02-13-19 |
Incarnate Word +11 v. Southeastern Louisiana |
|
64-70 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker INCARNATE WOOD
|
02-13-19 |
South Alabama +9 v. Georgia Southern |
|
65-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTH ALABAMA. So, this line is pretty much where I think it should be. I actually have Georgia Southern at 11. But what brings me to the Jaguars is just how tough they play these guys. 10-1-1 ATS last 12 in the series and 5-0-1 ATS last 6 at Ga So. And, the dog 7-1-1 ATS run in series. Jags on a 6-1 ATS run last 7 through Sun Belt games. Georgia Southern 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. Yes, So Ala 1-7 on the road this year. But, in Sun Belt games. We see a 6pt win, and losses of 4 and 1 and getting smoked by 29 at Little Rock. Losing at Auburn and Texas A&M would happen to a lot of Sun Belt teams. I just think this will be a close game. 4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA
|
02-13-19 |
Massachusetts v. George Mason -7.5 |
|
75-80 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 9 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGE MASON. Now 8-3 in A10 play. Mass limps in 1-7 on the road and 2-7 in conference play. Massachusetts also in off HUGE upset win over Davidson. That was their season knocking off the conference leaders. Mason needs to keep pace with 8-2 VCU and Davidson. St Bonnie's on deck so there will be zero lack of focus. Mason 5-1-1 ATS last 7 in the series. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON
|
02-13-19 |
Iona v. Siena -2.5 |
|
57-52 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking SIENA. Siena held on for a 56-54 win last week. Dog 10-1 ATS last 11 in the series. But, Siena has been the dog in 8 of those games. So when we see road team 9-1 ATS last 10 - We know that Siena has gone 7-3 ATS in these games. This is clearly a different Iona team as they are just 6-6 in conference play. We see a money burning 3-13 ATS run for them their last 16 on the road. 4* Money Maker SIENA
|
02-13-19 |
Longwood +7 v. High Point |
|
62-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking LONGWOOD. So, it is February and it is time for systems plays. We have had a few of these already. These are generally going to be smaller conferences. Southern, Summit, OVC, Northeast, Big South types. What we are doing, is basically playing real ugly dogs vs inflated lines. Some days, like today, we will a lot of these games. Other days, maybe 1 or 2. People.. Don't go crazy on these things. Depending on your bankroll, 5-10 bucks, maybe quarters. Just going over numbers since December, this is, at 200 games, nearly 20 games over .500. So when there is just a basic write up on a small school, now you know why. 4* Money Maker LONGWOOD
|
02-13-19 |
Kennesaw State +13.5 v. North Florida |
|
57-80 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker KENNESAW STATE
|
02-13-19 |
North Carolina-Asheville +7 v. USC Upstate |
|
57-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NC ASHEVILLE
|
02-13-19 |
Charleston Southern +4.5 v. Gardner-Webb |
|
74-77 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
|
02-13-19 |
Maine +10 v. Hartford |
|
73-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
02-13-19 |
Hampton +6 v. Campbell |
|
84-87 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
02-12-19 |
San Diego State v. Colorado State +2 |
|
71-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking COLORADO STATE. Aztecs in off a nice win over Utah State. They have a big revenge on deck vs Boise who crushed them by 24. Rams a nice 8-3 ATS run their last 11. 4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE
|
02-12-19 |
Magic +4.5 v. Pelicans |
|
118-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking the MAGIC. Pelicans with a lot of strife right now. The AD saga is something that will linger until he is gone. Teammates can't be happy. We have Orlando in on 3 straight wins and 5 of 6. 4* Money Maker ORLANDO MAGIC
|
02-12-19 |
Drake +4 v. Southern Illinois |
|
72-69 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking DRAKE. 7-2-1 ATS last 10 on the road. I like this squad. You should already know we were going to be on these dogs. 13-6-1 ATS last 20 and 7-2-2 ATS last 11 in the series for the Bulldogs. These guys are tough, beat Salukis by 12 already. Southern Illinois 2-6 ATS last 8 at home- Underdog on a 4-0 ATS run. 4* Money Maker DRAKE BULLDOGS
|
02-12-19 |
Rider v. Quinnipiac +1 |
|
88-98 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking QUINNIPIAC. Rider 4-11 ATS last 15 on the road and 3-13 ATS last 16 in MAAC play. Rider has won 7 straight in the series and 9 of 10 but I will grab the home team tonight. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC BOBCATS
|
02-12-19 |
LSU +9 v. Kentucky |
|
73-71 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking LSU. Tigers are a nice 7-3 ATS run in the series and an even hotter 8-2 ATS last 10 overall. This is a lot of points for Kentucky to be laying, especially with Tennessee on deck. 4* Money Maker LSU TIGERS
|
02-12-19 |
Davidson -7.5 v. Fordham |
|
79-69 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking DAVIDSON. This is a bad Fordham team. Saw that they are something like 32-108 SU in A-10 play. Then I look a bit deeper. 8-7 at home, ok, getting a few buckets. Oh, 1-9 in conference play this year. Oh, Davidson by 24 and 30 last year. 41% shooting. Three leading scoring for Rams shooting 39,40 and 37%. Wildcats in off bad loss at UMass will take out their anger tonight. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON
|
02-11-19 |
Virginia v. North Carolina +2 |
Top |
69-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTH CAROLINA. No way Virginia losses 2 in a row right? I mean, 2 losses to Duke and that's it. NC quietly sitting at 9-1 in the ACC. I know that VA dictates the pace in this series. But that being said, I am just not sold on the Cavaliers. Roy Williams is a bit over-rated in my eyes. I think he just lets his talent take over on the court and not really 'coach.' Back to the pace. Even with NC scoring over 70 just once the last 6 meetings, I am backing the home dog. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA
|
02-10-19 |
Northwestern v. Iowa -9.5 |
|
79-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking IOWA. I think they write their own score here. If it is not at least, 12-15 points, I would be shocked. This should really be a 20pt cruise job. They won by 10 on the road over these guys. Should be at bare minimum, the same. Northwestern is not a good team by any stretch. Iowa has Rutgers on the road next. Now, I love going to the RAC being a Jersey guy, but that is not a look-ahead. They scored a nice road win at Indiana, but did allow 49% shooting. So I think we see a commitment to defense and NW, shooting just 40% on the year, will have a difficult time tonight. 4* Money Maker IOWA
|
02-10-19 |
Connecticut +6.5 v. Memphis |
|
71-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking UCONN. Well. Doing these write ups we are staring at 4-9 so far in CBB. It has been a disappointing run to say the least. I just can't get a could streak going. Nothing to say. No excuses. Just have not hit them the way we did last year. Still a lot of season left this month, plus conference tournaments and then all the March Madness tournaments. Memphis with 3 straight losses and 4 in their last 5. This is a decent number to get with UConn. Even if they are 0-5 on the road this season. I think they keep it close. Their AAC losses this year. 8 at South Florida, 2 in OT at Cincy, 6 at Tulsa, 6 at UCF and then Temple thumped them last game by 18. But I think that plays into a good outing here off a beat-down. I have this line at 3-4 so we have some value. 4* Money Maker UCONN HUSKIES
|
02-10-19 |
La Salle v. George Mason -6 |
|
76-84 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGE MASON. So we see 7-14 for LaSalle but not a real bad conference run going 5-4. GW at 7-3. Again, and I have used this with varying results this season. A poor shooting team on the road, (40%) should have difficult times winning. Now, as I said in my UCONN write up, things have not really played out to the normal 55-57% that we have experienced over the years. Now - we are either getting ready for a huge run as tournaments approach, or I will drastically have to recalculate my values for the next season. So LaSalle. Looks hot - 4 straight wins, off 4 straight losses, then 2 wins, So a 6-4 run. I see 4 games they won shooting less than 40%. How about FG% of 29,38,34,34,34,35. 3 games over 40% from the field. 4 wins shooting 29-34-34-38. That isn't good basketball. Even though Mason comes in off 2 road losses, they have 4 conference road wins and took care of business going 7-2 before this hiccup. 4 of 5 coming up at home. Big bounce back this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON
|
02-10-19 |
Oral Roberts +7 v. South Dakota |
|
86-72 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking ORAL ROBERTS. One of those, maybe too good to be true games. But, I'm biting. 9-17 and 9-14 teams out of the Summit aren't premier programs by any stretch. I see though that Oral is 5-6 in conference play and South Dakota 3-7. Golden Eagles with better numbers on the boards, the field and from deep. Yet, a decent dog. Maybe the 2-10 away record inflates the number. But the Coyotes of South Dakota a miserable 2-10 ATS run their last 12. Again, So Dak 1-3 at home losing in OT as a PK, losing outright as 9pt faves. And a splitting as dogs. 4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS
|
02-10-19 |
Niagara v. Iona -8 |
|
76-79 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking NIAGARA. I'll gladly take the points in this game. Purple Eagles took the first meeting 95-90. Would love to see that pace again getting this number. Iona has lost 4 straight and 5 of 6, They are 5-6 in conference, Niagara 4-7. Not much difference. Sure not an 8 point separation. Road team on a 6-1 ATS run. 4* Money Maker NIAGARA
|
02-10-19 |
UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara -8 |
|
61-57 |
Loss |
-115 |
27 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking SANTA BARBARA. So 4th straight road game for Davis. Hawaii, Riverside, Poly - So yeah, they are in Cali. But man. 4 straight. That is tough. It is tough in NBA and NHL. Sure to be tough when you are 2-10 on the road and facing a team that beat you on your home floor by double digits. 4* Money Maker UCSB
|
02-09-19 |
Magic v. Bucks -11 |
|
103-83 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BUCKS
|
02-09-19 |
Evansville +8 v. Southern Illinois |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker EVANSVILLE
|
02-09-19 |
Charlotte +10.5 v. UAB |
|
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Kansas State v. Baylor -2.5 |
|
70-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking BAYLOR. Think we are catching a break with this short line. I do like K-State. Tough defensive team. But, in off a big rivalry win over Kansas, primed for a flat spot. Bears in off loss at Texas. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS
|
02-09-19 |
Northern Iowa v. Drake -6 |
|
77-83 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking DRAKE. In off arguably their worse loss of the year, expect a focused group. We have been on the Bulldogs several times this season. Drake 16-4-1 ATS last 21 at home. Fave on a 16-3-2 ATS run in the series. Add in a dash of revenge for 57-54 loss in January, and my personal fave, road team shooting a paltry 40% from the field and count me in for a double digit home team win. 4* Money Maker DRAKE
|
02-09-19 |
Texas A&M v. Missouri -4 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSOURI. Both these teams, for me, terrible. But I think we have a little value in MizzU in this spot. They crushed A&M 66-43 a couple weeks ago on the road. I can't see this being some huge revenge game, especially with the Aggies on the road where they are 1-3 in conference play (1-8 overall in SEC) lone win by a point over Alabama. When 2 of the 4 worse teams in conference are playing, you don't have any look aheads. You just want to win. Short number on the home team gets the call. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI
|
02-09-19 |
George Washington +6.5 v. Richmond |
|
63-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker GEORGE WASHINGTON
|
02-09-19 |
Spurs v. Jazz -6.5 |
|
105-125 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Denver +8 v. North Dakota State |
|
71-81 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
CS Sacramento +8.5 v. Northern Colorado |
|
59-65 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE
|
02-09-19 |
Elon v. Northeastern -17 |
|
60-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHEASTERN. We faded Elon their last game, will do it again. NE battling for CAA top dog status. Huskies with an 11pt OT win over these guys. I doubt they will take them lightly after going to OT a month ago. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN
|
02-09-19 |
Louisville +2.5 v. Florida State |
|
75-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking LOUISVILLE. Both teams in off nice road wins. I just have to grab any points with UL though. These guys are quietly putting together a very nice run. Let's look at their losses. A payback loss to NC. They lost in OT at Pitt. Lost in OT on a neutral to Marquette, after losing to Tennessee on a neutral. (Beat Michigan State in OT after those 2 games) Lost at 1 at Indiana. And got beat by 13 by Kentucky. Just 2 losses since January. Not sure what FSU teams shows up. The one that has won 4 straight. Or the one that lost 3 straight to Duke and at Wake and Boston College. Tight game and getting a bucket, I'm on the dog. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE
|
02-09-19 |
Idaho +15 v. Montana State |
|
72-86 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
The Citadel +7.5 v. Mercer |
|
67-61 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker THE CITADEL
|
02-09-19 |
Villanova v. Marquette -1.5 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking MARQUETTE. Nova took all games last year. I think Marquette is a tad better and exacts their triple revenge. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE
|
02-09-19 |
Minnesota v. Michigan State -13 |
|
55-79 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Lost with these guys in a horrible road loss. Laying double digits, now 2 straight losses with nearly identical scores. I will go back to the Sparty well in a game, I would think, Izzo will have them in rampage mode. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE
|
02-09-19 |
Providence v. St. John's -7 |
|
70-56 |
Loss |
-104 |
16 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking ST JOHNS. Have this line at nearly double digits. Friars with 3 straight wins in the series. Payback for SJU. 4* Money Maker ST JOHN'S
|
02-08-19 |
Cornell v. Dartmouth -3 |
|
83-80 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking DARTMOUTH. 4 straight wins for Cornell so Big Green should be plenty angry tonight. They have also lost 3 straight in Ivy play. Throwing out all the trends pointing to Cornell. Big Red 4-0-1 ATS last 4 here and 10-4-1 last 15 ATS. Road team 7-1-1 run, dog 8-1-1. But with all that, we still have Dartmouth as the fave. When it looks to easy, it usually is. 4* Money Maker DARTMOUTH
|
02-07-19 |
SIU-Edwardsville v. Austin Peay -15.5 |
|
45-80 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking AUSTIN PEAY 4* Money Maker
|
02-07-19 |
Eastern Washington v. Montana State -5 |
|
66-74 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MONTANA STATE
|
02-07-19 |
San Francisco +18 v. Gonzaga |
|
62-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN FRANCISCO. 12 straight for the Zags, 13-0 at home -- Crushed Pacific by 31, Santa Clara by 43, 35 Bakersfield, 45 North Alabama, 37 Texas Southern, 41 Idaho State, 42 North Dakota State, 61 over Denver, and 33 over Texas Arlington. The Dons are a Top 40 program. They hung tough at home before the Zags did their thing. Gonzaga with a more 'hated' rival on deck in St Mary's. I just think getting nearly 20, we are getting an inflated home fave and added bonus of SF losing 2 straight and this being a 3rd straight road game. This is their season. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO
|
02-07-19 |
South Florida +4 v. SMU |
|
67-66 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking USF. A nice 10-1 ATS road run for the dogs here. SMU has dropped 2 straight and 4 of 5. Not sure they should be favored over anyone right now. Added bonus that they gave Cincy everything and the kitchen sink in their previous game. That was on the heels of a 2pt loss at Wichita. So this is a real flat spot. Bulls 11-1 ATS last 12 vs AAC foes. 4* Money Maker
|
02-07-19 |
Iowa v. Indiana |
|
77-72 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking IOWA. Tough team coming to face Indiana. Don't fret over a let down after playing Michigan. Plenty of time off since that victory. Not happy with a 2-3 road record for us, but, I don't think it matters in this spot. First, we are in a Pk game and looking for Triple Revenge. Not sure the Hoosiers have enough bullets in the chamber to trade shots here. I think Iowa runs their tempo, and Indiana falls short. 4* Money Maker IOWA
|
02-07-19 |
Idaho State v. Northern Arizona -3 |
|
81-79 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHERN ARIZONA 4* Money Maker -- I have heard that some people have trouble getting down on these added games and 'smaller' colleges. I mean, in today's world, if you don't have at least, at a minimum 3 spots to get action in, you are really hurting yourself.
|
02-07-19 |
Nebraska-Omaha +1 v. South Dakota |
|
107-102 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-19 |
Old Dominion v. UAB +10 |
|
70-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking UAB. Old Dom took a 65-60 win back on the 3rd. Rapid revenge in effect. You know I don't trust teams shooting 40% on the road. 4* Money Maker UAB
|
02-07-19 |
Elon v. Hofstra -17.5 |
|
61-102 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
|
Taking HOFSTRA. Random trend of the day, 11-1 ATS last 12 on Thursday nights, Elon 4-17 ATS last 21 Thursday nighters! Look. Hofstra is tough. Should be angry off loss at Northeastern. That ended a nice 16 game win streak (11-4 ATS 1 no line) How about 17-5 ATS on the season for the Blue Hens. 4* Money Maker HOFSTRA
|
02-07-19 |
William & Mary v. Northeastern -9.5 |
|
60-72 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHEASTERN. These guys won by 20 on the road already over W&M. 2-9 on the road. Huskies have put up 90 in 2 of the last 3 vs Tribe. Not a vintage 3pt shooting team for William and Mary. We'll lay the big number. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN
|
02-06-19 |
Wyoming v. Air Force -7 |
|
76-81 |
Loss |
-113 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking AIR FORCE. Just like this team. Tough little bunch. Wyoming 1-7 in conference and 0-7 on the road. 7-21-1 ATS last 29 for the Cowboys overall. AF with a decent 14-6 ATS run at home. I can't see them scoring more than 53 here. 4* Money Maker AIR FORCE
|
02-06-19 |
Oklahoma State v. TCU -9 |
|
68-70 |
Loss |
-107 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking TCU. This is where the Horned Frogs win. Home, 10-1 here. Defense steps up. Last 2 road games, 90-84 points allowed. Last 2 at home, 50-61 allowed. Oklahoma State 3-12 ATS last 15 overall. 4* Money Maker TCU
|
02-06-19 |
Colorado v. UCLA -6 |
|
84-73 |
Loss |
-107 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking UCLA. Ok. So this is one is probably my least favorite play today. But I have liked what I have seen out of UCLA since the coaching change. They have won 3 of their last 4 at home. Win margins of 21,15,22. Been on the road for 5 of their last 7 games. So this is a big spot for them. I think they take care of business by 10. 4* Money Maker UCLA
|
02-06-19 |
Wizards v. Bucks -11.5 |
|
129-148 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking the BUCKS. Think this Wizards team is toast. Bucks can win this one by 20. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BUCKS
|
02-06-19 |
Baylor +3 v. Texas |
|
72-84 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
Taking BAYLOR. Have backed these guys a couple times. They are a nice, underrated team. Very good. A nice 10-1 ATS run last 11 and still not getting any respect. Road team on a 7-1 ATS run in the series. I wrote in a previous Texas write up my feelings on Shaka and how I think he is on the hot seat. Texas 6-13 ATS last 19 at home, no business laying any kind of points. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS
|
02-06-19 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech +3.5 |
|
65-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA TECH. Have this game at PK and we are getting a few points. Home team 4-1 ATS run and dog 5-2 ATS last 7. Tech 10-4 ATS run vs ACC teams and 28-13 ATS last 41 at home. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA TECH
|
02-05-19 |
Utah State v. Fresno State +1.5 |
|
82-81 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking FRESNO. So they won at Utah State 78-77 back on January 9th. We saw a 3pt and OT game last year. So these guys are pretty familiar with each other. Just going with the home team. I do think that Utah State is the better team. But winning on the road, at a good conference foe, is a tough one. Even just laying a bucket. The ever smallest of small home dog tonight. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE
|
02-05-19 |
Kansas v. Kansas State -2.5 |
|
67-74 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
Taking KANSAS STATE. So, we normally jump right on an 'unranked' over a 'ranked'. Huge rivalry between these two obviously. But I have failed with Kansas lately. This team just does not seem like it's usual elite self. Now, maybe they come in and roll here. Hate the short number. But K-State is a tough team. Gonna come down to the Wildcats defense. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE
|
02-05-19 |
St. John's v. Marquette -6.5 |
|
70-69 |
Loss |
-104 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking MARQUETTE. Will grab what I think is one of those way to easy looking games. I like St John's, I'm a fan. Going back to Boo Harvey, Malik Sealy even as a 10 year old with Chris Mullin and Walter Berry. But I am not buying them to step up on the road vs Marquette. I think these guys can put together a deep NCAA run. Golden Eagles with huge revenge after SJU rolled them by 20 to start the year. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE
|
02-05-19 |
NC State +11 v. North Carolina |
|
96-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
Taking NC STATE. 24 points last game. Forget. Have to play State just on principle. 4* Money Maker NC STATE
|
02-05-19 |
Michigan State -10 v. Illinois |
|
74-79 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Will fire on these guys off a loss. I am not buying the Illini off a win. Sparty will be angry and focused tonight. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE
|
02-04-19 |
Louisville +5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
72-64 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker on LOUISVILLE. Short little write up as we return from AC. Everyone talking about VT allowing 24 points. Yes, what an effort. But let's not forget they shot only 35% themselves. Losing to NC, who they already knocked off during a 6 game win streak doesn't mean UL isn't good.
|
02-03-19 |
Clippers v. Raptors -10 |
|
103-121 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker TORONTO RAPTORS
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02-03-19 |
Georgetown v. Villanova -10.5 |
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65-77 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
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02-02-19 |
Cal-Irvine -4.5 v. Long Beach State |
|
82-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 6 m |
Show
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Taking IRVINE. Nice revenge spot for 10pt home loss a couple weeks back. Good scheduling spot as Long Beach just played at Hawaii Thursday night, and lost, their 4th straight after beating Irvine. 4* Money Maker IRVINE
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02-02-19 |
Pepperdine +2 v. Pacific |
|
59-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
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Taking PEPPERDINE. Have these guys a tad better and we are getting a bucket. A 13-3 ATS run vs WCC teams for the Waves is a nice trend. Pacific in off a game where they scored 42. Not shocking though as if we take 74-70 win over Portland, they couldn't crack 60 in 3 of their last 4. 4* Money Maker PEPPERDINE
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02-02-19 |
Nuggets v. Wolves +2 |
|
107-106 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
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Taking MINNESOTA. Denver comes in hot winning 5 straight including a big 136-122 win over the Rockets. Hitting the road in a b2b spot off a tough opponent, maybe a let down here. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
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02-02-19 |
Tennessee -11.5 v. Texas A&M |
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93-76 |
Win
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100 |
22 h 15 m |
Show
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Taking TENNESSEE. Have this game at 14 points- small value play on Vols. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE
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02-02-19 |
Fairfield v. Marist -3.5 |
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57-52 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
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Taking MARIST. Fave on a 11-4 ATS run. I have this number at almost 6. 4* Money Maker MARIST RED FOXES
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02-02-19 |
Clippers v. Pistons -1.5 |
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111-101 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
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Taking DETROIT. Clippers come in off OT loss to rival Lakers. Before that, lost at home to lowly Hawks. Now back on the road after that 1-2 home stand and before that another 4 game road trip. Fatigue looking like a problem. Raptors in a back tomorrow for LAC as we will look to Toronto in that spot also. 4* Money Maker DETROIT PISTONS
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02-02-19 |
Texas-Arlington v. Texas State -7.5 |
|
84-77 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
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Taking TEXAS STATE. 3rd straight road game for Arlington. Both teams in off road losses. But with UTSA hitting 38% from the field, will side with home team. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE
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02-02-19 |
UNLV v. Utah State -11.5 |
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65-82 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 48 m |
Show
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Taking UTAH STATE. Let's not get excited with the 5-3 UNLV conference record. That was against Mountain West bottom feeders. Back to back 17 point losses for the Rebels. We had Nevada beating them last game. And San Diego State took care of business before that. UNLV wants to run but we have seen how that played out the last 2 weeks. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE
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02-02-19 |
Delaware +5 v. William & Mary |
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63-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
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Taking DELAWARE. Not sure where this number is from. Maybe, William & Mary is -3. I'll take the extra bucket value. Tribe had lost 5 straight before beating Drexel. Just don't think they are worthy of this number. 4* Money Maker DELAWARE
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02-02-19 |
Bryant v. Central Connecticut State -3.5 |
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59-64 |
Win
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100 |
18 h 30 m |
Show
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Taking CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE. Have this rated at nearly 7. 4* Money Maker CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE
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02-02-19 |
Miami-FL v. Virginia -20 |
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46-56 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 48 m |
Show
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Taking VIRGINIA. Yes, big number. Big! - But. We see they have covered -21.5 vs Wake, -19.5 vs Marshall, -21.5 William & Mary, -35 vs Morgan State, -20 vs Mid Ten State, -39 vs Coppin, -25.5 vs Towson and failed to cover 26.5 (19) vs George Washington. Canes 0-4 in true road games (2-2 neutral) including losses by 14 at Penn 17 at Louisville and 20 at Syracuse. Miami on a 9-25 ATS run while VA is nearly opposite at home going 20-7-1 ATS last 28. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA
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02-02-19 |
Valparaiso v. Evansville -3 |
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53-64 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
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Taking EVANSVILLE. Pair of ugly teams right now. Purple Aces with 4 straight losses and 5 of 6. Valpo with 3 straight losses and 4 of 5. Valpo banged up though. Tough to win on the road when you are having trouble cracking 60 points. 4* Money Maker EVANSVILLE
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02-02-19 |
Drake v. Indiana State |
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68-62 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
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Taking DRAKE. Like this bunch. You should know that already, have been on them several times this season. Always bringing their lunch to game-day. Hard working team. 15-5-1 ATS run last 21, 6-1-1 ATS last 8 on the road. Beat Valpo by 11 on the road, Beat Bradley by 17 on the road. Lost in OT at Evansville. Lost at Northern Iowa by 3. Heck, beat San Diego in OT on a neutral. Beat New Mexico on a neutral. Won at Wisc-Milwaukee by 15. Neutral win over North Dak State. Lost on a neutral to Iowa State by 9, down 4 at half. Drake 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. 4* Money Maker DRAKE
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02-02-19 |
UL - Lafayette v. Coastal Carolina -4.5 |
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79-96 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
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Taking COASTAL CAROLINA. Coastal with 4 straight wins, 3 by double digits. Have this line almost double this number. Maybe cause ULL has gone over in 14 of their last 17 on the road and play zero defense. 4* Money Maker COASTAL
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02-02-19 |
Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia |
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71-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 8 m |
Show
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Taking OKLAHOMA. Have this with them as 4 points better. Plus, we have double revenge. And, the fact we cashed Baylor as a Best Bet over these guys and Sooners were smoked by 30, 77-47 last time out. West Va on a 2-8 SU run. 1-5 ATS last 6. Sooners 7-0-2 ATS run on the road. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA
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02-02-19 |
Kent State +4.5 v. Ball State |
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83-80 |
Win
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100 |
15 h 56 m |
Show
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Taking KENT STATE. Maybe a sucker line and I guess we are going for the low hanging fruit. A 14-3 ATS run in the series has us eyeing the Flashes. 4* Money Maker KENT STATE
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02-01-19 |
North Dakota v. Western Illinois -3 |
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74-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
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Taking WESTERN ILLINOIS. Nice little revenge spot for the home team. Postponed due to weather, the travel doesn't help North Dakota. I know they are from North Dakota but man, those were some cold temps out in the mid-west! No Dak with 3 straight losses in conference play. Looking at common foes so far. Both beat Denver. Western won at So Dak by 6, No Dak lost at home by 14. Fort Wayne, a 29 point win for WIU at home, an 11pt home loss for UND. They both loss to Omaha, So Dak St, No Dak St and Oral Roberts. Will lay it with the home team in a better spot. 4* Money Maker WESTERN ILLINOIS
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01-31-19 |
Gonzaga -13.5 v. BYU |
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93-63 |
Win
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100 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
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Taking GONZAGA. I know that BYU plays these guys tough at home. 8 of their 9 losses this year on the road. But the 1 at home, 76-62 to Houston. What sticks out to me is the losses when they step up even on the road. 19 at San Fran, 22 at St Mary's, 22 at Miss State, 16 at Nevada. How about a pair of losses vs Weber, losing by 10 and Illinois State 3 in OT. This is not one of those vintage BYU teams. Zaga lost to the Vols and then were picked apart their next game vs NC- both on the road. No harm in those losses. This line isn't high or teens or in the 20s. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker GONZAGA
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01-31-19 |
Cal Poly v. UC Riverside -8 |
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71-45 |
Loss |
-106 |
27 h 33 m |
Show
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Taking RIVERSIDE. Poly one of the worse teams in the lands. 0-5 in conference, 0-9 on the road. They have played 2 OT games at home. That is about as good as things have been for them. I have said this before. Road team barely shooting 40% on the year - Not wining many games scoring a little more than 60ppg. UCR 6-1 ATS last 7 vs Big West. 4* Money Maker UC RIVERSIDE HIGHLANDERS
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01-31-19 |
Delaware -2 v. Elon |
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56-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
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Taking DELAWARE. Will grab the Blue Hens even as short road faves. They beat up on the low level CAA teams. And, sitting at 3-6 in conference play, Elon rates a low level squad. Blue Hens 6-3 in CAA play and have beaten Elon by 12-7-15 the last 3 meetings. 4* Money Maker DELAWARE
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01-31-19 |
North Texas +4.5 v. Old Dominion |
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61-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
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Taking NORTH TEXAS. Worth taking a shot on these guys. Already with road wins at Hawaii, Indiana State and New Mexico. Revenge for last year's home loss, and OD has won 8 straight in the series. Different NT team though. 6 guys in double figures. 6-2 for NT, 6-3 for OD in conference play. Grabbing the points. 4* Money Maker NORTH TEXAS
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01-31-19 |
Austin Peay v. Tennessee Tech +9 |
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77-66 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
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Taking TENNESSEE TECH. Now, normally I am sliding into ugly teams like this in late February, not late January. But Tenn Tech has been pretty profitable lately. They just covered 3 straight on the road as big dogs 10 (outright), 9, 17.5 Then covered as 21 and 5.5. At home, 3 games with lines of +/- 1. So, not getting 9. We have won with Peay a few times already this year. In this spot though, I am taking the home pups who have won 3 straight in the series, and are 12-2 ATS last 14 vs Peay. Ten Tech on a 12-3 ATS run in Ohio Valley play. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TECH
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01-30-19 |
Air Force +10.5 v. San Diego State |
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51-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
23 h 29 m |
Show
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Taking AIR FORCE. So, Air Force beats these guys by 14 at home, and now are getting double digits? Sign me up. These guys beat UNLV. Led Nevada at the half. Beat Boise. I think we are getting a couple extra points based off that big win for them. 4* Money Maker AIR FORCE
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01-30-19 |
Illinois State v. Drake -4 |
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69-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 41 m |
Show
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Taking DRAKE. I just like these guys. They are a little under the radar in my opinion. Drake 20-6-1 ATS last 27 at home. Everyone remembers that 28-7 and 17-1 Redbirds team from a couple years ago. I see this game shaping up for Ill State like their Bradley road game, 85-68. Drake shooting nearly 51% at home and I think this is a 10pt win for us. 4* Money Maker DRAKE BULLDOGS
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01-30-19 |
Louisville -9.5 v. Wake Forest |
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82-54 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
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Taking LOUISVILLE. Huge game for UL. Can't look ahead. They need to take care of business here as they have been- winning 5 straight after that OT loss at Pitt. Ranked NC, VT, Duke, Florida State lay ahead. I can't find one edge for Wake other than who Louisville has to play next. And, having knocked off NC on the road already, they have to be feeling good about heading home. Wake is really struggling in all aspects. Barring UL laying a total egg, this should be at minimum, a 12-15 point win. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE
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01-30-19 |
Lamar v. Nicholls State |
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90-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
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Taking NICHOLIS STATE. Have this at 3, and we can get it at PK. 4* Money Maker NICHOLIS STATE
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01-30-19 |
Northwestern State v. New Orleans -9.5 |
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64-72 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
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Taking NEW ORLEANS. Have this line a bit higher. Northwestern State will have 20+ losses this year. 37% shooting overall. 1-8 on the road. Should be a 13 point win for the home team. 4* NEW ORLEANS
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01-30-19 |
Canisius v. Niagara +2 |
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70-78 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 2 m |
Show
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Taking NIAGARA. My numbers have this as the home team favored - yet, we can get 2 points. I'll take it. 4* Money Maker NIAGARA
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01-30-19 |
Virginia Tech -6.5 v. Miami-FL |
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82-70 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 59 m |
Show
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Taking VIRGINIA TECH. VT has taken care of bad teams this year. And the Hurricanes qualify as a bad team. Miami has beaten Wake so far in ACC play. Not even competitive in most of these losses. I will be shocked if they stay within 10. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH
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01-30-19 |
Bradley v. Evansville -4 |
|
81-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 52 m |
Show
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Taking EVANSVILLE. Tough taking a team with 3 straight losses and 4 in their last 5 games. I get it. Especially when we had Bradley the other night in their 37 point effort after putting up 85 the game before. But, 37-57-50-60 shows me the Braves have some trouble scoring on the road. Favorite on a 10-4 ATS run while Bradley helps the cause with a 2-7 ATS run of their own. 4* EVANSVILLE
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01-30-19 |
Stony Brook v. Maryland-Baltimore County +2 |
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49-57 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 50 m |
Show
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Taking UMBC. Again. I have these guys as home faves in this spot, and yet, we are getting a bucket. Top teams in the America East. Home dog and easy call. 4* Money Maker UMBC
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01-30-19 |
West Virginia v. Iowa State -12 |
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68-93 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 34 m |
Show
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Taking IOWA STATE. So I have this at 15 points. This is not a vintage West Virginia team by any stretch of the definition. Cyclones not a bad bunch. 3 losses in Big 12 play. Their first, loss by 3 at Baylor after beating Kansas. OK, a let-down game. Then a 1pt home loss the next game to Kansas State. Finally, Kansas gets their revenge by 4 at home.. Just not high on West Va even if they hang tough in their games. 5 straight losses then an upset of Kansas. Then 2 more losses coming into tonight. At home, maybe WVA would get a look. Not in this spot though. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE
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01-30-19 |
Campbell v. Radford -7 |
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68-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
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Taking RADFORD. I try not to include a lot of small schools in daily packages. Some people can't get down on them and the lines come out late and there is sometimes a lot of movement. Like this game. Saw this opening at 10 and now 7. I have Radford 10 points better, so now we fire. 4* Money Maker RADFORD
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01-29-19 |
Nevada -9.5 v. UNLV |
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87-70 |
Win
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100 |
26 h 51 m |
Show
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Taking NEVADA. After a couple sluggish games, the Wolfpack unleashed on Colorado State. 100-60 as CSU tried to outgun their opponents. I get UNLV will be pumped for a Top 10 coming to town. But Reno has won 3 straight here. As much as the home dog wants to make as statement, the in-state rivals from the Biggest Little City in the World want their own statement. Look- I think Nevada, Michigan State and Tennessee are all Final Four teams. They can take it to anyone, anytime, anywhere. Nevada by 20 here if the Rebels try to push the pace. They just won't be able to keep up. Too good, too deep. Wolfpack! 4* Money Maker NEVADA
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01-29-19 |
St. Joe's v. Dayton -8.5 |
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64-75 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
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Taking DAYTON. I know this is a big number when we look at the fact that St Joe's has been on a 12-1 ATS run in this series. But even with that trend, how do you trust a team shooting 40% from the field vs a team shooting 50%. Joe's 1-6 on the road, 2-5 in conference. In off 8pt loss at Penn. Lost at STL by 11, lost at Duquesne by 1, lost at St Bonnie by 26. I've seen other power numbers that have this at 13. I have it at 11. It's a value play at a bare minimum. 4* Money Maker DAYTON
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