Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-03-19 | Packers -3 v. Chargers | Top | 11-26 | Loss | -125 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my NFL GOM. Game 471. 1:25 pm pst. In what just might be the biggest mismatch on the board this week, the 7-1 Packers go into Carson to take on the 3-5 Chargers. Green Bay is 3-0, both SU and ATS on the road this season, outscoring hosts by 8.0 PPG. LA is 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in Carson. This really isn't a home game for the Chargers and offers them no home field advantage. Davante Adams returns here to further bolster the Packers aerial assault. The Chargers "O" (19.6 PPG) just can't keep pace here. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series, 4-0 ATS then L4 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-03-19 | Lions +3 v. Raiders | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Detroit. This is my OM play. Game 465. 1:05 pm pst. Matt Stafford (64.4% CR, 2093 YP, 16/4) leads the 5th ranked passing unit in the NFL and will pick apart an Oakland secondary that ranks 31st and has given up major points to their L6 opponents. The Lions are 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road, 8-2-1 ATS the L11 on grass, and 15-5-1 ATS the L21 vs. losers. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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11-03-19 | Vikings -1 v. Chiefs | 23-26 | Loss | -123 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my TD play. Game 459. 10:00 am pst. As of print, it looks like Patrick Mahomes is going to be sidelined again. Don't fool yourself, Matt Moore is a big step down as his replacement. KC can not run the ball at all to ease the burden on Moore. Flipside, the Chiefs are horrible against the rush and in comes Dalvin Cook and the #3 ranked rushing attack in the NFL. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS the L4 following an ATS loss. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS the L5 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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10-31-19 | 49ers -10 v. Cardinals | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my LVSM. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. San Francisco is just a few points away from covering every game this season (5-2 ATS). The 49ers have become one of the NFL's best teams, especially on the road where they are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Arizona dropped three in a row (Baltimore, Carolina, Seattle), then won three straight (Cincinnati, Atlanta, NYG), only to come back to Earth last week in a 31-9 thumping at the hands of New Orleans. My point here, they fold when facing good teams. The 49ers are a very good team. The Cardinals won't be able to score against the League's #2 scoring defense (11.0 PPG allowed). Kyler Murray is lining up against the #1 pass "D" in football and is in for a long night here. The Cardinals defense (or lack thereof) is one of the worst in the NFL (27.9 PPG allowed). I see the second ranked rush offense exploding here and opening up Jimmy G and the passing unit. San Francisco is 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played at Arizona. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins v. Steelers -14 | 14-27 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. Game 228. 5:15 pm pst. Miami, at 0-6, is also statistically the worst team in football, ranking 32nd in offense and defense (O 10.5 PPG, D 35.2 PPG). While Pittsburgh is not that much better in the win/loss column (2-4), the Steelers have covered four straight. This is a team and a city full of pride. They also thrive on Monday Nights, going 5-1 ATS the last six MNF games. The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS the last 15 games played on the road, 1-5 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 1-8 ATS the last nine games played on MNF, and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers -5.5 | Top | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 46 h 58 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. This is my NFC GOM. Game 270. 1:05 pm pst. Both teams have emerged to be NFC powerhouses. Both offenses are impressive. But, the big difference here is on the defensive side of the ball where San Francisco's fast and ferocious stop-unit lads the NFC in points allowed (second overall, 10.2 PPG). Carolina', Kyle Allen has done well in Cam Newton's absence. However, the second year quarterback has not had to face a "D" like he will here. Another key mismatch is with the NFL's second ranked rushing attack of the 49ers going up against the League's 23rd ranked run defense of the Panthers. The favorite is 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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10-27-19 | Bucs +2.5 v. Titans | 23-27 | Loss | -101 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my BB. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. Tampa is a lot better than their record as they are one of the highest scoring teams in the NFL (28.8 PPG). No matter who is at the helm, Tennessee has problems putting points on the board. They won't be able to run the ball against the NFL's top-ranked run defense. The Bucs had a week off to think about their last two outings (both losses), rest, and prepare. Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS the last six on the road. Tennessee is 0-4-1 ATS the last five at home. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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10-27-19 | Broncos v. Colts -4 | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my AFC GOM. Game 272. 10:00 am pst. HOT SEAT ALERT: Rumors surround the future of John Elway, Vic Fangio, and Joe Flacco in Denver. No surprise there. Someone that isn't on the hot seat is Jacoby Brissett. The quarterback (1,388 yards passing, 65.0 percent completion rate, 14/3) has Colts fans saying, "Andrew who?" Indianapolis has taken control of the AFC South by no accident. They are playing solid football. The Colts have dominated the Broncos, going 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings, including 6-1 ATS the last seven at home. Overall, Indy has gotten the bettors paid, going 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of October, 6-2-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the AFC, and 4-1-1 ATS this season. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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10-20-19 | Texans +1 v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -100 | 70 h 60 m | Show |
Take Houston. This is my AFC SOUTH GOM. Game 453. 10;00 am pst. Houston is playing some very solid football and enter this contest with confidence after a 31-24 outright win (as a 3.5-point 'dog) over Kansas City last week. Indy too, beat KC two weeks ago and comes in following a bye week. Jacoby Brissett has played well since the departure of Andrew Luck. However, the off week should have the newly named starter a bit rusty. The Colts depend solely on the running game which poses a big issue as they go up against the NFL's 8th ranked run defense. Offensively, Houston (10th passing, 5th rushing, 8th scoring) won't have any problems moving the chains. The 1-2 punch of Deshaun Watson and Carlos Hyde are going to put up points. The road team is 8-1-2 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series. The Texans are 6-2-1 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played vs. the AFC. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
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10-20-19 | Vikings -1 v. Lions | Top | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 55 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 457. 10:00 am pst.
Kudos to the Detroit Lions for covering four straight. But, the party ends here. It will be hard enough for the team playing on a short week, but mentally coming back from a controversial MNF, 1-point loss to division rival, Green Bay Packers, will be fatal. They don't possess the toughest offensive line. In comes the ferocious pass rush and one of the stingiest stop-units in football (6th, 15.5 PPG allowed) of the Minnesota Vikings. Detroit has no defense whatsoever. Minny quarterback, Kirk Cousins has silenced the critics (1,374 yards passing, 69.7 percent completion rate, 9/3). But, it will be the legs of running back, Dalvin Cook (583 yards rushing, six TD's) and the third-ranked rushing unit in the NFL that will take this game over and run with it (no pun intended LOL). The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the last five games played at the Lions and 17-8-3 ATS the last 28 overall games vs. the Lions. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | Cowboys -7 v. Jets | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
Take Dallas. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst.
Dallas is a good team, but, they are not an NFL elite. The Cowboys started the season at 3-0, beating three nobodies (Giants, Redskins, Dolphins, a combined record of 2-12). They then played two solid teams in the Saints and Packers and lost and failed to cover both.Well, the 0-4 Jets most likely will see the return of quarterback, Sam Darnold and tight end, Chris Herndon (check status on both), but it won't matter. The New York "O" ranks 31st in scoring, 32nd in passing, and 30th in rushing. Look for Dak Prescott and company to exploit New York's doormat of a secondary and get back on track here. Dallas feeds on lower tier teams and it doesn't get much lower than their opponent here. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a losing record. The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos UNDER 41 | Top | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 9 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Titans/Broncos matchup. Games 271/272. 1:25 pm pst.
These are two of the NFL's poorer offenses, but two of the better defenses. Denver accounts for only 18.0 PPG while Tennessee averages 19.6 PPG. The Broncos defense allows just 21.2 PPG while the Titans "D" yields a mere, 15.2 PPG. They have combined to play to three overs and seven unders this season. The under is 8-1 in Denver's last nine home games, 20-7-1 in Denver's last 28 overall games, 7-3 in Tennessee's last 10 road games and 4-0 in Tennessee's last four overall games. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 71 h 1 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. Game 265. 1:05 pm pst. A season ago, my opinion on this matchup would have been very different. But, this is 2019 and these two teams are in very different places right now. San Francisco owns the best running game in the NFL, the #2 scoring offense (31.8 PPG), and a top-five defense in every major category. Their defensive line is one of the most feared in the league and will go through the porous, offensive line of Los Angeles and get to the struggling, Jared Goff (7 TD/7 INT). With several linebackers out, including Clay Matthews, the Rams defense is going to get steamrolled by the top rushing tandem in football, running back's, Matt Brieda and Raheem Mostert (576 yards rushing combined). The 49ers are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks -1 v. Browns | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. This line moved from a +2.5 to a -1.5. People are starting to take notice of Russell Wilson's extraordinary season (1409 YP, 73.1% CR, 12/0) and an offense that is putting points on the board. The Seahawks, which last played Thursday, October 3rd, catch the Browns on a short week, getting thumped on MNF, 31-3 at the 49ers. The Cleveland offense should see the return of a player or two but still only accounts for 18.4 PPG. Defensively, they have problems when facing solid rushing offenses and particularly, dual-threat QB's (AHEM). The Seahawks are 2-0 SU and ATS on the road in 2019 and are an overall, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a visitor. The Browns are 6-19-1 ATS the last 26 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | Panthers -1 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 65 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. Game 251. 6:30 am pst. Since losing Cam Newton, Carolina has rattled off three straight wins and covers. Quarterback, Kyle Allen (677 YP, 5/0) and running back, Christian McCaffrey (587 YR, 6 TD's) have united to give the offense a huge spark. The Panthers lost the September 12th matchup and the Buccaneers have dropped two of three since (both SU and ATS). Tampa Bay isn't having any luck running the ball, thus leaving the offense in the hands of the "Jekyll & Hyde", Jameis Winston to face the NFL's 4th ranked pass defense. The Buccaneers are banged-up and might be missing some key cogs in the wheel. The road team is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the Bucs. The Bucs are 1-8-1 ATS the last 10 game played in the month of October. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 2 m | Show | |
Take LAC. This is my HR. Game 472. 1:05 pm pst. Denver, at 0-4 this season is on an 0-8 SU and a 1-7 ATS run going back to last season. Their offense is non-existent and their defense has fallen by the waist side. They rank 30th vs. the rush and in comes Ekeler and Gordon. Look for the ground game to open up Phillip Rivers and the passing game. The Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS the last 30 vs. the AFC. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders UNDER 40.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 40 h 13 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BEARS/RAIDERS matchup. This is my TOW. Games 453/454. 10:00 am pst. The Bears are a team that averages just 16.5 PPG. The Raiders account for 19.8 PPG. Neither team has faced too many great defenses. There is no doubt that the #2 ranked defense of the Chicago is going to shut down the lackluster, offense Oakland. This is going to be a slow moving, low scoring contest. The under is 8-1 in the Bears last nine games played overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-06-19 | Bills +3 v. Titans | 14-7 | Win | 105 | 40 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my UOW. Game 469. 10:00 am pst. The Bills are money at 3-1 ATS (3-1 SU) and have a top-10 defense in every major category. They will shut down the lackluster, Titans offense. On the other side of the ball, Buffalo's fourth ranked rushing unit will control the tempo and the clock. The Bills are 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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10-06-19 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers | 27-34 | Loss | -117 | 40 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Jacksonville. This is my TD. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Gordon Minshew and Leonard Fournette have rattled off two straight victories and three consecutive covers. Carolina has no offense whatsoever and no defense against the run. Giving the Jaguars 3.5 points is a gift here. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS the last five at home. Take the Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 19 m | Show |
Take Chicago. This is my NL. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. The Chicago Bears have rattled off three consecutive victories, mostly due to the NFL's #2 ranked defense (11.2 PPG allowed). It doesn't matter that Chase Daniel is at the helm. The backup quarterback was 22 of 30, for 194 yards passing, and 1/0 in last week's, 16-6 win and cover over Minnesota. Oakland, under Derek Carr can't pass the ball (26th) and just can't seem to cross the goal line (19.8 PPG). To contend with the ferocious Chicago defense, you must have both, a solid ground and a solid air attack. Carr is in for a very long day here.The Bears are 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of October. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. Game 277. 5:15 pm pst. The last three meetings in this AFC North rivalry were decided by a total of 13 points, with Cincinnati covering two of the three matchups. Andy Dalton leads the #2 passing unit in the NFL and goes up against the 30th ranked passing defense in the league here. Mason Rudolph has a few more weapons at his disposal. Neither offense is having any success running the ball and both rank near the bottom of the NFL in scoring (Cincinnati 18.0 PPG, Pittsburgh 16.3 PPG). I just can't seem to back the Steelers until they show some signs of life. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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09-29-19 | Chiefs -6 v. Lions | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 49 m | Show |
Take Kansas City. This is my NFL GOM. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. Detroit, at 2-0-1, is one of this season's most pleasant surprises. However, beating a banged-up, Philadelphia team last week is going to prove to be a much easier task than facing a true, NFL powerhouse like Kansas City, this week. Patrick Mahomes leads the top passing unit in football and the third overall scoring offense (33.7 PPG). The Chiefs quarterback is going to shred the 22nd ranked Lions passing defense here. While I like head coach, Matt Patricia, he is overmatched and outclassed by Andy Reid. Kansas City is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played in the month of September, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the CHIEFS. Thank you. |
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09-29-19 | Patriots -7 v. Bills | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -104 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GOM. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. The fans in upstate New York are the happiest they have been since Jim Kelly was at the helm. QB, Josh Allen leads the 3-0 Bills. I hate to burst the bubble for the people of Buffalo, but the teams record was earned against three teams that are collectively, 1-8 (Jets 0-3, Giants 1-2, Bengals 0-3). Granted, the Patriots three opponents (Steelers, Dolphins, Jets) are a combined, 0-9, but, New England is still in a class shared by few. The Patriots (along with the Chiefs) are the cream of the AFC crop. Future Hall Of Famer, Tom Brady leading the NFL's #2 scoring offense (35.3 PPG) is nothing new. But, the New England defense ranks #1 in points allowed, passing yards, rushing yards, and total yards. Patriots defensive coordinator, Brian Flores and head coach, Bill Belichick will have their defense primed and ready to befuddle the Bills offensive line and their young quarterback. New England will not allow the other AFC East, 3-0 team to maintain any confidence. They are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings vs. Buffalo, 16-5-1 ATS the last 22 meetings in Buffalo, 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played on the road, 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played vs. the AFC East, and 42-18 ATS the last 60 games played overall. Take the PATRIOTS. Thank you. |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -4 | 34-27 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my HR. Game 102. 5:20 pm pst. Philly is one of the NFL's most banged-up teams. Even at full strength, they would have a tough time in this matchup. Not only are they 1-2 SU, but they have yet to cover a game yet this season. Green Bay is 3-0, both SU and ATS, beating some very talented team (Chicago, Minnesota, Denver). Philadelphia, with a ground game that averages under 100 YR per game , relies upon their passing game. Well, they face the #5 pass defense in football here. The Eagles are 0-6 ATS the last six in the month of September. The Packers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of September. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +5.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my MNF winner. Game 490. 5:15 pm pst. There is no questioning that the Bears defense is the reason why they aren't 0-2. Their offense is a league-ranked 31st, accounting for 9.5 PPG. The Redskins defense is no world-beater. However, their "O" put up 27 points on the Eagles and 21 points on the Cowboys. Case Keenum can throw the ball. And with several RB's banged up, you can expect a heavy dose of AP (Adrian Peterson). Washington has won seven straight in this series, going 6-1 ATS, with five consecutive covers. Chicago is notoriously slow starters, going 5-12 ATS the last 17 games played in the month of September. Take the Redskins. Thank you. |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks -4 | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC GOW. Game 482. 1:25 pm pst. Drew Brees is out leaving the reins in the hands of Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. HC, Sean Payton said both will see action here. Without Brees, the offense must lean on RB, Alvin Kamara. Well, Seattle's rush defense ranks 4th in the NFL. This along with the fact that Russell Wilson is healthy and playing better than ever, prompts me to lay the points here. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. The Saints are 0-5 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS the last five vs. the NFC, and 0-7 ATS the last seven overall. The Seahawks are 17-5 ATS the last 22 in Week 3, 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 vs. the NFC, and 10-4-1 ATS the last 15 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers -7 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. this is my NO LIMIT. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. Green Bay has the NFL's #2 defense, yielding 9.5 PPG. Denver has the NFL's 28th ranked offense, posting just 15.0 PPG. Expect a lot of three-and-outs for the Broncos, thus putting Aaron Rodgers on the field to work his magic. The home team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Broncos are 5-14 ATS the last 19 on the road and 1-5 ATS the last six overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 44 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Denver/Green Bay matchup. This is my TOW. Game 461/462. 10:00 am pst. Neither offense is lighting up scoreboards as Denver averages 15.0 PPG and Green bay accounts for 15.5 PPG. Both defenses are playing well and both teams have played all their games to UNDERS. Counting this preseason the Broncos have played to 15 straight UNDERS and in just regular season play, the UNDER is 19-61 the last 26 overall. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Packers last 12 regular season games and 4-1 their last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams OVER 52 | 9-27 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Saints/Rams matchup. This is my BB. Games 283. 284. 1:25 pm pst.
It has been nine months since these two teams last met. There were several controversial, no-calls when the Rams defeated the Saints, 26-23 in the NFC Championship. Both teams have a lot to prove here. New Orleans wants to exact some revenge. Los Angeles wants to prove they deserved to advance to the Super Bowl. Both offenses are explosive. Veteran quarterback, Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Famer. In his fourth season, Jared Goff certainly looks to be on his way. Both possess solid ground attacks with running back's, Alvin Kamara and Todd Gurley II. However, both defenses can be exploited. The Saints yielded 28 points to the Texans a week ago, while the Rams allowed the Panthers to put up 27 points in Week 1. These two NFC powerhouses have met four times over the last four seasons, with an average score of 61.25 PPG. The over is 8-3 the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles, 7-2 in New Orleans' last nine played in September, and 5-1 in Los Angeles' last six played at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Bears -2 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Push | 0 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my HR. Game 285. 1:25 pm pst. Chicago led the League in scoring defense last season and it's looking like their stop unit is just as string this season. Joe Flacco has never been known as quick-footed. The Bears "D" will get to him, especially because the Broncos do not have a solid ground game to keep defenses honest. Look for the Chicago offensive line (five sacks allowed last week) to play much better here and allow QB, Mitchell Trubisky to work his magic. The Bears are 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS the last five on the road, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 overall. The Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS the last five in September, 3-9-1 ATS the last 13 at home, and 8-20-1 ATS the last 29 overall. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/BRONCOS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 285-286. 1:25 pm pst. These two teams haven't faced one another since a 2015 matchup which resulted in 32 combined points. Going back further, they have played to six unders in the last seven meetings. Both offenses sputtered in Week 1 as Denver accounted for just 16 points in a loss at Oakland and Chicago mustered a mere, three points in a tough loss to rival, Green Bay at Soldier Field. Bears QB, Mitchell Trubisky is going to continue to struggle as he goes up against Vic Fangio, who was Chicago's defensive coordinator before taking the head coaching position for the Broncos. Both teams own very strong defenses. The under is 6-0 in the Bears last six overall and 7-0 in the Broncos last seven at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Chargers -1.5 v. Lions | 10-13 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my DOMINATOR. Game 263. 10:00am pst. Pay no mind into the holdout of Melvin Gordon. Austin Ekeler recorded 154 yards from scrimmage (58 rushing/96 receiving) and accounted for three TD's last week. The Chargers are an AFC elite team. They take on one of the worst teams in the NFC here. The Lions got a Week 1, 27-27 tie with bottom the bottom feeding, Cardinals. LA is one of the best road teams in the NFL, going 7-1 ATS the last eight as a visitor. Detroit is 4-1 ATS the last five at home. TAKE THE CHARGERS. Thank you. |
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09-09-19 | Texans v. Saints -6.5 | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 31 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my MNF winner. Game 480. 4:10 pm pst. New Orleans got caught looking in Week 1, a season ago, as they lost, 48-40 to Tampa Bay. The Saints then went on to win 10 in a row SU, going 9-1 ATS. This is one of the most explosive, experienced, and well-coached teams in the NFL. They are only one of six teams touted to reach double-digit wins (10.5).Veteran gunslinger, Drew Brees will exploit a Texans "D" that is now without Jadevon Clowney (traded to Seahawks). HC, Sean Payton and DC, Dennis Allen will have the defense primed and ready to get to DeShaun Watson through an offensive line that yielded a whopping, 62 sacks last year. Houston is 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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09-08-19 | 49ers +1.5 v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my HR. Game 461. 1:25 pm pst. Bringing in Bruce Arians is not going to help the Buccaneers. The HC had a ton of talent at his disposal with the Cardinals and still went just 15-16-1 the last two seasons. This is a team that allowed an NFC-high, 29.0 PPG last year. They must now face a healthy, Jimmy Garoppolo, who has a slew of weapons in his arsenal. Defensively, the 49ers acquired defensive linemen, Dee Ford and Nick Bosa to assist sack-master, DeForest Buckner. Bucs quarterback, Jameis Winston would be smart to take out some extra life insurance this week. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played in Week 1 of the season. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 62 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my BB. Game 454. 10:00 am pst. Minnesota is 3-0, both SU and ATS vs. Atlanta under Zimmer. They come off a very strong preseason campaign, and unlike the Falcons have no distractions. The fact that the Vikings are a playoff caliber team that did not make the postseason last year is going to motivate them this year. Minny, had one of the stingiest defenses in the league LY. Their offense, led by Kirk Cousins is going to shred an Atlanta "D" that ranked near the bottom of the barrel a season ago and still has serious issues in their secondary. By the way, Matt Ryan's passer rating plummets on the road. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the last five games played in Week 1 and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played at home. The falcons are 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-08-19 | Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 62 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC GOM. Game 459. 10:00 am pst. Miami is touted to be the worst team in the NFL at 500/1 to win the Super Bowl and win a league-low, 4.5 games. Baltimore had to replace a few key players from last year's #2 scoring defense and are expected to be just as tough. They have a solid ground attack that will steamroll one of the NFL's most porous rush defenses. The Ravens have covered eight straight meetings over the Dolphins, including five in a row in Miami. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots -2.5 v. Rams | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my SUPER BOWL/GOY WINNER. Game 101. 3:30 pm pst. In a matchup that puts together a storied, seasoned, dynasty against the hottest and youngest HC and team in years, many expect a great contest. Both offenses have showed that they can put points on just about anyone. But, on this platform, post-season experience, and moreover, Super Bowl experience plays a huge part. Tom Brady has passed for 2,576 yards with 18 TD's and just five INT's in his eight Super Bowls. Yes, at 41, he is the oldest QB to ever start the Super Bowl. But, the last two years, Tom Terrific has diced up Philadelphia and Atlanta for 971 yards in the February contest and has amassed 15 post-season outings with 300 or more yards passing. The future Hall of Famer stands behind a stout OL, has Sony Michel (931 YR, 6 TD's) and dual-threat RB, James White (425 YR, 5 TD's) in the backfield. White is the NFL's top-catching RB. Gronkowski and Edelman are proven, sure-handed, receivers. Speedster, Chris Hogan is a deep threat. And when you need a PAT or FG, Gostkowski is as good as it gets. Jared Goff had an outstanding season. However, he is just in his third year as a pro and has never been in such a high-pressure situation. He will once again be missing his "go-to" guy in WR, Cooper Kupp, who went down with a knee injury late November, resulting in Goff accounting for just six TDP's over the last seven games. Todd Gurley, also had a great season, but we still don't know if he is back at 100%. This offense had problems running the ball against the Saints two weeks ago. Defensively, the Rams front-seven is very good most of the time, but there are times when they are very erratic, springing leaks. The Patriots defense has turned it up when they needed to and has gotten better as the season progressed. This game will come down to a few key things... First, which Head Coach will prepare his team better and outsmart his counterpart. Next, who can establish the run. Both have solid running attacks but Sony Michel has the momentum and the New England "D" is stronger vs. the rush. Lastly, mistakes. Whoever commits less penalties and doesn't turn the ball over, will prevail. In my opinion, to win the Super Bowl, you must have a seasoned HC, and a veteran QB. After losing last year's Super Bowl to a one-hit wonder, expect the "Bill and Tom" show to leave no doubt about their legacy. Taker the Patriots. Thank you. Below are some prop bets I feel have value: Longest FG of Game 47.5 Yards-OVER -110. Shortest FG of Game 26.5 Yards-UNDER -110. Will the Patriots Score a TD in 1st Qtr-YES -110. Total Gross Passing Yards by Brady-282.5-OVER -110. Total Rushing Yards by Brady 1.5 yards-OVER +130. Longest Rush by Brady 2.5 Yards-OVER +140. Total TD Passes by Brady 2-OVER -110. Total TD Passes by Brady 2.5-OVER +170. Total Rushing Yards by Michel 76.5-OVER -110. Total Rushing Attempts by Michel 17.5-OVER -110. Total Receptions by White 4.5-OVER -150. Total Receptions by Gronkowski 3.5-OVER -110. Will Gronkowski Score a TD-YES +170. Total First Downs by Patriots 23.5-OVER -110. Will Goff Throw a 3rd Qtr TD Pass-YES +140. Will Goff Throw a 4th QTR TD Pass-YES -120. Total Receptions by Gurley 3.5-OVER -110. Total 3rd Down Conversions by Rams 5.5 OVER EVEN. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 37-31 | Win | 103 | 55 h 19 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 313. 3:40 pm pst. I am not looking to take away anything from the Chiefs. But, to be honest, I watched last week's matchup with the Colts. From the opening kickoff, Kansas City seemed to dominate. But, Andrew Luck was off, making some poor passes, he fumbled the ball away, receivers dropped some easy catches, and career money kicker, Adam Vinatieri missed both a FG and a PAT. I think the Colts more lost the game, than did the Chiefs win it. This game is going to be cold. Early reports were forecasted to be in single-digits, which compelled bettors to play the Under. As of print, the updated forecast is approximately, 20 degrees. The Patriots are in a rare, underdog role for the first time since 2014 with Tom Brady at the helm, which will motivate them. These two teams played a mid-November, barn-burner, with the Pats prevailing, 43-40. We all know how good the Chiefs offense is, ranking #1 in points scored. And, Pat Mahomes has a banner year (66.0% CR, 5097 YP, 50/12), but guys, he is a first-year starter playing against a dynasty with the best HC/QB combo ever. The New England defense has tightened up. Now, they will allow yards but, they are going to throw different schemes at Mahomes and force the young QB to make some mistakes. The Kansas City "D" is a doormat, ranking 31st vs. the pass and 27th vs. the rush. Agreed, Josh Gordon is gone and Rob Gronkowski isn't what he once was. However, rookie RB, Sony Michel (931 YR, 6 TD's), who ran for 129 yards and 3 TD's last week, will exploit a rush defense ranking last, yielding 4.96 YPC in the regular season. There is a lot of talk about New England's lack of success on the road. NONSENSE! The weather will hinder the KC passing game. Mahomes' youth will be a factor. And the Brady/Belichick vast post-season experience will play a major role. The Chiefs are 2-9 ATS the last 11 playoff games and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight overall games. The Patriots are 8-3 ATS the last 11 playoff games and 38-17 ATS the last 55 overall games. TAKE NEW ENGLAND. Thank you. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 53 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 342. 12:05 pm pst. These two teams met on November 4th at the Superdome, which turned out to be one of the best games of the season, as New Orleans got the win and cover, 45-35. Los Angeles will be playing their first road playoff game under their new regime. The Rams and their top-five offense did score less, while their defense allowed more, on the road this season. This is also the first time the team is an underdog all year, which may affect their confidence as a young team. Jared Goff's numbers fall drastically away from home as the QB has a 22/3 TD/INT ratio at L.A. Memorial Coliseum, but as a visitor, has a 10/9 ratio, not to mention he owns a 1/5 ratio vs. playoff teams and as you know, will be without his "safety blanket", WR, Kupp here. Playing at home, in front of a friendly crowd, in one of the loudest venues in sports, definitely benefits the Saints, which in the Sean Payton/Drew Brees era, are 6-0 in the Superdome, in the playoffs. Last week, the Rams "D" only had to contain one offensive threat against the Cowboys, in RB Ezekiel Elliott. The Saints possess a slew of talented receivers, along with the tandem of RB's, Kamara and Ingram. Alvin Kamara is going to be the key here, not just as a ball-carrier, but also coming out of the backfield as a receiver. This is just too many playmakers for the Rams defense to cover. As far as QB's go, Drew Brees is one of the best ever and has not just been on this platform, but has won here as well. New Orleans also accounts for some truly, time-consuming drives, keeping defenses tired, and offenses off the field. Also note, CB, Talib gambles a bit, and being that he is not 100%, Brees will exploit him. Defensively, the Saints leave a lot to be desired in the air, but own the 2nd ranked stop-unit vs. the rush. The Rams offense passes off the run. The tandem of Gurley and Anderson will need to establish the ground game, and will get their yards, especially with DT, Rankins sidelined here, but wonder boy HC, Payton will make adjustments. The Home Team is 7-0 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven playoff games. New Orleans is 5-2 ATS the last seven January games. TAKE THE SAINTS. Thank you. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers +4 v. Patriots | 28-41 | Loss | -103 | 67 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 305. 10:05 am pst. With all respect to a New England team that just captured their 10th straight AFC East title, let's face it, that's nothing special. In the last month and a half, when they had to win, Los Angeles did, sporting a 6-1 SU record, with victories over such notables as Pittsburgh, Kansas City, and Baltimore. The Patriots erratic defense is in for a long day here. The tandem of RB's, Gordon III and Ekeler, and the trio of receivers, Allen, Williams, and Williams is bad enough, but with veteran QB, Philip Rivers (68.3% CR, 4308 YP, 32/12) at the helm, the day just got even longer for the New England "D". On the flipside, to contain Tom Brady, you must hurry the QB. The duo of DE's, Bosa and Ingram will spend so much time in the Patriots backfield, they might as well wear their uniform. The Chargers "D" got to the very mobile, Lamar Jackson a week ago, so the flat-footed, Brady is a sitting duck here. New England does not have the services of WR, Gordon and TE, Gronkowski is just a shadow of his former self. The Bolts have covered all games played outside of L.A. this season and have covered their last five straight as an underdog, winning those five games outright. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Loss | -114 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my BOOKIE BUSTER. Game 303. 5:15 pm pst. Los Angeles has been the team to beat since Week 1. And for the first half of the season, the Rams seemed unstoppable. Since the second half began, teams have uncovered ways to beat them. They dropped three of their final eight contests, to the Saints, Bears, and Eagles. Two of those teams (Saints & Eagles) the Cowboys faced and beat just in the last five weeks. The LA defense is weak against the run. Well, the NFL's top-rusher, Ezekiel Elliott (1434 YR) lines up against them here. The RB is salivating as he knows the Rams ranked dead-last in the League, getting plowed for 5.1 YPC. Dak Prescott has a playoff win now to get the pressure off his shoulders. The Cowboys "D" is tough (20.2 PPG allowed). And they are money as an underdog, covering six of the last seven in the role. RB, Todd Gurley (slated to play) was left out the last two games and will be rusty. Jared Goff has yet to prove himself in the post-season. Los Angeles is 1-4-1 ATS the last six home games, 1-5 ATS the last six playoff games, and 0-4-1 ATS the last five games vs. teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -104 | 46 h 24 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 301. 1:35 pm pst. Kansas City finished the campaign at 12-4. However, the Chiefs have been point spread poison, covering just once over their last seven outings entering this game. This is a team that has crushed bettors in the post-season as well, going 1-9 ATS their last 10 playoff appearances and 1-11 SU their last 12. But, let's talk about the present day. QB, Pat Mahomes does lead the top scoring offense in football. Let's be honest, the "O" hasn't been as explosive without Kareem Hunt. WR, Tyreek Hill is the unit's biggest threat. He must face a much-improved, Indianapolis secondary and an overall defense that has tightened up, and finished the season ranked 10th, yielding only 21.5 PPG. The biggest weakness for KC is their defense (31st vs. the pass, 27th vs. the rush). This doesn't bode well as Andrew Luck is having a career year (67.3% CR, 4593 YP, 39/15), behind an OL that has allowed just 16 sacks. The QB, along with standout WR, T.Y. Hilton, and RB, Marlon Mack will shred the Chiefs "can't stop anybody" stop-unit. The Colts are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chiefs and 11-4 ATS the last 14 overall games vs. the Chiefs. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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01-06-19 | Eagles +7 v. Bears | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 49 h 59 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my BOOKIE BUSTER. Game 107. 1:40 pm pst. Making LY's Super Bowl Champions and the Super Bowl MVP, an underdog in January, is a mistake. Philly is on a roll and has a lot to prove which makes them a very dangerous team. Not to take anything away from Chicago, but they have a QB making his post-season debut. The Bears live and die by their defense. It is their offense that is less than stellar. This is a problem because the Eagles "O" is soaring. Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS the L8 road playoff games. Chicago is 2-5 ATS the L7 home playoff games. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 46 h 32 m | Show |
Take Los Angeles. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 105. 10:05 am pst. There's a few things you must do to win in the post-season. You must stop the run and you must win on the road. Well, the Chargers rank 9th vs. the rush (top-10 in every major defensive category) and are 7-0 SU and ATS in games not played in LA this season. The 24-10 loss to Baltimore 2 weeks ago was Los Angeles' worst offensive output this season. Expect Philip Rivers to exact some revenge here behind one of the best offensive units in football. QB, Lamar Jackson will not have the element of surprise here as LA now knows what to watch for. I don't see the young, Jackson keeping pace with the veteran, Rivers in the post-season forum. The Road Team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. The Chargers are 21-8-1 ATS the L30 on the road. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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01-05-19 | Colts +1 v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 101. 1:35 pm pst. These are the two hottest teams in football, but the Colts are just a bit hotter, winning 9 of their L10 SU, including a December 9th, 24-21 win and cover at the Texans. The Indianapolis defense has tightened up quite nicely and match up well here. Houston ranks 28th vs. the pass and must face the 6th ranked passing unit in the NFL. Andrew Luck has decimated the Texans secondary, throwing for 863 YP and 6 TD's in the 2 meetings against them this season. Indy is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 at Houston, 8-3-2 ATS the L13 overall vs. Houston, and 6-0 ATS the L6 vs. winners. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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12-30-18 | Eagles -6.5 v. Redskins | 24-0 | Win | 100 | 72 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my NO LIMIT. 1:25 pm pst Philadelphia has had their way with Washington, winning and covering the last three meetings, including a 28-13 victory on December 3rd. The Eagles are red-hot, winning four of their last five SU and have last year's Super Bowl MVP back under Center. Nick Foles has looked very sharp. Not to mention that the reigning Super Bowl champs are playing for a chance at the last Wild Card spot. The Redskins are banged-up, have dropped five of their last six SU, and pose no offensive threat whatsoever (18.7 PPG). The Favorite is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 69 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 102. 10:00 am pst. Dallas lost last week to an AFC foe, after a 5-game win and cover streak. They were blanked for the first time in 15 years. Expect a big bounce-back here at AT&T Stadium to lock up the NFC East title in front of a friendly, home crowd. They certainly don't want to leave anything to chance for their final regular season game, next week, against division rival, New York. Tampa Bay's defense is the perfect remedy after LW's poor offensive performance, as the Buccaneers rank 27th both against the pass and against the run. Look for Elliott and Cooper to put up big numbers. Offensively, the Bucs have fallen flat, posting a total of 26 points their last two outings. And facing the NFL's 4th ranked stop-unit (19.2 PPG allowed), won't help matters. Sean Lee is back on "D", and despite a few banged-up OL members, Elliott will still hit the century mark as the Buccaneers "D" has yielded 9-straight 100-yard rushing games. Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU on the road, going 3-3-1 ATS. Dallas is 6-1 SU at home, going 5-2 ATS. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | Top | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 69 h 44 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFL NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 115. 10:00 am pst. Minnesota is in the playoffs and would certainly like to put up a few more wins to better their seeding situation. They finish up at home next week, against NFC North title holder, Chicago. This is potentially a big game for the Vikings. They took down the Lions, 24-9, back in Week 9. A game in which they sacked Matthew Stafford 10 times. In that meeting, Stafford was healthier, he had more weapons at his disposal, and his OL was intact. Now the QB has back issues, their receiving corps is a hurting, their best ball-carrier is most-likely going to miss his 5th game, and the OL is very banged-up. They've averaged only, 15.8 PPG over their L8 games. There's no way they can deal with the rejuvenated, Vikings offense that has gone back to running the ball. QB, Kirk Cousins has a healthy offense and the defense has been on point all year, yielding just, 22.0 PPG. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-17-18 | Saints -6.5 v. Panthers | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -100 | 72 h 11 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my MNF GOY. Game 331. 5:15 pm pst. Normally, you should go against a team playing their third consecutive game on the road, but the Saints aren't "normal". They bounced back from their first loss since Week 1, to win and cover last week over the Buccaneers, with a 25-0, 2nd half edge. New Orleans (11-2) controls their home field destiny in the NFC playoffs. Expect Drew Brees and company (#2 offense, 34.4 PPG) to notch a big win over a division rival that they have beaten three straight meetings. Carolina is on a five-game lose and no-cover slide. The Panthers one man offense of Christian McCaffrey (leads the team in rushing, receiving, and TD's) will have problems against a stingy, Saints "D" that hasn't given up better than 17 points over their last five outings. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four in Carolina, 20-6 ATS the last 26 on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine vs. NFC opponents. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 325. 1:05 pm pst. San Francisco, which by the way, has lost 10 or more games for four consecutive seasons, has not covered back-to-back games in 2018. They now face a Seattle team that has dominated them, taking the last 10 meetings SU, going 8-2 ATS. The Seahawks crushed the 49ers just two weeks ago, 43-16. Nothing has changed over the last 14 days to make me think that this will have any different of an outcome. With a win here, at Levi's Stadium, Seattle can sew up an NFC Wild Card slot. Veteran QB, Russell Wilson will once again outplay counterpart, Nick Mullens. The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the 49ers and 11-2-1 ATS the last 14 overall vs. the 49ers. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road and 6-0-1 ATS the last seven vs. NFC opponents. The 49ers are 6-15 ATS the L21 home games and 0-5 ATS the last five against NFC foes. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys +3 v. Colts | 0-23 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my DOMINATOR play. Game 313. 10:00 am pst. With serious playoff implications here, I must side with a Dallas team riding the longest active win streak in the NFL (5 games). A win here will clinch the NFC East title. Since acquiring Amari Cooper, the Cowboys are 5-1 (both SU and ATS). The WR (642 YR, 6 TD's, 16.1 YPC) gives the offense a true aerial threat to go along with a solid ground assault behind RB, Ezekiel Elliott (1262 YR, 6 TD's). But, it has been the League's 2nd ranked defense (18.9 PPG allowed) that has been the key to their success. Indianapolis also needs this game, but QB, Andrew Luck has no ground game and just can't do it all by himself. The Colts "D" folds like a cheap suit when facing mediocre offensive units, let alone solid "O's". The Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS the last six games played in the month of December and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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12-16-18 | Titans -1 v. Giants | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 41 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my VI play. Game 319. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee looks to stay in the playoff race, so a win is a must here. New York has notched just 1 victory over a playoff caliber team this season, and that was against Chicago with a backup at QB. The Giants defense has struggled when facing mobile QB's. Marcus Mariota is as mobile as they come. On the other side of the ball, WR, OBJ is banged-up (check status), which leaves the offense entirely reliant upon the legs of Saquon Barkley. The rookie RB is going up against the #4 overall defense in the NFL (19.5 PPG allowed), which has yielded just 6 rushing TD's this year. The Titans are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. the Giants and 4-1 ATS the L5 in the months of December. The Giants are 2-8-1 ATS the L11 following an ATS win and 1-4-1 ATS the L6 games played at home. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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12-15-18 | Browns +3 v. Broncos | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 305. 5:20 pm pst. With a new sense of pride, Cleveland has won 5 games this season and has a shot to take the division and a possible, post-season slot. Baker Mayfield will exploit the depleted, Denver secondary missing Harris Jr., and also may be without (check status) Brock and Yiadom. The Broncos offense is struggling with the absence of WR, Sanders, They are 3-7 ATS the L10 in December and 3-7-1 ATS the L11 at home. Take the Browns. Thank you. |
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12-15-18 | Texans -7 v. Jets | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Bookie Buster. Game 303. 1:30 pm .
Don't put any stock in New York's, 27-23 win at Buffalo last week. Come on guys, it's Buffalo! Prior to that, the Jets lost 6 in a row SU, going 1-5 ATS. Sam Darnold, to me is very overrated. And now, he must face Watt, Clowney, and the 5th ranked Houston "D", that's yielding just 19.9 PPG and have tallied, 43 sacks. The Texans still have a shot at a playoff bye with a win here. The "Big 3" of Watson, Hopkins, and Miller are just too much offense for the Jets defense. Houston is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC and 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. New York is 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning record and 2-5 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs OVER 53 | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is my TNW. Games 301/302. 5:20 pm pst. Two of the most-explosive offenses square off tonight, as Los Angeles ranks 5th, accounting for 28.2 PPG and Kansas City ranks 1st, averaging over 36.2 PPG. These teams enter this meeting having played to 5 OVERS in their L6 combined outings. The Chiefs defense has been a doormat, yielding 27.0 PPG while the Chargers give up 20.8 PPG. This matchup will be a high-scoring affair. take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears OVER 50.5 | 6-15 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the RAMS/BEARS matchup. This is my LATE BAILOUT. Games 119/120. 5:20 pm pst. The NFC West champ, Los Angeles, are looking to stay ahead of New Orleans for home field in the conference playoffs. The Rams offense that accounts for over 34.9 PPG. The 1-2 punch of QB, Jared Goff (66.4% CR, 3754 YP, 27/7) and RB, Todd Gurley (1175 YR, 15 TD's) can light up any defense in football. The Bears have a good "D", but haven't faced a tandem of the caliber of Goff and Gurley all season. Moreover, the only two able QB's they have went up against (Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady combined for 573 YP, 6/1), tore them up. Mitch Trubisky (check status) is most-likely playing, and will add the spark to the 5th ranked scoring offense (28.7) and put up points on the porous LA defense that has gotten burned quite a bit this season. The OVER is 5-1 in the Rams L6 vs. teams with a winning record and 4-1 in the Bears L5 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Rams -3 v. Bears | 6-15 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my NO LIMIT Game 119. 5:20 pm pst. The NFC West champ, Los Angeles, are looking to stay ahead of New Orleans for home field in the conference playoffs. So, I don't have a problem laying a short price here with a Rams offense that accounts for over 34.9 PPG. The 1-2 punch of QB, Jared Goff (66.4% CR, 3754 YP, 27/7) and RB, Todd Gurley (1175 YR, 15 TD's) can light up any defense in football. The Bears have a good "D", but haven't faced a tandem of the caliber of Goff and Gurley all season. Moreover, the only two able QB's they have went up against (Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady combined for 573 YP, 6/1), tore them up (both losses). Mitch Trubisky (check status) is most-likely playing, but the QB does not have the arsenal to contend here. The Los Angeles offense ranks 2nd in total yards, 4th in passing yards, 4th in rushing yards, and 2nd on points scored. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Steelers -10 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my LVSM. Game 131. 1:25 pm pst. Normally, I wouldn't lay DD's with Pittsburgh here, especially with New England on deck for them. They just blew a 16-point halftime lead in last week's, 33-30 loss to Los Angeles. And, James Conner is out. But playing Oakland trumps all that. Look for the Steelers to bounce back here with a vengeance. Last Sunday, with under two minutes left, the Chiefs let the Raiders score 10 points with the game in hand, to beat Oakland, 40-33. That seven-point deficit was the only defeat over Oakland's last seven losses to come by less than 14 points. Pittsburgh will try to establish a ground attack with Stevan Ridley and Jaylen Samuels, but Big Ben is going to do most of the damage against an Oakland "D" that hasn't been able to stop any good throwing QB's this year. The Raiders "stop-less" stop-unit ranks 31st, allowing over 30.6 PPG. Offensively, they rank 29th, averaging a mere, 18.3 PPG and must face a healthy and ferocious Steelers "D". Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS the last seven following a SU loss. Oakland is 2-6 ATS the last eight at home. Take the Steelers. Thank you |
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12-09-18 | Broncos -3.5 v. 49ers | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my DOMINATOR. Game 123. 1:05 pm pst. In just four starts, Nick Mullens has gone from a hero to a punch line. The QB, who looked great, tossing three TD's vs. Oakland in his debut, has now just 2 TD's and 5 INT's over the last three games since, all losses, both SU and ATS. The 23-year old must now step up to the line against a vastly improving, Denver "D", consisting of the fierce, Von Miller-Bradley Chubb pass rush. The Broncos are riding a three-game win and cover streak to bring the team to 6-6, and right back into the AFC Wild Card race. Case Keenum can rely upon RB, Phillip Lindsay (937 YR, 8 TD's) to keep the 49ers defense off-balance and open up the passing game, even without WR, Emmanuel Sanders (out, achilles). Denver is 4-0 ATS the last four on the road and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. San Francisco is 1-4 ATS the last five at home and 1-5 ATS the last six overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers UNDER 45.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BRONCOS/49ers matchup. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Games 123/124. 1:05 pm pst. In just four starts, Nick Mullens has gone from a hero to a punch line. The QB, who looked great, tossing three TD's vs. Oakland in his debut, has now just 2 TD's and 5 INT's over the last three games since, all losses, both SU and ATS. The 23-year old must now step up to the line against a vastly improving, Denver "D", consisting of the fierce, Von Miller-Bradley Chubb pass rush. The Broncos are riding a three-game win and cover streak to bring the team to 6-6, and right back into the AFC Wild Card race. Case Keenum must rely upon RB, Phillip Lindsay (937 YR, 8 TD's) here to move the chains and eat up a ton of clock, as the offense is without WR, Emmanuel Sanders (out, achilles). The Under is 4-0-1 in the Denver's L5 overall and 4-1 in the 49ers L5 on grass. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Falcons +5 v. Packers | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my Underdog Outright Winner. Game 111. 10:00 am pst. Two pre-season, NFC favorites enter this contest with seven combined losses. The Packers are banged-up on both sides of the ball and are dealing with a new HC for the first time in 13 years. Atlanta has taken the last three meetings in this series by a combined, 35 points and come into this matchup with more weapons in their arsenal. The road team is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings in this series. Atlanta is 5-0 ATS the last five in Green Bay. Green Bay is 1-5-1 ATS the last seven vs. NFC opponents. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 54 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the SAINTS/BUCCANEERS matchup. This is my NFC TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 113/114. 10:00 am pst. Tampa Bay has played their division rival very tough, winning and covering the last two meetings, including an early-September, 48-40 victory. New Orleans suffered their first defeat since Week 1, and they've had a few extra days to rest and prepare. The Bucs own the #1 passing unit in the NFL and the Saints have a big weakness, in their 30th ranked defense vs. the pass. The OVER is 4-1 in the Saints L5 vs. the NFC South, 7-1 in the Saints L8 following a SU loss, 4-1 in the Bucs L5 vs. the NFC South, and 9-4 in the Bucs L13 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 38.5 | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 22 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the Jets/Bills matchup. This is my AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 115/116. 10:00 am pst. Well, the last time the Bills were a favorite was December 31st of last year. WOW! Two rookie QB's look to square off here as USC product, Sam Darnold goes up against Wyoming standout, Josh Allen. Both play-callers displayed brief moments of greatness (very brief), but both have struggled. Darnold has a 55.0% CR, 11/14, while Allen possesses a 52.9% CR, 5/7. These two passing units rank among the worst in the League and neither offensive squad has had success running the ball either. New York accounts for just 20.2 PPG, and Buffalo averages only 14.8 PPG. However, despite poor records, both defensive units have played well this season. There just might be higher-scoring games in the NHL this Sunday. LOL. The Under is 5-2 the last seven meetings in Buffalo, 4-1 in the Jets last five vs. the AFC East, and 7-3 ATS in the Bills last 10 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -125 | 40 h 15 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 117. 10:00 am pst. Don't put any stock in reading that Miami has given New England trouble over the years. This is Belichick and Brady in December. The Patriots can lock up a record, 10th straight division title with a win here and are just one game behind the Chiefs for the best overall mark in the AFC. Tom Brady and company routed the Dolphins, 38-7, back in September, to give the team their fourth win and cover in the last five meetings in this series. Since then, New England has gotten healthier and better. New England is 17-6 ATS the last 23 on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five vs. the AFC, and 37-15-2 ATS the last 52 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore This is my BOOKIE BUSTER. Game 105. 10:00 am pst. This is an interesting matchup as the League's best scoring offense goes up against its best scoring defense. Facing a stingy, Baltimore stop-unit without a proven ball-carrier, is going to be a much tougher task than last week's matchup against a cushy, Oakland "D". HC, John Harbaugh mentioned that he may use both, Joe Flacco and Lamar Jackson at the helm. Flacco can exploit the Chiefs 32nd ranked pass defense, while Jackson and RB, Gus Edwards will team up to exploit the 22nd run defense of Kansas City. Baltimore is 5-2 ATS the last seven in the month of December. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Colts v. Texans OVER 50 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the COLTS/TEXANS matchup. This is my INSIDE INFO MOVE. Games 107/108. 10:00 am pst. Houston bested Indianapolis, 37-34 in OT, to start their nine game win streak, back on September 30th. Another win and the Texans can lock up the AFC South, but the Colts, at 6-6, are desperate after being blanked, 6-0 LW by the Jaguars, following a five game win streak. Andrew Luck hasn't had too many unproductive performances. So expect the veteran QB to bounce back and have a strong outing against the 18th ranked pass defense of Houston. The Colts averaged 34.6 PPG on their five game win streak prior to LW's loss. The Texans average over 27.7 PPG at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs +10.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my SHOCKER. Game 114. 10:00 am pst. Tampa Bay has played their division rival very tough, winning and covering the last two meetings, including an early-September, 48-40 victory. Granted, New Orleans suffered their first defeat since Week 1, and they've had a few extra days to rest and prepare, but the Bucs own the #1 passing unit in the NFL and if the Saints have a weakness, it's their 30th ranked defense vs. the pass. Jameis Winston hasn't turned the ball over the last two games (both wins and covers) and the Bucs "D" has tightened up. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS the last five in Tampa Bay and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss. Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS the last four in December and 5-2 ATS the last seven vs. the NFC South. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +7 v. Eagles | 13-28 | Loss | -130 | 93 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my NFC EAST GOM. Game 379. 5:15 pm pst. Do you know what Vanilla ice and the Philadelphia Eagles have in common? They are both one-hit-wonders. Colt McCoy was a little rusty LW, tossing 3 INT's, in his first start in 4 years. And still, Washington only lost by 8 points to Dallas. The QB had a few extra days to get in sync. he gets to face a banged-up, Philly secondary that ranks 28th in the League. The offense can also crush Adrian Peterson as the veteran ball-carrier goes up against the lax, eagles run defense, yielding over 4.7 YPC. The Philadelphia offense is struggling. With no real running threat, QB, Carson Wentz is in trouble here. The Washington "D" will blitz, blitz, and blitz more. They've got 32 sacks and Wentz has not fared well against heavily blitzing defenses. The Redskins are 8-3 ATS the L11 at the Eagles, 5-0 ATS the L5 following an ATS loss, and 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS the L5 at home, 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the NFC East, and 2-8 ATS the L10 overall. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my VI play. Game 351. 10:00 am pst. Cody Kessler gets the start here for Jacksonville, without Leonard Fournette in the backfield (suspended 1 game). Indy has won 5 in a row, both SU and ATS, while Jacksonville is riding a 7-game SU skid, failing to cover all 7 (2 pushes). The Colts, Andrew Luck leads the 4th ranked offense in the NFL, averaging over 29.5 PPG. The Jags just can't keep pace (17.9 PPG, ranking 28th), especially without their #2 and #3 rushers (Bortles and Fournette). Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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12-02-18 | Bears -3.5 v. Giants | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my HR. Game 363. 10:00 am pst. This line moved down as Mitch Trubiskey was downgraded to doubtful. If the rookie QB does not play, Chase Daniel, who got the team the win and cover LW over Detroit, will get the nod. Please remember that Chicago is riding a 5-game win and cover streak. This team is winning because of their defense, which ranks 2nd in scoring (19.2 PPG). The difference in this contest is the Bears defense. The New York coaching staff has made bad decisions. Saquon Barkley is not getting enough touches. And Eli Manning is finding new and improved ways to lose. The Giants can't score and their defense can't stop anyone. NY has failed to cover yet at home this season at 0-4-1 ATS. Chicago is 4-1 ATS the L5 at New York. And the Road Team is 7-1 ATS the L8 overall meetings. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-29-18 | Saints -7 v. Cowboys | 10-13 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. New Orleans has rattled off 10 consecutive victories, in which they are a perfect, 5-0 on the road, both SU and ATS. With their trio of offensive stars, Dallas is riding a 3-game SU and ATS win streak. Defensively, the Saints rank 30th against the pass. But that's alright as the Cowboys have struggled offensively in the air, ranking 28th. The bigger matchup is Ezekiel Elliott going up against the #1 ranked run defense in the NFL. Without a ground game, Dallas is going to have a hard time moving the chains. New Orleans is 8-3 ATS the L11 meetings in this series. Take the Saints. |
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11-25-18 | Dolphins v. Colts -7.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 36 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my AFC GOM. Game 266. 1:25 pm pst. Don't look now, but very quietly, Indianapolis has rattled off 4 consecutive SU wins. Andrew Luck has tallied some impressive stats, with 2769 YP, a 67.3% CR, and 29/9. His OL has not allowed a sack in 5 games. As a matter of fact, the QB has tied Dan Marino for 3rd all-time, tossing 3 or more TDP in 7 straight contests. This does not bode well for a porous, Miami secondary that has gotten shredded by every good QB this season. Ryan Tannehill is expected to start here. But it won't matter if it's Tannehill or Osweiler, as both are pretty bad. To make matters worse, the4 Dolphins have a banged-up OL. What a time for this to happen as the Colts "D" are starting to heat up (5 sacks and 8 TFL in LW's, 38-10 win and cover over the Titans). Miami accounts for just 15.8 PPG on the road where they are 1-4, both SU and ATS. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers -3 v. Broncos | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my CONTRARIAN GOM. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst. Playing in Mile High is no longer an advantage for Denver, which has dropped their L3 SU at home. A red-hot, Pittsburgh team (6-0 SU L6, 5-0-1 ATS) is looking to lock up home field come the post-season. Look for the Steelers fierce pass rush to shake up the erratic, Case Keenum (11 TD's/10 INT's), and create TO's, while the 1-2 punch of QB, Ben Roethlisberger and RB, James Conner exploit the Orange "Slush." The Broncos are 7-18-1 ATS the L26 vs. AFC opponents and 1-4-1 ATS the L6 at home. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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11-25-18 | Raiders v. Ravens -10 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 38 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my LVSM. Game 254. 10:00 am pst. Lamar Jackson adds a different dimension to the Baltimore Ravens offense. The QB ran for 119 yards in LW's, 24-21 win over Cincinnati. The entire backfield of Baltimore are salivating, knowing that they are going up against the NFL's 31st ranked run defense. Jackson will also gain confidence as a passer as well. This game is going to be won with the other big mismatch. The Ravens own the #2 defense vs. the pass, the #4 vs. the run, and the #1 overall in points allowed (18.1 PPG). The fierce, Baltimore pass rush will get to the very immobile, Derek Carr and create TO's. Let's face it, Oakland's offense is just horrible, ranking 30th, and averaging a mere, 17.0 PPG. The home team is 1-5 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. The Raiders are 1-5 ATS the L6 at the Ravens, 3-8-1 ATS the L12 on the road, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-22-18 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TURKEY SHOOT SPECIAL. Game 105. 9:30 am pst. Even is Mitchell Trubisky (check status) is sidelined here, which I doubt, veteran backup, Chase Daniel can get the job done against a very weak, Detroit defense. The Lions offense is even worse, accounting for 22.2 PPG. Injuries and departures have left the "O" depleted. The leaky, OL, has to deal with Khalil Mack and a Bears "D" that sacked Matthew Stafford 6 times in the 34-22, Chicago win and cover, just 11 days ago. Very quietly, the Bears stop-unit has become one of the NFL's best, ranking 11th vs. the pass, 1st vs. the run, and 4th in points allowed (19.5 PPG). Chicago is 9-3-1 ATS the L12 games played in the month of November, 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. the NFC North, 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-0 ATS the L4 overall. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Rams | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my VI play. game 473. 5:15 pm pst. In what may be a preview of the Super Bowl, got to take the points with a KC squad riding a 4-game SU win streak and is 8-2 ATs on the season. LA is a very good team but their defense is starting to spring leaks. This, at the same time the Chiefs "D" is tightening up. KC is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the L6 MNF games, and 12-3 ATS the L15 overall. LA is 2-6 ATS the L8 at home, 2-6 ATD the L8 MNF games, and 1-6 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers -7 | Top | 23-22 | Loss | -104 | 66 h 10 m | Show |
Take the Los Angeles Chargers, This is my AFC WEST GOM. Game 468. 1:05 pm pst. Don't look now, but the Chargers are striding, with 6 consecutive SU wins. I don't have a problem laying a TD with LA as they return home to a friendly, Stub Hub Center crowd after 2 road wins and covers. They face a rival, Denver team that is on a 1-6 SU and 3-5 ATS slides. Philip Rivers is having another great season (67.3% CR, 2459 YP, 21/4), but it is Melvin Gordon that will take this game on his shoulders. The standout, RB, goes up against the 26th ranked rush defense of the Broncos. Denver is 3-11 ATS the L14 on the road, 0-6 ATS the L6 in November, and 5-15-1 ATS the L21 overall. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. losers, 6-0 ATS the L6 in November, and 4-1 ATS the L5 overall. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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11-18-18 | Steelers -5 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -103 | 63 h 56 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my Crusher play. Game 471. 10:00 am pst. Pittsburgh lost both meetings to Jacksonville LY, including a mid-January matchup that got them bounced from the post-season. Right now, these are 2 very different teams. The Steelers have won 5 in a row, both SU and ATS, while the Jaguars have dropped their L5, both SU and ATS. Jacksonville is known for their pass defense, but haven't faced a top-tier QB of the caliber of Big Ben, since a Week 2 meeting with Tom Brady and the Patriots. Leonard Fournette is back but he must line up against the #4 rush defense in the NFL. The Jags are averaging just, 17.8 PPG which won't be nearly enough for a Steelers "O" accounting for over 31.0 PPG. The Road team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears -6.5 | 22-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Game 266. 10:00 am pst. The Bears need every division win they can get right now, and playing the Lions will give them what they need. With back-to-back losses, Detroit's offense is awful, accounting for a combined 23 total points, while their OL has yielded 12 sacks in those 2 outings. Khalil Mack will return here to lead one of the League's most-ferocious defenses. Look for RB, Jordan Howard to explode against the 30th ranked run defense of Detroit. Chicago is 4-1 ATS the L5 games played at home. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Saints -5.5 v. Bengals | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my LVSM. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. New Orleans has rattled off 7 consecutive SU wins, and 6 straight covers. The Cincinnati defense is giving up over 29.6 PPG and ranks dead-last vs. the pass. In comes Drew Brees and the NFL's #2 scoring offense (34.9 PPG). Andy Dalton is without his top receiver, AJ Green and just can't trade blows with Brees here. The Saints are 19-7 ATS the L26 on the road, 5-2 ATS the L7 in November, and 40-17-1 ATS the L58 vs. winners. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 70 h 41 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my VI Move. Game 259. 10:00 am pst. Sports fans, New England is rolling, as the Patriots are on a 6-game win streak, going 5-1 ATS. Going back to '03, Tennessee has lost 7 in a row in this series SU, failing to the L5 (1-6 ATS overall). The Titans just don't have the offense (16.8 PPG) to keep pace with Tom Brady and the Patriots mighty "O." New England is 16-5 ATS the L21 on the road, 23-8 ATS the L31 vs. the AFC, and 37-16 ATS the L53 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Falcons -5 v. Browns | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 11 m | Show |
Take Atlanta. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. With 3 consecutive SU wins (2-1 ATS), Atlanta's, Matt Ryan is putting up MVP numbers (70.8% CR, 2685 YP, 19/3). The QB heads up the NFL's 2nd best air attack. This doesn't bode well for a Cleveland "D" that ranks 29th vs. the pass. Offensively, the Browns just can't keep pace with the high-flying, Falcons "O". Take Atlanta. Thank you |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas and their #1 ranked defense is back at home after having a week off. The well-rested, Cowboys are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at AT&T Stadium. This will be the debut of newly acquired, star WR, Amari Cooper. Expect QB, Dak Prescott to hook frequently with his new weapon. Tennessee ranks 30th in scoring, averaging just 15.1 PPG. QB, Marcus Mariota's throwing arm issues, along with the absence of TE, Delanie Walker (out), has crushed the Titans, offensively. Throw in the mix the fact that their "D" ranks 19th vs. the rush and must face Ezekiel Elliott and one of the best ground attacks in the NFL, and it spells trouble for the team. Dallas is 13-6 ATS the L19 games played following a bye week. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-04-18 | Texans +1 v. Broncos | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 67 h 17 m | Show |
Take Houston. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 465. 1:05 pm pst. Houston has won 5 in a row to take hold of 1st place in the AFC South, at 5-3, as DeShaun Watson looks like he's back at 100%. Denver is a mess. HC, Vance Joseph is on the hot-seat, as the Broncos are 1-5 SU their L6, with the only victory, coming over a 2-6 Cardinals squad. Denver only "contends" because of their ground game. But, facing the 7th ranked run defense of Houston will totally shut down the Broncos offense. Denver is 0-5 ATS the L5 in November, 5-15-1 ATS the L21 vs. the AFC, 2-6-1 ATS the L9 at home, and 5-14-1 ATS the L20 overall. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 64 h 29 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. Do you believe in coincidences? Pittsburgh has rattled off 3 straight wins and covers, coinciding with 3 consecutive 100+ yards performances for RB, James Conner. Baltimore has dropped their L2 games (both SU and ATS), as their defense yielded a combined, 60 points. The Steelers are a much better team than in the late-September matchup. The Road team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-04-18 | Falcons v. Redskins -1 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -123 | 64 h 20 m | Show |
Take Washington. This is my VEGAS INSIDER PLAY. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. Winning and covering 3 straight, the Redskins are playing solid football. They own the top-spot in the NFC East at 5-2, while the Falcons are tied with the Bucs for the bottom-spot in the NFC South at 3-4. Washington is 3-1 SU and ATS at home while Atlanta is 0-2 both SU and ATS on the road. The Redskins offense, behind Adrian Peterson, is starting to roll. Look for AP to get another 100 plus yards here and allow Alex Smith to open up the passing game. Let's face it, the Falcons defense is deplorable (30.3 PPG allowed). Atlanta is 1-5 ATS the L6 on the road, 1-6 ATS the L7 following a SU win, and 1-4 ATS the L5 overall. Washington is 6-1 ATS the L7 at home, 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. the NFC, and 7-2 ATS the L9 in November. Take the Redskins. Thank you. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins +1 v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 67 h 2 m | Show |
Take Washington. This is my NFC EAST GOM. Game 259. 10:00 am pst. These 2 NFC East rivals, are going in opposite directions. Washington leads the Division at 4-2, while New York dwells in the cellar at 1-6. Eli Manning and a Giants OL that has more holes than the Titanic, are in for a long day here as they go up against the very tough, Front-7 of the Redskins, that rank 3rd vs. the rush and 13th vs. the pass. Look for QB, Alex Smith to pass off the run, utilizing RB, Adrian Peterson. Take the Redskins. Thank you. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars UNDER 43 | 24-18 | Win | 100 | 64 h 38 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the PHILLY/JAX matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 251/252. 6:30 am pst. This game is being played in London, England, where a long airplane ride and a time change will weigh on both teams. Let's be honest, neither offense is lighting up scoreboards. With penalty problems and dropped passes, the Eagles are a far cry from last year's Super Bowl Champs. The Jaguars, (who were also highly-touted), are on a 1-4 SU and ATS run, in which in those 4 losses, they accounted for a total of 34 points. Defensively, both stop-units rank in the NFL's Top-10 in Points Allowed, as Philadelphia owns the #1 ranked pass defense and Jacksonville possesses the #2 ranked rush defense. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 52.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Giants/Falcons matchup. Games 475/476. 5:15 pm pst. Both, the Giants and Falcons are considered 2 of the most disappointing NFL teams so far this season. New York's defense ranks 26th and Atlanta's "D" ranks 31st. Neither can stop anyone. But, both Eli Manning and Matt Ryan can pass the ball. So expect a high-scoring contest. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my CRUSHER. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Sam Darnold has looked like a veteran QB his L2 outings, lighting up Denver and Indianapolis, who are a combined, 3-9. Now, the rookie must line up against a legitimate, NFL stop-unit. BTW, prior to that 2-game win streak, the New York offense accounted for just, 12, 17, and 12 points against Miami, Cleveland, and Jacksonville. Minnesota QB, Kirk Cousins (1921 YP, 71.2% CR, 12/3) is going to decimate a Jets pass "D" that ranks 22nd in the League. If the Vikings are going to make a run at the NFC Title, they MUST start now. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 35 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my CONTRARIAN GOM. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. I have made a successful and profitable career going against the grain. Just about everyone I know and most of the gaming publications are all taking the Bears here. We saw the line move from -3.5, down to -3, and as of print, -2.5. After 3 wins in a row, Chicago came back down to Earth last week, in a 31-28 loss at Miami. Meanwhile, New England has won 3 in a row and are just a 1/2-point from covering their L3. The Bears defense held opponents to13.6 PPG during their 3-game win streak. But they didn't face any great offenses and now with Khalil Mack hobbled (ankle, but scheduled to play here), and not 100%, I am siding with Bill Belichick, who has Terrific Tom on offense and will have some surprises on defense for Chicago's rookie QB, Trubisky. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Patriots are 14-5 ATS the L19 on the road, 36-15-2 ATS the L53 in October, and 31-13 ATS the L44 overall. Take New England. Thank you. |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. San Francisco is riding a 3-game SU skid, en route to a 1-4 overall record (both SU and ATS), and enter this contest limping. RB, Breida and WR, Garcon left Sunday's game, while the team is already missing several DB's (check status on all injured players). It took 4 missed FG's and a missed PAT by Crosby for Green Bay to lose last week. Future Hall Of Famer, Aaron Rodgers passed for a season-best, 442 YP in that game, and I expect him to have another huge day here, as he will devour a banged-up, 49ers secondary. The Packers are 11-4-2 ATS the last 17 meetings in this series. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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10-14-18 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 52.5 | 28-21 | Loss | -101 | 68 h 1 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Steelers/Bengals matchup. Both teams enter this matchup having played 8 OVERS and 2 Unders this season. Both meetings last season went OVER the Total. Cincinnati possesses the #4 scoring offense (30.4 PPG), while Pittsburgh's offense ranks 5th (28.6 PPG). Both, Andy Dalton and Ben Roethlisberger will light up the scoreboard against 2 of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. The OVER is 6-1 in the Steelers L7 overall games and 5-1 in the Bengals L6 overall games. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | 28-31 | Loss | -125 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. Surprisingly, not Green Bay or Minnesota, but Chicago, is atop the NFC North, at 3-1. The Bears have won 3 in a row SU, and own a 3-1 ATS mark on the campaign. After a solid start, Miami has now dropped their L2, both SU and ATS. The Dolphins "D" is weak, both against the pass and the run. Chicago QB, Trubisky is heating up, while he, Howard, and Cohen have combined to own the #9 rushing unit in the NFL. Defensively, the bears rank #2 in Points Allowed (16.2 PPG), #1 vs. the rush, and 9th vs. the pass. Khalil Mack is a monster. Chicago is 4-1 ATS the L5 on grass, 4-1 ATS the L5 in October, and 5-1 the L6 overall. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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10-07-18 | Rams -7 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-31 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 19 m | Show |
Take Los Angeles. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 473. 1:25 pm pst.
There is no team in the NFL, right now playing as good of football as the Los Angeles Rams. They are off to a 4-0 start (3-0-1 ATS). Their offense ranks 1st in Total Yards, 2nd in Passing Yards, 7th in Rushing Yards, and 2nd in Scoring. The "O" averages a whopping, 35.0 PPG. Jared Goff and Todd Gurley are devouring defenses. The QB has 1406 YP, a 72.4% CR, 11/2. The RB has 338 YR and 4 scores. Gurley is going to shred the 27th ranked Seattle rush defense while Goff and his talented corps of receivers will exploit a Seahawks secondary that will be missing Safety, Earl Thomas, who broke his leg LW. Defensively, LA is very tough. But let's be honest, Russell Wilson has no air attack whatsoever, ranking 29th. The ground game is almost as bad. Gone are the days of Marshawn Lynch. If you recall, the rams routed the Seahawks, 42-7, back in December. There is no reason why this matchup won't be any different of an outcome. Seattle is 2-5 ATS the L7 at home and 2-6-1 ATS the L9 vs. the NFC West. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS the L8 on the road and 4-1 ATS the L5vs. the NFC West. Take the Rams. This is a chance for them to further distance themselves from the rest of the Division. Thank you. |
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10-07-18 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | 9-12 | Loss | -114 | 39 h 6 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my LVSM. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. I give Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns a lot of credit. The rookie QB has brought excitement and pride back to Cleveland. But, they are still a "work in progress." Remember, this team is 1-31 the L2 seasons. Mayfield hasn't faced a real defense yet (Pitt, NO, NYJ, Oak). Baltimore, at 3-1 both SU and ATS, has allowed 14 points or less in their 3 victories. The Ravens "D" ranks 2nd in Total yards, 4th vs. the Pass, 4th vs. the Run, and 3rd in Points Allowed. Their front-7 will slow down the Browns ground game while the secondary will get even better here as they welcome back CB, Jimmy Smith. Joe Flacco is off to the best start of his career (1252 YP, 64.3% CR, 8/2). The QB and his talented receiving corps will exploit the 23rd ranked pass defense of Cleveland. The Ravens are 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series and 13-4 ATS the L17 vs. the AFC North. The Browns are 5-15-1 ATS the L21 vs. teams with a winning record and 6-17 ATS the L23 at home. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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09-30-18 | Browns +3 v. Raiders | 42-45 | Push | 0 | 53 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland. This is my CONSENSUS PLAY. Game 269. 1:05 pm pst. Oakland is 0-3, after losing 3 HT leads. The Raiders have 31 new players and need time to mesh. The defense is sorely missing, traded DE, Kahlil Mack. The Cleveland offense, led by (probable, check status), rookie QB, Baker Mayfield, along with RB, Carlos Hyde, and WR, Jarvis Landry, will move the chains and put points on the board. The Browns (not played since Thursday), bring in a rested, and fresh, "D", racking up 11 sacks and forcing 11 TO's. Cleveland is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC and 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings in this series. Oakland is 3-8-1 ATS the L12 vs. the AFC and 4-11-2 ATS the L17 overall. Take the Browns. Thank you. |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 3 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GOM. Game 252. 10:00 am pst. Yes, Miami is 3-0 (both SU & ATS), but scheduling was a factor. However, going into Foxborough, where the Dolphins have lost 9 straight (7-2 ATS), and facing a Patriots team that hasn't lost 3 in a row since 2002, will put an end to their streak. Miami lacks the pass rush to prevent Tom Brady from exploiting their 29th ranked secondary. The Home Team is 11-1 ATS the L12 meetings in this series. New England is 20-7 ATS the L27 vs. the AFC. Miami is 1-5 ATS the L6 on the road. Take New England. Thank you. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams -7 | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
Take LAR. This is my TNW. Game 102. 5:20 pm pst. After the worst pointspread fav loss going down since 1995, to Buffalo LW, normally, I would anticipate Minnesota to bounce back. But, the Vikings offense is banged-up and the combination of QB, Cousins, 6.9 YPP, and no real rushing attack (31st) to speak of, we must side with an LA Rams team that is 3-0, both SU and ATS, and outscoring opponents by 22.0 PPG. Minny is 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning record, while LA is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. teams with a losing record. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Take the OVER. Games 489/490. 5:15 pm pst. All 4 games these teams have played this season have gone OVER the Total. Tampa Bay's offense ranks #1 in Total Yards #1 in Passing Yards, and 2nd in Points Scored, averaging 37.5 PPG. Pittsburgh's "O" is 2nd in Total Yards, 2nd In Passing Yards, and 7th in scoring, putting up 29.0 PPG. The Bucs can not stop the pass, ranking dead last. Be Roethlisbergr is going to light up their secondary, which is the main reason why the TB defense has yielded 30.5 PPG. The once feared Steelers "D" has gotten smoked, yielding 31.5 PPG (31st). The OVER is 4-0 in Pittsburgh's L4 overall games and 4-1 in Tampa Bay's L5 in September. Take the OVER. Thank you. |