Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-19-15 | Rutgers +6.5 v. St. John's | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Rutgers +6.5 |
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11-18-15 | Richmond v. Wake Forest | 91-82 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Wake Forest Pick'em |
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11-17-15 | Oklahoma -4 v. Memphis | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Oklahoma -4 |
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11-16-15 | Monmouth v. USC -10 | 90-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on USC -10 |
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11-15-15 | Cal Poly v. UCLA -7 | 83-88 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on UCLA -7 |
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11-14-15 | Colorado State v. Northern Iowa -7.5 | 84-78 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Northern Iowa -7.5 |
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11-13-15 | UAB -1.5 v. Auburn | 74-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on UAB -1.5 |
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04-04-15 | Wisconsin v. Kentucky -5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY FINAL FOUR *BEST BET* on Kentucky -5 Bottom Line: So much has been made about Wisconsin being the team that can knock off Kentucky, but I'm just not buying it. I think the Wildcats went into that game against Notre Dame with a big head after what they did to West Virginia and it nearly cost them their perfect season. I see that as the wake-up call Kentucky needed. Not to say Wisconsin isn't a good team, but this is just too favorable a line to not take the more talented team. Even if it's a close game, there's a good chance Kentucky will be able to pull away late with free throws to win here by at least 6 points. Pound the Wildcats -5! |
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03-29-15 | Gonzaga +3 v. Duke | 52-66 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *ELITE 8 SUREFIRE* on Gonzaga +3 Bottom Line: This is without a doubt the best team that Few has had at Gonzaga and I actually think they are the better team here. The Bulldogs have rattled off 3-straight wins by 10+ and have the offensive fire-power to keep pace early with the Blue Devils and put them away late. Gonzaga is 23-10 ATS in their last 33 neutral court games when listed as a dog of 6-points or less and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 when playing on 1 or less days of rest. They are also 22-12 ATS in their last 44 against strong offensive teams that shoot 45% or better from the field. Pound the Bulldogs +3! |
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03-28-15 | Notre Dame +11 v. Kentucky | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +11 Bottom Line: No surprise here as the books have made a huge overreaction here based on Kentucky's blowout win over West Virginia. After a couple of less than impressive showings in their first two games, Notre Dame finally played up to their potential in their win over Wichita State. I look for the Irish to give Kentucky all they can handle and easily cover this double-digit spread. Notre Dame is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games following a SU win, while Kentucky is just 7-14 ATS in their last 21 after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of each of their last 2 games. Pound Notre Dame +11! |
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03-26-15 | Wichita State v. Notre Dame +2 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame + The Irish should not be listed as the underdog in this matchup. Notre Dame is a team on a mission right now and have even more to play for after learning head coach Mike Brey's mom just passed away. Wichita State put up an impressive performance against Kansas in a game that meant a lot more than to them than just another tournament win. I look for the Shockers to come out a big flat, while Notre Dame shakes off the rust and returns to the form that saw them win the ACC Tournament with back-to-back wins over Duke and North Carolina. Pound the Fighting Irish +2! |
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03-22-15 | West Virginia v. Maryland -1 | 69-59 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on Maryland -1 Bottom Line: The Big 12 has shown that they are not anywhere close to as strong of a conference as most people thought and I look for the Terrapins to have no problem punching their ticket to the Sweet 16. Maryland has the talent at the guard positions that won't be rattled by the Mountaineers chaotic style of play and teams that can handle their pressure will more times than not come away with an easy win. Terrapins are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral site. Pound Maryland -1! |
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03-21-15 | NC State +10 v. Villanova | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on NC STATE +10 Bottom Line: The Wolfpack are showing some great value here as a 10-point underdog against No. 1 seed Villanova, which isn't a big surprise given the Wildcats are coming off a 40-point blowout win in their first game, while NC State barely squeaked by with a 1-point win over LSU. NC State won't be intimidated by Villanova at all. The Wolfpack have wins over Duke, North Carolina and Louisville, while also playing Virginia tough in two separate meetings (loss by 10 points or less). Neutral court teams (VILLANOVA) - excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of |
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03-20-15 | Davidson v. Iowa -1.5 | 52-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on Iowa -1.5 Bottom Line: Davidson is getting a lot of hype here as an upset candidate over Iowa, but I don't think this is a good matchup at all for the Wildcats. Iowa defends the 3 well and has a ton of size across the floor. The Hawkeyes should be able to score at will against Davidson's defense and do enough here defensively to win this game without much problem. While the Hawkeyes suffered an ugly loss to Penn State in the Big Ten Tournament, this team had been playing their best basketball of the season prior to that defeat and I believe it will have them humbled and focused on making sure they put their best effort forward tonight. Roll the Hawkeyes -1.5! |
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03-19-15 | Wofford v. Arkansas -7.5 | 53-56 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR *NCAA TOURNAMENT SUREFIRE* on Arkansas -7.5 Bottom Line: This is one is simple. Wofford isn't in the same class as the Razorbacks. The Terriers played a non-conference game against West Virginia, who plays a very similar style to that of Arkansas and they lost that game by 33-points. It's going to take the Terriers best game and the Razorbacks worst just for them to keep this within 15-points. Pound Arkansas -7.5! |
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03-19-15 | LSU v. NC State -2 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on NC State -2 Bottom Line: Outside of Kentucky and Arkansas I wasn't impressed with the rest of the SEC and I look for LSU to have a horrible time here just trying to keep this game respectable against what I feel is a far superior NC State team. The Wolfpack are 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Simply put, when the stage gets bigger, the better NC State tends to play. Sure they got embarrassed by Duke in the ACC Tournament, but LSU is nothing close to the Blue Devils. Most importantly, NC State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when coming off a loss by 15+ points. Pound the Wolfpack -2! |
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03-18-15 | St. Francis (NY) +10 v. Richmond | 74-84 | Push | 0 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on St Francis +10 Bottom Line: Richmond isn't going to be motivated at all to play in the NIT after getting snubbed from the NCAA Tournament. You might not have heard of St Francis, but this is a talented team that is led by Northeastern Conference player of the year Jalen Cannon, who is an NBA-caliber player. St Francis is a live dog in this one, especially if the Spiders don't show up to play. Pound the Terriers +10! |
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03-17-15 | UTEP +5.5 v. Murray State | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NIT *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UTEP +5.5 Bottom Line: Murray State can complain all they want about not making the tournament, but this team was left out for good reason. All you have do is look at their non-conference schedule to see that this team is vastly overrated. The public however is more familiar with Murray State due to all the publicity they are getting for not making the tournament. Not only is UTEP the better team and should be favored, I don't see the Racers being all that motivated with the disappointment of not making the big dance. Pound UTEP +5.5! |
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03-14-15 | Connecticut -2.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Connecticut -2.5 Bottom Line: Connecticut just has a way of turning it on when it matters the most and I look for the Huskies to cruise to an easy win here in the AAC semifinals against Tulsa. Connecticut won the last meeting by 25-points and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6, 29-11 in their last 40 off a close win by 3-points or less and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off an upset win as an underdog. Pound the Huskies -2.5! |
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03-13-15 | Indiana v. Maryland -1.5 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE* on Maryland -1.5 Bottom Line: The Terrapins are the better team and in a much better spot here than the Hoosiers. Indiana will be playing on no rest, while Maryland has yet to take the floor in the Big Ten Tournament. You might think this is an advantage for Indiana, as they have had a chance to get into a rhythm, but history suggest otherwise. Hoosiers are just 14-30 ATS in their last 34 road games when playing with 1 or less day of rest, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 60 points or less and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after a game where they covered the spread. Pound the Terrapins -1.5! |
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03-13-15 | Florida v. Kentucky -13 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Kentucky -13 Bottom Line: Kentucky won the last meeting, which also happened to be the regular season final, 67-50 over Florida. The Wildcats are in pursuit of perfection and now that it's tournament time I expect them to give their max effort each and every time they take the floor. I also think this being the 3rd meeting favors Kentucky, who now has a great understanding of what the Gators are looking to do offensively. The Wildcats allowed 61 points on 49% shooting at Florida in the first meeting and just 50 points on 43% shooting the second time around. Anything less than a 15-point win would be unsatisfactory for Kentucky. Florida is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after winning 3 of 4 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Wildcats -13! |
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03-12-15 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
5* NCAAB *BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH* on Ohio State -5.5 Bottom Line: The Buckeyes barely escaped with a 74-72 overtime win at Minnesota in the only meeting between these two teams during the regular season, which I believe has Ohio State showing some big time value here. We are also seeing the Buckeyes undervalued due to their last game being a 48-72 loss at home to Wisconsin. Prior to that Ohio State had won 3 straight and I look for them to have no problem here against a Minnesota team that is playing on no rest. Gophers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win, while Buckeyes are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound Ohio State -5.5! |
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03-12-15 | St. Joe's v. Saint Bonaventure -2.5 | 49-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on St Bonaventure -2.5 Bottom Line: The Bonnies won both regular season meetings without much problem. They came away with a 70-61 win at home and a 70-60 win at St Joe's. St Bonaventure also comes in riding a 3-game winning streak, while the Hawks are just 2-5 over their last 7. Another big key here is how these two teams have fared away from home. St. Joe's is a miserable 3-13 on the road, while the Bonnies are a respectable 8-6. Pound St Bonaventure -2.5! |
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03-11-15 | Colorado -3.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
5* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Colorado -3.5 Bottom Line: The Buffaloes are showing some great value here as a mere 3.5-point favorite against the slumping Beavers. Oregon State closed out the regular season with 6 losses in their final 7 games, with the lone win being a 14-point win at home over Colorado. Now that might make you think the Beavers are the smart play, but I actually think it's what is creating the value. Oregon State is a mere 2-11 away from home and rarely have they been competitive outside of Corvallis. Beavers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 conference games away from home and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a loss and coming off an upset loss as a road favorite are 112-67 (63%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Buffaloes -3.5! |
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03-11-15 | TCU v. Kansas State -1.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on Kansas State -1.5 Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a quality team that hasn't played up to their potential and are now faced with the difficult task of having to win the Big 12 Tournament to punch a ticket to the Big Dance. While its unlikely they win 4 games in 4 days, I like their chances of beating TCU in the opener. Keep in mind this is a Kansas State team that has wins over the likes of Kansas, Oklahoma (twice), Iowa State and Baylor. TCU did beat the Wildcats at home, but the Horned Frogs only win on the road inside conference play came against last place Texas Tech. Kansas State is simply the better team and worth the gamble here as a mere 1.5-point favorite. Pound the Wildcats -1.5! |
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03-07-15 | St. John's v. Villanova -12 | 68-105 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on Villanova -12 Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a class above the rest of the Big East and I look for them to have no problem disposing of the Red Storm at home by more than 12-points. Villanova is a perfect 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS at home and each of their last 5 home games have come by 16+ points. Not to mention they already went on the road and crushed St John's 90-72. Villanova is also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after 7 or more straight wins. Pound the Wildcats -12! |
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03-07-15 | St. Joe's v. Rhode Island -9 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rhode Island -9 Bottom Line: The Rams should have no problem winning at home by more 10+ points. Rhode Island is 12-2 at home and will be taking on a St Joseph's team that is a mere 3-12 on the road. Most importantly the Rams will be extra motivated with this being their final home game of the season and the fact they come in off a blowout loss at Dayton and will be looking to make up for a loss to Davidson in their last home game. St Joseph's beat LaSalle 55-50 as a 2-point favorite in their last game and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a win by 6 points or less and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road after a game where they covered the spread. Pound Rhode Island -9! |
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03-05-15 | Utah v. Washington State +13 | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Washington St +13 Bottom Line: Utah is primed for a major letdown after losing at home to Arizona on Saturday in arguably their biggest game of the season. The Cougars will be the more motivated team and I look for them to keep it surprisingly close against the Utes. Washington State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Pound the Cougars +13! |
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03-04-15 | San Diego State -4.5 v. UNLV | 60-58 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on San Diego St -4.5 Bottom Line: The Aztecs are a perfect 6-0 following a loss this season and I look for them to keep that streak alive with an easy win on the road against UNLV following that ugly 10-point loss at home where they scored just 46 points on 32.7% shooting. San Diego St is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 following a double-digit loss at home and 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Pound the Aztecs -4.5! |
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03-04-15 | Duquesne v. Fordham -2.5 | 81-66 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Fordham -2.5 Bottom Line: The Rams have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 overall and are showing great value here as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Duquesne. Not only will Fordham be motivated in their final home game of the regular season, but the Dukes are a miserable 1-11 on the road this season. Rams will be playing with revenge from a tough 6-point loss at Duquesne earlier this season, while the Dukes will have a difficult time coming in 100% focused with their home finale against Davidson on deck. Pound the Rams -2.5! |
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03-03-15 | Kentucky v. Georgia +10 | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Georgia +10 Bottom Line: The Bulldogs lost by just 11-points on the road as an 18-point dog against Kentucky earlier this season and did so without the services of leading scorer Marcus Thorton. With Thorton back in the lineup and Georgia coming out extremely motivated to not only upset the No. 1 ranked team, but close out the regular season with a win in their final, the value is clearly with the home team in this one. Kentucky is a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while Georgia is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU win. Pound the Bulldogs +10! |
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03-01-15 | Purdue +9 v. Ohio State | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Purdue +9 Bottom Line: The books are overvaluing the Buckeyes homecourt edge in this one, as they should not be laying near double-digits against the Boilermakers. Purdue has been a completely different team of late, but are still undervalued. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall, which includes road wins at Northwestern, Rutgers and Indiana. Ohio State comes in off a 81-57 blowout win at home against Nebraska, which is also causing some inflation on the line. The Buckeyes are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 20 or more points. Pound the Boilermakers +9! |
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02-28-15 | Arizona v. Utah -1.5 | Top | 63-57 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Utah - Bottom Line: The Utes are a perfect 16-0 at home this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge on the Wildcats and move into a tie for 1st in the Pac-12 standings with a win tonight. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a blowout win by 30+ points against an opponent that scored 80+ in their last game are 92-47 ATS since 1997. Utah is also a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games at least 16 games into the season against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points game. Pound the Utes -1.5! |
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02-28-15 | Mississippi State +9.5 v. South Carolina | 68-81 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Mississippi St + Bottom Line: South Carolina continues to be overvalued, as this is too many points for them to be laying at home against a Mississippi State team that has been playing a lot better of late. Gamecocks are also in a tough spot off a big road game at Alabama and another big home game against Arkansas on deck. South Carolina is just 3-12 ATS inside SEC play and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after scoring 65 points or less in 3 straight games. Pound the Bulldogs +9.5! |
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02-26-15 | Rutgers +14 v. Purdue | Top | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rutgers +14 Bottom Line: Purdue has covered the spread in 8 straight games and as a result find themselves extremely overvalued at home. The Boilermakers haven't laid this many points in a game since they hosted Arkansas State in non-conference play. There's no denying Rutgers is a bad team, but that actually aids in backing the Scarlet Knights. Purdue isn't going to come out with the same energy as they have in recent matchups against a bad team, especially given the fact that they just gone done playing a huge game on the road against in-state rival Indiana and have another big game on the road against Ohio State looming on Saturday. Rutgers is 51-32 ATS in their last 63 off a loss by 15 points or more, but most importantly are only losing in this spot by an average of 1.9 ppg. Pound the Scarlet Knights +14! |
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02-25-15 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +19 | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Mississippi St +19 Bottom Line: As good as Kentucky has been, this is too many points for them to be laying on the road against a team that they aren't going to be all that excited to play. That becomes an even bigger factor when you consider they have a huge home game against Arkansas on deck, who is 2nd in the SEC at 12-3 and the only other ranked team int he conference. Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against poor offensive teams that are scoring 64 or fewer points/game, while Mississippi State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game. Pound the Bulldogs +19! |
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02-24-15 | Texas +4 v. West Virginia | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Texas +4 Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on the Mountaineers here as a small home favorite against a Texas team that has been struggling to get anything going. The key here is that the Longhorns matchup extremely well with West Virginia and that's evident in the fact that they have won 4 straight in the series, including a 27-point win at home earlier this season. Texas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mountaineers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games on the season. Pound Texas +4! |
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02-23-15 | Louisville v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +6.5 Bottom Line: Louisville should not be this big of a road favorite here. After returning to the team on Saturday against Miami following a 1-game suspension, senior guard Chris Jones was dismissed from the team. Louisville lost by double-digits at Syracuse without Jones and I look for them to struggle to beat Georgia Tech by more than the spread listed. The Yellow Jackets have just 4 losses inside conference play by more than 6 points. All 4 came on the road and one of those was a 7-point double-overtime loss at Notre Dame. Pound Georgia Tech +6.5! |
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02-22-15 | Western Kentucky +4 v. Middle Tennessee | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on WKU +4 Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction in this line due to the fact that the Hilltoppers have lost 4 straight against the number, while Middle Tennessee comes in off a surprising 39-point win over Marshall at home. Blue Raiders had lost 5 of their previous 6 and are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games off a blowout win by 20 or more points. Pound Western Kentucky +4! |
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02-21-15 | Penn State +2 v. Northwestern | 39-60 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Penn State +2 Bottom Line: Northwestern has came out of nowhere to pull off back-to-back upset wins, as they knocked off Iowa 66-61 as a 6-point home dog and followed it up with a 72-66 win at Minnesota as a 11-point dog. The Wildcats good luck ends here, as I look for them to revert to the team that lost 10 straight prior to their recent surge. Penn State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when they have lost at least 5 of their last 7, while Northwestern is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home when the line is +3 to -3. Pound the Nittany Lions +2! |
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02-18-15 | UCLA +3.5 v. Arizona State | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on UCLA +3.5 Bottom Line: The Bruins have really came on strong in the last month, going 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games with the only defeat a 62-64 loss at Cal. Arizona State comes in off an impressive 78-68 win at Washington, but the Sun Devils have won back-to-back conference games just once all season. UCLA has won 3 straight and 7 of the last 8 overall in the series and I look for them to find a way to win this one on the road. Bruins are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 off a conference home win, while ASU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after covering 2 of their last 3. Pound UCLA +3.5! |
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02-18-15 | Missouri +16.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Missouri +16.5 Bottom Line: The books have inflated this line on Arkansas, due to the Razorbacks having won 5 straight against the spread. Had Missouri made a couple of free throws they would have upset the Razorbacks at home (60-61) and I look for them to have no problem keeping this close enough to cover this massive spread. Favorites who have covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 21-49 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Missouri +16.5! |
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02-17-15 | South Carolina +6.5 v. Georgia | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE OF THE WEEK* on South Carolina +6.5 Bottom Line: The Gamecocks cruised to a 67-50 home win over Georgia earlier in conference play, but aren't going to take the Bulldogs lightly after suffering an embarrassing 34-point loss at Kentucky over the weekend. Georgia lost 68-69 at home to Auburn as a 11-point home favorite last time out and that sets up a solid system to fade the Bulldogs. Home teams that are revenging a double-digit road loss, who are coming off a home loss by 3-points or less are just 30-68 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Gamecocks +6.5! |
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02-17-15 | Kentucky v. Tennessee +13.5 | Top | 66-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +13.5 Bottom Line: Kentucky is coming off a blowout 77-43 win at home over South Carolina, which I believe sets up a perfect spot to fade the Wildcats. Kentucky had failed to cover the number in each of their previous 5 games and Tennessee is going to be extremely motivated against the No. 1 team in the country, especially off an ugly 55-73 home loss to LSU. Road teams off a blowout conference win by 20 or more points against and opponent off a upset loss of 10 or more as home favorite are 11-31 (26%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Volunteers +13.5! |
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02-16-15 | Kansas v. West Virginia +2 | Top | 61-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG 12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on West Virginia +2 Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have been vulnerable on the road. Both of their conference losses have come away from Lawrence and were fortunate to escape with a win at TCU (64-61). Kansas lost their last trip to Morgantown, 86-92 as a 5-point favorite. The Mountaineers are due for big game after losing 3 of their last 4 and are being undervalued here due to losing 4 straight against the spread. Home team has covered each of the last 4 in the series and Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Monday. Pound West Virginia +2! |
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02-15-15 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Indiana | Top | 71-90 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY MINN/IND NCAAB *BEST BET* on Minnesota +3.5 Bottom Line: The Golden Gophers got off to a rough start to Big 10 play, but have since turned things around. Minnesota has won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall, including an impressive 64-59 win at Iowa last time out. Indiana on the other hand has dropped 4 of 6 and are fresh off a heartbreaking 66-68 loss at Maryland. Teams who have scored 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with 2 or more returning starters than their opponent are 213-140 (60%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +3.5! |
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02-14-15 | South Carolina +18 v. Kentucky | Top | 43-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on South Carolina +18 Bottom Line: Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games, simply due to the fact that the books are inflating their lines knowing the public is going to blindly back the No. 1 team in the country. The Wildcats couldn't play any better defensively against South Carolina in the previous matchup this season, limiting the Gamecocks to just 22.6% shooting, yet only won by 15-points. Don't see Kentucky bringing that same intensity the second time around and I look for South Carolina to cover this one rather easily. Gamecocks are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 when road games when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound South Carolina +18! |
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02-13-15 | Arizona v. Washington +10 | Top | 86-62 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY AZ/WASH NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +10 Bottom Line: We are getting an inflated line here on Arizona with this being one of the few big games on the slate for Friday, plus the game will be aired on ESPN. I'll take my chances on the Huskies as a double-digit home dog in a game you can assure they are going to give max effort against a highly ranked opponent. Arizona failed to cover their next game after getting upset at Oregon State earlier this season, beating Colorado at home by just 14 as a 16.5-point favorite. I look for the Wildcats to have an even harder time bouncing back on the road after Saturday's surprising loss to in-state rival Arizona State. Pound Washington +10! |
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02-12-15 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Iowa | Top | 64-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG 10 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Minnesota +6.5 Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here on Iowa due to them coming in off back-to-back blowout wins over Michigan and Maryland. The Hawkeyes barely escaped with a 2-point win at Minnesota earlier in the season and have struggled to put away the Gophers at home. Road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home wins that are revenging a same season loss are 53-26 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +6.5! |
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02-11-15 | Oregon State v. UCLA -8.5 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY PAC-12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UCLA -8.5 Bottom Line: UCLA lost 55-66 at Oregon State in the previous meeting this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge in a blowout win at home. The Bruins are 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS at home, with 3 double-digit wins out of 4 conference home games. The Beavers on the other hand are a completely different team on the road than they are at home. Oregon State is 14-0 at home, but just 2-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. Pound UCLA -8.5! |
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02-10-15 | Xavier v. Marquette +3 | Top | 64-44 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH* Bottom Line: Marquette is being way undervalued here due to their poor record both overall and inside conference play. However, the Golden Eagles come in off an impressive 57-54 road win at Seton Hall and are a dominant 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Xavier is just 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS on the road and should not be laying points away from home against a quality opponent. Pound Marquette +3! |
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02-09-15 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor -6 | 74-65 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR OKLAHOMA ST/BAYLOR *NO DOUBT ATS ROUT* Bottom Line: Oklahoma State is coming off an emotional and hard fought win at home over Kansas and I look for the Cowboys to struggle to bounce back with the kind of effort needed to keep it close against a Baylor team that is playing their best basketball of the season. Baylor won 87-69 at West Virginia on Saturday and prior to that had rolled TCU (77-57) and Texas (83-60) at home. Pound the Bears -6! |
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02-08-15 | Clemson v. Miami (FL) -6 | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR CLEMSON/MIAMI NCAAB *BEST BET* Bottom Line: This line is begging for you to take Clemson. The Tigers have won 4 straight and covered each of their last 3, while Miami has gone 0-3 SU and ATS over their last 3. I think the smart play is to back the Hurricanes at home. Miami is going to come out extremely motivated to get back on track and let's not forget that this team has some pretty impressive wins on their resume, including a 90-74 win at Duke. Clemson is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference road win, while Miami is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 after failing to cover the number in 3 or more consecutive games. Pound the Hurricanes -6! |
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02-07-15 | Kentucky -8 v. Florida | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY KENTUCKY/FLORIDA *SEC GAME OF THE MONTH* Bottom Line: When an opponent has the Wildcats full attention, they seem to play their best basketball. Kentucky isn't going to mess around in this one and Florida simply doesn't have the offensive talent to keep this one close. Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have allowed 60 points or less in 4 straight games against an opponent that has scored 65 or fewer in 3 straight are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Kentucky -8! |
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02-05-15 | Tulsa -6.5 v. Houston | 57-44 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NEVER LOST 21-0 AAC *BLOODBATH* Bottom Line: Tulsa crushed Houston 72-54 at home earlier this season and come in with a perfect 9-0 record inside the AAC. The Cougars are getting way too much respect at home against a far superior team, as they are off a upset win over UConn. Tulsa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games played in February, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after 2 straight games where they attempted 10+ more free throws than their opponent and Houston is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 with a total of 130 to 139.5. It all adds up to a perfect 21-0 system. Pound Tulsa -6.5! |
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02-04-15 | Georgia Tech +17.5 v. Duke | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY ACC *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +17.5 Bottom Line: This is a horrible spot for Duke to be motivated against a bad team like the Yellow Jackets. The Blue Devils are coming in off an emotional and hard fought win over previously undefeated Virginia and will have a difficult time not looking ahead to Saturday's rematch against Notre Dame, who they lost a heartbreaker to on the road last Wednesday. Georgia Tech is also better than their 1-8 record in the ACC would indicate and I look for them to easily keep this within the number. Yellow Jackets are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after losing 4 of their last 5 games. Pound Georgia Tech +17.5! |
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02-03-15 | Indiana +16 v. Wisconsin | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG 10 *SUREFIRE* on Indiana +16 Bottom Line: Wisconsin is being way overvalued here as a 16-point favorite against the Hoosiers. While Indiana has failed to cover each of their last 3, they were able to snap a two-game skid with a 72-64 win over Rutgers. Hoosiers come in averaging 80.3 ppg and their ability to score is going to make it difficult for Wisconsin to turn this into a blowout. Indiana is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against top notch teams that are outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game and have won these contests by an average score of 74.1 to 71.8. |
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01-31-15 | Butler v. Marquette +2.5 | Top | 72-68 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +2.5 Bottom Line: With Steve Wojciechowski at the helm, Marquette is 7-0 ATS versus teams that outscore their opponents by 8.0 ppg or more. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Pound Marquette. |
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01-31-15 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR ACC *SUREFIRE* on Pitt +5.5 Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Notre Dame being just 2 days removed from a gigantic victory over Duke. The Irish haven't been reliable when laying points at just 8-17 ATS as chalk since the start of last season. The Panthers are 41-29 ATS when catching points under Dixon, and the dog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. |
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01-31-15 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +5.5 | Top | 74-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa +5.5 Bottom Line: Iowa will be out for blood at home, where it is 10-2, following back-to-back losses on the road. One of those was a brutal 82-50 loss at Wisconsin. That game was an aberration as Iowa had won or lost by fewer than 5.5 points in each of the previous 7 battles. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the Badgers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Iowa. Pound the Hawkeyes. |
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01-29-15 | UAB v. UTEP -11 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY C-USA GAME OF THE YEAR on UTEP -11 Bottom Line: UTEP fits into an extraordinary situation tonight. Consider that home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 consecutive upset defeats or more, provided they return 4 starters from last year's team, are 30-8 ATS the last 18 years. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 14.0 points. Making this play even stronger is the fact UTEP is 6-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons when check in off an upset defeat to a conference for. It has won these games by 15.5 points on average. The Miners are 9-1 ATS in home games following any upset defeat under coach Floyd and have won by an average of 15.0 points in these games. Pound UTEP. |
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01-28-15 | South Carolina +4.5 v. LSU | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB UNDERDOG SHOCKER OF THE WEEK on South Carolina +4.5 Bottom Line: South Carolina has lost 5 of 6 in league play, including 3 straight, but I like its chances of pulling off the upset tonight. Home court is huge in CBB, but it hasn't mattered in this series as the home team is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings with the losses coming by an average of 9.6 points. I really believe the Gamecocks are the better team. Their record doesn't show it, but they've played a much tougher schedule. They will also be the more motivated team tonight as they look to end their skid. Pound South Carolina. |
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01-27-15 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -4 | Top | 53-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State -4 Bottom Line: I love the Cowboys at home in this highly motivated spot. Not only are they off a 10-point loss at K-State, but they lost both meetings with Baylor last season. They'll be out for some serious revenge tonight. Oklahoma State is a ridiculous 50-28 ATS in lined home games under Travis Ford and has won these by 10.3 points on average. It is 44-23 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under Ford, winning these by 12.1 points on average. Additionally, the Cowboys are 25-12 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread under their current coach and have won these contests by 12.4 points on average. Pound Oklahoma State. |
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01-25-15 | Indiana v. Ohio State -8 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Ohio State -8 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Indiana as it heads out on the road following a big win over Maryland. This is just the 4th true road game of the season for the Hoosiers, so based on the line, odds makers are telling us Indiana's record wouldn't be nearly as good had they stepped out on the road a few more times. This is a big revenge spot for Ohio State, which lost by 3 at Indiana earlier this month. The Buckeyes are 12-1 at home on the season where they have a ridiculous 28.3-point average margin of victory. Indiana is 14-30 ATS in road games following a cover under Crean, including 5-14 ATS in this spot the last 3 seasons. Ohio State is 26-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points under Matta. |
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01-24-15 | Illinois v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota -5 Bottom Line: Illinois has been a completely different team away from home and is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road/neutral floor games. The 6 SU losses during this span all came by at least 7 points. Minnesota has been at its best at home where it is 10-2 with an average winning margin of 21.0 points. Minnesota is off to a 1-6 start in Big Ten play and was upset on this floor by Illinois last season so it will not be lacking any incentive. Pound the Golden Gophers. |
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01-24-15 | Denver v. Nebraska-Omaha -1.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Nebraska-Omaha -1.5 Bottom Line: Denver has really struggled on the road where it is 1-6 this season. It is 11-25 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pickem under coach Scott. Nebraska-Omaha has lost 5 straight and was swept by Denver last season so it will be very, very hungry. |
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01-24-15 | Boise State v. Air Force +6.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR MOUNTAIN WEST MASSACRE on Air Force +6.5 Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Boise State following a 50-point win over San Jose State. Huge bounce-back spot for Air Force following a 32-point loss to San Diego State. Boise Sate is 0-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. It is 0-7 ATS off a home win of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-24-15 | South Dakota v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2 | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on IUPUI -2 Bottom Line: Terrible spot for South Dakota, which is playing its 3rd consecutive road game and 2nd in 3 days. IUPUI is off a loss but is an outstanding 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following defeat. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-24-15 | DePaul v. Xavier -12 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Xavier -12 Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points but Xavier is 10-0 at home on the season and has won these games by an average of 18.3 points. DePaul upset the Musketeers in the first meeting, but they are 12-3 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-22-15 | Maryland v. Indiana -1.5 | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Indiana -1.5 Bottom Line: This line opened as a pickem and has since been bet up which is the right move. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS as a home dog of 3 points or less or pickem under coach Crean and have won these 6 by an average of 8.0 points. While this trend is in play because of the opening line, it is also worth mentioning that Indiana is 26-9 ATS at when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. It is 16-6 ATS during this span as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. Maryland went off from deep in its rout of Michigan State, but it is 0-7 ATS in road games after a game where it made 50% of its 3 point shots or better under coach Turgeon, and it has lost these 7 by an average of 17.5 points. |
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01-22-15 | DePaul v. Seton Hall -10 | Top | 64-60 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -10 Bottom Line: The Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games while the Blue Demons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Pirates are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Pirates are also 8-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Seton Hall is off its first home loss of the season, which can't be sitting well. Plus, it lost its last meeting with DePaul so it will have no problem getting up for this one. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Blue Demons with the wins coming by an average of 12.4 points so there is plenty of value in Seton Hall here. |
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01-21-15 | Purdue v. Illinois -3 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Illinois -3 Bottom Line: This is a highly motivated spot for the Fighting Illini. Illinois just suffered its first home loss of the season and will be looking to bounce back tonight. It gets further incentive from a home loss to Purdue in last season's meeting. The Illini is 8-1 at home where it has a nice win over Maryland, so it has shown the ability to take down a better team on this floor than the one it will see tonight. The Fighting Illini are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a losing road record. |
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01-20-15 | Utah State v. Nevada +1 | 70-54 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR CBB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nevada +1 Bottom Line: Look for the Wolf Pack to come storming back following an ugly 98-42 loss at Colorado State. They are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Nevada has also been a nice play in games odds makers expect to be close. It is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-20-15 | Tennessee v. South Carolina -6.5 | Top | 66-62 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on South Carolina -6.5 Bottom Line: The Gamecocks check in having lost 3 of their last 4. They have also dropped 14 in a row to the Volunteers. Yet, they are laying quite a few points tonight. Clearly books want the money coming in on Tennessee. We won't take the bait. It is significant that the Gamecocks have been installed as favorites since the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. I fully expect this trend to continue. Look for South Carolina to finally break through against the Vols. |
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01-20-15 | Dayton v. Davidson -2.5 | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR A-10 *SUREFIRE* on Davidson -2.5 Bottom Line: Look for Davidson to hand Dayton its first conference loss. The Wildcats are 8-0 at where they are winning by an average of 24.9 points. Dayton has found its way into the Top 25 behind 8 straight victories. It has even covered the spread in its last 5 but is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1997 and has lost these by an average of 10.0 points. Davidson is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season. |
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01-19-15 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Louisiana-Lafayette -7.5 | Top | 57-55 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH Louisiana-Lafayette -7.5 Bottom Line: Louisiana-Lafayette got off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt play but has since lost its last 2. Despite the losses, it can pull even with UL Monroe for first place in the league with a win here, and I expect it to take care of business. The Ragin' Cajuns are 7-1 in their last 8 at home versus Monroe with the 7 wins coming by an average of 15.7 points. Despite the bad loss to South Alabama last game, ULL's high scoring output is a good sign. The Ragin' Cajuns are 6-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons after scoring 80 points or more last game. They have won by a ridiculous average margin of 25.3 points in these contests. Pound ULL. |
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01-17-15 | Connecticut +5 v. Stanford | 59-72 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR ESPN2 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on UConn +5 Bottom Line: Look for UConn to bounce back strong off a loss at Tulsa. The Huskies were upset at home by Stanford last season and will draw added motivated from that defeat. The Huskies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. They're also 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games that occur 15 games or more into the season versus teams with a win percentage of 60-80%, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 9.0 points. |
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01-17-15 | Tennessee v. Missouri | Top | 59-51 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Missouri pk Bottom Line: Missouri was buried Tuesday at Kentucky, but it is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 following a loss, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 following a loss of more than 20 points and 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 at home. The Vols are a poor 3-11-1 ATS on the season, including 1-4-1 ATS in road/neutral court games. They're also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. These teams have met 3 times since Missouri joined the SEC and the home team is 3-0. Pound the Tigers. |
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01-15-15 | Utah v. Arizona State +5 | Top | 76-59 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY PAC-12 PUNISHER OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +5 Bottom Line: I like ASU catching points at home in a motivated spot against an overvalued Utah squad that I expect to show some rust following a 7-day layoff. Playing home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog has resulted in a 24-6 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against an opponent that's off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.4 points. ASU's 4 home wins during this stretch have come by an average of 4.8 points so I have no problem taking the points in a game it should have a chance to win outright. |
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01-15-15 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -14.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG 10 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN2) on Wisconsin -14.5 Bottom Line: Nebraska is off back-to-back double-digit wins at home but things haven't gone as smoothly for the Huskers on the road. They are 1-8 ATS in road games after a win of 10 points or more under coach Miles. They also catch Wisconsin at a bad time. The Badgers are off a bad loss at Rutgers and will be out for blood as a result. I expect an inspired performance from Frank Kaminsky in his return and for Bronson Koenig to step up for the injured Traevon Jackson. The Cornhuskers are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. |
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01-15-15 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic +4 | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR CBB *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Florida Atlantic +4 Bottom Line: FAU isn't getting the respect it deserves at home. The Owls have won 4 of the last 6 meetings with only 1 of the defeats coming by more than 4 points. This has been a highly competitive series in which the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Owls are 5-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points. WKU hasn't been on the road since Dec. 13 and is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games. |
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01-14-15 | St. John's +3 v. Providence | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's +3 Bottom Line: The Red Storm has lost 3 in a row but has had a week off to get right. I expect them to right the ship tonight. The Johnnies were pathetic defensively last game, allowing Villanova to shoot 55.7%. Rest assured the defense will be much better here. St. John's is 10-0 ATS in road games after allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or higher since 1997, and it has won these games by an average of 6.7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 for a Wednesday game, playing against teams off 2 consecutive close wins of 5 points or less over conference opponents has resulted in a 22-5 (81.5%) ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound St. John's. |
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01-13-15 | UNLV v. Boise State -5 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR CBB BAILOUT (ESPNU) on Boise State -5 Bottom Line: UNLV pounded San Jose State last game, but the Runnin' Rebels are 10-23 ATS off a conference win under Dave Rice, including 4-13 ATS if the win came by 10 points or more. Additionally, 15 games or more into the season in a matchup of teams that commit 14.5 turnovers per game or less, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 75-37 ATS the last 5 seasons if they shoot 45-47.5% and are facing a team that hold opponents to 40% or worse shooting. |
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01-13-15 | Alabama v. South Carolina -4 | 66-68 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPNU) on South Carolina -4 Bottom Line: South Carolina has lost back-to-back games since winning 7 straight, and that actually bodes well for us tonight. The Gamecocks are 6-0 ATS in home games after losing 2 straight games or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won these 6 by 8.3 points on average. |
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01-13-15 | Arkansas v. Tennessee +3.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +3.5 Bottom Line: Arkansas has covered the spread in 3 straight. However, it is 0-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under Mike Anderson and has lost these games by 8.7 points on average. Arkansas does an excellent job of sharing the basketball, but Donnie Tyndall's teams are 7-0 ATS all-time in home games versus good passing teams that average 16.0 assists per game or more. They have won these 7 by an average of 15.3 points. Additionally, Arkansas is 15-30 ATS as a road favorite or pickem since 1997 while Tennessee is 30-8 ATS as a home underdog or pickem since 1997. Pound the Vols. |
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01-11-15 | Florida State v. Syracuse -9.5 | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Syracuse -9.5 Bottom Line: Florida State has struggled on the road where it is 0-6 ATS in its last 6. It's off a win and cover against Virginia Tech but is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS win. Syracuse is a bad matchup for the Seminoles because they are a poor perimeter shooting team. They are shooting only 27.5% from 3-point range on the season. It takes a zone buster to stretch the Syracuse matchup-zone to open up driving lanes and high-post entries, and the Noles have only one outside threat. That makes it easy on the Orange. It's important to note that 15 games or more into the season FSU is just 2-14 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring the opposition by 8.0 PPG or more. In other words, they've struggled in conference play against top-notch competition. Bet the Orange. |
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01-10-15 | South Dakota State v. Nebraska-Omaha -1.5 | Top | 87-68 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY Summit League GAME OF THE MONTH on Nebraska-Omaha -1.5 Bottom Line: Nebraska-Omaha is 7-0 ATS lifetime under coach Hansen after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and has won these by an average of 4.4 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 plays against road teams that are off a cover as a double-digit favorite and are playing their 3rd game in 7 days has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is already 2-0 ATS this season. Pound UNO. |
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01-10-15 | Xavier v. Butler -2 | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Butler -2 Bottom Line: We picked up a big win with Xavier Wednesday, but now we'll go against the Musketeers as they head back out on the road where they have struggled. The Musketeers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 at home. Butler is off a loss and lost both meetings with Xavier last season so it will be highly focused. The Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win while the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. |
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01-08-15 | Rutgers v. Nebraska -9.5 | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska -9.5 Bottom Line: Nebraska has been outstanding in league play in bounce back spots. It is 16-5 ATS off a loss to conference foe over the last 3 seasons, including 9-1 ATS during this span off 2 straight losses to conference opponents. |
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01-08-15 | Murray State v. Tennessee Tech +6.5 | Top | 83-67 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY OHIO VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Tennessee Tech +6.5 Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Murray State, which has won its last 9 games. The Racers are on an 8-19 ATS slide after 9 or more consecutive wins. Murray State put the hurt on Tennessee Tech last season as it was able to control the glass, but this year's Murray State team hasn't been nearly as good on the boards. The Racers are averaging just 33 rebounds per game, and that number drops to 30 in games played away from home. The Golden Eagles, on the other hand, are averaging 38 boards per game. This number goes up to 41 at home where they are 6-0 on the season. Tennessee Tech is 12-1 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams that average 33 or less rebounds per game. Pound Tennessee Tech. |
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01-07-15 | Maryland v. Illinois +2 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois +2 Bottom Line: This is a big bounce back spot for Illinois following consecutive defeats at Michigan and Ohio State. This is a big letdown spot for Maryland following big wins over Michigan State and Minnesota. Illinois is a perfect 7-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 30.0 points. It has two more Big Ten road games following this one, which makes this game that much more important. Rayvonte Rice is out with a hand injury, but I fully expect this deep, talented group to step up. Pound Illinois. |
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01-07-15 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -7 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH on Xavier -7 Bottom Line: This is a big bounce back spot for Xavier following a bad loss at DePaul. It's also a big revenge spot for the Musketeers after getting swept by Seton Hall last season. Additionally, this is a big letdown spot for the Pirates who hit the road off back-to-back big home wins over St. John's and Villanova. Xavier is a perfect 8-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 21 points and has notable double-digit wins over Alabama and Georgetown. Pound Xavier. |
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01-06-15 | Central Florida v. Houston -7 | Top | 79-78 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* BLOWOUT on Houston -7 Bottom Line: This is not the night to back Central Florida. The Knights are 0-8 ATS on Tuesday night under coach Jones. Houston, on the other hand, is on an 18-6 ATS run in Tuesday night home games. The Cougars are 10-2 ATS as a home favorite or pickem over the last three seasons. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and the favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston. |
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01-05-15 | Texas-Arlington v. Troy State +3.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on Troy State +3.5 Bottom Line: Texas-Arlington is 0-8 ATS the last 3 seasons off a home win of 10 points or more and has lost these games by 7.1 points on average. Troy is 6-0 ATS after a blowout loss of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons and has won these games by an average of 2.0 points. Pound Troy State. |
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01-05-15 | James Madison v. Charleston -3.5 | 61-50 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Charleston -3.5 Bottom Line: James Madison is off a strong performance over Towson where it held the Tigers to just 52 points. However, JM is 0-6 ATS the last 2 seasons after holding an opponent to 55 points or less and has lost by an average of 8.4 points in these games. |
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01-05-15 | Mercer v. Virginia Military +2.5 | 85-75 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Virginia Military +2.5 Bottom Line: VMI is 3-1 at home while Mercer is 1-5 on the road. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a cover while the Keydets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat. |
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01-05-15 | Elon v. Towson -3 | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Towson -3 Bottom Line: I'm fading Elon in a spot it hasn't performed well in. The Phoenix are on a 17-28 ATS slide when playing win one or no days of rest. |
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01-05-15 | Rider v. Fairfield +1 | 62-46 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Fairfield +1 Bottom Line: The Broncs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win. The Stags are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 versus Metro Atlantic Athletic opponents. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. |
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01-05-15 | William & Mary v. Drexel +5.5 | 73-47 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Drexel +5.5 Bottom Line: Playing against road teams that are off a win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record since 1997 if they are up against an opponent that's off an upset loss of 10 points or more at home. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
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01-03-15 | Providence v. Marquette -1.5 | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Marquette -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for Marquette to bounce back strong against Providence following a tough loss at DePaul. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 7-0 at home versus Providence since they began competing in the Big East Conference. None of these wins have come by fewer than 7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 playing against road teams that have beaten the spread by 18 or more points total in their last 3 games has resulted in a 19-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against a team that has gone under the total by 18 or more total points in their last 3 games. Bet Marquette. |