Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-17-19 | CS-Northridge v. Richmond -14 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
CS Northridge has proven itself to be defensively challenged early on this season, allowing a whopping 100 ppg in 3 road tilts this season. Meanwhile, Richmond is showing that they love the run and gun game, with a offensive output of 96.5 ppg in two games so far with one of those wins coming against Vanderbilt of the SEC. Im betting on more of the same fireworks from Richmond today, and for CS Northridge not to have enough ammunition to keep track in what should be a easy DD margin of victory for the Spiders. Note: Chris Mooney’s offense has evolved into a system that embodies the concept of “basketball without positions.” While short- er players will begin most possessions further away from the basket and taller players will begin most possessions on the wing or in the paint, they will rare- ly end up anywhere near where they started. On each possession, every player on the court is equally as likely to handle the ball, shoot a three, cut back door, or set up on the low block. The Spiders offense places a premium on passing, cutting, and outside shooting, and Richmond’s coaches focus on developing those skills in each Spider. Richmond’s offense often results in a high team field goal percentage, a ton of opportunities for assists, and relatively few turnovers. Over the previous five seasons (2014-15 through 2018-19), Richmond ranks 26th in D-I in field goal percentage (46.9), 17th in assists per game (15.6), 10th in fewest turnovers per game (10.2), and sixth in assist-turnover ratio (1.52). Richmond has won 4 straight games vs a non-conference opponent dating back to last season, Play on Richmond to cover |
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11-17-19 | Dartmouth -2 v. UMass Lowell | 80-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Dartmouth went into Buffalo in their first game of the season and abruptly ended a long time home winning streak for the Bulls, and have overall looked impressive this season so far and deserve our support on a short line here. UMASS-LOWELL is 2-9 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 seasons.UMASS-LOWELL is 3-12 ATS after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dartmouth cover |
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11-17-19 | Detroit +15.5 v. Clemson | 65-87 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Clemson has scored only 100.4 points per 100 possessions (124th in the NCAA) despite turning the ball over on just 15.2 percent of their offensive possessions (31st in the NCAA). Clemson charity stripe conversion rate of only 19.4 percent (328th in the NCAA), and when they get their FTs, they are converting at 67.6 percent as a team (208th in the NCAA). To me that flashes reg flags when trying to cover a mid range DD spread vs a Detroit team with a player like Antoine Davis that can take over a game offensively and control the offensive flow of a game. Davis is 102-64 ATS after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-17-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Central Arkansas +3.5 | 76-56 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
UCA (1-3) and Little Rock (1-1) have met a total of seven times since the 2015-16 season. The Bears have won the last three matchups against the Trojans. Last season, UCA swept the two-game series, winning 78-65 in Conway and 85-82 in Little Rock and have the edge again getting points. C ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up at home against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-17 ATS L/20 versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse .ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on Central Arkansas to cover |
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11-17-19 | Yale v. Oklahoma State UNDER 143.5 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State in their usual methodical ways will pound the glass with their big bodies in what Im betting they will force into a a very physical affair. OKLAHOMA ST is 18-8 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 13-2 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 23-6 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 10-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-17-19 | Jacksonville State +15.5 v. VCU | 65-93 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville State men's basketball team travels to Richmond, Va., Sunday, Nov. 17 to take on VCU in the opening game of the Emerald Coast Classic. VCU is they stay healthy will be a national contender this season in my humble opinion, but this line is bloated to an extent based on what the college basketball community believes is a top tier team. The public will blast this chalk , but the true value is with the underdog . Note: The Gamecocks' last outing was a 125-55 victory over Brescia in their home opener Nov. 5 at Pete Mathews Coliseum. All 12 Gamecocks that saw the floor in the game scored at least one basket, leading to a program-most points scored in a single game and single-game high of 46 field goals. This team can light it up in hurry and are viable underdogs here whether it be in a competitive manner or in a back door situation. Play on Jacksonville State to cover |
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11-17-19 | Montana State -6.5 v. Tennessee Tech | 52-39 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Spartan Invitational - Final Round - Fleming Gym - Greensboro, NC My power rankings suggest Montana state is the superior side both defensively and have a viable edge here on anything under 8 point chalk or less. CBB Neutral court teams (MONTANA ST) - team who 8 or more 3 point shots/game last season, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better and 70-34 ATS for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montana State to cover |
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11-17-19 | UC-Davis v. VMI +3 | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Red Wolves Classic - 1st National Bank Arena - Jonesboro, AR VMI has lost 5 games in a row but 3 of the losses have come by 2,3,1 point respectively. This is another matchup Im betting that will see getting points to be a viable betting opportunity. CAL DAVIS is 3-11 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 season. Les is 16-30 ATS in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on VMI to cover |
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11-16-19 | James Madison +6.5 v. George Mason | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The George Mason Patriots will be going for their fourth consecutive win when they take on the James Madison Dukes in a rivalry game on Saturday night but Im betting that wont come easily vs a side that matches up well against them according to tiered powered rankings. GEORGE MASON is 2-15 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on James Madison to cover |
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11-16-19 | Montana State +15 v. NC-Greensboro | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Spartan Invitational - 2nd Rd - Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC MONTANA ST is 11-2 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. UNC-GREENSBORO is 11-25 L/36 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less. |
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11-16-19 | Harvard v. Buffalo -1 | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
at Scotiabank Arena - Toronto, ON UB is looking to do something no MAC program has ever done before and thats win a third straight MAC Title. They have the ability and the talent, and must never be underestimated via a balanced group that has five different players averaging double figures in scoring through the first two games this season, led by Graves, who is averaging 16.0 points per game.UB features one of the more veteran teams with an average age of just under 21-years old and have an edge vs Harvard in this Tournament game here this afternoon. CBB Neutral court teams (HARVARD) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-16-19 | Northwestern State v. Tulane -10.5 | 52-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Tulane looks to start the season 3-0 for the second time in the last three seasons and build on its +15.0 scoring margin against opponents following its first two wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Jackson State. My power rankings and matchup stats say they can do it and convincingly. CBB favorite (TULANE) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games are 60-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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11-16-19 | Belmont +1.5 v. Boston College | 100-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
The Bruins are entering the 2019-2020 season following some of their most historic seasons ever. Fans saw coach Rick Byrd’s 800th win, the program’s first ever at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament and even its first ever win in the tournament and with with young superstars like Nick Muszynski, Grayson Murphy and Mitch Listau, this team remains capable of huge things, and matchup well here vs BC today. BELMONT is 9-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.BELMONT is 15-4 ATS after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.Alexander is 8-0 ATS in road games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997.Alexander is 18-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Belmont to cover |
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11-16-19 | Columbia v. Virginia -23 | 42-60 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Im betting Tony Bennetts pack line D, is going to over power Columbia here this afternoon . Virginia has already held Syracuse and James Madison to 34 point outputs, and already this season ranks No.1 in the country in defence. Meanwhile, Columbia with a 0-2 record already this season on the road and ranking 181st in the nation and offence, will find the sledding very tough here today, in what Im betting will be a vast DD margin of victory for the Cavaliers on their own home court for their 8th straight cover dating back to last season. VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 21-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +24.7. Play on Virginia to cover |
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11-16-19 | Portland State v. Hawaii -5.5 | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Hawaii squares off against Portland State in an early season matchup. Hawaii beat Pacific by five points at home on Monday, while Portland State came up short in an 85-74 game at Indiana on Saturday. Although it’s a small sample size with just three games played into the season, acting head coach Chris Gerlufsen believes the team has extreme potential. QUOTE:"I think we’re tough,' said Gerlufsen. “I was super proud of our group, we showed resolve and grit and really as a coach that’s all you can ask for, that a team is bought in and will play a full 40 minutes.” END QUOTE: I tend to agree with him. END QUOTE PORTLAND ST is 0-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Ganot is 10-2 ATS in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of HAWAII. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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11-15-19 | Gonzaga -7 v. Texas A&M | 79-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
HC Williams of Texas A&M has this to say about his battle with the Gonzaga Bulldogs. He says many of his players are not aware of what awaits. END QUOTE: "A portion of our team is unaware of what Gonzaga is," Williams said Wednesday. "They don't know they played in the Elite Eight last season. They don't know they played in the Final Four in 2015. They don't know they've been to the NCAA Tournament 21 straight years. END QUOTE. I feel sorry for Williams if this is true, and not some lame story he's telling his young group to illustrate to them that you cant fear what you don't know . Anyway my projections make Gonzaga closer to 10 point power ranking favs here, thus giving us value laying the lumber on the current line. TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 ppg. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more are 88-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Gonzaga to cover |
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11-15-19 | Minnesota +5 v. Utah | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
no stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. Minnesota to cover |
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11-15-19 | UC-Davis +4 v. Arkansas State | 67-80 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of this sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. Play on UCDavis to cover |
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11-15-19 | Oral Roberts +12.5 v. Iowa | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. Oral Roberts to cover |
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11-15-19 | Alabama v. Rhode Island | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is the second time in three seasons Rhode Island and Alabama will meet. Rhody played at Alabama two seasons ago, falling 68-64 in a closely contested tilt and now pay back is on the agenda.The only other meeting in the series came as part of the 1992 Cable Car Classic in Santa Clara, Calif. Alabama won 79-78.Friday night will mark the first time the Rams have hosted an SEC program in the Ryan Center and Im betting this place is going to rocking giving the home side the edge. Look for the physical take no prisoners play of RI senior Cyril Langevine who is leading the nation with 16.0 rebounds per game to be the catalyst for a Rhode Island victory. Crimson Tide are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10. Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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11-15-19 | Cleveland State v. South Carolina UNDER 137.5 | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
South Carolina improved to 2-0 on the young season when it posted a 66-32 victory over Wyoming at Colonial Life Arena on Sunday behind a top tier D, which Im betting will once again play a smothering style of basketball. The Gamecock defense is holding opponents to just 24.0 percent from the field thus far, which leads the SEC and ranks third nationally. Needless to say, I expect Cleveland will not do much offensive damage here and only put up 50 points vs Minnesota on the road in their opener and just 53 points on the board vs Missouri state as visitors. Clevelands output and Carolina D and pace make this an under wager. Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 non-conference games. Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Gamecocks last 6 home games.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 9-3 in Gamecocks last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 14-5 in Gamecocks last 19 Friday games. Play UNDER |
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11-15-19 | CS-Northridge v. Auburn -23 | 70-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Cal State Northridge is going to play this game without the reigning Big West Player of the Year, Lamine Diane. That is a monumental task for a team that is ranked 311th in adjusted defensive efficiency and are allowing a 92.7 pp. Meanwhile, Auburn always seems to play their best at home where they have covered 6 straight times, and considering the mammoth divide in their D, vs the Matadors D, it becomes obvious that this has blow out written all over it. Auburn owns the 45th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. Play on Auburn to cover |
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11-14-19 | Michigan State v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall will play without star guard Myles Powell and that will adversely effect their offensive flow of a team that is defensive minded in nature. Meanwhile, Michigan State is expected play without senior guard Joshua Langford which will also effect the Spartans offence as he compliments star guard Cassius Winston. With that said, Im taking the under here in a game that should be grinding and physical in nature. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 100-47 beatdown of Binghamton last time out. Play UNDER |
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11-13-19 | Grand Canyon +12 v. San Diego State | 61-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
San Diego State took out BYU 76-71 for their first win in 33 times on the road in that series , and now will be in a monumental letdown spot vs a Grand Canyon hoops program that has beaten all three times they have faced them.There are only six Division I programs that the Aztecs have played at least three times in men’s basketball and never defeated: Duke, Villanova, Tennessee, Stanford, Washington State and last but not least Grand Canyon. I know that Lopes HC Dan Majerle is down to a six-man rotation while awaiting the semester eligibility of three key players, but its going to be very hard for the Aztecs to muster a complete game here vs a side that they just might be over looking, no matter how prepared they say they are. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
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11-13-19 | Southern Utah +12 v. BYU | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
Brigham Young goes up against Southern Utah in an early season matchup. Both teams last saw action this past Saturday. Southern Utah won 79-78 in overtime at Nebraska, while Brigham Young fell to San Diego State at home, 76-71. Southern Utah is ranked first in Division I with an average of 90.1 possessions per game and must be underestimated in their ability to cover in this spot. SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-0 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons.BYU is 4-12 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.Simon is 18-9 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SOUTHERN UTAH. Southern Utah to cover |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Billikens, who are in the midst of a season-opening six-game home stand, enter Wednesday's game 2-0 after wins against Florida Gulf Coast (89-67) and Valparaiso (81-70). The Billikens have scored 80 or more points in the first two games of the season for just the second time since the 1990s and despite it still being early on the season, look like a very viable group and one of the better ones the program has put o the floor in a while and get my support here on their own home floor. Ford is 30-19 ATS in all home games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS.SAINT LOUIS is 9-2 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. E WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on St.Louis to cover |
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11-13-19 | CS Bakersfield +10 v. Northern Iowa | 55-67 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
CSUB (1-1) is coming off a solid start to the season after earning a 50-point win in its regular-season opener and playing a thrilling matchup against South Dakota State. While Bakersfield fell against the Jackrabbits in double overtime, the `Runners put up a strong showing, especially on the offensive end and definitely have earned my respect on a DD dog line.Through the first week of the season, CSUB ranks 11th among all NCAA Division I schools with an average of 97.0 points per game . When looking at underdogs like this you have to feel confident that they have the ability to be competitive and if all else fails have the capability to give us a back door cover. Bakersfield passes with flying colors. N IOWA is 5-14 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Barnes is 20-8 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997. Take the points with CS Bakersfield |
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11-13-19 | Quinnipiac +6 v. Brown | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac went 11-7 in MAAC play during the regular season, earning the No. 3 seed in the league's postseason tournament at the Times Union Center in Albany, N.Y. and Im betting they are improved this season, and matchup well vs Brown on the road here tonight.Brown was picked No. 5 in the Ivy League Preseason Men's Basketball Poll. QUINNIPIAC is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. BROWN is 4-14 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5. Play on Quinnipiac to cover |
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11-13-19 | La Salle +8.5 v. Pennsylvania | 59-75 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams are not performing at an optimal level right now and I dont believe that Pennsylvania should be this be a favorite in a rivalry game . La Salle despite of still being in a rebuilding mode has the athletes to keep this close . The visitor is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 in this series and Im betting on LaSalle to cover. Play on LaSalle to cover |
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11-13-19 | Villanova v. Ohio State -1 | 51-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Villanova (1-0) Im betting are going to have their hands full with a balanced Ohio State(2-0) attack that is extremely under rated. Both these teams have looked good but both have shown some early seasons inefficiencies, but tonight I expect home court advantage to buoy the Buckeyes. Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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11-12-19 | Pepperdine -5 v. CS-Northridge | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CS Northrdige has given up 87-plus points in consecutive tilts , and look ripe to get ravaged by the Pepperdine Waves. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Matadors are 21-44-3 ATS in their last 68 non-conference games.Matadors are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Matadors are 7-20-3 ATS in their last 30 Tuesday games.Matadors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. West Coast.Matadors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.Pepperdine to cover |
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11-12-19 | Long Beach State +13 v. Stanford | 58-86 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight. 49ers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Pacific-12.49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.49ers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.49ers are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Long Beach State to cover |
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11-12-19 | Memphis v. Oregon -3.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
at Moda Center - Portland, OR Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot. OREGON is 8-1 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon to cover |
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11-12-19 | North Texas +13.5 v. Arkansas | 43-66 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green returns three under rated starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover. Note: Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight. N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. N.Texas to cover |
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11-12-19 | Davidson v. Charlotte +10.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call. DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog. Charlotte to cover |
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11-12-19 | Hartford v. Marist -1 | 62-51 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again. Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going 18-7 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog . Play on Marist to cover |
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11-12-19 | American +3.5 v. George Washington | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington. Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on American to cover |
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11-12-19 | Missouri v. Xavier -5 | 58-63 | Push | 0 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16 in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-12-19 | Northeastern v. Massachusetts +2.5 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
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11-12-19 | Pittsburgh v. Robert Morris +10.5 | 71-57 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect. “The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said. This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover . Pittsburgh is off a loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time. PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Robert Morris to cover |
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11-12-19 | Pacific +4.5 v. Hawaii | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific. Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC. Play on Pacific to cover |
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11-11-19 | Kent State v. Towson -2 | 84-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Towson looks to have a special group this season, and leads the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) in scoring defense (44.5), field goal percentage defense (31.6), 3-point field goal percentage defense (21.1), rebounding (26.0), blocked shots (4.5), steals (13.0), scoring margin (+41.5), rebounding margin (+15.0) and turnover margin (+11.0).Towson is 2-0 for the first time since 2016 and get my support here vs Kent State.Towson is averaging 16 assists in its two games.The Tigers have scored 40 points in three consecutive halves.The Tigers averaged 1.351 points per possession against Bryn Athyn. Gibson has scored 24.2 percent of Towson's 95 bench points. Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. KENT ST is 0-7 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Towson to cover |
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11-10-19 | Mississippi Valley State v. Central Michigan -24 | 78-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has 3 returning starters while Miss Valley State has no returning starters. MVS lost their first two games, by landslide scores to Iowa State (110-74) and Utah (143-49). MISS VALLEY ST is 1-9 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half . Meanwhile,Central Michigan smashed MICHIGAN-DEARBORN by a 102-62 count in their opener. Davis is 16-3 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of C MICHIGAN. Bottom line: While I do not expect a record setting 94 point margin of victory like the Utes layed down on the Delta Devils, but I do like Central Michigan to dominate behind a very well balanced offense that ranks 31st in offensive efficiency and a defence that works hard to get better. Mississippi Valley State ranks 346th in defensive efficiency since last season and rank 274th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.208). The Chippewas rank 45th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190). Advantage Central Michigan. CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for go against conversion rate of 81% with the average ppg diff clicking in at 34.8 ppg. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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11-09-19 | Boise State +12 v. Oregon | 75-106 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Coming off a 71-57 win over Fresno State in their season opener, No. 15 Oregon draws another Mountain West Conference opponent at home on Saturday when it faces the Boise State Broncos in Eugene, Ore. This time around Im betting Oregon will have a much tougher time getting a win and more importantly a cover vs a Boise State team that is coming off a 126-49 win over NAIA Life Pacific on Tuesday. The 126 points represent a single-game school record, as is the 77-point margin of victory. Rice is 46-22 ATS after allowing 60 points or less as the coach of BOISE ST. The Broncos are 2-8 all-time against the Ducks, but have won two of the last five meetings. Play on Boise State to cover |
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11-09-19 | Oklahoma -4.5 v. Minnesota | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
at Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SDOklahoma has been dominant in non-conference play in recent seasons, boasting a combined 23-3 record in its last 26 non-league regular-season games. In non-conference play since 2017-18, Oklahoma is 9-3 against major conference schools (ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC) and 12-3 in games played away from Norman. Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.Golden Gophers are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 vs. Big 12.Oklahoma is 16-5-1 ATS L/21 vs non conference oppositon. Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover |
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11-09-19 | Central Connecticut State v. St. John's -24 | 57-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
St.Joh's under HC Mike Anderson looks tenacious as was evident when the Red Storm smashed Mercer in their home opener by a 109-79 count .The Red Storm high pressured attack can cause teams to break down quickly especially a side like Central Connecticut that ranked 264th in offensive turnover percentage last season. Central Connecticut State is a hoops program in a rebuild mode as head coach Donyell Marshall trys to replace four starters from last season’s 11 win squad.It must be noted the Blue Devils ranked 301st in offensive efficiency and 313th in defensive efficiency last season and could find it hard to get out of their own way here this afternoon vs an explosive side on their own home floor here Carnesecca Arena. This is an easy lay for me. Blue Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Blue Devils are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Red Storm are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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11-08-19 | Portland +23 v. USC | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Public drilling this line with high expectations from the media for USC, and the perception of Portland being a lower tier teams from an inferior conference. The Pilots run with a small lineup, with their tallest player forward Tahirou Diabate standing 6-foot-9, but have an edge here on a slightly bloated line. Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Trojans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trojans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-08-19 | South Dakota v. Pacific +6 | 72-62 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
at Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI It will be the season opener for South Dakota, so may they well be rusty. Pacific already won their first game of the season behind an experienced group of retuning players and should be a hand full for South Dakota tonight. Coyotes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.Coyotes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Coyotes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference game.Play on Pacific to cover |
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11-08-19 | Illinois v. Grand Canyon +8 | 83-71 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The burn of losing a home opener for the first time in 17 years stung for Grand Canyon last time out. I believe that this usually well coached group got looking ahead to this this tilt with Illinois. Illinois is the first Power Five visitor to GCU Arena since the Lopes gave Louisville a scare three years ago. QUOTE:"Illinois is a tough team but we'll be ready for it, a lot more ready than we were Tuesday, that's for sure," Jenkins said. "I was talking to my teammates and saying, 'What's done is done.' We can erase all of that by going and winning that game Friday. That's a big game and a big team. It's a tough task but I know we're more than capable of beating them. END QUOTE: Grand Canyon on their own home floor will be a formidable pesky opponent for Illinois and I recommend we take the points. Fighting Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Antelopes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
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11-08-19 | Harvard v. Northeastern UNDER 142 | 79-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Northeastern won their opener by a 72-67 count vs Boston U while Harvard won their opening tilt by a 84-27 count vs MIT. Both teams modus operandi is based on a solid D, and a methodical pace, which Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt tonight that remains on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 overall.Under is 7-2 in Huskies last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 home games. Amaker is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of HARVARD with a combined average of 133.6 ppg going on the board.HARVARD is 24-11 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997 with a combined average of 131.1 ppg going on the board.HARVARD iin their L/15 after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-08-19 | Davidson +2.5 v. Auburn | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD A top tier matchup at the Veterans Classic features No. 24 Auburn vs. Davidson. Two teams that my early season power rankings suggest are very evenly matched .Auburn is down a bit this season after losing three key starters from last years final four group which accounts for 42 points per game of scoring and filling those sharp shooting spots will extremely difficult. Meanwhile, Davidson is very experienced as they return all five starters from last season 24 victory team that will Im betting take advantage of the Tigers inexperienced back court. McKillop is 74-40 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DAVIDSON. Play on Davidson to cover |
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11-08-19 | Davidson v. Auburn OVER 145.5 | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
VETERANS CLASSIC - Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD The Wildcats return all five starters from a 24-10 club that finished second in the Atlantic 10 with a 14-4 conference record last season. This team can really light it up in cohesive fashion, and tonight their going to play to Auburns speed and possibly beat them at their own game in a tilt I have pegged to go over the total. Davidson will be playing its season opener after running past Glenville State 102-94 in an exhibition. Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 neutral site games.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 non-conference games. Over is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 non-conference games.Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 Friday games.AUBURN is 15-5 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.2 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-07-19 | UAB v. Troy State UNDER 140.5 | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Early season action will have defences in better from than shooters. This is strong instate rivalry that should be hard fought, which will dictate a slower, more physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 9-1 in Blazers last 10 vs. Sun Belt.Under is 17-7-1 in Blazers last 25 Thursday games.Under is 51-25-2 in Blazers last 78 non-conference games. Under is 6-1 in Trojans last 7 overall. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. UAB is 50-30 UNDER as a road favorite or pick since 1997 with a combined average `of 137.1 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-06-19 | Virginia -3 v. Syracuse | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Syracuse is being highly touted as usual under the tut-ledge of Jim Boheim, but he has his work cut out for him early on this season after losing four starters from last years team , while also adding a five-player freshman class. This is now a rebuilding program, with some top tier talent but a great deal of inexperience , which is never great when going against a defending champion such as Virginia. Tonight I am expecting Virginias extremely organized and tenacious pack line D, to dominate and to continue the recent string of Cavalier owner ship over the Orange. Note: Virginia has won three in a row vs Syracuse, which includes their last two visits to the Carrier Dome by an average of 20.5 points. VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons wit the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. and s 9-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Virginia to cover |
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11-06-19 | McNeese State +7.5 v. Western Michigan | 65-75 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams struggled last season, greatly, and are pretty evenly matched according to my projections as this season begins thus giving us value with the underdog here.McNeese, which lost 13 of its last 17 regular-season games including its last three, will put out a different roster compared to last season. The group they now have is under rated. Take the points with McNeese State to cover |
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11-05-19 | Michigan State v. Kentucky UNDER 138.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CHAMPIONS CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Tonight’s No. 1 Michigan State vs. No. 2 Kentucky has a bit of a tainted public leaning totals number attached to it. ( The public loves to bang the over on marquee games) My number on this total is closer to 134 to 136, thus according to my projections we have value to the under. Note: Both teams have been hit with the injury bug, and because of personnel improvisations Im betting a more muted flow and pace which directly effect this total to the under. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - good rebounding team from last season - outrebounded opponents by 4+ per game, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -1 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
“The Ugliest National Championship” in history is what many are calling this game. But one of these ugly Bettys is going to get my money, and that is Virginia. I know Texas Tech has looked tremendous, in this tournament , but the Cavs wont be easily intimidated by the Raiders style of play especially with key cog 6-foot-10 Tariq Owens expected to play at less than 100% ( ankle injury). Meanwhile Virginia has remained steady from day 1 of this season, and are playing with a chip on their shoulders, after some recent early exits from the big dance. Both have top tier defences, but in my humble opinion Virginia is more battle tested after competing against teams like Duke this season. Im nit taking anything away from Texas Tech , but their win against Michigan State was in my humble opinion their best of the season, which has tainted this line. Note: VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite this season. ( The Cavs beat Auburn by 1 point in the Final 4 as 5 point + chalk) CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 62-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Virginia to cover |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2 | 61-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spartans have faired well against havoc style defenses in their last two games against Duke and LSU and Im betting they will be able to deal with what Texas Tech will bring. Izzo and company can play any style that is thrown at them. Remember what the great Bruce Lee said,“You must be shapeless, formless, like water. When you pour water in a cup, it becomes the cup. When you pour water in a bottle, it becomes the bottle. When you pour water in a teapot, it becomes the teapot. Water can drip and it can crash. Become like water my friend.” END QUOTE: Well Izzo is the Bruce Lee of basketball. A true master.( Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is 22-0 SU as a favorite in the NCAA Tourney when coming off a SUATS victory ) Tonight Im betting the key will be The Spartans ability to control the board as Texas Tech only ranks 188th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. I know alot is being said, about the Elite D, that the Raiders own, but the Spartans defense is also top tier ranking ninth overall in adjusted defensive efficiency and second in 2-point shooting percentage while smothering opponents to a 31.2% conversion rate from beyond the arc. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games this season . Teams like Texas Tech n the Final Four Round if they lost SU in the first round of their conference tourney are 0-9 ATS. No.1 Teams like the Raiders who beat No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992 , when riding a 3-game ATS win streak. No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -5 | 62-63 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 47 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN From day one of this season, I liked Virginia to have a very strong chance at winning it all, and Im not about to change my mind here as Im betting the Cavaliers defence will trump Pearls explosive offence. It's a old adage that offence can get you to a championship but defence will win it for you, and nothing changes in this battle. Auburn in their first final four appearance in the history of the program has had a great run , but Im betting that their hot streak will end vs the last No.1 Seed still in the tournament, Virginia. It must be noted that Final Four and championship games have not produced alot of winning underdog tickets. Since 2005 pups are just 16-25-1 ATS. Up trending dogs are public darling, but have been less than profitable during the above mentioned span cashing just 5 of the L/14 times. Lower seed in the Final Four or finals are just 9-20 ATS and 5-24 straight up. Dating back 34 seasons, 14 programs have made their Final Four debuts. Of those teams, only four have advanced to the championship game. VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. VIRGINIA is 11-1 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA is 9-0 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 32-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia |
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04-04-19 | Green Bay v. Marshall UNDER 169 | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show | |
This game is being projected to be high scoring, but Im betting the number is just to high despite of how the public views these teams and what kind of scoring output should be expected. It must be noted that MARSHALL is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 9-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 160 or more this season. WI-GREEN BAY is 22-9 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons with combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-0 in Thundering Herd last 6 home games.Under is 7-1 in Thundering Herd last 8 non-conference games.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0 in Phoenix last 5 Thursday games.Under is 4-0 in Phoenix last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 non-conference games. Play UNDER |
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04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1.5 | 58-44 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY TCU matches up well vs Texas. It must be noted that TCU is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. TEXAS is 4-19 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997 CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TCU) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 25-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 74-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on TCU to cover |
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04-01-19 | DePaul +1.5 v. South Florida | 61-63 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3) From my head to head and player to player power ranking system, the wrong team is favored here. Note: DePauls offense is explosive and South Florida will have-a hard time slowing down a side that has scored 90 or more points in 6 of their L/7 trips to the floor. With that said, I recommending backing DePaul in Game 1 of this series. Blue Demons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulls are 19-39 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big East.Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Bulls are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. DEPAUL is 23-8 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997. S FLORIDA is 5-14 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. S. FLORIDA is 16-30 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse over the last 3 seasons. CBB road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DEPAUL) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 104-50 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on DePaul to cover |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Duke | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Finals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC Duke looks a little bit over rated at the moment, of course outside of Zion Williamson. The rest of the Blue Devils seem tentative, and unsure of themselves, which is never a great thing against a team like Tom Izzos Michigan State. They should have lost to UCF and maybe even to Virginia Tech , because of their inability to control the glass a, but today the Blue Devils luck Im betting will running out vs a Michigan State side that ranks 21st in the nation in offensive rebounding . Im also betting the Spartans’ half-court defence to wreak havoc on Dukes downtown shots , and their aggressive physical nature to take Duke out of their comfort zone. MICHIGAN ST is 11-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) this season. MICHIGAN ST is 18-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.
Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky -2.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show | |
Teams in the NCAA tourney like Auburn who are off a explosive offensive effort of 80 points or more are 43-80-4 (35.0%) ATS since 2005. Running and gunning like that and scoring that many points alot of times results in a team being in an emotional letdown spot which Im betting will be the case here vs Kentucky this Sunday. Note:Kentucky went 2-0 vs. Auburn during the 2018-19 season, edging the Tigers 82-80 in Alabama on Jan. 19 before obliterating the men of Pearl 80-53 in Rupp Arena on Feb. 23 and matchup very well vs Auburn . Also the 3rd time is charm scenario dished out by pundits, and that perpetuate the myth that its hard to beat a team 3 straight times especially if the 3rd game comes in the NCAA tournament is a bunch of quackery, as is evident by the fact that in the last 10 seasons, the team that is 2-0 in a matchup has garnered victory 72% of the time . With that said Im betting against a 3rd times a charm rebound scenario in this spot. Im betting on Kentucky moving on and getting us the cover in the process. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky UNDER 142 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Elite 8 games have been historically played at a slower pace than the rest of the NCAA tourney. Auburns proven all season long that their offense is a strength but with key cog Okeke out or less than 100% their flow will be effected as well as their output. Meanwhile, Kentucky is now basing their successes and failures on a top tier brand of hoops and are playing at a distinctly slower pace than the pundits are expecting going under in 17 of their L/22 overall and 3 straight tourney games. Today against a Tigers side that shoots alot of 3s , Im betting the. Wildcats will be at their best as has been evident during the tournament holding opponents to 32.5% conversion rates from beyond the arc. Look for a much more stringent game than expected and a score that does not eclipse the total. Play UNDER |
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03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia UNDER 126.5 | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting on Virginia implementing a physical battle as they prepare to take advantage of their rebound efficiency advantage (51st-highest defensive rebounding rate) . Im also betting they will be prepared to really slow this game down behind the slowest pace in College Hoops and control the flow because as we know the Cavs prefer not to take part in run and gun affairs if possible. We all know Virginias key to success or failure is based on D, and is evident by holding their forst 3 opponents in this tourney to 56, 51 and 49 points respectively. Meanwhile, Purdues key to success has been their downtown shooting, and against the nations 2nd rank perimeter D that allows opponents to shoot 28.2% from beyond the arc, the Boilermakers offensive output would and could easily be thwarted. This above combination will result in a combined score that remains on the low side if the Total. Note: Bennett is 21-9 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 122.5 ppg scored. PURDUE is 11-2 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 22-8 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia -4 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Virginia looks offensively inept to public bettors draining just 53 points in its victory versus the Oregon Ducks. However, it must be noted, however, that hoops programs that scored less than 60 points last time out have gone 171-115-7 (60%) ATS in the NCAA Tournament, including 8-2 ATS in the Elite Eight onward to Final four and championship game. Purdue lives and dies with its 3 point shooting, and Im betting they will have issues vs the 2nd ranked beyond the arc D in the nation. Also teams in the NCAA tourney like Purdue who are off a explosive offensive effort of 80 points or more are 43-80-4 (35.0%) ATS since 2005 ( the Boilermakers scored 99 points vs Tennessee last time out to advance) Im expecting Purdue to run into a natural letdown situation and a nasty D, in a double whammy loss and failure to cover in this Elite 8 game. Virginia to cover |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Underdogs like Texas Tech off a suffocating top tier defensive game have gone 168-123-6 (58%) ATS since 2005 in the NCAA Tourney. Note: HC Beard is 24-9 ATS after allowing 55 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile, teams like Gonzaga who scored 70 points more more last time out are just 301-330 ATS ( 47%) in the NCAA tourney. In a game that features a extremely strong D with the Raiders, against a Bulldogs side that owns a high proficiency offence, Im betting the D has an edge. Remember how at the end of the season in the West Coast Conference finals how St.Marys upset Gonzaga, well Tech is built the same way, and have even better overall athletes than the Gaels and must not be underestimated as underdogs in this spot. Few is 9-18 ATS when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament as the coach of GONZAGA.Beard is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of TEXAS TECH. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga OVER 139.5 | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show | |
TexasTech has a strong defence, but they are no slouches on offence and should be pushed a bit here by the highest scoring team in the nation Gonzaga. The Raiders when forced to score can light it up as was the case against Iowa State, Kansas , Baylor, West Virginia and TCU scoring more than 80 points in those games, and prior to their game against Michigan in the Sweet 16 averaged almost 8- points per game over a 10 game conference span. With that said, look for a much higher scoring game then the lines-makers might expect. TEXAS TECH is 6-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or less turnovers this season with a combined average for a 149.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Duke | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 86 h 19 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC UCF gave us a glimpse of what it takes to beat Duke by going zone on defence and forcing Duke to the out side. If it were not for Zion Williamsons great performance and the Blue Devils converting on more 3s than their season average, we would have watched a public favorite crash and burn. Now today against a VTech D, that is built to keep teams from penetrating deep and force them to make them shoot treys the Blue Devils a team that shoots just 30.7 % from downtown may have met their match. When these teams met earlier this season, both Williamson and Hokies star point guard Robinson were out , but the Hokies managed the straight up win. With both playing here today, Im expecting VTech to hold their own again, and get us the cover. DUKE is 2-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Play on VTech to cover |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina OVER 162 | 97-80 | Win | 100 | 84 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO We all know North Carolina runs their offence at a very fast pace, and Im betting Auburn will feed into this energy and that we will have a back forth pro style game played with plenty of points going on the board. Auburn averages just under 80 ppg on the season and N.Carolina averages 86 ppg. AUBURN is 20-7 L/27 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games . Play OVER |
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03-29-19 | LSU v. Michigan State UNDER 149.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 129 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC Michigan State an extremely capable team will be prepared to play lock down defence against a explosive LSU offence here today. Im sure Tom Izzos game plan will be to take the flow away for the Tigers, which will result in much lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers expect. Michigan State in their L/4 games have allowed, 55,60, 65,50 points respectively. LSU is 9-1 UNDER when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament since 1997. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
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03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Green Bay UNDER 156 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals My own projections make this total closer to 152 which gives us value on a least a 2 possession number. WI-GREEN BAY is 9-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 11-2 UNDER in home games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more since 1997 CS-BAKERSFIELD is 7-1 UNDER after playing a game as a road underdog this season. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 211-138 UNDER L/22 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams against the total (WI-GREEN BAY) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are . 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield +6 v. Green Bay | 65-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The `Runners (18-15) are coming off back-to-back road victories in the first two rounds of the CIT. After defeating Cal State Fullerton, 66-58, CSUB handed Southern Utah a 70-67 loss on Monday. CSUB has 18 wins on the season, third-most in Bakersfield's NCAA Division I era and must not be underestimated as underdogs here vs Wisconsin Green Bay. The Roadrunners have a size advantage in key areas of this matchup, and that will negate Wisconsin Green Bays athleticism . Take the points. CS-BAKERSFIELD is 21-9 ATS L/30 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots . CS-BAKERSFIELD is 12-1 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1997. Barnes is 16-4 ATS in March games as the coach of CS-BAKERSFIELD. WI-GREEN BAY is 2-8 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-BAKERSFIELD) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 31-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on CS Baskersfield to cover |
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03-28-19 | Oregon v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY These teams run two the slowest most deliberate paces in all of College Hoops, and in a game as important as this Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse the total as physical grinding action should be key. Virginia allows just 55 points per game, and Oregon just 62.5 ppg. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more defence. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 119.5 or less (OREGON/VIRGINIA) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better ) after 15+ games are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan UNDER 126.5 | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 62 h 5 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Honda Center - Anaheim, CA Texas TEch and Michigan both play at a methodical pace, and both base their entire success or failures on playing a top tier brand of defence. The Red Raiders have allowed an average of 59.2 ppg while Michigan has allowed 58.2 ppg. Look for this matchup to be a grinding physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. MICHIGAN is 15-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. TEXAS TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 50 points or less against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 75-35 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-28-19 | Purdue +2 v. Tennessee | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY My projections virtually make this game a pickem, thus we are getting value with Purdue according to my estimations. Tennessee is ripe in my betting onion to be picked off and upset here, as the Volunteers currently look vulnerable as was evident when they blew a 25-point lead against Iowa last time out and were forced to go into overtime on Sunday. PURDUE is 8-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season.PURDUE is 20-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 2-8 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. Play on Purdue to cover |
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03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga UNDER 147.5 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is often looked at for their explosive offence, but they are ranked 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and have held their opposition to 43% FG which ranks them 6th in the nation. Meanwhile athletic Florida State owns the 10th best adjusted defensive efficiency and have the ability to put alot of pressure on the Bulldogs attack . Im betting on this game staying under the total. When these teams met last year (March 22) the Seminoles took a 75-60 win, and Im betting on a similar combined output in the rematch. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GONZAGA) - red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more ) are 68-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-27-19 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 138.5 | 55-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
NIT - Quarterfinals Texas outside their conference in their recent NIT games have looked alot more offensively cohesive, scoring 79 and 78 points in back to back games thanks in part to the emergence of Courtney Ramey a young man that shows alot of talent and leadership abilities . Tonight the the Longhorns will go against a Colorado team, that can light it up when need be, as was evident in a recent battle with UCLA popping 93 points on the board. When I look at both teams weaknesses and strengths it becomes obvious to me that their will be alot more scoring here than the lines-makers anticipate. Boyle is 16-7 OVER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 144.5 ppg scored. Boyle is 6-0 OVER in road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 160 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-27-19 | Coastal Carolina v. DePaul OVER 162.5 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
DePaul averages 80.4 ppg in offence at home this season, while Coastal Carolina allows just under 80 ppg on D overall . Meanwhile,Coastal Carolina is off of scoring more than 100 points against West Virginia in their last game and are flowing with the basketball as they enter this game, and will be up to the task of running and gunning with their exploisve opponents tonight in what Im betting will be a back and forth event. DEPAUL is 7-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 168 ppg going on the board.DEPAUL is 6-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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03-26-19 | Wichita State v. Indiana UNDER 138 | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
NIT Tournament - Quarterfinals India star Langford has missed Indiana’s first two NIT games after experiencing a back issue at the Big Ten Tournament and if he plays he will be limited, which in turn will continue to hinder the Hoosiers flow which is a thick a oil anyway. Indiana’s struggles from outside as three-pointers, which ranks No. 299 in the try in three-point rate, and the Hoosiers make just 31.2 percent of them, the No. 314 mark in the country, so rounding up points in bunches is not an option. Indiana has been able to compete because of a defense that ranks No. 29 on KenPom , and in their two NIT victories, the Hoosiers D kept both St. Francis (0.98) and Arkansas (0.90) under one point per possession and Im betting on more of the same here vs Wichita State. Meanwhile, WSU’s defense, which has done well limiting shots at the rim (33 percent, No. 93 nationally) and also defending shots at the rim (55.4 percent, No. 42 nationally) will be behemouth keeping a Indiana team that scores most of its points in close to struggle which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 9-2 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined 128.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 109-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. |
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03-25-19 | Brown +7 v. Loyola Marymount | 63-81 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals Its never easy for a team like Brown travelling for East to West, and their internal clocks should be effected , which should effect their offensive flow. This Brown team bases its successes and failures on play strong D, so that wont be effected here, but will directly make for a much slower paced conservative game plan, which in turn Im betting will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BROWN is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick this season.BROWN is 13-1 UNDER in road lined games this season. It must also be noted that Loyola Marymount is also playing some strong defence, and is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 55 points or less this season whihc was the case last time out. Play on the UNDER |
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03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount UNDER 139 | 63-81 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals Its never easy for a team like Brown travelling for East to West, and their internal clocks should be effected , which should effect their offensive flow. This Brown team bases its successes and failures on their ability to play strong D, so that wont be effected here, but will directly make for a much slower paced conservative game plan, which in turn Im betting will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BROWN is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick this season.BROWN is 13-1 UNDER in road lined games this season. It must also be noted that Loyola Marymount is also playing some strong defence, and is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 55 points or less this season whichwas the case last time out. Play on the UNDER |
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03-25-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Southern Utah OVER 146.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Southern Utah average almost 80 ppg at home this season, and Im betting they hit that plateau here again, while CS Bakersfield does all they can to keep pace behind a offence tha taverages 71.2 ppg this season. CS Bakersfield averages 37.5 rebounds a game with Southern Utah averaging 36.8 rebound per game. Note: SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-4 OVER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg. SOUTHERN UTAH is 7-0 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons something they have just achieved with a combine average of 161.5 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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03-25-19 | Coastal Carolina +10 v. West Virginia | 109-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals West Virginia has played better of late, but they are going against a under rated Coastal Carolina squad that has shot under 40% from the field only once all season long. Coastal Carolina have won four of their last seven and have shown they have a never die attitude repeatedly this season as was evident when they trailed Howard by 14 with 13 minutes left on Wednesday before coming back for an 81-72 victory. I like their grit and their ability to hand tough here tonight. W VIRGINIA is 9-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 6-15 ATS as a 10 point or more fav at home. W VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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03-24-19 | Nebraska +4.5 v. TCU | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
NIT - Second Round Nebraska has recently impressed me with their play, and after watching them beat Butler, last time out look very much a like a viable dark horse underdog in this tournament and today as dogs. Meanwhile, TCU has gone 9-12 after a 12-1 start.From a data stats standpoint these are evenly matched teams. Nebraska is 48th in the NET while TCU is 52nd. The Huskers are 43rd in KenPom while TCU is 49th. TCU's strength of schedule is 45th while Nebraska's is 47th. Thus taking points here is avery viable investment option. NEBRASKA is 12-1 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Nebraska to cover |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | 59-74 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK The Cougars looked good at the start of this NCAA tourney as they took a 84-55 win over Georgia State . That kind of dominance will not come as easily vs Ohio State, a team that despite of struggling to score showed their ability to stand tall defensively against Iowa State and advance . Tonight Im betting on this being a very physical closely contested battle, with alot of action in the paint, and under the glass. HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Ohio State are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Holtmann is 13-4 ATS in road games in non-conference games in all games he has coached. CBB team (OHIO ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 148-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Ohio State to cover |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma v. Virginia UNDER 127 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC Teams like Oklahoma and Virginia that play at a pace of 65 or less have gone under the total 61%+ of the time since the 2005 season. OKLAHOMA is 12-4 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. Neutral court teams against the total (OKLAHOMA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after a combined score of 165 points or more are 73-34 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-24-19 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech UNDER 125.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA These teams played each other earlier this season with VTEch winning and both know what to expect. HC McKay of Liberty is a former Virginia assistant, and implements UVa’s Pack Line defense. Also heres a hint at what I expect as quoted from a Liberty players: QUOTE: “We’ll just try to play our style of basketball and not get lured into playing their style, … try not to get into more of an uptempo game,” END QUOTE: Flames guard Lovell Cabbil Jr. said. The Hokies focus defensively on keeping teams out of the paint and forcing foes to beat them from 3-point range and thats not easy, thus I can see this game staying on the lower side of the number. My projections based on both teams systems suggests a score that fails to eclipse this total. LIBERTY is 7-1 UNDER after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons VIRGINIA TECH is 83-59 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game since 1997. Play on the UNDER |
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03-24-19 | UCF v. Duke OVER 143 | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC We all know the elite transition offence that Duke has lead by Zion Williamson. Also Duke has been a power house all season long from inside the arc, accumulating the 21st highest 2 point scoring conversion rate in the nation at 55.7% , and even with 7 "6 Taco Fall in the paint Im betting will still do a fair amount of damage offensively. On the flip side, the Blue Devils have have struggled in a 2 point defensive conversion rates allowing the 14th highest 2 [point scoring rate in the nation at 55.1%. Both these teams can play D, and both have similar length, but Im betting that the line is still just a tad to low and offers value to the over at up to 145. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCF) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or less), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 50-23 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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03-24-19 | Xavier v. Texas -5 | 76-78 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas converted 15-of-38 (39.5-percent) from three-point range during Tuesday's first-round win against South Dakota State and Im betting that will buoy them in a favorable matchup vs Xavier here today. TEXAS is 22-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread .TEXAS is 22-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread CBB favorite (TEXAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games are 97-58 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas |
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03-24-19 | Washington v. North Carolina OVER 148 | 59-81 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Alot of the public perceives the Washington Huskies as a slower paced defensive team, but when pushed as was the case against Utah State last time out, they can really rev up their pace. TodayIm expecting North Carolina to have a lot of offensive possessions thanks to their superior offensive rebounding ( Huskies rank 345th in the nation in O rebounding) .With that said look for the Huskies to have to run and gun to keep up here in a game the linesmakers expect will be a white wash favouring N.Carolina. WASHINGTON is 10-2 L/12 OVER in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average score of 158.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-24-19 | Iowa +8.5 v. Tennessee | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Tennessee looked wobbly in their win vs Colgate last time out, and if that form continues here today they could find themselves on the sidelines after this the final buzzer goes off. Meanwhile, Iowa looked to be in top form against Cincinnati upsetting the Bearcats as underdogs to advance to the 2nd round. Note: IOWA is 11-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. At the end of the this season, Tennessee was starting to look vulnerable going just 7-4 SU and had failed to cover 8 of their L/12 and are not as potent looking as they were earlier in the season. Dont get me wrong their still a talented group, but as far as this line is concerned Im betting it slightly bloated thanks in part to their public popularity. With that said, lets take the points with a Iowa team that is currently in top form.
Play on Iowa to cover |
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03-23-19 | Villanova +3.5 v. Purdue | 61-87 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The defending national champion Villanova Wildcats head into this 2nd round game against Purdue as underdogs. Villanova has to fight hard to get past a nasty St.Marys team that claws and scratches itself to being competitive. Meanwhile, Purdue had an easy go of it vs Old Dominion in a DD win. This matchup, will feature a Purdue team ranked 12th in the Big Ten in three point defense going against a Villanova side that depends on taking foes out with downtown treys. Another negative for Purdue , is their inability to convert on FTs which is of ultimate importance in a game that is expected to be fairly close. I know the Wildcats are not as strong as last years version, but they must be respected getting points vs a Boilermakers team that has not travelled all that well this season. Note: Coach Jay Wright is 14-1 in its last 15 NCAA Tournament games. Wildcats are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten.Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Boilermakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Note: G Phil Booth of Villanova in the 70th game in his career against non-Big East opposition . . . is 63-7 SU for a (.899) win %. . His team has 13 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time. Play on Villanova to cover |
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03-23-19 | Florida v. Michigan OVER 120 | 49-64 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Wells Fargo Arena - Des Moines, IA I know these teams play stringent defensive ball, but Im betting on them eclipsing this total based on my projections which estimate both will hit the 60 point plateau in a back and forth affair. Beilein is 90-59 OVER after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of MICHIGAN. MICHIGAN is 12-4 OVER (after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 2 season. CBB teams where the total is 119.5 or less (MICHIGAN/FLORIDA) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (69-73%) are 60-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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03-23-19 | Lipscomb v. NC-Greensboro +1.5 | 86-69 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The matchup pits the two teams with the most wins remaining in the NIT bracket. My own projections make NC Greensboro as -3 favorite thus giving us value on this pickem line according to my estimations. Bison are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Bison are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bison are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bison are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Spartans are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Spartans are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on NC Greensboro to cover |
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03-23-19 | Maryland v. LSU UNDER 146.5 | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL Tigers can score, but their a below average team from beyond the arc. LSU shoots just 32.1 percent from downtown, which ranks No. 286 out of 353 Division I teams. With that said, Im betting Maryland slows down the explosive Tigers by derailing their transition game , and holding down their opponents from beyond the arc, which will translate into a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are expecting. MARYLAND is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 129.9 ppg scored. MARYLAND is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with a combined average of 127.7 ppg going on the board. MARYLAND is 8-2 UNDER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 128.7 ppg scored. Turgeon is 7-0 UNDER after a game forcing opponent to commit 5 or less turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND with a combined average of 127.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARYLAND) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 237-161 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-22-19 | St. Louis v. Virginia Tech -10 | 52-66 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA With dynamic G Justin Robinson expected back in the lineup for VTech after missing 12 games with an injury their opponents tonight St.Louis are in trouble. When the Hokies catalyst is in the lineup the team is 16-4 SU and must not be underestimated.Va Tech was upset 77-71 as a 13-point chalk in their last meeting in 2017 and you can bet that this time this Hokies program and their coaching staff will be very well prepared and keep the pedal on the medal until the very end . Note: This is a 12 loss Billikens team that got hot at the end of the season, and truly is not in the same hemisphere of talent that the Hokies will have on the court. VIRGINIA TECH is 10-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.VIRGINIA TECH in their L/21 in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a +22.5 ppg differential. CBB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite are 68-31 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU OVER 126.5 | 73-58 | Win | 100 | 60 h 24 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC UCF finished sixth in the conference in scoring (72.1 points) but were first in field-goal percentage (46.3) on 75.4 shooting from the floor behind college hoops super star Tacko Fall. I know VCU is a strong defensive side, but UCF can force anyone into a faster paced game then they like because of their ability to consistently convert and hold a lead. Score and chase is the call here and a combined score that goes over the set total. Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UCF is 9-1 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 139.3 ppg. UCF HC Rhoades is 27-9 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VA COMMONWEALTH) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), on Friday nights are 32-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-22-19 | Drake v. Southern Utah OVER 150 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - First Round
Southern Utah average just under 80 points at home this season, while Drake has averaged 75.5 ppg. Im betting on those averages getting upheld here tonight and for this score to eclipse the total. SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-1 OVER in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Simon is 22-7 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 in all games he has coached since 1997 833 Southern Utah .Drake OVER |