Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 41.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
Classic matchup and rivalry here today as the Redskins host the Cowboys. No one is out of it in the NFC East this year so this is a big game for both teams. The Cowboys offense has struggled this year, ranked just 29th in total offense while Washington ranks 25th. However, word is that that the reigns are coming off Dak Prescot today for the Cowboys. Couple that with Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys look poised to do what they did last week, score points. The Cowboys put up 40 points last week against one of the best defenses in the league in Jacksonville. It was their highest offensive output of the season. Washington has scored at least 23 points in three of their five games this year. The last five meetings between these teams have gone OVER and six of the last seven meetings have gone OVER. I expect to see these teams put up the points today. I'm playing the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Saints v. Ravens OVER 49 | 24-23 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
New Orleans has won four straight games after their opening week loss to Tampa Bay. The Saints have scored 43, 33 and 43 their last three games. They also had last week off to rest and prepare their offensive plan for the Ravens today. Baltimore has one of the best defenses in the league, but it will be tested here today against Drew Brees and company. This matchup will be the third ranked offense of the Saints against the top ranked defense of the Ravens. The Ravens offense is not bad, ranked 9th in total yards and 12th in scoring. Brees has never beaten the Ravens so you know he will want to put their notch on his belt here today. Usually I look for a good defense to beat a good offense, but not today. I think both teams will get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Panthers +5.5 v. Eagles | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
Philadelphia finally put it all together in their last game, beating the Giants 34-13. It was only the team's second cover against four losses this season. It was also the Eagles' highest point output of the season. Now they return home to face the Panthers. Carolina lost at Washington last week, 17-23. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for Carolina. Both these teams are evenly matched both on offense and defense. The Panthers are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games following an ATS loss. They are also 5-0 ATS their last five off a straight up loss. Getting 5 or 5.5 here with the Panthers. Carolina can win this game outright, so the points are a bonus. Play Carolina. |
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10-21-18 | Browns v. Bucs OVER 52 | 23-26 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are coming off a loss at home to the Chargers, 14-38. The Browns lost a key component of their rushing game when they traded away Carlos Hyde. That means likely the club will have to rely more and more on the arm of QB Baker Mayfield. The Browns will have to have their offense in high gear today against the NFL's second ranked offense in Tampa Bay. Both these teams have terrible defenses, with Tampa ranked 31st and Cleveland ranked 28th. The Browns are 12-5 O/U their last 17 road games and 15-6 ATS int heir last 21 games on grass. Tampa Bay is 9-4 O/U the last 13 at home. I look for a shootout today. Play the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Vikings v. Jets OVER 45.5 | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
The Vikings have been a very good road over team, especially of late where they are 7-3 O/U their last 10 games. The Jets are no slouch at going over, posting a 10-1-1 O/U mark their last 12 times in week 7 and 4-0 in October. The Jets are also 6-2 O/U in their last 8 home games and 8-3 O/U their last 11 on fieldturf. Both of these teams can put up points and I expect to see that here on Sunday. Play the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots v. Bears +2 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
The Bears saw their three-game win streak snapped last week at Miami, 28-31. The Bears didn't know Tannehill wasn't going play. So they prepared for Tannehill, but got Osweiller. Still, the Bears had opportunities to win that game. Now they return home to play the high flying Patriots. The Pats really got it rolling their last three weeks, beating Miami 38-7, then the Colts 38-24 and then winning a shootout last week against the Chiefs, 43-40. Of course, all three of those games were at home. In their two road games this year, they lost at Jacksonville and lost at Detroit. The Bears have now gone 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. The home team has covered five of the last six in this series. And with the Patriots playing on the road where they have looked totally different this year, I'm taking the Bears today. |
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10-21-18 | Titans v. Chargers -6.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Early start here on Sunday as the Titans and Chargers will face off from London, England. The Chargers are the 7th best offense in the league led by QB Phillip Rivers. He has plenty of targets plus the running of RB Gordon. Tennessee has struggled offensively, ranked just 30th in the league. The Chargers are coming off a blowout win at Cleveland, 38-14. It was the team's third win in a row and their second cover in a row. The Titans were shut out at home last week against Baltimore, 0-21. They have now scored 20 points or fewer in all but one of their six games. The Titans are now 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs the Chargers. The favorite has also covered three of the last four with one push. I don't see the Titans being able to contain both Gordon's rushing and Rivers' passing. Take LA. |
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10-18-18 | Broncos v. Cardinals +1.5 | 45-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona lost last week at Minnesota, 17-27, though they did push the 10-point line. They have now covered three of their last four with a push. After a rough start to the season that saw the Cardinals give up 58 points in their first two weeks, they have played solid defense, allowing more than 20 points just one time in their last four games. The Cardinals still have the last ranked offense in the league and the 24th ranked defense, though they have played much better. Denver has now lost their last four games after starting the season 2-0. The Broncos lost at home last week to the Rams, 20-23. You have to wonder how much longer head coach Vance Joseph will be around. Despite adding Case Keenum at QB, the offense has produced more than 20 points just one time this season and that was opening week. The Cardinals are a slight dog here on Thursday. I see this as two teams headed in opposite directions with the Broncos sliding down while the Cardinals look to be improving. I'm taking the Cardinals here on Thursday. |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9 | 30-33 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The 49ers lost last week at home to the Cardinals, 18-28 as three-point home favorites. The 49ers season pretty much was blown with the loss of QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Now they rely on CJ Beathard. Beathard ins't bad, but this team really isn't good. They scored 10 points less than Arizona despite having 40 more offensive plays. Of course, the five turnovers they had didn't help. Green Bay meanwhile lost at Detroit, 23-31. They fell behind early and could never catch up. Aaron Rodgers threw for 423 yards, but the Packers magic just didn't happen. Green Bay's offense still ranks 10th in the NFL while San Francisco's is 15th. The Packers have covered the last two meetings with the 49ers in 20015 and 2014. Moreover, the Packers are now 11-4-2 ATS their last 17 meetings with the 49ers. I like the Packers here tonight against a 49ers team that has to start thinking of next year. Play Green Bay. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 107 h 32 m | Show | |
Huge matchup here as the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots. The Chiefs have had an amazing first quarter of the season, covering all five games and going over in three of the five. The Chiefs offense has scored at least 27 points in each game. As good as their offense is, the defense is ranked last in the NFL in yards with 462 per game. That will be tested here this week against Tom Brady and Company. The Patriots started the season 1-2, but since then have beaten Miami 38-7 and last week the Colts 38-24. The offense has scored 76 points over the last two weeks and should do well again here vs the last place defense of the Chiefs. The Pats are laying 3.5 points here and while that may seem like a great take for the undefeated Chiefs, I like the Patriots. Once Tom Brady and Bill Belichick get rolling, they steam roll over teams. I think this is the week for the Chiefs to come back to earth and lose. Take New England. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 59.5 | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
Huge matchup here as the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots. The Chiefs have had an amazing first quarter of the season, covering all five games and going over in three of the five. The Chiefs offense has scored at least 27 points in each game. As good as their offense is, the defense is ranked last in the NFL in yards with 462 per game. That will be tested here this week against Tom Brady and Company. The Patriots started the season 1-2, but since then have beaten Miami 38-7 and last week the Colts 38-24. The offense has scored 76 points over the last two weeks and should do well again here vs the last place defense of the Chiefs. The Chiefs have gone OVER in four of their last five road games. The Chiefs also will be missing some key cogs on defense, including CB Eric Berry (heel) who has downgraded to doubtful, LB's Justin Houston (doubtful) and Tanoh Kpsassognon (questionable). Not sure how the Chiefs, with one of the worst defenses, will stop the Patriots here. Their only hope as I see it is to outscore New England. I'm taking the OVER. |
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10-14-18 | Ravens v. Titans +3 | 21-0 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The Titans come into today's game with a 3-2 S/U and ATS record. They are coming off a last second loss at Buffalo last week, 12-13. If not for that last second loss, the team would be 4-1 and alone at the top of the AFC South standings. As it is now, the Titans are tied with the Jaguars for the AFC South lead, one game ahead of Houston. The Ravens are in 2nd place in the AFC North, one game behind the Cincinnati Bengals. The Ravens are coming off their OT loss at Cleveland last week, 9-12. The Ravens could manage just three field goals against a under rated Browns defense. The Ravens are now 1-2 S/U and ATS on the road. The Titans are now 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 on the grass. Tennessee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games vs the Ravens and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five at Tennessee. I like the Titans here against a Ravens team that has struggled on the road. Play Tennessee. |
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10-14-18 | Jaguars v. Cowboys UNDER 40 | 7-40 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are offensively challenged. Jacksonville is 1-4 O/U in their last five road games and 1-5 O/U their last six following a straight up loss. Dallas is 0-5 O/U following a straight up win, 0-4 O/U last four vs a winning team and 2-12 O/U their last 14 games overall. Defense will be the ruler in this matchup. Play UNDER. |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks gave the LA Rams all they could handle last week, barely losing 31-33. After opening the season 0-2, the Seahawks have put together three straight impressive games. Now they have to travel to Oakland to take on the reeling Raiders. Oakland got its first win of the season two weeks ago, but came away with a very poor performance last week at the Chargers, losing 10-26. The Raiders have the 6th ranked offense, but the 30th ranked defense. Seattle is 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Raiders are 5-12-2 ATS int heir last 19 games overall. The Raiders have the offense to play with anyone, but their defense is a liability. Maybe they should have signed Khalil Mack? Ya think? I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
The Seattle offense looked very good last week at home vs the Rams, scoring 31 points and coming close to the big upset. Seattle rushed for 190 yards against a very good Rams defense and also added 183 passing yards by Russel Wilson. Today they face a Raiders defense that got torched last week by the Chargers, 10-26. The Raiders were never in that contest and allowed 333 yard passing to Phillip Rivers. Oakland continues to struggle this season, winning just one game in their five and that could have easily been a loss. Jon Gruden has to be shaking his head as to what is wrong with this team. Maybe it all stems back to not signing Khalil Mack. Seattle has been a good over team on grass, going 5-2 their last seven. These teams have also gone over 13 of the last 18 times they have met. I don't see the Raiders defense stopping anyone at this point. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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10-14-18 | Bucs v. Falcons OVER 57 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Atlanta has now gone over in their last four games this season after getting trounced in Pittsburgh last week, 17-41. The defense has been horrible, ranked 28th in the NFL in yards allowed. Now the Falcons defense will have to face the 2nd ranked offense in the league in Tampa Bay. The Bucs also have a terrible defense, ranked 31st in the league. So what we have here today are two terrible defenses that really can't stop anyone. And it's not like these teams can't score, they both have done so in bunches this year. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings in Atlanta. That's just what I like here today. Both these teams should score plenty of points. Take the OVER. |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins OVER 44 | 17-23 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Carolina's offense has gotten better with each week, opening with 16 vs the Cowboys, 24 against the Falcons, then 31 against both the Bengals and Giants last week. It's a bit surprising that the Panthers' defense is ranked just 20th in the NFL, with 376 yards per game allowed. The Panthers have now gone over in four of their last five games and 4 of their last five road games also. Washington is 6-2 Over/Under in their last eight overall and 22-9 O/U in their last 31 vs the NFC. I look for both these teams to put up plenty of points here on Sunday and go OVER the total. |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
The NY Giants seem to be in every game this year, but come up just short. They did it again last week, taking a late fourth quarter lead over Carolina, 31-30 before losing on a late field goal, 31-33. The Giants offense ranks just 25th, but they have been much better than that of late. The defense is 12th and is what is keeping them close in these games. Things just keep getting worse for the Eagles. They lost again last week, this time to the Minnesota Vikings, 21-23. Now, they lose starting running back Jay Ajayi for the season with a knee injury. Rumors have it the Eagles are in the trade market for Cardinals back David Johnson or Steelers RB Le'von Bell. The Eagles have also covered just one game this season at 1-4 ATS. Both teams come back on the short week here playing on Thursday night. I think the Giants are healthier and right now look to be the better team. I'll take the Giants as a home dog here on Thursday. Play New York. |
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10-08-18 | Redskins +6 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
The Redskins have had two weeks to prepare for the Saints, as they had last week off. Washington is 2-1 both S/U and ATS so far after their big win over the Packers, 31-17. Washington is ranked 13th in the NFL in offense with 383 yards per game. It's the defense that has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. The Saints offense is once again very good, ranked 4th in the NFL with 418 yards per game. The defense is ranked 24th, allowing 391 yards per game, of which 311 are through the air. The Saints started the season 0-2, but have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and the Giants. The Redskins have covered the last six in this series and are 4-0 ATS the last four in New Orleans. With the week off to prepare, I like the Redskins here with the points. Play Washington. |
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10-07-18 | Raiders +6 v. Chargers | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -116 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
Oakland got that much needed first win for Jon Gruden last week at home over the Browns in OT, 45-42. The Browns blew a late lead and the Raiders rallied. The Raiders had come close in just about every game this year, with the exception of the Rams contest on opening day. The Chargers, I fully expected this team to be much better then they have shown thus far. The Chargers did pull out the home win last week over the 49ers, 29-27. However, they were a 10-point favorite, so again they didn't live up to expectations. The Chargers are now 2-2 on the season and 1-3 ATS. The Chargers are now 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. The Raiders have covered seven of the last nine in this series at both San Diego/LA. The dog has also been really good play here, covering 15 of the last 18 meetings. I'm taking the points here with the Raiders who now have that win under their belt. Play Oakland. |
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10-07-18 | Giants +7 v. Panthers | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
The Giants have pretty much been in every game so far this season. The rebuilding job they did in the off season is evident, though they still have a ways to go. They also need to give Eli Manning more time, as the offensive line has been suspect. Not suspect has been the play of RB Suquon Barkley, who has lived up to every expectation thus far. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and ATS so far, though their play hasn't been reflective of their record. The defense has been much improved this year, ranked 12th in the NFL. Carolina, usually known for its defense, ranks behind the Giants at 14th. Carolina had last week off after beating Cincinnati at home, 31-21 the prior week. The Panthers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The dog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. In addition, the Giants are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I think the Giants getting 6 1/2 or even 7 here is too many points the way their defense has kept them in games. The Giants have the offensive weapons, they just need to put it all together. Play New York. |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Atlanta is in desperate need of a win here today as they have fallen to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have given up 80 points in their last two games. Atlanta does have the 7th ranked offense in the NFL with 411 yards per game. But when you have the 27th ranked defense, you can't always outscore the opposition, as they have found out the last two games. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine on grass. Pittsburgh also could use a win here after losing at home to Baltimore last week, 14-26. The Steelers are 1-2-1 on the season and 1-3 ATS. Both teams can look at this game as pivotal if they hope to make the post season. Falcons are not a good grass team and it's always tough playing in Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers here on Sunday |
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10-07-18 | Packers +1.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Green Bay has had to play with QB Aaron Rodgers and his hurt knee all season. Still, Rodgers continues to produce wins as the Packers are now 2-1-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. If not for that controversial call on Mathews in the Vikings contest, the Pack would be 3-1. The offense has been good, not great, but with Rodgers hurting I'm not surprised they have played more conservatively. The Lions have the 11th ranked offense. The offense is led by Mathew Stafford and once again they have almost no running game to speak of. Detroit has gone over in three of their four games. The Packers have gone over in 21 of their last 27 games, 20 of the last 26 vs the NFC and are 37-17 O/U their last 54 road games. The Lions are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games and 8-2 O/U last 10 vs the NFC. The over is 5-0 the last five meetings between these teams. Even though the offenses aren't as good as previous years, I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers OVER 57 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Atlanta is in desperate need of a win here today as they have fallen to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have given up 80 points in their last two games. Atlanta does have the 7th ranked offense in the NFL with 411 yards per game. But when you have the 27th ranked defense, you can't always outscore the opposition, as they have found out the last two games. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine on grass. Pittsburgh also could use a win here after losing at home to Baltimore last week, 14-26. The Steelers are 1-2-1 on the season and 1-3 ATS. I'm looking at the OVER here today, two very bad defenses on display here. The Steelers are 7-2 O/U in their last nine home games. Expect both teams to put up plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions OVER 51 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Green Bay has had to play with QB Aaron Rodgers and his hurt knee all season. Still, Rodgers continues to produce wins as the Packers are now 2-1-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. If not for that controversial call on Mathews in the Vikings contest, the Pack would be 3-1. The offense has been good, not great, but with Rodgers hurting I'm not surprised they have played more conservatively. The Lions have the 11th ranked offense. The offense is led by Mathew Stafford and once again they have almost no running game to speak of. Detroit has gone over in three of their four games. The Packers have gone over in 21 of their last 27 games, 20 of the last 26 vs the NFC and are 37-17 O/U their last 54 road games. The Lions are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games and 8-2 O/U last 10 vs the NFC. The over is 5-0 the last five meetings between these teams. Even though the offenses aren't as good as previous years, I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
One thing I realize is that when the Patriots begin to roll, you best get on board or get out of the way. We saw that last week as New England steamrolled over Miami. As for the Colts, they rallied to tie Houston last week and then in OT a 4th and 5 in their own territory didn't work out, giving Houston the ball and the win. It was a controversial move by HC Frank Reich who later stated that he would do that 10 out of 10 times. Well, I'm not sure a tie is a bad thing in that spot, but a loss sure feels worse. Now they play the short week by traveling to Foxboro to play the Patriots. Good news for the Patriots is the return of Julian Edelman after serving his four-game suspension. Edleman has long been a favorite target of Tom Brady. Colts QB Andrew Luck continues to look more and more comfortable. Luck passed for 464 yards last week against the Texans. Luck may be without his top target in T.Y Hilton, who was injured last week. However, even with Luck looking better and better, I like the Patriots here. With Edelman back and the way they looked last week I have no problem laying the number here. Play New England. |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 54 | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 20 m | Show | |
Key AFC west battle here on Monday night as the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs go to Mile High stadium to face the 2-1 Broncos. The Broncos hung in there at Baltimore last week, at least in the first half. The problem was that the Broncos couldn't score in the second half, falling to the Ravens, 14-27. Denver had just 293 totals yards of offense. The Kansas City Chiefs are the talk of the NFL right now with red-hot Patrick Mahomes lighting up the scoreboard. Mahomes threw an NFL record 10 TD's the first two weeks of the season and another record through the first three weeks with 13 TD's. The Chiefs beat the 49ers at San Francisco last week, 38-27. That means the Chiefs have scored 38, 42 and 38 points in their first three games this season - all OVERS. The Chiefs just have too many offensive weapons for the Broncos to stop them all. I look for another high scoring game here on Monday. Play the OVER. |
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09-30-18 | Ravens +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens improved to 2-1 after last week's win at home over the Broncos, 27-14. Baltimore shut down the Broncos in the second half, holding them scoreless after leading 20-14 at the half. The Ravens have the top rated defense in the league thus far, allowing just 273 yards per game this season. They will put that to the test at Pittsburgh this week. The Steelers were in a dogfight at Tampa Bay last Monday. The Steelers used a lot of pressure to force Bucs QB Ryan Fitzpatrick into first half mistakes that got the Steelers out to a 30-10 halftime lead. The Bucs rallied in the second half, cutting that lead to 30-27 into the fourth quarter. One glaring issue for the Steelers has been penalties. They have had at least 12 penalties in three straight games. Penalties have been a killer for the Steelers this season. The Steelers defense has also been burned by the TD pass, allowing nine in the last two weeks. The Steelers were able to hold onto that late lead in Tampa Bay, but their problems run deep. I like the Ravens, who have the defensive advantage. Play Baltimore. |
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09-30-18 | Saints v. Giants +3.5 | 33-18 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Giants finally put together an entire game, great play calling and execution by QB Eli Manning and running and passing all came together. The Giants beat the Houston Texans last week on the road, 27-20 and never trailed. The Giants were +2 in turnovers and Eli completed 86% of his passes on 25-for-29 on 265 yards. The Saints had to keep coming from behind last week, something they have done all season. The Saints tied the game at Atlanta late and then took the ball in OT and never gave it back, scoring a touchdown for the 43-37 win. It's no surprise New Orleans is fourth in the league in offense with 428 yards per game. However, their defense has been horrible, third worst in the NFL. The Giants still not getting much respect from oddsmakers as they are a 3.5 point home dog here. The Giants have been competitive and the way the Saints give up yardage, I'll take the Giants her with the points. Play New York. |
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09-30-18 | Jets v. Jaguars UNDER 38.5 | 12-31 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 60 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars were one of those double-digit favorites last week that lost out right. The Jags lost at home to Tennessee, 6-9. Jacksonville had just 232 yards of offense and while the defense did it's job, QB Blake Bortels looks bad, completing 21-of-34 for just 145 yards. In addition, the Jags rushed for just 87 yards on the ground. The NY Jets looked in control at Cleveland last Thursday. However, when Browns QB Baker Mayfield came into the game, everything changed, including the score. The Browns rallied to beat the Jets, 21-17. Sam Darnold was just 15-of-31 for 161 yards and they rushed for just 107 yards. The Jets and Darnold have not really clicked since their opening win at Detroit. Now the Jets have to go on the road at Jacksonville. They face the 4th best defense in the league. The Jets defense has played well too, ranked 8th in the league. I don't expect Darnold and the Jets to do much here against this Jags defense. The Jets defense will need to play well to keep them in this game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-30-18 | Lions v. Cowboys UNDER 44 | 24-26 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 60 m | Show | |
What in the world is going on with the Dallas Cowboys offense. They lost two of their top receivers from last year and look awful so far on offense this year. The Cowboys lost at Seattle last week, 13-24, scoring just one touchdown. They managed just 53 plays and 137 yards through the air. QB Dak Prescott just doesn't have the targets to throw to anymore. RB Ezekiel Elliot still is excellent, as the running game garnered 166 yards. Now they return home to face the Lions. Detroit shut down Tom Brady and the Patriots last week, 26-10. It was the best showing this year by the Lions who held Brady to just 120 yards through the air and the Patriots to just 89 rushing yards. Defensively, the Cowboys are third in the NFL, allowing just 281 yards per game. Detroit is 7th, allowing 301 yards per game. I look for this game to go under this week with two good defenses and offenses that right now are just one dimensional. Take the UNDER. |
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09-30-18 | Bengals v. Falcons OVER 53 | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 53 h 59 m | Show | |
NFL Total of the Month: The Cincinnati Bengals lost last week to the Panthers, 21-31. The Bengals rushed for just 66 yards in that game but did pass for 330 yards. They also turned the ball over four times while having no take aways. The Falcons were involved in a shootout with the Saints, having to go into OT before losing to New Orleans, 37-43. The Falcons had a huge day out of QB Matt Ryan who tossed five TD's and threw for 359 yards. You can expect another big weekend here against the Bengals as two hot QB's square off again. The Bengals have gone over in three straight games while the Falcons are 2-1 Over/under. The Falcons have now gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games. I like these two QB's as both have been hot this year. Look for this game to go OVER the total. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7.5 v. Rams | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. I believe we get to see the real Vikings tonight. This is just way too many points to give a team of this caliber. With Cook returning I look for the Vikings to cover this number tonight. Play the Vikings. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 48.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. All in all the Vikings are still one of the best in the NFC and the Rams can score at will. I'm taking this game over and I'll just sit back and enjoy the show. Play the OVER. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams have played much defense. Then again they both have been offensive juggernauts, so why play defense. Recent stats show that over 50% of NFL QB's are rated at 100 or more. Direct reflection of the new rules? I think so. We see so many defensive penalties anymore, between all the roughing the QB penalties to the targeting or late hits by the secondary. It's no wonder the NFL is a scoring machine this year. The Steelers had that opening day tie with the Browns, 21-21 and then lost in a shootout to the Chiefs in week 2, 37-42. The Bucs have gone crazy under veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitz has been tossing touchdowns like snacks to dog. The Bucs scored 48 in their opening week win and then scored 27 vs a very good Philly defense last week for a 2-0 record and two overs. I like the OVER tonight. The rules are favoring the offenses and quarterbacks and both these QB's tonight should have a field day. Play the OVER. |
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09-23-18 | Patriots v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 10-26 | Loss | -117 | 83 h 57 m | Show | |
We get to see new Lions HC Matt Patricia play against his old team here as they host the Patriots. Patricia was the defensive coordinator for Bill Belechick for 10 years before taking over as HC of the Lions this year. The Lions offense is ranked 11th in the NFL so far, despite being 0-2. The Lions average 315 yards behind QB Mathew Stafford. Once again it's the lack of a running game that hurts the Lions, as they average just 69 yards this season. They have to solve this issue if they are ever to be a winning team. The Patriots lost last week at Jacksonville, 20-31. They allowed 377 yards to QB Blake Bartels and the Jaguars, something I believe Stafford and the Lions can exploit this week. The Patriots did steal WR Josh Gordon from the Browns, which will add another target for QB Tom Brady. Don't expect a lot of defense in this game as both teams have quick strike ability. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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09-23-18 | Chargers +7.5 v. Rams | 23-35 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 43 m | Show | |
We get our first meeting of this new LA rivalry as the the Rams host the Chargers. The Rams are coming off their shut-out win over the Cardinals last week, 34-0. They lost one of the best place kickers in the league in Greg Zuerlein, who strained his groin. Zuerlein is expected to miss a few weeks. The Chargers lost in week one to the Chiefs, but bounced back last week with a win at Buffalo, 31-20. The Chargers have the third ranked offense right now with the Rams being seventh. Both teams have plenty to offer with the Rams being the better defensive team. The Chargers aren't terrible on defense, currently ranked 9th in yards. I think the seven points is too much here for the Rams to lay to a very good offensive. Play the Chargers. |
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09-23-18 | Colts +7 v. Eagles | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia offense needs something to infuse some life into them. The Eagles are 24th in the league in offense after two weeks and this week they look to be without starting RB Jay Ajayi and Darren Spoles. They are already missing their best receiver in Alshon Jeffrey, who is week to week at this point. The only good news is that it looks like QB Carson Wentz is set to make his return. Will he have anyone to throw to, that's the question? The Colts have looked better now that QB Andrew Luck is back and has a couple of games under his belt. The Colts beat the Redskins on the road last week, 21-9. The Eagles lost at Tampa Bay, 21-27. Even though Wentz is back, he's been off a long time and will need game reps to get back into a groove. I'm taking the Colts here against a still, injured Eagles offense. Play Indianapolis. |
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09-23-18 | Raiders v. Dolphins -3 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
The surprising Miami Dolphins are 2-0 to start the season. Miami won at the NY Jets last week, 20-12 even though they ran just 54 offensive plays. The Dolphins used their ground game to rush for 135 yards. The 0-2 Oakland Raiders could have easily won at Denver last week, but a missed extra point and a last second Denver field goal did them in, 19-20. Now the Raiders have to make the cross country trip Eastward to play in the very humid heat of Miami. This will be a tough environment for the Raiders to play in today. What even surprises me more is that the Dolphins are just a three-point home favorite here today. Not sure what the oddsmakers are thinking in this one. Sure, it's still the Dolphins, but until they lose and the Raiders win, I'm stick with the home club here. Play the Dolphins. |
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09-23-18 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 55.5 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
What all can you say about Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes thus far. Mahomes set an NFL record with 10 TD Passes in the first two games of the season. The Chiefs have the 6th best offense so far. The one problem? The defense, it's ranked dead last in the NFL with 508 yards per game average. They have allowed the most passing yards by far of any team. Now of course they have played from ahead and that means teams must throw to catch up to them. The 49ers lost in week one at Minnesota, giving the Vikings all they could handle. Then last week, the Niners returned home where they beat the Lions, 30-27. San Francisco rushed for 190 yards vs the Lions, and easily went over the 48 posted number. Can Mahomes continue his hot streak? I don't see why not. He's back home here today. The 49ers should also be able to put up plenty of points in this one. I'm taking the OVER and enjoying the offensive show. Play OVER. |
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09-23-18 | Saints +3 v. Falcons | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are fortunate to not be 0-2 going into this big division rivalry game at Atlanta. The Saints needed a late field goal to beat the Browns, 21-18. The Saints trailed by double digits in the 2nd half of their game vs the Browns. Both of these clubs are right in the middle of the NFL in offense, while the Saints are 29th in defense and Atlanta is 11th. The Falcons had to play last week without star running back Devonta Freeman, who missed their game vs the Panthers with an ankle injury. Initially it looked like Freeman was out for weeks, but now he's Day-to-Day. The Falcons beat the Panthers last week at home, 31-24. The NFC South looks to be one of the tightest divisions in football this year with Tampa Bay at 2-0 and then the Falcons, Panthers and Saints all at 1-1. I like the points here today with the Saints. The Saints always seem to start the season slow and I look for them to do even better here today. Take New Orleans. |
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09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens -5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos could easily be 0-2, but instead are 2-0 as they head East to play the Ravens. The Broncos beat the Seahawks in a back-and-forth battle in week one and then came from behind in the second half last week to beat the Raiders, 20-19 on a last second field goal. Raiders QB Carr was very good in this game, hitting on 29-of-32 passes for 281 yards. The loss of LB Kahlil Mack has really hit this Raiders team hard, no matter what head coach Jon Gruden says. The Ravens dismantled the Bills in week one and then lost to the Bengals last week, 23-34. Three turnovers to none hurt Baltimore in this loss. The Ravens had more yards than the Bengals, 425-373 and more offensive plays 77 to 70. But turnovers can be a killer and those three were big in this contest. The Broncos were lucky to be 2-0 and the Ravens are really unlucky to be 1-1. I believe the Ravens are the much better team here early in the season. Take Baltimore. |
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09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns OVER 40 | 17-21 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns haven't won a game since Jets QB Sam Darnold was a freshman QB at USC. Still, they are the favorite tonight and expert computers give them a 60% chance of winning tonight. A win might be what HC Hue Jackson needs to keep his job. A loss here and he could be in real trouble of being the first coach fired this season. For me, I'm looking at the OVER tonight. The Jets opened the season in fine fashion, scoring 48 points at Detroit. They did drop last week with a loss at home to Miami, 12-20. The Jets still got a good game out of Darnold, who threw for 320 yards on 25-of-41 passing. The Browns could easily be 2-0 instead of 0-1-1. They had New Orleans on the hot seat for most of last week, in fact never trailed until the last seconds of the game, losing 16-18 on a last second Saints field goal. I look for the Jets to continue their passing ways here tonight and the Browns, well hopefully they don't turn into the Browns of old. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Seattle lost their opener last week at Denver, 24-27. The Seahawks ran just 49 plays to the Broncos 71 and both teams had three turnovers. The Broncos totaled 470 yards to just 306 by the Seahawks. Still, Seattle lost by just three points, pushing the 3-point line. The Bears had the bad luck of the Aaron Rogers comeback last week. The Bears led 21-3 before Rogers re-entered the game and led that amazing fourth-quarter comeback win, 24-23. It remains to be seen if the events of that loss will carry over to this week. These teams have met only one time since 2013 with the Seahawks winning at home, 26-0 as 15-point favorites. I expect the Bears will not let last week's shock carry over, but still, QB Russel Wilson will be tough to contain as the Seahawks cover this game. Play Seattle. |
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09-16-18 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 42 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 89 h 39 m | Show | |
The under has cashed in each of the past four meetings in this series. G-Men also 10-23 O/U their last 33 during the regular season since 2016. Offensive line woes on the Giants and the Cowboys issues at both QB and WR will slow down offensive production in this game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-16-18 | Giants +3 v. Cowboys | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Giants came up a bit short last week vs a very good defensive team in Jacksonville, 15-20. But two things you can take out of that game, 1) Saquon Barkley is the real deal and 2) the Giants defense is much improved this season. Can't say the same for the Cowboys, who's offense sputtered all game against the Panthers, losing 8-16. Dallas had just 94 rushing yards and 138 passing yads for 232 total yards. The Giants, despite playing one of the best defenses in the NFL, had 114 yards on the ground and 210 through the air for 324. They actually out-gained Jacksonville, 324 to 305. The Cowboys return home and I'm afraid we could be hearing some boos tonight after they see this pathetic offense that has no wide receivers. I'm taking the points with the Giants here tonight. |
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09-16-18 | Patriots v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 20-31 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 43 m | Show | |
Patriots 12-4-1 UNDER in the regular season on the road since late 2015. In addition, they are 5-11 O/U in their last 16 overall games and 7-19 in their last 26 on the grass. Jacksonville is 1-4 O/U in their last five games and 2-9 O/U their last 11 vs the AFC. Expect to see a lot of emotion in this game off what occurred in the AFC Championship game from 2017. The Jaguars defense will be up to the task today to stop Brady and Co. Take the UNDER here. |
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09-16-18 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 47.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 84 h 23 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions defense was non existent last week vs the NY Jets. Detroit has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games overall and 6-2 O/U in their last eight vs the NFC. 49ers OVER 9-5 their last 14 at Levi Stadium. Matt and Jimmy G have a lot more to show off after last week's efforts. Neither D is going to stop many this season and today they should both put up plenty of points. Play the OVER. |
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09-16-18 | Chargers -7 v. Bills | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 140 h 36 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills showed us in the regular season debut at Baltimore just what we saw in the preseason, lots of problems, especially with their offensive line. They had almost not rushing attack and no passing game. The Bills didn't even get their first first down until the second half of the game. The Ravens rolled to a 47-3 easy win over Buffalo. Josh Allen replaced Peterman in the game and it looks like going forward Allen will be the starter. The Chargers had their problems with the Chiefs offense that was let by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs jumped out early and never looked back in a 30-13 win over the Chargers. I'm not putting too much into that opening game by the Chargers. This team has a very good defenses. The Bolts were without one of their best defensive players in DE Joey Bosa. Melvin Gordon was good as usual, gaining 166 yards in rushing and passing. The Bills were just embarrassing last week and will that change here today? I don't think so. The Chargers defense is very good, despite what we saw last week and they will take advantage of this Bills offense that just isn't clicking with anything right now. Lay the points with the LA Chargers. |
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09-16-18 | Chargers v. Bills UNDER 44 | 31-20 | Loss | -125 | 139 h 17 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills showed us in the regular season debut at Baltimore just what we saw in the preseason, lots of problems, especially with their offensive line. They had almost not rushing attack and no passing game. The Bills didn't even get their first first down until the second half of the game. The Ravens rolled to a 47-3 easy win over Buffalo. Josh Allen replaced Peterman in the game and it looks like going forward Allen will be the starter. The Chargers had their problems with the Chiefs offense that was let by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs jumped out early and never looked back in a 30-13 win over the Chargers. I'm not putting too much into that opening game by the Chargers. This team has a very good defenses. The Bolts were without one of their best defensive players in DE Joey Bosa. Melvin Gordon was good as usual, gaining 166 yards in rushing and passing. The Bills were just embarrassing last week and will that change here today? I don't think so. The Chargers defense is very good, despite what we saw last week and they will take advantage of this Bills offense that just isn't clicking with anything right now. I like this game to go under this week as the Chargers defense does to the Bills just what the Ravens did last week. Play UNDER. |
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09-16-18 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 44.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -106 | 81 h 28 m | Show | |
When these teams get together it's usually a defensive battle, as the under is 8-1-1 in the past 10 meetings in this series. Moreover, they are 1-4 O/U in their last five meetings at Atlanta. Falcons OC has effectively muted their offense. Meanwhile, Panthers QB Cam Newton and company are grinders. Don't expect a lot of points in this one. Play the UNDER here. |
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09-16-18 | Colts +6 v. Redskins | 21-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts looked pretty good last week, well at least for the first half of the game. They didn't in the second half as the Bengals came-from-behind to win, 34-23. QB Andrew Luck returned for the first time in two seasons, completing 39-of-53 passes for 305 yards, two TD's and one INT. In fact, the Colts had run 75 plays compared to just 48 for the Bengals. Meanwhile, Washington dominated the Arizona Cardinals last week, 24-6. The Redskins found a rushing game in Andrian Peterson, who with Chris Thompson combined for 182 yards on the ground. The Skins ran 72 plays compared to just 49 for the Cardinals. Today, the Colts are a six-point road dog. I believe the oddsmakers are giving the Redskins a bit too much credit for last week's win. In addition, now that Luck has some game action under his belt we'll see even better results from him. I'm taking the points here and wouldn't be surprised by a Colts outright win. Play Indianapolis. |
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09-13-18 | Ravens v. Bengals OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
Two AFC North rivals meetup here to begin Week 2 of the NFL as the Bengals host the Ravens. Both teams won last week. The Ravens dismantled the Bills, 47-3 and the Bengals used a big 2nd half to win at the Colts, 34-23. The Bengals offense shot itself in the foot in the first half with turnovers. However, they fixed that in the second half and scored the points they should have early on. The Ravens have gone over in five of their last seven road games and are 9-4 O/U in their last 13 games overall. Both these QB's are playing well after week 1 and both offenses have generated plenty of offense. I like tonight's contest to go OVER the total. |
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09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders UNDER 47.5 | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Rams open the season and will debut their new defense under Wade Phillips. The Raiders get to debut new head coach Jon Gruden and a defense without their top player from last year in Khalil Mack. The Rams defense was bolstered during the offseason with the addition of All-Pro corners Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters plus Ndamakong Suh on the defensive line. While it was the offense last year that grabbed headlines, this defense has the ability to be one of the best in the NFL this season. The Rams didn't play any of their offensive stars during the preseason. This game should be exciting, but early on I do like defenses ahead of the offenses and I think the Rams unit will be on display here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER as I don't see the Raiders getting many points. Play UNDER. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 48 | Top | 38-28 | Win | 102 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
The Chiefs have dominated the Chargers in recent times, winning eight straight dating back to 2014. QB Patrick Mahomes begins his tenure as the Chiefs starting signal-caller. The Chiefs will be without star defensive players Joey Bosa. Charger's QB Phillip Rivers begins his 15th season in the NFL. Combined with Melvin Gordon at running back and the Chargers have a potent offensive attack. The Chiefs are 8-3 Over/Under in their last 11 road games. I'm playing the OVER here on Sunday in this game as both teams should be able to put up plenty of points. The Chiefs won't be the same run team we've seen the in past. Play OVER. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -6 | 3-47 | Win | 100 | 742 h 22 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens played last week in the Hall of Fame game. The Ravens looked good, but could have lost late to the Bears. Chicago scored a late 4th quarter TD to pull within one point, but missed the 2-point conversion. We got our first look at the new defensive hitting rule, which looks very confusing. On a few occasions, defensive backs were flagged for roughness when the hits looked perfectly legal. This season should be filled with lots of controversy. As for tonight, I'm taking the Ravens. They have that first game under their belt and have worked out a few game kinks. Play Baltimore. |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants +3 | 20-15 | Loss | -100 | 124 h 3 m | Show | |
The Giants have plenty of NEWs in their lineup heading into the season with new HC Pat Shurmur and OC Mike Shula preparing the team. First round pick Shaquon Barkley is the new workhorse at running back. This Giants teams will not have to rely on QB Eli Manning as much with Barkley in the backfield. The should be much more balanced. Shurmur ran the ball more than anyone when he was with the Vikings, so expect Barkley to get a lot of work. The Jags will once again be a running team with Leonard Fournette the workhorse. The defense was very good last year and will be so again this year. The Giants find themselves a home dog here today. I like that since I think the revamped Giants were going to win this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play New York. |
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09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 44 | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 12 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers will begin the season without one of their best offensive weapons in RB Le'von Bell who is holding out in a contract dispute. His absence could linger much further into the season, which is very bad for the Steelers. The Steelers have beat the Browns 9 of the last 10 meetings. However, the Steelers are just 5-4-1 ATS during that time with seven of those games going UNDER. James Conner will look to be the man with Bell gone for the time being. The Browns have lots to be optimistic about this year with two new QB's including first round pick Baker Mayfield. The Browns defense looked very good in the preseason, not allowing more than 19 points to any opponent. Tyrod Taylor will start at QB and he looked very good in the preseason. I like this game to go under. The Browns defense is much improved and the Steelers won't have all their offensive weapons here today. Play UNDER. |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 49 h 11 m | Show | |
The Giants have plenty of NEWs in their lineup heading into the season with new HC Pat Shurmur and OC Mike Shula preparing the team. First round pick Shaquon Barkley is the new workhorse at running back. This Giants teams will not have to rely on QB Eli Manning as much with Barkley in the backfield. The should be much more balanced. Shurmur ran the ball more than anyone when he was with the Vikings, so expect Barkley to get a lot of work. The Jags will once again be a running team with Leonard Fournette the workhorse. The defense was very good last year and will be so again this year. The Giants have been a good under team to close out last year, going under in six of their last seven games and going under in nine of their last 12 home games. The Jags defense will be good as usual, but I think we'll see a much better Giants defense here today. Defenses always seem to be ahead of offenses early in the season. That being said, I'm going UNDER here on Sunday. |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +3 v. Eagles | 12-18 | Loss | -125 | 59 h 22 m | Show | |
Lots of questions facing the defending champion Eagles as they being defense of their crown here in week 1. First, it looks as if Nick Foles will start tonight in place of Carson Wentz. Wentz continues his recovery from his knee injury and though he looks like he could go, the Eagles have decided to sit him. Also, WR Alshon Jeffrey looks like he won't be playing tonight. Jeffrey was one of the best WR in the NFL last year and has also been recovering from an injury. The Eagles did take him off the PUP list though, which leaves open the possible return of Jeffrey in one of these early weeks. Still, the Eagles looked bad in the preseason, scoring very little points and just winning their final game. The Falcons defense will be waiting for Foles, as they finished in the top 10 in yards and points allowed in 2017. The Falcons defense looks even better this year with their young players continuing to develop. The Falcons did lose all four preseason games, getting outscored by 69 points. However they don't seem to concerned by that. Defense will be the key to this game. Atlanta has a very good defense, just as the Eagles do. I expect a low scoring game here tonight and I'm taking the points with the Falcons. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 201 h 19 m | Show | |
One big question surrounding Super Bowl 52 is the status of Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski. Gronk took a helmet-to-helmet hit in the AFC Championship and never came back. His loss didn't seem to hamper the Patriots comeback win however. Defense edge here goes to the Eagles. They have a very good defensive line, though they only got to Minnesota QB Case Keenum one time. Philly's defense can definitely put pressure on the Pats and Brady. Eagles QB Nick Foles rose to the occasion, tossing three TD's and passing for 352 yards in the win over Minnesota. Still, offense goes to Brady who will make his eight Super Bowl appearance. Foles makes just his fourth playoff appearance. I think the Patriots will start this game throwing and throwing a lot. They will want to take the Eagles offense and put it on its heals. What I like most about this game is playing the OVER. I think both clubs will score a lot and this game will go OVER. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Once again the top seed in the NFC, the Eagles, find themselves a home dog in the playoffs. The survived last week with a win over the Atlanta Falcons. Now they have to face the Minnesota Vikings, the Miracle Minnesota Vikings. Everyone has seen the play that got the Vikings into this game. The Vikes blew a 17-0 lead to the Saints and then had to have their miracle reception, the only thing missing on that play was Al Michaels. At this point in the season you can make a valid argument for either side. Both have great defenses, both have quality play makers on offense. For me, it comes down to the Eagles being the home dog. Foles has shown he can play the role the team has set out for him and then just feed their running backs. Let the defense keep you in the game and try not to lose it. I'm taking the points here again, just like I did last week with the Eagles. Play Philadelphia. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 139 h 49 m | Show | |
The Vikings really needed that week off to help with some injuries, especially center Pat Elfein who missed two of the team's last four games. He's back and should be ready this week. QB Sam Bradford who has been out since early in the season should also be available here today. The Saints have to be concerned with their running game after the Panthers held Kamara and Ingram to virtually nothing last week, just 68 total yards. Now they face a Minnesota defense that has allowed the fewest yards and points in the league. Add to that the fact that New Orleans hasn't won on the road since week 10. Saints QB Drew Brees did step up with the rushing game limited vs the Panthers, tossing two TD's and 376 yards for a 115.2 passer rating. This game likely comes down to the Minnesota defense against Saints' QB Brees. If Brees can open things up early, that should help the running game. I like the Vikings here. They are rested, get some injured players back and of course play in one of the noisiest home fields in all the NFL. Play Minnesota. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings OVER 45 | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 139 h 48 m | Show | |
The Vikings really needed that week off to help with some injuries, especially center Pat Elfein who missed two of the team's last four games. He's back and should be ready this week. QB Sam Bradford who has been out since early in the season should also be available here today. The Saints have to be concerned with their running game after the Panthers held Kamara and Ingram to virtually nothing last week, just 68 total yards. That being said, when the Saints have less than 90 yards the previous game, their next game has gone over six straight times. In addition, they are 13-3 O/U the last 16 times they have had 350 or more yards the previous game. The Saints have also been a excellent OVER team in the playoffs, evidenced by their 9-3-1 O/U mark their last 13 playoff games. This series has been a good over play in recent times, with a 5-0-1 O/U mark the last six meetings in Minnesota and a 7-2 O/U record the last nine overall. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 45-42 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 58 m | Show |
You could tell the Jags plan of attack last week was to play defense and not get QB Blake Bortles into any problems. Bortles made most of his passes behind the line of scrimmage or on short pass plays. These teams met back in week five with the Jags defense dominating Pittsburgh with five INT's and two pick-six touchdowns in a 30-9 win. I don't expect this Steelers team to play like that today, but I also don't expect this Jaguars team to get many points against a very good Steelers defense. I look for a low scoring game here today with Bortles again being asked to not do too much and let the defense take over. Play the UNDER. |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots UNDER 48 | 14-35 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The Titans looked like their season was over last week at Kansas City until KC Tight End Travis Kelce went out with a game-ending injury. After that, the entire contest turned around. They may just have to do the same here today as they face another of those great tight ends in Rob Gronkowski. The Titans realize they can't get into a scoring match here with the Pats. They can't fall behind like they did last week either. So what to do? They have to play ball control and grind out the yards on the ground and keep the Pats offense off the field. The Titans are a physical team and that can give the Pats problems. I don't see the Titans scoring a lot here today and that means they need to keep this game lower scoring. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 41.5 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 51 h 52 m | Show | |
The Eagles find themselves in the rare position of a home dog this season. Mainly because of QB Nick Foles. With Foles at the helm, bettors have lost confidence in the Eagles and thus the oddsmakers is a basically asking you to take Philly with this line. The Falcons got the big road win in LA last week over the Rams. However, it was Rams return man Cooper who almost single handed gave them the game with his turnovers. What was expected to be high scoring in the Falcons/Rams game ended up not being so. Both teams had good defenses and they dominated. That is what I see here today. The Eagles still have a very good defense and the Falcons defense has been playing excellent. I look for this game to go UNDER. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 51 h 52 m | Show | |
The Eagles find themselves in the rare position of a home dog this season. Mainly because of QB Nick Foles. With Foles at the helm, bettors have lost confidence in the Eagles and thus the oddsmakers is a basically asking you to take Philly with this line. The Falcons got the big road win in LA last week over the Rams. However, it was Rams return man Cooper who almost single handed gave them the game with his turnovers. What was expected to be high scoring in the Falcons/Rams game ended up not being so. Both teams had good defenses and they dominated. That is what I see here today. The Eagles defense will keep them in this game. With the week off and being a dog here, I think the Eagles have good value. Even with Foles at the helm, don't write this team off just yet. Play Philadelphia. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints UNDER 49 | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 37 m | Show | |
Carolina limps into the playoffs after a terrible game at Atlanta in week 17, losing 10-22. Cam Newton looked horrible and the office just didn't produce. The Saints also lost in week 17, but the game didn't have much meaning in their loss to the Bucs, 24-31. The Saints defense has been very good all season, holding their last three opponents to (other than the Bucs), to 13, 19 and 20 points. The Saints have the 10th best scoring defense (20.4 ppg allowed). While this game on paper might look like an over, I'm going with the UNDER. The Saints defense has been better than expected and I'm just not impressed with this Panthers' offense. Play the UNDER. |
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01-07-18 | Bills v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills return to the playoffs for the first time since 1999. However, they might have to be without star RB LeSean McCoy who missed Wednesday and Thursday's practices with a ankle injury. He did participate in limited practice Friday, but his status remains uncertain. Really, it all came down to one fourth down play by Cincinnati to keep the Ravens out of the playoffs and get Buffalo in. Of course now they have to face a very aggressive Jaguars defense. The Jags had the 2nd best scoring defense in the league. If McCoy doesn't play or even if he does and isn't near 100%, then this makes an even bigger play for me and that's the UNDER. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams OVER 48.5 | 26-13 | Loss | -102 | 68 h 2 m | Show | |
When these teams get together, the points usually pile up. The last 21 meetings between the Falcons and Rams have seen 16 games go OVER the number. The Rams have been a great over team this year evidenced by their 11-5 O/U mark on the season. The Rams have scored at least 26 points in their last five games (if you toss out their game vs the 49ers). Atlanta had the highest scoring offense last year, but the addition of offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian seemed to disrupt the teams's offensive flow this year resulting in a 15th place finish in points. The Falcons may also have to pass more in this game as RB Devonta Freeman suffered a knee injury last game and may not be fully healed for today's game. Either way, I like the Rams to get lots of points and force the Falcons to keep pace. Play the OVER. |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -7.5 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -115 | 115 h 16 m | Show |
Both of these teams have had issues this season, but I look at the Titans as the team here that has not played well on the road. The Titans have played without RB DeMarco Murray who missed the last game with a sprained knee. QB Mariotta has also had injury issues off and on all season. The Chiefs had up and downs all year, but finished with three wins and has momentum coming into this game with nice wins over Denver, Miami and the Chargers. The Titans won just one of their last four games, that against a Jacksonville team last week that had nothing to play for. I look at this game as one which the Chiefs are ready to win. I don't see that with the Titans, who haven't shown me anything most of this season. They have injuries and don't play well on the road. I'm taking the Chiefs here in the Wildcard game. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers +1.5 v. Rams | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show | |
Rams likely will be sitting a couple star players here, namely QB Jarod Goff and RB Todd Gurley. WIth their spot in the playoffs locked, HC Sean McVay has decided to give some of his players the day off. That means this line has dropped from an opening of nearly seven to its current 1 or 1 1/2 on the Rams. The 49ers player excellent ball with their new QB at that helm and I see the Niners wanting this game to finish the season on a nice win streak. Take San Francisco. |
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12-31-17 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 38.5 | 26-24 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
It's been a rough year for the Arizona Cardinals and it all started going downhill back in week 1 when they lost star running back Johnson for what turned out to be the season. While Arizona can't wait for the season to finish, the Seahawks need a win here today. A Seattle win coupled with a Carolina win and they can still make the playoffs. The offense still is not good for Seattle. In their win at Dallas they had more penalty yards (142) then they did offensive yards (136). I don't look for many points here on Sunday from either team. Take the UNDER |
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12-31-17 | Redskins -3 v. Giants | 10-18 | Loss | -108 | 97 h 29 m | Show | |
Giants currently have the 2nd pick in the draft so a win would drop them here. That makes little incentive for the Giants to win. The Skins have an excellent passing game and they face a terrible Giants defense that has struggled against offense, giving up a QB rating of 98. NY had no incentive here and the Redskins do as they can still have a decent record this year despite all their injuries. Play Washington |
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12-31-17 | Texans v. Colts -5.5 | 13-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Both of these teams seasons come to a merciful end here today. The Texans season went down when QB Watson went down. The Colts season never got under way with QB Andrew Luck never stepping on the field this year. The Texans will not have their best player on the field today as WR Deandre Hopkins will sit out. WHo wants to win here today? I think the Texans already told us they don't want to win as they sit Hopkins. Take the Colts. |
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12-31-17 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 37.5 | 24-28 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Steelers still have something to play for today as they can still get a first round bye. Seeding is the stake for Pitt here today. The Steelers need a win and a Jets win over the Patriots to get home field advantage and a first round bye. Problem is, they are depending on the Jets and that might just be enough for the Steelers to say heck with it and rest players. The Browns are still looking to get that goose egg off their win column. This might just be the spot to do so if the Steelers rest all their stars. I'm taking the UNDER here as the Steelers rest offensive players and well, the Browns are still the Browns. Play UNDER. |
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12-31-17 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 38 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
The end has mercifully come for the Chicago Bears. The Bears have lots of questions to answer in the offseason if they wish to be competitive next year. The Vikings defense will be up for a big game here today as they play for seeding in the playoffs. I don't expect many if any points out of the Bears here today and therefore I will be taking the UNDER. |
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12-25-17 | Raiders v. Eagles -10 | 10-19 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
The Raiders looking forward to next season after and 6-8 mark this year. This after a great 2016 in which they finished 12-4. The pass defense has been horrible this year. They allowed Jay Cutler to complete his first 16 passes against them and then Brady came back the next game and completed 12 straight. The Eagles lost QB Carson Wentz, that is just something you can't replace. However, Nick Foles is adequate and with the weapons he has on offense and this excellent defense, the Eagles are still one of the favorites in the NFC. This game does have importance to the Eagles as a win here on Monday assures them home field throughout the playoffs. In addition, HC Doug Pederson can rest his starters next week with a win today. I like the Eagles defense and I see them controlling this game. I'm laying the points with the Eagles on Monday. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans UNDER 45 | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
The Steelers have had to stew after that bitter loss to the Patriots last week. The loss also saw the club lose their best receiver in Antonio Brown who is out. The Steelers are playing anywhere from home field throughout to third place in the AFC. The Texans are just playing out the season after losing four straight games. The Steelers have been a great road under team, posting a 6-22 O/U mark their last 28 away games. They are also 9-20 O/U in their last 29 vs the AFC. The Texans will be hoping for a return from QB Watson next season as they realize that neither Yates nor Savage is the answer to this team. I don't expect a lot of points here on Monday with Brown out of the lineup and the Texans playing with backup QB's. Take the UNDER. |
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 46.5 | 21-12 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Big news today is the return of Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliot. This is great news for a Cowboys team that has struggle since his suspension. The Seahawks completely melted down last week against the Rams, losing 7-42. In addition, there were some bad tweets between Seahawks defensive players Bobby Wagner and Earl Thomas, causing some tension among the team. Elliot comes into today's game with fresh legs and I believe we'll see the Cowboys keep feeding him the ball against this beleaguered Seahawks defense. I look for Dallas to score a lot of points here today and therefore I'm going with the OVER. |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars v. 49ers +4.5 | 33-44 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Jacksonville can secure home field advantage with a win today at San Francisco. The 49ers will try and play spoiler with QB Jimmy Garoppolo at QB. The 49ers have played well since Garoppolo has become QB. Garoppolo has a 98 QB rating so far this year, better than that of Blake Bortles 89.7. San Francisco has won three straight including the last two with Garoppolo starting. Today the Niners are getting four points at home. I think is is too many for a team playing with lots of confidence behind their new QB. Take the 49ers. |
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12-24-17 | Lions -3 v. Bengals | 17-26 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Lions in that must win spot as a loss eliminates them from the playoff picture. No matter what else needs to happen and there are a few of those scenarios, the Lions must win today at Cincinnati. Detroit has averaged 25.6 ppg this year, well above that of the Bengals' 16.6 ppg. The Bengals defense is slightly better, allowing 21.8 ppg compared to the Lions 24.2 ppg. Detroit has won two straight games and I expect them to win and cover here today against a Bengals team that has lost three straight. In addition, the Bengals have scored just 14 total points in their last two games. Take the Lions. |
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Week 16 of the NFL begins this afternoon with the Colts playing at the Ravens. The Ravens hold their own destiny in their hands with wins in these final two weeks and they likely have a playoff date at Kansas City in the Wild Card round. All the Colts can do right now is the right for the No 2 pick in next year's draft. The Colts bring a five-game losing streak into today's contest. The Colts offense is terrible, 30th in yards, 31st in passing yards, 31st in scoring. I look for Baltimore to get done what they need to today against a poor Colts team. Take the Ravens in a blowout win. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 53.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This could be our preview of the AFC Championship Game. The Steelers defense has been on its heals with injuries. They might get back CB Joe Hayden here, but how effective he will be after being out is unknown. Of course the heart of this defense, Ryan Shazier is out with that spinal injury as is Keion Adams. The Patriots looked horrible last week against a poor Miami team. They didn't have Rob Gronkowski, who was serving a suspension. Gronk returns today though and that will make a big difference. Pitt QB Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for two or more TD's in each of his last five games. Rather than get involved in a side here, I'm looking at the OVER. With Gronk back and the Steelers defense showing it's holes, I look for each of these clubs to get plenty of points. Play the OVER. |
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12-17-17 | Titans v. 49ers -1 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are playing their fourth game on the road in their last five games. This late in the season that is a big burden on any team. Add to that, the Titans are just 2-4 S/U, 1-5 ATS in their last six away games and the may have the deck stacked against them today. QB Marcus Mariota has played hurt most of the year and on the road he has just three TD's compared to 11 INT's. San Fran QB Jimmy Garoppolo makes his first home start after winning his first start last week for the Niners, 26-16 over Houston. San Francisco has won three of its last four games both S/U and ATS. I look at the Niners here today as the team to beat with Garoppolo at the helm and a terrible road Titans club. Play San Francsico. |
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12-17-17 | Cardinals +4 v. Redskins | 15-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Washington Redskins have been injury plagued all season. The Skins are just 1-4 in their last five game. In addition, they have lost the last two games by a combined 41 points. With their playoff hopes gone, I look for this Washington team to not even show up here today. The Washington offensive line is in shambles and that means QB Kirk Cousins will be pressured the entire game. Washington can't rush either, ranking 25th in ground game. I can't imagine laying points with a team so riddled with injuries as this Washington club. Yet, here they are today laying four to the Cardinals. Arizona has had it's own share of issues on injuries, but in this matchup I'll take the points. Play Arizona. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles -7 v. Giants | 34-29 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Eagles have really owned the Giants, going 15-4 S/U, 14-5 ATS the last 19 meetings. Manning is back under center for the Giants, but that really doesn't matter since he has no targets to pass to. The Giants do benefit from Philly QB Carson Wentz being out today. However, even with QB Nick Foles at the helm, the Eagles have way more offensive weapons than the Giants. The Eagles defense is much better too. We saw the Eagles overcome special teams errors and Wentz's departure against the Rams and still pull out the win. I don't see the Giants being able to stay with this Eagles team today. Play Philadelphia. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals v. Vikings -10.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
The Vikings finally return home after three straight road games. Minnesota was 2-1 on that road stint, losing their last game at Carolina, 24-31. This club has used its dominating defense at home, holding one of the highest scoring offenses in the Rams to just seven points. They also held the Packers to just 10 and the Ravens to 16. Not sure how a Cincinnati offense that mustered just seven points at home last week against the Bears will crack this Vikings wall. The Bengals offense has been off all season long. Playing on the road against a similar defense in Jacksonville, the Bengals scored just seven points. Look for the Vikings to be energized at home today and shut down this Cincinnati offense. Play Minnesota. |
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12-17-17 | Packers v. Panthers OVER 47 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
The Packers are on life support in the NFC playoff picture. They MUST win out to even have a remote chance at making the postseason. The good news is that QB Aaron Rodgers returns today and just how rusty he will be is yet to be determined. You really cannot underestimate just how important Rodgers return to the lineup is for the Packers. Plus, his legs will be fresh with the time off. Carolina is coming off that big win over the Vikings last week, 31-24. It was the Panthers fifth win in their last six games. Carolina's offense has been very good too, scoring at least 26 points in their last three games. QB Cam Newton has only one INT in his last five games. I look for both of these teams to score points in bunches today. I'm playing the OVER. |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
THis is a huge game for these two teams and their respective playoff chances. It wasn't too long ago that the Chiefs were 4-0 and the Chargers 0-4. Now, these teams are both tied for the AFC lead. This game will have all the atmosphere of a playoff game. The Chiefs have a terrible rush defense, 30th in the league. The Chiefs offensive line will also have to contend with a very good Charges defensive rush, tied for fifth with 37 sacks. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five games of this series. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Arrowhead Stadium. Big game with big implications, I'm taking the Chargers as the team with all the momentum heading into this contest. |
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12-16-17 | Bears +5 v. Lions | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
Important game here for the Detroit Lions as they look to stay in the playoff picture in a convoluted NFC. A loss and the Lions can pretty much kiss their playoff chances goodbye. Detroit (7-6 S/U, 6-6-1 ATS) coming off a big win last week at Tampa Bay, 24-21. The Lions return home after a two game road swing. The Bears offense had their best output last week, scoring 33 points at Cincinnati. The offense cracked the 20-point ceiling just twice in their prior nine games. Surprisingly, the Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The road club has covered in this series four of the last six with one push. The Bears are also 4-1-1 ATS the last six in this series. I'm taking the point here with a Bears team that will be loose and playing to spoil the Lions season. Play Chicago. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos -2.5 v. Colts | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Not the best of matchups tonight as both teams not having the season they expected when this year started. The Broncos by virtue of being in the AFC West at least kept their playoff hopes alive for longer than really anyone expected. The Broncos did snap their eight game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets 23-0. Even with all their struggles, they still allow the fewest yards per game with three to go. The Colts played in a snow globe last week in Buffalo. The white-out conditions resulted in a 7-13 OT loss to the Bills.I'm taking the Broncos here tonight for a couple of reasons. First, the Denver defense is still great and they proved it last week. This Colts team has very little on the offensive side of the ball. Second, playing in that deep snow last week had to be exhausting, kind of like running in sand. That will be tough on the legs, especially with a short week here. For those reasons, I'm on the Broncos tonight. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots (10-2 S/U, 8-4 ATS) take on the Miami Dolphins (5-7 S/U, 4-6-2 ATS) on Monday Night football. The Patriots beat up on these teams, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs a losing team. Miami, for a low scoring team, is 4-1 O/U at home this year, 8-1 O/U last 9 vs the AFC East and 8-2 O/U in their last 10 Monday Night games. The Pats scored 35 last time these teams met in New England with the game going over the 49 point line. Miami held a poor scoring Denver team to just nine points last week. However, before that they gave up 35 to NE, 30 to TB, 45 to Car, 27 to Oak and 40 to Baltimore. In fact, the Dolphins have gone over in their last seven games. With these clubs going over in five of their last six meetings, that's what I'm going with here on Monday. Play the OVER. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a very physical come-from-behind win at Cincinnati last week. Very chippy played game with injuries to both side. The most scary being Pitt LB Ryan Shazier who suffered a spinal injury and was carted off the field. The injury shook the Steelers as they fell behind. The Steelers are in a comfortable position at 10-2 and three games ahead of the Ravens. Baltimore can use a win this week to help solidify their Wild Card slot. The Ravens put together a third straight excellent effort as they manhandled the Lions in a 44-20 win. The rest of the schedule is fairly easy once they get past the Steelers today with the Browns, Colts and Bengals left. That means they can fully concentrate on this week's game and with all the momentum they have coming into today's contest combined with the letdown I expect from Pittsburgh, I'm taken Baltimore here today. |
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12-10-17 | Seahawks v. Jaguars OVER 40 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks got a huge win last week against the NFC's top ranked team, Philadelphia. The issue here is that the Seahawks maybe in a look ahead spot as they play the Rams next week. The Jaguars are a favorite here, but they need to play a little more conservative than they have in the past. The Jags can prove they belong in the playoff run with a win today. I'm looking at the OVER here. Both of these teams average right at 24 ppg this season. The Jags are 4-1 O/U in their last six games and the OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in this series. If QB Blake Bortels can take advantage of a depleted Seattle secondary, this game goes OVER. |
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12-10-17 | Eagles v. Rams -1 | 43-35 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
I don't think the Rams will be looking past this Eagles team today toward the Seahawks showdown next week. The Eagles showed they are human last week in their loss at Seattle, 10-24. The Eagles have no challengers for the division, so they don't have to risk injuries. They already lost TE Zach Ertz last week to a concussion. Now they face a very good Rams team that needs to win to keep pace over the Seahawks. The 9-3 Rams are tied for the best scoring team in the NFL with the Eagles. This game could come down to special teams and I give a big nod to the Rams with their excellent kickers in punter Johnny Hekker and PK Greg Zuerline. This will be a tough game, but I'm taking the Rams. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
Minnesota (10-2 S/U, 9-3 ATS) plays at Carolina (8-4 S/U, 7-5 ATS) today. The Vikings coming off that win over Atlanta last week, holding the Falcons to just nine points on their home turf. The Vikings offense bogged-down too, scoring just 14 in the win. I'm going to be siding with the Panthers here on Sunday. The main reason is that the Vikings play their third straight road game and fifth in their last six games. This is a tough scheduling spot for the Vikes, having to play this many road games. The Panthers return home after a pair of road games, splitting with a loss at New Orleans and win at the Jets. I know the Vikings have the better team, but the better team doesn't always win. And this is just the case today as Minnesota will be road weary and that gives the Panthers the edge. Play Carolina. |
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12-10-17 | Packers -3 v. Browns | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
The Packers can improve to 7-6 with a win over winless Cleveland this week. And, possibly even see QB Aaron Rodgers return next week. Despite being winless, the Browns defense isn't too bad, ranked 7th against the run and 10th in fewest yards allowed. The problem the Browns have is way too many turnovers, that can hurt any defense and put them on their heals. The Browns want to get that win for HC Hue Jackson, they just have to stop making so many mistakes. This game will be close, but I'm laying the field goal with the Packers. |
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12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 48 | 15-26 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
It's difficult to imagine that at one point this year the KC Chiefs were 5-0 and looking like they would run away with the division. Now, they are in serious trouble as they are tied with both the Chargers and Raiders for the AFC West lead. The only win for the Chiefs in the last seven weeks was a win over the broken Broncos, 29-19. Points haven't really been too big an issue, with KC scoring 31 in their loss to the Jets last week. The last time these teams locked-up in Oakland, they scored 61 points. I'm looking at the OVER here, not only because neither of these teams have good defenses, but also because the Chiefs will be without All-Pro corner Marcus Peters. Peters was suspended by the Chiefs for his incident at the end of last week's loss to the Jets. Take the OVER today |