Ray Monohan NCAA-F Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-29-12 | Air Force v. Rice OVER 61 | Top | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 192 h 15 m | Show |
Rice & Air Force over 61
The Rice Owls will battle the Air Force Falcons in the Armed Forces Bowl on Saturday. Rice is riding a hot streak into this bowl game. The team scored an average of 39.3 points per game over their final three contests. A very productive year saw them score the second-most points and rack up the second-most yards in school history. Quarterback Taylor McHargue is a threat to beat you with both his arm, and his legs, rushing for 11 touchdowns on the year. First team All-Conference wide receiver Vance McDonald caught 16 balls for 184 yards and a score in the final two weeks of the season after returning from a toe injury. Air Force doesn |
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12-24-12 | SMU v. Fresno State UNDER 59.5 | Top | 43-10 | Win | 100 | 291 h 21 m | Show |
SMU & Fresno State under 59.5
The Fresno State Bulldogs battle the SMU Mustangs in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl on Monday. Fresno State won their first conference championship since 1999, while SMU upset Tulsa in their season finale. The Fresno State offense has been impressive this season, but they wouldn't be the first unit to stumble in Hawaii. Their defense is led by Philip Thomas, who himself has already made two trips to Hawaii. The senior defensive back was named the Mountain West |
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11-10-12 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +7 | Top | 62-14 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 20 m | Show |
Indiana +7
The Indiana Hoosiers host the Wisconsin Badgers on Saturday. This game will be the final home contest of the season for the Hoosiers. Indiana has won its last two games, going on the road to beat Illinois, and beating Iowa last weekend at Memorial Stadium. The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten in passing offense, racking up an average of 299.9 yards per game through the air, and are third in scoring offense with 33.1 points per game. The club has set a school record by scoring at least 24 points in each of their last 10 games. Joel Stave suffered a broken collarbone in last week |
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10-27-12 | Navy v. East Carolina OVER 49 | Top | 56-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 34 m | Show |
Navy & East Carolina OVER 49
Once in a while the oddsmakers post a number that is completely wrong. When they do, we like to take the opportunity to step up to our highest rating. The East Carolina Pirates host the Navy Midshipmen on Saturday. The teams have faced off in each of the last two seasons, scoring a combined 184 points in those two meetings. East Carolina is scoring 34.7 points per game at home, but there |
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10-13-12 | Akron v. Ohio OVER 66 | Top | 28-34 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
Akron/Ohio over 66
The Akron Zips have a new look with Terry Bowden as their head coach this year. Akron likes to get as many plays in as possible, so they go with a fast-paced offense. The Zips have been able to put up points so far this year, even against high quality competition. Akron put up 38 points in a loss to FIU. They also scored 26 points in Knoxville against the Tennessee Volunteers. Akron |
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01-03-12 | Michigan -2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 42 h 56 m | Show |
Virginia Tech has just two losses on the year, both coming to Clemson, but the interesting note is that Michigan is a very similar team to the Tigers.
The Tigers did whatever they wanted to the Hokies and they were really one of the few capable offenses that the Hokies faced. Georgia Tech also had a good output. The Wolverines are humming heading into this contest as they racked up 339 rushing yards and four touchdowns against Purdue, and they topped 223 rushing yards in seven of 10 games. The Hokies gave up 200 rushing yards or more in four of their last five games, and they could be vulnerable. The Wolverines defense has a good front lines and if they can slow down running back David Wilson, they'll have a great chance to win. They have the 12th run defense in the nation, so they should be more than capable. Bet the Wolverines. 10* play. |
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01-02-12 | Stanford v. Oklahoma State -4 | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
Writeup coming shortly. 10* play.
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12-29-11 | Washington +10 v. Baylor | Top | 56-67 | Loss | -105 | 81 h 31 m | Show |
Two good offenses will be on the field on Thursday but both teams have brutal defenses. While most people are comfortable laying 10 with the Baylor Bears because they are ranked and are led by the Heisman Trophy winner, the truth is that Washington's offense is nearly as good and their defense might be a tad better.
Look for Washington to pound the football with Chris Polk to keep the Baylor offense off the field. Polk has been great on the ground all season long and we've seen Baylor gashed multiple times on the ground this season (Texas A&M, Oklahoma State, etc.). 10 points is too much to lay in this spot. Bet the Huskies. 10* play. |
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12-22-11 | Arizona State v. Boise State -14 | Top | 24-56 | Win | 100 | 173 h 36 m | Show |
The Boise State Broncos are one of the best teams in the country when it comes to big-game preparation and they'll do the same in this one.
This will be quarterback Kellen Moore's final game with the Broncos and he's eyeing his 50th career win, which would make him the winningest quarterback in college football history. He's playing along with 21 other seniors that will be fired up to finish strong. Meanwhile, the Arizona State Sun Devils choked away their BCS chances by blowing a 6-2 start with four losses to finish the year. They mailed in those efforts as Arizona and Washington State both passed for nearly 500 yards while California ran for 247 yards. The Sun Devils didn't allow less than 29 in any of those four games. They've also fired head coach Dennis Erickson already and this will be his last game. They'll be deflated to be here after having a shot at the BCS and going up against a Top 10 team in the country, they'll get smoked one more time. 8* play. |
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12-03-11 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3 | Top | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
Oklahoma State has been building towards this game for years and after flopping in a similar position last season, they are going to be more than ready for this one.
Bedlam will have plenty of high stakes and for the first time in a long time, this game means more to the Cowboys than it does the Sooners. The Cowboys, though, have had two weeks to prepare for this contest and are going to bring one of their best efforts of the season. The Sooners just aren't quite right this year. They have suffered injuries to their top wideout and rusher, but even aside from that, they aren't running the ball crisply and they are having problems in the red zone. Oklahoma State has one of the most explosive offenses in the country and they are going to get their yards and points. One can expect the Sooners to counter, but they have been a different team on the road this season - as they usually are. With home field advantage, two weeks off, less injuries and more motivation, bet the Cowboys to get the job done in this spot. 10* play. |
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11-26-11 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -14.5 | Top | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
The Penn State Nittany Lions stunned the Ohio State Buckeyes last weekend at The Horseshoe and now have a shot to play for in the Big Ten title game if they can win at Camp Randall.
Unfortunately for them, winning at Camp Randall is quite challenging. The Wisconsin Badgers have been vulnerable at times over the last few seasons but they are nearly untouchable at home. This is really a matchup of one team who has an explosive, multi-faceted offense (Wisconsin) against a team that has a listless offense that needs smoke and mirrors to get the job done (Penn State). The Nittany Lions whipped out the Wildcat last week and unfortunately for them, it may have come a week too early. It would have been a nice surprise for Wisconsin but the Badgers will now be prepared for it. The Lions defense will keep them in it for a half but the Badgers will continue to throw body blows and after halftime, Penn State won't be able to respond. Bet the Badgers. 10* play. |