Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-14-15 | VCU v. Davidson -3 | 93-73 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
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03-13-15 | Notre Dame v. Duke -7 | 74-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Duke -7 Duke is a team that is totally focused on a number 1 seed in the big dance. Coach K also wants to twin this tourney and beat Virginia – have no illusions Notre Dame is good, but their last meeting was a Duke Blowout and if you have not paid attention the last week, Duke is totally dialed in big time. Duke on neutral floors are 5-0 SU and holding opponents to 58 ppg. Play 1 Unit on Duke
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03-13-15 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -1.5 | 57-54 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Cincy -1.5 Going against U Conn here, bottom line is Cincy’s defense is the difference in this game. Short on time, but a cheap number for a better team and they are hotter coming in here. Play 1 Unit on Cincy
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03-13-15 | UCLA +11.5 v. Arizona | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
UCLA +11.5 Yes UCLA beat AZ in last years title game and AZ is killing people by double digits in their last 9 games (23 ppg) which is amazing but UCLA is a team who always gives AZ fits and think of this, Arizona has not won this tourney since 2002. 57-47 was the last score these two played to, that was at Arizona, winning by 10 at home. UCLA has a great backcourt that can make a difference and cover this number. Play 1 Unit on UCLA |
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03-12-15 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -3 | 60-58 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Ol Miss -3 Short and Sweet. SC had issues with a very bad Mizzou team last night and although the spread count was a 9 point win, Mizzou has no shooters and play little defense, it was a battle of bottom feeders. Ol Miss already has destroyed SC this season 65-49 and while both teams play very good defense it is the offense of Ol Miss that makes the difference here. Moddy for Ol Miss is a hell of palyer ansd scorer. Play 1 Unit on Ol Miss |
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03-12-15 | Iowa State -1 v. Texas | Top | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Iowa State -1.5 OK – Rick Barnes, in a big game away from Austin. ENOUGH SAID. Iowa State is my odds on favorite to win this tourney, they won it last year and quite frankly while Texas beat up a bottom feeder last night they struggle against good teams, and they cannot match points with Iowa States sharpshooters who are talents and deep. ISU won both meetings this year and scored in excess of 85 points in each game. Play 2 Units on Iowa State – TOP PLAY
PS – Check out my affordable March Madness Package - #1 ranked by Sports Watch in 2014 in March Madness with 72% documented winners over 46 plays – CASH OUT! |
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03-11-15 | TCU +2 v. Kansas State | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
TCU +2 Hoping this goes up to 2.5 but I feel TCU, who absolutely manhandled K State by 14 points a little over 3 weeks ago repeats. K State DEPLORABLE away from home, 1 conference win on the road all year, and Bruce Weber flat out is fade coach all the way on the road in conference action. K State has had some player discipline issues, academic issues and are not a good team. Neither team likely to advance past this game, but TCU has much better guards who get to the free throw line a ton, and they are the better team catching points. Yes K State 2 hours from home with local support, but simply put, TCU is undervalued here given the fact K States last 3 wins, all at home (3-7 SU their last 10 games) all came against ranked opponents has them in the favorite role. Perception is not reality.
Play 1 Unit on TCU
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03-11-15 | Penn State -2 v. Nebraska | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Penn St -2 Nebraska away from Lincoln is a different animal, and the Husker vaunted defense, well in the last 5 games they have played they have allowed 71 ppg, that is 11 ppg over their season average, and the Huskers basically have 2 players that are capable of scoring double digits. Nebraska managed just 43 points in a 13 point loss to Penn State this year, and the Huskers have lost 8 in a row, and while they gave Maryland a fight in Lincoln on Sunday in a loss, on the road anywhere the Huskers are not bankable. They have dropped 8 games ATS out of their last 10 games. More offense for Penn State, and a better team out of the two here as they are the bottom seeds in this tourney. Low scoring game for sure, Under 120 might be worth a look, but Penn St pulls it out late. Play 1 Unit on Penn State
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03-10-15 | Wisconsin Green Bay +4 v. Valparaiso | 44-54 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Green Bay +4 Valpo a good team but Green Bay has the offense here to get it done. They split in the regular season and one Key in this game is the fact Valpo has issues scoring and they just lost their top guard for the tourney with injury and he was scoring 11 ppg , and add in the fact Valpo has averaged 58 ppg their last 5 games as compared to Green Bay’s 76 and both play good defense, this is a down to the wire game where points are at a premium. Whole world on Valpo here at home. I am bucking the public and taking the dog. Play 1 Unit on Green Bay. |
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03-10-15 | Georgia Tech v. Boston College -3.5 | 65-66 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
BC -3.5 (shooting up, bet early, opened at -1) Georgia Tech have thrown in the towel, they cannot score and one of their best players Hunt is out for the rest of the season with a broken foot, he averaged almost 14 ppg, a HUGE hit for a team who struggles offensively. These 2 split in the regular season, both tight games and one of them in OT at GT where they won. BC won their last 3 games with huge wins by double digits’ over NC State and Wake, while GT lost 6 out of their last 7 and in their last game lost 81-49 to the Tarheels.
Play 1 Unit on BC |
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03-09-15 | Northern Illinois +6.5 v. Akron | 52-76 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois +6.5 Akron has 2 starters out including their big man and I cannot unload on a team who has dropped 6 out of 7 games in the favorite role at home over 3 points. Add in the fact in thjeior only meeting this year NIU won by 3 points at home and NIU is on a 4 game winning streak and have better offensive numbers the last 5 games overall, and they are 5-2-1 ATS in this series the last 8 games, I am on Northern Illinois to keep this tight to the wire. Play 1 Unit on Northern Illinois. |
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03-08-15 | Maryland -2.5 v. Nebraska | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
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03-08-15 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa -4.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
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03-07-15 | UC-Irvine v. UC-Davis -2.5 | Top | 61-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
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03-07-15 | Virginia -2.5 v. Louisville | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
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03-07-15 | Illinois State +8 v. Wichita State | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
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03-06-15 | Illinois-Chicago v. Oakland -7.5 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Oakland -7.5 Call me square but this is a total mismatch and Oakland has destroyed Illinois Chicago twice this year by a combined 39 points and Illinois Chicago cannot trade punches on the scoreboard as Oakland had 81 and 91 against them this year. Short and Sweet, enough said. Play 2 Units on Oakland – TOP PLAY |
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03-05-15 | Utah v. Washington State +13 | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Washington St +13 Yes Utah is better, vastly better but when you average 61 ppg on the road on the SEASON and lay 13 on the road, against a team who can put up points, and this is WSU’s Super Bowl at home tonight, I will gladly take the points in this spot. Utah buried the Cougars by 22 6 weeks ago, and WSU has not forgot it.
Play 1 Unit on Washington State |
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03-04-15 | St. John's -1.5 v. Marquette | 67-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
St Johns -1.5 Marquette having a down year, and the lowest scoring team in the conference as they take on a red hot St. Johns team hell bent on making the NCAA Tourney. The red men have notched their 20th win and are looking like a tourney team but this win is a MUST WIN as they march toward the big Dance. Too much offense and experience. St Johns has won 6 out of 7 and in 5 of those games scored 78 ppg or more and the Golden Eagles woeful offense cannot keep pace. Play 1 Unit on St. Johns. Check out my March Madness package on the site. Ranked #1 by Sportswatch last year with over a 72% ATS record over 42 plays in March Madness! I expect a repeat performance this season.
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03-03-15 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Georgia Tech | 81-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
North Carolina -5.5 Way too much offense for GT to handle here. I laid points on the road with Virginia and cashed and while it is dangerous to lay points with road teams this time of year, it also should be noted that good coaches like Roy Williams, with a good team , is getting them ready and synced in for tourney action. GT off an OT loss against Clemson where they trailed by as many as 23 points in a grueling and heartbreaking loss, and I like to go against teams off an OT loss their next game. GT’s offense is very inconsistent while NC can put up some points. They scored 89 against GT 2 weeks ago and beat them by 29 points laying 11.5. 6 point line adjustment because NC is on the road. I know GT plays people tough but this is a mismatch. Play 1 Unit on North Carolina |
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03-02-15 | Virginia -5.5 v. Syracuse | 59-47 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Virginia -5.5 Line dropped from 6 here and I know it is Syracuse’s Senior night where Rakeem Christmas gets a farewell, but that enthusiasm will be short lived, as the Cavs have won their last 4 games by an average of 17 ppg, and they are a monster undefeated SU road team and also a cover machine on the road going 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 road games. Syracuse off a draining loss against Duke and they have covered just 4 out of their last 17 games. Yes this is the Oranges Super bowl of games tonight with no post season action, but they are offensively challenged against one of the best defenses in college basketball and a red hot Cavs team will not overlook this games by a longshot. Virginia playing for a #1 seed in the big dance and face a tough ACC tourney, this is a must win roadie, and all coaches know what happen to Gonzaga this weekend. Looks easy to take the points with a capable home dog, but I for one do not think Cuse has enough offense against this defense to be capable, they got waxed by 19 points and managed just 56 points in the last meeting, and this line has only been adjusted 1.5 points. Play 1 Unit on Virginia BONUS PLAY: Baylor +2.5 to 3 – Texas cannot win a big game…Baylor on a roll, Texas falling flat. |
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03-01-15 | SMU +1 v. Connecticut | Top | 73-81 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
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02-28-15 | Mississippi State +9.5 v. South Carolina | 68-81 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
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02-28-15 | Bowling Green -3 v. Miami (OH) | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
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02-28-15 | Northern Iowa +6 v. Wichita State | 60-74 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
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02-24-15 | New Mexico v. Boise State -8 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Boise St -8 Like the Broncos at home against a weak New Mexico team that really has not played all that well down the stretch, they have lost 2 productive starters along the way this year to injuries and they are not a good road team. BSU is on a 9-1 SU / ATS run . New Mexico only scores 60 ppg on the road and the Bronco’s allow just 54 ppg at home (50 ppg their last 5!!) . BSU already won the first series meeting by 10 on the road and lay 8./5 in the rematch and are red hot? I will lay it
Play 1 Unit on Boise St.
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02-24-15 | South Carolina v. Alabama -4 | 51-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Alabama -4
South Carolina is shorthanded with suspensions and a deplorable road team, not to mention on the road they score only 58 ppg this season while allowing 66. A recipe for disaster tonight against Bama at home. South Carolina 2-12 ATS their last 14 road games guys and no offense on the road this time of year is doom. Bama lost at South Carolina last month so this is a revenge game here. Bama 12-4 SU at home. No bench for the Gamecocks will do them in.
Play 1 Unit on Roll Tide
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02-23-15 | Kansas -6 v. Kansas State | 63-70 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Kansas -6 Bill Self does this sneaky thing every year, he gets his young team better as the season progresses and gets them dialed in for post season play. KU has DOMINATED this series 26-9-1 ATS the last 36 meetings because they are always better and this years edition is no exception and K State managed just 42 points in a blowout loss at Baylor this weekend (no shooters and little second chance points) and have managed just 57 ppg on offense their last 5 games as compared to Kansas who has averaged 72. KU flat out better and since the beat them by 11 three weeks ago, K State has regressed. K State has lost 8 out of their last 10 games SU and Bill Self will come in here and make a statement on national TV tonight. Play 1 Unit on Kansas |
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02-22-15 | Indiana -6.5 v. Rutgers | 84-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
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02-21-15 | Loyola-Chicago +10 v. Illinois State | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
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02-21-15 | Kent State -1 v. Ohio | 64-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
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02-21-15 | Florida v. LSU -4 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
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02-17-15 | Wake Forest +12 v. Notre Dame | 75-88 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Wake Forest +12 Notre Dame is just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games are are just 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 home games. If you look at the recent stats, which are the last 5 games each as played, amazingly the stats are dead even almost and in fact Wakes numbers are better. One glaring stat is that Notre Dame has allowed 50% in FG% from the floor on defense in their last 5 games and Wake has put up 70 ppg their last 5 games and have a distinct advantage on the boards in this game, which should keep them well within this number.
Play 1 Unit on Wake Forest.
BONUS PLAY – HALF UNIT – Drake +10.5
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02-16-15 | Kansas -1.5 v. West Virginia | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Kansas -1.5 Have no illusions, this is tough road trip for any team and Kansas off a big game Saturday against Baylor, so that is a small concern, but as I look deeper, West Virginia cannot beat anyone that is worth a shit. Look at their wins in the Big 12, six of their 7 wins have come against Big 12 bottoms feeders K State, TCU and lowly Texas Tech. Bear in mind also they Kansas last year in the season finale and KU has some revenge in mind. Anyone good UWV has played has whipped their ass including Iowa State who plays no defense what so ever. Kansas flat out better, even on a tough floor for WV, Kansas is better. WV 1-4 their last 5 games on Big Monday and Huggins is 1-8 against Bill Self and KU. KU better on offense, depth and talent. Play 1 Unit on Kansas |
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02-15-15 | Northern Iowa -10.5 v. Missouri State | Top | 68-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
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02-14-15 | Texas Tech v. Texas -16.5 | 41-56 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Texas –16.5
Texas Tech is Deplorable, I mean Deplorable on the road. Their last 5 road games they scored 51, 43, 36, 58, and 38. In their last 5 games overall they have averaged 49 ppg on offense and allowed 70 ppg in those 5. Texas tech has lost their last 5 road games by an average of 24 ppg. Need I say more – Lay the Wood. Texas lost 4 in a row, one included OT, and that was against good teams, they are off a monster blowout win over a TCU team vastly better than Texas Tech who is 0-9 on the road including nuetral court games. Play 1 Unit on Texas
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02-14-15 | Wichita State -4 v. Illinois State | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Wichita State -4 Smells like a trap line. The Shockers beat ISU by 8 last month laying 14.5 points, the only spread they have not covered against Illinois Stat since March of 2012. Now the spread is only 4 and ISU does not have a huge homecourt advantage. The Shockers defense allowing just 53 ppg their last 3 and ISU has covered just 1 out of their last 9 games. Play 1 Unit on Wichita State |
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02-14-15 | Oklahoma State -3 v. TCU | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Oklahoma State -3 This is my top play. TCU is free fall and managed no more than 57 ppg on offense in their last 3 games and Okie State is peaking right now, just beat Baylor, Texas and Kansas and TCU has lost 7 in a row. Two teams in 2 different directions. Play 2 Units on Okie State - TOP PLAY
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02-11-15 | Southern Illinois +2.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 62-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Southern Illinois +2.5 Like SOU in this one, as the Ramblers of Loyola –Chicago have lost 5 out of 6 with their guard Milton Doyle, who had 11 ppg and almost 5 assists. He is out tonight and Loyola is not an offensive team and losing one of their leading scorers is bad news. Neither team a great team but the Salukis offense has more capability and the Ramblers in their last 10 games have hit just 58% from the charity stripe and in a tight game that stat matters, taking the dog here to put up more points. SIU won the first meeting 3 weeks ago by 7, I like them here catching the points. Play 1 Unit on Southern Illinois |
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02-10-15 | Wisconsin -9 v. Nebraska | 65-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Wisconsin -9 Yes Nebraska is at home and they are a different animal in Lincoln, but cannot ignore the offensive output of 43 points on Saturday at Penn State and Wisconsin plays some good defense as well. The Badgers avenging a season ending loss last year in Lincoln on national TV and the Huskers not near the team they were last year and Wisconsin is no doubt one of the top teams in the nation, deep and talented and they average 20 ppg more on offense than Nebraska in their last 5 game averages. Huskers cannot hang late in the game with the scoring potential of Wisconsin. Every single stat edge I handicap, all of them, all favor Wisconsin. The Badgers not a great cover team, but they should blowout the Huskers tonight.
Play 1 Unit on Wisconsin
BONUS PLAY – LA Lakers -2 over Denver. Denver the worst cover team in the NBA and have lost 6 in a row against the spread.
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02-08-15 | Michigan v. Indiana -7.5 | 67-70 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Play 1 Unit on Indiana -7.5 Michigan very short handed, with 2 stars out and their offense is in a funk, just 54 ppg their last 5. Hoosiers have covered all four games in this series the last 2 years in a row at 4-0 ATS - make it 5 in a row. Indiana should bury them at home. Play 1 Unit on Indiana |
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02-07-15 | Murray State -11.5 v. Austin Peay | 82-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
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02-07-15 | Kansas -1 v. Oklahoma State | 62-67 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
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02-07-15 | Notre Dame +9.5 v. Duke | 60-90 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
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02-05-15 | Washington State v. Oregon State -7 | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Oregon State -7 OSU’s defense unreal and while they are a middle of the pack team in the PAC 12, they are undefeated at home this year and have covered all but 2 games at home. Washington State already got waxed at home by OSU scoring just 47 points against this vaunted defense. Washington St just 5 covers on the road their last 27 attempts! Play 1 Unit on Oregon State. |
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02-04-15 | Southern Illinois v. Drake +2 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Drake +2 Cannot trust So Illinois on the road, just 2 wins all year on the road and their offense is just deplorable, and they average just 57 ppg on the road. Drake is no juggernaut but have played better ball the past few weeks and while only .500 at home, this is a winnable game for them because they have the better offense here plus home court. Drake has shot 49% from the floor and 46% from beyond the arc their last 5 games. Southern Illinois has yet to win a conference road game this season and they are 2-9 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series and they have just covered 3 out of their last 12 games overall. Drake off back to back wins and just beat a decent Evansville team in here scoring 75 points in the process. Play 1 Unit on Drake
BONUS Half Unit Play: Kansas State -4.5 |
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02-04-15 | Wichita State -16.5 v. Bradley | 62-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Mo Valley Free Play
Wichita St @ Bradley We are catching Wichita State off a loss at Northern Iowa in what was a battle between the two top teams in the Mo Valley, BOTH ranked in the Top 20 headed into that showdown on Saturday. I fully expect Wichita St to bounce back with a vengeance tonight against a shorthanded Bradley team who lost to bottom feeder Drake by 12 points on their vaunted home floor in their last home game. Bradley has Warren Jones and Ka’Darryl Bell suspended for this game, their best 2 guards which account for 20 ppg, for an off campus incident that resulted in charges by local law enforcement. The Shockers will pounce all over the Braves tonight and they have a habit of beating the daylights out of weak sisters and covering double digit spreads against them. Bradley can ill afford to be shorthanded tonight and I am positive of one thing, the Shockers wants a big bounce back and the set up tonight could be no better for them. Bradley only scores 57 ppg on the season and the Shockers allow just 56 ppg on the season and now Bradley without their 2 guards? Game Over, Shockers have covered 11 out of the last 12 in this series, you can add another one tonight. Lay the Wood on Bradley -16.5
CBB Double Header tonight with more Mo Valley Action and a Big 12 Bonus Play. Check out Tony’s action now |
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02-02-15 | Iowa State +7 v. Kansas | 76-89 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Iowa State +7 I will take the points with a high flying Iowa State going up against the Jayhawks at Phog Allen with KU trying to avenge a loss in Ames a few weeks back. Kansas’s offense is struggling and their youth is still showing, and Iowa State’s ability to score (81 ppg their last 5) will keep them in this game. Iowa State +7 for 1 Unit
Play a half unit play on the Memphis Grizzles -3 tonight. |
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01-31-15 | North Carolina +5.5 v. Louisville | Top | 68-78 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Play 2 Units - Top Play on North Carolina +5.5 Better team, better offense. Louisville's offense is inconsistent and NC also has bench scoring. |
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01-31-15 | Kansas State v. Kansas -11 | 57-68 | Push | 0 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Kansas – 11 Kansas dominated K State, dating back to 2010 they have covered all but 1 spread in this series, and at Phog Allen Arena, KU is a beast. They have won their last 6 contests at home in the Sunflower Showdown by an average of 20.5 ppg including beat downs of K State versions the past 2 years by 26 points in each game in Lawrence. Kansas off a piss poor performance at TCU and practice has been no fun this week according to my sources and Bill Self will smart Bruce Webber as always in this big game.
Play 1 Unit on Kansas |
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01-29-15 | Utah -5.5 v. UCLA | 59-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Utah -5.5 Easy money here. These two played 3 weeks ago and powerhouse and #10 Utah beat the tar out of UCLA 71-39 laying 11.5 points and UCLA is without Parker again and his 10 ppg, and since he has sat out the last 2 games, UCLA has lost those 2 games by 11 and 18 points to lesser teams than Utah and we are laying 6? Take it. Utes win by double digits and their defense will be too much for UCLA again. Play 1 Unit on Utah |
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01-28-15 | Stanford -2 v. Washington | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Stanford -1.5 to 2 Stanford off a 19 point win against AZ State and Washington off an ass kicking at the hands of Utah, who also covered a double digit spread against Washington in that game. Washington on a 5-5 run and struggling against good teams and Stanford on a 8-2 run with some wins during that stretch including Texas on the road, and Stanford better outside and deeper on the bench. Play 1 Unit on Stanford |
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01-27-15 | West Virginia +1.5 v. Kansas State | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
West Virginia +1.5 Not sold on K State who is enjoying some limelight in the Big 12, and bear in mind they have mighty Kansas on deck. Huggins will have his boys ready to play and he has some sharp shooters that should do well against the man defense that K State runs. West Virginia has not forgot the ass kicking by 22 points they took in here last year and K State is not as good as rebounding team as WV and those are easy points. Many love K State here, they are on a roll, but off a huge win and Kansas on deck, I think the Mountaineers come in here and get a win tonight. While K State has been decent lately bear in mind they are 4 games over .500 on the year. Sandwich spot for K State on the schedule. Play 1 Unit on West Virginia
Bonus Play – OVER 140.5 in Arkansas / Tennessee game. Arkansas scores like crazy at home and plays little defense. .Half Unit |
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01-25-15 | Indiana +8.5 v. Ohio State | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
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01-24-15 | Murray State -11 v. SIU-Edwardsville | Top | 60-54 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Murray State at SIU Edwardsville No time for a write up today as I am traveling. Play two units on Murray State |
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01-24-15 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Nebraska | 77-79 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
MIch St -2.5 at Nebraska I am traveling and don't have time for a write up on this. Mich St should bury Nebraska today. Play one unit on Michigan State |
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01-21-15 | Indiana State +14 v. Northern Iowa | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Indiana State +13.5 to 14
Defense and tempo. That is what Northern Iowa plays (47 ppg allowed in last 5 games) and the fact ISU is a high percentage shooting team in FG% and also plays a slow down approach brings big points into play. Indiana St has covered 4 out of the last 5 in this series.
Play 1 Unit on Indiana State
Bonus Half Unit Play – Evansville (pick’ em) Playing with revenge.
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01-20-15 | Illinois State -8.5 v. Drake | 64-56 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Illinois State -8.5 Drake is one bad basketball team, 4 wins all year. Bottom feeder in the Mo Valley and they cannot score to save their life. They finally had a breakout game against Indiana State Saturday where they broke 80 points but before that game, they managed 47 -40-45-37 and 58 points dating back to Christmas Eve. Illinois State is a solid team and at a huge advantage on offense. These 2 teams played back on the 7th and Illinois State was a 81-45 winner laying 12.5 points and now they lay 8.5? Vastly better team, Blowout win here by 15+ Drakes leading scorer on their team this season averages 9 points per game. Drake has covered just 9 out of their last 34 games. Unreal! Play 1 Unit on Illinois State
Bonus Play – Half Unit – Iowa +8.5 |
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01-17-15 | TCU -2.5 v. Texas Tech | 62-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
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01-17-15 | Miami (FL) +6.5 v. Notre Dame | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
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01-17-15 | Wichita State -5 v. Evansville | 61-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
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01-15-15 | Nebraska +14.5 v. Wisconsin | 55-70 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Huskers +14.5 Nebraska 20-8 ATS last 28 Big 10 Games, and their defense is stellar allowing 58 their last 5 games and Huskers on a 2 game win streak. Wisconsin of a bad loss, and I expect them to win buyt laying 14.5 points in a defensive battle is always worth the points and the dog and Nebraska capable here despite offensive struggles. Play 1 Unit on Nebraska |
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01-10-15 | Kentucky -14 v. Texas A&M | 70-64 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
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01-08-15 | Morehead State v. Southeast Missouri State -3 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
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01-06-15 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -8 | 61-63 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Iowa State -8
39-3 SU at home…WOW…..Hilton Arena in Ames Iowa is one of the toughest venues in America to play in college basketball. Iowa State besides being a good team is also a different animal at home. Big number but the deep bench and scoring power of ISU will get over with a double digit win at home over Okie State who is a bad road bet under head coach Ford. Love ISU here. Line is 8 for a reason. Home court worth 4 here alone!
Play 1 Unit on Iowa State |
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01-05-15 | Notre Dame +8 v. North Carolina | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Notre Dame +8 Only 1 loss all year and yet a Top 15 ranking and still getting 8 points on the road here for a very good and well coached Irish team. The Irish offense scoring 85 ppg their last 5 games and both the last 5 games and the season overall the Irish have the better offense in this game, better defense glass stats and better free throw shooters. I will gladly take the points here. Play 1 Unit on Notre Dame |
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01-04-15 | Evansville -3 v. Indiana State | Top | 75-79 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
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12-27-14 | Kentucky -4.5 v. Louisville | 58-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
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12-13-14 | Gonzaga -4.5 v. UCLA | 87-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Gonzaga -4.5 |
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12-02-14 | Ohio State +8.5 v. Louisville | 55-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Ohio State +8 Louisville has not really played anyone near as good as Ohio State who enters this game ranked 13th and the Cards ranked 5th. 8 points is a TON of points for 2 teams that have displayed defensive prowess to date, Louisville allows just 46 ppg and Ohio State 57 ppg but it is Ohio States offense that have averaged 10 ppg more on offense than the Cards to date. Lower scoring and tough defense brings points into play. This one will not come easy, 2 good coaches going at it with 2 good teams, I will take the points. Play 1 Unit on Ohio State |
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04-07-14 | Kentucky v. Connecticut +3 | 54-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
U Conn +2.5 to +3
Taking the hot team with the best guard in America in Napier. With him and Boatright up top, the Harrison brothers are going to have match up issues. I am going with the team who has the best 2 guards on the floor, and a coach who is nt slouch. There is no doubt the strength of Kentucky is their size and inside the paint play. But beating up and scoring at will on Florida and the path taken by U Conn to be an unlikely choice for many to be a final four team has them in the dog role, and I will attest to the fact that this young Kentucky team may find this moment too big for them, and U Conn is unshakable and their coach has made the best in game adjustments I have seen in this tourney bar none and has a bench to work with more so than Kentucky. Close call here but again, guard play at days end wins it and U Conns free throw percentage and ability to knock them down is a HUGE plus in a tight game. Thanks for all your March Madness and NCAA Hoops Biz. Play 1 Unit on U Conn. Best of Luck..TG |
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04-05-14 | Kentucky -2 v. Wisconsin | 74-73 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 30 m | Show | |
Kentucky -2 (line may drop to 1))
The path taken by Kentucky and who they beat, I cannot go against them. Wisconsin needed OT against Arizona, beat Oregon with free throws, ands beat Baylor when Baylor managed 16 points at halftime and shot 13% from 3 point range. The Wildcats have taken on all comers and the rebounding edge here will be huge for Kentucky and that will be the difference. Play 1 Unit on Kentucky |
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04-05-14 | Connecticut +6.5 v. Florida | 63-53 | Win | 100 | 123 h 8 m | Show | |
U Conn +6
Nail biter game, both teams play awesome defense, which means big points like this are always in play and I am taking them. U Conn has the better guard from a scoring perspective and ripping off massive upsets to get here. Florida the best team left standing but this will not come easy. Napier the best player on the floor for U Conn and they find ways to win and can light it up when needed and they hit the boards hard to. Florida wins, barely. Play 1 Unit on U Conn |
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04-01-14 | Minnesota +1.5 v. Florida State | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 32 h 42 m | Show | |
Minnesota +1.5
These 2 played earlier this season and Minny won by 10. The Gophers are a deep and talented team and for some reason waited to decide to start playing their best ball and reach potential in the post season. Eliason for Minny is questionable but his replacement actually scores more per game than him, and while FSU’s defense is better, Minny has dominated every opponent in this tourney, they have skill and depth and I am taking the points in a mild upset here. FSU needed a ton of good fortune to beat Louisiana Tech by 3 just to get here. Play 1 Unit on Minnesota |
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04-01-14 | Clemson v. SMU -3 | Top | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
SMU -3
The key here is 2 fold. SMU the best team out of these 4 tonight, Larry Browns experience as a head coach and the fact SMU has scorers everywhere and they are a consistent offense that executes very well. Clemson relies on 1 guy to score, McDaniel’s, and no other player averages double digits in scoring on this team, and while he was hot at 19 ppg in the NIT, the time off may cool him and if he has a off night, SMU will roll Clemson. SMU shooting almost 49% from the floor their last 5, and Clemson has all their eggs in one basket. Play 2 Units on SMU. TOP PLAY |
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03-31-14 | Siena +8 v. Fresno State | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Siena +8
Lots of action on Fresno but bear in the Saints play GREAT defense, allowing just 55 ppg their last 5 games and Fresno is not slouch allowing 65 ppg on defense their last 5. A low scoring game but big points huh? How many times you see this scenario. Take the points with a capable team and also Siena hits the offensive glass very well which should be some easy points, both teams shoot from the charity stripe well, the stats are damn near even and I won with Siena the last time out against a Mo Valley team they destroyed. Play 1 Unit on Siena |
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03-30-14 | Connecticut +6 v. Michigan State | 60-54 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
U Conn +5.5
Its the points here. Dawson and Napier are studs for U Conn, this is like a home game here and no doubt Michigan St is the better team here and Izzo is a hell of a coach but nothing comes easy and rest assured that Virginia win took allot out of this MSU team. U Conn can hang tight here, and the best guard on the floor who can flat out knock down big shots. Play 1 unit on U Conn Bonus Play: Play a 1/2 Unit on Kentucky -2 |
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03-29-14 | Dayton v. Florida -10 | 52-62 | Push | 0 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Florida -10
Dayton a cinderella no doubt, they have met their match here. Florida's defense no joke and the Gators will pull away late in this game. Besides Michigan St the Gators the best team left standing. The Gators perimeter defense will challenge Daytons every shot. I have seen Florida take down teams with sharp shooters all season and I think this is the day the moment becomes to big for Dayton. A lot of points here but Vegas begging to take the points with Cinderella, I am not buying it. Play 1 Unit on Florida - |
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03-28-14 | Michigan State v. Virginia +2 | 61-59 | Push | 0 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
Virginia +2
Whole world loves Michigan State here and a #1 seed is a dog? This #1 seed won the ACC regular season and tourney (WOW) and beat the shit out of Duke, Pitt, NC, Syracuse and etc all season long and without question have the best shut down defense in the tourney, or the country as far as I know. Michigan St is a public darling and the big hype is 2 things, they are healthy and they have Tom Izzo. Both good points but Izzo is not suiting up last time I checked, and beating up Delaware and Harvard does not impress me. This team won the Big 10 tourney but lost 3 out of 5 headed into the Big 10 tourney and not sure how hard Michigan and Wisconsin played in the Big 10 tourney, both knew they had good seeds in the big dance and wanted to save themselves for the post season. I can assure you of one thing, MSU will not enjoy the 50% in FG % from the floor they have enjoyed in the last 5 games against the Cavs, and this isn |
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03-28-14 | Connecticut v. Iowa State -1.5 | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
Iowa State -1.5
Love ISU here, would love them more for a major move if Niang was playing but Kane is a beast for them, Ejim is a stud and they have lights out scorers all over the floor. U Conn beat St Joes in OT in a miracle comeback, and put away an average Nova team to get there. ISU won the Big 12 Tourney, and can score lights out, and if hot can bury U Conn by double digits. They have the 2 best players on the floor in my opinion, and are totally in sync and beat a very good North Carolina team in a shootout. Battle tested from the Big 12, in big venues so Madison Square Garden will not scare them, and yes I know U Conn is close to home, won |
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03-28-14 | Tennessee +3 v. Michigan | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 30 h 18 m | Show | |
Tennessee +2.5 to +3
Why is the number where it is at. Runner up to the national title, after destroying a decent Texas team, and the whole world on Michigan and the line not moving?? Vegas oddsmakers are not stupid, this is a line play and square bet to unload on Michigan. Tennessee is hot, they provide matchup issues for MU, and after beating Iowa in OT in the play in game they have DOMINATED both teams in the tourney they played wire to wire. Contrarian play all the way. The Vols are 7-1 ATS their last 8 and will OWN the paint in this game. Play 1 Unit on Tennessee |
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03-27-14 | UCLA v. Florida -4.5 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 53 h 21 m | Show |
Florida -4.5
LOVE LOVE this line drop, I am all over the #1 seed overall Gators. Anyone see the Pitt Game Saturday? No questions Florida is the team to beat. At Guard, in the paint, Shut down defense, press half-court defense, 51 ppg allowed their last 5. UCLA no doubt is a good team, beat a good AZ team, but they have NOT seen a shut down defense like this that will disrupt the game for the Bruins, and we all know Billy Donovan is a great big game coach. Yeah UCLA scores 78 ppg their last 5, but that is neutral. Hopefully this does not come down to free throws which was my only reservation about making this my tourney GOY, because Florida |
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03-27-14 | Baylor +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 52-69 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 52 m | Show | |
Baylor +3.5
I did put this out on video for free on the Internet but Scott Drew |
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03-26-14 | California v. SMU -8 | 65-67 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
BONUS PLAY: SMU -8 for a half unit. They are hot and motivated and Larry Brown has the 23rd ranked team playing great ball. Cal terrible on the road and not a good cover team Potential NIT Champion here in SMU
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03-26-14 | Illinois State v. Siena -2 | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Siena -2
Illinois State is not a good road team. Lofton is still suspended for them and to note they absolutely are a different animal away from home, and they are starting 3 frosh on the road tonight including the ball handler against a good home team in Siena who is 12-4 at home this year and covered 10 of them. Out of 16 road games ISU has won 4 of them, and with a young cast on the floor and little bench, especially at guard, I like the short number and the home team tonight. Play 1 Unit in Siena |
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03-25-14 | Belmont +7 v. Clemson | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Belmont +7
Have no illusions, the Ohio Valley Conference has some teams. Eastern Kentucky, Murray St and Belmont being among the elite and Belmont is no slouch. Yeah, Clemson an ACC school, blah blah blah but their scoring is inconsistent and Belmont scored 162 points in their last 2 games exceeding 80 or more in each game, and also Belmont is 10-7 on the road this year and will not be intimidated in this one. Grab the points and Belmont for a 1 Unit play |
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03-24-14 | Texas A&M +2 v. Illinois State | 55-62 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Texas AM +2
Wrong team favored. Better conference for Texas AM who is battle tested. Looks like losing 4 out of their last 6 games has oddsmakers against them here and soured but Illinois St , a team I have followed all year, is missing a 12 ppg Guard tonight (Zach Lofton who had 25 points in their opening tourney game) out on suspension and with lack of depth that hurts them in this spot. Texas AM has issues scoring on the road no doubt, but I like them in this spot, and this is not a huge home court advantage here. Play 1.5 Units on Texas AM |
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03-23-14 | Memphis v. Virginia -6 | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Virginia -6
The Cavs defense is second to none in my book and Memphis played a much easier schedule to get here in the first place. Duke, Syracuse, Pitt, North Carolina have all been shut down by the Cavs, they are battle tested and the ACC champs are the real deal, Memphis cannot play 40 minutes with this team, and I will lay it. Play 1 Unit on Virginia |
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03-23-14 | Mercer +8.5 v. Tennessee | 63-83 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Mercer +7.5
Respect Tennessee's run but beating an average Iowa team and an over rated U Mass team is not enough to carry a number over a Mercer team who flat out beat Duke and it was not a fluke. The glass slipper might break here for Mercer but from what I saw and how they can flat out shoot the ball, they will hang within this number. Play 1 Unit on Mercer |
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03-23-14 | North Carolina +2 v. Iowa State | 83-85 | Push | 0 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
North Carolina +1.5
Iowa States best player is out, broken foot. ISU plays little to no defense and rely on outscoring opponents, and NC can put up some points and have equal talent on the floor if not better and Roy Williams is a very experienced head coach. Losing Niangs 16 ppg (had 24 in the last game) is too much to overcome and the wrong team is favored. Play 1 Unit on North Carolina |
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03-22-14 | Oregon v. Wisconsin -5.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Wisconsin -5
Strengths versus weakness and outside of UCLA and Arizona the PAC 12 just not all that tough, the Big 10 is brutal, Wisconsin's defense the difference. Too tough and physical for Oregon. Play 2 Units on Wisconsin - TOP PLAY |
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03-22-14 | Dayton +7.5 v. Syracuse | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Dayton +7
The flyers have better shooters than Syracuse, true story. And outside of Western Michigan in round 1 here, Syracuse has not buried anyone in the past month. They struggle on offense, Dayton keeps this tight. Play 1 Unit on Dayton |
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03-22-14 | Texas v. Michigan -4.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Michigan -4.5
Rick Barnes cannot coach a big game and Texas is here on a Miracle...Michigan flat out a better team. Texas not capable of beating a team like Michigan who is deep, went to the final 4 last year and won the Big 10 regular season conference. Barnes gets outcoached. Play 1 Unit on Michigan |
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03-21-14 | NC Central v. Iowa State -8 | Top | 75-93 | Win | 100 | 32 h 30 m | Show |
Iowa State -8
Well, this is not Howard, this not Morgan St or Norfolk St, this is the Big 12 Tourney Champion and they are loaded for bear. If ISU is knocking down shots they are an Elite 8 team. Enough said. NC Central is gonna step way up in class here |
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03-21-14 | Stephen Austin +6.5 v. VCU | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Stephen F Austin +6.5
I have this as an upset. VCU struggles to score, BOTH teams play good defense and I see a low scoring game which brings big points into play. SF Austin has 2 losses all year, and while a step up in class, it is not like playing Duke or Kansas either. Johnson is out for VCU, the A-10s sixth man award winner. Play 1 unit on SF Austin |
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03-21-14 | Eastern Kentucky +14 v. Kansas | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
Eastern Kentucky +14
Kansas overrated. EKU won the Ohio Valley to get here, a better conference than you might think and EKU has sharpshooters all over the floor and can score. They also force 17 turnovers per game abnd Kansas with no true point guard and no Embiid to rebound will struggle, they will get the win, but this won |
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03-21-14 | Stanford v. New Mexico -3 | 58-53 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
New Mexico -3
They have size, they have a better offense, they also beat SDSU 2 out of 3 times this year and Stanford is an also ran in the PAC 12 who got lucky in the tourney and then absolutely buried by UCLA in the championship game. Love the Lobos and the short number Play 1 Unit on New Mexico |
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03-20-14 | St. Joseph's v. Connecticut -4.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
U Conn -4.5
LOVE U Conn here. This team is capable of Sweet 16. St Joes shocked everyone and won the A-10. Better guard play for U Conn and this is a team capable of excellent guard play. St Joes relys too much oin an inside game and U Conn flat out played a tougher schedule and are the better team. This is not the A-10 for St Joes. Play 2 Units on U Conn TOP PLAY |
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03-20-14 | BYU v. Oregon -5.5 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
Oregon -5.5
BYU |
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03-20-14 | Pittsburgh v. Colorado +6.5 | 77-48 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
Colorado +6.5
Pitt is an enigma wrapped in a riddle, cannot figure them out, but this sets up to be a low scoring game, and in a low scoring game I will take the big points, and Colorado here capable to win outright but Pitt more battle tested. First one to 60 points wins, I will gladly take the generous points and the Buffs. Play 1 Unit on Colorado |