were excited about Fitzpatrick starting a game? They lost 48-10 at Chicago, and Fitzpatrick was pulled after throwing for 126 yards and an INT in the first half. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week" The Bucs are badly in need of some "magic" on defense, as they come into today's game ranked dead last in the NFL allowing 33.3 points per game. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! Take CAR. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-29-18 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45 | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NE@BUF to go Under the total. |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings +3 | 30-20 | Loss | -122 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Vikes. The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. Minnesota got off to a good start in that game, taking a 17-0 lead to the locker room at halftime. I expect to see them play well here at home, especially given that Kirk Cousins comes in with a 70 percent completion percentage and a 14-3 TD/INT ratio. I like Minny as a home dog. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54.5 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@MIN to go Under the total. |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAR. The Packers came into this season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. I was never buying that, as Aaron Rodgers has battled injuries for most of the past three seasons, and aside from the quarterback position, Green Bay is seriously lacking talent. Their defense was lit up in a rather ugly home win over the Niners two weeks ago. They are in tough this week playing on the road at LA, the last of the league's unbeaten teams. While some might think that a bye week is going to give the Packers a chance to record an upset, I simply believe this team isn't even close to being a true Super Bowl contender. I am looking for Todd Gurley to run all over Green Bay, all day long. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Bucs v. Bengals -4 | 34-37 | Loss | -108 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Bengals are coming off a blowout loss at Kansas City, but they return home to face the league's worst defense. The Bucs won in overtime at home against the Browns, but they really didn't deserve to win that game. They were lucky to hit a 59 yard FG after the Browns missed several chances to win the game. Losing LB Kwon Alexander isn't going to help matters for the Bucs, who have allowed a league worst 32.7 points per game this season. I am looking for the Red Rifle and the Cinci offense to have a field day. Take CINCI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -6.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles -182 v. Jaguars | 24-18 | Win | 100 | 136 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 23-42 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@HOU to go Under the total.
The Texans are rolling, coming into Thursday's home game against the Dolphins as winners of four straight. Their defense is playing great, holding their last three opponents to an average of 12 points. They face a banged up Miami offense, missing several key players including starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. They have already ruled out Kenny Stills and Devante Parker for Thursday night. The Dolphins have failed to reach the total in four straight road games, and the under is 4-1 in the Texans last five home games. Houston has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 54 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -120 | 139 h 8 m | Show |
10* |
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10-21-18 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 56 | 10-45 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@KC to go Over. The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -200 | 21-17 | Loss | -200 | 147 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Eagles.
Philly comes off a commanding road win in New York on TNF, and that gives them a few extra days to get ready for a home game against Carolina. Carson Wentz comes in completing over 68 percent of his passes with 8 TDs and just one INT in four starts. The defending champs have their swagger back, and they appear to be primed for another big win against a Carolina team that struggles on the road. The Panthers are 0-2 on the road this season and have lost four straight road games dating back to the end of last season. Cam Newton faces a tough Eagles defense, and it could be a rough day for the former MVP. Take Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -164 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 147 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
The Vikes are 3-2-1 with an inexplicable loss to the Bills at home, and then a relatively close loss on the road to Super Bowl favorites LA. While they haven't lived up to expectations, I believe this team is far closer to being a contender than many might think. Kirk Cousins comes into Week 7 completing more than 70 percent of his passes, with 12 TDs and just 3 INTs. The Jets are 3-3, but all three wins have come against teams with a losing record. Rookie QB Sam Darnold has been great at times, but he faces an opportunistic Vikings defense, and a handful of key injuries may make his job even harder. I like the Vikes to roll in NY. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Browns +3.5 v. Bucs | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 121 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -165 | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. |
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10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos +7 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 134 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The Broncos aren't rolling over for anybody at home in Mile High Stadium. We saw that two weeks ago when the Broncos held a 10-point advantage in the fourth quarter versus the Kansas City Chiefs. While Kansas City rallied to win that game, it was a lot closer than some might have expected. This week the Rams will travel to Denver, and they are asked to cover even more points than the Chiefs. The Rams have been impressive on offense, but they gave up 31 points to the Vikings and the Seahawks in each of their last two games. LA has yet to be punished for their poor play on defense, coming into Sunday's game with a 5-0 record and the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl. This looks like a bit of a tricky spot though, and asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little overly optimistic. I'll take Denver plus the points. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Bucs v. Falcons -168 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 131 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons really need a win in the worst way after suffering a one-sided loss at Pittsburgh. The good news is that they host Tampa Bay this week, and the Bucs are a hot mess. The "Fitzmagic" now looks like it was nothing more than "smoke and mirrors". Famous Jameis will step back into the starting role after throwing for 145 yards a TD and two INTs in relief of Fitzpatrick in the Bucs last game. It won't matter who plays quarterback if the Bucs last ranked defense can't stop Matt Ryan and the Atlanta offense. The Buccaneers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October. I'll take the home favorite in a must win game. Take ATL. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Steelers v. Bengals -128 | 28-21 | Loss | -128 | 131 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a big home win over Atlanta, but this team still has it's fair share of issues. They should have their hands full in Cincinnati, where the Bengals are 2-0 so far. Cincinnati is in first place in the division with a 4-1 record, and the Red Rifle has this offense firing on all cylinders. Pittsburgh ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing opponents to average almost 300 yards per game. It could be another big day for Andy Dalton, AJ Green and company. The Steelers are 0-8 in their last eight when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. I'll take the home favorite in this spot. Take CINCI. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 131 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins. Washington looked brutal in a blowout loss to the Saints on Monday night, but that game might say more about the Saints than it does about the Skins. They host Carolina this week, and the Panthers are coming off a lucky win over the Giants at home. New York rallied from a 20-10 deficit to go ahead 31-30 with just over a minute to play, but a 63 yard FG (YES 63 YARDS) by Graham Gano allowed the Panthers to steal the game on the final play. Washington is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered the spread in six of their last seven when coming off a loss. Carolina on the other hand has failed to cover in four straight when coming off a win. I'll take the home favorite here in Washington. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-11-18 | Eagles -143 v. Giants | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. The defending Champion Eagles are trying to shake off a Super Bowl hangover, and they face a must win game on the road versus rivals New York tonight. The Giants are 1-4, and they sit in last place in the NFC East. The Eagles have their fair share of problems, but Carson Wentz is not one of them. He's only played in three games this season, and while Philly is coming off back to back losses, Wentz threw for over 300 yards in both of those games. He's thrown for just shy of 1000 yards with 5 TDs and 1 INT on 67.3 percent passing. Wentz will have to carry the load tonight, as the Eagles are thin at running back after losing Jay Ajayi for the remainder of the season. He faces a Giants defense that is tied for the fewest sacks in the league. The Eagles rank 2nd in the NFL against the run, allowing just 66.4 yards per game. Saquon Barkley has averaged only 50.5 rushing yards per game in his last four starts. While he is averaging 4.3 yards per carry, he doesn't get as much of a workload when the Giants are losing. He comes into Week 6 nursing a sore back, and that will likely open the door for backup Wayne Gallman to help carry the load. I like the Eagles to right the ship here against a Giants team that appears to have much bigger problems. Take PHILLY. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-08-18 | Redskins +7 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -120 | 163 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. The Bye Week came at a great time for Washington, allowing several key players to rest up and recover from lingering injuries. Adrian Peterson suffered an ankle injury in Washington's 31-17 win over Green Bay two weeks ago, but still he ran for 120 yards and two TDs in that game. He's surely looking forward to having a chance to stick it to the Saints. Sean Payton signed Peterson prior to last season, and then let him rot on the bench, refusing to give him an opportunity. He then went to Arizona, and has since averaged 76 rushing yards per game in nine starts for Arizona and now Washington. He's averaging a TD per game so far this season, and I expect him to keep that average up. Drew Brees is going to break another record tonight, and Mark Ingram returns from a suspension. The Superdome was once considered the toughest place in the NFL to play, and bookmakers are still giving New Orleans a lot of love at home. When you consider that the Saints were blown out by the Bucs at home in Week 1, that they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games and six straight versus the Skins, the spread for tonight's game appears to be greatly inflated. Take WAS. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Everyone is talking about how bad the Cowboys are, but is Houston really good enough to be favored by 3.5 points against anyone? I don't think so. The Texans first win of the season came at home in overtime against the Colts last week, and they blew an 11 point lead in the second half of that game. Dak Prescott was never as good as he was hyped up to be in his rookie season, but he doesn't need to be great when he has Ezekiel Elliot to hand off to. Dallas ranks 3rd in the NFL in rushing behind Cleveland and Denver. Houston has failed to cover in eight of it's last nine overall, and four of it's last five home games. I'll take the points here because I just don't think the Texans should be asked to cover more than a FG. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks +8.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Rams come into Seattle as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but I think this game could be a lot tougher than some think. This division rivalry has been ultra competitive over the last decade. The Rams have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 visits to the Emerald City. Home field advantage has been more significant in Seattle than in most other cities, and the 12th man is still going strong. The home team has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Russell Wilson is still one of the league's best quarterbacks, and after the Rams gave up 422 passing yards and three passing TDs in last week's win over the Vikings, I like Seattle's chances of keeping this close. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +100 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. The Packers are coming off a 22-0 home win over Buffalo, but Aaron Rodgers delivered another pedestrian performance while playing on an injured kee. Green Bay is a road favorite this week at Detroit, and this looks like a tough spot. The Packers are thin at reciever with injuries to Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allisson, and Rogers still isn't practicing. Detroit played hard on the road at Dallas last week, coming up just short in a 26-24 loss. Prior to that they shocked the Patriots in a 26-10 home win. The Lions beat the Packers twice last season, however Rodgers didn't play in those games. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in run defense, but that might not hurt them against a Packers team that isn't very effective running the ball. I'll take the points with the home underdog. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 9-12 | Win | 105 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The Baltimore Ravens come into Cleveland with a 3-1 record, tied with Cincinnati for 1st in the AFC North. They are coming off an impressive 27-10 win at Pittsburgh, but I think that sets them up for a let down here in Cleveland. The Browns have just one win in four games, but have yet to lose by more than three points. They have to feel as though they were robbed in a 45-42 loss at Oakland. The officials missed a fumble in overtime that would have given the Browns possesion. Baker Mayfield has the offense firing on all cylinders, scoring 60 points in their last six quarters of football. He was picked off twice last week, but neither of those INTs were his fault, as the ball popped out of the recievers hands into the hands of the defenders. I'll take the points with the home underdog here in this game. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4.5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 55 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Ravens v. Steelers -147 | 26-14 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers earned their first win of the season on the road at Tampa Bay on Monday, and they return home to host rivals Baltimore. The Ravens will play on the road for the second time this season, and previously they were lit up by Andy Dalton in Cincinnati. Home wins over Buffalo and Denver aren't overly impressive, and I am not sure that the Ravens can find enough offense to keep up with Big Ben and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 353 yards on 30-of-38 passing in the win over the Bucs, and he threw for 452 yards and three TDs on 39-of-60 passing in a home loss to the Chiefs. This Ravens team doesn't have the weapons that Kansas City has, and winning a shootout in Steel Town seems too much to ask of Joe Flacco. I like Pittsburgh to win big on Sunday night. Take PIT. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bengals +3.5 v. Falcons | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. I like the Bengals plus the points. Take Cinci. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots OVER 49 | 7-38 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@NE to go Over the total. The Patriots need a win here at home against division rivals Miami. The Fish are undefeated at 3-0, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has the third best QBR in the league. The Patriots defense has been brutal so far, allowing a combined 57 points in back to back losses to Jacksonville and Detroit. You know your defense is bad when Blake Bortles lights you up for over 300 yards. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Pats have scored more than 30 points in three of the last four meetings. The Dolphins have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, while the Pats have gone over in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -140 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bucs are coming off a home loss to Pittsburgh, and prior to that game I said: "The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week" Fitzpatrick had another big game throwing for 411 yards and three TDs in a loss to the Steelers, but he also threw three picks in the game. There's nothing "magic" about a 35 year old backup quarterback with a losing record in his career. He's facing his toughest test so far this season on the road in Chicago, facing a Bears defense that has terrorized quarterbacks so far. Chicago leads the NFL in sacks, and ranks 5th in total defense. I like the Bears to earn a third straight win here at home this week. Take CHI. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bengals v. Falcons OVER 51 | Top | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 135 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN@ATL to go Over the total. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. GL,
Jesse Schule |