05-05-23 |
Orioles v. Braves -1.5 |
Top |
9-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
Baltimore vs Atlanta 8-Unit best bet on the Braves using the –1.5 Run line Betting on any team that is coming off a three-game sweep of a divisional rival and is facing a foe from the other league (inter-league) has earned a solid 30-12 record averaging a –111 wager and producing a 33% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. The Run line is 15-9 63% averaging a –103 bet and a 30% ROI.
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05-05-23 |
Twins v. Guardians OVER 8.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
Minnesota vs Cleveland 8-Unit best bet OVER 8.5 runs From the predictive models, the two starters in this matchup will not complete more than 11 innings of work and both offenses will combine for three or more multiple-run innings. In past games, the Twins are 163-24-7 Over for 87% when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Similarly, the Guardians are 143-6-2 Over for 96% winners.
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05-05-23 |
Red Sox +139 v. Phillies |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
139 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
Red Sox vs Phillies 8-UNIT best Bet on the Red Sox using the money line currently at +125 Betting on any team that is coming off a three-game sweep of a divisional rival and is facing a foe from the other league (inter-league) has earned a solid 30-12 record averaging a –111 wager and producing a 33% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. The 76ers will be hosting the Celtics a few hundred yards from Citizen’s Bank Park at the same time so the atmosphere will be more than just festive. However, the Phillies are not closing games well and the Red Sox offense has been steadily getting better and more consistent since the start of the season. Again, we are betting numbers and not mascots and not if the other’s city’s NBA franchise is playing at the same time. It is noteworthy however. Boston is scoring 6.1 RPG and batting .286 against RH starters and over the past seven days has averaged 7 RPG and batted 0.350. So, Wheller will have his hands full even if he is in top form tonight
|
05-03-23 |
76ers +8 v. Celtics |
Top |
87-121 |
Loss |
-114 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at –9.5 points. (Repeat from yesterday) For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what. Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours!
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05-02-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 |
Top |
117-112 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 5-Unit best bet on the OVER 228.5 points. Live In-Game Strategy: With a total above 220 points, the volatility of scoring is going to be significant in this game tonight and is expected to provide excellent LIVE game betting opportunities. So, the strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% at 222.5 points and 20% more at 218.5 points. You may not get one or both 20% bets placed at your book, But if that occurs, it also implies that the 60% preflop is winning comfortably. These price levels re calculated specifically using a modified version of the implied volatility metric commonly used in options trading. Again, this is all for another show. Teams in Game-1 of an NBA series that are coming off a road win in Game-7 are 12-6-1 Over for 67% winning bets. if they are the home team in Game-1, then the Over is a perfect 5-0. Betting the Over when the total is between 220 and 229.5 points with a home team that lost the previous meeting to the current foe and is coming off a road win to a divisional foe has earned a 45-19-4 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2017, which is the year scoring in the NBA began to increase significantly.
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05-02-23 |
Heat v. Knicks -6 |
Top |
105-111 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Miami Heat vs NY Knicks 8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points, currently priced at –6.5 points. For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what. Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. Bet on the Miami Heat and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours!
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04-29-23 |
Devils v. Rangers OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
115 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
New Jersey vs NY Rangers 10-Unit best bet OVER the total of 5.5 goals getting +115 money Betting the Over with a total of 5.5 goals and involving a road team that allowed no more than one goal in their previous two games and facing a foe that has lost their last two games by two or more goals has earned a 33-18 record for 65% winning bets since 2006. If our game takes place in the playoffs, the Over has gone 7-2 for 78% winning bets. Rangers are 18-9 Over in home games and facing a team that is outshooting their foes by 3 or more shots-on-goal in games played over the past two seasons. The Devils are 22-12-2 Over 65% winning bets after having won three of their last four games in games played this season.
|
04-23-23 |
Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 224.5 |
|
108-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
Minnesota vs Denver 8-Unit best bet on the Over currently priced at 225 points Betting on the Over in playoff games with a total of 225 or more points in matchups involving the #1 seed and leading in the playoff series are 25-10 Over for 71% winning bets. From my predictive models, we learn that Denver is 74-9 SU and 59-22-2 for 73% winners when scoring 114 or more points and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. The Wolves are just 14-62 SU and 18-58-2 ATS (22%) when allowing 114 or more points and having the weaker assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons.
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04-23-23 |
Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks |
|
129-121 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
Boston vs Atlanta Game-4 8-Unit Best bet on the Boston Celtics minus the 6 points Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who lost the last time they played this opponent and that opponent scored 100 or more points. The host is coming off a home win in which they scored 120 or more points and has earned an outstanding 34-8 SU 81% record and 29-13 ATS mark for 69% winning bets. This situational betting system has not had a losing season since 2004. If the game is taking place in the playoffs, our favorite is 7-2 ATS.
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04-23-23 |
Cavs v. Knicks -2 |
|
93-102 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
Cleveland vs Knicks 8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points Betting on home teams in the same playoff round that are priced between a 3.5 dog and 3.5 favorite that defeated their foe in the previous game and with that foe shooting a horrid 25% from beyond the arc have gone 24-8 ATS for 75% since 2006. If our host is a favorite from pick-em to –3.5 points has earned an even better 18-4 ATS mark for 82% winners. From my predictive models, we learn that the Cavs are just 1-20 SU and 3-17-1 ATS for 15% when allowing 111 or more points and getting outrebounded by 10 or more boards in games played over the past three seasons. The Knicks are 26-8 SU and 27-7 ATS for 79% winning bets when outrebounding their foes by 10 or more boards and scoring 111 or more points in games played over the past three seasons.
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04-22-23 |
Devils +130 v. Rangers |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
130 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
NJ Devils vs NY Rangers 8-Unit bet bet on the Devils using the money line Betting on road dogs between +100 and +180 on the money line and has sallowed four or ore goals in each fo their past two games and facing a foe that allowed just one goals has produced an exceptinoal 107-116 record, averaging a 142-dog bet, making the dime bettor a profit of $39,000 good for a 14% annual ROI since 2011. If this situation is in a playoff game, the record has been 9-3 on the money line averaging a 144 bet good for a 76% ROI. New Jersey, seeded second in the Metropolitan Division, dropped the first two games to the third-seeded Rangers by identical 5-1 scores on home ice. The Devils are a young team, who owned a 3-0-1 mark against the Rangers in the regular season. They are losing the special teams battle badly and still seeking their first five-on-five goal in this series. In the playoffs, teams that lost their two previous games by 2 or more goals and are now on the road have gone an impressive 33-40 averaging a whopping +149 dog bet making the die bettor a 17,000 profit and a solid 16% ROI over the past 15 playoff seasons.
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04-18-23 |
Cubs v. A's +170 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
Chicago Cubs vs Oakland A’s 8-Unit best bet on the Oakland A’s using the money line currently priced at +150 Betting on home dogs whose bullpen allowed four or more runs in their last game and were out hit by that foe by 10 or more hits has earned an outstanding 44-28 SU record averaging a +150-betting line for a solid 47% ROI since 2015. It has also produced a solid 50-22 on the +1.5-run line for 69% winning bets averaging a –118 wager and a 38% ROI since 2016. So, consider a combination wager consisting of 3 units on the money line and 5-Units on the run line, but I am making this a flat money line bet at +150.
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04-18-23 |
Twins v. Red Sox -105 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
Minnesota vs Boston 8-Unit best bet on the Boston Red Sox using the money line Betting on home teams that has a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.33 or lower for the season and hosting a foe that is scoring 4.25 or fewer runs per game and is coming off two straight games stranding five or fewer runners on base in each game has earned an outstanding 34-5 over the past five seasons and is 3-0 this season and 29-4 over the past three seasons. Bet the Red Sox
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04-18-23 |
Phillies -117 v. White Sox |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
Philadelphia vs CWS 8-Unit best bet on the Phillies using the money line and boxed with Zack Wheeler. Phillies skipper Thomson is 23-7 making 16 units on the money line when his team has lost four or five of their last 6 games. Phillies are 45-25 making 19 units following a game in which the bullpen did not allow an earned run in games played over the past two seasons. Zack Wheller will be on the hill for the Phillies and despite being 0-1 in 3 starts, he has pitched deeper into each of these three starts. In his last start he went 6 innings allowing just one earned run on three hits with three walks and six strikeouts. The CWS will have Lance Lynn on the hill and he is nowhere close to top form sporting a 7.31 ERA and 1.625 WHIP over his three starts and is now facing the strongest hitting team in the NL and perhaps all of baseball in the Phillies.
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04-17-23 |
Nets v. 76ers -10 |
|
84-96 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Nets vs 76ers 8-Unit bets bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at 10. The Nets had a game plan to double-team Joel Embiid and force the other 76ers on the floor to make perimeter shots and they sure came through with a franchise record 21 made 3-pointers. So, now that the Nets went all-in with that game plan and it failed, the alternative to not double-team Embiid could lead to an even worse outcome for the Nets. Over the past five playoff seasons, teams that have won between 45 and 55% of their games during the regular season and are trailing in the series are just 7-30 ATS for 19%. Playing on the home teams in Game-2 of an NBA Round 1 playoff series regardless if they are priced as a dog or favorite has gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Double digit favorites in the playoffs are 23-4 SU and 18-7-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. From my predictive models, we are expecting the 76ers to score 115 or more points and shoot 48% or better from the field. In past home games in which the 76ers met or exceeded those performance measures, has led them to a 45-1 SU record and 34-12 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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04-15-23 |
Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 |
Top |
101-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 44 m |
Show
|
New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15) 10-Unit best bet on the Cavaliers minus the points The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios.
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04-15-23 |
Nets v. 76ers -8 |
Top |
101-121 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 32 m |
Show
|
Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15) 8-Unit best bet on the Sixers minus the points Betting on home teams in the playoffs facing a 6th seed or higher seed that has the lower opponent effective field goal percentage during the regular season are 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets. Also, seeds 1 through 4 in the first two games of a playoff series that have the better season-to-date effective field goal percentage are 72-51-1 ATS for 59% winners since 2017. Moreover, the top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% winners since 2017. The 76ers had the third-highest scoring fourth-quarter scoring differential in the NBA this season. Playoff home favorites that outscored their foes by an average of 1.75 or more PPG in the fourth stanza are 87-58-2 ATS for 60% winners. Overall, the 76ers went 54-28 SU and an impressive 48-34 ATS for 59% winning bets and in home games went 29-12 SU and 25-16 ATS for 61% winning bets this season.
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04-14-23 |
Angels -110 v. Red Sox |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
LA Angels vs Boston Red Sox 8-Unit best bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under with a total of 8.5 or more runs with a team that is averaging four or more walks per game and allowed 3 or fewer runs to each of their last two opponents has yielded a 104-52-3 Under record good for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive models, I am expecting both starters, Patrick Sandoval and Tanner Houck, to complete at least 11 innings and for the teams to combine for no more than two multiple run innings. In past home games, the Red Sox are 53-11 Under for 83% winners when meeting these performance measures and in road games, the Angels are 63-12-5 Under for 84% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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04-14-23 |
Guardians -151 v. Nationals |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
Cleveland vs Washington 8-Unit best bet on Cleveland Guardians on the money line The preferred strategy is to bet 4-Units on the Run Line –1.5 and 4 units on the money line, but if you can also bet all 8-Units on the money line, but given the price, I would suggest cutting back the amount to 7-Units. Betting on road money line favorites of –130 or more in a non-divisional matchup and with the favorite having lost four consecutive times to the current host has earned the road team a highly profitable 55-34 record on the Run Line averaging a +110 wager and producing a 31% ROI. Just one losing record season since 2010.
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04-14-23 |
Bulls +5.5 v. Heat |
Top |
91-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat 8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Bulls plus the points. I lik betting this matchup with a 70% bet preflop on the Bulls plus the current points available. Then during the first half of action only, look to add 15% more at 7.5 and 16% more at 9.5 points. From my predictive models, we are looking for the Bulls to score 111 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers than the Heat. In past games in which the Bulls met or exceeded these performance measures has led to a 17-9 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Miami has been home they are 4-20 ATS for 17% when having more turnovers and allowing 111 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.
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04-11-23 |
Hawks v. Heat -4.5 |
Top |
116-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 4 m |
Show
|
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors 8-Unit best bet on the Bulls plus the 5.5 points Live In-Game Strategy Bet 80% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Bulls preflop, then add 15% more at 8.5 points preflop and then 5% on the money line if the in=game betting line moves to +10 or higher during the first half of action only. Situational Betting System The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs. Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win. Player Prop Best Bet Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds
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04-11-23 |
Marlins v. Phillies -136 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-136 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Miami vs Philadelphia 8-Unit best bet on the Philadelphia Phillies using the money line. Right on queue, the Phillies offense exploded ironically against the reigning NL Cy Young award winner Sandy Alcantara in their 15-3 home win yesterday. The Phillies hav e a pair of aces in Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler and they will pitch the next two games in this three-game series. Also, take a moment and review my article on Rotowire detailing how to be the next few weeks of Phillies action. Situational Betting Angles Betting on home favorites up to and including –155 on the money line in a divisional matchup and not the first game of a series, that are coming off a game priced as a home dog in which they scored at least 5 runs in a single inning and won the game are 43-22 for 66.2% winning bets averaging a –127 wager, making the Dime bettor a profit of $16,125 for a robust 22% ROI. Aaron Nola led the league with a remarkable strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 meaning he recorded more than 8 strikeouts for every free pass he issued on the season. His ERA was 3.25 over 32 starts, but had a 2.58 fielding independent pitching stat. The fact that the FIP is significantly lower than his true ERA reflects an above average of plays, like errors and dropped third strikes, that he had no control over while on the mound. So, he was even better than many of his metrics and I believe he will steadily pitch better over his remaining starts in Aril and start off May in Cy Young-contender form. Bet the Phillies.
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04-06-23 |
Hurricanes -175 v. Predators |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-175 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
Carolina Hurricanes vs Nashville Predators 6-Unit bet on the Hurricanes using the money line, currently –175 This is an 8-Unit graded bet, but because of the higher than usual money line price, I recommend reducing the amount wagered to your 6-unit amount. Betting on winning record road favorites facing a winning record opponent coming off a home win has earned an 84-43 record for 66% winning bets and averaging a –130 bet that has produced a 24% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. 8-UNIT NHL Best Bet Total JR has endured an NHL 2-8 losing streak over his 10 releases and this is the best time to get on board with this proven 28-year veteran. This NHL 8-Uniy graded best bet is backed by a stellar set of situational angles combining for an 84-43 record and 66% winning bets. Get the best bet and the betting system for just $11.00
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04-03-23 |
San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
59-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
NCAA 2023 Championship Best Bet 8-Unit Best bet on San Diego State plus the 7.5 points and do believe you will see 8 and 8.5 potentially prior to the tip off. LIVE Betting Strategy We have reached the final 40 minutes of the NCAA Tournament and two unlikely programs have navigated the March madness maze to reach this distinguished event set to start at 9:20 PM EST at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. The Aztecs know they can come from behind and were down 14 points in the second half to FAU before rallying for the first-ever buzzer beater shot that was scored with the team trailing and not tied. In the third game of the season, Stanford was up 10 points and the Aztecs won by 12. They were down 13 points to Coastal Carolina before winning by six points. They were down 11 to the College of Charleston in the first round of the Tournament before rallying for a 6-point win. So, I like betting 70% preflop at +7.5 points and then adding 15% at 9.5 points and 15% at 11.5 points during the first half of action only. Although unlikely prior to the tournament, these two teams are the two best teams right now in the nation by many measures. They both prefer a slow, grinding, and physically tough style of game with UCONN ranking 252nd nationally averaging 66.7 possessions per game and SDST ranking 254th averaging 65.7 possessions per game. The Aztecs are the best defensive team in the nation overall and have been incredibly consistent at negating the three-point shot from an opponents’ scoring arsenal. For the season they allowed 26.50% 3-point shooting and were suffocating the best in the nation during the tournament. The Aztecs allowed 41% shooting from beyond the arc in their buzzer-beating win over FDU, who is the only team to have had success from beyond the arc. Prior to that Creighton shot a horrid 11.8%, No.1 seed Alabama shot 11.11%, Furman shot 23%, and College of Charlestown shot 20.83% from beyond the arc. Including FAU, only six teams managed to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc against the sensational Aztec perimeter defense this season. The Aztecs held 29 opponent s to 35% or lower 3-point shooting of their 38 games played. Tennessee also matched that defensive feat and both teams ranked number 1 in the nation in this category. UCONN ranked third with 28 opponents under 35% shooting from 3-point territory, but based on SOS rankings was against significantly easier foes. Teams playing in the Finals that have the lower defensive 3-point shooting percentage are 4-1 ATS for 80%. Teams like the Aztecs that three of their five previous opponents led by three or more points are 8-4 ATS for 67% in the Championship game. The Aztecs are 12-1 ATS when facing a foe that makes 8 or more 3-point shot attempts per game this season. 1-UNIT Player Props Darrion Trammell Under 9.5 points Andre Jackson Under 7.5 points Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points
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04-03-23 |
Twins -119 v. Marlins |
Top |
11-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
MLB Minnesota vs Miami 8-Unit best bet on Minnesota using the money line Betting on teams fresh off a three-game series sweep over a divisional rival and now playing an opponent from the other league (inter-league) has gone 36-10 for 78% winning bets over the past five seasons. It is on a 14-3 run over the past three seasons.
|
04-02-23 |
76ers +5.5 v. Bucks |
Top |
104-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
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76ers vs Bucks 10-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points LIVE Betting Strategy If you will be watching this game, then the following strategy is recommended. Place 50% of your 10-Unit bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at Sixers plus 7.5 points and 25% more at Sixers plus 10.5 points. Betting on winning record underdogs that are facing a winning record host that is fresh off a 20 or more-point loss priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 18-10 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons and a 40-22 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. In Thursday's 41-point home loss, Giannis Antetokounmpo posted a -32 plus-minus, his worst in any game of his career. Prior to this game, Antetokounmpo posted a -30 or worse plus-minus twice with a -31 against the Indiana Pacers on December 12, 2018, and a -31 against the LA Clippers March 29, 2021. The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons. From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons.
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04-01-23 |
Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
59-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
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Miami (FLA) vs UCONN 10-Unit best bet on Miami plus the 5.5 points. Miami (29-7) will face UConn (29-8) in the second national semifinal on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. It has been a banner season for the Hurricanes, who entered the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament as the top seed for the second time in program history. Miami has been led by senior guard Isaiah Wong, third-year sophomore forward NorchadOmier and fifth-year senior transfer guard Jordan Miller. Miller produced 27 points on perfect shooting to lead the Hurricanes to the 88-81 victory over the Longhorns on Sunday. The Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area has always been a perennial hot bed for football and baseball and may of their players had terrific careers in the pros. Both programs are making their first appearance in the Final Four, so add basketball as the third sport. Live Betting Strategy: This is a game that is going to a much faster pace than the first semifinal game. Betting 70% preflop on Miami at +5.5 and then add 30% more at +9.5 points during the first half of action. There will be scoring streaks by both teams. Overall, I do like Miami to pull off the uspet win here and move on the Finals – against FAU if everything works out there for us too. As a precursor I believe the line will be very close to pick-em if Miami and FAU meet in the Finals. Head coach Hurley is just 9-18 ATS in games away from the UCONN campus after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Miami head coach Larranaga is 28-14 ATS away from home after scoring 80 or more points in two consecutive games. Player Prop Bets: 1-UNIT MAX each recommended San Diego State’s Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points Miami’s Nigel Pack Over 13.5 points –110 Miami’s NorchardOmier Over 22.5 points, assists, rebounds –110 UCONN’s Andre Jackson Under 5.5 assists –110 UCONN’s Alex Karaban Under 4.5 rebounds +100
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04-01-23 |
Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. San Diego State |
Top |
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
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Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State 8-Unit best bet on Florida Atlantic plus the points. 3-Unit Parlay on FAU and Miami (FLA) money lines 5-Unit Best bet OVER the posted total This matchup is the first game of the two NCAA Tournament semifinals taking place at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. First, I do not see the backdrops and backgrounds hindering shooting performances in either of these semifinals as we had seen in recent games taking place in Indianapolis, for instance. The first national semifinal of the Final Four at NRG Stadium in Houston on Saturday will feature a pair of first-time participants: Florida Atlantic (35-3) and San Diego State (31-6). And while the Owls and Aztecs made surprising runs to Houston, their season-long success belies the notion that their appearances are an aberration. The Owls are currently riding an 11-game winning streak that isn't even their longest of this season. FAU had its 20-game win streak snapped by an 86-77 road loss to UAB on Feb. 2. To many, the Owls might seem to be a bunch of unknowns. However, FAU leads the nation in victories and is ranked 15th in efficiency ratings. The Owls are no Cinderella and from a SDST perspective more akin to that evil stepsister. FAU uses their bench better than any other program and no player is averaging more than 30 minutes per game. At 13.1 points per game, Martin is one of three Owls averaging double figures in points with five-plus rebounds alongside fellow sophomores Johnell Davis and Vladislav Goldin. FAU has thrived via collective effort, and white-knuckle tournament victories over Memphis, Fairleigh Dickinson, Tennessee and Kansas State validated the Owls' egalitarian approach to success. FAU is 14-3 when facing defensive teams averaging 14 forced turnovers PPG this season and 25-11 ATS when facing teams that are called for 17 or more fouls per game in games played over the past two seasons. FAU is 23-9 after covering the spread in two of their last three games spanning the past three seasons. Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years.
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04-01-23 |
Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State OVER 131.5 |
Top |
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
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Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years.
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03-29-23 |
Wolves v. Suns -4.5 |
Top |
100-107 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
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NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns 10-Unit best bet on the Phoenix Suns –5.5 points. 5-Unit bet Over the posted total, currently priced at 235 points. An alternative wager is to bet 70% of your 5-unit amount at the current price preflop and then look to add 30% more at 226.5 points during the first half only. The higher the total, the greater the potential scoring volatility can be in an NBA game. I do not recommend a parlay unless you do it with pizza money amounts. The Suns are 19-6 ATS for 76% winning bets coming off a game shooting less than 43% from the field and facing a foe that is coming off a sharp shooting game hitting more than 50% from the field over the past five seasons. Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets.
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03-28-23 |
Magic v. Grizzlies -7 |
Top |
108-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
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Magic vs Grizzlies 8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies minus the 7 points Betting on home teams that are on a five or more-game win streak and defeated the current opponent in their previous same-season meeting, has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season and facing a foe that has won betw3een 40 and 50% of their games on the season has earned a solid 11-5 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons and 38-17-3 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1996. From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018.
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03-28-23 |
Heat +3.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
92-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
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Heat vs Raptors 8-Unit best bet on the Miami Heat plus the 3.5 points Betting on road teams that are coming off a double-digit home loss and lost to the current foe in their previous same-season meeting have gone a solid 162-100-3 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and 107-64-2 ATS over their past five seasons. This set of parameters has produced profits for nine consecutive seasons. From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons.
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03-28-23 |
Celtics -11.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
111-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
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Celtics vs Wizards 8-Unit bet on the Celtics minus the 11.5 points Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a solid 79-42-2 ATS for 65.3 % winning bets since 2015. If the game is taking place after the all-star break the record has gone 34-18 ATS for 65.4% winning bets and if after the break and priced as double-digit favorites 7-3 ATS for 70% winning bets. From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.
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03-27-23 |
Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 226.5 |
Top |
124-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
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New Orleans vs Portland 8-Unit Bet OVER the posted total currently at 226.5 points Betting the OVER with a total between 220 and 229.5 points with one of the teams, New Orleans, having led at the half by five or more points at the half in each of their past three games and facing a foe that has allowed 115 or more points in each of their past two games has produced a 48=25=3 Over record good for 65.8% winning bets. If the team has won each of their past three games that they led at the half by five or more points, the OVER improves to 36-15 OVER for 71% winning bets.
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03-27-23 |
Rockets +14.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
115-137 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
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Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks 8-Unit bet on the Rockets plus the 12.5 points Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets.
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03-27-23 |
Mavs +1.5 v. Pacers |
Top |
127-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
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Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers 8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks +1 point or the money line whichever is cheaper for you. Betting on teams that are coming off back-to-back losses priced as the favorite and facing a foe that that lost to in the previous same-season meeting, priced between the 3’s and with a total between 225 and 235 points have gone 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2017.
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03-25-23 |
Connecticut v. Gonzaga OVER 153 |
Top |
82-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
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UCONN vs Gonzaga Elite-8 Round Bet the OVER 153 points currently. My strategy will be to bet 75% preflop OVER the total. As you may have seen on this Tweet and heard on the ERSPN Syracuse shows and Sports Map Radio shows, games that have played UNDER the first half total by 10 or more points have gone a perfect 4-0 OVER since last Saturday alone using the LIVE in game bet that can be executed during the half time break. So, if this first half does play Under by 10 or more points, add the 25% remaining bet amount on the OVER. Plus, this one, from the Elite 8 on through the Championship game, DOGS that led at the half went on to a 17-6-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets. So, if Gonzaga is leading at the half, look to get a pizza money size bet on the books at pick-em during the first 7 minutes of the second half only. Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career. Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State 8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.
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03-25-23 |
Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State OVER 143.5 |
|
79-76 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
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Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State 8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.
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03-24-23 |
Bulls -2 v. Blazers |
Top |
124-96 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
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Chicago vs Portland 8-Unit best bet on the Bulls minus 2 points Betting on losing record favorites after going under the total by 30 or more points in total spanning their last three games, facing a losing record foe, and with the game occurring in the second half of the season has earned a 62-30-1 ASTS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our losing record favorite is on the road, the record goes to 23-7-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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03-24-23 |
Suns +3.5 v. Kings |
Top |
127-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
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Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings 8-Unit best bet on the Suns plus 4.5 points Betting on teams that have failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, has a winning record and taking on a winning record opponent has produced a 189-125-6 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total is 235 or more points, our team improves to 15-6 ATS for 75% winning bets.
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03-24-23 |
Bucks -9 v. Jazz |
Top |
144-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
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Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz 8-Unit best bet on the Bucks minus the 9 points Betting on road favorites coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has produced a 92-28 SU record and 76-42-2 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets since 2015. If the foe has scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, the record improves to 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the total is priced at 230 or more points, our favorites have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets.
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03-24-23 |
Miami-FL v. Houston UNDER 139 |
Top |
89-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
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Miami (Fla) vs Houston 8-Unit best bet on the Under 138 points. Betting the Under in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament with a dog 3 or more points being a member of a Major Conference (B10, B12, SEC, ACC, PAC-12, BEAST) and the favorite not from the Major Conferences has seen the Under go 9-0 Under. Miami is 11-3 Under in road games facing a foe that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game in games played this season. Houston is 21-11 Under when facing a non-conference foe in games played over the past two seasons. Miami head coach Larranaga is 47-26 Under after having won four of the last five games for his career.
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03-24-23 |
San Diego State v. Alabama OVER 137.5 |
Top |
71-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
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San Diego State vs Alabama 8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total of 137 points Betting the Over in the NCAA Tournament with a total between 130 and 139.5 points, one of the teams (Alabama) has won 15 or more of their last 20 games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has earned a highly profitable 14-8 Over good for 64% winning bets. If the line for the game is at least a –2 favorite, the record is 8-2 Over for 80% winners. Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season.
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03-22-23 |
Blazers +4.5 v. Jazz |
|
127-115 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
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Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz 8-Unit best bet on the Trail Blazers plus the 5 points Check out this amazing betting algorithm that has earned a highly profitable 33-6 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. This algorithm has gone 4-1 ATS this season, 17-2 ATS in 2021-22 season, 7-2 ATS in the 2020-21 season, 1-0 ATS in the 2019-20 season, and 4-1 ATS in the 2018-19 season. One of the main reasons this system has done so well relates directly to the steady increase in NBA scoring over the past five seasons.
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03-22-23 |
76ers -3.5 v. Bulls |
|
116-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
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Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently at 3.5 points. Betting on road favorites that lost the previous meeting against the current opponent and are coming off a hoe loss, playing with one day of rest exact has earned a 45-24 ATS record for 65.2% winning bets since 2015. If the previous loss is the same opponent (home-away) then the record soars to 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015. If the game takes place after the all-star break, the record is 18-7 ATS for 72% winning bets. If our bet is a favorite of no more than 6.5 points they have gone 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2015. The Bulls are just 4-13-1 ATS when facing a top-rated opponent that has won between 60 and 80% of their games with the game taking place in the second half of the season.
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03-22-23 |
Rockets +13 v. Grizzlies |
|
125-130 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies 8-Unit best bet on the Rockets plus the 13.5 points Betting on road teams that lost their last meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have earned a 106-64-2 ATS record good for 62.4% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our game is taking place after the all-star break the record improves to 48-24-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2018. If our dog has won 30% or fewer of their games on the season, the record moves higher to 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets
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03-22-23 |
Spurs v. Bucks -17.5 |
Top |
94-130 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
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San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks 8-Unit best bet on the Bucks –17.5 points Betting on home favorites playing on two or more days of rest, coming off a win in which 40% or more of their points came from made 3-pointers, and hosting a foe that is playing on back-to-back nights has earned a 24-11 ATS record good for 69% winning bets. If the game occurs after the all-star break the record soars to 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.
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03-22-23 |
Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
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NHL: Pittsburgh vs Colorado 8-Unit best bet Under the posted total of 6.5 goals Betting the Under with a home team that is on a five game win streak, a total between 6 or 7 goals, and the game being played in March has earned a near- perfect 7-1-1 Under record good for 88% winning bets and a 70% ROI over the past five seasons. Bet the Under with a home team that is revenging a loss to the current opponent in which they scored just one goal and coming off a win of 3 or more goals has earned a 94-55 record, averaging a –116 wager and producing a 21% ROO over th4e past give seasons. If our home team won that previous blowout win at home, the record improves to 62-32 averaging a –124 favorite and producing a 28% ROI over the past five seasons.
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03-22-23 |
Nuggets -6.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
118-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards 8-Unit best bet on the Nuggets minus 7 points. Bettig on favorites between 3.5 and 7.5 points, has seen their last three games play Under by a combined total of 30 or more points, and the game is taking place in the second half of the season has earned a 125-73-6 ATS record for 63% wining bets over the past five seasons. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is 225 or more points and our team is playing on at least one day of rest, the record becomes quite impressive at 48-23-1 ATS for 68% winning bets.
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03-21-23 |
Pistons +14 v. Hawks |
Top |
107-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
Tuesday March 21, 2023 Pistons vs Hawks 8-Unit best bet on Pistons plus the points, currently 12.5 Betting on road teams, who lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have gone 73-101 SU (42%) and 108-64-2 ATS (63%) since 2018 (last five seasons). If the game is taking place after the all-star break, the record improves to 48-23-1 for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The P-Value for this set of parameters is outstanding at 0.000062. The closer the P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation the listed parameters relate to ATS wins.
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03-21-23 |
Cavs v. Nets OVER 218.5 |
Top |
115-109 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
Cleveland vs Brooklyn 8-Unit bet on the OVERR, currently priced at 218.5 points Bet OVER the total in games played in March and when the total is between 215 and 225 points, with a home team priced as 7 or fewer point underdog, who has gone Under the total of 30 or more points spanning their last three games has earned a 16-6 Over mark for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Keep in mind that NBA scoring started increasing in a linear trend back in 2017, so there are few totals this high prior to 2017. Brooklyn is 23-8 Over when the total has been between 210 and 219.5 points in games played over the past two seasons.
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03-21-23 |
Maple Leafs v. Islanders +100 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
Toronto Maple Leafs vs NY Islanders 8-Unit bet on the Islanders using the money line, currently priced at +115 Betting on home winning record dogs between 120 and 180 facing a foe coming off a road win over a divisional rival and has won at least 60% of their games has earned a 28-27 record, averaging a 138-money line bet and producing an exceptional 22% ROI since the 2015 season. If our home dog is playing on 1 or 2 days of rest the record soars to 22-18, averaging a 137-dog bet and resulting in a highly profitable 33% ROI since 2015.
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03-21-23 |
Wizards -105 v. Magic |
Top |
112-122 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
Washington vs Orlando 8-Unit bet on the Washington Wizards The Wizards are 33-14 ATS in road games following back-to-back games in which they trailed by double digits at the half. The Magic are just 5-14 ATS in home games when coming off a road game in which they shot 42% or worse from the field over the past five seasons. Wizards are 14-7 ATS in road games after covering the spread in three or fewer of their last 10 games and allowed 50% or higher shooting in their previous game spanning the past five seasons.
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03-21-23 |
Lightning -1.5 v. Canadiens |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Tuesday, March 21, 2023 Tampa Bay vs Montreal 8-Unit best bet on Tampa Bay using the puck line, currently priced at TB is 35-6 making 20 units using the puck line when facing a struggling team that is outscored by their foes by at least 0.5 goals per game in games played over the past two seasons. Montreal is 0-8 on the puck line losing 10 units following two consecutive games in which 8 or more goals were scored in each one spanning the past three seasons. Montreal is 1-10 on the puck line losing 14 units in home games after returning from a 3 or more-game road trip spanning the past two seasons.
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03-21-23 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers -115 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Carolia vs NY Rangers 8-Unit bet on the Rangers using the money line, currently priced at +100 Betting against favorites coming off a road win over a divisional foe and has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season and facing a host that has a winning record has produced a 61-68 record, but has averaged a +130 dog bet and resultig in an outstanding 21% ROI in games played since 2015.
|
03-21-23 |
North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 122.5 |
Top |
65-59 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
North Texas vs Oklahoma State 8-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at Betting the OVER when the total is 127.5 or lower involving as matchup of excellent defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or lower on the season, after game number 17, and a matchup of solid rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by 3 to 6 boards PG on the season has earned a 49-25-2 Over for 67% winning bets. North Texas is 13-5 OVER when facing a team that is averaging at least 21 three-point shots per game. OKSTATE is 20-6 ATS when having won three of their last four games spanning the past three seasons and 8-1 ATS having won four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.
|
03-19-23 |
TCU +4.5 v. Gonzaga |
Top |
81-84 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
TCU vs Gonzaga 8-Unit best bet on TCU plus the 4.5 points Here again, you can opt to bet 70% preflop plus the points and then look to add 30% money line at any price of +300 or better during the first half only. TCU has shot poorly recently and have played Under their team total by more than 20 points over their last 5 games. They are facing a team in Gonzaga that has struggled defensively this season and has also played Over their team totals by 15 points over their last five games. In the NCAA Tournament, teams that have played Under their team total by 20 or more points over their last five games and facing a foe that has played Over their team total by 15 or more points has seen the team, in this case, TCU, go 29-12 SU and 27-13-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If it is a Round of 32 matchup, our team has gone 10-4 ATS for 71% winners and 3-0 ATS if priced as the underdog. Gonzaga ranks 357th of the 363 teams in consistency ratings and this makes Gonzaga extremely vulnerable to a significant regression after shooting 50% from the field in each of their past two games. We have a team in TCU that ranks 11th in second chance scoring in the nation matched up against Gonzaga, who ranks 105th nationally in this category defensively. From the predictive model, TCU is 40-12 ATS for 77% winners when getting 10 or more offensive rebounds and shooting at least 48% from the field and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners if priced as a dog of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
03-19-23 |
Miami-FL v. Indiana -1.5 |
Top |
85-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
Indiana vs Miami (FLA) 8-Unit bet on Indiana using the money line Miami head coach Larranaga is just 12-25 ATS when playing their second road game in three days. From the predictive model, Indiana is 19-2 SU (91%) and 15-4-1 ATS in games scoring 75 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons. Miami is 14-17 SU and 11-19-1 ATS for 37% when allowing 75 or more points and having the same or more turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.
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03-19-23 |
Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic -15.5 |
Top |
70-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
Florida Atlantic vs FDU 8-Unit best bet on FAU minus 15.5 points 4-Unit bet UNDER the total currently at 149 points. I suggest not betting this total preflop and instead look to get 50% of your 4-Unit amount at 154.5 points and another 25% at 147.5 points and the remaining 25% at 159.5 points during the first half of action only. The probability is quite high that the 154.5 price tag will be made available during the first half of the action given FAU’s outstanding offense that ranks 25th nationally averaging 78 PPG and 22nd nationally with a 55% effective field goal percentage. FAU is the best nationally sporting a 0.635 assist-to-turnover defensive ratio, but FDU does their scoring without significant ball movement as they rank 150th nationally with a 0.515 assist-to-field goal made ratio. I would stay away from any parlay bet. In the NCAA Tournament, a matchup of teams that has have beaten the spread by 55 or more points over their last 10 games have gone 18-8 ATS for 69% winning bets and 16-8-2 Under for 67% winning bets.
|
03-19-23 |
St. Mary's +4.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
55-70 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
St. Mary’s vs UCONN 8-Unit Best Bet on ST. Mary’s +3.5 points STM is 15-7 ATS when facing teams that are attempting 21 or more 3-point shots per game. STM is 22-12-1 ATS in games with a posted total of 129.5 or fewer points in games played over the past three seasons. UCONN head coach Hurley is just 7-19 ATS away from home and has won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. From the predictive model, STM is 28-2 SU and 22-6 ATS in games in which they scored 72 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.
|
03-19-23 |
Pittsburgh v. Xavier OVER 147.5 |
Top |
73-84 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh vs Xavier 8-Unit bets bet over the total currently priced at 147.5 points Xavier is 18-9 Over when facing a team that has a solid defense allowing 42 or less opponent shooting in games played over the past two seasons. Xavier is 12-3 OVER following a game in which they did not cover the spread. Pittsburgh is 12-3 OVER following four consecutive games in which they forced 14 or fewer opponents in each game; 13-4 Over following an upset win in games played over the past three seasons. The predictive model projects that both teams will score at least 80 points each making this a terrific betting opportunity. If the game starts out slowly and the total drops to a price level between 140 and 144 points during the first half add a bit more to your bet with a sprinkle. An alternative is to bet 75% preflop and then add 25% at 145 or better during the first half of action. Or wait for the first half to be completed and if the first half plays Under then add to the Over bet at that point. There is a significant trend of games that play Under in the first half then play Over full game based on the closing total in the NCAA Tournament. Xavier is 32-5-1 OVER for 87% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points over the past three seasons. Pittsburgh is 14-3 OVER for 82% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points since 2020.
|
03-18-23 |
Maryland +9 v. Alabama |
Top |
51-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
Maryland vs Alabama 8-Unit bet on Maryland plus the 8.5 points, which could move to 9 points by the time I am done writing this research. From the predictive model, Maryland is 18-4 ATS for 82% winning bets when shooting at least 44% from the field, getting 38 or more rebounds and committing 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons. In the NCAA Tournament any team that meets or exceeds these performance measures has earned a 62-13-2 ATS record good for 83% winning bets over the past 15 tournaments and 20-4 ATS for 83% winners in the last three Tournaments.
|
03-18-23 |
Northwestern v. UCLA -7 |
|
63-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
Auburn vs Houston 8-Unit Bet on Auburn plus 5.5 points and sprinkle the money line if at any point Auburn is trailing by double-digits during the first half of action. Auburn is a solid 25-11 ATS when facing a foe that averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played over the past two seasons and 20-10 ATS when facing a solid shooting foe making 45% or more of their shots on the season over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, Auburn is 59-25-4 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 70 or more points and having the better more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games splayed over the past five seasons. Northwestern vs UCLA 8-Unit bet OVER the posted total currently priced at 126.5 points. Betting over in a neutral court setting with a total between 120 and 129.5 points, with one of the teams, Northwestern coming off two consecutive games committing 11 or fewer turnovers and facing a foe that has committed 11 or fewer turnovers in three consecutive games has earned a highly profitable 70-39-4 Over record good for 64% winning bets. UCLA shot 54% from the field and allowed 37% shooting in their 86-53 win over UNC-Ashville. Teams that had a FG% differential of 15% or more in their last NCAA Tournament game have seen the OVER go 15-8-1 ATS for 65% winning bets. From the predictive model, UCLA is 11-5 Over the total when getting 42 or more rebounds, shooting 47% or better form the field, and committing 11 or fewer turnovers.
|
03-18-23 |
Penn State +5.5 v. Texas |
|
66-71 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
03-18-23 |
Auburn +5.5 v. Houston |
|
64-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
Auburn vs Houston 8-Unit Bet on Auburn plus 5.5 points and sprinkle the money line if at any point Auburn is trailing by double-digits during the first half of action. Auburn is a solid 25-11 ATS when facing a foe that averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played over the past two seasons and 20-10 ATS when facing a solid shooting foe making 45% or more of their shots on the season over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, Auburn is 59-25-4 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 70 or more points and having the better more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games splayed over the past five seasons.
|
03-18-23 |
Arkansas +4.5 v. Kansas |
|
72-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
Arkansas vs Kansas 8-Unit bet on Penn Arkansas plus the points, currently at 3.5 points. I suggest sprinkling the money line if Arkansas gets down double-digits in the first half of action. First, doesn’t this line look a bit curious with a No.1 seed Kansas squad favored by just 3.4 points against an Arkansas squad sporting a 21-13 overall record? Dogs of 5 or fewer points facing the No.1 seed in the Region from the Round of 32 on out to the Final Four have earned a 27-14 ATS record for 67% winning bets. Dogs of 2.5 to 7.5 points playing in the Round of 32, has achieved an excellent free throwsattempted to field goals attempted of at least .35 and facing a foe that has won at least three more games for the season has gone 12-5-1 ATS for 71% winning bets. Arkansas is 16-7 ATS following a double-digit win after game number 20 of the regular season over the past five seasons and if a dog, 6-1 ATS. From the predictive model, Arkansas is 17-4 ATS for 81% winning bets over the past five seasons when shooting 47% or better from the field and getting 34 to 39 rebounds.
|
03-18-23 |
Duke v. Tennessee +3.5 |
|
52-65 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
Duke vs Tennessee 8-Unit best bet on Tennessee plus the points Duke ranks 3rd in excessive performance measures of the remaining teams in the Tournament and prone to regression on both ends of the court. Tennessee escaped in their opening round game defeating LA-Lafayette 58-55 as 11.5-point favorites. They did a terrible job handling the ball with 18 turnovers, but dogs in the NCAA Tournament that committed 18 or more turnovers in their previous win are 16-11 ATS for 59% winners. Betting on neutral dogs of 3.5 to 6. points in a matchup between Major Conference teams has earned a solid 36-24 ATS record good for 60% winning bets. If our dog has won just five or fewer games over their last 10 games, they have gone on to earn a 69% ATS record 22-10 ATS. From the predictive model, Duke is just 25-70-1 ATS for 26% when scoring 75 or fewer points and shooting no better than 45% from the field over the past 10 seasons. Plus, 6-18 ATS (33%) over the past three seasons priced as the favorite and scoring 75 or fewer points and shooting 45% or worse from the field.
|
03-17-23 |
Kent State v. Indiana -4.5 |
Top |
60-71 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
Kent State vs Indiana 8-Unit best bet on Indiana minus the 4.5 points Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing a foe that is seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA Tournament and is on a four or more-game win streak has earned a 39-18 ATS record for 68.4% winning bets over the past 15 NCAA Tournaments. If our team has recorded a season-to-date offensive efficiency rating of between 95 and 112 points per 100 possessions, they record improves to 33-12-1 ATS for 73% winners. If we dive deeper into the database and isolate teams that have posted a pace of at least 68, the record soars to 26-9-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. Kent State is 6-16 ATS in NCAA Tournament games over the past 25 events. From the predictive analytics, we expect Indiana to make 48% of all shots and make at least 38% from beyond the arc. Indiana is 27-12 ATS (69%) when shooting at least 48% from the field in all games played over the past three seasons. Indiana is 16-6 ATS (73%) last 3 seasons in games in which they made at least 48% fo their shots and at least 38% from beyond the arc. Kent State is 2-8 ATS last three seasons allowing 48% shooting and 38% shooting from beyond the arc.
|
03-17-23 |
Montana State v. Kansas State -7.5 |
Top |
65-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
Kansas State vs Montana State 8-Unit Best bet on Kansas State minus the 7.5/8 points and is good up to 9.5 points. Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the Round of 64 facing a foe that is seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA Tournament and is on a four or more-game win streak has earned a 24-13-1 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the past 15 NCAA Tournaments. If our game is one of the more popular games and betting volume for spread and money line bets is 11,000 or more in total, then our favorite soars to 35-11 for 76% ATS winners. So, far there have been 56,000 bets made on this matchup, Montana State is on an 8-game win streak and seeded 14. K-State is 10-2 ATS when facing a foe that has won between 60 and 80% of their games after the 15th game in each of the past two seasons. They are also 7-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more games spanning the past two seasons. Teams that are on a two or more-game losing streak entering the NCAA Tournament and priced as favorites of 6 or more points are a solid 6-1 ATS and 7-0 SU.
|
03-17-23 |
Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis |
Top |
66-65 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
Florida Atlantic vs Memphis Friday, March 17, 2023 Round 1 of the NCAA Tournament Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH 8-Unit Best Bet on Florida Atlantic No matter what conference a team resides in, a season winning 30 or more games is always impressive and Florida Atlantic posted a 31-3 SU mark and 21-10-1 ATS mark with two games played having no posted betting lines. Over the past 10 NCAA Tournaments dogs that have won 30 or more games are 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS so Memphis may be caught basking in their glory of upsetting No.1 ranked Houston in their previous game. FAU is 7-1 ATS after two straight games allowing 65 or fewer points. Memphis is 0-6 ATS after covering the spread I two or more straight games this season. Memphis is 4-7-1 ATS following an excellent game in which they shot 50% from the field and allowed 33% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons. Memphis head coach Hardaway is a money-burning 9-20 ATS following three games in which this team scored 75 or more points. From the predictive model, we are looking for FAU to score 75 or more points and have 13 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which they have met these performance measures has led them to an amazing 15-7 SU and 17-4-1 ATS mark for 81% winning bets since the 2015 season. Last, consider the in-game betting strategy that I plan to use by placing 60% preflop on FAU plus the points and then adding 30% at FAU +5.5 and 10% at +350 using the money line.
|
03-17-23 |
Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky |
Top |
53-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
Providence vs Kentucky 8-Unit bet on Providence plus 4 points. Kentucky is 1-8 ATS when facing strong shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots this season. Providence is 21-10 ATS when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 4 or more PPG in games played over the past two seasons. Providence head coach Cooley is 12-4 ATS following three consecutive losses to conference foes. From the predictive model, Providence is 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS when scoring 82 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.
|
03-17-23 |
Iona v. Connecticut -9 |
|
63-87 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
Iona vs UCONN 8-Unit Bet on UCONN minus the points, currently at 9 and is good up to 11 points. Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing a foe that is seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA Tournament and is on a four or more-game win streak has earned a 39-18 ATS record for 68.4% winning bets over the past 15 NCAA Tournaments. If our favorite has recorded a defensive efficiency rating between 84 and 100, the record improves to 29-11-1 ATS for 73% winners. UCONN has a solid defensive efficiency rating of 93.2 for the season. Iona is on a 14-game win streak. The predictive analytics show us that UCONN is 20-5 ATS for 80% winners when scoring 75 or more points and out rebounding their foes by double digits over the past three seasons.
|
03-15-23 |
Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves |
Top |
104-102 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
Celtics vs Timberwolves 10-UNIT MAX Bet on the Celtics minus the points, currently at –5 points. Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by at least 3 PPG and facing a host that was leading by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game has earned a highly profitable 45-15 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2004. This betting system is one of the best ones you will ever find as the parameters have a very strong P-Value (JR-Value) of .000067 and the close a P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation of the game-dependent parameters becomes. From the predictive model, the Celtics are 56-10 SU and 51-15 ATS when scoring 117 or more-points and making 80% or more of their shots from the charity stripe in games played over the past three seasons.
|
03-12-23 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama -4.5 |
Top |
63-82 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M vs Alabama SEC Championship Game 8-Unit Bet on Alabama minus the points and is good up to 9.5, although it won’t get there by game time. Teams that are favored in conference tournaments that lost two same-season games to the foe, and with that foe shooting higher percentage over their last three games than their season-to-date shooting average and with both teams play on back-to-back days has seen them go 24-8 SU and 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets. Alabama is on a 14-4-1 ATS streak when coming off a double-digit win and 7-1 ATS when coming off back-to-back double-digit wins this season.
|
03-12-23 |
Princeton v. Yale -3 |
Top |
74-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
Princeton vs Yale 8-Unit bet on Yale –3 points 8-Unit Bet UNDER 140 points Interesting to note that Yale is the home team despite playing on Princeton’s home court at Jadwin Gymnasium in Princeton, NJ. This does make the line a bit cheaper and adds value to backing Yale in this spot to win and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. This season, the Ancient Eight saw Princeton and Yale tie for the regular season Championship with Princeton getting to host their version of the Final Four. To their credit they get the IVY League Tournament done in just 2 days on a weekend. I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game. Princeton lost at Yale 87-65 back on January 28 as 3-point dogs and lost at home in overtime 93-83 as 1.5-point favorites. Dogs of 3.5 or fewer points playing in a conference tournament, having lost two same season games to the foe, who has covered the spread in at least three consecutive games have seen the Under go 20-7 for 74% winners. Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%.
|
03-12-23 |
Princeton v. Yale UNDER 140.5 |
Top |
74-65 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
Princeton vs Yale 8-Unit bet on Yale –3 points 8-Unit Bet UNDER 140 points Interesting to note that Yale is the home team despite playing on Princeton’s home court at Jadwin Gymnasium in Princeton, NJ. This does make the line a bit cheaper and adds value to backing Yale in this spot to win and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. This season, the Ancient Eight saw Princeton and Yale tie for the regular season Championship with Princeton getting to host their version of the Final Four. To their credit they get the IVY League Tournament done in just 2 days on a weekend. I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game. Princeton lost at Yale 87-65 back on January 28 as 3-point dogs and lost at home in overtime 93-83 as 1.5-point favorites. Dogs of 3.5 or fewer points playing in a conference tournament, having lost two same season games to the foe, who has covered the spread in at least three consecutive games have seen the Under go 20-7 for 74% winners. Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%.
|
03-11-23 |
Xavier +2.5 v. Marquette |
Top |
51-65 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
Xavier vs Marquette 8-Unit best bet on Xavier plus the two points Betting on any team priced between the threes and they scored 75 or more points in each of the last two games and are facing an opponent coming off two consecutive wins by 6 or fewer points has earned an outstanding 43-22-1 against the spread for 66.2% winning bets over the last five seasons. If in a conference tournament, these teams are 6-1 SUATS for 86% over the past 5 seasons. This will be the first time for Xavier to return to the NCAA Tournament and they will be attractively priced as a bet to make the Elite-8. So, keep that in mind.
|
03-11-23 |
Texas +2.5 v. Kansas |
Top |
76-56 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
Texas vs Kansas 8-Unit bet on the Texas Longhorns plus 1.5 points and if the line goes to +1 or pick, then take the cheaper price3 between the money line and the +1 spread. Big 12 Tournament Championship Game at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO From the predictive model we learn that Texas is a solid 10-1 SUATS when making at least 80% of their free throw shots and scoring 75 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. Kansas is just 3-11 SU and 2-12 ATS when allowing 75 or more points and the foe made at least 80% of their free throws in games played over the past three seasons.
|
03-11-23 |
Fordham +6.5 v. Dayton |
Top |
68-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
Fordham vs Dayton 8-Unit best bet on the Fordham Rams plus the 6.5 points From the predictive model, we expect Fordham to score 65 or more points and have 11 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which Fordham met or exceeded these performance measures has led them to an outstanding 17-4 straight up record for 81% wins and 19-2 against the spread for 91% winning bets over the past three seasons. This game will start approximately 30 minutes after the conclusion of the first semifinal game between VCU and Saint Louis. Quisenberry’s 22 points led Fordham past LaSalle in their last game. He also contributed six rebounds for the Rams (25-7). Khalid Moore scored 20 points while shooting 6 for 14 (2 for 5 from 3-point range) and 6 of 8 from the free throw line, and added 11 rebounds. Will Richardson was 4 of 7 shooting (2 for 4 from distance) to finish with 10 points. One of the keys to fornham winning this game is to force the tempo to be faster which is something that Dayton does not do well in. Date and ranked 345th of 363 Division One basketball programs in pace of play averaging just 64.31 possessions per game. Fordham ranks 42nd in the nation averaging 70.6 possessions per game. Fordham is 25-1 and 20-5-1 against the spread for 80% winning bets when scoring 65 or more points in games played this season. Slicing the data a bit further we find that Fordham is a perfect 6-0 straight up and against the spread when scoring between 65 and 69 points in games played this season.
|
03-11-23 |
Cornell v. Yale UNDER 149.5 |
Top |
60-80 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
Cornell vs Yale 8-Unit best bet Under the posted total, currently priced at 149 points This game start at 11:00 AM EST, Saturday Betting the Under in a conference tournament game with a dog of not more than 9.5 points that has failed to cover the spread or pushed in 8 or more of their last 10 games and facing a foe that has covered the spread or pushed in 8 or more of their last 10 games has gone a perfect 7-0 UNDER. All, but one of these Under wins did not win by double digits. So, if this game starts out faster than expected and the in-game total is approaching 156 or kore, then add a sprinkle to the preflop bet. Another option is to bet 60% preflop at 149 points and add 20% more at 155.5 and 20% more at 157.5 points.
|
03-10-23 |
Penn State +2 v. Northwestern |
Top |
67-65 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
Penn State vs Northwestern 8-Unit best bet on Penn State plus the 1.5 points. The following situational algorithm has earned a 15-8 SU record and 20-3 ATS record for 87% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and requires a bet on neutral court teams, PSU, that defeated the current opponent as an underdog and with that foe coming off a double digit road win. If our team is the dog, the record goes to an incredible 15-1 ATS for 94% winning bets.
|
03-10-23 |
UAB +1.5 v. North Texas |
Top |
76-69 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
North Texas vs UAB 8-Unit best bet on UAB money line or any dog line of +1.5 or more. Betting on teams lined between a 3.5-point dog and favorite in conference tournament games that are facing a foe that led their last three games at the half by a total of 30 or more points and our team has scored a total of 240 or more points over their last three games has earned an 18-7-1 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This matchup is a semifinal game in the Conference USA Tournament being held at the Ford Center at the Star and set to tip at 2:00 EST. The betting line opened with UAB priced as a 1-point underdog and early flows suggest that the line could go to +1.5 points. The money line flows will shift more to UAB at +1.5 points and there is not enough market strength to push the line past +2. Moreover, the early start limits the amount of time remaining for any steam to come in on North Texas. Over the past three seasons, UAB is on a solid 22-11 ATS win streak when facing a free throw shooting team making 72% or more of those shots from the stripe. North Texas is just 2-10 ATS coming off back-to-back blowout wins by 20 or more points. From the predictive playbook we learn that UAB is 39-2 SU and 22-9-2 ATS for 71% in games in which they had fewer turnovers and more rebounds than their opponent in games played over the past three seasons.
|
03-10-23 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State -4.5 |
Top |
68-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
Ohio State vs Michigan State 8-Unit best bet on MSU minus the 4.5 points OSU has won four of their last five games and covered five straight to the number but looks like the season ends this afternoon. In conference tournament games, betting on a team that had at least one BYE and taking on a losing record foe that is playing on back-to-back days and has covered the spread by at least 25 points has earned a 16-8-1 ATS record for 67% winners. If the foe has covered the spreads by at least 35 points, the record goes to 9-3-1 ATS for 75% winners and are 25-1 straight-up (SU). OSU has covered the spread by 43 points over their past 5 games, so the market now has over valued them.
|
03-09-23 |
Villanova +5 v. Creighton |
Top |
74-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
Villanova vs Creighton 8-Unit best bet on Villanova plus the points, currently 5 points. I like betting 60% preflop and then looking to get ‘Nova +9.5 points in-game for the remaining 40% bet amount. Betting on teams that defeated the opponent as a dog in their earlier meeting and is coming off a double-digit road win has earned a 39-14 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If our team is priced as a dog of not more than 8 points, the record has been 15-9 ATS over the past three seasons. From the predictive model, Villanova is 7-1 SUATS as a dog, hitting 80% or more of their shots from the charity stripe, and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past 5 seasons.
|
03-09-23 |
La Salle v. Fordham -6 |
Top |
61-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
LaSalle vs Fordham 8-Unit best bet on the Fordham Rams minus the 6 points The following system has earned a highly profitable 23-10 ATS record over the past five seasons. Bet on neutral court favorites in a matchup of teams allowing between 67 and 74 PPG and with the dog coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. Drilling down a bit further we learn that betting on favorites in conference tournament action of 3.5 or more points have gone 19-5 SU and 17-7 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Fordham is 20-9 ATS when facing a foe that averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played over the past two seasons; 23-7-1 ATS when playing only their second game in the past 7 days in games played over the past two seasons. From the predictive mode, we expect Fordham to score 75 or more points and have between 10 and 13 turnovers and when they have achieved this have gone to a 20-3 SU record and 18-4-1 ATS record for 82% winning bets. If they are facing a conference foe an even better 16-3 SU and 12-2-1 ATS record for 86% winning bets.
|
03-09-23 |
Rockets +10 v. Pacers |
Top |
125-134 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
Houston vs Indiana 8-Unit best bet on the Houston Rockets plus the 9.5 points and add just a sprinkle to the money line. An alternative betting strategy is keeping the money line bet and use it to bet in game. The current money line is +350 and looking to get +400 in the first quarter or bet the line at +14.5 or more is solid. Betting on underdogs that lost the last time the two teams met and shot 40% or lower in that loss and is coming off a home loss by 20 or more points has earned a 24-23 record and 31-16 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is a dog from pick to +10, the record improves to 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets. From the predictive mode, we learn that the Rockets are 10-3 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in games in which they scored 111 or more points and got at least 50 rebounds in games played over the past three seasons.
|
03-09-23 |
DePaul v. Xavier -12 |
Top |
84-89 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
DePaul vs Xavier 8-Unit best bet on Xavier minus the 12 points Betting on double-digit favorites in conference tournaments that are allowing 74 or more PPG and facing a foe that is averaging 75 or fewer points, and the total is bet3ween 150 and 159.5 points have earned an 11-3 ATS record for 79% winning bets.
|
03-09-23 |
Colorado State +10 v. San Diego State |
Top |
61-64 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
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Colorado State vs San Diego State 8-Unit best bet on CSU plus the 8.5 points and add a little sprinkle to the money line. CSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a neutral court dog of 6.5 to 9.5 points. SDST head coach Dutcher is just 8-17 ATS in games away from home coming off two or more consecutive Under results for his career. From the predictive model, CSU is 18-6 ATS for 75% winning bets when shooting 45% or better from the field, making 77% or better from the charity stripe and committing 12 or fewer turnovers.
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03-09-23 |
Ohio State v. Iowa UNDER 153.5 |
Top |
73-69 |
Win
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100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
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Ohio State vs Iowa 8-Unit best bet UNDER the total currently at 154.5 points Betting the Under in a neutral court venue with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, averages 70 to 74 PPG and facing a defense that allows 74 to 78 PPG has earned a highly profitable 37-22-1 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2015. If the game is in a conference tournament the Under has produced a 21-11-1 record for 66% winning bets since 2015.
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03-08-23 |
LSU v. Georgia +3 |
Top |
72-67 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
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LSU vs Georgia 8-Unit Best Bet on Georgia plus the three points SEC Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN LSU is 7-20 against the spread when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of each of the last two seasons. LSU is 5-13 against the spread when facing teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game after game #15 in each of the last two seasons. LSU is 2-11 when facing solid ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game after game #15 of this season. LSU head coach McMahon is 3-14 against the spread after five consecutive games in which they forced the opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers.
from the predictive model we are expecting Georgia to allow 71 or fewer points and have the better assist the turnover ratio. In past games in which Georgia has met or exceeded these performance measures has led them to earn an outstanding 32-2 SU and 29-4-1 ARS mark good for 88% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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03-08-23 |
Boston College v. North Carolina -11 |
Top |
61-85 |
Win
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100 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
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Boston College vs UNC 8-Unit bets bet on UNC minus 11.5 points consider betting 50% on UNC minus 11 1/2 points preflop and then look for in game at anything South of 6 1/2 points if it's in the second quarter and we haven't added to the 50% pre flop bet and consider higher numbers like 7 1/2 or even 8 1/2 points to complete the bet wager. North Carolina is 22-10 against the spread after two straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive model we are expecting North Carolina to allow no more than 70 points and get at least 43 rebounds. in past games in which North Carolina met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 51-4 SU record and 37-16 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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03-07-23 |
Blues -132 v. Coyotes |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-132 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
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St. Louis Blues vs Arizona Coyotes 8-Unit best bet on the Blues -135 on the money line. Betting on road favorites of between -110 and -150 on the money line that allowed four or more goals in their previous game and is a slow starting team getting outscored by 0.2 or more goals in the first period of their games on the season has earned a 66-38 SU record (64%) for a 23% ROI since 2015. If the game is taking place in the second half of the season has earned an incredible 21-8 SU record good for 72.4% winning bets and producing a 44% ROI since 2015.
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03-07-23 |
North Dakota State v. Oral Roberts -10 |
Top |
58-92 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
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North Dakota State versus Oral Roberts Summit tournament championship game at the Denny Sanford premier center in Sioux Falls. North Dakota State is coming off an 89-79 win over South Dakota state priced AS4.5 underdogs. North Dakota State is just 2-9 against the spread after scoring 85 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. World Roberts is 9-1 against the spread when playing only the third game in a week in games played over the last two seasons. North Dakota head coach Richman is 5-14 against the number when facing a team that is scoring 84 or more points per game for his career. From the predictive model we are looking for Oral Roberts university to score at least 80 points in this game and have no more than 10 turnovers. North Dakota State is 0-16 straight up and 1-15 against the spread when allowing 80 or more points and forcing 10 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons.
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03-07-23 |
St. Peter's +3 v. Fairfield |
Top |
70-52 |
Win
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100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
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St. Peters vs Fairfield Metro Atlantic Tournament - First Round - Boardwalk Hall - Atlantic City, NJ 8-Unit best Bet on STP plus the 2.5 points This line has the chance to move as low as pick-em and if it goes to anything below a 1.5-point dog, consider the money line if it is cheaper than getting the point or if it steams to a –1 point favorite. St. Peters is 9-2 ATS in March games over the last 2 seasons; 22-12 ATS after three consecutive conference games over the last two seasons. STP head coach Mason is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team winning 40 to 49% of their games for his career. From the predictive mode, Fairfield is 14-7 SU and 15-5 ASTS for 75% when allowing 65 or fewer points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.
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03-07-23 |
NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -10 |
Top |
58-63 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
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UNC-Wilmington vs College of Charleston 8-Unit best bet on College of Charleston Colonial Athletic Tournament - Championship - St. Elizabeths East Entertain The College of Charleston is 8-1 against the spread when playing on one or no days of rest this season. They are also 8-1 against the spread when playing only their third game of the past seven days this season. They are also 9-2 against the spread in road games after covering four or five of their last six against the spread in games played over the last two seasons.Head coach of College of Charleston Kelsey is 16-5 against the spread when playing on one or fewer days of rest over his coaching career. He is also 27-12 in road games after one or more consecutive games that played over the total for his career. Last, he is 35-19 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record for his career. From the predictive model we are expecting the College of Charleston to score 77 or more points and make 10 or more 3-point shots in this game. In past games in which they met or exceeded this pair of performance measures has seen them go 18-5 straight up and against the spread for 78% winning bets.
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03-06-23 |
Sharks v. Jets UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
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108 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
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Sharks vs Jets 8-Unit best bet on the Under 6 goals Betting the Under with a road team that has allowed three or more goals in each of their last three games and taking on a foe that has scored three or more goals in each of their last three games has earned a 147-103-9 Under record good for 59% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If our road team is a dog of between 150 and 190 on the money line, the Under soars to 33-15-3 for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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03-06-23 |
76ers -7 v. Pacers |
Top |
147-143 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
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Philadelphia vs Indiana 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers –6.5 points The Pacers held off the Chicago Bulls to earn a 125-122 road win Sunday. Haliburton scored a game-high 29 points and 11assists for the Pacers, who have won four of their last six games, covering five of them against-the-spread (ATS). They defeated the Bulls despite allowing 60.8% shooting and now find themselves playing on back-to-back nights. The 76ers were down 18 points in the second half and roared back with a dominant 48-41 edge in the fourth quarter to bring a halt to the Bucks 16-game win streak. Betting on road favorites of at least 3.5 points that allowed 50% opponent shooting in each of their least past two games and facing a foe coming off a win by three or fewer points has earned 6-1 SU and ATS record for 86% winning bets since 2017. 76ers allowed 57.7% shooting in a 133-126 loss at Dallas and then most recently allowed 50% shooting in their 133-130 win over the Bucks. The 76ers are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS (67%) winning bets when playing with more days of rest than the opponent, coming off a road win and now priced as a road favorite. Home dogs of at least 6 points, like the Pacers, that have lost four consecutive games against the current opponent, playing on back-to-back nights after the all-star break, with that foe winning at least 60% of their games in the current season have gone just 17-33-2 ATS for 33%.
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03-06-23 |
NC-Wilmington +7.5 v. Hofstra |
Top |
79-73 |
Win
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100 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
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UNC-Wilmington vs Hofstra 8-Unit Best bet on UNC-Wilmington plsu the points, currently priced at +7.5 points. UNCW head coach Sidle is 14-3 ATS in road games playing with no more than a single day of rest; 16-4 ATS coming off a six or fewer points; 21-6 ATS when facing a foe that is making eight or more 3-point shots per game. The predictive metrics are looking for Hofstra to score 70 or fewer points and for UNCW to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games, in which UNCW met these performance measures has earned a 17-1 SU record and a 14-4 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.
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03-05-23 |
San Francisco v. Santa Clara -3 |
Top |
93-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
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San Francisco vs Santa Clara West Coast Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV 8-Unit best bet on Santa Clara minus the three points Betting on teams priced between the 3’s in a conference tournament, and has had at least 5 days rest, won at least 60% of their games on the season and facing a foe that has won between 45 and 55% of their games on the season has earned a 20-10 ATS record good for 67% winning bets. Betting on teams priced between the 3’s and had at least a first-round BYE (more than 5 days of rest) in their conference tournament and is facing a foe playing on back-to-back days has earned a 39-15-3 ATS record for 72% winning bets.
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03-04-23 |
Alabama +1.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
61-67 |
Loss |
-104 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
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Alabama vs Texas A&M 8-Unit best bet on Alabama getting 2 points. The two best teams in the SEC Conference square off in this showdown, but there is nothing at stake. Alabama is the #1 seed with a 16-4 conference record and A&M is locked in the #2 seed heading into the SEC Tournament this week. Alabama has used only 3 different starting lineups this season and the quintet of Bediako, Bradley, Clowney, Miller, and Spears have amassed a 17-3 record. They will start today against A&M. Alabama fought back from a 17-point deficit in the second half against Auburn by using a 16-0 run that started with about 12 minutes left in the game. With Jahvon Quinerly leading the way with 24 points, Alabama coach Nate Oats saw his club win 90-85 in overtime and end up cutting down the nets to celebrate its second SEC regular-season title in three years. It was the third consecutive close shave by the Crimson Tide and star freshman Brandon Miller. Alabama has won four straight, with the last three decided by a total of 10 points. Top-10 road teams in a matchup facing a foe that is ranked between 11 and 25, both teams have won 20 or more games, but the team ranked in the Top-10 has lost fewer games than the foe and are priced between the 3’s are 29-14-3 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, have allowed 80 or more points in each of their last two games, and facing a foe that has played four consecutive games in which they and their foes scored fewer than 70 points. Alabama vs Texas A&M 8-Unit best bet Under the posted total of 150 points Betting the Under in a game lined between the 3’s, the road team has allowed 80 or more points in their last two games, and is facing a host that has scored 70 or fewer and allowed 70 or fewer over their last three games has earned a 26-8 Under record for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system is 4-0 over the past two seasons and only 2020 was a losing money one when it went 1-0 Over. For in-game betting place 50% preflop at the best price you are offered and then look to add another 50% at 162.5 points full fame and only during the first half of action. If they get out to a slow start, then don’t add anymore to the bet. For the in-game betting parlay look to get ‘Bama at +6.5 and the total Under at 157.5 points. This pair of prices may not occur during the first half of the action and if it doesn’tthen so be it and resist the temptation to force the bet.
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