02-28-13 |
UL - Lafayette v. Arkansas-Little Rock OVER 142 |
|
68-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
Seattle v. Texas State OVER 148 |
|
65-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Texas State Bobcats and Seattle Redhawks both love to run and gun. The first meeting between these two finished at 169 points. I expected a total set at around 153. I like the line value here. Take the over.
|
02-28-13 |
SE Missouri State v. Austin Peay St OVER 150 |
|
108-81 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
Arkansas State v. North Texas UNDER 128 |
|
50-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
South Alabama v. Western Kentucky OVER 136 |
|
73-79 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
St. Peters v. Canisius UNDER 132.5 |
|
65-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The St. Peter's Peacocks simply can't stay in this game unless they slow it down and try to make it a very low scoring game. St. Peter's doesn't have the talent to keep up with Canisius. The Golden Griffins were great early in the year, but they have been hit or miss lately. The first meeting between these two finished at 127, and I expect very close to the same here. The under is 12-2 in Canisius' last 14 games against the MAAC. The under is 10-2 in St. Peter's last 12 following a win. Take the under.
|
02-28-13 |
Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 125 |
|
63-53 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Battle* The Ohio State Buckeyes have been playing at a much slower pace of late, and Northwestern's offense is absolutely horrendous right now. The first meeting between these two went to 128, and Northwestern shot the best they have in weeks. I don't expect a repeat of that. Take the under.
|
02-27-13 |
Louisville v. DePaul OVER 144 |
|
79-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big East Total* The DePaul Blue Demons have a way of turning a game into a high scoring affair. They play faster than any other team in the nation thanks to their full court pressure. Louisville isn't afraid to use pressure either, and the Cardinals should be able to get some easy layups against DePaul's pressure. I had this one at 148. Take the over.
|
02-27-13 |
UAB v. Tulane UNDER 141 |
|
76-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UAB Blazers started the season pushing the pace as much as possible. For the past few years this team has been slowing the game down as much as possible. Earlier this year, things were different for the Blazers. Now, it seems the team has decided to slow things down again like they did in previous years. Tulane is a solid defensive team that likes to slow the game down. I had this one at 136 points. Take the under in what should be a slower game than the oddsmakers expect.
|
02-27-13 |
Arkansas v. LSU OVER 147.5 |
|
60-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Arkansas Razorbacks and LSU Tigers both like to push the tempo. Arkansas' Mike Anderson has been using the "40 Minutes of Hell" program from Nolan Richardson for many years, and the Razorbacks are getting very good at it. LSU has a new coach this year, and the Tigers are running and pushing the pace at every chance. In the past few years this matchup wouldn't have had the tempo it will this year, and that is getting us a nice value on the number here. I had this one at 152. Take the over.
|
02-27-13 |
Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 108 |
|
53-41 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* These two teams met earlier this year and the final was 42-25. Northern Illinois scored 4 points (an all-time low) in the first half of that game. Both of these teams are very bad, and they both struggle in a big way on the offensive end. Every time they meet you have to expect very low shooting percentages. Eastern Michigan plays a zone and Northern Illinois doesn't have shooters that can consistently hit the three. This game will likely stay under 100. The under is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the Huskies last 5 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
02-27-13 |
Northern Iowa v. Southern Illinois UNDER 118.5 |
|
57-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Northern Iowa Panthers and Southern Illinois Salukis are two of the slowest paced teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 58-43. The shooting numbers weren't even that bad in that game, and I think that this game could be very similar. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two at Southern Illinois. The under is 8-1 in Southern Illinois' last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the under.
|
02-27-13 |
Buffalo v. Kent State OVER 137 |
|
81-83 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Buffalo Bulls and Kent State Golden Flashes are two of the faster paced teams in the MAC. Most of this conference likes to slow the game down and win with defense, but these two teams are better offensively than they are defensively. The first meeting between these two saw 148 points scored. Both teams get to the line a lot, and both of these teams foul a lot. The over is 5-0 in Kent's last 5 Wednesday games. The over is 6-0 in Kent's last 6 vs. the MAC. The over is 4-0-1 in Kent's last 5 following a win. Take the over.
|
02-24-13 |
Long Island v. Wagner OVER 145.5 |
|
92-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Sunday Night SMASHER* The Long Island Blackbirds and Wagner Seahawks get a rare chance to play on national television tonight as ESPNU covers this game. Both of these teams like to push the pace and win by scoring in transition. In the first meeting between these two this year, Wagner won 86-75. Long Island has improved offensively since then, and they are pushing the tempo even more than they did at that point in the year. Both of these teams are far better on the offensive end than they are defensively. Open looks should come often in this matchup. The over is 7-2 in Wagner's last 9. The over is 4-0 in Long Island's last 4 road games. Take the over.
|
02-24-13 |
Michigan State v. Ohio State UNDER 129 |
|
60-68 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Ten Battle Total* The Michigan State Spartans and Ohio State Buckeyes have a history of playing close and low scoring games against each other. Earlier this year they played to a 59-56 final in East Lansing. Last year in Columbus the Spartans won 58-48. Ohio State's offense is too one-dimensional this year, and both of these defenses are very good in the halfcourt. Both teams have been slowing the pace down in conference battles, so I expect this to be a grind it out type of game. The under is 6-1 in Ohio State's last 7 following an ATS win. The under is 6-2 in the Buckeyes last 8 home games. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
02-24-13 |
Cincinnati v. Notre Dame UNDER 124 |
|
41-62 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Bearcats and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both stalling and trying to win with their defense and ball control in Big East play. A game between these two won't have very many possessions at all. Cincinnati's athleticism should make it tough on Notre Dame to get off open looks, and Notre Dame won't be taken out of their game plan. The under is 6-0 in Cincinnati's last 6 Sunday games. The under is 5-1 in Cincy's last 6 road games. The under is 4-1 in Notre Dame's last 5 after giving up less than 50 points in their last game. Take the under.
|
02-23-13 |
Ohio v. Belmont OVER 146 |
|
62-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Loyola Marymount v. Cal Poly Slo UNDER 145 |
Top |
60-63 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
*5 Star College Basketball PLAY of the YEAR* The Cal Poly Mustangs have been one of the best at slowing the game down for several years. The Mustangs slow down teams in the Big West that are much faster than Loyola Marymount. In fact, Loyola Marymount is playing much slower this year than they have in the past. Both of these teams are solid on the defensive end. I was stunned when this total was released in the 140's. My numbers had this game at 121 points. A total off more than 20 points from my projections is almost unheard of. The under is 4-0 in the Mustangs last 4 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 following a loss. Take the under very big here!
|
02-23-13 |
Cal St-Northridge v. Southern Utah OVER 151 |
|
72-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Cal State Northridge Matadors love to run and gun, and they can do it better than almost any other team in the west. Southern Utah is the fastest paced team in their conference, and they should welcome the chance to play another team that wants to push the tempo. Both teams foul a lot and both shoot it well from the charity stripe. I think this has a chance to get to 160 points. The over is 5-0 in Southern Utah's last 5 following a loss. Take the over.
|
02-23-13 |
North Texas v. South Alabama OVER 136 |
|
57-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Connecticut v. DePaul OVER 149 |
|
81-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* DePaul's pressing defense leads to a high scoring game in several ways. The Blue Demons give up a lot of easy layups when the opponent gets through the press, but they also force a lot of turnovers and get easy looks themselves. UConn has the guards to shred up this press, and the Huskies put up 99 points on DePaul earlier this year. UConn's weakness in the post should be exploited by Melvin from DePaul. The over is 12-2 in UConn's last 14 road games. The over is 6-0 in DePaul's last 6 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. Take the over.
|
02-23-13 |
Cleveland State v. Western Illinois UNDER 120 |
|
60-54 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
UMKC v. Tennessee Tech OVER 130 |
|
62-68 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Virginia Military Inst v. Marist OVER 150 |
|
74-112 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB BracketBuster Bookie BEATDOWN* The VMI Keydets have been the most consistent fast paced team in the country over the last few years. We don't get many chances to play a total on them, but when we do I like to look at the over right away. Marist is one of the fastest paced teams in the MAAC, and they should be happy to run and gun with the Keydets. VMI's running style with virtually no defense should mean easy buckets on both ends of the floor. I had this one set at 157 points. Take the over here.
|
02-23-13 |
UAB v. Marshall OVER 148 |
|
52-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
UL - Monroe v. Middle Tennessee St OVER 130 |
|
46-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
SIU Edwardsville v. Central Arkansas OVER 150 |
|
78-80 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Morehead State v. Oakland OVER 154 |
|
79-82 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Charleston Southern v. Rider OVER 136 |
|
54-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Georgetown v. Syracuse UNDER 124 |
|
57-46 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Eastern Illinois v. Northern Illinois UNDER 116 |
|
59-47 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Gardner-Webb v. Coll Of Charleston UNDER 129 |
|
55-52 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Clemson v. Maryland Terrapins UNDER 126 |
|
59-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-13 |
Stephen F. Austin v. Long Beach State UNDER 124 |
|
68-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-13 |
Sacramento Kings v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 200.5 |
|
108-122 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA UNBEATEN Angle Total* Here we have a pair of teams that just aren't playing any defense right now. Atlanta has allowed more than 100 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Sacramento has allowed at least 108 points in their last five contests. Getting these teams to play quick enough shouldn't be an issue. As long as the two teams don't have terrible shooting numbers here, I think this sails over the total. The over is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 against the Western Conference. The over is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 following a loss of 10 points or more. The over is 4-0-1 in the Kings last 5. The over is 3-0-1 in the Kings last 4 after giving up more than 100 points in their previous game. Take the over.
|
02-22-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189.5 |
|
82-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-13 |
North Dakota State v. Akron UNDER 124.5 |
Top |
53-68 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* BracketBuster weekend starts off tonight with North Dakota State and Akron squaring off. North Dakota State is without its best scorer, Taylor Braun, right now. Without Braun, the team is relying heavily on slowing the game down and winning with defense. They have been playing a lot of very low scoring games of late. Akron is also without Brian Walsh (8 points per game) tonight, and the Zips are excellent defensively. Easy shots will be hard to find in this one. The under is 9-0 in North Dakota State's last 9 following an ATS win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a game where they allowed 50 points or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a straight up victory. Take the under big!
|
02-21-13 |
Utah v. Colorado UNDER 123.5 |
|
50-60 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Colorado Buffaloes are playing much better defense this year. Their offense has been extremely inconsistent of late, but they are contenders for the PAC 12 crown because of their consistent strong defense. Utah's offense struggles against almost everyone, and I don't see them scoring many at all against Colorado. Both teams are more comfortable playing at a slow tempo. The under is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in Utah's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 Thursday games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 22-0 angle backs this. Take the under.
|
02-21-13 |
San Diego v. Portland UNDER 123 |
|
67-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Portland Pilots and San Diego Toreros have both slowed their games down a lot this year. These teams have improved on the defensive end, but they struggle offensively. The first meeting between these two finished at 111 points. I had this one projected at 119. Take the under.
|
02-21-13 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech OVER 146 |
|
88-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Duke/Virginia Tech Total* The Duke Blue Devils are playing faster and faster as the season moves along. Not many teams can boast the type of outside shooters that Duke has. Seth Curry has the best release in the nation, and he has been heating up of late. Virginia Tech isn't good on the defensive end, but they like to play at a quick tempo. That won't be a good recipe against Duke's offense. Duke should put up a big number in Blacksburg tonight. I had this one at 152 points. Take the over.
|
02-21-13 |
UL - Monroe v. Western Kentucky OVER 132 |
|
57-75 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Louisiana Monroe has completely changed the way they play of late, and that has led to a big string of overs. The oddsmakers still can't quite catch up with the fact that this team that used to stall all the time is now pushing the pace. Take the over.
|
02-21-13 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. Florida International OVER 143 |
|
52-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Florida International Golden Panthers have a new coach this year, and it is Rick Pitino's son. Pitino has the Golden Panthers using full court pressure to push the pace, and they are getting better at utilizing this as the year moves along. Little Rock is one of the fastest paced teams in the Sun Belt as well. The first time these two played the final was 88-76. Expect lots of quick shots again here. The over is 5-0 in Little Rock's last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Houston v. Memphis OVER 149.5 |
|
74-81 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* Houston and Memphis are the two fastest paced teams in Conference USA. They are also the most efficient offenses in the league. I don't see anything slowing the pace down in this game. Memphis is too good for Houston, and the Tigers could probably score 90 points in this one. Houston isn't the type of team to quit though, and I see them putting up a lot of second half points. The over is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 against Conference USA. The over is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 home games. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Wisconsin v. Northwestern UNDER 118 |
|
69-41 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers and Northwestern Wildcats are the two slowest paced teams in the Big Ten. Wisconsin controls the tempo better than anyone else in the country, and they are great at slowing the game down once they get a lead. Northwestern is without two of their top offensive players, and the Wildcats are really struggling to score right now. This game should be played at a crawl. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams at Northwestern. The under is 4-0 in Wisconsin's last 4 games after holding an opponent to 50 points or less. The under is 7-1-1 in Northwestern's last 9 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Take the under.
|
02-20-13 |
Iowa State v. Baylor OVER 146.5 |
|
87-82 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-13 |
Bradley v. Drake OVER 142.5 |
|
84-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* The majority of the Missouri Valley Conference likes to slow the game down and win with defense. Drake and Bradley are two of the rare teams in the league that actually prefer to run and push the pace. When these two teams get together I expect a high scoring game because of lots of possessions. Earlier this year they stayed well under this total, but their 3 point shooting numbers were terrible. Drake shoots the three extremely well at home, and I look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Mississippi State v. Alabama UNDER 121.5 |
|
56-64 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-13 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187 |
|
91-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Indiana Pacers have the best defense in the NBA, and they also are one of the slowest teams in terms of pace. New York had a spectacular offense early in the year, but they have gotten less efficient as the season has gone along. The Knicks play very slow as well, so when they play good defensive teams they can have some very low scoring contests. Carmelo Anthony and David West are both dinged up. The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 when playing on 3 days of rest or more. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last 7. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
|
02-20-13 |
DePaul v. Georgetown UNDER 138 |
|
66-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-13 |
Providence v. Syracuse UNDER 137 |
|
59-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB ESPN Top Total* The Providence Friars have won four straight games. The Syracuse Orange are tied at the top of the Big East standings. Both of these teams are doing well right now because their defenses are playing so well. Both of these teams have struggled offensively at times, but their defenses have been extremely solid all year. Don't expect to see too many open shots in a game between these two. I had this one projected at 132 points. Take the under here.
|
02-20-13 |
Oakland v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 142 |
|
71-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are better than anyone in the Summit League at pushing the tempo of the game. Oakland has been way ahead of oddsmakers for years when it comes to high scoring games. In fact, the over is a stunning 58-27-1 in their last 86 games overall. Fort Wayne doesn't like to play really fast, but their defense is among the worst in the nation, so Oakland will put up points here. Oakland's defense is even worse, so Fort Wayne should put up way more than their season average. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Furman v. Davidson OVER 134.5 |
|
36-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Davidson Wildcats are definitely the bets team in the Southern Conference. Davidson is amazingly efficient on the offensive end, and Furman has one of the worst defenses in the conference. Interestingly though, Furman has decided to pick up their pace a ton of the last few weeks. Furman's faster pace will be fine with Davidson, and the Wildcats could easily put up a huge number in this one. As the game gets ugly late, Furman should get some easy looks to push this one over. I had 139 points here. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Minnesota v. Ohio State UNDER 126 |
|
45-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Minnesota/Ohio State Total* Ohio State has the athleticism to run, but the Buckeyes have surprisingly decided to slow the game down and try to win in the half court during Big Ten play. Similarly, Minnesota has slowed down in a big way during conference action. Both of these teams play solid defense, but they are short-handed when it comes to offensive options right now. DeShaun Thomas is a great scorer for Ohio State, but no one else is consistently scoring for the Buckeyes. I expect a defensive battle. Take the under.
|
02-20-13 |
James Madison v. Northeastern UNDER 130.5 |
|
64-66 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
02-19-13 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 119 |
|
50-54 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Virginia/Florida Total Domination* The Miami Hurricanes are starting to get quite a few number one votes in the polls. Miami does have a pretty good offense, but the Hurricanes really win with their impressive defense. Virginia is a team that slows the game down to a snail's pace and almost never turns the ball over. Possessions will be at a premium here, and I don't think you'll see many quick shots. The under is 13-5-1 in Miami's last 19 home games. I had this one projected at 112 points. Take the under.
|
02-19-13 |
Northern Iowa v. Missouri State UNDER 116.5 |
|
69-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Northern Iowa Panthers are well-known for their ability to slow the game down to a crawl. Northern Iowa started the year slowly, but they are playing great defense now. Missouri State is one of the worst teams in the league, but they keep games close by taking care of the ball and playing solid defense. The under is 6-0 in Missouri State's last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Northern Iowa's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
02-19-13 |
Texas v. Texas Christian UNDER 114.5 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 12 Total* The Longhorns and Horned Frogs are both terrible on the offensive end, but Texas' defense should be plenty good enough to hold TCU to a very low number here. Take the under.
|
02-19-13 |
Florida State v. NC State OVER 145 |
|
66-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The NC State Wolfpack are one of the most efficient offenses in the land. Florida State has been one of the top defensive teams in the country the last few years, but this team is bad defensively. NC State likes to run, and if Florida State wants to stay in this game they'll have to put up quite a few points. The pace here should mean both teams will get plenty of shots up. I had this one projected at 150 points. Look for this one to go over the posted total.
|
02-18-13 |
Hofstra v. Drexel UNDER 117.5 |
|
54-63 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Drexel Dragons have been a great 'under' team for the last few years. Bruiser Flint's team is never particularly good on the offensive end, but they work hard on defense and are great at controlling the tempo of the game. Hofstra is without three of its best players, and they have been for much of the year. Hofstra's offense is by far and away the worst in the CAA. Hofstra routinely puts up less than 55 points. The first meeting between these two finished at 55-52. I had this one projected at 111. The under is 12-1 in Hofstra's last 13 against the CAA. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in Drexel's last 7 Monday games. Take the under.
|
02-17-13 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin UNDER 119.5 |
|
49-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ohio State/Wisconsin Total Domination* If you have watched a Wisconsin basketball game in the last few years then you know that they can control the tempo as well as anyone in the nation. Bo Ryan's teams essentially stall on the offensive end and shoot it in the last 10 seconds of the shot clock almost every time. Ohio State has been playing slower in the Big 10 this year. Both of these teams are excellent on the defensive end. Recent history shows us that a game between these two is likely to be a hard fought half court game that stays low scoring. The first meeting between these two ended at 107, and I think a similar number is likely here. The under is 7-1 in Ohio State's last 8 following a win. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Wisconsin. Take the under.
|
02-16-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Idaho OVER 135.5 |
|
67-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Idaho Vandals don't play at a particularly quick tempo, but they do shoot the ball extremely well. They also don't play hardly any defense. Idaho has been an over machine of late. Louisiana Tech plays good defense, but they can also score a bunch of points because of their full court pressure. The first meeting between these teams finished at 138 earlier this year. LA. Tech shot just 40% in that game, and both teams shot it poorly from three-point range. Look for more made threes in this one. The over is 7-0-1 in Idaho's last 8. The over is 4-0-1 in Idaho's last 5 following a loss. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
02-16-13 |
North Texas v. Troy UNDER 131 |
|
63-61 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Missouri State v. Southern Illinois UNDER 123 |
|
54-62 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
IUPU-Indianapolis v. North Dakota State UNDER 128.5 |
Top |
39-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The North Dakota State Bison are one of the top teams in the Summit League, and the primary reason for that is their strong defense. North Dakota State locks opponents down in the half court, and they slow the tempo down in a big way on offense. Taylor Braun, the team's best offensive player, has been out for a while with an injury and his absence really hurts the offense. The first meeting this year finished in a 78-40 North Dakota State win. They likely won't hit 78 again here, but their defense is absolutely capable of keeping IUPUI under 50 again. The under is 14-3 in ND St's last 17 against the Summit league. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. Take the under big!
|
02-16-13 |
Tennessee Tech v. Morehead State OVER 137 |
|
63-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Morehead State Eagles are one of the fastest paced teams in the Ohio Valley Conference. They force the tempo by pressing and forcing a ton of turnovers. Tennessee Tech also pressed and forces turnovers. Both of these teams have poor ball handlers, so I expect a lot of easy buckets in quick turnovers in this one. Both of these teams do a ton of fouling, so expect a load of trips to the charity stripe in this matchup. I had this projected at 141. Take the over here.
|
02-16-13 |
Oakland v. UMKC OVER 141 |
|
86-74 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have been one of the best offenses in the Summit League for several years. The offense wasn't quite as good as normal earlier this year, but they have been much better of late. UMKC's defense is the worst in the league, and they have a way of making the opposing offense look very good. The earlier meeting between these teams went well over this total, and I think this one will too. Take the over in this under the radar game.
|
02-16-13 |
Charlotte v. St. Louis UNDER 132 |
|
58-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB A10 Total Takedown* Both Charlotte and St. Louis are very good on the defensive end. These teams are both accustomed to winning games solely because of their defenses. St. Louis is great at slowing the game down and forcing the opposition to play their style, and they are especially good at doing that on their home floor. I had this game projected at 124 points, so I see a lot of value here. Look for the defenses to rule this game. Take the under.
|
02-16-13 |
Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt UNDER 112 |
|
56-63 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan UNDER 124 |
|
58-66 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
South Carolina v. Alabama UNDER 121 |
|
58-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Alabama Crimson Tide are well-known for their terrific defense. Anthony Grant's team is really getting it after on defense again this year, especially in SEC conference play. South Carolina is dead last in the SEC in offensive efficiency, and they are last by a mile. The Gamecocks have put up less than 50 points two times in the past two weeks. The under is 7-0-1 in the Gamecocks last 8. The under is 9-0 in Alabama's last 9 against the SEC. The under is 4-0 in Bama's last 4 home games. Take the under.
|
02-16-13 |
Georgia Southern v. Coll Of Charleston UNDER 124 |
|
60-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Northern Arizona v. North Dakota OVER 139 |
|
74-72 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 136.5 |
|
79-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
St. Josephs v. La Salle UNDER 134 |
|
64-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Seattle OVER 140 |
|
64-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Seattle Redhawks push the pace better than anyone else in the WAC. These teams got to 149 in their first matchup, and I think something similar is likely here. There is just too much pace here for a low scoring game unless both teams shoot it horribly. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Northern Arizona v. No. Colorado OVER 145 |
|
68-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Montana v. Weber State UNDER 135 |
|
63-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Total* The Big Sky Conference isn't very good, and the main reason for that is virtually no one plays defense. The top two teams in the league are Montana and Weber State, and they both try hard on defense. When these two meet tonight I expect a defensive battle that goes to the wire. Take the under.
|
02-14-13 |
North Texas v. UL - Monroe OVER 131 |
|
73-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Louisiana Monroe has completely changed the way they play in the middle of the season this year. The Warhawks went from walking it up the floor to running and trying to outscore their opponent. I'm 6-1 in La. Monroe overs this year, and I'm riding the over again here. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Siena v. Fairfield UNDER 120 |
|
52-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
UL - Lafayette v. South Alabama OVER 143.5 |
|
64-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Sun Belt Total* The two fastest paced teams in the Sun Belt meet in this one. Both of these teams like to press and force the issue on the offensive end. The first meeting between these two went well over this total and I expect this game to as well. I had this one projected at 149 points. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Oakland v. South Dakota OVER 157.5 |
|
76-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies and South Dakota Coyotes are very similar teams. Both of these teams love to push the pace and score in bunches. Both of them also have a horrific defense. Open looks are extremely common against both of these defenses. The first meeting between these two teams went well over this posted total at 97-78 in South Dakota's favor. Oakland is playing much better right now, and it won't surprise me if they put up 90 points on the road tonight. The over is 57-26-1 in Oakland's last 84 games. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Davidson v. Coll Of Charleston UNDER 134 |
|
75-59 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Jacksonville State v. Morehead State OVER 129 |
|
81-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 118.5 |
|
53-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Wisconsin/Minnesota Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers stall and use up the shot clock as well as any major college basketball program in the country. Tubby Smith's Golden Gophers have been playing shockingly slow in Big Ten play this year. Minnesota and Wisconsin played to a 45-44 final earlier this year. This one should be higher than that, but 118.5 is just too high for these two teams. Both defenses should control the game. The under is 4-0 in Minnesota's last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against teams with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 2-0 in their last 2 meetings. Take the under.
|
02-14-13 |
LSU v. South Carolina OVER 137 |
|
64-46 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-13-13 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. Long Beach State OVER 159 |
|
65-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* The Cal State Fullerton Titans are one of the best in the nation at forcing their opponent to play their style of basketball. Fullerton often shoots the ball in the first ten seconds of the shot clock, and their offense is very efficient. They also shoot 79 percent from the free throw line. Long Beach State prefers to run the floor as well, since their half court offense isn't very good. The first meeting between these two finished at only 152, but Fullerton only made 5 out of 24 three-point shots. Expect better shooting here. Take the over.
|
02-13-13 |
UC Riverside v. Cal Irvine OVER 117.5 |
Top |
48-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Week* The UC Riverside Highlanders had some very low scoring games early in the year, and the oddsmakers continue to line their games too low because of that. Lately, Riverside has been getting the ball inside and scoring quite a bit more. In addition, they have picked up their tempo. UC Irvine has several guys who can put up 15 or 20 points. The first meeting finished at 126 points, and the shooting numbers were pretty poor. I think there is a good chance this one goes well over this posted total. The over is 26-8-1 in Irvine's last 35 following an ATS loss. The over is 7-2 in Riverside's last 9. Take the over big!
|
02-13-13 |
Evansville v. Southern Illinois OVER 124.5 |
|
56-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Over* Evansville and Southern Illinois have two of the worst defenses in the Missouri Valley Conference. While most teams in this conference would prefer to win with their strong defense, these two teams have to win by outscoring the opponent. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 153. While I don't think we'll see that, I do think this tops 130. Take the over in this one. *The line is moving quickly here. This one is a play for me all the way up to 130 points.*
|
02-13-13 |
Arizona St v. Utah UNDER 132 |
|
55-60 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star PAC 12 Total* Arizona State has sped up their pace a decent amount this year, but when their opponent is a slow it down type of game the Sun Devils can't force the issue. Utah is absolutely a defensive-minded team that will do their best to slow the game down. The under is 8-3 in Arizona State's last 11 road games. The under is 7-2 in Utah's last 9 home games. Take the under here. The line is moving quickly on this one. I would play this one all the way down to under 127 points.
|
02-13-13 |
Missouri v. Mississippi State OVER 143 |
|
78-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense is clicking in a big way again now that Bowers is back in the lineup healthy. Mississippi State has arguably the worst defense in the SEC, but they love to run and push the tempo. Missouri is the best offensive rebounding team in the conference, and Mississippi State is the worst rebounding team in the conference. Missouri should put up points in bunches here, and Mississippi State has been scoring quite a few points at home. This one should go well over the total. The over is 5-1 in Miss State's last 6. Take the over.
|
02-13-13 |
Western Michigan v. Bowling Green UNDER 124.5 |
|
60-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Under 124.5* Bowling Green is one of the best teams in the Mid American Conference at slowing the game down. Western Michigan doesn't play particularly slow, but the Broncos do play very good defense. In fact, the Broncos have the top defense in the MAC. The under is 12-3 in the Falcons last 15 home games. I had this one projected at 120 points. Both defenses should slow down the offenses nicely here. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. Take the under.
|
02-13-13 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan OVER 144 |
|
82-63 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ohio Bobcats have the best offense in the MAC. They also play faster than any other team in the conference. Central Michigan's defense is terrible, but their offense is improving. This is the type of game where Ohio could certainly put up 85 or 90 points if they keep pushing it. Central Michigan shoots the three ball well at home, and the Chippewas should be able to put up plenty to push this one over the posted total. I think this has a good chance of reaching 150. Take the over.
|
02-13-13 |
Miami Ohio v. Kent State OVER 139 |
|
70-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes have one of the best scorers in the conference in forward Chris Evans. Their simply isn't anyone on Miami's roster that can slow him down. At the same time, Miami should be able to put up plenty of points against a Kent State defense that has been disappointing all year. Both of these teams like to run and get easy looks in transition. I had this one projected at 143 points. The over is 4-0 in Kent's last 4. The over is 4-0 in Kent's last 4 Wednesday games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 MAC games. The over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Take the over.
|
02-11-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 195 |
|
102-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards are a completely different team with John Wall in the backcourt. Wall is one of the fastest guards in the NBA, and he leads the Wizards to a lot of fastbreak points. Milwaukee has really picked up the tempo since Jim Boylan took over as head coach. The Bucks have Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings running the break in the backcourt. The quickness of these teams should lead to a lot of fastbreak baskets. The over is 4-1 in the Bucks last 5 home games. The over is 6-1 in the Bucks last 7 following a 100 point output in the previous game. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
02-11-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 183.5 |
|
89-84 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Brooklyn Nets play at a slower pace than any other team in the NBA. Indiana is in the bottom five in terms of pace in the league. Indiana leads the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The first meeting this year was lined at 181 points. This one being lined 2.5 points higher doesn't make much sense to me. The winning team here could easily top out at around 90 points. The under is 4-0 in the Nets last 4 Monday games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 against the Eastern Conference. Take the under.
|
02-11-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 193.5 |
|
91-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics are coming off a double overtime win over the Denver Nuggets last night. Charlotte is the worst team in the NBA by quite a bit right now. Boston won't have much energy here, but that doesn't necessarily mean they won't cover against such a hapless team. What I do think it means is Boston won't be in any hurry to push the tempo with tired legs. Charlotte has been playing a little more defense of late as well. The under is 6-0 in the Bobcats last 6 Monday games. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 against the Atlantic Division. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of less than 40%. In all a 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
02-10-13 |
UL - Monroe v. UL - Lafayette OVER 137 |
|
66-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* Louisiana Monroe has been one of my favorite 'over' teams of late. Monroe used to be a slow it down type of team, but they have suddenly turned into a team that likes to run over the last month or two. Louisiana Lafayette is the fastest paced team in the Sun Belt, so they'll be thrilled to run and gun with Monroe here. The posted total is set this low because of Monroe's past, which allows us to get a very nice value here. The over is 4-0 in Monroe's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Lafayette. Take the over.
|
02-10-13 |
Drake v. Evansville OVER 143.5 |
|
78-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* In the Missouri Valley Conference most teams like to slow the game down and win with defense. Drake is the fastest paced team in the conference, and the Bulldogs play virtually zero defense. Evansville has some scorers, and they should be happy to run with Drake in this one. Earlier this year the final was 83-69 when these two got together, and I expect a similar score in this one. I had this one projected at 149 points. Look for the tempo to push this one over. Take the over here.
|
02-09-13 |
Illinois State v. Creighton OVER 149 |
|
75-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Illinois State Redbirds have struggled defensively this year, but they can really pile up the points. With Jackie Carmichael and Tyler Brown they have two guys who can easily put up 25 points in a game. Creighton is the single most efficient offense in the country this year, and it all starts with Doug McDermott. Creighton is coming off a beatdown at the hands of Indiana State, and I think they'll be looking to prove a point here. The over is 21-5 in Illinois State's last 26 road games against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The over is 5-1 in Creighton's last 6 home games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the over.
|
02-09-13 |
Jacksonville State v. Tennessee Tech OVER 124 |
|
64-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Jacksonville State Gamecocks don't push the tempo at all, but they do get to the free throw line a ton and they foul a bunch on the other end. Neither of these teams are very good defensively, which means we could see some good shooting percentages in this one. The first meeting between these two this year finished in an 83-62 win by Jacksonville State. The over is 4-0-1 in Jacksonville State'e last 5 games. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 road games following three consecutive home games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 against a team with a winning home record. Take the over.
|