05-03-17 |
Rockies -124 v. Padres |
|
11-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Rockies/Padres NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado -124
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have dropped two straight and five of their last seven. They'll have a good opportunity to bounce back tonight against the San Diego Padres. Jered Weaver is a dumpster fire who is far past his prime. Weaver is 0-2 with a 4.71 ERA in 5 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA in 5 starts, and 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 2 road starts. Senzatela allowed just 2 runs in 7 innings of a 3-2 victory over the Padres on April 11th. The Rockies are 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatela's last 5 starts. The Padres are 0-5 in Weaver's last 5 starts. Take Colorado.
|
05-02-17 |
Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 |
|
5-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)
The Key: Masahiro Tanaka is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is coming off a complete game shutout at Boston, so he's clearly finding his groove. Mat Latos has been awful over the past few seasons and isn't about to resurrect his career in Toronto in the tough AL East. Tanaka is 6-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. The Yankees are 12-1 in Tanaka's last 13 starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher, winning by an average of 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
05-01-17 |
Pirates -109 v. Reds |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NL Central Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -109
The Key: The Cincinnati Reds have come back down to reality over the past few weeks. They are just 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. Amir Garrett is now 2-2 with a 5.09 ERA on the year after getting shelled for 9 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the Brewers. Ace Gerrit Cole sports a 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts and we'll back him at an excellent price tonight. The Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Pittsburgh.
|
04-30-17 |
Padres v. Giants -129 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-129 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -129
The Key: The Giants will bounce back from their 12-4 defeat at the hands of the Padres yesterday. Ty Blach is a nice young starter for them who deserves a spot in the rotation and will be hungry to prove it today. Clayton Richard is 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA in 5 starts for the Padres, 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in 3 road starts and 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts. San Diego is 2-8 in its last 10 road games. The Padres are 8-32 in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are 16-41 in their last 57 road games. The Padres are 0-5 in Richard's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 16-6 in their last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Padres are 15-37 in the last 52 meetings in San Francisco. Take San Francisco.
|
04-29-17 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks -125 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -125
The Key: Rarely will you get the opportunity to back ace Zach Greinke at this kind of price at home. The Diamondbacks are 11-4 at home this season and scoring 6.8 runs per game. Greinkey is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 5 starts, and 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA in 3 home starts, clearly turning it around this year. Tyler Anderson is 1-3 with a 7.10 ERA in 5 starts for the Rockies. Anderson is 0-0 with a 6.30 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Greinke is 98-37 (+41.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher in his career. Greinke is 42-11 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career. Take Arizona.
|
04-28-17 |
Rockies +142 v. Diamondbacks |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
142 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* NL West *CA$H COW* on Colorado Rockies +142
The Key: The Colorado Rockies come in having lost 3 straight games. They will be hungry to get back in the win column tonight, and I think they do that against the Rays at a great price due to their advantage on the mound. Kyle Freeland has gone 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 4 starts this year, including a 2.25 ERA in his lone road start. Robbie Ray sports a 3.42 ERA in 4 starts for the Diamondbacks, including a 6.55 ERA in 2 home starts. Ray has been rocked by the Rockies, sporting a 5.30 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts. Colorado is a very profitable 19-16 (+12.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Ray is a woeful 2-8 (-9.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. Take Colorado.
|
04-26-17 |
Marlins v. Phillies +101 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
101 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NL East Game of the Week on Philadelphia Phillies +101
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are rolling right now. They have won 4 straight coming in. They are hitting .278 and scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this year. Vincent Velasquez is one of the bright young talents in the game. He has 19 strikeouts in 15 innings over 3 starts this year. Velasquez is 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami. Wei-Yin Chen has struggled recently against the Phillies. He is 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, all of which came last season. He has given up 10 earned runs and a whopping 28 hits in 16 1/3 innings in those 3 starts. Take Philadelphia.
|
04-24-17 |
Cubs -118 v. Pirates |
|
14-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Pirates ESPN *CA$H COW* on Chicago -118
The Key: Brett Anderson had two great starts to open the season in which he allowed just 1 earned run in 10 2/3 innings. But after getting blown up by the Brewers in his last start, Anderson is now being undervalued. But he's clearly the better starter in this matchup with Chad Kuhl, and the Cubs have far and away the better lineup. The Cubs are scoring 4.9 runs per game overall and 5.9 per game on the road. The Pirates are scoring just 3.4 runs per game overall and 2.9 against left-handed starters. Kuhl has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-2 with a monstrous 10.45 ERA and 2.323 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts, all of which came last season. Take Chicago.
|
04-23-17 |
Cardinals -108 v. Brewers |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -108
The Key: Mike Leake has been absolutely dominant this season, going 2-1 with a 0.84 ERA and 0.844 WHIP over 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Jimmy Nelson, who is 1-0 with a 4.42 ERA in 3 starts for the Brewers. Leake is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Brewers, giving up just 3 runs and 12 base runners in 13 innings while striking out 14 batters. Nelson has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-6 with a 6.97 ERA in 8 lifetime starts. Take St. Louis.
|
04-22-17 |
Yankees v. Pirates +106 |
|
11-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates +106
The Key: Jameson Taillon impressed as a rookie last season, and now he has carried over that success into 2017. He has gone 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA through 3 starts this year despite taking on two of the best teams in baseball in the Red Sox and Cubs. Michael Pineda is wild and clearly can't control his stuff. The Yankees are just 2-5 on the road this season, while the Pirates are 4-3 at home. The Pirates are 13-5 in Taillon's last 18 starts, 8-3 in his last 11 home starts, and 7-0 in his last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or less in their previous game. Take Pittsburgh.
|
04-21-17 |
Mariners +113 v. A's |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/A's AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle +113
The Key: I'll back the Seattle Mariners at an excellent underdog price here Friday night. They'll bounce back from a 6-9 loss to the A's last night behind Hisashi Iwakuma, who sports a 2.25 ERA in 2 road starts this season. Iwakuma sports a 9-4 record in 15 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Sean Manaea is 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA in 3 starts this season for the A's. Manaea sports a 4.76 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners are 9-1 in Iwakuma's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 starts vs. AL West teams. The Mariners are 5-0 in Iwakuma's last 5 road starts vs. Oakland. Take Seattle.
|
04-20-17 |
Phillies v. Mets -1.5 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets -1.5 (+125)
The Key: The New York Mets have a massive advantage on the mound tonight. Instead of backing them at -170 on the money line, I'm going to take the value here and the +125 on the run line in a game I'm certain they win by 2 runs or more. Noah Syndergaard is 1-0 with a 0.95 ERA in 3 starts this year, yielding only 2 earned runs in 19 innings. Syndergaard is a perfect 4-0 in 4 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia while sporting a 1.37 ERA. He has never lost to them. Aaron Nola is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in one lifetime start vs. the Mets. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
04-19-17 |
Marlins v. Mariners -143 |
|
5-10 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Seattle Mariners -143
The Key: Edinson Volquez is coming off a terrible season with the Royals in which he went 10-11 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.548 WHIP in 34 starts. Now the Marlins scooped him up, and while he will likely improve on those numbers this season, this is a guy that is far past his prime. Felix Hernandez came into spring training in better shape and lost some weight. It has paid off as he dominated in the World Baseball Classic, and he has been excellent in the early going. Hernandez is 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in 3 starts. He has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in 2 lifetime starts. Miami is 24-56 in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. The Marlins are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague road games. The Mariners are 7-2 in Hernandez's last 9 home starts. Take Seattle.
|
04-18-17 |
Diamondbacks -115 v. Padres |
|
11-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -115
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are determined to contend in the NL West this season. They have the talent to do it, and they're off to a good start at 9-5 this season. The San Diego Padres are far and away the worst team in the NL West. They just 5-9 and will probably lose 100 games this season. So getting to fade them at only a -115 price is a discount in my book. And Shelby Miller is going to be much better than he was a year ago. Miller is 12-4 (+9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 lifetime. Arizona is 12-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Padres are 1-5 in Cosart's last 6 starts. Take Arizona.
|
04-17-17 |
Diamondbacks +144 v. Dodgers |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
144 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks +144
The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers were one of the worst teams in baseball against left-handed pitching last season. They ranked 30th in a number of different categories against southpaws. That has carried over into this seaosn as they are just 2-4 against lefties while hitting .245 and scoring 3.5 runs per game. Robbie Ray is a lefty with electric stuff as he's 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA in 2 starts this season with 14 K's in 12 1/3 innings. Ray has had plenty of success against the Dodgers, sporting a 2.96 ERA in 8 lifetime starts. He has struck out 27 batters in 18 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Arizona.
|
04-15-17 |
Rockies v. Giants -121 |
|
5-0 |
Loss |
-121 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -121
The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Giants have won 4 of their last 6 and I expect them to add another win here Saturday as a short home favorite against the Colorado Rockies. Matt Moore has been great in 2 starts, sporting a 2.70 ERA in his 2 starts against the Diamondbacks this season. Tyler Chatwood sports a 6.35 ERA in his 2 starts against the Padres and Brewers. Moore gave up just 1 earned run in 7 2/3 innings while striking out 11 in a 12-3 home victory over the Rockies in his last start against them. The Rockies are 13-38 in their last 51 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Giants are 5-1 in Moore's last 6 home starts. Take San Francisco.
|
04-14-17 |
Padres v. Braves -134 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Month on Atlanta Braves -134
The Key: The Atlanta Braves are just 2-6 to open the 2017 season. But all eight games have been on the road, and now they break in their new stadium in their home opener Friday, and it should be a great atmosphere. It also helps that they are sending ace Julio Teheran to the mound. He has pitched 13 shutout innings in his two starts against Pittsburgh and New York to open the season. He'll be opposed by Jhoulys Chacin, who is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA while allowing 9 earned runs in 10 innings against the Giants and Dodgers. Teheran is 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last 3 starts against San Diego while allowing 5 earned runs in 21 innings. Take Atlanta.
|
04-13-17 |
Rockies v. Giants -160 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-160 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -160
The Key: The advantage on the mound clearly goes to the San Francisco Giants in this one. Ace Madison Bumgarner sports a 3.00 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 2 starts this season. He is 12-6 with a 3.11 ERA in 25 lifetime starts versus Colorado. Jon Gray has been shaky in the early going, sporting a 5.79 ERA in two starts while giving up 6 runs and 15 base runners in 9 1/3 innings. Colorado is 4-22 against the money line in road games off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite since 1997. Gray is 1-11 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies are 4-16 in Gray's last 20 road starts. The Giants are 15-3 in Bumgarner's last 18 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco.
|
04-12-17 |
Reds v. Pirates -168 |
|
9-2 |
Loss |
-168 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates -168
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates will be hungry for a win tonight. They have lost the first two games of this series to the Reds and do not want to get swept at home. Ivan Nova had a tremendous spring training and carried that over to his first start of the season. Nova pitched 6 shutout innings against the Braves. Nova is 3-2 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.061 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Cincinnati. Nova is 52-23 (+18.2 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career. The Pirates are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Pirates are 8-3 in Nova's last 12 starts. Take Pittsburgh.
|
04-11-17 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants -125 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* DBacks/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -125
The Key: The San Francisco Giants played 7 straight road games to open the season and went 2-5. But now they're home and coming off a 4-1 win over the Diamondbacks in their home opener yesterday. And I think this is a cheap price to get the Giants at -125 again tonight. Jeff Samardzija has been much better at home than on the road and will be hungry to make up for a poor start in Arizona on April 6th. Robbie Ray sports a 3.90 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts versus San Francisco. Ray is 2-15 (-15.4 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 7-19 in Ray's last 26 road starts. The Giants are 36-17 in their last 53 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The Giants are 15-5 in the last 20 meetings. Take San Francisco.
|
04-10-17 |
Astros v. Mariners -126 |
|
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Seattle Mariners -126
The Key: The Mariners have been a hard-luck team in the early going with their 1-6 start. They just blew a 9-3 lead in the 9th inning and lost 10-9 to the Angels yesterday, which was their 3rd one-run loss already. But after playing their first 7 games on the road, the Mariners will be hungry to get back on track in their home opener Monday. James Paxton pitched 6 shutout innings and allowed only 3 base runners in his first start this year at Houston. He sports a 3.60 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Astros. Charlie Morton is 14-33 against the money line in day games in his career. Take Seattle.
|
04-09-17 |
Dodgers -122 v. Rockies |
|
10-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Dodgers -122
The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost the first 2 games of this series to the Colorado Rockets by a combined 3 runs. They'll be hungry for a win here to avoid getting swept Sunday. Kenta Maeda is one of the bright young starting pitchers in the game today. He has gone 2-2 with a 1.90 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. The Dodgers are 57-28 in their last 85 during game 3 of a series. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-08-17 |
Marlins v. Mets -115 |
|
8-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on New York Mets -115
The Key: Robert Gsellman looked ready to establish himself as the Mets' next vaunted starter last season, when he went 4-2 with a 2.42 ERA in eight games (seven starts) following his promotion from Triple-A Las Vegas on Aug. 22. He made his season debut on Monday, when he threw a scoreless ninth inning in New York's 6-0 Opening Day win over the Atlanta Braves. The 23-year-old Gsellman enters this season as one of the top Rookie of the Year contenders in the National League after throwing 44 2/3 innings last season -- just 5 1/3 fewer than the maximum needed to maintain rookie eligibility. "This guy's got as good stuff as any young pitcher I've been around," Mets manager Terry Collins said Friday afternoon. "I think Robert Gsellman is a legitimate high-end starter." Take New York.
|
04-07-17 |
Marlins v. Mets -115 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Marlins/Mets NL East *CA$H COW* on New York -115
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Mets as small home favorites here against the Marlins. Zack Wheeler returns from Tommy John surgery and has earned his spot in the rotation by clocking in at 97 mph in the spring. Wheeler has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them. Expect that dominance to continue here tonight. Take New York.
|
04-06-17 |
Blue Jays v. Rays +120 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays +120
The Key: The Rays took 2 out of 3 from the Yankees thanks to getting 18 2/3 innings from their starters, and 8 1/3 innings of one-run ball from their relievers. They are a sleeper in the AL East this season. I really like Blake Snell, who has the stuff to be a star in the big leagues. Snell is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Marcus Stroman is 3-4 with a 4.84 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Stroman is 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Rays, allowing 13 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings, and all 3 starts came last season. Stroman is 3-10 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 1-10 in Stroman's last 11 road starts. Take Tampa Bay.
|
04-05-17 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks +114 |
|
6-8 |
Win
|
114 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/DBacks NL West *CA$H COW* on Arizona +114
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks made a huge trade to upgrade their rotation by grabbing Taijuan Walker in the offseason. They were so high on him that they traded Jean Segura to the Mariners. Segura led the National League with 203 hits last season while hitting .319 with 20 homers. Walker has some of the best 'stuff' in baseball and can be one of the best starters in the game in the coming years. Walker is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in one lifetime starts versus San Francisco, giving up just 1 earned run in 7 innings of a 5-1 victory. Matt Moore gave up 7 earned runs in 14 innings in 2 starts at Arizona last year for a 4.50 ERA. Take Arizona.
|
04-04-17 |
Angels -116 v. A's |
|
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* Angels/A's AL West *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -116
The Key: The Los Angeles Angels will be hungry to taste their first victory of the season tonight after losing 4-2 to the A's yesterday. They have the advantage on the mound in this one with Matt Shoemaker, who is 4-2 with a 3.51 ERA in 9 lifetime starts versus Oakland. He went 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 3 starts against the A's last season, yielding only 3 earned runs in 19 innings. The A's are 2-8 in their last 10 home games. The Angels are 4-0 in Shoemaker's last 4 starts. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-03-17 |
Phillies +102 v. Reds |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
102 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Phillies +102
The Key: After winning 71 games a year ago, the Philadelphia Phillies could surprise in the NL East. They have been rebuilding over the last several years, but now most of their players are in place to make some noise. Jeremy Hellickson earned this Opening Day start by going 12-10 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 32 starts last year. Hellickson is 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts versus Cincinnati. The Reds just started rebuilding last season, and they are one of the worst teams in baseball in 2017. To show how dire their situation is, they will be sending 34-year-old Scott Feldman to the mound as their Opening Day starter. The Reds have seven rookies on their Opening Day roster, and the last team with as many as seven on their 25-man roster was Arizona in 2017. Take Philadelphia.
|
04-02-17 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks +133 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
133 |
4 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Diamondbacks NL West *CA$H COW* on Arizona +133
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have the talent to make some noise in the NL West this season. After a disappointing 2016 campaign, look for them to try and make a statement early in 2017. Zack Greinke is sure to rebound after an injury-plagued season last year. Greinke is 9-2 with a 2.49 ERA in 14 lifetime starts versus San Francisco. Take Arizona.
|
11-02-16 |
Cubs -115 v. Indians |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* Cubs/Indians World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -115
The Key: The Chicago Cubs send ace Kyle Hendricks to the mound tonight to finish off this series, just as he did in Game 6 against the Dodgers by pitching an absolute gem. Hendricks is on full rest, while his counterpart Corey Kluber is only on 3 days of rest. Since this is the Cubs' third time seeing Kluber, I think they'll have their most success against him. They did get a base runner on in all but one inning against Kluber in Game 4, but they didn't do much with it. They will do more damage this time around. I look for Hendricks to depart with the lead and for the bullpen to finish it off. Take Chicago.
|
11-01-16 |
Cubs -144 v. Indians |
Top |
9-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* World Series Game of the Year on Chicago Cubs -144
The Key: The Chicago Cubs feel like they can pull off the comeback from a 3-1 deficit. After winning Game 5, they now have Jake Arrieta back on the mound in Cleveland. The last time he was there in Game 2 he took a no-hitter into the 6th inning in a 5-1 victory for the Cubs. I expect Arrieta to come up big, and for the Cubs to tee off on Josh Tomlin, who has been pitching above his head thus far in the postseason and is due to get knocked around a little bit here. Take Chicago.
|
10-29-16 |
Indians v. Cubs -127 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-127 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -127
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss. They have shown a ton of resiliency already in this postseason, winning three straight games after falling behind to the Dodgers 2-1 in the NLCS. Look for them to be much better at the plate against Corey Kluber tonight after seeing him already in Game 1. The Indians are taking a big gamble here starting Kluber on short rest. They lost the last time he started on short rest against the Blue Jays in Game 4 last series. The Cubs are 5-0 in John Lackey's last 5 starts, and I expect him to come up big for them once again tonight. Take Chicago.
|
10-28-16 |
Indians v. Cubs -1.5 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs should win by multiple runs tonight. Their offense is hitting on all cylinders in scoring at least 5 runs in four of their last five games overall. They should feast on Josh Tomlin, who sports a 4.31 ERA in 31 starts this season. Kyle Hendricks should continue to dominate. He's 10-3 with a 1.31 ERA in 17 home starts this year and 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA in 3 postseason starts. The Cubs have owned right-handed starters, going 43-13 in their last 56 games against them. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
10-26-16 |
Cubs -132 v. Indians |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Indians World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -132
The Key: The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Jake Arrieta over Trevor Bauer. They also have the motivational advantage after losing Game 1. The Cubs are 36-16 in Arrieta's last 52 road starts and 39-15 in his last 54 starts overall. They are also 14-1 in his last 15 road starts with a price range of -100 to -150. Take Chicago.
|
10-25-16 |
Cubs -111 v. Indians |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-111 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Indians World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -111
The Key: Jon Lester is 8-6 with a 2.05 ERA in his postseason career, which spans 17 starts and 2 relief appearances. He has been even better this postseason, going 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts while yielding only 2 earned runs in 21 innings. Look for the veteran lefty to shut down the Indians in this one. The Cubs got their bats going with 23 runs on 33 hits over their final 3 games in the NLCS. That should carry over into Game 1 of the World Series as well. Take Chicago.
|
10-20-16 |
Cubs -151 v. Dodgers |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Dodgers NLCS *CA$H COW* on Chicago -151
The Key: Jon Lester posted a 0.64 ERA in two postseason starts this season. He also sports a 0.86 ERA in his 3 starts against the Dodgers this year, giving up only 2 earned runs over 21 innings of work. Kenta Maeda comes in struggling, having given up 12 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts for an 11.17 ERA. The Cubs are 18-2 in night games started by Lester this season. Take Chicago.
|
10-19-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -179 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-179 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on Toronto Blue Jays -179
The Key: After finally picking up a win this series, the Toronto Blue Jays really believe they can come back and win it all. After all, they won four straight games to open the postseason, and that's the task they have in this series if they want to advance to the World Series. They believe they can do it, and that's the first part. They also have a great advantage on the mound in Game 5 at home tonight. Marco Estrada has pitched 16 1/3 innings of 3-run ball thus far in the postseason, and he's 10-10 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 31 starts this year. He'll be opposed by rookie Ryan Merritt, who will be making just his 2nd career start in the big leagues. That's why the Blue Jays are worth the price of admission today as -179 favorites. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. left-handed starters. Take Toronto.
|
10-18-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -116 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* Indians/Blue Jays ALCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -116
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays won four straight games to open the postseason. Down 3-0, they will need to win four straight to win this series against Cleveland. It starts with one, and that's Game 4 today. I like Aaron Sanchez, who is 15-2 with a 3.23 ERA in 31 starts this year and wins almost every time he takes the mound. Corey Kluber has struggled against the Blue Jays in the past, going 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts. He pitched well against them in Game 1, but the chances of shutting down this potent Blue Jays lineup twice in one series is not very good. Take Toronto.
|
10-17-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Indians/Blue Jays ALCS *CA$H COW* on Toronto -1.5 (+115)
The Key: Marcus Stroman sports a 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 starts against Cleveland this season. He has allowed only 2 earned runs in 14 innings in those 2 starts. Trevor Bauer has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-1 with an 8.57 ERA and 1.757 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts. Stroman has never been beaten in 4 postseason starts, going 1-0 with a 3.91 ERA over the past 2 seasons. The Blue Jays really need this win, and I think they'll get it by multiple runs tonight behind another dominant performance from Stroman. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
|
10-15-16 |
Dodgers v. Cubs -1.5 |
|
4-8 |
Win
|
116 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Dodgers/Cubs NLCS *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+116)
The Key: Instead of laying -190 on the money line, I'm going to go with the Cubs on the Run Line in Game 1 of this series. They have had plenty of time off after taking down the Giants on Tuesday, while the Dodgers just finished a tough series against the Nationals on Thursday. I like the pitching matchup today in favor of the Cubs. Jon Lester is 20-5 with a 2.35 ERA in 33 starts this year, and 11-2 with a 1.162 WHIP in 16 home starts. Kenta Maeda has really struggled of late for the Dodgers, going 0-3 with an 11.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lester is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. In 2 starts against L.A. in 2016, he has given up just 1 earned run and 9 base runners over 15 innings. Lester is 21-3 (+16.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are winning by 2.6 runs per game on average int his spot. Take Chicago.
|
10-14-16 |
Blue Jays v. Indians OVER 7.5 |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Blue Jays/Indians ALCS *TOTAL* Annihilator on OVER 7.5
The Key: This is a very short total for two of the better offenses in the American League. The Blue Jays have scored 22 runs thus far in the postseason. The Indians have scored 15 so far. Cleveland is averaging 5.6 runs per game at home this season, making it no surprise that the OVER is 48-32 in their 80 home games. The OVER is 8-2 in Indians last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take the OVER.
|
10-11-16 |
Cubs -119 v. Giants |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* Cubs/Giants Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -119
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 18-7 in their last 25 games following a loss. They are 4-1 in John Lackey's last 5 starts. Lackey is the better starter in this matchup. He is 11-8 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 29 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Matt Moore, who is 13-12 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.291 WHIP in 33 starts. The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take Chicago.
|
10-10-16 |
Cubs v. Giants -101 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Giants NLDS Game 3 *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -101
The Key: Madison Bumgarner's success in the postseason is well documented. He has gone 5-1 with a 0.88 ERA in during the 2014 and 2016 postseasons. When the Giants have been facing elimination, he's gone 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA while pitching 23 shutout innings. Jake Arrieta struggled in the second half this season and posted a 4.60 ERA in the month of September. Bumgarner owns the Cubs as well, going 8-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 12 lifetime starts. Take San Francisco.
|
10-07-16 |
Dodgers v. Nationals +136 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Friday Night *CA$H COW* on Washington Nationals +136
The Key: I really like the price we are getting with the Washington Nationals today as home underdogs. I don't believe there's as big of a difference between Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw as this line would suggest. After all, Kershaw is 2-3 in the NLDS and 0-3 in the NLCS in his career, so he hasn't stepped up in the postseason. Scherzer has gone 20-7 with a 2.96 ERA this season. He sports a 3.29 ERA in 10 games, eight starts, lifetime sgainst the Dodgers. The Nationals went 50-31 at home this season, while the Dodgers went 38-43 on the road. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. The Nationals are 5-0 in Scherzer's last 5 home starts. Take Washington.
|
10-06-16 |
Red Sox -140 v. Indians |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Red Sox/Indians American League *CA$H COW* on Boston -140
The Key: Rick Porcello is is a Cy Young contender who went 22-4 with a 3.15 ERA in 33 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Trevor Bauer, who is 10-8 with a 4.35 ERA in 28 starts, 6-4 with a 4.60 ERA in 16 home starts, and 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA in his last three starts. Porcello is 10-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 22 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Bauer is 0-2 with a 12.14 ERA in two lifetime starts vs. Boston, giving up 9 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings. The Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Boston is 25-8 in Porcello's last 33 starts. Take Boston.
|
10-05-16 |
Giants -112 v. Mets |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Mets National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -112
The Key: I'm going with the Giants today to advance to the division series with a win over the New York Mets. I'll gladly back one of the best big game pitchers in the history of baseball in Madison Bumgarner. He has gone 15-9 with a 2.78 ERA on the season. Bumgarner is 5-0 with a 1.80 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. The Giants come in with some momentum having won four straight with a plus-20 run differential during the winning streak. The Mets are 0-5 in Noah Syndergaard's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Take San Francisco.
|
10-04-16 |
Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* Orioles/Blue Jays AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore +133
The Key: The Orioles are 4-0 in games against the Blue Jays in which Chris Tillman has started this season. He has given up 2 earned runs or less in 3 of those 4 starts. The Blue Jays are 0-3 in Marcus Stroman's last 3 starts against the Orioles this season. He has allowed 15 earned runs in 16 innings in those 3 outings. Tillman is 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA in 14 road starts this year. Stroman is 4-3 with a 4.59 ERA in 16 home starts. It appears the wrong team is favored in this matchup as the Orioles have the better bullpen as well. Take Baltimore.
|
09-30-16 |
Tigers -145 v. Braves |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -145
The Key: Trailing by 1.5 games in the wild card race, the Detroit Tigers really need to sweep the Atlanta Braves if they want any chance. It starts with a Game 1 victory here Friday. The Tigers clearly have the edge on the mound behind Daniel Norris, who is 3-2 with a 3.65 ERA in 12 starts this season. He has really been good down the stretch, going 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts. He'll be opposed by Matt Wisler, who is 7-12 with a 4.89 ERA in 25 starts, and 1-1 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Tigers are 5-1 in Norris' last 6 starts overall and 8-3 in his last 11 road starts. Detroit is 4-0 in its last four road games. The Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 interleague home games. Atlanta is 1-6 in Wisler's last 7 interleague starts and 4-11 in its last 15 home starts. Take Detroit.
|
09-29-16 |
Cubs v. Pirates -106 |
|
1-1 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pittsburgh Pirates -106
The Key: The Chicago Cubs clearly have nothing to play for right now. That's obvious by the fact that they are giving Rob Zastryzny a spot start tonight against the Pirates to try and keep their rotation fresh. Don't be surprised if Joe Maddon rests his regulars the rest of the way. The Pirates still want to finish .500 or better as they are 78-80 on the season, and they won 8-4 over the Cubs yesterday. Ivan Nova has pitched very well at home, going 6-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 13 starts this season. Nova is 40-17 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 lifetime. The Pirates are 20-9 against left-handed starters this season. Take Pittsburgh.
|
09-28-16 |
Mets -108 v. Marlins |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Month on New York Mets -108
The Key: The Miami Marlins poured in a lot of effort and emotion to their win on Monday following Jose Fernandez's tragic death. They fell flat Tuesday in a 12-1 loss to the Mets and now have essentially been eliminated from postseason contention. The Mets still have work to do and I like their mental state more right now because of it. I also like Seth Lugo, who has gone 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in seven starts this season while filling in admirably in this rotation. I also like fading Jose Urena, who is 3-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 11 starts, including 0-2 with a 21.60 ERA in his last 2 starts, giving up 12 earned runs in 5 innings. The Mets are 6-0 in Lugo's last 6 starts. The Marlins are 1-8 in Urena's last 9 home starts. Take New York.
|
09-27-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
5-12 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-104)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are one game back of the Giants for the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have to win this game today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds. I trust in veteran Adam Wainwright to get the job done and for the Cards to win by 2 runs or more. Wainwright is 6-4 with a 2.92 ERA in 14 home starts this year. He has given up 2 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts against the Reds this season. He'll be opposed by Robert Stephenson, who is 2-2 with a 5.59 ERA in 6 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 10.79 ERA in 2 road starts. He is 0-1 with a 9.25 ERA in his last 3 starts as well. Wainwright is 50-15 (+27.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) lifetime. His teams are winning these games by 2.6 runs per game. The Reds are 33-70 in their last 103 vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 46-22 in Wainwright's last 68 starts. Take St. Louis.
|
09-26-16 |
Brewers v. Rangers -1.5 |
|
8-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+107)
The Key: The Texas Rangers are tied with the Boston Red Sox for the best record in the American League. With home-field advantage in the postseason on the line, they still have a lot to play for. I'm going to back them to win by 2 runs or more today. Martin Perez has been awesome at home this season, going 8-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 16 starts. He is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. He'll be opposed by Matt Garza, who is 1-6 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.709 WHIP in 10 road starts this year. Perez is 8-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Rangers are winning by 1.9 runs per game in these spots. Take Texas on the Run Line.
|
09-25-16 |
Red Sox -114 v. Rays |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -114
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are the hottest team in baseball with 10 straight wins coming into today. They are closing in on an AL East title, and I believe we are getting them at a great price here of only -114. Eduardo Rodriquez has been at his best on the road this season, going 3-3 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in 10 starts. Jake Odorizzi has struggled of late, going 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rays are 27-55 in their last 82 vs. a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay has lost 5 of its last 6 games overall. Take Boston.
|
09-24-16 |
Mariners -121 v. Twins |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-121 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Seattle Mariners -121
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are just 2 games back in the wild card and in need of wins. A series against the Minnesota Twins, who are 55-99 on the season, is just what the doctor ordered. The Twins have now lost 7 straight games, including last night's 10-1 laugher in which we backed the Mariners. I'll get back on them again because they have another huge edge on the mound. Ariel Miranda is 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 8 starts, including 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Tyler Duffey, who is 8-11 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in 24 starts, including 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.142 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. The Mariners are 4-0 in Miranda's last 4 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in Duffey's last 4 starts. Take Seattle.
|
09-23-16 |
Mariners -132 v. Twins |
|
10-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Seattle Mariners -132
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are 2 games back in the wild card race and in need of wins. Fortunately for them, they have a series against the worst team in baseball in the Minnesota Twins (55-98) starting today. The Twins have lost 6 straight, and now they're in a tough spot as they are coming off a double-header against Detroit yesterday. James Paxton sports a 3.88 ERA through 18 starts this season and is having a fine season for the Mariners. Kyle Gibson has a 5.10 ERA and 1.551 WHIP in 23 starts for the Twins. Seattle is 21-6 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Take Seattle.
|
09-22-16 |
Giants -148 v. Padres |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -148
The Key: Tied with the Mets and Cardinals for the 2 NL wild card spots, the Giants will be hungry for a win here tonight, especially after losing 4 of their last 5 coming in. Jeff Samardzija is having a fine season at 11-10 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in 30 starts, including 0-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He is 5-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. San Diego as well. He'll be opposed by Christian Friedrich, who is 5-10 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in 21 starts. The Giants are 9-2 in their last 11 Thursday games. The Padres are 1-7 in Friedrich's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco.
|
09-20-16 |
Astros -122 v. A's |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Tuesday Night *BAILOUT* on Houston Astros -122
The Key: The Houston Astros are 3 games back in the wild card. They have made a nice push here of late in winning 4 of their last 5 games overall. Look for their success to continue behind Joe Musgrove, who has given up 5 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rangers and Cubs. Musgrove pitched 5 1/3 shutout innings in a 6-0 victory over the A's on August 29 in his only start against them this season. The Astros are 23-6 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record. The A's are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. AL West foes. Oakland is 0-4 in its last 4 home games. Take Houston.
|
09-19-16 |
Astros -120 v. A's |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Monday Night *BAILOUT* on Houston Astros -120
The Key: This series means a lot more to the Astros than it does to the A's. The Astros are 3 games back in the wild card race and need every win they can get. The A's are 66-83 and have nothing but pride to play for. That's why this is a discount of a price on the Astros here today. Brad Peacock has been brilliant in his 2 starts this season, posting a 1.86 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in starts against the Indians and Rangers this month. The Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. The A's are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. Houston is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Take Houston.
|
09-17-16 |
Tigers v. Indians -128 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -128 The Key: Carlos Carrasco is 11-8 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 24 starts this year for the Indians. He has owned the Tigers of late, going 2-0 with a 0.51 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, giving up only 1 earned run in 17 2/3 innings. The same cannot be said for Justin Verlander, who has lost 7 straight decisions against the Indians. He has given up 15 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Indians in 2016. The Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 home games. Take Cleveland.
|
09-16-16 |
Astros v. Mariners -124 |
|
6-0 |
Loss |
-124 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Astros/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -124
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are the hottest team in baseball as they've won 8 straight games to pull within 2 games of the final wild card spot in the American League. Now they send ace Felix Hernandez to the mound against the Houston Astros at home tonight. Fernandez is 11-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.275 WHIP in 21 starts. He has gone 3-3 with a 3.45 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Houston. He has the edge over Collin McHugh, who is 10-10 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.494 WHIP in 29 starts, and 4-6 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in 15 road starts. McHugh sports a 4.39 ERA in 11 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. AL West teams and 7-1 in Hernandez's last 8 starts. Take Seattle.
|
09-15-16 |
A's v. Royals -136 |
|
14-5 |
Loss |
-136 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Thursday *MOUND MISMATCH* on Kansas City Royals -136
The Key: The Kansas City Royals are holding on to slim playoff hopes because of the work they did in August and early September by getting themselves back into contention. They aren't ready to give up yet. The Royals have a decisive edge on the mound tonight with Edinson Volquez, who is 6-3 with a 4.55 ERA in 17 home starts this year. Daniel Mengden is one of the worst starters in baseball at 1-7 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.686 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-2 with a 9.48 ERA and 2.188 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Volquez is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Volquez is 11-0 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons. Mengden is 1-9 (-8.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. Take Kansas City.
|
09-14-16 |
A's v. Royals -132 |
Top |
8-0 |
Loss |
-132 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City Royals -132
The Key: After losing the first 2 games of this series to the Oakland A's, I fully expect the Kansas City Royals to be hungry for a win in Game 3 here tonight. I believe they have the edge on the mound behind Yordano Ventura, who is 10-10 with a 4.26 ERA in 28 starts, and 6-3 with a 4.09 ERA in 11 home starts. Sean Manaea is 5-9 with a 4.43 ERA in 20 starts, and 0-6 with a 6.44 ERA in 8 road starts. Ventura is 16-4 (+11.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 road starts. The Royals are 7-1 in Ventura's last 8 starts. Kansas City is 26-10 in Ventura's last 36 home starts. Take Kansas City.
|
09-13-16 |
Mets -130 v. Nationals |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Month on New York Mets -130
The Key: The New York Mets are in a battle with the Giants and Cardinals for the last two wild card spots in the National League. They need every game the rest of the way, while the Washington Nationals have little to play for as they already have the NL East basically clinched. The Mets have the clear edge on the mound tonight behind Noah Syndergaard, who is 13-8 with a 2.49 ERA in 27 starts, and 7-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 12 road starts. Syndergaard sports a 3.02 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Washington as well. A.J. Cole has struggled in limited action for the Nationals, going 1-2 with a 4.56 ERA in 4 starts. The Mets are 25-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons. New York is 4-1 in Syndergaard's last 5 road starts. The Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take New York.
|
09-12-16 |
Mets +127 v. Nationals |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Week on New York Mets +127
The Key: The New York Mets are in a battle with the Giants and Cardinals for the last two wild card spots in the National League. They need every game the rest of the way, while the Washington Nationals have little to play for as they already have the NL East basically clinched. Rafael Montero spots a 2.89 ERA in his 2 starts this season for the Mets. Mat Latos will be making his first start for the Nationals tonight. he has gone 6-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 6 home starts. He will be making his first start since June 7 and will likely be on a pitch count. The Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road games. New York is 22-6 in its last 28 Monday games. The Mets are 4-1 in Montero's last 5 starts. Take New York.
|
09-11-16 |
Brewers v. Cardinals -164 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-164 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -164 The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are right in the thick of the playoff race for the final 2 wild card spots in the National League. They need every game from here on out, so motivation will not be an issue. Luke Weaver has performed well since being called up for the Cardinals, going 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA in 5 starts. He's 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his lone home start and makes his 2nd home start today. The Cardinals are 73-29 (+21.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. Take St. Louis.
|
09-10-16 |
Rays v. Yankees -131 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -137
The Key: Don't look now but the New York Yankees have won 6 straight and are only 1 game back in the wild card race. Now they get the Tampa Bay Rays again today, who are just 59-81 on the season. This is a reasonable price for the Yankees at home with ace Masahiro Tanaka on the mound. Tanaka is 12-4 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 28 starts this year, and 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chris Archer has been terrible on the road, going 5-8 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in 14 starts. Tanaka has never lost to the Rays, going 4-0 (6-0 money line) with a 2.63 ERA and 0.732 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts. Take New York.
|
09-09-16 |
Indians -139 v. Twins |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -139
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Danny Salazar. He is 11-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 157 K's in 133 1/3 innings this season. Salazar is also 6-4 with a 3.37 ERA in 12 road starts. He'll be opposed by Tyler Duffey, who is 8-10 with a 6.24 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 22 starts, and 4-5 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 12 home starts. Duffey has allowed 9 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Cleveland this season.
|
09-07-16 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Padres |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-132)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are tied for 1st place in the AL East with the Toronto Blue Jays. It's almost like they're playing at home in San Diego because they have had more fans there than the Padres the past two games. I look for them to take this series with a Game 3 victory by multiple runs. David Price has really stepped up his game, going 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA in his last 5 starts while allowing only 8 earned runs in 35 innings. Jarred Cosart gets the ball for the Padres. He is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in 10 starts this year. He just gave up 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Braves of all teams his last time out. Price is 32-11 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game lifetime. His teams are winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot. San Diego is 39-84 (-39.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better since 1997. It is losing by 1.8 runs per game in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
09-06-16 |
Giants +117 v. Rockies |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
117 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Week on San Francisco Giants +117
The Key: If they San Francisco Giants want to catch the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West, they need to get going now. They are 4 games back and have been awful since the All-Star Break. But I have faith in this veteran team to get things turned around. I like the price we are getting with the Giants behind Jeff Samardzija, who is 11-9 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 27 starts, and 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Samardzija really enjoys facing the Rockies, going 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts. San Francisco is 9-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
09-05-16 |
Rangers v. Mariners +113 |
|
6-14 |
Win
|
113 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers/Mariners AL West *CA$H COW* on Seattle +113
The Key: Any time you can get ace Felix Hernandez as an underdog it's worth a look. The Mariners are still alive for the wild card in the American League and need a big finish if they are going to make a run. Hernandez is 9-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 19 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 9 home starts. He sports a 3.85 ERA in 49 lifetime starts vs. Texas as well. Cole Hamels sports a 4.13 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. He gave up 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Mariners on August 30. The Mariners are a sensational 12-1 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Take Seattle.
|
09-04-16 |
Cardinals -163 v. Reds |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -163
The Key: St. Louis is only clinging on to the 2nd wild card spot in the National League by one game right now. That's because the Cardinals have lost 3 straight coming in. It's safe to say that they'll be hungry for a victory Sunday to avoid the sweep against the Reds. I like their chances of getting in the win column thanks to their massive advantage on the mound. Carlos Martinez is 12-7 with a 3.07 ERA in 25 starts, 7-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 12 road starts, and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Martinez has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.63 ERA in 4 lifetime starts. Take St. Louis.
|
09-03-16 |
Angels v. Mariners -112 |
|
10-3 |
Loss |
-112 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Angels/Mariners AL West *CA$H COW* on Seattle -113 The Key: At 69-65 on the season, the Seattle Mariners are 4 games back of the 2nd wild card spot in the American League. They need a big push in September to make the playoffs. They got off to a good start yesterday with an 11-8 victory over the Los Angeles Angels. I look for them to put up another big number against Tyler Skaggs today. Skaggs is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 7 starts this season, and 0-2 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. Taijuan Walker has been at his best at home this year, going 3-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.133 WHIP in 11 starts for the Mariners. The Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Angels are 1-5 in Skaggs' last 6 starts. The Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 10-3 in its last 13 home games. Take Seattle.
|
09-02-16 |
Yankees v. Orioles -124 |
|
0-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -124
The Key: This is a great price here with the Baltimore Orioles at home over the New York Yankees, who are trying to chase them down in the wild card race. The Orioles are 43-24 at home this season. Dylan Bundy has been awesome at home with a 3.21 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 5 starts. Chad Green is just 2-3 with a 5.19 ERA in 7 starts for the Yankees, including 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA in 4 road starts. Green gave up 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 9 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his only start against the Orioles this season, which came on August 27 in his last outing. The Orioles are 39-16 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Orioles are 24-9 in their last 33 home meetings with the Yankees. Take Baltimore.
|
09-01-16 |
Giants +145 v. Cubs |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Cubs National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +145
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the San Francisco Giants tonight as they continue to chase down the LA Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West. Chicago pretty much has the #1 seed in the National League wrapped up, and it won't be long before the Cubs take their foot off the gas. But the main reason I like this price is because I believe the Giants have the edge on the mound. Jeff Samardzija is 11-9 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.206 WHIP in 26 starts, including 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mike Montgomery has only made 4 starts for the Cubs this season, going 0-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.535 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Giants are 10-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 6 straight games this season. Montgomery is 1-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
08-30-16 |
Yankees v. Royals +131 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Kansas City Royals +131
The Key: We are getting a great price on the hottest team in baseball in the Kansas City Royals at home tonight against the New York Yankees. The Royals have won seven consecutive series while going 18-4 in their last 22 games overall. They are once again home underdogs tonight, and we'll take advantage. Edinson Volquez is 6-3 with a 4.25 ERA in 15 home starts, and 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Volquez is 2-1 with a 3.10 ERA and 0.836 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. New York. Masahiro Tanaka was roughed up in his only lifetime start against the Royals, which came earlier this season. He gave up 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 7 innings. The Royals are 41-21 at home this season. Kansas City is 22-8 in Volquez's last 30 home starts. The Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Kansas City.
|
08-29-16 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Phillies |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-118)
The Key: The Washington Nationals have lost 6 of their last 8 games overall, including 2 straight over the weekend. They will come back hungry today to get back in the win column. I like their chances of winning this game by 2 runs or more due to their advantage on the mound. Tanner Roark is 13-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 26 starts this year. Roark is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts against the Phillies this year, giving up just 2 earned runs over 21 innings in the process. Recent call-up Jake Thompson has struggled mightily for the Phillies. he is 1-3 with a 9.78 ERA and 1.811 WHIP in 4 starts this year. Philadelphia is 2-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.1 runs per game in this spot. The Nationals are 10-1 in Roark's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia and 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall. Take Washington on the Run Line.
|
08-28-16 |
Rays v. Astros -105 |
Top |
10-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -105
The Key: The Houston Astros have gone 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and now trail the Baltimore Orioles for the final wild card spot by just 2 games. I expect them to sweep the Tampa Bay Rays, who have the 2nd-worst record in the American League at 54-74. Doug Fister remains one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 12-8 with a 3.59 ERA in 25 starts for the Astros this season. He'll be opposed by Chris Archer, who is 7-17 with a 4.11 ERA in 27 starts, including 4-8 with a 5.97 ERA in 13 road starts. Archer is 4-17 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Archer is 1-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Take Houston.
|
08-27-16 |
Phillies v. Mets -1.5 |
Top |
1-12 |
Win
|
115 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The New York Mets are making one final push here at the end of the season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games overall and should continue to roll against the Philadelphia Phillies. That's especially the case with ace Noah Syndergaard on the mound. He is 11-7 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 24 starts with 175 K's in 147 innings. Syndergaard has never lost to the Phillies, going 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Jeremy Hellickson hasn't fared nearly as well against the Mets, going 2-2 with a 7.01 ERA and 1.597 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
08-26-16 |
Cubs -110 v. Dodgers |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Dodgers National League *BAILOUT* on Chicago -110
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have won 8 of their last 10 and had Thursday off after finishing off their sweep of the Padres on Wednesday. The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a huge series win against the San Francisco Giants, and they certainly could suffer a letdown after facing their biggest rivals. Mike Montgomery has been impressive in limited action with the Cubs, going 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.086 WHIP over 3 spot starts. Bud Norris will be his opponent, and he's 6-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 17 starts this year. Norris gave up 6 earned runs and 11 base runners over 3 2/3 innings in a 2-9 loss to the Reds in his last outing. The Cubs are 22-5 in their last 27 games overall and 46-18 in their last 64 during game 1 of a series. Take Chicago.
|
08-25-16 |
Pirates -121 v. Brewers |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Pirates -121
The Key: We are getting a good price on the Pittsburgh Pirates as small road favorites over the Milwaukee Brewers today. The Pirates need a big finish if they want to get back to the postseason, so motivation won't be an issue for them here down the stretch. I like what I've seen from starter Chad Kuhl, who is 3-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 7 starts, and 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 3 road starts. He'll be opposed by Wily Peralta, who is 5-9 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.738 WHIP in 16 starts this year. Milwaukee is 4-15 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Pittsburgh is 6-1 in Kuhl's last 7 starts. The Brewers are 3-7 in Peralta's last 10 starts. Milwaukee is 25-51 in its last 76 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Pittsburgh.
|
08-24-16 |
Angels v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 |
Top |
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Month on Angels/Blue Jays OVER 8.5
The Key: I look for a slug fest tonight between two of the best offenses in baseball in the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels. Matt Shoemaker hasn't been very good on the road this season, going 3-9 with a 5.09 ERA over 13 starts. Shoemaker gave up 8 runs over 6 innings in his lone lifetime start against the Blue Jays. Marco Estrada is having a decent season, but he hasn't fared well against the Angels, posting a 4.97 ERA in his 2 lifetime starts against them. The OVER is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in this series. Take the OVER.
|
08-23-16 |
Giants -109 v. Dodgers |
Top |
5-9 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* Giants/Dodgers NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -109
The Key: After a disastrous run post-All-Star Break, the San Francisco Giants now find themselves trailing the Los Angeles Dodgers by one game atop the NL West. But the Dodgers always bring the best out in the Giants, and I look for them to take Game 1 of this series behind ace Madison Bumgarner. The left-hander is 12-7 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 26 starts this year. Bumgarner is 13-8 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in 23 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles as well. Kenta Maeda is having a good year as well at 12-7 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 24 starts, but he's certainly no Bumgarner and has started showing signs of wearing down late in his rookie season. Bumgarner is 22-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. NL West foes. Take San Francisco.
|
08-21-16 |
Mets -113 v. Giants |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Mets/Giants ESPN Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on New York -113
The Key: The New York Mets have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the San Francisco Giants and should be bigger favorites. Noah Syndergaard is 10-7 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.209 WHIP in 23 starts this season with 169 K's in 139 innings. Jeff Samardzija is 10-8 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 24 starts for the Giants. Samardzija has never beaten the Mets, going 0-3 with an 11.40 ERA and 1.867 WHIP in three lifetime starts. Take New York.
|
08-20-16 |
Blue Jays -118 v. Indians |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -118
The Key: The Blue Jays had won 4 of their last 5 games coming into this series with Cleveland. They lost Game 1 by a run, but they will bounce back in Game 2 due to their edge on the mound. Aaron Sanchez is 12-2 with a 2.89 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 2.50 ERA in 12 road starts. He's a better starter over Josh Tomlin, who has posted a 4.11 ERA in 22 starts this year. Tomlin is 0-3 with a 9.36 ERA in his last 3 starts, so he's really slowing down. Sanchez has never lost to the Indians, going 1-0 with a 3.17 ERA in 1 lifetime starts. Tomlin is 1-0 with a 4.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Toronto is 13-6 in Sanchez's last 19 starts. The Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. American League East. Take Toronto.
|
08-19-16 |
Nationals -138 v. Braves |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Year on Washington Nationals -138
The Key: The Washington Nationals should be bigger favorites over the Atlanta Braves tonight. Tanner Roark continues to lack the respect he deserves from odddsmakers. Roark is 13-6 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Roark loves facing the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against them. Julio Teheran is 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. Washington. He gave up 6 earned runs in 7 innings in his last start against the Nationals on April 14. Teheran is 1-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. The Nationals are 13-3 in Roark's last 16 starts and 7-1 in his last 8 road starts. The Braves are 18-42 in their last 60 home games and 1-11 in Teheran's last 12 home starts. Take Washington.
|
08-18-16 |
Mariners +104 v. Angels |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle +104
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have won 10 of their last 12 games overall and are now serious postseason contenders here down the stretch. Hisashi Iwakuma has won each of his last 3 starts and 8 of his last 9. During that stretch, he has compiled a 2.78 ERA with 41 strikeouts and 10 walks in 55 innings. He'll be opposed by Matt Shoemaker, who is 6-13 with a 4.22 ERA in 23 starts this season. Iwakuma is 8-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.004 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. Los Angels. The Angels are 1-12 in their last 13 games overall with nothing to play for. Take Seattle.
|
08-17-16 |
Red Sox -114 v. Orioles |
Top |
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -114
The Key: The Boston Red Sox have won five straight games coming into this Game 2 showdown against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday night. Look for them to continue to roll tonight behind ace David Price, who is 10-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 25 starts this season. Price has had his way with the Orioles, going 8-6 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.165 WHIP in 22 lifetime starts against them. The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four games vs. a left-handed starter. Baltimore is 2-7 in its last nine vs. AL East opponents. Take Boston.
|
08-16-16 |
Red Sox -110 v. Orioles |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* AL East Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -110
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are in an intense battle with the Orioles and Blue Jays atop the AL East. Sitting in 3rd place today, the Red Sox have a serious chance to gain some ground with an important series against the Orioles here. I look for them to take Game 1 tonight due to their edge on the mound. Eduardo Rodriquez has been pitching awesome of late with a 2.55 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yovani Gallardo is 4-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.596 WHIP in 15 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gallardo is 2-2 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Boston as well. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during Game 1 of a series. Take Boston.
|
08-15-16 |
Mets +104 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
6-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets +104
The Key: The New York Mets have gotten back on track with two straight victories following a big slump. Now they should not be dogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks, who were just swept in three games by the Boston Red Sox while giving up a combined 31 runs in the process. They definitely shouldn't be dogs with the advantage they have on the mound in this one, too. Bartolo Colon is 10-6 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.203 WHIP in 23 starts, including 6-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 road starts. Robbie Ray is 5-11 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 23 starts, including 3-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.540 WHIP in 11 home starts. Colon sports a 3.20 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Ray is 1-10 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. The Mets are 23-6 in their last 29 Monday games. The Mets are 9-0 in Colon's last 9 Monday starts. Take New York.
|
08-14-16 |
Tigers +105 v. Rangers |
Top |
7-0 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Detroit Tigers +105
The Key: The Detroit Tigers should not be underdogs to the Texas Rangers with the edge they have on the mound this afternoon. Rookie Michael Fulmer has been brilliant, going 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 18 starts this year. He'll be opposed by A.J. Griffin, who is 5-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.282 WHIP in 15 starts, including 2-0 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Griffin has never fared well against the Tigers, going 1-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.788 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. The Tigers are 15-3 in Fulmer's 18 starts this season, including a perfect 7-0 in his day starts. Take Detroit.
|
08-13-16 |
Royals +131 v. Twins |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Week on Kansas City Royals +131
The Key: The Kansas City Royals should not be big underdogs to the Minnesota Twins today. That's especially the case with Tyler Duffey starting for the Twins. Duffey is 7-8 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts this year, 3-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.586 WHIP in 10 home starts, and 2-1 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Duffey gave up 5 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in his lone start against Kansas City this season back on May 25. Dillon Gee is 17-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents lifetime. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games overall. Minnesota is 1-5 in Duffey's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 47-21 in the last 68 meetings and 22-8 in their last 30 meetings in Minnesota. Take Kansas City.
|
08-12-16 |
Mariners +124 v. A's |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
22 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* AL Dog of the Week on Seattle Mariners +124
The Key: Thanks to winning 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall, the Seattle Mariners now have a realistic shot at chasing down a Wild Card spot in the American League. Look for them to keep rolling tonight as they should not be underdogs to the Oakland A's. The young, talented Ariel Miranda will be making his 2nd start of the season, so he's undervalued right now. His first was impressive as he held the Red Sox to just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. He'll be opposed by Sean Manaea, who is 3-7 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 16 starts this year. The A's actually had a game yesterday while the Mariners had a rest day, which also works in their favor. The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 starts following a loss in their previous game. Oakland is 4-12 in its last 16 vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 trips to Oakland. Take Seattle.
|
08-11-16 |
Orioles -138 v. A's |
Top |
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles -138
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles have lost 3 straight games by exactly 1 run to the Oakland A's to begin this series. They will be hungry to avoid the sweep and take Game 4 today. That shouldn't be a problem with ace Chris Tillman on the mound. The right-hander is 14-4 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 24 starts, including 6-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 11 road starts. He'll be opposed by youngster Alex Triggs, who only went 3 innings in his first start this year. Tillman has never lost to the A's, going 3-0 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Take Baltimore.
|
08-09-16 |
Tigers v. Mariners -108 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Mariners American League *BAILOUT* on Seattle -108
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have made a nice push to get back into the postseason discussion. They have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Wade LeBlanc continues to be one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 1-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 4 home starts this season for the Mariners. Daniel Norris continues to struggle as a starter, posting a 5.25 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in 3 starts this year for the Tigers. Norris sports a 5.40 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against Seattle. The Mariners are 4-0 in LeBlanc's last 4 home starts. Take Seattle.
|
08-08-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off back-to-back poor home losses to the Atlanta Braves. That will have them hungry for a victory as they enter this series with the Cincinnati Reds Monday night. I expect them to win by multiple runs in Game 1 tonight. Michael Wacha is 7-7 with a 4.35 ERA in 22 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wacha loves facing the Reds, going 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against them. Cody Reed is still searching for his 1st win this year. He is 0-6 with a 7.30 ERA in 8 starts. That includes an 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA in his lone start against St. Louis on August 3 in his last outing. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.
|
08-07-16 |
Giants -129 v. Nationals |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-129 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco Giants -129
The Key: I'll gladly back ace Madison Bumgarner at this price Sunday. He's 10-6 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.028 WHIP over 23 starts with 174 K's in 155 2/3 innings. Bumgarner has owned the Nationals, sporting a 2.86 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. He pitched a 9-inning shutout in a 5-0 victory in his last start against them. Take San Francisco.
|
08-06-16 |
Rangers v. Astros -135 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -135
The Key: The Astros need to make up some ground on the Rangers if they want to win the division. They got off to a good start with a 5-0 win yesterday, and they are certainly thinking sweep in this series. I expect them to take Game 2 tonight behind Doug Fister, who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Fister has allowed a combined 5 earned runs over 18 innings in his last 3 starts against Texas. The Rangers are 3-14 in their last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Astros are 24-11 in their last 35 home games. Houston is 24-8 in its last 32 vs. AL West opponents. The Astros are 10-2 in Fister's last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Houston is 13-4 in Fister's last 17 starts and 8-1 in his last nine starts vs. AL West opponents. Take Houston.
|
08-05-16 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
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7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-106)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals need to get going if they want to make the playoffs. They have lost 4 of their last 5 coming in. A home series against the NL-worst Atlanta Braves should be just what the doctor ordered to get the Cardinals back on track. Jaime Garcia has been at his best at home this season, going 4-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts. He'll be opposed by Joel De La Cruz, who is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in 3 starts, and 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 1 road start. The Cardinals are 11-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. They are coming back to win by 3.5 runs per game in these spots. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.
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08-04-16 |
Red Sox -136 v. Mariners |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
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7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -136
The Key: The Boston Red Sox come into this game hungry for a win after losing their past 2 games to the Mariners. They should get it behind Drew Pomeranz, who is 8-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 20 starts this year, and 4-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 10 road starts. Pomeranz has never lost to the Mariners, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.333 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. He has pitched 12 shutout innings while giving up only 4 base runners in those 2 starts. Look for him to shut down the Mariners again tonight and to outduel Seattle youngster Ariel Miranda. Take Boston.
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08-03-16 |
Red Sox -115 v. Mariners |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
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7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -115
The Key: After blowing a 4-0 lead in the 8th inning to lose 5-4 to the Mariners last night, the Red Sox will certainly come back hungry tonight. They should take down the Mariners with ease due to their massive advantage on the mound. Rick Porcello is having a career year, going 14-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in 21 starts, including 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Porcello is 6-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. Hisashi Iwakuma is washed up, going 11-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in 21 starts this year. Iwakuma has never fared well against the Red Sox, going 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.955 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. The Red Sox are 7-0 in Porcello's last 7 starts on grass. The Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win. Take Boston.
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