11-20-16 |
Xavier -4.5 v. Northern Iowa |
|
67-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Northern Iowa/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Xavier -4.5
The Key: Xavier is 4-0 this season and ranked as one of the top teams in the country. I really think they are capable of giving Villanova a run for its money in the Big East this season. Northern Iowa is off to a surprising 3-0 start, upsetting both Arizona State and Oklahoma. Off a huge OT win over Oklahoma, I believe this team is in a letdown spot tonight. And they are also overvalued because of that win, only catching 4.5 points against Xavier here. Northern Iowa actually trailed by 18 points in the second half against Oklahoma. But the Sooners miraculously went like 11 straight minutes without a field goal in the 2nd half to allow the comeback. That's not going to happen again. The Musketeers are 7-0 ATS vs. good 3 point shooting teams who make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Xavier is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games. The Musketeers are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games. Take Xavier.
|
11-19-16 |
St. Mary's -2.5 v. Dayton |
|
61-57 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Saturday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's -2.5
The Key: St. Mary's returned all 5 starters from a team that went 29-6 last season and barely missed out on the NCAA Tournament. They even beat Gonzaga twice during the regular season, but lost to them in the WCC Tournament. This team is going to be dynamite this year. Dayton returned 4 starters, but have 2 key players out now due to injury in Kendall Pollard (10.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG last year) and Josh Cunningham (7.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG). St. Mary's is 13-2 ATS off a game with 24 or more assists. The Gaels are 8-0 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Gaels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after scoring 95 points or more. Take St. Mary's.
|
11-18-16 |
Siena +23 v. Kansas |
|
65-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Friday Night *CA$H COW* on Siena +23
The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are in a prime letdown spot here. After losing to Indiana and then beating top-ranked Duke to open the season, there's no way they're going to be able to get up for Siena tonight. They will just be going through the motions and won't win by more than 23 points. Sienna is a very good team that went 21-13 last season with its only loss this season coming by 2 points at George Washington, which won the NIT last year and barely missed the NCAA Tournament. Siena has all five starters back from last season and each of its top five scorers. I love the experience on this team, and they won't be intimidated by Kansas. They have five players back who averaged double-digits scoring last year. Saints coach Jimmy Patsos is 9-1 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more in all games he has coached. Take Siena.
|
11-17-16 |
Northern Iowa v. Arizona State -4 |
|
82-63 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Thursday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Arizona State -4
The Key: Bobby Hurley is now in his second season at Arizona State and big improvements can be expected. Two key starters return from last year's team in Tra Holder (14.2 PPG) and Obinna Oleka (9.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG). Guard Shannon Evans followed Hurley from Buffalo, sitting out last season due to transfer rules. But he was Arizona State's best player in practice at times and will make significant contributions this season. The Suns Devils are 2-0 SU & 1-0-1 ATS this season, winning by 18 over Portland State as 18-point favorites and by 22 over Cal Poly as 14.5-point favorites. They are clearly undervalued in the early going. Northern Iowa is overvalued after making the NCAA Tournament last season and showing well. But the Panthers lost 3 starters and 3 of their top 4 scorers from that team. They can be expected to get out to a slow start this season as a result. Northern Iowa is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win by 30 points or more. Bets against neutral court underdogs in the first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8 or more wins in their last 10 games, good team from last season that won 60% to 80% of their games are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Arizona State.
|
11-16-16 |
Morehead State v. Marshall -2.5 |
|
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -2.5
The Key: Dan D'Antoni has his best team yet as he enters year 3 at Marshall. They managed a 17-16 record last season and should be even better in 2016-17. That's because they return 4 starters in Stevie Browning (12.8 PPG), Ryan Taylor (14.2 PPG), Jone Elmore (15.2 PPG) and Austin Loop (9.4 PPG). Morehead State only has 2 starters back this year and loses three key players in Corban Collins (11.0 PPG), Brent Arrington (10.2 PPG) and Anthony Elechi (8.3 PPG). I like the Thundering Herd to cover this small number and beat Morehead State tonight. The Thundering Herd are 9-1 ATS in home games off a win over the last 3 seasons. Marshall is 8-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Marshall.
|
11-15-16 |
Kansas +2 v. Duke |
|
77-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Kansas +2
The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are title favorites for good reason. However, they aren't at full strength right now or even close to it as they are basically letting 6 players play all their minutes. That's because they are without three McDonald's All-Americans in Jayson Tatum, Henry Giles and Marques Bolden. Because of these losses, Kansas is actually the better team right now and shouldn't be underdogs. The Jayhawks will also be motivated to avoid opening 0-2 after losing to Indiana in overtime in their opener. The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Kansas is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss. Take Kansas.
|
11-14-16 |
Georgia State v. Auburn -7 |
|
65-83 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Auburn -7
The Key: The Auburn Tigers are in Year 3 under Bruce Pearl and primed for their best season yet. They are revitalized with an influx of new, talented players joining key contributors from an injury-riddled 2015-16 campaign. Pearl has done an excellent job in recruiting, and he now has his deepest, most talented team yet. The Tigers beat North Florida 83-66 in their opener while forcing 28 turnovers. This seems like a cheap price to back them at home against overmatched Georgia State as only 7-point favorites. Georgia State is 2-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Georgia State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 vs. SEC opponents. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Sun Belt foes. Take Auburn.
|
11-13-16 |
Texas-San Antonio +17.5 v. Oregon State |
|
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UTSA +17.5
The Key: The UTSA Road Runners really impressed me in their opener. They only lost 66-69 at Fresno State as 15-point dogs, covering the spread by 12 points. They outrebounded the Bulldogs by 25 boards and only lost the game because they committed 20 turnovers. This is a team that returned 4 starters from last year and hired Steve Henson, Lon Kruger's right-hand man at Oklahoma. Oregon State is a team that lost 4 key players from last year, including star PG Gary Payton II, who averaged 16 points and 7.8 boards last year. I wasn't impressed with Oregon State's 78-58 home win over Prairie View A&M in the opener as the Beavers shot just 41.3% and committed 20 turnovers. That's really bad when you consider they had only 46 shot attempts. Take UTSA.
|
11-11-16 |
Michigan State v. Arizona +1 |
|
63-65 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan State/Arizona ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Arizona +1
The Key: Arizona has four new starters, including two true freshman starters in guard Rawle Alkins and power forward Lauri Markkanen, a 3-point shooter and NBA lottery prospect who was the team's leading scorer with 21 points in its final exhibition game against Chico State on Sunday. Sophomore post player Chance Comanche should be good to go after serving a suspension due to academics. Comanche (6-11) joins a front line that includes 7-footer Markkanen, 7-foot center Dusan Ristic and 6-9 forward Keanu Pinder, a junior college transfer. Michigan State also replaces 4 starters from last season, and they'll be without big men Ben Carter and Gavin Schilling due to knee injuries. That leaves Nick Ward, at 6-8, as the team's tallest player tonight. The Wildcats should own the Spartans on the glass in this game, which will be the key to victory. Take Arizona.
|
04-04-16 |
Villanova v. North Carolina -2 |
Top |
77-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* UNC/Villanova *HEAVY HITTER* on UNC -2
The Key: North Carolina is the one team without any weaknesses in the NCAA Tournament. That's why it is still alive and playing for a national title. The Tar Heels have the best big men in the country, and Marcus Paige and Joel Berry II have really stepped up their games in the tournament. Villanova has arguably the best guards in the land, but it is going to be at a serious disadvantage inside. Daniel Ochefu is their only big man of any significance, and he isn't going to be able to hold his own against Carolina. Coming into the Syracuse game, the Tar Heels were getting offensive rebounds on 46 percent of their misses. The Tar Heels will own the paint in this game, and thus they will be crowned your 2016 national champions. Take North Carolina.
|
04-02-16 |
Villanova -2 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
95-51 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* Villanova/Oklahoma Final Four *HEAVY HITTER* on Villanova -2
The Key: The Villanova Wildcats are showing solid value as only 2-point favorites over the Oklahoma Sooners. They have certainly been the most impressive team in the tournament thus far, beating the likes of Miami and Kansas in the last two rounds. The win over Kansas is the significant because it is a Big 12 opponent, and one that went 2-0 against Oklahoma this year. The Wildcats play as a team, which makes them a lot more dangerous than the Sooners, who are too reliant upon Buddy Hield. Take Villanova.
|
03-27-16 |
Notre Dame v. North Carolina -9 |
Top |
74-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* UNC/Notre Dame Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on UNC -9
The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have been rolling of late. They have won 8 in a row. They won the ACC Tournament, and they haven't had to break a sweat in the NCAA Tournament. They have won all 3 NCAA Tournament games by 15 points or more. That trend will continue tonight against Notre Dame, which could have lost each of its first 3 games in the NCAA Tournament. The Fighting Irish have won their 3 games by a combined 13 points. They last lost to UNC in the ACC Tournament by 31 points. A repeat performance can be expected here as they take a huge step up in competition. Notre Dame is 1-7 ATS in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Take North Carolina.
|
03-26-16 |
Villanova v. Kansas -2 |
Top |
64-59 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Kansas/Villanova Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas -2
The Key: The Villanova Wildcats are obviously on fire right now. But they haven't played a team that D's you up quite like Kansas, and that will be the difference in this game Saturday. The Jayhawks have actually had the tougher path in my opinion with their last two games coming against UConn and Maryland, and they won those games by 12 and 16 points, respectively. The Jayhawks only allow 39.7% shooting on the season, which is very impressive when you consider they play in the Big 12. They also only allow only 6 made 3-pointers per game and 32.3% shooting from distance. The key to stopping Villanova is defending the 3-point line, and not many teams do it as well as Kansas. Not to mention, the Jayhawks put up 81.9 points per game on 49.6% shooting offensively, so they are pretty much unstoppable at that end. Kansas is 7-0 ATS in Saturday road games this season. The Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS off two straight wins by 10 points or more this year. Take Kansas.
|
03-25-16 |
Iowa State +6 v. Virginia |
Top |
71-84 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Iowa State/Virginia Sweet 16 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +6
The Key: Getting 6 points with Iowa State in a game that they will likely win outright tonight is simply too much. All you have to do is look at how their season has gone to find that there is value in getting 6 points. All 11 of Iowa State's losses this season have come by 10 points or less, and a whopping 7 of those have come by 5 points or fewer. This team simply does not get blown out. They have a Top 3 offense in the country that will test Virginia's pack-line defense. The Cyclones have 6 different players who can beat you, which makes them so tough to stop. Butler hung tough with Virginia for 40 minutes, and the Bulldogs are similar to ISU in that they shoot the 3-pointer well, which gives you a chance against Virginia. The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest over the last 3 years. Take Iowa State.
|
03-24-16 |
Miami (Fla) v. Villanova -4 |
Top |
69-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Miami/Villanova Sweet 16 *HEAVY HITTER* on Villanova -4
The Key: The Villanova Wildcats have absolutely been on fire this month. They have shot at least 48% from the field in 7 of their last 8 games, and their No. 1 scoring defense in the land continues to shut down opponents. A big reason for their efficient offense is that they share the ball better than anyone left in the Sweet 16, averaging far and way more assists than any other team since the beginning of March. I believe the Wildcats are really on a mission because they had the most to prove coming into the tournament. The next victim is going to be Miami, which struggled to get by both Buffalo and Wichita State to get here. The Wildcats are also an excellent free throw shooting team, and if this game comes down to it, they'll put it away at the line. Plus, Miami is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 vs. teams who shoot 77% or better from the free throw line. Take Villanova.
|
03-22-16 |
St. Mary's v. Valparaiso -3.5 |
Top |
44-60 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* St. Mary's/Valparaiso NIT *HEAVY HITTER* on Valparaiso -3.5
The Key: Valparaiso is 16-1 at home this season and laying only 3.5 points to St. Mary's Tuesday in NIT action. The Crusaders have had 4 days' rest in between games having last played on March 17, while the Gaels have only had 1 days' rest in between games having last played on March 20. This rest advantage is a big reason why I'm backing the Crusaders in a game that would otherwise be pretty evenly-matched. The Crusaders are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. teams who win at least 80% of their games on the season. They have played their best against the best competition. Take Valparaiso.
|
03-21-16 |
George Washington v. Monmouth -2 |
Top |
87-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* GW/Monmouth NIT *HEAVY HITTER* on Monmouth -2
The Key: The Monmouth Hawks have gone on the road and beaten USC, Notre Dame, UCLA and Georgetown this season. They are a very good team and arguably the biggest snubs of the NCAA Tournament Field. But they are glad to be playing in the NIT anyway, and they proved that with their 10-point win over Bucknell. George Washington doesn't even want to be here and was nearly upset in a 2-point home win over Hofstra. This is a very short number for Monmouth to have to cover considering it is at home and the better team. The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. teams who win more than 60% of their games, while the Colonials are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. teams who win more than 60% of their games. Take Monmouth.
|
03-20-16 |
Wisconsin v. Xavier -4 |
|
66-63 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Wisconsin/Xavier East Region *CA$H COW* on Xavier -4
The Key: Wisconsin simply doesn't have the firepower to keep up with Xavier. The Badgers were held to 58 points in their 12-point loss to Nebraska in the Big Ten Tournament, and they only managed 47 points against Pitt last round. Fortunately for the Badgers, Pitt couldn't make anything. But Xavier is an explosive offensive team full of athletes. The Musketeers have six players averaging at least 9.5 points per game. Xavier made the Elite 8 last year and is determined to get back. The Musketeers are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games. Take Xavier.
|
03-19-16 |
Providence +10.5 v. North Carolina |
Top |
66-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Providence/UNC Round of 32 *BAILOUT* on Providence +10.5
The Key: Providence is good enough to beat any team in the country, including UNC. The good news is that it doesn't have to win to cover this massive 10.5-point spread. The Friars have arguably the best 1-2 punch in the land in Kris Dunn and Ben Bentil, which gives them a chance to beat anyone. We saw them go on the road and beat Villanova earlier this season. We are seeing this team hit its stride with wins in 5 of its last 6 games with its only loss coming by 8 points to Villanova as 8.5-point dogs in the Big East Tournament. UNC looked vulnerable only up 41-40 at halftime on Florida Gulf Coast, only to put them away in the 2nd half and win by 16 as 23.5-point favorites. The Friars are 9-1 ATS vs. teams who commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Friars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Tar Heels are 6-13 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or more this season. Take Providence.
|
03-18-16 |
Northern Iowa +4.5 v. Texas |
Top |
75-72 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* Friday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Northern Iowa +4.5
The Key: The Northern Iowa Panthers are a live underdog who I believe will pull the 11/6 upset Friday. They have made noise in the big dance before in knocking off Kansas a few years ago. Few teams have better wins than they do. The Panthers have beaten North Carolina, Iowa State and Wichita State (twice). They can clearly hang with a Texas team that comes in having lost two out of its last three by a combined 46 points. Northern Iowa has gone 12-1 SU & 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games overall. It is 8-0 ATS versus teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15 games this season. The Panthers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Longhorns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. Take this combined 33-1 angle in favor of the Panthers straight to the bank Friday. Take Northern Iowa.
|
03-18-16 |
Pittsburgh +2 v. Wisconsin |
|
43-47 |
Loss |
-106 |
39 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* Friday East Region *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +2
The Key: Give Wisconsin credit for bouncing back after Bo Ryan retired early in the season after a terrible start that includes home losses to Western Illinois, Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Marquette. But this isn't even close to the Badgers' team that made the championship game last year. They have no business being favored over Pitt with the way they closed the season. They lost by 11 at Purdue and by 12 to Nebraska in the conference tournament. Common opponents are in Pitt's favor. The Panthers are 3-1 against common opponents with Wisconsin, which is 1-2 in those games. Pitt is scoring 76.0 points per game on 46% shooting against teams that allow 71.6 on 43.4% shooting, so it is an elite offensive team. It is also allowing 67.9 against teams that average 73.8, so it is better than it gets credit for defensively, too. The Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. The Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Take Pitt.
|
03-18-16 |
CS Bakersfield v. Oklahoma -14 |
|
68-82 |
Push |
0 |
36 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* Friday West Region *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -14
The Key: Oklahoma went 12-0 in non-conference games this season while outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points per game. They even beat Villanova by 23 on a neutral court. They did not win the Big 12 like they wanted to, but they came very close to doing so as five of their conference losses came by 5 points or fewer. CS-Bakersfield is no match for the Sooners, who will be essentially playing at home in Oklahoma City. Bakersfield lost by 35 to Saint Mary's and by 16 to Arizona State, and it doesn't have any significant wins this season against quality competition. The Sooners are by far the best team they will have played, and the end result won't be a pretty one for Bakersfield. Take Oklahoma.
|
03-17-16 |
Providence -2 v. USC |
Top |
70-69 |
Loss |
-104 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Providence -2
The Key: Providence comes in having won 4 of its last 5 games overall while going 5-0 ATS in the process. The Friars are getting back to playing like they were when they started 14-1. Kris Dunn and Ben Bentil may be the best 1-2 punch in the tournament. USC comes in having lost 7 of its last 10 games with all seven losses by at least 7 points each. The Trojans are just 5-10 in all road games this season. Their only significant win away from home came against a Wichita State team that was without Fred VanVleet. The Friars already beat Arizona from the Pac-12 on a neutral court, while the Trojans lost to Xavier from the Big East by 10 on a neutral floor. Providence is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 neutral site games. Take Providence.
|
03-17-16 |
Iona v. Iowa State -7.5 |
|
81-94 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday Midwest Region *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -7.5
The Key: Iowa State will be out to make a statement after losing to UAB in the opening round last year. Without question, Iona has the Cyclones' full attention this time around. I love this Iowa State team that is one of only two teams with 6 players scoring at least 10 points per game. The Cyclones rank 3rd in the nation in offensive efficiency. They lost 11 games this season but were in every one of them as they all came by 10 points or fewer, including seven by 5 points or less. Iona lost by 25 to Valpo and by 20 to Oregon State out of conference this year. Betting against dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have won at least 4 straight, who are seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA Tournament has produced a 49-19 ATS record since 1997. The Cyclones should be favored by more. Take Iowa State.
|
03-17-16 |
Connecticut -3 v. Colorado |
|
74-67 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday South Region *CA$H COW* on Connecticut -3
The Key: UConn was very impressive in the AAC Tournament. After beating Cincinnati in four overtimes, the Huskies rolled to a 15-point win over Temple and a 14-point win over Memphis to capture the title. The Huskies get after it defensively as well as anyone in the country. They allow 63.1 points per game and 38.2% shooting, including just 41% in the pain. That's key because they will need to stop Colorado's Josh Scott, a forward/center who is their best player. The Buffaloes were only 6-10 away from home this season. They were actually outscored on a per possession basis in Pac-12 play this season as well. The Huskies are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games, while the Buffaloes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 postseason tournament games. Take UConn.
|
03-16-16 |
Tulsa +4 v. Michigan |
|
62-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Tulsa/Michigan First Four *CA$H COW* on Tulsa +4
The Key: Tulsa is the one team that every expert in the country felt didn't belong in the NCAA Tournament. Playing with that important chip on their shoulder, the Golden Hurricane will be out to prove a point tonight against Michigan. The Wolverines are fortune to be in the big dance themselves considering they needed OT to beat Northwestern and caught Indiana on an off day in the Big Ten Tournament, otherwise they wouldn't be in. I love the veteran leadership of this Tulsa team with 7 seniors who play on a regular basis. SMU and UConn are common opponents for these teams. Tulsa beat both of them, while Michigan lost to both. This is a game I expect the Golden Hurricane to win outright, but getting the points is an added bonus. Take Tulsa.
|
03-15-16 |
Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Gulf Coast -5.5 |
|
65-96 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB First Four *CA$H COW* on Florida Gulf Coast -5.5
The Key: Florida Gulf Coast is a very good team on both ends of the floor. It is averaging 77 points and shooting nearly 48% on offense, while giving up just 70 points and 42% shooting defensively. While Fairleigh Dickinson can score, it cannot defend, which is going to be its undoing here. The Knights are actually the worst team defensively of the 68 teams in the field. They give up 78.2 points per game on 45% shooting this season. Gulf Coast is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 neutral site games. Take Florida Gulf Coast.
|
03-13-16 |
Memphis +5.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
58-72 |
Loss |
-101 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* AAC Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +5.5
The Key: The Memphis Tigers are playing their best basketball of the season heading into the AAC Championship Game against UConn. Memphis has won its last 3 games by 20, 22 and 30 points, respectively. Now the Tigers have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament with a win Sunday, and they won't blow this opportunity. The UConn Huskies are already in the big dance no matter how this game turns out. While they didn't show effects from the 4 OT game yesterday, I believe their 3rd game in 3 days here will finally get the best of them. Memphis should be fresh with the ease of which it has won the last 2 days. UConn is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off 3 or more straight wins. Take Memphis.
|
03-12-16 |
Georgia v. Kentucky -10.5 |
|
80-93 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* SEC Tournament *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -10.5
The Key: The Kentucky Wildcats have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and are getting better as the season goes on, which is usually the case for John Calipari since he took over at Kentucky. They are coming off a 26-point win over Alabama yesterday, while Georgia barely survived in a 65-64 win over South Carolina. Now the Wildcats get to face a Georgia team that they've owned. They have won 5 straight meetings by 18.0 points per game, including their 34-point romp of the Bulldogs earlier this season. Take Kentucky.
|
03-12-16 |
Connecticut v. Temple +2 |
Top |
77-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* UConn/Temple AAC Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on Temple +2
The Key: UConn played 4 overtimes yesterday in a 104-97 win over Cincinnati. It's safe to say that they won't have much left to give today against Temple. The Owls just keep flying under the radar this season. They won the American Athletic, earned the No. 1 seed in this tournament, dismantled South Florida by 17 yesterday, and now they're underdogs to a team that just played 4 overtimes? Give me a break. Take Temple.
|
03-11-16 |
Georgia v. South Carolina -1.5 |
Top |
65-64 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on South Carolina -1.5
The Key: South Carolina will be playing its 1st SEC Tournament game today, while it will be up against a Georgia team that will be playing its 2nd in 2 days. Georgia expended a lot of energy in its 91-83 win over Ole Miss yesterday. South Carolina has every reason to be motivated to bolster its NCAA Tournament chances, and to also avenge two earlier losses to Georgia this season, including a 2-point loss last Thursday. Take South Carolina.
|
03-10-16 |
USC v. Utah -6 |
|
72-80 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Pac-12 Tournament *CA$H COW* on Utah -6
The Key: The Utah Utes will be playing their first game of the Pac-12 Tournament today while the USC Trojans will be playing their 2nd game in 2 days. The Utes are playing better than anyone in the Pac-12 right now, and that should continue. They are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They have owned USC, too, going 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. They have won the last five all by 8 points or more by 11, 28, 24, 8 and 18 points. Take Utah.
|
03-10-16 |
TCU v. West Virginia -14.5 |
Top |
66-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* Big 12 Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on West Virginia -14.5
The Key: The West Virginia Mountaineers are playing for a 2 or 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Look for them to make easy work of lowly TCU, which just upset Texas Tech yesterday and won't have much gas left to go up against this fierce WVU press. WVU just beat TCU 73-42 on February 13 in their last meeting, and a similar blowout can be expected in the rematch. The Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take West Virginia.
|
03-09-16 |
UCLA v. USC -2 |
Top |
71-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* Pac-12 Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on USC -2
The Key: The USC Trojans are one of the final teams in the field as of today according to Joe Lunardi. But a loss to UCLA could put them on the wrong side of the bubble. The Trojans simply must take care of business tonight,a nd they'll be focused to do so. They get to play a UCLA team that is really struggling, going 0-4 in its last four games overall. They also get to play a team they have owned this year. The Trojans are 2-0 against the Bruins this season with both wins coming by a combined 33 points. Given what's at stake, that trend should continue. The Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following 3 or more consecutive ATS losses. UCLA is 0-9 ATS vs. teams who attempt 62 or more shots per game this season. Take this 15-0 angle in favor of the Trojans straight to the bank. Take USC.
|
03-07-16 |
Denver +10 v. South Dakota State |
|
53-54 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Denver +10
The Key: Denver lost the first two meetings against South Dakota State this year, but those games were much closer than their final score. Both teams play a relatively slow pace and Denver's free throw shooting down the stretch should keep it close most of the way. High probability for a possible upset here, but I'll take the points for a little insurance. Take Denver.
|
03-07-16 |
East Tennessee State v. Chattanooga -3.5 |
Top |
67-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* East Tennessee State/UT-Chattanooga *HEAVY HITTER* on UT-Chattanooga -4.5
The Key: Chattanooga has dominated the series this season and while you may have heard the old adage that it's hard to beat a team three times - it simply isn't true. In fact, most of the time, the team that has won the first two games is simply the better team. We are getting some great line value here as well with East Tennessee State on a six game winning streak against the spread and Chattanooga on a five game ATS losing streak. The spread won't matter, the winner covers here. Take Chattanooga.
|
03-06-16 |
SMU v. Cincinnati -1.5 |
Top |
54-61 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Cincy/SMU AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati -1.5
The Key: This line is off considering the Bearcats lost by just two at SMU in January as 6-point underdogs. Cincy is a significantly better team at home than on the road, while 3 of SMU's 4 losses have come on the road Take Cincinnati.
|
03-05-16 |
Iowa State +11 v. Kansas |
Top |
78-85 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* Kansas/Iowa State Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +11 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones are showing excellent value as double-digit road dogs to the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas just clinched the Big 12 title in their last game and has little reason to want to put away the Cyclones by more than 12 points today. Take Iowa State.
|
03-04-16 |
Ball State v. Northern Illinois -3.5 |
Top |
69-80 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Illinois -3.5
The Key: Northern Illinois is 16-1 at home this season. They have dominated all comers at home, and they are going to win at home again Friday as they host Ball State. They lost by 4 at Ball State a few weeks ago, but they had won four straight meetings with the Cardinals prior. On Senior Night, the Huskies will cap off an awesome season at home with a 17-1 record while also covering the 3.5-point spread. The Huskies are 20-7-3 ATS in their last 30 home games Take Northern Illinois.
|
03-03-16 |
Drake v. Missouri State -2 |
Top |
67-69 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Missouri Valley Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on Missouri State -2
The Key: At 12-18 on the season, the Missouri State Bears are far and away the superior team over the 7-23 Drake Bulldogs. That has been proven in their two regular season meetings, and it will be proven again tonight. Drake finished just 2-16 in conference play in the regular season, while Missouri State finished 8-10. The Bears won both meetings with the Bulldogs by 9 points each, winning 79-70 on the road and 61-52 at home. Drake is 0-10 ATS revenging a loss where it scored less than 60 points this season. Take Missouri State.
|
03-02-16 |
Arkansas v. Alabama -1.5 |
Top |
62-61 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Alabama -1.5
The Key: Alabama has given itself a chance to make the NCAA Tournament thanks to a recent 6-2 run that features wins over Texas A&M, Florida and LSU. The Crimson Tide are 10-3 at home this season and should handle their business at home tonight against Arkansas. After all, the Razorbacks are 2-11 in all games played away from home this season. Arkansas has been historically one of the worst road teams in the country, too, going 68-111 ATS in its last 179 road games. The Crimson Tide are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss. Take Alabama.
|
03-01-16 |
Indiana v. Iowa -4.5 |
Top |
81-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa -4.5
The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes really need a win tonight against Indiana to get back on track. They have lost three straight by a combined 16 points and have simply choked late in games. But I look for a big performance from them tonight on Senior Night. The Hawkeyes are 13-1 at home this season and will have a huge advantage on their home floor tonight. Indiana already clinched a share of the Big Ten Title and won't be as focused in this game. Iowa will want it more as it actually has a chance to win a share itself if it wins out and has Indiana lose to Maryland next game. Indiana is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more against a conference opponent over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is 2-10 ATS in road games off a win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Iowa is 8-1 ATS in home games vs teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game over the last 3 seasons. Take Iowa.
|
03-01-16 |
Baylor v. Oklahoma -7.5 |
|
71-73 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Baylor/Oklahoma Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -7.5
The Key: With a No. 1 seed still at stake for the Sooners, and off a bad loss to Texas, I look for Oklahoma to really put its best foot forward tonight at home against Baylor. It's also Senior Night for the Sooners, adding to their motivation. This is a great matchup for the Sooners just as it was in their first meeting when they went on the road and beat the Bears 82-72. Baylor plays zone defense, which is good against teams that don't shoot well from 3-point range, but that's not Oklahoma. The Sooners shoot 42.8% from 3-point range on the season. They connected on 16-of-28 attempts from 3-point range in their first meeting and should light it up again tonight. Oklahoma is 13-1 at home this season, winning by 17.3 points per game. Baylor is 4-12 ATS following a win this season, and 2-9 ATS following a win by 10 points or more. The Sooners are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 meetings with the Bears. Take Oklahoma.
|
02-29-16 |
Syracuse +13.5 v. North Carolina |
Top |
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Syracuse/UNC ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse +13.5
The Key: The Syracuse Orange are fighting to make the NCAA Tournament. They will likely need to win one of their last two games here to get in without making a run in the ACC Tournament. They lost two in a row before bouncing back with a 75-66 home win over NC State Saturday. Now they'll be out for revenge on the Tar Heels, who turned a tie game at halftime into an 84-73 road win in their first meeting this season. That was the first game back for Jim Boeheim, but the Orange have pretty much been rolling ever since. They are a much better team now than they were in the first meeting. This is also a sandwich game for UNC. The Tar Heels lost a hard-fought 74-79 road game at Virginia on Saturday, and now they'll be looking ahead to their season finale against rival Duke next. They won't give Syracuse the attention it deserves tonight as a result. The Orange are 8-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games this season. The Tar Heels are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference home games. Take Syracuse.
|
02-28-16 |
Houston +10 v. Connecticut |
|
75-68 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* American Athletic Game of the Week on Houston +10
The Key: At 20-8 on the season, the Houston Cougars are certainly better than they get credit for. They are actually putting themselves back in the discussion of making the NCAA Tournament, and a road win over UConn (also 20-8) would go a long way into helping their cause. The Cougars have played themselves into this position by going 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. That includes wins over 2 of the top teams in the AAC in SMU and Tulsa. Now the Cougars have their sights set on getting revenge from a 69-57 home loss to UConn on January 17 in which they blew a 35-28 halftime lead with a horrid second half. But they don't even have to win this game, they just have to stay within 10 points for us, which is very likely as I see it. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Houston.
|
02-27-16 |
Auburn +11.5 v. Alabama |
|
57-65 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* SEC Game of the Week on Auburn +11.5
The Key: The Auburn Tigers are playing well coming in having pulled off upset wins over both Arkansas and Georgia in 2 of their last 3 games. They already beat Alabama 83-77 at home earlier this season. Alabama is not playing well with an ugly home loss to Mississippi State and a blowout road loss at Kentucky in its last 2 days. The Crimson Tide are just 1-8 ATS in Saturday home games the last 2 years. The Tigers are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 meetings with the Crimson Tide. Take Auburn.
|
02-27-16 |
Louisville v. Miami (Fla) -3 |
Top |
65-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Louisville/Miami ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami -3
The Key: Getting Miami as only a 3-point home favorite over Louisville is a gift. The Hurricanes are 14-1 at home this season and have not lost at home in ACC play, going 8-0 with most of those wins coming via blowout. Louisville is just 4-5 on the road this season. The Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, while the Hurricanes are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. Take Miami.
|