Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts +155 | 20-16 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker COLTS ML |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Loss | -113 | 78 h 4 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS here. What a set up for us today. Are you kidding me. Down to a pk right now. Holy cow. Nothing like people betting on what they just saw. And what better for Chargers backers then seeing 54 points put up and Dallas getting crushed at home allowing 30 points in the 2nd half to Philly. Look. I like the Chargers. We have cashed with them a few times. Dallas looking lost with no Zeke the last 2 weeks. I have never liked Garrett. You can go through my write ups over the years about how he is a terrible coach. But this team is still pretty talented. As I write this, no word if Lee is suiting up for us. He is a huge key to the Boys defense. But again. It is about perception. Is LAC as good as what we saw, and is Dallas as bad? I don't think so. Thanksgiving short week. You damn well know the Cowboys will want to show the NFL World they are still 'America's Team' and going to make the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-23-17 | Vikings -2 v. Lions | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 74 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS here. Had them Sunday, and even though this a short week, will go back to the well. Case is having a nice little year. Leave the guy in there. 8-2 and the defense is doing there thing. I like Zimmerman as an edge on the sidelines. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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11-20-17 | Falcons +105 v. Seahawks | 34-31 | Win | 105 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. I'll tell ya what, I was thinking Seattle all week -3. But now I see this line dropping. And the more I think about how much I do like Russell Wilson, this defense for Seattle is brutal. The still have a bad OL and an even worse running back situation. At least when we look across the field, we see some offensive skill position players. Now. Getting Sark to get the offense going is an obvious problem. And to be honest, I think that Atlanta has a bit of a better defense even with the '12th Man' reigning down on Matt Ryan and company. And make no mistake. I think last year was the outlier in Ryan's career. I think he isn't a 38-7 TD/INT guy. But more to the averages he put up between 2010-15 where he was around 26-14 kind of passer. That being said. I think they win this one. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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11-19-17 | Eagles -4 v. Cowboys | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 72 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES tonight. Ugh. Waited a bit instead of loading up early and we lose at least a point, maybe a point and half. Even with Elliot, I was leaning towards Philly. But after seeing the OL and problems last week, this is going to be a tough home game for the 'Boys. So. Birds with the week off. As I have said numerous times over the years, Garrett is a terrible coach. You see now, even with Dak, what Romo had to go through for all those years. Talent is great. Having guys around you is great. But if your defense doesn't help the cause, more often than not you will on the losing side of games. And, it hasn't happened much yet as Dak has wheels. But he will start throwing bad balls that will be picked. Lee is again banged up for Dallas. When that guy is healthy and playing, he totally lifts the entire defense. Eagles just look very good and out of their bye, we have to back the square play here. Thankfully, the Cowboys have a big public following, so instead of laying an even bigger number, we have a bit of an added edge. Philly by 10. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7 | 33-8 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS this afternoon. Nearly went the +270 on the ML here. Raiders desperate for a win. NE now with 12 straight road wins after crushing Denver. They stayed at AF to practice in the thin air. Raiders won here beating Texans so they are a bit more familiar with things. This is it for the Silver and Black. At 4-5, off their bye week. Circle the wagons and save your season time. Not a lot of faith in their HC so we will grab the points as opposed to going all in on ML. 4* Money Maker RAIDERS |
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11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants OVER 45.5 | 9-12 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Chiefs/ Giants |
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11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints OVER 51 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 66 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Skins/ Saints |
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11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants +11 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 65 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS here and going +360 on the ML. You can grab 10.5/ 11. I am looking for the bigger payday. Now. I think that NYG are absolute trash. What can you possibly say positive about them? What a performance at SF! I see reports a player sent a text saying we hate the coach. Watch. Then after the game, another one. Told you so. Geez. I am no fan of Ben McAdoo, or McAdoo-Doo as I like to call him. But the last time the nails were in the Giants coffin, I, along with probably a lot of other people were stabbed to death with their win at Denver. I'm not going lie. I get it. Andy Reid off byes (16-2 SU). Nearly unbeatable. Alex Smith, 1 INT on the year. I'm sure Andy Reid has no love lost for the Giants organization after being with the Eagles. So he will want to show no mercy. But again. I have to think. These guys are pros. This is NY. Do they really want to be an absolute joke on the season? I know Eli has the dumb look on his face, and McAdoo-doo is in over his head. But knocking off a pretty good KC team will at least make for a happy Thanksgiving dinner. I haven't read or heard a person NOT on the Chiefs. We will also be on the over just as a little hedge if NY has a complete no-show and we get another performance like the one they gave the fans vs the Rams. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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11-19-17 | Redskins +8 v. Saints | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 65 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS here. We also will be on the over as I think we get a bunch of points this afternoon. We know Washington has problems slowing things down. And, well Brees in the dome is good for a 30 spot. But Saints haven't faced many good QB. Cousins is a pretty decent arm who moves the ball and generates points. Tough to get in front of this hot New Orleans team no doubt. But , this is a decent number to be getting. And if things break right for us, forget the back door. We could be walking out the front door with a straight up W. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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11-19-17 | Lions -3 v. Bears | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS here. So, maybe this is a bit of a sucker line. Bears have been tough, especially at home. We had them in games here at home vs the Falcons, Steelers and Vikings. The offense is just so hard to get behind at times. Lions offense, though limited with the short passes, does move the ball. Defense improved. Look at these Lions losses. 30-26 vs Falcons, which, some say should have been a TD for Detroit. 27-24 loss to the Panthers. And a tough 20-15 loss to the Steelers. Saints lit them up in New Orleans. Can we say the Bears are on those kind of levels? 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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11-19-17 | Jaguars v. Browns +7.5 | 19-7 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Late add here on the BROWNS. It took me this long to find the balls to play them. I do like the Jags. And we have cashed with them in other spots. But as much as I love the defense, laying a TD on the road is hard for me to. Nearly as hard as taking the crappy BROWNS. Make this a half points/ half ML 4* Money Maker |
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11-19-17 | Rams v. Vikings -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 65 h 26 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. I do like this Rams team. We have cashed them a few times already. But in this spot, I have to go Minny. I think their coach is just better right now. That is not a knock by any means on the youngster on the LA sideline. But I think this defense will rattle the Goff this afternoon. Again. I am not knocking the Rams or their defense. They have an old dog in Phillips calling things that will trip up boy Case for sure. That being said, this should be a very good game. Rams 117-24 their last 3 games. But beating up on the Texans with Savage at QB and nary a defense to field and dropping a pitiful Arizona team 33-0 at home is nice for the fantasy fans. Let's not overlook Minny putting up a respectable 95 points their last 3 games, 2 on the road. So we can score a bit. As hot as the Rams have been, they are due for a market adjustment. I think it comes this afternoon. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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11-16-17 | Titans +7 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS tonight. Well. What can we say? Backing another ugly dog and this one, a short week road team. So I am not high on the Steelers. They struggled last week against the Colts. They have had some 'internal' issues with players. They pretty much have the North wrapped up. Titans are a scrappy bunch. The ugly, beat you with our run game team. But they aren't afraid on defense to play ugly and hit you either. Tennessee have an old time DC who knows a thing or two about Big Ben and the Pittsburgh offense. Titans will try to smash the Steelers with their own rush attack and keep Bell off the field. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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11-13-17 | Dolphins +9 v. Panthers | 21-45 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. We are on the Dolphins again. We have been on these guys through all the highs and lows. It is a bit scary taking them as big road dogs. We saw the Ravens shut them out on the road. We saw the Saints shut them out in England. Panthers playing as well as any team right now. But again. As I have said all season, the defense is good. It keeps us in the game. As bad as Cutler has been, this team is still in the playoff hunt. Most times I am taking dogs to win outright. But in this case, I think it is a good enough number for us to push in the back-door. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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11-12-17 | Giants v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Giants/ Niners |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins +2 | 38-30 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS today. Gonna zig-zag back on Washington this afternoon off that win. I would say it was a 'big win' and you can see a 'let-down' factor. But I don't think that is the case. Yeah, Seattle has been playing better. But this is the Super Bowl Champs, or the team that lost to NE. This defense is a bit more suspect and the OL + run game need some work. 3 missed FGs sure helps the road team score a win. Now, Minny in off bye which always helps. But the 'Skins should be getting some guys back. I see over a dozen guys day-to-day. So. I do like the Minny defense. I do like Zimmer. But as good as Case has been under center, I just don't like him laying points on the road. Redskins still in a position to make a wild-card run in my eyes. But like every team, they need to win the games in front of them. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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11-12-17 | Chargers +4 v. Jaguars | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 146 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS here. Kinda want to go +170 on the ML also. Lost last week here with the Bengals. So Jax has gone W - L every other game. A win, then their bye, then a win over Cincy. So was the bye week a loss? Are they 'due' for a loss as they have rotated wins and losses all season? Do the books just not respect the Jags with this line? I have said the last 2 years this is a very talented defense. Chargers come in off their bye week. Last we saw them, they were failing to cover for us against NE. Prior, they had reeled off 3 straight. I like this offense. Rivers can sling it. The run game gets overlooked. They have a couple guys in Bosa and Ingram who can get after the QB. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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11-12-17 | Steelers v. Colts UNDER 44 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Colts |
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11-12-17 | Saints v. Bills UNDER 47 | 47-10 | Loss | -115 | 115 h 11 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Bills/ Saints |
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11-12-17 | Saints v. Bills +2 | Top | 47-10 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the BILLS. They cost us last Thursday against the Jets. What a clunker. Holy cow. But. I still like the defense. I still like offense. And I will never stop liking fading dome teams in Buffalo. Saints a different team out of the dome. Brees a bit different in the elements. If you get lucky, you might be able to get a better number than this. I think the public will be on NO as they have been very good the last month. But I am on the dog and will probably come in a little ML also. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers +3 | 30-17 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS tonight. I will go ugly on these guys. I like my dogs. They make us money more often then not over the year. Yeah, it has been a bit bumpy this year. But I am changing my way. Pack off the bye. Some time for Hundley to get a bit more settled in behind the line. He has the WRs to put some points on the board. Lions enter this place like a house of horrors, albeit that is when Aaron Rodgers was destroying them. This is the season for both teams. Lions under .500 GB at 4-3. Big division consequences here. Again. With the extra rest, McCarthy needs a big win here. The guy is terrible without his franchise QB. He has to prove he can actually win a game. That is why I think GB gets it done tonight. The coach is quietly on a hot seat. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERS |
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11-05-17 | Raiders v. Dolphins +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS, again. Yes, again with these guys! I nearly put the out here on the site +140 ML - They were totally humiliated on Thursday night. So they have extra time to get ready for the Raiders who haven't been all that great themselves. Dolphins traded their home-run hitting RB and are looking to get a jolt of winning from the change. They have Moore under center. I didn't think Cutler would be as bad for as long as he was. Everything I read in August said Moore was the better QB. He sure as heck didn't show it last week. Now is his time to shine. Off that national tv loss, and back again in the lime-light here on Sunday, I expect the old 'circle the wagons' game from the home puppy. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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11-05-17 | Redskins v. Seahawks -7.5 | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
Taking SEATTLE this afternoon. Redskins in off b2b division losses to Eagles and Cowboys. Now they have to head to one of the toughest places to play. Can't think it as an easy task. Washington is very banged up. I know everyone gets injury in the NFL. But the 'Skins are really hurting on their OL. Seattle on the flip side of things just picked up some huge OL help for their QB. Just think we have 2 teams heading in opposite directions. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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11-05-17 | Broncos v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | 23-51 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Broncos/ Eagles |
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11-05-17 | Colts +6.5 v. Texans | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Man. I know it's ugly. But we have gone ugly before, with, albeit mixed results. As good as this Texans offense has looked, we can't say the same of the defense. And that is why this is a play mainly. This defense has lost guys across the field for various reasons. Colts have a bit of talent. I think they can put up 13-20 points. And I think that keeps us alive for at least a back door. Now as you know, most times I take dogs and I expect outright wins. In this case. I think we hang tough before maybe losing by 10. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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11-05-17 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 43 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Falcons/ Panthers |
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11-05-17 | Broncos +8 v. Eagles | 23-51 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 49 m | Show | |
Going BRONCOS and it will be ugly. Denver defense at least keeps us close in this one. I do like Wentz. But the guy doesn't know when to quit. This Broncos defense will make him do something stupid. The prodigal son returns to Elway, as Osweiler is now behind center. He will be tasked with not turning the ball over. Broncos losers of 3 straight, on a short week off being humiliated by KC on Monday night, and playing their 3rd straight road game. A bonus early game on East Coast. What can go wrong? Maybe Philly gets caught looking ahead to Dallas next week? Maybe the Denver pass rush does it's thing, and the 'No Fly Zone' returns. Maybe the Broncos triple-headed rush attack gets to nearly 200 yards. The points to good to pass up. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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11-05-17 | Rams -3.5 v. Giants | 51-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS in early action. Ugh. Real bad territory we are entering. Rams as a road fave, for an early start-time. Yikes. But like the Giants, LA is in off their bye week. Eventually, the old adage of, we are what we are, takes hold. This Rams bunch is a new breed starting with their new HC. It has had a profound effect on the players. The Giants are the NJ team looking like it is in the mix to get one of the top QBs in the draft. Eli has nobody to throw to. Yes, I think NYG still have some playmakers on defense. But the run game and OL are miserable. WRs are nearly non-existent. Do the Giants have a coaching edge with McA-doo-doo? I don't think so. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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11-05-17 | Bengals +6 v. Jaguars | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Ugh. Man I have cashed and lost, multiple times with this Jags team. And now this line is moving up. I have liked their defense for the last 2 years. They are monsters. 33 sacks! Very talented. But 20 of those were vs the Texans and Colts. Now they have a RB to cover their brutal QB. But Cincy brings a decent unit to town this afternoon. Daulton has some weapons, and is a bit more polished than the guy across from him. Bengals turned things around with their OC change. I would really like to see more Mixon to keep the defense in check so we can get some Green targets. Are the Jags really this much better than Cincy? I won't be shocked if we pull this puppy out 23-20. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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11-05-17 | Ravens v. Titans -3 | Top | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 70 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS here. Now these guys have given me fits this year. I really thought they would be an improved club. I had them in Game 1 against Oakland. I really thought this offense would be a ground and pound type unit with a decent defense to fall back to. I still like the run game. I don't like the Ravens at all. I had Miami against the Ravens and was smashed. But that I think has more to do with the state of the Dolphins. This Baltimore team is still a banged up unit. Flacco has some extra rest, but we could easily see Mallet here. And to be honest, I think that is a better option if you like the Ravens. Flacco has been bad. 8 INTs and 6 TDs. I think the combo of Murray and Henry is the difference and wears down this Baltimore front. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE TITANS |
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11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 43 | 21-34 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Bills/Jets |
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11-02-17 | Bills -3 v. Jets | 21-34 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS here. Ugh. I have had an up and down year on Thursday nights especially taking home teams. But in this case I am going road team. Not much of travel from Buffalo to NJ. Short week for both. Jets in off their 3rd straight tough loss. Look. We have cashed with NYJ a couple times this season. And we faded them a couple times. They are clearly not the 0-16 team many thought. They are still fighting. But they can't close games. Bills bring a better QB and a much better rush attack. Jets have some problems vs the run. Both defenses I think are decent units. Bills have played very well on the road. 9-3 losers at Carolina. Won at Atlanta. Lost 20-16 at Cincy. Think we see a lot of McCoy, and Taylor can beat you. Guy is very underrated. Don't think the Jets will get much on the ground. And, even though he has been good, I can't trust McCown. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | 20-15 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS tonight. One. I like a team coming off their bye at home. Two. Steelers, have mostly been not as explosive in their road tilts as Big Ben's doesn't have those gaudy Heinz Field numbers behind him. Detroit has 9 INT so if Ben gets rushed a bit, maybe he turns into Jaguars Ben where is talking retirement again. With Rodgers gone, this NFC is wide open. Lions need any wins. Pitt can lose this and still have control over the AFC North. With Cincy at 2 wins, the Browns, and a miracle 4 win Ravens team who could now be without Flacco, they can drop a non-con game. Wins equal a wild-card spot for Detroit. Give me the home pups. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys -125 v. Redskins | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 53 h 59 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS here. Simple in my thinking here. Dallas just better. Dak is having another solid campaign. Yeah, they are only 3-3. But they are in much better shape than the Redskins who have dropped both division games already. They are in better shape health wise. They obviously have a little better OL and rush game which I think will be the difference maker today. I am going ML here as this line is bouncing around a bit. I have never been a fan of Jason Garrett. And as long as he doesn't do something stupid, Cowboys should walk away with a relatively easy win. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-29-17 | Texans v. Seahawks -6.5 | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE here. As you know, I have no love for Seattle and am not a fan at all of the team. Think the run game is terrible. OL hasn't been good in years. The defense has lost a step or two. But yet, here they are favored by a full TD in some spots. Watson has been great since coming in for the Texans. But the defense is still a bit suspect. This is a tough spot for any QB. Forget about a rookie QB in this stadium. I am not even concerned with the 'inmates running the prison' comment. I heard inmates running the asylum, but I think the old man just screwed up the expression. That being said. Who knows what the Texans do? Even if they circle the wagons and say this is for us. Or do something in pre-game/anthem. They are in Seattle. The suppose safe landing spot for Kap. Won't make a lick of difference. Wilson has this team on a 4 game win streak. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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10-29-17 | Falcons v. Jets +5 | 25-20 | Push | 0 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS today. Been up and down on this team this season. Won, lost, pushed with them and against. Want to pull the trigger ML here but man is it tough. This team was suppose to be win-less right? Going for the #1 pick. Needs a QB. Well McCown has better numbers than last years MVP Matt Ryan, or at the very least the same but with more TDs. Don't trust the Falcons in the elements. Good be an issue today. We have them really in a free-fall. Should have lost to the Bears opening day (we had Chicago). Beat GB (had ATL). Should have lost at Detroit. Out-muscled by the Bills (loser for us). Bye week. Lost as double digit faves to Miami (we had Phins). Then in a game you would think they had circled, a complete no-show in loss at NE. I think their QB and OC are on the hottest of seats. Sark is gone at the end of the year. Has no clue what he is doing. Julio Jones off the field near end-zone! Jets actually have a decent defense. Offense finding its stride and McCown likes TE Jenkins. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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10-29-17 | 49ers +13 v. Eagles | 10-33 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS today. If we really wanted to be gamblers we would bite on the 500+ ML. But as I do take dogs generally to win outright, in this spot, I think we hang close for the game or at least back door it. San Fran was just mauled at home. That was on the heels of a bunch of competitive losses. So we know the team plays hard for their new coach. I think they just ran out of steam after a couple OT games and a late rally then loss at Washington. Eagles are very full of themselves. Have to be thinking easy win vs a win-less team. A lot of big talk in town about Wentz, playoffs, MVP. Short week for Philly offset by SF coming back east for an early start time. 4* Money Maker SF FORTY NINERS |
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10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills -2 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS today. This is a tough little squad. A very good defense and the offense is sneaky good. Everyone back on the Raiders bandwagon. Like I have said multiple times as we have won fading them, last year everything went right. This is a tough road game for them. Huge game by Amari and big comeback have everyone thinking the Raiders are back. I think even with a bit of extra rest, Buffalo still the play over LAR. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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10-29-17 | Bears v. Saints -9 | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS today. Never a fan of laying big numbers like this. But in the back of my head, I hear, Pick the Winner. And when I do that, I see the Saints comfortably by double digits today. Bears won last week throwing 7 passes. Come on. What a terrible performance by Cam and the Panthers. Yes, Bears extremely tough at home. Should have beat the Falcons. Beat the Steelers and Panthers and losing a tough one to the Vikings. They scored an OT win over a beat up Ravens team, but I see blow-out losses at Tampa and Green Bay. Drew Brees is a pretty good QB. He seems reborn so far. The trading of AP helps balance the rush attack and take some pressure of the old timer. I just think John Fox has babied Mitch a bit too much lately. Because if they fall behind here and it is 10-14-17 to 0-3.. You need the rook to start chucking. Tough spot in the dome for a rookie QB against a team that sees it's opening in the division, and now the conference with Rodgers down. Could be the swan song for Brees and Payton. Big game for Nawlans. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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10-29-17 | Chargers +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 29 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS today. I know it would be easy to fade these guys coming east to face the Pats. But Rivers has always played NE tough. Let's be honest here. I am not sold on the NE defense being 'fixed.' Shutting down the Falcons who they stymied last in the Super Bowl and then did it the entire game last Sunday says more about Atlanta then NE. That Falcons staff is in trouble but that is a whole other story. Ryan was the only QB who hasn't thrown for 300 yards vs this defense. Oh, Rivers will get his yards. He has some toys to play with. They also have a couple pass rushers in Bosa and Ingram. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | 0-40 | Loss | -100 | 57 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS tonight. Managed a miracle push last week with these guys, and are back on them again. Look. I have said this multiple times in backing Miami. This is a pretty good defense. And now that Moore is behind center I actually think the offense will improve. Look. I don't blame Gase for getting and starting Cutler. The guy had decent success in his system in Chicago. But Matt Moore wasn't terrible in his time under center. So I think he helps a lot. They have a RB, TE and WR to score. We cashed our GOW on Minny over these Ravens. This is a really banged up team. Ok, they have a defense. But if you don't like my Miami play, there is no way you can feel confident laying points with Baltimore. The WR injuries are mounting for BLT. Do you trust Falco? I sure don't. Guy has thrown a pick in 13 of his last 16 games. Wish I got the 3.5 at opening since the Ravens are 3-12 ATS last 15 laying more than a FG. 5 TD, 8 INTs 17 sacks for Flacco so far. I know it is a short week for both teams. But I think the arrow is actually pointing up for Miami. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-23-17 | Redskins +5 v. Eagles | 24-34 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Just think this is a decent number to grab. Eagles might be reading their own press clippings a bit too much. With revenge, will take Washington. Cousins has a good grasp of this offense and I expect some points here. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-22-17 | Broncos v. Chargers | 0-21 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. Lost with these guys last week. Not laying anything near double digits. Still think this is one of the better defensive teams in the league. Zero home field edge for Chargers. We had SD when these guys first played. Will take the road team here looking to wipe a bad taste out of their mouths. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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10-22-17 | Bengals +5.5 v. Steelers | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
Taking the BENGALS today. Might even put some +200 ML down on this puppy. I know that Cincy looked bad early. But I think this is a different team since the OC change. I think Mixon has a big day today. This Bengals team isn't afraid to go toe to toe with the Steelers. And what is Pitt anyway? Yeah, we cashed them last week over KC. But they have had the Chiefs number lately. Can someone explain the Jags game? I had Pitt. Jags 3rd straight road game. Figured they were out of gas. And they maul Pitt and have Big Ben talking retirement again. Cincy off their bye week so there is zero lack of focus. I just think they are trying to sucker us in with this line. We've seen 1 line over 3 just once in the last 10 meetings. Still on the dogs though. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +6 | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS today. 12pt line move with Rodgers out. Are you kidding me? I will grab GB at this price. So no OL or run game for the Pack. I get it. I can see the Saints love. People see 50 points last week. Well 30 something was non-offensive. I don't like Brees as much out of the dome. Especially on grass. NO still has a leaky defense. Packers still have some solid WRs and Hundley has a week of practice under his belt. GB with a lot to prove as a team because all they hear is they are done since A-Aron is down. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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10-22-17 | Panthers v. Bears OVER 40.5 | 3-17 | Loss | -108 | 73 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Panthers/ Bears |
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10-22-17 | Titans v. Browns +199 | 12-9 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Opinion -- taking a shot on these guys to finally win a game. |
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10-22-17 | Cardinals v. Rams -3 | Top | 0-33 | Win | 100 | 73 h 40 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS here. Ok. So we are in London. Rams coming from Florida, while Arizona is flying, what, a quarter the way around the world. That can't be helpful. I guess everyone is loving the Cards since AP had a big debut. I am not sold. I think the Rams have a better defense than the Bucs. Rams played in England last year so they have a bit of an edge as to what expect. I like the Rams new staff. The offense is much improved. The defense getting better by the week under Wade Phillips. Gurley should have a nice game for us also. Again. Palmer will be on the run much of the game. Not sure what to expect from AP. I mean, he easily could have left it all on the field to prove he can still play. Not jumping on the Arizona train for sure. Short line on a neutral field seems right to me. Even turning the ball over 5 times to Seattle this team had a chance to win. They're scrappy. I'm in. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS |
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10-22-17 | Ravens v. Vikings -5.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 66 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS this afternoon. Rolling large on Minny. And why wouldn't we. First. Flacco is having a terrible year. 4 TD and 8 INTs in his 6 games so far this season. Last time I checked, Vikes bring a very solid defense to the table. In fact, they have allowed just 2 300 yard passers their last 22 games. They lost by 3 in OT at home last week to the Bears. They needed 2 huge special team TDs (96KO 77Punt) to even get to OT. I am just taking Zimmer here as the coach. The guy gets the most out of his players. The defense alone should help us get 10-13 points off of TOs and field position. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-22-17 | Panthers -3 v. Bears | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 44 m | Show |
Taking the PANTHERS today. I know it is easy for me to say let's grab the Bears. We have cashed with them here at home a couple times already. But I think this a flat spot off that OT road win last week. Panthers in licking their wounds from a Thursday night clunker. Something tells me people are overreacting a bit on Chicago. I like their run game, but I think Cam and the Panthers offense puts some points up today. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Raiders | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS tonight. Maybe if they beat the Steelers I would be thinking Oakland here. But (we cashed on) Pitt got the job done and now KC is ready to take on their division rival. Yeah. You can say it is the proverbial 'circle the wagon' game for the Raiders. But let's be honest here. Last year, as I said going against the Raiders in Week 1. This team got every break and bounce. Every gamble paid off. Missed FGs. Go for 2. Well, we are seeing a return to the norm now. 12-4 last year was great. But 8-8 might even be a reach this season. Lynch isn't doing much running the ball. Carr is playing, but not 100% after being injured. The guy has a broken bone in his back! Cooper has the drops. At least with Andy Reid we know we are getting a solid rush attack and a team that doesn't turn it over much. KC 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series and 11-3 ATS last 14 trips to Oakland. Will also be on the under in this game tonight. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 46.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/Raiders |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -7 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS tonight. Are we missing something with this line? I get no Luck. But Mariota didn't play last week. Probably a heavy rush attack game plan for the teams. A pair of 2-3 teams battling. I know that all the trends point to Indy. Colts have really ran the AFC South for years. But a totally different team without Luck behind center. Titans have underachieved in my eyes so far. I though they could win this division over the Texans. This is a big line and I see a lot of Indy love, especially off a huge underdog weekend, including 7 road dogs winning outright! - I'm bucking my normal doggy tendencies and going with the home faves. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos -11.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the BRONCOS tonight. Big number for sure. But when I first look at a game I say this to myself. Who wins this game? If you win, you are more than likely covering. If I like a dog, I am not saying to myself.. Man.. Can't wait to catch the back door. I am thinking we win outright. Are the Giants winning outright tonight? Toss out the line. Look at the state of these 2 teams, and franchises as a whole. Giants at 0-5 just lost to a team that was 0-4 with a rookie HC on their own field when for all intention purposes this was a 'circle the wagons' 'must win' any analogy type game. NYG lost their best offensive weapon in ODB for the year. Their other WRs are also hobled. Hello No Fly Zone Denver defense. No rush attack for the G-Men to take pressure off Eli. Broncos in off of a bye week. Do we not think Von Miller and company are licking their chops waiting to face this OL? Denver destroyed the Cowboys. Giants not as good as Dallas and sure as heck aren't built to make a comeback or keep the Denver offense off the field. It is Tuesday, but I am saying we see Geno Smith playing at least a half on Sunday night. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS |
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10-15-17 | Steelers +188 v. Chiefs | 19-13 | Win | 188 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS here, and looking ML. You can grab +4 if you don't like extra money! -- Ugh. As much as I like this game, there is just as much doubt in my head. I see Big Ben off arguably the worse game he has ever played. Then there is the retirement talk. Sideline antics. Bell not looking like he is ready to play. The whole anthem thing. This team is turmoil just getting shredded at home by the Jags. We had Pitt last week. A Jags team playing 3 straight on the road! - Maybe Pitt, in a Ravens / KC sandwich didn't come 100% focused. This team is way to talented on offense for a game like that last week. KC with some injury concerns. Kelce and Hill banged up. Not sure of either status, but both are a hit or tweak away from not playing. Already lost Conley for the year. Again -I just think in the old 'circle the wagons' type of game we have to grab the dog. 4* PITT STEELERS |
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10-15-17 | 49ers v. Redskins OVER 46.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 24 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER San Fran/ Skins |
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10-15-17 | 49ers v. Redskins -10 | 24-26 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS today. Ugh. Hate laying these huge numbers. But for me. Let's pick the winner. Niners now 0-4 by a combined 11 points in those losses! How about 2 straight OT losses. I get these guys are playing tough for the new coach, but come on. Now the are playing the early game on the east coast. So here they are for their 3rd straight road game. I have to say, I also like the Over 46.5 today. I think we see some points from the Niners. But I think that Cousins wants to do something special today also. He wants to show off a little for both teams. This is a huge money game for him. Yes, Washington have the Eagles on Monday night, and Cowboys coming up. But we have our bye week working in our favor. And that is huge since the last time we saw the Redskins on MNF they were losing on a last second FG then, for us KC backers, a gift from the gambling Gods. That being said. They have had time to get over that game. They won't take SF lightly simply based on SF playing 2 straight road OT games and 11 points away from being 4-1. At 2-2, Skins need some wins. Cowboys at 2-3, Giants 0-5. Eagles sitting atop NFC East at 4-2. 34-20 should seal the deal for us. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-15-17 | Dolphins +13 v. Falcons | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 41 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS, again. No. I have never played for Miami although I have been asked several times since we were on the against the Chargers, Jets, Saints and Titans. Again though. This defense is a real unit. Even though Jay Cutler was basically retired 2 months, I like this offense. The play-makers are there. They have a good RB. The OL is side. I like their TE. The WRs are more than capable. We need Cutler to start chucking more than 5 yard slants. And that is on his coach. That being said. Yeah, ATL out of their bye, and off a loss. But I think this could easily be a walk through game for them with the Patriots on deck. You remember that game don't you? I am sure the Falcons do also. I think people look at Miami and NYG as 2 teams with zero chance of winning today. But unlike the GMEN. There is unity in the Dolphin locker room. And actual NFL WRs who were drafted in the NFL draft! I am not calling outright win, but I think Miami surprises some people today. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-15-17 | Patriots -9 v. Jets | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -104 | 41 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS today. I get that NE has 2 losses. Heading into Thursday night, the 2 teams that beat the Pats were a combined 9-1. Now we are suppose to believe in the Jets who beat Jay Cutler who was retired 2 months ago, and Blake Bortles and the Jags back from London at home. And hold off a Browns team that fumbled at the NY 7 and was picked off at the NY 2, missed a chippy FG attempt. I liked Tampa on Thursday thinking the Pats couldn't correct their defense on a short week. Well both teams played poorly, but TB needed a miracle late for a cover and to generate anything offensively. I can not see Team Hoodie showing up for this game, with extra rest, and tied. TIED with this Jets team and not coming out with a 20pt win. Brady is doing Brady things. He is going to get his 24 regardless of what kind of team he faces. 63-20 last years 2 games. I know Pats have Falcons on deck. But does that really mean as much to NE who won when it counted? I can't see them playing half-ass because the Jets were suppose to go 0-16 and suck for Sam. This team needs a huge game from both sides of the ball. This line is 9 and I would feel comfortable at 19. If Josh McCown keeps this games close, then the HC should be thinking of finding a new DC at the very least. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTS |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA tonight. These Thursday night have got to go. But until then, we will back the home team and roll out a free play on the Under - Philly was 1-7 on the road last year. They are 2-1 this wins over the Skins in Week 1 and SD 2 weeks ago. Just think this is not a good spot for them. Panthers look to be finding themselves lately. Cam seems to get better as they guys around him go down. 60 points last 2 wins on the road over Pats and Lions. Looks like the 15-1 Panthers are showing up lately and not the 6-10 version of last year. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +4 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS tonight. So Chicago is on a 11-3 ATS run last 14 at home vs the Vikes. We have that working in our favor. We have the Trubisky Era and hopefully not Error, starting tonight as they have pulled the turnover plug on $45M QB Mike Glennon. I do like the move though. Even though facing a Mike Zimmer defense will be a tall task for the rookie. Minny has lost their top offensive weapon in Cook, but will get their QB back. Not sure how sharp he will be after being out. That being said. I think this shapes up as a low scoring affair. We had the Bears in Week 1 over the Falcons. We faded them at Tampa in Week 2. And roared to another win with them over the Steelers in Week 3. With extra rest, we are on the home dog tonight. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-08-17 | Chiefs v. Texans | Top | 42-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS here. We scored a miracle cover on Monday night with these guys. I know it is a short week. I know it is another prime time spot for KC. But these guys just continue to win. What really gets me though is this. People talk about that crazy cover. I get it. But KC had already a regular W all but wrapped up. People are really talking about the Texans, or any NFL team for that matter, dropping 57 points in a game. 57! Now. I like Watson. I said when he was drafted the kid can play. I mean, you do what you do against Alabama in b2b Championship games with NFL talent against you, you can play in this league. Guy is a great leader. I just think the 57 is really giving KC the value here. They had 4 INTs last week against Mariota and Cassell. 3 put you on on Ten side of the field and the 4th was ran back for a TD. Plus a fumble recovered inside the red-zone. Those are gifts. You can't count on that helping your ROOKIE!! QB every week. KC 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS |
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10-08-17 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Packers/Cowboys |
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10-08-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS today. We cashed big last week as the Rams won outright for us. But we will head to Dallas on the home today this afternoon. Looks like we get Lee back on defense. Huge. Guy is a key piece for the 'Boys. I know their defense is nothing special. And Rodgers is at the top of the QB food chain. But his line is still pretty banged up. And unlike recent Dallas editions, this defense actually has a guy getting QB sacks. (Demarcus Lawrence 7.5) In their only road game, Falcons ripped GB for 141 yards. I think Zeke is excited about this game. Cowboys also with that playoff home revenge loss fresh in their memory. Bye week next week for Dallas. GB has division opponents on deck. Off home loss to Rams, I expect a very focused effort from the Pokes. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-08-17 | Chargers +158 v. Giants | 27-22 | Win | 158 | 74 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Man, nearly wrote San Diego. And why not. Eagles fan last week booing the Chargers as they came out and a LAC defensive guy thought it was booing for Wentz! So this is a good thing for them coming east. Yeah, the early start time is a red flag for me most of the time. But let's be honest. Is this NYG that good? They haven't done anything this year. Both teams absolutely desperate. Rivers should be able to get some things going vs this NY D that hasn't lived up to it's billing coming into the year. I can grab the points. But really. Even if you are a Giants fans would it really be a shocker to you if they lost here? Their OL is terrible. There is no run game. The owner has called out the GM finally. At least the Chargers can't control where they play. For me, the Chargers are going to 'circle the wagons' and, obviously by putting this out ML, I think they win this one. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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10-08-17 | Jaguars v. Steelers -8 | 30-9 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS today. Pretty simple thinking for me here. Jags now playing their 3rd straight road game. In London, where we cashed a nice, easy win. Last week in NJ, an out right loss as a fave (I also had them). On a side note, I thought the fact the Jags play in London every year would make the transition to and from England a bit easier for them. And now. They are in Pittsburgh. Steelers and especially Big Ben, always tougher at home. Jaguars again, off an OT game. Tough. 3 straight road games are tough anywhere. Round trip to London. OT. And now an always tough Pitt team. Pitt puts up about 30 a game at home. I know they have KC on deck. But home wins are important. We know Jacksonville has trouble slowing down the run. Pitt has big play WRs that can make things even worse. And finally. Do we, even getting more than a TD, want to back Bortles if he has to go toe to toe with Big Ben putting up points? 34-14 seems very likely to me. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS |
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10-08-17 | Titans v. Dolphins +125 | 10-16 | Win | 125 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Going ML here on the site, but you take the points if you are nervous. I get it. Dolphins look terrible. Cutler looking like a total bum. Offense not doing a darn thing. The uglier the better in my eyes. This is Miami's first game at home this year. Hello. It is October 8th! San Diego, New York, London. I still like the defense a lot. They are a strong unit. Maybe Mariotta plays. Maybe not. Either way, not 100%. Titans 8-20-1 ATS last 29 on the road. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 105 | 75 h 38 m | Show |
Taking CINCY here. We had a monster play on the Bengals against the Packers and just missed out an outright win. At home vs the Bills who are off a pair of big wins themselves. Well this is a no brainer. New OC looks to be paying off so far for Cincy. We can't forget this is a playoff caliber team. We do forget that in August the Bills traded guys and people said rebuild. They were out-gained last week in Atlanta. They had a slug fest at home vs Denver. Now Cincy is feeling good off a beat down of the Browns. I think this can be a flat spot for Buffalo. Bengals defense not to shabby. 3 of 4 teams under 20 points (Packers). As I said. Cincy in off cake wake. Bills off another slug fest. 11 minute 4th quarter drive? Bengals win by double digits. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY tonight. How can I not take the Bucs? Home dog on a short week Thursday night game. Pats a huge public team. This line might even move for us. Can't trust this New England defense at all. We will also be on the over tonight because Tampa is not the 85 Bears on defense either. I think the Bucs though should up 30 with Evans and Jackson against this secondary. Brady is Brady and always has the Pats in position to win which is why we can't go all in on the dog here. I can't see the New England defense somehow finding itself in 4 days. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs OVER 54.5 | 19-14 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Pats/Bucs |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs -7 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking KC tonight. Tough one as Chiefs 13-2 ATS last 15 and Redskins on 10-2 ATS run on the road. Last we saw Washington, they were dismantling the then Super Bowl Fave Raiders on Sunday night. Now they face another AFC West team. KC has been a machine lately. They rarely make mistakes and capitalize on opposing teams miscues. I think this RB/WR combo of Hunt and Hill is absolutely deadly. Cousins is still replacing a pair of thousand yard WRs from last year. And yes, I just pointed their awesome road ATS numbers. But KC is a tough place to play. All the short week teams and the London teams came up losers Sunday. Jags faves lose outright. Ravens loser. Dallas outright loser. Cards need OT TD with time running out. Raiders lose the game and QB. I know this is a bit of a hefty number to lay. Just think that the Chiefs defense is a bit better and we can steal a play there that adds 3-7 points on our total. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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10-01-17 | 49ers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 15-18 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN this afternoon. Had these guys last Thursday and we backed into a win. Have to be happy that they are moving the ball. What really lures me in here is this. One, we have the extra rest while Arizona (we had them) played Monday vs Dallas. I had the Colts over the Cards in Indy and I said then that it is tough to get this offense going with out their RB. That is very obvious. Not sure how old-man Palmer responds to a short week. Niners defense was tough in its first 2 games vs Carolina and Seattle. I put this Arizona offense on that kind of level. Nothing exotic or sexy. How can you lay points with ARZ with the way the offense has looked? At worse, the backdoor should be open. I can't see the Cards blowing out the Niners. Hyde will run enough to eat the clock and put up a couple scores for us. ARZ 3-10 ATS last 13 game and 1-4 ATS last 5 at home. Give me the dogs today. 4* Money Maker SF 49ers |
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10-01-17 | Eagles v. Chargers | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -115 | 76 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS here. Man this team knows how to lose but we are on them as a Best Bet today. Eagles off huge last second win over hated Giants. Now come cross country to face a win-less and dangerous team. I think the Chargers have a big edge with Rivers going against this Eagles secondary. Think we have an edge at QB too. Eagles will have a hard time running the ball vs Bosa and this defense. A lot of pressure on Wentz to shoulder the load here. They couldn't get a sack last week vs the Giants and that OL and needed a desperation 61 yard FG to win. I think they are in trouble today. Philly 2-8 SU last 10 on the road. 10* Money Bomb CHARGERS |
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10-01-17 | Panthers v. Patriots UNDER 49 | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the UNDER here. This is either the easiest play on the board or going to be a what was I thinking taking the low hanging fruit. Pats defense is crap. Ok. But has anyone seen the Panthers offense? 23-9-13 points. I guess the thinking is they gave up 34 at home to Brees. Brady will score 44 at home. For me, Cam is still hurt or working through his injury. He is down his best target. Can't see the Pats struggling much longer. 30-10 is still a beating. 4* Total Money UNDER |
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10-01-17 | Bills v. Falcons -7.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -111 | 73 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS here. Now. Could be easy to grab the Bills and say.. Man. Falcons should have lost to the Bears and Lions! Now I am getting points with Buffalo who beat Denver last week. Denver crushed the Cowboys!! - Look. Bills have a good defense no doubt. They have a run game this going to pound ATL and try to keep Ryan and friends off the field. But the Bills are also in off a tough physical game. Denver is no joke on defense. That was a grind. Going on the road is tough. The Falcons should pull away to 14-20 pt win here. ATL will get their 34. And, at best, I don't think the Bills get more than 24. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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10-01-17 | Rams +6 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 30 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS here. We scored a nice back-door last Thursday with the Niners over these Rams. But, with extra prep time and the Cowboys off a MNF win (we had ARZ), we are fading away. Dallas has bad home ATS numbers. We know this. I should have put this out when we could have gotten more points earlier in the week. But honestly, I won't be shocked if the Rams have a shot to win this one outright. Dallas defense do not impress me. This Rams team can take advantage of the Cowboys secondary. Rams defense will get pressure on Dak. Dallas OL is not the same as last year. I think Zeke has put on a few pounds is not running the same. So the 'Boys 0-2 ATS on short rest last year. 0-3 ATS short rest in 2015. 0-2 ATS short rest in 2014. And 0-2 ATS short rest in 2013. You know what hasn't changed in that time. The HC. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS |
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10-01-17 | Jaguars -3 v. Jets | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the JAGUARS today. Had Jax in blow-out fashion last Sunday, and will back them again on the road. Any other team coming home from London (Baltimore) without a bye and I am fading you. But not in this case. Jags have been a London team for years and will continue to be so. The players are accustomed to the travel. Plus. This is NY. Not a terrible flight home. And by crushing the Ravens they essentially took the 2nd half off. Jags impressive on the road so far crushing 2 defenses that were suppose to be pretty good in Texas and Baltimore. Their defense is not getting the respect it deserves. They will ground and pound and hope Bortles doesn't do something stupid. Let's not forget that Doug Marrone, after quitting the Bills, thought he was getting the NYJ job only to be turned away. A little extra motivation for the players to rally behind their coach. Jets with a big win last week to upset their fans who wanted an 0-16 season. But I think Jags a bit more talented even with Bortles more TO prone than McCowen. NY still lacking talent. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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10-01-17 | Saints v. Dolphins +3 | 20-0 | Loss | -115 | 132 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI here. Cashed here in England last week with an easy Best Bet Winner on the Jaguars. And just like Jax coming in off getting smoked by the Titans. The Dolphins arrive licking fresh wounds after being flat-out humiliated by the NY Jets. You know the Jets. The team that was suppose to go 0-16? So. 2 week ago we had Miami winning in SD. And I said then, what I will say now. This is a sneaky good team. Yes. They looked absolutely lost this past Sunday. But. The Jets were the team fresh off getting spanked by the Raiders. We had the Jets in Week 1 and Raiders against them in Week 2. These guys are pros. They will step up. NYJ did that at home vs a Jay Cutler led team that fell into what exactly Cutler does to drive his coach, teammates and fans crazy. The defense is a solid bunch for Miami. They will get pressure on Brees, who is coming off a great win over a heated division rival. I think skipping from NJ to England is a good spot for the Dolphins. They get away from any Cutler drama at home. And let's face it. This Saints defense is not that good. Shutting down Cam and the Panthers isn't a huge deal these days. I think Miami holds them in check today. And I think we see Jay Ajayi with a big game. He gets going, and that opens up things up. This WR corp of Landry, Parker, Stills and TE Thomas is talented. Cutler will get better as he gets back into Gase's system. The guy tossed 14 passes in pre-season. He was retired until August! Won't be shocked at all with an outright win early Sunday. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA tonight. First. Let's not get too carried away by Denver beating up Dallas. Broncos defense is a pretty serious unit. Fact is, Cowboys defense is not very good. They beat a Giants team that has looked down right awful in 2 games so far. So they get Arizona who scored a bit on Detroit. Then cost us a ML winner last week as they rallied from down 13-3 to win 16-13 in OT. Cards have a solid defense. I can't see a big blowout brewing for Dallas here. In fact, a _135 ML play should be in order on the home puppies. How about Cowboys 3-9 ATS last 12 on MNF! Arizona also 12-3 SU, 14-1 ATS last 15 vs NFC East teams. - Dallas has score 17-7-13-17 in their last 4 road games. Cards sitting at 1-1 and probably should be 0-2. A solid defense in a dog role in their home. Sign me up . 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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09-24-17 | Bengals +9 v. Packers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 6 m | Show |
Taking the BENGALS. yeah baby. Hold that nose as we grab this stinky diaper. Cincy have yet to score a TD in their 2 home game losses. Packers figure to be in a foul mood after the Falcons crushed them again. I saw a stat that Marvin Lewis is 17-3-2 ATS as an underdog vs NFC teams. Are you kidding me! That alone should at least get you a moving a bit on Cincy. Ok- So I get thinking the Pack roll at home. Last year they won by 7,7,16,8,18,13, -38 (playoffs) at home. Plus a 14 point loss to Dallas and 5pt loss to the Colts. Bengals seem to have a decent defense. It's not like it hasn't performed well this year, or in the past. They gave up more than 24 points just 4 times last year. Just think this is a big number to lay for GB. Trying to not weigh their injuries too much, but it can't help their cause. Finally. At 0-2, canning their OC and their HC on the very hot seat. This is a season breaker for the Bengals. They need to put up 24+ points and if they do that they have the chance at an outright W this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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09-24-17 | Steelers v. Bears +7.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS here. We cashed with Chicago in Week 1 in what should have been an outright win. We cashed last week by fading them on the road. And I will come back for a 3rd straight week with this team. Look. Bears aren't good. They are already banged up. Glennon TOs were a major reason for the blowout last week. But look. What has Pitt done? You figure they sleep walk over the Browns as they have owned the series and a rookie QB. They get the Vikings without their starting QB. Now they get another young QB albeit one with some starts under his belt. Chicago has a decent defense. Let's not kid ourselves. Laying a TD on the road is tough in the NFL. Steelers have had trouble scoring and their offense is not as prolific as it is at home. Looking back at last year. I see scores of 3,14,15,16,17,18 -- There are 38,28,27,24,24 positive road numbers also. But it is a 50/50 prop they do that. Plus. Pitt has the Ravens on deck. Who .. Tip Alert. Get NO BYE week coming home from London! - Bears going to run the ball. Churn the clock. And Glennon looking to redeem after his 3 turnovers. t's gonna be a last second FG to decide this thing. I will be on the Under here also. Bears on a 5-1-1- ATS run as home puppies. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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09-24-17 | Steelers v. Bears UNDER 44 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 72 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/Bears |
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09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets OVER 42.5 | 6-20 | Loss | -112 | 70 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Dolphins/Jets |
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09-24-17 | Bucs v. Vikings +2.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA today. Pretty simple thinking here. I know we don't have our starting QB. But. Do you know that Case Keenum beat the Bucs last year 37-32. 14-26 190 2TDs 1 pick. And he beat them in 2014, 31-23 (31-13 with 10 to play) going 14-17 234 2TDs. I think they guy knows this defense. And speaking of defenses. Minny has one of the best in the league. Plus a great home field backing them. I cashed easily last week with Tampa rolling the Bears on the road. But Minny is much tougher on defense. They coach is fantastic. They are a tough bunch. Plus. As much I like I like the Bucs and Winston, the guy has thrown 15 and 18 INTs the last 2 years. I can easily see a mistake here being very costly. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-24-17 | Broncos v. Bills +3.5 | Top | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 72 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the BILLS here. I think Buffalo wins this one outright. I nearly made this my Game of the Week. First off. Every square will be on Denver and this line will probably move by game day. They see the Broncos drop 40+ on the Cowboys and think this is a juggernaut offense. Same people who cashed with Dallas over the Giants and missed New York not do a darn thing at home vs the Lions. The Cowboys have a bad defense and can't play catch-up. Team isn't built that way. Bills with another solid defensive game. Who cares if it was against the Jets and Panthers, who I think are in for a long year with Cam behind center. Taylor is underrated behind center. This team even with their trades still is fielding a talented, and competitive team. This is Denver's first road game and it is an early start time. They have the Raiders on deck. We have 2 teams with drastic outcomes last week. 42 points for Denver at home. Bills with 3 points on the road. #BillsMafia let's get it ! - 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS |
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09-24-17 | Ravens v. Jaguars +4 | Top | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 144 h 17 m | Show |
Taking the JAGUARS here. Want to go +170 in the ML as well. But last week that hurt us as the Colts covered after blowing the lead, but our ML play went down in flames. I'll stick to the 'easier' win with the points. For me, this is about the Jags defense. They were terrible in the 2nd half last week. They were fantastic in Game 1. Ravens lose another OL and Flacco is a statue. I know the Ravens have a solid defense. Cincy ended up firing their OC, so maybe it was more Bengals than Ravens. And then they get the Browns would couldn't get in the back door. Bortles is no elite QB. So they are dealt another favorable schedule spot. I just think their own offense is as bad or worse. Can't see laying with them on the road. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 41.5 | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 53 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total tonight. Cashed in this spot last Thursday, and will do it again here. We get 2 teams, 2 teams that are, and let's be honest, not very good. A pair of teams with a 2nd year QB and another one with a journeymen. A pair of teams with new HCs. A pair of teams who will probably rely on their RBs to generate the offense. And finally, a pair of teams that have decent defenses. I think the SF defense has been very good so far this year. Rams have been ok. SO on the short week, with run heavy type O's, I have to lean under. 5 of the last 6 of these have gone under this posted today. And it would have been 6 straight if San Fran didn't score with 30 seconds left. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/Niners |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN tonight. Rams now favored in 3 straight games! Wow.. Raise your hand if you saw that one coming. Have had LAR the last 2 weeks, but will fade them here. So. Rams looked like world beaters vs the Colts. I thought they would get past the Redskins with their new HC knowledge of the offense. Close, but no cigar. The Niners have been very impress on the defensive side of the ball. The roughed up a, who I think, not so healthy Cam Newton and the Panthers. And more than held their own vs Russell Wilson and the Seahawks. Now they get a 2nd year QB still learning the league. Edge to our veteran journeyman QB with a pair of rookie HCs on the sidelines. I think SF has the better defense. We arguably have the better RB in Hyde over Gurley. And finally, sitting at 0-2 and in what will be a long year. This is a winnable game for the home dogs. You can take the +3 or go for that +130 ML. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 42 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 55 h 31 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. We saw how bad the Giants offense is without ODB last week. But what people fail to realize is that even with him, they can't even score more than 20 points a game. NYG hasn't done that since last August! I believe the New York D is probably the best in the NFC East and arguably one of the Top 5 in all of the NFL. I think the Lions will have some problems here tonight. Dome team outside. Just one of those things like having the Bears over the Falcons in Week 1. Lions defense is nothing to write home about. So the Giants will put up some scores. But I think we are looking at a something like 23-13 tonight. 4* Total Money UNDER Lions/Giants |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants -3 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS tonight. I have been locked in on the under here, but am moving on NYG. For me. Look. The GMen need this game. If they can't get this one, they will be staring at 0-3 because I think the Eagles are beating them next week. So we have the Lions as a small dog. Stafford the highest paid QB. But I can't remember the last time he, or Detroit has beaten a good team on the road. As I said in my total write up. This NYG defense is very good. That to me, is the difference maker. ODB plays, He doesn't. It won't make a difference to me. I think New York scores in the mid 20s tonight. 24-13 seems like something around that kind of final. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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09-17-17 | Packers v. Falcons -3 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the FALCONS tonight. It is easy to grab Rodgers and the Pack with double revenge from last year. 33-32 win for Atlanta, then a blistering 44-21 beat down in the NFC Championship Game. That game was 31-0 before GB did anything. Now, Falcons in off a game they should have lost to the Bears. (We cashed the home pups) But that was a walk-through wake up call. GB (who we also cashed) had a tough physical game vs Seattle. After playing the Seahawks, teams always have a tough time. Now the Falcons open up a new billion dollar stadium. I know they have a new OC. But the offense will be able to move on the Pack. The defense is what is so improved for Atlanta. Pack lost to Minny, the Redskins and Titans on the road last year. That is what happens without a RB to help your All-Word QB. They still don't have a RB. I think ATL wins this one by double digits. 8* Sure Shot |
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09-17-17 | Redskins v. Rams -2.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 91 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS this afternoon. Had these guys last week and had them at + points since we were way ahead of the curve knowing in August that there was no chance Luck was playing at least until October regardless of what was coming out of Indy ahead of time. This one comes down to coaching for me. And the Rams new HC just happened to be the OC in Washington the last 3 years while their LB coach was the Redskins DC for the last 2 years. Safe to think that they will have a slight idea to what each player across the field brings to the table. I think the LA has a better defense with wiz Wade Phillips at the helm. I like that they aren't having Goff do anything crazy. The Skins turned the ball over 4 times last week which makes the loss look worse. Just as the Rams getting some points on defense inflate their final. Washington still lost a pair of 1000 yard receivers. Cousins will have to find his comfort receiver. Goff seems to have found his in Cupp. I really can't see LAR HC McVay overlooking this game. In fact, I would say this is the game his team will be really pumped for, while someone losing to a 49ers bunch next week. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS |
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09-17-17 | Jets v. Raiders -13 | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS here. Now. Normally I am shying away from double digit NFL favorites. But I am going with a small play on Oakland here. I had the Jets last week. And if the HC knew how to be a coach, we probably should have pulled out a cover even though the Bills outplayed us. Jets are now flying cross country to take on the Raiders. Raiders a trendy SB pick. Looked great last year till they lost Carr. Last week they won pretty easily (I had the Titans) and I don't even think they played that well. Titans are a tough club. Jets are not. The Jets I thought would take all the 0-16 talk from the pre-season and apply to a big effort in Game 1. I do not see that here. Will 34-10 really be a shocker to anyone? If you think Oakland won't score more than 17, I guess you are a huge Jets fan or part of their ownership. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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09-17-17 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Chargers | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 65 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS this afternoon. Short week as they were Game 2 of the MNF double header. Then we take into account they flurry of action to get them to the point of them missing out on tying the game. That will take a toll on the body. Now they face a rested Miami team. And they have division rival, KC Chiefs on deck. I know it is there home opener. But really. In LA? What kind of crowd will be here? I am not worried about Cutler. Guy looked pretty good in preseason against the Eagles. He is familiar with the system. That is why he is here not Kap. No team is signing that guy to revamp an offense for him. Not happening. Cutler has some decent toys to play with. Love Thomas at TE. Landry can stretch things out. A capable RB behind him. Plus, what I feel is the better defense. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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09-17-17 | Bears v. Bucs -7 | 7-29 | Win | 100 | 73 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA today. Tough to take a team without a game under their belt, but I'm all in. This line was bet up by the sharps and I am sure we could see some buy-back if it moves to 7.5 - Perception vs reality people. I had the Bears last week. Should have that one outright as a nice home dog over the reigning NFC Champs. Not to be. A bad team finds ways to lose. Bucs on the rise. Now I did lose taking the Texans thinking they get a big emotional boost from the hurricane and the fan supports. I was dead wrong. Again, we have hurricane action. But unlike the Texans, the Bucs have a real QB behind center. They have some decent play-makers he can get the ball to. Chicago has Glennon who the Bucs let walk. They might know his tendencies a bit. 4* TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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09-17-17 | Cardinals v. Colts +7 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Grabbing the COLTS here. I can't get the +250 on the ML on this site, but that is my lean on this game. Look - Indy is bad. They looked just awful last week vs the Rams. But let's not forget that Palmer wasn't good vs a bad Lions defense. They also lost their key offensive weapon who was pivotal to that side of the ball. After being humiliated last week, Colts will give an inspired performance today. 4* Money Maker COLTS |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals UNDER 38 | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 35 h 31 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Cincy now under in 20 of their last 28. Texans have a pretty good defense off a bad game. Their QB situation is terrible which will aid the cause tonight. Rookie QB on a short week. What could possibly go wrong? I mean, I guess he can throw 3 INTs and 2 go for TDs. Then we will be pulling for a 31-3 final. That being said. Bengals offense was turnover prone last week. I think we get an improved effort tonight. They can't start 0-2 at home. At 3,3.5 Cincy would have been a play. But this line has shot up and I have to think we see another low scoring affair. 4* Total Money UNDER |
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09-11-17 | Chargers +3.5 v. Broncos | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 482 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS tonight. I know that you have heard me say many times how I like to take the fave when the line sites at 3.5 and 7.5. But I just can't in this case. Saw this fine little tidbit. Under Elway since Manning has left, the Denver QBs have produced a 22-17 record. Found that on Twitter August 22, and here I am later that night propping up the Chargers as a play. Not only that. We have some nice trends working in our favor. Road team 10-3-1 ATS last 14, and Chargers 8-2-4 ATS last 14 at Denver. Broncos have a great defense. But the offense is not scary. Rivers is a very good QB and I won't be shocked if we pull out the upset here on Monday night. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 49.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 821 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Giants/Cowboys |