Kyle Hunter Football Totals Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 44 | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Minnesota Vikings have had a terribly disappointing season. The offense has been bad. The fact that they have underperformed so much allows us to get a nice number on the over in this game. In Brett Favre's three games against Green Bay in the last couple years, the Vikings have scored 24, 38, and 30 points. The total has gone over in the last five meetings between these two teams. Green Bay's defense is depleted in a big way because of injuries. Minnesota's defense is pretty good, but they haven't played up to expectations. I think Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense will be able to move the ball consistently against Minnesota in this one. The over is 5-1 in Minnesota's last 6 games overall. The over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. The value is on the over in this game.
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11-20-10 | Arkansas State v. Navy OVER 64 | 19-35 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Navy Midshipmen have gotten their ground game working once again this year. They started off a little slowly, but they have been racking up the yards in the last few games. They average 303 yards per game on the ground. Arkansas State's defense is absolutely terrible. The Red Wolves are allowing 206 yards per game on the ground this year, which is 110th in the nation. On the other side, Arkansas State has a pretty good passing game. They are 22nd in the nation in passing yards. Navy has struggled against solid passing teams this year. Navy is allowing 234 yards per game on the ground. The last three games for Navy have finished with totals of 65, 101, and 75. The last four games for Arkansas State have finished with totals of 70, 53, 75, and 71. The over is 4-0 in both teams last 4 games. I like the over a lot in this one.
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11-20-10 | Ole Miss v. LSU UNDER 51 | 36-43 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Showdown Total* Ole Miss has been a big disappointment this year. Their defense was supposed to be solid this year, but they have been pretty bad. LSU's defense is one of the very best in the country. LSU ranks sixth in the nation in points allowed at just 14.6 points per game. The LSU offense has struggled all year, especially when it comes to throwing the football. Mississippi has been decent against the run, but LSU should be able to get plenty of yards on the ground. I am counting on LSU's defense to rise up at home like they have consistently for the last few years. The under is 12-2 in their last 14 home games. 10 of their last 11 games at home have finished at 51 points or less. I think it will be difficult for the Rebels to consistently move the ball against this defense. I like the under in this one.
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11-20-10 | East Carolina v. Rice OVER 72 | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 41 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals Terrorizer* At first glance you might think it is crazy to be playing an over on a total set at 72 points. Look at the numbers though, and you'll see this is a very good value. East Carolina's offense is extremely productive, and they run an uptempo offense. The Pirates have scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games. They have the #5 passing attack in the nation. Rice's secondary is horrible, in fact they are the second worst in the country against the pass. East Carolina could very well put up more than 50 points in this one. At the same time, Rice should be able to put up plenty of points as well against an East Carolina defense that is allowing 41 points per game for the year. This one should be one heck of a shootout. Take the over here.
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11-20-10 | Troy State v. South Carolina OVER 57.5 | 24-69 | Win | 100 | 114 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Troy State Trojans have a great offense, but their defense is horrible. South Carolina's offense has been very good this year, but they have struggled defensively against teams with a solid passing attack. South Carolina is ranked 107th in the nation in pass defense, and Troy is ranked 13th in the nation in passing. Troy should be able to score several points in this game. On the other side, Troy has allowed 35 and 52 points against North Texas and FIU respectively in their last two games. The Gamecocks have a better offense than both of those teams, and even if they are a bit flat after last week's big win they should be able to score more than 40 in this one. How about a couple great 100% angles for this game? The over is 8-0 in Troy's last 8 games against an SEC opponent. The over is also 4-0 in South Carolina's last four home games. Take the over here.
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11-19-10 | Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 64.5 | 0-51 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Style Bookie Basher* The Boise State Broncos are on a mission to prove to the public that they are worthy of a BCS National Title berth. The team knows they not only need to win, but they must win big from here on out. This is one of their best chances to do it on a national stage against a Fresno State program that has a quality reputation in college football. Fresno allowed 55 points against Ole Miss earlier this year, and 34 against Louisiana Tech. Boise State has a better offense than both of these teams. Fresno State's offense has scored at least 33 points in each of their last four games, and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 overall. I think Boise State puts up at least 45-50 points by themselves, and Fresno should be able to put up the rest. I like the over in this game.
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11-14-10 | St Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total of the Week* The San Francisco 49ers will start Troy Smith again in this game. Smith played well in his start against Denver. Expect the Niners to keep the offense pretty vanilla and run the football quite often. The Rams are one of the biggest surprises in the NFL at 4-4 right now. The defense is much better than almost everyone thought they would be. They are 8th in the NFL in rushing defense, and I think they'll do a solid job of stopping Frank Gore in this game. Sam Bradford is very good, but his wide receivers have been decimated by injury and I think that will be a problem this week. The trends point strongly toward the under in this game. The under is 9-2 in the Rams last 11 games overall. The under is 6-2 in San Francisco's last 8 home games. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two. I like the under in this game.
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11-14-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Denver Broncos OVER 43 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 62 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The Kansas City Chiefs are a much improved football team, but they still have plenty of weaknesses. The Chiefs pass defense is weak, and Denver should be able to exploit that. Kansas City's offense has been improving greatly over the last few weeks, and they are now the #1 rushing team in the NFL. The Broncos have struggled mightily to try to stop the running game. Take a look at the recent history between these two teams. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games. Last year's two meetings finished at 57 and 68 points. Turnovers are likely to happen here as both defenses are opportunistic, and the Broncos especially are prone to turning it over. I expect the Broncos offense to have a good game plan as they come off the bye week. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-13-10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys v. Texas UNDER 56 | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star ABC Showdown Moneymaker* The Texas Longhorns are having a terrible season. Mack Brown's team is now 4-5 overall and 2-7 ATS this year. Oklahoma State is 8-1 overall and 7-2 ATS. There is one thing that stands out to be about the line that the oddsmakers have set on this game. The posted total is 56 points. Texas has yet to have a game this year finish with a total score of more than 53 points. Sure Oklahoma State has a great offense, but this Texas defense is very good. Oklahoma State has a weak defense, but Texas' offense has been awful this year. Oklahoma State is the third ranked passing attack in the nation, but Texas ranks second in the nation in pass defense. Oklahoma State is particularly weak in the secondary, but I don't think Texas has the weapons to beat them deep. The under is 16-5 in Oklahoma State's last 21 road games. The under is 6-2 in Texas' last 8 home games. Take the under here.
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11-13-10 | Stanford v. Arizona State Sun Devils OVER 58.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total Domination Play* The Stanford Cardinal are playing very solid football. Andrew Luck is a great quarterback and the Cardinal have a solid running game as well. Arizona State has been a bit of a surprise in the Pac 10, and their offense is much better this year with Steven Threet under center. The thing about Threet is he is a high risk/high reward type of quarterback. He has 17 touchdown, but he also has 15 interceptions. Don't be surprised if Stanford picks him a couple times and gets a quick score or two that way. The Arizona State secondary has has serious trouble against good quarterbacks this year, and this is the best quarterback they have played yet. I like Arizona State to be able to score on their home field and keep this one close, but the offenses should have the upper hand the entire way in this one. Take the over.
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11-13-10 | Texas A&M Aggies v. Baylor OVER 64 | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Domination Play* The Baylor Bears were throttled last weekend at Oklahoma State. They'll go home this week to a more friendly environment, where they are 4-0 this year. I expect Baylor's offense to play better, as they average 42.5 points per game at home. On the other hand, the defense has been allowing 40 points per game in their last three outings. Ryan Tannehill has taken over the quarterback duties at Texas A&M, and he has done a great job thus far. Tannehill is completing 68.6% of his passes and he has nine touchdown passes in just three games. In those three games the Aggies are averaging 41 points per game. Texas A&M has a solid rushing defense, but they can't stop the pass. Baylor averages 300 yards per game through the air. Baylor's defense can't stop the pass, and the Aggies have the ninth ranked pass offense in the nation. What about the trends? The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last six. The over is 28-10-1 in the Aggies last 39 road games. Both teams will it air it out early and often in this one. Expect a bunch of points and a good game. I like the over in this one.
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11-13-10 | Georgia v. Auburn OVER 65.5 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 116 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Georgia/Auburn Guaranteed Play* The Auburn Tigers are in the driver's seat for a national title berth, but the road is far from easy the rest of the way. Georgia is a team that is definitely getting its act together over the last few games. Auburn's defense has proven susceptible this year, and I think Georgia will be able to exploit some of those weaknesses. At the same time, Georgia's defense is weak, and Auburn should roll up a ton of yards in this one. Cam Newton is the Heisman front runner right now, and this Auburn offense is firing on all cylinders. The Tigers are averaging 48.5 points per game in their last six games. Georgia's defense gave up 31 points to Kentucky and 34 to Florida, and Auburn is a much better offense than those two teams. How will Georgia do it on offense? Aaron Murray and the passing game will go after Auburn's weak secondary. The over is 5-1 in Georgia's last 6. The over is 4-1 in Auburn's last 5. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over in this huge matchup!
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11-12-10 | Boise State Broncos v. Idaho OVER 62.5 | Top | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 68 h 5 m | Show |
*5 Star TGIF Top Play DOMINATOR* The Boise State Broncos are obviously going to be looking to keep their foot on the gas to impress the voters the rest of the way. This team isn't likely to lose, but they might not get into the BCS Title game unless things fall their way. Idaho is the perfect team for Boise State to run up the score on. The teams don't like each other at all, and Idaho has one of the worst defenses in all of football. Take a look at the stats from last week: Idaho allowed 844 yards to Nevada. Yes that's right 844 yards in one game. If a defense allows 844 yards in two games they are pretty bad, but allowing that in one game is ridiculous. Last week Boise State rolled up 737 yards against Hawaii, who actually has a much better defense than Idaho. Kellen Moore will have a field day in this game, and the Broncos running game will go nuts as well. Idaho's passing game will probably get them a couple touchdowns in this one, which should be plenty to push this one over the posted total. In the last six meetings between these two, the total has finished at 68 points or higher five times. Take the over in a big way in this game.
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11-07-10 | San Diego Chargers v. Houston Texans OVER 49 | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The San Diego Chargers are the number one ranked passing offense in the NFL. The Houston Texans are easily the worst defense in the NFL against the pass, allowing a staggering 299.4 yards per game. The Chargers have struggled horribly on the road this year, but they still put up points. The Texans are averaging 24 points per game as well, and they have a balanced offense that should give the Chargers beaten up defense some trouble. Expect San Diego to throw the ball early and often in this one, and they should have quite a bit of success. This is the type of game where a special teams touchdown or a defensive touchdown is fairly likely, which is a nice boost to the chances of the over. The over is 5-2 in San Diego's last 7 games overall. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-07-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 45.5 | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* Raheem Morris says his Tampa Bay Bucs team is the best in the NFC. They'll get a chance to prove a point in Atlanta on Sunday. The Falcons are 5-2 and they are one of the most balanced teams in football. Tampa Bay is also 5-2, but I sincerely doubt they will finish with one of the best records in the NFC. Tampa Bay's offense is simply not very good. Josh Freeman has had a better year, but he still isn't a prolific passer. Cadillac Williams has struggled a lot this year, which has led to Blount getting more carries. I fully expect Atlanta to gear up for the run and make Freeman and the Bucs passing game beat them. Tampa Bay's defense has been opportunistic, including three INT returns for a touchdown, which has inflated their scores a little so far this season. I think Matt Ryan takes good care of the ball Sunday and this one stays fairly low scoring. The trends are also behind this one. The under is 11-3 in Tampa Bay's last 14 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams. Take the under here.
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11-06-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks v. South Carolina Gamecocks OVER 57.5 | 41-20 | Win | 100 | 120 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPN Saturday Night Bookie Crusher* Ryan Mallett and Arkansas will bring the top ranked passing attack in the SEC into South Carolina this Saturday night. The Gamecocks are ranked dead last in the SEC in pass defense and they have been giving up the yards in bunches over the last few games. The South Carolina offense is balanced and they have averaged 31 points per game this season. Arkansas' defense is better than last year, but they have a lot of room for improvement. I expect Lattimore and the running game of South Carolina to really hurt Arkansas in this one. The over is 5-1 in South Carolina's last six games overall. The over is 6-2 in Arkansas' eight games this year. Both of these offenses will be ready to go, and I look for plenty of points in this one. Take the over here.
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11-06-10 | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns v. Mississippi Rebels OVER 63 | Top | 21-43 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star Hidden Gem Total Play* Louisiana Lafayette has had some ridiculously high totals in their games this year. The team plays at a very quick tempo and they have absolutely no defense at all. Four of their last five games have gone over the posted total, and the least amount of points they have given up in that span is 31. This team even allowed 54 points against a Western Kentucky team that went winless last year. Mississippi has been putting points up in bunches of late as Jeremiah Masoli seems to be getting accustomed to the offense. In their last three home games they have averaged 43 points per game. The Rebels pass defense is allowing 244 yards per game through the air, and UL Lafayette has a good passing attack. The over is 6-1 in Mississippi's last 7 home games. The over is 4-1 in Lafayette's last 5 games overall. Get ready for a shootout in this one. Take the over in a big way!
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11-06-10 | Fresno State v. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs OVER 56.5 | Top | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Oddsmaker Line Error* It's a matchup of the Bulldogs from the south and the bulldogs from the west coast in this one. I believe the oddsmakers have made a significant error when setting this total. Fresno State is averaging 34 points per game on the year. Fresno State is averaging 41 points per game in their last four road games. Louisiana Tech's defense is allowing 298 yards per game through the air, and Ryan Colburn from Fresno has the skills to take advantage of that. On the other side, Fresno State's defense is weak against the run. They rank 62nd in the nation in run defense, while Louisiana Tech has been running the ball very well of late. Lousiana Tech even moved the ball pretty well last week against Boise State. This one is all about matchups, and both offenses have the firepower to exploit the weakness of the defenses. The trends also point to the over. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 road games. The over is 6-1-1 in La. Tech's last 8 conference games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. This number is set too low. Take the over here!
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11-06-10 | Navy Midshipmen v. East Carolina Pirates OVER 61.5 | Top | 76-35 | Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
*5 Star HUGE CFB Play of the Week* The Navy Midshipmen have the 10th best rushing attack in the country. East Carolina has the 92nd ranked rushing defense in the nation. East Carolina's offense is averaging 37 points per game, and Navy is coming off a game where they gave up 34 points to the Duke Blue Devils. This is your classic game of mismatches on both sides, and the offense will have the leg up constantly. Ruffin McNeill has turned the Pirates into an uptempo team like Texas Tech has been for many years. The over is 5-3 in East Carolina's eight games this year. Three of Navy's last four games have gone over the posted total as their defense seems to be breaking down and the offense continues to run the option efficiently. This is a game where I expect both teams to be able to score early and often. I am making the over in this game my five star play of the week.
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11-05-10 | Central Florida Golden Knights v. Houston Cougars OVER 61.5 | 40-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF NCAA Football Blowout* The UCF Knights are at the top of the Conference USA East Division, while Houston is at the top of the West Division. Houston has had all kinds of injury problems, but they have started playing good football again the last couple weeks. Houston is averaging 44 points per game in their last three meetings. UCF has the best defense in the conference, but they did allow 37 points against Houston at home last year. On the flip side, Houston's run defense is terrible. There is only one thing UCF can do, and that is run the football. Expect the Knights to break some huge runs in this matchup. Also, both of these teams commit quite a few turnovers, so I expect the offenses to get a short field fairly often. This Friday night game on ESPN looks like a high scoring affair to me. Take the over.
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10-31-10 | Buffalo Bills v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 46 | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Don't look now, but the Kansas City Chiefs have been very good on offense of late, especially at home. The Chiefs are averaging 31 points per game at home this year. The Bills defense is BY FAR the worst in the league statistically. The Bills are giving up an astonishing 33 points per game for the season. The Chiefs have the #1 ranked rushing game in the NFL right now, and the Bills are dead last in run defense. The Bills offense has actually been very good of late. Buffalo has scored 26 points per game over their last four games. The Chiefs defense is improved from last year, but they are still not a shutdown unit. This is the type of game that before the season I would have thought would be low scoring, but given the trends for this season and the pathetic defense from Buffalo, I like the over in this one.
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10-31-10 | Carolina Panthers v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 37.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 45 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* The Saint Louis Rams defense has been surprisingly decent this year. They are starting to build a nice young nucleus on the defensive side. Carolina's offense is terrible. The Panthers are back to starting Matt Moore at quarterback, but they'll likely be without their leading rusher in this one. DeAngelo Williams has a sprained foot and will likely miss this game. On the other side, Carolina's defense has been pretty good overall, as they rank 7th in the NFL in total defense. The under is 5-1 in the Rams last 6 home games. The under is 4-1 in Carolina's last 5 games overall. This won't be a pretty game, and I expect both offenses to struggle in the red zone. Take the under here.
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10-30-10 | Idaho Vandals v. Hawaii Warriors OVER 64 | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hawaiian Style Bookie Beatdown* Idaho will visit Hawaii Saturday night in what should be a very entertaining WAC Conference matchup. The Idaho Vandals have improved a ton over the last couple years, and they have a great quarterback in Nathan Enderle. Enderle already has 2,053 yards through the air this year, and I fully expect Idaho to be able to throw the ball on Hawaii. The Hawaii pass offense can throw the football on anyone, and Idaho's defense isn't very good at all. Hawaii is averaging 401 yards per game through the air, and I think they'll top that number in this game. This game should be an all out aerial assault from both teams. The over is 12-5 in Idaho's last 17 games overall, as the books have yet to catch up with the Vandals improvement on offense. The over is 3-1-1 in Hawaii's last 5 home games. The winner in this one will probably need to score at least 40 points. Take the over here.
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10-30-10 | San Jose State Spartans v. New Mexico State Aggies UNDER 47 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The San Jose State Spartans and the New Mexico State Aggies are both absolutely terrible football teams. Both of them come into this game with just one win. San Jose State averages 10 points per game on offense and New Mexico State averages 12.4 points per game. These two are 117th and 119th in the nation in total offense. Remember, there are only 120 teams in Division One NCAA Football. Basically, you couldn't find a matchup of two worse offenses than this one. Last year these teams played to a horribly ugly 13-10 final score. I think something similar is quite likely again this year. The under is 41-19-2 in San Jose State's last 61 games. The under is 4-0 in New Mexico State's last four. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under here.
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10-30-10 | Texas Tech Red Raiders v. Texas A&M OVER 58 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 111 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error Totals Winner* If you look at Texas A&M's offensive statistics you'll see that they rack up the yards, but often fail to punch it in the end zone. The Texas Tech defense is likely just what the doctor ordered for this team. Texas Tech has allowed 24, 34, 38, and 52 points in their last four games. The Red Raiders offense is pass happy as always, with Taylor Potts leading the show. They average 311 yards through the air and Texas A&M is ranked 85th in the nation in pass defense. Both of these teams love to air it out, and both defenses struggle to stop the passing attack, so I think 65 or 70 points is quite likely here. In 2008 these two put up 68 points and last year they totaled 82 points in their meeting in Lubbock. Expect this one to be full of fireworks. Take the over.
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10-30-10 | Arizona Wildcats v. UCLA Bruins UNDER 50 | 29-21 | Push | 0 | 111 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star PAC 10 Totals Winner* The UCLA Bruins have a solid running game and a pathetic passing game. Arizona's defense is ranked 7th in the nation against the run, so don't expect the Wildcats to allow Franklin to run all over them. They know the Bruins can't throw it, so they will stack up the box. On the other side, Arizona has a decent backup quarterback in Matt Scott, but they definitely miss Nick Foles in a big way. Foles is the main leader for their offense and is extremely comfortable running this system, but he is out with a knee injury. UCLA's defense has been inconsistent this year, but I think they will fare well against a Wildcats offense that struggles to protect the passer and has a backup quarterback under center. The under is 22-8 in UCLA's last 30 home games. Take the under in this one.
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10-30-10 | Alabama-Birmingham Blazers v. Southern Mississippi OVER 53 | 50-49 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Early Bird Special* The UAB Blazers nearly upset Mississippi State on the road last weekend. Bryan Ellis has moved into the starting quarterback spot and this team has moved the ball well through the air of late. Ellis is averaging 278 passing yards per game in the last five contests. Southern Miss has a great run defense, but they are susceptible to giving up yards through the air. The Golden Eagles allowed 305 passing yards against East Carolina and 237 against lowly Memphis last weekend. Southern Miss will probably be without their star wideout, DeAndre Brown, but they have been efficient without him as well. UAB's defense gives up the big play often, and Southern Miss is averaging 42 points per game in their last three games. The over is 5-1 in Southern Miss' last six home games. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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10-25-10 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 44 | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Totals Terrorizer* By now you certainly know the Cowboys are 1-4 and badly need a win in this game. The Giants always play them tough, and the Giants are playing solid football right now. Even though they have won just one of their last three, the Cowboys offense has looked good in those games. The Cowboys are averaging just over 25 points per game in their last three. The Giants have put up 34 and 28 points in their last couple games. These two teams have a history of scoring quite a few points against each other. The over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these teams. Expect the Giants balanced offense to be able to move the ball pretty well in this one. The Cowboys should be able to put up quite a few as well, since they know they must win this game. Take the over here.
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10-24-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 43.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Showdown Special* Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers have both struggled more than expected so far this season, but I think this competition will bring out the best in both of them. Favre clearly gets amped up to play his old team, and Rodgers and the Packers know they need to start beating the Vikings. The Green Bay defense is having all sorts of trouble with injuries, and the Vikings passing game is starting to slowly come together. On the other side, the Packers have a great array of weapons for Rodgers, and I expect them to be able to move the ball with their short passing game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two, including a 30-23 adn 38-26 game last year. Both of these offenses should start producing this Sunday night in this key battle. I like the over.
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10-24-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 35.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* The Carolina Panthers have decided to go back to Matt Moore at the quarterback spot. They really don't have a good option at the position right now, and the Panthers offense is the worst in the NFL right now. San Francisco finally got their first win last week against Oakland. The 49ers are definitely better than your average 1-5 football team. This has all the makings of a game that will be very low scoring. You know the coaching staff doesn't trust Moore too much, so the Panthers will keep it on the ground most of the game. The 49ers have struggled to put the ball in the end zone all year. The under is 8-3-1 in San Francisco's last 12 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games overall. This is the type of game that should stay below 30 points. Take the under.
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10-23-10 | Georgia Bulldogs v. Kentucky Wildcats OVER 58 | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 121 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Curious Odds Totals Winner* The Kentucky Wildcats have certainly improved in a big way under Joker Phillips the last few weeks. Last weekend they stunned South Carolina, and the weekend before they nearly beat Auburn. This weekend Georgia comes to town to take on the Wildcats. Georgia started the year 1-4, but they have won two straight. The Bulldogs have found a nice young quarterback in Aaron Murray. Georgia will definitely be able to put up points against this Kentucky defense that allows 30 points per game. At the same time, the Wildcats have an impressive offensive system now that utilizes Randall Cobb's talents. While you may not know about them, Kentucky has a ton of athletes on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 6-0 in Kentucky's last 6 games and the last two meetings between these two have been shootouts. I like the over here.
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10-23-10 | Colorado State Rams v. Utah Utes OVER 57.5 | 6-59 | Win | 100 | 74 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The Utah Utes have an extremely dynamic offense this year, as evidenced by their 46 points per game. The Colorado State defense allows 411 yards per game and 32 points. Jordan Wynn and this Utah offense should be able to get into the 40's against this defense quite easily. Earlier this year the Rams had no offense whatsoever, but they have been improving quite a bit. Leonard Mason has rushed by over 100 yards in their last two games and they have scored 27 and 43 points in those two games. Utah's defense is good, but I fully expect them to be winning this game by a bunch and put in the backups late in the game. The Rams should definitely be able to put up a couple scores on Utah here, and I think this total gets well above this number. The over is 5-2 in Utah's last 7 and 8-3-1 in Colorado State's last 12 road games. Take the over.
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10-23-10 | Hawaii Warriors v. Utah State Aggies OVER 57.5 | 45-7 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Totals Terrorizer* The Utah State Aggies are a different offense when they are at home. On the road they are averaging just 12.33 points per game, but at home they are putting up 31 points per game. Diondre Borel is a solid quarterback and this Aggies squad has been running the football pretty well of late. Hawaii is coming off their huge win over Nevada last weekend. The Warriors have the top ranked passing attack in the nation, and Utah State's defense is ranked 85th in the nation in pass defense. I fully expect Bryant Moniz to have a huge game in this one. At the same time, Hawaii's defense struggles badly on the road. They are allowing 30 points per game on the road this year. In the last five meetings between these two the over is 4-1. Expect this to be a track meet where both teams move the ball effectively early and often. Take the over in this one!
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10-23-10 | Wyoming Cowboys v. BYU Cougars UNDER 44 | 20-25 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Domination Play* The Wyoming Cowboys and the BYU Cougars have two of the worst offenses in all of college football this year. BYU is averaging 14.7 points per game and Wyoming is averaging 11.6. The under is 5-2 in Wyoming's 7 games this year. The under is 7-0 in BYU's 7 games this season. This is a game where I expect both teams to come out and try to establish the running game. Neither offense will be in any hurry, and both will struggle to punch it in the end zone. The biggest concern is probably touchdowns given up by way of a turnover because of how inept these two offenses are. The books adjusted this total down a bit, but I don't think they moved it nearly low enough. Don't be surprised if this game ends with a score of 13-6 or something ridiculously low. I really like the under here.
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10-17-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Houston Texans UNDER 45 | 31-35 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The Houston Texans defense has been terrible this year, but if you take a look at the stats, it doesn't appear the Chiefs have the personnel to take advantage of that. The Texans allow 330 yards per game through the air, but the Chiefs only get 158 through the air each game. The Texans are actually the fifth best defense against the run, and that is all KC does most of the time. Houston is a run first team with Arian Foster, and I think the clock will be ticking quite a bit in this one. Expect both teams to run often, and expect to see a lot of drives end in field goals instead of touchdowns. The Chiefs simply don't have much offensive firepower, and the Texans offense has produced only 23 points in their last two home games combined. Take the under here.
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10-17-10 | San Diego Chargers v. St. Louis Rams OVER 45 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Smash the Books Total* Betting on the over in San Diego's games has been the way to go of late. The Chargers put up tons of points, but find a way to give away games on the road by allowing special teams touchdowns or turning the ball over. The Rams were thrashed last weekend by Detroit and I expect them to come out with much more intensity in this one. The Chargers have the top ranked pass offense in the league, and St. Louis has a ton of trouble stopping the pass. Look for the Chargers to allow the Rams to get some points on silly mistakes, but look for San Diego to run up a huge amount of yards in this one. At the end of the day I'm lookin for this one to sail over the posted total.
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10-16-10 | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns v. Troy St Trojans OVER 59.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem of the Week* The Troy Trojans are the class of the Sun Belt Conference, but their defense isn't up to par this year. Both Troy and La. Lafayette like to hurry to the line and air it out early and often. This game may take a while, and I fully expect a lot of points to be scored. Troy allows 272 passing yards per game and opponents are averaging 29 points per game on their defense as well. Louisiana Lafayette allows 276 passing yards per game and a ridiculous 39 points per game. Both offenses have a strong passing game and both defenses are weak against the pass, so this appears to be a great matchup for a ton of points to be scored. The over is 5-1 in Lafayette's last 6 and 7-2 in Troy's last 9 games overall. Take the over here.
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10-16-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks v. Auburn Tigers OVER 60 | 43-65 | Win | 100 | 110 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Showdown Total Shocker Alert* The Arkansas Razorbacks can air it out as well as anyone in the country. Auburn struggles mightily against the pass. Auburn can run the football as well as anyone in college football. Arkansas struggles to defend the run. Cam Newton and Ryan Mallett are both stars at the quarterback position and I fully expect them to shine on Saturday. Both of these teams have plenty to play for in the SEC West, so this should be a heck of a battle. Last year's game finished with a total of 67, and these offenses are probably a little better this year! The winner of this game is going to have to put up quite a few points! I like the value on the over in this one!
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10-16-10 | Pittsburgh Panthers v. Syracuse Orangemen UNDER 44.5 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big East Total* The Pitt Panthers have been a major disappointment so far this year and the Syracuse Orange have been a big surprise. Syracuse has a stout defense and Pitt also has a pretty solid defense. The Panthers are allowing just 95 yards per game on the ground, and Syracuse is a team that likes to run the ball first. On the other side, Syracuse is allowing just 14.8 points per game, and they have held their opponents in single digits in four of their five games this season. The under is 5-1 in Syracuse's last 6 home games. The under is 4-1 in Pittsburgh's last 5 road games. Expect both offenses to struggle to get into the end zone in this one. The value is on the under here.
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10-11-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. New York Jets OVER 38 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Guaranteed Winner* The Minnesota Vikings acquired Randy Moss last week and I believe that will help their offense in a HUGE way. Favre has been needing someone to throw the deep pass to and Moss is the perfect guy for that. A lot of people are looking at this game as a very low scoring defensive battle, but I think many will be surprised. The Jets have been impressive on offense the last couple weeks, and I think they are fully capable of putting up plenty of points. With a guy like Moss on the outside, it will be much tougher to bring safeties and help out against the run. Adrian Peterson will benefit greatly. I think this will be an intriguing game, and I also think the offenses will fare better than most believe. Take the over here.
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10-10-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 45 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Play of the Day* The Indianapolis Colts can obviously air it out better than anyone in the NFL. The Kansas City Chiefs have the 25th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The Colts defense struggles mightily to stop the run. The Chiefs have the third best rushing attack in the NFL. In this game the strengths of the offenses will work to their advantage nicely and it should help plenty of points be scored. The Chiefs defense has looked very good so far this year, but this is easily their toughest test yet. I think the Colts will put up a pretty big number on them. The over is 8-3 in the Colts last 11 games overall. Expect a big game out of Manning and KC to stay in it for a while with some nice production on the ground. Take the over.
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10-09-10 | Rice Owls v. UTEP Miners OVER 57.5 | 24-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Break the Bookies Total* The Rice Owls have been an over machine for the last few years. The over is a stunning 52-17 in their last 69 games. This year the Rice offense is a little worse than some years, but UTEP has a horrific defense and they'll allow the Owls to score plenty. At the same time, Rice has what may be the worst defense in the country. UTEP has a good running back in Buckram and Trevor Vittatoe is plenty capable of picking apart this Rice secondary. The over is 7-3 in UTEP's last 10 overall. The over is 21-5 in Rice's last 26 road games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Two bad defenses and teams that can score points in bunches means the over is a great play here!
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10-09-10 | New Mexico Lobos v. New Mexico State Aggies UNDER 51.5 | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 121 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ugly Football Moneymaker* It doesn't have to be pretty to make cash. I'll be the first to tell you that there is no way I would go see these two teams play football against each other. These two are both horrific on offense and I just don't see them being able to put up this many points. The biggest concern I have here is that the offenses and special teams are so bad that they may give up a punt block or an interception return for a touchdown. Even if they do, I think at this level we have enough of a cushion for a nice play on the under. Last year they played to a 20-17 final and I think a similar score this year is quite likely. Expect a sloppy game with penalties and two terrible rushing attacks trying to get going. I like the under here.
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10-09-10 | UCLA v. California OVER 48 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 10 Total Play* The UCLA Bruins are not nearly as good on defense as they were a year ago. They are allowing 24 points per game and 366 total yards per game. While UCLA has almost no passing game, the Bruins do have a very good running back in Johnathan Franklin. Cal's defense is decent, but stopping the run is a problem for them at times. Kevin Riley has been much better at home and this Cal offense as a whole does have some pretty good play makers. Shane Vereen should have a big day. In the last six meetings between these two, the total has hit at least 51 points every single time. I think this is the type of game where some points could be scored on special teams or by the defense, which is a nice perk. The total is set quite low at just 48 points, so I'm taking the over as a great value bet here.
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10-09-10 | Western Michigan v. Ball State UNDER 49.5 | 45-16 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Ball State Cardinals don't have much an offense. The Cardinals can't throw the ball hardly at all, but they can control the ball by running it fairly often. Western Michigan is having serious problems breaking in their new quarterback and they have absolutely no running game. Last year these two put up 39 points, and both teams had a better offense then than they do this season. This is the type of game where Ball State will likely try to control the football and take some time off the clock, while Western Michigan will struggle in the red zone as they have all year long. This one should be close all the way to the end, but I don't think they'll put up this many points. Take the under.
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10-03-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 43 | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 66 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The San Francisco 49ers have been abysmal to start the season. This team isn't nearly as good as they were predicted to be, but they also aren't as bad as they have looked lately. The Falcons had a huge win last week over the Saints and might let down a little in this one. I expect both teams to try to establish the running game in this one and keep the clock ticking. The under is 3-1-1 in the Niners last 5 road games, and the one loss for the under was last week on a fluke last second play that simply shouldn't have happened. Atlanta doesn't have the best defense in the NFL, but they probably won't need to in order to slow down this confused 49ers offense. The under is 7-2 in Atlanta's last 9 games overall as well. I think the under is a good value here.
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10-03-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 34.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 60 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ravens/Steelers Guaranteed Play* The Ravens and the Steelers will meet in Pittsburgh on Sunday, and this should be a heck of a battle. These are probably the two hardest hitting teams in all of football. Big Ben is out so the Steelers are more of a run oriented team, and Flacco has struggled this year. The Steelers defense looks like one of the best in the NFL again with a healthy Troy Polamalu on the field. The Ravens secondary is dinged up, but the front seven is very strong. This is the type of game where everyone involved will be hurting on Monday morning. I would expect to see field goals kicked in this one and not many touchdowns. The defenses should rule in this one and I think the under is the play here.
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10-02-10 | Nevada v. UNLV OVER 62 | Top | 44-26 | Win | 100 | 116 h 23 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB Late Night Gem* The UNLV Rebels have one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation. In 2009 the Rebels gave up 221 yards per game on the ground, and Nevada ran up a ridiculous total of 559 yards on the ground! In 2008 at UNLV, Nevada rolled up 444 yards on the ground. This Rebels defense has absolutely no answer for the Nevada running game engineered by Colin Kaepernick. Nevada's pass defense isn't that great, and UNLV has a decent passing offense. I expect the Rebels to put up a solid amount of points at home, primarily through the passing game. Nevada will likely get ahead early and UNLV will throw constantly to try to come back. Both offenses are far better than the defenses, and I think 70 points or more between the two is quite likely. Take the over here!
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10-02-10 | Stanford Cardinal v. Oregon Ducks OVER 65 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 67 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Stanford/Oregon Huge Winner* The Stanford Cardinal and the Oregon Ducks have been as impressive as anyone in the country so far this year. Oregon leads the nation in points per game at 57.8 and Stanford is fourth at 48. Oregon's uptempo rushing offense has yet to be stopped and I don't think Stanford will be able to stop it either. Stanford's Andrew Luck may be the best quarterback in the nation and he can beat a team by running or throwing the football. Jim Harbaugh's team is playing inspired football this year and they will definitely come ready for this huge game. Oregon has the edge in the speed category, but Stanford has amazing offensive chemistry. The stats point strongly to the over in this one. The over is 9-2 in Oregon's last 11 games. The over is 7-2 in Stanford's last 9 games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. This should be an etertaining game, and I fully expect a high scoring shootout. Take the over here.
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10-02-10 | Wyoming v. Toledo UNDER 49 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 66 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star Smash the Books Total* In the last three games Toledo has been able to put quite a few points on the board. If you just looked at the final score you would assume the offense has been impressive. That actually hasn't been the case at all. The defense is forcing all kinds of turnovers and putting the offense in great position. The Toledo offense is ranked 116th in the nation in total yards per game. I find it hard to believe that Toledo will keep scoring a ton of points without hardly any consistent offense. Wyoming has the 119th ranked offense in the country, and they have scored just 27 points in three games against Division One opponents. I think this line is inflated because of Toledo's recent high scoring games that were a bit of a fluke. I like the under in this one.
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10-02-10 | Idaho v. Western Michigan OVER 57 | 33-13 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals Terrorizer* The Idaho Vandals are a much improved football team, but their defense is just terrible. Last week they allowed Colorado State, who had scored a combined 19 points in their first three games, to score a ridiculous total of 36 points. Western Michigan has the fourth ranked passing offense in the nation and Idaho can't defend the pass. Idaho can score proficiently though, and Nathan Enderle is one of better quarterbacks you haven't heard of. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to the Idaho trends. The over is 31-11 in Idaho's last 42 games. The over is 20-8 in Idaho's last 28 games. These two teams met two years ago and the final was 51-28. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see a total of 70 points or more scored here. I love the value on the over 57 here.
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09-26-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 37 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Play of the Day* The San Francisco 49ers defense showed me something last Monday in their loss to New Orleans. The defense did a very nice job slowing down the Saints attack, and had it not been for the turnovers from their offense, the 49ers would have won the game. The line is solid and Patrick Willis leads a great group of linebackers. What about Kansas City? The Chiefs have some terrific young talent on the defensive side in Eric Berry, Tamba Hali, and Glenn Dorsey. The Chiefs offense has struggled mightily this year. Matt Cassel has less than 250 yards passing through two games, and the running game has been sporadic at best. Kansas City has relied on special teams to do the heavy lifting as far as their point output. The under is 6-1-1 in the 49ers last 8 games and the Chiefs defense appears to be much better this season than last. This looks like a game where the best defense will win out, and the ball will be kept on the ground quite often by both teams. Take the under.
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09-25-10 | New Mexico Lobos v. UNLV Rebels OVER 53 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Special* The New Mexico Lobos are giving up exactly 60 points per game in their first three games this year. Their "best" defensive showing so far was when they allowed 52 points against Texas Tech. UNLV's defense is allowing "only" 36.33 points per game this year. UNLV's offense has been much better at home over the last few years, and I would expect their passing attack to get going some in this one. New Mexico has been playing uptempo and they will likely put up several points as well against a horribly weak UNLV front seven. This is the type of game where there could easily be several turnovers that lead directly to touchdowns as well. It will be an ugly game and you won't want to watch, but it is a hidden gem to make some money off of! Take the over.
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09-25-10 | Baylor v. Rice OVER 53.5 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Terrific Total* The Rice Owls had the worst defense in all of college football last year. For the entire year in 2009 they allowed 43 points per game. The Owls defense has fared a little better so far this year, but I think Baylor will be the best offense they have faced yet. Robert Griffin III is a terrific play maker at the quarterback spot, and I fully expect him to hurt this Rice defense in a big way. The fact that Baylor was embarrassed last week against TCU makes me feel even more confident that the Bears will come out ready to go in this one. Rice should be able to put up some points here as well, but I fully expect Baylor to get most of the way to the over by themselves. I like the over in this one.
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09-25-10 | Georgia v. Mississippi State UNDER 47 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 73 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Super Total* I really think these teams match up very evenly, especially with this game being played at Mississippi State. Mississippi State's strength is their strong run defense, and Georgia's strength is their run game. Georgia's defense has struggled against the run this year, but Mississippi State doesn't appear to have the players to take advantage of that weakness. Mississippi State held Auburn to just 17 points at home and Auburn has a much better offense than Georgia at this point. Georgia's defense held South Carolina to just 17 points. I think in the end this will be a very tight contest where both teams do quite a bit of running the football. Expect this to go down to the wire and expect it to stay under the posted total.
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09-25-10 | Air Force v. Wyoming UNDER 49 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 96 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total Domination* The Air Force Falcons and Wyoming Cowboys met last year and Air Force won 10-0. I fully expect them to score more points than that this time around, but the matchup between these two is perfect for a low scoring game. Air Force has a great pass defense which should slow down the Cowboys in a big way, and Wyoming really has no running game at all. Air Force will run the ball well, but that also means the clock will roll consistently. In the last three years the highest total in a matchup of these two teams was 32 points. I think Air Force will get the lead here and then absolutely grind this game away by running it every single play. I like the under a lot in this one.
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09-25-10 | Buffalo U v. Connecticut OVER 46.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 67 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star Early Bird College Football Play* The Connecticut Huskies and the Buffalo Bulls have both adopted a faster paced offense this year. Both teams like to get to the line quickly and try to catch the defense off guard. Connecticut has a great offensive line and a great running back in Todman. I fully expect the Huskies to be able to score early and often against Buffalo. At the same time, UConn's defense has underperformed and their inability to avoid turnovers on offense will likely lead to some points for the Bulls. The pace of the game should help this one get over the posted total. I like the over here.
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