08-15-17 |
Astros v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 |
|
9-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Houston in a slide the last couple weeks. The offense is sputtering along. Peacock has been a strike out machine. 112Ks in 88+ innings. Banda has 3 starts under his belt, and though not with overwhelming numbers. He does have 16Ks in 15+ innings so he misses bats. So we have a pair of guys who can K their way out of jams. Offenses missing some pop. (Correa, McCann, Gattis, Peralta) An afternoon getaway day game. I'm in. 4* Total Money UNDER Houston/Arizona
|
08-13-17 |
Angels v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. This is one of those days where I really can't find things I love. Some days, we get 3 or 4 even 5 games to cash on. Other times we are cherry picking. Now, you know right off the bat I am crossing out huge faves unless I see something with a dog. Again, not much for the taking for me today. We can look for regression plays on some guys, but the value on the opposing team isn't worth it. (Tigers Even) We can look to cash on a nice total trend. (Over Brewers 13-3-1 L17) - That being said, I really just like this UNDER between the Angels and Mariners. Bridwell has been very effective for LAA in his 10 starts. He has a fantastic 1.80 road ERA with a 1.00 WHIP and a tidy .182 BA against along with a 2.76 ERA his last 5 starts. Seattle youngster Ariel Miranda counters with a strong 4-0 mark with a 2.61 ERA career vs the Angels. In 11 home starts he sports a .96 WHIP and .199 BA against. Let's close out this winning week strong! 4* Total Money UNDER Angels/ Mariners
|
08-11-17 |
Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 |
|
11-10 |
Win
|
105 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total. Over 11-2-1 last 14 in Milwaukee. Over 5-1 last 6 in the series. Nelson has gone 7-1-1 over his last 9 starts vs the Reds. Homer has gone 7-3 over his last 10 starts vs the Brewers. The Reds have cashed 5 straight overs. Their bullpen is terrible. Homer Bailey has a 8.86 ERA on the year. Only 5.47 on the road (14.33 at home) but hitters are slapping him with a .321 BA against and his 13K / 10BB ratio is wonderful for his 1.71 WHIP. Jimmy Nelson has been great at home with a 2+ ERA and 1.93 ERA vs Cincy this year. I just expect some runs. 4* Total Money OVER Reds/Brewers
|
08-10-17 |
Broncos v. Bears UNDER 36 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Broncos/Bears
|
08-10-17 |
Saints v. Browns UNDER 38.5 |
|
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
100 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Saints/Browns
|
08-09-17 |
Texans v. Panthers OVER 36 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 13 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. For whatever it's worth. Carolina's Ron Rivera has gone over 5 straight Game 1s in NFLX. Just think that Texans QBs are going to come out throwing. Savage and Weeden have NFL experience. One of them will get some extended time. I liked Watson in college. I think if he gets time vs back-ups, he will have success. Cam Newton won't play. Anderson is the #2 and will get a short look. I always like Joe Webb in preseason. He is good for some excitement. Not sure if Garrett Gilbert even plays. I am sure he was just signed with Cam being banged up. 4* Total Money OVER Texans/Panthers
|
08-09-17 |
Red Sox v. Rays OVER 9 |
|
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 38 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. I know these guys have been playing under the last week and a half. But I gotta look to the over in this spot. One. We have Odorizzi coming off the DL. Any other TB pitcher and we would be on the Rays vs Porcello. But back to Odorizzi. He will give up runs. He has allowed 15HRs here at home. His ERA in 4.63 in those 10 starts. He has had 1 start in his last 9 where he has given up fewer than 3 runs. The guy, when he was going good, will give up 3 in 5 innings. And we know Tampa has some bullpen issues. Onto Porcello. This guy was 22-4 last year. Cy Young winner. 22-4 to 5-14. Wonder if a reigning Cy Young winner, a 20 game winner, ever followed it with a 20 loss season? He has cleaned things up a bit but still sports some average to ugly splits. I look for some offense tonight. 4* Total Money OVER Sox/Rays
|
08-08-17 |
Brewers v. Twins OVER 10 |
|
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Brewers/Twins
|
08-06-17 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 8 |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER DBacks/Giants
|
08-06-17 |
Padres v. Pirates UNDER 9 |
|
4-5 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Padres/Pirates
|
07-29-17 |
Royals v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 |
|
8-9 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Man. These Royals just keep on rolling along. I didn't play them last night. Not because I think Price is good. He was scratched. But I just didn't like Vargas vs Price. But I would have taken a swing on him vs Porcello at +130. Problem is that some of these pitching changes happen late in the day when packages are already up. Eh. Moving on. Cahill has been pretty darn good for SD this year and I like that KC is a buyer. I think he holds the Sox in check. Boston hasn't been hitting all that well this month. Not sure which Rodriguez shows up. He hasn't done much since coming off the DL. But he has nice home splits which could slow down this KC attack. 4* Total Money UNDER
|
07-29-17 |
Mets v. Mariners OVER 9 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Tough day yesterday as the Rays were pummeled and the Phillies scratched the bad pitcher I thought we were going to face. And speaking of bad pitchers, well hello Yovani Gallardo! I have said before how much I loved this guy on the Brewers. He was a solid money maker for a few years. But man oh man, time has been unkind. Last time we faded him we talked about his 5- ERA last year 23 starts and it has continued, and actually risen this season. A 6.02 home ERA. Mets are going to scores some runs this afternoon. And even though deGrom has been dealing his last 8 starts, the road has been unkind. He gave up 4 at STL to start the month. To start June he gave up 8 at Texas. His only road start between those against the feeble Giants. 8 innings 4 hits 1 earned. He gave up 2 earned to the Padres last time out. But the Mariners have better bats. His real dominance has been at home. The road record is there, 6-1 in 10 starts. But a 4.34 ERA and 14 HRs allowed make me believe Seattle can notch some runs here. Again. I am under the belief that Gallardo is giving up 5 runs by the 4th inning. You would think the Mets would approach this total on their own. As well as Jacob has been, I think we are looking at a 4-4 game by the 5th. 4* Total Money OVER Mets/ Mariners
|
07-28-17 |
Reds v. Marlins OVER 9.5 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Marlins
|
07-24-17 |
Twins v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
105 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Have to tell you the truth. I see we are getting +105 and I am a bit worried. Looks a little too easy. And you know I try to avoid the 'easy money' and low hanging fruit, especially on the bases. I not only shy away from when a team looks like it should be laying more than 110, I usually go the other way. Albeit, we do get mixed results. But there is not a chance on God's green Earth that I can think that 63 year old Bartolo Colon or however old he is (44) keeps this Dodgers offense in check. He is going to give up at least 5 runs. No way that LAD thinks this is a cake walk. Not after losing the first 2 at home to the Braves, and having their ace go down yesterday and their bullpen stud blow the lead. Forget about Colon's first start against his old team the Mets (1 run). His other 7 road games he has given up 42 runs! 42 runs in 33 innings on 58 hits. Has he found the fountain of youth? Now we add in Ryu who is off the DL. Again, you know I like fading guys making first starts off the DL. He hasn't been particular great with a 4.17 ERA at home, 4.21 on the season. Twins have some bats, and Ryu has given up 11 homers in his 7 home games. 4* Total Money OVER Twins/Dodgers
|
07-19-17 |
Cardinals v. Mets UNDER 8 |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Cards/Mets
|
07-18-17 |
Indians v. Giants UNDER 8 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Indians/ Giants
|
07-18-17 |
Tigers v. Royals OVER 10.5 |
|
9-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Tigers/Royals
|
07-18-17 |
Yankees v. Twins OVER 10.5 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Yanks/Twins
|
07-17-17 |
Rays v. A's OVER 9 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Rays/A's
|
07-16-17 |
Blue Jays v. Tigers UNDER 10 |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Jays/Tigers
|
07-14-17 |
Indians v. A's UNDER 8 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Indians/A's
|
07-14-17 |
Nationals v. Reds OVER 10 |
|
5-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Nats/Reds
|
07-14-17 |
Rockies v. Mets UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Rockies/Mets
|
07-08-17 |
Red Sox v. Rays OVER 9 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Boston/Tampa
|
06-30-17 |
Giants v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 |
|
13-5 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Giants/Pirates
|
06-29-17 |
Rays v. Pirates UNDER 8 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. So I was going to start by mentioning teams or totals that almost made the cut today. But you should know that I don't put games out that I 'sorta' like. If I like 6 games, I will put out all 6. If I like 1, we get 1. Today, this is it. Archer is good pitcher and Pitt hasn't really seen him much so that is added edge. He has alternated starts giving up 2-4-2-4 runs this month. He still strikes guys out at a decent clip for me though. Pirates counter with Tailon who has been good since coming back from cancer. Cancer!! Rays have been an over team a lot, but I think we get low scoring affair tonight. They have gone under in 6 straight inter-league games. Pirates have gone under in 7 of their last 10 overall and is 11-4-1 under their last 16. 4* Total Money UNDER Rays/Pirates
|
06-28-17 |
Yankees v. White Sox OVER 9 |
|
12-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total tonight. Just expect some runs here. Over is now 7-2 last 9 in this series. Tanaka has been, well. I have no idea what he is. He has tossed absolute gems, and has been absolutely lit up. A 6.70 ERA on the road and batters slapping him at a .313 clip. Rodon is off DL stint where he was far from looking effective. In 17 innings he gave up 20 runs in 17 innings on 21 hits. 4* Total Money OVER Yanks/Sox
|
06-28-17 |
Royals v. Tigers OVER 9.5 |
|
8-2 |
Win
|
105 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here in Detroit. I'll start with Kennedy who thinks that he is suppose to go 5+ and give up 4 runs every start. He has given up 4 runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. KC has gone 7-1-1 to the Over in his last 9 starts. Kennedy has a 5.23 road ERA in a starts. Yet, somehow, he sports a road BA against of .189! But when you are walking 18 batters and giving up a HR in every start, those free passes hurt. Royals as a team are 8-2-1 Over their last 11. Norris brings a home ERA of 5 to the mound tonight as opposing hitters are raking him at a .304 clip. Another guy who likes to go 5 plus and hand things over to a crappy bullpen. Norris has gone over in 4 of his last 5 start vs KC and the series has gone over in 6 of the last 8. 4* Total Money OVER Royals/Tigers
|
06-27-17 |
Brewers v. Reds OVER 9.5 |
|
6-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Brewers/ Reds
|
06-27-17 |
Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 10 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER O's/Jays
|
06-26-17 |
Angels v. Dodgers OVER 9 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER LAA/LAD
|
06-26-17 |
Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
First off, a terrible day to close the week. We get 8 runs in 4 innings in the Nats game and can't get over. We get 7 runs in 4 innings in the Braves game and can't get an over. Padres, Pirates and Royals let us down. Salvaged some bankroll with the A's RL and big dog Rangers That being said, we are back on the OVER in these Cincinnati games. Finnegan is fresh off a DL stint and we know the Reds bullpen can give up a run or two. Reds broke out for a little offense to salvage a game in Washington. STL exploded against the Pirates late to put some runs last night. This Cards team has been up and down all year. Wacha hasn't gotten out of the 5th inning in 5 of his last 6 starts. He has been better (3.50 ERA) at home, as opposed to the road (7.03). Still think we see runs tonight. Both teams have gone over in 7 of their last 10. Wacha has gone 5-1 over in his last 6 home starts vs Cincy and the over is 5-2-1 last 8 in the series. 4* Total Money OVER
|
06-25-17 |
Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Pirates/Cardinals
|
06-25-17 |
Reds v. Nationals OVER 10 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Nats
|
06-25-17 |
Brewers v. Braves OVER 9.5 |
|
7-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Brewers/Braves
|
06-25-17 |
Orioles v. Rays OVER 9.5 |
|
8-5 |
Win
|
107 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER O's/ Rays
|
06-25-17 |
Twins v. Indians OVER 9.5 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Twins/Indians
|
06-24-17 |
Brewers v. Braves OVER 9.5 |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Brewers/Braves
|
06-24-17 |
Reds v. Nationals OVER 9.5 |
|
3-18 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Nats
|
06-23-17 |
Tigers v. Padres UNDER 8 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Tigers/Padres
|
06-23-17 |
Brewers v. Braves OVER 9 |
|
4-5 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Brewers/Braves
|
06-23-17 |
Orioles v. Rays OVER 8.5 |
|
5-15 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER O's/Rays
|
06-23-17 |
Reds v. Nationals OVER 9 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Nats
|
06-22-17 |
Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Cards/Phils
|
06-21-17 |
Astros v. A's UNDER 9 |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Houston/Oakland
|
06-21-17 |
Reds v. Rays OVER 9 |
|
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Rays
|
06-20-17 |
Nationals v. Marlins OVER 9 |
|
12-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Nats/Marlins
|
06-19-17 |
Reds v. Rays OVER 9 |
|
7-3 |
Win
|
105 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Rays
|
06-18-17 |
Dodgers v. Reds OVER 11 |
|
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Dodgers/Reds
|
06-14-17 |
A's v. Marlins UNDER 9 |
|
6-11 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER A's/Marlins
|
06-13-17 |
Diamondbacks v. Tigers UNDER 9 |
|
7-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Arizona/Detroit
|
06-12-17 |
Reds v. Padres OVER 8.5 |
|
3-9 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Reds/Padres
|
06-12-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 230.5 |
|
120-129 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Have to think Warriors come out firing away. I think the Cavs put up a fight. I can see GS going for about 130 tonight. I think Cleveland gets at least 105-110. 4* Total Money OVER Cavs/Warriors
|
06-12-17 |
Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 |
|
11-10 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total in Washington. Strasburg has gone over in 6 of his last 7 starts vs Braves. The series has gone over 7 straight here in Washington. Over is 15-5 last 20. Foltynewicz has gone over in 16 of his last 22 starts. 4* Total Money OVER Braves/Nats
|
06-11-17 |
White Sox v. Indians UNDER 9 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. So we like Quintana and the White Sox at the + Money, and will also go under this afternoon. Quintana has gone 8-3 under his last 11 overall and 19-7 his last 26 on the road. Carrasco has gone under in 9 of his last 12. Quintana also has gone under in 5 of his last 6 here in Cleveland and 8 of 10 vs the Indians overall. Carrasco is 5-2-1 under in his last 8 starts vs the Sox. Quintana is 7-4 2.84 in 18 starts (20games) vs Indians. We'll close out knowing that Carrasco is 4-9 4.89 in 19 career games vs Sox and 3-7 in his last 10 starts vs Chicago. 4* Total Money UNDER Sox/Indians
|
06-10-17 |
Angels v. Astros OVER 9.5 |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total. Fading away on Nolasco. Guy has given up 11HRs on the road so far this year. (4.37 ERA 6 starts) - Friers is another guy prone to the long ball, 18 on the year. 7 here at home. That goes with his .308 BA against so we know the Angels will be getting some good looks. He is 0-2 at home in 4 starts with a 3.97 ERA. Think we some offense this afternoon. 4* Total Money OVER
|
06-10-17 |
New York Mets - Game #1 v. Atlanta Braves - Game #1 OVER 9.5 |
|
6-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-17 |
Blue Jays v. Mariners OVER 8.5 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Jays/Mariners
|
06-09-17 |
White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8.5 |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Will add a couple notes as we have a couple overs in other games tonight. Kluber has gone under in 10 of his last 11 starts vs Chicago and in 4 of his last 5 vs the Sox here at home. Series has gone 5-1-1 under last 7. Indians are under in 6 of Kluber's last 8 home starts and 5 of their last 7 overall. 4* Total Money UNDER
|
06-09-17 |
Mets v. Braves OVER 9.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Mets/Braves
|
06-09-17 |
A's v. Rays OVER 8.5 |
|
4-13 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER A's/Rays
|
06-08-17 |
Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 9.5 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Cards/Reds
|
06-07-17 |
Twins v. Mariners OVER 9.5 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Twins/Mariners
|
06-07-17 |
Indians v. Rockies OVER 11 |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 46 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Tribe/Rox
|
06-04-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 220.5 |
|
113-132 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total in Game 2. Had the Cavs and Over in Game 1.. Will have Cavs, points + ML as a Free Play tonight. GS did their job scoring, but Cleveland was little lack-luster. Defending jobs will come out strong tonight. This isn't some fluke team. They have the best player on the court. Not a chance they come out flat tonight. A lot of attacking the basket on both sides. And we should see an uptick in free points at the FT line which only help us as the clock stops. 4* Total Money OVER Cavs/Warriors
|
06-04-17 |
Indians v. Royals UNDER 9 |
|
8-0 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Indians/Royals
|
06-04-17 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Yanks/Jays
|
06-02-17 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 9 |
|
5-7 |
Win
|
105 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Yanks/Jays
|
06-01-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 226 |
|
91-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
60 h 44 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Just think we have a lot of points on the board tonight. Think that GS really wants to make a statement in Game 1. Granted, both teams could be sloppy off their breaks. But the Warriors have that up 3-1 taste still in their mouth from last year. Warriors can score also. Think we see something in the 230-240 range. 4* Money Maker OVER Warriors/ Cavs
|
06-01-17 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 9 |
|
12-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Yanks/Jays
|
05-31-17 |
Red Sox v. White Sox OVER 9.5 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Sox/Sox
|
05-31-17 |
Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 8 |
|
2-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Phillies/Marlins
|
05-31-17 |
Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER DBacks/Pirates
|
05-30-17 |
Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 8 |
|
13-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Sox/Sox
|
05-30-17 |
A's v. Indians UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER A's/Indians
|
05-27-17 |
Reds v. Phillies OVER 8.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
24 h 57 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Arroyo and his 6.75 ERA come into Philly where the 10-4-2 OVER their last 16 (not counting last night). Not that I ever had the talent of this 40 year old, but come on Bronson, you are throwing mid 80s fastballs to MLBers. Not going to be pretty. He has a road ERA of 8.05 in 4 starts. .313 BAA and a WHIP of 1.84 - The series has gone 15-5-1 over last 21 in Philly. Again. I am writing this prior to the Friday game so the trend is going to be wrong. Eickhoff has a mid 4 ERA at home and doesn't do anything fancy. He is going to give up hits and runs. He has give up at least 4 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. Phillies have gone over in 4 of his last 5, while the Reds have gone over in 6 of Arroyo's last 7 road games. 4* Total Money OVER Reds/Phillies
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05-26-17 |
Detroit Tigers - Game #2 v. Chicago White Sox - Game #2 OVER 9.5 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
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Will be going OVER in BOTH Tigers/White Sox games. The over is 6-0 last 6 in the series. 4-1-1 to the over here in Chicago. Tigers have gone over in Farmer's last 6 road starts and 8 straight of his games. Boyd is 1-5 in his last 6 vs CWS and 0-4 here in Chicago. He has a 5.30 road ERA and a WHIP of 1.98 with hitters slapping him at a .329 clip. Sox on a 9-4-2 over run. Pelfrey couldn't get out of the 5th back in April vs the Tigers. This guy is a glorified BP pitcher right now. No clue about what to expect out of Danish. But I am sure Detroit will muster some offense. 4* Total Money OVER Tigers/Sox
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05-25-17 |
Senators v. Penguins UNDER 5 |
|
2-3 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Sens/Pens
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05-25-17 |
Tigers v. Astros OVER 9 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
105 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
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Going OVER the total here. Friers has given up 17 HRs already this year in just 42 innings. That is an epic pace! He has pitched to a better ERA at home, 3.50, than on the road, 6.38 - That being said, I think he still gives up 4-5 runs tonight. Not that I am huge sabermetrics type capper. I like my WHIP and BAA, but in the case of Friers, I have to note his extremely high FIP. It is off the charts bad. And let's not sell Verlander short. Clearly the mileage is taking its toll on his arm. He had a great year last year, but is slow out of the gate. He was limited the year before, so maybe we are seeing some arm fatigue early. We know that the Astros can hit. And giving free passes will help us get some more runs on the board tonight. Verlander is half-way home to last years walk total. Final thought at we toss in some Verlander road splits. How about 2-3 in 5 starts with an ERA of 7.24 - A 1.79 WHIP adds to my thinking we see a 5-5 game by the 4th. 5* Best Bet OVER Tigers/Astros
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05-24-17 |
Angels v. Rays OVER 8.5 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Angels/Rays
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05-24-17 |
Blue Jays v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
|
8-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Jays/Brewers
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05-23-17 |
White Sox v. Diamondbacks OVER 10.5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-117 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Sox/DBacks
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05-20-17 |
White Sox v. Mariners OVER 8.5 |
|
16-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Sox/Mariners
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05-20-17 |
Warriors v. Spurs OVER 212.5 |
|
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Warriors/Spurs
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05-20-17 |
Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 |
|
3-9 |
Loss |
-120 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Rangers/Tigers
|
05-20-17 |
Red Sox v. A's OVER 8.5 |
|
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Sox/A's
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05-19-17 |
Yankees v. Rays UNDER 8 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Yanks/Rays
|
05-19-17 |
Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 9 |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Rangers/Tigers
|
05-18-17 |
White Sox v. Mariners OVER 8.5 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER White Sox/ Mariners
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05-15-17 |
Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Will probably have to ride this over all series long. The Mets have gone under just 6 times this year. And 2 of those just missed a push on the total. The series has gone over 4 straight and 6 of the last 7. Mets are 12-3-1 OVER their last 16 on the road. NY has gone 4-0-2 over in Wheeler's last 6 starts. Arizona is on a 7-1 over run in Godley's last 8 starts, including 5-1 his last 6 at home. 4* Total Money OVER Mets/DBacks
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05-15-17 |
Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-137 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
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Going OVER the total here. Pens are coming out firing away tonight. They obviously were in a little bit of a bad spot off that big Game 7 win over the Caps. Now I didn't play anything in Game 1 of this series since I wasn't sure how Pitt would come out. Well. They were flat. I expect an uptick in scoring tonight. Senators also missed some spots in Game 1. They could have lit the lamp for at least another goal, possibly 2. Won't be shocked to see a 4-3 game here. 4* Total Money OVER Sens/Pens
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05-15-17 |
Rays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
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Going UNDER the total here. Indians have gone under in 8 of 10. Tribe with trouble scoring all season. Even though TB has gone over of late, this is still a bad hitting club. Archer has been shelled in the past vs Cleveland (5.14 ERA) - But I think that coming in rolling (1.69 ERA L3 starts) that helps us a bit. 4 earned in 24 innings 27Ks are nice numbers. This series has also gone under in 5 of the last 6. Carrasco is win-less at home in 3 starts all the while posting a 2.49 ERA with a WHIP of .88 and .189 BA against. Safe to say he isn't the problem Indians have gone under in 8 straight of his starts. 4* Total Money UNDER Rays/Tribe
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05-10-17 |
Oilers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
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Going OVER the total here. +130? This is obviously a big sucker play to lure me in. Has anyone seen the goals allowed each game in this series? 8-7-7-9-3-8 . I'm no rocket scientist, but I am pretty the outlier here is that only 3 goals were scored in Game 2. I know in Game 7s we should be stressing defense. But neither team seems intent on that. Would be really shocked if this game wasn't 3-3 by the end of 2. 4* Total Money OVER Oilers/Ducks
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05-10-17 |
Penguins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 |
|
2-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Now normally in Game 7s I am looking at unders and defense. But these clubs have been scoring all series and I don't think it changes tonight, even in an all or nothing Game 7. These guys play their games. And that generates offense. Neither team is throwing out their playbook to play safe, worry free, limit mistake hockey. They are playing to their strengths that got them here in the first place. 4* Total Money OVER Pens/Caps
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05-08-17 |
Indians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Might look at this one all series long. Under has cashed 6 straight and 9 of the last 11 in Toronto. Stroman has gone 6-2 under his last 8 home starts. Indians have gone under in 8 of 10, and 14-3-1 last 18. Cleveland is also 23-4-4 to the under in Bauer's last 31 road starts. 4* Total Money UNDER Indians/Jays
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05-06-17 |
Penguins v. Capitals OVER 5 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 59 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. We are already on the Pens, and I think we will see some goals here. Won't be shocked to see a 4-3 type game. Caps are absolutely desperate here. They will come out firing. Pens, as I said in their write up, have caught plenty of breaks. Or the breaks just haven't gone Washington's way. Either way, Pens getting a nice number with house money. Both teams can score. Maybe we get a nice sweep. Worse case, we split and don't lose a penny. 4* Total Money OVER Pens/Caps
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05-06-17 |
Indians v. Royals UNDER 8 |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
105 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Maybe you can find an 8.5 around, but either way, I like the under. Neither team hitting much as Cleveland has gone under in 8 of 10 and 13 of 16. KC has gone under in 4 of 5 and 5 of 10. But before that brief run of overs, they had gone under in 10 straight. Vargas putting together a nice start with a 1.42 ERA and .98 WHIP allowing only 5 walks (29Ks) in nearly 32 innings. Tomlin hasn't been anything special in 2017, but has is 3-0-1 to the under in his last 4 starts vs KC. 4* Total Money UNDER Indians/Royals
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05-06-17 |
Rangers v. Senators UNDER 5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here again. A couple pushes on this series, but I will continue to back the under. Just think that these guys play tough. And goals will be at a premium again in the always pivotal Game 5. 4* Total Money UNDER Rangers/Senators
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05-04-17 |
Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 |
|
1-4 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Sens/NYR
|
05-02-17 |
Blues v. Predators UNDER 5 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
One write for the NHL Playoffs tonight. First up. UNDERS. Going UNDER in both. Somehow the Sens and NYR tallied up 11 goals. Not sure how they volleyed off that man shots past the net-minders, but I think we see more defense here on Tuesday. Down, 0-2, NYR has to play tough on D, and not make any mistakes. As for the Blues series. Almost the same thinking applies. STL trying to pull even at 2 games apiece. They need to steal one here, and I think they can pull off a 2-0 win if they can catch some breaks. 4* Total Money UNDERS So I will be backing the SENATORS. I know we had the Caps in desperation mode last night. And the Rangers are in the same boat. I just think with this price, we have to take the value on Ottawa. NYR had been playing better on the road all year than at home Maybe they have some of that 1st round magic saved up. But I am not going to be shocked in the least when they are down 0-3. 4* OTTAWA SENATORS Grabbing the BLUES here. This is probably the weekend of my 4 hockey tonight, but again, if you followed me at all this year, you know there is zero chance I am laying -170. Not in hockey. Not in baseball. Not anywhere. Strictly a value play for me. STL down 2-1 in the series. Need to pull even or face a near impossible 3-1 hole to climb out of. 4* STL BLUES
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