Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-05-19 | Iowa +4 v. Michigan | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
Take Iowa. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 355. 9:00 am pst.
Jim Harbaugh was supposed to start a dynasty when he took the head coaching job at Michigan in 2015. He won the Citrus Bowl in his first year. Since, the team has lost three consecutive Bowl games. His reputation as a big game coach is finished. Last week's victory over Rutgers was the team's first cover since the first week of November last year. Now they face an undefeated (4-0), Iowa team that has taken five of the last six meetings in this series SU. The Hawkeyes have a few things they haven't had in recent seasons, a big-time quarterback and a potent offense. Nate Stanley (965 yards passing, 8/0) is a real gunslinger. He also has the luxury of three 200+ yards rushers. The Wolverines defense is good, but does have problems with strong rushing attacks. On the flipside, the mediocre, Michigan offense is going to be in for a long day against the nation's #3 stop unit (8.5 PPG allowed). The underdog is 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings in this series. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida -3.5 v. Cincinnati | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Take UCF. This is my FNL. Game 307. 5:00 pm pst In what going is going to be a huge AAC showdown, I just don't see Cincinnati keeping pace with Central Florida.Desmond Riddler (815 yards passing, 8/3) is good. However, the quarterback will be outperformed by his counterpart, Dillon Gabbriel (1,338 yards passing, 14/2). But, the biggest difference here will be the superiority of the Knights rushing attack (232.6 yards per game on the ground). They will keep the Bearcats defense on the field and gasping for air come the second half. UCF has won and covered the last three meetings in this series, with the average margin of victory coming by 24.6 PPG. Cincinnati folds like a cheap suit when facing solid opposition, going 5-16 ATS the last 21 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Knights are 6-2 ATS the last eight games on the road, 8-3 ATS the last 11 games vs. conference foes, and 14-6 ATS the last 20 games overall. Take UCF. Thank you. |
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10-03-19 | Temple -11 v. East Carolina | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Temple. This is my AAC GOW. Game 305. 5:00 pm pst. Temple has won and covered all five meetings in this series since 2014, including last year's, 49-6 thumping. Not much has changed to think this year's matchup would have any different of an outcome. The Owls own a top-25 passing game and a top-10 defense against the pass. Overall, they account for 30.5 PPG and only allow 17.2 PPG. They are also one of the healthiest squads in the nation. The Pirates pose very little threat offensively, averaging just 21.4 PPG. Quarterback, Holton Ahlers makes some very bad decisions, which is evident in his 4/5 TD/INT ratio and 54.1% completion rate. Temple is 22-6 ATS the last 28 vs. conference opponents, 15-7 ATS the last 22 vs. teams with a winning record, and 40-19 ATS the last 59 overall. |
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09-28-19 | Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 43 h 41 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 195. 4:30 pm pst. I don't think there's another team in the nation with a record like Nebraska's (3-1) that has a bigger false sense of worth. This is a team that is 1-3 ATS in 2019 with their only good performance coming against NIU. Ohio State is a FG away from being 4-0 ATS. They have covered numbers of 14.5 against Cincinnati, 17 at Indiana, and 38.5 vs. Miami-Ohio. The Buckeyes third ranked offense (53.5 PPG) will steamroll a Cornhuskers defense (25.2 PPG allowed) that hasn't faced a squad anywhere near this level. Look for OSU to gain some style points from the pollsters here and make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. They are 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a SU win and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September and 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played at home. Take the BUCKEYES. Thank you. |
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09-28-19 | UAB -3 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 0 m | Show |
Take UAB. Game 191. 4:00 pm pst. The odds makers are a bit off on this line. I have the number closer to double digits as last year's Conference USA champions, UAB Blazers are the only unblemished team in the league (3-0). Western Kentucky is very beatable, as they proved in losing 35-28 to Central Arkansas, and getting routed, 38-21 to Louisville. The Hilltoppers don't have much of a running game and their starting quarterback, Steven Duncan is out with a foot injury and none of the backups have that much experience. The Blazers have a very fast and talented, stop-unit (18th, 14.0 PPG allowed). And, soph quarterback, Tyler Johnston is a stud, throwing for 746 YP, a 64.3% CR, 8/2 in the air and another 114 YR and one score on the ground. UAB is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the BLAZERS. Thank you. |
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09-28-19 | SMU -7.5 v. South Florida | 48-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 7 m | Show | |
Take SMU. This is my AAC GOM. Game 121. 1:00 pm pst. I have no problem laying a TD and a hook with an SMU team that has won and covered all four of their outings this season, including last week's, start-to-finish, 41-38 road victory over rival, TCU. South Florida has notched just one win since last October and that was a week ago against South Carolina State. The lackluster, Bulls offense (21.7 PPG) can not keep pace with the well-balanced, "O" of the Mustangs (43.5 PPG). Southern Methodist's quarterback, Shane Buechele (1159 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/4) and running back, Xavier Jones (370 YR, eight TD's) are going to light up the scoreboard so much, they are going to need to replace the bulbs. South Florida is 3-10 ATS the last 13 games played vs. conference opponents and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take SMU. Thank you. |
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09-26-19 | Navy +11 v. Memphis | 23-35 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Navy. This is my TD play. Game 103. 5:00 pm pst. Navy has covered the last four meetings with Memphis, going 3-1 SU. The Midshipmen own the #1 rushing attack in the nation, averaging over 371.5 YPG on the ground. They control the tempo and the clock. Defensively, they rank 2nd in college football, yielding just 8.5 YPG. Dual-threat QB, Malcolm Perry (68.8% CR 2 TD's in the air, 184 YR 5 TD's on the ground) is going to take this game on his shoulders. The Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Navy. Thank you. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska -13 v. Illinois | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Nebraska. This is my LVSM. Game 323. 5:00 pm pst. The Illinois defense has sprung a few leaks, yielding 23 points to Connecticut and 34 points to Eastern Michigan. This doesn't bode well as they line up against QB, Adrian Martinez and a Nebraska offense that's averaging over 36.7 PPG. The Cornhuskers have won three in a row and five of the last six in this series (4-2 ATS). They are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven vs. conference opponents. The Fighting Illini are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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09-21-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Pittsburgh | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Central Florida. This is my TD play. Game 319. 12:30 pm pst. Central Florida thumped Stanford,45-27 to earn a 3-0 start, both SU and ATS. The Knights moved up two spots in the polls to #15. They face a Panthers squad they shredded a year ago, 45-14. Not much has changed. Pitt has no ground game whatsoever and relies solely on their passing game. Well, UCF owns one of the top defenses in the nation (13.7 PPG allowed), including the 21st ranked pass defense. The Knights are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. nonconference foes, and 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
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09-21-19 | Auburn +4 v. Texas A&M | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Auburn. This is my SEC WEST GOM. Game 367. 12:30 pm pst. Auburn took each of the last two meetings with Texas A&M and enter this matchup a perfect, 3-0, both SU and ATS. Texas A&M steamrolled Texas State and Lamar but was never in it vs. Clemson. Now, the 8th ranked Tigers are getting too many points against the 17th ranked Aggies. Both teams can play defense. Auburn has one of the top ground attacks in the nation. They will control the clock here. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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09-21-19 | Temple -14 v. Buffalo | Top | 22-38 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
Take Temple. This is my BLOWOUT. Game 325. 12:30 pm pst. Temple enters this contest 2-0 SU and ATS, with a defense that has allowed just 14.5 PPG. Granted, Buffalo was supposed to get spanked by Penn State (45-13), but last week's, 35-17 loss to Liberty exposed just how bad this team really is. Owls QB, Anthony Russo (686 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/2) leads the 5th ranked passing attack in college football. Temple is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five vs. teams with a losing record, and 21-6 ATS the last 27 following an ATS win. Buffalo is 0-5 ATS the last five nonconference, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS the last five overall. Take the Owls. Thank you. |
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09-21-19 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +9.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is WG play. Game 334. 9:00 am pst. Michigan State has a good defense, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired. They face a Northwestern team that has won and covered the last three meetings in this series and can eat up a lot of clock with a ground game that is averaging 184.5 YPG. This is a team that upended Utah and had a chance with Stanford. The Spartans are 1-6 ATS the last seven overall games. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 conference games. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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09-21-19 | California +2.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
Take California. This is my DOW. Game 353. 9:00 am pst. California owns a stifling defense, allowing a mere, 16.3 PPG, bringing them a 3-0 record and a top-25 ranking (23rd). They possess a stellar secondary. This is going to be fatal for Mississippi frosh QB, Matt Corral, who really hasn't been tested yet. Look for the 1-2 punch of QB, Gabers and RB, Brown Jr. to move the chains here. The Rebels are 1-4 ATS the last five in September, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 vs. teams with a winning record, and 9-24-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you. |
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09-20-19 | Utah -3.5 v. USC | 23-30 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Utah. This is my FNL play. Game 305. 6:00 pm pst. USC, which comes off a sloppy loss at BYU, has Utah here then goes on the road to Washington and Notre Dame. Things are going to go from bad to worse for the Trojans as they face a stout, Utes defense that has not allowed an opponent to reach 100 yards rushing. Frosh QB, Slovis tossed three INT's against BYU a week ago. Look for more freshman mistakes here. Utah is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 12-5 ATS the last 17 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the last eight in the conference. USC is 2-8 ATS the last 10 in September, 4-10 ATS the last 14 at home, and 7-19-1 ATS the last 27 overall. Take the Utes. Thank you. |
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09-14-19 | Northern Illinois +14 v. Nebraska | Top | 8-44 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
Take Northern Illinois. This is my HR. Game 193. 5:00 pm pst.
For the life of me, I can't figure out why Nebraska is laying two TD's here. I have this game about 8.5 points. The Cornhuskers have yet to cover in 2019. They allowed the Jaguars of South Alabama to post 21 points in the opening week and then blew a 17-point halftime lead in last weeks, 34-31 loss to the Buffaloes. The Huskies, which have covered both outings this season, have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Let's not forget they are 16-5 ATS the last 21 vs. the Big Ten and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in September. Nebraska tends to be overvalued in Lincoln, going 3-12 ATS the last 15 at home and are slow starters, going 0-5 ATS the last five in September. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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09-14-19 | Iowa -1 v. Iowa State | 18-17 | Push | 0 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my TD. Game 153. 1:00 pm pst.
Iowa has had Iowa State's number, taking the last four meetings in this series SU, going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory is 16.5 PPG. The Hawkeyes have some things this season they haven't had in recent campaigns. That is a solid offense, and a big time play caller in Nate Stanley. The quarterback has tossed six TD's and 0 INT's. He also has the tandem of running back's, Mekhi Sargent and Toren Young, who have combined for 257 yards rushing and two TD's. They will light up the scoreboard here going up against a defense that yielded 26 points to the Panthers of Northern Iowa last week. Cyclones quarterback, Brock Purdy does not have the luxury of a ground game to help open up the passing game. So, facing one of the strongest stop units in the nation is going to be fatal once again. Iowa State is 0-4 the last four at home and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State +7.5 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my LVSM. Game 111. 9:00 pm pst.
They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Kansas State took a 31-10 loss at the hands of Mississippi State last September. But, these are two very different teams right now. Under first year HC, Chris Klieman, the Wildcats are much improved. Granted, they beat up on lesser foes (2-0 SU and ATS), but they have a solid backfield with quarterback, Skylar Thompson (74.3% CR, 363 yards passing, 3/0) and Ball State transfer running back, James Gilbert (218 yards rushing, 3 TD's). They will keep a Bulldogs defense honest that has allowed the Rajun' Cajuns and the Golden Eagles to put up 43 combined points on them. While Mississippi State's "O" is good, they will have a long day lining up against a very stout, K State front seven. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road, 15-5 ATS the last 20 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four overall.Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-07-19 | Wyoming -7 v. Texas State | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 45 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Wyoming. This is my TD play. Game 353. 4:00 pm pst. There are times to judge a matchup from a previous performance. And, there are times you should not. This is the earlier of the two. Texas State was shellacked by Texas A&M, 41-7, while Wyoming upended Missouri, 37-31, as a 15-point underdog. Granted, the Bobcats faced a better team in the Aggies, however, only eked out eight yards rushing as they yielded over 232 yards on the ground. The Cowboys can run the ball and keep the Bobcats defense on the field and winded come the second half. Wyoming gets the bettors paid, going 7-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. Sun Belt opponents and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Wyoming. Thank you. |
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09-07-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 48-14 | Win | 100 | 45 h 9 m | Show |
Take Central Florida. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 359. 4:00 pm pst.
Don't put too much stock in the fact that Florida Atlantic covered a 27-point spread against Ohio State last week. The Owls weren't getting the Buckeye's "A-game," especially after trailing, 28-0 at the end of the first quarter. Now they face the AAC 's strongest representative in Central Florida. The Knights are one of the deepest squads in the nation, offensively, and can put up points on any defense in college football. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Brandon Wimbush and running back, Adrian Killins Jr. will completely decimate an Owls "D" notorious for being a doormat. Central Florida is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the CUSA. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
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09-07-19 | Charlotte v. Appalachian State -21.5 | 41-56 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Appalachian State. This is my CRUSHER play. Game 338. 12:30 pm pst. Not too much has changed for either of these teams since last September's matchup in which Appalachian State shredded Charlotte, 45-9. This contest puts together the Sun Belt's best team against the Conference USA's worst. The Mountaineers are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and are 17-2 SU at home since 2016, with the average margin of victory coming by 27.2 PPG. They are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the CUSA, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in the month of September, and 6-0 ATS the last six non-conference games played. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of September, and 2-9 ATS the last 11 non-conference games. Take Appalachian State. Thank you. |
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09-07-19 | Syracuse +2 v. Maryland | 20-63 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my UOW. Game 317. 9:00 am pst. Don't put too much stock in Maryland's, 79-point drubbing of Howard in Week 1. They will have no such luck against a stellar, Syracuse defense that returns a pair of defensive ends that each had double-digit sacks last year and a veteran secondary. Sophomore quarterback, Tommy Devito was a bit flat in 'Cuse's, 24-0 blanking of Liberty. However, expect a big bounce back here, especially under head coach, Dino Barbers and a very capable roster of ball-carriers. The Orange is 10-3 ATS the last 13 games played on the road. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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08-31-19 | Georgia -21 v. Vanderbilt | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Georgia. This is my SEC EAST GOM. Game 201. 4:30 pm pst. I don't normally like laying wood like this in the early weeks of the season, but National title contender, Georgia (which shares the SEC with Alabama) must come out of the gate strong and keep their foot on the gas all season, hoping for 'Bama to slip up. This game will be won in the trenches, where the Bulldogs have an overwhelming edge. They have won and covered the last two years over the Commodores, by 28 and 31 points. Lat the points with Georgia. Thank you. |
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08-31-19 | Northwestern +6.5 v. Stanford | 7-17 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 185. 1:00 pm pst. These two teams only met once in recent years as Northwestern, a 10-point underdog, bested Stanford, 16-6, back in September of 2015. Stanford is one of the least experienced squads in the nation, returning just nine starters to a team that ranked 123rd in rushing last year. The Cardinal does have a stud of a quarterback in K.J. Costello. However, the Wildcats, which have covered eight straight as a road underdog, have a talented running back in Isaiah Bowser (864 yards rushing in eight games last season) and most of a defense that only gave up points to some of the best offenses in the nation a season ago. I am not saying that Stanford is looking forward here, but with Southern Cal on deck (Northwestern has UNLV up next), they might be a bit distracted. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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08-31-19 | Eastern Michigan -6 v. Coastal Carolina | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Eastern Michigan. This is my TD play. Game 179. 12:30 pm pst. The Eastern Michigan offense returns most of its key components. Coastal Carolina has a new HC, very little experience, no real starting QB, and lost their best defensive player to transfer. The Eagles are a solid team with a very good QB that beat the Boilermakers on the road and only lost by three at the Aztecs. They are 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 non-conference games, and 25-11 ATS the last 36 games played overall. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you. |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Toledo. This is my SHOCKER play. Game 171. 9:00 am pst. Mark Stoops' Wildcats come off their best season in decades, but I don't see how this team can lay double-digits here. They rely solely upon throwing the ball after losing their top ball-carrier, Benny Snell Jr. to the NFL, and only return four defensive starters. This includes their entire secondary. This doesn't bode well as they face a Rockets team that has most of their offense back, including quarterback, Mitchell Guadagni (candidate for MAC Offensive Player of the Year). This is an explosive offense that put up over 50 points six times a season ago, while averaging over 40.3 PPG. take Toledo. Thank you. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 76 h 14 m | Show |
Take Clemson. This is my NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 151. 5:00 pm pst. Clearly, the 2 best teams in college football face each other here for the National Title. Both are 14-0 SU. Both are 8-6 ATS. Both own a top-5 offense. And both own a top-5 defense. The difference here is that most teams are afraid of Alabama before they even step on to the field. However, Clemson having faced them the L3 years, have no fear of Saban of his Crimson Tide squad. Speaking of which, 'Bama alum, Dabo Swinney is 8-1 SU and ATS his L9 Bowl/Playoff games. Nick Saban is 3-6 ATS his L8 Bowl/Playoff games. The Alabama defense is tough but has given up 21, 28, and 34 points in consecutive contests, entering this matchup. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS the L16 on neutral sites. The Crimson Tide is 1-5 ATS the L6 in January. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my ROSE BOWL WINNER. Game 276. 2:00 pm pst. Very simply, OSU has more talent, a smarter Head Coach, the better overall coaching staff, and Dwayne Haskins at the helm (70.2% CR, 4580 YP, 47/8). I don't normally judge a team from one or two recent performances, but the way Ohio State followed the narrow, 52-51 win at Maryland, with decisive victories over Michigan (62-39) and Northwestern (45-24), shows me just how strong of a unit they are at this point in the season. Washington was a 'dog twice this season, losing to Auburn and getting help from the weather against Washington State. HC, Urban Meyer is leaving after this Bowl game, so expect a big send off from his squad .The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS the last seven Bowls, 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 vs. the PAC 12, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 on neutral sites. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 | Top | 40-32 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 34 m | Show |
Take Central Florida. This is my FIESTA BOWL WINNER. Game 274. 10:00 am pst. Giving a team that has won 25 straight games and beat another SEC representative in Auburn, in last year's Peach Bowl, 7.5 points, is a gift. Central Florida enters yet another Bowl game eager to prove they deserve more respect and a higher spot in the polls. Backup QB, Darriel Mack Jr. has been perfect in replacing injured starter, McKenzie Milton, accounting for 522 YP, 2/0 in the air and 340 YR and 6 TD's on the ground. The Knights own an offense that ranks 5th in rushing and 29th in passing. LSU has a good defense, but is playing this Bowl contest without two starting DB's (Fulton injured, Williams NFL draft). The Tigers possess an offensively-challenged "0" that have trouble maintaining sufficient ball-control to keep the Knights offense off the field. UCF has 22 seniors playing their final game that want to go out perfect. LSU is 1-6-1 ATS the last eight non-conference games and 2-5 ATS the last seven Bowl games. UCF is 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games and 5-1 ATS the last six overall games. Take the Knights. Thank you. |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -7 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -106 | 116 h 45 m | Show |
Take Mississippi State. This is my OUTBACK BOWL WINNER. Game 270. 9:00 am pst. Iowa was an underdog three times this season, losing and failing to cover all three contests. Not only that, but the defense gave up 28 or more points in five outings in 2018. Despite mediocre offensive statistics, the Hawkeyes still managed to average, 31.5 PPG. They will be without one of their best receivers, TE, Noah Fant, who is skipping the game to prepare for the NFL draft. The Mississippi State defense is the best in the country, allowing only, 12.0 PPG, ranking 6th vs. the pass 10th vs. the run. The Bulldogs are a running team. The Hawkeyes defense is good against the rush, however, the Mississippi State "O" will keep the Iowa "D" on the field and tire the unit out. While, the Hawkeyes QB, Nate Stanley is a passer, the Bulldogs play-caller, Nick Fitzgerald, is a dual-threat QB, something that Iowa hasn't seen too much of this season. The Hawkeyes are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites and 1-4 ATS the last five games overall. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS the last five non-conference games and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games. Take Mississippi State. Thank you. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -106 | 104 h 38 m | Show |
Take Oregon. This is my SAN FRANCISCO BOWL WINNER. Game 262. 12:00 pm pst. The Michigan State offense is lethargic, averaging just, 19.8 PPG. They've accounted for a total of 26 points over their last three regular season outings. The Spartans are known for their defense, but have had issues when facing well-balanced offensive units. Well, Oregon can score points (18th, 37.2 PPG) in the air as well as on the ground, and finishing the season with two big wins, the Ducks come in here with confidence. QB, Justin Herbert (59.6% CR, 2985 YP, 28/8) is a better field general and more reliable than either Spartans play-callers, Brian Lewerke or Rocky Lombardi (49.3% CR, 2606 YP, 11/13 combined). Michigan State is 0-4 ATS the last four meetings vs. Oregon, 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. the PAC 12, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played following a SU win. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5.5 | 31-35 | Loss | -106 | 101 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my MILITARY BOWL WINNER. Game 258. 9:00 am pst. Virginia Tech has played the tougher schedule, but their losses to Old Dominion and Georgia Tech are hard to overlook. Cincinnati, one of college football's most-pleasant surprises (10-2), enter this Bowl contest with a very healthy team, the 7th ranked defense in the nation (16.1 PPG allowed), and the better QB-RB tandem. Desmond Riddler (62.5% CR, 2359 YP, 19/5) and Michael Warren II (1163 YR, 17 TD's) are explosive. The Bearcats are 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games. The Hokies are 2-6 ATS the last 8 overall games. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse +1.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 193 h 16 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. This is my CAMPING WORLD BOWL WINNER. Game 243. 2:15 pm pst. QB, Will Grier and LT, Yodny Cajuste will not participate here, as they are preparing for the NFL draft. This is going to drastically impact the 3rd ranked passing unit of West Virginia as sophomore backup, Jack Allison will take the reins. Reports are that the Miami transfer has problems in the pinch. Well, Syracuse like to blitz, and has success in doing so. The Mountaineers are already depressed after finishing the regular season with back-to-back losses and now must face a Syracuse offense that is a juggernaut, averaging over 40.8 PPG, equally good on the ground and in the air. Dual-threat QB, Eric Dungey (2565 YP, 17/7 in the air, 732 YR, 15 TD's on the ground) will outplay and outscore his youthful and inexperienced, counterpart. The Orange won and covered the last three meetings against the Mountaineers, in 2010, 2011. and 2012, by an average of 18.3 PPG. West Virginia is 0-6 ATS the last six games played in the month of December, 1-6 ATS the last seven neutral site games, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the ACC, and 0-5 ATS the last five Bowl games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | 63-14 | Loss | -104 | 190 h 36 m | Show | |
Take Purdue. This is my NCAAF MUSIC CITY BOWL WINNER. Game 242. 10:30 am pst. To be quite honest, the wrong team is favored here. Purdue should be a 1-2 point fav in this matchup. One of the biggest disappointments this college football season, is Auburn. This, 7-5 Tigers squad was a pre-season CFP hopeful. They just got smoked, 52-21, in their regular season finale to Alabama. QB, Jarrett Stidham, who had a very subpar year (2421 YP, 13/5), has announced that he is skipping his senior year to enter the NFL draft. Maybe he sees things getting worse, down the road. This is a team that once again is in a lower-tier, Bowl, just like a season ago when they lost in the Peach Bowl to UCF, 34-27. The offense is stagnant and we've seen their defense look mortal when facing tough opposition. Purdue is healthy, happy to be in a Bowl, love that HC, Jeff Brohm is sticking around, and have the best playmaker on the field in Rondale Moore (1164 YR, 13 TD's). The WR leads a very deep, receiving corps. QB, David Blough (66.6% CR, 3521 YP, 25/8) is going to move the chains in the air. Take the points with the Boilermakers here. Thank you. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -4.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Georgia Tech. This is my NCAAF QUICK LANE BOWL WINNER. Game 232. 2:15 pm pst. There are quite a few factors that urge me to side with Georgia Tech here. Paul Johnson is coaching his last game. The Head Coach has had success at Georgia Southern (62-10), Navy (45-29), and Georgia Tech (82-59). Johnson is a very respected and well-liked HC. This season, the Yellow Jackets triple-option led the nation in rushing (335.0 YPG). The scheme will be terminated next year by replacement HC, Geoff Collins. So, expect this offense to go out with a bang. They will keep the 75th ranked run defense of Minnesota on the field, and by the 2nd half, gasping for air. Another big factor, is that the Golden Gophers have six players suspended here, and the team is distracted. Playing in the high-flying, ACC, the Yellow Jackets defense fared very well and are strong enough to contain the mediocre, Golden Gophers "O". Take Georgia tech. Thank you. |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -3.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 118 h 15 m | Show |
Take Army. This is my ARMED FORCES BOWL WINNER. Game 224. 12:30 pm pst. Buy this number down for the extra few pennies, to air on the side of caution. At first glance, Houston looked like the play, but looking closer, I strongly reversed my decision. The Cougars, after starting 7-1, dropped three of their last four games. Things go from bad to worse for the team, which just fired HC, Mark D'Onofrio, and will be without four DL, including All-American DT, Ed Oliver. This doesn't bode well as they go up against the nation's #2 rushing attack. On the other side of the ball, Houston lost their biggest offensive playmaker, QB, D'Eriq King (2982 YP and 36 TD's in the air, 816 YR and 5 TD's on the ground). It's going to be a long day facing the stout, 13th ranked Army defense (18.0 PPG allowed).Take the Black Knights. Thank you. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 52 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. This is my BIRMINGHAM BOWL WINNER. Game 221. 9:00 am pst. These are two very different teams at the moment. Wake Forest, which lost 13 players between the pre and regular seasons, has had time to rest, heal, and prepare. Several key personnel return here, including RB, Matt Colburn, which gives the Demon Deacons back their 1-2 , backfield punch of Colburn and Cade Carney (1693 YR, 13 TD's combined). Memphis RB, Darrell Henderson, who led the nation in all-purpose yards, is skipping the contest to prepare for the NFL draft. Wake Forest finished the season with a, 59-7 rout at Duke, while Memphis lost to Central Florida, in the AAC title game, 56-41. Reports are that the Demon Deacons are excited to be in their third straight Bowl, while the Tigers are not, after losing a chance to appear in a more prestigious Bowl. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS the last six in December and 4-1 ATS the last five Bowls. Memphis is 0-5 ATS the last five in December and 1-5 ATS the last six Bowls. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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12-21-18 | Florida International +6 v. Toledo | Top | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 91 h 29 m | Show |
Take FIU. This is my BAHAMAS BOWL WINNER. Game 217. 9:30 am pst. Florida International enters this Bowl game with a very healthy squad, led by a solid, MAC transfer at QB. James Morgan (65.8% CR, 2727 YP, 26/7) knows this Toledo team. As a member of Bowling Green, he threw for 335 YP and 5 TD's in an October, 2016 matchup. The Rockets have backup, Eli Peters under center. The QB has just a, 54.6% CR, and 15 TD's, against 7 INT's. The big difference here is the disparity in both QB's, along with a Toledo defense that is a doormat, ranking 105th vs. the pass, and allowing the most points, 30.2 PPG, in over four years. FIU is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. winners, 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games, and 14-6 ATS the last 20 overall. Toledo is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners, 2-5 ATS the last seven non-conference games, and 1-5-1 ATS the last seven in December. Take the Golden Panthers. Thank you. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show | |
Take Ohio. This is my FRISCO BOWL WINNER. Game 213. 5:00 pm pst. Talk about folding, San Diego State started the year at 6-1, only to finish with a record of 7-5, including three straight losses to end the season. To make matters worse, the Aztecs crushed bettors, riding a 1-6 ATS run. Rocky Long's boys are known for having a very poor offense and a solid defense. Their "O" averages just, 22.3 PPG. But, as we look closely, we see their "D" started to leak, allowing, 26.1 PPG over their last five outings. Ohio can score points, ranking 10th nationally, accounting for, 41.2 PPG. Defensively, they are good enough here in this matchup. There is no way San Diego State can keep pace on the scoreboard with Ohio. The Aztecs are 3-7 ATS the last 10 in December and 1-5 ATS the last six non-conference games. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS the last four in December and 5-1 ATS the last six Bowl games. Take Ohio. Thank you. |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB -2.5 | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 95 h 48 m | Show | |
Take UAB. Game 212. 4:00 pm pst. Both defenses are very tough. The Huskies allow just, 21.5 PPG. The Blazers yield a mere, 17.3 PPG. The big difference here is the superiority of the UAB offense. Their success begins on the OL. Head Coach, Bill Clark, who is in the talks for Coach of the Year honors, recruits some of the best players in the south. Please understand, he gets all of the Alabama also-rans, which results in the team rushing for over 208.9 YPG. Not only that, but the OL has the size and strength to hold off the NIU defense, particularly, their best player, DE, Sutton Smith. The Huskies are just 2-9, both SU and ATS, their last 11 Bowl games, including an 0-7 ATS slide as an underdog, and a current 0-5 ATS run. The Blazers are eager to earn the school's first Bowl victory ever. Northern Illinois is 1-5 ATS the last six vs. C-USA teams and 0-4 ATS the last four December games. Alabama Birmingham is 8-3 ATS the last 11 vs. teams with a winning record and 8-3 ATS the last 11 overall. Take Alabama Birmingham. Thank you. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -6 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my LAS VEGAS BOWL WINNER. Game 206. 12:30 pm pst.
As soon as this matchup was announced, I went out and picked up first row, 50-yard line seats. Guess where? On the Bulldogs side of the field. Not to take any credit away from an Arizona State team that beat Michigan State, Southern Cal, Utah, and Arizona, but, they must face the nation's #3 stop-unit, without one of their biggest offensive stars. WR, N'Keal Harry (1080 YR, 9 TD's), who is an expected 1st round draft pick, will forgo the Bowl game to avoid any possible chance of injury. Harry is QB, Manny Wilkins' "go-to" guy and the offenses biggest playmaker. The Sun Devils must rely upon 1524-yard rusher, Eno Benjamin. The RB is outstanding, but the Bulldogs, already-fierce defense will be able to key on the ball-carrier. Offensively, Fresno State puts up 34.9 PPG, mostly in the air. This doesn't bode well for a porous, ASU defense that ranks 82nd vs. the pass. Arizona State is 2-7 ATS the last nine Bowl games, 0-4 ATS the last four in the month of December, and 1-6 ATS the last seven vs. MWC foes. Fresno State is 8-2 ATS the last 10 non-conference games, 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of December, and 27-6-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army -6.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Army. Game 104. 10:00 pm pst This is the 119th edition of this storied contest. Army has taken the last two meetings, but has covered seven of the last nine. Over the last five years, each matchup has been separated by seven points or less, including a 14-13, Black Knights win and cover last year. But this year, these are two very different squads. The Middies are 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS away from Annapolis in 2018, being outscored by 16.8 PPG. Both teams can run the ball (Army #2, Navy #3). The Army QB situation is a bit more stable, behind Kelvin Hopkins. Navy has rotated three play-callers in Garret Lewis, Zach Abey, and Malcolm Perry. The Black Knights offense eats up more clock than any other team in the nation, with an average TOP of 39:15. Another big edge is on defense, where Army ranks 17th overall (18.7 PPG allowed), 30th vs. the pass, and most importantly, 12th vs. the run. The Navy "D" has been a doormat, yielding over 34.9 PPG, ranking 98th vs. the pass, and 89th vs. the run. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS the last four non-conference games, 2-6 ATS the last eight vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the L10 overall games. The Black Knights are 4-0 ATS the last four games following a bye week, 4-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the month of December. Take Army. Thank you |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 22 m | Show |
Take Texas. Game 311. 9:30 am pst. Can you believe two "Red River Rivalry" battles in one season? The first meeting, at the beginning of October, saw Texas best Oklahoma, 48-45. That defeat resulted in the only blemish on the Sooners, 11-1 campaign. The OU offense can score points on any defense in the country, ranking 1st in scoring (50.3 PPG). The problem is their defense is just horrible, ranking 100th (32.8 PPG allowed overall). The team finished the regular season, getting shelled for 46, 47, 40, and 56 points. Dual-threat QB, Sam Ehlinger, makes very few mistakes and has the weaponry to keep this matchup, once again, very close. Let's not forget, the Longhorns have covered the last six meetings in this series. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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11-30-18 | Utah +6 v. Washington | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Utah. Game 305. 5:00 pm pst. Washington looked like the pre-season, forecasted, PAC 12 powerhouse, last week, putting an end to both the Washington State seven-game win streak and their conference title hopes. Just like the mid-September meeting, the Huskies are laying under a TD here. They did best the Ute's, 21-7 back then, even before Utah's starting QB and RB (Tyler Huntley and Zack Moss) suffered season-ending injuries. On paper, U-Dub looks like the play, but after looking closely, we find that the Huskies haven't covered back-to-back games all season. Grab a magnifying glass because we are probing further. Utah's backups have filled in quite nicely. Jason Shelley and Armand Shyne are solid and also give Washington no advantage, having not seen this offense before. Washington QB, Jake Browning is "shaky" at best, therefore the Huskies rely upon RB, Myles Gaskin. But the nation's 6th ranked rush defense and the 17th overall stop unit (19.2 PPG), will get to him. I honestly feel that the "over-rated", Washington squad played their best football last week. Utah keeps this game close. Take the Utes. Thank you. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | 30-29 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. Game 304. 4:00 pm pst. NIU is known for their strong defense, particularly against the rush. They face the very high-scoring Buffalo offense, averaging 35.2 PPG. But the Huskies will be without DE, Josh Corcoran (8 sacks) for the first half (suspension). The Bulls have an NFL prospect in Tyree Jackson (2605 YP, 25/11). The QB has a stable of talented receivers. Northern Illinois, despite a good overall defense, is just mediocre against the pass (76th). Offensively, the Huskies rank 122nd in scoring, averaging just, 19.9 PPG. The Bulls have the defense to contain them and the offense to outscore them. Buffalo is 8-1 ATS the L9 conference games, 5-2 ATS the L7 November games, and 19-7 ATS the L26 overall games. Take the Bulls Thank you. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame -10.5 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Notre Dame. This is my GOY. Game 225. 5:00 pm pst. Well, Notre Dame has certainly made a believer out of me. Expect nothing less than a decisive win here, to secure the Fighting Irish a spot in the College Playoff. Don't know what's going to be more of a mismatch, the offensive side or the defensive side, as Notre Dame outclasses USC on both. The Trojans are 1-6 ATS the L7 home games, 0-7 ATS the L7 vs. non-conference opponents, 1-6 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning record, and 6-19-1 ATS the L26 overall games. Take the Fighting Irish. |
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11-24-18 | LSU +3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my SEC WEST GOM. Game 209. 4:30 pm pst. LSU has dominated Texas A&M, winning and covering the last seven meetings in this series. We all know just how ferocious the Tigers "D" is (8th, 16.1 PPG). Mediocre QB, Kellen Mond (59.1% CR, 17/8) is on for a long day here. But, the difference-maker will be LSU QB, Joe Burrow, who's coming off his best performance of the season (307 YP, 2/0), as he faces the 104th ranked pass defense of Texas A&M. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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11-24-18 | Kansas State +13.5 v. Iowa State | 38-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my SHOCKER GOM. Game 207. 4:00 pm pst. Kansas State has taken the L10 meetings over Iowa State SU. The L4 years have been decided by 4, 3, 5, and 1 point. Kansas State is just 1 win away from bowl eligibility for the Head Coach, Bill Snyder, who may be coaching his last of 27 season's for the Wildcat's. Making a team, that outscores opponents by just, 4.5 PPG, nearly a 2 TD favorite, is a mistake. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS the L7 vs. Conference opponents, 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road, and 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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11-24-18 | Wyoming -6.5 v. New Mexico | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Wyoming. This is my MWC GOM. Game 187. 11:30 am pst. Riding a 3-game SU win streak, Wyoming needs 1 more victory for bowl eligibility. Meanwhile, New Mexico is on a 6-game SU slide (1-5 ATS). The Lobos are a complete train wreck. They can't pass at all, and their defense is "defense-less", ranking just about the worst in every category. To make matters worse, injuries and suspensions to major players have hit this team hard in recent weeks. Wyoming has a solid "D", but it will be Nico Evans taking this game on his shoulders. The RB has 1183 YR and 7 TD's. He will shred the 103rd run defense of New Mexico. the Lobos are 1-6 ATS the L7 at home, 1-5 ATS the L6 vs. Conference opponents, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State -2 | 28-15 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Take WSU. This is my NL. Game 144. 5:30 pm pst. The winner here will go on to play for the PAC 12 Title vs. Utah. The Cougars and the nations #1 passing attack have won 7 consecutive SU games, are a perfect, 6-0 SU at home, sporting a 5-1 ATS mark at Martin Stadium, en route to a 10-1 overall record, both SU and ATS. Washington is 2-3 SU on the road, going 1-4 ATS. There is no way erratic QB, Jake Browning can keep pace with Gardner Minshew here. Washington is 0-7 ATS the L7 vs. Conference opponents 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-7 ATS the L8 on the road. Washington State is 25-10 ATS the L35 vs. Conference opponents, 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning record, and 19-7 ATS the L26 at home. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Arizona v. Washington State -10 | 28-69 | Win | 100 | 49 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Washington State. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 378. 7:30 pm pst. Washington State is no longer an under-the-radar secret. The Cougars lead the PAC 12 North, with a 6-1record in the conference, en route to a 9-1 overall mark (both SU and ATS). The big mismatch here is the Wazzu #1 ranked passing unit, going up against the 91st ranked pass "D" of 'Zona. They get payback from last year's, 58-37 loss to the Wildcats. Take Washington. State. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | San Diego State v. Fresno State -13 | 14-23 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my HR. Game 422. 7:30 pm pst. Fresno State needs a win here to lock up the MWC West. This is a team that comes off a loss after a 7-game win and cover streak. The Bulldogs own the #5 stop-unit in the nation, yielding just, 13.5 PPG, while possessing an offense ranking 16th, averaging 38.1 PPG. San Diego State has no offense to compete here, score for score. The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Rice +42 v. LSU | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Rice. This is my UD GOM. Game 395. 4:30 pm pst. At 1-10 SU, Rice is just deplorable. The Owls are 0-6 SU as a road team this season. But, one good thing about being so bad...huge point spreads. They get the bettors paid, going 4-2 ATS on the road in 2018, while covering three straight as an underdog of 24 or more points. LSU has not won a game by a margin of this size since September of 2014 (56-0 vs. Sam Houston, 63-7 vs. New Mexico State). With a record of 0-5 ATS the last five vs. non-conference opponents in Baton Rouge, and having Texas A&M up next, it's just too many points to lay here. Take Rice. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Iowa -14.5 v. Illinois | 63-0 | Win | 100 | 42 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my BIG TEN WEST GOM. Game 323. 12:30 pm pst. This line opened up at -16, and I liked it then. As a successful "contrarian" gambler, I love when the general public is against me. Illinois is 0-5 ATS the L5 games played as double digit underdog and now with the teams only offensive weapon, RB, Reggie Corbin, banged-up (foot, check status), I don't mind laying the wood here with an Iowa team looking for a little redemption after three straight losses. The Hawkeyes have won the L4 years over the Fighting Illini, by an average of, 20.5 PPG (3-1 ATS). Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Syracuse +10.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 3-36 | Loss | -114 | 41 h 7 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 367. 11:30 am pst. In a game set in Yankee Stadium, there is no home field advantage for Notre Dame here. As a matter of fact, there will be a large amount or Orange in the stands. The Fighting Irish are a solid football team, however, they still haven't played a top-tier opponent since a Week 1meeting with the Wolverines. Making Eric Dungey (2193 YP, 14 TD's in the air and 690 YR, 12 TD's on the ground) and a Syracuse offense that's posting, 44.4 PPG a 10.5-point underdog, is an early Christmas present. This is a team that had Clemson on the ropes back in September. The Orange is 5-2 ATS the L7 neutral site games, 4-0-1 ATS the L5 non-conference games, 9-1-1 ATS the L11 games following a SU win, 9-3 ATS the L12 games vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 overall games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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11-16-18 | Boise State -20 v. New Mexico | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Take BSU. This is my FNL. Game 317. 6:00 pm pst. BSU is 1 GB USU in the MWC Mountain division. The Broncos need to keep their foot on the gas here, especially because they face USU in the final regular season game. So, I have no problem laying wood against division cellar dweller, New Mexico. The Lobos sport some of the nation's worst defensive rankings. BSU is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 vs. teams with a losing record and 8-3-1 ATS the L12 on the road. New Mexico is 2-8 ATS the L10 vs. Conference foes and 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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11-14-18 | Buffalo +2.5 v. Ohio | 17-52 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my WMW. Game 303. 4:00 pm pst. Buffalo needs 1 more win to lock up the MAC East. This is a very healthy squad, listing zero injuries in mid-November. Ohio is banged-up and can not defend the pass (112th). The Bulls are 5-2 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, 4-0 ATS the L4 games on the road, and 7-0 ATS the L7 games played in the Conference. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan -7 v. Ball State | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Take WMU. Game 301. 3:00 pm pst. Both teams have backup QB's starting here, but WMU's, Eleby, is a bit more reliable. The Broncos are a rushing team anyway. BSU can not stop the run, ranking 113th nationally. The Cardinals have worse problems offensively, where that account for just, 22.7 PPG. WMU comes off a bye week, rested and better prepared here. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take WMU. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | Southern Miss v. UAB -11.5 | 23-26 | Loss | -108 | 55 h 42 m | Show | |
Take UAB. This is my HR. Game 218. 4:30 pm pst. UAB is streaking, riding a 7-game win streak, both SU and ATS. The Blazers own a perfect, 5-0 mark at home (SU and ATS), outscoring visitors by an average of 27.4 PPG. Their #1 nationally ranked defense (12.1 PPG allowed) will ensure they stay perfect in C-USA play. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -14 | 23-35 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my AAC GOM. Game 156. 4:00 pm pst. South Florida's weaknesses have been exposed in their L2 outings, yielding 1110 yards in losses to Houston and Tulane. The Bulls can not stop the rush, ranking 124th in run defense. They now face the 15th ranked bearcats ground attack. Defensively, Cincinnati owns the #6 stop-unit (14.0 PPG allowed) in the nation. In my opinion, Like Fickell deserves Coach Of The Year. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is my OM PLAY. Game 153. 12:P30 pm pst. I don't think that Iowa has the offense to lay DD's here, against an underrated and undervalued, Northwestern team that have a good chance at the Big Ten West title. The Wildcats have won and covered the last two years in this matchup, each by seven points, and own a remarkable, 20-5-1 ATS mark their last 26 games played in the conference. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Ohio State. Game 219. 9:00 am pst. As of print, there are mostly 3.5's around on this game. Buy it down, for the extra few cents, just to air on the side of caution. However, my power ratings have Ohio State at least a seven-point favorite. The Buckeyes have not covered over their last five outings. But, this is their opportunity to widen the pad over the Spartans and keep pressure on the Wolverines in the Big Ten East title race. Michigan State might be good against the run, but their defense is horrible against the pass. Urban Meyer is an excellent strategist and whether you like him or not, the head coach wins in big games. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse -21 | 23-54 | Win | 100 | 33 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my Consensus. Game 112. 4:00 pm pst. Louisville has had their way with Syracuse the L4 years, winning and covering all 4 matchups, including a 56-10 whooping, a season ago. Well, the Cardinals and the Orange are 2 very different teams this season. Louisville is 2-7 SU, riding a 1-9 ATS run, which includes an 0-4 road mark TY, both SU and ATS. Syracuse, at 2-7 SU, is 5-0 at home, going 3-1-1 ATS. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS their L4 conference games, 0-5 ATS their L5 road games, and 6-20 ATS their L26 overall games. Take the Orange. Thank you. |
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11-07-18 | Ohio -4.5 v. Miami-OH | 28-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Ohio. This is my TD play. Game 103. 4:00 pm pst. Ohio has dominated Miami-Oh, taking 11 of the L12 meetings SU, going 8-3-1 ATS, including 4 straight wins and covers. The big difference here is the ground game of the Bobcats, which rank 15th nationally. Don't mind laying a short number with an Ohio squad that needs a win to contend with Buffalo for the MAC East title. The Bobcats are 14-6 ATS the L20 on the road, 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. conference foes, and 6-2 ATS the L8 vs. losers. Take Ohio. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International -2.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -107 | 46 h 20 m | Show |
Take Florida International. This is my CONFERENCE USA GOM. Game 418. 4:30 pm pst. Revenge is a dish best served cold. Lane Kiffin and FAU ran up the score in last year's, 52-24 meeting with FIU. But these are two very different teams this year. The Owls, at 3-5 SU, and just 1-7 ATS overall this season, are riding an 0-5 ATS away skid and an 0-4 ATS mark their last four games against teams with a winning record. Take Florida International. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Utah -7 v. Arizona State | 20-38 | Loss | -106 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
Take Utah. This is my NO LIMIT PLAY. Game 379. 1:00 pm pst. Utah needs to keep their foot on the gas to take the PAC 12 South crown. Arizona State had their first November victory, eking out a three-point win over a beat-up, USC squad. The Utes 14th ranked "D" gets revenge from last season's, 30-10 defeat. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Iowa +3 v. Purdue | 36-38 | Win | 100 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 323. 12:30 pm pst. Both teams come off disappointing losses and both need to win here to stay in the Big Ten West mix. The 11th ranked Iowa defense is just too strong. Throw into the equation that the road team is 8-0 ATS the last eight meetings in this series and that the Hawkeyes have covered the last four at the Boilermakers, and that equals up to a play on the 'dog. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my Consensus Play. Game 399. 12:30 pm pst. TCU is point spread poison, having not covered a game since mid-September (0-5 ATS run). The Horned Frogs shouldn't be laying better than a TD to any team above the High School level. Kansas State is 5-0 ATS their last five games played following a SU loss, while TCU is on an 0-7 ATS run vs. conference opponents. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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11-01-18 | Northern Illinois -6 v. Akron | 36-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Take NIU. This is my TD play. Game 311. 4:00 pm pst. NIU has had no problems dispensing with Akron, having won the last four meetings SU, going 3-1 ATS. The Huskies enter this contest red-hot, riding a four-game win streak (3-1 ATS). Remember, this is a team that is perfect in conference play and need to stay that way. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | UAB -15.5 v. UTEP | Top | 19-0 | Win | 100 | 50 h 13 m | Show |
Take UAB. This is my NL. Game 155. 4:30 pm pst. UAB is money, going 16-5-1 ATS their L22 games. The Blazers are sporting a 6-1 (both SU and ATS) mark this season and are a perfect, 3-0 ATS laying DD's. They are also 4-0 in Conf USA play and must win to stay atop the Division. UTEP is riding a 19-game SU losing streak. the Miners have one of the worst scoring offenses in the nation and are facing one of college football's best defenses here. UTEP is 4-10 ATS the L14 games played at home. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State +3 v. Stanford | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 46 m | Show |
Take Washington State. This is my PAC 12 GOM. Game 161. 4:00 pm pst. This is a huge, PAC 12 North contest, with serious conference implications. We must side with a Washington State team that is a perfect, 7-0 ATS this season, and owns the nation's #1 ranked passing offense (400.7 YPG in the air). QB, Gardner Minshew (2745 YP, 69.8% CR, 23/6) will carve up a Stanford pass defense that ranks 100th in college football. The Cougars can score points on any squad in the land, but it is their defense that will shine here, as they match up well with the erratic, Cardinal "O". Take Washington State. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | NC State v. Syracuse +2 | 41-51 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my ACC GOM. Game 156. 4:00 pm pst. Giving a hot-handed, Syracuse team 2.5 points at home is a gift. NC State got routed by Clemson LW, 41-7, and will come in here shell-shocked. BTW, the 'Cuse went to the mat in a 27-23 loss to Clemson as a 24-point 'dog, just a month ago. The Orange can score points, a lot of points, and very fast. The Underdog is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Kentucky +7.5 v. Missouri | 15-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Kentucky. This is my OM play. Game 175. 1:00 pm pst. They have the wrong favorite in this game. Despite their 14-7 win over Vandy LW, Kentucky slept through the game. Expect the bowl-eligible, SEC East Title seeking Wildcats and their #2 ranked defense (12.9 PPG Allowed) to contain Tigers QB, Lock. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Army v. Eastern Michigan | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 43 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Army. This is my HR. Game 141. 9:00 am pst. EMU can not stop the rush, ranking 112th vs. the run. In comes Army and their #2 ranked ground attack. Defensively, the Black Knights match up well here. They have also taken 6 of the L7 meetings in this series, including the L3. Take Army. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Purdue +1.5 v. Michigan State | 13-23 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Purdue. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 187. 9:00 am pst. Don't expect a "letdown" for Purdue here, after beating Ohio State, 49-20 LW. The Boilermakers have been hot, winning 4 in a row SU and their L5 ATS. Michigan State's offense is stagnant, and defensively, rank 117th vs. the pass. Purdue QB, Blough and his 6th ranked passing unit will light it up here. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS the L5 games played at the Spartans and 5-1 ATS the L6 games played vs. Conference foes. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS the L4 games played at home and 2-5 ATS the L7 games played overall. Take Purdue. Thank you. |
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10-25-18 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -6.5 | 51-24 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Take WMU. This is my TD play. Game 106. 4:00 pm pst. WMU has rattled off 6 consecutive SU victories while Toledo has dropped their L2 outings SU and are riding a 4-game ATS skid. The Broncos have the stringer defense, by far and the Home Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take WMU. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Fresno State -13 v. New Mexico | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 361. 4:30 pm pst. Fresno State isn't just a winning team, at 5-1 SU, the Bulldogs also get the bettors paid, with a 5-1 ATS mark this season. They have dominated New Mexico, winning and covering the L6 meetings. They are currently riding a 4-game win and cover streak behind an outstanding passing game and one of the toughest defenses in the nation. QB, McMaryion (1578 YP, 71.4% CR, 11/2) will shred the 112th ranked pass defense of the Lobos. The UNM offense will get completely shut down by the 2nd ranked FSU "D" (13.5 PPG allowed). The Lobos 1-5 ATS the L6 Conference games, 0-4 ATS the L4 home games, and 3-8 ATS the L11 overall games. The Bulldogs are 36-17-1 ATS the L54 Conference games, 9-1-1 ATS the L11 road games, and 22-4-1 ATS the L27 overall games. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -11 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 51 m | Show |
Take Kentucky. This is my SEC EAST GOM. Game 312. 4:30 pm pst. This situation benefits the Wildcats, who come off a bye week, rested and looking for vengeance, after dropping their first game of the season. Kentucky won and covered the L2 meetings in this series, and enter this year's matchup, 5-1 overall, and vying for the SEC East Title, behind the #4 ranked defense in the nation. Vanderbilt comes off back-to-back SU losses (1-4 SU L5) to Georgia and Florida, while failing to cover 4 straight. The Commodores defense will once again get steamrolled on the ground. The Favorite is 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings in this series. Vanderbilt is 1-9-1 ATS the L11 vs. conference opponents, 3-7-1 ATS the L11 vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5-1 ATS the L6 games played in the month of October. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Utah State -14.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
Take Utah State. This is my MWC GOM. Game 359. 11:30 am pst. Utah State is red-hot, rattling off 5 consecutive SU wins and 6 straight ATS covers. On the flipside, Wyoming is riding a 3-game SU skid (1-5 SU L6) and haven't covered a game since August (0-6 ATS L6). The Cowboys have no offense whatsoever, ranking 122nd in the air, 102nd on the ground, and 129th in scoring, averaging a dismal, 15.4 PPG. The Aggies own the #2 scoring team in the land, posting 51.7 PPG. The Favorite in this series is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings. Wyoming is 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. conference foes, 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-4 ATS the L5 games at home. Utah State is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. conference opponents, 8-1 ATS the L9 vs. teams with a losing record, and 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 14 m | Show | |
Take Army. This is my MISMATCH play. Game 330. 9:00 am pst. Over the last few days, I have read about the Miami Ohio defense against the run. But what great rushing team have they actually faced? Moreover, facing the triple-option is a whole different monster. Army and their #2 ranked ground attack keeps defenses on the field and by the 2nd half, gasping out of their mouths. I don't normally judge teams by their past performances, but the Black Knights were good enough to keep the Sooners matchup tight, so I feel they will steamroll a Redhawks team that is 0-7 ATS the last 7 vs. non-conference foes and 1-5 ATS the last 6 vs. teams with a winning record. Take Army. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +4 | 31-16 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Mississippi. This is my Underdog Outright Winner. Game 400. 9:00 am pst. Getting 3.5 with Mississippi here is a sharp play. Auburn just might be the most disappointing college football team this season. Mistakes, TO's, and penalties have ravaged the Tigers, who have now lost their L2 SU and failed to cover 3 straight. Auburn is known to have a solid defense but the 'Ole Miss offense ranks 4th in passing, 5th on total yards, and 16th in scoring, averaging 41.6 PPG. The Tigers "O" just can't keep pace with the Rebels "O" here. Auburn is 1-4 ATS the L5 Conference games, 0-6 ATS the L6 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take Mississippi. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | Colorado +7.5 v. USC | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -119 | 54 h 24 m | Show |
Take Colorado. Colorado can take total control of the PAC 12 South with a win here. The Buffaloes are a perfect, 4-0 ATS against FBS opponents, en route to a 5-0 SU mark. The Trojans are 0-4 ATS the last 4 at home, 1-4-1 ATS the last 6 vs. Conference foes, and 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 overall. I like Colorado SU here, so getting a TD is a gift. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | Virginia Tech -5.5 v. North Carolina | 22-19 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech has taken 4 of the L5 meetings over North Carolina (going 5-0 ATS), including the L2, by a combined, 93-10 score. The Tar Heels have just 1 win and 1 cover on the season and come in here with real QB woes. The Hokies own a well-balanced offense and defensively will shut down the Tar Heels rushing game with their stop-unit that ranks 8th vs. the rush. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Memphis | 31-30 | Loss | -109 | 47 h 10 m | Show | |
Take UCF. This is a very short number to lay for a Central Florida team that wants to both, remain in the Top-10, and keep their 18-game win streak alive. Last year's meetings saw the Knights win and cover both, outscoring the Tigers, 102-68. UCF's defense is going to frustrate UM's QB, White. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | UAB -16.5 v. Rice | Top | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 44 h 22 m | Show |
Take UAB. The odds makers wanted to make this line more attractive, but I feel it should be closer to -24. UAB likes to beat up lesser teams, and believe me, Rice is certainly a lesser team. They proved that again last week, as they put up a mere, 3 points against UTSA. The Blazers have covered 3 in a row and 4 of 5 this season. The Owls rank 110th offensively and 120th defensively. This game is going to get ugly. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | Florida -7 v. Vanderbilt | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Florida. Vanderbilt is clearly outmatched here, as the Commodores have experienced double digit losses in 8 of their last 9 SEC defeats. Florida's quick and stingy defense (14.8 PPG Allowed) is going to shut down an already stunted, Vandy offense. The road team is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. The Gators are 5-1 ATS the last 6 games at the Commodores and 4-0 ATS the last 4 games overall. take Florida. Thank you. |
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10-12-18 | South Florida -7 v. Tulsa | 25-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Take USF. South Florida is a perfect, 5-0 SU on the season and ranks 23rd in the polls. They need to win and win with authority to maintain their Top-25 ranking. Tulsa had just 1 good showing this season, a 7-point loss to Texas. But the Golden Hurricanes have lost 4 in a row SU and are 0-4 ATS the L4 games at home. The very well-balanced offense of QB, Blake Barnett (1308 YP, 65.1% CR, 9/4) and RB, Jordan Cronkite (606 YR, 5 TD's) are going to light up the Tulsa "D". Particularly Cronkite, as he faces the 114th ranked run defense here. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS the L10 vs. teams with a losing record. Take South Florida. Thank you. |
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10-11-18 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Texas Tech. This is my TD play. Game 105. 4:30 pm pst. Whether starting QB, Bowman (check status) or dual-threat backup, Duffey is at the helm, I must side with a Texas tech squad that ranks #1 in total offense, especially getting a TD here. TCU has underachieved, looking a far cry from traditional Horned Frogs teams. They are crushing bettors going 2-11-1 ATS the L14 as a home fav, 0-4 ATS the L4 conference games, 1-5 ATS the L6 vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-6 ATS the L8 overall. Take the Red Raiders. Thank you. |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Arkansas State | 35-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Take App State. This is my NO LIMIT. game 101. 5:00 pm pst. I have no problem laying 10 points with an App. State team that has covered 8 in a row. Especially against ATS poison, Ark State, who has covered just once since last November. The Mountaineers rank #2 in scoring, averaging 51.8 PPG behind a Top-10 rushing attack. Not a good matchup for a Red Wolves "D" that ranks 124th vs. the run. App State is 4-0 ATS the L4 on the road and 4-0 ATS the L4 Conference games. Ark State is 0-5 ATS the L5 games at home and 0-5 ATS the L5 games vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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10-06-18 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -17 | Top | 24-41 | Push | 0 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
Take Wisconsin. This is my BIG TEN GAME. Game 410. 4:30 pm pst. This game was -20 at on Tuesday morning. The line went down to -17. And it makes no sense to me as this game has the makings of a massacre. Nebraska hasn't won a game since October of last year, riding a 1-7 ATS run. Wisconsin possesses a stifling defense and one of the best rushing units in college football. The combination is going to prove to be fatal for Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS the L7 vs. the Badgers, 1-5 ATS the L6 conference games, and 5-15-1 ATS the L21 overall games. The Badgers are 7-3 ATS the L10 games played in October, 5-1 ATS the L6 conference games, and 13-3 ATS the L16 games played following a bye week. Take Wisconsin. Thank you. |
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10-06-18 | Arizona State v. Colorado -2.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Colorado. This is my HR. Game 356. 1:00 pm pst. You've got to love a line of -2.5 with Colorado here, as the Buffaloes are off to their first 4-0 start in 20 years. This is a very well-balanced team on both sides of the ball. Don't put too much stock in an Arizona State offense that posted 52 points on a defenseless, Oregon State squad last week. M&M (Montez & McMillian) will shred the Sun Devils "D". The Home Team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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10-06-18 | Oklahoma v. Texas +7.5 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Texas. This is my Shocker Play. Game 398. 9:00 am pst. It's all about the line! And I like getting more than a TD with Texas here. The Longhorns are 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings with the Sooners. As a matter of fact, the L4 matchups in this series were all separated by 7 points or less. Oklahoma can score points on just about any team in the nation, but their defense leaves a lot to be desired...especially against the pass (97th). A matured, Sam Ehlinger (64.7% CR, 1185 YP, 9/2) has played mistake-free the L4 outings, all wins. This game is being played in Dallas, Texas. The Sooners are 2-8 ATS the L10 neutral site games. Take the Longhorns. Thank you. |
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10-06-18 | Northwestern +10 v. Michigan State | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 373. 9:00 am pst. Northwestern will bounce back here with a vengeance, after a heartbreaking, 20-17 loss and cover to Michigan last week, as a 15.5-point 'dog. This is way too many points to give a Wildcats team that is 7-3 ATS the L10 games played following a loss and 7-0 ATS the L7 games played at Spartan Stadium. MSU can not stop the pass (115th). In comes NW QB, Thorson (60.8% CR, 927 YP). Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-29-18 | Utah v. Washington State +2 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 32 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Washington State. This is my PAC 12 GOM. Game 150. 3:00 pm pst. Washington State comes off a painful, 39-36 loss at USC to return home, where they are 5-0 ATS the L5 as a PAC 12 fav. The Cougars have won and covered the L3 meetings over the Utes. Utah doesn't have the offense to contend in this matchup. The team tends to fold like a cheap suit when stepping up in class. WSU is 7-0 ATS the L7 at home, 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. conference foes, and 4-0 ATS the L4 overall. Take Washington State. Thank you. |
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09-29-18 | Tennessee v. Georgia -30.5 | 12-38 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Georgia. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 166. 12:30 pm pst. I don't normally like to lay this type of wood, but Georgia likes to run it up against SEC opponents. Tennessee has both QB and defensive issues. Last season's meeting saw the Bulldogs crush the Vols, 41-10. There's no reason why this season's matchup won't be any different of a massacre. The Volunteers are 2-5 ATS the L7 on the road, 0-4 the L4 in the conference, and 1-6 the L7 overall. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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09-29-18 | Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my SHOCKER play. Game 129. 9:00 am pst Clemson, although deserves their status, tends to be a team that oddsmakers give a little too much credit to when making the line. They are a fan favorite and that reflects in the overestimation once again here. Orange QB, Eric Dungey (62.4 % CR, 763 YP, 9/1) and his talented receiving corps can and will exploit the "shaky" Tigers secondary that showed cracks against both the Aggies and Yellow Jackets. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. teams with a winning record and 6-1 ATS the L7 on the road. Clemson is 2-5-1 ATS the L8 vs. teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS the L5 overall. Take the Orange. Thank you. |
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09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -8.5 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 39 m | Show | |
Take Colorado. This is my HR. Game 108. 6:00 pm pst. UCLA is 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS). The Bruins have QB issues, but it doesn't matter who is at the helm, as the offense can't either pass or run the ball. They have faced some tougher opposition, but will once again meet a superior foe here. Colorado , at 3-0, thrashed both CSU and Nebraska, and enter this game with more talent at both sides of the ball. The "Big 3", QB, Montez (73.4% CR, 855 YP, 8/2), RB, McMillian (290 YR, 3 TD's), and WR, Shenault jr. (455 YR, 3 TD's) will devour the UCLA doormat of a defense, that's yielding 37.7 PPG. The Buffaloes are 4-1 ATS the L5 meeting vs. the Bruins. The Bruins are 3-8 ATS the L11 conference games. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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09-28-18 | Memphis -14 v. Tulane | 24-40 | Loss | -107 | 45 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Memphis. This is my FNL winner. Game 105. 5:00 pm pst. Memphis owns a top-10 offense in Total Yards (593), Rushing Yards (309.5), and scoring (49.5 PPG). This doesn't bode well for a Tulane defense that can't stop the pass (120th), the run (99th), and yields 30.0 PPG (91st). The 1-2 punch of QB, White (1064 YP, 12/1) and RB, Henderson (709 YR, 8 TD's), will light up the scoreboard here. The Tigers are 13-3-1 ATS the L17 meetings with the Green Wave and 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings at the Green Wave. Take Memphis. Thank you. |
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09-22-18 | Wisconsin -3 v. Iowa | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Wisconsin. This is my LATE INFO MOVE Game 407. 5:30 pm pst. Wisconsin is going to come in here pissed off, after losing to BYU last week, 24-21, as a 23.5-point favorite. That loss ended a 41-game overall win streak and 12-straight at home. The Badgers have the rushing game and the defense to grind down the Hawkeyes in this meeting. Wiscy is 11-1 ATS the L12 games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the L5 games played vs. Conference foes, and 8-3 ATS the L11 games played following an ATS loss. I would hate to face the Badgers here. Take Wisconsin. Thank you. |
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09-22-18 | Louisville v. Virginia -5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Virginia. This is my ACC GOM. Game 348. 9:30 am pst. Louisville is 0-3 ATS and give QB, Malik Cunningham his first start of the season. The redshirt freshman came off the bench the L2 games and played well but there is a big difference in pressure coming in college football between, coming off the bench and starting . This is the ACC opener for both schools. But, Virginia has had this game marked for vengeance, as they dropped the L3 meetings in this series. This year's Cavaliers team is much improved from recent years. Dual-threat QB, Bryce Perkins dons a 64.1% CR, with 670 YP, and a 7/1 TD/INT ratio in the air, along with another 239 YR and 2 TD's on the ground. RB, Jordan Ellis is a stud, rushing for 380 Yards and 5 TD's. The Cardinals are 0-6 ATS the L6 games played in the month of September, 2-9 ATS the L11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-18-1 ATS the L26 games played overall. Take Virginia. Thank you. |
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09-22-18 | Navy -6 v. SMU | 30-31 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Navy, This is my ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY. Game 473. 9:00 am pst It confuses me that the Middies aren't a DD fav here. Navy has taken 8 in a row in this series, SU, going 7-1 ATS, and come in here, sporting the qualities to extend their domination of the 'Stangs. The Midshipmen will eat up a ton of clock with their #2 ranked ground attack and put points on the board. SMU QB, Ben Hicks just doesn't have the skills himself or the supporting cast to keep pace. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS the L5 at home, 1-6 ATS the L7 conference matchups, and 1-6 ATS the L7 overall. Take Navy. Thank you. |