Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-20-20 | Creighton v. Connecticut +3.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn to cover |
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12-19-20 | UCF v. Florida State -14 | 86-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Florida State to cover |
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12-19-20 | Eastern Washington v. Northern Arizona +10.5 | 80-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NAU to cover |
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12-19-20 | Baylor v. Kansas State +17 | 100-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-19-20 | North Carolina v. Kentucky +3 | 75-63 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Im betting the market has over reacted to Kentuckys uneven start. This young group is however very talented and must not be underestimated getting points vs a North Carolina side that has not exactly been shooting the lights out either. N CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons. N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS ( versus struggling 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-18-20 | Weber State v. Portland State -1 | 94-66 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
12-18-20 | Iowa State +15.5 v. West Virginia | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
No. 8 Mountaineers (6-1) host Iowa State on Friday night, with a chance for their fourth straight win in their Big 12 opener, but Im betting if they win it wont come as easily as the linesmakers number suggests. West Virginia comes off a resounding win last time out, but it must be noted that the program is just 2-10 ATS after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 56-35 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.Prohm is 24-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of IOWA ST. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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12-18-20 | Belmont v. Tennessee State +7.5 | 88-63 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
These teams already played each other this season, with Belmont winning, by a 79-64 count at home, but Im betting the Bruins wont come away with that easy of a vcitory here on the road vs a program that owns a 60-40 ATS 60% conversion rate when revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1997 .TENNESSEE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. BELMONT is 6-16 ATS in road games after allowing 55 points or less. |
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12-17-20 | NC State +5 v. St. Louis | 69-80 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Two unbeatens face the toughest test of their young seasons Thursday when North Carolina State visits Saint Louis in a hastily scheduled nonconference game. Im betting on a hard fought game that could come down to the final few possessions.NC STATE is 15-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on NC State to cover |
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12-16-20 | South Florida +8.5 v. Cincinnati | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the Bearcats nearly upset top tier opponent on the road to beat the highest-ranked team UC has faced over the last two seasons. But the Bearcats fell aprt down the stretch and only made one basket while turning the ball over, taking contested shots and committing offensive fouls. Now in an emotional letdown state, after being sky high in teir last game now makes them vulnerable vs an under rated opponent the South Florida Bulls. S FLORIDA is 15-6 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.S FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.S FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-16-20 | Northeastern +18 v. Syracuse | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
12-16-20 | Richmond v. Vanderbilt +6.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
One bad game against a good team dropped Richmond out of the Top 25 rankings. Im betting that may not be a complete anomaly as the Spiders from my projected forecasts are being over rated , which includes this line, against a 2-0 Vanderbilt side that has had more games canceled than played and are fresh here .The Commodores and Spiders met last year, with Richmond taking a 93-92 overtime win at home and Im betting on another close game. Take the points with Vanderbilt |
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12-15-20 | Stanford -16.5 v. CS-Northridge | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
12-14-20 | Marquette v. Creighton -7 | 89-84 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Creighton enters the game on a three-game series winning streak and Im betting their top tier 3 point shooting and explosive offense will be the difference maker again vs a Marquette side that will have problems containing the Blue Jays downtown shooting group of senior Denzel Mahoney (43.8%), junior Marcus Zegarowski (41%) and senior Damien Jefferson (38.5%). CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. is 11-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CREIGHTON) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 85 points or more are 103-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Creighton to cover |
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12-13-20 | Air Force +11 v. Drake | 53-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
12-12-20 | Oregon -7 v. Washington | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Defending conference champion Oregon opens Pac-12 play at Washington and will be primed to roll over a Huskies side that is showing no improvement over last season dismal group. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower 95-51 ATS L/23 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Oregon to cover |
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12-12-20 | Western Illinois +13 v. Eastern Illinois | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a rivalary game so Im expecting a spirited effort from both squads that Im betting results in a closely contested affair. After two hard fought road games that E.Illinois lost they may have problems getting up enough energy to really roll here in this one. Note: Spoonhour is 4-13 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of E ILLINOIS. Eastern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record . |
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12-12-20 | Notre Dame v. Kentucky -7 | 64-63 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Every seasons looks like the same story unfolds for Calaparis Cats. Chalk full of top tier talent on the verge of NBA careers, but disappointing their supporters. Then, suddenly as soon as conference play starts the young group begins to jell and begin to play to their taqlent levels. Rinse and repeat situation here after the Cats started slowly losing much of the main stream public bettors with them. Advantage Kentucky based on talent and now finally some cohesion. |
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12-11-20 | George Washington +1 v. Delaware | 65-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Powered by sophomore transfer James Bishop, who leads the A-10 in both points per game (20.5) and assists per game (7.8), GDUB's offense also boasts the top scoring tandem in the conference in Bishop and fellow sophomore Jamison Battle , who has averaged 16.0 points per game this season and ranks 10th in the conference in scoring. Bottom line is GWashington is explosive to say the least and it will be their offense that will be the difference maker vs Delaware.Fightin' Blue Hens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Fightin' Blue Hens are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Fightin' Blue Hens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. CBB road team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses. are 42-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on George Washington to cover |
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12-10-20 | Portland v. Oregon State -13.5 | 87-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Oregon state is 21-4 in nonconference home games since the start of the 2017-18 campaign. Oregon State is 30-3 SU mark in Corvallis vs Portland and Im betting they get the job done again here in convincing fashion as the Beavers look for redemption after two close losses. The key wil focus on 3-point percentage conversion rate which rings in at 39.7 percent and leads the PAc 12.
PORTLAND is 1-9 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average margin loss coming by more than 28 ppg. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (OREGON ST) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 44-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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12-09-20 | Santa Clara v. Cal Poly +10 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
CAL POLY-SLO is 9-2 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-08-20 | Tennessee State v. Belmont -14 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins have played 4 games already and are and have developed some early-season chemistry on their roster. Tenn State maybe improved this season, but are still over matched. BELMONT is 6-0 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE ST is 4-14 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on Belmont to cover |
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12-08-20 | Kent State -1 v. Detroit | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Kent State opened their season on a positive not almost upset a top tier Virginia program losing in overtime in their 2nd game. Here today the Flashes dynamic offence should give a Detroit Mercy program that has given up a combined 161 points across their first two games alot of heart break and deliver us a victory. Senderoff is 19-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog as the coach of KENT ST. |
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12-08-20 | Purdue +2 v. Miami-FL | 54-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Purdue owns a league-best 11-8 record in the ACC / Big Ten Challenge. The Boilermakers have won nine of the their last 11 Challenge games.vPurdue is one of the top 3-point shooting teams in the nation ranking 17th in 3-point percentage (.436) and 29th in 3-pointers per game (10.3).) The Boilermakers have dominant rebounders on the both ends of the floor. Trevion Williams ranks fourth nationally in defensive rebounding percentage (.430), while Zack Edey is eighth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (.202) and more than capable of making life tough on Miami guard orientated attack. This will be alot like dealing with Clemson, which ended in the Boliermakers only loss this season, but after that experience Im betting their now ready for what awaits them here. Larranaga is 14-24 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of MIAMI.Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of MIAMI. |
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12-07-20 | Loyola Marymount +4.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 58-69 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Loyola Marymount has seen more game time against better opposition as this will be their 5th game of the season, while Santa Barbara will now play only their 2nd game of the season after going against lower tier Saint Katherine. LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 8-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Loyola Marymount to cover |
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12-07-20 | Morehead State +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
E KENTUCKY is 14-37 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 49-85 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Morhead St to cover |
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12-07-20 | George Washington +1.5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 81-92 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
GW Head Coach J Christian in his MAYHEM system, will provide Baltimore MD with a load of issues.
Odom is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of MD-BALT COUNTY GEORGE WASHINGTON is 11-1 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent.GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-1 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY since 1997. George Washington to cover |
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12-06-20 | Seton Hall v. Penn State -2.5 | 98-92 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Seton Hall despite of their talent play a sloppy brand of hoops as was the case last time out when they turned the ball over 17 times which now has them ranked 152nd in the nation in Turnover Percentage. Here today against a Penn State side that ranks second in the nation in Steal Percentage and 13th in opponent turnovers per game Im betting they are at a disadvantage. With that said, Im backing Penn State to take down a Pirates side that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU. Play on Penn St to cover |
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12-06-20 | Seattle University +5 v. Long Beach State | 75-80 | Push | 0 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Seattle U opened the 2020-21 season with three consecutive wins for the first time since the 2008-09 season and are being under rated here in this spot according to my projections. |
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12-05-20 | Nebraska-Omaha v. SIU-Edwardsville +4 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
SIUE can really tee up with the trey from downtown and Im betting they take advantage of a Omaha side that does not defend the three well and also cannot shoot with the same effecicncy from beyond the arc as their opponent. We have alot of value here with a under rated underdog.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better. Play on SIUE to cover |
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12-04-20 | Jacksonville State +5 v. Florida International | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
The Gamecocks have won three in a row going into the weekend to begin the season with a 3-1 record and according to my projections are a under rated value dog . JACKSONVILLE ST is 33-16 ATS L/47 in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games.JACKSONVILLE ST is 20-7 ATS L/27 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) Jax State to cover |
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12-04-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +2.5 | 91-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
12-03-20 | Connecticut -1 v. USC | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT Dating back to last season, the UConn Huskies are currently on a 10-2 run which includes three straight up wins as underdogs. I know USC is highly talented, but being out of their natural time zone Im betting the Trojans flow will be effected. CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 14-4 ATS L/18 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached. CBB team (USC) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 68-119 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UConn to cover |
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12-02-20 | Illinois v. Baylor -5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Illinois is a strong defensive side, but their pack line defense Im betting has problems with a Baylor side that likes to throw alot of screens and have a bevy of scorers that can do alot of damage. Bottom line :Illinois has looked explosive against two ugly betty opponents, but when they faced Ohio they did not look good and barely escaped with a win. With that said look for the Bears bevy of top tier talent at the guard position to wreak havoc on Illinois over flow in transition at both ends of the court .Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Baylor to cover |
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12-02-20 | Murray State -7 v. Middle Tennessee | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Murray State Racers scored a record-breaking season opening win 173-95 over the visiting Greenville Panthers at the CFSB Center in Murray, Ky. While Im not expecting a repeat I do expect the Racers to over run another opponent. Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Racers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Blue Raiders are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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12-01-20 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4 | 62-65 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
No. 7 Kansas and No. 20 Kentucky go head to head in a game that Im betting favors a more experienced side.The Jayhawks’ key to success has been physical man-to-man defense that Im betting will eventually fluster this young Wildcats group. Bill self is a long term winner vs non conference opposition registering a 58% ATS November win percentage . Play on Kansas to cover |
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12-01-20 | Central Michigan +4 v. Florida International | 76-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
FIU looked weak defensively versus division-two opponent Flagler in their opening two wins. That will be problematic here for FIU vs a Central Michigan team that exhibited a great deal of grit and spirited action vs UIC in their opener a game that they maybe should have won. Today Ill take what looks to be a physical Chips crew vs what seems to be a lazy group of Panthers. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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12-01-20 | Davidson +1.5 v. Providence | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
11-30-20 | Pacific v. Nevada -5.5 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Nevada men's basketball team, off to a 2-0 start and are looking like a viable favorite here today vs Pacific.Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.Wolf Pack are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, Pacifc despite of being 1-0 with a win vs Riverside, Im betting dont have the guns to hang here as they play without their top player from last season Khalil Tripp. Play on Nevada to cover |
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11-30-20 | Georgia State v. Mercer +2.5 | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Hawkins Arena has been kind to the Bears in recent years. Each of the past two seasons, Mercer has gone 9-6 on their home floor. In 2017-18, the Bears were 11-3 inside Hawkins Arena and tonight Im betting they have an edge behind a group that shares the ball well.Currently, the Bears rank first in the Southern Conference and ninth in the country with 41 assists. Neftali Alvarez leads the team with 15 assists (7.5 apg) through two games abd have the edge vs Georgia State.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Play on Mercer to cover |
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11-30-20 | Indiana -1 v. Providence | 79-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Maui Invitational Providence despite of teeing of on MAAC side Fairfield in their opener may take time to get going offensively this season vs Power 5 teams as they replace alot of last years key scoring attributes with Alpha Diallo (14.1 ppg), Luwane Pipkins (10.8 ppg), and Maliek White (7.8 ppg) all gone. Meanwhile, considering Miller-coached teams key on defense, and the fact the Hoosiers finished 26th last year in adjusted defensive efficiency makes me feel like Indiana could bring home the cash today in a neutral floor environment as short chalk vs a side that may take time to flow and generate the same kind of numbers they did last season.Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-29-20 | North Dakota State v. Creighton -22.5 | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | William & Mary v. Old Dominion -13 | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | North Texas +8.5 v. Arkansas | 54-69 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | South Carolina v. Liberty +8 | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Liberty basketball will face its third straight Power Five opponent to begin the season as the Flames face South Carolina and have far proved they can hang with the big boys. More of the same suffocating and grinding slow paced hoops will be on the agenda today Im betting they make the Gamecocks work for a win here. Play on Liberty to cover |
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11-28-20 | LSU +3.5 v. St. Louis | 81-85 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
The LSU Tigers are projected to have a top-10 offense again this season with the addition of Cam Thomas, a five-star guard and Oak Hill Academy’s all-time leading scorer. Considering my projections LSU is more than capable of winning this game straight up vs a defensive minded St.Louis team that is expected to be shorthanded as Travis Ford said Fred Thatch Jr. (sprained knee) wont play and Hasahn French is on (concussion protocol). Play on LSU to cover |
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11-28-20 | Troy State +1.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Troy is a team Im keeping an eye on based on recruiting projections. This group is well balanced and are more than capable of competing and winning vs a UNC Wilmington group that is on tired legs as they play their third game of the season already. Play on Troy to cover |
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11-27-20 | Mercer +13 v. Georgia Tech | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Mercer Over the last 10 years, has stunned several Power-5 foes on the court. The Bears' most notable win was during the 2014 NCAA Tournament when Mercer upset No.3 Duke, 78-71, to advance to the second round of the tournament. They must not be underestimated here vs Georgia Tech. Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Bears are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Bears are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win. Yellow Jackets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Mercer to cover |
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11-27-20 | Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana Tech -6 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Despite losing four key seniors to graduation last year, LA Tech (0-0) still returns 11 letterwinners from that 22-win team and must be respected here according to my projections at less than 8 point chalk. This is a very experienced roster as 10 of the 15 players are upperclassmen, made up of seven seniors and three juniors.The Bulldogs are 25-8 all-time against the Mavericks and have won 12 of the last 13 meetings. LA Tech has never lost to UTA inside the TAC, having won all seven meetings including the last time these two squads met which was in 2015. LA Tech to cover |
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11-27-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. NC-Greensboro -4 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The top returning scorer in the league, Miller was second in the SoCon in scoring last season at 17.8 points per game and led the conference in steals for the second straight season, totaling 89 and averaging 2.8 per contest to rank second and fourth, respectively, in NCAA Division I. He will be key a UNC Greensboro cover here today. Play on UNC Greensboro to cover |
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11-27-20 | UC-Davis +8 v. Santa Clara | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This line according to my numbers project at closer to 5 points thus giving us an edge on the line. Aggies are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.Aggies are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Aggies are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.Aggies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on UC Davis to cover |
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11-27-20 | Belmont -2 v. George Mason | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are off a 95-78 victory over Howard to open their regular season yesterday and now bring that momentum and flow into this tilt vs George Mason today. Meanwhile,George Mason showed me alot of chink their armor in a close win in Queens NC by a final score of 66-65. Lots of value with this line, and 9 out of 10 times Belmont clicks off a win in this line of matchup which makes this a viable opportunity to cash a ticket . George Mason are just 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 games against a team with a winning record. Bruins are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Play on Belmont to cover |
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11-27-20 | St. Joe's +20.5 v. Kansas | 72-94 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Kansas is off a hard fought loss to Gonzaga yesterday and may have some issues getting unwound here today in letdown spot vs a St.Joes team that has all five starters back from last season and off giving Auburn all they could handle yesterday losing in OT. Play on St.Joes to cover |
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11-26-20 | Liberty +5 v. Mississippi State | 84-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Liberty is restocking this season, but they still have two very experienced guards in the lineup that control a grinding flow. With Mississippi State with lots of new young faces in the lineup, flow will definitely be a problem for them early on this season as was the case vs Clemson last time out, as well as here today. This makes getting points a viable investment option. Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Bulldogs are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Liberty to cover |
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11-26-20 | Auburn v. St. Joe's +8.5 | 96-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Auburn must replace all five starters and its sixth man from a season ago and will go without the services of the superstar freshman five-star point guard Sharife Cooper. Meanwhile, the Hawks off a embarrassing 6-26 season last season, bring back almost everyone from last years roster while also adding a few talented transfers . The Hawks ability to play together gives them an edge over a more talented group, but a less cohesive one. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with St.Joes . Play on St.Josephs to cover |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. Kansas | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Gonzaga enters this season with 30-plus wins in four consecutive seasons and are once again stacked and ready to prove their No.1 national ranking. Thanks to the Bulldogs hoops pedigree and reputation HC Mark Few has been able to recruit very well, and this season could easily be his most talented and deep squad. Last season they ranked first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency and seventh in the country with a 38.6% team 3-point percentage. They will equal or better those numbers, and today against defensive minded Kansas that will miss key players from last years roster ( Azubuike and Dotson) they will find a way to roll as the game progresses and get us the short cover. |
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11-26-20 | Bradley v. Xavier -9 | 50-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Xavier Musketeers prepare to generate more offensive flow after a dominating 101-49 season-opening win over the Oakland Golden Grizzlies when they return to action as 9-point home favorites on Thanksgiving Day against the Bradley Braves. My projections estimate another DD win here vs a Braves side that is a tough out but out talented by a Musketeers program that is on the verge of getting back to top tier status. Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-25-20 | Villanova v. Boston College +14.5 | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
The Eagles under head coach Jim Christan’s presurre D, Im betting will give Villanova alot more heat than must pundits might believe possible. Boston College forced an average of 14.5 turnovers per game, ranked 65th in the nation and have shown recently that upsetting a strong opponent is not out of the realm of possibility as was the case in wins vs Virginia and Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Villanova now without guard Bryan Antoine and forward Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree may not have their usual flow, and against this type of D, might find themselves starting slowly. Note: In neutral court games last season, Villanova as a favorite was just 1-2-1 ATS, and overall were a sub .500 ATS side overall as chalk failing to cover 15 of 25 games despite of owning a 24-7 overall record. Boston College to cover |
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11-25-20 | Montana State v. UNLV -12 | 91-78 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
UNLV looked very strong as last season progressed especially late in the 2019-20 campaign when they went with a four-guard lineup almost full-time. Considering Otzelberger has said the program will embrace that alignment going forward they once again look to be a dangerous group despite of some new young faces in this group but will still be scary behind Bryce Hamilton. Montana State is just over matched here today. Play on UNLV |
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11-25-20 | Idaho State v. Santa Clara -12 | 49-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Santa Clara returns four starters and seven of its top nine scorers from last season, including preseason All-West Coast Conference performer Josip Vrankic, a three-year starter. The senior ranked first on the team in scoring (12.5 ppg) and rebounding (5.4 pg) last season. The Broncos return six players who started at least 15 games last season. Idaho State according to my projections does not matchup well here. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
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11-25-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine -1.5 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Waves feature an experienced squad, with seven of the top nine scorers from last season back. A total of 11 players have previously seen action for Pepperdine and are a dangerous opponent for all comers including Cal Irvine. |
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11-25-20 | Liberty v. Purdue -9.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Liberty is coming off the best season in program history, going 30-4 (before their season was shut down) But now they lack enough front court offensive prowess because of personal losses to be able to compete here. Even last year the Flames ran a slow paced grinding attack behind a slow duo of guards, and the Boilermakers will have no problem dealing with that . With that said, Im betting on a Boilermakers side that brings back three starters and five players from last season’s nine-man rotation to deal with a side that will take time to jell. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-25-20 | Oklahoma State -8 v. Texas-Arlington | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State basketball enters this season led by Associated Press Preseason All-American Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys welcome the nation's No. 4 ranked recruiting class onto the floor and look very much like viable favs here in this spot vs Texas Arlington. The Pokes are 11-1 in the series with wins in the last five meetings and get the nod again as short single digit favs. Note:three Cowboys hail from Arlington including key cog Cunningham and Im betting they play lights out here. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -3 | 81-63 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Georgia won just one road game this season vs Vanderbilt, and just dont look like viable options here vs Ole Miss. The Dawgs have a nasty defence, that ranks last in adjusted defensive efficiency ratings and have allowed SEC opposition to convert at a 55.2% rate from 2 point range, where the Ole Miss offense thrives. When these teams met back in late January the Rebs came out with a 70-60 road win. This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Kansas City, MO Oklahoma State is playing its best hoops of the season having won 3 straight and 6 of their L/8 and have a great deal of momentum and confidence on this sides as they face an inconsistent Iowa State hoops program. The Cyclones have not won on the road since November, and Iowa ranks dead last in conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage opposition conversion rate , and also 2P% and 3P% opponent conversion rates. Also with Cylcones key starter Rasir Bolton dealing with a concussion his time on the court if any should be limited, giving the Boyz a big edge here. IOWA ST is 7-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. OKLAHOMA ST is 28-13 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) since 1997. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State -5 | 81-62 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals Georgia State enters play holding opponents to just 28.7 percent shooting from 3-point range which ranks No. 7 in the country and first in the Sun Belt Conference. Georgia State is also holding opponents to just 40.1 percent shooting from the floor which ranks No. 42 in the NCAA. This will be the key to cover against Georgia Southern tonight.This will mark the third time in the last five years Georgia State and Georgia Southern meet in the conference tournament. The Panthers have won both previous match-ups in 2015 and 2018. The Panthers are averaging 78.6 points per game, among the top 5 best averages in program history and currently ranked No. 20 in the NCAA. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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03-11-20 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Minnesota | 57-74 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Big Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Indianapolis, IN The Northwestern Wildcats will be looking to ride the momentum created by their win against then 20th ranked Penn St. in their regular season finale on Saturday. I know they may not inspire bettors, because of some pitiful metrics, but this line is still to big for a neutral court tourney game, and has value attached to taking the underdog. Note: Dating back 15 seasons, underdogs of 6.5 to 19.5 points have gone 125-91-4 for a 58% ATS conversion rate in the first round of conference tournaments. NORTHWESTERN is 15-5 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997. Northwestern to cover |
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03-11-20 | Utah v. Oregon State -3.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV Oregon State’s shown an ability to beat up on sub par teams like Utah this season. Today Im betting on more of the same behind star senior Tres Tinkle,who has registered three 23+ point performances in his last four trips to the hardwood.UTAH is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 turnovers/game or less after 15+ games this season. UTAH is 1-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season and is 0-8 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season.OREGON ST is 11-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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03-10-20 | Alcorn State v. Jackson State -6.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
In the meetings in this series this season, Jackson State won by scores of 86-57 at home and 76-65 on the road and matchup very well against Alcorn State. JACKSON ST is 20-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. ALCORN ST is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALCORN ST) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 12-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jackson State to cover |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -9 | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Las Vegas, NV St.Marys played a brutally physical game against BYU last time out, and pulled of the 51-50 upset. Now a bit banged up, Im betting they have problems with a explosive Gonzaga team that they have owned recently as is evident by a 90-60 at home on Feb. 8 and and a 86-76 victory at Saint Mary's on Feb. 29. ST MARYS-CA is 19-34 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997.Bennett is 4-12 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of ST MARYS-CA. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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03-10-20 | Northeastern +1.5 v. Hofstra | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Washington, DC Northeastern has had a sub par season, despite of being picked to be the No.1 team in the conference this season after a delivering a conference championship last season. They disappointed with a 17-15 record overall, but must not be underestimated here against No.1 seed Hofstra. Coen is 30-16 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. Northeastern to cover |
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03-10-20 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 62-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Illinois Chicago owned Wright State (74-43) in the Horizon League tournament semifinals, with a start to finish covering as underdogs . It was the Flames tenacious rebounding that was the difference maker. Considering their size advantage pounding Northern Kentucky on the glass will not be a surprise, as will getting us the cover. IL-CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Illinois Chicago to cover |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. BYU | 51-50 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Both these teams own 24-7 records on the season. St.Marys last 3 losses have come twice to Gonzaga, and once to BYU by a 81-79 count, and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Cougars of BYU. Both games between these teams came down to the wire in this series this season, with Gaels winning the first meeting 87-84 in OT. This game looks to a repeat of the first two games, making getting points a viable wagering opportunity. BYU is 11-27 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997. Play on St.Mary;s to cover |
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03-09-20 | UL - Lafayette v. Georgia Southern -8 | 81-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Second Round The Eagles took both meetings in the regular-season series against Louisiana, with Ike Smith and Quan Jackson combining for 48 points in the most recent contest on Feb. 8 at the Cajundome. Georgia Southern won the first meeting in Statesboro on Jan. 11, 71-51, as a short-handed Louisiana squad posted season-lows in both points and field goal percentage (28.6 percent). Even here fully healthy the Cajuns are a distinct disadvantage. GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots this season. GA SOUTHERN is 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 38-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Southern to cover |
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03-09-20 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Wright State | 73-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
It will be the third meeting of the season between the Flames (17-16) and Raiders (25-6). UIC was the first team to hand WSU a loss in Horizon League play when it took down the Raiders at Credit Union 1 Arena on Jan. 12, 76-72 and are one of the few teams in the conference that can hang with Raiders, thanks to a tough defensive rebounding group. IL-CHICAGO is 14-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (IL-CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 136-79 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Illinois Chicago Illinois |
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03-09-20 | Wofford +6.5 v. East Tennessee State | 58-72 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Asheville, NC My own projections make this game closer to -4 , which gives us value with a Wofford side that must be respected. WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons. WOFFORD is 8-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (WOFFORD) - revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 45-14 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -6.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Michigan State Im betting will come out here ready to play for a share of the Big Ten title on Sunday by getting a win, and a conclusive one at that.Michigan State was tabbed the preseason No. 1 nationally but fell in the rankings because of some inconsistent performances, but make not mistake this is a top tier team that must be respected with Tournament time now here.MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with an average DD margin ppg diff .MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Mich State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-07-20 | St Bonaventure +6.5 v. St. Louis | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
St.Louis is playing pretty good hoops at the moment, but they are going against a team that according to my power rankings that matches up well against them. Also with the Billikens doing so well, we are getting a bloated line to bet into with the Bonnies the recipients of a value edge getting points. ST BONAVENTURE is 9-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. SAINT LOUIS is 0-6 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St.Bonaventure has covered 8 of their L/9 visits to St.Louis. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAINT LOUIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 14-36 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-07-20 | SMU v. South Florida | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Smu has won just one time in conference play this season on the road, and once again do not look like a vial-be option here based on their current metrics and performance charts as visitors. SMU is 1-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. Jankovich is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SMU) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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03-07-20 | DePaul +10 v. Providence | 55-93 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars have been red hot of late and thats why we are getting such a bloated line here to bet into with DePaul It must be noted that the Friars are just 3-7 ATS as a favorite of seven or more points this season. It must also be noted that the Friars beat DePaul back in January on a free throw at the end of the game, and won as 1.5 point underdogs and that matchup does not jive with this line, and is according to my projections to much of a swing. With that said, we have value getting points with DePaul. DePaul to cover |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall +3.5 v. Creighton | 60-77 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pirates are 7-1 SU on the road in Big East play a perfect 4-0 SU as an underdog with wins against Marquette, Villanova, Xavier and Butler . If Seton Halls wins outright here they will gain the reg season conference title, so their is plenty of motivation to play hard here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Creighton team that is getting way to many accolades from the media pundits in my opinion. Seton Hall to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | 66-62 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas Tech is in my opinion in a must-win situation here vs Kansas after losing three straight games which has made a borderline at-large team to get into the Big Dance. Im betting on a big effort here at home from Texas Tech, especially on the boards . Note: The Red Raiders out rebounded the Jayhawks 36-33 in their first meeting of the season. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - excellent defensive team (40% or less ) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (>=+6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Texas Tech to cover |
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03-07-20 | Long Island +5.5 v. Robert Morris | 66-86 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Long Island is a under rated explosive offensive team that does alot od famage with three-point shots . The Sharks average 9.2 made three-pointers per game (26th nationally) which always makes them a dangerous back door cover side, and even a SU dog shocker. LONG ISLAND is 7-0 ATS in road games off a close home win by 3 points or less. LONG ISLAND is 14-4 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Take the points with LIU |
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03-07-20 | La Salle v. St. Joe's +1 | 78-77 | Push | 0 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph's enters Saturday with 70 victories over the Explorers, the most by the Hawks over a single opponent in program history. Rinse and repeat history maker. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LASALLE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game) after 15+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Joes to win |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia -1.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Baylor after a torrid start to their season, are just 2-2 and 1-3 ATS in their L/4 games, and now go against a West Virginia side that has revenge on board for a loss in 70-59 loss in Waco last month. With said, Im betting on the Mounties getting their revenge and turning the trick for the 7th straight time at home in their L/home game of the season. W VIRGINIA is 14-5 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky (24-6) is coming off a 81-73 home loss to Tennessee last time out, as they looked to be in a key letdown spot after a big revenger vs Auburn the game before that. Now Kentucky needs to get back some mojo even though they have clinched the SEC regular season title . Im not a big fan of this version of the Wildcats because of how soft they play, but I do recognize how talented this team is, and Im betting they bring their A game to this tilt and hang tough vs a very inconsistent Florida side that goes to sleep for extended periods of time.KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS in road games after a conference game this season. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-07-20 | Marquette -1.5 v. St. John's | 86-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
The Marquette Golden Eagles (18-11, 8-9 Big East) will face the St. John’s Red Storm (15-15, 4-13 Big East) on Saturday in Queens, NY.These two teams saw each other back on January 21st, where Marquette was able to come out with an 82-68 victory which showed me the better team. I know St.Johns must not be over looked at home, but Marquette will be wide awake here as conference seeding for the Big East tourney is on the line . ST JOHNS is 2-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Marquette to cover |
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03-07-20 | Wisconsin v. Indiana -2 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +2 | 78-51 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO Indiana State enters this tournament with alot of momentum winning 4 straight games, including a win vs No,.1 seed Northern Iowa. The under rated Sycamores are a top tier shooting side that run an efficient offence as is evident by converting at 52.1% eFG% clip (ranked 65th in the nation), while shooting 38.1% from the land of the trey which ranks them 10th in the nation. Note: Indiana State's starting five has outscored the opposition's top five 20 times this season and have earned the win 17 times in those situations, Missouri State has gone 2-2 in their L/4 games, and overall struggles defensively eFG% (193rd) and has problems defending against treys from downtown ranking 225th in the nation. With that said, Im betting the wrong side is favored . MISSOURI ST is 1-9 ATSL/10 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Play on Indiana State |
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03-06-20 | Boise State +9 v. San Diego State | 68-81 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Mountain West Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Boise State 19th-ranked 3-point defense , allowing a 29.4% clip to the opponents this season is key here my recommendation taking points and going agains the public. In the tilt against San Diego State earlier this season, the Aztecs lit them up from beyond the arc, but doing it two times in row Im betting will be a difficult task in the rematch, as Boise Im sure will adjust. From a size comparison the Broncos are bigger and stronger, and if they get physical which Im betting they will their No.1 ranked MWC rebounding will come into play, and then eventual charity stripe chances, with Boise State holding the edge in efficiency ranking 79th in the nation. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-06-20 | VCU +5 v. Davidson | 65-75 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The VCU Rams look for the season sweep when they visit the Davidson Wildcats for an Atlantic-10 regular-season finale on Friday night. Whether they get or not Im not sure but what Im betting on is that keep it close enough to cover vs a side they matchup well against according to my power rankings. VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-6 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Rhoades is 17-6 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts in all games.Rhoades is 20-10 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of VA COMMONWEALTH. Play on VCU to cover |
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03-06-20 | Southern Illinois +5.5 v. Bradley | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
SIU's 10 MVC wins represent the most ever by an MVC team that was picked last in the preseason. This program has over achieved every step of the way this season and Im betting they once again keep up their high standards despite of being listed as underdogs today. Value with Southern Illinois vs a strong but inconsistent Bradley side.Note: Bradley took a 69-67 decision in their last meeting during this campaign, and another close game is my call. S ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. |
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03-06-20 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -9.5 | 77-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
The Northern Iowa Panthers enter this tournament as the top seed, finishing the year with a 14-4 record in conference play as part of their 25-5 SU overall record this season and are head shoulders above todays competition Drake in my humble opinion based on my projections. Missouri Valley tournament No. 1 seeds in this tourney are 30-0 SU and 21-8-1 ATS and get my support here today . In the two meetings in this series this season, N.Iowa won both by 70-43 and 83-73 counts. Rinse and repeat. Play on Northern Iowa to cover |
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03-05-20 | California Baptist v. New Mexico State -9.5 | 50-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Aggies' dominance in the WAC as of late has resulted in any number of impressive winning streaks for the squad. New Mexico St to cover |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1 v. Oregon State | 65-68 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
These two teams are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, with Stanford winning 4 straight and currently playing their best hoops of the season, while Oregon State has lost 4 straight with 3 of the losses coming by DDs. Momentum means alot in most sports but I find its an important aspect in College Hoops. Advantage: Stanford. Stanford Cardinals when the line is within three points of pickem are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU with the one loss coming by 1 point. CBB underdog (STANFORD) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 24-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Stanford to cover |
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03-05-20 | Wichita State v. Memphis -2 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis and Wichita State are over rated in so many ways, but Im betting the desperate home team has the Edge. Im calling the Tigers desperate because they have no chance at an large bid and need to get into the first round and win the AAC tourney or the Big dance will be but a dream. Also Memphis has revenge on board for a road loss earlier this season at Wichita. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WICHITA ST) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or les on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 16-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-05-20 | Houston v. Connecticut +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The UConn Huskies play their best basketball at home as is evident by their 12-1 SU record as hosts and now Im betting that because of their strong home court dichotomy that they will give No. 25 Houston a run for their money in this spot. Note: Houston is 0-5 ATS in their L/5 as road chalk and UConn is 8-1 ATS L/9 at home as dogs. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Connecticut to cover |
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03-05-20 | Boise State +2.5 v. UNLV | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Mountain West Tournament UNLV star guard Elijah Mitrou-Long scored 16 points against Boise State last week in a win. He has been red hot during the Rebels’ five-game winning streak, averaging 17.6 points per game, but he took a series looking knee injury in a 92-69 victory at San Jose State The Las Vegas Review-Journal reports that Mitrou-Brown has a “severe knee contusion,” and his status for Thursday’s game against the Broncos is unknown and if he does play will be at less than 100%. Advantage : Boise State. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-04-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The Seminoles are one of the nations top teams but they have hard problems with this Notre Dame program in the past, at least from a betting perspective as is evident by a 0-6 ATS run in their last six meetings with the Irish, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite , and 0-3 ATS/SU L/3 here at the Purcell Pavilion. When these teams met earlier this season, Florida State pulled off a 85-84 win at home with the Irish missing a late buzzer beater, and Im betting this will be another close game with home court holding the balance. Keys to this game is discipline and ball control : Notre Dame leads the country in least amount of fouls committed per game (12.4). Notre Dame leads the country in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.74. Notre Dame is first in the country in least amount of turnovers committed per game (9.5). CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-8 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.( Notre Dame fell asleep at the wheel last time out and lost to Wake Forest and now according to long term trends a bounce back should be in the cards here in this spot) Notre Dame to cover |
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03-04-20 | Canisius +1 v. Marist | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Marist plays a deliberate extremely slow style of basketball, and because of this have problems putting significant points on the board, as is evident by concurrent 56,50, and 52 outputs in their L/3 trips to the hardwood. Im betting Canisius finds a way to outscore their opponent here tonight in a place where they have won their L/2 visits. CANISIUS is 15-6 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team (CANISIUS) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 58-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius |